Motley Fool Money - Why Alphabet is the Winner from Anthropic’s Incredible Growth
Episode Date: April 8, 2026Anthropic has tripled revenue in the first three months of 2026, but the biggest beneficiary may be Alphabet. The company owns 14% of Anthropic and the AI startup is buying the company’s TPUs and us...ing Google Cloud. We also discuss the rumored foldable iPhone and Delta’s earnings. Travis Hoium, Lou Whiteman, and Rachel Warren discuss: - Anthropic’s growth - Google’s big win - Foldable iPhones - Delta’s earnings Companies discussed: Alphabet (GOOG), NVIDIA (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), Delta Airlines (DAL). Host: Travis Hoium Guests: Lou Whiteman, Rachel Warren Engineer: Dan Boyd Disclosure: Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, “TMF”) do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. We’re committed to transparency: All personal opinions in advertisements from Fools are their own. The product advertised in this episode was loaned to TMF and was returned after a test period or the product advertised in this episode was purchased by TMF. Advertiser has paid for the sponsorship of this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Discussion (0)
Anthropic is one of the fastest growing companies in history, but there may be another
winner investors can buy right now.
Motley Full Money starts now.
Welcome to Motley Full Money.
I am Travis Hoym, joined today by Rachel Warren and Lou Whiteman.
And guys, we got to start with Anthropic.
The talk of the week has been their announcement that they have gone from a $9 billion annualized
revenue rate.
maybe not the best measure for revenue because it's not actually, but it kind of gives you an idea
how fast they're growing. So $9 billion at the end of 2025, $30 billion at the end of the
first quarter. Rachel, this is just absolutely insane growth from a company at that scale.
Yeah, that $30 billion run rate is actually just quite mind-blowing. I mean, you put that in
perspective, Anthropic essentially tripled its business in just 90 days. I mean, we usually
celebrate when a company doubles in a year doing it in a single quarter. I think it shows that at least for
now, what many have framed is AI hype, if you will, it's turning into this massive enterprise
land grab. This isn't just about startup growth. This is, I think, very much a fundamental shift
in how the enterprise world is adopting AI across industries. And I think something that Anthropic
has really tried to put out there is very much this kind of safety and reliability angle with
businesses using Claude, whether it's, you know, healthcare giants, tech companies, or otherwise.
And I think it's so doing, they've, you know, unlocked the corporate vault.
so to speak. I think we're seeing businesses are finally moving past the experimental phase,
and they're putting massive budgets behind these models, and that's creating exponential tailwinds for
Anthropics. I feel like, you know, in talking about this, we risk kind of parroting or
extending the AI hype, because, yeah, it's really hard to know exactly, like to take a big
picture look at this. I'd note that searches for Claude tripled over the last 90 days, according to
Google trend. That sort of lines up with the revenue. Obviously, I think those are related.
We know this. Claude is having its moment. Claude is all we've heard about for the last 90 days
or so. That's great. And if it's sustainable, it should mean that it's a good business,
probably a better business than the other AI giant that wants to go public. But I think to
assume that this continues is lowercase foolish. I mean, look, there are natural limits here
to what people can spend. Travis, I think I said it to you, but there was a viral LinkedIn post last
week. A CEO bragging about their four-person company spending $125,000 a month on Anthropic right now.
I'm just going to go out on them. I don't know anything about that business, but you cannot
continue to triple that indefinitely. There's just not enough revenue there. So this is great. I think
all of this does, though, on the revenue side is tell us what we already knew, is that
Claude is the only thing we've heard about over the last 90 days or so.
Yeah, and their focus on coding specifically is really seems to be their differentiator.
I know, you know, the $20 a month that I'm paying them is probably not really moving the needle.
It's really those enterprise customers that are spending hundreds of thousands of dollars per employee.
The other angle to this, and this came out yesterday, was that they just signed another deal with Google.
Google happens to own 14% of Anthropic, but this is going to be.
to be for use of TPUs. So they announced this with Google and Broadcom. And they're using TPUs.
So we hear a lot about NVIDIA, you know, owning the market for artificial intelligence.
It seems like right now the momentum is behind Anthropic and Anthropic is moving to TPUs.
So that seems pretty notable, Rachel.
Yeah, it's a really interesting dynamic. Obviously, the move helps Alphabet's Google, right?
I mean, Google has its own AI, Gemini, but it wants to be the landlord.
for everyone else through Google Cloud,
and of course, giving Anthropic a large supply
of its own specialized chips or TPUs
is another key piece of the puzzle there.
But I also think it really demonstrates
the very strategic approach that Alphabet's taking.
By providing significant computing power,
they ensure that Anthropic, which is, of course,
a major competitor to Open AI, remains on Google Cloud.
And that strategy means that Google can benefit
regardless of which AI model gains dominance.
And I think the other kind of takeaway element here
is something of a warning to Nvidia. Obviously, I don't think Nvidia is going anywhere. You know,
they have a significant backlog. They're a key leader of the space, but it shows that Google's custom
chips could be a viable alternative. And I think we might see a world in which other AI
startups become less reliant on Nvidia hardware, you know, 10, 15 years in these years ahead.
I mean, I guess benefiting Anthropic to hurt open AI, you know, I think it's maybe be careful
what you wish for. I mean, Google's core business on the AI side, I think is probably a
competitor with them. And if anything, Anthropic has shown itself to be maybe a smarter
competitor or a more disciplined competitor. Yeah. Well, more discipline for sure. We've been
talking about that for months. Yeah. So, I just kind of can't seem to get out of its own way.
I mean, if I'm Google, maybe I would prefer Open AI to stomp Anthropic in some regard. But look,
I still worry that all of these models are heading in the same direction and they're all sort of
commoditized. And so having the multiple ways to win with partners, with investments, with kind of
just being the service provider versus the model, that makes a lot of sense to me. It plays to
alphabet strength. So I think it's a good move for them. But if I'm alphabet, I'm not sure I'm
cheering the demise of Open AI to the benefit of Anthropic.
even the 14% state.
Yeah, I mean, that part.
If I'm actually the product manager trying to roll out Gemini, I'm not hearing that.
Got it.
Yeah.
Because they're a very real competitor seem to do a lot of the things that Gemini does not do well.
It seems to me that just following this space, I don't have many specific investments that are just AI.
But Alphabet's one that I own just because it seems like the only kind of no-brainer, no matter what happens.
they're going to be around in one way, shape, or form.
They will. I mean, the one note on that, though, is that part of it is backfilling
what they could be losing. So it's not necessarily just organic growth for them. If search
does decline due to AI, their AI can backfill that, but it's not just the unbridled growth
that it would be for some of these other companies. Well, a lot that we are going to definitely
be covering over the next few months in years, likely on my
Motley Full Money. Next we're going to get to where we may be using products like Claude,
the new foldable iPhone. You're listening to Motley Full Money.
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We got news this week that it seems like we're going to likely get a new foldable iPhone as early as September, Rachel.
This has been kind of rumored for years.
We have other foldable phones out there.
Is this notable or is this just going to be another one of those?
kind of, eh, it's cool. You can make a VR headset. It's cool. You can do all these other things,
but it's still not going to be a core product for them, or am I overthinking this? I mean, you're right,
we've been hearing rumors about this for years. It seems like they're hitting a bit of a fever
pitch. I think it's far too soon to say how much of a needle mover this will be for Apple.
I think a lot of us are thinking, okay, do we need this? You know, for most of us, our phones are
already great. Folding a screened half can feel a bit like a flashy solution to a problem.
no one has. But if you think about why Apple would be doing this, okay, so the smartphone market is
maturing, obviously, the excitement over having maybe a slightly better camera on the latest generation
of one's iPhone is wearing off. And so I do think there's this idea where Apple is saying,
even we need something that's a bit more futuristic, gives people a reason to maybe drop $2,000
on a phone again. I mean, Apple is doing very well, right, from a financial perspective. They have
record services revenue, massive cash pile. They're very profitable. But the hardware growth
has been a bit flat. And of course, that's the core of their business, even though services are
the fastest growing area. I think it's interesting. You think about markets like China, right?
Foldable phones are sort of seen as a status symbol, and a lot of Apple's competitors broadly in Asia
have been introducing their own versions of this. There was actually a survey that went around
where about 40% of iPhone users that were surveyed in Asia were saying that a foldable could be,
you know, the ultable weapon to reclaim a top.
spot that they might be interested in a folding model. So we'll see if this is something that
actually moves the business. It might just be a niche product that a few people buy. If Apple pulls
it off, I think it proves that they can still really innovate. If it flops, I think it could be a very
expensive distraction from their AI goals. So I was trying to figure out if I think this is the best
of Apple or the worst of Apple. And I think the answer is probably both. In one sense, you know,
look, the Samsung version has gotten kind of mixed reviews. The reports say that that is exactly
what Apple was targeting here to kind of areas where Samsung has fallen short, durability,
the screen kind of creases or whatever. So in a sense, this could be a classic case of Apple,
not being first, but being best, refining and winning. If this is today's version of the next big
thing, you know, maybe we should just kind of give up on the Steve Jobs'
turtleneck version of Apple. I mean, in a way, maybe Steve, you've conditioned us. We're going to get
to the point soon where people don't remember that reference. Well, right, maybe, maybe, but I do feel
like with Apple, there is still this weird expectation of like, oh, just wait for it. They're cooking
up something. And you know what? I think all of the evidence suggests that those days are over.
If they were cooking up something, we would know it by now. We'll see. Travis, we've talked about it,
whether or not anybody wants an AI pin on their lapel, we'll see.
But this is both a very good company doing things they should do.
The $2,000 plus sales price, assuming people will pay for it is a nice revenue boost,
so it is incremental gains.
But I think just the mindset, all of us olds that are used to the guy in the turtleneck
saying one more thing, those days are over, and we need to value this as a mature company
that just kind of continues to create incremental value off of their core products.
Yeah, the one thing that I think is interesting with this product in particular is,
is Rachel Wright, this is really just a China product.
And if you read the book Apple and China, one of the things that I took away from that
was that Apple was such, and iPhones were such a status symbol.
It was not, hey, this is the most productive use of my money.
It was just, look, I have an iPhone.
and you would spend a insane amount of your annual earnings to buy that iPhone.
So the cultural differences between China and devices in the U.S. and devices,
I think is not something that we necessarily fully understand as U.S. investors,
but that seems to be when they make some of these changes and come out with something
that looks a little bit different, it spikes in China because there is still that Apple cache.
So maybe that is the answer, is that it's just something that's kind of made for China.
But I keep going back to, is the iPhone just too perfect of a product?
Is there just no better answer than here's this flat piece of glass that's a computer that can fit in your pocket?
And we're just not going to get anything better.
I don't know.
Maybe that's the simple answer.
I mean, honestly, the answer is the Google Pixel.
I beg to differ, Lou.
All right.
We'll have to have our iOS Android battle in a future show.
When we come back, we are going to get Lou's thoughts on the latest from Delta.
you're listening to Motley Fool Money.
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with the Hidden Gems team.
Delta reported earnings this morning. Lou, what did we learn?
So I don't want to bore everybody with all of the numbers.
Because, look, honestly, they sort of pre-announced this two weeks ago.
That's how the airline industry works, where everything that they announced today
was basically what they said they would do.
Great quarter, though.
And things are holding up.
Much more interested in what they're seeing into the future.
So far, so good, right?
That's, I think the airline said it's corporate client survey,
85% expect to maintain or increase their travel spend in the second quarter.
Low teens revenue growth. We're expecting 10% or so.
Delta, I marvel here. And, you know, yeah, I mean, they're finally, the debt is down below COVID levels.
We like to see that. And again, they gave us exactly what it was wanted. But you marvel here is,
I don't think we fully appreciate what Delta did to save this industry. In 2008, they were the first ones to do a banker,
to buy a competitor, kind of take out Travis' hometown airline, but they rethought how can we both
beat the discounters and still gain margin and gain advantages? Every legacy has followed that,
and this is why we're in a better place today. One note, my favorite known as corridor,
Travis, people have made fun for a decade of Delta buying an oil refinery in Philadelphia.
that refinery was a $300 million incremental profit boost in the quarter.
Also, having that there in Philadelphia, and the reason they bought it wasn't because they wanted
to speculate on oil is because they were worried about whether or not jet fuel would be
available in New York.
That refinery is the reason why that over in Europe, they were canceling flights.
In the U.S., the flights just got more expensive.
Look, I'm still not going to buy Delta stock.
I don't like buying airline stocks, but this company, maybe.
with United as its only rival is just so well run and sees things so well. It's just, and this
quarter, this is why they are the best. I agree. I think it's probably one of the most well run,
if not the most well run of the airline companies. A few things stuck out to me in addition to
what Lou said, you know, they were unprofitable under Gap, but they reported an adjusted profit that
grew by more than 40%. Another interesting piece of this, you know, revenue from premium seats,
corporate travel loyalty programs makes up more than 60% of the top line at this point.
Premium revenue was up 14% in the quarter.
Main cabin revenue actually increased for the first time since late 2024.
So that was another element that I think kind of surprised,
even though the most significant growth that we're seeing is in those premium areas.
As Lou noted, they're doing a good job of cleaning up the balance sheet.
CEO at Bastion said that Delta is going to meaningfully,
reduce their capacity growth plans in the near term as fuel costs soar. It isn't clear, though,
if or when customers will pull back. Certainly, of course, in these results we're seeing now,
there is a very, very robust tailwind carrying them into this next quarter of growth. So overall,
I think a good start to the reports from the airlines for this earnings season. Yeah, we keep looking for
canaries in the coal mine that the economy is getting weaker, and they just never seem to show up.
So we'll keep looking.
But with the market, where it is, we're bouncing back today early on Wednesday,
maybe one of the best days that we've ever had in the stock market, at least on certain metrics.
But the economic weakness that I think would show up in a lot of those airlines first has not shown up yet.
So we'll see what happens, especially with oil prices in the future and how consumers are feeling.
As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about,
and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against so-to-buyer-sell stock.
based solely on what you hear. All personal finance content follows the Motley Pool's editorial
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provided for informational purposes only. To see our full advertising disclosure, please check out
our show notes. For Lou Whiteman, Rachel Warren and Dan Boyd, I'm Travis Hoyum. Thanks
for listening to Motley Pool Money. We'll see you here tomorrow.
