Motley Fool Money - Who in Big Tech Is Ready for Agentic AI?

Episode Date: March 11, 2026

Amazon is fighting Perplexity over the startup’s shopping agents, showing the legacy tech companies may not be as comfortable with AI innovation as we may think. We also discuss Meta’s AI strategy... and why Oracle is growing and taking a big risk in its buildout. Travis Hoium, Lou Whiteman, and Rachel Warren discuss: - Amazon goes after Perplexity’s agents - Meta’s scattered AI strategy - Oracle earnings Companies discussed: Amazon (AMZN), Google (GOOG, GOOGL), Meta Platforms (META), Oracle (ORCL). Host: Travis Hoium Guests: Lou Whiteman, Rachel Warren Engineer: Dan Boyd Disclosure: Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, “TMF”) do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. We’re committed to transparency: All personal opinions in advertisements from Fools are their own. The product advertised in this episode was loaned to TMF and was returned after a test period or the product advertised in this episode was purchased by TMF. Advertiser has paid for the sponsorship of this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠megaphone.fm/adchoices⁠⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 It's Wednesday, so there must be big AI news in the market. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. Welcome to Motley Full Money with the Hidden Gems team. I'm Travis Hoy. I'm joined today by Lou Whiteman and Rachel Warren. And every tech company that we know is building an AI story. That's been something that's been happening for quite a while now. But this week, Amazon actually won a court ruling against perplexity saying that they can't
Starting point is 00:00:38 scrape their website. So the interesting thing here is that you can make an argument that Google and meta, just want to connect companies, consumers with retailers who are trying to sell them products, but Amazon is a little bit different. So I thought it was worthwhile to dig into how they're such a different player in the AI space today. And, you know, Rachel, they want people to go to Amazon.com. Right. And they have been the one company that's really been resistant to all these AI companies,
Starting point is 00:01:08 you know, the way that they would look at it is scraping their data and kind of getting that into their system for free. The big thing is, they generate a ton of money. I think it's over $40 billion now for advertising revenue. Guess what, AI chatbots don't look at ads. So is this a threat to Amazon? Is this just Amazon trying to play its card as well as it can't? What's going on with Amazon kind of shoving perplexity to the side? Yeah, I mean, I think if you look at this court victory,
Starting point is 00:01:37 it's obviously a win for the business in the short term, but I do think it highlights a deeper risk for the business. and I say this as an Amazon, you know, long-term shareholder, but I think you should think about it this way, right? You know, Amazon's entire flywheel is built on a very specific competitive advantage. They own the entire commerce journey from that very first search that a shopper might make all the way to the package being delivered to your door. And they don't just want a sales.
Starting point is 00:02:01 You know, did they want the advertising revenue from the sponsor products that you scroll past, right, as a shopper and the data from every click. And so by blocking perplexity from scraping their site, Amazon is essentially trying to protect that storefront experience that makes their ecosystem so profitable. I think the threat here is that AI agents, which we are seeing become smarter and faster and launched left and right, these are Isla's shoppers, so to speak, right? They're not going to be distracted by the deals that a human shopper would be. They're not going to go and browse through pages and pages of sponsored results, which are actions, by the way, that fuel Amazon's
Starting point is 00:02:37 advertising machine. So if we live in a world where third-party AI becomes the private primary shopping interface, there is this concern that that really extensive advertising mode for Amazon could start to dry up. I think that's the extreme bear case. I don't think we're there, but I do think it's clear that Amazon is really fighting to ensure that in a world that could be transitioning to more AI-driven shopping, that shoppers are using their own AI assistance, right, like Rufus, rather than a neutral third party that might suggest a competitor. I think this Cortwin buys them some time as they are trying to find out where they fit into a potential AI-powered shopping future.
Starting point is 00:03:17 But I do think that the battle for who owns the customer's intent and where those AI agents fit in, I think that's just getting started. Lou, is that right? Is this a threat we need to watch with Amazon's retail business? Well, I think, you know, stepping out broader, I think instant and complete comparison shopping could be the killer app for consumers. And what you mean by that is instead of going to 15 different websites and a whole bunch of different retailers. Or even Google Shopping tried this with search and it wasn't as good.
Starting point is 00:03:45 But if you could just tell your little imaginary friend, I want to buy this, go find me to best price. And that's a real killer app. You know, I can see why retailers would see this as a threat. And I think what Rachel said is right. At best, Amazon wants to be proactive and retain as much control. for as long as they can. You know, it's funny. I'm looking at from the AI perspective,
Starting point is 00:04:12 there's sort of a weird chicken-or-the-egg thing. You know, the AI models want consumers to pay for them. They need killer apps. But until the AI models are big enough to force the issue, why would retailers like Amazon sort of like give into perplexity here? And without, you know, the killer app, how do you get the volumes that you need to then get the killer app? So, I mean, I do think, you know, I don't know, it's funny to think, like, who ends up paying here long term?
Starting point is 00:04:43 Say the future happens. Is Amazon getting money from perplexity for access to its site? Is Amazon paying the bots as sort of a, you know, advertising fee? Or somewhere in between? I think, you know, for now. The question that I would have is, does a different ecosystem with different incentives pop up? You think of a platform like Shopify, where Shopify does have an incentive. If you're a small merchant, you're not getting into a Walmart store, for example.
Starting point is 00:05:15 You may not want to go through the costs that are involved in Amazon. That's become a very costly platform to be on. Part of that is their advertising revenue. But what if a chatbot can just find you in your little store that you built on Shopify because the incentive now is to find that perfect product at the perfect price. Lou, is that sort of the risk here is that these other companies are playing offense, like a Shopify, for example, whereas Amazon kind of looks like they're playing defense. Yeah, or put it simply, because who knows, that's a scenario, but the status quo benefits
Starting point is 00:05:50 Amazon. Yeah. And so it makes sense for Amazon to preserve the status quo as long as it can, to your point. We don't know what the future looks like. But as these things work, when a shift happens, the incumbent usually isn't the beneficiary, even if they end up being okay with it. So it's in the incumbent's best interest almost always to preserve the status quo. We're going to stay on this AI topic for a moment.
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Starting point is 00:07:15 That's a full year to wear it and love it, and you will. Now available in Canada, too. Don't keep settling for clothes that don't last. Go to QINC-E.com slash motley for free shipping and 365-day returns. Quince.com slash Motley. Welcome back to Motley Full Money with the Hidden Gems team. The meandering of meta platforms continued this week. They acquired at least the staff of MaltBook.
Starting point is 00:07:40 Lou, what is a Maltbook? And why does it make sense under META? Come on, Travis. Everybody knows what Mold Book is. I mean, who doesn't know Maltbook, right? I mean, who wasn't heard of it? Just in case, for those one or two out there who aren't like, you know, Mold Bookers every day, Motebook is a quote-unquote social network for AI agents. It's where AI agents can become friends with each other. I mean, it seems like it's a natural extension, right? One headline I saw described Moldbook is going viral based on the amount of fake news on it, which let's just skip the meta joke there because that's too easy.
Starting point is 00:08:14 I don't know. Could there be dating apps coming off of this? Could we have like, you know, match.com for AI agents? But look, kidding aside here, there is a something here, right? Motebook, under the surface, really what it is, is just allowing people and bots to communicate with AI agents in natural language through chat apps. And you can see where there is a commercial use for that other than an AI agent dating site. Also, look, I don't know what the future is for meta. We can get into what they're doing with AI, but, you know, aquihers happen and they're good.
Starting point is 00:08:51 Right now, meta has all the cash in the world. They are using that. to assemble the brightest minds they can. The throw spaghetti at a wall and see what sticks isn't a bad strategy at this point in time when everything is developing. I don't know if Maltbook is the next big thing. I don't know if it's that third leg along with Instagram and Facebook, their third big social network. But I do think that, you know, you can put the cynical hat aside and say, yeah, there's probably a
Starting point is 00:09:19 reason for this. Rachel, Luzoverlooking WhatsApp, because he's obviously a U.S. investment. Well, no, that's a messaging app, not a social plan. Well, yeah, a lot of value there. It's the app of choice for a lot of us. But Rachel, so what do you think about MOLBuk here? Is there some sort of value? Is this just another talent grab?
Starting point is 00:09:40 There's got to be some reason that they keep making these boats. Yeah, I do think there's some value here. I actually think it's more of an admission that the AI strategy is pivoting towards autonomous agents. I think META sees that and is trying to ensure that they're capitalizing on those growth tailwind. So you're saying they've lost the chat bot battles. I think that they are struggling to develop what they need in-house and have clearly found that the strategy of acquiring and bringing in really quality outside talent is going to be the best move for them.
Starting point is 00:10:07 I think that that's what we're seeing. MULPO, I mean, Lou explained that very well, but it's essentially, you know, this social network where only AI bots post and talk to each other while humans watch from the sidelines, which is sort of an interesting idea. It's kind of been compared to a Reddit-like internet forum. It was only launched, I believe, a few months ago. January. Yeah, and it essentially acts as this sandbox for AI to communicate, trade knowledge, debate existence to form autonomous AI social structures. So what are the long-term applications for that?
Starting point is 00:10:42 I think that remains to be seen. But this is all going to be folded into the broader meta-superintelligence labs, right? That's run by former scale AI CEO, Alexander Wang. I think Zuckerberg is really signaling that meta's next act. It isn't just smarter chat bots. It's really a whole infrastructure for AI agents to interact and transact. And I think maybe they see value for that, particularly with the ad machine that they have, powering their key platform.
Starting point is 00:11:04 So that's kind of my takeaway. Lou, as we think about meta, because it seems to me that they're a natural company to benefit from artificial intelligence. We've seen some efficiency improvements with their advertising and things like that. But they're hiring talent that would indicate that they want to, to be a consumer AI company. Is this just going to be like an agent AI company? Or are they, is this just that spaghetti at the wall phase for meta that you talked about? Yeah, I'd push back a bit of the idea that, you know, them buying stuff implies that the strategy isn't working out.
Starting point is 00:11:38 I mean, Alphabet has spent, what, $40 billion on AI related acquisitions. Everybody is in an arms race right now. It's just where we are in the cycle. You know, the thing about meta, though, the Gitsy is, is that, you know, I don't know if they have the natural audience for what they're building other than in-house, but they're not spending the money they're spending to make ads a little better. Their whole, you know, how do they get customers that are going to pay for what they're building? I think there's a natural extension for Microsoft. There's a natural extension for alphabet to kind of get their tools in the hands of consumers. I'll be honest, as a meta user, I'm not on the agent social network right now, but I am on other products.
Starting point is 00:12:26 Their desperate attempts to get me to use their AI are pretty pathetic right now. I mean, it's some story about a basketball game, and it's, tell me how the coach thought of plays in the second half. And if you click on it, it'll just say, I don't know. You know, I mean, that is right now. I think that I think the aqua hires, the acquisitions right now, this is noise. That doesn't say any much about whether or not they're succeeding or not. I do think, though, the open question, it's the question with open AI to perplexity, back to our earlier story of just where, how are you going to get what you develop into the hands of consumers and win what looks like in a commodity, you know, race to the bottom in commoditization.
Starting point is 00:13:12 that is the bigger problem, not the acquisitions. Well, all of this AI development is leading to a lot of demand for Oracle. So we're going to talk about their recent results next. You're listening to Motley Full Money. The old adage goes, it isn't what you say, it's how you say it, because to truly make an impact, you need to set an example and take the lead. You have to adapt to whatever comes your way. When you're that driven, you drive an equally determined vehicle, the Range Rover Sport.
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Starting point is 00:14:17 The Range Rover event is on now. Explore enhance offers at Rangerover.com. Welcome back to Motley Full Money with the Hidden Gems team. Oracle announced results for their most recent fiscal quarter after the market closed yesterday. Rachel, what did we learn about this AI giant in the making? Question mark? Yeah, I mean, so this was their Q3 earnings. There are a few interesting takeaways here.
Starting point is 00:14:41 I mean, Oracle is seeing its highest growth in 15 years, which is impressive, but it is coming at a staggering cost. So the kind of headline-grabbing number was their $553 billion backlog in contracted future revenue. That's a number that was up about 325% year-over-year. And basically, customers are beating down Oracle's door for AI infrastructure. Oracle's growing its cloud business at an 84% clip to meet that. To build the data centers required to actually fulfill those orders, though, Oracle spending has gone nuclear. they had negative free cash flow of about $25 billion just in this quarter. And they are essentially an AI construction company right now,
Starting point is 00:15:19 you know, racing to plug in chips faster than the competition. Oracle is debt funding its empire at this point. And the defense we're seeing from management is that they're not just blindly borrowing. They're using this bring your own hardware model, if you will, where customers often pay up front or even provide the chips themselves. And that is designed to de-risk the build-out. And I think Oracle is betting that they can convert that significant, backlog into high margin profits before the interest on that debt catches up to them.
Starting point is 00:15:46 I think that's possible. I think this was a really good quarter for the business, but I think it's really important to also look at where it's costing the company right now, and we're seeing that in terms of the cost for its free cash flow, as well as that debt that is growing by the quarter. Yeah, Lou, $135 billion is a lot of debt, no matter how you slice it. I also thought it was really interesting, the Bring Your Own Chips business model that they've introduced in their hyper-scaler business, I guess that's where we are. They have enough power to say, hey, cool, we'll build up, build out this data center, give you capacity, but you've got to bring your own GPUs.
Starting point is 00:16:23 It certainly makes life easier for them. I mean, yeah, $135 billion is a big number, but every number here is a big number. So I don't think it's a level of concern. Put a different way, it's about two-time sales, five-time EBITA. That's not unreasonable. That's not nothing. It needs to be watched. But, you know, I don't think, as fun as it is to just do the headline number, I don't think that that is the point.
Starting point is 00:16:46 Look, RPO's are interesting. And the interesting thing about the RPO number is a lot of this is, I keep using where a bit of land grab. I don't know if any of their customers really know if they need all the capacity they've gotten. But if you don't secure it now, you're not going to get a chance later. So, you know, there is, I don't think you even have to be an AI skeptic to wonder how much of that turns into revenue. I think, I can go exactly the way people hope, but grows more efficient. Or, you know, there are a lot of ways. So who knows?
Starting point is 00:17:20 All we know for now is that the current business is good. The forecast that they are putting in writing, which, you know, may not hold, but we'll see. But if you can go from 60 billion revenue now to 90 billion in 2027, that's really, really good, right? So, you know, we'll see if they hit the bogey, but they've set it down. I wonder about a lot of things with this, but you can't really judge it on anything other than the facts on the ground right now and the facts on the ground are really, really good, and I think the stocks reflect in that. So is the takeaway here that things look really good when we're looking in hindsight,
Starting point is 00:17:57 we just don't know what the future looks like? We don't know the details. We know that, look, I know. There's going to be revenue, but we don't know if there's going to be commensurate return on that hundreds of billions of dollars worth of investment? I go a step further. I think we have a glimpse at the future and the future looks great. What we don't know and what Oracle's CEO management doesn't know either is exactly how the future plays out. That's really, really hard to know. So it all looks good with the caveat of, again, the future is hard to do. Yeah, for at least the foreseeable future,
Starting point is 00:18:29 it seems like the spending on the buildout is not slowing down anytime soon. As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy our sell stocks based solely on what you hear. All personal finance content follows the Motley Fool's editorial standards and is not approved by advertisers. Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. To see our full advertising disclosure, please check out our show notes. For Lou Whiteman, Rachel Warren, and Dan Boyd behind the glass, I'm Travis William. Thanks for listening to Motley Fool Money. We'll see you here tomorrow.

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