Move The Line - Expert NFL Week 10 Player Prop Bets! | Top Picks, Predictions & Odds

Episode Date: November 9, 2024

Get ready for Week 10 with our top prop bet picks! Join us as we break down the best NFL prop bets for opening week, analyzing player performances, key matchups, and hidden opportunities to maximize y...our winnings. Whether you're betting on touchdowns, yardage, or game-changing plays, we've got the insights you need to make the smartest bets. Subscribe now and start the season with a winning edge! Earn $50 in Pick6 Credits and a month of NFL+ Premium when you play $5+ on your first ever entry on Pick6 👉🏼https://shorturl.at/xY53r Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package 👉🏼  https://www.4for4.com/plans Sign-up on FanDuel Today 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/go/fanduel Follow 4for4 on Twitter 👉🏼  https://twitter.com/4for4footballFollow 4for4 Bets on Twitter 👉🏼  https://twitter.com/4for4betsFollow Move the Line on Twitter 👉🏼  https://twitter.com/MoveTheLineNFL Follow Connor on Twitter 👉🏼  https://twitter.com/ConnorAllenNFLFollow Ryan on Twitter 👉🏼  https://twitter.com/RyNoonanFollow John on Twitter 👉🏼  https://twitter.com/SlopRules Visit our Website 👉🏼  https://www.4for4.com/Join our Discord 👉🏼  http://discord.gg/4for4Subscribe to our YouTube Channel 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3OupraJ 4for4 Betting Strategy Hub 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3hm39cw4for4 Betting Picks 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3LUp0Ea NFL Betting Odds & Predictions 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3nsW9QU 

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 Hello and welcome to Move the Line Prop Drop Show presented by DraftKings Sportsbook. I'm Ryan Noonan back with my friends Connor Allen and John Hyslop to talk about the best way, the most profitable way to bet on NFL football. That is through Player Props. We are here week 10 live 3 p.m. Eastern every Friday on the 4 for bets youtube channel you can also find move the line wherever you listen to podcasts we're going to talk about player props today going to take your questions so if you're hanging out with us now on youtube we appreciate that jump in the chat let us know your favorite prop look is for week 10 you want our thoughts on the play you want to contribute to the inevitable winning ticket uh our millionaire ticket which
Starting point is 00:00:43 we're going to take down we'll have to wait we give the books solid nine week warning they were coming we are now like you know we're back half of the season considering playoffs and everything kind of at the halfway point so we primed them up a little bit books think that they're good and now we're just going to absolutely destroy them with our millionaire parlay at some point here in the uh coming weeks why not this week here? Join me as always. Conor Allen, what's up, buddy? Yeah, I mean, I'm going to go ahead here and just say that I'm having my best season of props ever.
Starting point is 00:01:12 And I think it's because of you guys. So it's because of you guys and the team that we have four for four talking with, you know, monotone talking with Jake, like talking to you guys every week, just having by far my best season, already up 20 units, hitting over 60% of my props. I mean, life is good right now. The accounts are looking good, going out to some nice dinners again. After the whole draft fiasco, we're back. I'm back on my feet.
Starting point is 00:01:37 I feel good again. Back living life, as always. Same thing for our guy, John Hyslop. What's up, buddy? Living the dream man yeah connor sometimes it's like the draft for you you got to take a beating and it just makes you stronger you know any boxer will tell you you want to get your ass kicked early then come back like they probably say that makes sense yep it's about how what about how you get back up somewhere
Starting point is 00:02:02 not about how hard you hit. Yeah, all that. It's all deadly. One of those things, right? It's legit. Yeah. Coexist slash it's not about you're going to get knocked down.
Starting point is 00:02:19 It's about how you get up. That's one too, probably. Something like that. There you go. Your mic got knocked down, now your mic stood back up you know yep just yeah class classy guy yeah that's how boxers my voice yeah i feel great you guys sound like you're sick but i'll be oh no i'm sick for sure yeah but uh you know it definitely you sound like you're definitely on your flu game. So that's big.
Starting point is 00:02:47 Jordan, work for him. Yeah. We'll talk about that game. You know, I'm trying a little Theraflu earlier. I get the Dayquil, tried straight up Sudafed. So it's almost a little whack-a-mole to see what works. Yeah. I'm trying a little bit of all of it so far.
Starting point is 00:03:02 Yeah, we'll figure it out. You try pot? I try every night. That works. That makes you forget that you're sick. I know that for a fact. Yeah. Well, still sick, but still trying it just in case.
Starting point is 00:03:16 So, you never know what you can do. Whatever works, dude. You know what I mean? It's tough to get pot down at the grocery store, though. You know what I'm saying? So, you might go with Theraflu. Benadryl at night is always good. Take twice as much as they tell you on the can or the bottle.
Starting point is 00:03:33 That always helps. Yep. Well, you know, dad life doesn't work super well for, you know, Benadryl or for NyQuil. You know, you got to get up and be ready to hit the ground running you know it's 7 a.m so that doesn't uh doesn't work that's the one time i am envious of connor he's you know oh coffee yeah coffee and weed those are coffee caffeine and benadryl baby yeah staples in my life i mean i don't even know how to function without maybe some alcohol i got all the... If you need anything, let me know.
Starting point is 00:04:07 Okay. I got a guy. Yeah. I'll help you out. He's got me this far. Absolutely love it. Good start to the show. I want to remind folks, two episodes of MoveLine each week. This is obviously PropDrop. You want to get more game previews, sides and totals.
Starting point is 00:04:24 Connor and I have been spending more time in the futures market, which I think is important at this time of year. You want to get more game previews, sides and totals. Connor and I have been spending more time in the futures market, which I think is important at this time of year. You can get some nice numbers on some stuff and very reactional market, especially in the back half of the season. That's the Wednesday show. That's 3 p.m. Eastern on this YouTube channel,
Starting point is 00:04:38 444Bets. Also, wherever you listen to podcasts, you can find the Move the Line podcast. Right now, you want to scoop up the betting subscription. Again, still running this insane promo via our partners over at Rebet. Rebet is a sweepstakes app where you can
Starting point is 00:04:53 bet, do all sorts of different things. They've allowed you to get access to both what we do at 444 and Slop's Dub Club. Download Rebet. Use promo code HIGHSLOP. Buy $10 of Rebet cash, which is literally just ten dollars that you can use on the site to make bets that we're going to give you here today on the wash with that ten dollar deposit on rebet using promo code high slop you're going
Starting point is 00:05:17 to get a month of slops dub club you're going to get a month of four for four all the access to everything that we have on the site all all that for just that $10. No additional costs. It's like $100 value in terms of actual dollars. We think it's valued at much more than that. Again, it's access to just dipping your toes in the water. What's going on at 4 for 4? What is Slop's Dub Club like?
Starting point is 00:05:38 For just $10, you get it for the rest of the season or for a month, which is going to take you into December. Then you can come back for the rest of the season with cheap deals and all that different stuff. So again, check it out. Let us know if you have any questions. We'd love to help you out there. Again, promo code high slop. When you download Rebep. It's the cheat code to life, dude. You know what I mean? I was watching CNBC today and they were talking about that.
Starting point is 00:06:02 Yeah. And the high slop deal is a good deal, dude. Yeah. It's kind of a big deal. Yeah saw jim the stock market yeah mad money we made it on that yeah he's talking about it last week talking about that i think i don't know it's a nuts bonkers kind of deal um all the really cool stuff happening too and this sweepstakes takes like like rebets there we're kind of moving in this like new atmosphere of, you know, books and places you can get down and really excited about what we have coming up here in a new partner with ProfitX. You've probably heard of ProfitX at some point in the last handful of years. They unfortunately were just kind of left to you know with different regulation things they were kind of stuck uh in limited access now we have profit x in 40 states connor 42 states
Starting point is 00:06:51 it is peer-to-peer which is the future right like no limits no books taking a huge chunk of money you want to bet on something you want to take the other side of it you can post something people could scoop it up you want to tell people a little bit more about profit x and some of the stuff we're gonna have coming up yeah no i mean we'll we'll be talking about their lines i mean it's just like it's uh pretty exciting like it's something that we're just going to reference regardless because it's in 42 states so like you guys can bet on it and the lines are better they'll have props they have like a a solo trader they're telling us that just like posts all of his own stuff and doesn't copy things so you know what that means it's just ripe for picking uh on everything yeah which is that a solo trader. They're telling us that just like post all of his own stuff and doesn't copy things. So,
Starting point is 00:07:25 you know what that means? It's just ripe for picking on everything. Yeah. Which is that guy, dude. Yeah. Yeah. This guy's going to be without a job here. Pretty poor bastard.
Starting point is 00:07:33 I'm excited. We're going to cite them, you know, throughout the show. And I think our Wednesday show as well. And whenever props are posted, we'll probably post it in our discord. So pretty excited about that.
Starting point is 00:07:42 Yeah. And if you like the bets, I like sides and totals too and we're talking about getting significantly better prices than anything that you could find out there and again no limits because it's peer-to-peer right you're not actually they don't care if you win or lose on profit x because the losers pay the winners basically right like you know you're you're not having to worry about actually like raking the house there um and they don't give a rip if you are doing so because all you're doing is trying
Starting point is 00:08:08 to get liquidity from other people in the marketplace so really excited uh to have peer to peer becoming more mainstream it really is the future uh especially when we get into props where when you kind of try to scale up a little bit you could run into some limitations in terms of how much you can get down. Peer-to-peer stuff is a way to work around that. So really excited and look for that here on all of our shows here coming and moving forward. They should use that as their slogan, bro, where the losers pay the winners, like God intended.
Starting point is 00:08:40 Yeah, put on a shirt, put on a bumper sticker. Pay me, loser. yeah put on a shirt put on a bumper sticker yeah you know pay me loser yeah right i mean so much better than than any other alternative so that's the way life should be totally so you're not again it's 42 states uh you know you can go to uh profit x uh download profitX wherever you download apps. They have a webpage as well if you'd like to do web browsers as well. Unless you have any questions, mess around with it. It is awesome.
Starting point is 00:09:13 Money lines, spreads. Again, you'll probably a little bit later to release props, but I know they're doing more on the NBA side already, and we'll probably see a window here where Friday, Saturday releases on the prop side uh we'll see how that scales up here but uh pretty excited about that questions let us know all right gentlemen week 10 no stale bread all live lines things that we can bet on right now connor the floor is yours first play week 10 yep firing away Firing away here. Uh, shout out to the former hashtag intern, Jake, no longer an intern anymore. I think he's leading our NBA product. So just hashtag Jake,
Starting point is 00:09:52 uh, I'm playing Corlin Sutton under 50 and a half receiving yards. We saw Corlin Sutton pop off the last two weeks against a bunch of jabronis. You know, we're talking about the bangles. We're talking about the Ravens. We're talking about the Panthers. Um, prior to this, he was lined in like the low 40s he was like kind of struggling seemed like a bad fit for the offense now faces the chiefs much tougher match up here the chiefs blitz a ton sudden sees uh you know a massive reduction in targets then uh they also have a lot of two high safeties he's not been good against that either 34 percent uh last yards per route run so it's one of those things where i think that we're just basically selling selling high on this like it's like we've seen sudden pop-up the last two weeks and i'm just not buying it like i just think that he
Starting point is 00:10:33 was playing against you know we were playing playing in the secondary so you know i'm not i'm not too worried about this against a real good kansas city chiefs team um you know probably have maybe a couple targets maybe five six but bo nicks you know it's gonna go back to that those like six yard a dot throws and so it's gonna take a lot of catches for sudden to get to 50 something i mean i actually saw i don't want to say he got like violently ill or even a little bit ill because he's getting he's feeling good it'll let you know our team but like not anymore he literally turned away and like shook his head so i don't think slop liked it or really heard any of the analysis there. All right, so I hate unders.
Starting point is 00:11:11 Yeah, but I think he's right. All right, here's the thing. You can't listen to me about this because I have already feelings about this because last week I had Nick's 225-plus passing yards, and he threw for 223. So I'm kind of mad at the whole Denver Broncos offense, the organization, city of Denver really, the entire state of Colorado. Yeah, Walmart
Starting point is 00:11:33 for sure. I'm pretty much done with those guys and I hope this guy does go under. Yeah, that's what I'm talking about. It's a revenge game for us. Not for them. Literally, I mean under is receiving. Thank you for clarifying. You never know game props. Not for that. Not literally. I mean, under is receiving. Thank you for clarifying. You never know, man. You never know.
Starting point is 00:11:50 I hope all of Walmart goes under. That's basically what just slops out. He's a vendetta against the Walmart family or wherever. The whole thing, dude. Like, just two more yards. Like, really? You couldn't get two more? Just the Ravens.
Starting point is 00:12:02 You saw their pass defense last night. Literally looked like they had 10 men on the field all night. The unrealized prayer yards to Troy Franklin were rough. There were multiple deep in-zone attempts to Troy Franklin where I was trying to cook that under 2.5, 40-plus for 33-1 hit, and yeah, it didn't happen. I didn't know you only needed two more yards, so now I'm even more mad. Yeah, that was unbelievable, bro.
Starting point is 00:12:28 That was unreal. It actually led to a losing rage bet. I shouldn't have had to pay that, but I did because I pay out, but I shouldn't have had to. FanDuel should have been like, I know what happened. We're going to let you slide with this.
Starting point is 00:12:43 We'll just go ahead and delete that bet i you weren't in your right mind yeah you know as a tilt bet yeah you know what's cool is if you're a vip they'll basically do that because they'll just give you free money so if you lose enough money they might actually do that but it's slop you're too good so that's the issue is that they don't help you out they're like you know what even if you hit mistake button you're just they're they're taking it yeah let's screw that guy that's i mean i get it i do the same thing i wouldn't even let me play there if i were them you know what i mean i wouldn't i wouldn't i'd be like nah man you're good yeah hey shout out profit x you know again i have to go play there play over there on that guy a little bit yeah Yeah. Yep. All their...
Starting point is 00:13:25 You said they have NBA right now? Mm-hmm. They do. They got NBA props up too right now. Go ahead and see what's going on. First quarter? I don't know. Maybe not.
Starting point is 00:13:35 I think so. I don't know. I think they might. Yeah, it's all about first quarter, dude. First quarter points. Really? First quarter. First half.
Starting point is 00:13:43 See, for first half game stuff, it looks like props. Any player props first quarter? Just full game player props. Hats off to any book that gives me first quarter. That is – you guys are crazy. It's – come on. But here's the deal. I think you can request it, Connor.
Starting point is 00:14:01 Is that correct? I believe that's the situation is you can go out and request it, post something up there, and then they'll line it to see if you can get someone, Connor. Is that correct? I believe that's the situation is you can go out and request it, post something up there and then the line, see if you can get someone to grab the other side. We can also just like call in some favors and be like, Hey, can you guys post first quarter props? And they'll be like, sure. You know? So, um, good people over there. Yeah. So, um, if they don't have it, then we can ask and I'm sure we can figure something
Starting point is 00:14:22 out. Yeah. True. We'll find out listen listen greg i hate those comments let's go go somewhere go fly a kite get a new hobby go pick up a flute yeah i kind of do the show for you let's go do the show for us okay like yeah he just wants to turn on the mics and the cameras just like instantly connor comes on starts talking about corland Sutton Make me laugh clown Make me a bicycle Yeah
Starting point is 00:14:51 Alright thanks for hanging out Greg Now it's time for Slop's first prop I'm gonna take an under just cause of that I'm just joking What was I gonna say Dance for us monkeys that's awesome um how about uh george kittle 60 plus receiving yards plus 105 at uh esp and bet i gotta be honest i hope that's still there it probably is there's no way that already moved but um they're getting everybody back like depot and um what's his face cmc um who's the other guy jennings they're getting those
Starting point is 00:15:32 guys like they're not really back though you know i mean they're just like borderline back this is your last week to go on kittle he's got the perfect perfect opponent in the bucks they give it up literally to every tight end they've ever seen. They give it up to receivers, too, in their defense. It's not just tight ends. But I think there's only been two teams in the entire NFL that have given up more receiving yards to tight ends this season than the Bucs. That's two.
Starting point is 00:15:58 That's it. There's a lot of teams out there and only two of them. I think one of them is like the Raiders. They played like way more games too. So that, that shouldn't even count. But yeah, it's,
Starting point is 00:16:09 it's kill time. He's done this, I think in three of the last four games, I think that the Bucs are going to be able to keep up with them, you know, a little bit, or at least make it, make it a four quarter game. We'll,
Starting point is 00:16:21 we'll put that way. So I don't know. It's just, it just seems too easy. Yeah. I don't hate that at all um we got in in some soft evo openers uh connor but um i think slop's kind of right though i mean those guys are back but in terms of like full workload 100 let loose probably not as much uh and kill good cook it's a great matchup yeah Yeah, that's why I didn't release Debo at the current price is because I don't know how healthy he is, number one.
Starting point is 00:16:48 I don't know how healthy Juwan Jennings is. George Kittle I feel pretty good about. He's healthy. Yeah. I mean, the Bucs allowed 100 to Travis Kelsey last week. They allowed Kyle Pitt. 91 to Pitts. And 88, twice.
Starting point is 00:17:03 So you're talking about twice they allowed Kyle Pitts to have his best game of the season, basically, which is saying a lot because Kyle Pitts, we're pretty sure he sucks at this point. He's big. He's an athlete. There's that. Yeah, he's there.
Starting point is 00:17:18 Early in the season, the Bucs were rotating second linebacker next to Levante David. They have KJ Britt, early down thumper, and then Servassier Dennis was their coverage linebacker. Servassier Dennis, great fucking name, by the way. He got hurt. He's on the IR. But as soon as he did, teams are going after KJ Britt in coverage.
Starting point is 00:17:39 And I think this is part of it. You just see a liability to defend at all. So kind of an opening in the middle. And that's what's happening. You could have given me 25 guesses to spell it. And I just, so my guess was C E R V A S I O E. Yeah,
Starting point is 00:17:59 no, no, no, not even close. It's like literally like, sir, S I R V O C E A-a yeah that is a name i did not know that this player was uh you know existent um so that's awesome i'm excited now
Starting point is 00:18:15 servos you pronounce it servosia dennis kind of ladies man yeah oh yeah but yeah no but uh is he knighted or he should be knighted yeah they'll knight him when he comes back so they can take kj right off the field yeah i mean 60 plus is what i got yesterday so i mean it could be 58 now 58 and a half i'm not sure but um dude i'll be honest with you you could go 100 plus me and it's gonna be in the milli that'll be honest with you. You could go 100-plus. I mean, it's going to be in the milli. That's going to be my recommendation, 100-plus. I think that this is just a Kittle game, and they're going to go away soon. As those guys start coming back, you know how it goes with the 49ers. It's tough to which game is it.
Starting point is 00:18:58 Like, well, this is Kittle. You know what I'm saying? Like, this is him. It's going to be his game. Let's see. 60-plus, 108 on FanDuel. 70-plus, plus 142 on FanDuel. Just like the best number.
Starting point is 00:19:14 That's good. About the 2-1 to 80-plus. It's all deadly. You know what I'm saying? Just start hitting buttons. Just pull his name up on FanDome. Just start hitting buttons. On the over side. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:19:29 Like a kid getting in an elevator. Yeah. I think that's the best bet I've ever seen in my life. Yeah. I mean, no need to be dramatic. Yeah. I mean, not to be dramatic. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:19:45 If you've seen a better one, you probably don't remember it. Yeah, I don't remember it. They don't get this good. I feel like we're just going to have an alpha week. He's an alpha. I have a couple. That's definitely an alpha bet. Let's go.
Starting point is 00:19:58 I got more alphas. And Connor has another alpha that I'm in on with him too. I didn't know how to go about it. I want to get some access to Jets passing game this week because I think it's pretty drastic splits between clean pocket Aaron Rodgers and under pressure Aaron Rodgers. And it's actually been really good clean pocket.
Starting point is 00:20:18 And the Cardinals are not going to be able to get much pressure. I think they did last week against the Bears. That speaks, I think, more a little bit to Caleb and the offensive line in Chicago. I know the offensive line's not been great for the Jets this season, but I think in this spot they're going to be able to cook a little bit. So I thought the best way to do it, the more I looked into it, just go after Garrett Wilson.
Starting point is 00:20:35 Over 66.5 receiving yards. It's minus 114 on FanDuel. It's the best price in the market. The acquisition of Devontae Adams has actually been good for him for a couple of reasons, and actually really good for this matchup too. Adams has mostly worked in the slot in three receiver sets, which has kicked Garrett Wilson out wide more. Really the only corner for the Cardinals that really has a pulse
Starting point is 00:20:58 is Garrett Williams, who is primarily in the slot. So Wilson's going to get the easier assignments on the outside. We've seen a higher yards per route run since Adams has been there. He's maintained the same target share that he's had. He's seen at least eight targets in all three games that Adam has been there. They're both eating a little bit. So it's just less of it is going to Conklin and Alan Lazard, and it's just kind of Adams and Wilson eating. So absolutely destroys this Cardinals team here.
Starting point is 00:21:28 Look, he's crude. He got 90-plus in four of the last five. The time he didn't, he was 61, so he's right there. I think this is just a really nice spot for him and a pretty bad number. I think you're just getting discounts because people think that he's taking an L because of Adams, and that's just not what's been happening at all. So love this one, love this price on FanDuel at $66.50. Connor, any thoughts?
Starting point is 00:21:47 It's below the threshold, by the way. It is, yeah. It's way under my threshold. $79. The rule of $79 is very, very important. Big rule. But Gary Wilson falls well under that. I think you can reasonably play over on both of them.
Starting point is 00:22:01 We got some dog barking in the background as agreement here. Those are mine. Yeah yeah they love it they love they love the 79 rule they love garrett wilson i'm not even sure what they're what they're actually excited about there's so much to be excited about yeah and you know why because garrett wilson's a dog that's why oh yeah he's like he's actually two dogs that's why both of them are barking yep Yeah, Joseph, 69.5 in other places. I would play that for sure. I think also if you get to a certain point, you start to click over that 69.5.
Starting point is 00:22:31 I think longest reception is also very much in play. What's currently posted is something he's topped, I think, in five straight. So his average depth of target maintains. It was a little lower last week, but he's still been winning deep down the field too. So lots of different ways to get it. Fine with longest, fine with chasing it up to 69.5 if you can't get the 66.5 on Fandle.
Starting point is 00:22:53 So yeah, I think he eats for sure. All right, Connor, back to you. I think we keep the alpha train moving here. I'm in on this play as well so i'm a plus one on connor's play i think this is a uh a game that's gonna kind of pop off a little bit and a number that's just not really i think capturing what's going on actually with the squad based off of what's been going on all season yeah no 100 um so we're gonna go with tyreek hill alt overs i know that this is a little bit further down, you know,
Starting point is 00:23:26 than what slop likes to look at. You know, he's more of like a gets to Monday when we get to Monday type of guy. We've talked about that before, but I mean, it's good to get an early. I think this could legit close at like 80 or like high seventies because FanDuel is posting 74 and a half here. Tyreek Hill in three games to 130, 72 and 80 receiving yards. Now 74 and a half here. Tyree Kill in three games of Tua, 130, 72, and 80 receiving yards. Now gets a great matchup here against the Rams. 50-point game total right now.
Starting point is 00:23:51 Rams play a ton of cover three. Tyree Kill against cover three. Leads the team in target share. Three yards per outrun. They've also allowed insane games already to wide receivers. So talking about 180 yards to JSN, 175 to Juwan Jennings, 130 to Marvin Harris Jr., 121 to JamesSN, 175 to Juwan Jennings, 130 to Marvin Harris Jr.,
Starting point is 00:24:05 121 to Jameson, 115 to Justin Jefferson. I think the upside here is you can't understate it. It's just so high here for a guy that, I mean, if Tua had played all season, Tyreek's line, I think, would be like 86 to 88 in this spot. And we're getting it at 73, 74. So pretty good discount there. You guys know that I don't really play overs that much.
Starting point is 00:24:31 It's just a fun way to get exposure to a guy that can do this literally on the first play. A thousand percent. I don't even have much to add. He's tired of kills. Over, I was like, yeah. Yeah, exactly. He's tired of killing. Yeah, exactly.
Starting point is 00:24:45 He's tired of killing. I mean, look, kind of what I was touching on is we had a month of Snoop Huntley and Skylar Thompson, and their median numbers have been driven down by it. And this Rams secondary is not it. Be careful saying that because my friend tommy g came on the thunderdome weeks ago and told us everybody that was listening that the rams were the best team in the nfc when healthy and i was i was shocked so i get on him every week about that but he was on this morning again and talking the same shit again i'm just like this is insane so we might
Starting point is 00:25:24 have to go back and find out what Tommy's looking at, maybe find out what he's smoking. I don't know. Was he hanging out with the lizard people a little too much? Dude, I don't know. I'm still like, wait, what did you just say, Tommy? You know what I mean? Did you just say that?
Starting point is 00:25:41 So, yeah, we'll see this weekend, though. And this is the perfect bet for me because of that, because now I get to have something. I get to rub it in Tommy's face. Tommy is legit all time, dude. I mean, that guy is like legit a legend in the content, like cutting, grifting. I don't know, like right-wing conspiracy. He does it all, bro.
Starting point is 00:26:05 He does it all. If you want to go down a rabbit hole, just search his name and start looking through some of the wild shit that he's tweeted, that he's done. I mean, this guy is an absolute legend. Go 2020 Tommy G was my favorite. Well, actually, 2016 Tommy G was probably my favorite. That was when it got like, whoa. And then it went into 2020 tommy g which got his twitter account suspended right that was very good tommy g though don't get me wrong it was uh it was
Starting point is 00:26:31 vintage tommy g because now he's back on the sports side of stuff but yeah every time i talk rams i all i can hear is him saying that it's like wait did you just say they're the best team in the nfc right now? I was like, okay. But he had the caveat. He did a smart thing. He said win healthy because then, like, when are they healthy? You know what I mean?
Starting point is 00:26:51 Yeah, that's what he said. They're an NFL team that's healthy. So that was smart on his part. But, yeah, let's go with Tyreek Hill. That's beautiful. Beautiful play. Tommy does know that when the offense steps off the field, the defense steps on the field, and that's actually part of the team.
Starting point is 00:27:05 In his defense, they've got a win guy. If they win 41-40, they still won. I'll give him credit there. That would help us. I just don't want him to be right in this situation, though. If the Rams still win and Tyreek goes off,
Starting point is 00:27:21 then he's still right. They've been doing a great job getting pressure this season, but I think part of the appeal here is that Tua gets the ball out so fast. Again, like leads the league in time to throw regardless of clean or pressured. So that's just kind of it. You can kind of hide the back half of the defense if you get a ton of pressure, and I think Tua does a great job at kind of mitigating that here. So, yeah, absolutely love this play anytime to uh i mean anytime that tyreek is sub 80 you
Starting point is 00:27:51 have to almost like really convince yourself to not play that just you know the guy just historically just pops off i mean and i like this look here patrick in the chat like all longest i'm guessing that's probably caesars. Yeah. 50 plus. That is good. Who put that in there? What's his name? Patrick? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:28:10 Nice work, Patrick. That's, yeah. I always wonder why does Patrick like. We got the best guy on this millie. Profile. These are the guys we need, dude. Yeah, I like that. That's good. We're back at Caesars now.
Starting point is 00:28:24 God damn it. Yeah, we're on caesars i think caesars just the way i i feel like we could even almost like just try and maybe win a hundred thousand dollars before we won a million dollars this week but crawl before you walk i like it or maybe half a million dollars but or just a million dollars 10 times as much we'll win a million yeah that's same bet same bet just 10 times as much i can do that we've just been five bucks but it was about 50 done so i'm saying that's just how math works guys yeah you know what i mean it's just math working out for math people easy tracks for me uh let's keep the albatrain rolling slap what else you got for us um this is probably the greatest bit i've ever seen
Starting point is 00:29:06 in my life and in my defense i didn't see it before i just talked about the kid on when i just saw it now so we're gonna let's go with the stroud boys i think i really think nico collins is gonna play i saw a video of him today with a helmet on at practice. They designated him back from whatever list he was on, and he was dancing. And the moves he was doing wasn't some bullshit dance moves. It was like they were real moves. Like, I can't even do it. So I think he's back, and if that is the case,
Starting point is 00:29:40 Stroud is going at least 275, all right, 270, plus 270, plus 300 at DraftKings right now for 275 plus. That's if you're soft. If you're not soft and you're a real man or a woman, you would go 300 plus, plus 600 at DraftKings. There is no chance he throws for less than 300 yards. With Nico back. They got to win.
Starting point is 00:30:06 It's the Lions. Nobody, nobody gives it up like the Detroit Lions in the past game. Zero people. There is no team in the NFL, but I mean, maybe besides the Ravens, but they're, I mean, they're right there with them. Anybody that literally plays the Lions could set a record that day. Anyone, like literally anybody. So we're a record that day. Anyone. Like, literally anybody.
Starting point is 00:30:27 So we're talking C.J. Stroud. He's got Nico Collins back. Maybe John Mechie shows his face a little bit. That would be fun after losing all my money on him on Halloween. And Tank Dell is around. I mean, dude, he's got guys. Like, the Stroud boys, they can – they do 300 plus it's not the plus 600 guys like seriously is it plus 600 for 300 like he's done that a million times dude yeah hard to argue against the stroud boys right now it's been a lot yeah yeah dude trump just won
Starting point is 00:30:58 the election like if they got the stroud boys got a lot going for them right now. So they're hot. They're hot on the streets. And J-Mo's back. So the Lions, they put points on them. Next thing you know, we got a little baby shootout going on. 300's not even weird because everybody's getting 300. You don't think golf has it too? It's just like last night pretty much, except on Sunday night. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:31:23 That's the only difference. Yeah. Yeah, we got to wait for the – you want to wait for the Nico news? Do you have any – Oh, no, he's back. on Sunday night. That's the only difference. You want to wait for the Nico news? Do you have any... There's a video of him dancing. He was dancing, and you couldn't do the dance moves. He's back. No, but in all seriousness, I didn't think he was going to play
Starting point is 00:31:42 because he didn't practice yesterday or the day before, and he was coming back from a list. So you would think they he was going to play because like he didn't practice yesterday or the day before. And he was coming back from a list. So you would think they were just gonna like, he would definitely practice. Right. If he was going to play. And then all of a sudden he didn't.
Starting point is 00:31:54 So it's like, all right, well that sucks. But then, like I said, helmet on dancing at Pratt. We're good. He's all set.
Starting point is 00:32:01 I don't want to like rain on the Stroud boys parade over here, but I'm pretty sure Nico Collins is not playing. He is playing. No, he was dancing, dude. Um, slop check FSM.
Starting point is 00:32:13 Uh, every once in a while, I think there was some, some, but some Twitter today, two o'clock he was dancing on Twitter. Um, yeah,
Starting point is 00:32:23 I mean, I don't know. I'm not for sure. Obviously, it's not my information, but, you know, the word on the street is that he's not playing. Hold on, hold on. But that being said, he could still get there because the Lions are going to cook.
Starting point is 00:32:35 They're going to score plenty. Stroud could throw for 300 with anyone back there. Again, the Lions secondary is not good. So, yeah. anyone back there again the line secondary is not good so um yeah there was uh all right seth payne who is a very trusted person in the media i don't follow him but i'm following him now extremely trusted i'm no medical expert but nico collins oh shit they're calling me nico collins is already dancing in the simplest i don't think it's a simple dance move dance is 300 better than a fully healthy and moderately
Starting point is 00:33:12 bush seth payne that's him that's it that's nico collins today at practice dancing wow houston texans houston texans three hours ago n Nico Collins, the one I'm talking about, that Nico, same Nico, has been designated for return to practice, and we have made another roster move. Like they didn't even say the other guy's name. They're like, some other guy. He's coming back too. And there's a picture of him.
Starting point is 00:33:38 Look at that. Picture. I saw that. I saw that too. I think he's playing. There's the beauty of it. Even if he doesn't play, it's the Lions, dude. 300 plus.
Starting point is 00:33:47 Exactly. No doubt. They're still outs. No matter what. They're still outs to get there. His line's so low. Like, I thought, like, oh, maybe I'll be able to get an under if Nico's not playing. I was like, oh, it'll probably be like 250, 245.
Starting point is 00:33:57 Nah, 229. I'm not playing an under on CJ Stroud at 229 against the Lions. I mean, come on. NFL rumors. You know this has to be legit. Oh, no. NFL rumors. Is it NFL rums?
Starting point is 00:34:09 NFL rumors. Rums, yeah. You know that's legit. That guy might be the worst. That guy is like – the amount of times that one of my idiot friends sends me a text with like a rumor, like, is this true? And I'm like, no, this guy just made this up. Like, this is this true and i'm like no this guy just made this up like this is not true br gridiron nico collins back oh same he's back dude he
Starting point is 00:34:34 he's practicing on a friday this guy's back dude they were slow playing the lions dude you're right maybe they were lying to us it was like you know, it was like a hoax, you know, that they were telling us like, all right. So here's the other part this morning on what you would call it on the Thunderdome. I gave out tank Dell six plus receptions because I did not think Nico Collins was playing, but that way saw the video of him dancing. I now think he's playing. He has to be playing. There's no way he's not playing. He's at practice today,
Starting point is 00:35:04 got designated for a turn and he's dancing. He has to be playing. There's no way he's not playing. He's at practice today, got designated for a turn, and he's dancing. Those are the three things that have to happen, and he's doing all three of them. Let's not pretend this is a Nico Collins bet. This is a CJ Stroud bet. I kind of want Nico in there. I was trying to help you out, buddy.
Starting point is 00:35:20 I'm with you. CJ Stroud votes for 300-plus. If you want to get soft through 250, that's fine, too. Plus 152, just throw a year and a half in with you. No, but C.J. Stroud throws for 300-plus. If you want to get soft through 250, that's fine too. Plus 152, just throw a year and a half in your pocket. No big deal. Just fun stuff. We got the chat is saying he's 100,000% playing, no doubt, from Will Carey. Patrick said side bet that he's not playing.
Starting point is 00:35:42 Yeah, I mean, I don't know what to bet, but, yeah, we could do that. Too much rum for slop. Who said he's not playing? I mean, I can tell you after. I'm not going to expose anyone on here. Okay. They've been nailed so far with everything else Texans related. I just think it's real weird that the guy's at practice dancing
Starting point is 00:36:03 and he ain't playing. Look, I hope you're right. Because the moment that he's announced in, this line's going to jump 20 yards. So maybe not 20, at least 15. Yeah, you're just early. All right, well, then here's what you do. You take Stroud, the passing yard, over right now
Starting point is 00:36:18 and then I guess grab Tank Dell too. That way you're – you know what I'm saying? Yeah. When they announce he's out, you got the Tank Dell side. When they announce're, you know what I'm saying? Yeah. Yeah. When the announce he's out, you got the Tank Dell side. When announce he's in, you got the Stroud side and all of it can hit.
Starting point is 00:36:32 Love it. Easy. I'm going to keep the alpha train rolling here. You can, again, sorry, apology slot for another Monday night bet, but you can show the same.
Starting point is 00:36:42 There's a lot of games on Sunday. I'm just saying. Yeah. I mean, I don't really, I look at the best bets. Try to find the best bets. I don't worry about what day it is. I don't know why Cooper Cup is 63.5 receiving yards.
Starting point is 00:36:54 Cooper Cup. That's low. 63.5 on FanDuel, minus 114. There's some 65.5s out there at some other places, Caesars, Prop Builder. But, yeah, I mean, I don't know. He had 11 catches on 14 targets last game.
Starting point is 00:37:09 I don't, I don't really understand this line whatsoever against the dolphins here. And part of it is, again, I think it's one of these scenarios where the game environment is something where there's some, some ceiling here. These two teams can push each other and make this a game in the
Starting point is 00:37:25 fourth quarter both passing offenses having to be aggressive 63 and a half super duper low so yeah i mean miami's also got injuries in the secondary they have to move um jalen ramsey in the slot a little bit but really good on the outside in the perimeter this year not so much in the slot um just a bigger bodied guy i just feel like cooper cup can cook him in the slot for sure um if they get cater cool back or whatever he'll cook him too but i think doesn't really matter 63 and a half for a guy who has a logistic path or like legitimate path to 10 12 targets uh every time he plays so uh absolutely love the 63 and a half two too soft and alts are in play.
Starting point is 00:38:05 Same game parlay with, you know, with Tyreek, whatever you want to do here. I think Monday night's going to cook. So sorry, sorry, slop.
Starting point is 00:38:11 I'm sure you'll have a little bit left meat on the bone left for a Monday. Same game parlays or whatnot. If we didn't absolutely just destroy your, your best bets, but those are too low. Those lines are too low. I mean,
Starting point is 00:38:22 I don't know. I thank you guys for making my SGP for me. I got two legs right now. Done. I don't understand it. Miami secondary is not something that we should be avoiding. I just don't understand where this is originated from. Again, Cooper Cup south of 70 is just, I don't know, smash.
Starting point is 00:38:42 So let's see where our alt legs are for Cooper Cup because we're probably going to have some of that in our mid-parlay. Yeah, what are you feeling for the alts on Cooper Cup? Receptions? You can do all the receptions, which is good. Or do you like yards better? I don't mind all. I mean, eight-plus receptions.
Starting point is 00:39:00 I mean, you got to start to – you're barely getting a two-to- all on eight receptions, which is fine. But like receiving yards last game. Yeah. Three 30 on FanDuel to get a hundred yards. This is, he did it last week. He's, he's done it two out of the four games he's played this year. Like I don't know, it's Cooper cup.
Starting point is 00:39:21 I remember after week one, it was like, oh, man, Cooper Cup, wide receiver one. Everyone thought he was fully back. He ends up getting dinged up a little bit, but comes back. He's back after a week. Last week, fully back, cooking. I think this is a spot where we could have similar play volume where the Dolphins are pushing them too. I don't know, 330 to get 100 is pretty nuts.
Starting point is 00:39:44 You know what? I agree with all that. You know what I love this week? I don't know 330 to get 100 is pretty nuts you know what i love i agree with all that you know what i love this week and i don't know why we haven't talked about it you know who's back in our lives after a drug oh jameson oh yeah oh he's back i mean we buried the lead 37 and a half like i don't know if i really want to play that but dan campbell is like he's been in all the meetings like we're just going to throw him back out there. Yeah, he's fine. Alts, if you're not playing Jamison Alts, I don't know what you're doing.
Starting point is 00:40:09 I'm just going to play some just for fun, but I love it. I just think he's a big play threat all the time. He's seen a ton of targets here. He was going through the full experience, a couple of zeros, a couple of pop weeks, but that's what you want. All or nothing. No, it keeps it low. You know what I'm saying?
Starting point is 00:40:24 You don't want him going 60 plus every week but now he's definitely he's definitely getting i'd say something on the first drive i mean come on you don't get suspended suspended for i think what it was a gunge drugs and gambling i think he's been suspended for all three of those things now so this guy he hit the trifecta already. They haven't cut him yet. That means he's good. That's the only way you stay on the roster is if you are nasty. Is William the Stroud boy? I mean, that's the question. He should get traded. Yeah, he should trade fit in.
Starting point is 00:40:57 90 plus, 9 to 1. I mean, that's crazy. I mean, I don't know what else you can get suspended for. He's pretty much done it all at this point like fighting isn't like you know coach your commissioner or something like that would be you know well i mean off the field yeah i guess you could do that too yeah i mean yeah off the field stuff he's basically just run the gauntlet i mean he's pretty much done it all. And he's young still, too. I mean, he's got time. He's got time. He could punch someone.
Starting point is 00:41:26 He could figure some more shit out. Two, three years. Yeah. He's only got two games this time, though. You know what I mean? Like, that's not, you know. Yeah. I didn't even know he was gone.
Starting point is 00:41:34 I'm not going to lie. I blinked and he's back. I don't think he did it. Like, I don't know what he got in trouble for. I don't think he did it. I agree. Steven said negatively correlated jamo i think the issue is that uh it's probably two and a half receptions this week so uh as of now fandel does not have receptions up exactly um
Starting point is 00:41:55 but if it's three and a half definitely agree if it's two and a half i think it's just a little bit sweaty because i think he's probably gonna see four or five targets so um yeah yeah stop uh great price on a i think another one of our like new negatively correlated uncorrelated kings is uh is addison in minnesota uh torn addison under three and a half 50 plus it's like 11 and one on fan duel uh just that game state with jacksonville not being able to really push. Now you've got Hawk back. There's just way more outs for him to comfortably come under three and a half receptions. And then there's ADOT's 20-plus.
Starting point is 00:42:34 So for him to get 40-plus, 50-plus, he's kind of first team All-American, uncorrelated big guy for moving forward now the hawks back i think so yeah good stuff there uh all right guys because anything else anything else we want to cook up we're gonna start getting into uh building some millionaire yeah i mean i've been building this like parlay here just on the side just for fun um while we're going um i ripped just ripped six quick legs you know figured that you guys wouldn wouldn't object because we just talked about all these guys. George Kittle, 100-plus. Yep.
Starting point is 00:43:10 That's plus 420. We got Garrett Wilson, 100-plus, plus 280. James Williams, 70-plus, plus 330. And then a little – oh, actually, this is – hold on here. It's five legs. Do we want Cooper cup 100 yards or 10 receptions probably 100 yards right 100 yards okay um so cooper cup 100 yards tyree kill 120 yards both those plus 330 plus 360 then that's it so we're already at 152 to 1 i think um no we're
Starting point is 00:43:38 1052 to 1 um so um yeah we're on a good spot we need malik neighbors oh yeah malik neighbors this week i mean could see like 15 targets again yeah no slayton but you know carolina just absolutely dominant performance incoming i mean i might just play as normal prop straight up too because it's like mid70s is... And they're in Germany, right? Yeah. He's never not had a good game in Germany. Nope. I heard
Starting point is 00:44:13 he dominates Germans. Oh, man. I'm trying to load it here. Caesars is being real slow for some reason. Of course, right? As we're building the parlay, they know. They know that we're cooking. Yeah, they know. They're watching.
Starting point is 00:44:28 So they got that Texans game shut down too. Patrick calling out George Pickens' longest reception. Yeah, 25 and a half. A little bit higher. It's been like 21, 22. But, you know, decent spot. I think the commander's secondary has been better than we thought, but I'm still without a lot of more this week.
Starting point is 00:44:49 So I don't do not hate Pickens longest considering he gets, you know, multiple 30, 35 yard targets every week. So yeah, don't, don't mind that one at all. It was on my list. I bought a little bit of 25 and a half, but I think it's probably still play. Brian TJ watt over a quarter sack, minus 115. I mean, he's really good. He's rarely ever lined right there. Shout out to Jane Daniels, not taking sacks,
Starting point is 00:45:14 considering how much he thought he would when he came in. So, again, just probably bet on talent for a guy that's rarely ever priced at a quarter for minus 115. Don't hate it. Matchup, though, not great on paper. But Watt is your massive favorite for defensive player of the year for a reason. What do we want to do with neighbors here, Connor? What did you get?
Starting point is 00:45:36 I mean, 100-plus is like plus 210. We could keep going higher than that. I mean, I don't know. I kind of thought we'd get more than 2-1, but I mean. We should be getting more than 2- one but he's malik neighbors you know he's awesome you guys want to hit up any of those saints then they just fire that coach yeah we're good little dead cap bounce he's like mason guy or a juwan johnson guy yeah i mean i'm just saying like think about any time you've ever worked somewhere and like your boss that you didn't like got fired dude the next day that your work I bet you were the most productive you know I'm saying everybody's happy they're skipping along and shit dude like
Starting point is 00:46:16 I bet you they're a well-oiled machine and it's perfect too because a lobby is not gonna play obviously Shahid so like you who who you know what i mean somebody's got to do something i don't hate it i just where do you go with it because the team is that's the only problem like bub i mean he's got a great name so that immediately puts him in but i don't know i think the tipton guy they just targeted him like crazy a couple weeks ago like at the end of the game. It's like it was – I had someone that day, Moreau, and they kind of look alike.
Starting point is 00:46:50 Not a lot alike, but a little bit. And I was like, oh, is that Moreau? He's like, no, it's not. It's Tipton. He's like, why? You know what I mean? Why do they keep firing this guy? So he caught a lot of them.
Starting point is 00:47:00 Or just go straight up Jawan Johnson. I got him 35 plus at like plus 135. Yeah, a good call by Joe in the chat. Yeah, 40 plus, plus 155. He's fast. I know that. I know like they like to give him some like, you know, a couple of deep targets since his snap rates kind of spiked a little bit.
Starting point is 00:47:20 Noel Lave, obviously. So, yeah, I mean, a Falconcons zone is something you can attack for sure i would love to know what's going on with drake london because mooney is in a really nice spot against again on the other side that saint secondary is beat up mooney got fed last game when drake london went out so like mooney longest if you know again we have to find my problem with anybody catching balls though for atlanta is you can just run on the Saints. And it's like that's whenever you see him just like feeding Bichon, just ripping off long run. You know what I mean? It's like that could happen.
Starting point is 00:47:55 I'm not saying it's gonna, but that those are those are tough to watch. You know what I mean? When when your receiver is so perfectly set up, but then they just don't really fully utilize it because they don't have to. Yeah. Yeah, that's tough. One thing I think is that the Saints get beat no matter what. I think they're going to play this game from behind the whole time. Carr's probably pissed off from getting just assaulted by Thomas on Twitter. You see that?
Starting point is 00:48:23 Michael Thomas is like, God damn, man. Yeah, that's rough. Letting it all out. That was pretty funny. Yeah, I had a great time watching that whole thing happen. That was funny. But no, I mean, I don't know. What about Jawan Johnson?
Starting point is 00:48:38 It's not that crazy to think he gets 50 yards for us in a beatdown. No, he's a good player. All right, Jawan Johnson, 50-plus is plus 285. When was the last time Juwan Johnson had 50 yards, like last season? I think so. He had that one, like, week 17 game. He had 48 yards two weeks ago and 48 yards October 13th, like four weeks ago. He's right there.
Starting point is 00:49:02 The only thing holding him back was Dennis Allen. You're right. It was all Dennis Allen. And Chris Alave. And Shahid. So now that all three of those guys are gone, he can finally live up to his potential. Yeah, this is perfect.
Starting point is 00:49:17 So in 59 career games, he has 50 yards three times. But, you know, there's no better time than that he's done he's due yeah he's due yeah we should be getting way more than 280 for that the books know something that should be plus 500 exactly so we're never done except for the times he did it and we have to put that in there now um we're at 10 to 180 grand right now so we're in a good spot um on these legs we basically need probably like one or two more okay not bad um so i mean we missed the number i think we were gonna probably do something with it during the show if it didn't get cooked up yeah kalia shakir is in a insane spot um absolutely dominant target share against zone you know you
Starting point is 00:50:04 have injuries on the other side as well unfortunately got you know cooked out before in the last couple hours but um it's a leg that we could put in there somehow right where you seven eight set or uh seven eight receptions or i don't know what you think yeah the ults are ugly i'm not gonna lie jesus on that guy is he um i mean now i kind of want to play it. Tommy G's in. I mean, we were in on it before, but it was like 55, 56. It's like 53 now.
Starting point is 00:50:33 Alts are 100 plus is plus 300 only. I thought it was going to be like, I mean, he's being priced like. Yeah. Like he's like just a hundred plus merchant you know but he i don't know i mean 90 plus is plus 210 like i think he's gonna pop off but like we are getting no value which is fine we don't always have to get value but we're not getting any value no yeah no that that's that's true yeah i like five and a half receptions at plus money um before things got cooked out there just because i don't worry about him
Starting point is 00:51:06 catching a three-yard pass and falling down because sometimes his ADOT is uncomfortably low sometimes. But, yeah, chasing the yards up highs. It's not a guy I want to get to 100-plus on for sure. No, no, no, no. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:51:23 What about J-Mo? Yeah, I asked him already. Oh, he's there. Yeah, 70- What about J-Mo? Yeah, I asked him already. Oh, he's there. 70. Yeah, 70-plus for J-Mo. That's half. Any of the Bears guys, like Odunze, I think could be good. There's too many of them.
Starting point is 00:51:38 Yeah, but, like, you saw DJ Moore. He's got the attitude issues, walked off the field mid-game. And then who else remember last year he was talking shit and then literally like justin fields threw every pass he threw that night to him it was a thursday night you remember that yep what if that happens commanders yeah i remember that game he went nuts i mean his prop is 46 yards one of these guys probably gonna have like 100 yards. Fat Keenan just sucks.
Starting point is 00:52:07 I think Keenan Allen is just done. Like he's screwed probably over. He's more of a mentor at this point. Yeah, like I think we just pick one of the other guys. I think one of them to have like 70 yards is pretty solid luck. If you guys aren't in on that, we can go somewhere else with it. How in bed are the Bears with uh more they just extended him they extended very much in bed i mean there is there was a rumbling that he requested a trade like immediately uh like after last week obviously he did not get traded before the trade deadline i don't think that they they probably just told him to fuck off
Starting point is 00:52:41 but like or they said you know dude? 15 targets next week. Don't worry about it. We're good. Yeah. Or they say 15 plus targets after all that. Rumors are that he hates Caleb Williams, and that's not surprising considering every interaction we've seen with them basically the entire time.
Starting point is 00:52:57 We're looking at 70 plus is plus 230. 80 plus yards is plus 340. I mean, that's like nothing. I mean, 80 yards for DJ Moore is like really light. This Pats defense is not very good at this point, given what they have. It's true. Oh,
Starting point is 00:53:10 that's maybe what you need to do. Drake, Drake may 50 yards rushing. Ooh. Ooh. Yeah. 95 last week. Oh my God.
Starting point is 00:53:17 That's fun. That is fun. Do you see today though? They're like, we're not going to design a single run for him. Yeah. They haven't been designing. I think you take, I'm not going to say the word under,
Starting point is 00:53:27 but I think you see him run for 95 and you're just like, hey, don't ever let that happen again type thing. You know what I mean? Yeah. Well, he ran like eight times. Yeah, it's like, buddy, that's not it. The problem is that the Patriots offensive line is so bad. So you want to tell him that he can't run,
Starting point is 00:53:46 you're going to just make him sit there and get sacked, or is he just going to scramble and run seven, eight yards? Yeah, and then run, yeah. Yeah. At least according to PFF's tracking, none of his runs have been by design. Oh, then that's okay, yeah. Then he's just running for his life. I guess you could take it until they get a new offensive line.
Starting point is 00:54:06 Yep. Which will be in a couple years probably. It's not going to be today. Yeah. Yeah. I played over 25 and a half. I thought it was too soft to open. But yeah.
Starting point is 00:54:15 I like it. I added it in there. 50 plus rushing yards. I mean, 50 plus is not very much for plus 285. Bears are going to get pressure. So like. I don't know. It's a game.
Starting point is 00:54:28 Yeah. We'll see. Bears are 10th in pressure rate in the season surprisingly like they're not an awesome unit but they're above average so um we could do i mean it's like 12 no it's like 15 bucks to win a million right now so we could either add another leg and scale down cost or just win a million dollars on 15 bucks. I got $15 in across a couple of accounts instead of forcing anything, you know, just pony up a couple extra dollars here. So just to run through it here again, real quick. Caesar's not even letting me bet this, which is wild. Except change. Play spot. No, we're good.
Starting point is 00:55:08 Okay, we're in. All right. So Kittle 100 plus. Gary Wilson 100 plus. Juwan Johnson and Drake May 50 plus. Jameson 70 plus. Malik Neighbors 100 plus. And then wrapping it up on Monday night.
Starting point is 00:55:22 Cup 100 plus. Tyree Kill 120 plus. Easy game. 15 bucks on a million. Oh, man. Then wrapping it up on Monday night, Cup 100+, Tyreek Hill 120+, easy game, $15 on a million. Oh, man, you're going to get all day Monday and know that you're going to hit a million dollars. All you have to do is have Tyreek and Cooper Cup do what they do all the time. I wouldn't go to work. That's going to feel so good.
Starting point is 00:55:38 Stay home. I'm going to golf Friday or Monday. Wait. Yeah, just wait. You're about to be a millionaire. I'm going to get a membership at Medina or something that's really expensive because i know i'm gonna be able to pay for it later good yeah we're good for you guys take credit show them your your ticket yeah show them yeah they'll understand screenshot um is are there any austin eckler props again this week yet or no
Starting point is 00:55:59 brian robinson just got ruled out again which by the the way, um, shout out to Jake again. He was sending us all those messages and I got rich off Austin Eckler overs last week. So that was great. Um, that was like two minutes timeline there though. So I couldn't release it. Um, but, um, it's, I mean, it was great. It just looks like touchdown props is all I see. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:56:22 I mean, Eckler doesn't really score that many touchdowns. Yeah. It just looks like touchdown props is all I see. Yeah, I mean, Eckler doesn't really score that many touchdowns. Nico, on the injury report, he's questionable now. Is that an upgrade or a downgrade? I feel like it's an upgrade. I mean, he was out. So, Swap, when Nico Collins doesn't play, what do we want to bet on this? I'd go 250 at that point, but we want to bet on this? I'd go 250
Starting point is 00:56:46 at that point. How about this? I'd wait until he's actually ruled out. I don't know how much it's going to move because of him. I'll stake your Millie Parlay next week if he plays. How about that?
Starting point is 00:57:01 That's fair. He's definitely playing. Again, he was dancing. We saw the man dancing. week if he plays how about that oh that's fair yeah dude he's definitely playing dude again he was dancing i mean we saw the man dancing yeah that's all you need to know and like i said he he did practice they he practiced today limited they said but it again he was dancing so that's full to me and uh questionable that's actually that's a good thing because will anderson's out they're slow playing these guys, dude. I'm telling you.
Starting point is 00:57:28 Hope you're right. We'd love to bet on some Nico props. Dude. It's he's going to go up. I think he's fully healthy. That's what people are saying. I mean, I'm limited in questionable.
Starting point is 00:57:38 He was fine last week. I hope you're right again. Like I just, I want to bet on some nico props the world's a better place when nico collins is playing football oh yeah dude but yeah no everybody was saying he was healthy he was ready to go last week they like they were saying he was fine like he like he could run all that stuff and then he just didn't practice and it was like oh well they might something's up you know what i mean but now i now, I mean, like I said, he's at practice today. He's got a helmet on. He's dancing.
Starting point is 00:58:08 People are happy, dude. Niko's back. He's still lying. He's been playing football his whole life. Like how much do you need to practice? Yeah, he's been waiting for this day for his entire life. Yeah, I like it. And, you know, we'll have that little window too
Starting point is 00:58:22 between the end of the late Sunday games and before the Sunday night one kicks off. So, you know, even if you missed a little bit, he bounces back, you'd see and react to the news. Cause yeah,
Starting point is 00:58:32 you know, you never know what happens because we get, you know, we get the Nico news. Maybe it's a Schefter bomb on Sunday, Saturday night, Sunday morning, but yeah,
Starting point is 00:58:40 a little bit of window to get in on. It's going to be a good one. I'm just going to sit in my room and just wait. You got your own room? Yeah. Yep. That's cool. You don't have any roommates?
Starting point is 00:58:55 Well, I mean, my room. Your wife is like, go to your, okay, go. Yeah,
Starting point is 00:59:00 exactly. There's a, it's actually, I share it with the dogs. It's actually called the dog's room, but I'm allowed in there too. Designated spot for bets, sweating of bets and football. I just kind of hang out in there and just like wait for stuff.
Starting point is 00:59:14 Nice. Like Nico News. Amazing. Good place to be. All right, gents. So 15 to win the million, Connor, not bad. You're going to tweet that out. 4 for 4 bets on Twitter.
Starting point is 00:59:24 100%. Yeah, I'm about to. You're going to tweet that out? 4 for 4, Betts on Twitter? 100%. Yeah, I'll tweet that right now. Love it. Man, it feels good. 15, you know, maybe that's the play. You know, we just bump up the price a little bit, cut back on some legs. Yeah, I mean, it's only eight legs.
Starting point is 00:59:38 Eight legs is not that much. We bet on a bunch of good players. I mean, that's how you play on. Good players to do things they do. We bet on a bunch of good players. But, hey, I'm not going to talk shit on Juwan if he wins this in the middle of the night. I mean, that's how good players to do things. They do bet on a bunch of good players, but I'm not going to talk shit on Joanne if he wins a simile. So yeah,
Starting point is 00:59:48 feels right. All right, everyone take advantage of the rebate deal that we talked about at the top. Download the rebate app. Use promo code high slop.
Starting point is 00:59:55 Get into high slops, dub club dudes printing the NBA right. Yeah, you get only NFL once a week, but you want winners every day, every day.
Starting point is 01:00:03 That sounds fun. You can get that in the Slops Dub Club. So check that out. Download Rebet. Promo code HIGHSLOP. You're also going to get a free month of 4 for 4. Again, access to our betting subscription, which gets you access to everything on the site.
Starting point is 01:00:16 Again, the Discord. Get all the plays that we push out to all the other stuff that we're doing. Just insane deal. Check it out. Again, if you have questions, let us know. Promo code HIGHSL, when you download Rebet. Good stuff as always. Appreciate you.
Starting point is 01:00:28 Make sure you subscribe, thumbs up, all those things before you take off. We will be back richer next week to do it all again. For Connor and Slop, I'm Ryan. We'll see you all next time. Thanks, everybody.

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