Motley Fool Money - Tech Sell-Off, Square Deals, and Power Moms

Episode Date: March 5, 2021

The Trade Desk, Magnite, and other ad-tech companies tumble after Google announces some big changes. Costco and Target fall on earnings. Zoom Video reports a big jump in revenue but the stock tumbles.... Okta buys rival Auth0 for $6.5B in stock. Square buys a majority stake in Jay Z’s streaming service, Tidal. Mercadolibre slips despite record revenue. And Amazon looks to secure some Prime programming with the NFL. Motley Fool analysts Andy Cross and Jason Moser discuss those stories and share two stocks on their radar: Lam Research and AppHarvest. Plus, author Joann Lublin talks about her new book, Power Moms: How Executive Mothers Navigate Work and Life. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:28 We've got the latest headlines from Wall Street. Bestselling author, Joanne Lublin, is our guest. And as always, we've got a couple of stocks on our radar. But we begin with a shakeup in the digital advertising industry. Google is promising not to use technologies that track people individually across the internet. And one ripple effect of that announcement is that shares of the trade desk and Magnite both dropped 20 percent over the span of 48 hours. Andy, a bunch of different angles here. Let me start with this.
Starting point is 00:02:00 Does this announcement from Google fundamentally change the business of the trade? desk and magnate? Chris, it does not. First of all, Google's been talking about this for the past couple years. They first proposed this in 2019, this idea of this privacy sandbox, looking for a better way to help their clients serve advertisements in a way that doesn't involve what's so-called third-party cookies. So this is not necessarily new. It has, they've been, this week, they came out that announcement that is much more pronounced that, yes, we are ready to do this now. So we're pushing it ahead. And that privacy sandbox, is going to remove the use of these third-party cookies that the likes of the Trade Desk,
Starting point is 00:02:41 and Magnite, and others used to help serve and target advertisements. So from that perspective, it is a big impact on those businesses, but it's not a secret. And I think Trade Desk has been thinking about this and talking about this specifically, and Jeff Green, their leader, the founder of the trade desk. So I can't imagine that they're not surprised by this. and they are looking at lots of different solutions. But fundamentally, it does not change their business. It will be a challenge for them to be able to navigate this new environment, though.
Starting point is 00:03:14 Jason, even without this news, I feel like the Trade Desk would be selling off a little bit just because of the sell-off that we've seen this week and last week with NASDAQ stocks. Yeah, yeah, I think you're absolutely right. I mean, Trade Desk, like many other popular names in the tech space, has really flown in a short period of time. And we saw the recovery, the advertising market, materialize earlier in the pandemic. And that really, I think, sort of lit the candle for companies like the trade dust to come roaring back. And the stock has done tremendously over the past year for the most part.
Starting point is 00:03:54 I mean, this news, it's material. It matters given Google's, given Alphabet's position in the market. I mean, this is, we talk about walled gardens. I mean, this is one of the biggest walled gardens out there. And it's interesting to see how Google is talking about this new technology versus what they've used in the past. It's this cohort's idea that, I mean, who knows how it ultimately will work? I mean, they seem to believe that cohorts makes more sense than the PII, that personally identifiable information that companies
Starting point is 00:04:32 like Trade Desk and Magnite and whatnot rely more on. And maybe there's something to that, but I think Andy's right. I mean, this is not Trade Desk's first rodeo, so to speak. And they've, I'm certain, have been giving this a lot of thought and how they will deal with this from a business perspective. I'm a little bit on the fence here with this. I'm still not fully convinced that people ultimately care about their privacy as much as the headlines may have us believe.
Starting point is 00:05:02 I think people love to whine about it. And then I think they like to go back to posting their lives for all to see on social media. So you can see the conflict I'm getting at there. I think convenience still trumps privacy for most. With that in mind, I look at companies like TradeDisc. I think they'll be able to handle this relatively easily because of all of the investments they've made their business up to this point and given the knowledge they have in the space. I'll just note also, Jason, that it does not apply to Google's mobile apps yet.
Starting point is 00:05:37 And mobile is such a big part of the evolving digital ad space. That's an important point. And I think you're right. I think Trade Desk continues to make these innovations. And this does not mean that Google is not targeting us in some capacity, just a different way that they think is a better privacy practice than what they do right now. That's debatable, though, honestly. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:05:58 And, I mean, back to the Trade Desk stock performance real quick. and we can move on. But just worth noting that, I mean, ad spend on the platform. We talked about this, I think, a couple of weeks ago, but ad spend on the platform for 2020 was $4.2 billion. That was up 34% from a year ago. Spend in the fourth quarter alone was $1.6 billion. That was up from $1 billion a year ago. And if you look at the overall spending in total global ad spending, that actually fell 4.5% in 2020. So the trade desk picked up a lot of share along the way in 2020, which speaks to the stock's performance. It makes a lot of sense. This pullback seems relatively reasonable. Let's move to a couple of big retailers. Target's fourth quarter report had pretty much everything
Starting point is 00:06:41 you would want to see as a shareholder, including same store sales up 20 percent. CEO, Brian Cornell is not offering guidance for the current fiscal year, and that may be a small factor in shares of Target falling 8 percent this week, Jason. Yeah, yeah. I mean, it looks like down 13 percent since earnings. which I feel like maybe we're seeing a little bit of a victim of your own success thing going on here with a number of these businesses. The pandemic has been a real tailwind, actually, for a lot of businesses. We knew going in that there were a lot of businesses that at least had the infrastructure in place to respond to such a shift. They answer the call, though, and they really showed their Omnichannel capability.
Starting point is 00:07:25 I mean, Target and a number of other businesses really answered the call. If you note in the call, Target Management said they saw unprecedented share gains across all five of their core merchandise categories in the year. So that speaks to how well they were able to respond to the pandemic in 2020. But investing is all about the future, right? And you have to look forward to this next year and you start wondering, okay, do things normalize here? Because they've been exceptional for some of these businesses. And I think targets one of those businesses.
Starting point is 00:07:56 What does that normalization look like? And so to the numbers, you mentioned the comps up 20%. I mean, that was traffic growth of 6.5% for the quarter on top of 13.1% increase in average ticket, digital comparable sales, up 118% accounting for two-thirds of the company's overall comp growth. And then you look at the performance of shipped, which was that acquisition, I think, for back in 2017 for the year. Target sales on the shipped platform grew more than 300%.
Starting point is 00:08:26 were up 130 percent. So there are a lot of great numbers. And that's kind of where I'm getting to that victim of your own success thing. In regard to the guidance, I don't know that I would really read too much into that. I mean, management noted, Cornell noted on the call. I mean, they providing guidance, he feels would be an exercise on false precision at this point. It's really, they're focused on execution. And that's the word they used. It's about execution, less about guidance. That's their mindset for the coming year. And I feel like maybe there's They're being a little bit conservative because they think there's some reasons to be optimistic for the back half of the year.
Starting point is 00:09:01 But again, they're going to be coming up on some tough comparables. Costco's second quarter report was highlighted by digital sales coming in 75% higher than a year ago, but profits were lower than expected and shares of Costco down 6% this week, Andy. Yeah, Chris, it was interesting on that profit picture because they took a $246 million, a $41 per share pre-tax charge for COVID premium wages. God bless them for supporting the people who are out there helping us go shop every day and on the front line. So I thought that was, while maybe a little bit surprising, I think that hit the earnings picture and was lower than what analysts were expecting. Again, evidence of what we love to see in some of our favorite companies in Costco certainly stands above so many.
Starting point is 00:09:48 So sales up 15% for the quarter versus 10% a year ago, so it's awesome acceleration there. even though down a little bit from the previous quarter. You mentioned the strong e-commerce sales, up 76% membership fees, up 8%. Strong U.S. renewal rates, of course, at 91%. They now have almost 24 million paid members, up 506,000 members since the first quarter. Very strong in the fresh foods. It continues to be a really strong part of their business. But across all of the areas from the merchandise side, really strong.
Starting point is 00:10:23 And again, they also are on the forefront by come March 1. They have increased their hourly rate by $1 and now are at an average of $16 per hour versus $15. So, you know, from a stakeholder-friendly business, from a conscious capitalism business, Costco continues to do really well. And the stock's down about 18% over the past year. And now, you know, sells at a much more reasonable 30 times, which is kind of earnings. They're more historical norms. So, you know, for the first time in a while, I think Costco, those of us who don't own Costco
Starting point is 00:10:55 shares should get a little bit excited. Zoom Video's fourth quarter revenue was 370% higher than a year ago. And despite that, Jason, shares of Zoom Video are 15% lower than a week ago. Yes. Well, speaking of companies that have run a long way in a short period of time, Zoom is certainly another one of them. I was thinking about this over the week. in Zoom's earnings release really brought this to the front of my mind. But things can change
Starting point is 00:11:24 in investing. And there can be valid reasons to sell. It's certainly never about holding companies just blindly. But if the business is doing well, then it's not really productive to worry about what the stock price is doing at any given time. And ultimately, I think that's why time might be our greatest edge as individual investors. And that really speaks to me when I think about Zoom, because while the stock has obviously pulled back considerably on this, on the this earnings release, that is not really due to the company's poor performance, right? Because it's not performing poorly. It's performing wonderfully. And to the numbers that you just spoke to there. I mean, it's just, I mean, it's amazing. It's amazing to think about it. This is another one of those
Starting point is 00:12:05 companies that really has benefited from this shift in the way we do our work. I mean, it's a fair question. Is this going to be the way that we do things from here on out? Probably some, for for some and for others, maybe not as much, but when you look at the numbers, I mean, 467,000 plus customers with more than 10 employees now, that was up 470% from the same quarter a year ago, 1,644 customers contributing more than $100,000 in trailing 12 months revenue. That was up approximately 156% from the same quarter a year ago. And that net dollar expansion rate continues to perform above 130% for the last year ago. 11th consecutive quarter. So, I mean, maybe there is a little bit of a victim of your own
Starting point is 00:12:53 success dynamic get play here, too. But I do think, you know, with Zoom, it's become less about this video app. And I think it's neat how they talk about this on the call. It's becoming a video communications platform. It's doing more than just what, just connecting with someone on your phone and speaking via video chat. And Zoom phone, I think, is a great example of that. They see a big market opportunity out there for the telephony market. They see it. $23 billion plus market by 2024. So that's another opportunity of pursuing gross margin was down a little bit in the quarter, but that really was due to an increase in free usage related to the pandemic, an admirable thing for them to do. So all in all, a business that continues
Starting point is 00:13:32 to perform very well. We obviously like management with Eric Juan. He's always got a nice sense of humor. He opened up the earnings call with I'm not a cat. And for those of you who remember that that call between the lawyers and judge or whatever where the lawyer showed up as a cat and couldn't figure out how to turn it off. Eric had a little bit fun with that on the call, and that got kicked off on the right foot. I think a lot of things really still to like about this business. Jay Z's got 99 problems, but being rich ain't one. We'll explain after the break, so stay right here. You're listening to Motley Full Money. Welcome back to Motley Full Money. Chris Hill here with Andy Cross and Jason Moser. Eventful
Starting point is 00:14:16 week for Octa. The Cloud Identity Management business came out with strong fourth quarter results that were overshadowed by an acquisition. Octa is buying a off zero, a rival security company for $6.5 billion worth of stock. And I should mention, Andy, that shares of Octa were down 23 percent this week. Yeah, Chris, there's a lot of dilution for Octa. But what this helps them do is address more of the client side. So very simple client access when you go to a website and you want to get access to that website. That's really off zero specialty. Octa is really on the enterprise, the workforce identity. So helping workforces, enterprise large companies have managed their identity system and access lots of different cloud
Starting point is 00:15:00 and third-party apps. That's really their specialty. The client side, the customer identity side, is only a quarter of Octa's core business that's growing faster than the other business. So they said, hey, Off Zero really specializes in this, works with developers to help build those tools, and we want a part of that. And so for $6.5 billion, yes, it's a, off-zero is about a $200 million in sales business, growing 50% a year. It's about the same sales multiple that Octa sells at. Maybe a little bit cheaper looking forward to. So overall, from that perspective, you could see the pairing together could be very effective for Octa's core business to expand on that with the client's side. It did overshadow the quarterly results that were pretty good from looking at the quarter,
Starting point is 00:15:47 but the guidance was a little bit weaker, I think, than people expected looking at more like 30% growth versus 40% top line growth. So that's another reason. That, the dilution and the price, I think, have kind of hurt Octa's stock price in the near term, but long term, I think it's a pretty good deal. Back in 2015, JZ bought Title, a music streaming company for $56 million. This week, he sold a majority stake in Title to Square for $300 million in cash and stock. As part of the deal, Jay Z will be taking a seat on Square's board of directors. And for anyone to ask, asking why Square would buy a music streaming business. CEO Jack Dorsey says it's about finding new ways for artists to support their work.
Starting point is 00:16:30 Jason, I'm going to go on a limb and guess that Jack Dorsey is more bullish on this deal than you are. Well, probably. Listen, he also knows a lot more about their business than I do. So I'm going to give him the benefit of the doubt. I'll get to that in a minute. But, I mean, it's a very easy thing to ponder and question and even doubt. But I think at the end of the day, it is a tiny bet in the context of a very successful business. The skeptic might view this as just a way to get Jay Z on Squares board.
Starting point is 00:16:55 I don't know. I do think it's important for investors to know. At the end of the day, this deal could completely flop, go to zero. It would not impact Squares' core business in the slightest. Just a fraction of the $4 billion they have on the balance sheet. Now, to your point, I like the idea. It's about giving the artists more of what they're producing, right? It's about giving them their due.
Starting point is 00:17:19 I don't know exactly how they're going to do that. But I have to believe, given Dorsey's love of Bitcoin, he's probably eyeballing the whole non-fungible token thing at this point, particularly given the recent news that the band Kings of Leon is going to offer their next album in non-fungible token form. So there's some interesting developments in that space that might help protect artists' art a little bit more. I have to believe he's probably looking at that. But I think you made a really good point earlier in the week, Chris, when you said, this is really unlike Twitter,
Starting point is 00:17:50 I think Dorsey has earned the benefit of the doubt from us in regard to this business Square. He's done a lot of things right. So I'm going to let him run with this one and see where it goes. Shares of Macado Libre falling 15% this week, despite the fact that fourth quarter revenue was a record 1.3 billion. Andy, maybe this is just more of what we've been seeing recently with the selloff of NASDAQ stocks. But there was a lot to like in this report. Well, I think, Chris, I think the gross profit picture was a little bit bleaker because of so many of the investments they're making in their logistics business. They now have seven
Starting point is 00:18:23 airplanes and they serve eight different routes across Mexico and Brazil, which is kind of interesting I saw. But their gross profit margin fell because of those investments. And also some of the lower product margins they sold during the holiday. So that hurt. But from the revenue side, Chris, like you said, the revenues grew more than 100, almost 150%. They've the record 37 million buyers now across their platform. Gross merchandise volume, so the stuff they sell across their platform was up 110%. It was a little bit down from what it was in Q3, so maybe some concerns there on the growth. But Mercado Pago, the payment platform and the fees, continues to really be a bright sign. The total payment volumes up 134%. You know, all platform,
Starting point is 00:19:06 total payments, is now 75% of Pago's total payment volume. So they're not just online. They're also going offline. So really expanding their product offerings and their solutions across, all of Latin American. It was really impressive quarter by Mikado Libre. Later in the show, we're going to take a look at how Amazon, Disney, and others are getting ready to bid for NFL broadcast rights. But up next, bestselling author Joanne Lublin with a look at how power moms are navigating work and life. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Hill. Joanne Lublin has spent her career writing about the workplace. For more than 25 years, she wrote the Wall Street Journal's career advice
Starting point is 00:20:03 column. She was also part of the team covering corporate scandals that won the journal the Pulitzer Prize in 2003. A best-selling author, Lublin's latest book, is Power Moms, How Executive Mothers Navigate Work and Life. She interviewed over 100 business executives, starting with the Boomer Generation Paving the Way, as well as ones from Generation X, millennials, now Gen Z that are following in the footsteps and in some cases living in the shadows of their trailblazing mothers. She recently talked with my colleague Kate Herman about what she discovered in her research. One of the things that I found in this cross-generational look is that things are getting better for working moms in their 30s and early 40s as they move into executive
Starting point is 00:20:51 roles. And it's because of three things that are different. Well, one is we have, we have to, obviously great improvements in technology. We would not have been able to have this year-long experiment and work from home due to the pandemic if we couldn't be doing what you and I are doing right now. And, you know, my generation, we often stayed late at the office simply because it was technologically slow to dial up when you got home. And so, you know, you didn't have that flexibility that these younger moms have. The second thing is that the workplace has changed in terms of employers are much more understanding of the needs and how important it is to attract and retain,
Starting point is 00:21:40 not just working moms, but working dads too, because that's what the millennials and the people coming after them are looking for. They want companies and other workplaces that are not just family friendly and name only. And the third change that I saw in this younger cohort of executive moms is that their spouses, who overwhelmingly were husbands, were hugely supportive of not only their choices to be committed to their careers, but were committed to being equal parents and to be partners on the domestic front. And so these women would not have chosen these people to be their life partners, or stuck with them for very long if they weren't amenable.
Starting point is 00:22:29 And they were willing to revisit the issues, you know, when circumstances change or when it got kind of too hard for them because of that what's called the mental load, you know, who kind of keeps all the trains running on time and home. Right. Well, and so that actually is a perfect pivot to your concept of work-life sway versus work. life balance. I think work life balance is something we all hear a lot about. Talk to us about work life sway and what that looks and feels like. I am so enamored of this concept of work life sway that I wanted it to be the subtitle of the book. And so I said to my publisher, this is the book's title, Power Moms, Secrets of Work Life Sway. And she's like, I mean, she's like, no one will buy the book. They won't have the foggiest idea of what you're talking about. And that's true.
Starting point is 00:23:24 because I didn't until I heard about it the first time. I certainly knew that work-life balance was an impossible ideal. And I talked about that in the one chapter in my first book, earning it, that looked at working moms. And the title of that chapter was, manager moms are not acrobats, okay? Because you cannot have anything close to a perfect balance. You cannot maintain that yoga pose of standing on one leg
Starting point is 00:23:53 for any indefinite period of time. But when I started interviewing the younger executive moms, the very first one I met introduced me this idea of work-life sway. And I was like, work-life, what? And the concept is that when we have to be 110% in the moment, focused on a job task or what's going on with work, we can do so without any guilt, because we know if we need to sway and go with the flow because of some life or family crisis that has arisen,
Starting point is 00:24:29 we will do so and then come back when it is relevant and appropriate. And this, of course, has been writ large during these many months that so many white-collar employees have been working from home in which, you know, in the middle of that Zoom call, the dog starts barking or, you know, washing machine you've been leaning on suddenly starts vibrating and your laptop doesn't hold it. Or, you know, the mom who I interviewed for the book, who herself is a parenting consultant, when she saw that she'd been quoted, she put something on LinkedIn yesterday saying she has three kids, you know, five, seven, and nine. And the only 27 seconds she can remember having for herself in recent months is when she snuck into the closet in the kitchen.
Starting point is 00:25:18 and ate from a bag of chocolate chips. Bless. Very relatable. Very quietly. So no other kids would know she was eating chocolate chips. Oh, that's amazing. Well, one of the things that you talk about, Joanne, is this notion of to help maybe achieve that work-life sway,
Starting point is 00:25:36 to help make sure that we can enjoy sort of the richness of all of this and be a power player in the workspace, but also be a power mom, is to choose wisely when it comes to an employer, right? You have to choose the right company. So a lot of these names of the women that you have talked to for this book are going to be very familiar to our full members who are watching. We've got Procter & Gamble, Nike, Home Depot, Coca-Cola, the list goes on and on. In your research, did you find some companies that are really helping these power moms get it right or conversely very wrong? Do you have any shining
Starting point is 00:26:15 the north of either of those? I certainly did not focus hugely on the ones that were getting it wrong because the whole idea is to set role models for other workplaces to imitate. But the last chapter of the book, which is looking at making work workable for working parents, I highlighted several companies that I thought were going above and beyond. And two of those were American Express and PWC. And what American Express did was twofold. Number one, they made parental paid leave more generous,
Starting point is 00:26:51 and they made it applicable essentially across the board, irrespective of your gender or marital status or sexual orientation. If you were going to be a primary caregiver of a child coming into your life, you were entitled to 20 weeks of paid leave. And when they put in this change, at the same time, And they took steps to make sure that the guys knew that this was expected behavior of them. Because until we change what we expect people to act like for men when it comes to parenthood, it's still going to be a problem for women.
Starting point is 00:27:31 And so they did things like have special programs where new or expectant fathers could hear from senior men who had done this, who had taken their paid leave and who had seen their careers benefit from it. They put in a 24-7 parenting concierge who you could tap way before you went off on leave, and it was open-ended for how long that service was available when you came back from leave. But I think, frankly, the most important thing that American Express did was they recognized that having a lot of people go out for 20 weeks of paid leave. is going to put a bird on those of us who are still working and don't have children or our children are grown or never plan to have children.
Starting point is 00:28:21 And that can create a huge amount of tension between the parents and the non-parents. And so they gave supervisors extra money to hire temporary additional staff to fill in some of those gaps. That's a brilliant idea. PWC is a company that was in the forefront of making life easier for working moms way before this was sort of the conventional wisdom in corporate America. As early as 2008, they put in a mentoring moms program, a mentor moms program. And it was the idea of a woman who had had a child and came back to work and felt it would
Starting point is 00:29:03 have been great to have other women who had been there done that to support. her. And these mentor moms, again, end up being paired with a mother to be long before the child arrives and is supportive throughout their lead and when she comes back. And then if you fast forward and look at some of the things that they have done during the pandemic, among other multiple steps that PWC has taken, is that they have established protected time. So you can say, you know, sorry guys, at least today, or maybe all this week, I cannot do Zoom calls for work. I can't be looking at texts or emails between whatever, 8 and 11, because I'm supervising schooling from home. And this idea that we recognize not only that parents have other demands on their time when we're working from home,
Starting point is 00:30:03 but that there are grownups, they are adults, and they can figure it out. out when they need that protected time period. How are we not always on in the circumstances that we're living through right now? It's very simple. You turn off your phone. And you realize that, frankly, you are not perfect and you are not the be-all, end-all solution to all the problems that are happening at work, and you decide what time of day you will be reachable and when you will not.
Starting point is 00:30:35 And in going back to a couple of those executive moms who had interviewed pre-pandemic, once the pandemic hit to say, you know, you worked from home or you worked remotely before you dealt with this always on issue before, you know, what are you doing differently? One of those women work for a company where 100% of the employees were working remotely before the pandemic. And in her case, she set those ground rules of protected time rather than the company. coming back and offering it. She told her employer between 8 and 11 or 7 and 11 every day. I am not reachable. And so, you know, there are ways to set limits. The book is Power Moms,
Starting point is 00:31:21 how executive mothers navigate work and life. You can find it pretty much anywhere you find books. Hey, are you looking for stock ideas? Good news. Andy Cross and Jason Moser are coming back with a couple of stocks on their radar. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy ourselves stocks based solely on what you're here. Welcome back to Motley Full Money. Chris Hill here once again with Jason Moser and Andy Cross. The NFL is on the verge of signing a series of new deals with different networks looking to secure the broadcast rights to America's most popular pro sport. The usual
Starting point is 00:32:20 The suspects are involved, Fox, CBS, NBC, and ESPN, but the most intriguing potential deal could involve Amazon. The Wall Street Journal is reporting that Amazon is talking with the NFL about locking up exclusive rights to Thursday night games. This would start after the 2022 season and be the biggest deal yet in terms of major pro sports moving away from traditional broadcasting cable TV. We got some big public companies involved in these negotiations. Amazon, Disney, Comcast, Viacom, take it in any direction you want.
Starting point is 00:32:59 But ultimately, I'm curious what shareholders should be hoping for out of these negotiations. We think the advertising wars are challenging and have a lot of big players, nothing compared to the NFL rights wars, I think. So it is interesting. I think, again, this is more to the value for me. more to the value of prime. Really, Amazon, such a large company, with the ability to touch so many levers in what we do as consumers and how we interact, this is saying this is another value prop they want to do and they want to continue to build up that prime and grow that member base
Starting point is 00:33:35 and add more and more value for consumer there. So they're seeing the NFL maybe as an opportune time in the Thursday night games, especially as a way that they can continue to add that value in a way for them that may not be nearly as expensive as other platforms. Also, they have their other expressions of entertainment from gaming, not just shopping, gaming. They also have a budding advertising business. So I'm not actually super surprised to see them make this kind of push. You know, the NFL, I think, has been under such scrutiny of the last couple, you know, years. And maybe they're seeing an opportune time to kind of strike why others might not be paying quite as much attention. Yeah, Jason, even though, as reported in the journal, if Amazon goes through with this
Starting point is 00:34:22 deal, they're going to be spending exponentially more for the exclusive rights to Thursday night. Right now, they're paying $75 to $100 million a year just for non-exclusive rights. But it almost seems like the risk factor is a little bit lower for Amazon than it is for the traditional networks. Oh, I think absolutely. I mean, it was a far simpler time growing up in the 70s. in the 80s where you had, essentially three networks just vying for this content. It was just pretty understandable how that would all shake out. The NFL, I think, certainly realizes this. They're doing a very good job of playing the old guard against the new guard here.
Starting point is 00:35:00 And so you look at something like an Amazon. I mean, Amazon is already a place where a lot of people are going to get their video content via that fired device. I mean, that is a true competitor to Roku. So this does make a lot of sense. I mean, it's very much in line with what they've done historically and spending big, right? Making bold bets. And exclusive is the key word here, I think.
Starting point is 00:35:24 Exclusive is a very expensive. It's a very expensive word. You've got to pay a lot for it. But I think, I mean, the NFL remains very popular. Even through the difficult times, it's not bulletproof, but it sure feels like it's close. And I think Amazon would love to be able to use that NFL brand. As they, listen, come here for exclusive NFB. NFL content. I mean, it's bound to change even more with the world of sports betting.
Starting point is 00:35:51 I think there are just a lot of opportunities there. And for sure, over the course of the next 10 years, we can expect this to only be more and more of the case. This content going to newer players in the content space. All right, let's get to the stocks on our radar. Our man behind the glass, Dan Boyd, is going to hit you with a question. Andy Crosser up first. What are you looking at this week? Dan, I'm looking at Lamb Research, symbol L-R-C-X-L-A-M research. It makes all kinds of equipment for semiconductor chip manufacturers like Samsung and Micron and Taiwan Semiconductor, the second largest in this space. It's a $76 billion business, so quite large.
Starting point is 00:36:33 With the usage of all kinds of connected devices and the digital revolution, think like 5G technology, entertainment, data centers, rivalist technology. We rely more and more than ever on semiconductor and chip technology. And we need someone to be able to make the equipment that makes those chips. And that's really what Lamb research does. And it's interesting now because of where we are in the semiconductor cycle. And so we're lying on these. We're seeing a lot of challenges on the supply side, as well as excitement on the demand side. That could really be very interesting for future demand and growth for Lamb over this year and next year, not as cyclical. it used to be. So, Lamb Research is one. I'm putting it on my radar stock. Dan, question about
Starting point is 00:37:17 lamb research? Yeah, sure thing. Chris. Andy, one of the things that you mentioned is that they make the chips. They have manufacturing capability of the chips. Do they own their own manufacturing facilities, or are they leveraged? Yeah, Dan, they make the equipment that makes the chip. So they make the big expensive equipment that makes the chips for the Samsung's and microns of the world. So they make that. Yeah, they do that themselves, and they do it all over the world and provide those, that kind of equipment to all different kinds of players. Jason Mozer, what are you looking at? Yeah, taking a closer look at App Harvest, tickers, APPH this past week. I had the good fortune to interview president of the company, David Lee. Really fun interview, and we'll be putting that out
Starting point is 00:38:02 on industry focus in a couple of weeks in our SPAC series. But App Harvest is a SPAC that just recently came to the public markets. All this talk about FinTech these days. Listen, Chris, that's not the only tech out there. Dan, have you ever heard of ag tech, not ad, ag, AG, agriculture. Connected agriculture is a thing. And companies like App Harvester using connectivity, cloud edge, sensors, all of this to really help take agriculture and our food supply to the next level. And so this is a, they came public via SPAC, so essentially pre-revenue. This is a small business right now. Net revenue for this first quarter is predicted to be. in the range of around $2 to $2.5 million for the full year. You're talking about $20 to $25 million. So it is really just a business that's getting its feet underneath it. But this ag tech space is real.
Starting point is 00:38:54 It's growing. It's a big opportunity. Neat business with a phenomenal vision. And I'm looking forward to learning more about it. Dan, question about app harvest? I mean, apples or apps as in applications? The name, Chris. Jason, I don't know. It's too confusing. I understand where you're coming from, just focus for right now on the tomato, because that's their specialty. If you like tomatoes, you're going to love App Harvest. What do you want to add to your watch list, Dan? I do like tomatoes, but I like manufacturing even more, Chris. I'm going with lamb research. All right. We're out of time. That's going to do it for this week's show. Thanks for listening. We'll see you next week.

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