Motley Fool Money - Motley Fool Money: 11.19.2010
Episode Date: November 19, 2010On this week's show, we talk about China's tightening, Ireland's crisis, Wal-Mart's expansion, and Apple's latest music. Motley Fool Managing Editor Brian Richards serves up a shot of Diageo. An...d Vanity Fair writer Bethany McLean talks about about her new book, All the Devils Are Here: The Hidden History of The Financial Crisis. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Everybody needs money.
That's why they call it money.
From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money.
Welcome to Motley Fool Money.
Thanks for being here.
I'm your host, Chris Hill, and I'm joined by Motley Fool Senior Analyst, Tim Hanson,
James Early, and Ron Gross.
Guys, good to see you.
Good to see you, Chris.
We've got the latest from GM, Walmart, Apple, and more.
We've got best-selling author, Bethany McLean,
And all the way from London, we've got Motley Fool managing editor Brian Richards.
Plus, we've got a few stocks on our radar.
But we begin with the big macro.
China raised its bank's reserve requirements on Friday.
It was the second increase in two weeks.
On Thursday, Fed Chief Ben Bernanke said that China's decision to undervalue its currency
had hurt the global economy.
Now, Ron Gross, China's concerned about inflation.
The rest of the world is concerned about China slowing down.
So what does it mean for investors?
Well, if we take a step back and we remember what happened last week when the actually stock markets around the globe fell in anticipation of monetary tightening by China, we're starting to see some of that, as you mentioned, the second time in two weeks.
We haven't seen an increase in interest rates yet, but I would imagine that that's on the way.
I'm not the China expert that Mr. Hansett is here, but certainly a slower China has repercussions for multinational companies.
around the world, especially asset-based companies, commodities, and we're seeing some of those
stocks come down as a reaction.
Tim Hanton, what do you think?
Well, you know, the important thing to remember here is that there are really two
Chinas out there.
And people like to think of it.
James Fowles has said in the past that the media covers China like a monolith, and that's
true.
So China has, on the coast, in the Tier 1 part of the country, a very hot economy.
You know, inflation is the major cities.
These are the major cities.
Beijing, Shanghai.
We've heard about the real estate bubble there.
We've heard about all the problems there.
but the rest of China actually remains quite poor.
And they're right now having to really struggle with the inflationary forces that are making everyday items like food and gasoline much more expensive.
And so the Chinese government is really trying to balance those two sectors of the economy because unlike in the United States,
where we get upset with our economy and we vote somebody out and then hope that we get to start new, China, that's not an option for the people.
They live under the Communist Party.
They don't have a new Congress coming into power next year?
Well, they do, but they're pretty much the same who are in there now.
So China right now is trying to slow down one sector of the economy, keep another part moving.
It's a real balancing act.
James Early?
China is also considering price controls on food staples, which have seen like two or three times the inflation that most things in China have.
I like that a lot more, I guess, than monetary policy.
Although, to be fair, the reserve requirements just mean that Chinese banks have to hold more currency within themselves versus loaning it out.
And that's sort of a gentle way of tightening.
We'll see what happens there.
there's an issue there with the price controls on food, which James points out, this is really a short-term
solution. It shows just how bad food inflation has got in China because the problem is they're not
producing enough of it and they've got a lot of people eating it. And by putting on price controls,
they're not going to do anything to solve the production problem, which is, you know,
what incentive do you have as a farmer to grow more food if you're going to get paid less for
the food that you're growing? So that's a real problem that China's facing and it'll be
interesting to see how they solve for it. Incidentally, ABC News was covering lots of
from China all week and the coverage was just sort of, I don't know, it was just sort of embarrassing.
And it feeds this whole like China as this growing world superpower.
But they were in Shanghai.
Shanghai is a beautiful city.
I mean, they were standing in front of the Oriental Tower.
And when they went to, quote, rural China, they went to Jiangsu province, which is the
equivalent of going from D.C. to Fairfax.
It's a suburb of Shanghai.
It's a major suburb.
It's not really, it's like saying, hey, we're going to go to the heartland of America and
we're reporting to you live from Manhattan.
Yeah, exactly.
You know, it's just one of those, just this all feeds this, this, this,
fears of China, and I don't think anybody really understands what's going up.
James Shirley, our man here in the U.S., Ben Bernanke, at the center of it all, what did you make of him?
Well, you know, Bernanke's come out swinging this week. I mean, he said two things. First,
that additional stimulus and second, that a tough stance toward China are both good ideas.
And my newsflash to Ben Bernanke, of course you're going to say those are good ideas. They're your ideas.
He's 100% behind his own ideas, though.
I do agree with him on China.
It is good to see someone taking a tough stance.
It was hard with Mr. Greenspan pecking at him every other week.
Who do you think he could learn a fight between Ben Bernanke and Alan Greenspan?
Alan Greenspan of 20 years ago.
I heard he's really good to tennis.
Is that right?
Wow.
He was scrappy.
He looks scrappy, but he'd have to be.
He's sneaky probably too.
And that would be in his favor.
Before we wrap up on this, Tim Hanson, I'll give you the final word.
In terms of the media coverage, and you're right,
I mean, so much of media coverage here in America is China is,
China is a monolith. For investors out there, what's one thing to keep in mind the next time they hear a report on China?
Well, you know, the key as an investor is really, and we say this a lot in the Motley Fool, which is just take a long-term time horizon.
I mean, the problem right now in the world is that every country is thinking about itself first and the world second.
That's true of the United States. It's true of China. And really, there's going to be no progress made on the global financial front until all the countries start thinking about how everything is fitting together.
You know, at the end of the day, 10, 20 years from now, China is going to be a bigger country than it is today.
Its economy is going to be bigger. That's true of India, Brazil, as well.
And the key as an investor is, you know, live with that trend. It's going to happen, but be patient and be willing to tolerate volatility.
And I think if I could just jump in.
Chris said too much. I had to say one last thing.
Let's not focus too much on the macro here. Let's pick individual stocks, not markets, that we think will benefit from the trends that we see over the long term.
A big IPO for GM on Thursday, $18 billion in common stock and $4.4 billion in preferred stock.
Shares of General Motors up 3.5% on the opening day.
The U.S. government is cutting its stake in GM from 61% to 26%.
James Early, you were quoted in the Wall Street Journal this week talking about GM.
It's a good quote, too.
Safe to assume you were buying shares at the opening bell?
I was not exactly buying shares, Chris.
I got to hand it to American socialism.
This was, I think, one of the biggest U.S. public offerings ever, if not the biggest.
But, you know, with a new balance sheet, my quote, I think, was the only way.
You wouldn't touch it with a celered, cold.
The only way I touched you, was with a cold, dead hand severed from my lifeless body.
Oh, really?
How do you feel?
Exactly.
It does have a new balance sheet.
It does have largely new management, and tax credits are going to last it for a while.
But same old union, same old pension problems.
and in large part, same old cars.
And that's the biggest issue.
It's got to make cars that people actually want to buy.
And until then, I'm staying away.
Tim, China is GM's largest market.
When you look at cars sold, GM expects sales in China to increase by as much as 15% next year.
Does that make sense to you?
Does that sound right?
I mean, the Chinese automotive market is taking off the estimates that they're about 60 million cars are on the road today,
and they think by 2020, they're going to be more than 200 million.
So that's a lot of market growth.
But there are a couple things to remember about GM in China.
GM does have the largest market share of the Chinese market today,
but it is only a 49% owner of its joint venture in China,
which is Shanghai GM, which they own in part with the Chinese company called SAIC.
Further, that market share position is really under assault right now.
I mean, I've got a list of all the car companies in China that are currently operating.
The Chinese companies alone, domestic China, you have BYD, which is the famous Warren Buffett investment,
Cherry, Gile, Hafe, JAC, Chang'an, and Great Wall.
And then of the multinational competitors, you have Ford, Volkswagen, Toyota, Hyundai, Nissan, Honda, Honda, Pujo, BMW, and Chrysler.
The market's going to get big, but all these guys are going after share.
And so when it comes to GM, I mean, if you think Chinese growth is going to be a big part of GM's growth going forward,
you might want to calm yourself down just a little bit.
And if we look at it from a taxpayer perspective, so the government spent $50 billion on this bailout.
They took in about $12 billion from this IPO.
At current ownership levels, the stock has to increase 60 percent from here to the low,
50s for the government to be made whole from this bailout. I don't know if we're going to see
that anytime soon. But GM is also looking at the possibility of not paying taxes for years to come.
I mean, does that make GM... It's even better for the U.S., right?
But does that make GM a more attractive stock?
Well, GM has several more attractive traits today than it did have, as James said, than it had,
but when it went into bankruptcy, well, we'd hope, right? But that includes, they can now be
break-even at fewer cars. They only need to sell about 10 to 11 million cars.
to break even. It had been 15 million, so that's a big change. But, you know, coming out of bankruptcy,
that's about the best operating environment you can have as a company when it comes to cutting costs.
I mean, they were able to get the union to make concessions. They got tax benefits.
They have, you know, I don't see how the operating environment gets better for GM. It's only going
to get harder. And, you know, some of the legacy problems of that company has had notoriously dealing
with its unions, I mean, you know, the detente can only last for so long.
You're listening to Motley Full Money. We're talking about some of the major
headlines of the week. Ireland's banking and debt crisis could soon be resolved. A rescue
plan to the tune of tens of billions of euros is in the works from the other members of the
EU. Tim, I don't want to point fingers, but it seems like every country you visit seems to face
some sort of economic crisis. Why is that?
Oh, wow. Okay, so it's not a cause of effect, but what does it mean for investors
here in America? Well, here are a couple of stats about Ireland that are worth noting. One, the
The country has 13.9% unemployment right now.
That's high.
Two, it's going to run a budget deficit this year that's 12% of its GDP.
And three, it has banks with $90 billion with a bad debt.
To put that in perspective, Ireland's economy, the entire GDP is about $260 billion annually,
which would make it roughly the size of Indiana.
This would be as though Indiana has a $90 billion banking problem that they need to solve.
And there's no way Indiana or Ireland would be able to do it on its own.
They've been dragging their feet about accepting a bailout, but this is sort of par for the course
with Ireland when it comes to Europe.
They've been a thorn in the EU side for a long time.
They're the only country that gets to vote on amendments and improvements to the EU.
And so I think what they've been doing, they're going to take the money, obviously, to save their
economy.
But what they're going to do is hopefully get some concessions from, you know, Greece got a punishing
austerity plan.
Ireland is helping to preserve its corporate tax rate and whatnot.
For investors, you know, European stocks are going to be in the doldrum.
for a while now. The continent is going to pretty much be on austerity measures for the next few years.
And when we talk about Irish banks, I can't help but think of Allied Irish banks, which is a stock that our man, Steve Broido, has owned in the past.
Boo! Do you still own shares of Allied Irish banks? No, killed me.
Just roughly, what did you buy it for? What was the trading when you bought it?
I don't remember. It was 20 or 40, and it went to one, I think. I sold, I don't remember what I sold it at, but I got hammered on it.
But you have a rich inner life, so that makes you a better person.
It doesn't sound bitter at all.
It used to be a lot richer.
All right, coming up, Amazon has had huge success as an online retailer,
so it makes perfect sense that Amazon is now getting into the movie-making business.
Details and mockery coming up next.
This is Motley Full Money.
Welcome back to Motley Full Money.
Investing commentary and analysis 24-7.
Go to the Motley Fool's website, Fool.com.
Chris Hill here in the studio with Tim Hansen, James Early, and Ron Gross,
as we dig into some more business headlines from the week.
Amazon announced it's getting into the movie-making business
with the launch of Amazon Studios.
James Early, I'm an Amazon shareholder,
and I slammed my head on the desk when I read this news.
So can you make me feel better about this?
Well, Chris, it is not as bad as you might think.
I am holding off on sending them my script, Motley Fool Money,
starring Steve Broido behind the scenes.
It's basically sort of like an American Idol contest for screenwriters.
It's a portal deal for Time Order that actually sort of gets the scripts and might employ them.
Amazon would put in just $27 million, which is not a lot.
The winning writer gets only $200,000 or I think $400,000 if the film grosses over $60 million,
which is probably much less than the caterer for the movie gets.
But I just don't know if they're going to get quality scripts.
I mean, it's a small bet, which is a good thing for shareholders.
holders. The question is, you know, where does it go from here?
All right, as long as it's a small bet. I don't mind.
It's a marketing expense. Exactly.
All right, Dell reported better than expected third quarter earnings with net income more than
doubling. Ron, how is Dell getting it done?
So, yeah, this was a surprisingly good quarter. Margins were really strong, and the main thing
people should know is that this is really a business-centric company now.
I think people think of Dell. They think of a consumer company.
20% less than 20% of revenue now comes from the consumer business.
And so they've done a nice job transitioning that.
Analysts are wary about this margin strength going forward, and I am too, actually.
I don't know if they can continue that, but for now the quarter looks strong.
Guys, a little retail operation you may have heard of Walmart reported earnings this week.
Tim, Walmart's getting a lot of growth in their international operations, aren't they?
If it weren't for international, Walmart, we wouldn't have very much at all this quarter.
Their domestic comps were down a little more than 1%, which doesn't sound too bad until you consider that targets domestic comps were up a little more than 1%.
So it's clear that Walmart is losing ground domestically for a variety of reasons.
A broad, however, totally different story.
Sales were up 9% in the quarter.
They're now up abroad, more than 13% for the year.
And Walmart has been banging its pots and pans recently to make more international acquisitions.
Rumors abound in South Africa and Indonesia.
and I would not be surprised to see them do some other things in Southeast Asia.
So Walmart, a U.S. company, quickly becoming much more international and being saved by it.
Tim, if I could just ask you something.
Always, James.
If you had to be trapped in either a Target or a Walmart for the rest of your life, which ones did you pick?
You know, I have a fear.
That's a weird question.
To account for evolution of the store concepts, too.
This has been undiagnosed, but I have a fear of big box stores.
My wife does all the shopping at big box stores, and I will only shop.
at Whole Foods because I find the lights very mellowing.
What do you fear happening at the Big Buy?
You know, it's a combination of the people.
There are a lot of them and the lines.
I don't know, it just doesn't feel efficient to me.
Wow.
Tim Hansen, not a fan of people.
I will say, though, Mac is banging on the window
to make sure we mentioned that Walmart did have some other interesting news this week,
which is that they're going to be opening four new
of their small-scale urban format stores in DC.
But their mission, they said they're going to bring
good affordable groceries to neighborhoods and communities
that have up till now sort of been ignored by retailers and consumers there are sort of forced
to purchase overpriced, less healthy things at convenience stores. So this is how Walmart,
this is their new strategy for what they want to do to turn around their domestic U.S. operations.
And, you know, it'll actually be interesting to see how they go. It's a very novel concept.
You know, Target was mentioned, also reported earnings this week. Both Target and Walmart seem
to be projecting pretty rosy holiday retail forecasts. Do we think that's likely to happen?
Obviously, Tim, you're not going to be shopping there.
There's a quirk here, which is that if you go to Walmart and Target today, you'll find that
they're already decorated and ready to go for Christmas, the holiday season. So they're
projecting sales. And they have been for a little while. It's August. So they're projecting that
sales for the holiday season will be better than last year. What they're not telling is the
holiday season this year is three months longer. So we'll see how that goes.
I think the value propositions that these stores offer might do well.
The higher end, I'm not so sure, but the Costco's, the Walmarts, the targets, they might do well.
And finally, on Tuesday, Apple announced the Beatles music has finally been added to the iTunes library.
Guys, is this something that moves the needle for investors, or is this more just sort of a cultural interest story?
What do we think? It seems like the latter to me.
You hear the crickets chirping. I don't think it's...
That's that biggest story. It's been a long time coming. I'm sure there'll be people that are
happy about it, but I don't see it as a needle changer.
But anytime Apple has the opportunity to go and pat itself on the back, I don't think that's
not a real development. I'm channeling Seth Jason here, since he's not on the show this week.
Anytime Apple can do something that doesn't matter but get massive media coverage for it,
they've got to do it. Well, maybe not surprisingly, sales of Beatles songs spike.
As of this taping, there are 15 Beatles songs in the top 100 right now.
on iTunes. Anyone care to guess? What is the number one selling Beatles song right now on iTunes?
Ron? Sergeant Pepper? Tim? I want to hold your hand. I was going to say that. I'm looking
for a song title. Steve, what do you think? Strawberry Fields? Can't buy me love? You can't guess twice?
Yeah, it's only one. I just did though. I mean, we know you're bitter about all the money
you lost on Allied Irish banks. We can only guess one. No, it's here comes the sun. Oh. Ah.
Good recession song.
Exactly.
But I should also point out that there are no Beatles songs in the top 25.
We were talking about this before the show, about how the typical iTunes customer is much more focused on sort of a younger demographic.
I think some song from Glee is the number one song.
I don't even know Glee is.
It's on Fox.
It's a prime time.
It's about high school kids.
The kids love it.
Very popular with the kids.
Hello and make goodbye.
I say hello.
Hello and I say hello.
Ah, the kids from Glee.
Those kids can sing anything.
All right, the guys will be back later in the show
to talk about the stocks that are on their radar.
Remember, you can always email us
with your questions and comments.
Just drop a note to radio at fool.com.
Up next, bestselling author,
Bethany McLean on the hidden history
of the financial crisis.
This is Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money.
I'm Chris Hill.
Bethany McLean is a bestselling author and a contributing editor at Vanity Fair.
Her new book is entitled All the Devils Are Here, the Hidden History of the Financial Crisis.
And she joins me now.
Bethany, welcome.
Thanks for having me.
A lot of books about the financial crisis.
What do you think is the biggest misperception about the financial crisis?
I think one is that it was a crisis about homeownership, and it really wasn't subprime lending was never about homeownership.
It was about allowing people to use their homes as ATMs, and the government went along with it so that in order to keep consumer spending up.
But the whole notion that the crisis proves one way or the other that homeownership is or isn't a good policy, and I'm not saying it is.
I'm not defending it, but it wasn't about that.
It was about credit, not about homeownership.
What surprised you the most when you were working on it?
I think I started with far more of a bias toward personal responsibility, and I still have that, but I basically,
thought it was people's responsibility not to take out loans they couldn't afford. And I still believe
that, but the more I dug into the behavior of the lenders in this crisis, the more I thought they
have a lot to be ashamed for. And one really telling moment was finding this internal Washington
mutual presentation that talked about how you convince somebody who really wanted a 30-year fixed-rate
mortgage to take out an option arm instead. Oh, lovely. Yeah, great. You're listening to Motley Full
Money. We're talking with Bethany McLean.
new book is All the Devils Are Here, the hidden history of the financial crisis.
There's blame for everyone in this book, Wall Street Investment Banks, the Fed, the ratings agency.
Are there any angels in this book at all?
You know, there are a few good guys.
There are a few people at companies who tried to do the right thing.
And I particularly like this guy named Dave Zidding that we've got in our book.
He was actually a broker, ran a lender, and got a little bit into the subprime business.
and in the fall of 2005, shut it down.
It cost to his small company because he saw the direction it was going
and he just didn't want to be part of it.
And he had to sit there for the next couple of years
as he watched all his friends in the business make millions
and everybody told him he was crazy.
But he stuck to his guns and he did what he thought was right
and now he still got a company.
I like that story.
What do you think are one or two things that need to happen
to change the way Wall Street does business?
I think the biggest, biggest, biggest thing.
is the incentive structure, and I don't mean for companies, and there's a lot of focus on that.
You know, companies having skin in the game, everybody had skin in the game.
Merrill Lynch, Citigroup, Countrywide, WAMU, they all had skin in the game as companies.
I mean individual skin in the game, so that people's interest is in self-interest lies in doing what's best over the long term,
not in making money in the short term, even in an unsustainable fashion.
You're at Vanity Fair now, but for more than a decade you wrote for Fortune magazine.
That I did.
In March of 2001, you wrote an article entitled, Is Enron Overpriced?
And that led to the book on the Enron collapse, the smartest guys in the room.
What first raised your suspicions about Enron?
It was a short seller, someone who specializes in someone who's looking for stocks that are going to decline in value named Jim Chenev,
who I spoke to and who said you should take a closer look at Enron's financial statements.
And I'd worked at a Wall Street firm for three years, so I was well equipped to do that.
And the numbers just didn't add up?
You couldn't tell how they were making their money.
And when you asked people how they were making their money, no one could answer the question.
No one could explain it.
And there were all these weird things in their financial statements that just simply didn't make sense, all sorts of red flags.
Wall Street or the financial media, for that matter, learned anything from the Enron debacle?
I don't. I think Enron was a canary and a coal mine in many ways, and we'll start with the most
sort of technically nerdy stuff like off-balance sheet vehicles, which were at the heart of
Enron's problem, and they turned out to be the heart at City Group's problems all these years
later, and you'd think we would have learned that off-balance sheet is never really off-balance sheet.
To the role of the rating agencies who rated an Enron investment grade up until a few days
before it's collapsed. There was a flurry of hearings in Congress. We've got to do something
about this. They're incompetent. They don't know what they're doing. Nothing happened.
Rating agencies end up playing a pivotal role in this crisis to just larger lessons of human nature,
the notion of greed and people putting their short-term interests before kind of the greater good.
I think that's a really, I think both stories are really interesting stories of human nature.
You're listening to Motley Full Money. We're talking with Bethany McLean
author of the new book, All the Devils Are Here, the Hidden History of the Financial Crisis.
You know, in reading your book and in thinking about your previous book about Enron,
there seems to be an emperor has no close aspect to both stories.
Why is it that, it seems like no one ever listens to skeptics on Wall Street.
Why is that?
That is such a great way of putting it.
And I think there are a couple of reasons for it.
I think that skeptics are saying what nobody wants to hear,
and everybody's interest is in seeing onward and upward, right?
Whether it's with a stock, everybody wants it to go up,
whether it's with the housing boom, everybody wants it to continue,
because it's easier that way.
So no one wants to hear the person who's saying the uncomfortable truth,
even if, in retrospect, that uncomfortable truth is going to turn out to be totally obvious.
And then there's a personality thing to it, too,
which is that skeptics often aren't, they're not the country club guy, you know.
They're not the great, charming, pleasant companion at the dinner table who always says the thing that makes everybody else comfortable.
They're the guest who comes out with the thing that they're sort of an awkward silence because they've just said what no one really wanted to hear.
And so that makes people dismiss them.
And it's really unfortunate.
I think if we could take one lesson away from both episodes or probably from any episode, it's that regulators and all of us should pay attention to those skeptical voices.
What do you think are a couple of lessons for individual investors in the wake of the financial crisis?
Is it, you know, to get more steeped in the balance sheet when you're looking at a company?
Is it to just avoid financial stocks?
Is it to beware company executives who cry innovation?
Because that's another thing that seems to come up.
I think there are a lot of good lessons.
I think all of those things.
I think all of those things are true.
I think the old cliche, if it's too good to be true, if it seems too good to be true,
maybe it is because every single financial scandal always, in some respects, requires the complicity of its victims,
whether it's a belief that home prices can go up, a belief that Enron can produce money out of nowhere,
a belief that Bernie made off fantastic, consistent returns were really real.
But if there's another lesson that people can take away from this,
I think it's that credit has been oversold in our society.
You heard this constantly.
Whenever anybody tried to crack down on subprime lending, the lenders would say,
but if you do, it's going to reduce the supply of credit.
And the politicians would echo that and say, but if we do, we might reduce the supply
of credit.
And the industry is still saying the same thing today, to which I say, whatever happened
to living within your means, the only people too much credit is good for are the financial
companies when they can rake fees off the credit that you're taking out.
It's not good for you.
And if there's one thing you can do above all else, that's good for your financial health,
health it's to live within your means.
Oh, Bethany, you're talking like a crazy person now.
I know, aren't I?
It comes from someone with a shoe habit, let me tell you.
How do you invest your own money?
You know, this is terrible, but for somebody who covers this stuff and finds it fascinating
in the abstract, I am personally not that interested.
for years, it was never really an issue for me because I didn't have any money.
So being a journalist in New York, you don't actually have to worry about where you invest your money
because it's all you can do to pay your rent.
Now that I'm a little bit older, it's starting to become a bit more of an issue
because I obviously have a little bit of savings, and I have to figure that out.
Before journalism, you were an analyst at Goldman Sachs.
Michael Lewis, a colleague of yours at Vanity Fair,
recently wrote that the world would be better off without Goldman Sachs and better off without the idea that Goldman embodies,
the idea that financial manipulation is a legitimate way to get really rich.
Do you agree with that?
I think it's important to point out the difference between the old Goldman Sachs and the new Goldman Sachs.
The old Goldman Sachs was a firm that that's major business was M&A and capital raising for companies.
And financial intermediaries do play.
valuable role in that. But one person described it to me in the book, they're friction.
And when the friction in the system starts being paid billions upon billions of dollars,
you've got to wonder what's going on. So I would agree with Michael in kind of the modern
incarnation of Goldman Sachs, which is this trading empire, it's hard for me to see where the
societal value in any of that is, particularly when you get an insight like this crisis
provides into what exactly they're doing. And you see, you know, the invention of synthetic mortgage-backed
securities that aren't even, that pervert the whole idea of mortgage-back securities, which
we're supposed to provide money for homeownership. And these aren't even doing that. They're just
gambling instruments. And you start to think, my God, what have we created here?
You're listening to Motley Full Money. We're talking with Bethany McLean, author of the new book,
All the Devils Are Here, the Hidden History of the Financial Crisis.
Bethany, between the financial crisis and Enron, you've certainly had your share of business leaders with questionable ethics.
Who are a couple of business leaders that you admire?
I think one of the reasons I get so upset by business done poorly is that I'm such a huge believer in business done well.
I think there's nothing as transformative as business for the world at large.
And look no further than a guy like Bill Gates at Microsoft.
I don't even think he needed to turn around and give away his fortune to have done enormous good.
He created jobs.
He created a product that's a global product.
That's what business should be about.
And I actually think there are plenty of those kind of stories.
There are plenty of companies that are good to their workers and good to their communities
and actually contribute to global economic growth and well-being.
It's the ones that don't that just make me furious.
All right, Bethany, before we let you get out of here, I have to wrap up with a round of buy-seller-hold.
Okay.
Like you, this man is a native of Hibbing, Minnesota.
Buy-Seller-Hold, Bob Dylan.
Oh, bye.
Bye, bye, bye, bye, bye, by, bye.
Come on, he's from Hibbing, Minnesota.
There aren't many of us.
You have to stick with those who are.
I'm actually a big fan of Dylan.
I love some of his later albums in particular.
And his book is wonderful.
It's totally poetic, so.
he's currently serving 24 years in prison for his role in the Enron collapse but in June the
Supreme Court vacated part of his conviction and sent it back to the lower court for further
proceedings. Buy seller hold the future of Enron CEO Jeff Skilling.
Hold and I'll tell you why I think there's no question that Skilling deserves time in jail
but when you look at the crimes he committed versus what happened to our financial system
it's really hard for me to argue that Skilling deserves 24 years in jail
while everybody else involved in this financial crisis gets to walk away free.
And finally, your first book, The Smartest Guys in the Room,
was made into a movie that ended up being nominated for an Academy Award.
Buy, Seller Hold, All the Devils Are Here, The Movie.
Oh, hmm.
You know, I guess I have to say bye because that's where my self-interest lies.
But I didn't, and you know what, I really didn't think they could make a movie out of the smartest guys in the room.
I was stunned that Alex Gibney did so, so successfully.
So maybe somebody will have insight into all the devils that are here that I would never have.
So I'll hope for that person to come along.
And if it's not a documentary, who's your choice to play you in the movie?
To play me? Oh, good Lord.
How about Kate Blanchett? She's my favorite.
Oh, you know what?
We'll get her agent on the phone right after this.
That sounds like a great plan.
The Huffington Post calls it the best business book of 2010.
The book is All the Devils Are Here, the Hidden History of the Financial Prices.
Bethany McLean, thanks so much for being here.
Thank you so much.
Coming up, we'll head across the pond to get some marital advice for Prince William,
plus a look at the stocks on our radar.
This is Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Hill.
Joining me now from the offices of Fool UK in London is Motley Fool Managing editor Brian Richards.
It's Brian. Good to talk to you.
Chris, thanks for having me.
Now, I know you're over in London for the week,
sort of checking out the full UK operations,
and you've also had the chance to visit some companies
and sort of kick the tires for U.S. investors.
And we'll get to that in a minute,
but I don't want to bury the lead.
What is the mood like there
in the wake of the big Prince William engagement news?
On the revered financial times,
business for the life of me figure out how the British waited a month.
Now, I know you're not hanging out with the royal family,
But if Prince William came to you and said, Brian, you're a happily married guy.
Give me one piece of advice going into marriage.
What would you tell him?
That is timeless advice for Prince William and really for any guy contemplating.
Indeed.
All right.
As I said, you've had the chance to visit some companies over there.
One of the companies, Diageo, the huge beverage conglomerate,
whose brands include Smyranoff, Johnny Walker, Bailey's,
Guinness. I'm guessing that was a really awesome tour of their office. Yeah, and you know,
we weren't even in their Henselwanda in St. James's Square. As you walk in, as you can imagine.
No samples?
Today, and we didn't want to get our Don Draper on. So instead of...
Any insights into the Diageo business that you want to share for U.S. investors?
One is there in India and Russia because we've been drinking vodka and their grandparents drink vodka
and their cousins drink vodka.
That is interesting, because, yeah, you always think vodka when you think of Russia.
I think when you get back to Full Global Headquarters in Alexandria,
you and I need to do some on-the-ground research in this area.
I'm all for it.
All right, managing editor Brian Richards from Fool, UK, in London.
Thanks for joining us.
To read more on the stock market for analysis and commentary each day throughout the week,
visit the Motley Fool's website, Fool.com.
As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about.
Don't buy ourselves stocks.
solely on what you hear. I'm Chris Hill and back in the studio with me, our trio of senior analysts,
Tim Hanson, James Early and Ron Gross. Guys, we have just a few seconds. Stock's on our radar.
Ron Gross, go. Ex-Elixis, ticker-simble, EXL, a biotech focused on cancer. Stock was up strong,
recently 30% in one day. I think there's still room to run. All right, Tim.
QKL stores, NASDAQQ-Q-LS, which is a Chinese big box retailer. It dropped recently on weak earnings.
I'm not convinced it doesn't deserve to trade lower, but it's worth looking at.
James?
doing another L.SV screen stock. This is low PE, low sales growth, statistically proven to outperform.
Anyone could be risky. This one is Wet Seal. Teen Retail, debt-free, brought us ROE up from nothing to about 40% over the past five years. Ticketer, WTSL.
You didn't know what Glee was, but you're recommending Wet Seal.
Tim Hanson, James Early, Ron Gross. Guys, thanks for being here.
Thanks to our special guest this week, bestselling author, Bethany McLean, and Brian Richards, managing editor of
fool.com. For the latest analysis and investing commentary each day throughout the week, go to
fool.com. Our engineers this week are Steve Roido and Gail Anya Nuevo. Our producer is
Matt Greer. I'm Chris Hill. Thanks for listening. We'll see you next week.
