Motley Fool Money - Motley Fool Money: 10.24.2014
Episode Date: October 24, 2014Apple hits a new high. Amazon stumbles. Microsoft surprises. And McDonald’s slowdown continues. Our analysts discuss those stories and share some stocks on their radar. And we talk about t...he power of the unconventional with Linda Rottenberg, author of Crazy is a Compliment: The Power of Zigging When Everyone Else Zags. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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From Full Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money.
It's the Motley Cool Money Radio show.
We're at Full Global Headquarters, but we are not in studio.
We are not.
We've got a live audience.
I think they're a live.
Prove it.
Is this the best-looking audience you've ever seen?
It is absolutely the best-looking audience I've ever seen.
Every company, I think, across America has bring your kid to workday.
We have that at the Motley Fool.
also have Bring an Adult to Workday. So that's what's going on. That's why we've got the live
audience. I'm Chris Hill. Joining me on stage, Ron Gross from Million Dollar Portfolio and Jason Moser
from Motley Fool One. Good to see you guys. How you did you see you. Earnings Paloza rolls on this
week. Entrepreneur and author Linda Rotenberg is our guest and we will dig into the business
of Halloween. And of course, we're going to give you an inside look at the stocks on our radar.
But we begin this week with earnings from the biggest public company in the world and that's Apple. Ron,
A lot of numbers leaped out at me in Apple's fourth quarter results,
but the one that really leaped out more than 39 million iPhones sold.
That is clearly the story here.
Staggering demand is how the CEO put it.
A little bluster there, but perhaps not.
The numbers are pretty incredible.
The funny part of the story is that the Mac isn't dead either.
Really good growth in the Mac business as well, 21%.
But that really isn't the story.
The story is the continued introduction
of products that people want.
For many, many months we talked about on this show and elsewhere,
when are they going to come out with new things?
When are they going to innovate?
They've certainly continued to do that time and again
with phones that people want.
The tablet business is interesting.
The tablet business is weak, iPads.
It's partly, I think, cannibalization.
As phones get bigger, the demand for tablets goes down.
But there also hasn't been a real replacement cycle yet.
We're four years in, perhaps,
people don't really need to replace their iPad yet.
When it comes time, when that happens, it'll be really interesting to say.
Let me turn to the guy with the iPad in front of him.
When are you going to replace that thing?
Well, I mean, this is the third generation.
I really have no reason to replace it yet.
But I think they're pretty clever, at least.
They do this with their phones as well,
as every time they iterate that operating system,
at some point you hit a stage where your device physically can't handle the new operating system,
whether it's more memory or whatever it may be.
and then you're more or less required to upgrade.
So I think with the phones, you see that the 4 and the 4S,
I'm getting ready to go buy one of those new sixes.
That will play out with the tablets as well,
but by the same token,
I still won't think you'll ever hit that same type of replacement cycle
that the phones do have.
They do a good job of forcing replacement cycles, too.
Apple Pay was just released.
You really need the six to get involved with that.
Initial reviews are quite good.
They had some glitches, some people got charged twice.
You never want to see that.
But it looks like they've got that under control, and certainly Apple pays the new big thing.
Let's get to the stock because shares of Apple hit an all-time high this week.
How overvalued is this stock?
Oh, hey, that's a leading question.
Or is it cheap?
Is it so cheap at an all-time high?
Stocks at 105.
If you listen to Mr. Carl Icon, he thinks it's worth 203.
I think that's mistaken.
We've said we're sellers at 107.
We've been saying that for quite some time.
But to be honest, we're sharpening our pencils again and looking at it in light of the new demand for the phones and some good things we see in the future.
And it's possible our guidance could come up.
Amazon.com warned analysts that it would lose a lot of money in the third quarter.
And I guess in that regard, guys, they did not disappoint.
The online retailer lost nearly $450 million in the third quarter.
Shares on Friday, Jason, falling to their lowest point of the year.
Yeah, I mean, it wasn't surprising to see, you know, top line growth.
It wasn't surprising to see breathtaking losses.
That's pretty much the story, quarter in and quarter out for Amazon.
You know, I think the problem is when you guide for a relatively weak holiday quarter,
the more they do this, the more difficult the narrative becomes for Jeff Bezos to say,
look, I'm just reinvesting in this business, quarter in and quarter out,
and you can expect losses for the foreseeable future.
Now, those of us who study the business, if we read the, you know,
the shareholder letters all the way back to 1997, we know how he runs this business.
He's not running this business at the way.
whims of Wall Street's demands. He doesn't care about earnings per share. He doesn't care
about the quarter to quarter results. He cares about cash flow, returns on invested capital,
but mostly he cares about the customer. He's trying to build the world's most customer-centric
company. That's their mission. And so he is continuing to do that. Operating cash flow is
metric we use to judge the health of this company. And by all measures there, it's looking great.
$5.7 billion for the trailing 12 months. They're plowing that money back into fulfillment centers
and also what they call sort centers,
which more or less help support those fulfillment centers
and whittle down the cost to ship those goods to the consumer
and make it a faster point A to point B.
That's sort of that same-day delivery model
that they're looking to figure out here.
So, no, Wall Street, I think, is losing patience with Amazon,
is certainly falling out of favor.
But by the same token, the valuation here
is starting to look very attractive
when you look at the operating cash flow.
I mean, I'm a shareholder.
I'm not getting rid of my shares.
I'm in this one for the long haul.
I think that investors in Amazon need to look at this as a decades-long story and then just go about their business.
They've got the holiday quarter coming up, though, Ron, they kind of need to hit a home run.
They do, and I think they're probably sandbagging guidance, which is coming in low so they can beat.
But you never know.
We'll have to wait and see.
I agree that it can be fatiguing to own this stock.
We own it a million-dollar portfolio.
The lack of shareholder really care there.
There's very little transparencies.
The conference calls are not great.
a ton of information.
It leads people to just want to sell the stock when things don't seem like they're going
our way, but that can create opportunity for those of us that aren't short term.
Think more about two, three, five years down the road.
At $290, the stock does look pretty attractive.
Yeah, I think it was encouraging to hear that the price increase that went through on the prime
relationship there.
It went from 79 to 99.
Management says they have seen a great retention rate from that, so I think that's encouraging
by the same token, I also don't think we'll see another price increase anytime soon.
Microsoft's first quarter revenue came in north of $23 billion, higher than Wall Street, was expecting.
Ron, on a percentage basis, the cloud computing division is not huge for Microsoft, but it really does seem to be growing.
It's growing, and I think it's the future.
It's great to see it double, more than double.
It's only 5% of revenue still, but Satcha Nadella, relatively new CEO, is really taking the company in that direction.
I think it makes sense.
there's pockets of strength
even the surface tablet
did well which was interesting
Xbox was strong
not surprisingly Windows
continues to be weak
but less week than we've seen in previous
quarters so less week is always
is good
but the company is really
making the necessary moves
I think the stock price has reflected
that we've seen job cuts
cost cuts companies leaner than it was
certainly in the face of the Nokia acquisition
they were a little bit
bloated and the employment
numbers had to come down and the CEO did that.
And so I think that they're doing well.
This was a really encouraging report.
When you look at the stock, we've talked for years about how this is a company that never
had trouble making money, but the stock wasn't really reflecting it.
It does seem like it's not really a cheap stock anymore.
I'm not saying overvalue, but it's definitely not as cheap.
No, we've been saying for a while, last year, year before, it's a value stock, it's a value
stock.
Nothing never happened.
Finally it did.
It woke up.
Stock's a 46.
We like it up to the low 50s, probably.
probably maybe 15% upside left.
Shares of Chipotle down this week
after third quarter results came in.
Key metric for any retailer or restaurant chain
is same store sales, Jason.
Chipotle's same store sales grew more than 19%.
How much better do they have to do?
That's not bad.
Don't you feel like it would have been apropos to have
Chipotle maybe catering lunch today
as opposed to whatever we have here?
Given the performance that they brought in this quarter,
I mean, to your point there,
when you bring in same store sales or comps,
as we refer to them in the 20% range, and it's phenomenal.
This was their strongest quarterly comp since going public in 2006.
So the downside to this is at some point you become a victim of your own success.
If you don't continue to top those numbers, then the market's more of a,
not what have you done for me lately, but it's what are you going to do for me.
And I think that was the key to the release there when they gave guidance for 2015,
and they called for their same store sales to be more in sort of the mid-single-digit range.
So going from 20 to 5, there's a pretty significant.
drop. Now, to their credit, like we're talking about with Amazon, I think they're being
relatively conservative there, but that's the right thing to do, right? Because they have a
price increase that they just rank through this year, which means that those comps are going
to get a little bit difficult, a little bit more difficult next year when they come upon
the anniversary of that price increase. But one thing, you know, we continue to pay attention
to besides the comp numbers with Chipotle is food costs as a percentage of sales, and they were
up a little bit here over the same quarter last year. But that's the basis of this business, right?
I mean, they built this business and attract the consumer by saying,
listen, we're going to give you better food with better ingredients.
Surprise, it costs a little bit more, but consumers are willing to pay it,
and they showed that as they ranked through that price increase in traffic didn't fall.
It actually went up.
So I think that the growth story for this company is still very much intact.
When you look at the shophouse concept, the pizzeria locale concept,
which are really just getting started.
I think you have to look at this as another big winner here over the coming years.
Coming up, we will ask the question.
other investing shows or afraid to ask,
which Halloween candies are the most overrated?
Stay right here.
You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Full Money.
Chris Hill here with Jason Moser and Ron Gross,
in front of a live audience.
Let's get back to the earnings news.
McDonald's third quarter profit came in much lower than expected.
Jason, there were a bunch of one-time charges McDonald's is dealing with.
But same store sales around the world down around 3%.
That's a terrible trend.
Yeah, I mean, going from Chipotle and the highs to McDonald's and the lows here.
I mean, this is just a – McDonald's is facing a lot of headwinds.
I mean, from the comps numbers that you presented there, the quality of the food, they have no pricing power,
the perception there of the health.
There's a brand stigma, I think, involved here where it just doesn't communicate quality,
and I think consumers are recognizing that.
And if you look at McDonald's sales, percentage of sales that come from the U.S. here,
it just continues to decline.
It's, you know, they're losing share to companies to concepts like Chipotle and Panera and the like.
So they, as they redefine sort of that quick service fast casual segment,
it's nice to see that they are addressing this with a three-point strategy.
Again, that's a three-point strategy.
What they're going to have to do is execute.
And I think they've got a lot on their plate here because when you look at same store sales numbers globally down over 3%,
domestically down over 3%, they're projecting negative.
same store sales for October. There's not a whole heck of a lot to really look forward to here.
Now, it's a huge company, right? One of the biggest restaurant companies in the world.
They are able to juice the dividend, reward the shareholders for being patient here.
I still don't really like the growth story here. And if you're looking at restaurants,
I'd be looking at the smaller concepts with better growth opportunities.
Does one of the three-point plans involve the McRib?
If it does, they were being very secret about it. And if it does, I think I'd be a little bit concerned.
if you're levering the success of your future to one sandwich.
Hey, the McRib comes out every December.
It does.
We talked about company sandbagging.
McDonald's might be sandbagging because they got the McRib coming.
Nothing's better than popularly.
Pure formed rib.
Pretty good week for Bellwether stocks.
Third quarter profits for Caterpillar, 3M, and UPS all came in higher than expected.
Shares of all three were up wrong.
Caterpillar and 3M.
This week they had their best one-day gains in years.
Yeah, not only great for the companies, but I think bodes well for our economy as well.
Not everyone raised guidance. UPS kind of maintained, but Caterpillar raised guidance.
It's kind of an indication of not just domestically but overseas that there's pockets of industrial strength.
UPS hiring 95,000 additional workers for the holiday season.
Certainly they want to make sure that they're ready.
They haven't always been ready.
Winter weather last year, really, interrupted sales.
quite a bit, and they don't want that to happen again. But they've done a great job. Everyone's a
little bit leaner. You know, costs have been cut when needed, and now that growth has returned,
I think, you know, we're seeing strength in both the business and the stock price of all three
companies, really. And hopefully that's good for our gross domestic product here and bodes well for
2015. A couple of weeks ago, we were talking about coming into earning season, what we were all
interested to see. And one of the things I said was that I'm looking for clues about the holiday
quarter, about retail in December. And UPS came out with their earnings report. They said they expect
shipments in December to rise 11%. That seemed, I don't want to get too overly excited, but that
seems like a pretty promising sign when you have a shipper the size of UPS saying they're expecting
that kind of growth in December. I do. I think online sales look like they'll be strong. I can't
necessarily say the same, though, for brick and mortar shopping. We've been saying for quite a
long time now that there just seems to be some consumer malaise. Can I say that word? Sure. I just did.
So it'll be really interesting to see how the traditional retailers do online. I think it'll look good.
But is that a counterpoint to what we talked about earlier with Amazon? Yeah, I was going to say,
I mean, the shipping, that does look good, but I think with eBay and Amazon both projecting rather,
you know, at least lighter holiday quarters than many expected, perhaps they're being concerned.
I hope that's the case. I know I've got a lot of spending to do on those, you know, on Amazon this
Christmas, but yeah, I mean, you see kind of both playing against each other. Under Armour's third
quarter revenue and profits came in better than expected. Their guidance for the full year look good.
Normally, that is a recipe for a stock moving up. It was flat this week. Where's the love?
Well, so I mean, I said this on Twitter yesterday. I think to sell this stock off and to have concerns in regard to this quarter
with slowing growth, I think, is laughable.
I mean, I think there was one little spot in there
where maybe the growth didn't quite meet expectations,
and that was a peril.
And the expectations were maybe 30%,
the reality was around 25%,
but footwear was up 50%.
And that's, you know, versus 28% a year ago.
And international was up 93%
and that's up from 38% a year ago.
So you see Under Armour growing very quickly.
It's just sometimes when you grow your business that quickly
and they kind of continue to expect that growth to continue more or less.
It's more difficult to sustain that growth as the company gets bigger.
And Under Armour is growing very quickly.
It is getting bigger.
It's still very small when you compare it to something like a Nike.
I mean, Under Armour is still just a fraction of the size of Nike, really.
But I think that what they are doing is taking advantage of a very strong brand
and a founder leader in Kevin Plank, who is very, he's dedicated to, you know, the success of this business.
They're going to top out $3 billion in sales here for the first time ever.
gross margin continues to go up, thanks to maintaining pricing power on their products,
along with the pursuit of that direct-to-consumer market,
which is sort of your e-commerce and the Under Armour stores.
And so I think that really it wasn't a cheap stock going into earnings.
It's understandable the market sold it off a little bit.
But again, this is another one of those companies that I think in five, ten years,
it has nowhere to go but up as long as Kevin Plank stays on message.
Apparel is the bread and butter for Under Armour real quick.
what is the next big growth opportunity?
Is it footwear?
Is it international?
I think footwear.
I gave their shoes a shot.
I have a pair of underarmor running shoes.
I like them.
My oldest daughter decided she wanted to get a pair of them.
So I think they are proving themselves in footwear.
And don't forget.
More fashion or sports?
I mean, I think both.
I mean, don't forget.
They got their entry into the footwear department with football, right?
And so now I think they're pursuing other avenues like golf, running, things like that,
cross training.
and I think they're doing a good job of it.
And I think the growth numbers prove that.
Halloween is next Friday, and according to the National Retail Federation,
this year Americans will spend more than $7 billion on Halloween.
This includes candy, decorations, and costumes,
including an estimated $350 million on Halloween costumes for pets.
I mentioned...
That's just so wrong on so many levels.
I mentioned at the break, overrated Halloween candy,
but let's put this through the lens of investing.
We talk about stocks being overvalued or undervalued.
So give me one candy that's overvalued and one that's undervalued.
Ron Gross?
Well, I'm a candy guy, not a chocolate person.
So I will say overvalued is Milky Way.
I don't get it.
I just don't get it.
It doesn't seem like it needs to be with us.
It's just, it's redundant.
So I would say undervalued to be candy, something like laffy, taffy, or a good nerd.
I like a good nerd.
Jason?
Overvalued or smarties.
I like Ron said.
I don't get it.
I mean, those things are just not good, and I get a roll of those smarties that are just straight in the garbage.
I don't even bother with them.
Undervalued junior mints.
I mean, I don't see enough of junior mints.
You know, it's like Kramer said.
It's peppermint.
It's chocolate.
It's delicious.
Let's bring in our man.
He's not behind the glass, but we'll bring in Steve Broido.
Steve, we've got a minute left or so.
One candy that's overvalued, one that's undervalued.
What do you think?
Overvalued is got to be Tutsi rolls.
Tutsi rolls.
Totally overvalued.
And undervalued, I'm going, chuckles.
Do you guys remember?
Chuckles?
Chuckles.
The gel-white candy?
Love them.
Love me a chuckle.
I can get on board the chuckle bandwagon.
I think the chuckles, that might be like a deep value play if we're talking candy stuff.
When you get those whoppers?
I'd say whoppers are terribly overvalued.
I mean, they kind of chucked those too.
All right, guys, thanks for being here.
Earlier in the week, I taped an interview with entrepreneur Linda Rotenberg about her new book,
Crazy as a Compliment.
That conversation is next.
This is Motley Full Money.
Welcome back to Motley Full Money.
I'm Chris Hill.
Endeavor Global is a nonprofit organization that mentors and supports entrepreneurs in emerging markets.
You might think that undertaking that type of work is a little crazy, but my guest this week is okay with that.
Linda Rotenberg is the co-founder and CEO of Endeavor Global, and she's the author of the brand new book.
Crazy is a compliment, the power of zgging when everyone else zags.
Linda, thank you so much for being here.
Great to be with you.
I want to start with a quote from your book that I love.
There are a lot of quotes in your book that I love, but one is from someone who I think sort of embodies entrepreneurship, and that's Richard Branson.
But what surprised me was his comment that the goal of an entrepreneur is contained disasters.
I always thought of entrepreneurs as people who just had a game-changing idea and sort of went ahead with it.
I never really thought of it in terms of the amount of chaos that can occur when you're looking to strike out as an entrepreneur.
Exactly.
Well, and I think to start, I mean, there are many things in that we can touch on a lot of different things.
But let's start with this issue of risk.
We often picture entrepreneurs as these swashbuckling mavericks, people like Richard Branson.
We think of as dare devils who go all in and bet the farm.
And most entrepreneurs are not.
not risk maximizers, their risk minimizers. That's why Branson talked to our entrepreneurs
about contained disasters. But so much of what we think about in terms of the approach to
entrepreneurship and the type of risks you're going to have to take are really wrong. So for example,
people think, well, if I don't have millions of dollars or access to venture capital, I can't
start a business. It turns out half the Inc. 500 companies, so half the fastest growing companies
in the U.S. were started with $5,000 or less.
And with crowdfunding, it's even easier to start.
So, number one, you don't need a lot of money.
Number two, everyone says, well, but what if I need to leave my job?
I can't afford to, and I have a mortgage.
It turns out that so many of the best entrepreneurs didn't on day one leave their
job.
So two examples, I cite.
One is Sarah Blakely of Spanx.
Many of us are familiar with her products.
And she ended up selling fax machines for two years,
while the product was taking off.
You mentioned Richard Branson, the other Daredevil, the Just Do It Guy,
Phil Knight of Nike, that really surprised me.
He spent almost a decade as a tax accountant doing other people's taxes
while somebody else was selling the shoes.
So what I learned is you can wager a few chickens, but you don't need to bet the farm.
One of the things that you write about is that entrepreneurs face skeptics.
And it's not just the challenge of competitive.
competitors that entrepreneurs face. Oftentimes, the first challenge they face are skeptics who are
within their own families, their closest friends, the people that you would think would be most
likely to support them. And I have to say you include yourself in this group because you write
about your life when you were sort of on the corporate fast track and then you're on your way
to starting this nonprofit organization. And your parents, who I'm sure love you very much,
we're not thrilled.
Yes, we're not thrilled.
And tried to talk you out of it.
Yeah, no, I actually believe
the biggest barriers to entrepreneurship
are not financial.
They're not structural.
They're psychological and emotional.
And in fact, I would say
the first naysayor
you have to overcome is yourself.
I think so many people have ideas
that die in their minds
because they don't give themselves
permission to take risk
because they're worried about
what other people,
especially those close to them are going to say.
So in my own example, I went straight through to college and law school.
My parents, as you say, are very loving but risk-averse.
And when I got to law school, I realized I had no interest in practicing law.
And so I went off to Latin America and realized there was no support for these big dreamers,
these entrepreneurs in places that were emerging economies.
So I had this crazy idea to set up what became endeavor that was going to help these young entrepreneurs.
and my parents overheard me and my co-founder at our kitchen table plotting this organization
and they were not happy. So my dad basically came over and reminded me that I didn't have a trust fund
and said that if I didn't like the law, you know, what about consulting, banking, anything safe?
And I shook my head. And then my mother very kindly suggested that if I was going to produce
grandchildren that, you know, my eggs were not getting any younger. And I say today that she was
ahead of her time because Apple and Facebook for better and for worse just announced this week
they were freezing young women's eggs if they wanted to.
But my parents have been so supportive ever since.
They had this reaction that made me have this moment that I think all dreamers face.
And it's this juncture of doing what's safe and expected and what's unsafe and unknown.
And it was at that moment when I not only knew that I had to move forward,
but I really believe that that's why my life has been about helping other dreamers feel unstuck
and unscared in similar moments.
Let's talk about some of those other dreamers because you started Endeavor Global back in 1997.
You've helped hundreds of entrepreneurs go through the Endeavor program with mentoring and
financial support.
And by the way, for anyone who's wondering what kind of business numbers we're talking about
last year, the revenues generated by Endeavors, entrepreneurs around the world totaled $7 billion.
So that's an impact that's certainly being made.
But I am curious for all the ones that you have met with, because you've met with many more who haven't quite made it through the process.
I'm curious, you know, is there a common mistake?
Is there a rookie mistake that entrepreneurs can make and that anyone listening, if they're thinking about it, can hopefully avoid?
Well, so I look at in the book, and crazy is a compliment.
I look at the journey of an entrepreneur and set it up and to get going go big and go home.
And the reason I'm stating this is that, you know, part of the mistakes come at the going phase, right?
Not only psyching yourself out, we can go back to the chaos on a minute, but I think another kind of mistake early on is just not, is overplanning.
I think people in this country, whether they're inside a company and rush to the boss or rush to create a PowerPoint, or they're starting a new company and they rush to create a 75-page business plan, which I've heard several people do,
I think entrepreneurship is about seeing a problem and acting on it.
I always say stop planning, start doing,
and that entrepreneur really is a fancy word for doer.
And so many of the successful entrepreneurs that I've worked with,
and many of them that I researched and read about in the book,
are people who just saw a problem and started solving it and put their head down.
So stop planning, start doing.
That's for the get-going phase.
Where Endeavour comes in is at the scale-up moment,
so at that go-big phase.
And there I would say, I have a whiteboard filled with common mistakes, but just to name two, I think that number one, people don't understand that they now have to transition at that point to being a leader because you can't go big without getting a team around you.
And I've actually created, with Bain & Company, an entrepreneur personality type diagnostic because what I've learned is you can't role model yourself just after Steve Jobs and Mark Zuckerberg.
That's not necessarily going to work for everybody.
There are different types of leadership personalities and entrepreneur personalities.
Everyone has a strength and a weakness, or more than one strength and weakness.
What's key is knowing yourself, and people don't bother to know themselves, and therefore
they can't lead and build a team around them.
The second thing in terms of the companies is people have to be open to change, but not too open.
So, in fact, what we found in other studies have corroborated that a big mistake is over-pivoting,
and that many entrepreneurs end up killing themselves even before competitors kill them
and that they get so excited about the new new thing, they never stop and focus.
So you have to be open enough to pivot where you really see a new opportunity in the market.
But what studies have shown is one or two pivot is the maximum,
and then you risk innovation suicide.
You're listening to Motley Full Money talking with Linda Rotenberg.
Her new book is Crazy as a Compliment, the Power of Zigging,
when everyone else zags.
When you talk about pivoting, you just reminded me
Seth Goldman, who started Honest Tea,
was a guest on our show.
I went to high school with Seth.
You went to high school with Seth?
Well, one of the things he talked about
was how when putting together
the original business plan for Honest Tea,
they did not think at all,
nor did they write down anything about distribution.
They just had the idea to make the tea.
They didn't think a whit about how to actually get it to people.
And I'm curious, to what extent agility, whether it be mental agility or just personality-wise, is crucial and maybe even non-negotiable if you're an entrepreneur.
I think this is key.
And as I said, I read a lot about people within companies.
I don't like the word entrepreneurs.
So I call them skunks based on Lockheed Skunk Works program.
And I believe every company needs to breed skunks to stink up the joint.
But yes, you have to be agile.
You have to be willing to take smart risks.
and you're going to bump into chaos.
Every dreamer does, whether it's by your own doing or external.
And in fact, my favorite story in the book occurs in the early 19th century in France
when this young widow inherits this family vineyard
and is put in charge of a business she knows nothing about
and she ends up revolutionizing the champagne industry.
But just as she does, the Russians invade France
and all the experienced wine owners shut their doors,
she decides this is a marketing opportunity,
I'm going to get the Russians drunk.
And she not only succeeds, but she ends up getting her champagne to Russia before the competitors,
and Tsar Alexander announces he will drink only the widow.
Well, Vuv is French for widow, and this woman, Barb Nicole Ponsardin's husband, was Francois-Clico.
It's the story of Vuve-Clico, and what I love about it is, here's a woman who knew nothing
about the industry, but by taking smart risks and realizing that she could embrace the turbulence
around her better than her competitors, becomes the first woman to lead a multinational.
You know, getting your enemies drunk is always a winning strategy, I think.
Exactly.
As I said, you've been doing this.
And you've taken nothing else from this interview, you know, cling with your enemies, get them wasted.
You've been at this for a couple of decades, and I'm curious, what has been the biggest shift in your thinking about entrepreneurship?
Maybe something that when you started Endeavor Global, you believed.
but two decades worth of experience has led you to think otherwise?
That is a great question.
And my answer was unexpected.
I'll talk about one external and one, then internal on my own journey.
Externally, I always knew that you didn't have to have a hoodie to be an entrepreneur.
I've said this for a long time.
And it does turn out that in the U.S. even,
the fastest growing groups starting businesses today are women and baby boomers are 55.
And so looking around the world, it didn't surprise me that we found entrepreneurs
in every industry, not just tech,
and every generation, and every race and gender,
that didn't surprise me.
What surprised me is realizing the more I got calls
from people inside Fortune 500 companies
that were worried about their jobs
and young kids growing up on college campuses in rural towns
that didn't think they were going to get to Silicon Valley
and parents had drop off who were going through work transitions
that I now believe that entrepreneurship is not just for entrepreneurs anymore.
And I've come to believe that it is not a career path,
It's a skill set and a mindset that we all need today.
And I think that we think about it, get back to taking risk, the riskier strategy is to do nothing
today and hope our jobs are saved.
Michael Dell told me, today there are the quick and there are the dead.
So I've come to believe that if you can harness a little bit of risk-taking and try something
new, that those are the people that are going to get ahead.
So that's been the biggest change in terms of the broader sense of an entrepreneur.
my own journey has changed what it means to be a leader.
Because especially as a woman leader, I thought you had to be tough and brave and independent.
And when my husband, Bruce Filer, the author, got cancer six years ago, I had to change my entire approach.
I was with him through chemotherapy.
Our young twins were girls, were then three.
I should say, Bruce is now, thank goodness, six years cancer-free.
But I wasn't able to travel.
I had to open up to my team about what was going on.
And what surprised me was the reaction.
The team members said, you know, Linda, we used to think you were superhuman, but not in a good way, in an unrelatable way.
And now that you're showing us your struggles, you're being revealing, now we'll follow you anywhere.
And so I learned that as a leader, we need to be less super and more human.
As you mentioned, the three sections of the book are get going, go big, and last is go home.
And one of the things you write about is sort of work, life, balance.
I'm curious, that's something I think a lot of people, particularly those people who have children struggle with.
What's one thing you've learned about work, life balance that everyone can benefit from?
Well, my girls give me the best advice.
They told me, just remember, you can be an entrepreneur for a short time, but you were in mommy forever.
And I always take that back to heart, and I hate the word balance because we all drop things.
There's nothing anyone with kids has anything in balance.
But I think about work-life integration, and I think that especially as someone who I hire a lot of millennials,
people today want to marry their values and their passions and their ideals with both their work life and their personal lives.
And I think that the businesses today that understand that being a people-first company that people talk about, understand that their employees are people first that have a life outside of the company, those people are going to get ahead as employers of choice.
I think that the days when we could just give the most perks to keep people at their desks the longest, I think that's going to end.
And I think when you're seeing, in terms of employers of choice, there was a study of 12,000 millennials that recently came out.
And it was really surprising of the top 25 places to work, over half were government agencies and hospitals.
Sitting at number one above Google, Amazon, and Disney, the St. Jude Children's Hospital.
So I think we're going to change, you know, the competition for the football tables and the, you know, and the massage perks to people being able to get home for family dinners and also get ahead at work.
The book is crazy as a compliment, the power of zgging when everyone else zags.
It is already a New York Times bestseller, so pick it up.
There are a lot of great stories and great tips.
Linda Rotenberg, thank you so much for being here.
Thank you.
Coming up, we'll give an inside look at the stocks on our radar.
This is Motley Fool Money.
As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about,
and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for our money.
again, so don't buy ourselves stocks based solely on what you hear. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money,
Chris Hill here with Jason Moser and Ron Gross in front of our live audience. Before we get to the
stocks on our radar, guys, you can always email us. Radio at Fool.com is our email address. Got an
email from Monty Singleton in Utah regarding our request for memorable wedding stories. Monty
writes, my friend had a Riverside Wedding. During the service, state authorities arrived and retrieved
a dead body from the river right behind them. Their honeymoon was in Colorado.
during the massive wildfires of 2012
and they had to stay in the hotel the entire time.
Fortunately, things have improved from there.
You know, I get that they wanted to be outside,
but that's not the worst thing in the world on your honeymoon
to be stuck inside a hotel with your brand new spouse?
I don't know. I could be wrong.
We have a special offer on Motley Fool Stock Advisor.
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We've got a few minutes to get to the stocks on our radar.
We're bringing our man, Steve Brighta, to hit you with a question.
Ron Gross, what's on your radar this week?
I am keeping a close eye on tile shop.
TTS, retailer of tile, so it's appropriately named.
And the report earnings next Tuesday, and that's why I'll be really watching closely.
This has not been a good stock for us.
We're down about 50% on the stock.
The last couple of quarters have not been good, going all the way back to winter weather last winter,
and then some macro issues dealing with housing in later quarters.
We think it's severely undervalued, but I'm really looking for clues that the business is firming up.
The economic situation is firming.
Housing is firming.
I see some indications that that could be the case.
So Tuesday's going to be a big day.
I might not get much sleep Monday.
We'll see.
Steve Brodo, you got a question about tile shop holdings?
Do they handle installation, or is it just sand?
of tiles.
They handle installation too, but more of an
outsourcing basis, trying to bring
more of it in-house as they open
up more stores. Relatively small at
this point, only 100 stores, but they think it's
in quotes a no-brainer to get
to more than 400 stores, so we see a lot
of growth. Steve, your question
suggests to me that maybe you've got a home improvement
project coming up. Is that true? Backsplash.
I should do it, be able to do it myself, but
that's not going to end well. Hire a professional.
Always hire a professional. Jason Mozer,
what's on your radar this week?
I'm going to go back to the well here with when I tapped about a month ago.
The company is called WageWorks, ticker is W-A-G-E, and WageWorks provides consumer-directed benefits programs, otherwise known as CDB.
So think about things like flexible spending accounts, health reimbursement accounts, commuter programs, things like that.
Boy, that's a sexy business.
It is sexy.
Chris, but I'll tell you what, it's even sexy or is making money, and that's what these guys help you do by saving on your tax bill.
And it's actually a really neat value proposition because they help us save on our taxes.
and they help businesses save on payroll taxes as well.
And I think there's a big opportunity here as we move to these private health care exchanges
where we're going to see a lot of consumers signing up for those.
They're going to sign up for sort of the minimal plans where they don't have to shell out a lot for their paycheck.
What that means is a higher deductible, more incentive to participate in something like a health care spending account,
which is what these guys do.
So the metrics that matter for them are employee participants and employer clients.
Both of those are growing nicely and have plenty of room to grow.
This is just a pure play in a market.
I think still has a lot of room to go, so I'm going to keep an eye on it.
Earning's up the first week of November.
Steve, got a few seconds.
What if there's a security breach?
What happens to this company?
Well, then I think they fix it, Steve.
They fix that security breach and they tell their consumers that it'll never happen again, just like Apple did, right?
Sounds good to me.
All right, Ron Gross, Jason Mozer, guys.
Thanks for being here.
That is going to do it for this week's edition of Motley Fool Money.
The show is mixed by Gail Anya Nuevo.
Our engineer is Steve Broido.
Our producer's Matt Greer.
I'm Chris Helf.
Thanks for listening.
We'll see you next week.
