Motley Fool Money - Investing in 2026: A Plan You Can Stick With

Starting point is 00:00:00 It's a new year and for millions of people around the world, that means turning over a new leaf. And a lot of them may be you have resolved to make 2026 the year they commit to and stick to an investing plan. Today is Thursday, January 1st. Welcome to Motley Fool Money. I'm your host, Jason Hall. Today I'm joined by Fool analyst Dan Kaplanar and the aforementioned John Cost. We're going to share our own investing struggles, successes, and how we've been able to keep investing once. the shiny new wears off, and the reality of investing is hard has set in. Okay, guys, the dirty little secret of the fitness industry is that it depends on January for all those new customers to join, and then February for them to stop coming,

Starting point is 00:00:51 but keep paying for those memberships. Now, I'm being cynical here, but the reality is that we all have stories of a big commitment that we've made in the past and then failed to see through. We're not going to talk about our favorite fitness stocks either. We're going to talk about how we've gone through these mistakes and learned from them and then built investing habits that we can stick to. But first, let's have a little bit of fun, mainly going to be at your expense, John. What's an experience of a failed resolution that you want to share, maybe that you've learned from? Yeah, I mean, well, it's not going to be hard to poke fun at me.

Starting point is 00:01:23 This is a easy thing to do. Listen, I don't do New Year's resolutions. I don't. It's not my thing. I hate the idea of waiting for a new year to make an important change. if there's something that I need to do, let's do it now. So I try to regularly take stock of life and course correct as needed. This includes, of course, course correcting when it comes to how I'm investing my money.

Starting point is 00:01:44 And in the past, early days, I really despise the idea of investing a small sum in a risky company, right? I wanted it to be a rock solid thing and I wanted it to be a large position. And I've learned maybe that's not the best approach. a little bit more of a barbell approach where I'm investing a lot of my money in safer things, but some of my money in riskier things, right, Jason? Yeah, John, a barbell strategy is something that I've learned to use myself for exactly the reasons you talked about. Let's get to the mistake. Come on. Okay, well, if you're going to invest in a riskier company, at least have an investment thesis explanation of why you think that this could be a good stock and then reinvest into the company

Starting point is 00:02:27 as the investment thesis is playing out. As you see the improvements that you need to see as it's moving from riskier to safer, then invest more money. And I tried to safeguard myself from that. And then many companies I invested in, especially in 2021, as my investment thesis is breaking and the stock is falling, then I start ignoring my own rule and investing more money into it because it was just so darn cheap. Yeah, the famed investor, Michael Tyson is famous for saying everybody has a plan until the market punches them in the face. Yeah, and the market punched me in the face, and I said, yes, please, can I have another? So I put more money into a losing idea.

Starting point is 00:03:11 Now, it did work out in one case. So with lemonade, I was waiting to see improvements in the loss ratio before I invested more money. I didn't actually do that. I invested more money before I saw that. Now, that has worked out okay here recently, but some of the companies that I doubled down on in that 2022, 2022, 23 time frame. Some of them are actually zeros. I do this for a living, and I invested in a company that went to zero. So this is a perfect opportunity to roast you, but I've got a couple of those zeros to match here. So I don't know how much I can really

Starting point is 00:03:48 tell you about that. How many of those that I recommend to you? Well, now you're giving me an ammunition to work with here, but I'm not going to. I think the point is, and the big thing the takeaway for me is, you know, you have to adapt. And when you fail to adapt, that's when you struggle. So, Dan, talk a little bit about that. Why it's so important in light of when people decide to get better about something like investing, a big stumbling block they run into that John managed to avoid. You know, Jason, you might notice when John was talking about those zeros, I was being very quiet because I have plenty of those zeros of my own. And it's embarrassing, but it's just something that you have to get past. And, you know, I think that John's got

Starting point is 00:04:29 a great philosophy when it comes to the lack of New Year's resolution, just constantly being in a state of trying to self-improve. Because with resolutions, too many people are focused on the time element. With New Year's, you know it's coming. And so, like, the end of December is like this great time to sort of like slack off and do like exactly the opposite of whatever it is you're going to resolve. And it's like you're waiting for the apple to drop. And then suddenly everything's going to be easier and you're going to stick to the plan and everything is going to be perfect. Well, it rarely works out that way. Sure, you start out strong. You've got some discipline. You've had plenty of fun beforehand. But now once it gets difficult, inevitably something's going to go

Starting point is 00:05:20 wrong. And at that point, if you tied so much to this idea of I'm going to start on January 1st, and it's going to last throughout the year, something went wrong. It's so easy just to say, okay, well, that failed. I quit. I'm going back to my old behavior. There's no point in even trying to stick to this planet. I think the real thing that you have to learn is you're just not going to get to perfection. But the good news with investing is you don't have to. Just being right more often than not is such a huge driver for investing success. But the one thing you do have to do, you have to be resilient. You have to accept you're not going to about a thousand. You have to accept that you're going to make mistakes. You're going to have embarrassing losses.

Starting point is 00:06:04 Don't let that make you give up entirely. Just start over, put it behind you, move on to the next investment idea, and just keep going. Don't wait until 2027. Don't wait until the next New Year's resolution phase, just get off the mat and move forward. That's the best thing you can do. Dan, one of the things that I've struggled with in the past, and the gym example is a good one, is we don't say, I'm going to go to the gym three times a week. We say, I'm going to get in shape. I'm going to lose 30 pounds. I'm going to make some money, right? I'm going to invest. I'm going to do well. and we focus on the goal and then we stumble and we see the goal get further away and we give up versus focusing on the process and the habits that we need to build.

Starting point is 00:06:52 And I think to me that's really the common theme of all of this. I won't tell you guys how much money I gave to a gem that I went to five times. That's another show. We'll talk about that one. I think it's smart to have measurable goals, but at the same time I also think that it's important to accept that you're learning something from the process that you're going through, even if it doesn't yield immediate success. It's going to be valuable experience somewhere down the road. You quoted the investor, Mike Tyson, but let me quote

Starting point is 00:07:23 the investor, Rocky Balboa. It's not about how hard you hit. It's about how hard you get hit and keep moving forward. Fantastic. Up next, we're going to move beyond those mistakes. We're going to talk about the lessons that we've learned that have made us better and more consistent investors. Unlike some of those resolutions, we hope you stay with us. The old adage goes, it isn't what you say, it's how you say it, because to truly make an impact, you need to set an example and take the lead. You have to adapt to whatever comes your way. When you're that driven, you drive an equally determined vehicle, the Range Rover Sport. The Range Rover Sport blends power, poise, and performance. Its design is distinctly British and free from unnecessary details, allowing its raw agility to shine through. It combines a dynamic sporting personality with elegance to deliver a truly instinctive drive.

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Starting point is 00:08:52 learned is that one of the hardest things for me to do with investing is buying a stock when I feel like I'm a little late. Too late. I've missed kind of the trend on something and that it doesn't make sense for me to try to get on board. Too often, I just say, yeah, to heck with it. I missed it. And then the stock keeps going up. And then I'm just sort of like, well, why did you give up on that? But I find myself, you just have to work on it. Recently, I took a step in the right direction. I bought shares of Dollar General, which ticker DG.

Starting point is 00:09:24 I found myself inside their stores more often than I ever expected to because it's proving to be a good go-to for discounts on some items like soft drinks that grocery stores. They're just really using pricing pressure. They're maintaining ridiculous margins on them. Dollar General, much more attractive there. Dollar General stock has not done well until recently, did well during the 2022 bear market, but then it tanked. 2023, 2024, wasn't able to sustain the growth targets that it had set.

Starting point is 00:09:57 But since late 2024, it's doubled off of its lows, and I'm ticked that I didn't hone in on the turnaround more quickly. In the past, that would have totally dissuaded me from buying, but I'm going in the other direction. I'm giving it a shot this time, recently bought some shares. So this is almost like a couple weeks ago, the three of us were on together, and we talked about Alphabet. And this is one that you saw the opportunity to buy in the past at a time that it was down.

Starting point is 00:10:24 And this is a lesson that I've learned, too. And the thing is, with Dollar General, you know, that's a real turnaround. The business was really, really struggling. And what I've learned is sometimes it's better being late to the turnaround than rushing too quickly when the business is still. struggling. John, what's a trick that you figured out that's helped you keep at it? Yeah, I've started to prioritize investing in companies that I really love the brand or the

Starting point is 00:10:50 business. I really just love the company. I'm not exactly sure when it was. It was a couple of years ago. I just looked at my portfolio and all of the companies, of course, that I'm invested in, I believe can go up. But it wasn't necessarily a group of companies that I was in love with, a group of companies that I was excited about. And look, it's not a mathematical thing, but it is a psychological thing because let me frame this for a second. So of companies that are worth more than 10 billion, four of the top five over the past 10 years are Nvidia, AMD, Celsius, and Shopify. Each one has been down 30% or more multiple times. Three of them have been down 70% during their time of being four of the top five best performing stocks.

Starting point is 00:11:39 Here's the thing. If you don't love that company, if you don't love that business, when it drops that much, you start saying, do I really want to own this? Is this something I really want to hold? And then you sell it precisely the worst time. And so I've been prioritizing investing in companies that I do believe have good upside, but that I also love. And building my portfolio around brands that I really want to hang on to through

Starting point is 00:12:05 thick and thin. So it's not mathematical. It's psychological, but there is a huge psychological component to investing. It's such a great point, John, because when you believe in the business, all these naysayers are pushing the share price down. You just tell all those naysayers they're wrong, no matter how far the downturn goes. Now, obviously, it doesn't mean that you're going to be right every time, but in the times when it doesn't work out, at least you don't have the double hit of saying, well, gee, I always hated that company. Why don't ever buy shares in the first place. And when it does rebound, like those stocks that you mentioned, it just feels so much better, even better to get those big gains after having endured such a long period of hardship.

Starting point is 00:12:48 Yeah, one of the interesting things about this to me is that if you're starting with a business first, it certainly helps, especially with something like regret minimization, which is really hard. Because if you start with, I really like the business, like you said, it certainly helps holding through the downturns. But my one caution is there's a thin line between really being compelled and attracted to a business and then letting that become biased that makes it harder for you to be objective when there are real struggles with the business. Yeah, that's certainly, it's certainly a double-edged sword. We do need to maintain a sober assessment of the company and its outlook, its ability to create value over the long term. If you are in love with the

Starting point is 00:13:33 it may be a little bit harder, but it does carry the benefit that we are talking about. You're going to hold it. And holding onto potential winners is so crucial for a long-term success in a portfolio. Okay, so we've talked about a few things that we've done. But up next, I want each of us to share a habit that we form that's made a big difference in our own investing in personal financial success. So stick with us for that. These days, I'm all about quality over quantity, especially in my closet. If it's not well-made and versatile, it's just not worth it. That's honestly what I love Quince. The fabrics feel elevated, the cuts are thoughtful, and the pricing

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Starting point is 00:14:45 Right now, go to quince.com slash motley for free shipping and 365-day returns. That's a full year to wear it and love it, and you will. Now available in Canada, too. Don't keep settling for clothes that don't last. Go to Q-I-N-C-E-D-com slash motley for free shipping and 365-day returns. Quince.com slash motley. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. To wrap up today's show, let's each share something that we have figured out that really helps us stick to it over the long term. I'll go first, guys. The one thing that's made a big difference for me is delaying my earnings reviews for my core holdings.

Starting point is 00:15:21 I have a lot of professional obligations to The Fool and its members for a number of companies that I follow. But in general, I don't really dive deep into earnings for most of my personal holdings until we're, weeks on the other side of earning season. Now, the reason that I do this is I want to be completely on the other side of how the market reacts and also what the talking heads are shouting so I can be a little bit more objective. And also, here's a funny little part of it that is a big part of it psychologically for me. It also helps me reduce how much importance I put on a single 90-day-ish period of results for companies that I intend to home. to hopefully own for multiple decades in many cases.

Starting point is 00:16:07 Jason, I just can't tell you how many times I've seen a stock. It makes a big move after hours, after it releases its earnings. Everybody talks about the reason why it's making the big move. Then overnight happens and regular trading starts. Suddenly, a stock moves in completely other direction. It's zagged back. And everybody who was talking the previous night is, scurrying to try to figure out, okay, do I just change the headline from down to up?

Starting point is 00:16:37 Or do I doubt what explanation am I going to find for why it's up when I gave such a great explanation for why I was down last night? And it's just one of those things that your approach, it helps to avoid that whipsaw. All that short-term madness plays out. And then you have the actual story in a longer-term context, which is exactly what you want in the first place. So, Jason, I'm curious. For me, time just rushes by, and I think there's such value in your strategy of waiting to review the report. But I saw a company report this morning. I could have sworn they just reported last week. It turns out it's already been three months. How do you remember what's your prompt to go back and how often do you do it? Okay, I'm probably not supposed to admit

Starting point is 00:17:26 this, but I don't. And what I've learned, 15 years of actively researching a body, stock. If I miss a quarter, there's probably nothing that I missed is the hard, cold reality. Part of my check for that, though, is I always read the 10-Ks. I read the annual report every year. If you know what to look for, you don't have to read all two or three hundred pages. There's maybe 25 pages that are important to read in a company's annual report. And if you're doing that, you're probably not going to miss anything important more than, then if you see the stock is up or down a lot since the last time you really checked in. And then that's the signal to go, pop the hood on the business, do some research and find out what's

Starting point is 00:18:12 going on. Wow, I love that. There's probably a lot more value in what you just said than what I'm about to say. But a little habit that I've developed is just being willing to dollar cost average. And so this means buying very small stakes over a period of time rather than buying it all at once. Now, there are studies out there. Mathematically, it makes sense. If you're going to invest in a company, just invest. Just invest what you're going to invest. Dollar cost averaging doesn't necessarily make the most mathematical sense. But sometimes I have a huge psychological hurdle, kind of going back to what Dan was saying with Dollar General. Sometimes I have a hard time just moving from the sideline into buying a stock. And I found that being willing to dollar cost average at first purchase just gets me. in the game and now I've overcome that psychological hurdle and now I'm ready to invest maybe that fuller stake much sooner than I would have if I didn't have that first small little buy. Ansel Adams is famous for having said the best camera to use is the one that you have with you. And when it comes to investing strategies, it doesn't matter what the perfect strategy is if it doesn't

Starting point is 00:19:21 fit. And this is a perfect example of that. The research says one thing. But then there's what works in the real world. And being willing to, for me, both average, up and buy the dip, you know, it works because if your focus is on the business first and last, then you're going to have a better outcome most of the time. Dan? So my turn to share, I am married and my wife and I, we largely keep our finances separate, especially with our investments. But we do have one significant joint stock account that I mostly manage. One interesting thing I have found is I do a much better job of leaving that account alone than I do my own individual accounts, and that joint account has performed better as well. It's good I have found to have kind of

Starting point is 00:20:09 my own separate avenues for taking flyers on some interesting trends, on some more speculative stocks. But that joint account has been really the core portfolio. And I found that having that portfolio be more balanced, be less sensitive to short-term moves. It's been a godsend, not just because it's done really well, but because it has also been sort of that core that gives me the freedom to take a little bit more risk elsewhere in the portfolio. As a married man, I can say that the judgment of my spouse is a wonderful incentive to behave more appropriately as an investor. So it's funny that you mention that.

Starting point is 00:20:50 And in my personal experience, we have a taxable brokerage that I certainly meddle in less, and that's carried over to the education investments for our son. So kind of the same thing has applied, and it's funny how those accounts have done quite well just because of the incentives to maybe behave a little bit more. In the same way, I'm really grateful for the Motley Fool's disclosure policy. All three of us have to disclose our positions. And so everything we do is happening somewhat publicly. And so that has been a huge booster for my own investment.

Starting point is 00:21:25 returns is knowing that if I do something that's not capital F foolish, it's going to show. And so if I make a trader move or a boneheaded mistake, yeah, it's going to be out there publicly. And so it does just keep you a little bit more on focus, hanging on to the good investment principles. And so I like what you're saying, Dan. Dan, John, I really appreciate you guys coming on, being willing to share your mistakes and how they've led to successes. This has been a great show. Thank you, Jason. Have a great new year. Happy New Year to both of you and all of our listeners. Hopefully you have a very successful 2026 and well, well beyond. Just remember, as always, people on the program may have interest

Starting point is 00:22:06 in the stocks they talk about. And the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against. So don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. All personal finance content follows Montley Fool editorial standards and is not approved by advertisers. Advertisers are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only to see our full advertising. disclosure, please check out our show notes. For John Kwas, Dan Kaplanjur, the entire Motley Fool Money team, I'm Jason Hall. We'll see you tomorrow.

Motley Fool Money - Investing in 2026: A Plan You Can Stick With

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