Move The Line - Best NFL Week 3 Player Prop Bets

Episode Date: September 25, 2026

Ryan Noonan and Connor Allen welcome John Hyslop back to Move The Line for a full breakdown of the NFL Week 3 player prop market. The trio discusses their favorite passing, rushing, and receiving props across the slate, using projections, matchup data, and Prop Drops to identify the numbers and prices that stand out before kickoff.Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package or try SharpStack free for 7 days: https://www.4for4.com/plansWatch Move The Line on YouTube: https://4for4.co/3OupraJJoin the Discord: http://discord.gg/4for4Follow the show: https://x.com/MoveTheLineNFLConnor: https://x.com/ConnorAllenNFL | Ryan: https://x.com/RyNoonan | John: http://x.com/sloprules Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Hello and welcome to move the line prop drop show presented by Sharpstack. Ryan Newton, Connor Allen, John Highslot back for week three NFL props. Excited to keep you going. The parlay didn't get it done last week for the people. You know, I don't know that it was the worst parlay that we've ever had. We've had some pretty bad parlay's in the history of the show. That one wasn't close, but I don't know that it was the worst. What do you think, Connor?

The team total felt like what made it the worst is what in the biggest. three points and we have 35 plus in the parlay. That's why it felt like the worst. But you guys both hit your legs on it. I think with Kenneth and Parker, Washington, I think both hit. Yeah. I think we had Caleb,

Kailb rushing in there too. I think so, yeah, 30 yards. Did he hit his rushing? Yeah. Oh, nice. Yep. So how has that been in Chicago with the whole, like,

he's probably never going to walk again to he might play this week? Yeah, no one cares. I mean, yeah, no one cares. He needed his nails, like coming in and like,

you know, like all, all the old's got way over the whole, like, is he tough, is he cool thing like way long ago? Correct. That was weird.

I offered up my Achilles tendons, both of them if he needed them. And then come to find out, like he, it was a hamstring. You're just like, whoa. Like,

I don't, oh, like, that's crazy. I thought he was like, done, like, for the year.

And then he wasn't. You know what they say, Slop. You know what they say? Limpin ain't pimping. That's, yeah, I've heard that before. I've heard that before. And he was limping. It was not pimping.

Yeah. So it is what, yeah, that's a tough break for Caleb. Connor's right, though. I mean, this city has been so thirsty for any sort of pulse, especially a quarterback for the Bears. And then everything that went down last year in terms of playoff run and how that got done, like people are sold. Like they're whatever a Kool-A drinking that could be done with this organization

that people are drinking it right now. So, yeah, you were in a long line of people that were willing to give legaments and tendons or whatever was needed to heal Caleb. So thankfully, my wife was making fun of me when like she was like, wait, he's not out for the year. I was like, what do you? Like, no, I don't think so.

Because like the day before, I was like, oh, shit, dude, like that just kind of ruined the season because like that was a really fun team. and like now it's not that fun because it's he's gone you know what I mean like the season's over what it's crazy because yeah like everyone was like oh it's over Chicago back to the old same old like everyone was already moving on and then you know out of nowhere it's like the coffin memes you know he's like just getting out of the get out of the chair he's getting out of the coffin it's whatever you want to call it we're back um also what's the latest on Tyson bag it is he for sure out for

monday or where where is he at because I think he's going to be fine I actually think he's going to be okay Yeah, I don't know. I'm a big tea bag guy always happened since I was a kid. So I want him to play. I was kind of like, you know what? It's not that bad because it's like we got tea bag. And then he gets hurt. Oh.

Yeah. Yeah. So it's a great combo. You're a big receiving of the tea bag or did you like to drop the tea bags? I was more of a dropper. You know what I mean? You seem like a dropper. It is whatever.

You know what I mean? Yeah. I'm not going to make fun. people for taking it. Yeah. Do they have a choice? No. If you're going to drop a teaback here and there,

you're going to know you're going to be on the receiving one every once in a little. You can't make fun of people for receiving it. It's not really their choice. Like if you notice, I don't think anybody has ever willingly gotten tea bag. Yeah, people aren't volunteering for it, you know, so. Yeah. Cochers in here. What's up, Cocher?

He's the man, dude. Yeah, I don't know what's going on to quarterback for them. It's a disaster. I don't think there's going to be a lot of bears featured in the, week three edition the move line even though we dedicated a solid 10 to 15 minutes of them last week between the Kayla prop and the totals prop do you got totals today team total slopp I know we teased that a little bit last week I do I do not but I do have another play of the century guaranteed another a guarantee like this one I'm putting the slop guarantee like there's

no chance it loses and then there's a very close second and they're just happened to go, the guaranteed one, the bomb is at one o'clock, and then the, pretty much guaranteed one, like, would be the guaranteed one if the other one didn't exist. That's at four. So, yeah, so we're all set, dude. I'm not ready for the night game. I do have something, though maybe we can talk about something like, let's say things don't go your way.

Is there something we can just shove it all in at? I think I do have something for the night game that Rams and Broncos. I'm pretty sure you can guess what I'm going to play. I feel good about that. You and you like to cover the windows, you know, window cover. I've been peeping in windows for a long time. You know what I mean? You just got to know what you're looking for.

Yeah. You want to keep it moving, no one that, you know, acknowledge what you see. I did put together a few of the uncorrelated for us today. So listeners like them. We want to give them, put them out there. I had a couple of ones that kind of fit what we typically do.

And then like I real, real nice top shelf, uncorrelated bang. The top shelf shit. Top shelf. Yes. Now you need to get the stool out for that one. It's like,

what is that up there? You know, bartender can't reach it. You got to get the stool. You might even have to dust it off a little bit. But people are going to like it. That's the good shit. You died straight out of the well.

You know what I'm saying? Like it's, it's time for tough sometimes. Occasionally you need the well stuff too. They don't reach up. They reach down. Yeah, it's right here. Yeah.

It's right there. Excited about the Sharpstack, we continue to make new improvements. I was playing around with that today. Really, really cool stuff to be able to have the alts in one window, that line movement, all that stuff. Right now, three, seven-day trial,

444.com slash plans for Sharpstack. Or you can use promo code. TD3 gets you sharpsack and picks for nine bucks for a month, $9. I guess you can't even get a burger for $9. Like I don't know what we're doing here for a month. So again, that gets you all the four for four stuff too. So if you're still doing fantasy, all that's all included there as well. Check that out.

Hit the show notes if you want more information there. I can say it for that. And yeah, it's cool. Tools badass and keeps getting better. So all right, Connor. we were talking earlier. It's going to be a time later this season that you're going to have to carry me.

You're going to have to carry slop. Right now we've been doing the heavy lifting. Week three, though, I feel good about week three for you getting us started here, first play, what you got. Yeah, week three is my week. I mean, I've always said that. That's just, it's been known.

Big week three guys. The clubs know it. We know it. Everyone knows it. So I'm going to go with Marcus Mariotta, under 172 and a passing yards. against Seattle Seahawks. Seattle, 178 yards to Drake May

with A.J. Brown for part of the game, with an actual good quarterback, just 95 passing yards to Jacoby percent. League low, 4.5 yards per attempt allowed. Zero plays of 20 plus so far. And then on the inverse here, you have Mariotta getting the start behind a terrible offensive line.

Looks like Sam Cosby's going to be out. Tonsal's on IR. Chico is going to be out. I mean, Terry doesn't look the same. Diggs looks okay. But what are you going to do? Like that is a lot. I expect them to go super run heavy.

Like just like lock in on running the ball, try and making that work until they can't. But like the crazy thing is is that both Preset and May had like some pretty negative game script there towards the end there. Remember set only got to 95? It's pretty crazy. So I think that this is a pretty good spot here to take the under. The number is low. I get it. You know, but someone's got to go back to what, you know, where my bread is buttered, which is the low passing yard unders.

it's going to be a great hate watch it's going to be awesome yeah that's a that's a tough that's a tough hate watch but uh it made a good case there i'm guessing slop you're not interested in any uh mariotto overs or i i i heard under and then immediately got kind of sidetracked a little bit but yeah yeah i got plus you on my end too because it's i would not go over that number yeah at all like not even close here's what i really respect about this this is how you get back on the Yeah. Right. Connor,

been doing this for a very long time with a flawless historic record. Go back to the hits, right? Like, Slob, if you were kind of spinning and not getting it done, I'd be like, hey, buddy, I need you to come to the show. I need, I need two, three tight end props for me, okay? Get dialed in. So Connor, that's like someone who took a look in the mirror and was like, I need to get back to my roots.

And he's like, I need bad quarterback unders. I respect this. So I'm at all the commission. bad players like you know sometimes it's that easy um so this is what i've already done uh you know i need to just keep doing it you know i need to stop betting against good players like breese hall a 45 yard reception you know burning us uh that sucks it's a tough loss i'm losing by one yard uh there so um i like the under here but i appreciate the support guys you know we just got to be got a play a hit sometimes i got your back hey look limping ain't pimping and at one point later this season we're

going to be limping and we'll make sure that we'll get you back to pimping. So, all right, Slop, are we going late window kind of play of the century? Or we're going just, we're hitting them with the goods right at the top? I'll go straight up. There's no, what am I keeping the people waiting? They need to make some cash. They need to get this in right now. Casey Concepcion, four plus receptions is like minus, hang on, hang on,

I'm going to get you the best price in the world right now. minus 115 at draft kings i don't know how on earth these people plan on staying in business letting people bet k c conception 4 like that's for the whole game dude that's not the first drive anything like that's literally the whole game i don't know if you saw a dashed dashed all right not a big fan of like sexual assault you know what i'll come out and say it right now i'm against it all right a hundred percent you know what i'm saying so i don't even like this guy. That's all I'm saying. I don't like him. But I can objectively watch football and say, you know what? That wasn't that bad. One thing he did well was not throw it too far down the field.

All right. Casey Concepcion doesn't really run that far down the field. He's going to have to throw the ball this week because the Panthers are going to squall over him. It's not going to play in a freaking rainstorm that get, you know what I'm saying, like again, you know, the Panthers are going going to put points on, right? Somehow Bryce Young looks good. I don't know how that happens. I don't know. I don't know when that happened, but the Brown's defense, they make everyone look good too. So even if he's not good, he's still probably going to look good again. That's going to make the shot out to throw the ball. And when he does, he doesn't, he can't really throw it that far down the field, right?

He can't, he can't, but not accurately. He can throw it to exception on the game. We're going to get one catch. I'll guarantee you right now. We're going to get one where it's literally just a screen pass. Like he's going to literally snap the ball. He's going to look up and just, and it's like basically a handout. That's a free reception, guys.

That's one. So we only really need three. Like they've already run that play four times. He's caught every one of those passes. Like the kid can catch. So four receptions. I think he's on the field maybe more than he has been. I mean, he's only like 60, in between 60 and 70% of the time. So it's not really that much.

But again, like I said, in a negative game script, there is a 0% chance that kid leaves this game with less than four catch. I mean, I still can't even believe this is a real line, guys. minus 115 draft kings wow yeah yeah I don't understand it I can't believe that the handicap featured

a segment about sexual assault I mean that's against it yeah I'm against it I heard I just heard KC Concepcion is going to sexually assault the pay of their secondary like I don't know that I wouldn't word it that way but I don't know that that's wrong

yeah I'm saying but yeah I am definitely against it against it yeah on the record. Well, that was the best game Watson played in like six years. That was... It just happened to be last week, though.

So there might be something there. That's all I'm saying. It might be something there. I'm not saying, like, he's not good. Like, again, I get to watch it twice because I have that game pass, you know, no big deal. But like, he wasn't that bad. Yeah, it was, he was, like, not horrible.

Put it that way. I go with not horrible. That's in my range. rankings not horrible i mean it was down in tampa and jeff if jeff's in the chat we know what tampa's known for you know tampa's you know got some exceptional gentleman clubs um so maybe just he felt like he was in his element last week down in tampa just had his he got his mind right um who knows what happened but i'm yeah i dude this is i still i'm looking at right now i can't even believe like like what are we doing you saw it um what's his

name your guy, Connor, the Bears guy, in the slot. Probably 1530 passes in the first week against the Panthers. Calibraeman. Yeah, him, that guy. I mean, conception's way better than that guy. Yep. It's insane. So enjoy the first half of that.

Don't worry, though. I will say that there will be something to play at four, but I'm going to be honest with you're probably going to be out of action by about 2 p.m. on Sunday if you only take that play. The good news is you'll win, but I'm saying the bad news is you're going to be watching the second half with like literally nothing going on because like you're you've been cashed for a while. Yeah. The money comes in the. Yeah. That's true.

That is too. What's six plus slot? What's up? Six plus. Do we price that out? Oh, yeah. All right. So, yeah, I mean, this is, it's perfect, dude.

We only got a freebie, so we only need five. You literally, you're getting one. When he catches that screen pass, I want you say, God damn it, that slop, which right. There's the screen pass. He might get two of them. It's not really a screen, but it's kind of a screen. We'll call it a screen.

It's blocked like one, but it's not one that, like, has to develop, if that makes any sense. Like, you'll see, when they run it, you'll see what I'm saying. You're like, oh, shit, that's a, that's a free reception. Wow. All right. I love it. Again, another one that I just, I don't want to stay ahead of it,

just a case slop was coming. And, you know, sometimes we're going to go back to our route. Sometimes you're going to play the hits. I think I had texted our group chat on maybe Monday or Tuesday. I'm like, Pat Fryer moved no matter what this week. Fryer moved over 34 and a half receiving yards, widely available. Look, the Bengals. We need to go attack this Bengals group against tight ends.

What did Dalton Shultz do last week? Like 12 balls and a buck 70? Pretty good. They gave up 85 passing yards to tight ends last year per game and somehow we're trending worse this year through two weeks. They were last in DVOA. Actually, again, like run defenses looking pretty good with the Bengals. Perimeter corners are pretty solid with Dax Hill and DJ Turner.

You got to kind of just, you know, picking shoes over the middle with your running backs and your receivers. You got Muth who's running, you know, three times the routes that Darnel Washington is. He's the guy here. We bumped him like, I don't know, what, six, seven yards off the last week and he crushed again. So I love the Bengals this week. I think it's going to have to be a lot of Muth. And I think they're going to struggle to get the perimeter guys going.

So 40 plus chase that Muth no matter what. So slop any consideration to Muth this week. I'm definitely in on that. What times that game? Early window. sweet yeah i need more for that yeah i could use a little 425 stuff too but let's go patrick patrick sharp more aligned with patrick i feel good about that uh but he's doing so we're good we're good yeah patrick smart guy patrick wants to know what we think about uh trailer part prostitution

i i gotta be honest with you i mean i don't i'm not for it or against it you know what i'm saying i'm more I'm still listening to both sides to see where I fall and something like that. I will say that Jed York listens to our show, so I don't want to offend him. You know, Jed, it's very much, you know, whatever, it's teach your own. You know, if that's your style as a billionaire, you know, that makes sense, you know. Like it's 100%. You have to be terrible, you know. As long as it's consensual, I'm okay with it.

but like I said, it is definitely illegal. Yeah. I mean, look, it's not, it's not his fault. That's where she lived. I'm guessing he probably had agreed upon the arrangements prior to the locale. You don't think he just drove in there and was looking for the best action or what? No, I don't think he said, yeah, he definitely set that up. Yeah, but he's kind of like a like a shitty Uber for sex.

You know what I mean? He's probably on like one of those apps. I mean, it's probably going to have that. Yeah. That's like some prior. knowledge yeah there's definitely so he probably set it up went there uh he was dressed like he was looking to bang a trailer park cooker but i mean do you see what he was wearing it was just like look that she was going to the gym maybe to bed did you kind of was the plan yeah i mean i guess

he's doing a little bit of both he's going to work out then going to take a nap after i don't Slop, did you see the news, by the way, in Western Massachusetts? Like, did your favorite bar with the mass mandate? Right? I mean, I'll be honest with you. Brian, are you from Western Mass? I'm not. I'm from Southern New Hampshire.

So just a little. Okay, okay. Okay, yeah. I remember now. All right. Is that the famous as Western Massachusetts? Those people, and when I say those people, I say those people because they are different than like other people.

Like, I'm serious. You can't talk to them. like they you can't like you if you say something they just get mad at you for something somehow like they can they they have the ability to to just twist whatever you said into something like hateful it's crazy but i mean dude read more of that story if you haven't just keep going because it is bananas like the one guy that hijacked the live stream was mad that they asked him to come back because that was racist and all kinds of stuff he had all kinds of things um I didn't know what one of those were, like one of the words eugenist or eugenist.

Is that a thing? I mean, I think anything's the thing. Yeah, he was, he was accusing them of being that. I don't even know what that is, but like, okay, like that sucks. And yeah, but it is. There's three of them owners. And then one just left, just to be out. One went to clown school, which is crazy.

Like, crazy reason. And the one left over. is living in her truck and she's like $50,000 in debt, maybe more. Very normal. Yeah. And the bar is like just failing completely. She brings it up and they get mad at her being like, hey, why are you making this about you? And just all right, well, I'm kind of the owner.

Like that's like just these people where they don't believe in charging people for unhoused people. So homeless people, but you can't get to say homeless. That's not. I'm host. Okay. So I can go in there and say I'm homeless. It gets a free beers.

I mean, is that, yeah. No, they, they don't believe in charging them for, like, beers.

So, like, that's crazy. It's like, no, but that's like, that's how, like,

business works. Like, you, you provide a service someone pays for it. Like, that's like a pretty, a foundation of capitalism,

like, where you live. So, like, there's that. There was, there was one more. Oh, yeah,

the whole thing, though, it's the craziest because once you realize that they weren't saying every day this place is this is one day a week just one day Saturday nights right yeah it's gonna be one day a week then you could walk in a match and they just lost their shit I don't even know people still wore masks of COVID I had no idea yeah but that but that just speaks to that place uh like western if I'm serious it's crazy dude like you you literally if you say something you are eugenist or eugenist, like, whatever that is.

It is unreal, bro. It's like you can't win. Yeah. So if you have time today, I'm dead serious. Dude, Patrick, is that Patrick just said that? Dude, look up. Just type in bar Western Mass. You're in.

You know what I'm saying? Yeah. And you should read or if you don't want to read, go on TikTok or, you know, Instagram or whatever. And just anybody that has that's talking about. it listen to the story and it'll just blow your mind uh jack mac the uh bar stool guy had a yeah he had a good one yeah it was like two minutes you listen to it but the tlDR is that a uh a lesbian bar got uh hate for shutting down their mask mandate uh in their bar and like divided

everything and now there's like big lawsuit incredible story so anyways don't need so i didn't know i'd get slop so riled up here oh dude i was just watching something on this morning again dude because there's new stuff so they they made a statement now. So they came back with the statement and maybe the bar. I'm not sure who came with the statement. Somebody came with a statement. And it was insane. Just as insane. Put it this way. They said something the bar did. Never got mad at them for not putting it in the right font because it's, it leaves out blind people. I'm dead serious. I thought that too. That's insane, dude. I'm just saying like what happened. And now I'm anti-blind people. Sounds about right.

Mm-hmm. Is a lesbian bar inherently anti-straight people? I don't know. I don't think so. Somehow they're allowed to do it in their brains. Like they're, that's cool. Like I have no idea, dude.

One of them's like trans. I'm not sure how that works. Like so it's just, it's a whole thing, dude. We're going into unchartered territory here. Yeah, but they got it all figured out. So like I said,

just check it out. And like I'm telling you right now, Friday night for me is like Dateline 2020 while there's like college football and like tonight it might just be like I might not be watching college football on the laptop

I might literally be watching just catching up more on that story because there's always more developing and I haven't had time today to give it the proper attention because you really got to lock in and focus because I'm serious you have no idea what's like wait a minute what happened and you got to go back and read it again

Oh, man. Missed out. I got to get into this one. Yeah, no, it's incredible story. It's awesome. It just keeps getting better and better. It's insane. Yeah.

Okay. Let's go. Yeah, Garrett Wilson's very fast in the chat. That's awesome. Let's go. Is this Tommy D or Tommy G. over here? We'll let him go. We're not going to answer that.

Yeah, I have no idea what's happening there either. That will not be covered in this program. Yeah, I just stay with Massachusetts. lesbians and bars. It just so happens to the two connected this time. Yeah. Yeah.

No, my Massachusetts roots, family-wise are elitist East Coast. Okay, that's where I'm at. Yeah, I'm worthy elitist.

Yeah. Kind of looking down the pores, you know. Yeah. Hyannis in the Cape. You know, oh, those are super elite.

Yeah. I'm more of like a little north of Boston, not that elite, but if I want to, I can get elite. You know what I mean? Yeah,

it's my family. It's not my actual family. It's not my actual parents, aunts and uncle i was praying you weren't you'd be like yeah dude i'm from western mass that's my hometown so i was like i think those people are crazy no no no no just good old southern new hampshire good old sea coast new hampshire folk um yeah well sea coast yeah basically main basically massachusetts no one kids just play soccer over there okay see coast united baby oh nice get some seabrook port smith um Nah, I have friends there, though.

They have places all over the place. They've kind of have taken over the Massachusetts, New Hampshire, youth soccer. From the girls' side, not the boys. All right. All right, back on the rails. Well, now that we covered the lesbian bar story in Massachusetts, we can get back to releasing our player proffats for the week. Sure, let's see.

So I gave Friamuth, and then I think, Connor, I think we're back to you. I think that's where we're going. Yeah, I'm back. All right, we're going back to another under. Going to Mari and Hampton under 61 rushing yards. Bill's Rundee has honestly played really well. Looks like at Oliver, my play, didn't even play last week. Still held Jumeer Gibbs and David Montgomery so far through two weeks

to three and a half yards per carry. I mean, Dave Montgomery had 20 carries and barely got to 60 yards. Chargers offense, now seven point dogs. You know, based on the functionist offense, I don't think they're going to have a ton of play volume. I don't think they're going to be efficient. Hampton's been pretty inefficient himself, like 3.9 yards per carry. So like, I think the bills score a lot and make the Chargers score.

And that just hasn't been the case so far against two far worse opponents. So couldn't be more out of the Chargers. I think the 61 and a half on Builders, 60 and a half widely available is pretty good. Yeah. And as Patrick mentions here in the chat, like the O line just has played so bad. The Interior O line is a much bigger problem than we thought it was going to be when they suffered some of their injuries. So, yeah, it's tough. I'm not a fan.

Yeah, the bill's, Rundi, in solid too, as you highlighted there in the handicap, too. Slop any thoughts on Chargers, how bad that's been to start the year or anything on Marry and Hampton? I hate the Chargers. I still hate them. They've ruined my season, bro. Like, I'm, like, salving it now. I'm literally, like, after, like, week one. So, yeah, and I hate them.

I did look up some team totals, though, and we can talk about that in a little bit. You're right. And the charges do tie into there. Okay. What did you have time to do that? You just gave a, like, di-trib on the fine folks of Western Mass. I mean, they did you somehow at the same time grabbing team total work? Yeah, I can look up any gambling lines at any time.

I'm married, so I spend a lot of time half listening online and doing other stuff. So I can hear everything while looking up gaming. And gambling that's generally what I'm looking at anyways. So I'm good. Yeah. Love that. All right. This is the afternoon window now, right?

So after we've already cashed our Casey Concepcion, we have that money in pocket, our most up-to-date play of the century is. So then now what's going to happen, the new play of the century at that point is going to be Mark Andrews. I'm going to get you the most accurate line or up-to-date line. We're going to go receptions on this guy. And it's going to be four and a half plus one. 134 at Fandul. They beat my guys at No Vig,

barely. Novig's at 133, so whatever. If you're limited at Fandle, we go to No big, no limit's there, no big deal. Anyways, Mark Andrews five receptions. That does sound like a lot, right? Like, when you think about it, it sounds like a lot. It is actually, it's not, all right? So for one, hang on, he's done this twice.

Sold. I think they've only played two games, okay? He's gotten... That's 100%. Yeah, well, no, no, he did four the first week, but they kicked the shit out of the Colts. They killed them. They were so far ahead. That game was so over.

It wasn't funny. Next game, New Orleans, six receptions. He's getting targeted a little bit more. Here's the thing. New Orleans did win that game, but they won, like, lately. Like, that was one of those where the game was kind of in here. It was not one of those going back forth. I think the Cowboys are going to score on these guys.

I really do. I really think the Cowboys are going to score on the Raven. So what's going to happen is. is Ravens are going to have to get loose. They can't just sit on the ball. I don't think Zay Jones is going to play. That helps big time. Even if he does, I bet you he's kind of like more decoyish,

kind of like what the Giants did the other night with neighbors. When they brought him back in, it was like obviously a decoy. Probably not Zay Flowers either. Zay Jones and Zay Flowers. Yeah, my bad. I hate Zay Jones, so I said his name. But yeah, say Flowers, sorry. I don't think he's playing.

I really don't think he's going to play. It doesn't seem like it. Even if he does, like I said, then he's out there on literally one leg. My thing is, yeah, dude, Zay Jones, you remember him last year when we took him? I'm sorry about that, by the way. Sorry about that.

I don't remember. I blacked out during that. Yeah, it was, I was in a bad place. It was in a bad place. But I'm better now. But yeah, no, Mark Andrews, five plus catches. Like, dude, if, all right, so last week, you look at the commanders, right?

Dude, they got two-playing quarterback, Mariotta. Like, dude, those guys aren't going to do nothing against Dallas. week before, though, Isaiah likely teabagged him a little bit. You know what I'm saying? Like he went nuts. So I'm thinking likely was with the Ravens. They know him. They know what he can do.

You know what I'm saying? Like somehow there's a connection there. It's five catches. It's five. That's it five. Like two catches in the first quarter. He just needs one in each quarter after that. I think it does go late though.

Like we're not going to, it's not going to be the first half cash again. Yeah. Full game. That we're going to get our full. money's worth so we're going to get to watch most of this game but all we need is the cowboys to just score some points you know what just just just score a little bit here just keep this thing going and we are all set and we have what plus what was plus what plus 130 plus 1434 oh geez oh that's a gift dude plus our six plus you throw that in the parlay i got six i got five plus

in there but we do six plus six plus is like plus two thirty five Yeah, that's fun. Now that's the good shit. You want to go six plus? You know what I'm saying? I'm adding it all up right now. This is great. All right.

It's the afternoon with them. All right. I'm going to get another one that actually pivoted because it, I think, goes a little bit with Connors play. Definitely, you know, think back to our roots. When you think about how we look at the same type of game state, you know, I agree. I think that Maury in Hampton is going to struggle around the football. where I think Lamaconki is completely off the injury report, not an injury report on Thursday,

not on the injury report on Friday. The entire tight end room is on IR. QJ couldn't get himself out of a wet paper bag. Lamaconki is going to eat. D. Alford over the middle in the slot is a nice matchup. And look, he's been, even last week, he got ding, he kind of like not feeling well against the Raiders, didn't play a ton,

still in like a solid game relative to, you know, per snap basis. So you got a full game here of Lad, 57 and a half, which is widely available. I think he cooks this. So I haven't projected for, you know, mid-60s. And again, even then, I'm a little conservative with, you know, routes and what I think he's running here just in case. But again, it wasn't even a Friday injury report thing.

I thought we were dealing with that. I'm like, no, I looked. He wasn't even on the injury report yesterday. So we're good. Lad's good to go. No one's really left there. So they're not throwing to the running backs either, which is really bizarre. So it's kind of just the lad show.

I love him kind of cooking over the middle here. Thoughts to that, Connor at all? I like it. My concern was that he was like still injured because he was, he's far and away their best offensive player at this point. They're going to have to throw a bunch. Like I think you mentioned, yeah, like Nico and them have cooked, you know, have cooked this team on secondary.

So yeah, I think they're going to struggle to run, pass the ball a bunch. And yeah, crush. So I think 57 and a half is light. It felt like kind of more of an injury line, you know, like it felt like more of, I agree. Like there's like a five to 10% discount it felt like. Yeah, which makes sense.

What I think it's going to happen here too is I think because the game state is going to get wonky, it's going to force them into more 11 personnel, which is where I think his best matchup advantage comes in the slot there. And again, without the tight ends, I think that's going to force their hand too. So yeah, Lad is kind of like the last good option there. Slop any thoughts on Ladd.

I know he's a charger. I know you're fully out on the chargers. But I hate them. I hate them. Yeah, that's fair. I literally hate them. I hate all of them. But Ladd, I do like for this reason.

Yeah, see, well, just to the cat's out of the bag, I think the bills score like 50 plus in this game. So it's going to have, they're going to have to throw the ball at some point. And, I mean, I don't know, teams have moved the ball on Buffalo. They're not stopping people. You can move the ball. It's just probably want to do it through the air. So, yeah.

Was Mon-Raw kind of baptized them a little bit? Wasn't that? Yeah, Ar-Rod. So, yeah, we're doing. Lat is, I mean, I'm not saying. saying he's the same guy, but you know what I mean? Like it's the same market type. Yeah, totally.

All right. Time out. What about somebody just said, I was going to ask this too. Jason, Gadsden overs. I looked at that and I'm way too scared and I realized he played for the Chargers. So I was out. But I was looking at that. Well, they kind of adjusted already for like some of it.

Right. So like, Colar was fine, right? Is he going to play or is it just Gats? and like he like he was supposed to go on i are and i think they said both were out okay either way they they always say that although he's going to get involved no he's not we got remember we talked about this for years we're gonna find a way to get this guy in the ball it's like yeah you know you could just throw it to him right like you know it's work like it's football if you wanted to get the ball you would just throw it to him so like the idea that you're sitting

up there saying that like you know wow we got we got we got find a way yeah it was it felt like that like that was i don't remember the exact statement but it really felt like that where it's like yeah he's glazing us yeah sorry i just saw one of them been going on irs yeah they're both out for this week but yeah like you're talking about charlie colar and david and joku like you know geriatric david and joku were to playing and starting over this guy like how much do they really like this guy how much they really didn't get him the ball like all of a sudden he's just going in and be like a target wagon like what did they put some other bum blocking tight end and like play over and that's brother's brother's the other right herbert's brothers the other

next tight end up, I think. Like Gadsden, if it gets in the high 30s, I'm going to play an under. I mean, it's just like, he's mid 30s already. I might play an under just out of spite for expecting the third string tight end to just randomly cook. Yeah. I like it, but I think it's the opposite of Lad. I think there's a discount on Ladd because of the perception of him being healthy.

And I think Gadsden's bumped because everyone's like, hey, all the tight ends are hurt. So like, you know, they're working against each other. And I think it makes Ladd a better value than, uh, than Gadsden. I mean, obviously he's pretty electric with the ball in space, but, you know, we got to get him open, catching the ball and running a ton of routes. Like, they just don't want them on the field to block. So in a spot where they're going to have to pass protect a little bit, too, it's a little tricky. I probably lad. The only, yeah, you can play.

Yeah, I kind of agree. All right. I got a couple more. I think you guys just have two, but I can hold off on them. I got one more. I got one more. All right. All right.

All right. All right. Let's go. Let's go. Let's get it. Yeah. And it's an over just for you guys. I got a contribute to the parlay in some ways.

I got one over for this, one over for the parlay that we're kind of still working behind the scenes with swerve on. So I'm not going to mention that one. But the one that I am in a release, I'm going to go Gino Smith over 223 and a half. Passing yards, get the Lions. Yeah, and look at Slops. I was like a proud dad over there.

Yeah. Top of Gino. Detroit, dead last, and defensive EPA, 410 and 248 passing yards, 13 plays of 20 plus yards. They blitzed 50, Like it was in so rich rebar writes like a weekly column his his analogy was hilarious. It was like the defensive coordinator is just like spamming the blitz button because he

doesn't know what else to do literally is just like blitz 50% of the time. I was like nothing else is working. I'm just spamming the button. It's like you know like a kid playing mad basically. And so but gino has been great against the blitz 14 to 19 so far for 170. He had 215 passing yards in a game that they just railed the Titans that was like never really a game. and then 250 against the Packers in the rain.

So I think there's, like, massive upside here. Like, I think this is, like, a game that could shoot out. I think this is a game that Gino could have, like, 300 sneaky if the lines end up putting up on them. So I think the upside here is massive. All right. I like it. Slop?

Even with A.D. Mitchell out. 80 Mitchell's just so made. It doesn't matter. I mean, as long as Gary Wilson's in, Kenyon City. Yeah. I was thinking Garrett Mitchell. Oh, yeah. I combine them.

I was thinking Garrett. I could, I mean, maybe Gino, Gino scares me, and this Lions defense, the numbers against them scares me because of who they played. It was like the bills. So,

you know what I'm saying? They get their balls kicked in by the bill, like a lot of teams do. You know what I mean? And then we don't know how bad they are, I guess is what I'm trying to say. And we don't know if those numbers are actually as bad at, like,

because they did take the bill. Like, it was like, damn, right? And that's one of the two, games and the other game they played they were ahead 21 to nothing and then allow them to come back late it was the saints who the saints did beat the raven so maybe they are you know what i'm saying so there is that but like i don't know but at the same time i'm always with you and anytime you say over i'm just there so i'm i'm going i think we just throwing gno 300 plus in the parlay you know what i mean at least 250 plus yeah yeah Garrett wilson i mean we throw him in yeah i was already looking at

Garrett. Yeah. It's just I already have the plate of century for that time, that, that window, so it made it real tricky for me. We don't know, too, like what, do we care about the narrative there? Because Glenn going back to Detroit. No. Okay.

Well, you didn't care about the weather last week in Chicago. I feel like that kind of, like, no, that's totally fair. In that game, I was like, we got kind of hammered on some weather last week. You know, I was like, I want to add, here's the thing. So now I'm going to come back and ask you, yeah, we are numbers for like weather sometimes it's pouring down rain not our i'll start by saying this not all rain is the same so whenever we look at games like is there a way to find out if it was pouring down rain with like 20-mile wind or was it just like a drizzle in the first quarter and we

counted that game as rain does that make sense like because i agree yeah there were times where i'm like there's no fucking way there's no way they're going to score points in this weather there's no way i know the numbers don't pay it because you look like oh a rain game it's like well wait a minute Does this account for like, are we calling all rain the same? Because it's not. I've been outside and rain. So of you. For sure.

And it was, it was really rainy by the end. But what was crazy was, I'm looking at like four different websites the morning of on Sunday. And it's like barely raining. It's like a light drizzle. And all the websites like, oh yeah,

it's going to be like 0.01 inches per hour. I'm like, yeah, I saw that. And it's like totally fine. It's like this is going to be nothing. This is like the lighter than light. And of course,

1130 rolls around. And it's just like crazy, thick rain. It's like coming down. And it did that for basically half the game. And at that point, I knew that we were in trouble. The first shot of the stadium, bro. Yeah.

It's like, what is this? It's terrible. This is not good. This is not where we want to be at this point. So, I mean, weathermen are just complete hacks. Like, it's kind of embarrassing. We don't have better predictability at this point. I mean, I checked like.

All due respect, Kevin Roth. I love you. But yeah, go ahead. I don't think I love Kevin Roth. But, I mean, he's fine. He doesn't okay, John. Don't listen to him, Kevin. Kevin doesn't listen to this show.

I don't think. But if you haven't, you're the premier fan. All right. So the next question I have, is there a way to get numbers on, like, what type of rain it was? Like, first we got to figure out what type, like, what we call this rain and like, what's the parameters of what's hard and what's not hard. But like, there's got to be a way, right? There's some like weather nerd that's also a football nerd that also, I guess with AI, you don't have to be like. That's, I was going to say, this is a project that we'll dedicate to our assistance.

And we'll have for you next week, Slop. We need that, dude, because I'm telling you, sometimes rain matters. For sure. Even though it doesn't matter, but it does. It's fair. It's fair. Yeah, but I thought, I thought it looked okay. I didn't think that the rain, when the Jets game was going to matter very much,

I don't think it really did. Like, I think Gary Wilson came up short last week because they decided they wanted to feature A.D. Mitchell over and over again. And, like, you got, you know, like, Prime Randy Moss targets, which is kind of crazy. But, you know, it still almost got there. But, yeah, it's true. It's not all the same. Some of its torrential downpour.

Some of it's just drizzle. And, yeah. Yeah. We have some sort of metric of, you know, rain per quarter inch gained or some sort of, you know. Got to be something, dude. It's the way to do it. It's got to do it. It's got to do it.

I got another one. It's a little bit of a hold your nose. Okay. I don't think either you're going to like it very much right. you hear it. Okay, maybe, maybe slop. Connor definitely not interested at all, but I'm going to handicap. And the highest over on the board or what? No, that's it's not that bad.

Okay. Actually, what is it? JSN, I kind of like it, to be honest. I mean JSCC cooks, but I'm not, it's not the play. It's not the play. That's the only thing that I'll be mad about. Okay, anything else. What are you?

It's a little, a little dicey. Plus money. Kendrick Bourne over two and a half receptions. Sorry. Okay, a little revenge action. You're right. I didn't even play the revenge here, but yes, I'll put that in the handicap. It's like plus 1.18.

That's a thing, guys. It really is. These are human beings. That's a thing. Like, they know each other. The quarterback, like, in football there is when there comes quarterback receiver. I'll give you that. You know what I mean?

You can sell me on the revenge piece here for sure. And returning against the Niners. But week one, 77% of the routes, eight balls. Okay. Last week, same thing. 77% of the rounds. outs. He only caught two balls. You know what happened? He got Devin Witherspoon for the entire game, okay, in the slot for Seattle. We already got the Seattle handicap from Connor with the Marcus Marriota stuff. This week is different. It's Upton Stout in the slot for the Niners. Upton Stout. Let me look at my my notes here. Highest snap per reception rate allowed in the slot last year. So just as frequently as he gets targeted. He gets the second highest target rate per. snap. Nick Bose is out. So you're going to have Jacoby Burset's going to have plenty of time.

They have to throw their eight and a half point dogs. Like we already, we already heard so much. There's so much this week about Marvin Harrison, Marvin Harrison. Marvin Harrison. And before came out and just like, yeah, you know what? He probably could use some of like those layup targets, some of those like lower a dot. But that's where Kendrick Bourne works. It's like tough shit, Marv. We already got Kendrick Bourne in that role and we don't need you for it. So just we're going to keep sending Marv to do his thing. And we're going to give Kendrick Bourne as little three to five yard A dots. And again, two weeks ago, it ended up with eight catches.

Last week, it was only two. But again, way different tasks this week without Devin Witherspoon. So again, this is plus money. Plus 118 on draftings, 117 on Builder. Love it. Again, they're an half point dogs. They have to throw a tonne slot. I get you a little bit.

Yeah, you're right. So I did hold my notes when I first heard it, but it did grow up. It's kind of like Old Town Road. Do you remember that song? That song, I fucking hated that song when it first came out. But after a while, I was like, yeah, I was kind of singing along. So there was that You take a catcher

Yeah Down the Old Town Road What's that? I won't put it on Like purposely But if it came on I wouldn't turn it Like I just let it

Go through You don't need One of those songs But yeah Three balls Plus money Three balls That's what I say

It's three catches For a team that's Not a lot of catches Dude Not a lot of catches Again he's on the field The whole time 77% of the routes

Back to Back Weeks Yeah, not a lot of catches. And those videos of Marvin Harrison running routes last week was just like, holy shit, that's, it's so bad, dude. Like, it was, like, to get no separation, whatever. Like, it was like, he literally looked like, like, he was, like, connected to the defender. It was like, this is, like that. He's terrible. Like, he's, like, dropable in fantasy.

Yeah. Like, literally. Like, you shouldn't even have them, dude, on your team. Like, if you do, like, you're probably suck at fantasy. but yeah so the ball's gonna have to go somewhere i like it the wilson guy obviously but at the same time it's it's not one guy you know what i mean like yeah three balls it's crazy for plus money plus money car i warm me up a little bit you did honestly well because so it felt like kind of like the cleave raymond play last week which hit right like you were like i like clef raymond over and i was like you know

you can i don't have any reason to disagree with you i just don't know if that guy's any good or whatever you know but there's some of the similar narratives of like the coaching you know kendrick bourne type of thing that exists as well as like the caliph ravenan stuff and but the bigger factor is that Marvin harrison jr sucks. Michael Wilson is fine. You know, he's he can do what he does. And then McBride is there and they're going to throw the ball on. So like I don't hate it. It's just never player. I would bet an over on, but I don't, I don't hate it. Yeah. Just like I actually like Andrew Bourne. When he was a Patriot, I was excited that we finally got him. I liked him. I thought it was good for us and they let him go. But like just that good like wide receiver three on a team. That's what he is here. But this wide, this team uses wide receiver three at a pretty high clip. And again,

LaFleur had bored before. So there's a little bit of that similar thing with Raymond. right where it's like the coach is comfortable with this player and like this is his role this is how I envision this player in my team and sorry Marv sorry Luther Burden but like it's just this is kind of how this works right now two years ago Kendrick Bourne actually burned me it was the Patriots Bears game and I bet Kendrick Bourne under two and a half receptions because he uh like they said they're going to use more of like whatever that one jalen Polk or like whatever the other guys and I'm like oh this is going to be money you know there's like a last minute report you get there but he doesn't of his helmet on the sideline the entire time does not play a single snap so like handicapped could

not have been better like just literally i see him jumping up and down on the sidelines being a good sport so good dude obviously not even playing but uh does not respect coin all they to do is get out there one snap and i win my bet uh did not play so that sucked and he was like playing 50 60 percent of the snaps before so that's up i had the opposite story i think it was a thursday night game last year i think against the Rams. Mac Jones was with him. I think I took his over receptions because I was like, dude, Mac Jones is going to force feed him, like the shower, the whole shower narrative. Yeah, shower narrative, of course.

And he did. It was, Kedrick Porn had like a freaking career. I'm pretty sure it was a Thursday. I'm pretty sure it was at bowling, blacked out responsibly, responsibly. I think it was a Rams game. He had like, about like nine balls. I'm pretty sure it was the Rams. I'm pretty sure it was Thursday night.

if we have a fat guy that can check that. You ever get blackout of bowling and end up in Western Mass? No, Western Mass is way too far. But, yeah, everything else could happen, definitely. It just happened last night. So same thing. Interesting. Same premise.

All right, I'm going to give you a couple of uncorrelates. See if you guys think about these uncorrelates for the people. You know, a couple that are more traditional. Jalen Newell, every time you look, look at you look up some jalen o'all stuff he gets some coach speak stuff he gets like cj stroud gets a mic he wants to tell you about how he and jalen noel are like jellin and like all the coaches don't seem to really care they don't put the guy in the field very much so uh but pretty explosive when he's out there under two and a half 40 plus uh it's like 13 to one on fandal for jelan noel so basically you know catch two balls for 45 yards you're cooking this one's a little thinner but we've hit these before um i don't expect to whole lot of passing going on in Kansas City. They should handle that one pretty comfortably. Connor and I already got down on some Emmett Johnson stuff this morning.

I wanted to talk to Emmett Johnson today. Okay. Yeah, we were going to try to hold it for the show, and then it kind of looked like it was not going to happen. And then we pushed it out, so I'm sure it got cooked. I haven't even looked at it since. But Tyquan Thornton, under one and a half receptions. So one catch for 30 plus.

Because ADOT's 22 yards. It's got to not fall down right away. catch that one ball 11-1. Done it before. We've hit, you know, God, who was in the playoffs, Baltimore a couple years ago. It's under one and a half. No, it was someone else, like Tess Walker or something like that.

Yeah, ridiculous. Same thing, yeah, under one and a half, 30 plus, 11-1. Love it. And then, Connor, you teased it a little bit, for the people, the top shelf people. JSN, it's a big number. J-Sund under six and a half balls, 125 plus

23 to 1 what dude I guarantee you yes let's look at JSN I bet he's done this five times the last two years I guess I like that

all those plays too have like lower volume expectations of like teams that can blow them out so like they're going to have a couple of big plays and they're just not going to have like I don't expect past attempts to be heavy in any of those games yeah that's kind of it too right i just don't expect big volume from json necessarily but i expect pretty efficient jason yeah i mean i don't mind i love the null one the null one is great

because i think that and one of the plays that i was going to say was like david montgomery rushing yards or attempts or anything there like they might just they're just going to jam the run i think like 30 times like they didn't week one and so that's perfect for nol because then he's only going to get two or three targets json game logs yeah that's what we need we just need we just need a little bit we just need a few targets we know they're going to be explosive let's see jason oh looks like a lot of the big big games you did get i mean you caught eight balls so often last year that's a tough part with that guy um look we're it's 23 to 1 though yeah just so you dial it back a little bit if you don't want to go all the way up to 125 but uh i thought that

that was a little bit, a little hot. If he, you know, you're going to get a lot of Mike. I like Mike Sanders still. That guy's got to be in the slot. They keep putting him on the outside. He does not have a chance to slow down JSN here. So that's what I got. Slop, what do you got on Emma Johnson?

You want to expand on? I like his rushing total. It looks like 25, 24. And I think it's 25 plus or something like that. I'm not sure what it is right now. But I think he gets a few. I think they're going to beat the crap out of the dolphins. I mean, the dolphins aren't,

They didn't look that bad against the run last week. I mean, from what I saw, I didn't watch all that game. So there's that. But the first week, I mean, I think Genti went for a hundo against them. But it took like 20-something carries. So it's not like they're getting gas left and right. But I think KC is just a different animal running the ball. They can just relate.

I think they can run anybody. And I would be shocked if like he's around the second half of like a straight up beating. You know what I mean? Like what if, what if our Kent Walker, I'm sorry. That's what I meant by he. But Kenneth Walker being run into the ground against the dolphins, if the chiefs happen to be up by three scores. You know what I mean?

Like, I think Emmett Johnson's going to get a few carries. And I don't know if you guys have seen him, but me, kind of looks like Tyree Kill a little bit out there. I mean, he is freaking fast. So, yeah. There's some great coach speak on it, too,

that we pushed out from Noonan and Swerve. Basically, they said, Reed's quote on Monday. I think Emmett will continue to get more snaps. We'll take a little bit, a load off. Kenny, Murray, their running back coach said, Emmett's in a great job. He's getting reps. He'll continue to get more opportunities. I got to pull the trigger and get number nine out of there and put number 10 in there.

So again, there's already some coach speak there like game, like normal game, like not a blowout. Like I think that Emmett probably gets close to that number, it gets over. But I mean, the Dolphins are one of the worst teams in the last couple of years. I've ever seen maybe. Name a worst one. I said this before the top of your head. They're the worst on-paper team in the last couple of years. Yeah, I don't remember a team that's worse than this one. Like when you're looking, they literally, go ahead.

Like Browns. Orlovsky Lions. The Lions. I'll go back and look at Ross. I would just think about the other day, I was like just sitting there and saying, I don't know who's worse than the Dolphins like ever. They suck. Like I have no.

All right. So I don't like, I don't want to jinx myself, but I don't even believe in that anyways. I took the chiefs survive. there's no chance they lose that game. There's zero percent chance. I don't care. They're home. No way.

Like, no way. My first bet of the off season was under four and a half wins. I mean, the coaching sucks. Malik Willis has eight, he has fewer designs than Kurt Cousins on the season. That's crazy. How is it even possible?

Yeah. A. Chan, that running back is, I think he's legit. Like, that's a good player. Yeah. If he were to get hurt,

I honestly did that would be the worst team in the history. of any football, like, peewee, whatever. Like, I think these are the cops we're running up against. Like, it's like the mid-2010s, like Browns and Jets teams. That's basically what I think we're looking at. With that Lions team that lost every game. I think they might have been better than this team. Wow.

Like, I would like that. We need somebody to handicap that and give us a line. I think the Lions, that team that didn't win a game, I think they would be favored over this Dolphins team. the the the Justin fields jets were were quite bad they at least had a guy that could run and get something like malik well they don't even run him like they like we were watching last week it's like dude like what are they doing like what even is this yeah it's it's pretty i mean yeah that's what happens when you're throwing to Caleb Douglas Chris Bell and like Greg Dolsich like I like

love like Caleb Douglas but i mean this is a joke he should be like a wide receiver three or four on the team he's their they're alpha you know yeah he's the guy, dude. It's so, and Malik Willis, I mean, I don't, I mean, dude, he's not, sorry, Malik, but he's not an NFL quarterback, dude. Like, that's not, like, you can't sell me. How do you sell your season ticket holders on Malik? Well, that's our quarterback, dude? Like, we went and got Malik Willis. It's because he had two good games against on the Packers with, like, awesome coaching, awesome offensive line, good weapons in like, on 25 pass attempts where they jam the run and were super efficient. So he never got pressure. Like, and guys were wide.

open. That's like that's not like there's yeah you couldn't find like an elementary school kid that would have thought that was a good idea you know like you can't anybody know like the most naive like this isn't a Disney movie dude. They can't just throw anybody back there and like here we go like it's not this is terrible. So yeah so I think the chiefs are going to dominate those guys like bad like really bad like they their offense is set up to to to get you anyway you know any way they can't And if their defense is not that bad, that game against the Colts, the Colts, I think their offense is pretty good. Like, I think that that's not a bad team, like, at all. So, like, there's no shame in gear.

They did give up a 30-burger. So there is that. But at the same time, I mean, I don't think you, you know, call that defense total trash just because that happened. I want to see him against the Dolphins. Like, good luck, dolphins. I know the Dolphins won't drop 30 on them. I agree. The Shane Stike in play calling is probably a little different than the ball.

lobby slow and stuff. Yeah, a little bit. A little bit. So, yeah, I'm in on, you know, I played some Emmett 30 plus. I played over five and a half attempts with the coach speak stuff. Like, I mean, the game, first game against Denver, Emmett had three carries in the first half. It's like the game wasn't even out of hand yet. He had three first half carries.

He had five very late in that game. We had eight in that first game. And so, you know, coach speak on both sides. When it's coming for both the running back coach, which I did not know, to Marker Murray was the, yeah, that's awesome. I didn't know that either. Just to feel old. But then Andy Reid, too, also just saying, like, yeah, we're going to get more, more touches.

And, like, they're going to need Kenneth Walker. You're not, you can't be jamming him 25 times in Miami. No, not in the Dolphins game. Yeah. Also, too, is this a live play? Do we want to monitor this live once you get to scores? Look, because I'll be honest with you. outsmarting the books like that,

you're not outsmarting the books. There's been times where I've seen the numbers go up and you're like, ah, that sucks. You know what I mean? Like it's not early on, you know, 2,022 anymore, like where you could just do shit like that. Sometimes. Where like the backup running backs whines going down the whole time

whenever the other team's boat racing them. It's like, that's not. So you got to watch out doing that. You might outsmart yourself and not even get a number you can play. Yeah. Yeah, they've messed up the quorum numbers, swerve and some of our group chats and discords were on that. So like the quorum, he never starts, but he plays the second drive.

So you get like quorum first quarter props or whatever if they are going to get the ball back. Yeah, the M-N-1 is like maybe you can take him live over after their first drive or second drive or something like that. Because he's not going to play the first probably two drives. So but after that, I would expect him to be mixed in. If they were to score twice, that's all I'm trying to say you need certain things. Like let's say they score twice and he didn't see the field. I want to see what his number would be because I don't know that they mess them up that bad anymore.

We'll see. That'll be our homework for the game. What was his number when he first came into the game? When the chips are down and we put in a shitty parlay, mostly because of me, we go all in. 20 bucks to win 100K. We got eight legs,

KC, five receptions, Tet 80 plus yards. Noon and I really love. Um, Coaker coverage. Coker, I think is my play, but it's going to be maybe a decoy. Bryce has been chucking it downfield. Um, PROE, like their password of expectations high.

Anyways, love Tet 80 yards for him. So nothing crazy. Frymanuth 50, Andrew 6, receptions. McConkey 80, Gino 250 only. Kendrick Bourne, four. And then Emmett Johnson carrying his home, 40 plus rushing yards, uh, in garbage time. I mean, this is hitting. This is, I just like that's it.

20 to win 100 and 1,000. It's pretty good. I mean, it's the easiest 100K I think I've ever seen. Oh, yeah. I mean, limping ain't pimping, guys. Yeah, you got to go in there. Did you see what Jeff just said about, yeah. I mean, that's Jeff right there.

I don't even know if that's an insult. Look, I haven't worn it on the show all year, you know. Looks like an observation. It's a good shirt. I don't know what to tell you, Jeff. This is a good shirt, you know. Yeah. No, I like it.

Thank you. Steve, Steve loved your shirt. Yeah, that's right. Boy, you're telling me that my, my shirt looked like it was like a rag or something like that. Steve's not in with the streetwear. He's another East Coast elitist like you guys,

you know, dressed is all nice. Yeah, it happens. You know, the little streetwear. It's a new shirt, actually, to be honest. It's hilarious because it does kind of look like a little raggedy, but it's, you know, the vibe apparently for the kids. Yeah, no, my... That's how they roll, man.

I don't know if I can pull that off. No. You never know. I don't know. My kids make fun of me no matter what I wear, even if I'm looking, if I'm dressed up or not, like, you're always going to get something. So you're always going to keep your head on swivel around here.

Yeah. Yeah, so we needed Jeff earlier to find out where Watson might have gone last week to get himself, you know, get the pipes clean before that game since he was, you know, play his best ball. Obviously, wherever he went, Jeff is intimately familiar with, for sure. We can put Jeff on the lesbian, Bar in Massachusetts. Someone had a great comment.

Someone had a great comment saying, lesbian bars sound so much better than they really are in life. And that is so, like, nail meat the head. It's right there. Bang. Oh, man. All right. That's so good.

It's a good cap of the show right there. Probably off the rails again. Yep. It's good. All right. Slop, what do people need to find from you this week? What do we need to do? All right.

So we're doing fantasy tiers again. Okay. I had a lot of fun doing that. I'm going to enter multiple times, though. I know I said I was a single bullet guy. I am, but there was a couple kids. I think they're kids. They won like three different entries, dude.

So I can't have that happening in my contest. So it's the splash, fantasy tears contest. 20K guaranteed, all right? Guaranteed, right? 25 to enter, nothing crazy, but $20,000. guaranteed. We do pay the top 100 people, though. So you're not getting 20K if you win. There is that. But winner gets 2,500. The next guy gets 2 grand. Next time, $1,500. You know what I'm saying? So it's like you are getting a little cake, especially because my volume has been down this season, like big time.

So this is a great way to get more action because last week I was like, cool, I'm watching all these games because I have all these guys on my fantasy squad. So it did feel good. So I think I'm in a good place. I can keep cranking out, plays of the century left and right, and then at the same time, get a little extra action over at Splash. So go to Splash, homepage, just scroll down. You'll see my face right there, fancy tears. And use code slop if you're not signed up.

So I'll give you 50 bucks, well, up to 50 bucks on a 50% deposit match. And slop on YouTube as well? Yeah, just slop everywhere. Just, yeah, put code sloping. that you anywhere like grocery stores wherever you get like you you'll probably get something yeah it's a good it's a good deal all right head over to sharp stack or four four dot com slash plans check out sharp stack again free seven day trial promo code td3 nine dollars for the month to get all the pick stuff so all the official plays that connor and i do uh you know these plays go out to subscribers a little bit

sooner this is why if you're watching live sometimes the numbers are already baked out because hopefully our subscribers are taking advantage and uh taking those numbers first so again hit the subscribe and like before you take off i appreciate everyone as always for connor is lot from ryan we'll see you all next time thank you