Motley Fool Money - Spousonomics
Episode Date: August 12, 2016Alibaba flies higher. Disney delivers. Shake Shack stumbles. And Walmart makes a big buy. Plus, journalist Jenny Anderson talks about her book, Spousonomics: Using Economics to Master Love, Marriage, ...and Dirty Dishes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Everybody needs money.
That's why they call it money.
From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money.
The Motleyful Money Radio Show, I'm Chris Hillen, joining me in studio this week for Million Dollar
Portfolio, Jason Moser, from MDP and Supernova, Simon Erickson, and from Motleyful Deep Value,
Ron Gross. Good to see you, as always, gentlemen.
Hey, hey, hey.
We'll dig into the latest earnings from Wall Street. We will revisit one of our favorite interviews,
and as always, we'll give you an inside look at the stocks on our radar. But we begin with
the week in retail. A lot of companies reporting this week, Ron. Macy's, Coles, Nordstrom,
J.C. Penny, all reporting better than expected results. Anything.
in particular standout to you?
So that was the theme. Better than expected results and things improved. And you saw the
stocks jump. But it's really important to understand that things are still not good and
it's largely because of Amazon. We saw across the board, except for JCPenney, continuing
same store sales declines. A lot of cases, profits declined. Macy's is closing 100 stores.
the street actually like that, but still, we have difficulty in the department stores.
It is interesting to see, though, with, you mentioned Macy's.
Jason, you look at their strategy.
They are clearly pursuing a quality over quantity strategy when it comes to their footprint.
And they are doing, I would say, a better than average job on selling through other channels.
Yeah, I think that makes sense.
And I think when you look at something like JCPenney on the other side of the coin, their
strategy has become sort of, I mean, it's, I'm trying to figure out.
out what their priority is here, first and foremost. Is it to grow sales or is it to cut costs?
Because they're really focused more on, instead of selling things like apparel, which obviously,
there are many more channels to get that many other places. They're focused more on selling
services and sort of accessories and things like that.
They have a big relationship with Sephora and makeup that they find is working out. I actually
think that's a very good move there, because I think we know from looking at Alta, Cosmetics,
next of the years there, there is a big and growing market opportunity there.
But yeah, it's been just, it's been an amazing time to watch all of these retailers that
we grew up with, just witnessing so many challenges.
It's interesting to see the Macy's stock really pop nicely on the closing of 100 stores,
which is about 15 percent of their store base.
Normally you would say, uh-oh, this company's in trouble.
You would maybe expect the stock to sell off.
It's counterintuitive.
But it makes sense to close the underperforming stores.
You free up capital to reinvest in the good stores, maybe even return some
capital to shareholders, pay down debt, and also it frees up some valuable real estate
that they can then sell, monetize that, and bring in additional capital.
Good point. I think that it's kind of difficult for Macy's right now because they've
gotten their customer base used to doing these promotional events, these discounts on a lot
of the products and apparel that they normally buy. But you look at those apparel makers,
like the coaches and the Michael Cores of the world, they don't want to dilute their brand down.
They want to keep the premium pricing and stuff. And I think that that's hard for a company
like Macy's, even though they're closing down stores too.
Last thing, since we haven't really delved into them, Ron. Nordstrom, I know that's a company
that you've followed in the past. Where are they right now? It seems like they might
be pulling out of their recent struggles that they've had.
The full-price stores continue to struggle, but there's been improvement. The same-store
sales was still negative at about 2.8 percent for the quarter. That's better than it had
been in the past. The strength continues to come from Nordstrom-Rack, and their
our Hot Look division. Those were actually quite strong. So that's kind of keeping the company
as a whole relatively okay. It still remains, in my mind, the best experience from all the
mall department stores.
All right. You mentioned Amazon. Let's talk about the Amazon of China. Shares of Alibaba
hitting a 52-week high after first quarter results blew away Wall Street. And I say results,
Simon, because it is not just the revenue and the profits. It is the growth that Alibaba is
seeing across the board.
Yeah, no doubt.
And I kind of like the Amazon of China.
Maybe we should call Amazon the Alibaba of the United States, right?
I mean, Alibaba's got 434 million people that have bought at least something on the platform
within the last year.
And that's up 18 percent year over year.
But you just look at that kind of user base and how you can monetize this platform over
time.
It's going to be huge.
It already is huge.
Hugeer.
What do you think the bigger opportunity is today?
If you look at Alibaba and it's very big.
obviously very big market in China versus Amazon's foray into India, which I think a lot of us
are excited about, just because India's market seems to be, let's just say, a bit more transparent
than perhaps out of China.
They're both going to be very, very large.
The amount of gross merchandise volume that Alibaba transacts is roughly double, a little bit less
than double of Amazon size right now.
And the interesting thing, I think maybe the biggest growth driver for them, Jason, is actually
going to be their cloud computing business, just like we saw.
Amazon Web Services build out the infrastructure so that companies don't have to build their
own data centers. They just contract Amazon to do it. We saw 156% growth in Ali Cloud.
Nice. Conveniently named.
I think that Amazon's doing $3 billion a quarter of. Alibaba did $187 million last
quarter. Lots upside for that one.
Well, and if you just look at the growth in mobile transactions, I mean, this is yet another
company where we've seen legitimate questions in the past being raised.
is, okay, this is fine, but how are they going to do with mobile? And just based on the latest
numbers, Simon, Alibaba is just doing fine with mobile.
Yeah, 75% of revenue is actually from mobile sources, and that's up about 55% from about
55% of revenue last year. But China's different, right? Chris, I mean, a lot of people are
just now getting onto broadband internet for the first time, and it's on a mobile device. It's
not the transition from PC to mobile like we saw in the US.
Walmart's trying to get more online, and they did that this week by buying all
online retailer, Jet.com, a cash and stock deal worth $3.3 billion.
And Jason, we talked about this earlier in the week on our Marketfulery podcast.
They've got the money. They've got about $60 billion in cash and short-term assets.
So in terms of rating the transaction, this is a win for them, I think, in terms of,
maybe this was an obvious move, but it's still a smart move.
I do think it is a smart move. I mean, I definitely don't begrudge them.
doing the deal. I think they had to do something. I think it's very clear the trend towards
e-commerce. We've talked about it ad nauseum here for probably the past three years now. But I think
the one thing for investors, too, don't make the leap that just because Walmart is making
this acquisition that it will succeed, that it's a done deal. Just because of their size
doesn't imply that. I think I harken back just as a Coca-Cola's investment in Kureg,
Green Mountain and their new cold machine. We know how that turned out. Hint, not very well.
So I think that making the acquisition was a smart move. I think there's a lot of hard
work to go to actually making it work because I think in this day and age, it's far easier
to go from e-commerce to Omnichannel than it is from physical retailer to Omni Channel. And
so when we talk about Omni Channel, incorporating all of those dynamics of retail into
sort of one seamless experience like Macy's is working really hard.
do. That's something that Walmart's going to have to try to figure out. The thing about Amazon,
the advantage they have there in the prime model, in working with third-party providers, they
don't really have to make a lot of money on the items that they sell because they leverage
that into so many other ways that they monetize the business. Walmart doesn't have that dynamic.
But with that said, I think it's a deal they had to make. And it's going to be interesting
to see how this thing shakes out in the next couple of years.
Although one advantage that Walmart has, and Amazon has this as well, but I would argue that Walmart maybe even has it to a greater degree is just sort of because of their size, because of their footprint, they have pricing power in that if you are selling anything and you have the opportunity to sell your wares in Walmart, I think you're going to take that, aren't you, Ron?
I think so. I think Walmart has actually a decent online experience as well. I've purchased things a number of times.
As some of our listeners may know, I've only actually been in a Walmart once, but I've
shopped online many times. And it's because it's kind of like when you go into a restaurant
and you say, can I have a Coke? And they say, well, is Pepsi okay? And you go, yeah, okay.
It's like if I go to Amazon first and they don't have what I want or they don't have the price
point that I want, then I'll shift over to Walmart and take a look. And it's been successful.
You've really only been in one Walmart in your one?
I have one Walmart.
I think the point to that, though, is also you see a lot of the value in sort of what Amazon
has done today with a prime relationship and sort of growing.
a rabidly loyal customer base. And I think that that's something that Walmart is lacking.
I don't know that they can necessarily get there. So they are going to have to compete on pricing,
which I think is going to be very difficult for Walmart because really, I mean, Jeff Bezos does view that margin as his opportunity.
And they'll sell a lot of that retail stuff either at cost or even at a loss in order to be able to perpetuate sort of that flywheel that we talk about so much with that prime relationship.
So very competitive environment, no question about it. But again, I think it's the right move from Walmart, whether it's shaking.
out well for them, that remains to be seen.
All right. From retail to skiing, Vell Resorts hitting a new all-time high this week
after buying Whistler, Blackcomb, and a cash in stock deal worth just over $1 billion.
They just bought the biggest ski area in Canada, Simon. And clearly, investors like this deal.
I think we need to take a field trip.
Some investment on-the-ground resort.
My knees aren't going to hold up, so I'll just be in the ski lodge.
I'll join you.
Fair enough.
Chris, this is a great deal for Vail.
Whistler has about 2.7 million visitors every year, and to put that in perspective, Vail had about 10 million for the core properties the year before.
So this is about a 27% increase in terms of visits.
And, of course, when people go to the resorts, just like you said, they're eating at the restaurants or getting drinks and spending a lot of other money to.
And it's discretionary spend.
People aren't looking as closely at prices when they're on.
vacations, and that's great for a company like Vale. The really interesting thing I think from
this story is that Vail is trying to focus more on warm weather activities. They're trying
to revamp their existing parks so that you can do things in the summertime, too. It
smooths out the seasonality, and you start just expanding the existing properties you have and
getting even more and more revenue. And I think that's something that Whistler's done a pretty
good job with, too. They've got things like Action Sports and an indoor water park and even
mountain biking and golf. Coming up, if you thought Shake Shack's valuation was too expensive,
We've got some good news. Stay right here. This is Motley Full Money.
Take this job and shove it. I ain't working here no more. Welcome back to Motley Full Money. Chris Hill
here in studio with Jason Moser, Simon Erickson, and Ron Gross. Shake Shack's second quarter profits came in 75% higher than a year ago. Revenue was also higher than expected.
They're showing growth, Ron Gross. How come the stock isn't growing? Oh, Chris. It's all about comparable
growth decelerating. And that just can't support the current valuation. Comp sales were plus
four and a half percent for the quarter. You would normally say, oh, that's not too shabby,
but it was 12.9 percent this time last year and 9.9 percent in the first quarter. So, again,
clear deceleration. And when you've got a stock trading at a P.E. of, let's call it about
a hundred times. Now, let's not forget what that means.
And it's a burger chain. At current earnings, you would have, you would break even in 100 years,
that means.
It's price for filet mignon.
Sometimes we don't realize what P.E. means.
If you don't put up the numbers to support that, you're going to get punished in the market,
and I think it's appropriate.
What is their growth strategy?
Because I think we've all been to the Shake Shack that's in D.C. I like the product.
They still have, I believe, fewer than 100 locations. I'm having just sort of made fun of
the company a little bit. I mean, it seems like they've got a chance to grow their footprint
in a big way.
They're actually doing a fine job. It's really a valuation problem here. The stockwood public
21 hit a high of 60. We're back now at 38. But they're growing nicely.
Star count went from 71 to 95, just under 100, as you mentioned. And there's plenty of room
for growth in the future.
You can follow our show on Twitter. At Motley Fool Money is our Twitter handle.
Question from Map in Texas hitting us up on Twitter. Can you gents discuss NVIDIA?
The stock is seemingly on a rocket to the moon. What is their competitive advantage?
Invidia, the graphics chip maker, is one of the drivers behind the growth in gaming.
that we've seen recently, Simon.
Yeah, and speaking of gaming, my colleague Rob Burnett just sent me a note that we're going
to have the East Coast first virtual reality arcade.
Okay.
They're coming back.
I'm just saying, that's kind of awesome.
Wanted to drop that out there too.
Is there actual physical location that I go to?
Or can I just put on my VR helmet in my home and show up at the arcade?
It's kind of like the old-school arcades that had Pac-Man, but now you're in the...
I don't know what's going to...
It sounds awesome.
I'm just saying.
Sorry to totally deflect the question, Matt.
InVito is really a neat company.
kind of has the perception of just being a hardware, a PC company, but in reality, they're
doing a lot of really cool stuff in deep learning. They're very good at using their graphics
processing units to recognize images. And so Facebook is using this in their networks to recognize
when you're posting things onto the site. What is this? Amazon's doing the same thing. And of
course, we've seen Tesla using it for autonomous cars. It recognizes images. Yes, that's a stop sign.
I need a stop. And so on and so forth. But the competitive advantage is that,
But in the software world, you typically have to build things on top of other things.
The technology is stacked.
And it's those GPUs that NVIDIA has done for years that everyone else is customizing and
developing off of.
And they've done a great job with it.
We're going to be hearing a lot more about them in the future.
Shares of the Walt Disney company ticking up this week after third quarter profits came
in higher than expected.
This quarter, Jason, you look at the theme parks and the movie studios are really getting it done.
Yeah.
And they've been getting it done.
I think the biggest question for us is always.
been, it's always revolved around ESPN, exactly what are they going to do in the face of
sort of this movement towards cord cutting and over-the-top television.
So we got a lot to chew on this quarter with the acquisition, or at least taking the stake
in Bamtech, which is a tech platform that helps distribute some of that sports content,
I think Major League Baseball and NHL primarily. It's a big deal. I mean, this is about a billion
dollars Disney's putting into this venture here, but I think it's a smart move. It's going to give
them, I think, at least this first sort of big step into learning how to really leverage
the sports content that they have through their ESPN ventures, as well as other, probably
digital rights, they'll continue to be able to acquire as time goes on. So we're seeing sort
of, we've always kind of had the question as far as it's not the content, really. It's
the distribution that we've always wondered about. And I think this is a sign of how they're
going to be looking to do this, figuring out more and more what people want, where and when they
want to watch it. And then being able to charge people accordingly, as opposed to just kind of
relying on the easier business model of just charging the cable company, a lot of money
for this family BSPN channels, and not really knowing much more than that, sort of what
people are going to want to watch. So I think this is a good step away from linear TV,
more towards over the top, get more data on what the consumers want. And ultimately makes
a bigger market, and they'll be able to own a little bit more of that bigger market. So all
and all, very encouraging.
Sad news for Lulu Lemon, the Athletica shareholders this week. The company announced
that Rota Pitcher, who may or may not actually exist, is stepping down from the board of directors.
This comes less than two weeks after CEO Lauren Pottevin told CNBC that Rota Pitcher was, quote,
absolutely staying on the board despite the controversy surrounding her identity and experience.
This continues to be the most baffling story I've ever seen in my life.
I feel like there's always going to be an asterisk right after her name, because it's like you've got to offer up that disclosure if she may or may not exist.
Do you think she said, listen, I've got to go. This is killing me, the scrutiny?
Or do you think they said, you've got to go? This scrutiny's killing us.
Well, that's the thing. The scrutiny came from the media, and at no point, it seems like, Simon, you
and I were talking about this during the break. At any point, the company could have released
a photo of her attending a board meeting. They could have put her on the phone with a reporter.
They could have quashed this at any moment, and they just didn't, which is why it's so baffling
to me.
And all the research you could do would not really help you. Her educational
background, her schools that she's supposedly got her degrees from. It's very, very difficult
to get anything definitive. We do know that during her time on the board, she did pull in
compensation of close to $2 million. So there is that. Wendy's latest earnings report wasn't
nearly as interesting as what CEO Todd Pentegore had to say on a conference call with
analysts. Pentegore blamed weak results on Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.
Benegra said, quote, whether through elections or global events, people are slightly mindful
of an unsettled world, and when caution starts to prevail, they start to hold back on spending.
We've got about a minute left.
I'll start with you.
Is this the most grasping at straw's excuse you've ever heard?
It gets up there.
We always make fun of retailers using the weather as an excuse, which sometimes is true, but often
not.
It's just a excuse.
This one goes over the top for me.
This is a burger chain.
This isn't some big macroeconomic business?
Nope. Your proposition is all value, all 24 hours of the day, every day of the week, 365 of them a year.
I mean, it's one thing that this is like a rinker restaurant, like, you know, Maggiano's or something where you get a pay down and leave a tip.
This is Wendy's, man. You get like a 99-cent cheeseburger.
It kind of reminded me of Steve Jobs back in the Apple days when the antenna for the iPhone wasn't working properly.
And his reason was, well, don't hold it that way.
Yeah, you're just not a good one.
All right.
All right. Simon Erickson, Jason, Mason, Mozer, Ron Gross.
Guys, we'll see you a little bit later in the show. All's Fair in Love and Money.
Reporter Jenny Anderson is next. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Full Money.
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Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Hill. Forget love and romance. My guest this week says the key to a happy marriage is economics.
Jenny Anderson is an award-winning business reporter for the New York Times and the co-author of Spousanomics, using economics to master love, marriage, and dirty dishes. Jenny, thanks for being here.
Thanks for having me.
So I've been married for 15 years.
And you've never learned as much as you've learned from my book, right?
I got to say, there is some.
amazing stuff in this book and amazing in a number of ways, not the least of which is the amount
of economic research that is grounded it. This is definitely not one of those squishy books about
marriage and how to get in touch with your inner feelings. This is very grounded stuff here.
In a nutshell, how can economics help someone like me who's in year 15 of his marriage?
Well, the book takes a very simple premise that economics is the study of the allocation of
scarce resources and what is a marriage but a daily waking up and deciding who's going to do
what and how are your resources, your very limited resources, I might add, your time, your energy,
your libido, your love, how are those going to be allocated every day? And as far as I can tell,
like the source of 99% of marriage tension is over that allocation, who's going to do what and
who's doing what well and who's not doing what well and who needs to be nagged and who needs to be
encouraged and what incentives are going to work. So the book comes up with, we take 10 principles
both from classical economics but mostly from behavioral economics and say,
here are some things that are influencing the way you approach things in marriage.
So the way you approach the division of labor, are you doing a 50-50,
or is there maybe a better system like comparative advantage,
how you fight?
Do you fight like crazy because you're afraid of losing?
That's loss aversion kicking in.
How can you do that better?
So you name the subject.
I think we have a solution for it, including sex,
which of course is a very common topic among married couples.
I was going to say, I mean, one of the basic economic principles that I think even someone who is in schooled in economics knows about is the concept of supply and demand.
And for those thinking about picking up a copy of Spousinomics, I will just spot you up with the title of Chapter 3, Supply and Demand or How to Have More Sex.
Right. So we all know the more something costs, the less demand there is for it, right?
So we did a randomized survey of people across the country and asked them,
do you want to be having more sex?
Most of them said yes.
Then we said, why aren't you having more sex?
And most of them said because we're too tired, followed not long afterwards by too busy.
So you start from the premise that you would like to be having more sex with your spouse,
but you're too tired to do it.
So what is the best way to sort of up demand?
You need to make it cheaper for yourselves, not money, but, you know,
in terms of expending your time and energy.
And it's amazing how often couples can either talk about how much sex they're not having
or complain about how their schedules won't permit it or there's a lot of sort of ways we make it
expensive for ourselves.
And again, you pointed out this doesn't sound very romantic, and this will not sound like a romantic advice.
But, you know, you've got to make it easy for yourselves, you know, especially if you're in the rush hour of life.
You know, you're managing jobs, you're managing children, you're managing a lot of things for that moment in your
lives, you need to make it easy. Maybe you need to schedule it. Maybe you need to set a goal. Maybe it
needs to be put in the Blackberry. Maybe, you know, you need to stop hoping that he's going to sense
the right moment and be really romantic and you need to just sort of seize the seven minutes in the
shower and go with what you've got. But make it cheaper and easier for yourselves and more demand
will materialize. We have the book, every concept we have, we have three case studies. So this is
not sort of, you know, made up in the abstract. There are a couple who do this stuff and it actually
works for them. And I think this is probably the first book about economics that deals with
cheaper, easier sex. So, I mean, I think that alone is going to help you sell a lot of books.
I hope so. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. My guest is Jenny Anderson, the co-author
of Spousinomics using economics to master love, marriage, and dirty dishes. One of the things
that you write about goes against one of the sort of classic pieces of advice for couples that
are about to get married, and the classic advice is never go to bed angry. And you and your co-author
are saying, actually, sometimes you should go to beg angry. Why? Yeah, I think that's pretty bad
advice. It's like the most common sort of bridal party, you know, advice that you're going to get
or the reason is because, and I alluded to this before, loss aversion, when we feel like
we're losing, we act irrationally. And we, for stock traders, that means, you know, things you're
Kavier at Society General, right? He actually said, like, I knew I was down. I had to bet the
house. Like, I had to do everything in my power, including risking $7 billion from my bank's
capital, to win. You act. You can't see clearly. And that happens when you're fighting with your
spouse, right? You think, in the same survey, 37% of people admitted to us that they continue
a fight when they know they're wrong. And another 34% admitted to us that they continue to
fight when they can't even remember what it was they were fighting about. So sometimes you're
just fighting because you feel like you're losing, right? And so you sort of go into crazy mode.
At that moment, it really is much better to go to bed angry and catch your breath and stop hyperventilating
for whichever party happens to be hyperventilating, and maybe it's both of you, and see how you
feel in the morning. And we're not suggesting sort of suppressing your feelings and never talking
about it again, but you're not going to get resolution. If your goal is, you know, a happy,
fruitful marriage for many, many years and the goal of that fight is to resolve the issue, then
you need to sort of wait until you can breathe to resolve the issue.
And again, that is our way, recognizing that it's our loss ofversion kicking in,
we can sort of force ourselves to take that time out and then reassess when you're thinking a little clear,
and it's amazing.
I can tell you from first-hand experience, I'm a very emotional person.
A lot of times in the morning, the issue does not seem nearly as monumental as it did it at sort of 2 a.m.
And you're a little bit better at.
That's one of the things that keeps coming up in the book over and over is this whole notion of cost-benefit analysis.
and looking at things in your marriage through the lens of, well, what is the cost here?
What is the benefit going to be?
And it's like, well, you know, I don't necessarily want to take out the garbage right now,
but, you know, the cost of it is pretty minimal compared to the benefit of my wife is going to be a whole lot happier.
She's going to be exponentially happier than the cost will be for me.
Exactly.
And again, it sounds very unromantic, and yet there is some real logic to this if you think about it.
Like marriage can be romantic.
but dishes are not romantic.
Trash is not romantic.
You know, deciding who does the carpal,
these are not romantic issues and do not require romantic solutions.
They require practical solutions,
and I think we sometimes just hope that because we're married
and because we're in love, all of these things should be easy.
Like, you would never run a business that way,
being like, well, I hope my business partner just knows what I need.
You know, you would assume that you would sit down and say,
all right, here's how we're going to divide up the tasks.
Here's what you're going to do.
Here's what I'm going to do.
And when it doesn't get done, you would be upset about it.
So we're really trying to address the business of marriage because there is a business of marriage.
And that's very sad probably for those, you know, perspective to be married.
But it's true.
And it doesn't have to be a bad thing.
But the less bigger than you do about that business, the more time there is for romance and sex and love and hanging out with your kids and doing all the great things you want to do if you're not sort of, you know, at, at which end arguing about school lunches.
You're listening to Motley Full Money.
My guest is Jenny Anderson, the co-author of Spousinomics, using economics.
economics to master love, marriage, and dirty dishes. You and your co-author, Paula, you did a ton of
research here on economics. You did interview, surveys. You went to seminars. How did you get the
idea in the first place? So the idea was my co-authors, Paula Schumann. She's a page one editor at the
Wall Street Journal, and she and her husband were having, they had been married for, they were in
their first year of marriage, and they were having a horrible fight. They found the first year of
marriage to be pretty tough. And her husband's a web designer, a very visual guy, and he sort of
whipped out a piece of paper and did a graph of their mood over time. And it sort of opened the pathway
for them to have a much more rational discussion than they had been having about, like, wait,
you were really happy then? Like, that's crazy. I was really unhappy then. What was going on?
And it diffused a little bit of the emotion and really kind of led to a conversation and it sort of made
him laugh. It just gave him another framework. And she started thinking, like, maybe there's a, you know,
maybe there's a bigger idea here.
And she wanted a co-author who had more of a grounding in economics and finance,
and so we were set up on a blind date.
You were set up on a blind date, but what, by your publisher?
No, no, no, no, no.
I have a mutual friend.
So I was thinking about writing some books related to the financial crisis.
And I was complaining to a colleague, actually,
that none of them were sort of jazzing me enough to really want to take the plunge
and spend the other 15 hours that I'm not working on these issues at home.
home doing them. And he said, oh, I have a friend who had this crazy idea about, you know,
sort of marriage and economics. And it really immediately made sense to me. Like, I could see the
idea. And I had written about behavioral economics. And it seemed, um, it seemed like a clever
idea. And I could imagine spending all of my free time doing it, whereas I was having
trouble imagining spending all of my free time on some of the other subjects I was contemplating.
Now, as you mentioned, both you and Paula are married. How did your husbands feel through this
entire process? Like guinea pigs.
unwitting at times.
And, you know, the irony here is that we, in the process of deciding to write a book about marriage
while producing three children and having full-time jobs, we definitely put a huge amount of stress
on our marriages.
But at the same time, we actually, I think, learned a lot of very useful things.
It's very hard to sort of talk about the research and talk about all these great tools
and then not take any of your own advice.
My husband is actually an editor at the Wall Street Journal as well, and he read the whole book.
He would, I can promise you, he would never in a million years read any relationship book.
So it was very useful to both of us because he read the book, and he actually, I think, found a lot of it very useful.
Could understand the more analytical framework, but he could also use the book on me.
So when I use a horrible tone of voice, I'll say, that's not very spousanomical, you know, and say, well, it seems to me that your loss of versions kicking in or, you know, is this really comparative advantage of its best?
And, you know, and he's right.
There are moments where, I mean, I don't particularly like it being used.
against me, but there are, you know, there are sort of tools that we can both use now.
And I sort of feel like as married people, we just, I'll take any tool I can get.
Like, I think marriage, you know, for 40 or 50 years is hard.
And so you should look for as many tools as can help you get through it.
You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
My guest is Jenny Anderson, the co-author of Spousinomics, using economics to master
love, marriage, and dirty dishes.
Jenny, before we move on to buy, sell or hold, what is one thing?
right now that every listener can do to improve their marriage?
Commitment devices.
I'm going to say this, and I would probably not say this to a lot of audiences,
but you have a smart one, so I'm a really smart one,
so I'm going to go out there with this one.
Better intertemporal decision-making.
Whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa.
I know.
Decisions we make today that have consequences in the future.
We are procrastinators as human beings.
We say we're going to say for our retirement, we don't.
We say we're going to exercise.
We don't.
We say we're going to eat well.
We don't.
We say we're going to be a better husband or wife.
We don't.
We need to put in place commitment devices to be the husband or wife that we want to be.
So, you know, if you've been talking for the past eight weeks, about, you know, eight years about how you want to do more new things together,
or you want to go on more date nights together, or, you know, you really do want to find a babysitter that you love so that you can get out of the house everyone's while, do it.
Do it.
Find a way to commit to it.
Force yourselves to do it.
You know, prepay a babysitter.
You know, find the best babysitter in the town, book them every other Saturday night.
So you have to go out.
You are forced to plan.
Do something to make yourself do some of the things you say you're going to do and you never do.
So, you know, as a couple, I've heard a lot of couples say, you know, there's scary research that married couples exercise much less than single people say,
okay, let's say you as a couple have said you want to get into shape.
Commit to doing a race where you have to raise money for a good cause.
Like, are you really going to screw over all those people who are giving you money to cure cancer?
No. So go do that. If that's what our court requires to get your lazy butt out of bed every Saturday morning to go running.
You know, I feel like these commitment devices are a very powerful tool to get us to do things that we want to do, but we just never really get around to doing.
I love the idea of prepaying a babysitter. That is brilliant.
Especially if it's a babysitter, your friends know because you don't want her ratting you out to your friends as like the couple who come Saturday night really just wants to sit on the couch at home.
Exactly. All right, let's wrap up with a round of buy-seller hold, and we'll start with
buy-seller hold, the idea that honesty is the best policy.
Self.
That was fast.
But with a caveat, which is obviously honesty is the basis of a good marriage, but there is
such a thing as too much information, right? You don't want to overload your partner,
high information processing costs. You know, it's hard to process a lot of information.
It can paralyze us. You need to be honest. You do not need to tell your partner every
thing you're thinking about them, especially if those are very negative thoughts.
Buy seller, hold, separate bank accounts for spouses.
I'm going to say hold on that one, and again, there's a caveat.
If you have separate bank accounts because you've chosen to have separate bank accounts,
totally fine.
If you have separate bank accounts because you've never gotten around to having the conversation
about whether you should merge them, major self.
Because that is active versus passive decision-making.
Passive decision-making, it means you didn't make a decision,
and so you're just kind of going with that which you had because it's the easiest thing to do.
Not a good idea for anything in your marriage, but certainly not with your money.
You need to make an active decision as to what you're going to do with it and how you're going to manage it.
And finally, buy seller hold, Spousinomics, the movie.
Buy Spousinomics, the TV series.
Really?
I'm just saying.
I'm not saying anything's happening.
I'm just saying if I were going to buy the film or the TV show, I would buy the TV show.
hotter than film right now.
Okay, because the Freakonomics guys, they got a movie out of it, but Spousanomics, the TV show.
All right.
Spousinomics, the TV show.
All right, we are going to stay tuned for that.
And as I mentioned, there's a whole lot more online at Spousanomics.com.
The book is Spousinomics, using economics to master love, marriage, and dirty dishes.
It is a fascinating read.
It is a relationship book that guys will actually enjoy and find interesting.
And, oh, yeah, it might actually help you.
with your marriage. Jenny Anderson, thanks so much for being here.
Thanks for having me.
Coming up next, we'll give an inside look at the stocks on our radar.
This is Motley Fool Money.
As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about,
and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against
so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you're here.
Welcome back to Motley Full Money, Chris Hill here in studio with Jason Moser,
Simon Erickson, and Ron Gross.
Guys, it is that time, time to get to the stocks on our radar.
We'll bring in our man Steve Groydo from the other side of the glass to hit you with a question.
Ron Gross, you're up first. What are you looking at, man?
I'm going with the latest recommendation from our Income Investor newsletter, which
piqued my interest. It's Penske Automotive, PAG. They're the nation's second-largest auto dealer.
They tilt towards luxury brands like BMW and Mercedes. They acquire small competitors at good prices
and make them more profitable. 15% return on equity, 2.8% yield. My income investor friends
think there is 30% upside at this price.
Steve Brodo? Question about Penske?
Is it a problem that I don't know them at all?
I'm really honest. I don't think I've heard of Penske before.
So you would know the brand names that they sell, such of course BMW and Mercedes.
They're the second largest. Auto Nation would be the first largest. That name you may be more familiar with.
But it's not that important that you know that name. It's important that you know the brands.
Jason Moser?
The Penske file.
Exactly.
I think we all know the Penske file.
We all know the Penske file.
Yeah, taking a look at Wayfair, earning season kind of rapid.
up here in Wayfair, ticker W earnings came out this past week. And the stock sold off in a big
way, although I think that kind of made sense. I mean, the big question, we still have this
on the watch list with million dollar portfolio. And we really like this business. We feel
like the moves that they're making in investing a lot in the supply chain to be able to improve
convenience, getting the product to the consumer quicker. These are all the right moves.
It's just a matter of understanding down the road if they're going to be able to pull back
on that cost structure a little bit to realize a bit more profitability.
in the model. Again, I think you look at this business, a lot of the metrics make a lot of
sense, but when we look at sort of the valuation of the stock, the question is how many
customers can they bring in? How many orders are those customers going to place per year? How
much dollar volume is going to be there? Those are all kind of the questions. And ultimately,
the one question we're trying to answer that we can't answer yet, are we better off just
putting that money we would consider putting in Wayfair in Amazon? And as of now, still no answer.
Steve, question about Wayfair?
What role do brands play in Wayfair regarding when I go on there?
I don't see a lot of name brand stuff and I'm familiar with.
It's just furniture maker, A, B.
I think that's the key to sort of their opportunity right there, Steve, is that when you're shopping for furniture and things like that in your home,
you're not so brand-oriented.
You're more looking for something that aesthetically will please you, and so it's less brand-reliant,
which in theory could be an advantage for them over the long run.
Simon Erickson, what are you looking at this week?
Yeah, Chris, got another MDP watch list one for you.
CERner, CERN is the ticker. They're one of the leaders in the United States electronic health
care records. So they're in 20,000 locations, but interestingly, they're in about 30 percent of
large U.S. hospitals. And typically what happens with EHRs is once the core provider gets in,
they tend to expand services at those locations over time. That's really, really good for margins
and cash flows. And really keeping my eye on this one. Steve, question about CERNA?
When do I have to stop filling out that same form 3,000 times?
Every time I go to the doctor, the same page. Can you guys just get on the same page here?
Is this going to solve this for me?
Yes, that's right. Exactly, Steve.
So rather than having all that paperwork that sometimes is erroneous and takes a lot of time,
you can have an electronic health record through CERner.
CERNAWa? Wayfair.
CERner.
Wayfair Pansky. Steve?
I think I'm going CERNORN. My hand is tired from writing, so I'm in.
All right. Simon Erickson, Jason, Mozer, Ron Gross, guys.
Thanks for being here.
Thank you, Chris.
You can check out past episodes of Motley Fool Money and all of the
Motley Fool's podcast, just go to podcast.fool.com. That's podcast.com or iTunes, Stitch,
or Spotify, anywhere you find podcasts. Our engineer is Steve Reuters, Matt Greer. I'm Chris Hill.
Thanks for listening, and we'll see you next week.
