Move The Line - Expert NFL Week 11 Player Prop Bets! | Top Picks, Predictions & Odds

Episode Date: November 15, 2024

Get ready for Week 11 with our top prop bet picks! Join us as we break down the best NFL prop bets for opening week, analyzing player performances, key matchups, and hidden opportunities to maximize your winnings. Whether you're betting on touchdowns, yardage, or game-changing plays, we've got the insights you need to make the smartest bets. Subscribe now and start the season with a winning edge! Earn $50 in Pick6 Credits and a month of NFL+ Premium when you play $5+ on your first ever entry on Pick6 👉🏼https://shorturl.at/xY53r Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package 👉🏼  https://www.4for4.com/plans Sign-up on FanDuel Today 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/go/fanduel Follow 4for4 on Twitter 👉🏼    / 4for4football  Follow 4for4 Bets on Twitter 👉🏼    / 4for4bets  Follow Move the Line on Twitter 👉🏼    / movethelinenfl   Follow Connor on Twitter 👉🏼    / connorallennfl  Follow Ryan on Twitter 👉🏼    / rynoonan  Follow John on Twitter 👉🏼    / sloprules   Visit our Website 👉🏼  https://www.4for4.com/Join our Discord 👉🏼    / discord  Subscribe to our YouTube Channel 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3OupraJ 4for4 Betting Strategy Hub 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3hm39cw4for4 Betting Picks 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3LUp0Ea NFL Betting Odds & Predictions 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3nsW9QU  

hello and welcome to move line prop drop show presented by DraftKings Sportsbook I'm Ryan Noonan back with my friends Connor Rowan John Hyslop to talk about the best way the most profitable way to bet on NFL football and that is through player props we are in week 11 holy crap we're in week 11 Thanksgiving sneaking up up on us uh we'll continue to be live here 3 p.m eastern every friday on the 444 bets youtube channel you can also find us in podcast form i'll move the line wherever you listen to podcasts uh if you're hanging out with us now on youtube jump in the chat contribute to the million dollar parlay this week let us know what your favorite look is you want our thoughts on the play, anything like that. We will get to as many as possible throughout the show.

Joining me here, as always, Connor Allen. What's up, my friend? Yeah, not a whole lot. Going out to Wisconsin this weekend for the Wisconsin-Organ game. So that should be fun. Slop, if you got any plays for that game, definitely hit my line. Trying to get as much action down as possible. Over?

Okay. Yeah, just go over. Cool. Yeah, i bet on some guy named terrence ferguson um i bet his over uh over yeah all only overs for as much as i love to bet unders and everything i do not bet unders when i go to a game in person no no it's it's a system i have um it it never fails If you go to the game, just bet the over. Yep. It doesn't always win, but when you factor in all the fun you had, you're pretty much even. Oh, it's totally worth it.

Yeah. There's nothing worse than rooting for unders in person. Oh, what an asshole. What are you doing? You did last weekend. I did last weekend because I was at the Pats-Bears game with Kendrick Bourne, but the guy didn't even play.

He did not play a single snap. That's what made it even worse. I was cheering just for him to not play, and then I realized, I'm like, this guy's still on the sidelines. Like, what are we doing? We got to get him in there. Didn't play a single snap, Slop. I was pissed.

One snap is all i had to play right yep brutal thank you sorry i i drank all my water already we're literally two minutes into the show and i've already drank all my water so you're toast luckily no i i've kids connor all right i know what i'm doing you know what i mean there's There's three of them. I just text all three of them and see which one comes up here first. They're your favorite kid? I have three cups of water coming now.

Guys, I've been playing this game a while. You know what I mean? This is chestnut checkers there. What's going on with your slap off things ah man just living the dream had a great night of bowling last night um zach urch cashed on the final like drive there's like 20 seconds left guy catches his fifth ball i mean the whole thing was

just king it was great yeah but i mean like on a bowling night you know because you're there you're watching it the guy only caught one ball in the first half people are starting to talk shit to you a little bit i'm just sitting there smiling like waiting i'm like dude he's a second half guy just wait sure enough dude they fall behind and and come to daddy they who do they call when they need something it's zackerts and sure enough i think he caught six balls so i mean i was kind of i was a little bit soft i only took five that's fair i mean like sometimes you bet first half lines that's the thing some some people want to get on your tail yeah you know most of them are actually full game lines just because they always cash in the first half doesn't mean that we don't get to cash in the second half as well

thousand percent second half guy the other system i have is if it's a bowling night, you never, ever, or any night where you're going out to watch games, you never do the first half lines. Because what are you supposed to watch for the whole second half? Yeah, that makes sense. I mean, I got a rule where after I'm starting to drink and I don't bet. You know what I'm saying? I lay my bets out first.

I make sure my whole night's covered. I got action already. So what happens is you cash a bet in the first half, and then you know what you do? You fire up your phone, and now you've got way more action in the second half. You know what I mean? So no, no, no, no. You make sure you have a full game bet, which I did last night.

It was amazing. You need a pen to paper here. I need like gambling manifesto 2.0 like the old Bill Simmons betting manifesto. We need something from you. I might write a book. There's some rules it sounds like. It'll probably be in crayon,

but it'll be a book. Kids might contribute to that as well. Maybe they can help me with that. Why not? That's why you got three of them. Best seller. Everyone needs to take advantage of the slop deal that we're running through Rebet. If you're a first-time listener, missed out, reach out if you have any questions. Rebet is a new sweepstakes app, essentially a sportsbook.

It has a prop builder betting angle to it as well. Lots of different ways to get down there. Download Rebet. Use promo code HIGHSLOP. You're going to get a free month of Slops Dub Club. Cash all these winners who could be sweating out Earth's play with them last night. You'll also get a free month, two, four for four. Get the betting sub, access to everything that we do,

all of our official plays, all that stuff as well. Rebet is the best way to do that right now download the bet uh the app use promo code high slop again like it's insane deal uh for just 10 bucks no other costs uh get you into all the things that we do there and just to check it out for a month great way to do it uh get you know dip your toes in there come bet nba with us as well. All the other stuff that we have going on, slops, grinding everything and crushing. So getting that club for a month. If you don't mind, Ryan, I got to be honest with you. Dude, rebet is actually pretty awesome.

There's one. So that's good. All right. Two, I have no idea how we could ever even offer this. It's like the dumbest thing on our part because everything's for them's for them we get nothing but we're fine with that that's two and three the SGPs that they let you do they let you do carries with yards like so last night Saquon it was like 17 carries and 80 yards you can throw in your little parlay knock down another one had d dirt in it too so it's like plus 175 i mean i know like we get docked with correlation but that type of correlation doc we all pay i don't care that

that's not two legs dude that's that's literally one leg like they care like no book lets you do that like nobody like like a moron would not let you do that but somehow no offense rebet not saying you're morons but like yeah they like us i guess but they let you do that so you could legitimately have carries and yards for like four different backs that you like and just run them all together that's basically a four legger that's that's not and it's but it's eight legs so that's another reason to get rebet sold a little bit i mean i don't know what else to tell people like ten dollars you buy rebet cash just a one-for-one exchange for actual usd use it to do a eight slash four leg running back parlay uh and you'll cash that uh and then you'll also have access to four for four and

slob stub club for a month i mean i don't know what we're doing here, people. It's 46 states as well. Yeah, and if you're in a prison state, you can still do this. It's just a win. Everybody wins, literally. You can't lose. Unfortunately, our friends in Montana, Nevada, it's just a couple out west. Michigan is weird.

It happens. With these sweepstakes. I'm thinking about moving to a prison state and just betting that re-bet. I'm not going to do that, but I could if I wanted to is all I'm saying. Yeah. I mean, you're pretty close to New Hampshire. It essentially is a prison state. They have DraftKings, but only DraftKings.

Which is, I have no idea how that worked out, but whatever. Basically prison. Yeah, basically prison. I prison. That's crazy. I mean, that's crazy. Yeah. Trying to get my crew, a lot of people up there, and trying to get them all on the re-bet deal here. So hopefully we can get that going for them too.

So anyway, let's jump into our Week 11 games again. We have no stale bread, live lines, things for you to bet right now. Floor goes to Connor first. I'm interested to see what's going on here. There's been a good amount of over discussion today. He's talking about guys that I'm like, Connor, are you talking about overs? And he's like, oh, no, wait. I should bet the under on the other angle of this. And it's like, oh, geez, what's going to happen today?

Let's see what we got here. Floornor uh i know slop you know kind of tunes out here so i feel like i gotta tune in if it's an under so today we got two overs i was talking about a lot of overs i did play an under angle that you know i was like gonna play the over another angle we'll talk about that in a little bit but i'm gonna go with jameson williams over 41 and a half receiving yards. Dan Campbell last week, two weeks ago was like, we're just going to throw him right back in. He's been in all the meetings.

We don't care about any of the stuff that's going on off the field. 80% route rate on dropbacks, 20, over a 20% target share. Now matching with the Jaguars lines, likely without Sam Laporta who didn't practice. There's only 41 and a half receiving yards on FanDuel right now. It's like 45 everywhere else. I'm just, I'm surprised. Like Laporta is not going to play. Even if he did play, like Jameson kind of pushed him down 53 yards in five, seven games in the games. He was above an 80% snap rate, 121, 79 and 80 receiving yards. Top of this Jags dead last in EPA per play against the

past 28th and success rate. And they put a lot of man coverage. Gets man coverage. Jamison Williams, 4.3 yards per out run against man. They've been kind of like, you know, oscillating between man and no man. If they don't play man, it doesn't matter. He's going to see plenty of targets. If they do play man, he's going to cook them deep for a long one. So like over 41, like the alts, only concern is volume in this game. That is the only concern is that the Lions just get up by way too much. for some reason Jamison didn't get his, and then volume is a concern. If the game is even remotely close, I think this could legit be a first-half line. This could be like a get there in the first half and then just sit on it. Alts, we might probably need a long one for the alts,

but again, the matchup dictates that, so I like it. Could be one catch line. Slob, did not lose your attention there, buddy. I'm locked in. I'm locked in i'm locked in um i got thoughts um it is a first half line connor definitely he does not get in the first half he's probably not gonna get it i think that i think the lions just kick the crap out of the jaguars like really bad but that would get me off of it, except for the fact that it's probably going to be Jameson Williams doing the kicking. You know what I mean? So we're all set.

This is going to be literally, I'd say first quarter, possibly first drive, maybe first play. I mean, look, the reality is this is the NFL. And while like, yeah, the Jags have some question marks especially with with mac jones under center how often are you seeing it like an nfl team not roll out their main guys for like at least three quarters again like a lot of times you think we've had so many times this year we've had these double digit favorites and you actually lose straight up on the money line so like i don't think that's happening here and i actually think as a complete donkey play, which is just really,

this is really bad, really bad irresponsible advice. Just anything that you don't like, like, pricing-wise this week, you're like, oh, let's say minus 140. Just add the Lions money line to it, and it's like minus 120. Again, really, really bad, unsound betting advice for sure. But, again, let's be honest. uh again really really bad unsound betting advice for sure um but again but it'll work do we think jacksonville is going into detroit with mac jones to win i just don't think so so um i've already i've done it more than a few times this week i don't feel great about it but like i feel you know putting that out there for the show um yeah i mean like you're gonna get

three quarters of jamo they're not gonna just run the football all second half like it's still gonna try to sustain drives move the football uh he breaks tackles their secondary is a disaster so i love it absolutely love it jacksonville's run defense i don't think is that bad like they're not good but they're not that bad they're not like they're they're not a five yard per carry you know i'm trying to say i think they're 11th in the nfl in yards per attempt i know that's not the greatest stat you can use for russian but i mean it says something you know they're not they're not that bad. So that's another angle. Yep. Yeah.

I don't, I don't need it at all. I'm trying to get them. I want to see if we can get them up to three and a half receptions. Cause then it brings the uncorrelated into play. Cause right now FanDuel has him at two and a half. Just feels thin with the volume you could get even in the first

half. So yeah, like, I like Connor just, you know, you know that's that's a way to soften slop up for the rest of the show just start with jameson williams now dude it's just yeah now we're lubed up and ready to go um all right slop what do you got buddy all right so i'm gonna go back to my roots let me go back to the uh the quarterback touchdown passes it's it i stopped doing it because it's too easy and we just did but for the sake of this i had a rough week last week let me grab a couple bucks

back we're gonna go josh allen two plus touchdown passes that's plus 108 at vandal right now as we speak looking across the board seizures that's minus 104 ESPN's at minus 115. Pinnacles at plus 104. BetOnline plus 102. Those are all going to close at minus 115 or so. There's no chance this is still going to be around come Sunday. But yeah, the Chiefs, they're good. Don't get me wrong. They haven't lost. There's all that. But the the thing is you can't run on them and that sounds bad but here's the thing you can throw on them all right like everyone does literally everybody throws on them if you're gonna score on them you're gonna have to throw the ball but guess what guys throw two touchdowns against them all the time Bo Nix just threw two TDs

against him last week Bo Nix all right the week before against him last week. Bo Nix, all right? The week before that, Baker Mayfield, he's good. The week before that, Gardner Minshew, okay? I could keep going, but I'm not going to because I respect the people of Kansas City. I'm not going to kick them on their down. But come on, guys. Like the idea that he's not throwing two touchdown passes in a game like this, for one, I think they're favored, which is crazy. They are.

So somebody knows something. If they score twice, it's going to be on two Josh Allen touchdown passes, no doubt about it. I mean, it's as easy as it gets. If you want, you could go three plus just for the vibes. I think he does get that. But if you want to guarantee yourself a win, just the two. I don't hate it.

Josh Allen doing good things this week. You can sell me on Josh Allen two rushing touchdowns. That's the only thing I'm scared of. I don't think he's going to do that. Yeah. So I did play James Cook under rushing under early in the week. That was like one of my first plays kind of for the same reason. I mean, this Kansas City run even is awesome.

I think that Buffalo is probably going to have to pass. And um and so yeah the passing touchdowns makes a lot of sense i think that you can easily cook up uh two plus passing touchdowns here that the only risk in my mind is like he runs into that's literally it like you know but i don't know i mean i think they're gonna pass more so we'll see yeah you want one more thing just a little side little thinger dawson knox catching one of them oh no doubt patrick in the chat said i'd add knox over 29 and a half two verse kensi tight end pass funnel yeah you're kind of here even though he talks a lot of shit to me we are here you've been a big uh tight end versus the chiefs guy all year yeah i've been a big tight end versus the Chiefs guy all year. Yeah, I've been a tight end guy period since middle school.

But, yeah, that's the way you move the ball against them. Is the other kid going to play? Who's going to tight end? He's out. Kincaid? Yeah, it's Dawson Knox. I mean, this is just getting easier and easier, guys. It's like child's play. You can parlay all this stuff on Rebet.

Yeah. It's all coming in. Give it time. Give it time. We got one more each probably, and then we're just going to get nuts, I bet. We're going to get wild. Probably. All right.

Connor, do you want to talk ProfitX real quick for the folks before I fire up my first bet here? We're pretty stoked about ProfitX. It's been around for a little while, but it's come back through the new loophole similar to Rebet with sweepstakes. ProfitX is essentially like, I don't know, it's kind of the future. This is like we're talking about a sports exchange where these are really big in Europe, but it's essentially a peer-to-peer betting versus the house um so basically touched on the last week real quick too like losers pay winners um yeah pretty pretty stoked about this and we do have some props up there i don't know how early we're going to see props every week and how extensive the menu is going to be but uh Connor, talk to the folks about ProfitX. Yeah, just real quick. The Jameson prop, I think, is up at 43. But the juice

on these, there's always nothing. They're dealing on sides and total minus 103, minus 102. So if you're interested in maximizing your long-term money, I think it's a great spot. And the fact that they have props is pretty cool. So yeah, it's like no limits really. The only limit is just liquidity. So as long as you have someone limits really. The only limit is just liquidity. So as long as you have someone taking the other side of your action, then you're good to go. So it's a cool, fun, new platform. I mean, they've been around for a while,

but obviously now in 40 plus states. So definitely recommend checking it out if you're into props. I know I'm going to use it more and more, especially in island games where there's like a ton of action going back and forth. Yeah. Same thing. I mean, you've been sides of totals.

You're going to save yourself a ton of money. Just having, again, liquidity is going to be probably less of an issue sides of total wise for someone to take the other side. So yeah, definitely check it out. If you have questions, let us know. Use promo code BetSperts. When you sign up, they have a deal with Profit Cash and how you can use that playthrough for the first 30 days or so. So again, new users, check it out another thing so shockingly available in you know 40 plus states and all of a sudden uh instead of profit just being in new jersey which is i think kind of what they were stuck at for a little while they've uh finally avenue to operate in a bunch more so pretty stoked about that we'll definitely be

using that moving forward especially for totals and uh you know money lines and stuff like that just significantly better prices straight up because you're not paying the standard VIG. All right. Let's see. First play for me. I'm riding the coattails. I did not know.

I did not get the notification that our guy, Monotone Stu, had fired on this early this morning because I had been sitting on this for the show, but I love it too. And Stu's really sharp. So when Stu and I have a mind meld, I feel pretty good about things because Stu doesn't miss very often. He's been crushing this year.

I'm going to go to the well with Cedric Tillman, over 54.5 receiving yards. I was thinking about doing Longest because i think longest is pretty viable as well uh like 20 and a half but the more i looked at the volume is like so solid for him so i'm doing just raw rush or raw receiving yards here 32 targets in the past three games we've seen a gradual increase in the snap share 98 of the snaps uh cleveland's last game's caught at least 75 yards and all three of those games as well and we know saints have kind of you know cluster injuries slash trading marcus latimore in the back half of the secondary

um they've allowed the fourth highest rate of explosive pass plays in the league this season nearly 18 percent uh again why i think you can go on the longest as well but yeah 54 and a half for guy just out there one of the it's a revenge spot for jamo or uh for uh our guy winston in new orleans one of the teams he played for so i'll look for him to push the ball aggressively down the field to tillman who's uh who's eating so um slop any thoughts here yeah that was um definitely one of my moves. Yeah, Tillman, I mean, he's done this in each of the last three weeks, I think. He's actually good.

He's not one of those guys that gets to play because of injury and then you watch him, he beats up on some bum team and then all of a sudden he stinks. He's actually good. So, the only thing I don't love is that the saints run defense is so bad like so there is a chance nick chubb just hogs all the yards but i don't not with jamis like i know like he's gonna do something and it's probably tillman uh but since uh since he's been in they've had a significantly higher pass rate over expectation uh than they did early in the season so they

you know he's still in cook a little bit here too so yeah i'm with you on the chub stuff though for sure uh plenty of pathways to bet chub i think still on the board so yeah i i like this quite a bit uh kind of a road number f handleDuel as well, 54 and a half. Whereas I think Stu's actually may have moved it in a few other places, but they kind of do their own thing. Yeah, Patrick in the chat, Chubb's rushing prop opened at 55 and a half. I put that in our chat, bet on myself.

And then we're waiting for more books to get involved. And by the time they did we were kind of cooked out a little bit and uh but i yeah it's it's a great look chubb should crush so uh all right connor what do you got what's next for you buddy yeah we're gonna go with problem number two for me today another over question mark um i'm gonna go with tasem hill over 18 receiving yards which is sounds pretty gross um but coming off a season high 63 percent route rate has worked in more as past past each of the past three weeks i mean they have literally no one like they have no one to throw

to a lot of it out shaheed out you know camara's in the backfield um i mean mvs led them in receiving last week i mean that's how you know you're down bad like but if you look at his his production too 36 41 and 21 yards on 38 47 and 63 routes run he's a 20 target per run rate this season and he is a 16 or 17 league leading first read target share on the team since a lot of it went down which is hilarious but i mean again like we're getting the profit like 18 yards. Even if for some reason he sees like two, three targets, which again, he only saw two last week, he's still got 36 yards. So again, I think he sees three, four targets in this spot,

probably comfortably gets over the prop at 18. So normally not a play I make. It's kind of like a gross over instead of a gross you know low under but i mean they they love taste mill he's like one of the only competent semi-competent players they have left so they got to use him yeah uh i didn't know when you put it out there too i thought rushing might be in play like he just he's going to be involved because it's so it's so messy out there it's been weird they've only used them like four and five carries the past two weeks even without jamal williams even without kendrick miller that they dennis allen just like

sent to the shadow realm on ir for no reason apparently like wasn't even injured um which kendrick would be crushing right now if uh he was active so yeah yeah uh kamara over four and a half receptions might have been one of the spots where i use the lion's money line to uh get that down to like a you know minus 125 or something that's a little bit more palatable. But yeah, I don't hate it. Slop, any thoughts on Taysom? I'm not going to do that, but I do respect you for doing that. I do.

I respect that call a lot. The first read stuff's crazy. That's my type of bet. You know what I mean? If I was doing that, that would be all right if i was doing that that would be in a in an sgp that makes sense in that game that's definitely a throwing leg for me there uh doing that straight it could make you sick you know because like you just don't know how they're gonna like deploy this dude and he could easily he could have 100 yards receiving dude that that could happen he could also 100 yards receiving dude that that could happen he

could also have 90 yards rushing he could throw you know what i mean like this guy's all over the map do you remember the guy on penn state like three or four weeks ago uh tyler warren he's like where's number 44 he had like 240 yards literally in one single game he snapped the ball and then ran 40 yards downfield and caught it, which he snapped it from the furthest left part of the line. It was one of the craziest plays ever. That's going to be Taysom Hill this week. He snapped the ball and catch a 40-yard touchdown.

That's what I'm saying. That's a great call. The idea of sitting down with a Taysom Hill ticket, man, that is a ballsy move. That's two overs for you. You got a Jameis one and you got a Taysom. I mean, you are cooking. Oh, I'm rolling right now.

I'm feeling good. I mean, we're going to get after it this weekend. Yeah, I might want to come hang out with you on Sunday. Like, now you're fun. You know what I mean? Like, that's fun. It's fun so far. He's still sweating all the unders, I promise you.

Yeah, he's got a pocket full of unders in his back pocket he's not telling anybody about. The only overs I play all week are on this show basically like i play like maybe one other over like literally i don't play any other overs i think i have five other unders right now that i've released um including the well we'll talk about it later we'll talk about it when we get the the old section because i think we can weave that in so yeah all right so what else you got bud i mean i don't i mean we just talked this, but in my defense, Tillman was taken. Nobody wants to hear Dawson Knox two touchdowns, two plus touchdowns, plus 2,500.

That's something else. What was the other one I had? Oh, the Dawson Knox 30-plus receiving yards. Patrick is on that. All right, I think I was saying 40 at Vandal. So you could do 40, but but again we already talked about that and then now chubb so chubb 80 plus at vandal excuse me is plus 200 that to me is that's crazy i mean he got game scripted out of the chargers one and their defense was better than i thought they were like i was wrong there yep well i am not wrong about new orleans past or run to fit they're awful like

they are as bad as it gets i think they're second worst in the nfl and yards per attempt by opposing right i mean they're just not good bijan just tore them up last week. And they were still meat on the bone for Cousins in that same game. So, I mean, I don't know. I think Chubb, no matter what happens with Jameis, I think Chubb could easily – you know what I'll say? Chubb could go for 100. This might be Chubb's first 100-yard game since he's back. It's plus 420.

Great number for the people. I mean, I don't see how this doesn't happen. No, no, I don't. I have nothing but positive Chubb thoughts for sure. Yeah, just like to think about good positive Chubb. Yeah. Who's a negative Chubb? I'm just not a negative Chubb guy.

Somebody was saying that their um o-lines banged up or whatever but i mean like dude everybody's o-lines is banged up right now those are the only guys getting each other every single play dude there's no guy in the nfl that's not feeling it right now so they got stuff for that they'll be fine this is a i think a great litmus test on whether or not chubb is not back and just not healthy slash not as good as he was like for i don't know at least the first couple games uh because i mean the first two weeks he played against run defenses that have played really well right so like um you know i don't really blame him there like again there's like ravens chargers you know now off a buy

like fully rested ready to go good match Good matchup. Like, I mean, if he doesn't produce now, I think there's definitely some warning signs of like, maybe he's just JK Dobbins. Then, you know, like he's cooked. So we'll see.

Here's the beauty of it. It's possible. Even if he is JK Dobbins, he could still get 80 plus yards against the same. You know what I mean? Like Hubbard, Chubba Hubbard got 72 against them. I mean, I think he's pretty good, but also they used him in the past game too,

whereas Chubb is just handed to them and just watch them run over people. I see my Chubb notes. I had some of this in case I was going to try to play that 55-and-a-half before I blew up um yeah new orleans has allowed the uh fourth most yards before contact per attempt it's not great um and the third lowest stuff rate so like they're just letting you cook like you know chubb's gonna get downhill uh you know more times than not here. So yeah, there's a coin flip game in terms of the

spread, so nothing should happen in terms of this game getting out of hand with the Saints absolutely flipping the script on this. And then hey, if it did, Tillman's cooking, so we're fine. So either way, we're okay there. So yeah, big, big chub guy

since I was 12, 13. Maybe even sooner, I'm a big, big chub guy since I was 12, 13. Maybe even sooner. I don't know. Yeah, that's true. Maybe once in a while. But nothing I knew about. All right.

Next one for me. This is a little spicy. I'm like, oh, I saw it. I was on my list, and I looked at the number, and I was like, it's a little rich. And then the more I looked at it, I at i'm like number's not big enough here george pickens longest reception over 26 and a half yards against the ravens here um look he's got at least 30 he's gone for at least 30 yards uh per on a reception and all four four of Russ's starts this season.

He's topped the mark in seven of nine games. So even though it's like, hey, we look at longest reception, 21, 22, this is 26 and a half. So it doesn't matter when you're getting to 30 all the time. I got a bunch of 40s for this guy in his longest. Obviously, the Ravens have allowed the highest rate of explosive pass plays in the league. Pickens is one of the guys, top 10 in air yards per per attempt he's also above average from like a yak standpoint too so you know there are plenty of times and he did it last week but one of his longer receptions was just insane cut back after

the catch so it's not like he's just going to be catching deep and falling down like he can make guys miss too so um wilson 17.6 percent deep ball rate, highest, second highest in the league outside of Anthony Richardson now that he's back in action. So plenty of outs here, plenty of opportunities. Pickens, again, they're going to be in the mix. Pickens has to be striking deep here. So 26.5, absolutely love it, even though the number's big. So, Slop, do you seem to have some thoughts? Yeah.

All right, so I don't love doing this. I mean, I don't want to do this, but I'm doing it. Is Russell Wilson two plus touchdown passes. And for a lot of those same reasons, it's like plus one, 10 or something. There's nothing crazy. But for one, he's done this in two of the last three weeks. So that's big. And two, the Ravens just give it up in the past game I mean

you can't run on them so you have you're gonna have to throw it I think they can move the ball just because of Pickens explosive play stuff like that so I'm saying I think I get one long one just from Pickens if that makes sense so the idea that you're on Pickens I was like that was literally one of my selling points was you know Pickens could get you a long one. They're not afraid to throw it to him deep down the field. They're just not. The Ravens, they just are so ripe for that. It's not even funny.

That's a move. That's actually something you could do instead of if you didn't want to do Russ. That's definitely something. Do we have numbers like the alts? Alts on his yards? Longest reception. Oh, yeah. Caesars has it.

Yeah, let's see what Caesars. Caesars is the only one I think that does alt longest pretty routinely. Vandal just has a 20-plus, 30-plus. Oh, yeah. Alt longest Pretty routinely 20 plus 30 plus Oh yeah Yeah It's Yeah I mean like 26 and a half

Man it's a little high I'm just digging in I'm like It doesn't seem to matter for this team Or this player like it just seems to be Kind of how he how he wins um yeah re-watching some of that uh commander's game too sick cut back and uh you know for a big dude he's he's just pretty spry yeah yeah caesar's has 30 plus plus 116 40 plus plus 295, 50 plus, plus 625.

Those are fun. Yeah. I mean, 30 plus has been happening all the time. Like I said, every game Russ has been in, he's had at least a 30 plus. There's a Chubb dude in the chat that just said he had 2.6. You see that guy? Yeah, let me pull it up yeah um here you go that's why it's analysis like that dude that's why sportsbooks exist this is like i bet to this guy they'll let him drop 10 grand on anything. Yeah. We had a,

we hit another comment earlier that I thought was kind of funny. What about will Disley chargers? Disley will get over four catches. Like he's just like switching all around all the letters and everything. Yeah. That's actually funny. I had Disley on the list. That's kind of clever. I'm not going to lie.

Yeah. I like that. Yeah. But I like Disley. I'm not going to lie. Yeah, I like that. Yeah, but – I like this. I thought it was – The ignoring opponent in rushing just – it's so funny. That's like the one thing you have to factor in when you're talking about rushing yards is opponent. Like if you forget – you're completely – not that you don't have to do it with other markets, but that one in particular, opponent is paramount. You know what I mean?

To anything. Who are we running against? Because, again, some teams, yeah, I could get you a couple yards. You know what I mean? Other teams, I'd die. You seem like a fall-forward guy. Yeah, I try, bro, but it's not that easy. I'm getting old too we got some uh some great

comments here in the chat our negative chub thoughts just flaccid thoughts uh and then we got pocket full of wonders with a spin doctor song uh and then we got someone college football uh random college football takes joe everett saying cad Caden Anderson, Wyoming, 200-plus passing yards, plus 130 DK tonight. This guy started like two games. He has 182 and 342 passing yards. And he said Colorado State is allowed 200-plus in six out of nine games this year. Joe, I'm sold.

I will be betting. Yeah. I'm probably not allowed to bet. At least a couple of dollars. I said more. Yeah. I mean, it's a great look i mean but the reality bob p any thoughts on smb quarterback this week over yes it's always kevin jennings week um and steve mentioned that they he did actually change his name from kevin to legend

jennings so um shout out kevin jennings shout out steve he should yeah well you know sorry daniel that you lost on chubb a couple weeks ago that's what i i knew it had to be something because like none of that makes any sense you know like any like like no rational human being would be like that's fine now like it's like dude someone needs to take that kid's money because the books are going to like with that but there it is i i figured it had to be like this guy like just doesn't get it it's like oh yeah or he's just emotional which is another they don't bet when you're emotional just just be not in most not emotional yeah yeah yeah or call the number numbers there for a reason um and hey it happens that's loose uh i don't know which one chances are one of the

six we just pushed out might lose oh yeah oh yeah oh yeah that's how that's how sports betting works that's why i always thought that um like banning guys getting guys on the band list is so by the end of by the end of the season if you bet enough you have no one left the bet on you know what i mean that's the dumbest thing in the world. He's banned. I can't do it. It's like, well, bro, you're literally on a fast track to have no one left to bet on.

You should probably go back. You should have Martin Gale come back on the other side because the line might be a little softer because it fell short last week. Yeah. Now you're thinking. You know what I mean? Not just the preface. That not just a pretty face that's

a brain that's a big brain right there it's exhausting i promise you um all right it's time to to get rich i think so yeah i i'll be honest with you man i want to win a million dollars this week that would be so fun feels like it's kind of now or never you know it's just like until next it's not it's not we got yeah we got 10 more weeks uh so the books haven't cooperated yet in terms of like getting all these guys out there you know fanduel draft or fanduel and and caesar's really like because they allow us to do some of the uncorrelated stuff more aggressively but there's a handful of of these uncorrelated guys that I think are in a great spot. Like you mentioned, Jamo, if we can get up to three and a half receptions, I think it gets hot.

I don't think he's playable at two and a half of the volume. But I really think that, especially with TJ Hawkinson back, I think Jordan Addison is squarely in an every week situation where we need to be thinking about uncorrelated stuff for him because I just don't think the volumes there routinely lie to three and a half receptions with a large A-dot. All five of these guys that I have this week are in top 10 in air yards per target. So they kind of fit the mold of big play guys.

So Jamo, Addison, Roma Dunze, I think still can be in the mix. Deep shots, probably not a ton of volume. If you can get three and a half receptions, go under, take over on the yards. Rashad Bateman, still involved. And every time they take shots at Bateman, it's deep. They're talking about like want to still use their guys a little bit. And I don't know how much that's going to impact Deontay Johnson, but I think Bateman's hitting some big damn winners down the field.

Like 18 and a half longest on Bateman I think is pretty sexy too. But if we get some numbers on Bateman, I think heeman's in some big-time winners down the field. Like 18.5 longest on Bateman I think is pretty sexy too, but if we get some numbers on Bateman, I think he's in play. I'm going to go back to Alec Pierce who cooked us last week. We had the Pierce win in pocket, and then he caught a late pass and killed us. But Alec Pierce with Michael Porter Jr. back, with Anthony Richardson who loves to push the ball down the field, Adonai Mitchell kind of taking a step forward. I don't think there's a lot of Pierce,

but if he's involved, he's probably catching a deep ball. So those are kind of some looks I think are going to be interesting. Really don't have prices for him yet because the books aren't really on board with all of it yet in terms of having both the receptions and the alts available. But those guys are all top 10 in Yak. I'm sorry, top 10 in air yards per uh per attempt and uh yeah i think they're all pretty sexy so i'm going to be sprinkling the board there with those uncorrelated this week definitely drop those in the discord for sure or at least in our private chat because i'm definitely gonna need to rip some of those yeah they're fun so

all right so we're gonna do chubb somethingubb-wise here to get us started. For sure. What do you want to do? Yeah, because I don't think the – most of the uncorrelateds aren't out on FanDuel. Otherwise, we could rip some of those. But I don't think any of them are out actually right now, the ones that you mentioned. At least there's yards, but there's no receptions.

So we could do Chubb. Like 80 is how you said slot? Yeah, 80s plus 200. 100 is plus six something. I'm never going to turn it down, to be honest. Yeah, 100 is plus six something. Fine with it? I'm seeing plus 420 on 100. Oh, my bad on 108 oh my bad 420 200 yeah 110 plus is plus 600

so let's just go 100 all right get us started off nick chubb 100 um i'm gonna throw my hat in the ring for jameson williams um don't need to go, but like 70 yards seems pretty doable. Um, so it's like three to one and we can go more. Honestly, I'm fine with whatever, but you know, that's the first half line. Where are you building? Are you on season? Um, I'm putting on FanDuel. Okay. Ooh, FanDuel.

Yeah. We're switching it up this week. Um, just because Caesars had better or FanDuel had better odds on Nick Chubb. So I just started there. I like 20 cents better. So as well, uh, Dawson Knox catches a touchdown.

100%. No chance. He doesn't. All right. Um, touchdown. Let's see. Anytime.

I'm, I'm thinking Fandula has the best number cause they normally do. No three to one. Anyone else? Yeah. It's three 10 right now it's pretty good i mean to be honest i mean if you're if you're with it two plus is plus 3500 i mean it's it is he's done this okay before we we joke but before dude got there the new kid kincaid yeah he was kind of a touchdown guy he was he

caught nine one year and he caught six the next year the year he caught nine he went two plus twice so just saying you know he's done this before all right this is his first rodeo the next year i think he caught two in one year so that's not great but there's any day any day when he would catch two it'd be this time but we could just do one though just because i mean i would say let's bet two personally and then put one in the in the it's kind of a wild price for two to be honest like 3500 it is i i'll be honest with you i'm making a um touchdown millie and it he's going in knocks three yeah it's it's not a lot i mean if you see probably two or three guys to catch two touchdowns you're probably at a million dollars yeah the only problem is it's two

touchdowns it's true singular events they're tough yeah i mean i'm good with one for the for the to the parlay at three to one but yeah 35 is kind of bonkers it feels i mean i usually don't ever think that touchdown props are priced well but that's no pretty interesting that's fair two is fair one is kind of crazy but dude it's it's a touch that that has to hit. That has to. Yeah. Dude, how does that not hit? Like do a missile simulation in your head right now.

Yeah, I mean, look, let's do the math. There's only 11 guys on the field. Five are ineligible at least. One is throwing the passes, right? And just all of a sudden you start to break down. You're like, well, I mean. Yeah, it yes a one in three chance it's gonna happen 10 times so it's gonna happen every time you know that's yeah that's

the goal 100 math math dude math yeah this is too easy gambling math uh chad seems to be a pro uh russ alts just you know i that's a choice so that would suck i i mean all right so winning a million would be awesome but man having to root for russ to do it would suck just because like it's russ you know what i mean? I feel better about Pickens stuff. Yeah. I mean, dude, and I'm just not a Russ guy, but I'll be honest with you. He has looked like not bad, dude. It's not been that bad. He's looked actually kind of good.

He throws the perfect ball for Pickens too. Just that moon ball that just say, just go high. You have to have a dog at receiver to go get those but like he obviously trusts them to do that because you've seen it multiple times now so that's like a thing that's not like uh you know it just happened once and we're not gonna see it again like that's gonna they're gonna keep doing that and against baltimore they're not running dude like nobody runs on baltimore so that at some point the rubber's gonna hit the road and they're gonna have to throw the ball.

And like, I bet you they have success doing it. I have, I have rushing unders on my list. I'm waiting to see how the, the nausea Jalen Warren stuff shakes out injury wise. But yeah, I don't know. I need,

I wouldn't want to go Russ or Pickens. I mean, I don't hate either of it to be honest. I mean, I just, I think they're going to have to get outside of their comfort zone and be pass heavy in the second half. A hundred yards for Pickens. What's that? It's gotta be honest. I mean, I just, I think they're going to have to get outside of their comfort zone and be pass heavy in the second half. A hundred yards for pickings.

What's that? It's gotta be decent. Well, it's proper. The props it's 70. So a hundred plus two 40. Yeah, I know they didn't really give us any discount.

What's his two touchdowns. I was looking. Let's see what it is. Well, we know he's catching one, so then all you're doing is pricing the next one. Yeah, we just need the other one. Russ 300 is plus 520. I mean, that's like – That's good.

I like that. I think that's probably the angle. Yeah. You never know. Fryer moves to break one loose for like 30, 40. Fryer is catching one. Calvin Austin can house one, you know, big Mike. I catch two.

Oh yeah. They got big Mike too. I forgot about that. Big Mike's definitely gonna play a bigger role. Well, not definitely, but he'll be out there. He'll probably catch a moon ball or two. Um, all right. So we're at 10 to win 4,800.

We kind of got like a couple. We only have four legs right now. So we need like four, probably three or four more. What do you guys think about one guy that I haven't played yet, but I think it's interesting. Devin HN saw like basically all the work last week and how he gets the Raiders. I mean, the Raiders stink. Like his prop is only 60 yards.

I know he's really hasn't been that good this year, to be honest. But, like, I mean, he's got the juice, you know? Like, 80 yards is plus 200. 100 yards is plus 420. I mean, they're touchdown favorites against one of the worst teams in the league. And he saw, like, all the work. Except for, like, I mean, Jalen Wright saw, what, like, two, three carries? And then Raheem Moser didn't even get a single carry last week. Yeah. Yeah, I don't think he plays for them anymore. Yeah, I mean, Jalen Wright saw what, like two, three carries. And then for him, most of it didn't even get a single carry last week.

Yeah. Yeah. I don't think he plays for them anymore. Yeah. I don't even know. He has a uniform and a locker and shit, but you don't play for him. No,

exactly. Exactly. I don't know. I had Jalen Wright on the list of things to look forward to. Cause I thought that might be interesting, but yeah, I mean, I don't hate,

I don't hate H.A. I mean, he's so involved in the receiving game too. That's the thing too. You know, like it's like involved in the receiving game too. That's the thing too. It's like a total yards play. Yeah. I don't know if they have the all total yards on Fandle.

I don't think so. Fandle just randomly posts stuff. You know what I mean? They just do whatever they want. I like that about them though. Yeah. They're different. I respect it.

All right. We'll just add it in. 100 yards, HN. There's no rushing receiving. If you guys veto it, that's fine. We can do that too. But we can always figure it out later if we find other stuff that we like. Nah, I'm good.

It's not like I want to pull out. I wanted some Gibbs stuff, but I feel like we don't want to go too heavy with the Jammo. We already had Jammo in there too but i mean spread the love pops off dude i mean i'll be honest this smith and jig was catching at least seven or eight passes oh yeah what are his numbers he's got a great matchup this week too i was gonna maybe pitch you gino alts gino 300 plus uh jsn's only 50 yards right now 10 receptions is plus 880 i yeah i don't hate it i mean dk 10 at 880 that's okay cool we can go seven or six easily i mean i didn't balk at 10 you know i mean eight is plus 390 though that's not bad not bad. Yeah, 390 for eight. That's not that crazy for him. I remember I made a vow, and I don't go back on my vows for most of them.

Remember that, though, Connor? I do. I was like, dude, I'm never doing yards again for him. He's receptions only. I'm a cured man, and it's receptions time. But if he's going to catch 10 balls, it's this week. It's in a game just like this one. Probably the exact game.

Yeah, because Geno is like 325 plus is plus 550, or 300 plus is plus 290, whereas JSN 8 plus is plus 390 as well. I mean, he's only done that twice this year. uh i mean it's seven last week against the rams it was obviously i mean just like a blow-up game for him uh or two weeks ago i guess but he should have gotten a few times in that rams game though you know what i mean it's like it kind of ruined like he had a million yards it was like dude i don't think that happens this week. I think it's the exact opposite. It would be like, here's your seven yards.

That was without DK. No DK. I think receptions are definitely a better look if you want to go on Jason instead. Is it raining? I know you guys aren't weather guys. Weather's fake, dude. It's a liberal hoax.

Yeah, it's not real. I mean, it's San Francisco. Not that it doesn't rain in San Francisco, but it's not like it's Seattle. Yeah. Yes. By the way, CMC, he does get Demondre Lenore in the slot. Lenore will be on the card this week. If we get Lenore at five and a half tackles or whatever,

we're going to be, we're going to be cooking with that. Maybe a solo tackle at like four and a half and change it plus money. So yeah, we can do both. There's a, Lenore is good. I mean,

that's a chance of rain. It doesn't matter. Three mile power wins. We fire it up. We fire it up. Yeah. I'd say we can go nine. We're at 10 to 117 K'd say we can go nine.

We're at 10 to win 117K, so we're pretty close. Just need one more probably. Yeah, like one more good one, and I think we're there. Noonan, you got another one, or Slop, you got another one? I'm going to look for a touchdown. All right. Good. Big touchdown guy.

What about Nico? I mean, we could do something for Monday. Do they have Nico? They don't have Nico yet. Slop doesn't even know it's Monday yet. He doesn't even know Monday is coming. Yeah, I don't even think about Monday. We don't even know we're getting there, dude. Oh, no.

You know what we need to do? I got interviews, and we don't know if we're getting to Monday. I got this. Gus Edwards, 60-plus rushing yards. Done. It is. It is Jover for Jk dobbins outproduced on five fewer carries by gus edwards last week we've seen in the past guys from achilles tears they come in they play

okay for a little bit and then they slowly get worse and worse and worse jk dobbins been like one of the worst running backs in leagues for like i don't know five or the last six weeks basically um so now great match against the bang, even if for some reason, you know, again, like I think it's probably going to be 50-50 this week. But if Gus is crushing, they're just going to keep handing him the ball. Like 60 plus is plus 400, 50 plus is plus 250. His regular prop is like 29 and a half. So the obvious concern here is game script, right?

Like if they get game scripted out, they're probably all toast. That's why I was talking with Noonan about this. I played Dobbins under 14 and a half carries. So I think that's like i was talking with noonan about this i played dobbins under 14 and a half carries so i think that's like a safer minus 110 play but i think the alts if like it's neutral game script or positive game script i mean gus could see like 15 carries for like 80 yards i mean that's like again if you flip don't flip off their usage from last week gus 15 carries dobbins 10 like that's not that crazy and he probably ends up with way more against the Bengals. So I don't know. That was my Gus rant.

I'm a big Gus. Gus bus. What's his two touchdowns? That is a great question. So good. I mean, it's not a bad look for him to be honest. See what I'm saying, guys. Two touchdowns might be a real thing.

Gus, any time is plus 260. To score two plus touchdowns is 24-1. Three plus touchdowns, 140. I mean, I'm betting all these. I mean, this is great. What if Gus Bus goes off? The Bengals' run defense has not been that bad. Yeah.

That's finally the issue. Well, they were really bad for a while, and then now they're like, okay. Yeah. I mean, they're not someone you avoid. That's for sure. You know? Definitely not someone you avoid. Just bust, dude.

Let's see here. So i think we need like one more then i guess other than that because it looks like 10 to win 100 or 500k i mean there's like let's see here we got one two three seven guys have already run for 60 plus yards against him not bad that'll do um all right yeah we need one, and we can make it palatable here. It'll be like eight legs total. I'm a multi-touchdown bet. I mean, I love Gibbs, but it feels like David Montgomery falls in the end zone twice in this game against the Jags.

That's not a bad look either. What's the number on that, though? You got to watch the prices on these. Yeah, 310 for two. 310 for two? Yeah. Yeah. I thought we'd at least be getting like eight.

No chance. I've seen it all. It's crazy. That is. I hate touchdowns just because of this. Because I'm not always paying attention. FanDuel, that is just stingy, man. That is real stingy.

It's bad. I like that. I heard the price. I mean, yeesh. Yeah, I mean, obviously, I wasn't looking at price. Just like, hey. Yeah, no, I know. I heard it, Ryan.

That's what I was saying. She just said it. I was like, yeah, that sounds great. And I was like, wait a minute. We forgot there's such thing as price. Yeah, that's bonkers. Dude, Nick Chubb is plus 600 for two. Yeah.

I mean, sure, you know he's going to get it, but I'm just saying, like, you can't bet that. Right. You know what I mean? Like, he's definitely getting that. Yeah. Like, if they gave me 1,000 for that, I'd do it. Why not?

Yeah, that's bonkers. Yeah, so, so far, all I have is Knox and Edwards in the two-touchdown parlay. A little side hustle. A little side hustle parlay. Is it over on the side? You know what I mean? Right over there?

You throw it in a parlay. That's fine. Throw a Monty in there, I think. You know, three to one. It's going to boost up those odds a little bit. You know what's happening. A little bit. You know, it's like throwing those.

It's essentially throwing the Lions money line in there. Yeah. It's just when I look at the ticket, it's like big ticket items, and then you got this little thing over here. That's fair. It feels like he's not pulling his weight. You know what I mean? Like with the payout.

That's fair. It's Austin Knox, and then we're doing all the hard work, and this guy's coming in with plus 310. Yeah. I'm a dirtbag move on his part. All right. Well, our current parlay is $17. I'm a dirtbag move on his part. All right. Well, our current parlay is $17. So in a million, I mean, we can just leave it at that.

That's fine. Hey, what about, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa. What about the Broncos running back? That kid's supposed to get more work, right? Estimate. Yeah. His prop's like 60 yards oh i know they did not didn't they say hot hands like hot hands to me sounds like you're not necessarily the dude

um yeah there was like some comment today about it was like yeah i think we're just gonna keep feeding him i guess i don't know like it was like sean payton who knows i want to see we could see whatever mcLaughlin start next week, and I wouldn't even be surprised at this point. It's completely outrageous. And bring Orlando Scary back. What about his two touchdowns? Who?

Estimate or – Yeah, estimate. Estimate two touchdowns? Let's see. Like plus 1,000. Estimate is – Oh, God. Plus 135 any time. Two touchdowns is 10 to 1 though i mean it's a

little bit better okay it's just robbery man the broncos score two touchdowns that's the biggest problem offensive touchdowns maybe three i mean i don't know who's the panthers playing they off they're off yeah you want two touchdowns we could get you one mixing two touchdowns monday night against the cowboys oh that's probably like yeah yeah they quit they've quit totally let's just see what it is just for the vibes yeah what's mixing to have it to have this this thing go until Monday night would be kind of special. They don't even have touchdown props up on Facebook.

They don't even have it yet, though, because they know. That's ridiculous. Take three. Take three, be ruled out. Oof. Oh, I mean, this is tough. This is slim pickings here. I don't like anything on the Packers side here i don't like anything on the packer side i don't like anything on the bear side rams and patriots game is gonna be gross

probably yeah yeah it should be great rushing but we tried that last week and the bears didn't make him do anything he kind of scrambled a little bit but did he had a 19 yard rush that's why i think longest is pretty hot for drake may this week has been going over routinely having like a one splash run the good thing about the rams though they do get a ton of pressure yeah so who's playing the rams talking about drake may rusher yeah yeah and kyron sprouts are like 100 yeah yeah the one i like this week that I bet early in it before moved was uh Demario Douglas was like plus 105 and like over three and a half receptions and now it's like it opened up everywhere and now it's like minus 125 everywhere any interest in

in Brock Bowers yeah Bowers or Jacoby Myers i think are both interesting also because you might have no or less than 100 jaylen ramsey and ramsey's been playing a lot more slot corner for them this year so it kind of feels like bowers or myers wins a little bit with uh less than 100 ramsey or only 54 and 56 for bowers and myers i'm like, I mean, Bowers, he's kind of slowed down a little bit, but the Chiefs kind of focused on him a little bit. How much for two touchdowns? Yeah. How much for two touchdowns?

There you go. That's the question. Let's see here. I mean, dude, we can't rely on Gardner Minshew to throw a pass. I mean, this is like. He threw two touchdowns against the Chiefs the other day. Yeah. Slop already cited it for us.

Plus 260 for one. Two is 26 to one. It's kind of nice. Not going to lie. Fire Muth will catch one this week. You need a two-touchdown tight end only parlay, Slop. I'm looking for one right now. I was looking for Disley.

The only thing holding me, they had to call a touchdown all year. He's kind of invisible down there. Yeah, no, he's due, but like the Gus bus is getting that. Yeah, you're right. But prior moves, they got for like plus 1,000, 10 to 1. I'm not interested in that. So I'm going to keep going.

I mean, we got – it's Friday afternoon. Like we're good. I mean, I still got burger night, usually after a burger. I feel better. I feel more ready to gamble. I'm going to go ahead and get the touchdown

parlay cooking, but there's already two that we know are in it because it's got to be Dawson Knox. No chance he doesn't. And then Gus Buss. That just makes all the sense in the world. All the sense in the world. It's Gus Buss season. But we still need more.

The Bengals rushing. I hate that they're not horrible. What do we think about? We could do Josh Allen rushing or Shakir or something like that. That's kind of good. Shakir's catching a touchdown. Shakir is, oh,

we already have Knox touchdown in here though. Yeah, no, we don't want to do that. That'll help us though. Correlation wise. Sure. Sure.

What? Like they, they, that will push us. That'll be like a dollar to get a million. If you take Josh Allen under two touchdown passes right now we're set oh i love it what about josh allen rushing yards this is kind of fun increase no i like i like josh allen rushing stuff too oh shit all right 50 yards 60 yards

plus 280 i mean that's a lot of rushing yards. But, you know, he could. It is. Josh Allen throws for two and runs for two. Why not, dude? He's done it before, probably. Has he? I imagine he has. I bet he has. I said probably. I'm sure he has. I don't know how

we get there. I'm looking at the board, guys. I'm trying. I got nothing. I have nothing left. Do you have anything? I don't know how we get there. I'm looking at the board, guys. I'm trying. I got nothing. I have nothing left. Do you have anything left? I don't want to bet $17 on a million-dollar parlay. No, I do not either. I think that's irresponsible. The whole point of a milli-parlay is that it was a very insignificant amount of money.

Yeah. $17 is a lunch in this economy. I think Josh Allen is live for at least one. What do we got for his touchdown score? Plus 135. What's that do to it? Because we do have the Knox thing in there. Yeah, let's hear it. And that's not crazy to think he runs one in.

You know what I mean? there yeah i can let's hear it and that's that's not crazy to think you run to one in like we're not you know what i mean i mean it puts it over a million at like seven bucks six bucks yeah i mean that's can't even get a pack of cigarettes with that if you smoke yeah if you're into that i don't smoke so but still i can't if we get tobacco sponsors that our next move can we get like yeah i heard they're having trouble. I mean, they got to get more kids smoking because all their people are dying off and they're not getting replaced. They're using vapes now.

They're vaping. Yeah, they're vaping. The whole game's changed. And what are the dips? Oh, Zins, dude. Zins. Everyone's – yeah, Zins. Yeah way one of them was called shit rogues you ever heard of rogues no it's not let's see what i'm saying it's another one just it's just

more the market's been flooded with all kinds of tobacco products for the children that they like better it's good going early you know well you started we used to start them early it was acceptable to hand out candy cigarettes during halloween uh you real good ones would actually smoke a little bit where you like oh and now it's like they call it sticks i had a joe camel shirt when i was in like second grade oh yeah oh friends stacking up marble points you know yeah i mean go camping it's a marble marble cooler he was playing pool with his other camel friends and he was smoking and that was the shirt it was it was awesome shirt i wish i still had it wouldn't fit me anymore but i would still i would still keep it

uh i love it uh so we ended up with – what did we add there? We added some Josh Allen rushing. Yeah, Josh Allen rushing touchdown. We're at $7 to win like $9.71. So I'd say we just rip it. Why not? Yeah. It feels like a rip and rip. All right.

It's in. Love it. Why not us? All right, everyone. Get in on it. I'll bet I can retweet it all right i'll tweet it i'll tweet it out i'll send it with the slip too because fanduel allows the slip sharing so everyone can get it in you know what i mean that's like i have a couple of friends hit me

up after the show they're like share the slip and usually it's like caesars and it's like well sorry buddy you're just gonna have to enter this in by hand like this is you know caesars is in the stone age it happens i'll be honest with you i kind of like kind of like making the people work for it because they're gonna feel better about it you know what i mean like when they win they're gonna feel like they actually work for something i don't know it's gonna be the same amount of money but so old school you know but yeah you'll just feel like yeah man like look what i just did you know how hard i worked for this in my day it's kind of you ever mow your yard and just kind of look at it afterwards look at that dude the same same kind of feeling except no yard work yeah whatsoever

underrated day by the chat is that tiktok that's me that's true is that you do you have tiktok i i don't i mean i do it's a four it's a house account but that's not tiktok i i don't i mean i do it's a four it's a house account but that's not tiktok okay i think it's just uh injury messages it's uh it's our uh fantasy life it sounds like the tiktok thing i'm like god damn like that it's like you are killing it on tiktok dude we haven't posted tiktoks in quite a while yeah dancing on there like what do you do nation uh injury updates for us yeah okay yeah and i like hearing the sound because i was like i always wanted to be a famous tiktoker and i'm just it's not happening i haven't found my niche yet i'm getting there though i'll work on it as i say underrated day for the chat some good stuff in there you guys uh came right yeah

daniel's a great question um share is an interesting word i know that we share uh people share bong rips that's isn't that like mouth to mouth after i pulled it yeah i think it's gay not that like there's anything wrong with that but like i think you got to be gay to do it is what i'm saying and i'm pretty sure sure I don't think we would be doing that if we were hanging out together. I don't either. I don't. It seems like something that other people do. It's true. I mean, we pass it and share it.

Not that anything wrong with that. I'm just saying it's just not something that me and my friends do. Ever. One time back in college. Yeah. I mean, it doesn't make it gay.

Like the Colts kicker. Yeah. Yeah. Patrick's got us covered here in the chat. So, all right guys, I appreciate everyone hanging out with us again. Rebet,

download the app, promo code, high slop, free month of four for four, free month of slops, dub club. Take advantage of that. Check out profit of 4 for 4, free month of slops, Dub Club. Take advantage of that. Check out ProfitX if you're betting sides of totals.

That stuff is awesome too. Go ahead and post bets. If you want something, throw it out there. Wait for someone else to scoop the other side. Losers pay winners. Wouldn't want it any other way. Subscribe before you take off. That way you don't miss a show. Come back on Wednesday next week for our game previews

and again Friday for Prop Drop. As always, 4 for 4. That's the new YouTube channel, Move the Line, where we listen to podcasts. Appreciate you guys as always. For Connor, Slop, I'm Ryan. We'll see you all next time. Thanks, everybody.