Motley Fool Money - Motley Fool Money: 05.10.2013
Episode Date: May 10, 2013Whole Foods produces big earnings. Tesla surprises. Groupon delivers. And Facebook eyes the map app Waze. Our analysts discuss those stories and share three stocks on their radar. And Motley Fool I...ncome Investor Advisor Joe Mayger talks about the philsophy behind his top-rated investing newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money.
Welcome to Motley Fool Money. Thanks for being here. I'm your host, Chris Hill,
and joining me in studio this week from Motley Fool 1, Jason Moser,
from Motleyful Income Investor, James Early, and from Fool.com, Matt Koppan-Haffer.
Good to see you guys.
Good to see you, Chris.
Earnings Palozo rolls on. We've got the latest results from Disney, Whole Foods, and
Tesla Motors. Just in time for Mother's Day. One restaurant is making a very, very special offer.
And as always, we've got a few stocks on our radar. But we begin this week with the market in
general. The Dow Index hitting a record high this week, crossing the 15,000 mark.
James, we were joking earlier in the week on Investor Beat when we had our 15,105 special.
But come on, this is America. We love big numbers that end in lots of zeros. But all kidding aside, when you
think about the market hitting a new high, what does that do for your investment thinking?
Well, Chris, what's interesting about this new highs is said not so much because of high
expectations, but because there's not many other places to put to cash. I mean, bonds aren't
any good. People are just fearful. It's kind of like the high school girl who asks out every
guy she knows to go to the prom until someone finally says yes. It's not so much an union
made of passion just because it's more default.
Just settling. I would say practically speaking, though, you don't have to buy the whole market. That's the
beauty of investing. A lot of the larger cap, blue chip names are a little bit rich, but
there are plenty of smaller and more international companies that I see a lot of value in.
Jason, what about you? How are you looking at this?
I mean, I think that James is spot on that I think that the market is really.
With the high school girl analogy?
Well, I mean, to his point there, I think now we really need to look for quality,
so you really want to go after like the prom queen or if you're a girl, the prom king, right?
I mean, you really need to find the quality in these companies, because this rising tide
is lifting all boats. Fixed income is dead for foreseeable future. And really, the market
is the place to go for returns.
And so that's where the money's going.
It's bidding up all of these prices.
Now, it's not to say that some of these companies don't deserve these prices that they're fetching,
but it does make me, it raises the burden for me even more when I see these lofty valuations.
I really, really want to make sure the companies that we're buying into have sustainable ways to make their money.
You see a lot of these dot-com companies that have yet to really prove in sustainable models.
They're fetching some pretty high valuations.
And that's where I would tell people to be very careful.
Matt, you agree with that?
It's one of the weird things about the stock market, right, that people get excited when prices go up and they get depressed when prices go down.
I'm on Banana Republic's email list, and they send me way too many emails.
When I get an email that just says, buy our stuff, I usually don't click through.
When they send me an email that says, we'll give you 30% off, I usually click through, and I'm looking at some stuff.
In the stock market, it's the same thing.
We're looking for sales.
We're looking for lower prices.
When prices go up, eventual returns go down.
But like these guys are saying, if you're looking at some.
look for individual companies, if you look for good deals out there, I think there are still
some that are worth buying into.
Are you a Banana Republic guy in general, like fashion-wise?
You seem pretty fashionable.
I'm thinking about role-modeling you, so I'm asking you.
The Banana Republic clothes fit me.
It's good enough.
It's easy.
I like shopping at places I don't have to think about.
Maybe I'll get on the email list, too.
We need all the help we can get.
All right, let's get to some of those individual companies.
Facebook is reportedly in the final stage of negotiations to acquire ways a GP
GPS software startup company based in Israel. Matt, the price tag is reportedly somewhere in
the neighborhood of $800 million to a billion dollars. That's more than they paid for Instagram.
What do you think about this?
Well, the first thing that comes to my mind is so Facebook now, well, they know who
my friends are, they know who my family is, they know what I like, they have lots of pictures
of me, and now they will know where I am at all times and where I'm going. This is the next
level of creepy here.
Working at Facebook must be a stalker's dream.
I mean, think about that.
I mean, if I were still, oh, okay.
From a business perspective, I think there is, you know, I think there's some good news
in this potential move.
It's kind of a sniper's thing.
They're narrowing down all of the different places that their customers are, that
they're subscribers, the people on Facebook, where they are, what they're doing.
This makes the advertising that much more attractive.
What do you think, Jason?
I was really blown away by just the screenshot I saw of Ways and the little characters
that are in there.
It's like you got the guys with crowns and swords and kind of took me back to King Arthur's
Court there for a minute.
But I have a feeling that when Facebook buys ways, they're actually going to probably change
it immediately to Trafficville or something like that.
Because that's what it strikes me as.
The one thing with Facebook, it's, you know, it's fetches this high multiple, and it's
yet to really prove out its business model.
We're not sure how they're going to be making their money.
Well, I think this is just really another example of how they plan to make it.
their money, they're just going to buy it. So I'm still very skeptical of Facebook as far as its
monetization goes, and I think that today's price still doesn't put me in a range where I'd
feel comfortable buying the stock.
You guys were trying to explain to me ways earlier this morning, and I was just trying
to get it, but I'm not sure I do. It's just like a GPS system where people input things,
right? And then they get Lucky Charm-type feedback if you input a lot. Is that correct?
Right. So it's not just like a Google Maps where you're figuring out the best route
to drive along, it goes one step further to include interactions and engagement with the people
who are driving. I'm not sure how the people who are against texting while driving will feel
about this, but among the features is a police officer spotter so that if you're driving along,
you can press a button and indicate, oh, there's a speed trap right there, and then if I'm driving
a little ways behind you, I'm also going to get the benefit of that input. I think it's also
sort of that garbage in, garbage out mentality. And they're raiding people who are putting in good
information and recognizing you as someone if you put in good information, then maybe you get the
crown or the sword and people will look at you with awe that you're...
And this improves my self-worth as a human being on this planet, right? If I get these charms?
More or less. I mean, you would feel good about you. Okay, okay, okay. Hopefully they integrate it
to the point where then you can take your lucky charms and then go to Farmville and buy a pig
or something like that. Which is what we all want to do at the end of the day. Absolutely.
Just to wrap up on the stock, next week is the one-year anniversary of Facebook's IPO.
And on that opening day, it hit a market cap of just north of $100 billion.
Right now, it's around $65 billion.
Put a timeframe on it.
When do you think this stock is, when do you think this company is going to get back to that
level of valuation?
Is it within the next 12 months?
Is it farther down the line than there?
You know, truthfully, I think it's much farther down the line.
I mean, anything can happen, obviously, the market behaves the way it wants to behave.
But when I look at something like a Facebook, from a longer time perspective, they just
still had not really proven to me beyond a reasonable doubt that they'll be able to sustain
a real money-making model. And so even at today's prices, I'd still stay away.
Yeah, I'm with Matt. They seem like a bunch of obnoxious peeping tombs to me. I mean,
I'm going to say 50% chance. It never goes above 100 billion.
I don't think Matt was actually indicating that. But we'll move on. Microsoft has reportedly
offered $1 billion to Barnes & Noble to buy Nook Media. Microsoft would get the Nook tablets,
e-readers, e-books, and the college book division. Jason shares of Barnes & Noble shot up 24%
on Thursday when this news broke. Is this a good move for either company, for just one of them,
for both? What do you think?
Well, I think that remains to be seen. I think it's probably the most logical deal,
given Microsoft's ties with Barnes & Noble today. But, I mean, the fact still remains that you're
going up against these other big players in the space like Amazon. Amazon, obviously, the number one
player there, and even Apple to a degree. So they've done a great job of getting those devices
in our hands to buy books. And so it kind of gives you sort of a feeling that the physical
bookstore is going away to some degree. I don't know that this really is a good deal for
either squad, but I would have to imagine that Barnes & Noble's investors are more, I guess,
optimistic about it than not, because it does give them a chance at least for potentially Barnes &
Noble to go back to their physical bookstore, which is really their bread and butter.
A person donating all his blood? I mean, what do they have after this is going on?
I was going to say, we talked earlier in the week about this. It seems like at the end of
the day, while Thursday was obviously a great day for Barnes & Noble shareholders, if this deal
gets done, then they're going to have a big pile of cash and a bricks and mortar business.
And I think that those who own Nook devices will probably have some nice paperweights.
But I mean, I think this lends back to what we were talking about earlier in the week with
Microsoft. For a long time, Microsoft was a very innovative company. And they've turned into sort
of this reactive company. They're not very innovative right now. They're not very innovative right now.
They're kind of doing that same thing in trying to buy growth and buy new ways to sort of diversify the business.
And this probably isn't really going to do much to gain share in that e-book segment when you're going up against something like an Amazon already.
I don't know that it really works that well for either one.
Shares of Bank of America hit a two-year high this week when News broke.
The Bank of America and the MBIA reached a $1.7 billion settlement.
James, this stems from the days when MBIA was dealing with Merrill Lynch and Countrywide.
Is Barnes & Noble, is Bank of America anywhere close to the finish line in dealing with just the residual effects of the countrywide acquisition?
Probably close. I mean, the sub 40-minute version, Chris, is that acquisitions don't always work out very well.
These guys bought countrywide indirectly a few years ago, wrote a bunch of garbage loans.
MBI insured these loans, and then that sort of went bad, so they're trying to recoup.
So these guys are settled, but we still have, you know, the U.S. government is suing Bank of America for Fannie.
and Freddie problems.
Bank America's trying to settle with country-wide investors,
some European banks, AIG, they have lawsuits, so we're not done yet.
Is the stock at all attractive?
Obviously, it's at a two-year high, but is it time to jump in?
Yeah, that's not saying much.
I'm still not a buyer at these prices.
Sticking with banks, Matt,
there have been more calls this week for J.P. Morgan to separate the positions of
CEO and chairman.
Both of those positions held by Jamie Diamond right now.
He's feeling more heat.
What do you think? Is this a smart move or is this just people are looking to punish Jamie Diamond for the whole London whale incident last year?
I think it's a little bit of noise. I have this personality where when everybody is of one opinion, I want to automatically be of the other opinion.
So coming out of the financial crisis, everybody loved Jamie Diamond. He was like the greatest banker out there.
And I kind of said, well, there's probably more to the story than that. Since then, we've seen the more to the story. We've had the London whale situation.
We've got this new lawsuit from California. So, Jamie Diamond is not the amazing banker
that people thought he was. But now that everybody's kind of on the anti-Diamond bandwagon,
I'm thinking, you know, he's a good banker, and I don't think there's any reason to split
up these positions.
But as part of him being a good banker, the company he keeps? Because certainly, to go back
to Bank of America, you look at a Brian Moynihan who, charitably, his track record over the last few
years is not that great?
Diamonds over the last few years?
Well, I would say Moynihan.
So if you're Diamond, you're hanging out with the likes of Brian Moynihan.
And once upon a time, Vicram Pandit at Citigroup.
Oh, yeah.
There's not much of a comparison.
And the only really big bank out there that puts Diamond to shame is you've got Wells Fargo
and John Stumpf.
And they put Diamond and J.P. Morgan to shame to a considerable extent.
So it's not a very high hurdle for him.
But he did clear the hurdle.
Great hair, too.
Great hair.
Great hair.
Great hair.
Good hair.
Coming up, some hedge fund managers have been betting heavily against Tesla Motors, and those
hedge fund managers had a really, really bad week.
Stay right here.
This is Motley Fool Money.
Hey, it's Chris here.
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Welcome back to Motley Full Money.
Chris Hill here in studio with Jason Mozer, James Early, and Matt Coppenhefer.
Disney's second quarter profit was up 32%.
I'm going to use the word up a lot, Jason.
Parks and resorts were up, studios were up, media networks up.
shares hitting a new all-time high this week.
And a movie called up, too.
They did once upon a time.
Is there any badness to their quarter?
Well, sure.
I mean, we can always find badness.
I mean, you know, I think that when we talk about really looking for quality companies today with this rising tide, I think Disney stands out as an example of one of those companies that you really want to seek out.
I mean, definitely tremendous global scale.
I mean, you look at the different ways they make their money, and I think that's one of the most attractive parts about the company.
But for the quarter itself, the thing that really stood out to me was the park segment.
It's one of their bigger money makers, but for the longest time, the parks have really had a lot of trouble because they've had to discount tickets to figure out ways to get people in the door.
And because they have so many fixed operating expenses in those parks that have to run no matter what, their operating income in those parks had been low for a number of years now.
But we saw sort of the flip side of that coin that when they're able to bring more people into the door, traffic was up 14%.
Attendance was, or I'm sorry, revenue was up 14%.
Attendance was up 8%.
And spending inside the park was up 10%.
I went to a park this past quarter.
Yes, you did.
My first time ever.
Seven days this guy pulled like a marathon.
Wow.
That's impressive.
That's a bit too long, but I'm sure you probably contributed to these results, James.
But, I mean, I think that's one of the most encouraging parts about Disney.
And I think it speaks a little bit to the general economic recovery as well.
I mean, people are going back out and spending a little bit more money.
We were talking during the break about Bob Iger, the CEO, and what an amazing job he's done over the last few years,
particularly with acquisitions of Pixar and Marvel.
he's going to be in the CEO office for another couple of years. But how soon does he need to start paving the way for his successor? Because somewhere, probably not this year, but certainly in 2014, shareholders are going to want to know who's going to be next.
Yeah, and I'd like to believe they're probably looking at that as we speak. I would think that in 2014, we'll probably get some more clarity as to the strategy there. But you're right. I think that's one of the biggest risks with Disney right now is because Iger has done such a great job with those three.
acquisitions, or at least he's done a great job with it, too. Lucas Films has yet to prove out,
but I think we all are relatively optimistic that it will. I mean, everybody loves Darth Vader.
That said, I mean, I do think that's probably the biggest risk with the company right now,
and we'll probably get some more insight to it in 2014.
Whole Foods' second quarter profit rose 20 percent. Same store sales were up 7 percent.
Stock hit an all-time high, Matt, and they announced a two-for-one stock split.
It really seems like things are going well over at Whole Foods.
Well, Jason was just talking about people.
spending more money and I guess that's definitely the case here. Now I can't actually do all of my
shopping at Whole Foods because they don't have Captain Crunch or Cookie Kris, but people are
definitely, definitely shopping there. One of the things that jumped out at me, interestingly,
Whole Food stores over 15 years old had comp store growth of 5% which I thought was very impressive.
The margins there are just so strong. I mean, the grocery business is such a thin margin
business, you just got to do a ton of volume. Whole Foods just blows away all these other stores.
Mango flash sale.
Mango flash sale, yeah. Do they, when you look at the stock, though, is it a little pricey?
It seems like this might not be the time to jump in. I don't know. I'm a bad one to ask. I get too
focused on numbers like that, on valuations like that, and I'm always saying, oh, it's just a
little bit too expensive, but you end up missing so many good stories, good companies by doing
that.
Just to underscore the power of the brand, Chris, my cholesterol is a little bit high, so I've
been eating oatmeal from Whole Foods in the morning for breakfast.
And shortly before coming into tapia, I was chewing the oatmeal, and I felt something a little
bit hard.
I almost just swallowed it, but I figured I'll see what it is.
It's actually somebody's fingernail.
So I threw that away.
Wow.
But I'm going to go back and get oatmeal again on Monday because I love Whole Foods that much.
Now, are we clear this is a fingernail that didn't come from your house?
It was colored.
It was colored from being heated with the oatmeal.
Oh, man.
Moving on, for the first time in its 10-year history, Tesla Motors has reported a quarterly
profit. They made $11 million in profit in the first quarter. Revenue up 83% from the previous
quarter. Stock up big, James. And those people betting against Tesla had a really bad week.
It was a bad week for them, Chris. But to be fair, this is an overnight success that was
10 years in the making. This is their first profit in 10 years. So the shorts actually had an
understandable case. They didn't win. This was a great.
one. The stock is about a double over the past couple of months. It's gone from four bucks to
eight bucks. I think there used to be 40 percent short interest, which is really, really high.
It's still, it's not in my camp. It's not the kind of stock I would buy, just my style of
investing, but I wouldn't bet against it.
What do you think, Jason, when you look at the stock at an all-time high, again, it seems
like for people who want to go the other direction and say, oh, it's nothing but profitable
quarters from here on in.
Yeah, they're all-time highs that you want to buy into, and the other ones that you want
to run away from. And I think that's a lot of people are going to run away from.
And I think this is one that you probably want to run away from.
It's not to say that Tesla won't be able to succeed.
I think we're all probably rooting for them to a degree.
But as James mentioned, I mean, it was one profitable quarter.
They are going to have to probably raise some more capital here very soon.
So I imagine we'll see a better stock price in the coming months.
In the minute we have left, it's Mother's Day weekend.
And, guys, you could go with the usual cards and flowers and that sort of thing.
But one, all-American restaurant chain wants to welcome mom with open arms.
and I'm referring, of course, to Hooters.
This Mother's Day, Hooters is offering free entrees for mothers who bring their children and buy any drink.
Dave Henninger, the chief marketing officer said,
we know you don't think of Hooters as a typical place to take Mom,
but we want to make it more appealing for Mom to come in.
What do you think, Jay?
I think they can make it really appealing if they offered free photographs with Ricky Bobby to come with your brunch at Hooters.
James, I'm guessing.
Bringing the kid, is this the hard part?
It just seems icky.
wings and orange hot pants. I mean, what is Mother's Day really all about if it's not that?
Wow, when you put it that way, I mean, what's more All-American than that? All right, Matt Koppineff, James Early, Jason Mozer. Guys, we'll see you a little later in the show.
Coming up, we'll head to Sydney, Australia, to catch up with an old friend who just happens to be running the number one investment newsletter service over the last five years.
Uncle Joe Mager is next. This is Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Fool of Money. I'm Chris Hill. For more,
than 30 years, the Holbert Financial Digest has been tracking the performance of investment
newsletters. And over the past five years, the best performing newsletter is Motley Fool Inside
Value, run by our own Joe Maker, who joins me now from Sydney, Australia. Congratulations,
my friend. Thanks. Thanks. Thanks. Well, I've been running it for three, so I can't take all the credit,
but we've had a good run. You can take 60% of the credit. I should point out selfishly,
Hundreds of newsletters tracked. Motley Fool inside value is number one over the last five years.
But right there in the number two spot, Motley Fool Rule Breakers, and in the number six spot,
Motley Full Stock Advisor. So the full universe during quite well when it comes to investing in newsletters.
It's interesting to me that inside value, which focuses on, I always think of it as slightly more conservative,
a little bit, you know, dare I say, stodgy companies. Rule Breakers is more focused on.
on growth stocks and the returns over the last five years have been great for both. Yeah, you know,
I really just think that gets to the kind of the core essence of the full philosophy, honestly,
which is just business focus and long term and contrarian. And, you know, inside value and rule breakers
don't have a lot in common on the surface, but those things run true underneath. And I think that
ultimately we're, you know, we're both looking for ideas that have great payoff potential that is a lot
higher on the upside than it is the downside. It's definitely interesting to see that shakeout. But it's
great. Now, I'm not overly surprised. I'm not surprised that we're posting similar returns. I am
pleasantly surprised with that we're doing. We've seen over the last week the Dow hitting record
highs. Is it harder for you to find good values in the stock market when the Dow is hitting record
highs? Yeah, it is. I'm not one of those value guys, and there are a lot right now who are
freaking out about record high profit margins. That said, I'm just not finding as many good
bottom-up opportunities as we usually do. There are only eight companies on the IB scorecard
selling for below our buy below price today, eight out of 38 recommendations. So just as like a
personal little index I follow, that is a low number. And definitely,
definitely a little bit of a challenge. It's forcing us to dig a little bit deeper. A lot of the
consumer names that, you know, a lot of retail investors are familiar with are very expensive
these days. So that's tricky. I think banks and insurance companies continue to be some of the
only cheap stocks in the market. But yeah, and big tech, a lot of big tech is still cheap. But other
than that, it's really slim pickings out there. It's obviously been a great job. It's obviously been
a great last few years for the stock market in general, but you've had a great run running
Motley Fool inside value. When you're looking to pick stocks, what are one or two things that
you look for that other investors might overlook or just outright ignore?
Well, I think we try and stick with what we're good at, which is analyzing businesses and
not making macro calls. And it seems like most investors, including a lot of value guys, who used
who probably would have described themselves
as being bottom-up fundamentals focused,
business-focused investors,
are suddenly making these complex arcane options trades
and convoluted portfolio decisions
that I think are getting a little bit too cute
and they might be overthinking how this works.
Sometimes it really is just as simple
as finding great businesses and good prices
and having the conviction to buy and hold them.
And that's really just kind of what we're
trying to do is find those businesses and, you know, just to put a little more nuance around
it, I guess, we're, you know, trying to find companies that have durable, competitive
advantages that are actually growing. And it's, there aren't very many companies that fit that
bill, fit that bill, but we're trying to find them. And, you know, companies that can reinvest
in high rates for a long time are incredibly valuable. And oftentimes, they'll end up getting
kicked to the curb when the market does. And I think we saw a lot of that in large, you know,
late 2011 when we got especially aggressive when the market pulled back and that was just a
you know a great time to hop in so focusing on quality focusing on what we're good at being willing
to walk away from industries or companies where it's just too hard for us or we don't feel like we have
an edge and you know honestly i think that's the the recipe for us and we're not the first people
to think of trying to invest that way but that's the playbook we try and follow and it's working
You mentioned financials earlier, and I know that that's an industry that you like to focus on.
And frankly, a lot of people, myself included, stay away from financials.
One of the companies in that universe.
I know that one of the companies in that financial universe that you're a big fan of is Markell, the insurance company.
For those who may not know the story, what is the background?
What's the thumbnail sketch on Markell? And why do you like the stock so much?
So Markell is like a little Berkshire Hathaway, headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
It's my largest personal holding for Time Reconnaissance I value. It's a specialty insurance company.
And they focus on insurance policies that there's not a lot of competition for.
Things like bars or yoga studios or weddings. People need insurance for these things. But there's
not a lot of competition for it, which means that Markell can price pretty aggressively,
and you just kind of have to deal with that. It means they also have a specialization,
or there's not a lot of competition in terms of thinking about what good pricing is.
And so it's a very profitable little niche. They have tons of these little niches.
They bring that money in, and they hand it over to Tom Gaynor, who's their chief investment
officer, is a very savvy value investor himself who invests the money on Markell's behalf.
And it's just kind of a virtuous circle, really, of good underwriting, driving good results,
and then the investing side growing the business as well.
And that's done incredibly well over the long haul.
And right now the shares are pretty out of favor for a couple of reasons.
One is that insurers at large are unpopular these days because interest rates are low
and that's hurting the investment income that they're earning on their float.
So the premiums they've taken in but haven't paid out.
And the second is insurance prices have been really soft for a long time.
And I think that had to do with too much capacity being in the market.
Low rates, not helping in a soft economy.
But right now we're finally seeing rates, insurance prices across the board, starting to increase.
And I think a recent acquisition the Markell did.
They're acquiring a company Altera is going to turn out to be a very smart one.
The market didn't like it.
But I think it will turn out to be a good move because it's going to give them a lot more float to put to work
and diversify the business. So it's one of my favorite little businesses that not too many retail
investors know a lot about. You're listening to Motley Fool Money talking with Joe Maker, the advisor
behind Motley Fool Inside Value, just named the number one performing investment newsletter
over the last five years by Hallberg Financial Digest. You mentioned Markell being a mini
Berkshire Hathaway. Last week, you attended the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting out in Omaha.
What was the big headline as far as you were concerned coming out of that meeting?
Oh, I think Berkshire and Buffett both still have it.
You know, I've been to a few of these now, and it's so interesting to see the energy level that Warren and Charlie bring to the show.
And it really is a show.
I mean, these guys just come out.
They're so energized.
And so is the crowd.
You've got a stadium full people, 30,000 people all there to hear two old guys talk and answer questions.
And I never fail to be amazed that at the end of the day,
I'm the exhausted one, and they are just still rattling off answers and facts from very deep
memories.
And, you know, they're very smart guys.
Obviously, they're both in their late 80s, and they're not going to be running the business
for that much longer.
And I think it's important to take a grounded perspective with that.
That said, I think the meeting is a great reminder of the culture that Berkshire and Buffett
have set in place and the quality of the businesses that they have and their ability to
keep generating strong returns over a long time. And I think if you're a Berkshire investor,
you've got to feel good about that. I mean, ultimately, you're talking about a company,
Berkshire, that's a parent company of dozens of smaller ones that are handpicked from history's
greatest investor, specifically looking for ones with durable competitive advantages that are
built to last. And when you think about it through those terms, I certainly feel like Berkshire
investors should feel comfortable about life in a post-Buffett era. And I'm a large, or Berkshire
is a large position for me at least. And I certainly feel good about it. We had a bunch of people
from The Motley Fool attending the event, including your colleague in Australia, Scott Phillips.
One of the things Scott said that he was hoping to hear Buffett announce another acquisition.
Obviously, the Heinz acquisition is the most recent one. And Buffett said to criticism that maybe
he overpaid for Heinz that, no, it fit his model of this is a good.
great company at a fair price. But as Scott noted, it really wasn't the kind of discount that
Buffett got in the early years. And I'm wondering, you know, what you think about whatever comes next,
because Scott was thinking that the next deal that gets made is either going to be a return to,
oh, this is Buffett getting another great deal at a discount sort of thing, or it is going to
be sort of in that mode of the hind where whatever you think of the business, he definitely, he
definitely paid a little bit more than he was able to pay in the past. First, do you agree with that?
And second, is that something that it all concerns you? Yes, I agree, but no, I'm not concerned.
I think Buffett, and I actually had a chance to ask him about this a couple years ago with my one
shining moment of getting to talk to him. I asked him about hurdle rates and how he thinks about
required returns. And he is very upfront about he doesn't have a specified target. He's trying to hit.
He's just trying to put capital into the market or a business or any market that's going to deliver the best return to him over time.
And right now, you're in a very low-yield environment.
Stocks aren't especially cheap.
And so when you look at the Heinz deal, is it a home run?
No.
But is it a much better use of cash than just sitting in the bank for Berkshire?
Absolutely.
I think that if we ran back to a 2008-2009 kind of scenario again, and hopefully we don't get there,
but if we did, Berkshire would be in a very good position to put capital to work just like it did then,
you know, essentially bailing out GE, Goldman Sachs, and getting some very nice plum warrants in the process of Bank of America too.
And, you know, that's the benefit of having a giant balance sheet and the ability and willingness to put money to work.
work quickly. And I think that, you know, in a post-Buffet world, Berkshire's going to lose having the
face of value at the top of the company and that Buffett trademark that really was valuable
during the financial crisis. That said, I think that when times get tight, Berkshire still is
going to be a first phone call for people who are looking for capital and mass quantities. And I think
that Buffett's successors are still going to be guys willing to write those checks. So as long as they
take that mentality, I think that they'll keep being the beneficiary of being kind of a
lender of last resort in the private markets.
You're listening to Motley Fool Money talking with Joe Maker, the advisor behind Motley Fool
Inside Value. And now also, one of the advisors behind the Motley Fool Hidden Gem Service
in Australia. You've been in Australia for a couple of months, and you and I were talking
recently about how your investing view has been altered somewhat now that you're not in
the States. And it seems to me like...
Like, you're spending more time, maybe more so than ever before, looking at smaller companies,
small caps to maybe even microcaps.
Is that just sort of the nature of the beast of the investing life in Australia?
Yeah.
Well, large caps in Australia are very expensive.
I recently did the whole evaluation work here, just breaking down the market.
And the top 20% of companies here sell at about two times book value, and the bottom 20%, sell about 1.2.
that's a pretty huge disparity.
Now, sure, the larger companies generally are higher quality,
but not that much higher quality, and that's a massive gap.
Like a lot of markets that aren't as fully developed as the U.S., I'd say,
none are as fully developed as the U.S.,
but there's not as much interest in kind of the middle market
and smaller market companies that get a lot more attention in the U.S.
And part of the reason is there's just not as much institutional investor demand,
and there's frankly just not as much research.
So there's a lot less competition among small caps,
which is true in any market, but especially here.
So that's where I've been poking around,
spend a lot of my time, and it's been fun.
I mean, you will come across a lot of different business models here,
just like working in any foreign market that you're not used to at home.
And it's interesting to kind of take some of the models of working in the U.S.
and applying them in a different place
and seeing what works and what doesn't.
But, yeah, for right now, I'm looking at very small, occasionally dirty companies.
Dirty value. You've never been a dirty value in the past.
No. Moving away from investing, what has it been like living in Australia? What's been maybe the biggest surprise so far just on the personal front?
Well, everything is really expensive, which I knew it would be.
Sydney is a very pricey town. The weather is as great as advertised.
the people are as friendly as advertised.
It's been a lot of fun.
My wife and I just went for a stroll earlier today
and couldn't, I don't know,
just couldn't believe how nice it is in Sydney.
It's just a lovely town, and we're very happy to be here.
And I guess that, I don't know, it's kind of the overwhelming thing.
I love D.C. I miss D.C.,
but it's very nice to be somewhere where it's constantly warm,
and people are friendly.
Give me one tourist tip on the off chance that I'm able to weasel my way out of the office and get a ticket to Sydney, Australia, for anyone who's going.
What is one or two must-do's whether it's a place to visit or a cuisine to sample?
What's high up that list?
Well, the Asian food here is fantastic, especially in Chinatown.
That would be one.
another is that you can take the ferry here, and it's part of, it's an extension of what amounts
to the subway system, and you can take that through Sydney Harbor, and it's more or less
like taking a water taxi, only it's not designed for that, but that's what it is, and so you can
just see amazing views of the bridge and the opera house, and it's pretty cost-effective, and it gets
you around town. It's very nice.
Halbert Financial Digest named Motley Fool Inside Value, the best performing investment newsletter
of the past five years. Keep up to great work, Joe. Thanks for being here.
Thanks, Chris. Anyone looking to kick the tires on Inside Value, just to check it out, take a free trial,
go to insidevalue.com.
Coming up, we'll give you a look at the stocks on our radar. This is Motley Fool Money.
As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about, and the Motley Fool may have
formal recommendations for it again. So don't buy ourselves stocks based solely on what you hear.
I'm Chris Hill, joining me in studio once again, Jason Moser, James Early, and Matt Koppenhafer.
Time for the Stock Center on our radar this week. We'll bring in our man Steve Brodow from
the other side of the glass. I know he probably wanted to get in on the Hooters conversation,
but we just... No, I didn't.
We did. He'll hit you with a question. Matt Koppenhafer, what is your stock this week?
So I spent the weekend last weekend with Joe Maeger of our Inside Value service at the
Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting. We did.
most of are talking about Berkshire, but Joe is a big fan of Amazon.com.
This is just a, it's a fantastic business, and it's about where roughly 50% of my paycheck goes.
I am not an owner of Amazon.com.
I am a numbers value kind of guy.
And I'm revisiting, revisiting this stock, revisiting this company.
I think this is one that I might like to own.
And the ticker symbol?
AMZN.
Steve, question about Amazon?
I am an Amazon Prime customer, so I subscribe to their Prime service.
And do you feel like it's slipping lately?
I feel like they were really fired up to send me my stuff real fast,
and I feel like they're just kind of letting it go lately.
This will throw myself under the bus.
I order so much from Amazon that I forget what I order.
And as everything arrives, it's just a great surprise every time.
As a longtime shareholder, I can say you are a dream customer.
So thank you for that.
Is it possible, Steve, you're just raising your expectations?
It could be that, too. I don't know.
James, what about you?
I'm going with Bright Burn Energy Partners.
This is an oil and gas business.
It's a master limited partnership.
It's about as exciting as it sounds.
They own and lease oil and gas companies.
Their fortunes are going to rise and fall with oil and gas prices, but they do hedge a lot.
The key point here is they pay a 10% dividend yield.
It's very hard to get a 10% dividend yield in this market.
So if you like a 10% dividend yield, BBEP.
Can I trust that dividend yield for how long?
It's pretty good.
Anything that high is not guaranteed, right?
But it's more solid than others.
So it's like a six out of ten.
It's got the James Early pretty good stamp of approval, so I think we all know what
that's worth.
Jason, we've got about a minute left.
Okay, so I don't think you really need.
This doesn't really apply to Mother's Day brunch at Hooters, but I think in many restaurants
nowadays you need to get a reservation, and I'm finding that I'm making more reservations,
which has opened my eyes to open table.
So I'm looking into this business a little bit more.
I like the fact that they're getting themselves installed in these restaurants with their
electronic reservation booking system, and they make money from...
selling the software to the restaurant, to providing the service, to getting a scrape off of every
reservation that's placed, and they continue to grow their base of restaurants that they're in.
So between North America and the rest of the world, this is a company that's going to, I think,
continue to grow over time.
And the ticker?
The ticker is O-P-E-N.
Steve?
Last time you used Open Table.
Actually, about an hour ago to make reservation for Mother's Day brunch.
He's talking his book.
All right.
That does it for this week.
James Early.
Matt Coppenhever.
Jason Moser, guys.
Thanks for being here.
Thank you, Chris.
Thanks, Chris.
Our engineer is Steve Roido.
Our producer is Matt Greer.
I'm Chris Hill.
Thanks for listening.
We'll see you next week.
