Motley Fool Money - Motley Fool Money: 03.07.2014
Episode Date: March 7, 2014Costco disappoints. Safeway makes a deal. And SkullCandy skyrockets. Our analysts discuss some of the week's business news and share three stocks on their radar. Plus, author Brad Stone talk...s about his book, The Everything Store: Jeff Bezos and the Age of Amazon. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Everybody needs money. That's why they call it money.
From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money Radio Show. I'm Chris Hill, joining me in studio this week from Motley Fool 1.
Jason Moser from Motley Fool Supernova, Matt Argusinger, and from Million Dollar Portfolio, Ron Gross. Good to see you, jents.
Hey, how you do?
We've got the latest on the music industry, the grocery industry, and a hot IPO to boot.
We've got the greatest technological advancement of 2014.
And as always, we'll give you an inside look at the stocks on our radar.
But we begin this week with the big macro. The February jobs numbers came out Friday morning.
Ron, higher than expected, 175,000 jobs added. The unemployment rate ticked up slightly to 6.7%.
What did you make in the numbers?
I like it. I think we look pretty good. I think we can comfortably say we've resumed moderate job growth. It continually happens.
This came in a little bit lower than the average over the last 12 months, which was closer to about 190, 189.
189,000, but still strong. I love to see that overall employment number that U6 we sometimes
talk about, tick down, even though the wacky math made the actual employment rate tick up.
But I think overall this continues us on the right track. It means the Fed will continue to kind
of taper back that stimulus. I think things look good.
Yeah, and Maddie, we also had revisions upward of the numbers that we saw in December and
January.
Right. And as we talked before the show, and Mac rightly, our producer rightly pointed out, that's
really the numbers you want to focus on because these numbers are so preliminary all the time.
And no one pays attention to the revised numbers, which are usually tell the stronger story
because there's more data behind them. I also think that we've had so many weather-related
issues the past few months. The fact that we did have a strong number in February, and
probably revisions up from the previous months is a good sign.
Jason?
Yeah. Well, Ron said wacky math, and Maddie made a good point about the revisions, and I think
those are both very valid points.
He also said we're taking economic advice from our producer, MacGur.
Hey, who else? Who else?
That's a topic for another time.
I mean, I think those are a couple of points that are really worth noting because at the
end of the day, it's not these numbers, I think, that matter so much as to, but how the Fed
really reacts to them.
You know, I mean, interest rates are obviously still virtually zero.
It's very accommodative monetary policy today.
Even to get back to sort of a normal 3 to 4 percent Fed funds rate, it's going to take
like a couple of years to even really get there with just some moderate bumping of rates during
these meetings.
So, you know, jobs coming back is great.
I think a lot of people are still feeling the economic pinch of the last couple of years.
And, you know, savings rates are at all-time lows.
People are still not really able to save a lot of money.
And I think that when you have that situation where people are really just trying to get by, even though unemployment is trending better, it's still a tough situation out there.
What a downer.
Man.
Womp, won.
Normally we look to you for that kind of pessimism.
All right.
Let's get to some of the companies in the news.
Shares of Costco down slightly this week after second quarter profits fell 15%.
And Ron, maybe more concerning.
This is the third straight quarter that Costco has underperformed expectations.
That is true.
I cannot deny that.
However, I think everything's fine.
If we adjust for a one-time tax benefit, which occurred last year, profits were down less
than 5%.
So better than the 15, but still down. I acknowledge that it's been a difficult retail season
all the way around. Holiday season was tough. Weather is tough. They had a little bit of margin
weakness. They'd be hurt by foreign currency translation. Same star sales internationally were
zero percent growth. But if you take out the foreign currency, we're up seven percent. So
it kind of masks some of the strength that they are actually seeing. Overall, retention rates
continue to be very strong, which is the bread and butter of their membership model, which is
one of the main reasons you should be investing in Costco, and I think things still look good.
Kind of nice to see that at no point did they blame weather for their results.
I always appreciate that.
Safeway is the second largest grocery chain in America, but its stock is about to come off
the public markets.
Safeway is being bought by the private equity firm Cerberus in a deal worth $9 billion.
Jason Serberus took Albertsons, bought Albertsons, which was fifth largest grocer.
Now, Safeway, we were talking about this earlier.
This is a tough industry that really seems to only be getting tougher.
Yeah, no question there.
I mean, if you wonder why Safeway's stock isn't getting some big premium to today's stock price,
well, I mean, it's because it doesn't deserve it.
I mean, this company's sales over the last five years have fallen at a 4% annualized rate.
So it's not like they're light in the world on fire.
But to your point, it is a very tough industry.
And so, I mean, consolidation on this side of the grocery business was certainly, you
expected to the extent that you have your targets and Walmarts out there that are getting
more grocery shoppers into their stores. And so this isn't like a focus on the high-end
Whole Foods market. Safeway is a bit more focus on the value-oriented consumer. And so this
is going to give the combined entity the scale and distribution to compete more with that
value-oriented offering. And so for consumers, it ought to work out pretty well. It'll probably
bring prices down a little bit, give them a little bit more offering. It would be.
It wouldn't shock me at all if at some point maybe a Cerberus sort of, you know, loaded this
company up with a little bit more debt and spun it back to the public markets in the next
five or ten years.
But either way, I think that consumers will do okay from this.
And for Safeway stockholders, it's probably just, you know, close the book and move on.
All right.
News from the music industry.
Shares of Pandora fell this week after announcing in its earnings report that it will stop revealing
stats on listenership on a monthly basis.
And Spotify, the European Music Streaming Company, is talking with banks about raising a credit facility,
a move that many, Matt, are interpreting as a step towards an IPO here in the U.S.
Let's start with Pandora, though.
It's almost like they got dinged for saying we're going to stop reporting listener stats on a monthly basis.
I don't own shares of Pandora.
I think that's probably a good move for them.
They're going to be doing it on a quarterly basis.
Right.
Initially, I looked at that and said, oh, wait, are they going to stop reporting?
one of their key metrics. No, no, no. They're just moving to a quarterly reporting schedule,
which is fine. It takes us away from the schizophrenic short-term data movements that we all of us
focus too much on. But, you know, the numbers were actually really good. And their active
listener number, which was over 75 million in February, that was up sequentially and year-over-year.
So there are more active users of Pandora, just not as many listening hours, which were down
a little bit sequentially, but up year-over-year. Again, with Pandora,
They're going after a really huge pie. It's the $17 billion radio ad market. So now we've
got Spotify, which I do think is a legit competitor. They just bought Echo Nest, or they're
buying Echo Nest, which is a sort of a music intelligence company, kind of compete with
Pandora on sort of the listener preference and choice technology. But it's a huge ad market
that they're both going after. And I think Pandora's got such a huge lead with its listener
account. It's in a thousand devices. They're getting into the automotive market, which is
where they want to be, which is going to compete with Sirius. And again, get a lot of
them more into the terrestrial radio market. So, very excited about Pandora. I think at a $7
billion market cap, still has a lot upside.
Where does iTunes Radio factor into all of this?
That was a very big question about six months ago.
So I'm six months late? Is that you're saying?
I just think I'm just been remarkable that Pandora's held up as much as it has, given
iTunes Radio. I just think it says to me that Pandora's got a superior product. It's
a superior experience.
I think it, maybe, I don't know. I think it's a little bit of behavior here, though, because
As someone who had Pandora on my phone, my girls like to listen to Pandora in the car, just they had the Disney station, whatever.
So at some point, I'm going to prove my laziness here, at some point, the Pandora app on my phone logged out, which required me to log back in.
And I was like, I don't have time to do that.
I'm driving.
I don't have time.
So then I click over to the iTunes Radio.
I click over to the iTunes Radio app.
I find a little Disney station they have there, started playing it.
It's great.
It's intuitive.
It asks what you like.
You can add things to your iTunes watch list, so I can see.
sort of, you know, buy some songs for the kids every now and then. So, I mean, I think that a lot of
that is just changing consumer behavior and people who are used to Pandora and like it, there's
no reason to switch. But, man, if that thing logs out of your phone there and you have to
re-log in and you're lazy like, I am, I don't know. Maybe that's the catalyst.
One more thing I'll quickly say about it, too, is that, you know, you do have Pandora,
which is focused 100% on the idea of radio and music discovery. Apple, iTunes Radio, again,
it's one small part of a very, very large company trying to do a lot of different things.
So, usually in my assessment, the one that's focused is the winner.
But you raised an interesting point, which is the automobiles.
And it seems like that's going to be one thing to watch in this industry, whether it is
Pandora or Spotify or iTunes Radio, because I think that to the extent that any one of
them can really get a foothold in vehicles over the next five years, that's going to be
massive, because that's something that traditional radio is obviously...
Dominates.
Rightfully, yeah, dominates, but is rightfully terrified of.
And Sirius has done a very good job of that to this point.
Yeah, when I interviewed quickly, interviewed the CFO of Pandora, Mike Herring at
CES a couple months back, and he said automotive is the number one place that they're focused
on.
Coming up, we had a hot IPO on Friday.
Should you jump into the stock or run away as fast as you can?
We'll answer that question.
This is Motley Full Money.
Welcome back to Motley Full Money.
Chris Hill here in studio with Jason Moser, Matt Argusinger, and Ron Grohs.
Radio Shack and Staples, both down big this week. And not just because of bad earnings, Ron.
Radio Shack is closing about 25 percent of its locations. Staples is closing 10 percent of its
locations here in North America. Let's start with Radio Shack, because this is just...
Yes, let's.
It's just... I mean, this is just getting ugly.
So in December, I made this crazy prediction that Amazon would acquire Radio Shack and use
it as showrooms and service centers and delivery centers. As we...
get closer to the $200 million market cap of Radio Shack, that crazy prediction may end up coming
true. Who's to say? Radio Shack and Stables to me are two totally different situations.
Radio Shack, the world, as I've said with JCPenney, the world does not need Radio Shack.
They've tried their best to reinvent themselves. They're trying again now. Closing underperforming
stores, which pretty much is all of them. But closing 1,100 stores, kind of refocusing the concept
and the display. They've tried that before with mobile phones.
There's just too many ways you can get the stuff that Radio Shack sells, and I just don't think
it's going to work in the end.
One thing about Staples, though, is that Staples, one of the challenges they appear to
have is their footprint.
Say what you will about Radio Shack, but it seems like they, if nothing else, they have smaller
store footprints than Staples.
And one of Staples' big challenges is sort of that back of the store where they've got
furniture and reams of paper.
Just stuff.
Just stuff.
And I mean, we have, in my neighborhood, two staples within a mile and a half of each other.
There's too many stores.
I love to see, though, that almost 50% of their business has now moved to online.
That makes sense to me.
Not a non-competitive business.
I mean, everyone from Walmart to Amazon is also in their business.
But I think you need to pair back, reduce the number of stores, continue focusing online,
and get that right mix.
Because I think the world can use the staples.
It is a viable concept.
Well, but I'll also remember that, you know, ink and paper are two things that Staples, Office Max, Office Depot thrived on for years. They got great margins from those. And guess what? We're just not printing as much and using as much paper as we did just even four or five years ago. So that's a big problem for that.
We have Silicon Valley's first pure tech IPO of the year on Friday. Coupons.com raised over a billion dollars with their IPO. Jason, the stock IPOed at $16 a share.
It almost immediately shot up to the high 20s. Do I have this right? This is a company that provides
digital coupons for consumers. Chris, I think you summed it up nicely.
Is this madness or is there actually a business here?
Well, this is like the sun. I mean, I know I shouldn't be looking at it. I should just look
away, but I can't help it. When I saw this IPO and the stock's reaction, I mean, essentially
doubling its first day of trading, I thought, wow, it's just coupons, right? I mean, we've made a lot
fun of Groupon and living social and those kinds of models. And so, you know, I did a little bit
of research into the business to understand what the differentiation was there. And it is
a little bit different. You know, I found some interesting numbers in there. And just to put
some context around it for you, so in 2013, domestically speaking, there were 315 billion
total coupons distributed. Now, that represented about $510 billion. Now, of those 315 billion
coupons, only about 2.8 billion were redeemed.
a value of about $3.5 billion. So there is this big market opportunity out there of a lot
of coupons. And that's all these guys do, is that they do coupons. Now, the neat thing about
their model is, you know, you have this coupon app on your phone, and when you download the
coupon, coupons.com gets paid. It's regardless of whether you actually use the coupon, although
one might believe that if you download the coupon, your chances of using it are substantially higher,
and they get paid for that, too. So there is an interesting market opportunity out there. I don't
know that this is one that you just dismiss entirely. And let's face it, I mean, the name probably
has something to it, too. It's coupons.com. It's not too terribly confusing. So this is actually
one that I'm going to keep my house. Yeah, I was going to say, you know, there's just absolutely
no competitive moat to that business, except they have the coupons.com name website, which is probably
a better destination than most. Yeah, at least it's not something stupid like canoe or something
or retail me not. Oh, wait a minute. Sorry.
Shares of skull candy up more than 30% on Friday after fourth quarter results for the headphones maker came in better than expected.
Maddie, their profits fell 69%. How low were these expectations?
I don't know. I mean, I'm scratching my skull on this one, too, because, I mean, the sales were down 28%.
And somehow, there's a few analysts out there saying, well, that wasn't as bad as we thought. Sales were only down 28%.
This is, you know, as we discussed for a show, this is sort of the cheap, the cheap,
music headphones that people can buy for $25, they work for about three or four months,
they'd stop working, you ditch them, and you buy another pair.
They've tried in the past, Soul Candy, to position themselves as a premium sort of electronic
headphone.
But they just assigned a new deal with Walmart to position their...
And so that tells you right there, that they're really going after the discount market.
I've never been a fan of the company.
I just think they're in a commodity business with a very poor brand.
That just doesn't help.
When most people out there, if you're looking for a business, if you're looking for
buy a set of headphones, you're looking at Sony or Bose. You're going to spend $150
on a pair of headphones that really works. Or you can go a skull candy route.
Right.
Yeah.
I agree. I think we're seeing short covering today. I looked at the stock at seven. I passed
on it because of a lot of things Maddie said. No competitive advantage. I just didn't see
it. It's a brand. And to me, that's all it is. And that's not good enough in this particular
case. Where the stock goes from here, once the shorts are done covering, then the company's
got to put up growth. Not just worse, better than express.
expected losses. So I'm not buying it.
I just want to meet these analysts who just have these unbelievably low expectations.
Guys, finally, I think you could all agree that sometimes it's just hard to wake up in the
morning.
And fortunately, the good people at the Oscar Meyer Institute for the Advancement of Bacon are
here to help. By the way, how do we get on the board of directors of that institute?
We need to work on that.
They have developed a new app for the alarm clock function of the iPhone so you can wake
up to the smell of bacon. Right now you can download the app and it's the sound of sizzling
bacon and then you go to a website, which is wake up and smell the bacon.com to apply
for the additional hardware to get the scent of bacon.
I was going to say, I mean, it's how do they tap into your old factory senses like
that? That's just amazing technology.
I don't know. We'll bring in our man, Steve Brodo, from the other side of the glass
in just a moment. But I am curious if you could wake up to any scent on a daily basis.
I mean, bacon, that's got to make the shortlist, Ron.
I have a really solid cup of coffee with some banana pancakes in the background.
Is that good?
Coffee, you just set the coffee maker.
You just wait for the whole breakfast here.
No, my mom made some mean French toast in my day.
There were mornings when I was growing up when I woke up to that.
It was going to be a great day.
Wow, man, I'm going to take this just 180 degrees the other direction here.
I mean, I had a ball brewing beer in college, and that's just a really good smell.
You know, we just finished up Hop Slam season here.
Whole Foods. It's a good beer that Bell's brewery makes, and it's a very hoppy, honey sort of scented beer.
I know it's not PC to really drink before noon, but if I could wake up to the smell of that, I think that'd be pretty cool.
Well, and that's the thing. I look at this and I think, well, waking up to the smell of bacon is great, but then I'm just going to want bacon.
If only money has a strong scent. At least this just gets me amped to finish my day at work so I can come home and have a beer, right?
Steve Reuters, what do you got?
What about the smell of progress, my friends?
There it is.
Nice. You know, cinnamon rolls are nice, but the smell of progress.
We have a winner.
Smell of napalm in the morning.
Drop us an email, Radio at Fool.com.
What scent would you like to wake up with?
And what does progress smell like?
I'm sure it's good, though.
Ron Gross, Matt Argusinger, Jason Moser, guys.
We'll see you a little bit later in the show.
Coming up next, bestselling author, Brad Stone,
will give us an inside look at Amazon.com.
and its visionary CEO, Jeff Bezos.
You're listening to Motley Full Money.
But it's baking in the skil-ed.
Sweet tatas in the pan.
Biscuits brown up in the oven.
Hate them up why you can.
I ended up with too much stuff.
Welcome back to Motley Full Money.
I'm Chris Hill.
Amazon.com started out calling itself Earth's biggest bookstore,
but under the driving leadership of founder Jeff Bezos,
it has become so much more than that today.
It is a story captured in great detail by Brad Stone.
He is a senior writer for Bloomberg Business Week
and the author of The Everything Store, Jeff Bezos,
and the age of Amazon.
Brad joins me from the newsroom at Bloomberg Business Week.
Brad, thanks for taking a few minutes to talk with me.
Thank you, Chris.
You've covered Silicon Valley and the technology industry
for 15 years or so.
What got you interested in writing about Amazon?
It was really just the, the,
The opportunity, you know, as I covered Silicon Valley, you know, there have been so many good Google books, Apple books, you know, even Facebook books.
And, you know, no one had really written a great Amazon story.
I think, you know, probably because they're secretive, they're remote up in Seattle.
And, you know, it's a tough company to crack.
And, you know, it was after the introduction of the Kindle and the emergence of Amazon Web Services, the cloud business.
you know, where I just realized that this is a company that we all kind of take for granted,
you know, it functions a little bit like a utility.
You know, you press a button and then something arrives at your door,
but really what they've accomplished is quite remarkable,
and so I set out to tell the story.
Now, prior to founding Amazon, Jeff Bezos was working at a hedge fund on Wall Street.
How do you think that experience informed his approach to running Amazon?
He learned a lot on Wall Street.
He worked for a company called D.E. Shaw.
It was a quantitative hedge fund.
Still around, but really Bezos was there in the heyday in the early 90s.
And he learned a lot, particularly from David Shaw, the founder, in terms of secrecy,
also being, you know, hiring generalists and putting them in positions where they can kind of innovate.
You know, Shaw never thought of D.E. Shaw as a financial firm. We thought of it as a technology firm where finance was the first market. And we saw Bezos really take the same DNA and implanted at Amazon, which was, you know, we all thought of as an online retailer, but really was a technology company whose first market was e-commerce. And so a lot of the same principles, the same hiring practices Bezos took from D.E. Shaw and implanted at Amazon.
Now, your book covers everything from Bezos time before he started Amazon, right up.
up to the present day. But I want to focus for a moment on the period of 2000 and 2001, which
really seems like an important time, both for Amazon and for Jeff Bezos. Investors remember
that that was the time of the dot-com bubble, and we see that reflected in Amazon stock dropping.
But during that time, Bezos has two key meetings with other CEOs. And I hope I'm not reading
too much into your telling of these stories. But it really
seems like they had very lasting effects on him. And I wonder if you could talk a little bit about
each one. The first one is with Lee Scott, who in 2000 is the CEO at Walmart. Right. Yeah, and I think
they were significant, and that's why I included them in the book. This is, you know, a sensitive
time for Amazon. They lost a billion dollars in 2000. The stock price, you know, after Bezos was
time man of the year at the end of 1999. The stock price falls all the way into the single digits.
and they have to kind of reexamine all the fundamentals of their business.
And one of the things that Amazon does is they start approaching big retailers to ask them,
you know, can we run your e-commerce operations?
So that's why Bezos and some colleagues met with Lee Scott.
And, you know, in the meeting, Scott talks about how Walmart doesn't really advertise on television,
how, you know, the advertising strategy is basically low, everyday low prices.
Now, at the time, Amazon had pretty low prices, but it wasn't very low.
wasn't a fundamental principle or a value at the company. In fact, they had been raising
prices a little bit to try to make the business model work. And he came away from that meeting
and another meeting, also influential, with Costco founder, Jim Senegal. And basically,
you know, came back into the organization, said, we're going to stop spending money on
advertising. And, you know, Amazon actually didn't, wouldn't advertise on TV for another seven years
until the Kindle. And he also said, you know, even though we're losing money, we can't afford not to
have the lowest price and we've got to make low prices, the lowest online price, a key value at the
company, and kind of structure the rest of the business around it. And if you kind of draw the line
to today, you see that, yeah, those meetings were very influential and Amazon actually created
software to go out and look at competitors' prices and to match them. And that's had all sorts of
disruptive effects in retail and on the Internet in general.
One of the things that struck me about both those meetings, but in particular, the one with Jim Sinigal from Costco, is that in that meeting very early on, Bezos is hoping to talk about potential partnerships, that sort of thing. And it's clear very quickly that that idea isn't going anywhere. And he spends the rest of his time just focused on learning as much as he can from Jim Sinigal. And again, maybe I'm reading between the lines, but it really seems like he comes away with that from that meeting.
with Senegal with some of the seeds of Amazon Prime, because
Senegal is talking about the membership model at Costco and how customer
loyalty is everything to them and value providing great values, everything to
them. I'm just curious because you interviewed Senegal separately.
Has he gotten flak over the years for essentially giving Jeff Bezos that idea?
Yeah, well, you know, I actually, I wish I could have drawn more of a line between
that meeting in 2001 and Amazon Prime, which is
emerges in 2005, I don't, I don't really think, you know, there was much of a correlation there.
Other than, you know, which, and this is the point of including those meetings, you know,
Jeff really goes to school on everybody he meets, and he learns a lot, you know, from reading
and from, you know, meeting with business executives, and, look, he's learning how to be a retailer.
And so those meetings are very important.
There's no doubt to me that, you know, Amazon watched Costco, you know, it's a cross-town rival and learned a lot from it.
uh... but you know i asked
i have spent in a got a good at a great meeting with uh... a guy who would
become a formidable competitor
and he actually said
uh... you know that he didn't that uh... there were you know there were there
there were no true secrets in retail that everyone stole from each other and that
and he owned up he said you know at costco we
we stole from every ever you know we stole everything we could learn from everyone we
could and that's just this business so
uh... he he said you know he he
would exchange friendly emails with jeff over the years
The most recent one, he said he got a Kindle and emailed Jeff and Bezos offered to be his personal customer service representative for the Kindle if you ever had any problems with it.
So, you know, clearly, you know, both of those executives got a lot from that meeting.
You're listening to Motley Fool Money talking with Brad Stone, author of the bestselling book, The Everything Store, Jeff Bezos and the Age of Amazon.
One of the things that comes across very clearly in your book is what it is like.
for someone to work for Jeff Bezos, and it is not always a pretty picture. People use words
like Ruthless to describe his leadership style. Did that surprise you at all? Because I'm a long-time
shareholder, and I've got to be honest, it surprised me, but then I realized, you know what, I've never
really had a lot of exposure to Bezos, other than the odd interview that he does here and there,
but did that surprise you that he could be in some ways very, very tough on employees?
Yeah, a little bit.
It did because he's such an affable character in person.
And the side of himself that he shows to the public is, you know,
we know that gregarious laugh and the well-articulated business principles.
But it didn't surprise me because, you know, all these executives are very driven individuals,
and they haven't gotten to where they've gotten by suffering fools or allowing their employees to treat their work as a, you know, a luxury lifestyle.
And look, Bezos has built a company with 110,000 employees in just 19 years, and he's done it by, you know, being pretty focused and driving everyone and requiring everybody inside the organization to think big.
I mean, that's a mantra there. Everyone's got to bring their A-game and invent in their own business.
And that's why I think, you know, we, Amazon, unlike the other first-generation internet companies,
like a Yahoo or an AOL, it manages to evolve with the times and really in some areas set the pace.
So, you know, sure, ruthless and maybe he could be a little terrifying to employees.
And if you look at the rankings of the best companies to work for,
such like Glass Store or in magazines, you know, Amazon's not usually very high,
certainly much lower than the other tech companies.
But that said, it's also a company that continues to innovate, you know, 20 years into its life.
So it's clearly a leadership style that has been effective.
I know that Jeff Bezos talks about his company in aspirational terms,
talking about how they want to be the most customer-focused business in the world.
And I get that, but he's also proven to be a very tough opponent.
I'm curious, who do you think he regards as Amazon's primary competition?
Well, I know how he'd answer that question, which is he'd say that Amazon doesn't focus on the competition,
that focuses on the customers, and if you chase your competition, then you'll lose your way.
But that said, you know, I've, of course, we can't really believe that.
I was just going to say, that's why I'm asking you.
Yeah.
You know, I think that they definitely look at, you know, Walmart.
I mean, it seems every holiday season, we get a little tip-for-tap price war,
but the companies falling all over themselves to make sure that they're not being outpriced
on some popular items.
And on devices, you know, it's clearly that Google is in the crosshairs.
I mean, Amazon has forked the Android operating system, so it runs Google's platform,
but then it customized it, and it features the Bing search engine, which from Microsoft,
which tells you pretty much all you need to know, it wants to use Google, but it doesn't want
advantage it. So they're very strategic in that regard. You know, Apple, too, because the Kindle
Fire tablets are going right up against the iPads. And then on the cloud business, I mean, clearly
there's a rivalry, a budding rivalry with IBM. And they've tussled for some of the same customers,
including the CIA, and both companies kind of taken shots at each other. And as a journalist,
you kind of see when IBM is getting ready to make a public announcement about its cloud
business. You end up hearing from an Amazon PR person, hey,
just so you know, here's all of our information.
So they've clearly got IBM on the radar.
I think it's a testament to how varied Amazon is today in 2014,
that, you know, it's got all these rival groups
in all these different businesses.
So Amazon's a company that competes with a lot of players right now.
There are moments during the book that you illustrate
when Jeff Bezos is either seen as stepping away from the day-to-day operations
or maybe caught up in other initiatives that he's interested in,
like SpaceX. How involved is he right now in the day-to-day running of this company?
Right. I think there's only really one moment where he really contemplating stepping aside,
and that's 99, 2000, when he has his first kid and where there's a sort of philosophy in Silicon Pally
that you need experienced managers. And Amazon kind of experimented with that, and then Jeff decided
he really wanted to run the company. You know, my sense is while he does have these other hobbies,
including running a space company of Blue Origin and buying the Washington Post.
You know, he's very involved day-to-day.
You know, Amazon's his job.
He's got a duty to shareholders.
My sense is that he's running Amazon for years, decades to come, and he just turned 50.
It'll be interesting if he does, if and when he does step aside, you know, it'll be interesting because, you know,
as we've seen with Tim Cook at Apple, you know, shareholders don't necessarily give as much leeway to the new guy.
and Amazon's a business that has been run for growth, you know, without profits.
In some cases, losing money, and it's not clear that anyone other than Jeff Bezos could get away with that.
All right. Last question, and then I'll let you get back to the newsroom.
What is the future of this company? Where is it going, or is the better question to ask, where is it not going?
Well, I mean, I titled it the Everything Store for a reason.
The ambition is limitless, and it's not just a store, really.
it's the everything company.
So it's the e-commerce business, which has a manifest destiny to expand it around the world.
It has a long way to go.
It has not cracked probably two-thirds of the world.
So there are markets like Russia or Brazil or really China, where they're a relatively small player,
where they have a lot of work to do, either with homegrown services or via acquisitions.
Then there's the device business.
you know, Jeff wants to, you know, be where its customers are.
And right now they've got a reader and a tablet.
Well, they've got a lot of work to do.
They're working on a TV set-top box, and they need to come out with a phone.
And you can tell that they're going to do it because they've created the Amazon App Store
and all these other services that tell you they've kind of set the table for an Amazon phone.
So I think that's coming.
And then you've got the Enterprise Services business, which there's a ton of room
growth. It's one of Amazon's fastest growing businesses. And it seems like the opportunity is kind of
endless because the world is shifting to the cloud. So I guess the short answer is we're not
going to be able to really describe Amazon easily anymore. It was the online retailer at one point,
but that description is really out of date. It is a New York Times bestseller for a reason.
It is a fascinating read. You can buy it on Amazon, but you can also buy it at other places as well.
It is the Everything Store, Jeff Bezos, and the age of Amazon.
Brad Stone, thanks for being here.
Thank you, Chris.
Coming up, we'll give you an inside look at the stocks on our radar.
This is Motley Fool Money.
As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about,
and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against.
So no, buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money, Chris Hill, here in studio with Jason Moser, Matt Argusinger, and Ron Gross.
Guys, before we get to the stocks that are on our radar,
I want to thank one of our members sitting in on the show today.
James Wu, making the drive around the Beltway to come visit us.
So thank you, James, for hanging out here at full global headquarters.
All right.
We'll bring in Steve Brodow with a question.
But we've got enough time, Ron.
You can fire one right back.
Should I talk really slowly?
Not that slowly.
What's the stock on your radar this week?
It's a radar stock.
It's Arcos Dorados, which in Spanish means...
Golden Arches.
The exclusive franchise rights for Latin America and the Caribbean.
We own the stock in million dollar portfolio.
We've moved it to hold a little bit ago because, A, they're slowing store growth.
And B, the situation in Argentina and Venezuela is rather dicey.
The economy is really troubled there.
So we want to see what the earnings and guidance looks like next week when they report guidance.
And the ticker symbol?
A-R-C-O.
Steve, question about Arcos Dorados?
I still don't understand what this company does.
Sure.
They franchise McDonald's in Latin America and the Caribbean.
They have about 1,990 stores, a little less than 2,000 McDonald's franchises and some owned stores as well.
It was, in fact, those golden arches.
Okay, just making sure.
I thought there might be different ones.
When's the last time you, my friend, have eaten at McDonald's, and if so, what did you eat?
This morning.
And what did you have?
Did you have McMuffin?
Sausage McGrittle.
Egg and cheese.
God, I love you.
It was some good breakfast.
And yet, I detect a hint of regret in Steve's voice.
More shame.
Maddie, what's your stock?
I've got A-V-A-V-A-V, one of the leading maker of drones.
It's a company, my team, and Supernova, we're talking a lot about.
We know Facebook made a move this past week to get into the drone business, more of providing
kind of global Wi-Fi.
But this company's interesting.
On the defense side, they're one of the top contractors for, you know, on the defense side, they're
of the top contractors for drones. Obviously, we know there's a lot of interest in this
for the commercial market as well, especially from Amazon. Jeff Bezos, who wants to try
to use drones to deliver goods. So, the company I like, it's less than a billion in market
cap. I think it's got a lot of upside. Steve?
Steve?
I mean, where will drones logically come into play in the next five years? I don't see them
delivering packages. Is it going to be surveying land? Is it aerial photography? What am I really doing
with these drones? Great question. I think the number one thing is going to be,
two thing, imaging and security. So imaging,
corporations or major agriculture
business can use them to sort of do
surveys and things like that, or for security reasons.
So my question to you, if Steve Brodo
had a drone, what would he use it for?
Finding Olive Garden restaurant.
There it is. He's
blood off his eyes. You would just send it out
on a Monday morning and have it report back
on Friday, right? I would.
Jason, what do you got this week?
Yeah, this is a company I've been looking
into this week. Pretty interesting story. It's
called Chegg. I know it sounds like maybe a bad title for a horror movie, but it's actually
a company. Ticker is CHGG. A new IPO from August of last year, a company that initially
focused on renting mostly, but renting and selling college textbooks. But what they've
done from there is they've developed really a tech platform more or less to help students,
essentially from the high school stage all the way throughout the college stage, going from the
figuring out what college you may want to go to, searching for scholarship opportunities,
sort of helping you understand how the process works. Obviously, the textbook part of it still
comes into play here. Also, linking you in through internships when you are either in school
or finishing with school. So, you know, it's an interesting company. I like the fact that they're
moving over to digital textbooks, which is a higher margin product, still a founder involved
with the company, but the interesting part of this company is the management story here.
They have a couple of guys from Activision, Blizzard, and Netflix working there, so I'm going to
keep looking into it. Steve? What is the URL?
The URL. Is it just c-h-g-g-g-com?
I believe if you just Google Chegg, it'll take you where you need to go.
You're going to be checking out some textbooks?
We're running short on time, so I'm trying to keep this question.
My question for you will be very simple. Given what we know now about your affinity for
Olive Garden, what do you think about the new Olive Garden logo, Steve?
I've not seen it yet.
His drone hasn't flown over yet.
That is correct as well.
That is going to do it for this week's show.
The show is mixed by Rick Engigal.
Our engineer is Steve Broido.
Our producer is Matt Greer.
I'm Chris Hill.
Thanks for listening.
We'll see you next week.
