Move The Line - Best NFL Week 2 Player Prop Bets

Episode Date: September 18, 2026

Ryan Noonan and Connor Allen welcome John Hyslop back to Move The Line for a full breakdown of the NFL Week 2 player prop market. The trio discusses their favorite passing, rushing, and receiving props across the slate, using projections, matchup data, and Prop Drops to identify the numbers and prices that stand out before kickoff.Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package or try SharpStack free for 7 days: https://www.4for4.com/plansWatch Move The Line on YouTube: https://4for4.co/3OupraJJoin the Discord: http://discord.gg/4for4Follow the show: https://x.com/MoveTheLineNFLConnor: https://x.com/ConnorAllenNFL | Ryan: https://x.com/RyNoonan | John: http://x.com/sloprules Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Hello and welcome to move the line prop drop show. Presented by Sharpstack, Week 2, Ryan Noonan, John High Slop, Connor Allen. As always, Slopp, I learned something last week, which is, I think, key to the show, probably being key to the show for a couple of years. I didn't even know. Feature, not a bug. Apparently you can't stream Slop when you have your laptop on battery saver, which has been like a standard of mine for a very long time.

It shuts down your video card pretty drastically. So pretty excited about streaming moving forward. Nice, nice, nice. What a world. I didn't even know you had battery saver. I want to use all the battery. You know what I'm saying? So I have the opposite way.

Yeah. Run it out. You know what I mean? Do whatever you got to do? Do you not leave your computer plugged in, Noonan? Yeah. I do, but that also shreds the battery by leaving your computer plugged in. That's why I just leave it literally plugged in.

Like I have it like to it's plugged in. It's like just say run it all. you want you can't do anything so a previous laptop i had like once i would take it off the charger it'd be she would shred like i would like it would like it would in five minutes go from like a hundred to zero because the battery was that it was so dependent on being charged so occasionally i like to work at places other than just right here so yeah moving forward hopefully you don't have to you know hear me doing the show on my phone which is cool kind of like phone dune in the phone i thought was good the video was fun it was good just the audio wasn't great so what you do but uh yeah

what's up how we doing yeah i'm good i'm feeling good uh it was a very weird week really good start to the week not so good of an end to the week so that kind of sucked a couple of slaps in the face there uh but overall i mean felt good to be back you know just have full 401k on the line on any given Sunday. I mean, this is what we're meant to do, right? This is what it's all about. I see Slob getting that protein in, obviously. Oh, yeah.

Shred it's not by accident, you know. Oh, yeah. Long night at the bowling night last night. So you got to get back. A lot of soul searching at the lanes after a performance last night. So. What only buck 20 or what? Would you throw it?

It wasn't good. I don't remember what it was. It was not good. I don't remember. Yeah, dude, not good. Okay. I'm not even going to open up the, you know, because they have an app.

So you can just look at the scores and the standard. I'm not even going to open it up until next week. At that point, I'm just going to find out what lane I'm on. And that's it. I'm not going to look at any stats. We're moving on. You're a forward-looking guy, you know?

Yep, always. All right, well, show up to the chat. Chat did great last week. I know there were a lot of people dropping stuff. And that went very well. You know, Patrick gets a bang. I think Donnie. Donnie Pickleball had some bangers in there last week.

I get some familiar faces in there as well. Let us know some week two thoughts that you have, things that you like. Make sure you subscribe to the video. Thumbs up. Again, move the line. We'll listen to the podcast. Move the line here on YouTube as well. Every Friday, 3 p.m. Eastern.

Connor and I talk a little bit more sides and total on our Wednesday show. Talk about our millions picks, little survivor action, all that stuff. So if you like that, check it out. Again, move the line, wherever you do it. What's up, Slovianette? I forgot, dude. I'm at the Chargers, dude. I just totally forgot about that until you just said that.

So that word, Survivor. Survivor sucks anyways. I agree. Survivor blows. It's the worst. Yeah. No, but I play real Survivor, though, where, like, you have, like, yeah, well, like, you're dead.

Like, after one. Like, I don't have 150 entries. Like, well, you know, some of my portfolio, like, that's not real survival. You're still alive. Like, but you're still alive. Like, but you're not. lost. They'll be those guys really lecturing you. Like, well, you know, the charges were the obvious one. You're like, buddy, you had like 45 entries getting nuked because of that.

Like, what do you, you know what I mean? Like, so I don't, I'm not really sure where I'm at with the survivor discourse. I do believe that maybe next year I'm going to talk to the people at Splash and see that we can just get a big ass single entry. And then we'll see what the real survivor is. But I haven't talked to him about it yet, but I'm thinking about it. I don't know if you can even do that. This is how Connor does, uh, Marks. madness bowls yeah yeah was appalled what was you do one bracket you connor's like yeah no dvase guy i fired 10 i fire like 10 to 15 normally no i i always win at least one or two i mean this is like it's one bracket that's it there's no one of them i don't know there's there's one thing that's gonna

happen no you can't just forget about the i feel like like we're tout at that point where you talk about the one win and then we just forget about the other 14 brackets that you know what I'm saying we just literally knew yeah you know what I see at the end is I see that I put in I don't know a couple hundred bucks thousand bucks into brackets and I see the money at the end that is more than whatever I put in and I'm happy with that and then I say like yeah and then I say like all right well I like one of these three teams like I was like I like Michigan Arizona which again not a hot take but somehow only picked in like 20 percent of brackets or whatever you pick one of those three in each of them had Illinois in the bigger ones.

You got to get weirder in the bigger contest than you need to get like, you can play chalk and the bit smaller. So I don't know. I understand where you guys are coming from because you guys are, you know, the print out of bracket and fill it out paper bracket

generation. I'm in the fire as many entries as you can with a simulator, you know, generation. Must be nice. I have a million lives. I'm not a cat.

I got one life. That's it. That's it. Just one, dude. but I mean like I said like I do want I do understand it don't get me wrong I I get it but at the same time you just there's not a lot of shit you can talk when you have like 200 brackets in the day it's just like all right nice work but I mean like that's insane but yeah so again I don't make sure I'm also too I'm very very um bitter about losing in the week one so there is that

to so well we had a big company won and connor got the call got the ball we won for the company and took the chargers so company one we had a we had a full company bracket that that like was thousand dollar entry in the splash pool and i just burned it immediately on the chargers and you know what it's what i get for wearing three condom play and just being like you know what i'm pick the biggest favorite of the week pick the chargers all my personal ones i pick the steelers i pick pittsburg i was like this is a better play but i was like You know what? If I lose with the Steelers, I'm going to get so much shit.

So I'll just pick the easy one and kick the can down the road and make someone else figure it out. Yeah, no, I got the, that was the $1,000 entry, dead in the October. And then I got the other one, the big splash, wherever that was. I think that's what it's called. It's like 100 bucks to get in. So that's still alive because I had the Lions, which was a ridiculous sweat at the end. I mean, so the last play, I could be dead with that.

But that one was lived before the Chargers actually. happened. So I was like, oh, thank God, the next one's going to be easy. I don't know if I could go like that, sure not they just straight up get rolled. What's crazy about that game too is like, I think it was midway through the second quarter. Like, they weren't really moving the ball that well. And Arizona was like picking up chunk gains pretty consistently. I'm like, oh, this is like, this is like, this is like, this is like, this is like, really sweaty or they're going to lose. Like, I knew pretty quickly. Yeah. They're not going to even, they're not going to, it's going to be close. No. This isn't even going to be sweaty. I was that. I'm, I'm, I'm,

Dead serious. I told my buddy that as we watch it. It's like the second. I'm like, dude, yeah, they're getting their asses kicked right now. This isn't even remotely close to something you want to be a part of, you know, unless you have the Cardinals, which would be ridiculous, but still. Yeah, so I don't know. We move on. We move on. I'm still alive with a touchdown survivor, though. So there is that. And then we're doing tears. Have you guys seen tears on that site? That site's I don't know what that is. I don't know what that is. Splash. All right.

So basically you pick a guy from tier one and then you pick a guy from tier two, tier three, all the way through tier eight. Tier eight is like, dude, it's giant. It's not like the first few tiers. Just like eight guys. You know what I mean? Nothing crazy. And then the last one has like a million dudes.

And I can't wait. It's fun. I had a great time sweating out the Broncos Chiefs other night. There's only four tiers for a single game, but whatever. It was enough. Yeah. Okay. I'm going to talk to him next.

week it's a it's 20k guaranteed but it's like spread out so you get 2 500 to the winner two grand to the second guy i'm going to ask him if maybe next week we just go 20k at top dude do you know what i mean yeah just all in yeah because that's fun so we'll see i don't i love those guys if you're not on splash you're on splash uh use code slop too just definitely you're supposed slop for the buys for sure yeah and then same thing awesome flop on youtube as well so you don't miss any of slops uh fantastic YouTube content. So all right. We too. Let's go. No sale bread. Live lines. Things that you can bet right now. Again, subscribers on the 4-4 side, you get a couple a little bit before we give it out here. So make sure you jump in there for 4.com slash plans.

I will subscribe to all the things that Connor and I do, all the other plays that we have. Because again, we just give you a little bit here, a lot more plays to come in, obviously over the weekends we get more widely available releases here as we approach kickoff on Sunday but connor floor is yours first play week two what we got them yeah first play here I'm going to go with um Deshawn Watson under 17 and a half completions uh this is just just such an easy it wasn't such an easy click for me right so last week they were down 34 to three Deshawn Watson had 22 pass attempts. This came against the Jaguar's defense. We don't think it's very good. They barely blitzed him. It was on 10, 10 of his dropbacks. He completed a bunch of his passes,

but was so unbelievably bad, took a bunch of sacks, to have the longest time to throw in the league. And then when he was blitzed, he had the lowest completion percentage over expectation in the league. It was like negative 28% lower than what it should have been. And now he gets the Tampa Bay Bucks, goes on the road against the bucks. They are going to be. blitz him 50 plus percent of the time. They're going to bring the house, Todd Bulls defense, and just make his life miserable. So I'm excited to see what this looks like, honestly. Like, this is like, you know, every year, there's a couple of weeks where I just got

like an elite hate watch. It was Malik Willis a couple times. Definitely a lot of Justin Fields throughout the last couple of years. This is Deshaun Watson hate watch. This is going to be incredible. Like, he could throw the ball 30 times, 40 times. I don't know if he's going to hit 18, 19 completions here. There is also very real.

chance of him getting benched mid-game. I think this is like, this is when it starts before the home game. And maybe they just keep them in there and run the clock out if they're down by that much, to be honest. I think this is it. I think this is, this is the, you know, what's the, what's the meme that the saxophones? You can hear the saxophones right now. This is, this is it for Deshawn Watson. So I like under 17. There's an 18 and a half on Fandul right now. It's like minus 1.30. I think that's, that's great too, but 17 and a half is widely available. hard to argue with any of that it is kind of a fun hate watch uh it's it can be rough sometimes you just think like all these games where you have these massive underdogs the quarterbacks don't have to throw

a ton so like we can't take an even under's like no guess what sometimes they're just terribly inefficient uh they get sacked a bunch and throw a bunch of incompletions a bunch of prayer yards slop i know you're not bent under you're not been under 17 and a half but you probably wouldn't take Deshawn Watson over. No, no, I'm not a big Deshawn Watson guy. Multiple reasons. But I don't know. Did you guys watch? Did you see what he said the other day? You got to expect him to throw for 400 and five touchdowns. And you're just like, no, like you are so far gone. Like, what are you talking about? Like, no one expects you to do. Like, you haven't, I don't even know if you'd ever done that. But like, did you? Yeah.

You don't do that, dude. Like, you're not even close to that. Like, it was just, it's wow. like he's at least tone deaf so shout out to him for like just spending all of his days with his fingers in his ears like this is eyes closed because i have no idea how you can like see that as your reality if you're him but that's good i guess that's that's a nice thing i can say about him like he's digging himself deeper and deeper holes like it'd be one thing if if like i don't know he he was able to like be a good guy and like or just i don't know like feel remorse about anything or be like you know i got to play better or like i got to step it up it's not good enough he's like fully deflecting he's like what do you guys expect you know like

i think a fair expectation is not to be down 34 to three in the third quarter like i think that is a pretty reasonable expectation so it is crazy i you know i have a declaration now that i think i'm going to be moving dishan watson from my player prop boards to my death draft board in the next couple of years honestly so uh that's you know i mean hey dark i mean it is shitty person you know it's it's like these are the exact type of people that we draft shitty humans shitty football players like just bottom of the barrel scum the earth yeah don't you have someone in your in your death draft they've got like four they picked up like three or four dude the chicks we got like a bunch of girls in our league and they are on fire there's one chick

who has four and another girl is three it is just four in a single year I've I've zero in three years or four years like I have none I'm airballed four and a single year. That's wild. What did she have? She have Dolly? What did she have? Yeah, I don't even remember

I thought my head. It was a lot of, it was like a good mixture of olds and then like random people. So it was, it was nuts. Also love that Patrick called us out. Season long prop you guys gave on Watson.

Slop Watson's season long prop like a couple weeks ago was 1800 yards to the whole season. And all they used to do is play a snap. So if he gets bench, that basically assumes like 10 games that he's playing. So we took under 1,800 yards, under 12 touchdowns for Watson. I mean,

he can play another couple weeks, and I'm still not even worried, to be honest. Yeah, he sucks. He's not going to make it. Yeah, we're trying to find, like, an actual, how to price, like, what the fair value was for that or, like, what the play two lines should be,

and it's like, I don't know, minus 1,300. Like, I don't even know how you would possibly figure that out. He's just not, it's just going under. Like, I'm sorry, just going under. So, I like the guys who took the over on that. I can't believe that there was, I'm sure they took one way action on that.

It was draft kings only. So it was like no one even like that. And then it was just like posted really late. It took Noon running his like projection script like a week before the season for it to be like, is this real? You know, like is this even exist? And so we had to go find it. And it was real.

So, you know. It was really. It was spectacular. Yeah. All right, Slop. First one for you, buddy. What we got? All right, so I was going to save this.

It's the play of the century. So you want to save it to the end of the show? I'm not going to do that. It is, dude, I don't know if you guys watched the Chiefs Broncos, but Kenneth Walker is very good. And his number is 80 yards. He's 80 plus rushing yards this week. And if you want, like, they just want to run the ball, it looks like.

That's literally what they, the chiefs are going to show. show up, line up, and just send him right at you. And that worked against the Broncos. I don't know if you guys remember, but they were really good defensively. Like you didn't just like run your running backs at him. Like the guy went for like 2,000 yards. Dude, 80 plus yards against the Colts who they're just off a game against us. I mean, I wouldn't say to say similar, but a big ass dude.

How about that? Derek Henry ran all over him. I mean, I guess with a past game you can kind of fix in, you know, a week just because. It's like maybe coverage issues, but I don't think you fix the fact that a guy just ran right down your throat. I don't know how you actually like fix that. Because if you could fix it, you would just not got ran on before. He's getting 80 plus guys. This game's at home, at Arrowhead, at night, might be a little bit rainy, so the air might come out of the ball.

Dude, 20 plus carries, I'm sure he's getting. That's do the math. That's four yards of carry. Guys, 100 plus is in play. 80, that's literally the play of the century. It's a gift from God. So thank you, God. Shout out to you. 80 is Novig. What's the price? Minus 113. So here's the thing. It looks pretty even across the market. Like that's about what you can get. You could get 75 and a half minus 125 at Fanatics. If you want to bet $3, $3 or $4 on it,

maybe you can do it at fanatics uh no offense fanatics but um you will get you know like 12 fan points so yeah you get a couple fan but maybe grab a hat later on afterwards but um yeah no 80 plus the only problem is i have though is uh you could have got 73 and a half minus 114 earlier in the week but i don't think that's a problem i think that this dude's literally going to be a hundred and five and a half and shit like that like really soon because it'll It reminds me of, you remember, well, you probably don't remember Connor, but Brian Westbrook back in the day with Andy Regis, like, you're just like, what are we doing?

Like it was basically just, hey, how do we just get in the ball all the time? It reminded me a lot of that. Connor, do you remember Brian Westbrook? I mean, I have like vague memories. I know Brian Westbrook is. I can't say that I was, you know, like dialed in for all Brian Westbrook games. Yeah, he was on my fantasy. team in the freaking play i'm shut the nuff arm uh in the playoffs when he did the thing where he went

down at the one like guys weren't doing that yet and like it just blew everyone's mind like wait you you should have scored and and you just went down they're like yeah but they win the game i'm like yeah no i don't like that yeah this is like right right around when i started playing fantasy football was like that's fair yeah i would say it's probably oh seven-ish yep 07 was his best uh best year 07-08 is like when I started playing right around there. How many times did he touch the ball in 07? You're looking at that right now? Yeah, I'm looking at that.

He had 278 carries and 90 receptions. That's quite a lot. Yeah. That's what Andy Reid used to want to, like that was like his dream guy was a guy that was like that. Like it would be like, all right, buddy, you're done, run it. Here's what we're going to do. We're going to throw it to you now. And then like that would be it.

And he's like, hey, you know what? Let's just hand it to you again. I'm telling you, dude, like, that's what he wants to do. That's what it reminds me. My Holmes looked like he was just not right. So take some time. Yeah, just fine. Just give it to Kenneth.

80 yards, though, guys. It gets like the 80 yards. That's like 80 yards. Like, we're going to look back at this. Like, dude, we were allowed to bet that for relatively close to even money. I mean, it's not even money, but. That does happen, you know, early in the season. I remember last year at this time, I think, like the first three weeks of the season,

I played Puka and JSN over six and a half receptions. And then like by the time we get to mid-October, it's like seven and a half, eight and a half, you know, like for, yeah, just sometimes you do want to take a little bit of advantage of some of the slow to adjust stuff, right? That's kind of based off of, you know, the median projection. I feel like I got to call all those on the receiving side today

that I want to kind of explore. But yeah, I think sometimes you're going to just, you got to push early. You feel like you got it. So, okay. 100 plus was, what, almost? Dang, I get that price right now. Yeah, it's like two to one.

Yeah. Okay. I think that's like, that's a, that's a milly leg for sure. Yeah, really in play. Like I'm telling you, I think it's just going to just stop the ball in his chest and say go. Okay. And I think it's going to work. That's that's crazy.

It's Simon, just that they're going to give him the ball. I think it's really going to work. I mean, like, like you said, Derek Henry shredded those guys. I know it's a different quarterback dynamic, you know, like you're kind of paying attention to Lamar and all that. But are you paying attention to Patrick Mahomes? Maybe not in the run capacity as much. But the throw, yeah, the play action, yeah, he's a problem if you bite.

So I don't know. I think it's the same kind of thing. Yeah. All right. First one for me. I was surprised that I had a number in mind. This is definitely short of the number. This is widely available.

I'm going to go Caleb Williams over 25 and a half rushing yards. Again, minus 11 on Novig, fan duel builder. draft kings again just you know cooked out uh not afraid to run we saw that last week uh and you know just in general he's running at a pretty high clip if you just look at like his first two years in league his scramble rates comfortably over the league average his scramble rate when blitzed or pressure uh continues to grow it's like league average is about seven percent uh Caleb is at 10 percent when he's uh blitzed and pressured and then like he gets in minnesota this week who is going to uh blitz and pressure him a ton of

Even last week, Caleb ran 10 times. Seven of those came when he was under pressure. 65 yards running last week. So why this is still a 25 and a half in this matchup? I'm not quite sure. So happy to take advantage of it. Again, I would think that I thought this would be like maybe 30, maybe right around low 30s, high 20s, but not mid-20s.

So love Caleb to run. Again, he's going to get blitz of ton, lots of opportunities. You get here on, I think 12 and a half longest rush is very much in play. I call her any thoughts on Caleb running here. No, I like it. I think it makes a ton of sense. I think the Bears, we talked about a little bit on another show, are just going to be like, they're just ready.

Like, this is it. This is the time. We want to keep buying. I'm fine buying high on a team that just, like, is going to shred all season. And I think this is another good opportunity to do so. We just saw the Packers put up 400 plus yards against the Vikings. Like, they're definitely beatable.

They just take a lot of risks. And, you know, I think that Caleb and Ben Johnson, be more prepared than ever to, you know, take advantage of that. Yeah. Yeah, they're ready to cook. And we have these instances like, Caleb can run. Like you scoot too.

You're getting like the next gen stat stuff. And like he's clipping 20 miles an hour pretty consistently, which is not something I would have necessarily thought. So slop, any thoughts on Caleb running? I mean, it kind of ties into what. Oh, we'll talk about later. Hmm. Okay.

Oh. A little tease. I have an over too as well, but I have a plan. I know, but I. I have three, three plays today. One's an over, two under. So I don't know if I want to go double dip here with the over or go back to an under. So it's like, you know, but Slob, I think we might have like a, you know, a joint, joint look depending on what you're saying there.

I like joints. I think, you know, I think we all like joints. That's a joint sounds good right now. Guilty. But Noon and I like the Kayla play. I added it to the parlay. 30 plus. Let's get it.

All right. Back to you, Connor, you want to give us whatever you want to do? Under, over? Well, I got the under keyed up in Discord. So let's just go with the under right now. Sorry, Slop. We're going to go with Breece Hall under 90 and a half rushing and receiving yards. Rushing line is 68 and a half.

I think that under is pretty good too. The combined prop, though, I think is really interesting here. Like, Hall saw a ton of work, obviously. Last week and a massive win over the Titans. But I mean, it's just a step up in competition. And the Packers run defense played really well against the Vikings. They let let up like 3.5 yards per carry, 32% success rate. And then the Packers are favored here.

And then on pass catching work too, I thought was really interesting. Like we saw Braylin Allen play 11 snaps and passing snaps to Breece Hall's 13. And Breece Hall only saw 59% of the snaps. And this is all like, I mean, it was a pretty even like near even split before the game got out of hand, before the game's out of hand here. So like, I think that it's just going to be. a lot of both and it makes a ton of sense for that to happen. So we're looking at 90 and a half yards in a matchup where they could fall behind. We see more Braille and Allen.

There's just like a lot of different outs, I think, for this one here. So I like Brees, but again, just a ton of yards for a guy that, again, might rotate in and like has a much tougher matchup now. Yeah, and they ran the ball 62% of the time last week. They're not going to be doing that again here against the Packers. So, yeah, nice little combo yardage and see that very often. Any thoughts on the Jets and Breece Hall? Yeah, that team sucks.

They got lucky they played the Titans last week. I actually watched that. I was in the quad box. And yikes. Like, yikes. Sorry to hear that. Yeah, no, I don't know what was going on. I just had it on there.

I wasn't watching that one. It was just there. And I was like, yeah, I'm not going to change it. So, yeah, yeah, I'm completely out on the jets doing anything. So under everybody. All right. All right, Slop, what do you got, buddy? Number two.

All right, so the touchdown passes. We talked about that last week. And we were like, dude, guys are going to throw two touchdowns. One of the guys that I had was Burrow to throw three. He obviously did not get home against the buccaneers. But he's down to one and a half. I got him at minus 113 at Novi. I'm looking to see what he is right now.

But I think he's getting two this week. I think he looked all right. I don't think his backs messed up. Yeah, it looks like minus 118, minus 115 at Fanatics, if you, again, want to bet a couple quarters. But you can go minus 118 at Fandall. But two plus touchdowns. It gets the Texans.

That defense is not bad. Don't get me wrong. I think the bills just kind of boatraced them a little bit. Like, that was pretty impressive by them. I still think that defense is good. But, dude, Jamar Chase sucked last week. And he's not a bad receiver. So he's a guy that comes out.

T. Higgins not bad. If that pass game gets going, dude, two touchdowns. The only thing I'm concerned with is the fact that Nico is not going to play. Because we kind of want some points going back and forth and not having Nico involved in the thing kind of sucks. But I don't know, Stroudman looked okay against the bills. I think we're getting two touchdown. I don't think it's going to be the highest of scoring games, but two touchdowns for Burrow at that price. I mean, like I said, what did I say at Fandle right now?

minus 180. Yeah, 118. That's good enough for me. I can see that. Yeah, such a good pass rate over expectation team. Like Houston's defense is awesome. But like they do give up big plays and sometimes it's a big place can be touchdowns. So we saw that last week.

Josh cooked. I mean, Burrow can cook too. So I'm not super worried about the back or shoulder stuff here either. Connor, any thoughts on that game and that matchup for Burrow? That's a tough, tough matchup. but I think that yeah, I guess it's like

they looked to some more susceptible than they have in a while. I thought, again, maybe I'm just excited to see what the Bengals do when they're like forced to throw a little bit and,

you know, like relive the old Bengals, you know, like it felt like they didn't really need to with the weird defensive score and Baker was fumbling a little bit and, you know, it was just a weird strange game,

I think. So, yeah, I think the two plus touchdowns could make sense. Florida with some, uh, some Bengals past catching stuff too.

like some injuries is it Henry uh Henry two toes linebacker for uh the Texans is is out so you can find some maybe some matchups over the middle uh I think you could find on the bangles side but yeah maybe that shows up in touchdowns so don't hate that don't hate that at all I don't find jemar chase a lot of stuff I mean whatever you want to do in yards whatever like keys that was a shit game that was bad so yeah leave those alpha types those are the next one it's the one you really pay attention because again they're they're focused on them obviously the receivers but yeah yeah those are the exact that's the exact position you want to go right back to him although it did not work for jamo last night so sorry anybody that took jamo that's a tough one uh i would have thought he had

a nice night too but yeah was that is that in the card last night did you have like alts and longest and i had him for i think 68 yards and then i think he was in the um the big ass parlay so you know what i did golf 325 and then just went with the four receivers because that that production tree is it's literally concentrates like four people in detroit like literally you might see a guy catch a ball here there but it's basically the gibbs two receivers and leporta everybody cashed except for Joe, uh, game off. Yeah. What are we doing?

The one guy that I had straight, you know what I mean? Like for like yardage and shit. Like, yeah, he's the one. I think it. Just like, it's just going to be the most random spots when you don't expect it. He's going to have like 120 yards and two touchdowns. And that's when you got to be ready to buy. You know what I mean?

All right. Next one for me, I'm not going to put this guy in like JSN or Puka territory, per se, but I think this is a really good wide. receiver who's in a very different situation this year. I'm going to take Garrett Wilson over 63 and a half receiving yards. I love it. Let's go. All right.

I didn't even have to handicap it slops in. Yeah. Easers, draftings, you know, widely available between. Actually, there's some 62 and a halfs out there, different books. But last week, again, as I mentioned in Conner's handicap, the Jets were in the ball, 62% of their snaps last week. You still had Wilson catching six of seven targets.

overall he was fourth in the week league-wide and weighted opportunity. It's just kind of a combination of air yard share, target share. I think we're just going to have a more balanced game here against the Packers, maybe even like a past heavy script, probably at least a neutral script. And I think I have a pretty conservative projection on him, and I have him for a little over six balls and 77 yards. I think the ceiling is pretty high here for Wilson, who's pretty awesome. And I'm pretty down on the Packers pass rush or pretty down on the Packers.

secondary right now. You know, Brandon Cs, a rookie getting a lot of snaps out there, got cooked by Justin Jefferson in that Vikings game. It's just not a great secondary. And again, I don't think they're going to be, I don't think they're going to be given, you know, the quarterback is under pressure either. So I think he's going to have a little time to cook there for Gino. So love Gary.

I think ladders, stealing outcomes are in play here. I think 63 and a half is just just way too low for this player. So slop, you're in. Yeah, I mean, I already said that team sucks. But I will say one thing, like last week when it was on the quad buying, I was watching, all you can think is that poor bastard, because he's nasty. He's a good receiver. He's good.

Yeah, like every time I throw the ball to him and you look, you're like, God damn, like he's literally 10 yards down the field and he's separated, like, the guy's not even near him. Like he just lost this guy already. It was like, gee, like, how do you miss him? You know what I mean? Like, even Gino could look like an NFL quarterback with receivers like that. So, yeah, the only thing I hate about that game was one reason why I didn't have him in the 100 plus yards, which he still might go in, is because of the rain, dude.

It's supposed to rain, like, in all these places. And I hate the rain, especially for past game. I just, I don't like it. I know we've talked about this a million times in the number. It's just, like, you turn it on. You're like, cool, I got my guy to throw it for 300. and you know this got to get 100 and it's like pouring down rain like i don't want to see that but yeah that's something that's really concerning me yeah for the new listeners

the math doesn't kind of go with slops gut that's okay i understand you're feeling uh that's the way no no the math is not i'll admit that like it's no whatever but i just don't like to turn on the tv and there's freaking rain all over the place and i got a guy to catch balls like it just doesn't feel right no i get i get uh yeah yeah this is a good player who's going to cook in this matchup, rain and all. So maybe the rain keeps him in 90 instead of 100, but he's cruising over 63 and a half.

Connor, any Gary Wilson thoughts? I don't know how that kind of coincides with your Breece Hall thoughts. I don't know if it's, you know, kind of correlated in a way, I guess. Yeah, no, I think it's great. I mean, it's just like, I think he sees such a high target chair that the floor is really high.

If the offense is good, he goes way over the line. If they're not very good, then he's probably just a little bit above that and probably hits it anyways. Um, so yeah, I think that's, it's probably a solid look. He just looked worlds better than everyone, all the other receivers, which I think matters a ton. Yeah, kind of played itself on the opportunity stuff. So, uh, Connery said you get a third play.

So I have a third as well where you go. Actually have four. I had a four. Whoa, whoa, whoa. I'm not going to give it out. I'm going to, I'm going to, let's going to do it for subscribers. What it was is I'm like, I think slot might be on this play. And I wanted to have an iteration of it ready to fire out for subscribers in case slop is on it.

It's a slop guy. It's a tight end. It's a tight end. I have a team total that I wanted to discuss. Oh. See, like, it's more of a like, am I crazy? Or is this like, do we just fire away until they really make this number unbedable? But yeah, keep going.

All right. Cut it back to you. Third prop. Yeah, third prop. First over of the year on the live show. Also, a joint play with our guy, swerve who's been crushing it in the discord. Colston Loveland over 47 and a half receiving yards.

I think this is just like a potentially generational bilo spot on a guy who was elite when he had a good usage last year. And then last week we saw 94% snaps on passing downs, 86% snap rate overall. Jaday Walker scored a touchdown. Cleef Raymond was their top receiver. I think that we zoom out at the end of the season and we're going to be like, that was pretty crazy, you know, like, I bet Khalif Raymond's still going to be involved. I bet Jada Walker is going to be a fine wide-dature 4 or 5.

I just don't think that that's going to be super sticky. So I get a guy who was just absolutely murdering down the stretch last year. And in a matchup where the Vikings just allowed 110 yards on five receptions to Jonu Smith and then an injured Tucker craft. So again, like I think that this is a great spot for potentially Komet and Loveland to both go over. and 47 yards here. It wouldn't be surprising. It feels also, in hindsight, like very Ben Johnson-esque to be like,

you know what, I'm going to score 60 points on the Panthers without using any of my best players. Like, that's like basically what just feels very Ben Johnson of like, we're going to do it with Kleefe Raymond and injured DeAndre Swift and injured, you know, like all this, all that. So I would expect, I think Lovellum's going to have a massive bounceback week. Again, 47 yards is so low for a guy that I thought 50, 50, mid-50s, whatever it was last week.

this could be the low point of Loveland and either we're just buying even lower here like another whatever eight to 10 yards lower and that it's going to be just a massive week so I'm excited I think it's not very often I play overs but um he's a guy I'm buying into it's a little dead count bounce I like it quite a bit uh I think ceiling plays for sure sprinkling six yeah ladders a lot uh slop I feel like this is what you were maybe teasing a little bit earlier yeah all right so a yes um Ben Johnson's the kind of guy, too, that Loveland didn't. There was not a lot of love. There was a lot of talk about that, too.

Like people on Twitter, on wherever you want to look at was like, wow, look, the bear scored a thousand points. Loveland and Luther must have gone off in Rome. And you're like, yeah, no, none of them did. It's like how to, you know what I mean? So he'll feed the guy. Like he'll, especially Loveland. I think he is like the main one that will get fed.

Actually, my bad. I think Byrd and Loveland probably, they're two favorite kids. You know what I mean? If Ben Johnson had favorite kids, they'd be tied. But yeah, so Loveland, yeah, should you fit? And then what I was talking about earlier was the team total for the Bears is, what is it, 27 and a half? Do we just take this until they make it 30 plus? We talked about this on our Wednesday show, actually. Yes, I think we do.

You know what I mean? Because I keep saying, hey, I'm pulling it up. I saw the best price. I thought at 27.5 minus 108. And I mean, how? The guy literally told you we're trying to hang 60 every week. Like, you know what I'm saying? Like, it's not like it's, all right, well, maybe we'll grind it outside.

The Belichick guys and all that. Hey, we're just trying to get some wins. Well, this guy's like, look, we're trying to embarrass people. That's what we're here to do. trying to, we're going to score a thousand points. We're not going to play the nonsense game where we sit on it because we're trying to win it. Like, no, we're just going to try and score every time and say, hey, you can't score every time. And that's how you're going to win.

It's like, well, 28 kind of doesn't really feel like a lot, especially with what we just saw the Packers due to these guys. Like, they moved the ball pretty well. They just didn't score with it. Yeah, we touched on this corner. I think, why not? It's kind of right around the key number. it's uh just see what happens here push yeah like i think slop we like Caleb Williams in his previous years was wasn't doing the easy things very well and like

last week we saw him just do the easy things incredibly well you know it was it was the short completions the taking the five-yard run think so what what do you say pf didn't think so oh my god i thought that i think pf does some things very well uh quarterback rating is not particularly one of them um yeah so i don't know i mean it's just one of those things where i think we're like it feels like we're buying into the rams when they were just like blown up where like the broncos when they're dropping just laying dong every week you know 50 50 a game so it feels like something it could be something like that where just like they're going to put their foot all the way down to the ground

until the game is over for me that's what this is you know what i mean like you you get your takes and you put money on them and i think that's a good take to have. I don't think the 30 points below 30 is worth you not betting. You have to bet that. Like when you see it's below 30, like, yeah, all right, I'll take it. Just because I think that we are going to look back. Just like the kid Walker, when I was talking about earlier,

I think we're going to look back and be like, wow, dude, they used to give us 27 and a half for these guys. Whoa. Now you're getting that in the first half. Jeff. Oh, wow. Jeff's here, dude. Nice.

There's no way he went to bed yet from yesterday. he's still up that's awesome what's up jeff i miss you bro he might be one of the best minds of our generation like i'm not i'm sorry there's a fine i'll give you i'll give you that it needs to be studied uh once he's gone i'll give you that yeah yeah yeah it's a fine line though fine line guys between genius and psychopath and uh he walks that line i believe or he might not i don't know you don't even want to be a psychopath you never know has anyone met this guy in real life No, I bet it's a great time. I'm going to go to the point.

We're going to hang. It has to be a trip, right? Yeah, weren't you going to meet up with him? Yeah, he's actually not. I think he's down closer to where my sister lives. Okay. So we're going to, you know, I would love to get out there. And I know, Jeff's a stick.

I'll let him beat me around a little bit. Yeah, he'll play some golf with you. I take you to a strip club. Yeah. Maybe get you killed by a drug dealer. I don't know. Who knows? Hit a good strip club lunch buffet.

You know, it'll be great. I bet you he knows. everybody in the club like and he's the kind of guy that would talk to everybody in there too like like the bartenders the people that clean up you know like everybody yeah like how was your kids first day at school those types of things like he fucking knows him dude yeah yeah he's in it yeah yeah yeah i mean why don't play the game over i'm i'm fine with either way like i just feel like the bear's defense is so bad too like minnesota could probably hang like either way i don't think you can go wrong i think you can probably explore

different iterations of that and get there too. Like I kind of agree though the Bears team total is going to carry their weight in that. So either way you're probably fine. Yeah. 28 point. Like 28 point. That's all we need. I feel very good about that.

It's crazy too because you can literally be just dead in the water and then the bears will figure it out and then drops 21 points to the fourth quarter like they did the end of last year. Or they just score 21, 28 in the first half. And that's very possible as well. there's so many ways too. Like I said, the coach telling you that to me is not just coach speak. You know what I'm saying?

It's not like narrative street as much as it's like, dude, the guy's telling you that. Like it's like almost preseason, like when you get the coach. Like, yeah, this guy's going to play the entire game. You're like, well, okay. I'll take it's over. You know, like, all right. I believe it.

It's like that. Yeah. This one seems like we were going to get like a market adjustment coming into season because the way that this guy finished last year and then all of the talk in the off season about how just anytime you put a mic in front of Liam Cohn and he would tell you about how much he loves Parker Washington. Well, I also love Parker Washington and I love over 57.5 receiving yards, which I don't know, feels broken to me. I don't really understand why we're at 57.5 still. I guess it's Denver. You can play over four and a half perceptions here as well.

I like the yards because I think he's got some nice yak ability, break tackles. And we saw Denver actually struggle with tackles, making tackles, especially in the secondary last week. We actually saw it last year, too, when these two teams met. They met late in, I think like week 16 or something like that. Washington popped off for 6, 1.45 in a score. Since that game, he has not finished fewer than five receptions or 83 yards. I clear wide receiver one here. So why we're at 57 and a half?

I'm not quite sure. He had 42% of the air yards last week, 30% of the targets in a game where I don't think he played in the fourth quarter at all. Are they going to move them around a ton? He plays a lot on the slot. He lined up like three times in the backfield last week. So he's not going to get certain coverage. He's not going to get like, you know, shadowed and followed around here and left to die. Yeah, it just seems like a guy that's just kind of a line up for 70 plus right now.

we're still getting him lined under 60. So I wanted to get this in the parlay, so I wanted to give it out. So Parker Washington, 57 and a half, again, widely available. No big builder, Fanduil all over the place. Connor, any thoughts? I love it. I'm a big Parker Washington fan, drafts him everywhere I could. I think it's a little low.

I mean, the only scary thing would be like the matchup, but as you guys mentioned, like he gets the easiest matchup of the crew. So, and I think he just might be hashtag good at the game, you know, like he's he was awesome at the end of last season and then week one made the browns look like a jv high school team was just like balling on him so you know not surprised so sloppy stop any uh parker washington thoughts uh i think you said it he's not going to get certan so as long as you're not getting chertan like we're i'm i'm all set you know i'm okay the second you like we're taking guys that patrick chattan's covering i'm going to start to question out a little bit

like maybe maybe we look somewhere else but yeah no exactly that's literally exactly the guy you want to take you know in some some btj unders or something here connor we we need to explore on the uh the certain side but yeah wanted to get that one out there uh get that one in the parlay so um all right you know what we didn't do last week and i didn't really prepare uh much for it and again you guys didn't do really any last year because they're airballs uncorrelated people love the uncorrelateds Yeah, those are wild. Yeah, you got some this week? I don't know.

I kind of feel like I need a little bit of time to get my feet wet. I know, I need a little time. The one that jumped out to me was A.D. Mitchell, you know, maybe at Denzel Boston. These guys with some, you know, some like big A-dots, you know, just prairie art type stuff. Those would be the guys there for me. But I haven't. Booty is a good one. Shout out to booty.

Yeah. Maybe next week, we've got to start to get back. into it a little bit a little bit um you could do any of the she heat it's a good call yeah chahid is a good one like i don't know i think there could be some like interesting low volume spots for like maybe like the 49ers uh you know if they just jam the run i don't i don't know you got on there you can sell me on my heavens yeah it's a good call yeah we'll have to look at we'll get them on the show um yeah i love love booty jeff um Big, big, big,

booty guy. I don't know about Russo for a defensive player of the year. Don't mind it. We hit his prop, this stack prop last night, three plays in the game. That felt good.

Again, the Discord, subscribe. TPP, oh, I don't know. It's a little tough. I got one more for you guys. That's not an official play,

but I think needs to be out of the parlay. And this is definitely the biggest swing of the parlay here. So for the last, like, all the coach speak, heading into this Bucks Cleveland game and about from the player, Baker Mayfield has been like, I have this circle to my calendar.

Like I'm going to do everything that I can to make sure that Cleveland is like, like I, we score as many points possible in Cleveland. Three plus touchdowns is plus 320 for Baker Mayfield. I get it. He looked bad last week. But Cleveland defense, new defensive coordinator, played a ton of zone. So Denzo Ward was just, you know, I don't know, a zone corner, which is not where you want him.

And I mean, like they don't look good at all. Like they looked like a legit bad defense. And with Baker, like Baker is absolutely the guy. If they call in a run on the goal line to change the play to play action and be like, oh, no, I saw something. You know, like we're going to run a play action instead. Like, he is 100% that kind of guy. And if they're up for scores, to just keep running them in or passing them in and

doing whatever. So I think this is like a pretty fun kind of revenge narrative that I actually buy in because Baker is 100% that type of person to actually care about that. And I mean, to be, I don't blame him. I mean, he was like wronged, I think, in some senses and like given nothing basically to work with in Cleveland. The guy that they brought into replacing still taking snaps this week for the Browns. So a little extra narrative. I like it.

I know, I knew it was coming, uh, in, you know, three to one, three 20. We think it's plus 320. Yeah. We had three Baker tighties. rushing or receiving or rushing or passing passing touchdowns three three rushing touchdowns would be crazy i believe no well i mean is there such a combo i don't know that i would love i would love both because he could easily run for one too yeah we had that we should be laying up josh allen every week whatever i should have had one last week he fumbled on the way in if i remember

right so he didn't look that bad he just kind of looked a little too like little two boost. You know what I mean? He was a loop. Yeah, just relax a little bit. You're going to be fine. But they were getting their balls kicked in and almost like they made it a game. Like that wasn't supposed to be a game.

But if you watched like early on, you're like, godly, this is bad. And they were kind of right back. So yeah, I don't know. I mean, I love narratives. Like that's my favorite. If you can find the right ones. It works in the NBA. And I do think there's such thing in football.

Like this is the exact example of. of or the other one we were talking about Ben Johnson. Yeah, right. You got a thing where it's just like the human side of it kind of takes over, you know, and you really can't price the shit right because, again, like what you just said, like a not needed touchdown. Right. Because like he doesn't care.

You know, like it's. Yeah. Yeah. Like the last, like I think about it we get last week, we were like 30, it was like 30 to three in the third quarter or fourth quarter. Like I don't think Baker maybe it's coming out of that game. Like he's going to keep keep going. Like he's going to just keep tossing.

I think Bucks alts are pretty fun, too, just for that exact reason. Like, like, um, like bucks minus like 19 and a half, something like that. Like, I think that kind of stuff is, is awesome. Well, we got 24 and a half team total, which I'm fine with. I think it's 27. I think there's your, there's your number. You know what I mean? Yeah.

24, 27 of those. Yeah, like I don't think like you're, you're fighting for that 24 or 23. I think it's more the other way. Yeah. We're going up to 31. Yeah. Um, yeah. A lot of...

If you know who threw three tuddies last week? Kirk Cousins threw three tuddies in the game last week. I like that these, dude. We're asking Baker to do something that Kurt Cousins did last week. Now, again, I know it was Miami, but like, you know, Browns... This is basically Miami. Did you see that Brown's defense? Oh.

That was unbelievable. That's like almost a crime, dude. Like, they should... If there was relegation, like, it would be them and the dolphins would be not even in the NFL anymore next year. the Titans are playing in different. Yeah, the Titans too. Yeah. Yeah, I think the Dolphins are the worst.

Although I'll rank them. I mean, I don't know. They're a tier below everyone else, though. I think like those three teams are a tier below everyone else, right? Like Titans, dolphins, Browns as they currently stand. But dolphins might be the worst. I mean, they have no good players. Like, they have literally no Jacob Rodriguez.

Okay, there you go. There's your guy. rounds though like they're bad they're like they're really bad like really bad like guys i was watching i was like damn because i mean not that i forgot that they didn't have miles garrett but i forgot they didn't have like i'm watching like oh shit so yeah so and then you start to realize like they have no like there's nothing going on there like like who the hell are they like the uh the the indians in major league who the hell are these guys they're terrible i don't think it's going to be like that movie either for them. I think it's going to end really poorly. But yeah, no, you're right. Like, Baker, this is the perfect,

perfect matchup for that, too, a team that actually sucks. Because you kind of need a lot. Yeah. Everybody wants to go out and do stuff, right? Yeah. The other team has to kind of play in for it. And I don't think they can do anything about it. Yeah. You need a team that'll play their own part of just being that bad so that he can do whatever he wants. You know, it's not going to work against a really good team. Yeah, I want to go out and drop 40 every night. You know what I mean? Like, everybody does. But, like, it's not, like, you can't just do that.

We've awoken to Chris Bell hive in the chat, which, you know, I like Chris Bell too, which is not there yet for Chris Bell. Chris Bell, Malik, Douglas, you're sleeping on. I mean, I think, I think Douglas is awesome. I drafted Douglas everywhere. I think Chris Bell is probably fine. Devin, Devon A-chan is good. but literally every other piece of the team is awful, including the coaching staff. So it's tough.

I mean, they're easily the worst team in the league, in my opinion. Super young team too, which is a tough combo, tough mix. They're going to win two games this year, if that. Dude, see, that's the thing. When everybody was hating on you over the summer, did you see that one of your tweets about the Dolphins? And I was like, pick out the win. Yeah.

Like who are they going to be, dude? Like they don't play University of Miami at any point. You know what I mean? Like they're all NFL. I think the Jets could be the Jets just just body the Titans and the Jets. Yeah, right. They're not going to beat the Jets. They're like, so if that was your two wins.

Yeah. Good luck. I mean, you're going to need some injuries or something to the Jets. I mean, they just lost by two touchdowns of the Raiders, which are another like fringe bottom 10 team. I don't know, man. It's bad. It's bad.

It's bad. All right, where's the parley stands? All right. So we got Loveland 70, Caleb 30, Kenneth Walker, 100 plus, Baker 3 plus, Burrow 2 plus, Gare Wilson 80 plus, Parker Washington, 70 plus. Did I miss anyone? Slop, you had one more, right? I think I might have missed one of the other.

We're not going burrow in there. That was strictly 80 plus. Okay. No, Burrow. Two, you know what I mean? Okay, okay, okay. It's like, oh, these guys are going to go off. I think, like, two is, that price for that's not right, dude.

All right, I feel you there. So we only have six things. We could definitely add one, one more, if we want to. Well, I didn't have any team totals. I could do that. I mean, I don't think, yeah, bears, 40. Not. Bears over 43 and a half?

I don't even. Let's see if this is like, like, if family. I guess they go to it. Yeah, let's learn something today. Oh, they go pretty high. I'm going to give you one more. 50. I'm going to give it to our loyal subscribers here first.

I thought this would be a slot play of the day, and I wanted to take the other side just in case. So I had it ready to go. But I think it's a mooth week, Pat for Iron Moose. Wow. All right. Who do they got? The Dolphins?

Who are they playing? Patriots. They got paid the Patriots. You got Michael Pittman out. At no point last year did you see Farah Mooth run as many routes as he did last week with Mike McCarthy. He averaged 51% route rate last year, 74% last week against Atlanta, caught all five of his balls, 46 yards. Over three and a half is plus money. That's what I thought we were getting from slop.

But 26 and a half receiving yards? Like, how was slow? this guy not getting 30 yards. Patriots are not. Robert Spillane were like almost taking out of the pasture. If not pre, he got cooked last week when he was the closest guy in coverage. I think it's a tough spot for the past with Fire Mooth. Who's going to run a lot of the same routes. I think he really does benefit from Pittman being out. I think significantly more than like D.K. does. Who's, you know, running a lot more vertical when you look at how they used Pittman last week. It was a lot of intermediate hitch, stuff over the middle. I think that's where Mooth is going to win here.

So I like over three and a half plus money, But I think 26 and a half receiving yards is just not enough. So yeah, I thought we're going to get the Muth, but I like Muth to, you know, 30 plus getting in the prop and the parlay. All right. I mean, we have to add add another tight end. That makes sense. So yeah, I don't mind that.

He was used way more obviously Pittman out too. So we're probably out and that makes sense. People were flying the tight end. Look at last night saying tight end to guys too. But there's people Covers, receptions, yards, all that shit. We could take So Bears team total goes up to 47 and a half.

It's 30 to 1 over. 40 points is like not a plus 830. 30 points is plus 176. 35 points is plus 360. I don't mind any of those. 35's not ridiculous. That's not 360 ridiculous to me. I mean, that's not that crazy.

No, not at all. I think that's totally fun. We should be jamming Bears' team total alts like just every game and then we'll just never, I mean, we'll eventually. I think we might have figured out a reverse correlation. You know what I mean? Yeah, yeah. We're 47, but take somebody's under, like the quarterback's under or something like that.

I bet you it's like fucking ridiculous. Oh, yeah. You know what I mean? Yeah. But that could happen. Yeah, no, I think we might need to be team total guys. Yeah, just all team total. I don't know of those guys out there.

I think we'd be good at it. I'm a big team tool. I used to write a team total article every week. There you go. Well, you're the lead guy on the team then. You're a point, your point, man. Yeah. We'll play around the key numbers really, man.

I love, I love a good under 17 and a half on just a shit team. You know, 17 and like that team. I like a good 16 and a half over on a shit team. Yeah. You know what I'm saying? It's always fun. It's some bullshit team to score 17 points. Like it's a brutal watch, but it is kind of fun.

Because you got like the team sucks that you take. I mean, obviously you're not getting good teams to go over 16 and a half. But man, when you find one that you're like, you know what, dude, these guys could drop 20 today. And you actually sit down and watch that game. It's funny. I like the under 17 and a half because I'm like, this garbage team has to have four scoring drafts.

Like, especially as long as you eliminate. a team on the other side that has like a high variant quarterback that could like because a pick six kills you yeah that oh that's brutal yeah right so like you got to make sure you don't run in any of that but if you can find a good spot with uh you know at the dolphins i don't know if they got a pick six i still don't know that they're getting 17 their team total is like 12 in like how many pick six is we talking oh yeah so tim's got it for money more than one 80 mitchell under two and a half 40 plus 13 to one on draft yeah that's great that's fond that's not bad that's not bad Yeah.

Gino. Um, after I added in Muth and the team total, we are at 10 to win 26 grand. So that's pretty good. It's not bad. It's a fun win. Mooth 30 plus now is only minus 112 though,

that's kind of boring. Oh, we cooked it out. Yeah. I think, I think if we take that out, then we're at 10 to win 13 grand. Or we go higher on Muth.

But I don't know. It depends if you think it's like, tighter band 30 to 40 or do you think it's like, you know, I don't know. What do you, think you want to take the dolphins to get shut out but to we're back to our team total roots you know yeah i do have this from donnie on um draig may draig may may uh 30 plus um it's on my list

of uh potential props he's in that same range as caleb it's running a ton Pittsburgh's going to get a lot of pressure don't hate that either at all so yeah we whatever you want to do with mooth um i wouldn't want to change it too too high but i mean 46 last week you know five targets i think he gets five at least five or six again yeah it's i think i think it's a good look um yeah Miami under 10 and a half points is plus two 15 i'd do that then you don't need to add to the parlay but that would be that that is pretty fun and for vibes. They'd have to score three times

because there's no way they're scoring two touchdowns, I don't think. Yeah. They get the Niners, right? Yeah, Niners. His defense looked awesome. They looked really good. Just kind of housed the Rams a little bit. I mean, I know that it's one game.

There's a lot of context around that, but I don't know. I mean, what if everyone's trying to prove a point? One of the fissiest things I love to do every week is grab alt team total unders just take bad teams crank them up to 24 and a half just like build the parlay you know get it to like plus 150 or so titans under 24 and a half you know dolphins browns right like you're you're laying insane juice by themselves but you know whatever like which one of these teams again 20 25 in 27 yeah do they combine for 27 that's the question

So, shop it around. There's some books out there. Fandual offers all team totals. I think Draft King does 365. So shop them around. It's fun, fun. Oh, there we go. Maybe team total week for me.

I mean, if we already have eight, seven props in here, I would just say we should just make a team total parlay. That would be that. Next week. I'll make it open on the agenda. We'll be ready for it. Yeah, we'll do a team total parlay next week. That's fun.

Yeah, it made me some uncorrelated. So all right. Slop, what do the people need to know? Where are you going to find your stuff? Oh, dude, we're doing fancy tiers. 20K guaranteed. It is split up, though. So like the top like 20 guys or girls are winning.

So that's it. It's at splash. Look for my face on the homepage. You'll see it. Dude, it says fancy tears, 20K, guaranteed prize pool. It's going to be awesome. It's going to be awesome. Use phone code slop as well, just for, you know, just because.

Always. Slop on YouTube as well. If you want all the cool stuff that we have going on at 444.4.com slash plans. You can use promo code noon and 25, Connor 25, get yourself 25% off any of our deals. Get that Sharpstack deal. Sharpstack is popping. Continue to add to that. You get in the, obviously, our picks section as well.

If you want to get in the Discord, get all the other plays that we have coming for the rest of the week and the rest of the season. So appreciate everyone, as always. Make sure thumbs up in the video before you take off. Subscribe again so you don't miss Prop. in podcast or on YouTube. Connor and Slop and Ryan. We'll see all next time. Thanks, everybody.