Motley Fool Money - Lions, and tigers, and tariffs. Oh my!

Episode Date: April 4, 2025

Today we talk about the economic and market impacts of tariffs, some business partnerships, and a couple of weak earnings reports. Also, Andy Cross talks to Schwab Chief Investment Strategist Liz Ann... Sonders. And Asit and Jason share two stocks on their radar. Host: Ron Gross Guests: Asit Sharma, Jason Moser, Andy Cross, Liz Ann Sonders Engineer: Dan Boyd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:27 Did someone say tariffs? Motley full money starts now. That's why they call it money. Global headquarters. This is Motley Fool Money. It's the Motley Fool Money radio show. I'm Ron Gross sitting in for Dylan Lewis. Joining me today are senior analyst Jason Moser and Asit Sharma Fools.
Starting point is 00:01:17 How you doing? Ron, how you doing? Doing all right. Ron, how you doing? I'm well, guys. Today we're going to talk earnings, acquisitions, and partnerships. But we must begin with the big macro, and it's a doozy. On Wednesday afternoon, the Trump administration revealed the details around what it is calling reciprocal tariffs, which, by the way, they are not sending the stock market down sharply on Thursday and Friday.
Starting point is 00:01:47 Jason, let's unpack this. What did the administration actually announce, and what are they actually trying to achieve? Yes, a very hectic couple of days, very understandable for investors to be on edge here. And I think we kind of go back to the beginning here and ask, why is this happening? And do you remember this all started really with Canada, Mexico, in China, and in tariffs, Fort Worth brought to the table as a way to help control sort of border issues, concerns of fentanyl crossing the border and whatnot? But now it's obviously gone virtually global with about 180 countries in play here. there's like maybe a hundred and ninety-five countries in the world on, so that's a lot. A lot. To me, I think trade deficits are part of this. I think there's a lot that has to do with
Starting point is 00:02:34 this, right? It's not just one thing. It can be confusing. But trade deficits are one piece of the puzzle, I think, here. And that's where we as an economy, we import more than we export. You like to see more of a balance there. But right now, we're just importing more than we're exporting. And that ultimately can lead to things like shrinking production, domestic, lead, job losses, higher deficit spending. And one thing to note here, too, in regard to that, while we've heard the word reciprocal a lot in regard to these tariffs, they don't really seem like they're necessarily reciprocal. I mean, you got this 10% number that applies to everyone. But then you've got a lot of other countries they deem as bad actors, where these
Starting point is 00:03:16 numbers are kind of all over the place. And it seems that many of these tariffs are adhering to a calculation based on these very trade deficits. So that's one way to look at it. Another, and this is just something to keep in mind, there are those who believe that he may, at least in part, be doing this to ultimately try to bring interest rates down. During recessionary times, that tends to be the case. They want to free of spending, make life a little easier for consumers. It would allow to refinance much of the higher-cost national debt. We have, I think, about $1 trillion in interest payments on the federal debt alone this year in 2025. Now, I'm not saying that's what he's doing.
Starting point is 00:03:56 I'm saying that line of thinking exists. And ultimately, I think what that leads me to is there are a lot of reasons why this is going on. And there's all sorts of speculation out there. I think it's worth investors kind of pulling back a little bit and saying, you know what? There's a lot going on. I want to make sure I acknowledge there's a lot of stuff that I don't know here. If you peruse social media, there are a lot of experts out there these days, Ron.
Starting point is 00:04:19 So we want to try. Stay away from social media. We want to try to be a little bit humble about this. Remember, there are a lot of things that we just don't know. And there are, this is just a very complex process. And I suspect it will get worse before it gets better. But I mean, I think it's interesting to know. We already saw where Vietnam is out there saying, hey, we want to negotiate and bring these tariffs down to zero. And lo and behold, Ron, now you see companies like, Nike and Wayfair and even Under Armour in the green today on what is what is otherwise a very, very red day.
Starting point is 00:04:51 Yeah. So stocks are obviously getting slammed, not all of them, but most of them. What do you think the short and midterm consequences are for U.S. companies? And then I'll ask you, what should an individual investor do, if anything? The short term consequences are going to be a hit to earnings for many companies because the tariffs, you know, are effective. this morning, we heard that China is going to have retaliatory tariffs of 34%, which is the effective rate that they've been slapped with. And there's no easy way in the short term
Starting point is 00:05:22 to navigate these waters. So we can just expect that the landscape of earnings is going to be pitted with mea culpa. And those meauclapas really won't be about we didn't conduct our business correctly. It's going to be about, well, we just didn't see this risk. It came out of the blue. We expected some tariffs, not this much. For individual investors, what's going to going to be the impact is we're going to see lots of security valuations near-term, across the board, get whacked because it's very confusing right now. As details emerge, as negotiations happen, then we'll start to see some companies bouncing back and some that now are going to have longer-term effects. They will still be relatively underwater. My caution here to investors is not to just jump
Starting point is 00:06:06 out of the market out of fear unless you really need that money or have to make that personal decision to get out. Let this take its course and study it as we go along. We'll be doing that here at the Motley Fool. There may also be some opportunities going forward. And I'll remind investors that 100% of the time, stocks have come back, rebounded, and moved higher through wars, depressions, pandemics. I don't see any reason why this would be any different. And if it is, we've got more to worry about than stock prices. So I think there's some optimism you can take based on history. All right, let's move on to some earnings. On Wednesday, R.H reported fourth quarter earnings that were worse than expected, and CEO Gary Friedman actually used the S-word on a call
Starting point is 00:06:53 with analysts when he saw that his stock was down 40%. So, Asa, the stock got smacked on the tariff news, but how did the quarter actually look to you and how bad will the tariffs hurt RH? The quarter looked fine, Ron. The top line, we saw an increase of about 10%. So RH booked about $812 million on that revenue line. But earnings per share of $3.92 was about 25% below the consensus estimate. So more in costs than investors were expecting. Bottom line didn't look as healthy. And the stock would have been for a bad day. But this was being released and talked about in the conference call at the same time that President Trump was rolling out his tariff structure in the Rose Garden.
Starting point is 00:07:40 And as you just alluded to, CEO Gary Friedman asked his colleagues to pull up the screen while he was talking to analysts so he could see the stock price. And he said, oh, shizzles. Well, we can abbreviate that. Yes, fascinating. Just put a few asterisks by that. To quote, oh, blank, I just looked at the screen. The reason that the stock was getting hammered, and as he pointed out, hey, we've been
Starting point is 00:08:03 transparent in our sourcing. 72% of the goods that RH brings into the S come from Asia. I will point out 35% from Vietnam, 23% from China. As Jason pointed out, when Vietnam came out today and said, we want to negotiate. Suddenly, RH, which that stock was down considerably again today, shot up a bit. I'm not sure it's quite green yet. But I wanted to point on a few things really quickly. First of all, Gary Friedman is such a colorful character. He also quoted Pablo Picasso and Teddy Roosevelt in that same conference call. But the company is a little stretched in my eyes. They've taken on about $2.6 billion in debt over the last few years to buy back shares. They only have $400 million in working capital. They've got negative free cash flow
Starting point is 00:08:50 because they're spending a lot to build out these great flagship stores. So the company is a little stretched right now. You may be tempted to maybe buy on the dip here, but with those headwinds, from tariffs and with the company's balance sheet, I'd be a little cautious here. Sounds good. On Tuesday, mortgage giant rocket companies moved one step closer to becoming a one-stop shop for homeowners when it announced it would acquire Mr. Cooper Group, the country's largest mortgage servicer, for $9.4 billion. And Jason, investors must have liked this deal because rocket shares were actually up on the news, not something we typically see from the perspective of the acquirer. Do you agree? Is this a good deal for Rocket? I think at least it makes
Starting point is 00:09:38 sense when you consider what Rocket is ultimately trying to build. There's an important quote from the call. CEO, Varun Krishna said, home search, brokerage, financing, title, closing, and servicing should be seamless. But today, they're not. I think we could all probably agree there as homeowners. But then he went on to say, if we truly want to fix that, we have to own the client experience from beginning to its true end. That's what this deal is really all about, I think, in my eyes. Now, the combined company would serve as about one in every six mortgages here in the U.S., and that would ultimately equate to about $2.1 trillion in loan volume. And then one final point, the housing market activity has dried up since 2021. It's its lowest
Starting point is 00:10:20 level since 1995. There's a catalyst on the horizon here when housing starts to improve, not if, Ron, when. We just don't know when that's going to be. But when it does, that could serve as a nice catalyst for this combined entity and really make more sense of the deal. Sounds good. Coming up, we'll talk gaming, fintech, and a bit of a stumble for Tesla. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. These days, I'm all about quality over quantity, especially in my closet. If it's not well-made and versatile, it's just not worth it.
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Starting point is 00:11:42 Don't keep settling for clothes that don't last. Go to QINCE.com slash motley for free shipping and 365 day returns. Quince.com slash motley. We don't need no education. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Ron Gross here with Jason. in Moser and Asit Sharma. On Tuesday, Roblox launched a new format of video advertising on its gaming platform and announced
Starting point is 00:12:10 a partnership with Google to help boost the growth of its developing ad business. Gamers can choose to watch video advertisements up to 30 seconds long in exchange for boosts, lifelines, or resources in a particular game through rewarded videos and Asset. I know next to nothing about this space, but it seems to actually make good sense. sense to me. What's your take? Yeah, fellow old-timer makes good sense to me too. I mean, we came up in an age where you put a quarter into a machine to play a video game. And there was, for the longest time, no way to extend your lives. After a while, they figured out you could put another quarter in, and that was waiting to get more lives. But yeah, I think this makes sense from business perspective.
Starting point is 00:12:54 I mean, the demographic they're trying to target here is Gen Z, which is all into this thing called immersive experiences where you take on a persona and you play with other people in your persona. So this is the immersive ad space. Now, that's sort of like paradoxical because if you're immersed in your persona, are you going to step out of that persona and remove the veil of illusion to watch an ad and then continue playing? Perhaps. But I tell you what, the teenage mind is really good at this, going from fantasy to reality back to fantasy. So I get that. And I also get the stats that Roblox released in the test they've done of these 30-second full-screen video ads run, a completion rate of over 80% with some experiences seeing a 90% completion rate, which means
Starting point is 00:13:43 the kids are sticking through. This is a really great way to tap into that programmatic style advertising space and really get to that gear that Roblox has for a long time been predicting it could hit. On Tuesday, FinTech Company and Cino's shares got absolutely smacked after reported week, fourth quarter results and issued guidance for the current year that fell short of Wall Street's expectations. Jason, the shares were down more than 30%. Was it really that bad of a quarter? No. I mean, it was a heavy reaction for sure, but I thought these were pretty encouraging results. The company hit their targets on everything, save one item, which was non-gap earnings per share. That was just essentially to the currency impacts, but as always, investing is about the future and the market wanted more than the guidance of leadership provided for the coming year.
Starting point is 00:14:35 As a reminder, Enzino is a SaaS company that provides cloud-based software to financial institutions in the U.S. and internationally. Talking customers like Bank of America, Barclay, Santander, TD Bank. But revenue for the quarter up 14% from a year ago, subscription revenue up 16% from a year ago. And I thought these metrics were really impressive, these customer metrics. They ended fiscal 2025 with 549 customers that contributed greater than $100,000 to subscription revenues for the year. That was up 10% from a year ago. Of those, 105 contributed more than $1 million. That was up 22% from a year ago. And 14 contributed more than $5 million to subscription revenues.
Starting point is 00:15:17 That was up 27% from year ago. So these guys are growing. Again, it was just about the guidance. It's not profitable on a gap basis. While they're technically cash flow positive, if you account for stock-based compensation, it's not. So expect volatility with this one, but it does seem like a good business of doing a lot of good things. I haven't looked at valuation, but I'm guessing it was priced somewhat to perfection, and that's why people kind of head for the hills when they didn't get the future guidance that they needed. I think that's safe to say, yeah. On Monday, OpenAI announced that had raised up to $40 billion in Newfound.
Starting point is 00:15:52 funding from investors led by SoftBank Group, valuing the Chad GBT maker at $300 billion. Asset, OpenAI, is not getting all of this money up front. It's got some work to do, yeah? Yeah, so they're going to receive $10 billion up front from SoftBank and its syndicate partners. But look, OpenAI, if you want this next $30 billion, you've got to get out of this nonprofit business, not for profit business. What this means is OpenAI has been saying for a while that it's going to convert to for-profit status. And so basically, the deal is, look, go ahead and complete that by the end of the year, and you'll get the rest of your money.
Starting point is 00:16:31 Because who wants to throw tens of billions around for a nonprofit to keep growing and making money? Am I right that Elon Musk has been very vocal about that he does not want that to happen in terms of turning into a for-profit? Yeah, so there's some back history here. Elon Musk was an original investor in OpenAI and famously parted ways. with Sam Altman, so he's been doing everything he can to detract from their success, not just with his words, but of course he's invested tens of billions of dollars of money. He's raised into his own AI platform, the now well-known GROC feature.
Starting point is 00:17:06 And chat GPT just keeps on just trudging along. And honestly, some days are really great versus some days that are bad. A really great day, I'll just quickly say here was just a few days ago with a release of this viral feature that lit users on the free version make like Studio Ghibli type images. They added as many users in an hour as they did in their first several weeks, if you remember when they went viral in 20,023. So another day at the office in some ways for Sam Hilton. Just yesterday, ChetGBT helped me re-landscape in my backyard. I now know more about Blue Star Junipers than I ever thought I would know. But it was actually fantastic.
Starting point is 00:17:50 these tools all the time on the team. And, you know, what I'm finding is they all, there's a lot of parity there. They all, they all work pretty well. Ron, what's your, what's your AI interface of choice? Are you a chat GT, a GPT guy? Or you a Gemini guy or Grock guy? I like Gemini on my phone where you can keep it on live and, like, have conversations back and forth with it. If I'm on my computer and I'm typing, then I'm a chat GBT guy. What about you, Austin? Claude's my friend. Quod. Okay, good old Claude. I use a few of them, but I think Claude is my favorite. There you go.
Starting point is 00:18:22 On Wednesday, Tesla reported that its first quarter sales fell 13% to the weakest in nearly three years, hurt by a backlash against CEO Elon Musk's politics, increasing global competition, and people waiting for a refresh to its highest selling electric vehicle model Y. And Jason, Tesla's stock price has basically been cut in half since the end of 2024. And one analyst actually called this a fork-in-the-road moment for Tesla. So where do you think Tesla goes from here? I think that depends on exactly where Musk goes from here.
Starting point is 00:19:01 But, yeah, those numbers were not encouraging. I mean, investors were expecting Tesla to report deliveries around $365,000 at the midpoint coming in at $336,681. And certainly questions about the competitive landscape going forward. Now, there were some partial factory shutdowns. is the company upgrades, its production lines to get that new model Y going, so that will take a little time. But I think there's, you know, this news that Musk may be moving away from Doge here soon and focusing more on his companies again. Honestly, I think that's the right call. The question is, is it too late? Right? His big political presence has sort of made his bed, so to speak, and he's kind of laid his cards
Starting point is 00:19:40 on the table there. The question is, is that a permanent loss of capital, so to speak? I don't know. Time will tell there. It's clearly become a far more competitive market, so that's one question. But the other, I think, is just in regard to the reputational risk and what kind of impact that will ultimately have. I think they can get by it, but we may need a pack of lunch because I think it's going to take a little while. And Musk has been very vocal that the attention that he's been putting towards government work has hurt. The company has hurt the stock. And I think investors would most likely agree with that. No question. All right, fools. We'll see you a little bit later in the show. Up next, a conversation with Charles Schwab's
Starting point is 00:20:21 chief investment strategist, Liz Ann Saunders, on some lessons from past market corrections that can help investors with this one. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Ron Gross. Liz Ann Saunders is the chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab. The Motley Fool's chief investment officer, Andy Kraw, caught up with Lizanne for the Fool's Market Volatility Summit. They break down why markets were surprised by the Liberation Day tariff announcements and how she is guiding clients right now. Motley Fool members can access the full interview and replays from the event at live.fool.com. Lizanne, gosh, we're so fortunate to have you today. Thank you for being here. I know you've been
Starting point is 00:21:22 all over the place talking about these and it's just a real pleasure to have you. So we've got to start with what you're seeing today in the markets as a reaction to the scope of that tariff policy. How are you interpreting what we saw? And what guidance are you given to investors who are trying to navigate all this news and the market when they look out the next few years? Well, you know, there were a lot of scenarios that were laid out in advance of yesterday's announcement, usually characterized as, you know, base case, best case, worst case. And I would say the base case was something more along the lines of some sort of, blanket tariff at maybe some percent that was still lofty, but could be, you know, navigated around.
Starting point is 00:22:05 The worst case scenario was some sort of reciprocal tariff structure, plus maybe, you know, against bats. We went well beyond what was announced as well beyond any worst case scenario that I saw laid out, especially given what has caused a lot of consternation over the last less than 24 hours, which is the math behind the numbers, the percentages that were declared. And that being just an import-export relationship, not actually trade, not about trade barriers, not about tariffs. And now everybody is doing the digestion of, okay, this is massive. What is the hit to the U.S. economy? What is the hit to the global economy in a backdrop where we were already seeing pre-liberation day weakness showing up,
Starting point is 00:22:54 not just in the soft economic data, but the hard economic data. So recession probabilities have gone up. And then the other, I think, takeaway is even though you saw a big jump in probabilities that the Fed might have the ammunition to move back to easing mode, maybe as soon as the May meeting, it begs the question, well, how does that type of stimulus actually help under these? tariff set of circumstances. And I'm not sure anybody has a good answer for that. So there's a lot that's going on into the market action today, but clearly it's ugly. On a scale of one to 100,
Starting point is 00:23:32 one being, oh, we were completely, completely shocked and surprised by what came out yesterday from the White House. And 100, like, no, we added 100%. We got everything right. Where do you think the investing analyst in the investing world is? How surprised were we with what came out yesterday. I got to think maximum a 10 out of 100. I think, yeah, I think it was a huge surprise. I didn't see any prognosticator lay out this scenario. And do you think, is there something that the market is missing? How right do you think the market has this right now when you think about the stocks today? I don't know that the market is missing anything. I think, you know, when you, when you think about corrections that have happened throughout the course of history, and we clearly already
Starting point is 00:24:22 had a correction, and now we're making that more significant courtesy of the action today. And you look at those historical corrections that have bottomed out within that sort of correction territory and then recovered versus corrections that morph into bare markets. And every cycle is different. Every correction is different in terms of its drivers and what might be the differentiator. But if there's one clear differentiator of corrections that stay just that or corrections that morph into bare markets, it's recession. And so as a result of a pretty big acceleration in recession probabilities, that develops the weakness in the market and elevates concern rightly so for this morphing into a bear market, not just a correction. And I think that, you know, the correction as it stood probably did have
Starting point is 00:25:17 priced in what might be deemed the best base case scenario that existed prior to 4 o'clock yesterday. I think even at this point, we're not quite at, okay, it's discounting most of the negative implications of what was announced. Now we're just dealing with digesting the actual announcement. The hard work now comes in figuring out just how much damage this is going to do to the U.S. economy and or the global economy. And so, Lizanne, how do you think about guiding and talking to clients today or to our listeners or viewers of this?
Starting point is 00:25:53 As we're thinking, we're long-term investors at the full. We're trying to look out three, five years and plus. And now we're digesting this news of stock prices today and trying to figure out, how do we take this information into it to make decisions? Well, when you're sort of thinking right in the moment on a day like today, what do I do right now? maybe the best piece of advice is a reminder that panic is not an investing strategy. I think maybe the type of advice that we always give and certainly have been giving over the past year or so, things like don't have all your eggs in one basket, whether that was all U.S. equity exposure versus not having, you know, not having any international exposure or letting your magnificent
Starting point is 00:26:39 and seven exposure, get to a point where you had as big a concentration problem as the S&P 500 did. Or just staying, you know, all in on tech and tech adjacent. So it's sort of our perpetual reminders. And this is not me saying, hey, we were telling you that this was going to happen. It's just those tried and true disciplines, including rebalancing and trimming when you have profits and when asset classes get outsized and as a weight in your portfolio driven by excessive outperformance relative to other components of the asset classes, it's those types of moves that sort of help investors ride through a difficult period. What specifically we have been saying,
Starting point is 00:27:29 particularly as we came into this year, anticipating that we were going to see an increase and volatility that we had policy-related risk ahead of us was to not only continue to stay factor-focused, as you know, Andy, we've been very factor-focused. So invest based on characteristics. But we didn't shift our attention away from sort of a quality wrapper around factors, you know, strength of balance sheet and, you know, stability and profit margins and high-interest coverage, those traditional quality-based factors. But really, you may want to consider adding factors like low volatility in a backdrop that we anticipated would likely be a bit more volatile. So it's sort of, that's the way we have suggested investors navigate within the
Starting point is 00:28:15 swirl of the U.S. equity asset class, but also reminding investors why it is beneficial to have diversification outside of just U.S. equities. And I often say sometimes we learn the hard way that there's a peril to not going through those disciplines, especially around rebalancing. Because rebalancing forces us to do a version of what we know we're supposed to do, which is not so much buy low, sell high. That sometimes sends a message of get in, get out, which is not an investing strategy. But add low, trim high. And it just makes the ride a bit smoother.
Starting point is 00:28:53 But we sometimes forget about those disciplines when we're riding high on certain asset classes or segments of the market that are doing well. Yeah, we need to have some of our spinach to go along with that chocolate moose that we've all enjoyed. And as you mentioned, international exposure too, because international has really kind of lagged the U.S. over the last, I don't know how many years. Quite a few years, but that, you know, you do tend to go in multi-year cycles of either U.S. outperformance or international outperformance. They have secular cycles. And we were saying last year, be mindful of not keeping all your eggs in the U.S. basket, that there were
Starting point is 00:29:31 signs that we could see a shift underway. You know, my colleague Jeff Kleimbaugh talks about that because that's his bailiwick, the international side of things. And I don't know, we don't know for sure whether this is truly the beginning of a secular cycle in favor of non-U.S., but it certainly was a support for a reminder of the benefits of international diversification. And just, Lizanne, just one more question on the tariffs, then we'll get to some more general topics. But when you look at the tariffs and you think about all the factors that are going into that, do you have any like key questions that you're asking yourself or thinking about the markets today that we can all learn from? Yeah. So I guess, you know, there's been a lot of focus on the math behind what was
Starting point is 00:30:19 announced yesterday. Not all of it in a positive way. Given that we're not really talking about reciprocal tariffs here. The math was basically comparing what the United States exports with a country to what the United States imports from that country. And here's an example. I think the highest tariff rate, as it was defined on that table, was against Cambodia. So goods being imported from Cambodia to the United States. I think their biggest export is something in the textiles and Garmin area. Well, Cambodia is a pretty poor country. They have about a $7,000 per capita GDP compared to, I think, $85,000 for the U.S. So part of the reason why they export more to us in dollar terms than we export to them is because they're an incredibly poor country. They can't
Starting point is 00:31:15 afford what we have to export services, innovation, technology, but their ability to build an export market and things like textiles has helped their economy and given something for their workers to have in terms of the ability to earn wages. So the real question associated with that is not so much, you know, why do you want to punish a country like that? But the question is more, okay, when you talk about what concessions the United States might want from these countries on which there's been a high tariff applied to their exports, is how do you negotiate? How do you negotiate there? What is a concession that a Cambodia or a Sri Lanka or a Madagascar or a Bangladesh or even a Vietnam can offer in order to bring those tariffs down? And that's where I
Starting point is 00:32:07 think the question should start to get geared toward. But so far, you're only seeing that on the periphery. When you think about all of the experiences you've had as the chief investment strategies as Schwab for, gosh, almost 25 years and many more years in the industry too, you've been through, certainly bare markets and pullbacks before. Any learnings that this, what is driving this one is different than all the rest, but there are things that might rhyme with it or learnings that individual investors can take away. What are you parking back to from your experiences? Yeah, and you're right. Every bare market, every recession, every crisis has different characteristics associated with it. What we're at least not facing right now is some sort of
Starting point is 00:32:53 of financial system crisis, or certainly not like a policy era of the monetary variety, which can often be a precursor to problems. And sometimes they're related in terms of when you get a crisis within the financial system. This is sort of a policy choice that has significant economic dislocations. And I think what makes this a unique environment is that given the increased probability of recession happening sooner rather than later, that would generally mean you unleash looser monetary policy on the part of the Fed. And they probably will do that if the deterioration in the economy, particularly the labor market, is significant enough. But that also means they would be potentially fighting against the other part of their dual mandate, which is the
Starting point is 00:33:47 inflation side, which this tariff policy has implications for that. So it does put the Fed in a somewhat unique position in trying to battle stagflationary type backdrop with traditional monetary policy tools. I also think that there are maybe some memories of the 2000, 2001, 2002 period that should be thought about in the context of what we're experiencing today, because in 2000, at the peak in the market, at that time, households' exposure to equities was at an all-time high. So the 2001 recession that ultimately happened, I think wouldn't have happened were it not for the bare market and stocks. We didn't have a lot of economic dislocations. We didn't have a financial system crisis. We had a serious wealth effect crisis by virtue of the bare market and stocks. And I think that
Starting point is 00:34:37 needs to be considered today too because we have an even higher share of exposure to equities by households, an all-time record high. And at every income level, over the last several years, you've seen an increase in exposure to equities, whether it's through direct holdings or 401Ks or pension plans, whatever that exposure looks like. So I think the tentacle from the market performance to economic performance is a bit tighter than we've seen in the past, save for maybe that 2000 to 2001 period. Coming up after the break, Jason Moser and Asit Sharma return with a couple of stocks on their radar. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. As always, people on the program may
Starting point is 00:35:43 have interest in the stocks they talk about, and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against. So don't buy yourself stocks based solely on what you hear. All personal finance content follows Motley Fool editorial standards and are not approved by advertisers. The Motley Fool only picks products that it would personally recommend to friends like you. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Ron Gross here with Jason Moser and Asicharma. Fools, we've got time for one quick story before we hit stocks on our radar. Subway is adding nachos to its menu, but with an unusual twist. The chain is partnering with Doritos to sell footlong nachos for $5. The new dish is freshly prepared using nacho cheese flavored Doritos, cheddar cheese, jalapino slices, diced tomatoes, red onions, drizzles, drizzles. with Chipotle sauce, you can get a scoop of chicken or steak for no extra charge or a scoop of avocado for an additional cost. Jason, are you in? Ron, I absolutely tip my cap to Subway for experimenting and trying new things. I mean, that's what this is all about. And I love the
Starting point is 00:36:51 fact that they're leveraging materials that they've already got there. I mean, they can go what a million bags of Rios in those stores anywhere you go, right? I have one little holdup here, something I've got a nitpick about, how in the world are you using cheddar cheese on these things? I mean, that just sounds absurd. It just sounds like you don't know what you're doing. I mean, it doesn't melt good. I mean, it's queso or bust in my eyes. Asset?
Starting point is 00:37:15 Kids, I know times are hard and this comfort food looks good, but look, by yourself, a party bag size of the Doritos. Take it home. Get you some cheese whiz. If we're going to go cheddar here, get a generous handful, throw it in a bowl. do all this stuff at home. You'll save a lot of money and, frankly, a lot of time. Dan, can I entice you into trying this? No, Subway is terrible. I will not go. Well, there you have it. Okay. Time for stocks on our radar. With a couple minutes left. I'll bring in our man, Dan Boy, to ask a question and pick his favorite. Asset, you're up first. What do you
Starting point is 00:37:48 got? So, speaking of food, let's talk about DoorDash, symbol D-A-S-H. This company may seem like Not a great stock to have on your radar as consumers start pulling back on those discretionary spends, but hear me out, this is a free cash flow monster, generated $2 billion of free cash flow in the last 12 months. It has a stellar balance sheet with about $3 billion of working capital, no long-term debt. Better yet, DoorDash is proving itself out. I think Uber Eats has been losing a little bit of ground. And so with this expansion into sort of retail deliveries, DoorDash is looking good. Lastly, just inked a deal with dominoes of all chains to bring pizzas to your door. Dan, you got a question about DoorDash? No, but I do have a comment. All I want to say is never underestimate the laziness of the American consumer.
Starting point is 00:38:43 Love that. Jason, you're up. What are you looking at? Sure, taking a look at Pure Storage, ticker is P-S-T-G. A pure storage might fly under the radar of many. investors, but I'm actually very excited about its data storage opportunity, because that's what they do, Ron. They're in data storage. And the value proposition is pretty simple. Data centers consume a lot of power. Pure storage has an all-flash alternative to the traditional data storage methods and like the hard disk drives and whatnot. That ultimately helps lower data centers power consumption, therefore the total cost of ownership, not to mention positive environmental impacts. It's profitable. It's capital. It's capital.
Starting point is 00:39:24 cash flow positive. They've got a healthy balance sheet. And Bron, the stock just hit. Surprise, surprise. It's 52 week low this week. So, you know, it's starting to get on my radar. There's one that several of our analysts here at the Fool like a lot. And so it's one that I'm continuing to keep an eye on. Dan, question or comment? Not going to lie. I thought when you brought this to the radar here, Jason, I thought it was going to be a physical storage company. Like, you know, you see on the side of the road and everything, and I got excited because I understand that business. But then I read a little bit more, and it's data centers. And I'm like, what? Jason, count me as one of the fans of this business. Data matters, Dan, data matters. Dan, what are you going to put on your watch list?
Starting point is 00:40:08 We got pure storage and DoorDash. I'm not putting DoorDash on because I have integrity. I do not use DoorDash. So we're going to go pure storage. All right. Thanks, Fools, for being here. That's going to do it for this week's Motley Fool Money. Our engineer is Dan Boy. I am Ron Gross. Thanks for listening. We'll see you next week.

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