Motley Fool Money - Motley Fool Money: 04.13.2012
Episode Date: April 13, 2012Coinstar, Google, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo report earnings. The U.S. Justice Department files suit against Apple. And Burger King cooks up a new use for bacon. Plus, we talk innovation ...with Economist correspondent Vijay Vaitheeswaran, author of Need, Speed and Greed: How the New Rules of Innovation Can Transform Businesses, Propel Nations to Greatness, and Tame the World's Most Wicked Problems. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money.
Welcome to Motley Fool Money. Thanks for being here. I'm your host, Chris Hillen, joining me in studio this week from Motley Fool Income Investor James Early and for a million dollar portfolio, Charlie Travers and Ron Gross.
Guys, good to see you as always.
And good to see you, Chris.
We have got earnings from Google, CoinStar, and more. We've got Best Buy. Suddenly,
need of a new CEO. And as always, we've got a few stocks on our radar, but we will begin
with the big macro. Guys, a bunch of headlines this week. Weekly jobless claims came in higher
than expected. China's economy grew at its slowest pace in nearly three years. And inflation
in March grew at just 0.3 percent. Ron Gross, I'll start with you. What is your big macro
headline for investors?
Yeah, I think I'll go with the China one. 8.1 percent growth. Just yesterday, it was a rumor
that it would be 9%. People are really hoping that China engineers a soft landing, and that's what
everyone's really focused on. That sounds like more of a thud.
Yeah. Well, 8.1% still pretty healthy. You know, it's above their 7.5% kind of goal.
So it's still pretty good, but it's going to slowly start to come down. We'll definitely need
to keep an eye on in it. James, what's your headline?
Chris, it is better to be right than be original, so I will side with Ron and say, I think China
is also the big story. I heard that lending is picking up, and obviously we've been sort of orbiting
China, the U.S. is still a bigger economy, but the growth is all about China. So whatever
happens with China affects us all. Charlie Travers? I'm rotating over to the other side of the
world in Europe, and everybody's been focused on the sovereign debt crisis for the past
couple years, and we're starting to see some of the ripple effects of the government
austerity on companies themselves. And there's some interesting takeaways as to what this
means for investors, particularly in the health care space where these countries are deciding
not to pay their bills, just because they're broke. And so the decision is, do you pay your workers
in the hospitals, or do you pay the drug companies? And they've made their choice. For example,
Spain is taking 800 days to pay companies like Merck and Novartis for their drugs. In total,
these countries owe the pharmaceutical companies $20 billion. And there's no way they can
collect. I was going to say, so do these countries essentially have the pharmaceutical
companies just like right over a barrel? I think so, because they can't stop selling drugs. The public
uproar would be massive. Are these pharmaceutical companies allowed?
for this? They have a huge bad debt expense? Are they...
Yeah, they're taking the proper accounting treatment for it. But, yeah.
Wow.
Intriguing.
Yeah.
Let's move on to earnings season, which officially kicked off this week. And we'll start
with Google. Revenue up 24 percent, profits up 61 percent. And Google also announced a two-for-one
stocks. But Ron Gross, you own Google in million-dollar portfolio? What do you think?
Yeah, not too. It'd be a pretty solid quarter. If you strip out some of the one-time expenses,
earnings were really up about 26%, not 61. But paid clicks up 39%. Offsetting a decline in cost
per click of about 12%, which has some analysts kind of a little wary. But overall, that
translated into nice revenue growth and the company is doing really well. The stock split,
you know, stocks splits are pretty meaningless usually. It does help solidify the founders kind
of control over the company. They have voting control and they will maintain that control as a result
of the non-voting stock that they're issuing in conjunction with the split. So kind of a non-event
for me. Charlie, it seems like there's been a little bit of blowback against Larry Page and
Serge Brin and the way that sort of the stock split was structured. Because to Ron's point,
it does solidify their control of the company. But, you know, taking the devil's advocate
position, hey, the company's done well with those guys at the top.
I mean, that is true. They've built what is no doubt a world-class technology business.
And I really admire what they said in the letter to shareholders about focusing on the long-term and
not having the pressures of a short-term-minded investor base that tends to pop up from Wall Street.
That said, I don't really like non-voting shares.
And I'll give them a pass because they've proven that they are focused on building a great company.
But in general, I wouldn't care for this.
James, for a long time, Apple was the big company that wasn't paying a dividend.
Does that now shift over to Google?
I think it does, Chris, a little bit.
Now, they're going to look like the odd man out.
I mean, they've got a ton.
I forgot how much exactly you could cash.
50 billion.
Okay, yeah.
That's outrageous.
I mean, they should really, what are they going to buy?
They really need to open their pockets.
I mean, the thing is, though, the shareholder base is still sort of that short-term growth-oriented crowd.
And so that takes time, and I think as it changes, the demand will increase.
Ron, just to close out on Google stock, mark it down on Friday for a variety of reasons.
But as a result of that, Google stock was also down.
You still like it where it is?
Yeah, I mean, it wasn't down enough to make me think it's dirt cheap.
We were happy to be owners of it.
I don't think I'm buying it at these levels, but we're happy to hold it and let them do what they do.
Two big banks reporting earnings this week.
J.P. Morgan Chase's profits were down 3 percent, but the company raised its dividend and announced a $15 billion share buyback plan,
and Wells Fargo's profits were up 13 percent.
James, what do you think of the big banks?
Chris, there's a long and detailed narrative.
And there's a cut to the chase version, and I'll give you the long one first.
I mean, basically, banks are doing well because of the economy.
Investment banking is bounced back up.
Retail is doing pretty well.
Also, both these banks, especially JP Morgan, really benefited from loosening or reducing their provision for loan losses.
In other words, they expect that more people are going to pay them back than last quarter.
And I think JP Morgan's went from $2.2 billion to $700 million.
That's a pretty big reduction.
And that goes into your earnings.
You earn more when you do that.
The reason I'm not jumping up and down is that if the economy goes well, the banks will do well.
I think that'll happen.
But if the economy soured, then we're going to really put to the test how well these banks have been marking their loans, marking their assets.
What do you think of the buyback plan?
Because we've talked in this room before about how, on average, companies don't really do a great job of timing that.
$15 billion.
I know it's a big Wall Street bank, but it's still $15 billion.
$90% chance of buyback is going to be done at a dumb price. But Jamie Diamond, in this case it said he doesn't want to do it, or he's hinted, they doesn't want to do it over $45 a share. So at least he has some sort of a target in mind, which I think is admirable discipline. Wells Fargo is a recommended stock in a couple of Motley Fool services. How much of that is due to how they run their business, and how much of that is due to the fact that this is what some people refer to as Warren Buffett's favorite stock. Berkshire, how much of that is due to
the way has a nice stake in Wells Fargo.
I am not a mind reader, Chris, but I think Buffett weighs pretty heavily.
I mean, we assume that if he's vetted it, it must be good.
Wells Fargo has a great reputation.
The problem is that it absorbed Wachovia a couple years ago,
and Wachovia does not have a great reputation.
So that is sort of like the rotten core inside the otherwise good apple,
and it's a question of which one will dominate.
And so far it's looking good.
And else I think Wells Fargo hasn't gotten into a lot of the investment banking issues,
proprietary trading issues. They've kind of stuck to their bread and butter more so than some of the
other banks that have either acquired investment banks or turned themselves into investment banks,
so that gives them a better reputation. Wells has been doing well recently in mortgages simply because
the other banks have pulled back, and that just means more business for Wells Fargo.
Shares of CoinStar up big on Friday after the company reported strong earnings and raised guidance
for the year. CoinStar is the parent company of Redbox. Charlie, I guess I missed a memo. I thought
the DVD was dead.
No, not quite. They're killing it. And they really nailed the beat and raise game. The stock is now
at an all-time high. And I actually think it's still a good buy because of the strength of this
red box business. The reason they were conservative on their guidance is they pushed through a price
increase on the standard definition DVDs from a buck to a buck 20 last fall. And they weren't
quite sure what the consumer response was going to be. Frankly, a $1.20 for a day with a DVD is a
dirt cheap price. It's a great day. Yeah. And so I
can get a streaming video through various services. They're going to charge four or five dollars. Red
Box is a great deal in comparison, and Red Box is 85% of CoinStars revenue. So they're looking
strong right now. So who is the primary competitor here? Is it a company like Netflix, or does
Red Box essentially have, you know, the physical space to themselves? Because they're not dealing with
mailing DVDs in the way that Netflix is. Right. And Red Box is mostly popular, new releases,
and Netflix tends to lag a little bit there and rely more.
on the depth of their catalog. So it's a little apples and oranges. You mentioned
Coinstar stock being in an all-time high. What do you think of the stock? Is it a little too
rich to get in? No, I think the numbers are proven out that's still a good deal. They're
trading at about 15 times the cash flow they're going to generate this year and given their
growth prospects. I think that's reasonable. The computer industry lost a visionary this week.
Coming up, we'll tell you about the remarkable life of Jack Trammell. Stay right here. You're
listening to Motley Full Money.
Welcome back to Motley Full Money.
Chris Hill here in the studio with James Charlie Travers and Ron Gross.
This week, the U.S. Justice Department filed a lawsuit against Apple and the five largest publishers in the United States,
accusing them of collusion to artificially increase the price of e-books.
Charlie Travers, I'll start with you.
Three of the publishers have settled, therefore avoiding the proverbial, costly legal battle.
Apple released a statement saying, among other things, that it broke Amazon's monopolistic grip on the publishing industry.
What do you think of this?
I think I side with the publishers who settle.
That's not the kind of letter I'd want to get from the DOJ saying, we don't like how you're
running your business.
So what's going on is that Amazon on their e-books is using a retail pricing model where they
set the price at $9.99 for the vast majority of their e-books.
This is very customer-friendly.
It's consistent with Amazon's policies of delivering a great value to their customers.
Apple, on the other hand, is letting the publisher set the price similar to the public.
to what they do in their app store for software.
And the prices are $2 to $5 higher.
And the DOJ is alleging that Apple is engaging in collusion with the publishers
to set those prices artificially higher than they would otherwise be.
Since the iPad launched two years ago, Amazon's market share in eBooks has dropped from 90% to 60%.
And it's really Apple's policy to get customers to pay more so they can get their 30% cut on sales.
Ron, what do you think?
From what I've read, the DOJ is going to have a harder time proving this case against Apple than they will with the publishers.
And I think by seeing them having settled, that seems to be the case.
You know, we'll hurt Apple's reputation if this ends up being the case.
It's not going to be any major problem to their business.
iTunes is less than 5% of Apple's revenue, and e-books are a small fraction of that.
So this is not a business problem for them.
Could be reputational.
Apple is just a platform here.
I mean, their role would seem to be more passive in any type of negotiations.
That's the way it appears to be from whatever.
The publisher.
They weren't even at the meeting where this alleged collusion took place.
Well, and certainly Apple has the deep pockets.
They can engage in as many legal battles as they want, I'm assuming.
But is this the sort of thing where with Tim Cook at the helm, because this is a lawsuit
based on activity when Steve Jobs was at the helm.
With Tim Cook at the helm, do you think, based on what you've seen so far of him as CEO,
that somewhere down the line, he says, you know what, let's just...
Let's just end this one way or another.
It's certainly hard to predict.
I think if they think they're in the right, they'll fight it all the way.
Have we even seen enough of this guy to know what kind of personality he is?
He's so generic.
I mean, I'm sure he's a great guy, but I just...
Well, he certainly reached out to Wall Street and seems to care more about Wall Street's opinion more than jobs.
Addresses similarly.
No turtle necks, though.
Best Buy CEO Brian Dunn resigned abruptly this week amid an internal investigation into his personal conduct
Ron, Best Buy announced it is forming a search committee to find a new CEO in the next six
to nine months.
That's their time frame.
No hurry, guys.
Is that soon enough?
I would have moved a little quicker.
They have an interim CEO in there now, who's the former CFO of United Health.
But I think they've got to move.
As the CEO prior to this one said, he said, this almost could not have come at a worse moment.
And that's perfectly right.
They are in trouble from a business model perspective. Now they've got scandal in the CEO's
office. Things are not going well over at Best Buy.
So even though the stock has been cut in half in the last two years, you're not looking
at this as a value opportunity.
I'm not. I just don't like the business model. I don't like the business.
Canada's budget proposal for the next year includes cutting thousands of civil servant jobs
and eliminating the penny. James Early, you love this move, don't you? Chris, I am so excited
I mean, this, I've been waiting, well, look, I'm an American and I want the U.S. to do this.
That's the real reason.
I'm hoping it's going to leverage us, but the penny, all change.
Let me say it like this.
All change has completely outlived its purpose, okay?
Inflation has made these small increments useless.
It takes up weight in your pocket.
It takes up time when you're waiting to get changed at the Baskin-Robbins.
I'm not going to Baskin-Robbins, but whoever you go to, you know, you're waiting at the 7-Eleven to get your change, and the guy has to dole out, you know, eight cents.
It's just ridiculous.
They really need to eliminate it.
We keep it for nostalgia.
What about the nice take a penny, leave a penny kind of thing?
It's just like the goodwill.
Maybe take a smile.
I would not bother.
I think, I don't know, it's not worth it to me.
As someone who owns a zinc producer, Horstead Holdings, and the penny is actually made of zinc, not copper, I am a little wary of the whole lot.
I refuse on principle to follow the policies of a country that has coins named the Looney and the Toonie.
Yeah, I was going to say to Ron's point, I read an article on.
on Fortune Magazine's website this week about not just the zinc producers, but the lobbyists
in Washington, D.C., who represent the zinc producers.
And all I'm going to say, James, is don't hold your breath.
How about the Lincoln lobbyists?
Can you imagine?
Yeah.
You have heard of Steve Jobs and Bill Gates, but there's a good chance you have not heard of
Jack Trammell.
He died earlier this month at the age of 84, and in the late 1970s and early 80s.
He was considered a visionary of the computer industry in league with Jobs and Gates.
How was the man behind Commodore Computers, which helped establish a mass market for PCs?
In 1977, he introduced the Commodore P-E-T, the first personal computer to cost less than
a thousand dollars.
Ron, you had one of these, didn't you?
Good man.
I had the original Vic 20, which was the predecessor to the Commodore 64, and then I had
the Commodore 64 as well.
And it was amazing.
I mean, the introduction of the home computer, it was a big deal, and I remember it very fondly.
Well, and I had never heard of this guy until I saw.
his obituary in the Washington Post. What an amazing life story. It was incredible.
Yeah, and I think, you know, I got to say this, one of the reasons he's so special,
I think we're actually losing people like this, you know, the little rant here, but the school
system, just the society, we're sort of homogenizing our kids a lot more than they used to be,
and these kind of edgy, rough-round-the-edges-type characters are the ones that go out
and do things like that. So I think this guy's really cool. Yeah, he was described as sort of a
hard-charging, cigar-chomping salesman, which was really his profession. But, you know, what
intrigued me. This is a guy who was born in Poland. At age 12, he's sent off to a concentration
work camp, eventually comes to America, gets into the sales business, the typewriter business,
and then Commodore Computer and Atari. Really, really just an amazing story. Burger King is
testing a new item in Nashville, Tennessee. It is the bacon Sunday. Soft serve ice cream,
hot fudge sauce with bacon pieces on top, and a full strip of bacon sticking out the side like a straw.
We'll get to the delicacy itself in a second, but we talk in this room about companies in trouble needing a game changer.
Charlie, is this a game changer for Burger King, do you think?
They've actually lagged the competition on selling desserts.
And one thing that the fast food patrons, which tend to be parents bringing kids in, is they want ice cream.
And so I think it's a good move.
Are you offended, though, if you're in Nashville?
I mean, Burger King picked you to test this disgusting bacon.
How dare you?
I bet they have like a petition drive for it.
I take umbrage with the bacon strip.
I would have gone with crumbles.
Well,
it's bacon goes on top and then and then a sticks or like a...
Because use it as a spoon if you even wanted to.
I know a kid to put ketchup on his vanilla ice cream in school.
This seems to be in the same league as putting bacon on it.
Well, clearly it's not because Burger King isn't testing soft-serve ice cream with ketchup on top.
You can do that on your own.
And they say this is something that they're just going to test it for a few months in Nashville,
and if it works, they're going to roll it out to all markets this summer.
So, Charlie, I was going to say maybe you and I hit the road and head down to Nashville.
But, you know, we'll just wait it out.
Hopefully, we'll count on the good people of Nashville to make this a success.
Make the right choice, people.
Is there, um, the right choice?
I like it.
It sounds so sincere.
I was going to say, it's like this sincere moral plea that Charlie is making.
But to be fair, Charlie, we were talking before the taping.
You've actually had bacon-flavored ice cream.
and it doesn't translate. You can't just mix the bacon flavor into the ice cream itself. I think having
the strip on there. Okay, so infusing it, no, but as a topping. But bacon does work with chocolate pretty well. And if it's with the hot fudge on top of the ice cream, you may have something here. Steve, you have an opinion on that?
I'm a big fan of bacon and ice cream, so I think it's really a win-win.
If it's a success and it rolls out to market, we'll go to the closest Burger King this summer. We'll get one. Sign me up.
All right. That sounds good. All right, Charlie Travers, James Early, Ron Gross guys. We'll see you a little later in the show.
Coming up, how the new rules of innovation can transform business. Don't go away.
It's time for bad. So good.
This is Motley Full Money.
Welcome back to Motley Full Money. I'm Chris Hill.
Thanks to the globalization and Googolization of the world economy, clever ideas from every corner of the world now have the chance to be taken seriously, even if they'd come from people.
without fancy credentials.
So writes Vijay Vy Swarin.
He's an award-winning global correspondent for the economist,
and his latest book is Need, Speed, and Greed,
How the New Rules of Innovation can Transform Businesses,
Propel Nations to Greatness, and Tame the World's Most Wicked Problems.
Vijay, thanks for being here.
Oh, it's great to be with you.
So, as I indicated, this is not your first book.
You've written a couple of others.
What got you interested in this topic,
why did you write the book?
A couple of reasons.
First, it seemed to me that innovation is a topic that everyone loves to talk about,
but in fact is a topic that's full of misconceptions, myths,
and just downright sort of misguided ideas.
And so I just wanted to set the record straight on what I actually think
this very big and important thing is by explaining what innovation isn't.
and we can talk about that at the moment, and what it is.
And that points are sort of the second reason why I was motivated.
There's something big happening with how we innovate, that is meta-innovation,
the very rules of innovation themselves, are changing, I argue.
And this is important because we live in an age of very difficult problems,
so wicked global problems.
And so when I look around me and the job that I do with the economists,
I've been at the economists for 20 years covering lots of the problems
in energy, in healthcare, in development, and these are terrible problems, and we need to accelerate
the pace of innovation. And to do that, we first have to agree on what we mean by innovation.
So what do we mean by innovation?
Well, simply put, it's not invention. And a lot of times it's conflated with technology, for
example. A lot of my old technology friends from my MIT days get very enthusiastic about gadgets and gizmos and
Wow, that's almost hard to believe.
Exactly.
Patents, for example, or PhDs, you know, even governments and how they define innovation,
they often will list the number of engineers that graduate.
The National Academies in America and other countries will say, you know,
the number of PhDs that are produced or China, which is very big on so-called indigenous innovation.
They want to be in innovation superpower.
They'll list the number of papers, the technology patents they get.
In my view, this gets it completely wrong.
These are inputs into a process.
They're not the output.
Those things are good.
They might help, but fundamentally,
may not involve technology.
Part of that equation is coming up with the technique
of the value created.
Show me the challenges to say, talk about innovation.
One of the things you do in this book is you really challenge some of the conventional
thinking when it comes to innovation and business.
So I want to get at a couple of those.
And let me just start with the notion that the rise of China and India
as innovation powerhouses is inevitably going to come at the expense of the West.
Now, at the Motley Fool, when we look at China, we're looking at Chinese companies like Baidu and Sina,
but we're also looking at companies that have succeeded like Yom Brands and McDonald's,
where a company like Google, which is such a powerhouse, has really struggled in China.
You live there.
What do you think is the key for an American company trying to succeed in China?
American companies trying to do business in China, first of all, be very careful.
Know who your partners are. It is a Wild West.
But remember, the Wild West holds some analogies in that it was a dangerous place.
You didn't know who was going to be riding up to your wagons.
You needed to be careful who your partners and allies were
and who's going to run off with your property or your wife.
But equally, the West was tamed.
Ultimately, the lesson of how the American West was won is not a sexy story,
but it was with barbed wire, right?
It was when barbed wire was laid out across the prairies.
It created property rights, and we had demarcated property,
and people began to defend their turf as if it were private property
rather than treated like a common, which could be abused.
And I think that sort of evolution is happening in China,
where it is a Wild West, and there's been something of a grab of assets within the politicals in the outside.
You don't quite know who your partner is, and you don't know who the chump is.
It's like in a game of poker.
If you don't know what the chump is, the chump is you.
And so a foreigner has lost money.
Many a foreign company has been squeezed out, and you don't hear about most of this in the purple,
but equally be aware that China itself, to me, is actually a very positive side.
Let's stick with China for a moment.
From an economics perspective, what do you think is the biggest misconception about China?
that's common now in America, that if China's up, then America must be down,
that China's trade successes must be, and I think a lot of economic evidence shows,
China's rise can be a rising tide that lifts many boats,
but it will lift our vessel, fellow Americans, that is, not forget, put in place.
You're listening to Motley Full Money talking with Vijay Vy Waij,
author of the new book, Need, Speed, and Greed,
how the new rules of innovation can transform businesses,
propel nations to greatness and tame the world's most wicked problems.
What surprised you the most when you were working on the book?
I think, in a sense, the dynamism of the emerging economies in frugal engineering.
And I'll tell you what I mean.
When I heard of ideas about frugal engineering, this is a concept that's been around for a while,
the great management thinkers, C.K. Pahalad, who passed away recently
has championed bottom of the pyramid investments for 20 years.
right. I mean, that's true, and companies have been out there trying to find ways to sell to consumers in
poor countries and also increasingly picking up on ideas from those markets and bringing them back.
But that sort of cheap and cheerful was the notion I had of frugal engineering, because these markets tend to be quite frugal.
But a lot of new middle class people used to be poor very recently, so they don't like wasting money,
and they're very value conscious. But the revelation for me was, as I traveled around and talked to lots of companies,
in, for example, medical devices innovation,
what I found was cheap and cheerful
can often be cheaper and much better
than what's happening in the West
because the people class
are actually able to leaping up with better products
whereas some of the Western companies
that are doing traditional innovation,
physical devices.
The conclusion of your book is entitled
We are all innovators now.
So with that in mind,
what is one thing that anyone listening
can take?
to their boss or to their company or their manager and with an intent of trying to foster innovation
within their own company or organization.
Innovators in waiting.
And I'll give a couple of quick examples if you'll allow me.
Netflix wanted to improve its algorithm for predicting what movies you and I like.
They put out a million dollar prize a couple of years ago.
And I'm sure some of your listeners remember this.
They said anybody who can come up with a better algorithm by 10% will give you a million dollars.
And they figured just some computer science guys would come up and they might try, maybe they'll get lucky.
Tens of thousands of people came out of the woodwork from around the world from all fields.
I mean, grannies from around the world and all walks of life to collaborate.
Not only did they get winners that when the team came to the United States to collect the money,
all of the members of that team had online and collaborated company out there.
Even NASA, when they wanted to, offering it to the usual search,
Why do we make this open allows anyone in the world to become a billion-dollar corporation,
generation of astronauts?
But he has created a company and a woman who didn't get the prize, but who came in second and third.
Let's wrap up with a round of buy, seller, hold.
Let's start with buy seller hold, the first mover advantage.
I'd buy the first mover advantage, but I would also concurrently buy failure to go with it.
I'm a big believer in taking a lot of risks, learning how to fail gracefully.
That's really the trick to the future.
Buy seller hold, the future of Starbucks in China.
In China drinking coffee, so yes, I'm going to buy.
As a Starbucks shareholder, I'm happy to hear that.
Buy seller hold driverless cars.
I'm going to hold.
I've seen the Google driverless cars.
I love driving too much to give up completely.
So I grudgeonly will hold.
The book is Need, Speed, and Greed, How the New Rules of Innovation
Can Transform Businesses, Propel Nation,
to greatness and tame the world's most wicked problems.
E.J., thanks so much for being here.
Thanks for having me.
Coming up, we'll give me an inside look at the stocks on our radar.
This is Motley Fool Money.
Most things money can buy.
To have a one-way ticket to heaven,
upon the wings of our dreams we can fly.
As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about,
and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against.
So don't buy ourselves stocks based.
solely on what you hear. I'm Chris Hill. I'm back in the studio with me, James Early, Charlie Travers, and Ron Gross.
Guys, that time again, time for the stocks on our radar. Ron Gross, you're up first, and be aware,
we will be bringing in our man, Steve Brodo from the other side of the glass with a question.
Chris, I'm intrigued by a company called Chemet, ticker symbol, K-E-M, and they're a small-cap
manufacturer of capacitors, which are little devices used in all-electronics, basically.
Not flux capacitors. They store electricity, right? Yes, they store electricity. It looks
It's unbelievably cheap to me, three times EBITDA, three times cash flow.
The problem that may be here is that capacitors are a commodity, and that's really I need to dig into because this could be a value trap.
All right.
All right.
All right.
Can you explain the role of a capacitor in electronics?
Of course I could, but we don't have time right now.
That's what I thought.
They help with sudden boosts of power.
Like if you need a lot of power and your battery, your power supply can.
It stores up the energy.
Yeah, it's sort of like having a water line and having a bathtub in the middle of water line and then the waterline continues.
So if you suddenly drink a lot or take a lot of water, it'll pull from the bathtub.
You didn't even see my lips move, and James just...
I'm an engineering kind of guy.
James Early?
Chris, I am eyeballing Guangzhou Railroad.
The ticker is G-SH.
This is actually a dividend stock in China, 4.1% yield.
It's pretty cheap on a multiple basis relative to other railroads.
It is a five-star stock in our Motley Fool Caps database, but it's in China.
So that's the piece that I've got to kind of wrestle with.
Steve?
How does topography play into railroads?
Isn't China have a lot of various just tall mountains and such?
Doesn't that make railroads difficult to build?
Yeah, the most, I guess topographically speaking, the most difficult regions are the least populated as a rule.
China is a big country.
I would say the bigger issue for these guys is the advent of roads.
There are just many more roads being built because in the old days, Chinese just didn't have cars.
Now they do.
So the question is, how much of this pass?
passenger traffic is going to divert from railroads to just roads.
Charlie?
I've been keeping my eye on Enernoch, the tickers E-N-O-C.
The stock has been utterly annihilated over the last two years.
It's down 80%.
What I like about the business is that they have technology to make the electric grid more
efficient.
And so particularly in the high peak summer months when everyone is running their air
conditioners, the utilities can either fire up costly backup power plants or they can
use a demand response system from Enternaq to get customers to lower their usage on non-essential
devices to spread the existing power capacity around everybody else. The stock is now trading
at just a buck over tangible book. So it seems like there's a flow here and a lot of upside.
And how will train its topography?
Steve, the words right out of my mouth, my question for you, how long will it be before
I'm generating all the energy I need inside my own home?
Never.
Never.
Unless you're, maybe James could.
Yeah, not you.
It was stationary biking.
Yeah.
All right.
We'll end there.
Charlie Travers, James Early, Brian Gross.
Guys, thanks for being here.
Thanks, Chris.
Thanks to our guest this week.
Vijay Swarren for commentary throughout the week.
Check out our daily podcast, MarketFulery, on iTunes.
That's it for this edition of Motley Full Money.
Our engineer is Steve Broido.
Our producer is Matt Greer.
I'm Chris Hill.
Thanks for listening.
We'll see you next week.
