Motley Fool Money - Rocket Lab Shakes Up Satellite Communications

Episode Date: June 29, 2026

Jon, Matt, and Rachel dissect the latest breakup news from Comcast as the media giant intends to spin off assets under its NBCUniversal entity. This could unlock value but could shake up the streaming... landscape. The team then moves on to Rocket Lab’s $8 billion acquisition of Iridium before ending with a listener question about selling stocks. Jon Quast, Matt Frankel, and Rachel Warren discuss: -Comcast spins off NBCUniversal -Whether NBCUniversal is an attractive takeover target -Rocket Lab’s $8 billion acquisition -Selling stocks you love to buy stocks you love more Companies discussed: Rocket Lab (RKLB), Iridium (IRDM), Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX), Comcast (CMCSA), Versant Media Group (VSNT), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL) Host: Jon Quast Guests: Matt Frankel, Rachel Warren Engineer: Dan Boyd Disclosure: Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, “TMF”) do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. We’re committed to transparency: All personal opinions in advertisements from Fools are their own. The product advertised in this episode was loaned to TMF and was returned after a test period or the product advertised in this episode was purchased by TMF. Advertiser has paid for the sponsorship of this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit ⁠megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:01 Breakups, buyouts, and selling stocks, all this and more on today's Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing. Welcome to Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing. I'm John Quas and I'm joined today by Foolish contributors Matt Frankel and Rachel Warren. Today we're talking about a shakeup in outer space as well as taking a listener question about selling stocks. But first, we got to talk about Comcast because it's breaking up. Now, in January, it already spun off its TV.
Starting point is 00:00:31 channels and some internet properties, CNBC, golf, rotten tomatoes. It spun those off into Versant Media Group, ticker symbol VSNT. But now Comcast is coming back here for round two, announcing it will spin off
Starting point is 00:00:47 NBC Universal, which contains a lot more than just the channel NBC. Now, as I zoom out here, Kongpast stocked down about 30% over the past year prior to this announcement, And one announcement here, sending the stock up 20% pre-market, up about 10% now.
Starting point is 00:01:06 So the market is giving it roughly $10 to $15 billion more in market cap just for announcing this move. And that is an absolutely massive swing. Were investors really punishing this stock so much because it was a conglomerate? Well, yes. The new company will include all the entertainment and broadcasting out assets, including the NBC network, as you mentioned. That's still part of it. Telemundo, the Peacock Service. It also includes the universal film and TV studios, the universal theme parks, and the sky
Starting point is 00:01:39 European business. So the remaining Comcast will really just be the broadband and wireless services, which is a pretty big business. It has 65 million subscribers. So there are a few reasons why investors might be cheering the news. As you correctly said, the stock was down about 30% over the past year going into this, and with the so-called conglomerate discount hurting it, but not for the reasons that that you might think. So NBC Universal could be a lot more valuable as an entertainment content
Starting point is 00:02:06 play, especially when it comes to being an acquisition target. And that's really the environment we're in right now. So I remember when Warner Brothers Discovery plant the spin off its cable, TV and studios business announced that and then it became like the trigger for a bidding war between Netflix, Paramount, which eventually got it and a few others. Today's surge represents investors pricing in a similar outcome here. It remains to be seen if it has actually happens, but this could really be the next big consolidation play for the industry. I mean, Amazon and Apple are two examples of companies that could be interested just to name a couple speculative names off the top of my head, but there are definitely others.
Starting point is 00:02:44 Yeah, I mean, the primary driver of any shareholder value moving forward is the creation of two pure play entities that can be valued independently on their own merits, right? I mean, the remaining Comcast could potentially transform into a leaner, more profitable telecom giant focused on broadband infrastructure and wireless connectivity. That's sort of the bullish thesis there. And obviously, you know, without the financial, a drag of funding expensive streaming content, and then you could see how this new Comcast could redirect, you know, free cash flow directly towards share bybacks, dividend and hikes, paying down corporate debt. I'll note this is a tax-free spinoff. So current Comcast shareholders will receive shares of the new
Starting point is 00:03:21 NBC Universal Company without triggering an immediate tax liability. Comcast for their part, they're keeping in 19.9% massive stake in the new media company, and they intend to monetize that over the first year. So still a notable presence for that's concerned. Matt, I want to circle back to you here because it does sound like you're saying that a bigger player might want to acquire NBC Universal once it is spun out. And you mentioned Amazon and Apple specifically. Are you being serious here? Are you just daydreaming? Well, I think that's fair to say. There are a lot of these content providers who are leaning into live content. They would love to, you know, expand the intellectual property
Starting point is 00:04:01 and their streaming services and so on and so on. Now, there are some companies that would be unable to acquire NBC Universal, most likely, like Disney is an example. There's a lot of complementary parts of the business, but they would run into a theme park monopoly problem, I think. They might as well just buy Orlando if that was the case. But for a company like Amazon, it would make a lot of sense. Like, think of what they would be getting.
Starting point is 00:04:23 They'd be getting the rights to things like NBC's Olympic coverage, NFL Sunday night football. They're clearly pushing into live content, and the fact that they already own the MGM studios, it could be a nice smart addition to compete with other big streaming providers. Apple has been lagging in the content wars and has the cash to acquire something like this
Starting point is 00:04:43 rather than focusing too much of their attention on building it from scratch. So Matt's kind of giving us a bull case here, wherein NBC Universal is worth more on the public auction block than it was inside of Comcast. But let's say that Amazon never does make a bid. And this company here, NBC Universal, just has to stand alone and compete.
Starting point is 00:05:06 Does this company actually have what it takes to survive the streaming wars independently? Or is it going to shake up the industry in some way, Rachel? I don't see this as a player that shakes up the industry on its own. You know, if you look at it on a standalone operational basis, NBC Universal faces the same brutal headwinds as any traditional media giant, you know, from cord cutting to the expensive streaming wars. But Wall Street's not really bidding the stock up because they expect NBC Universal to suddenly grow its way out of the media crisis. I think the excitement is the idea that this newly independent NBC Universal could be an incredibly attractive acquisition asset overnight. You know, you think about how by stripping
Starting point is 00:05:45 away Comcast's massive broadband infrastructure, the Roberts family has essentially turned an unbuyable telecom giant into a neatly packaged comprehensive acquisition target. I think that that's where the mindset is. I mean, cash-rich tech giants, larger media platforms that want a world-class theatrical engine like Universal Pictures, other iconic IP, you know, global feed parks, and so on, they could bid directly on this media powerhouse without having to run, you know, the legacy telecom side. So we will see, right?
Starting point is 00:06:15 These are all sort of predictions that we're baking. But I would not be surprised if there are quite a few tech giants or media platforms that are looking at the landscape with a great deal of curiosity. and acquisitive interest than there were a few days ago. So it looks like NBC Universal is either going to need to learn to compete on its own or it may be an attractive takeover target. Either way, we'll be watching. But speaking of attractive takeover targets,
Starting point is 00:06:42 we've got a big one to talk about in the space race after the break. You're listening to Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing. Welcome back to Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing. So let's move here from the spinoffs to, acquisitions and Rocket Lab announcing this morning, it's acquiring Eridium for $8 billion. This was a surprising move for me this morning. Eridium is a satellite communications company, not unlike Starlink from SpaceX. And I think that investors tend to view Rocket Lab as kind of SpaceX's little brother.
Starting point is 00:07:20 The company is prone to doing big acquisitions, but this is a different level of big acquisition. This is not Baby Brother level acquisition at $8 billion. Does this move signal something more aggressive to become a true Pepsi to SpaceX's Coke, Rachel? Well, in the modern space economy, a launcher can no longer survive strictly on the low margins of launching rocket ships for third parties, right? So to become a true peer to the likes of SpaceX, a company needs to own and operate the really lucrative satellite networks that those rockets carry into orbit. So by taking control of Eridium's active low Earth orbit fleet, it's globally coordinated L-BAN spectrum, a very robust base of active subscribers, rocket lab could bypass years of capital drag, and this can transform that business from more of a launch utility into an end-to-end
Starting point is 00:08:13 global satellite service entity. I think that that is probably the vision that management has. It could also give Rocket Lab, you know, highly profitable recurring subscription cash flow. It needs to fuel that long-term growth. This is a very capital-intensive business, and as well to aggressively fund its upcoming medium-lift neutron rocket. Now, moving forward, maybe there's this idea that Rocket Lab could achieve complete vertical integration by deploying and replenishing Eurydium's future constellations
Starting point is 00:08:41 using its own launch systems, and that way they could capture those manufacturing and launch margins internally. You know, SpaceX's Starlink focuses on high bandwidth, direct-to-consumer broadband internet. Eridium corners the gold standard of safety-critical. global voice data and Internet of Things applications. So not necessarily fighting head-to-head for, you know,
Starting point is 00:09:01 residential Internet users, but I think Rocket Lab is trying to really gain a foothold in those industrial, maritime, and defense infrastructure applications. And this can help it very much establish a resilient counterweight to SpaceX's orbital monopoly. So, Matt, what is Rocket Lab exactly getting here? Yeah, so they're buying a few things here. And Rachel mentioned some of these. So they have a network of sense.
Starting point is 00:09:25 66 satellites in operation right now, about two and a half million subscribers between them. And it's a network really importantly that would cost years to build and billions of dollars. And it's really the time commitment that Rocket Lab doesn't need. There's kind of a race to get there when it comes to controlling the space economy. And waiting 10 years to build out a satellite network is not an attractive thing. So the deal, they're also getting 9 megahertz of spectrum, which is kind of a narrower bandwidth than, you know, SpaceX has for Starlink. Starlink is broadband, and this is narrowband.
Starting point is 00:09:59 But it is a very important asset. And they're also buying profitability. Rachel mentioned that Eridium is a profitable business, but that's really important here because, you know, Rocket Lab, I think their net loss was about $180 million last year. This gets them $100 million of profitability back. So it kind of creates a better path to profitability. But I don't really see this as Rocket Lab trying to be
Starting point is 00:10:24 the next SpaceX. Maybe I have an unpopular opinion on that. Iridium's network, it's more about reliable connectivity as opposed to broadband speeds. Like think satellite phones, you know, the safety type things, things that you have to have, say, if you're in the middle of nowhere. It's not a market that SpaceX is really targeting. There's some competition here, like the direct-to-sell connectivity that they're trying to, that Starlink and Rocket Lab are both trying to build out, that essentially use the satellites as a fallback for when you don't have cell service. But that's not the primary focus of what Eurydium does. And I see this as kind of being a different sort of business,
Starting point is 00:11:03 but competing in the global bandwidth spectrum, I guess. Well, I can't help but think that maybe Rocket Lab is overpaying here because at an $8 billion price tag, I mean, you look, that's about nine times sales for Eridium. And iridium's growing at just a single digit rate. So I don't know. It just seems like a high price to pay, Rachel. Yeah, a 9x top line multiple is high.
Starting point is 00:11:29 I won't argue with you there. It also translates this deal to roughly 16x EBITA multiple based on their $495 million in EBITA. But I will say, Aritium, they have got 57% operational, EBTA margins, very predictable, recurring cash flows that have been for a long time anchored by resilient government contracts. And so this does provide Rocket Lab with something of a financial cushion to fund that ongoing development of the Neutron Rocket without constantly diluting shareholders, as well as hopefully minimizing some of the capital drag as they're building out their low Earth orbit network. I'll also note, Rocket Lab secured a $3.6 billion bridge loan commitments from Deutsche Bank and Wells Fargo to back this $54 a share cash in stock deal. So that's a little bit of added context for the parameters of this acquisition. Well, regardless of the price tag, I think that all of us agree that this is a massive move for Rocket Lab. We'll find out within a year or two whether it was visionary or reckless.
Starting point is 00:12:31 But after the break, we're going to dip into the mailbag. You're listening to Motley Full Hidden Gems Investing. Welcome back to Motley Full Hidden Gems Investing. One quick note, we want to make you a part of the conversation. So if you have a stock or invest in question for Matt, Rachel or myself, anyone on the show, really, you can email us at podcast at fool.com. And we'll take that question if it is a good one, if it is short, and if it is foolish. So send those in to podcasts at fool.com, podcast at fool.com. And we are indeed taking a question from the mailbag here today.
Starting point is 00:13:10 The question reads like this. I've been following foolish investment principles for about eight years. My only regret is that I didn't find Motley Fool sooner. I am fully invested and like all my stocks. Here is the question, how do I pick which investments to sell in order to invest in new foolish recommended stocks? And when I retire in a few years, how do I pick stocks to sell for income? Not signed D Money.
Starting point is 00:13:36 I like that name. I wanted to point out here before I throw this question to Matt and Rachel, I wanted to point out one of the things I love about the Motley Fool investment philosophy. is that it encourages investing with investing new money regularly into the stock market. I know that that's not always a luxury that listeners have or investors have, but one of the benefits of that, especially in this context where DMoney says, I like all my stocks. Sometimes that's the case.
Starting point is 00:14:04 Sometimes you're invested in things that you do like and you don't want to sell, but there are other things you'd like to buy as well. So that's kind of the beauty of investing new money regularly, if that's an option. I don't have to make that choice between, do I sell this one or keep this one? I'm just continuing to invest new money for new ideas. But that caveat out of the way with the Motley Fool investment philosophy, not advice, but just general philosophy that we're giving there. I'm going to throw this to Matt first.
Starting point is 00:14:32 Matt, what do you think about this question from D money? Yeah, so there's two separate parts there, right? So there's how do I free up capital to buy new stocks that I'm interested in? And how do I free up capital when I'm retired? I'm not going to buy other stocks, but I just need the money to live on. So two different questions there. So the first one is a difficult question, mainly because the listener has done a lot right. I mean, being fully invested in a portfolio of stocks that you truly believe in is like the ongoing goal of long-term investing. So there are a few ways you can think about it. So even though you like all your stocks, ask yourself the question about each one of these, well, two questions.
Starting point is 00:15:10 So number one, would I buy the stock today at the current price if I didn't already own? it. And number two, do I see myself continuing to build out this position in the future? Those are the two questions I ask to kind of determine my conviction level in all the stocks I own. And from there, you can make a list of, say, your 10 highest conviction stocks. Those are kind of off the table to sell, but you can also identify your lower conviction positions, which can become sell candidates, either in full or partially when you want to act on a particular recommendation. There are certainly other things to consider there, such as, you know, the tax consequences if you're selling a stock that you own that has gone up in value a lot.
Starting point is 00:15:48 But as far as selling stocks for income in retirement, here's my general framework. And this is coming from someone who's probably two decades away from retirement, but I'm a certified financial planner, and I've dealt with this with clients before. So first, aim to get to retirement with two to three years of expenses in either cash or similar assets, like money market funds, high yield savings accounts, you know, short-term treasuries, things to that effect. That eliminates the need to sell any stocks immediately if you don't want to, which can be that could be worth its weight in gold if you retire and then the market crashes.
Starting point is 00:16:22 You don't have to sell your stocks into a bad market. Then you have two buckets from your portfolio. You have your more conservative stocks. These are like dividend stocks, like your compounders, like Berkshire Hathaway is one I would put in this basket. Those make the best choices to gradually tap into for cash when needed. There are stocks that are generally lower volatility. You don't have to really worry about, you know,
Starting point is 00:16:43 the long-term holding period. Then you can use that other bucket of stocks, which are your long-term growth holdings, for that targeted five-plus year hold, which is really a cornerstone of foolish investing. So that's how I think of, you know, gradually drawing down your portfolio in retirement, but just my opinion.
Starting point is 00:17:01 I mean, well, to our listener, huge congratulations on building a portfolio of businesses that you love. We've talked about this, you know, ideally we're buying fresh recommendations for a portfolio with new. cash so that we can leave our winners compounding uninterrupted. But this isn't always realistic, right? Sometimes our investing capital is maxed out, or obviously if you're transitioning into
Starting point is 00:17:22 retirement, you have to work with the portfolio you have. I'll talk a little bit about what my mindset has been is someone that is still a bit far off for retire, but so to speak, but very much is constantly evaluating my portfolio and looking at ways to grow my winners and to trim those that I don't want to keep in my portfolio anymore. So for me, looking at my biggest winners, If I think that a company has grown so much that say now it makes up 15 to 20% of my total portfolio composition, in my view, that really exposes one to massive single stock risk. So sometimes shaving off just a tiny sliver of that outsized position can be a good way to fund new diversified business. That can be a really healthy way to manage your risk without abandoning
Starting point is 00:18:06 the company and the position entirely. And I think as well, you know, what I'm looking at whether I want to from a position in my portfolio, I also evaluate the underlying reasons that I bought the stock, right? Is the management team still executing? Is the competitive moat would it was or has it degraded? You know, if a business has perhaps stalled, if some of those growth tailwinds have turned into headwinds, that for me is usually a clear can to trim, even if I still really like the business. And that can also yield some fresh capital that I can put back into the market and into growing my portfolio. Yeah, I couldn't agree more with that. To know when to sell, you first have to know why you bought and then evaluate off of that.
Starting point is 00:18:45 But thank you to Matt and Rachel. That's all the time we have for today. As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. All personal finance content follows Motley Fool editorial standards and is not approved by advertisers. Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only.
Starting point is 00:19:09 To see our full advertising disclosure, please check out our show notes. Thanks to our producer, Dan Boyd, and the rest of the Motley Fool team. For Matt, Rachel, and myself, thank you so much for listening to our show today, and we'll see you again in the next episode.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.