Motley Fool Money - Motley Fool Money: 05.20.2011

Episode Date: May 19, 2011

LinkedIn has a big debut on Wall Street. Abercrombie & Fitch, Deere & Company, Dell, and Limited Brands report strong earnings. General Mills loads up on yogurt. And McDonald's responds to critics cal...ling for Ronald McDonald to retire. Our analysts discuss those stories and share some stocks on their radar. Plus, we talk about the business of competition and the business of Jersey Boys with Todd Buchholz, author of Rush: Why You Need and Love the Rat Race. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:20 Thanks for being here. I'm your host, Chris Hill, and I'm joined by Motley Fool Senior Enlist, Seth, Jason, James Early, and Ron Gross. Guys, good to see you as always. Good to see you, Chris. We've got earnings from Dell, HP, Limited Brands, and more. We've got the economics of a hit broad, way show. And as always, we've got a few stocks on our radar. But guys, tonight we're going to party like it's
Starting point is 00:01:40 1999. On Thursday, LinkedIn, the business social networking site went public. The stock was priced at $45 a share and had more than doubled before noon. Ron Gross, I will start with you. Is LinkedIn's business that promising, or are we seeing a repeat of the famous dot-com bubble of 1999? Well, my friend, I'm going to much of your surprise. I am going to present a balanced view for a moment. Okay. The positives. Boring.
Starting point is 00:02:10 First mover advantage, really first in this business. Three sources of revenue, growing very fast. Q1 revenue is up 110 percent, 100 million members. Profitable in 2010, $15 million of profit on $243 million in revenue. Cash flow positive. Not so bad, right? Not so bad. All right.
Starting point is 00:02:30 Went public at $4.5 billion. Okay. $45 a share. That was approximately 15 times sales, 42 times cash flow. So double all that. Not cheap in it of itself, okay? Now we're at, what, $100 a share, $110 a share, depending on where the stock is. So we're at 36 times sales, 100 times cash flow.
Starting point is 00:02:52 Perspecta says the company's not going to be profitable in 2011. Profit, Schmoffett. Okay, right. Who cares about profits? It's an exciting company. That's what I care about. We're talking about valuation. We're in the infancy.
Starting point is 00:03:02 We're in the infancy of professional networking in the social media context, right? We have a lot of potential competitors out there. This company has to achieve growth rates that are very significant for years to come to grow into that valuation. It was one thing at $4.5 billion, a $10,11 billion. You're saying in order to support that valuation. Clearly, if all you do is hope to make some money off the rubs, you just get in now and then get out the door first. Isn't that how investing always works?
Starting point is 00:03:30 Not here at the Motley Fool. James, what do you think? You know, LinkedIn has, what, 100 million users now? So I wonder how fast a competitor could actually come in and take that share. That, to me, means a lot. And Facebook obviously has, what, $600 million? So they could launch some sort of a business version of this. But I'm stuck...
Starting point is 00:03:47 All they have to do is take out the nude picture side. Well, that's the thing. I don't want somebody seeing me at the bikini party, you know, as I'm applying to it, not that I go to bikini parties, but as I'm applying to a job. I mean... What is a bikini party? I don't even know. I just made that up.
Starting point is 00:03:59 It sounded like something to be fun to go to. I'll tell you guys about that off the air later. You mentioned Facebook. What do you think the people at Facebook were thinking as they watched shares of LinkedIn? I'm rubbing my hands together greedily. First they're thinking, chiching. Second, they're thinking it's pretty easy for us to make a protected version where the junk doesn't go in and do the same thing as this. If you're LinkedIn, are you just excited about how your IPO has gone?
Starting point is 00:04:27 Or are you, on some level, bummed? because with the share prices shooting up that much, you left a lot of money on the table, Ron. CNBC asked the CEO that question today on TV, and he handled it pretty beautifully saying, you know, we can't worry about the stock. We've got to execute on our business plan. We went public. Great. Now we've got to get down to business and execute on our plan. That's the right answer. Behind closed doors, you know, I don't know. If your banker comes into you and says, you know, we want to take you public at, you know, 15 times sales, that's one thing. If it comes in and says 30 times sales, there's got to be some semblance here. They've got to come in with a model that at least looks reasonable. Otherwise,
Starting point is 00:05:09 they get laughed out of the room. And remember, they're selling the stock to some of their clients as well. So they can't leave their clients holding the bag or that has repercussions as well. That's the whole thing. It's their job. Their job isn't to figure out what the company is worth, right? Let's be honest. Their job is to figure out what the rubs are going to pay for the company. So, well, theoretically, the supply and demand for a stock should be based on what the company worth. But as we know, it doesn't always work that way. I wish that was one of those robs who got in. So to bring it back around to the great business leader, Prince, who once famously said, life is just a party and parties weren't meant to last, Ron, it sounds like
Starting point is 00:05:41 you're saying LinkedIn's party is not going to last. I go on the record. It's so crazy to say that $45 seems perfectly reasonable now, but that's only in the context of $110 stock, right? I think 110 seems a little bit higher to me. But I did read an article this morning that said, LinkedIn will be worth $20,000. billion five years down the road. All right, let's move on to a tale of two tech giants. Dell and Hewlett Packard. We'll start with Dell.
Starting point is 00:06:07 Shares of Dell rose when the company reported better than expected earnings this week. Dell's profit nearly tripled in its latest quarter. James Early, how is Dell turning things around? Well, Chris, Dell had pretty decent operating margins, partly from cost savings, partly from business sales, which is very profitable. But I will, just as somebody who's seeing the glass half empty, the elephant in the room, or the elephant no longer in the room, I could say, is the PC. PCs have evolved these days, my Dell laptop, notwithstanding. Oh, God, let's not talk about how bad their computers are.
Starting point is 00:06:39 Exactly. I mean, these days you either have to be cool or cheap, or both, like Ron. So the, I'm just kidding, we're all pretty cheap here. So the in-betweenes like Dell and HP are suffering. Last time you come to one of my bikini parties. On the PC end, you know, ironic that Dell got started sort of the no-name IBM clone company, and now it's being sort of out-Delled by other companies as well as just facing laptop, excuse me, netbook demand, iPad demand, and just weak demand and PCs.
Starting point is 00:07:07 I'd love to believe that this was a better story, but Dell has not managed to compete in any of the Slicker consumer devices. I know that, you know, they made one Windows phone, which was well liked by the business reviewers, kind of a business-oriented one, but I don't think it has sold squat. I just don't see them competing in tablets or anywhere else. And that is where the sort of wild growth potential is. And, you know, that's a toss-up for Android, for, I think, cheaper Android tablets, and then it's Apple's game to lose. On the flip side, shares of Hewlett Packard fell after the company reduced its outlook for the year
Starting point is 00:07:44 and warned of weaker results in the current quarter. Things are really pretty shaky over at HP, James. Yeah, the same sort of stuff applies with HP as to some extent of the weaker PC sales to the Japan. On earthquake, they cited, is the big thing. But HP is forecasting lower on the business front. And that, to me, is interesting because that's sort of where Dell is increasingly starting to put his chips. So we'll see who's right.
Starting point is 00:08:06 I think to remember is that maybe nine months ago or sooner or more recently than that, we were saying exactly the opposite. HP was eating Dell's lunch. And one of the broader lessons to draw from this is that, you know, last week, people were looking at the Cisco earnings and trying to call these big companies bellwethers just by judging the entire climate of the industry based on one company's results. And you can't do that. Sometimes you can, but not all the time. And the other sort of bit of palace intrigue with HP was the fact that they moved up their earnings conference call by two days because an email that
Starting point is 00:08:43 the CEO had sent internally got leaked out to the public. As an investor, is that as troubling, more troubling? That's the sort of thing where I just... It's a giant company. People are going to leak. Yeah, but I don't know. That just strikes me as, you know, you know, don't have your own house in order. And if you don't do that, then how can you be managing your business well? I don't see a pattern of that. If there was a pattern, perhaps, a one-off type thing doesn't concern me too much. And finally, the big macro this week, guys, there are two stories that are getting a lot of attention. And I want to talk about them in the context
Starting point is 00:09:13 of what they really mean for investors. One, which was earlier in the week, the U.S. government officially hit the $14.3 trillion debt ceiling. Seth, how much much does that matter to investors? It's a story we've certainly heard about a lot at the beginning of the week. We're going to continue to hear about it through the summer. Well, to judge by bond prices, it doesn't matter at all to investors. And investors pretty much believe that the clowns in Congress are using this to further their political aims. The fact of the matter is, is this debt ceiling is crazy anyway because the members of Congress and the Senate, they've already voted to spend this money. So then to turn around and say, we've voted to spend it, but we're not going to
Starting point is 00:09:55 to borrow what it takes to get the money is, it makes absolutely no sense. And so both sides are kind of using its posturing. They're trying to appeal to their bases. But when, you know, when the real deadline comes, they're going to have to lift the debt ceiling or we're going to be in some serious trouble. Ron? Yeah, I completely agree with that. We've raised the debt ceiling 74 times since 1962, 10 times since 2001. It's going to be raised again. It's just a bunch of posturing. It's a waste of time. We unfortunately for this country have no choice. The alternatives to not raising the ceiling are pretty devastating. And so let's just get it done. And let's point out that other countries don't even have such a thing as a debt ceiling. The amount of debt that the country
Starting point is 00:10:37 takes out is determined by the amount of spending that is passed in a legislative process. We're one of the only ones, maybe the only one that I can think of, the only civilized country that does this twice. The other big story in terms of global finance, It was about Dominique Strauss-Kahn, the head of the IMF. He's been accused of sexual assault. He has stepped down from that position. Ron, a lot of hyperbole this week, frankly, you hear some commentators out there saying this is going to have a huge ripple effect in terms of global finance, in terms of the potential bailout for Greece. This could be the death of the euro. In your opinion, how much does it matter to investors who the head of the IMF even is? I don't think a lot. I've read some articles that says he's really been the glue that has helped to strike some deals. I don't really think that matters, as my colleague Tim Hanson mentioned earlier in the week.
Starting point is 00:11:31 The IMF is a very bureaucratic organization filled with just that bureaucrats. And who really is at the head? I don't see it as being a big deal. Coming up, there was a public outcry this week for a world-famous business icon to retire. I'm talking, of course, about Ronald McDonald. Details coming up. This is Motley Fool Money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here in the studio with Seth Jason, James Early, and Ron Gross. Guys, a lot of companies reporting earnings this week. Let's start with limited brands. First quarter earnings grew nearly 50 percent, and the company raised its guidance for the rest of the year.
Starting point is 00:12:11 Limited Brands is the parent company of Victoria's Secret. Seth, this was your stock for Mom for Mother's Day. What did you think of the latest quarter? Still so creepy. Hey, they are doing things the old-fashioned way at limited brands. They are selling lots of dirty underwear and a lot of lotion and soap for people to wear and use. Those two Bath and Body Works and the Victoria's Secret are just continue to knock it out of the park. The comp sales are amazing, and that's how you drive profit increases like that in this business.
Starting point is 00:12:42 The rest of their limited number of brands actually had a comp sales decline, not so great. But they pretty much only need those two cash cows, and they keep going. Second quarter profits for deer in company were up 65 percent, and the company predicted strong sales growth for the rest of its fiscal year. Ron Gross, you're buying lots of farm equipment lately? What's going on? They're knocking it out of the park. Not as sexy as limited brands, for sure. Definitely not. You've never seen the truckers have. As we've discussed on the show, actually, quite a bit,
Starting point is 00:13:12 they're benefiting from higher crop prices around the world. Farmers are increasing their purchases of tractors, harvesting equipment, and the company is definitely the beneficiary of that. Margins were a little weak, actually. Stock actually went down slightly on this great news. One, because margins were a little weak, two, because people wanted great, not just good. But as a lot of companies now, their costs are higher from things like steel, and a lot of their raw material costs are higher. And they had a product mix that brought margins down a little bit less than expected, but companies doing a fantastic job.
Starting point is 00:13:46 Could you ever be a farmer run? I could so not be a farmer. I can't picture you on a tractor, but I'm trying to. Such an outdoor guy. I prefer to be in a restaurant at all time. Overalls, no shirt maybe? No, that's not me. Bad week for Staples, the office superstore reported weak earnings and cut its outlook for the year.
Starting point is 00:14:06 James Early, shares dropped 15% on Wednesday. Two billion worth a market cap, just gone. What is happening? That's a lot of market cap. The industry has been bloated. I mean, do we really need one or two? actually three office supply of super stores. I don't know. It's sort of like how a punch hurts worse when you're expecting it, though, versus when it's a surprise. So the actual results were not that
Starting point is 00:14:26 bad. Revenues were actually up 2%. Margins shrank just like a little bit. The company did lower its full-year forecast just slightly, but you wouldn't think that these things would merit like a, you know, 15, 16% correction unless the market is sort of expecting the beginning of a landslide here. So to go back to your punch analogy, investors were expecting to get punched? I think investors were because this is like this industry was just, you know, it was just bloated. And we're talking a while ago, do people really buy this much office stuff? I don't go to Staples at all anymore. I remember there was a time when I used to go there for stuff. And pretty much everything I needed, like pens and little note pads and all that stuff, like a smartphone and a laptop takes care of all of that.
Starting point is 00:15:07 And I wonder if that's not the case for a lot of other potential customers. And this is all commodity stuff. I mean, do I need to go there to handle the merchandise when I buy paper clips or? Or folders, and I just order it on the Internet if I need that. So do you think this isn't just about Staples? You think we're moving to a world where places like Staples and Office Depot and those types of companies are just less relevant? The market seems to think so. And I would have, I mean, over time, yeah.
Starting point is 00:15:32 Abercrombie and Fitch had a fierce first quarter. Net income was $25 million. That's compared to a loss a year ago. Seth, Abercrombie, they're getting it done overseas, aren't they? They are. Their overseas sales are shooting up. Their online sales are doing well, but they're also just putting a good same store sales growth together and pretty much each one of their concepts. And, you know, even I caved. I said I would never shop there, but I went there the other day for, you know, the first baby thong for my two-year-old even. I just, I had to do it. I'm calling social services. No, because that was the whole thing where they were, we talked about that before, where they were selling their padded push-up. up bikini bra for girls eight to 14. It's very strange.
Starting point is 00:16:18 I wonder if that kind of bad press doesn't help them because this is a strange situation. I've been talking for a while on the radio show now about what I see is the bifurcation of consumer behavior in the U.S., and I hope I'm using that word correctly and don't sound like an illiterate. But what I mean is there are people spending money on the high end and at the low end Abercrombie is one of the more expensive brands, and they seem to be doing well. but oddly enough, a lot of the lower-priced teen retailers I follow are not doing very well right now. And so we may be in the odd situation where at a point in the economy, perhaps,
Starting point is 00:16:51 where the people without money just aren't spending at all, and the people with money are wasting it at Abercrombie. You're listening to Motley Full Money, Chris Hill, Seth Jason, James Early, and Ron Gross, as we hit some of the big business headlines of the week. Guys, this week more than 550 health professionals and organization signed an open letter to McDonald's, asking the company to stop marketing junk food to kids and to retire Ronald McDonald. In response, the CEO defended the company's right to advertise to children and said that parents are responsible for deciding what to feed their kids. Ron?
Starting point is 00:17:25 Lighten up. That's what I say. Retire Ronald McDonald? Come on. I have kids. I have a 10-year-old and a 13-year-old. We haven't eaten at McDonald's in years. You don't have to eat there if you don't want to. Ronald McDonald is an American icon. Leave the poor guy alone. I agree. Get rid of Ronald, but not because of the food he's selling, because he's not a dude. Get rid of him because he's the only guy out there with hair worse than Donald Trump. But otherwise, really, McDonald's, we go to McDonald's when we're on the road because it's fairly reliable. And you can get healthy food at McDonald's. I don't think people have a lot to complain about. You can eat the fatty stuff or you can eat some of the healthy choices. Like the one salad they offer? No, they have a bunch of salads. They have a bunch of different stuff that is far less fat and a lot less sodium.
Starting point is 00:18:07 I actually, I mean, I'm actually surprised that more people don't eat it when I'm there, but it is there. In other McDonald's news this week, guys, Don Gorski of Wisconsin hit a milestone by eating his 25,000 Big Mac. McDonald's honored the 57-year-old Gorski who says he plans on eating Big Macs until he dies, which, you know. Could be soon if he keeps you eating. Big Macs. If you had to take a page out of the Don Gorski Diet Playbook and you're eating 25,000 of something, and it's got to be a prepared item from a restaurant. Ron, what are you going with? I've mentioned my love of this before on the show. I love Chick-fil-A sandwiches. You thought I was going to say banana cream pie. I thought you were going to say Cineabon, because I know you were saying. No, no. I think I could eat 25,000 chick-fellet sandwiches over 39 years. No problem.
Starting point is 00:18:57 James, I know this is going to be tough for you. Yeah, I'm a healthy guy. I do like bean burritos, but I'm married. So I might say, I like omelets also. All right. Any place in particular? Silver diner. It's a local chain near here. All right. I think I've already eaten 25,000 Jimmy John's turkey sandwiches, because it's about the only choice we have around here for lunch.
Starting point is 00:19:20 Chipotle, please open a store here. All right, Seth Jason, James Early, Ron Gross. Guys, we'll see you later in the show. Coming up a conversation on why the rat race is better for you And how you can learn a lot from a dead CEO. Stay right here. This is Motley Full Money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money.
Starting point is 00:19:54 I'm Chris Hill. Do you think that getting out of the rat race is the key to happiness? Our guest this week says you might want to think again. Todd Buckholt is a former White House director of economic policy. He's also managed a $15 billion hedge fund and been an economics professor at Harvard. He's the author of numerous books, and his latest is Rush, Why You Need and Love the Rat Race. Todd, welcome to Motley Fool Money. Oh, good to be with you.
Starting point is 00:20:20 So why do we need the rat race? Because if we... But don't we need to, you know, kick back and relax now and then and, you know, maybe take a page of Europe's handbook and, you know, take an entire month off in the summer? Europe's handbook. Look, let me tell you, some fascinating studies have been done recently. Comparing six Europe and North America, certain countries, for instance, the people retire, and in the U.S. and Denmark and some other countries, people tend to work well into their 60s.
Starting point is 00:21:08 Well, the researchers gave simple mental ability tests to these 60-somethings. They would name of 10 objects, an Apple, a chair, a cost, thought. And then they'd ask the participants those items to repeat back. Well, what do you know? In those countries where people step out of the rat race and retire early, they lose the ability to perform those simple tasks. The French and Austrians think they'll spend their retirement years doing crossword puzzles at cafes, and they can't even find the cafe on the map anymore. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. Our guest is Todd Buckholtz, author of the new book, Rush, Why You Need and Love the Rat Race.
Starting point is 00:21:49 All right, let me spot you up with a couple of the ideas in the book and have you elaborate on them. One of them is that competition within companies is actually great for morale. David Mamet's movie, Glenn Gary, Glenn Ross. Remember Alec Baldwin stands there with his brass balls? And what did he say? First prize, the Cadillac, second prize, steak knives, third prize, you're fired. Third prize is you're fired. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:22:18 Well, I mean, that's berating, that's emasculating, that's humiliating. That's not the kind of competition that can be constructive. you do need competition within a group. In Rush, I talk about General Motors. General Motors was a great company once upon a time when its individual divisions competed against each other. When the Pontiac dealer wanted to coax you over from the old automobile lot, when the cars were distinctive.
Starting point is 00:22:47 But what happened during the 1970s, GM started falling apart. Why? Because the division stopped competing. Cadillac owners would open the hoods of their car and discover what? Oldsmobile engines, Pontiac engines inside. And GM became more homogenized, and it lost the fighting spirit. So you need that. You need competition within an organization. And one of the other ideas is, I love this, never let the ninth place team take home a trophy. Yes, you know, I have three daughters. And when my middle daughter, Catherine, was, in kindergarten, she would be a good. I'm not one of those fiendish fanatical parents
Starting point is 00:23:28 chasing my kids around to make sure they're the best on the team. And Catherine was a perfectly competent, fun player. She enjoyed the game. Well, one day my mother, Catherine's grandmother, came to the game and asked Catherine, Catherine, what's the score? And little Catherine looks up, says, Grandma, we're not allowed to keep score, but it's three to two. So you can try, you can fool the kids. You can, you can discourage them, you can make them feel that winning and losing doesn't matter, but how does that set them up for life? You're listening to Motley Fool Money talking with Todd Buckholt. His new book is Rush, why you need and love the rat race. Todd, one of the things we do here at the Motley Fool is
Starting point is 00:24:09 we study companies, we study businesses and business leaders. I want to ask you about another book that you've written, which is entitled New Ideas from Dead CEOs. You profile a number number of CEOs. I want to spot you up with a couple of names and sort of get your take on a business lesson that we can take away from that CEO. And I want to start with Sam Walton. Ah, yes. Well, you know, Sam Walton once, Sam Walton obviously is fiercely interested in learning everything he could about the business. So he would go into the Price Club and he would start interviewing the stock boy and say, gee, you know, how do you decide how high to pile the shirts or the laundry detergent? Well, after a while, Saul Price, the head of the Price Club,
Starting point is 00:25:11 later became a friend of Sam Walton. So what the heck is this guy doing in my stren? And it turned out, you know, Sam Walton was just ferociously interested in doing his business ever better. And he would go anywhere and had conviction that he could learn from anyone, that he could learn from the lowly stock boy, he'd hang out in the back, the loading docks, to interview the truck drivers. You know, he was less interested in interviewing the Harvard MBA and more interested in talking to the guy who got his hands dirty to figure out how he could have a leaner inventory system. What about Esté Lauder?
Starting point is 00:25:48 Brilliant woman, Estée Lauder. Look, Estée Lauder was, she wanted to sell to the wealthy and the ultra-wealthy, Trish and Noble, in fact, the closest she came to being queens. You know, that's how royal she was. But she knew how to target her audience, and she fought to get into Saks Fifth Avenue. And finally, when the managers relented and said, all right, you've been so, you've been such a pest, we will give you a little booth here. I don't want it over there.
Starting point is 00:26:35 I want it there. And they said, what do you mean? She said, I've been walking into your store, store. your customers and marking down exactly which way they turn when they walk through those front doors, and I know they turn right, and that's where I need to be. So, you know, she was brilliant, and she was original. One more CEO I want to ask you about, and that's Ray Kroc. Yes, Ray, Ray Kroc was not the first guy to come up with the idea of a national franchise for food.
Starting point is 00:27:10 He wasn't the first guy to come up with the idea of hamburger. nation-wide. He wasn't the first guy to come up with the idea of McDonald's. He bought the idea from the McDonald's brothers. And at that point, Ray Croc was well into his 50s. But Ray Kroc succeeded where others didn't, and it had to do with how he treated his partners. Competitors at the time, I believe was owned by general equipment. They would bring in a new franchisee, and they'd say, all right, first you're going to buy our ovens. That'll cost you this. Now, you're going to buy the uniforms. Now the napkins, now the mustard, now the bread rolls, and so before you knew it, the franchisee was so deep into debt, he'd never make back the money.
Starting point is 00:27:56 Well, Ray Crock turned this model on his head. Ray Crock said, literally, he said, you will become a millionaire before I become a millionaire. And Ray Crock sold the products or worked in partnership so that these folks were not indebted to him in order to buy the ingredients. Ray Kroc sold it at cost or accessed it for them at cost. This, by the way, was a lesson that was lost on Krispy Kreme Donuts more recently. Oh, yeah. Fabulous IPO, and then they fell apart like somebody stomped on a jelly donut. Why?
Starting point is 00:28:30 It was because they lost the lesson of Ray Kroc. It was about how the central office treated the franchisees. You're listening to Motley Full Money talking with Todd Buckholtz, author of the new book, Rush, Why You Need and Love the Rat Race. Before we wrap up, Todd, with a round of buy-seller hold, I want to ask you about one other business venture of yours, and that is you're the co-producer of one of the biggest hits on Broadway. That's Jersey Boys. This is a big Tony Award-winning show. How did you get involved with that?
Starting point is 00:29:04 And without going into too much detail, because I don't want to delve into your pocketbook. But how profitable is a hit Broadway show? it's a relatively small cast. You compare that to other amazingly successful shows. I got involved because I've written one knowledge in D.C. to San Diego some years ago. My wife had been the general. She took a job managing La Jolla Playa Incubated that show. So I got involved early on as an angel investor, and my wife, of course, was the manager of the theater.
Starting point is 00:30:13 Has that been your best investment? I think in terms of rate of return, it probably has been the best investment I can think of offhand. And by the way, I refer to it in rush because in that show towards the end, Frankie Valley says this. He says, they asked you, what was the high point, Jerry? It was all great, he said. But what was the greatest? It was the four guys under a street lamp when it was all still ahead of us. That was the sweetest moment.
Starting point is 00:30:51 And likewise, my point in rush is that it is not the final accomplishment. You know, it's not the plaque you get or the big retirement IRA or 401K you've amassed. What gives you the excitement and the pleasure is the anticipation, and that's what our brains are involved to do, to take on new risks, to take on new projects. And that's how amid this complicated thing called human life, we can grab some slivers of happiness. All right, time to wrap up with a round of buy-seller hold. Let's start with Buy-Seller Hold, the leadership style of Steve Jobs. Bye.
Starting point is 00:31:27 You're a fan. Of course, I'm a festive job. He's remade my life. I never kept my calendar on my phone when I had some of his competitors. Look, think about this, Steve Jobs in competition. Obviously, he's a very competitive kind of guy. But imagine when Steve Jobs is deciding which features should be on the next iPad. you know what kind of video or what kind of new audio or what sort of you know other functions
Starting point is 00:31:55 it should have he has teams of people reporting to him who are vying who are battling to get their idea and their function so he's created a system so successful not simply because of his judgment in what might work best or be most popular or most slick but his judgment in terms of how to have teams of people who have a competitive spark all right this has had all sorts of problems and the early reviews have not been kind. Biceller Hold, the future of Spider-Man, the musical. So even if it's successful, you have to ask how many theaters would be able to house. So I think Bono should be dawning ever-darker glasses as he considers the future of that production.
Starting point is 00:32:53 And finally, Byseller Hold, the movie version of Jersey Boys. Oh, oh, you got it. Buy your tickets now. You know, the original screenwright, the team, Rick, why was Jersey Boys so successful? The Beach Boys was not, and there was also another Beatles musical that felt, why did Jersey Boys triumph?
Starting point is 00:33:25 It wasn't simply because Frankie Valley wrote great music because the Beach Boys wrote wonderful, wonderful music. In fact, it had been Woody Allen's co-it's not simply about the music, it's also about telling a story, because you know what? Human beings, there are a few. things more alluring that if someone steps to you and says, let me tell you a story. And then our ears perk up and we want to hear and that show delivered. Do you have a star in mind already?
Starting point is 00:34:02 Guy at Starbucks, I think, you know, instead of a barista, maybe you need to be Frankie Valley. I hope you're going to get a cameo. I mean, something. A walk on, like an Albert Hitchcock, just sort of Todd Buckholtz, just walking by the camera kind of thing? You know what? I grew up on the Jersey Shore, and I think that's as close as I'll be getting to being in the movie. The new book is Rush, Why You Need and Love the Rat Race. Todd, thanks so much for being here. My pleasure. Thank you. Coming up, we'll give you an inside look at the stocks on our radar.
Starting point is 00:34:51 This is Motley Fool Money. As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about, and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy ourselves stocks based solely on what you're here. I'm Chris Hill, and back in the studio with me, our trio of senior analyst, Seth Jason, James Early, and Ron Gross. Guys, it is that time. Once again, time to talk about the stocks that are on our radar.
Starting point is 00:35:16 Ron, I will start with you, and I will just preface this by saying, we will be bringing in our man Steve Broido from the other side of the glass. A little twist. Just a question. This isn't just about you just spouting your stock ideas. You sure? Yeah. All right.
Starting point is 00:35:29 I'll hit you with a little company called Microsoft, ticker symbol MSFT. And despite the questionable $8.5 billion acquisition of Skype, recently. You're going to learn to love it. I think the company is just too profitable and too cheap to pass up. Ten times earnings, less than ten times earnings, less than six times cash flow. It's a value investment at this point.
Starting point is 00:35:50 We owned it in MDP. I own it personally. And I think it's too good to pass. You're going to get so much in dividends out of them over the years. It's going to be worth it just for that. Agreed. James Early? Chris, my stock on my radar is General Mills.
Starting point is 00:36:02 The ticker is GIS. As we all know, this makes wretched sugar-loaded breakfasts. I think you mean delicious sugar-loaded breakfast. overloaded cereals. They tried unsuccessfully to get people to call them the Big G. I remember that. You can't make your own nickname. You don't get to make your nickname. We've explained it. But what's interesting is they are buying more than half of Yoplay. And as we talked about it on the market foolery podcast earlier this week, this gives them huge entree into foreign markets across the globe, which has really been what they've been lacking. So it's not a buy endorsement per se,
Starting point is 00:36:33 but I'm looking into it. And as we did discuss earlier in the week, the global sales for Yoplay is $65 billion. Wow. Compared to $15 billion sales for general notes. And if you don't think that people in other countries like overly sweet breakfast food, you haven't paid enough attention to Nutella. Exactly. All right, Seth, Jason, your stock this week.
Starting point is 00:36:52 Do you ever get sick of listening to these geysers pitch these value stocks next to me? I was going to say, Ron? Oh, very you. I dare. I dare. Listen, I'm going with the capitulation momentum pick of the weak baby. LinkedIn? Just buy some LinkedIn.
Starting point is 00:37:06 Just give up and buy some LinkedIn. and it's just going to keep going up. Maybe not right away, but probably right away. There, my friends, is the sign of the market top. No, I actually think it's conceivable. It could be worth a lot more down the road. In the meantime, I think it's just so exciting to people that it'll probably continue to drift upwards.
Starting point is 00:37:22 Everyone said the same bad things about Google back in the day, and look where it is now. You own it for crying out loud an MDP. We do. So you're serious. This isn't your voice dripping with sarcasm. No. Wow.
Starting point is 00:37:35 I'm going out on a limb here. Steve Broido? Well, one question for the group? One question for the group. Which company will benefit the most from technological advancements over the next decade? Of these? Yes, of these three. Wow.
Starting point is 00:37:47 I think it has to be Microsoft because of the different areas in operating systems, networking, video conferencing, IMs, emails. I think so, too. I don't think LinkedIn needs any technological advances to get better. But with a company like General Mills, for example, doesn't, you know, when technology improves, doesn't distribution become better? delivery, all sorts of... And their costs go down. Yeah, and that can make a big difference because they've got such an efficient ship already, just a few margin points
Starting point is 00:38:15 can make a difference. But Microsoft is the bigger fish there. Steve, do you have a go-to favorite cereal? We've been eating a lot of golden grams, which is... Really? Wow. Good stuff, yeah. Steve, are you old enough that you actually remember when cereals had
Starting point is 00:38:31 the word sugar in them? Like, honey smacks were sugar smacks? Or, you know, because at some point, they... It wasn't... The cereal company switch. I don't think you're old enough to know. I may not be. I mean, there was always a lot of sugar, and I believe there remains to be a tremendous amount of sugar.
Starting point is 00:38:43 That's why it's so glorious. They just took the word out, though. Yeah. They call them sugar, but they're gluten-free. All the sugar you can eat, but no gluten, right? Exactly. I fructose corn syrup smack. But, Ron, you remember sugar corn pops?
Starting point is 00:38:55 Oh, do I? And now they're just corn pops. I actually can't stomach the sugared cereals that make me. Really? Paul Newman has a new line of cereal called Just Sweet Enough, and you know what? It actually is just sweet enough. Yeah, it's pretty good. Is he inventing cereal from Beyond the Grave now?
Starting point is 00:39:09 Maybe I should have told him would comfort it. Yeah, I was going to say... Which gives its profits to charity, by the way. Exactly. We're not thinking Paul, actually, is doing that from beyond the grave. Okay, Seth, Jason, James Early, Ron Gross. Guys, thanks for being here. Thank you, Chris.
Starting point is 00:39:20 Thanks to our special guest this week, Todd Buckholtz. His new book is Rush, Why You Need and Love the Rat Race. For commentary and analysis each day throughout the week, check out the Motley Fool's website, Fool.com. Our engineer, Steve Broido. Our producer is Mac Greer. I'm Chris Hill. Thanks for listening, and we'll see you next week.

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