Move The Line - Best NFL Week 4 Player Prop Bets

Episode Date: October 2, 2026

Ryan Noonan and Connor Allen welcome John Hyslop back to Move The Line for a full breakdown of the NFL Week 4 player prop market. The trio discusses their favorite passing, rushing, and receiving props across the slate, using projections, matchup data, and Prop Drops to identify the numbers and prices that stand out before kickoff.Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package or try SharpStack free for 7 days: https://www.4for4.com/plansWatch Move The Line on YouTube: https://4for4.co/3OupraJJoin the Discord: http://discord.gg/4for4Follow the show: https://x.com/MoveTheLineNFLConnor: https://x.com/ConnorAllenNFL | Ryan: https://x.com/RyNoonan | John: http://x.com/sloprules  Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Hello and welcome. Move a line. Drop show presented by Sharpstack. Week four. Ryan Noon and Connor Allen. John High Slop. Ready to keep it rolling. Slop, what's going on, maybe?

I'm flipping the dream. It just gets better, French. What's that? How are we feeling today? You know, it feels like a new day. It feels like a new day. I'm getting chirped at every week. My plays have been just completely in the shitter.

And you know what? I don't care. You know why I don't care? because we've been doing this shit for six years. I'm a winner for six years. Three weeks, that happens. You know what? I don't care.

So, you know what? We're going to make our money back and we're going to end them some. So not worried about it at all. If you're worried, you know, the door is very easily found. So don't care. Let's do it.

I like it. Scared by a dog, he said. Basically. I like it. All right. Slav, I was bowling. I was want to know how bowling was. Oh, I did terrible.

I'm working on some stuff. I'm trying to keep a handicap this year because it's a handicapped league. And you don't want to show up to the playoffs and no handicap. That makes sense that that bowling would be handicapped. I never thought that it would be. But that makes sense. Yeah, no, you have to. Last try I had no handicap, like zero.

And we had a tough time in the playoffs. This year, maybe I have a handicap. You know what I'm going to work on some stuff all year long. Some people called Sandbagging. I do not. I call I'm working on some stuff on my first off. I'm not getting as many strikes anymore because you're working on stuff. You know what I mean?

Sure, sure. Sure. Yeah. So, yeah, so hopefully that ends well. But that'll be in April. You know, so we got time. We have time. Yeah.

Now it's just time to drink some beers and bet on some football while you're at home. You know, you don't think about the playoffs yet. Yeah, you don't strike me as like a vanity index, vanity handicap guy, right? You're not, you know, trying to be anyone you're not. Brennan, that's not nice, bro. I can see the comments, Brennan. That's not nice.

In bowling, I had no handicap, zero. Literally, you look up with the screen, it says, Slop's handy, it says literally zero right next to my. So it's like, I get nothing. No all in welfare for me. No. So, you know, handicaps big in golf space, too. And, you know, definitely have a,

a combination of friends that I golf with that both have some vanity handicaps in there. So guys, you know, want to tell you that they're a single digit. You're not a single digit. Yeah, there's no. And then the opposite, like, hey, you routinely shoot like the high 70s. Why are you an 11 and a half? They're just trying to, you know, stuff extra, extra shots. So yeah, Tommy, I didn't know either bowling handicap.

That does make sense, though. Yeah, it's based off a 210 average, I think. So do the math. Yeah. I had a fat handicap when I was. in a bowling league, it was like, I don't even know, it was a lot. And it would piss everyone off because occasionally, you know, I'd be pretty, like, randomly good. You know, you pop off for like a, well, it would pop off from me.

It would be like, you know, a 160, 170 game. And they'd be like, how are you getting in another 50 pins? You know, like this shouldn't be happening. And so the people who had, you know, probably the slops of the world, their own shirts, their own balls, their own shoes. I don't wear a shirt on there. They were not happy. Yeah, yeah.

I mean, shirtless would be better. Maybe not with those people that I was seeing, but, you know, it would be probably more comfortable. So, yeah, they weren't happy. They thought, they called sandbaggers. Yeah, that's a very negative term.

It's a tough term. They only be called the sandbaggers. Yeah, I mean, I'm just here trying to have a good time. Like, you know, God forbid some athleticism shows up again after, you know, 15 years of drinking my sorrows away. I mean, Jesus, you know, well.

Just comes out sometimes. Yeah, it's tough, dude. Yeah, that's, happened to us last night the guy and the other team was like just dominating. His handicap was probably 100 and like, you know what I'm saying? And he's like dropping 190s on us. There's not a lot you can do about that. But I'll be ready this year though because this year in the class, I'll have like 30 plus

10. So again, they're saying that that's a scumbag move. But just playing the game, boys. Just playing the game. Yeah. Me. You didn't just deal with the cards for your delts, you know? You got to play the game.

That's it. Just work on some stuff. Love to see it. Oh, Patrick's getting some strange. Oh, yeah, Patrick. Let's slow, let's slow down, Patrick. Hey, it's Friday, baby. Only eight minutes in the show, four minutes of the show.

It's fine, dude. Nice work, Patrick. Yeah. Slav, I want to ask you this, too. You're a man of a certain age, similar to myself. Men at a certain age have to, not have to, but I'll often get a, you know, a test that, you know, typically around 45 or so. I have that coming up this weekend. Is that something that you've partaken in?

You're talking butt stuff? Yeah. I'm good for 10 years. This was probably four or five years ago maybe. Yeah, you got to drink a drink. It is so gross. I hope you schedule it in the morning, right? I got it at 8 a.m. tomorrow morning.

Yeah, perfect. Okay. So that's good. They're going to put you to sleep. and then you just wake up and hopefully they give you the good news but uh then you got to go something to eat but yeah the the drink is disgusting you're not allowed to eat uh anything after you drink and which is great like you got like literally clean the pipes and it's um it's tough it's tough but like i said you get through it and hopefully they tell you that you don't think of

10 years that's the plan i'm getting the double dip i telling conner earlier like i'm getting the endoscopy too so while I'm out they're coming this way and the back end so it really just you know Front and back door Relating you all I'm out 405th that's great Covering all the doors

Yeah just you know If there's a There's a hole they're exploring it To see what's in there You know you never know what you're going to find I'm gonna be out Hopefully I find nothing but yeah Brennan said he drank it for fun

man that shit is So gross dude Like you drink it's like this is gross And you know it's like man I know what this is meant like four you know what I know what they want to happen here because it feels like it's about to happen and you go in there and man just you destroy the plumbing in your bathroom I would definitely be at home though don't like go I'm not going to drink and do not leave like just hang out

by the bathroom like it does not take long yeah yeah it's it's tough man yeah but um yeah just that should be in the time I'm looking forward to it you know just had some broth for lunch I'll be honest, you get the best sleep ever during it because, like, again, they put the mask on and you're just like gone out. And then you wake up, dude, whatever you do, do not be like, oh, I'm good to your wife. Just like, I don't feel so great. I'm just going to lay it. Like, milk it, dude. Do you know what I'm saying?

Like, try and do it. Like, just doing it tomorrow on a Saturday? Yeah. That's perfect. Yeah, college football all day. So just sit on the couch. The doctor's going to tell you not to do anything. You can't really do anything, but whatever you do, do not say you're feeling better.

You can probably get through Sunday with this thing. You know what I'm saying? Dude, they just were playing in your butt, dude. Like, get two days out of that. You know what I'm saying? So, yeah. So that's the best I get you. Get Saturday and Sunday on the couch being waited on.

I don't think you're allowed to drink beers. I did, but I don't think you're supposed to. So I'd probably not do that. But maybe Sunday, maybe grab it like for the four o'clock. You know what I mean? Just grab a little bit of time. Give it a little bit of time. Yeah.

My wife's not thrilled that I used kind of my one day off for this schedule. I'm like, what am I supposed to do? Take time off? That's so them, dude. It's like, dude, you have to go for medical procedure. Like, come on. Like, think about someone else for a change. Come on.

You know what I mean? Think I would be selfish? Yeah. We're going to take it on a Monday? Like, I'm trying to live longer for the family. Oh. Oh, Patrick's in town. Sorry, Patrick.

I'll be in Schaumburg for the procedure if you want to swing by. But, you know, Patrick is going to be right here in A.H. for the weekends. Jeff in the chat, giving Connor some body blows here. Just just classic, classic Jeff. Connor looks like a man of a certain age that has got this task. Connor is a long, long way away from being, you know, required. Yeah, I got a little bit of time, hopefully. but it's i'll be in for my second by the time connor's in for the first so by the way jeff was the only person

to back up well actually one of like 10 people to back up our buddy digs uh in the comments he said i stand with digs which i loved jeff you know i appreciate that there was actually a lot of people there was just like four or five people just like gargling his balls like literally just like well how much do you bet well you know look at how sharp he is you know it was it was crazy i was just like all right well, have you even met this guy? Like, do you even know him? You know, it was, it was wild. But I did like that he replied and started, like, actually giving us feedback.

And I was like, you know, this is like a real discourse. Like, you want to actually tell us like why we're wrong? Great, do it. Like, that's fine. But just coming in and being like, well, you're stupid because you're stupid. You know, like, that's, that's his MO. And I just think that's, like, embarrassing. It's pretty, pretty sad.

Yeah, nice. I don't know what happened. we can get it another time it's it's it's too long of a story nice work jeff yeah but either way jeff congrats just an aggressive twitter troll podcast uh comment section troll that's uh likes to chirp and you know apparently uh can't take any feedback himself either so we appreciate to listen that again

that's generally that's the MO of the chirper though for sure that's how it says yeah like and subscribe that's all that's all i know um all right let's get into it um we're gonna win to share the sharp stack screen today uh so you guys can see this in live in real time you get four four four dot com uh slash plans you want to get sharp stack free seven day trial again you can see obviously a uh incredible odds board which you'll see pop in here as we release some of these plays uh obviously top down evi tool arbitrage middles sharp money tool is really cool where you can see where, like, you know, big money is coming in on the, on the exchanges and get a sense of maybe some slow-moving domestics,

futures, all the calculators, all the stuff you can get that you want to check out. So head over to Sharpstack, free seven-day trial. TD3 gets you a $9 first month using that promo code. More information there in the show notes. Hit us up if you have any specific questions. But Connor, we'll give you the floor. Let you get started with week four, first bet. Feel a winner coming on.

Yeah, first bet is actually going to be, and you know what, I didn't even tag you in it. It's going to be a joint play. Let's go with. Yeah. So we're going to go with a joint play here live on the screen of Tyler Warren over 48 and a half receiving yards. We are seeing this here in a variety of spots, pretty widely available. As you can see here on the odds screen, you know, 48 and a half everywhere. Builders fine to 51 and a half.

That's where, you know, a lot of people are playing it. But Washington defense, just one of the worst in the league right now, especially against tight ends, 14 catches for 20 yards and five touchdowns on 20 targets, 10.1 yards per target. Goddard went 4 for 77. Jake Ferguson went 4 for 43. AJ Barner, 5 for 69. Washington will also be without Nick Cross.

And I think Warren, who's mostly honestly had like a lot of underneath targets so far this season, kind of starts to open it up a little bit more here in this matchup. I mean, they played a really tough schedule. It was like Houston and Baltimore and a lot of. a lot of tough teams. So I think that in this spot here, we're going to get a drastic kind of movement here for Tyler Warren and this Colts offense push the ball a little bit further down field. So I'm excited for them. I think that we see Warren go for, you know, 75 plus here in a good spot. Also, Keenan Allen, limited practice, limited practice, estimated DNP today, early game in

London on Sunday. I think he probably plays, but, you know, he's a vet. Like he's just, maybe just sitting it out and working through it. but I think either way, we kind of leaned over on Warren. If we get even like a limited Keenan Allen, I think that narrows the target tree even further from the downs, Warren, uh, Keenan Allen to probably just mostly downs and Warren.

Yeah, I was back and forth on the, uh, on Downs and Warren and Connor was definitely making some strong cases for the Keenan Allen stuff. But then as soon as we get him limited, I think that makes us a little bit cleaner. And then,

you know, I just feel like Warren should be a guy that should probably be on the other side of 50 in kind of a neutral matchup. And I think Connor did a good job. Blaine out that this is better than a neutral matchup. You can see that popping on the screen now as that moves. Slop any thoughts on Tyler Warren. I know you've been a big tight-in guy since probably at least like 93-94.

Yeah, I'd say junior high, but yeah, that's around there. Yeah, see, I released a, I think it was a two-leggar, maybe a three-legged. It had Daniel Jones, so you're going to do his passing yards. Now you're going to tie in Josh Downs to go 40 plus, and you're going to tie in Tyler Warren to go four plus receptions. That got you, I believe, with a boost, like plus 160, 170, somewhere in there. Dude, that feels, so basically you're taking Daniel Jones to throw for 200 yards. I definitely watered it a little bit on his end, but Washington's defense, like, they're not that bad against the run.

Like they're okay. You know what I mean? So what if they can't run with Taylor? They're going to throw all over them. Like everybody has just demolished them so far that they've seen. Everybody. Like, didn't Donald just get them? Yeah, Donald got a lot of week.

Yeah, he threw for a bunch of yards last week. Yeah. Yeah, I mean, that was, and that wasn't that trailing of a game script, right? Like, I think it kind of went back and forth. I think Washington did have the lead most of the time. But, like, it wasn't like a, you know, a sell. out and pass type of thing, but you could just throw on them. So, yeah, I mean, I love this.

I'm all in. Let's go. It's not very often we get a, and I love this on my play from Slop. So, but we did get, no, you know what? Actually, last week we got, and I love this on Gino. And Gino, like, went 100 yards over his prop. So good looks, good looks. We got another joint play later that I think Slop's going to like less.

Yeah, but this one, this one I think he, uh, I thought he might. might get down on this one. All right, nice. I don't know if you guys saw, like, I'm going to call the timeout real quick, but I'm going to forget to say this, but the uncorrelated with Debo last week, zero receptions, 80 yards receiving. I mean, all time. Might be the best uncoilates that line ever. Yeah, I tweeted out.

I tagged you in it. I couldn't even process what that would actually have been priced at. Yeah, like when I said. saw it happen and it was like huh like i don't think that's a reception but i do think that's passing you i had to wait and then by then you had already tagged me unbelievable i saw it on like a highlight afterwards i was like wow that's that's insane yeah yeah i'm going to go play at a century first uh sometimes you want to just lead with it don't don't bear this thing it's true we're going to go and i know everyone's going to hate this and it's fine but when it's

it happened you're like oh my god that bald mother nose ball and that's you know what I'm saying that's the first thing you're going to think to yourself like wow malik neighbors five plus receptions is legitimately minus 114 right now i believe that bandle what in god's name are we doing like why why like how How would that happen? Because, all right, walk with me here. James sucks. All right. We've all seen it.

But the first, when he first came into the Rams, he had no idea he was about to play. Like, no clue. And it must take him a little longer to get going to process that he's playing. Like he was probably played a quarter and a half before he even realized that he was playing. You know what I mean? Because he's just, he's that guy.

So that game doesn't even count as bad as he lived. That doesn't even count. Also, two, neighbors. that game, you got hurt. What do you want him to do? They had him out there running, running roots he was a decoy. The whole thing was obvious he was a decoy. They weren't, they weren't going to throw the ball to him. Now he comes back next week. It's the Titans. It's rainy, windy. You can't have James in the wind and the rain at the same time. That's not going to go well. You know what I mean? So that's it work. They still won the game. And the Titans defense,

I'm not ready to say that they suck. You know, I don't think they're like this, you know, the 85 bears or anything, but I don't think they're that bad. I just think, yeah, whatever. He caught five balls, whatever. But again, horrible weather conditions. There's no chance they win in this thinking he's going to throw the ball. This week, they got the Cardinals. The Cardinals have been demolished by wide receiver ones.

One of them was JSN. Okay, you don't know what I mean? Like it's JSN. He would like nine for 155 and three touchdowns. That's that's JSN though. The other one was Ladd-McConkey with whatever that offense is in Los Angeles. I almost call him San Diego. They should go out to San Diego at this point with that offense.

But, yeah, it was bad. So, like, he still got his five and 70-something. Last week, if you're going to say, all right, well, they didn't do it last week. Mike Evans was killing him before he got hurt. He got hurt right before half times. He only played a half. He had targeted six times. Caught three balls, went 34 yards of touchdown.

How was Malik neighbors? not going to get five inch these guys. Like the Cardinals are going to, they're going to score points. I don't know how many they're going to score. They're going to score some. It's going to move around. James can throw the ball. What if they decide, hey, you know what, JJ, you come in. You don't think, you don't think Malik Neighbors is literally the target. I mean, it's him or Isaiah likely. And it's five catches. If it was six, I'd like, yeah, I don't know, but five. That's it. No way, dude. I think he has a big game. I'll be honest. I'll say seven or eight catches. But five at minus 114, that's free. Because one's going to be a screen.

We're getting a screen. I already thought about it. It's really only needs four real catches. True. Okay. Easy game. Are you at all worried that he's just like not healthy? No, not at all. I don't think he would even be out there if he was. And also too, watching him come back after that shoulder thing kind of tells you that maybe he is fine. Because he was like bubble wrap like we are if something was wrong with him i don't think he would have came back in in the rams game at all just because like you know why why would you why or what you know i mean you ever disliked your shoulders before slop that hurts man it's it's not super uh comfortable but what's tough and i think it looked like it was like popped out but it like stayed out for a second so they had to kind of rotate

it back into place but like when you do that it's just like anytime you raise your arms above your head and you kind of get hit like it's just really easy to come out again as someone who's done this a lot so i i think that them playing again is awesome like that's like amazing i mean plus there's also like raps and things you can do to like keep your arm secured you just can't like you couldn't like go obj with his whatever arm was like you know yeah there and otherwise that that shit's going to come right back out so i mean he he just played last week later he just played yeah he only got targeted six times, caught five balls, 26 yards. I love that for receptions. I absolutely love it because that means he's close to the line scrimmage. We're not asking James to hit him deep.

Send the other guy, Mooney. Send whoever. He's one of those guys way out there. Let's keep Malik close to the line scrimmage. Get him his reception. Like I think it's going to be fine. The only thing I'm kind of nervous about a scataboo, what if he is able to just run? Because It's like I would imagine you wouldn't want James throwing the ball if you're the Giants. So there is that, but I don't know. I don't think so. I think we're fine. I think five catches way too low for neighbors.

Yeah, you can see this decent price still on Cal Shee limited availability, $750 or so, which is nice. You can see this on Sharpe stack. You can see the liquidity on the prediction market piece. But Slop is moving this a little bit in the domestic place. places that's already kind of cooking out. My bad, it's not 114. It started at 114 at

Fandall. Sorry, I had my screen up in the background. You get 125 at NoVey. Yeah. A couple hundred bucks on that. I hate that. I actually think Scataboo is going to be involved in the passing game, too. Pretty spike in the routes and targets last week, too.

My body won't allow me to bet on a running back receiving line, but over two and a half. money yeah i don't hate it at all to be honest but yeah i can't do it either ryan yeah i think it's neighbors man i really do also too what do we think james i mean he actually used to play in like a normal weather game that he knows he's going to start in that the whole week beforehand like i think he might not be that bad like like one step above like completely shit it's been a rough start i mean i don't want to write him off yet like after

one and a half starts, but his arms looked like he had a noodle arm, you know, I think it... It looked bad, but... Yeah. A hundred, a buck 75. He can't throw for a buck 75? I don't know. I think that's easy.

I think he can throw for, like, I mean, I don't even think 200's out of the question. It just might take him 35 attempts. Yeah. It's a big yak, you know, neighbors, scatiboo, yeah, yak, and pushes him up. Probably your best bet.

It's five catches. I'm telling you, once we watch this game, he'd be like, God damn, that was so easy. It was so easy. It's like Deshawn last night. My buddy was like, you took Deshaun 200 plus passing yards? Well, I looked at him at halftime and said, don't you ever say some shit like that to me? Ever, ever, ever. All right, brother.

He was like right there already. I was like, come on, guys. It's 200 yards. Yeah. That is too easy, you know? I think I love this one to play this game from behind, too. Will you imagine they play this from behind? And neighbors, it's five.

They're dogs. They're home dogs. You can't believe I got five receptions for, like, that's literally their only option. Yeah. Was it two and a half now? I mean, they're home dogs. I mean, they're home dogs. I think it's moving towards them, though.

So like, people are jumping on them. Yeah, it moved towards the Cardinal. There I think they're that bad. I mean, it's gone between three and two and a half, it looks like. And then I guess, yeah, it got up to three from one. one for at Circa for a minute and then now it's back to two and a half so that's where the resistance was I guess looks like this one feels too easy too uh I almost played it yesterday because I didn't know if it would hold uh and sometimes they just sometimes they make just too much sense

uh I'm going to play malik willis over 28 and a half rushing yards uh readily available fandul seizures minus 113 a novig um builder Like everyone's in this range on Malik, starting to cook out a little bit here. But, I mean, look, what do they do? They're playing in Minnesota. They have no Devon A-Chane. So last week they had to get a little bit squirly. You saw Willis had four design runs last week after having, like, one in each of the first two games.

And we have Minnesota. He's going to get his face blitzed off here, like all game. And it's just what they do. Now, we obviously know he likes to run. his scramble rates higher than a standard quarterback. He has a 13.2 scramble rate for his career. And then so far this year, he's right there, like 12 and a half. When pressured, he's up to like 18.7%,

which is like basically Josh Allen, Jane Daniels territory. There's no one else that really sniffs that like above 15 scramble rate, whether clean or pressured. And again, if you add the layer of, you know, trailing game script, a lot of dropbacks, no run threats, You know, the wide receiver core is beat up. They're going to have to use some more design runs here for him, too. So five and a half carries is juiced up.

I think that's probably fine. But, like, guys have juice. You know, there's a reason why he leans on his legs quite often. So, you know, he can do this in less than five carries. So that's why I like him over 20 and a half, over 30. I think you play alts to like 40 years and plus money. I just think he runs a ton because he's going to get blitzed on like 60% of his dropbacks.

And they're going to have to drop back a ton. They're 11 point dogs here. I love the spot or 10 point dogs, whatever it is. Love the spot for Willis. Slop, any thoughts here? I'm in. They got to do something. Jeffers is not going to play in this game. Kind of pissed me off because I had Minnesota as my survivor pick, but I don't know if I can keep that now.

I don't know if I'm overreacting. Maybe I just heard the news. I haven't really thought about it, but it's Malik Willis. There is no chance, like, he's going to be able to sit in the pocket and throw. So you're going to get a few runs that aren't even. them by design. Right. Like at all.

So as we're banking on. We're banking on, you know, a 15, 20% scramble rate. And they should play from behind the whole time too, which definitely helps. So like you might get a whole second half of just him having to drop back and throw it. I don't think, yeah, like they sit anybody. Yeah. I mean, it's, what is the number? It's 20 and a half?

It's 28 and a half. 28 and a half. Well, 30. Yeah, 30 and a half now. Or you can get that even money in some places. If you see our little alt screen here, 39 and F, when Newton mentioned, you can get plus 200 Betway,

if that's something that you use. But if not, there's still like around plus 190, profit X, Novig is plus 186. I love this feature to be able to look at all the different alts. It's beautiful. Yeah, it's kind of fun, right? You can do the same thing with rushing yards too,

and you can choose which books you want to include here. So kind of a nice little screen there to look at. Yeah. Cohn, any thoughts on Willis? Um, I think that Bobby Sloick heard people talking shit about how he wasn't running Malik Willis. I genuinely think that that like, and like the fewer Rush Temps than Kurt Cousins kind of thing and all that. Like I think that he just kind of heard, heard the media and it was like, you know, that is pretty dumb. Um, or someone did and told him he had to do it because it's pretty brain dead.

I mean, not surprising Bobby Sloick's been pretty bad OC for, I would say like 90% of his OC career. There was like a little like kind of glimpse where we're like, oh, this guy could be great. And then he's just been like nothing but dog shit for like three years. So like, yeah. So I don't know. I think they run him at least three. They have just no other options. Like we're looking at this is hilarious.

I went through this earlier today. You go to the receiving yards to have for this game. The Dolphins receivers, Chris Bell. They're starting Jalen Wright and Ollie Gordon are running back. Kevin Coleman is going to play. Ryan Miller is going to play. I mean, what do we know about these guys? It's like very little, right?

I mean. Ryan Miller, I believe, Barrington, Illinois. Barrington High School, I believe. Wow. I mean, that gives me, like, less faith. Like, that's, like, actually, like, a bad thing, I think. Probably true. Malik Washington's probably taking some, like,

running back snaps here, too. He's probably getting, you know, a bunch of dump off targets. Yeah, it's rough. Like, it's Minnesota who's been awesome. and is going to be relentless blitzing Malik Willis, who's had trouble against pressure. So, yeah, this is too light, too light. Yeah, it's rough.

40 plus. All right. Hunter, back to you, second play. Yeah, we're going to a game that I don't even know Slop has really, you know, started to consider yet, to be honest, because it's like a little bit buried on the board. Looking at Sunday night game. I'm going to go with an under.

I'm going to go with Sam Leporta under four and a half receptions. A couple of different things here. I think we're going to get some rain potentially in this game. It looks like the weather might kind of turn against us. We're seeing minus 122. A fan duel here pretty widely available at four and a half across the board. But what's key here is that Carolina lost both of their starting corners. And so now I think when we're looking and gets Devin Lloyd back, right?

So I think that we're looking at a team that if you're going to attack them, like it's going to be on the outside. It's going to be the corner. It's going to be its their cornerback room. And so I think that that's where we see the lions go. But on top of that, the run defense hasn't been all that good. I think that we see the lions just absolutely annihilate them on the ground. And on the other hand, we saw Dave Canales come out and say, like, hey, like everyone's got to deal with the rain. It's just going to come down to who can run the ball better and make sure we run the ball a lot, you know, like something like that. So I think this game actually is like kind of sneaky, like dud potential.

Whereas like everyone's expecting like a massive game and it just ends up being like, I don't know, 21 to like 14 or 2117 or something like that. And the Lions just kind of coast. So I think that that's very possible here. And so I like the Leporte under here. Again, I just don't think we're going to see a ton of volume. And he's been, you know, again, 39 and 38 pass attempts. Laporta had eight and seven targets in the game where he had 32.

He only had four targets. And given the matchup stuff here, I think that we see kind of LaPorte only see more of that four to five target range, which puts us in a good spot, I think here. And yeah, Patrick brings it up, under this game or scary. Yeah, I mean, if this game ends up with 60 points, it's going to be tough. But still, again, I think like a J-Mo or Amman Ra are much more better equipped to blow up here than Leporta. Yes, it's filthy, nasty. Like, I have the stomach for this one and I'll slop. I'm guessing you don't either. Doesn't mean I respect the handicap. I was looking more at the, at Gibbs' rushing number. That one, my plan was to hit the 930 window with the London game, hit the one o'clock, then storm the four o'clock if I have to. And then just sit back and hopefully only have to take like Gibbs 100 plus rushing yards for like even money.

You know what I mean? If that's available, something like that. So that would be my plan. But you're also taking a running back on the road. But I just don't think that matters with Campbell and Gibbs. You know what I mean? Like some teams, yeah, maybe. But like I don't think that really matters for the lines.

I think that, yeah, especially even the poor and rain. Good luck. Do you see my fun tweet this week, Slop about running backs with a rushing line over 90 yards or whatever? No, what I'd say. So in the last year, which again, I want to be very clear. This does not mean anything. I just thought it was interesting. So, again, I tweeted it for, you know, because I thought it was fun.

Running backs of the rush, a line of 90 plus since 2025 are two and 14 going, or two and 12 going over. So two out of 14 times they've gone over their prop. And they failed every other time. I think Taylor was one of them. And I believe Gibbs is the other one. But this week we have three guys. It was a Derek Henry tweet. But, you know, just, but maybe it was a Jamir Gibbs tweet.

But maybe it was also a Jonathan Taylor tweet who, I believe all of them have. All them have 90 plus this week. Yeah. So who, do we have like names of the guys that went under? Yeah. What was electric because I didn't realize. Rico Donald was on that list twice. I don't remember Rico Donald with 90 plus yard lines.

When did that happen? Yeah. No, that's what I'm saying. Like with stats like that, I always like to go back in and look at who it was and then look at who their opponent was and like what what the situation was. Does that make sense? like because some of these it's like oh it's a really good opponent and then you look it's like it's like i'm not considering yeah i would say most of them are are good players so like we're looking at

johnton taylor i would naturally though the line's 90 and a half right like they're not about they can't be bozos for the most part you know yeah yeah i just thought it was on vjean against to i mean maybe did game script get away from these people stop you're asking the right questions ones that i also have you know started kind of pulling up here um so here's like the yeah like get like final score the spread going into it the final score and then how much they led or trailed and then the result um so so do we have like there's no like oh this percent did this and this percent did that i didn't i didn't a lot of these are so a few of them are losses so a lot of them were closer spreads to be honest like the teams the team won so that that

that's good that the guy went over. So it looks like you're going to need your team to, that guy's team to win, which would be pretty big. Because that would eliminate what, one, two, three, four, five, six,

seven, eight, nine of them. Yeah, a bunch of them. Right. So get rid of nine right away. They lost. And then in teams in games that that team won. What are we looking at now? I love it.

Yeah. See, you could chop it up there. You know, that's, that's really going to one, two, three, four, five, six, so two and four. So still not good.

Not good, but better. It's 33%. A lot better, though, than. Oh, it's much better. Yeah. So they got to win the game. And then what was the biggest lead in the two that happened? That actually won.

I mean, look at Derek. I can manipulate any stat, dude. Any stat. I can take any stat and just like just to just chew it up, fit it out. What do we got? Do we have big leads in those games? Like, what was the final one? I mean, look at Henry.

Henry, they were huge favorites, 12 and a half point favorites. They led 80% of the time. They won by 24. Okay, so that's a case where they won by too much. Because you're going to start seeing, no, you're going to start seeing other backs coming in that game. Like, that's like, it's like, all right, we don't need to get Derek came here. I mean, you have to just put some gloves. So that get rid of that one.

That one doesn't count. Yeah. That's not the same as this. No. All right. And what's it, or road or home? What do we got for that? So now we're at two and three. We can keep going. What do we got? I can get this down to it 100% of the time. Yeah, 100% of the time. In this exact scenario, which exactly fits to Muir Gibbs, it goes over. Yep. I like it. And then the other win, the other or was there another one where they were just, they won by just too much?

It's like, it's, yeah, the guy was never getting home. Yeah, never. I'll look at that. I'll get it back down to two. But yeah, just in that, too, just for records keeping. So it's, in my book, it's two and three. Okay. Basically a coin flip.

Yeah, that's this point. It's almost guaranteed he's going 100 plus. Yeah. He's definitely a touchdown. My bad. On the two wins, did the guy go 100 plus? Two wins? Yeah.

I mean, Jonathan Taylor had like 24. Oh, 244 and 153 for Jonathan Taylor. Yeah, so then you would definitely not take the 90, but you would go, go a buck 10 then. So Jermere gives a buck 10. Well, you would say it's love in these instances, each time the runner's top to 150 yards. So you might as well just take.

That's a, yeah, just go a buck 50 because it's pretty much guaranteed. It's 2 and 0. It's never lost. It's never lost. If he goes over somewhere, he's getting a buck 50. Buck 50 is plus, I mean, I mean, look at like five to one in most spots. Imagine getting something that's never lost historically for five to one.

Five to one. You know what I'm saying? That's why I love statistics. And I was a nightmare in actual statistics class. But yeah. So good. Can't argue with that. All you need is a little context, guys.

Yeah. And you can make up the context. True. All right. Let's go. Back to you. Number two. What do you got?

Jemir Gibbs, 150 plus, right? What happened? I have a scenario that's undefeated in the history of sports. Now, I'm going to go, I would go, Jamaica. Sunday nights, I can't do that. Not yet. Like I said, I'm not even prepared for that mentally.

I'm still on the one o'clock slate. And I'm going to take Gino Smith, his passing yards. It looks like 225, you can get a better MGM. if you don't want to do that, like let's say you want to bet more than $2, you'd probably have to go, hang on. We got some other ones here.

You got numbers right. You use your numbers. They're right there. Yeah, we got 227 and a half, Fandul, 224 and a half, Kalshi, if you want to get down a little bit there. No big. Yeah, no big.

We're always looking price. So like sometimes it'll show up on the screen and it'll be like, yeah, it's a little too expensive. But 227 and a half, minus 106 and Novig is I would say pretty good but you know up to you this guy doesn't have a lot of receivers which is going to be tough but I think he only needs the Sadiq kid and Garrett Wilson the Bears defense all right for one I know Jalen Hertz didn't get home but if you watch that game he threw for a buck 53 they were able to run with sayquan barkley and he missed guys

all over the place. Like they had two, they did a replay twice in that game where he missed the Wix kid twice. Like, like he ended up opting to throw it down to, like check down to Devonso Smith and Wix was laid wide open. It's like that's going to be there, right? So you have that. Two-25, not that much. I do think the Bears' offense is going to be competent even without Caleb Williams. That was one thing that I took away from the other night was like, okay, like they just seem to be able to move the ball. They use each guy's strength instead of try to have, you know, like T-Bag come in the game and do what Caleb Williams.

Like they don't do that. You know what I'm saying? Have Case Keenham come in and beat Caleb Williams? Like, no, they had him be Case Keenom. And he looked incredible for a guy who hasn't started in like literal years. So I think they can score on the Jets. And when they do, I do think the Jets offense will be able to move the ball through the air. No breeze hole, which I think helps us.

just because the Allen kid, I don't think he's very good running back. I think he's good enough. You know what I don't think he's going to be able to run. So that kind of takes away, you know, what they're going to be able to do offensively, especially in the second half. So, dude, that's not that many yards.

In today's NFL, not much, especially if you catch a trailing game script, we are in business. Keep in mind that Bryce Young went 360 on these dudes. Bryce Young shouldn't go 360 on. on like the Georgia Bulldogs, you know what I mean, much less the Chicago player, the NFL team. So keep that in mind. And if you're going to say Carson wins,

that game was played in a literal windstorm. You know what I'm saying? It's raining. It's Carson Wentz. Like that game, if you go back and watch that, you're like, yeah, you're probably not going to see a lot of fireworks in that game. So kind of got to take that one away. This is going to be the first time they,

yeah, since then they played in some good weather, with a competent quarterback, which I would say, Gino Smith might have reached that status because he looked all right. last week. Didn't have a lot of receiving options last week either. Still kind of. No help.

None. Also, don't hate the, Garrett Wilson. What do you guys think of Sadiq? Under. Yeah. Under.

No, he looked great last week when I was on Nova. It was fun. He's still not like, the usage is still, like, he split a bunch routes with Jeremy Ruckert, who like crushed early and saw like kind of a couple more targets before he

saw. And he got a little. bit dinged up he was limited all week the bear's defense just sucks they played really well the last two weeks um because of turnovers but they're they're really they're really like bottom five in yards per play and in everything basically so i'm not a fan um so yeah i'm not i'm not taking any yonder's i want to take braylin allen under can't do it just can't yeah that's my biggest problem i mean you get you have 15 carries against like one of the worst defenses in the league so not great I mean, you saw what Barclay did before that game started getting out of hand.

I mean, he had, like, what, 74th the half? And he was, and he had a 20-yard carry called back. Dude, the lanes were just ridiculous earned the first half. Like, I mean, yep. So he got in some Oscar, though. They said he's going to play. They said he might have dinged his back on that ridiculous touchdown,

the circus highlight real touchdown catchy end, no big deal. Yeah. But, yeah, he might have heard his back on that. But they said he's just been limited. Like, I don't know. It seems precaution. We don't have a probable tag anymore. Questionable stuff is really, it's just dicey nowadays.

I'm not super worried about Sadiq sitting up for this one. So probably not 100%. Who is 100%? You know? Yeah. No, but who really is 100%? Are you 100%? I'm not.

No. I've been 100% in a very long time. So yeah, I like it. I like it. All right. Chat's been clamoring for this one. I didn't realize it would be so popular, but I feel good about it.

And I know Slop is, you know, never shy about, you know, experience a little bit of strange. I'm going to go Brenton Strange. Over 33 and a half receiving yards. Readily available. This no vague, fan duel, score, builder, D.K. Like, everything is kind of in this 33 and a half, 34 and a half range. We just got to keep bringing this bell, guys. Anytime we can find a, like, decent, tight end who's not competing for target share that's going up against the Bengals.

I think we take advantage. They were dead last in past D DVOA against the position last year, 28th this season, averaging 99.7 yards per game to the position. Strange has been okay. It hasn't been great, but he's running a ton of routes, 81% route participation, back-to-back weeks. Anytime you're like 65, 70 at tight end, that's really good. I think it really a couple of interesting matchups.

They blew Cleveland out of the water in a week one. they absolutely kicked the shit out of the Patriots last week. That was not close. And then the other week in the middle, Denver, it's a tough matchup. Now we kind of have a back and forth, potential shootout, maybe trailing game script, but still a spot where, like, you know, it's not going to get this spot where I think they are blowing out or Cincinnati like they did with Cleveland and New England. Again, five targets last week and lower A dot stuff.

Actually, a pretty good yak guy. So I'm going to go yards instead of receptions, but like, I don't know, three and a half receptions. I don't think is a bad look either. uh yeah i just think this a a matchup we have to continue to attack connor any thoughts on breton strange yeah like it his his usage has been a little bit concerning this year but that's why you're getting a number that's 33 and a half and not like 50 or you know 45 and a half so it's definitely a good by low spot here brian thomas has done literally nothing all year and so he's just irrelevant i think this is a big parker

washington game as well but the line reflects that right so we're looking at 73 and a half for parker uh again you bought low you were but you were buying it's a bit you were buying the 50s, I think. And, you know, now we're at the time where I think it's just about right. You know, like, I think Parker could go for 100 plus here easily, but also I'm not sure that I want to buy Parker over 75 and a half here. So, yeah, I think Strange is a good look. Yeah. And it's, again, I almost wanted to play Brian Thomas Jr. Hunters, but one of these days he's going to, he's going to be ripe to rip one or two. So it's, it's a lot of, you know, holding your breath there because he's going to play. He actually didn't play that much last week, but it was a lot of because he's a lot of,

because Josh Cameron, they like him in the running game more, apparently, blocking. So, again, I think they could be more passing in this game because they were just, like, dominating the paths. So I think we see less Cameron and more Brian Thomas, but that's how you know it's over, right? Like, he's getting taken off the field for a guy named Josh Cameron. We need him in New England. I don't know what they can be more over. I don't know what Jacksonville needs. Pick up the phone.

We need some BTJ in New England. And Pat's need him. He needs a career boost. And too much Matt Collins in New England. They could use a BTJ. We'll see. Slop, any strange guy. I know your big tight end guys we've discussed.

I mean, he's on the board. Let's go. So, yeah. Oh, we need. All right. Slop, do you get any others? I know Connor and I have one more joint play. Nothing really.

I mean, like I said, I'm more trying to at this point just trying to keep my head above water before we get into the later slates on Sunday. But yeah, those two should get us by. Yeah, you're covering the windows. You're a big window cover. You got to paint them. Yeah.

I like that. All right, this one, Slav, you can go, you know, walk the dog. Cover your, you know, you'll get a drink of water, whatever you need. I don't think, I don't think you're going to be a huge fan of this. I will say, I think this one. Oh, I will say, I think this one's actually, I think there's some uncorrelated juju here, too. Because this is, this is.

Yeah, this is a play with our boy swerve too, right? Our guy swirrower. Yeah, I got a tag swerve. I was allowed to push it out, and then I forgot it to tag swerve. Yeah, this is a little three-way action here. Oh, we had a three-way last week. We ran real hot with Emmett Johnson three-way action.

Never know. What did he end with? Six carries. Just enough. the last three carries of the game they gave to him as they were winding on the clock and then that was it the game was his yardage it's 17 18 it wasn't great yeah so you didn't get over yardage didn't hit uh i mean the they ran 48 plays 49 plays something like that so it was yeah we ran pretty hot though uh we're gonna play rashad batman under two and a half

receptions uh this is plus money on fandu score it's like widely available like the minus 102 two minus 105 range. So like it's books are leaning over on this, which is curious to me. And I think, swerve and Connor as well. I think we have an inflated line. It has a lot to do with that week two game

where Zay Flowers was out. He had nine targets, caught seven balls. We look at this season when Flowers has been in the lineup, Bateman has four targets on 47 routes. Now we have a game where I think there's going to be trailing game script. I don't think we're not like a heavy pass volume game from the Ravens

whatsoever. And if you look into like some of the matchup specific stuff here, Titans play too high at the fifth highest rate in the league. And they go back to the start of last season. So to make our sample a little bit bigger, not just the 2026 season. Rashad Bateman has a 9% target per route rate against too high. There is no wide receiver in the league that has run as many routes against

too high as a lower target per route rate. So just just not a good spot for him in a number of ways. It's like two and a half. I think like two and a half is like a good target line for him, to be honest here. So I think you play like I think under two and a half like 40 plus if he happens to take the top off if it gets a big one. That's on Fanduil like plus 1250. But I don't think he's catching three balls here, Connor. Yep.

I mean you nailed the you nailed the right up there. I think that makes a ton of sense. Yeah, again, like this is this game and then the Miami, Minnesota game or just games where like he could have one or two catches in the first half. and then they just throw the ball like six times in the second half and it doesn't matter you know like it's and even then it's like even if you run bad in the first half uh there's still a ton of outs here to go under and now we're already seeing this so if you guys see our the sharpsack screen here it's it's moving when it's moving blue you can see it's like it's moving through different numbers so fandul's out to minus 136 drafting still at minus 105 builder now at minus 118 uh i think still pretty playable kind of out to that

Fandul Novig number of minus 135. That's probably where it should be. Yeah. I think I have like 1.6 projected or something like that. He's going to be out there a ton. But he's just not going to be involved, I don't think. A little cardio king. Now with Zay Flowers back.

I mean, Zay is just going to dominate, I think. Yeah. So sorry, Slop. It's a good play, though. What about a Zay uncorrelated? Any interest in that? About 70 yards, that's a lot. Five and a half, 70.

That one. and then Jordan Addison, I think, without Justin Jefferson. Because I really just, again, his past temp line, Kyle was pastime line is 20 and a half. They moved it. I saw some five and a half, I thought earlier. But four and a half, now 60 yards. I don't know.

Yeah. Hey, I joked to put JASN last week. He got the 125. He just caught 11 balls or whatever. So. We didn't quite get there on that one. But yeah, yeah, I don't hate that. I don't hate that.

I think that Addison is one of those guys I think is probably a good look. I think Belik, Washington is like the opposite, you know, catches over his balls and like under his yards, you know, because it's all just. You know, over six catches under 30 yards. Yeah, just, you know, all the screen passes and one baller's guy, Wondale Jr. Yeah, that's it.

All right, we got the parlay built. Where are we at? What do we need? No, I was totally dropped the ball first time in maybe a year. You're only one and two on the screen. And so Devonta Smith is out. What does that mean? So I think we're going to see more Mackay Lemon and maybe some other stuff.

So this is what like these are the lines right here. I mean, Mackay Lemon 36 and a half now like Dantavian Wicks out to 55. it looks like 50 yeah 55-ish is there the standard line now so it feels like a connor allen undercoming let that get steamed out a little bit and then yep i'm gonna let if that gets like 60 i mean i'd love to take the under um maybe receptions though let's see what are like a three and a half man four and a half would be great we'll see if it gets there um we'll see down to fade that stay away from from that for me i don't know i want to see the lemon stuff happen.

You know, I understand we've had some guys on our team. I didn't make a good case of, you know, rookies slowly ascending. Obviously, it's a nice opportunity for Lemon to get a spike in usage, but that's just not there yet. And the vibes are so bad in Philly right now.

It feels weird. It feels like that's always the case. I don't know. What about Sequant 70 plus rushing yards? Yeah, Aaron Donald out of the lineup. He'll be out here. So, you know, a little softer path against the Rams

run D. Don't hate it. That's definitely the pro, the pro-Eagle side, right? The Eagles probably are non-competitive if Sequawal is not getting 70. I mean,

they just don't seem to want to let Hertz throw the ball or throw it downfield or I don't know. I don't know what that was. Yeah. Sequin looked good, though. And they seem to be able to run on anybody. So.

Devon's good, too. But, yeah. He's they've had offensive line problems, but it seems like they pushed everyone off the ball. So we go something to think about. Yeah, I don't need that. Yeah. So you want to add Sequin to the parlay here? I mean, that's a little ambitious.

But I mean, we only have four things. I think I think I'm miss, stop of missing one of one years. I had Gino and then what was the other one? It was, it wasn't gifts, was it? Oh, dude, Malik neighbors, bro. Neighbors. Oh, my gosh. How did I miss this?

All right. What's 10 catches for him? Just what's the price on that? I think two million to one, something like that. Yeah, I mean, Sequin carried the ball 15 times for 83 yards against Washington. Like in week one. Again, Washington is not great defensive. They're not bad against the run.

I mean, you can look them up. They're not, they are what they are. But I don't know. If you're the Eagles, you definitely. definitely don't want the Rams offense on the field. You know what I mean? Like you're looking to just mucked that game up as much as you possibly can.

And I would think that involves just sticking it right in Barclay's chest. Yeah, I think so. That probably makes sense. I mean, yeah, 70 plus yards is, you know, pretty widely available here. I kind of think that the Rams just go to town on them, but, you know, I get it.

Seikor can get there. I mean, that happened last week in Saquan, you know, can do just, fine. So in a terrible game script. So this is incredible. Thank you, Jeff. So we got the parlay. Tyler Warren, 70 plus, Gino 250 plus, Brent Strange, 50 plus, Malik Willis 40 plus, neighbor's six plus. We're at 10 to win like 1600-ish. So we probably need like one or two more and we're in a good spot. Anything else you guys want to add?

Do we add Gibbs just for the... Gibbs is getting $125 plus. All right. I'm in... I'm not going to disagree with you. This is the perfect game. Like, I'm going to find your tweet, and I'm just going to fucking annihilate it.

Like, it's going to be... This is the worst analysis I've ever seen. I've turned this into a running backs to never do this to, like they never not do this. No one's ever not. It's the fake ones that don't do it. It's easy to tell the ones that aren't going to do it. Oh, Rigo Dowdle didn't do it?

Cool. Oh, no way. Yeah, shocker. Oh, they got their asses kicked and they're running back, didn't go for 90 yards. Huh, who knew? Yeah. I don't think you went for 90 in the two games that he's on the list for. No.

I mean, Rico Dowdell, so that doesn't count. Like, immediately, that's gone. All right, so we have Gibbs 125 on there. Easy. Easiest leg, I think, of the whole thing. One more leg. I think one more would be, would put us over 10 to win 10. I'm making a case for another tight end.

I mean, it seems like a tight end week. So what do you think? Um, hang on. What about, what about pickings before we go to the tight end? Pickens. I don't mind him. Yeah. I remember I'm trying to think of all my notes that I had in my head.

I don't have them right in front of pickings. I had circled for some reason and then. Texans just scare me because they're good, but pickings is good too. Well, CD should get treatment from, um, who's the kid? which names Stingley. Yeah, they don't really shadow. They don't shadow, okay. And then you know,

Mary Lasseter on the other side is. Yeah. I don't have pickings if that guy shadows. I was going to make the case for, for George Kittle. Okay. Just target monster. Mike Evans is either not playing or isn't 100%.

64 yards is his line. Oh, my goodness. Is it up that high? I don't think I've ever seen a Kittle in the 60s, or at least it's been a long time. He's normally in like the low 50s, high 40s, you know. But they have no one else to your point. There's only three guys lined in receiving yards for them.

It's Kittle McCaffrey and Juice Check, which, by the way, use check is always like the random fall guy of like if everyone's out, they just like use him as like a tight end receiver kind of like. What's his number? Eight yards. I remember last year, you remember we had him last year in the parlay? We had over six yards. He got a six yard ball and then.

got a concussion and was out the rest of the game. It's hard of the first drive. So what about, um, what about Brock Bowers? Just going, just saying, hey, 100 plus. Hard to argue that. I also think like, if you're spags, aren't you just like, hey, anybody but this dude this week? Yeah.

Like, you know. But is, I feel like his usage is like crazy. Like it's not his usage. Like the way they line him up is just like crazy. Like, no, I'm very pro. Brock Bowers. I'm just, you know, I think it's, he's like, he's always like, he's also not a donkey and he's going to be like, yeah, this is,

these guys do not have enough threats to take care of this one guy to destroy me. Yeah. Yeah. Gross. So I liked Ollie Gordon in the chat. I think that's at least thought-provoking. Yeah, there was like the whole, like, Jalen Wright listed his RB1

kind of on the depth chart thing. I don't think that really matters all that much, but the market reacted to it mattering. I think they're just going to roll with the hot end. They're both going to give them a couple drives and then see who's doing well. You're going to turn that game on, 30 minutes in, and you're going to be like,

what am I doing here, waiting for Ollie Gordon to get to 50? Yeah, I didn't get a bad idea. You got to think about future you. Future you might be like really mad at like you now. Yeah, I would be much more excited about a Brock Powers like than an Ollie Gordon. So we don't like Sadiq. We're just out.

I don't think Sadiq's bad. I mean, we got Gino in there though. Okay, yeah, it kind of ruins it. Yeah, they'll just like, they're just going to nuke us on correlation and stuff. So I can make a case for another one I can maybe sell you guys on. Connor talked about this one a little bit. I know he's in a red non-contact jersey. He was in a red non-contact jersey last week as well

and then popped off for a 43% target per route rate. But DJ Moore is lined at like 49 and a half against the past who will not have Christian Gonzalez. No Gonzalez. Who would have shadowed. It made DJ Moore's life challenging. But I don't know, 60 yards for DJ Moore. I actually think that this is like a good way to play it.

because I think there's just a lot of uncertainty with him right now, right? Like he could very well do nothing and just be like barely playing. But also if he's like plays a little bit more than last week, I mean, I think the bill is just curb stop him and go. And also I could see Joe Brady being like, you know what, because Gonzalez is out, let's just like pass the ball like every play and just go because they did that. I think it was like week one or two.

I don't remember which one. They're crazy aggressive. Those guys crazy aggressive. He had 10 targets last week after barely practicing. Everyone thought he was kind of questionable because he left early in that Detroit game. All right. I'm in. I'm sold.

I'm interested. I think in this scenario like the alts, I mean, 60 or 70 plus? What do you want? 60s plus 1, 40. It's 67 last week. He had 100 in week one against Houston. We're going 70 plus. How much do you want to win situation?

I agree. All right. And just like that, we're at 10 to win 64,000. I feel like that just escalated extremely. quickly um because i added in gibbs bowers and dj more nice that feels easy i think we're we're in a really good spot here the only shitty player we're betting on is malik willis so that feels pretty good sure and we're betting on him to run so just try to survive um cool all right well i say let's rip that what do you think or should i bet more to win over a hundred k i like kind of like when it looks like

that, you know, like, I mean, might as well, right? Yeah. It's 20 bucks. What a hundred on it. 16 to win 102, you know. There we go. Much better. See, how flutter needs our help.

I mean, like, have you seen their stock price? Bruttle. Just in the absolutely shitter. Yeah, Fluttered Fandwell's parent company is getting absolutely blasted right now. Meanwhile, Kalshi, doing half the handle is like double the market cap right now. So anyways, finance rant over. But that there's no. possible whether that is correct long term.

So, yeah, that's, it's outrageous. Ted talk. Yeah, welcome my TED talk. Finance shows on Tuesday. Talk about sports betting stocks and trading on Kalshi. We can do 15 minute crypto markets. Ooh. We did 15 on colonoscopy prep today.

So I don't know why we would take, you know. Yeah, I mean, Colanoscopy prep is very, very important though so we don't take that lightly put it that way. We're pro-colon auspies on this show. Yeah, I'll text you guys later and let you know how it goes. Let me know. I bet's going to be cool, man.

You're probably going to like it. I'm looking forward to it. Awesome. What is what it is? So what do the people need to know this week? We need to get into. Oh, dude, we got to get in Splash, guys. We got a $20,000 guaranteed

in the price pool. All right, the contest, 889 people can get in. That's it. That's all. A hundred of them get paid. At least double up. You know, you get 60 bucks for the 100th guy. Get in. It's fun. Go to Splash. You're going to see. It's easy. Splashforce.com. Just go to splash. Scroll down. You're going to see my face. Fantasy Tears week four. Fantasy Tears contest. 20K guaranteed. Get in. You can up to 26 entries if you want to. I only do the single bullet. I'm a real man. but don't let that stop you from internet 26 times, whatever I said. So get in, hurry up. It's fun. Have you guys ever played that?

No, I need to. My volume has been very low, sports betting. Like, I'm in the window game. You know what I mean? You're in the windows. You want action on all this stuff, dude. You know what I'm saying? But like, you're too exposed if you bet everything you like.

Having them in the fancy tiers has really helped that out for me. Yeah. All right. And then slop on the YouTube channel as well. Yeah, you want to definitely subscribe to that channel. We need more people just like you hanging out with this every day. We just do.

Get that like and subscribe. Do the same thing here. Move the line wherever you listen to podcast or on the YouTube channel as well. Again, we share the Sharpsack. We're going to do that moving forward. Again, you need a free seven-day trial. Check that out yourself. So just go to 44.4.com slash plans.

Again, there's information in the show notes. If you were on a discount, you want a discount code. Hit us up. Connor and I will help you out there too. But it's a lot of ways to use that. Even if you're just not like a top down EV better and you're worried about, hey, I can't get down on these accounts or whatnot, like to be able to search and price the alts all in one spot, you will see where the line movement is happening.

Again, the sharp money tool is awesome. I could show that here too. You know, see where, you know, people are betting on the, on the big stuff on the, on the prediction market. so you can find the slower moving domestics for you to kind of get it on the other side of it before it moves to college football props like I don't really handicap college football but I get in here on a Saturday morning before it kicks and just kind of jam some of the stuff in the top of the EV tool which is a which is a lot of fun so head us up if you have any questions it's a great tool

go ahead of jav it's something else you want to say uh no head us up we wanted to show it honestly in the screen so we could uh you know just rip it and and probably do that plus it's fun seeing the blue kind of like as like as we like release a play seeing the line move there live it's kind of fun so like doing that for sure um but yeah let's let's have a weekend let's win some money let's get it hit the thumbs up before you take off for connor and slop and ryan we'll see y'all next time thanks everybody