Move The Line - Best NFL Week 5 Player Prop Bets
Episode Date: October 9, 2026Ryan Noonan and Connor Allen welcome John Hyslop back to Move The Line for a full breakdown of the NFL Week 5 player prop market. The trio discusses their favorite passing, rushing, and receiving prop...s across the slate, using projections, matchup data, and Prop Drops to identify the numbers and prices that stand out before kickoff.Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package or try SharpStack free for 7 days: https://www.4for4.com/plansWatch Move The Line on YouTube: https://4for4.co/3OupraJJoin the Discord: http://discord.gg/4for4Follow the show: https://x.com/MoveTheLineNFLConnor: https://x.com/ConnorAllenNFL | Ryan: https://x.com/RyNoonan | John: http://x.com/sloprules Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Hello and welcome.
Move the line, Prop Drop Show.
Presented by Sharpstack.
Back for week five.
Ryan Noon.
Connor Allen, John Hyslop.
Connor, how we do today?
Yeah, I'm not doing too bad.
Got back on the horse last week, firing a bunch of unders.
It's going to be a wet blanket week for sure on the show.
But I got a couple of fun overs that I'm excited for, honestly,
in that are still kind of like pending.
Like we're still waiting some more injury news
that we'll talk about.
So yeah, we'll get there when we get there.
But it might be just a show,
maybe Slop's the least favorite show of the season so far.
Yeah, Slop, I got a little,
a little preview, I think,
to some of Conner's elections today for the show.
Not going to be stuff that I think you're going to have
a lot of additive takes to.
I think you're going off the beaten path,
maybe in the show too.
Maybe we're five.
just a little bit wonky how we doing bud i'm not good man i'm out of survivor it's over um i
fucking hate survives i love to say f word yeah i do i hate it i hate it i hate it's the dumbest thing
i wish it was never invented and that's it i kind of agree we're not this is not a very i mean
people love survivors so connor and i talk about survivor a little bit but we're not i don't know
it's fun when you're surviving sure you know what i mean but when you're not surviving
And it's not that fun.
I mean, I'll do it next year again, like I always do.
But like right now, I don't like it.
I'm out.
Yeah.
Not a fan.
We were trying to decide, you know, we were in Vegas.
We were to do, you know, Circa's survivor contest.
We were doing circa millions.
Trying to get a sense of like, you know, what's our best bet.
And like, Survivor sucks.
Like, it just, I mean, what, you went Dallas last night?
Yeah.
Oh, yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah.
I mean, dude, like, how did they just lose to a guy who literally played college quarterback at Kansas?
Like, you know, they have a football team, dude.
Like, that's a basketball school, bro.
Like, and you're losing to him?
I don't get it, man.
I don't get it.
I don't know what happened.
I don't know.
I don't like the 150 entries.
I don't like, I'm done with that.
Like, stop telling me you're, like, you won.
You get one entry.
It's survivor, one entry.
That's it.
There's no, like, my share of this.
but no, no, no, you have one.
Like, you know what I'm saying?
Like, what are we doing, dude?
One entry.
Yeah.
That's fun.
I'll play with those guys.
Can never play with Connor.
He does not abide by these rules since we've discussed.
Now, Connor probably has a thousand of them.
These guys, these guys, I don't, I should.
This shares of that.
I just like using my time in other ways.
So I just, you know, but I do think that that is probably optimal if you're looking to win.
But you definitely lose some integrity.
you lose some of the, you know, one bullet type of vibes, which I get.
That's it.
Like a real man, Connor?
Real man survivor.
That's what I'm going to pitch to the splash people.
I'm going to ask me, like, can we just have one word single entry?
Just for, it's for men and very strong women.
Women of the highest of integrity.
That's it.
If you want to play real survivor, I'll play.
but like 150 you guys go over there with your little computers have a great time
we'll fight it out like men over here with one inch because that's that's that's that's that's big time
right there yeah for the youtubes are saying it's this not working on youtube youtube youtubes are i think
uh being wonky it looks like what are we do we need these we need our youtube people so you're ready
to go live let's see all right and we are live now on youtube all right yes we got a good um
coocher what's up buddy
Cootcher made it today.
Cooch.
He's our New Hampshire guy.
Boots on the ground in New Hampshire.
Live free or die.
My people.
Yeah.
Yep.
He literally got boots on the ground there, dude.
So if you need it, if you have a question, he'll know.
Okay.
I do my boots once a year.
Go back to see my people.
Fourth of July, typically.
We do that again.
Fireworks up there.
Yeah, absolutely.
Yep.
Yeah, you need a lot of boots,
Cooch, as I'm sure you know.
Slop, I was not prepared for,
I think it was a little mentally prepared
for the prep that I had last week on Friday evening.
I wasn't fully prepared for the prep.
What happened?
What's to come?
I had my procedure on Saturday morning, so Friday night.
Oh, shit, I forgot about that.
Oh, fuck.
My buddy just did that today.
Oh, man.
What experience.
A lot of butt play out there.
What, yeah.
How did it go?
I asked to put the Slop Special.
Yeah.
He knew what that meant.
Yeah, put me on my back.
He said it's two figures, but it's really three.
Yeah, they insisted that they put me under and, you know, turn me on my side.
So I don't know, maybe I'll find a new guy that can do the Slop Special.
It's crazy how like it's just like you're.
You're out.
Out.
You know what I mean?
Like, like, you're, you're, you're in there.
You're like, all right, cool.
This is everything.
And then you're just out and it's over.
It's like, what the fuck just happened, dude?
Like, you felt like, like you went to Cornell.
You know what I mean?
It's like, what the hell?
Like, what just happened, dude?
It's nuts, man.
Good.
He's good.
You know what I mean?
You see the spread is seven, by the way?
Spread of seven on what?
Cornell Harvard.
Oh, nice.
Nice.
All right.
The stuff is being dark.
Sexual assault is not funny.
I'll tell someone if it happens to you.
Yeah, call the hotline.
Not on the show notes.
Definitely, definitely report that.
Don't call me.
Like, call to the authorities and let them know that that happened.
That's bad.
It's a lot going on there.
We won't touch any further.
Yeah, I think it's a good spot to walk away from that.
No, we just walk off now.
I'm just saying it's just the colonoscopy.
There has to be a lot of similar feelings.
That's all I'm saying.
It just, I've never had either one happen.
I've had one happened, but not the other one.
Yeah.
Yeah, but yeah, like you're just on the table and they're just, they're just like,
all right, we're all set.
And it's like, whoa, dude.
Like, I was just like, what the hell?
Like, really?
Yeah.
I didn't get bad news.
You know, I didn't get like perfect news.
I got to go back and I got to go and run it back in six months.
Oh, they made you do it again?
You're making me do it again, making me come back in March or April.
They liked you, dude.
Yeah.
I got to, I got, you know.
They saw.
I treated them well.
Yeah.
My wife did tell me, I don't remember this.
She did tell me that when I came to, I asked her not knowing that the nurses in the room,
if the doctor had said anything among my balls.
Oh, nice.
Yeah.
Did he?
She just started laughing.
She's laughing.
She's like, he actually can't stop talking about it.
So.
Yeah.
That's all the tweet.
I was wondering and not makes sense.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah.
It's, you know, like something you got to see in person, you know.
experience the doctor good to have there.
So all right, we'll transition.
Week 5 bets.
Again, it can be a little different this week.
We're going to have to fight for this parlay
because I think we're going to get pretty heavy-handed undercard here
with a tight end focus, Slop, from coming from Connor.
Okay, I like that.
I'm not quite sure.
I saw some of the things he's been flirting with,
and man, Slop is going to hate this card.
So we'll get started, Connor.
Week 5, kick us off, first play.
What you got?
Yeah, first.
play here we are going to go over the receiving yard market and we're going to go over to the tight
ends and so we're going to go to the Minnesota game and we're going to go with T.J. Hawkinson
under looks like down to 38 and a half yards here and it's crazy because this is like moving on me
like while we're show prepping here which is just always and only it was 40 and a half yards here.
half here like, I don't know, 20 minutes ago.
But I like the under here of T.J. Hawkinson, 40, 8 and a half yards.
I mean, obviously, you crushed last week, right?
Like, that's just like, without, goes without saying.
But you had Jordan Addison dinged up.
You had a crazy, easy matchup.
You had no Justin Jefferson.
Now you get Justin Jefferson going to play.
You got Jordan Addison going to play.
Uh, Kyler Murray looks like dog, you know, looks like Newton's colonoscopy, probably.
And so this is just, it.
It's crazy to me that this offense, I think, gets as much credit for what it's worth.
Of the other games, we're looking at, you know, four for 36, three for 29, two for 11.
And so I think that Hawkinson here is like the third, I don't even know, plus option here maybe in this offense that, again, I'm not sure he's really going to pass a ton.
The Norland has been giving it up to tight ends a little bit.
But again, like, we were on in week one with Hawkinson under.
And then we get, you know, from Kyler to Carson.
he had like, I think it didn't even have target, maybe one target for like three yards or something with, uh, Kyler in the first game.
And then, uh, Carson Wentz comes in and targets him like three more time.
So I think the Hawkinson under is a great sell high spot.
That's kind of a common theme so far in my plays this week.
Yeah, it makes sense.
I mean, obviously you'd expect a dip to come, 13, catching all 13 targets for, uh, buck 19 in that game against Miami last week.
Slop, I guess you're probably not chasing the Hawkinson over.
No, no, no, no.
But I do have something in this game that is very contradictory.
I mean, actually, we might be able to put it in the parlay.
It might help out.
Okay.
We could put this under in the parlay to help out mine.
Okay.
I'll just say it because I think this game's going over.
I think the total is like 41.5 I'm looking at.
I think that's a joke.
I think the Saints suck,
their defense is, that is, that was crazy.
And you start to look at it.
It's like, that's a pattern.
Like, they, um, they give it up.
The Vikings, their offense isn't that bad.
I mean, like, Kyler just threw for 247 last week against the dolphins.
I mean, I know it's the dolphins,
but like, you don't really got to open up the playbook for them.
And he didn't even have Justin Jefferson,
who is pretty motivated to go down to New Orleans and play in New Orleans.
So you got them that they can score.
I think that the Vikings could give it up, too.
I mean, we don't need to get a lot to get the 41 and a half.
You know what I mean?
You're just going to get one team to go out and start throwing the ball on the other one.
The Saints, they don't seem to be able to stop anybody.
Hopefully the Vikings drive this game.
That would be great because the Saints, you know, garbage time, their garbage time, kings.
Again, it's 41 and a half.
They're like 24 to 20.
That's, does that surprise anybody?
Is that the high school?
You know what I mean?
Like, that's not really that wild.
game and it could get out of control with you know the we haven't seen turnovers yet you know so who
knows but yeah 41 and a half i don't really do totals much but i just looked at this i'm looking at
all the people i wanted to take or if there was anybody i couldn't really decide who it was i was like
let's just root for everybody except for hawkinson maybe just a touchdown for him yeah got you
got you touchdown yeah the goal line or something to make up for it last week three for like
to everybody.
28, you know,
and a touchdown,
something like that.
That's very much,
I think,
in the range of outcomes for him.
Yeah,
don't hit that.
That's the play,
right?
That's the official slap play.
That's the official play.
Viking Saints over 41.
I love it.
Slop pivoting.
It has to do.
They're kind of fun to root for,
too,
whenever it's in the low 40s like that,
just because, like, I said,
you get a nonsense touchdown.
Now you're like,
okay, cool.
Like, this is fun.
And even when you suffer through a bunch of field goals early on and stuff,
you're still not really out of it.
You know what I'm saying?
Sure.
It's 41 and a half.
That's not that that's almost in the third.
The bad injury report for the Saints that showed up pretty extensively there on Monday night,
kind of like I can roll back.
It's basically like everyone that was out on the defensive side is out again.
So there's still a little shorthanded defensively, which obviously can lend itself
to favorably on the over here so
don't hate that and you know the right side of a key number too right 42 being more of a
key number so we're looking at to grab the over there like it we at no big is that the best
number for it looks like it looks like no big shout on no big minus 104 or sorry um 40
yeah 40 everyone and a minus 104 yeah so why i got the tattoo guys yeah exactly yeah um you and
Sydney.
Mm-hmm.
She's just plastered all over our televisions now.
Yeah, my wife hates that commercial.
Like, she literally looked at me.
She said, she didn't even know what it was for like, like what it was for.
And I was like, uh, that's like, no.
Like, have you seen the tattoo?
And she's like, no.
So I showed to her.
She's like, wait.
And then she's like, that commercial is terrible.
I don't even know what that's about.
I'm like, that's the genius of it.
Nobody knows what it's about.
Yeah, but it's provocative.
Yeah.
people going.
I was like, what are you talking about?
It's like, that means it's awesome, though.
Like, if she hates it, generally speaking, it means it's awesome.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Patrick's wife hates it in the chat.
Yep.
She's also in like the crosshairs of a lot of different, you know, ongoing stuff politically.
So.
Yeah, I don't get into that.
There was another thing that women were not super pleased about.
Which ones?
Which ones?
you know what I mean
like what do you like who's offended
by that like if you are offended by that
yikes
you know what I mean
I think that means one thing that you don't want it
to mean yeah
staying away from all that one
for sure listen to Patrick
bingo
yeah
well I want to try to balance
Connor's card here a little bit
with this like you know
unders on the tight ends
We're going to go alpha tight end over.
I thought it was going to be a rough one for Brock Bowers,
but no Christian Gonzalez beat up Pats, secondary defense.
Maybe a beat up Ashton Genty,
so it could even like impact this, you know, game state or whatnot.
So I'm going to take over on Bowers,
70 and a half receiving yards.
Fandals there, profit, rivers.
It's pretty much widely available in like the 70.5 to 7.5 to 7.
72, 73 and a half range.
I mean, this dudes, I mean, it's Brock Bowers.
What do you need to say?
Like, he's a monster that 12 and 11 targets in the first two games.
He absolutely crushes man coverage, which,
no one going to play less man last week with Gonzo out.
They still played man like 30%, which would have them as like, you know,
a top 10 team and man.
It just doesn't really matter.
I'm trying to find like advantageous splits for Brock Bowers to make a case for him.
Turns out he's just really awesome.
And like everything is favorable for Brock Bowers.
He's going to get peppered.
70 and a half is just not high enough for this dude.
So I mean, it's going to move out.
I would chase it to, I don't know, 74 and a half, no problem with it.
So I'll slop any thoughts on Brock Bowers here.
I like it.
I'm always over.
Connor, I know this is kind of leaning on the threshold of, you know,
the top line of, you know, where you would play alpha type stuff.
But any thoughts on Bowers in this matchup without Gonzo?
It is.
I don't mind it.
70 yeah it's real fringe stuff you gave me a 68 i'd be all in 73 i'm just you know
it was 69 and a half an hour ago this is what's been happening to me this week so yeah i mean yeah
we're like seeing this thing cruise over here low 70s here and then yeah it was like again could
just was keeps moving up and up and up i don't i mean it makes sense they're the his usage is
outrageous like they're just like he's basically a wide receiver he's not even tight end i i just don't
know what new one one's going to do schematically to to stop him i do think they would have used
gonzalez to shadow him and i now it's like okay well you don't have gonzalez and you're not
going to have carlton davis your two linebackers are really struggled in coverage this year
he's too big and too fast for safeties like you're talking about like really young and
inexperienced or undersized corners i just don't know i don't know i don't know what they're
going to do um except he's going to eat um so even if they play
a ton of zone. Like I said, I'm trying to find like favorable man's own stuff and then
looking at New England's tendencies and like it's all good for him. Like it's, I can't write a case
that's like highlighting why he's just a good player than he's just good at the game and
getting fed 11 to 12 targets every week. So balancing Conner's shitty tight end unders with a
alpha tight end over here. Back to you though, Connor. Play number two. Yeah, I'm going to go
with an alpha running back under as well. So,
We're going to go with Christian McCaffrey under 52 and a half rushing yards.
So this is pretty widely available with the 50.
Seattle's defense right now, again, we thought that they could be maybe worse.
They're not worse.
They're still very good.
Maybe slightly worse than last year, but still very, very good.
Good on the ground.
Gray and yards before contact.
San Francisco just really hasn't had a ton of success in the last year against them.
you know, and McCaffrey himself just has been really inefficient against them specifically.
I think that in this spot here, too, with them potentially scoring less, total is only 45 and a half,
maybe a little bit more Kaelin Black.
It's, I think it could be a good mix there, healthy mix.
And so, I don't know, I think this is kind of one of those where the line seems low,
but he's just been so inefficient.
But that would use check too.
I think that matters a bunch, you know, having his lead blocker out there in a lot of
instances. So I could see them going past heavy to some extent here and just kind of mixing it up
because they just have not been able to run the ball in, I don't even know, two years on Seattle,
basically. So it would be kind of surprised they went run heavier and jammed CMC.
Yeah, the efficiency has been bad now for, I don't know, a good bit, basically all last year too,
right? The usage was solid, but the, you know, just feels like the game breaking stuff is,
is pretty minimal and obviously a difficult matchup. Slop, any thoughts on CMC here in this
Niners and Seahawks matchup.
Yeah, I'm out on anything.
Like, I wouldn't go over either.
All game.
It just, yeah, like everything about that.
No, like, can't do it.
Yeah.
I got to play coming in that game.
Stay on that page.
But Slop, back to you.
What do you like here?
Let's go Michael Wilson.
You can do receptions or you can do yards.
I got it 68 plus.
That is long gone.
But I don't think it matters.
I think he's going to get a Hyundai.
I don't know like Detroit just can't cover anyone.
Like Keon Coleman went six for 60 against him.
Keon Coleman.
Like I didn't even know he was still playing in the NFL.
Again, he's out there going six for 60 on people.
You know what I?
And you start looking to see, I think it was, who was it?
The first week, Alave, it was up there setting records.
I can't even remember what his stat line was.
There was something stupid, like 10 for a buck 82.
Yeah, and then it was Keon Coleman, six for 60 something.
The valet guy went like seven for 69, the same game as Alabe.
Garrett Wilson went 10 for 107, which we learned last week that that's crazy for him because, yikes.
like the game he had last one was terrible and then um tett mcmillan i mean these guys are good receivers i'm not
saying they're these are bums or anything but they're putting up video game numbers like you can just
walk in and target that like they can't be covered you know and like you can let 13 people be out there and
they still wouldn't be able to stop anybody so michael wilson i'd say i mean we can go 100 plus but i mean
if you want just do the standard line but i mean i think he's going 100 plus i think that the lines
to score all over them too.
So this is going to be like one of those games that, you know,
has shootout potential big time.
But I mean, instead of taking it over,
why not just take receiving options on either side and you should be fine.
Yeah, I agree.
And I think both sides too in the like perimeter corners in particular,
I think could could really, really, really crush.
Connor's got the sharp stack screen up here for YouTube watchers and listeners
where you can click into the name and search the alts.
So if you want to find the best price on 100 plus,
instead of just picking a random book and hoping it's pretty good,
you could just do that all through Sharpstack,
one of the many cool features here.
What are we looking at at 100 plus?
It's our best spot.
Yeah, plus 230 is the best spot,
but we're going to roll with Fanduil plus 221
just for the sake of our parlay at 100 plus.
What I love about like taking any cardinal stuff too is like,
you can be dead.
Like you can think you're like, all right,
he's got like 30 yards at half time.
You know, the Cardinals are down a little bit.
And then Jacoby Broussad in the fourth quarter just throw it for like 200 yards and it doesn't even matter.
That would happen basically all of last year.
And I think it could easily happen in this spot.
So especially, I mean, the Lions defense is just, I mean, atrocious right now, it seems like, especially their receiving game.
I'm curious would you think about their run defense and against like Jeremiah Love?
Because I wonder how much Jeremiah Love plays.
I'm kind of debating on that.
Yeah.
I mean.
What I'm hoping for is the lines just to get out and they play with a lead and that's basically driving the passing.
You know what I mean?
Like rather than other than not being able to run.
Does that make sense?
So that's what I'm hoping for.
Like I don't know.
In that past game, if you look at Trey McBride and Wilson the last two weeks, I bet you that just continues.
Like they'll just lock in on two guys and just that's our passing attack.
Yeah.
in like literally the best match of possible Marvin Harrison Jr's line is 34 yards.
Yeah, he's,
he's not an NFL receiver.
Does it get any worse than that?
I mean,
that's just like pathetic,
right?
I mean,
that's so bad.
He's not getting targeted.
He's out there,
but he's not seeing anything.
Like,
him and it feels like Brian Thomas Jr.,
just kind of falling off a cliff here.
It's over.
Yeah,
it's over.
Yeah,
this is going to be a fun game.
It's a good Jammal spot.
Working on the outside, too.
I considered some Jammo stuff and would be down to mix him in some of the parleyes and some of the alts because I think cardinals are soft on the perimeter with Garrett Wilson back in at slot, which I think, I mean, it doesn't mean that Amon Rod doesn't crush.
It just seems like it's a good spot for Jammoh, I would think, to get his stuff done.
All right, I'm going to pick a lot of opportunities, Jamo.
No, that's good.
That's the beauty of him.
It is.
To the Conner's point, it fits the game state for sure.
Right?
Like you never, you never out of it if you're chasing the, chasing the Jammo stuff.
All right, this one's moved a little bit, but I'm still fine with it.
Going back to San Francisco and Seattle, let me play a rushing over.
I'm going to take Brock Purdy, over 22 and a half rushing yards.
He is running a ton.
So if you look, he's always been like, willing to scramble, right?
So, like, yeah, he's in the pocket, but he'll break.
pocket contain breaks he'll take off last year his scramble rate was just a little under six
percent uh this year it's a little over eight when you look at what i like to look at is your
scramble rate when you're pressured right so like you get these quarterbacks that break
contain break pocket when they get pressured but still look to chuck well we're seeing brock purdy
really looked at like tuck and run so far this year his scramble rate when pressured last season was
eight and a half percent it's 17
percent this year. He's top this mark in seven straight games. Two of those were against Seattle.
If you look back last year, Seattle actually faced the highest rate of scrambles in the league at 10.3
percent. It's at 12.5 percent this year. It's the second highest in league. So quarterbacks will run
against Seattle. And they're going to get pressure in the spot. So 22 and a half, ceiling outcomes are
pretty high. He ran like 10 times last game against Denver, who also does a great job of getting pressure,
obviously. So he's going to get pressured. He's running more so than ever this year.
Obviously 17% scramble rate when pressure is not sustainable for him. You do see guys up there
like that though. Like Jane Daniels and Caleb is up there this year. That's like peak
Josh Allen type stuff. He's shifted down. He's not scrambling as much this year. But
Purdy is running. We'll continue to run. You know, even back to his last year rates would be
comfortable taking him with this number at those rates. But they're significantly higher this year. So
slop, any thoughts on Purdy, tucking and run. I like it. I'm in.
in.
Let's go.
Connor, probably said you didn't look at or explore,
but did I cap it enough to get you put in the parlay?
Yeah, it makes sense.
They're going to break some heat.
He's going to, you know, kind of wander on out of there
and, you know, roll for 25, 30 yards, I think.
30 is like plus 150 right now.
So.
QB rushing lines, too.
It was another situation where, like,
you're just, there's never out of it, you know?
Like, just takes one.
You get these, like, you know, they pop for, you know, a long run.
It doesn't take a lot of runs here.
So I like that playing, not the volume play, but the over in the yardage.
So, all right, Connor, back to you.
I know you got a couple more.
I don't know.
Well, I think you got at least one more.
And I want to speak for what you're going to release in the show.
Yeah, I got another bad tight end under for everyone.
So I'm going with Dalton Schultz under 38 and a half receiving yards.
So in the two games, Nico missed.
Schultz went off, 12 for 140.
Well, three of a 30, another one.
But in other two games, he had 35 yards.
and then two for nine.
They're massive favorites here against the Titans team.
It stinks.
But it's actually done okay against tight ends,
four point two yards for targeting against tight end so far.
Maybe that's just noise very much possible.
But again, kind of is pretty interesting nonetheless.
Like literally regardless,
I don't think you just sees enough volume or anything to get near the line of 38.5.
So I think this spot, yeah, it looks like a good spot to play the under here,
38 and a half.
I mean, 36 and a half in other spots, I think that's fine as well.
So again, I think both of us are on the same page of this Texans team, you know,
really just kind of lays the hammer down on Tennessee this week.
Yeah, I think so.
I think it's a good bounce back spot for them.
And obviously, as you highlighted, the Nico on off splits, I think,
or something the market hasn't fully adjusted for yet.
Slop any counters or anything on Schultz or Tennessee, Houston game.
That game's going to suck.
but yeah probably true it's a perfect connor spot yeah it's Connor like oh yeah he's
Monday morning just opens it up it's just like what's the worst game on the slate we find some
unders to hammer in that yeah yeah any shitty weather yeah what's tough is oh like so you know the last
two weeks or a couple weeks i've really only had like i don't know eight-ish plays a week and it's just
not enough volume like i need to be pumping more unders yeah so because like then you're just
sweating like two to three unders a slate and you're like god this sucks like this is not fun you know
so that's not fun but you have like 20 you're like 15 uh and then a couple overs sprinkled in some
all it's maybe we're sweating the parlay you just don't pay attention to unders and then you're like oh
it just happens you just makes you true yeah no yeah you don't want to watch an under right you know it's
a it's a new experience for me this year uh but that's uh it just see what happens at the end
just just look at the whole thing when it's all over and just figure it out be like
Like, you've been doing that?
You've been betting a heavy amount of tackle unders.
Okay.
All right.
Yeah.
No, like, miserable stuff.
For a couple years because, uh, did kids have basketball or something like that?
You know what I'm saying?
Like, I'm Sunday.
And, like, you just missed everything.
So, like, you kind of try and keep up on your phone, but then you realize there's no chance
you can do that.
So it was tough to, like, look afterwards.
Like, it's kind of sucks.
But now I'm back.
Yeah.
I don't watch everything.
I don't like.
game unders those are particularly
painful to watch yeah
oh yeah
you know
so even last night like end this game
get these guys off the field
like you send me to overtime
because you wouldn't kick a extra or a field goal
and you like blow these bets for me
because we have to go to overtime
oh the tilting
so
there's no sound where I'm watching
it because we're at a bowling alley
all right
were they talking about like how stupid
that was to not just go up three scores real quick.
So this team has 10 points.
Yeah.
So like three scores, eight minutes left feels insurmountable.
I got like a pretty big like maybe boomer take here.
Like the the math on that said that like you should have like it was like 50-50 to go for it or not.
I just like don't believe that.
Like no, I don't.
I simply don't believe that.
Like that's kick the field goal.
Find a way to get another first down ever and the game is over.
Like it's three scores.
Yeah, like it's three scores.
Find a way to like that I just, I can't get behind it.
It was extra shocking because it was like a pretty,
Tom Bowles pretty conservative, right?
Like a little bit more old school.
I thought for sure he was throwing up kicking a field goal.
And I was thinking too, like analytics Twitter is going to bury him for not, you know,
trying to punch this in.
And they kind of went the other way.
I think the math is just wrong somehow.
Like, like, something's being weighted, like, like, from fourth and one, or, yeah, like, if you can't really do a quarterback sneak, it's not, you know what I'm saying?
That's not really an option right there, like, where exactly they were.
Then you can't really look at all fourth and ones because if you got, like, quarterback sneaks in there that are, you know what I'm saying?
Do you know what I'm trying to say?
Like, that skews to stats because you can't do that.
Like, from where they were at, they were going to have to run the ball.
I just felt like there's something's got to be off with that.
That makes no sense.
I was happy because I needed the Cowboys to get back in the game.
So I was like, this is beautiful.
Like I can't believe I just got gifted this dumbass decision
because if they don't get this,
they drive down to score touchdown quickly.
It's a one score game with like five minutes left.
Yeah.
Like that's like best case scenario for someone needing the Cowboys.
Yeah, the other math that was tested.
was the Cowboys going for two, right, with the,
always do that.
Yeah.
Always do that.
There's the thought of, if you're coming into the game, essentially, you know,
eight and a half point, nine point favorite in a situation like this,
like maybe OT, if you force this game to get back into a situation where you force
this team to go to overtime, you are probably more than a coin flip favorite again.
So, like, look to extend the game, get to over the team.
I mean, the math there checks out typically pretty well as well.
But, again, definitely a tough, you know, math night.
But you get one two-point conversion and you get the first one, you're all set.
You're in front.
You're in a good spot.
And if you don't, then you just got to make the next one.
Like, so you just got to get one out of two.
Like, I don't mind that at all.
Like, I feel like that actually is a pretty good.
I do agree, though, that, like, if you think you will have, like,
a big edge in overtime. That's great. But they also didn't have a big edge the entire game.
I mean, they kind of got the shick kick cut out of a monster. Yeah. 90% of the game.
So here's the thing that they did have like they couldn't stop anybody. But like, dude,
the fumble on the kickoff, that's just gifting them points. I think they only got three out of that.
But that and then the two picks, I mean, it wasn't Dag's best night. But I mean, like you hit
Ferguson right in the hands. And I mean, what are you going to do? You know, there was two of them
like that in that game if i'm not if i'm not mistaken so like a lot of like really like wonky
shit happened you know what i mean like that the wrong bland dropped a very very clear pick six
uh late in that game that could have flipped things too he oh yeah yeah yeah yeah i forgot about that
so i mean like you just had i don't know i'm not it's not really like excuse him it's more of like
like when you're thinking about it like how bad was that blah blah blah it seems it's one of those
games. I mean, it's football. It's any given Sunday type game.
Yeah. But on a Thursday. True. Any given Thursday.
Yeah. Any given Thursday.
Yeah. Even. No, no, I don't, I, I, dude, you always kick that field. Like,
what are you doing? Like, it's, it's getting to the point where it's like you're the
smartest man in the room type of it. It's like, dude, sometimes you just got to be the guy
up three scores with eight and a half minutes left in the game. You know what I mean?
Like, it's not to be the smartest man in the room. Like, just let me be up three scores. And you can
call me stupid all you want i'll be up three scores yeah like i said usually bowls you would think is
old school just dusty let him uh kick the field goal so i'll stop you got anything else any other
uh plays totals not really i'm kind of looking at um kind of look at that raven's falcons i know
connor's gonna hate anything to do with huntley but i think maybe some dink and dunk maybe
completions for him like pot like i don't know i'm gonna figure it out but what about
haven't gotten that far what's up what about humly rushing 27 and a half yards he had like 60 and
53 in his two starts last year i don't i don't mind that at all he'll take off run and he's not scared
and um prize picks had it at 22 and a half earlier today is that insane that's nuts is it still
there i wonder um no try and very prize picks on this odd screen to be honest because i just
yeah yeah there's no reason i have price picks i just happen to have it on a screen of mine
Here I got, let's see.
No, I think it's gone.
I just laughed.
I was like, man, you guys are way off.
But, yeah, I couldn't imagine him not getting that.
Atlanta's run defense is really good.
Like, I think they're very good.
So you're going to have to get creative with how you move the ball on the ground.
And, like, if they get behind, then obviously scrambles are now on the table, you know, more so than if they were, you know,
playing the game from my head. Zay flowers
I like. I was going to pitch you on
Zay. Yeah. If you like completions, why not just go
Zay over five and a half? Five and a half. I guess
plus 11. Yeah. His actual target rate
with or without Lamar
or I guess with or without Huntley is like the same.
There's really no target per route rate dip.
And then it feels dirty.
The other interesting one
was Mark Andrews
four plus that like
minus 120 something like i've i
get behind
you know what i mean it's four receptions and that's it you're not asking for a lot
yeah
i feel better about you'd say to get six or seven yeah yeah yeah would be my top guy
six i only like going five at the most that's why i hate
like i actually hate six but in this situation
see there you go i'm not the only one dude yeah i got numbers i got certain no
Well, receptions especially, it's just like, I don't know.
The aversion to arbitrary numbers.
Yeah, there's no reason for it, bro.
Yeah.
I mean, and also, you're talking about like you're pricing yourself out of studs when you do that too.
That's the other side of that you're doing that for sure.
For no reason.
It's like, really, because it's just because it's a higher number.
Yeah.
Obviously, it should be a higher number because it's a better player.
Curious about your guys take on this one, because I was looking at this earlier.
year. And I don't have much reason to play it other than they're going to be in positive game script.
Coram's line is a 31 and a half. It's the lowest it's been in, I don't even know, maybe a year.
I don't even know, a long time, like 10 plus games.
It is.
It's like probably midseason last year when before he kind of started getting going.
He just hasn't played much because they've been riding Kairn and he's like losing kind of like game scripts and stuff.
If you think they're going to win, which I think that the Rams might curb stop the bills.
I mean, Corum could have like 100, I think.
Oh, spicy.
Uh-oh.
Probably more like 60, but still, like, I think like a good could be an interesting old play.
Yeah, like, there's actually a couple things in that game that are interesting, depending on some of the injury stuff that shakes out.
Stayed away from it today because it was both Monday and the injury stuff.
And I, you know, new slop was not prepared to think about.
Kincaid.
Yeah.
It kind of like Kincaid.
Yeah, tight end on the other side, too.
If Colby Park.
Yeah.
Which one?
That's the thing.
The rest of them are out.
They're all out, except for one.
Maybe.
All right.
Then I might be in.
Like, yeah, I'm not doing the, oh, is that my big white guy?
No, it's not him.
It's the other one.
You know what I'm saying?
It's like, Jesus Christ.
Oh, my guy has tattoos.
Yeah.
This one doesn't.
It's like just fine.
Like it, they're all always the same numbers too, like 88, 87, and it looks like you see a big eight,
big white guy.
Yeah, like, yes, dude.
And it's like, no, that's not my guy.
Also, you know, the chat.
That's kind of parsed through this right now.
All I'm going to say is that there's a pretty small sample.
There are some pretty significant DJ Moore on off splits for your guy for Keon Coleman.
That's all I'm saying.
Kean and Coleman is out there and getting targeted at a significant rate with DJ Moore off the fields.
And the two games without him, like basically Coleman's out there for like 30% of snaps or he's out there for 80% and getting peppered.
I mean, if we're going to be a serious football show,
I don't think we're allowed to talk about Keon Coleman.
It's a Monday.
We don't have the entry news.
We don't have the DJ more entry news.
Just saying.
Just saying that guy's name, kind of.
Like, I shouldn't have said it earlier.
My bad.
You know what I mean?
I open up to, you know, like just.
I mean, you kind of got me going.
I've done like a spiritual journey with Keon Coleman, honestly.
So, like, I came in and I just like faded the piss out of him for like two years.
And it was very fruitful.
But then this off season.
And when I started doing basketball drafts, I was like, you know, last round pick Keon Coleman on the top offensive league.
I'm like, you know, why not?
So I started trying to sell, you know, Chris, Carlton, Steve on it.
And I got ridiculed.
I mean, they just like laughed me out of the room.
Like it was like kind of embarrassing, honestly.
Like I got, I got dusted.
And now every time King Keon just starts, you know, crushing, you know, I have to send them a reminder that, you know, I was right now through three games, four games after also being.
right two years of his career. I think he probably
sucks, but he is doing well.
Like, he's playing really well. I do think
that McDuffie, yeah,
has been good. It's going to be a tougher
matchup for him this week. But we'll
see. And who else are going to throw it in?
That's kind of the thing.
Shincade.
This is a highly out of the last week.
I think in, I don't even know.
I don't can't remember the last time he's even in the 30s.
Yeah. So,
Keon had a good game when
Gonzalez didn't play.
Yeah, exactly.
Against the Chargers, he turned in a typical Keon Coleman one catch.
Yep.
It was 37 yards.
That's nice.
Are we acting like Christian Gonzalez was going to be shadowing Keon Coleman there?
No, I'm just saying he wasn't out there.
That's all I said.
He wasn't out there.
He wasn't out there.
Yeah, he was not out there.
He was not.
Detroit, he carved up Detroit.
Congratulations.
Correct.
That was actually, he was the fourth worst on, what do we call him?
A wide receiver one against them.
so far the season, so in four games.
But he did have a big six for 63.
And then against Houston, a really a nice one catch for one yard.
Correct.
Ran like a route on 20% of the routes.
This is the, this is the DJ Moore thing.
The whole thing is like he barely plays the DJ Moore.
All revolves on DJ Moore.
DJ Moore is out.
Keong Coleman's going to be out there all night.
You know, and that's all I'm saying.
Does McDuffie
That's the Rams guy
He doesn't follow
We'll not chat
We'll play on the side
We'll see if Jalen Watson's out
Or if it's going to be manual Forbes
You know you could have a manual
A mid off with Mani Forbes
Keon's going to just absolutely
Moss baby Forbes out there
I have a reason to watch him now
Because of this but I'll be honest
I think
I think DJ Moore stuff
I think it's fluky that it's just so
happen to be against like good situations as well you know what i'm saying like like all the things
that's fair way with no jay more that's fair what you can't argue is the fact that he's out there
significantly no no no i won't argue that like yeah like at the same time he's out there more
against just perfect situations you know what i mean like i i just refuse to i i will always argue
until i die that he's not good like i like tell me how good he did and i will find
find a way that it wasn't that good. Oh, I agree. This is not a, I'm not a, this is not a,
this is not a, this is not a, this is not a, no, no, no, no, I know what you're saying.
Coleman is pretty interesting and don't shy away or poo-poo it. I'm telling you DJ Moore,
it's out. This line's in the 50s. This line climbs to 50. People will bet it. Who?
I'm sorry. So what's his number right now?
37 and a half. You think he and DJ Moore is guaranteed out? No, yeah, he's out.
Is he out?
He didn't practice again today, but this is Monday, so they don't have to have, yeah.
I think it's going to go to the 40s, but.
The coach speak is that they think DJ Moore is going to play.
He's going to do everything he can in his power to play.
Okay.
What does that even mean?
Yeah, I don't know.
Basically, does he respond well to the shot?
Is he okay?
I mean, he tried to play with the shot last week and then had to leave the game reagravating the injury.
So, like, I just sit him down.
I'm going to pigeonhole myself into Dalton Kincaid somehow.
I guarantee you, I guarantee you're going to go on Twitter on Monday
and you're going to see me with a Dalton Kincaid somehow, something.
Yeah, that's fair.
I'm just, I think that's, I'm going to have to do it.
Well, Joe Brady had to answer questions this week
is why he didn't have him out there and didn't feature him or,
especially with DJ Moore out.
And it's fair.
Because it'd be surprisingly he ran fewer routes than you would think,
considering that more went out.
It's going to be him.
It's going to be all we've got to figure out ways to give him the ball,
blah, blah, blah.
Let's throw it to him.
Go ahead.
You got any other college guys?
So Kevin Jennings on by this week.
What do we do?
I'm going to figure out a way to galaxy brain myself into the Bama, Georgia over.
In the hurricane?
Yeah.
Somehow it's going to go over.
Yeah.
Okay.
I don't know how it, but somehow it goes over.
You might have to wait until kickoff, though.
Carter, look at the EV tool.
Anything in the EV tool in the college side?
That's what I always do, because I'm not handicapped in college.
I just go to the EV tool, see if I could find myself some hot magic in here.
Maybe you find it over.
There's some stuff here.
Let me look at this.
Kate, who's this, Hauser, under 253 and a half.
I mean, this has just got to be wrong, right?
There's no way that's just a lot.
is it 240?
Yeah, this is like 10 yards off the rest of the market.
So I don't know.
Maybe score better is just to sleep at the wheel.
Yeah, that's for a minute ago.
It's a minute old.
So it's fresh.
It's possible.
Yeah.
Maybe let's take off some of these here.
Yeah, MGM, Ashton Daniels under 53 and a half.
I mean, yeah, this is like six yards, seven yards off market.
College player props are wild, dude.
Like, you'll just see the craziest shit to bet on here that are just like just way off market.
So was that Jordan
Jordan Davidson maybe there's a
A ladder opportunity there
Was he it out and over?
Yeah 59 and a half
Only 60 half minus 150 though at Pinnacle
That's that's pretty good
69 and a half on draftings
This is 10 yards off that's crazy
That's wild
Bollical
Oh my guess
3 7 day trial right now folks
Take advantage
Yeah so Bama Georgia is the most fun game
On that side 7th 3rd
It's a good, at a great time.
Everything about Saturday night is going to be electric.
Right into Sunday with 930 games.
So, I mean, like, you only have to go to bed, really.
It's true.
Just find a late game, West Coast game.
I almost said a little Pac-10 action.
That's sad.
Here you go, you got Keel and Russell.
I mean, it's still 230 passing.
Are you said there's going to be like a hurricane?
No.
It won't affect the game.
That's what they're saying.
latest models though
so if you ever been through hurricanes
you don't really know but
it's not gonna like
I'm reading an article like I actually
I have one of my tabs if I can find it
it too many tabs up guys
I can't see all that well either
what's up you and Kevin Roth's DMs right now
just hitting them up want me to hit them up
yeah no so hang on hang on
I'll read it it's a bleach report
about an hour ago
Saturday night's
massive SEC clash
between Georgia and Bama
at whatever stadium may
avoid the wrath of
Hurricane Isaiah
and then according to the weather
channel blah blah blah blah blah
it looks surprisingly tame
around 730
So it's like okay
Where you usually acquire your weather news
Is Bleacher Report? No
I mean well they got it from somewhere else in their defense
You know what I'm saying?
Yeah of course
Yeah they didn't
I mean, how many original thoughts is Bleacher Report adding their entire?
I don't think they really do.
And basically what I'll do is I'll Google.
Bleacher Report weather?
No, Alabama, Georgia weather.
And then, you know, you'll get your, what you'll call it, like your whole list of news.
You got to watch out though, because they'll give you the AI overview, which.
Can't trust those.
It's not right a lot.
Like, it's crazy how much it's actually wrong.
So you got to watch out trash.
Like they're like unbelievable.
Yeah.
So yeah, you got to watch out.
Yeah, so you're looking at heaviest rains and top tropical storm impacts are expected earlier in the day and Friday night dropping a low shower chance around 24% by kickoff.
Winds will calm down, light breeze, minor gusts.
Dude, I think we're looking at a nice over, dude, a fun one.
somehow.
I hope.
I don't know how it's going to happen,
but I think it is.
I'll be excited.
It's enough conviction for me.
Yeah.
Parlay.
Dude,
Saturday night, guys.
I got another play.
Okay.
I got another play.
We can't put in the parlay.
It's not a parley play,
unfortunately.
It's a Connor Allen.
Stinky under.
What do you got?
I do have another play
that could go in the parlay, though.
I can make that an effective.
official play too but first i'm to play this is also got hit a little bit but i don't i don't
really care uh we're going to play this i wanted to play it last week but then some of the
actually some of the dated and matchup wise work out as well daniel jones not run the football
give me danny jones under nine and a half rushing yards again a really low number uh but
daniel jones is he's done we are you know sometimes you get that like you know you get a puppy
you think a little golden retriever puppy they got a lot of energy you're running all
time.
A little bit older, they slow down.
They get old.
They get the white circles around their eyes.
Yeah.
Danny Jones has got white circles.
We got white circles Danny Jones at this point.
His days of being a points bad darling for us are long, long gone.
You go back to 2022, 2022, 2023, elite scramble rate, like kind of in the Brock Purdy
range we were talking about.
9.5% 13 and a half when pressure.
Last season dropped in half.
5.4% scramble rate down to 8% when he was pressured.
This year, now coming off of a blown Achilles in December,
scramble rate 3.4%, 3.1 when pressured,
he is not interested in running at all.
He's getting rid of the football really quickly.
Even when he's had a couple of games where he's run like a handful of times,
he's still going like a yard or two.
Underrun this six straight times.
He's failed to top five yards.
in five of the past six.
So even though this is dipped a little bit from 11 and a half early in the week,
down to 10 and a half and then now 9 and a half, again,
he's gone under six in five of his past six.
He's not running the football whatsoever.
So I like this one here.
Again, widely available between minus 113, 121,
pretty much nine and a half everywhere.
So again, not exciting, not a ceiling outcome,
not a bet that we would be layering into our parlay.
But I'm sorry, Danny Jones just ain't running anymore.
So you guys probably don't have thoughts because you've not thought about Daniel Jones running.
But I almost played against Washington, but they blitz a lot.
Yeah, I'll be honest with you.
I have not thought about Daniel Jones and running in a while.
Yeah, we're not doing it.
More like Kurt Cousins, honestly now at this point in his career than like a bad Kurt Cousins.
Yeah.
Also coming off in Achilles.
Like that's kind of what morally looks like than old Daniel Jones.
Yeah, he's just not interested in running the ball.
Those days are those days are gone.
I'm going to give you one more.
You get one more for the people.
Give me one second and get it in here for the people.
This way, because I want this one.
I would like to get this one in the parlay.
And I don't want our lovely, lovely listeners to cook this out.
I can tell you about the rest of the parlay so far.
Yeah, let's get it.
Prep that one.
So I got purdy, 30 rushing yards.
I got over 42 and a half points in Viking Saints.
You know, the slop special there.
It's his century.
total play of the century total yeah and then total of the century
there you go yeah yeah figure out the words eventually uh michael wilson 100 plus yards
bowers 100 plus noon and also like drake london over so i played that 100 plus i mean he's just
been absolutely crushing with yeah uh you know pennix so it i mean makes sense there
i'm contributing manny wilson 20 plus receiving yards like three designed targets last week
four total.
I think that, again, his real line is like 10 yards.
So 20 yards, I think, again, needs a good game.
But he's getting three or four catches.
That's basically nothing.
So Niners allowed 31 receptions to running backs through four weeks.
So a lot of good upside there, I think.
Slop, did I miss any of your plays here or anything you wanted to add?
We got six legs here, 356 to 1.
Yeah, you got Michael Wilson, right?
Yep.
Wilson, 100 plus.
We could.
Yeah.
And then the over.
We had no love for Sunday night, or you just want to just end it?
Oh, Jake Lennon's in there.
The other side of it, though.
Other side of the game.
But if you want to bring in, I'm good, I would sign off.
We're going to sign off with some say flowers.
I'd sign off on some say flowers.
I mean, you got to think it's just get the ball to him, no?
I mean.
Like plus 100, too.
I mean, he's getting fed.
I mean, I just feel like Decombe Doyle understands what the plan needs to be here.
Like, I don't know.
Yeah.
Get it to your one, your one dude that can make people miss.
So probably get like two to one.
We'd need 90 plus on say or 80 plus is like plus 136.
I got a leg here that's going to.
Okay.
All right.
All right.
Where there were, I think going to be,
is got a little bit of potential.
Matthew Golden, over 55 and a half receiving yards.
Wily available in this range.
If you look at some of the matchup data,
the bears are playing both man coverage and cover one at top three rates.
I mean, I think Golden's out there, tons out there even more than Watson.
Really has kind of been like the de facto water receiver one in a lot of ways.
He destroys both cover one and man coverage.
Actually, last year we kind of started to get ramped up during like right around the playoffs,
84 yards against the Bears.
He's topped this in the first four games,
comfortably, kind of a stinker last week.
They didn't have a lot of dropbacks.
Did see seven targets.
Again, almost another like 27% target rate.
But I like his yak ability too.
So in the spot where I think he's going to see some man coverage,
maybe a trailing game script.
Again, they're underdogs here.
Now we got the Ditka angle too.
Like, you know, we had, once Walter Payton passed away,
he was blocking field goals in Green Bay.
Now we got the coach.
Coach is going to block a punt or a kick or something this week or a sack.
He's in for something.
So you're going to be a trailing game script for Green Bay, I think, or at least neutral.
I just think Golden is heavily involved.
And I know the Bears defense has been better.
I still think that they have, they're susceptible to some big plays,
especially with as much man and cover one as they play.
And Golden is better at that.
He's a higher target rate than Christian Watson even does.
His numbers lower than Christian Watson.
It's just a lot here where I think they're kind of equal and the golden stuff is a little bit better.
So I think we'd climb him out to, I don't know, 70 plus, 80 plus.
Nice little leg in the parley.
added it in i love it that's great um yeah we're not big believers in the bears long term here so i think
that you know good at causing turnover it's not so much good at anything else so yeah like golden there
and that's pretty interesting i am really interested to see what they post rocheon numbers at
because they posted swift numbers at 84 and a half to 86 and a half rucking yards here at this point
And so, I mean, I would basically what we saw with Menongai and him, we're seeing like, it was like 60 and like 50 basically of those two lines.
So now we got Monongai out.
They brought Swift all the up to like high 80s, you know, 86.
I think he put Rocheon like 20, 15.
Ben Johnson has basically been saying like it's next man up.
We're going to have a rotation.
Like we're going to have other guys in the mix.
He basically benched DeAndre Swift last week.
for that fumble and said, yeah, the ones against Minnesota were fine.
The one last week was egregious.
That's literally what he said.
He said it was horrible.
And he didn't play the rest of the game.
I'm sure he's going to play.
But again, Rochon's line, I think, is going to be really low.
And I know Noon's a day one Rochon believer.
So I'm excited to see what that drops has because I think they might just run the ball like crazy.
They do too.
I mean, you can beat up the Packers in the trenches.
So, yeah, that one will be nice.
We'll get it.
We just might not get it until Sunday.
Yeah, it's going to be like a Sunday morning type of thing.
I don't know.
I mean, what did they, like, I would be pretty upset if they posted it like at 30 or like high 20s.
But like he just barely plays.
Like I think it might be like 15.
Yeah, I would say high teens.
Maybe like 18 and a half to 22 and a half probably in that range.
Be my guess.
Jam the over.
Possible.
I think Rochon's good at the game.
Hasn't,
worked out for him unfortunately.
So all right.
So what's the part of lay at?
We are at, we're keeping a light this week.
12 doing 11K.
That's pretty good.
I mean, that'll get us started.
Yeah.
Yeah, we can roll that 11K over the next week.
Yep, maybe we go 100 on the next one after we win this one.
Yeah, 200.
A G bone.
A G bone.
Do the kids call it on G bones?
I think so.
I think we used to call it.
that back in the day when I was a kid so it's been a while okay but yeah a G-bone was
a thousand dollars was hmm the kids call it bands you know yeah bands I'm not sure what
bands are it's a thousand or is it a hundred I wasn't sure so it's like a stack a stack
a stack versus a band yeah you got you don't know we don't know we need you to be it's a stack
like I'm not young enough anymore either dude it's true money dude yeah connor's 30s now
I'm in my 30. I got a kid.
Can't believe you made it to your 30s, dude.
Like that's wild.
Last night, just in the real shitter I know.
All right. So here's the real question, though.
So on Friday night, are you watching like Dateline or 2020 yet?
Like the one that comes on network like in the time slot of like 10 o'clock?
Yeah, live.
Live.
Are you to that age yet?
I will never watch that.
That is, I have no.
Yeah, you're not.
I'm telling you, you will
and you're going to be old when you do it.
And that's how you're going to know.
You're like, yeah, I was literally just thinking,
I wonder what's on 2020 tonight.
Like, it's just bad.
That's on in the background,
like kind of watching it and I'm looking at like football bets
for the weekend.
Yeah.
Wow.
At this time of year.
Yeah.
So you're still young.
You're still young.
You're not quite a spot where, like,
my YouTube algorithm is starting to feed me.
National Geographic stuff?
Yeah, it's tough.
Like, oh, man.
How do we get here?
I'm like, actually, that sounds,
actually sounds really interesting.
I think I'm going to watch that.
And then that's how we're there.
I'm like, that's,
that's,
I'll bookmark it and come back to LA.
I'm like,
what do I bookmark this nonsense?
But like, because I'll watch it during the day.
I'm like, I should be doing this right now.
You know what I mean?
So you got to bookmark stuff.
And then before I know it, you just destroyed your YouTube algorithm.
Yeah.
You got to do, you got multiple YouTube's just for,
yeah, you can't do it.
on your real account because like you're not going to get what you really want yeah all right so
no nice work connor way to still be young that's good do you go out on friday nights uh a fair amount
i mean it depends like we got a sitter we had we had a really fun wedding last weekend you know
going to get some dinner tonight with a friend going to lamo on sunday um uh steve smoking some ribs
on saturday so we're going to take the baby out there and you know five for a little bit um so yeah
I would say we still try and, you know, frequent, you know, I'm not going like clubs anymore
for the most part, but, you know, like.
Yeah, I haven't done that in a long time.
Yeah, but out, yeah, I mean, maybe you've got to learn one way or another that, you know,
a nice cold Miller light is the way to go.
Yeah, we'll do that Saturday night.
Usually we get after it a little bit, like where there's a nice college football game on,
you know, stuff like that.
But yeah, and plus, like, I mean, I got my mind blown last night at bowling.
So, like, you kind of want to take the night off on Friday.
So 2020's perfect.
You see what happened to Jim there on the bottom there?
The dateline, like this is a problem that you'll never have, Connor.
This happens.
And this is bullshit when it happens.
It is.
I hate it.
I'm just like, guys, I don't even know what this means.
I feel like I've seen this before.
And I'm like, yes, it was on two weeks ago on the other one.
Yeah.
Poor shit.
There shouldn't be some rule against that.
Because there's enough, like, murder stories that you don't have to take some
somebody else.
You know what I'm saying?
Like if you saw it on 20,
two weeks ago,
don't do your show on it this week.
It's fair.
It's for the people.
But yeah.
Yeah,
there's a lot of common alleys
between Dateline and 2020,
Conner,
sometimes they can report
on the same news story.
You know,
they devote the hour basically to it
to an extended story,
you know,
so it's like a shortened,
made for network,
Netflix style,
you know,
crime documentary,
but it's a little bit more like,
you guys still have cable?
Yeah,
Yeah, YouTube TV.
Same.
Okay, it's on YouTube TV.
Okay.
Yeah.
So, no, it'll come on like ABC or whatever.
You know what I'm saying?
It'll be like their Friday night program, like 10 o'clock.
They give you a sub-story about somebody who got whacked in the suburbs.
And like, they don't know who did it for a while and they figured it out.
And then you go to bed.
Yeah.
Yeah.
It's pretty, I mean, it's a great existence.
It's nice.
Yeah.
I enjoy the, you know, the crime documentaries of, uh, on Netflix.
There's a lot of bangers out there.
Yeah.
real, real crazy.
That's a real fucked up people out there, man.
Very, very fucked up people.
Like bad, dude.
Yeah.
You think Connor's bad.
Yeah.
It's rough.
I'm like Patrick.
Yeah.
YouTube algorithm.
Gambling in 90s music.
I got a little, I get a lot of golf, a lot of golf in there too for me.
But yeah, sometimes I'll, like, just put it on and I'll play like some like Pearl Jam concert from, you know,
1996 to the background.
while I'm doing some like you know defensive work so someone come in like what are you doing
like oh it's just it's like I'm listening to the radio but it's just a live concert you know what you
do you got to protect your YouTube algorithm the people okay yeah that's the that's pretty
the gist of it that's that's the lesson to be learned here is watch out man all right sharp stack
free seven day trial it's up on the screen if you're watching on youtube uh which if you are we
appreciate it hit the thumbs up before you take off again you can find move the line on
YouTube and move the line wherever you listen to the podcast. You get a free seven day trial of it.
If you want, you know, discount code, hit up the show notes, hit us up directly.
Just go over to 44.com, hit the deal section. You can see on the top, there's sharp stack,
there's deals, lots of different ways to get involved on all the things that we have going on.
You want to get the betting subscription, which can get all the official plays with Connor and I,
get them a little bit before. We even share them here in the show. Get the rest of the stuff that
we play before and after the show. You want to get the betting sub. Check that out in the deals
tab as well. Slop, what do the people need to know where they need to get into?
to this week. What are we getting down on?
The Splash Fantasy Tears contest, Week 5, Fantasy Tears, 15K
guaranteed.
All right, go to Splash. The homepage, just scroll down.
You're going to see my face. It's right there.
It's almost full, so you've got to hurry up and do that now.
Your face?
It's good. It's good.
If you're good, don't come.
I pretty much only want people that don't, aren't that good.
I need to get a win.
So we've got to figure it out, but we'll see what happens.
But yeah, I'm just kidding.
Anybody can come in.
It's fun.
Jeff, we didn't get Jeff in the chat.
I think Jeff had a, like a...
Probably still sleeping.
Yeah, because I think he had a big win.
He had like a big, like six leg parlay that he got down on last weekend.
Like, I think was a big winner for him.
So he's probably been on quite, quite the rail for the last five, six days.
Yeah, I hope he's all right.
Your club already?
Oh, a thousand percent.
If he made the money that he told me he made,
he definitely spent 48 of the last 90-something hours in the strip club.
I mean, what better way than going to a Western mass strip club
and like a vegan one and then just spending it all there?
Thousand percent?
Yeah.
Was he down in Florida?
I think he's down in Florida.
Yep.
Tampa area, I believe.
Maybe not.
No vegan strip clubs there, but.
Yeah.
Terrorizing the Gulf Coast.
Yeah.
A lot of strip.
clubs though, Tampa. I think they got
vegan ones probably. A ton.
Yeah. Probably got to look for them, but
yeah, they probably got them.
Yeah. So you just get a big in the strip for you. I'm sure
that there's one there. Yeah.
Yeah. For sure.
All right. Appreciate everyone as always. Again, thumbs
up, subscribe, all those things before you take off. We'll be back.
Monday. Connor and I will talk about some Monday night football
stuff. Look through Sharpstack. Find
some lines there. So, for Slop.
And Connor, I'm Ryan. We'll see you all next time. Thanks, everybody.
