Move The Line - Expert NFL Conference Championship Player Prop Bets! | Top Picks, Predictions & Odds
Episode Date: January 23, 2026Get ready for the Conference Championships with our top prop bet picks! Join us as we break down the best NFL prop bets for opening week, analyzing player performances, key matchups, and hidden opport...unities to maximize your winnings. Whether you're betting on touchdowns, yardage, or game-changing plays, we've got the insights you need to make the smartest bets. Subscribe now and start the season with a winning edge!Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/plansSign-up on FanDuel Today 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/go/fanduel Follow 4for4 on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/4for4footballFollow 4for4 Bets on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/4for4betsFollow Move the Line on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/MoveTheLineNFL Follow Connor on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/ConnorAllenNFLFollow Ryan on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/RyNoonanFollow John on X 👉🏼 https://x.com/SlopRules Visit our Website 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/Join our Discord 👉🏼 http://discord.gg/4for4Subscribe to our YouTube Channel 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3OupraJ4for4 Betting Strategy Hub 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3hm39cw4for4 Betting Picks 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3LUp0EaNFL Betting Odds & Predictions 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3nsW9QU Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Hello and welcome to move the line, prop drop show presented by Sharpstack.
Ryan Newton joined here as always by my friends conference championship weekend.
Connor Allen, John High Slop.
Connor, what's going on with you, buddy?
Yeah, not a whole lot.
It is what, negative 20 degrees right here with wind chill in Chicago right now.
I think we're at, oh, no, it feels like negative seven.
We are up from when I walked to my dog this morning, she would not move.
So, you know, I brought her outside and she just did like a full hard stop when I was pulling her.
I was like, you don't, you don't got to go to the bathroom?
And she's like, nope.
You know, just ran back to the house and that was it.
So it is unbelievably cold.
But, you know, nothing we can't survive.
Nothing we can't get over because we're Chicago tough.
You know, we'll be fun.
Real feels in the negative 30s is pretty, pretty brutal.
Slop, you're up there in the Northeast.
You're going to get, you know, you don't have rigid attempts like we do.
But you're going to get dumped on with some snow here, right?
Yeah, we're about to get rolled, bro.
the grocery store that I go to is an absolute war zone right now.
Like I went out, I was like, holy shit.
Like everybody in the town, I feel like it's at Market Basket right now.
Let's go.
Oh, yeah, Friday, 2 o'clock.
I couldn't believe my eyes.
I was like, wow.
I thought I was like a day ahead, but I'm actually, I feel like I'm behind a little bit.
I'm going to get it figured out, though.
It's good.
You got to have weekend food when you know you're about to be.
if Snowden with football games, it makes it different because you, I mean, you just, you got to be
ready. You got to. You only got two windows, you know, windows.
They're weird windows, though. They're not normal windows. They're three and six. I got,
I'm one and four and an eight. You don't know what I mean? Usually don't, you don't get the three and six
a lot. Yeah, that's true. A little bit different. Donnie's in New Hampshire. A 16-year-old,
Ryan Nunes was a
Marky Basket
employee for a little bit there
on the summer
with my shirt and tie on
grabbing carts
bagging groceries
got promoted to like I have my own aisle
you know like a big deal
wow
you're a big deal
yeah I think once I got promoted
I stopped the shoplifter
I remember that story
and that
that'll get you
that'll get you promoted
frowned upon
on, I think, nowadays.
But, you know, live free or die.
I got to do what you're going to do.
Yeah, I don't stop shoplifters.
I, too, was a bag boy down south in Florida, in Port St. Lucie, Florida at the Publix.
I can't remember the, there was like a plaza name because there was multiple publics in town.
So, like, there was Darwin, which I did not work at, or if the other one.
I don't remember what that's got.
St. Louisville West Publix.
That's what it was.
Yep.
right around the corner from where this kid killed somebody he beat an old lady to death of the
walkman and that was how he kind of got famous in the area the st lucy west area yeah the walkman
killer that's why his name was um broncaccio they they actually had his family had like a pizzeria
or some shit uh like a italian restaurant in the same plaza so it was a whole thing you can look it up
it was actually a pretty fascinating story uh public since sanis west was not in the story though
So I don't even know where I'm going with that.
Are you sure his name wasn't Jeff?
No, Jeff is, no, I don't think he's even allowed in Fort St. Lucy.
Jeff.
They don't have enough cocaine in Porteumously for Jeff.
So I wasn't, you know, Donnie called me out for, you know, negative EV move.
Probably true.
My intentions weren't to stop a shoplifter.
But our baggage area was aligned with a magazine rack in the boo section.
And I'm bagging groceries, mine in my own business.
And this dude or hurdles.
the magazine section and then I see people chasing him.
I took kind of a casual step because I was between him and the door and he rocked me.
I'm talking like forearm shiver, boom, right back into the bag of station.
Like I was, my pride was damaged.
So I just chased him down.
I'm 17.
I'm spry at this point.
Chased him down.
Duck the punch, tackled him.
Because again, tackles.
You know, I got to stay true.
My road.
This is where it comes from.
You know, I had to good form tackle.
head up, shoulders in the chest,
lift him from the bottom, he was bigger than I was.
He's just whacking me on the back,
and big guys came, peeled me off, got him arrested.
He threw up all over the place later.
Turns out he was wasted.
But he had been stuffing cards of smokes in his backpack.
So I wasn't trying to stop the shoplifter.
I got my world rocked.
I couldn't just stay there, pick myself up,
and just bag groceries like nothing happened.
So lift for the guy, you get it, you know.
You beat the shit out of a drunk guy.
I mean, I tackled him.
Yeah.
survived him kind of pummeling the shit out of me for a little bit.
I'm a lot of him, man.
Drunk people are super underrated to beat up.
I mean,
you think you're not going to win,
but you don't realize that they only got a couple swings in them
and they're not accurate.
And they are getting to get tired fast.
So like if you can just survive the first, you know,
couple swings,
a lot of times, too,
they're wild,
hey, mate,
you can just rock them,
dude.
Yeah.
They're hammered.
They don't see anything coming.
No,
whatever he had in the tank he gassed out by hurtling the magazine rack uh so by the time i caught
you know that's pretty sweet it was that is sick you hear the young man i never i never thought to
stop a shoplifter ever like javs always i'd say well go ahead bud like look at that crazy bastard
do you know what i mean like wow yeah like he's just like stealing cigarettes and running from
people yeah like i got like i think minimum wage was like four dollars and 25 cents
at the time. So there is no chance I'm stopping. That's not even enough to like like for me to bag groceries,
much less I'm stopping shoplifers now. It's a great point. No, no, no, no, no. Yeah. You know what's messed up,
dude. The minimum wage kept changing about this time, right? So like if you made whatever you started at
and then the new minimum wage got raised to 425, you just got a raise to 425. Everyone else new hires are getting like,
they get more than you because they they always would pay like a little bit more i fucking hated
that i still remember now i still i'll never forget that i was like you like new high like
people are walking in the door making more than me i've been there for like two months two whole months
you know you're a vet in the retail space honestly two months is a vet i mean to be real long time
bagging groceries at public they didn't let you accept tips and that was where we
we had just a philosophical
disagreement with that
because if someone hands me money
I always take it.
That's just a personal rule
that I'll never stop.
Like that's just a rule I have.
Like you hand me money, I take it.
So if they tell me I can't,
I got to say I can't do it.
So yeah, I had to get out of there.
Yeah.
Good place, so great subs.
Publix?
Yeah, Pububs.
Yeah, they hooked up with the me.
It was, I mean, I don't know me.
I don't have any regrets.
No regrets.
This is great.
We got some good comments here.
I hate being the same age of slop.
I started at 425 in my first job, too.
And then Jason said, I think I was 465 in an usher, a movie theater.
This day is my favorite job.
And I mean, I was a pickle salesman at a farmer's market.
It was my first job for $7 an hour.
I would just like set up at a farmer's market in suburb of Chicago and sell this guy's
pickles for him and like muffaletta and Jardera and stuff like,
that and I learned that if I could sell pickles,
I thought I could sell anything else.
So it was, uh,
you know,
it was good.
Yeah,
it was great.
It wasn't,
well,
it was like easy retail because it was all just these hipsters and,
you know,
like,
mom,
myths and,
you know,
it was great.
It was like,
it was awesome.
That is cool.
Yeah.
And then you just like,
I don't want to do this anymore.
You just leave your stand,
go get some free food from some other vendors and like,
trade them some food and then come back.
Yeah.
It was great.
Oh,
that ain't,
I did all kinds of shit,
dude.
Like,
I had every job.
Like if I recycled golf balls before,
they had people dive in the lakes in Florida and get golf balls out.
And then they owned us and then we recycled them.
That's a sick job.
Yeah, that was,
no,
that was a very dangerous job.
Like the work conditions were not great, dude.
Like, we aren't they gators?
Like,
you could die.
Oh, yeah, dude.
I didn't jump in the water for the balls.
I was like,
I just was at the factory.
And the factory is like in a strip mall,
like an industrial park.
Dude,
like,
like we had like exposed wires in the shit.
Like it was so like when you want, I don't even know how that was legal.
Like there's no way that place was up the code.
Like you could have been killed like literally on a daily basis, a weekly basis.
Like where it's just like it was so bad.
But that was a cool job.
And then just you just find out like serve.
And that's when like whenever you turn like 18, 19, that's when you realize like,
wait a minute, I can just work like two days a week and make like twice as much as
the people bagging groceries and shit.
Because it was just so much easier working restaurants.
You get tips and shit.
Yeah. Yeah. We had our whole friend group. Like there was probably seven or eight maybe not. It was so many people. Like you walk in there. It's like, how all do you guys work here? It was unbelievable. It was like everybody was a borderline criminal. You know what I mean? Types. You know, so it's like, I don't know. These are great hires. And then not only did you have like one or two of them. You had all of them. Like there was literally every single one of us. And it was that was a good couple months before we started getting.
picked off left them right i have probably a core of like six friends that we've all served together
like three or four different places yeah that's a time where i was like a hiring manager and i
hired them to serve for me as i'm sure that well yeah mostly well yeah for the most part
sometimes i was good but i was always good for like i'd get fired then i could go just get another
job and then whenever the people from the place i used to work at whenever they would get fired
They would just come over to the place that I have now infiltrated.
And that works for many years.
Like, well, so yeah, it was good, man.
Those are great days, dude.
This is an electric comment here.
Watching while walking on the treadmill of the gym,
got next me, taps my shoulder.
He said, hey, were they saying we'll win.
I said, I don't know, man.
They're talking about bagging, groceries and selling pickles.
Don't worry.
We got some picks coming.
But, you know, we always like to spend them five, ten minutes
talking about nonsense.
Whatever we're talking about pre-show,
we just decide we're going to hit alive
and then talk about it on the show.
That's funny.
That's funny.
I don't know.
I don't know if they're going to give any picks today.
Two windows, though.
So I think a decent amount of picks.
So I'm sorry.
We'll get there.
We'll get there.
I got two today, guys.
I swear to God, I have no shot of losing.
Maybe three.
Okay.
I think I did all right.
Did we have Benung guy?
Was that me?
Yep.
Yeah, yeah.
Look at that.
Did I have anything else?
Was it Kincaid, maybe?
I forget what I had.
But I think I rocked last week.
Yeah, I think you crushed.
I'm pretty sure.
It was good.
Postseason guy.
Everyone knows that about you.
Huge postseason guy.
Also, my favorite comment under last week's good, I started looking back at some of the comments
because I think they're funny on YouTube.
And one of them was like, Slops should be a politician.
No one sells a play that's going to lose.
sure like him or something like that.
I was like this is great.
You got to sell, man.
That's it.
I'm going to talent mode because I don't know, man.
That's just the way it is, dude.
Because otherwise it's just explaining a bet.
Like that sucks.
Like you want to like, you want to.
You know what I mean?
Like let me like make me like move me.
You know what I mean?
Like make me open my app and bet the shit too.
Right.
Go read a list of picks.
You know, our job is to convince you that we're correct.
Yeah.
Our job is convince you that being in retail when you're younger can lead to some great stories.
That's what our job is going to do.
Oh, 100%.
Now, restaurants, I would say that that's where it gets a little bit like R-rated, maybe X-rated.
I don't know.
I could probably spend another 30 minutes talking about that as two former district managers of fast food restaurants in precarious areas.
So, that had to be fun.
Oh, it was, I mean, yeah.
Bad neighborhoods?
I mean, I was on the south side of Chicago, like straight up, like, right by O'Block.
We had a couple stores.
You know, there's a bunch of places.
If anyone's familiar with the Waikigan area in, you know, northern Illinois on the coast,
not a great neighborhood.
Yeah, not particularly great.
The store I was not there at the time, but I had a store get middle of the day held up at gunpoint.
So yeah, I do think that there are a lot of things to learn by being in the food service industry,
especially in your late teens, early 20s.
Yes, I can kind of spill into our X-related type of situations.
But I think those are also good experiences to learn as well.
And you're the right proper age to do so.
Yeah.
No, I think that any job should ask if you ever been in like food service and like the service
industry period or i mean even ask you guys if you ever been pissed a whiffed at work before like i mean
i think it kind of builds character you know what i mean dude i saw i might we'll get to the place
but i was stunned watching football this weekend this like um politician commercial comes on and i'm like
i didn't even know what it was at first i saw the guy on tv and like holy shit i know that guy
this guy was a notorious eat your whole plate and complain oh nice everywhere
And like I worked, originally I worked at this like macaroni grill.
First of all they don't even exist anymore.
But like they were like a better version of the Olive Garden.
It's kind of like the origin of where my friend group and I served.
And there was a Fridays, Chili's and like a Lone Star all within like this little parking lot.
But we always close first.
So we could go to the bar and go to Fridays and they'd be open for an hour later.
I'd see this guy.
Everyone that served in this little area knew this guy.
turns out he's running for like governor of Illinois.
Who is he?
Who is he?
You got to tell me.
But I'm like,
I know,
my wife was like,
holy cow,
I'm never seeing him.
I know this guy.
He used to come in.
Everyone knew him and he was just,
of course he's running for office.
Yeah.
Illinois.
Not the current president,
but yeah,
he's not a fantastic human being.
But yeah,
maybe he'll win in Illinois.
Because,
yeah,
anyway,
I'm not going to get in any of that.
But it was very wild to see this.
politics, boys.
It's not Raja.
No, it is not.
If you guess I'll tell you,
but not currently any of the names in the chat.
But let's get at the place.
Let's talk.
Let's talk football.
Two windows.
One window, kind of.
Two windows, independent of each other.
Bangers of games.
We want to remind you to check out Sharpstack,
if you haven't already.
4.4.com slash plans.
NFL playoffs is a promo code you can use
for a $10 first month after your seven-day trial.
Check out social.
I think there's even better deals than the $10 one right now, for being honest.
So head over to Sharpstack on Twitter if you want to find a great deal,
lots of different stuff going on.
Again, just kind of want your feedback still in its infancy.
We're ruling all sports there too.
So you can bet NBA, NHL.
We got golf odds in there now.
Not necessarily golf bets on the EV tool, but lots of stuff.
Continue to add hashtag no days off in Sharpstack.
So, all right, Connor, floor is yours.
First play conference championship weekend.
What do you got?
Yeah, I'm going to go with Kenneth Walker under 85 and a half rushing yards.
Find this on Jack Kings Fandle, Slops already shaking his head here.
Play for the second game in the season without Charbonnet.
First game against the Saints was 16 carries 38 yards.
Seahawks Alon is banged up right now.
There's a couple of downside scenarios here too.
If they fall behind and are forced to throw, they don't really trust him past pro.
So you may be on the field less.
Seahawks activated George Halani, who, I don't think.
is going to play a big role by any means, to be honest.
I do expect Kenneth Walker to get the majority of the carries.
I do expect him to end up somewhere in the 15, 17, 18 carry range.
That being said, there's plenty of ranges of outcomes here where he gets a lot of carries
that normally Sharbonnet would get that are kind of like dirty between the tackles,
kind of grinded out third and one carries where he's getting maybe two yards,
but it's not, he's not expending his energy in the right place.
And we've seen this actually certain running backs throughout the years.
Like some running backs just like need to be used.
in space. They need to be used on certain types of carries.
Otherwise, they're just not that effective overall.
And if you give them a bigger workload, it doesn't always translate.
I kind of think Kenneth Walker is that guy.
Rans of Lodge was four running backs to go over, one of which was Walker, but all of his
damage came on like a 55-yard run.
So I'm going to take the under here.
I mean, I told Newton earlier, but this guy owes me unbelievable amounts of money.
And so now is when I take it all back, you know, instead of showing up to his house,
we show up to the game.
We're collecting from the bookies
from the winners. So I like this.
I think it's a good look.
I got a hole on Kendall Walker last week,
over 12 and a half rushing attempts.
He was probably going to lose,
but Sharbony went down and we
cleared and he posted.
A heck of a game. Slap,
there was obviously a little disdain
for the play and your natural reaction.
Do you have any kind of Walker thoughts?
No, I'm not taking anything on Kenneth Walker.
No, no undershow.
How much, I mean, he owes you a lot of money, Connor, right?
Yeah.
I mean, the quick highlight is not only this year when we got,
we bet on Walker at 52 yards,
Sharbonne was out,
and he closed like 78 yards against the Saints as touchdown 10 plus favorites.
Motion involved here is what you're saying.
So that one, I mean, that pissed me off a little bit.
But the previous year,
I was doing round robins with my buddy Dalton Cates.
and we do like our plus 200 round robins and plus 500 round robins.
We hit three of the first four of the plus 200s and three of the first four in the plus
five hundreds.
If Kenneth Walker got 80 yards, we won 10K each.
If Kenneth Walker at 100 yards, we won 50K each.
I'm going on a plane from Cancun to Chicago.
Kenneth Walker is in the first half at 78 rushing yards.
And I can't watch it because there was no Wi-Fi on the plane.
It was broken.
So I was like freaking out.
I'm like, I don't know the result of what he got here.
And obviously it's, you know, somewhat dramatic swing.
Guess how many rushing yards he finished with?
They're winning the game.
77.
He had three carries for negative one yards in the second half.
God, did not even hit the 80 yard mark.
I'm getting off the plane, ready to throw my phone just like through the window.
Like probably would have been on a no-fly list.
I mean, I was.
That was another time.
So, like, I don't know what to do with this guy.
And every time I put him in DFS, he sucks.
Every great match he's been in this year, he sucks.
And then he just randomly pops off in spots he shouldn't.
So there's probably chances he plays well.
Maybe he's, you know, 17 carries for 80 yards and two touchdowns,
catches a couple balls.
That's all possible and just still go under here.
I'll be honest with you, man.
After hearing all that and then hearing what your play is,
I'd be shocked if he didn't go for like a buck, 50, three touchdown.
You know what I'm saying?
Like just I
I feel like
you're the anti-Kenneth Walker.
Yeah, seriously.
Because that happens
where you just got guys that you just
like mine in basketball
I got a basketball one,
bam out of bio.
If I tell you to do something,
go the other,
say, hey, I'm taking the over.
He's going under.
If I'm saying I'm taking the under,
going over.
So be careful.
Yeah, no, I mean,
I like the player regardless.
It just felt like a good spot
to win some money back
and there's a good story
alongside it.
Even better.
Yeah.
Debo said I've had problems chasing
and believing Walker both sides of the corner play.
Yeah, I can't get ever get him right.
Yeah, I would say no one in the industry has gotten him right,
to be honest, this year, most of the time.
So here's to getting it right for one last time.
I think he's good.
That's the problem.
Yeah.
That's where Connor's judgment is.
I don't.
Yeah.
I don't think.
Like, he's good at explosive plays and he's not, like, he's like, he's like,
like the trying to find a thing of a comp like he's not good at getting what he needs for what he
needs that's fair like he's really good at like running outside and making some guys miss and
exploding outfield like if you need him to get three yards he'll bounce outside and try and get 40
you know like it's i don't know how do i how what's like a good comp there's there there are a
couple i'm thinking of i just can't off top top of my tongue here so i don't know yeah de bro agrees with
do he is good yeah i'm in i've got some contrarian spots this week we also played uh i put
some jordan whittingham overs which kind of goes against a lot of the industry right now
which is thinking that we're going to see a lot of tight ends uh
if you need four yards walking get you two or 60 yeah there you go yeah he's got some
home run in them but yeah inflated i was surprised to see him open as aggressively as they they are
so i saw that pop up and i'm like just i wonder if connor will hold until friday show
or if that'll come out earlier.
It was 88 at one point,
but it wasn't really widely available at that point.
So, yeah.
All right, Slop, what you got, bud?
I'm going to go.
I'll save the play of the century.
Okay.
We'll go Evan Ingram, 25 plus yards.
It's like plus 122 right now.
I got 134.
So, I mean, it's gone down a little bit.
But you could take this at 30.
plus plus 170. 40 plus is plus
350. For a guy
who he's not that good,
but he's got Stidham
throwing the ball. So you got backup throwing the ball. I bet you
they trail in this game. It's all or
nothing. He's gone.
What did he have? He had three targets last week. That doesn't
even count. Four targets against the Chargers, 45 yards.
Four targets against the Chiefs.
four targets against the Jags.
They had a game against Washington.
He had nine targets.
I mean, this guy's not like never involved.
You know what I mean?
The idea that 25 yards is plus money or 40 yards is like plus three something.
It's crazy.
Stidham, you remember in the preseason, Connor?
I bet you do.
Hit him on a nice 50 burger touchdown.
I don't, I think it was in the third game.
I think it was the second game of the preseason.
My point is that doesn't matter at all.
has nothing to do with right now, but that happened.
And like I said, they're going to have to throw the ball at some point.
The Patriots almost were in the thousand-yard club for tight-ins.
They were very close to getting in.
There's 10 teams that gave up 1,000 receiving yards to tie-ins this season.
The Patriots were right underneath them with 9-71.
All we need is 25 yards.
It's a little, it's catching the scene, guys.
That's it.
He's 25-yard.
He's done.
Like, you might even need to catch two balls, get it.
It feels too easy.
It feels like Kincaid last week.
They're just going to let us get like plus 470 for like 60 yards.
Like what are we doing?
He's slow played that one for you too last week.
You know?
I think he airballed the first half, but then pops off.
Well, it's a quarter of a game.
He's a second half guy.
Yeah, I don't even think he played in the first half.
He only plays second half.
Yeah.
I don't hate to Connor any thought.
I mean, there's such an enigma with the usage in Denver with running backs, receivers.
But they don't have receivers now because O'Brien and the other guy, who's the other guy?
Franklin?
Yeah, I think Bryant's playing.
I think they're hurt.
I think they might be playing, but I'm telling you.
I think Brian is completely fine.
I don't think Franklin's going to play.
I mean, Brian's just a concussion.
So, you know, either.
Just a concussion?
Come on.
Yeah.
Yeah.
You're in a concussion slump?
Dude, I live in a permanent state of concussion.
I know, I do too.
Yeah, it's like I've had way too many.
You just got concussed.
Like, you just had heard.
My bad.
Your bell got wrong.
I think it's what the coaches would tell you.
And you're like, yeah, that's.
Just don't fall asleep is all I just.
Yeah, yeah.
Look back here.
Don't look at bright lights.
Go in a fucking dark room.
Yeah, like, I don't know.
It's just like either.
it's, I don't know, he's going to play.
Like, it's, it's not like it impacts his physical ability, is my point.
Whereas, like, frankly, I think it could impact, like, you know, he was limited.
Pat Brown was full last two days.
I also do agree.
I think that they're going to come out and throw.
Pat's run defense is so bad, or so good.
Like, they're just like, I don't think that the Broncos can't run the ball, basically, at all,
which means that you're going to have Stim come out and throw the ball a bunch.
And so I think all the Broncos pass catchers, for the most part, can get there.
in some capacity, including Ingram, whose lines are super low.
And I think that's the best matchup, if I, you know, remember correctly,
it's like tight ends versus the paths.
I mean, it's not like a great matchup, but, you know, and yeah,
it's Denver will throw no matter what, and it's the move.
Yeah.
I think Stiddlem, here's my take, too.
I don't think he's that bad.
I don't think he's just great quarterback football ball.
But I think, like, whenever you started, like, you got, again,
we talked about this all year long.
Yeah.
You've got to have, like, a ranking for, like, shitty, not that shitty.
You know what I mean?
Because, like, it goes up.
Like, he's not that shitty.
I think he's all right.
You know what I mean?
Like, I don't think he's going to win you Super Bowls and stuff like that.
You know, build a team around the guy.
But he's not like the guy in Kansas City.
You know what, like, what is that, dude?
Like, you know what I'm saying?
Or the guy for the Jets, like, Cook?
What's he going to do?
Like, you know what?
Like, there's guy, Justin Field, your boy, Connor.
he not good you know but like i think stidum is a step above that like i agree i agree i think
again pass for sure but i do think there's a market overreaction to the stym stuff especially
when like the discourse on bonix all season has been that he's been you know essentially a slightly
above average game manager found pain doing all his stuff um you know there's obviously a trail of
positive
stint of momentum
with coaches wanting to bring him in
and give him a shot
and he's played well
in limited time.
So I thought he'd be good
coming out of Auburn,
to be honest,
but I joke with Connor
about that already this week.
Like, a lot of quarterback whisperer.
We kind of suck historically
at evaluating that position,
but, you know,
he's not afraid to sling it,
I think.
So I got some pro
pro stint him here a little bit too.
His total was, I saw like 189,
188.
He's at 200 right now.
Yeah.
It's like we're not the only ones to think that.
You know, like, there's that.
Too low.
It's funny comments.
This has got me good.
I just messaged Connor to sound like, I think your mic's a little loud.
Yeah.
Is it still really loud or no?
No, now you're good.
Okay, okay, okay.
I know.
You're like, why are you yelling?
And I was like, I don't know.
It's like, I had to swap mics.
My other ones like just keeps falling out.
So it wasn't working.
So now I'm using my old, the old mic, the one that you actually sent me, I believe.
Yeah, you sound spot on.
right now okay i'm just gonna try and not touch anything and we'll go from there yeah
it just kind of right here you were kind of and it was just very it was a market
basket so so so for one so clams yeah good stuff all right uh first one for me i'll stay in that game
not stintom prop so but it will be a hunter henry prop i'll take hunter henry over 41 and a half
receiving yards.
You do 50 plus.
Slop, I'm sure.
Slop can sell us on 50 plus,
but we've seen a little spike in his route participation in the playoffs
and a pretty decent A dot too.
We get a small sample,
but I like seeing that here.
That's why I'm going yards instead of receptions.
We've got to pay a lot of juice in the receptions too.
It's like three and a half minus 140, minus 150, whatever.
So you're better off playing five plus receptions or even 50 plus yards
if you want the plus.
Underrated thing in the matchup here,
which I'm not hearing anyone talking.
about Brandon Jones is really good. He is a safety for the Broncos. Last year, it was Brandon Jones
and PJ Locke's kind of the problem. That's why they upgraded with Telenoa Funga in the offseason
to put Locke on the bench. Well, Locke's back in the lineup because Brandon Jones is out.
Jones actually has the best passy rating allowed on the team in terms of like nearest defender
according to next-gen stats, 53.5%, or it's not a percent, 53.5, whatever it's about a 160,
whatever it is.
Passer rating is wild.
But his is the lowest, 53.5.
Locke 77.1, not as good.
My guy, Alex Singleton, the tackle god, one of the worst coverage linebackers in the league.
His passer rating allowed is 132.4.
There's opportunities up the middle of the field and the seam against these linebackers and
safetys and coverage. I just think it's a nice spot for Hunter Henry to get involved,
buying a dip after a quiet week last week. So I like 41 and a half. It's on Fandul.
Kind of widely available in that 41 to 43 range. Slop any thoughts on Hunter Henry,
since you're a big tight-in guy since at least 94. Yeah, no, I'm in. I'm in. Like I said,
I get tied in. My ears park off. What are we at? Where? Where? Who? Yeah, so, yeah, no, I'm in. That's all I
I'm in.
Connor, any thoughts on Henry, Pat's passing game?
Anything you like here?
No, I was hoping we get a discount, but we did not get a discount, you know, because
the match was good.
And I was like, oh, this is going to be a good spot to attack here for the Pats.
So, but yeah, he's super volatile.
I would love to see the Broncos push the Pats a little bit because I think right now
some of the expectation is like they're just able to sit on the ball.
Drake May's passing attempt line is like 29 or something like, which again, like,
I'm not going to lay minus 130 on 29 and a half.
If Stidham can do anything or the Broncos proved to do anything
or give Drake May even a little bit of difficulties,
he's going to easily go over that.
But it's tough.
I hope they push him a little bit,
and then we get like a ceiling Hunter-Henry game here
because I think it's definitely possible given the matchup.
Yeah, it's a good call.
What's interesting in New England,
when you're especially formulating like completions and attempts,
projections, they've had so many big plays.
So even in like some great, great mate games, the attempts are pretty low because they hit some home runs.
So Denver doesn't let you do that quite as much.
We're one of the best in limiting explosive pass plays.
But I do think it's, you know, probably the weakest spot in the field is kind of over the middle.
Again, trying to get these linebackers and safeties in coverage.
Like, I think it's a great box safety, put his nose in there and tackle you, but not historically a great coverage corner.
So I think there's a lot of exploitable matchups for Henry.
And again, if he's going to be out there running around on 85% of the dropbacks,
like he's been in the last couple weeks, that's pretty, pretty solid after, you know,
kind of being around 70 for most of the regular season.
All right, Connor, back to you.
Second play.
I don't know what else you guys got.
Do you guys each have two or you guys?
Oh, I got another one.
I got a play here.
Yeah, I got another play here.
And this is part of the reason that I was defending my boy, Patty B here.
I like the over.
I'm going over 34 and a half receiving hours.
I've already talked about most of the game stuff here.
Cut three balls for 32 yards before leaving the game in the first quarter with a concussion.
Clear protocol.
Full practice yesterday.
Full practice today.
I think that we see probably a lot of Cortland Sutton on Christian Gonzalez.
So I think that we're going to see just like all the other Broncos probably have an edge here.
Maybe it's Marvin Mims if Troy Fentz out.
Maybe it's Pat Bryan.
Maybe it's Evan Ingram.
The running backs, I think, are very much in play to see some receiving work here.
All of their lines are so well.
Like they're like, I mean, Pat Bryant's line is like 34 yards.
He was targeted like he was basically their designated wide receiver won on the first like quarter before he got out.
Now is that going to sustain?
Not entirely sure, but he'll be out there.
He'll be running routes.
And it's kind of developed into more of like a, I think a team favorite here for Sean Payton.
And then matchup wise, I think he is, I mean, probably one of the better matchups comparatively to Sudden who's going to get Gonzalez.
So I like this look here for Pat Bryant.
and I think you could probably end up
closer to 50. It's just like
again, they're lining this like super low
because of Stidham and I think that there's less
uncertainty than there should be. The Patriots
events also has been like playing really well
against just like awful, awful offensive lines.
Like they have been just terrorizing
the Texans and the Chargers.
And I think they're a good unit. Like don't get me wrong. I think their pass
rush is good. Their run even is obviously elite.
But are they elite enough to the extent that
they made, you know, Justin Herbert looked like he's never played football before and gave CJ Stroud a lot of issues, you know, from time to time.
I'm not quite there yet.
So we'll see that.
This is a good test because the Broncos have a good old line.
Yeah, the concussion stuff, I understand why that would make anyone a little bit nervous.
I'm in on the Pat Bryant stuff too.
It's cooking out a little bit.
There were some shorter numbers earlier in the day, but like Connor's conviction here.
Slop assuming he plays, again, Fed on that first drive.
Any thoughts on how you see that shaking out?
We can get home on Pat Bryan and Evan Ingram.
All right.
Oh, 100%.
Like, these lines are so low.
That's what I, like, it, the, how I got to Evan Ingram was from knowing that
Cortland Sutton is that I don't think you can play them.
You know what I mean?
Like so much so that you're like, all right, well, then the, you got to go somewhere else.
You know what I'm like?
Someone's going to have to catch a ball.
Like, it's not like, that's just how it works.
You know what I mean?
So who's that going to be?
Well, if it's not Sutton, then these other guys, their lines like 25, 30.
Like, those are, that's nothing to get through.
You know what I mean?
That's a couple catchers.
That's first half, like first drive stuff.
So that's how I got there.
So I don't see how Bryant doesn't, you know, assume when he does play.
But I mean, if he cleared protocol, he's playing.
I mean, it's something a concussion.
It's not like it's, you know what I'm saying, like some wrist thing, angle thing,
where like it's either you can or you can't, right?
So once you clear it, then he's going to play.
Right. No limp and no hoblin.
I mean, the only risk is like he just gets cracked again and then can't really see for a couple seconds and then he's probably cooked.
But yeah, I mean.
Cracked after he caught up 40-yard ball.
Even then, it's the playoffs.
Did you see, do you guys see like two rounds ago?
Who was it that got, um, wasn't Rashid.
No, it was Parker Washington got like, just laid out was literally wobbling on the field like kind of like like this, like on the field was walking their own direction, got cleared to come back in.
He played the rest of the game in the second half.
Like,
the playoff concussion protocol in the playoffs is,
I don't think it really exists,
to be honest,
outside of apparently the Denver staff with Pat Bryant,
but I don't know.
But yeah,
there go, Adam said it.
Markle of a lot much easier it is to heal from a concussion.
The playoffs compared to regular season.
It's happened multiple times this playoffs.
And every time I see it, I'm like,
oh, that guy's done for sure.
And then it's like, oh, yeah,
he's returned from the tenant,
totally fine after not knowing his name,
you know, he's okay.
I've seen up guys yeah all right slap I think my body's ready for the play of the century
uh I don't know if listeners are prepared but so last week we talked about Kyle Monongai and just
what an absolute mash his him in the receiving game because they messed up they had two catches
for like plus 130 or something like that I didn't remember what I had and then I was like dude like
you go three or even four he got it all right here's what's going to happen
the same thing again, except Kyron Williams this time.
Here's the thing.
I don't know if you guys watched last game.
I don't have the numbers in front of me.
I just eyeball test.
The Rams like Kyron better.
He's a, he is the favorite child, no doubt between him and Korm, no doubt.
Like, Korm might not even be theirs.
You know what I mean?
Like one of those.
Like so.
I'm going to push back on this.
I'm not going to push back in the Korn.
Play.
But there was a lot of variance in how the drives play themselves out.
Corrin was on the wrong side of just first down pass, incomplete.
Yeah, I didn't, not on the field, like one of those.
I was like, this is from a guy who had a little bit of quorum, you know what I mean?
So it's like, I'm watching it through that lens.
And it's like, oh, shit, it just hit me.
It was like, I went back and thought about what McVeigh said earlier in the season
where they got to limit Tyron Williams' role or, you know, his workload,
so he can be fresh in the playoffs.
and then Corum did well.
We all got, you know, Corum crazy.
It was like Lensanity, but like with football.
And because he was doing well, we forgot that the only reason why he was out there
was because they wanted to limit.
Dude, watch last game.
Go back and watch it.
Cameron Williams was just out there, like the whole time.
It was like Coram was lost.
He was on the sideline.
It's like, when are I going?
So this week, that's huge because the Seahawks, that defense is awesome.
that defense is very good
and one byproduct
of awesome defenses like that
is running backs just kind of catch passes
nobody allowed more
receptions to running backs this season than the Seahawks
nobody allowed more targets to running backs
in the receiving game I think that's a byproduct
of them being very good
you know what I mean that's just what it is so dumpoffs
are in play but if you watch
like the Rams have like plays where he
Williams that's the primary receiver like that was to play
it was like a little wheel route little bullshit we're here and
So you could do 15 plus yards.
It was plus 110.
Now look, it's minus 102 is the best price you can get.
I don't like that.
You could just go receptions at this point.
Two and a half at Novig right now is plus 130.
If you don't want to do no big and somehow you're not limited at draft kings,
they got plus 121.
You can do it there.
But he's catching three balls, dude.
The last time he played Seattle, the guy was targeted six times.
He only caught three of them, but whatever.
Like, he's still targeted six times.
Just last game, he was targeted five times.
If they play this game from behind, there is no chance.
He doesn't catch three-packed, like just zero percent chance.
Like, he's going to accidentally catch two of them.
So now you're just playing for one.
Easy, easy, easy.
Yeah, I don't like the quorum slander, but I like the Chiron play.
It's not quorum slander as much of situation slander.
You know what I mean?
Because I like it.
I like it.
I train.
But I can recognize when a parent just doesn't love their child.
I can see it.
I've seen it.
There's one that they love and there's the other kid.
And that's cool him right now.
If you look at it, he was the other kid.
Just sitting there just clean uniform, got us helmet on waiting.
Just wait for daddy.
Say, hey, go play.
And nope, never does.
He wants to play with the children.
I still think that they're going to rotate drives because they've been rotating drives.
Maybe not.
Like, I mean.
They do last week?
Do we have snap counts?
Because somebody said.
They rotated drive.
So it's like, so that's like they would play and then the
Kyler drives would be like 15 plays.
And then Coran would start the next drive and then they'd go three and out.
And then they'd punt it.
Yeah, I swear it did.
I swear.
I was watching.
I was like, where the fuck's Blake?
On the sideline because they went three and out because they threw the ball on
first down.
They had the same snap count last week.
That's what this guy said.
That is.
100% not even remotely close.
I don't think that that's true.
That is like not only they not have the same one here.
You know what?
Where can we get playoff snap counts?
I want snap count.
We can't go any further until this guy just eat this, dude.
We have snap.
I'll look right now.
I'll look on PFF.
They have it.
He was supposed to come in the second quarter.
His drive.
I watched it.
And he's not out there.
And I'm like, this is crap.
This is this is
Daddy saying that he likes his other guy better
I'm telling you that's what happened
Slop for the record I think you're wrong
But let's see here
It did dude like you can look it up
I'm trying to look it up
I'm trying to figure out where the
Okay snaps by position
Okay so last week he played
Kairn Williams played 48 snaps
Okay
Okay so yeah Blake Corp's on the field 48 times
What we're saying
Randoh in the chair
I don't think he was on the field
28 times
So I don't-
38 to 28. Yeah, I don't think
that 28 is the same as 48.
I'm pretty sure
that's a gigantic, that's a
we like you better, Kyran,
different. Oh, it was
63-37. That's
percent percentage-wise, yeah.
I feel like that's not even remotely
close to 50.
If they're rotating,
if they're rotating drives,
though, the variable in it.
Yeah, that's, look,
look, as a coach who
wants to play certain kids more than other kids.
Yeah, we rotate drive.
We could just, we could just send the guy in on the same drive.
It doesn't have to get all 15 plays of the freaking drive.
You don't know, you can just maybe corms,
who's looking for a couple of those.
No, that's what you tell the parents.
Yeah, no, we rotate drives.
Yeah, that's what we're doing.
I'm telling you guys, Ryan, you don't want to see it.
They don't like them.
I don't know why.
I think he's better, but, like, they don't like them.
So, like, what do you want me to do?
I'm telling you.
I love the rotate drives because that's a great way to not play a guy.
Then we'll rotate drives here.
Stafford, throw it three times this time.
Start out.
Oh, well, we went three and out.
There's your drive.
That's what happened.
Yeah, but if they wanted to play them, they would have.
Yeah.
So, Adam's going.
That's hilarious.
SnapShare now is what he's saying.
Even though it's like, Adam, Adam,
you are what they call.
call wrong on the street.
Like it's not even remotely close.
There's nothing you said is even remotely
closer. Just say, hey, look, I'm going
to take the L, I'm going to wear it on it like
it's a freaking necklace, and just hang
out for the rest of the show. But don't tell me they had
the same snap share. No, they didn't, dude.
It wasn't even close. I watched a game. I had
Blake Korn all over the place.
And all I could think was, where the
fuck is Blake Korn? Where?
Where is he? And then they kept
clean uniform over there,
just hanging out.
He didn't even have to get his shit washed.
I told it as like if they were said,
this is game war and you wouldn't even have believed him.
He's like,
no way,
dude.
There's none of fucking scratch on.
It looks brand new.
Oh my gosh.
I think that they're still going to rotate drives.
So however that works,
it'll be fine.
I would put money to the rotate drives no matter what.
They'd do it for like six weeks.
What that results in,
don't know.
I think kind of will get there probably either way.
It won't matter.
But,
then they will find a way to inject
probably a little bit more Kyron
to your point like 67 37 37 like it'll be 6040
Karen for sure maybe more
it will be identical though somehow to Adam
I don't know I play quorum
I play quorum over 20 and a half rushing yards I think it's an
overreaction to to yeah
if he's out there
I love that.
We've had some passionate place that, you know?
He gets the pass protection.
It's it.
At least time the ball has to get to Karen Williams,
is it like he gets it?
If you're not going to get the running back, the ball, it's Blake.
It's like, wait, what are we doing?
It's frustrating watching it because I'm like,
what are we doing here?
Like back-to-back drives and gets in there.
They throw on first down, incomplete, back-to-back drives.
I'm like, here we go.
Second and 10, they're not running him.
Like, he's on there just chipping away
and then running a route in the flat and he's not getting targeted.
I don't even care if he gets targeted.
I need him to carry the ball.
Their whole game plan is a mess.
We let out all these reasons last week.
I was like, they're going to dominate on the ground.
They're going to run.
I took Rams team rushing total, which still got there, by the way,
which, to be clear, I've been subscribers on that.
It was like 104 yards, 101 yards, something like that.
They ran the ball 11 times in the first three quarters,
the 30 pass attempts, and it still got there.
So, I mean, they should have had 300,
rushing yards on the ground if they really actually wanted to run the ball and mcvade decided not to so yeah
that's how was looking at um rush attempts kairn guess how many he had last week oh it wasn't even close
yeah he dominated 20 years yeah quorum how do you get six oh that's pretty even no it's right there
same thing it's not it's not like they dictate where the ball goes or anything like it's not like
they call the player.
It's like,
oh,
it just happened to find them.
Like,
I wish we could figure it
if the coach me.
I wish we could figure out a way
to get Blake involved more.
Like,
I don't know.
Maybe hand it to them.
I don't know.
Somehow they figured out a way
to get Kyron involved.
That's weird.
But the rotating drives and all that.
I'm telling you,
but they're trying to,
they're fucking Blake,
man,
and I don't like it.
I don't like you.
This is great.
Oh, Eslob,
I like the Kairn play.
It's a good angle.
Oh,
I'm,
Yeah, I mean, I know that's going to happen.
I hope Blake gets his, though.
Yeah.
You know what I mean?
Yeah, he's been 30.
Hey, Adam, Adam, Adam, Adam, L necklace.
Just wear it and just mute yourself.
You already lost.
You lost like four comment.
Every comment you do, another loss, you know what I mean?
It's just like at some point, you just got to move on, dude.
It's going to hold strong on the rotating drives, Adam.
Yeah, just go with the rotating drives.
And whenever you coach like little kids football and sports and shit,
remember rotating drives because that worked for the parents.
I always rotate drives.
It's like, yeah, it just happens to be on the drives that they're on the field.
We don't do anything that involved when touching the ball.
But rotating drives.
I mean, he's getting the plays.
It's like, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, we got it.
We guarantee playing time.
We don't guarantee touches.
Yeah, no, no, no, no.
Rotating drives just happen to be.
the ones where we throw.
Meet the quarter requirements.
Are you about to release quorum right now or what?
I'm not released a quorum by play quorum.
I thought after all that you were going to release quorum.
I thought it's no funny.
That much a quorum 100 plus.
Yeah,
400 plus.
I just don't have it written up.
But play quorum.
I'll take him too, Ryan.
Over 20 and a guy.
I'm in.
Yeah.
I love to low variance.
They rotated.
Dr.
I'm just
that.
So good.
Hey, I think the kind of plays a banger.
I don't lose that.
Yeah, it's a good play.
All right, I got two more plays.
We've danced around how well we think this,
this guy is going to play and how he's a viable option.
Let's remember what happens to playoff time.
Quarterbacks run more, guys.
Jared Stidham, over 13 and a half rushing yards.
This is minus 114 on Fandul.
Right there.
All the place.
All the place.
It's widely available.
Not a huge sample.
I went and looked at all of the Jared Stim sample that we have to look at
compared it to the league averages this year.
His scramble per dropback rate,
well, 7.7% league average this year, 5.5.
So he's slightly above average in scramble rate.
His scramble per pressure rate, which is also really important.
17.2% league average this year, about 14.5%.
Last meaningful reps, 03 with the Raiders,
back-to-back games.
He got the start.
He ran for 34 yards against the Niners.
who are really good. Week 17 is a good Niners defense, meaningful game.
34 yards on seven attempts. Next week,
week 18 against the Chiefs, seven attempts, 50 yards rushing.
We have the Patriots schematically doing things a little bit differently of late.
They've increased their blitz rate over the last five or, yeah, five weeks or so.
They've gone from 25 and a half percent from weeks one through 13,
which is one of the bottom blitz teams in the league.
Weeks 15 to 20, 39 and a half percent.
Sixth highest blitz rate.
the league. They're getting healthy, generating pressure. I think they're going to blitz
stood him probably right around there, 35, 40% of his dropbacks here. They're also playing a ton of
man. We know, man lends itself to more quarterback rushing here. How can you not have a couple
of dial-up run plays considering how well Bo Nicks ran last week in that game too? So I think
you see him, you know, tuck and run one or two times. His like a temp line, it's like four and a half.
So we're going to get to 13 and a half if he's going to run four times in this game. So I like it
quite a bad. I think he's closer to 20.
I don't know if you guys have any thoughts there.
Conner, any thoughts on Stidham running or, hey, just lean
into quarterbacks running more of the playoffs. It's the thing.
I think you're muted.
Yeah, I don't mind it. The number's really low.
And, I mean, just in general, lean into uncertainty in this, too.
Like, there's, we, I'm adding up our plays right now.
I think we have like four overs on the, three overs on the Broncos right now,
just leaning into a sitam uncertainty in the lower numbers here.
We might be very wrong.
But I think they were right.
And so we are going to all be right together, and everyone's going to go over, and it's going to be a good game.
So, yeah, I think some over is on the scrambling stuff makes a ton of sense, too.
And, yeah, I mean, you laid out a great case.
Those are kind of the recipes we want, right?
High blitz rate, high man right for the other team.
Again, like bonus his legs were so important in that game last week.
Slop any thoughts on Stidim rushing?
Stidum's not that shitty, man.
And he can move.
I'm telling you.
This is, yeah, everything, dude.
I don't know what 20 is, 20 plus.
Probably 2 to 1.
Sean, I was looking historically about him running,
but I mean, he just didn't play.
And he hasn't played in a while.
Yeah, that's why I wanted to look at the rates.
You know, pressure, pressure drop back, you know,
and scramble rates in general.
So, 2000, 23, he closed out the season.
and I'm not even sure like what we're dealing with roster-wise.
So it said it was the Niners team that they needed that game?
That was 23.
It looks like Denver.
Yeah, Denver versus the Raiders, went 272, ran for 34 yards on them.
I mean, that feels good, dude.
I don't know.
I like it.
Yeah, I think it's a good look.
Actually, my bad.
He didn't run for 30.
That was different.
That was the next year or the year before.
Yeah.
Took off six times the game before that.
224 passes.
I mean, this guy's not that bad.
I just don't think he's that good.
But yeah, no, dude, that's a better than Bo Nix.
That could happen.
And it could be on the ground, too.
So, yeah.
Is this the new Nick Foles?
And then he gets a fat contract, like traded somewhere else or, you know?
No.
Maybe.
No, let's not do this.
Nick Foles.
Yeah.
I don't know.
See, now he's shutting it down because he's, you know,
Newton's like, damn, man, what if he is that good?
And what if he beats the Patriots?
And I supported this.
You know what I mean?
This is your fault, actually, technically,
if Stidim is the next Nick Foles.
Yeah, Patrick has a good point in the chat.
Who, um, who, um,
who Stit him backed up?
Do we even know?
It's got to be Ellinger, right?
Oh, yeah.
It's, uh, yeah, it's, uh, Sam Ellingerlinger, right?
I think so
I think so
I don't know who else it would be
he was there in the preseason
he wasn't bad either
in the preseason
made a little bit of coin on Stidham in the preseason
so yeah
I don't know I
he slung it in college
It's no far dude in the playoffs
for these quarterbacks
especially this guy
this guy has nothing to lose
and he's got a hate Patriots.
One more for me.
Quarterbacks run the playoffs and alphas do alpha things.
JSN over 88 and a half receiving yards.
I think you could play over six and a half receptions,
went back and forth between the two plays.
But there's been some actually pretty decent explosive numbers
being allowed by the Rams of late.
Big place.
I just don't think they have an answer for JSN.
He went over his reception line and his receiving yard line in both meetings this season.
The Rams have allowed, basically, other than the Bears, over the past eight games,
only the Bears have allowed more 20-plus yard receptions, just by one.
Only the bears have allowed more receiving yards on explosive passes.
So I just don't need they have an answer at the perimeter corner, even at its slot.
Like, I like Quentin Lake, but he's not like a shutdown, like lock you up slot corner.
It is a lot of everything's good in the run game, not someone that's going to just like,
Got down JSN.
No one shuts down JSN.
So I went with yards because I think explosives can hit,
even if we lose the volume here.
So I just think he's a really important piece.
We can buy some dip on him kind of being quiet the last couple weeks.
I think this is a nice JSN spot.
I think the Rams punch back.
The Rams push required Seattle to, you know,
ask a little bit more of Sam Donald than what was asked of him last week against the Niners.
So, yeah, 90 plus, 100 plus.
I think you can play six and a half receptions, too,
if this gets juiced out.
So slop, any thoughts on JSN?
I'm in.
Let's go.
That's it.
That's all I need.
Connor,
anything to expand on our conversation earlier about yards and receptions?
No,
I think like our brains think differently.
So you were debating between the two.
And I was like,
I think his biggest path of failure is just like limited volume in case they like,
their defense is dominating and like,
you know,
they just don't have to throw that much.
And he can still hit this because their past even is not good enough.
And that's like,
if they're getting to shoot out,
I mean,
I would be shocked.
he doesn't they both if they don't get into shootout
I think he's more like they did the yards than the receptions
yeah that's good point that's where we went there so
all I fells
it's all I got um
we get some legs for
yeah we're we're cooking we got
kairn 3 plus receptions jsn
110 um
Patty B 50
Evan Ingram 30
Hunter Henry 50 and then
Jared Stidham 20 plus rushing yards
we're at like 160 to 1
it's pretty hot
I like it.
Did I miss anything there?
I don't think so, right?
No.
I think,
you know,
we miss it.
We missed it.
That's what I was going to say.
The quorum 30 plus in there to be a like that.
Our last part,
by the last part,
Larry was pretty good.
We had like four out of six legs or something like that.
And like one of them was quorum that didn't win.
So that doesn't even count because,
you know,
Sean McVeigh is a little turd.
And so who,
like then there's one other one that didn't hit.
That was it.
So we cashed a bunch of them.
Yeah.
We should have won.
with Monongai catches over the yards.
I think we hit the yards.
I know,
but I'm saying like for the price,
just like losing better price later on.
I was like,
man,
at 20,
we didn't really get our money's worth.
Like,
catching four balls.
That was like 600,
dude.
Yeah,
that's true.
But he did,
like,
he rift like a,
what did he finish out yards wise?
Like 30,
40?
Yeah,
look like Jerry Rice out there.
It was unbelievable.
Oh,
yeah,
May rushing.
That was tough.
I do like May,
I do like May rushing today as well this week.
I think it's dropped a little bit.
Again, Denver playing a ton of man.
Yeah, I think it's a good play too.
So putting that out there.
Amazing.
Ted Holinger props, Jeff.
Wrong show, bud.
Hang in there, though.
It's two plus threes.
It's plus money, Jeff.
It was this morning.
People were looking for you on the stream.
Nowhere to be found.
Jeff doesn't wake up until noon.
It's the wintertime.
He's like a polar bear.
What's Jared Stidham's Super Bowl MVP out?
I think it's, I think they've crashed, but I think if you bet $100 on that, you would
lose $100.
Yeah.
I'm just all in on, all in on Jared now.
You know, the more we talk about it, the more excited I get, get to watch the Patriots
to lose.
This is a win-win, you know?
Nah, I ain't going to happen.
But at the same time, dude, Stidtham.
Not bad.
Not bad.
Not that shitty.
I think he's in that round.
Not that shitty.
Dude, watch what happens.
No, I think so too.
I think he's fine.
I mean, just the Patriots defense is actually located in Boussa.
Yeah, they're just good, man.
That's the biggest problem with that.
That's what sucks for him because I kind of like him.
I think he went to some kid's wedding or something, didn't he in the beginning of the Patriots
dent and that pissed off Velochek?
I think there was a story like that.
And that's why he kind of got a raw deal there.
Like he chose to go to some kids wedding over something, right?
Like, I don't remember what it was.
I got to push up on the story, but it was something like that.
And he, you know, just got exiled.
And then like I said, that day with the Raiders against the 49ers.
I'm just saying that happened.
It did.
360 on those dudes, man.
Like, he was not playing around.
Also ran for 34.
Don't forget.
So people still talk about that noon and we got
Darnold plus 270
Stafford plus 280 Drake May plus 310 make sense
The three quarterbacks are up top
Then you got like a bunch of really good players
But are not quarterbacks and then you got Jared Stitt up 17 to 1
Super Bowl MVP
The problem is if he plays Seattle
He's probably toast he plays the Rams
If you if they win and then they get the Rams
I could see it actually legit if he's playing well enough
but if they get the Seahawks,
he's probably more likely to throw for 150 yards
and three interceptions than win Super Bowl MVP.
Early look at us have them eight and a half point dogs
against both teams in the Super Bowl.
Wow, eight and a half.
No love for the Broncos on the streets, huh?
Wow.
Which I think would correct because you would expect
that there would be a better market sentiment
on Denver coming out of a New England win.
So I think you'd probably see that get,
crack down pretty quickly.
But I can see it's stabilizing it, six and a half or seven.
Yeah.
Slop, do you do these one and done challenges here?
It's here, playoff one and done using Denver D.
slash can use any of the four quarterbacks.
So you stood him or Stafford and you stunton and hangar.
See, this is confusing to me.
I'm not exactly sure.
But, um, I haven't done those.
Sounds fun.
Do you please.
Uh, I would not play.
sudden based on kind of what we talked about before i would lean towards stidum or um yeah
probably stidum to be honest you're gonna use them now and hope you run yeah i mean so
trying to figure out like you can't match the quarterbacks with the receivers it almost like a
ffpc type situation yeah it looks like it yeah yeah yeah uh i don't know that i want
denver d think necessarily um yeah
I'm not sure
that's
that's the D right like you're gonna
you're more likely to get
I would think variants of turnovers and sacks
with the Patriots D given Stidham's
sack rate on his limited work
I don't know I'd use Patriots D and then
find some other ways you know I don't know
I want more Patriot stuff in there I don't know
that I wouldn't necessarily just want Henry or Diggs
but I'm alone here I guess
loaded up put in Pat Byrion
put in all the guys we put in our parlay
which we'll tweet out after the show
Evan Ingram, why not? Jared Stidham, load it all up
wherever you can put in there.
It's all deadly.
Yep.
It's your last one of the year, really,
because I mean, Super Bowl is a much different parlay.
So you don't have two games to choose from Super Bowl Sunday,
so this is it.
Yeah, what are we going to be back?
Are we going to do a Super Bowl show Friday before or Friday of?
What do we want to do?
Whatever.
A couple days before, just normal.
be close we'll get some of the exotics in there um i got a gatorade guy so it should be all right
with that yeah i had one i got i got a chiefs one and i got an eagles one i don't i don't think i
have uh any of these current teams so you got the gatorade themselves oh so you got the the deep
gatorade connections yeah we're good man wow we're going to be swimming in gatorade let me know i'm
to be in Arizona for the waste management that weekend,
buy a kiosk.
So I will be ready to unload.
You already plan where he's standing for the tournament.
I'll be right by a kiosk.
Waiting for Slav Skater, a guy to give me a ring.
They also don't like when you're on the phone at the kiosk.
They give you come over and you can't,
can't be making calls at the kiosk, unfortunately.
Yeah, just memorize it.
Like, how hard is it memorized blue?
Is it blue?
I think it's blue
Early
Blue favorite
Yeah well I mean we gotta wait for to see who's in it first
But like something yeah
I think we have a couple blue teams
Sorry my favorite text to receive is
We have the powder in the bucket or something like that
It's like you know I'm like oh
So now we know you know it's like the powder
We have eyes on the powder
We know what's happening
Then you can just download
The powder got shipped where you know what I mean
It's a shit
It's more of it's a more of a
shipping issue. It's a logistics deal. Yeah. Yeah. So you got to get boots on the ground.
You got boots on the truck. Yeah. You need a truck guy. Yeah. Order guy is the best one,
which we got. Ooh, the order guy. Okay. So we're all set. But truck guy is good too.
If you got a truck guy, just, I mean, just as good. He's taking shit there. I think the athletic
trainer is probably actually the nuts because they're the one mixing the Gatorade. Yeah, but those
They start, they get real uppity, man.
They start telling you wrong shit or they want to charge you money.
You don't want to deal with these guys.
Yeah, you're right.
On the up and up.
They are all about themselves.
Like I said, you go to Gatorade themselves.
Gotcha.
I love it.
I look forward to it.
Maybe we'll have the plug for the show next time.
Guys.
We'll come back.
Bye week next week.
Sorry.
No football.
I'm going to hang in there.
You know, Farmers and Shurners open.
Torrey Pines.
You know, golf next week on TV.
It's going to take its spot on Sunday.
Then we get back for Super Bowl week and all the chaos that comes of that.
So do our best.
Again, Patrick's right.
Super Bowl odds come out so early.
Things get kind of cooked.
But exotics, there's so many different markets.
Definitely some opportunities.
Keep your head on a swivel.
Just getting the Discord.
4.4.com slash plans.
Try to keep up in probably lots of things we can make official if we have any information.
But we'll try to get some of that stuff out if we have any of it.
Slop anything that we need to.
fill this week for you or anything
but go play at splash
just play there there's all kinds of games
the place is amazing
I'm gonna talk to them about a baseball thing too
I got an idea for a home run
could be the greatest summer of our lives boys
yeah but tell me do you get any splash account
though so get a splash account hurry up
slop 25 that's the code they'll actually give you money
like I don't understand why you wouldn't do that
personal rule someone gives me money
I think you what I'm saying
you'd always take it full circle baby yep always yeah all right hit the thumbs up subscribe
all the things before you take off appreciate you guys as always especially those in the chat
especially those arrive with us every week uh again you guys made the show fun thanks for those
hanging out with us you know in the gym on the treadmill uh you know nonsense and you know
grocery store stories and service industry stories for the first 15 minutes as always
appreciate you guys for slop and connor i'm ryan we'll see you all next time thanks everybody
