Motley Fool Money - Market Movers: Jerome Powell and Jensen Huang
Episode Date: March 21, 2025Two of the most influential voices in the market had something to say this week. (00:21) Asit Sharma and Jason Moser discuss: - Fed Chair Powell’s rate outlook, and what Jensen Huant sees coming d...own the pike for Nvidia chips and quantum computing. - What Tesla investors need to know about the headlines around recent accounting concerns. - Earnings updates and red market reactions for FedEx, Nike, and Accenture. (19:11) Joe Cutillo, CEO of Sterling Infrastructure, talks Motley Fool CEO Tom Gardner through his company’s work on infrastructure projects, how the tariff picture figures into their outlook, and how to invest like a CEO. (30:57) Jason and Asit talk about lessons from their favorite college basketball teams and the stocks on their radar this week: BYD and Williams Sonoma. Stocks discussed: NVDA, TSLA, FDX, NKE, ACN, STRL, BYDDY, WSM Host: Dylan Lewis Guests: Asit Sharma, Jason Moser, Joe Cutillo, Tom Gardner Engineers: Dan Boyd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
This episode is brought to you by Indeed.
Stop waiting around for the perfect candidate.
Instead, use Indeed sponsored jobs to find the right people with the right skills fast.
It's a simple way to make sure your listing is the first candidate C.
According to Indeed data, sponsor jobs have four times more applicants than non-sponsored jobs.
So go build your dream team today with Indeed.
Get a $75 sponsor job credit at Indeed.com slash podcast.
Terms and conditions apply.
We're parsing the words of Jerome Powell and Jensen Huang.
This week's Motleyful Money Radio Show starts now.
That's why they call it money.
The best thing.
Cool global headquarters.
This is Motley Fool Money Radio Show.
I'm Dylan Lewis.
Joining me over the Airwaves, Motley Fool senior analyst Jason Moser and Asset Sharma.
Fools, wonderful to have you both here.
Addy.
Hey, Dylan.
We've got the latest and greatest in AI from Nvidia.
How a company focused on infrastructure projects is thinking about the tariff impact.
And, of course, the stocks on your radar this week.
We're going to pick up talking Fed, though.
Jerome Powell and company got together to take a look at the economy.
They gave us thoughts on rates, economic outlook, inflation.
Jason, where were you paying attention?
Yeah, it's only March, but it sure feels like we've gotten a year's worth of volatility in the markets already.
Certainly could be worse, though.
I mean, S&P down around 3% so far this year.
And that really is impressive.
But you consider all of the magnificent seven stocks, save one, are underperforming the market to date.
here. So I just think that's sort of an interesting perspective there on the markets, which leads us to then
exactly sort of how to Fed is viewing things. And they didn't exactly paint the rosiest picture. There are
concerns of slowing growth and unemployment and stubborn prices. Those concerns remain. You hear that
the word stagflation being bandied about a little bit. But it is a very headline-driven market, right?
I mean, things are seemingly changing by the hour.
And I think it was noteworthy.
I saw an interview with the Chicago Federal Reserve President Austin Gouldsby,
who said that he still sees interest rate cuts coming,
but there are rising risks to that, right?
In the market right now, we've been hearing the Fed sort of laying out this plan of two rate cuts this year.
Now, there are other thoughts out there that we might see even more, three,
three perhaps.
But generally speaking, the idea.
is that in the next 12 to 18 months, we should see rates coming down from where they are today.
It just kind of all depends on how all of this tariff stuff plays out ultimately
and how things impact the economy. But there's no doubt. There is a lot of uncertainty out there,
a lot of trepidation. Businesses are just, they're cutting back spending,
they're holding off on big decisions, and that is having some ripple effects for sure.
Seems like there's a bit of wait and see all around. Consumers, businesses, the Fed saying we are going
to hold steady this round. We aren't going to make any changes. One thing that did jump out to
me, I said, I want to get your take on. Jerome Powell saying, we do understand that sentiment has
fallen off pretty sharply, but economic activity has not yet. The economy seems to be pretty
healthy. What do you think of that? Yeah, I think it's a tough place for Jerome Powell and the Fed to be in,
because they still see an economy, which is growing. They've clipped their sort of internal estimates,
I think, to around 1.7%. So that's down from, if you heard, like, two percentage points of
growth or more. So the economy is slowing they see that, but it's not like it's coming to a standstill.
And this is where you get into a hard spot if you're making the decision, because inflation
is still persistent. So you have to be careful, which brings into question what Jason is pointing
out here. If the Fed is going to have three quarters of a percentage point of cuts this year,
they better get busy, right? Because the Fed likes to do quarter percentage increments if they
can. That means the next three quarters they have to deliver what we might see.
as Jason was sort of alluding to something in between where, okay, maybe it's three-quarters
of a percentage point, or it's just half a percentage point because they're in this limbo.
So my bets are on the last two quarters of the year. We see a quarter percentage point cut each.
But I'm glad that I have this day job and not Jerome Powell.
I think we're all happy that we're doing what we're doing and we're not sitting in that Fed Chair seat.
Folks love to microanalyze the comments from Fed Chair Powell. Same goes for NVIDIA,
Jensen Huang. He is like the Fed chair of AI, if I may. And he took the stage this week at
NVIDIA's GTC conference to talk about the company's chip offerings, what's coming up on
their roadmap. And Jason also gave a little bit of a mea-copa on some quantum computing
comments that he made earlier this year. Yeah, it seems like the NVIDIA events are supplanting
Apple, right? Now it's all about the NVIDIA event. And they used to do this on a two-year,
once every two years. And now, I think they're going to be going just on an annual cadence,
which I think that makes a lot of sense, right? I mean, Nvidia is kind of turning into this
sort of iPhone cycle, right? Only a little bit more accelerated, isn't it? We're waiting each quarter
and each year for them to reveal their next iteration in their GPUs and AI technology. And this
event really brought a lot to the table. Some was expected. I think there were some new things
we learned, which was interesting. Robotics was a key theme of the event there. They had
demonstrations and announcements related to their AI-powered robotics platforms that ultimately is just
working to bring AI ultimately into the physical world more. And I thought really, you know,
we knew about Blackwell Ultra, right? That wasn't terribly new news. But there was some
interesting information they gave us on what's to be released here in the back half of 2026.
It's the Vera Rubin system, right? And this ultimately has two main components. It's a CPU called
Vera and then a new GPU design called Rubin. And fun fact here, it's named after American
astronomer Vera Rubin. But this is Nvidia's first custom CPU design. And it's based on a core
design they've named Olympus. And ultimately, this is, this is going to be something that the Vera design is
going to be twice as fast as the CPU that was used in last year's Blackwell chips. And like I said,
they expect to start shipping these in the second half of 2026. So it's going to be fun to continue following
Nvidia because they do have to keep that hamster wheel of innovation going, right? They always have to
come out with something new. And that's impressive because it seems like they could do it. The risk is,
right, with these types of companies, what happens if that innovation stalls or what happens when we
kind of hit peak AI and we're getting the most value out of it and we kind of have to wait for
the next sort of revolution there? But for now, it sure seems like Nvidia is continuing to bring the goods.
Awesome. What caught your attention from the event? I think this cadence that Jason,
mentioned was fun to look at. I mean, that is one thing everyone was expecting to see the next
generations announced. I'll just point out in addition to what Jason said that Vera Rubin and its
successor of the Vera and Rubin Ultra, both are taking a step up in the type of complex
memory that's used. So they're going from what's called an HBM3 standard to an HBM4 standard,
which means that you can have much more computation on those chip GPU complexes.
So that was sort of interesting.
They talked about expanding sort of the communication between GPUs.
This is called NVLink scaling, how that is ramping up.
It's going to double from the previous generation of Blackwell to this new Vera Rubin generation.
Getting us out of the technical details, though, for a second.
I think the quantum stuff was interesting.
As you point out, Dylan, you asked about.
I'm very interested in the quantum space.
The Mia Kulpa was nice to see because Jensen Wong's company, Nvidia, stands to make money
if they can marry up artificial intelligence, compute with quantum.
And there's some problems in this whole quantum race that will probably be solved or better solved using AI.
So, of course, Nvidia wants to be there.
So now he has to talk it up and pull the timescale back a bit from his previous comments
that it would be 15 to 20 years away.
So we got to see a fun quantum day type symposium on Thursday.
So looking forward to more quantum-focused efforts from Nvidia in the future
because they've got to take that revenue when it's available.
All right, another week, another Tesla headline.
The Financial Times out with a piece this week detailing some accounting curiosities
with Tesla's books noting that $1.4 billion seems to be missing.
Asset, you are our resident CPA.
Can you dust off your accounting books and wade through this one?
There are no shortage of risks and maybe things weighing on Tesla shareholders' minds.
Where does this one rank for you?
Yeah, so I think for me, this is just one of different risk items that you want to look at if
you're a Tesla shareholder.
It's not necessarily a huge deal.
I know it sounds salacious out there in the press, and I've had some fun as an armchair quarterback
trying to figure out what might be going on.
The basic issue is that Tesla had some capital expenditures, but the corresponding,
amount isn't showing up as new fixed assets on its books. And I've thought through some
scenarios where, look, this could be just a misclassification of how they're accounting for stuff
can be fixed. When you look at the big picture for Tesla, I think that's much more the
concern here for most shareholders, which has to do with the resale value of Tesla's plummeting.
We're hearing stories of panels falling off of cyber trucks. And of course, all the issues that
are associated with Elon Musk's association with government policy.
see how that might be affecting the company and his statements. Now, I will say, look the counter
to that is last night, Elon had a sort of town hall with the troops and said, the future is
still bright. From my perspective, we're going forward with the robo taxis with autonomous driving. So hang
in there. And if you're a Tesla shareholder and you believe that long-term thesis, that probably was
reassuring to you. All right. Coming up after the break, we've got fresh results from Nike, FedEx,
and Accenture. Stay right here. You're listening to Motleful Money.
These days I'm all about quality over quantity, especially in my closet.
If it's not well-made and versatile, it's just not worth it.
That's honestly why I love Quince.
The fabrics feel elevated, the cuts are thoughtful, and the pricing actually makes sense.
Quince makes high-quality wardrobe staples using premium fabrics like 100% European linen,
silk and organic cotton poplin.
They work directly with safe ethical factories and cut off the middlemen,
so you aren't paying for brand markups or fancy stores, just quality clothing.
Everything they make is built to hold up season after season and is consistently rated 4.5 to 5 stars by thousands of real people like me who wear their clothes every day.
The Quince, Mongolian Kashmir Kru Neck sweater may be the most comfortable one that I own.
It's light, soft, and it was a lot more affordable than you think quality cashmere would be.
Stop waiting to build the wardrobe you actually want.
Right now, go to Quince.com slash Motley for free shipping and 365-day returns.
That's a full year to wear it and love it, and you will.
Now available in Canada, too.
Don't keep settling for clothes that don't last.
Go to QINCE.com slash Motley for free shipping and 365-day returns.
Quince.com slash Motley.
Welcome back to Motleyful Money.
I'm Dylan Lewis here on air with Asit Sharma and Jason Moser.
And we're back on the earnings beat.
Shares the FedEx down almost 10% following their earnings release this week.
And Asset feels like some of the tariff news swirling into a little bit of a rough outlook for this company.
I think that's exactly what it is, Dylan.
FedEx reported earnings that were okay on the surface.
I mean, revenue was flatish at $22 billion.
Operating income looked a lot like the previous year quarter at about $1.3 billion
and operating margin was a little bit lower by about a percentage point versus the prior year.
So just look at their headline numbers and their press release, nothing too much shifted there.
But the outlook is uncertain and it disappointed Wall Street.
So revenue is going to be flat to slightly down this year, diluted earnings.
per share of around 15.15, so 15 bucks and 15 cents to a top of the range of close to 16 bucks.
That was disappointing to Wall Street. And I think overarching this is just the fear that between
tariffs, as you alluded to, which could really hurt FedEx, the potential that we could go into a recession,
which is never good for FedEx volumes, and some uncertainty around this de minimis exemption,
which could go away. I'm referring, of course, to the ability.
for shippers like Shian and Temu in China to export stuff to the U.S. and not have to pay import duties
if those shipments go directly to consumers and are under $800.00. Those small shipments,
if those sort of go away without the exemption, that could be a further hit on this business.
So I think FedEx is getting sort of a trifecta of uncertainty from investors. And honestly,
it probably deserves a little bit of multiple re-rating. That is, maybe we pay a little bit less for future earnings.
because of all this uncertainty.
In addition to the earnings release, there was also an analyst downgrade out this week.
There was a note out from Loop Capital analyst Rick Patterson.
And he summed all that up by saying, it is a really bad recession stock, Osset.
Plain and simple, when shipment volumes go down, when economic outlook and fewer packages are going out there, it is just going to bite FedEx.
It's inevitable.
Let me put it this way.
It's a really good recession stock if you don't own it.
If you go into recession, that might be the time to buy.
buy and hang on for a few years. He's not, he's not overly wrong there. Maybe a similar story with
Nike shares also in the red this week down about 6% after the company reported another period
of sales decline. We have been wondering, Jason, when is Nike going to turn it around? It seems
like the answer is, not quite yet. Well, I was just going to say, let the turnaround begin,
Dylan. I mean, that's, that's what we're hoping for you, right? I mean, yeah, the numbers, the numbers
certainly were not impressive. I will say they are better than
leadership guided for a quarter ago.
And so that's always nice to see.
It kind of makes you wonder if it isn't a leadership team that may be kind of sandbags.
I guess we'll have to wait and see.
But revenue of $11.3 billion.
That was down 9% from a year ago.
earnings per share of 54 cents, down from 77 cents from a year ago.
Gross margin fell 330 basis points.
And that was within the range that leadership guided for 300 to 350 basis points there.
Wholesale revenues, a big point of friction for the for the company.
those were down 9%. And if you look at just the important segments, geographically speaking,
North America was down 4%. China was down 15%. And they did certainly talk to the concerns of tariffs
and items, good so that they have to import from places like Mexico and China. I think the market
probably is a little bit more down on the guidance. They did guide for this quarter four
revenue to be down in the mid-teens range. Again, go back to maybe this is a sandbagging leadership.
don't know, but we will find out the next quarter when they announced. But I think that we will see
margins continue to be challenged, 400 to 500 basis point dip they're talking about this coming
quarter. And again, the tariff concerns will continue. So I think, look, Elliot Hill, who is the new
CEO here for this company, he has his work cut out for him, right? And investors are going to need to
give him some time to execute. And I'm a Nike shareholder. I'm perfectly happy to give him the time to do
that shares, I still, I feel like there's a pretty attractive valuation here for such a powerful
global brand. I mean, somewhere in that neighborhood of 20 to 21 times earnings right now for a company
that has historically garnered a more premium multiple and you get a nice dividend to sit there and be
patient, I don't have a problem with kind of hanging in there and seeing how Elliott does.
Yeah, management's playing kind of an interesting expectations game here because for the results being
what they were, they also signposted for this upcoming quarter, this fourth quarter, their fiscal
fourth quarter, is going to reflect the largest impact from a lot of their actions. And they are
basically saying they're going to be headwinds that are out of our control. There's a lot of stuff
that we still need to do just to get ourselves right with inventory that's going to flow through
and affect our business for a while. For people that are interested, Jason, is this one where maybe
it makes sense to kind of build out a position over time? There might be a little bit of pain ahead,
but kind of working into that position, dollar cost averaging a bit? I think that's always,
a very reasonable way to look at it. I mean, I think with Nike, probably it's, because it's
such a big, large established company and brand, you may not necessarily see these big moves one way
or the other. I mean, ultimately, these shares are down about 5% on this earnings report, which,
again, wasn't that great. But building out a position in a company like this, absolutely is a
good way to go, because you're right. I mean, they've got boots on the ground and they're working
to reestablish these wholesale relationships, but that's going to take some time as well. So we may
see some more pain ahead. I think this next quarter is going to be very deep.
telling. I didn't intend for this earnings rundown to be all red, all downers. But here we are.
Wrapping us up, Accenture, joining Nike and FedEx down today. Company reported results. Market
seemed to zoom in on their government business. They're kind of one of the first companies that we've
been able to get a glimpse at the government efficiency efforts and how that might flow through
to private companies. Yeah, this is sort of the hold my beer for the other two earning stories, Dylan.
Do you think tariffs are bad? So we have a company here.
which actually has such great depth in consulting. It is the world's largest consulting concern.
And so surprising that for all the uncertainty we've heard about, the effects not being quantifiable
yet for tariffs, on the other side, this government cost-cutting initiative, it's sort of quick
and it's quantifiable for Accenture. They had a very decent quarter, you know, net bookings. That's a
decrease in U.S. dollar terms, but sort of flattish if you take out currency fluctuations. They're
generative AI business. They had new bookings of $1.4 billion. So that's small in comparison to
revenues, which were almost $17 billion this quarter, but it shows the growth of that business.
On the other side, CEO Julie Sweet used the word government like eight times in the transcript,
which is not typical. They said, look, about 8% of our global revenue and 16% of our
America's revenue in this fiscal year is represented by Accenture Federal Services.
So when you think about numbers that hit that level of between high single digits and teens,
that can be consequential to trim your growth on the margins. And that's what we're seeing
with this outlook from Accenture, which is despite the positive parts of their business,
if they start getting crimped on what's a very stable and core part of the business,
that flattish outlook then starts to look like it could be in jeopardy, and maybe we're
faced with a company that for the next several quarters could be looking at slight declines
in revenue and bookings. I have to imagine we'll see echoes of this when we see reports
from some of the other consulting businesses that have government contracts. Anywhere else
with that government story that you're paying attention to? Any other industries?
Yeah, it's funny because if you look at where a lot of the opportunity for cybersecurity companies,
the best of the breed lies, it's with something called,
Fed ramp, which is getting your authorizations to do a lot of business with the federal government
because your stuff is so secure. I think we might see some headwinds there. All right, Asset, Jason,
fellows, we're going to see you guys a little bit later in the show. Up next, our investing team talks
tariff impacts with a company that specializes in the prep and buildout for major infrastructure
projects. Stay right here. You're listening to Motleyful Money. Welcome back to Motleyful Money.
I'm Dylan Lewis. We like to dig into the weeds here at TMF, getting into the details and the major
themes affecting the companies that we follow. So last week, Motleyful CEO, Tom Gardner and
CIO Andy Cross chatted with Joe Cittillo. He's the CEO of Sterling Infrastructure, and they're a firm
focused on the preparation for major infrastructure projects. Together, they talk through the business,
how the macro picture factors into the company's outlook, and the idea of investing like the CEO of a
company. The opening question is, how would you describe the business to a newcomer, somebody who's
never heard of Sterling Infrastructure before. Obviously, a lot of our viewers today are shareholders,
but there are certainly some people in the audience that have never heard of the company before,
and now they get an opportunity to hear it from you. We're an infrastructure service provider
that focuses in three different segments. Our e-infestructure segment is our largest.
And in that segment, what we do is site selection, site development for mission-critical
type applications predominantly, which could be data centers, on-shoring of management,
manufacturing. We've done a lot of battery plants, solar plants, you name it. If it's big and needs
a lot of dirt moved and infrastructure put in, we do that particular type of project. That market is
growing tremendously for us. We see a very, very strong multi-year trend ahead of us, not only with
the backlog that we have in place, but the projects we see on the drawing boards and what our
customers are telling us. The second segment that we have is around transportation solutions.
This is where the company started back when I joined in 2015, about 95% of our business was in low-bid, heavy highway work.
That's a very difficult business, very high risk, very low-reward.
As you talk about the transformation, today, less than 10% of our business is in low-bid, heavy highway work.
That's why you've seen the margin migration up significantly over the history of that time.
And we focus that business more on value-added type projects in the transportation space, whether that's designed,
build or alternative delivery projects, where instead of just being low cost, we have a value
proposition to the end customer at the end of the day that we can design and build the project
better and faster in a lot of cases, not necessarily cheaper for the end customer. Also, we've
migrated towards aviation and rail. So we'll do runways, taxiways, those sort of activities.
And then on the rail side, we have what we call a rapid bridge replacement in some technologies
and uses that we can pre-build products.
And instead of taking months to replace a damage bridge or a defunct bridge, we can do that in weeks.
So as you can imagine, if you're a railroad, they know exactly what an hour of downtime is or a day of
downtime that has a high value proposition for them.
Our last segment is in building solutions.
And we're in the three fastest growing largest markets in the U.S., which is Dallas, Fort Worth, Houston, and Phoenix.
And there, it's a little different business from the rest than that we do concrete slabs and plumbing for the major builders.
Pulte, Linar, Horton, are three of our largest customers.
We've seen very nice growth in that market over time.
If you put that all together, we've built a portfolio of these three segments over the last six or seven years.
That's really the beginning point of where we're going in the future.
Everybody asks us, you've done such a great job of transforming the business and going,
from low single-digit margins to we have the best margins, the best cash flow, the best returns
of anybody in the specialty infrastructure space, to where do you go now? This is just the beginning,
and that's what's really exciting. What we can not only add to the three segments that we have
today, but we're looking for that fourth leg of the stool that has 10 to 20 years of growth
attached to it as well. One of the pieces of guidance I give to our members in investing is
try to align your time horizon as investor with the time horizon to the CEO of that company.
And there are a lot of rapid turnover companies. I mean, there are low quality companies everywhere.
There are promotional things and people take companies public after 18 months,
just taking advantage of and getting pushed into public markets by VC or private equity.
So there are a lot of bad and mediocre scenarios. But if you find a great company and you should
attach your time horizon to the time horizon to that CEO. And if you're going to find a great company,
that CEO is going to have been at Sterling Infrastructure since 2015, right,
and is going to be talking about what are the next 10 or 20 years forward, right,
and thinking about the company in that way,
that similar things you'd hear from Jim Senegal at Costco,
Jeff Bezos, you know, basically planning 10 years forward at Amazon
to the point where they felt that they knew what the earnings report was going to be
three years in advance of it at Amazon.
So I'd love it if you'd speak to our members about going through a period here short-term
where the stock goes from 200 to 120.
what you think about, like obviously one point on the continuum is I don't even pay attention.
Another is, no, I pay attention, this and that. I get these signals I'm learning it.
But it certainly isn't for a long-term CEO, a tough moment as to whether or not to stay employed
of the business or to continue to own stock that you have, right?
Yeah, it's funny. When we took the big dip, I would tell you, I had a lot of friends call and
say, are you going to jump off a bridge or what's going on?
Like, for the first couple of days, I didn't even watch it, right?
And my answer to people is this, I'm not looking at $200 a share.
My expectations are much higher than $200 a share.
So when people ask, are you worried about getting back to two?
I say, no, I'm not worried about getting back to two.
I'm worried about getting back to where I want to be or getting to where I want to be.
So two isn't in my sites.
Okay.
We'll get there.
The market will correct.
People will realize we continue to deliver the results.
I feel we're going to deliver and the markets are going to do what I believe they're going to do based on what we've seen.
We'll get back through that. This is a temporary setback. I look, I bought, it's public knowledge. I bought a million dollars of stock last week. I think it was. If it stays down, I'll probably buy some more at some point in time. We're confident in what we know, where the company's going, what the markets are giving us right now. And my sites, I can just tell you, my sites are much higher than $200 a share.
And what are the impacts now of, you know, changing dynamics in regulation, new administration,
what are any pluses or minuses for Sterling infrastructure in what seems like a pretty dramatic shift?
And obviously tariffs and negotiation and a lot of uncertainty around it, what's the impact on you,
at least in an intermediate term basis?
Well, I think the perception is there's going to be a lot of impacts.
The reality is, and I just talked to some of my friends or CEOs and similar businesses and
and other spaces. And we've all said the same thing. We just went through COVID, where we were seeing
30% increases in inflation on a monthly, quarterly basis, right? Something we have never seen before.
If you look at the prices that we were paying for materials in COVID, and you look at them now
today, if the prices went up 10, 15, 20%, because of tariffs, we're still nowhere near what we were
fighting from the peak of these material costs. Okay. So this is like kindergarten compared to what we went
through. This, you know, and it's not to say we won't see it. It's not to say you can't see a couple
months of pain as you get your contracts updated or you get to the new project. But we managed our
way through that pretty well. As a matter of fact, much better than I would have thought the world would
have managed, managed through it. So the reality is if we, our material cost,
go up, we're going to pass it on in pricing. You have that interim of time in some of these contracts
before the next phase starts or the next piece starts, so you might get caught in it. But a lot of
our materials, first in our transportation, our steel has to be made in America anyways.
So it's been made in America, has to be made in America, all that stuff. People talk about
rebar. Well, we do get it from China, but we can get it from Turkey. And there's other places we can
get it from, right? So it may not go up 25%, it may go up 3%, right, or 4%. What I always worry more about
is availability. We can manage inflation and prices. If you don't have products, that becomes very
challenging, right, to get stuff built. So we'll get through that. We're all caught a little bit in
the tailspin of there's so many things going on, whether it's tariffs or everything else.
The market doesn't like uncertainty, and they're trying to figure it out. And sometimes they overthink
it, sometimes they underthink it. I just think there's a lot of balls up in the air.
We've spent very little time internally worrying about or having to even come up with any sort
of planning around the tariff impact on us. It's really interesting thinking this in the context
of a concept I really love from the writer Nassin Taleb, who wrote a book entitled
Anti-Fragile. And essentially, the concept of anti-fragile, not to spoil the whole book,
it's a wonderful book, is, you know, at one end of the continuum, you're fragile. You're a vase
that holds flowers. If you're dropped on the ground, you break. You have really only one use,
right? It's a limited function, and it's a fragile. It's risky in its environment. You think
the opposite of that is resilient, but resilient isn't the opposite of fragile. Resilient would mean
you drop it, and it's fine. It bounces back. It's fine. Anti-fragile is you thrive on volatility.
So each time a business goes through the complexity of the pandemic, I also think of the writer Peter
Drucker, who said, I basically love to find companies that have gone through some hell because
they know, the ones that scare me got born into a beautiful environment, everything was rosy
for them, flourishing, and then they get hit for the first time, right? It's quite interesting to
hear your context on this, because it's obvious, hearing you express it, it's obvious that the
pandemic was a much greater challenge than the levels of uncertainty right now. That's what we believe.
We actually believe that if this continues, we think there's huge upside for us.
All of the, whether it's the car manufacturers or pharmaceutical, everything's kind of,
that's all work for us, right?
So we don't care if we're paying $2 a gallon for diesel or $10.
The work's still going to get done, right?
So unfortunately, the cost of that project may go up 10%, but we're more worried about that work coming, right?
That's good for us. We're less concerned about the cost of that particular material.
Listeners, this interview came from our daily Fool 24 live stream.
Mottly Fool members can access it by going to Fool.com slash 24,
and you can access it for free daily on YouTube.
We'll drop a link down on the show notes for everyone listening to this week's radio show in podcast feeds.
Up next, Jason Moser and Asa Sharma are back with me to talk about the stocks on their radar this week.
Stay right here. You're listening to Motleyful Money.
the hearts of men are failing,
where these are latter days we know.
The Great Depression now is spreading.
God's word declared it would be so.
I'm going where there's no depression.
As always, people on the program may have interests in the stocks they talk about,
and the Motley Fool may have four more recommendations for or against,
so don't buy or sell anything based solely on what you hear.
All personal finance content follows Mountleful editorial.
standards. It is not approved by advertisers.
The multiple only picks products. It would personally recommend a friends like you.
I'm Dylan Lewis, joined again by Asit Sharma and Jason Moser.
And, jents, as we tape, the first round of March Madness is underway.
Jason, unfortunately, your beloved Wofford Terriers were in the dance, got bounced by
Tennessee in the first round. Did that bust your bracket?
No, it didn't. I, listen, I mean, it was a 15 versus a two seed, right?
I mean, the odds are kind of telling you something there.
And, I mean, look, Wofford is this 1,800-plus students.
I mean, it's a tiny little school.
I mean, even when I went there in 95, graduated in 95, it's still, it's always been basically that size.
Going up against Tennessee, it's like 40,000 students there.
I mean, it is a really difficult monumental task to be able to pull that one off.
But I tell you, I was really proud watching that game, watching the fight in those guys.
They had a difficult year with some injuries and some fun.
folks that left, they were able to get it to the Southern Conference tournament, and then they
just got on a heater. And the best part about this, Dillam, a little secret here, my wife went
to Furman. So you could imagine the back and forth in this household after that game. And we always
have fun ribbing each other, because Furman is very good team as well. But it was just, I was
very proud to see that. Just getting to the tournament was a real success. And it reminded me of how
grateful I was to be able to watch them beat Seton Hall in the first round. I think it was six years ago.
These are just occasions that don't come around all that often.
So you've got to relish them when you get them.
Only one team gets to win their last game of the season.
That's exactly right.
You know, just being there's fun.
Osset, UNC is up later this afternoon after we tape today.
How are you feeling about your tar heels?
I'm feeling great.
Win or lose.
I really like the way this team has come together with a lineup tweak over the last 10 or 11 games.
It's a different team on the ground.
And I love what happened this past week, Dylan.
So for those of you who don't know, UNC had a very poor record against so-called quad-one teams,
which is one of the criteria that feeds up into the selection committees doling out of bids.
And we were the last team into the tournament.
It was sort of fun to go from a team which, of course, among Blue Bloods, has its detractors.
But to go from that, which is generally beloved team on the college landscape to a reviled team,
the most reviled team in the nation, was sort of refreshing.
It's sharp in my tribal instincts.
I'm like, these are my people.
I mean, blame the committee.
Don't blame us.
I feel like they really justified that pick, though, Ossett, right?
They justified that pick with that playing game.
Totally.
They came and played a really great play-in game.
And I think Oldness is a very formidable team.
And we have our work cut out for us.
I think we're going to squeak by.
But I'm happy with whatever happens.
You've got to finish strong in life.
It sounds, Osset, like you and UNC, both have a little bit of a chip on your shoulder.
heading into the tournament. Totally, man. I wake up in the morning with, I need a reason to compete.
I look at my slacks and I see JMO has turned out some great research. I'm like, I'm on it.
I'm on my game this morning. Yeah. Competitiveness. It's a core value here at the Molly Fool.
Before we get over to radar stocks, Jason, any investing lessons for people as they're watching the games this weekend?
Well, I referred back to the size of these two schools, 1800 versus like 40,000, and it just
makes, it just always takes me back to small caps. Small caps can be really powerful.
You just got to be patient with them.
And every once in a while, they'll show up for you.
They'll really light the world on fire.
So that's kind of what I associate with this one.
Well, Alfred's small, but man, they've got a lot of fight, a lot of strength in them.
And I see a lot of growth in their future.
I can hear one shining moment, just kind of playing in the background there.
So what about you?
So Hubert Davis, the coach of UNC, has a great metaphor he uses with his players,
which is the blinders that you put on a horse when you're leading it to the race.
You take the blinders off before the race, right before the race, so the horse can just be focused and not be distracted by the outside environment.
And sometimes in investing, it really feels like the distractions loom large.
The market is down. People are talking down your favorite businesses.
And you want to just give up.
But those are the great times to just keep the blinders on.
And what I mean by that is focus on the businesses, not all the noise of the market and share price today.
stay focused on what got you into those businesses in the first place. They're fundamentals
and play the game and just be in it for the long term as great teams are. I mean, Wofford is a formidable
team every year. They have a long-term focus, and so does UNC. Very on theme for Asa to say,
ignore the haters, do what you got to do, right? All right, let's get over to stocks on our radar.
Our man behind the glass, Dan Boyd, is going to hit you with a question. Asset, you're up first.
What are you looking at this week?
So I have BYD, and this is an electrical vehicle company started in China. My and Jason's great colleague,
Emily Flippen, had put this in front of my notice. BYD, as many people know, as a competitor to Tesla and
lots of other great EB companies, they are ingenious in their engineering, and they've learned to build
at scale a very cheap car. We don't see it here in the U.S. because of import restrictions. But the company's
doing really well financially, and it just came out with the announcement,
that it can charge an electrical vehicle in five minutes, which could be a possible game-changer.
So I'm looking to learn more about this company, and I think anyone who's interested in the EB landscape,
this deserves your attention. Take a look.
Dan, a question about B-Y-D-D-D-Y, which trades over-the-counter as B-Y-D-D-Y.
We talked about how competitiveness is a core value here at the Motley Fool.
And is the competitive atmosphere brought to the table by B-YD going to sharpen Tesla?
or are they just going to continue to eat Tesla's lunch?
I think it's going to sharpen Tesla's focus.
And I think sometimes you need a competitor to pull management back into what they set out to do.
And if you are a shareholder in Tesla and see Elon must be distracted by other things,
this is the recipe for your shares to gain to bring him back into focus, sharp focus on his business as B.D continues to succeed.
All right, Jason, what's on your radar this week?
These are pots and pans every night, Dylan.
William Sonoma, ticker WSM.
Remember, this is a retailer with a number of popular brands under its umbrella,
its namesake as well with Pottery Bar and West Elm and others.
A long time, stock advisor recommendations are very well for members.
You look at the five-year chart on this thing.
It's gone crazy.
Total return almost 900%.
Just reported a relatively decent quarter.
Combs are up 3.1% gross margin of 130 basis points,
operating margin expansion as well.
boosted the quarterly dividends, 16% to 66 cents per share.
But stock sold off on the report, I think, mostly related to guidance.
They just see flat sales and, again, some tariff concerns, potentially hitting margins here in the coming year.
Dan, a question about William Sinoa, ticker, WSM.
Do you ever buy any of their snacks or candies or anything, Jason?
Or you're just a pots and pans kind of guy?
Just a pots and pans kind of guy, Dan.
Just a pots and pans kind of guy.
All right, Dan, pots and pans or EVs?
Which way are you going this week?
I mean, I like B-Y-D, but I don't know how to buy them.
So I guess by default, it's going to be William Sonoma.
I take what I can get.
That feels like a shallow victory.
I don't know about that one.
Dan, appreciate you weighing in on the radar stocks this week.
Asa, Jason, appreciate you bringing them to us.
That's going to do it for this week's Motleyful Money Radio Show.
Show is mixed by Dan Boyd.
I'm Dylan Lewis.
Thanks for listening.
We'll see you next time.
