Move The Line - Expert NFL Week 14 Player Prop Bets! | Top Picks, Predictions & Odds

Episode Date: December 6, 2024

Ryan Noonan, John Hyslop, and Connor Allen dig into their favorite NFL Week 14 Player Prop Bets! ...

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 hello and welcome the move the line prop drop show presented by draft king sportsbook i'm ryan newton back my friends connor allen john hyslop to talk about the best way the most profitable way to bet on nfl football and that is through player props we will be live here always 3 p.m eastern every friday on on the 4 for 4 Bets YouTube channel. You can find Move the Line wherever you listen to podcasts. We're taking your questions. So if you're hanging out with us now on YouTube, jump in the chat. Let us know what your favorite prop look is for week 14.
Starting point is 00:00:36 Crazy. We're in December. College football winding down a little bit too. We have some college football discussion today. I know we are chompingping a bit to uh talk about our boy kevin jennings maybe some more stuff there too uh joining me here as always connor allen what's up my friend yeah not much sob is that a money ball that you're holding you're just tossing up a little rainbow ball is that what that is the money ball yeah oh yeah i'm um i'm still alive from
Starting point is 00:01:01 my kids room and there's all kinds of kid paraphernalia around here. I got one of those kicking around here. There's a lot of them. There's like the little soccer balls. There's one with the stars on it. It's all right, but I prefer a little bigger. But, yeah, I'm ready to go. I can't wait.
Starting point is 00:01:19 Connor, you got your Bears hat on. Is that a prelude to anything? Well, I did bet caleb williams over past the times early in the week we got a great number of 32 swift and roshan both dnp'd twice in a row roshan out swift questionable i think he probably plays but like i mean probably not full go so i bet that they chuck the ball around the yard dj more also questionable maybe that could lead us to some other bets um at least for the millie parlay for sure because i don't know i don't know if they're gonna be any good but they're they're gonna throw the ball i think a good amount
Starting point is 00:01:51 where they play the niners yeah is that who it is yeah slob what's good with you buddy oh i'm just living the dream man it just gets better over here dead serious every day it's crazy i love that for you yeah i missed a couple guaranteed parlays last night but other than that i'm doing fine um the wings well no yeah they were just they're called the guaranteed parlay so i mean they're guaranteed and uh neither one of them hit which is wild just wild stuff but a Dontavion Wicks actually hit. So it kind of took all that sting away. But that was, dude, I'm never betting on that guy again.
Starting point is 00:02:31 It was a little too much for me. I don't think it's for everyone. Yeah. Yeah, no, I mean, he's a lot. He's a lot. Like the Jaden Reed stuff. I mean, zero receptions. his line went from 45 to 62 with the dobbs news and he gets nothing christian watson breakout game he could add even more if
Starting point is 00:02:53 they'd like i mean they just ran the ball into a brick wall like 12 times that's insane that's what killed me i'm watching it we're at bowling obviously thursday night and dude it was just you're watching like dude throw the ball like you're having success like you just throw the ball like that's what you do didn't you watch the second half of the bears game last week just start just throw the ball yep i had josh jacobs overs and i was like you should throw the ball like this is like they have eight guys in the box like you get you cannot run the ball against i know you're playing the defensive line is a bunch of jabronis but but, like, you've got to do something else. And then they were just chucking deep to Watson and, like, get a couple.
Starting point is 00:03:28 But they just needed to do that probably every play to open up their own instead. Yeah, it would have been fine. I did like Jacobs yesterday. I actually did a Dub Club video with Riley. And I was like, Jacobs is definitely scoring twice tonight. Dude, he scored three times. That never works when you say that because you got to say it confidently. That way you can believe it.
Starting point is 00:03:48 You know what I mean? And it never worked, and it worked, but I didn't play it. Didn't he score three times? Yeah, he did. Almost four, actually. He got called back. Yeah, I saw the fourth one, but by then it was a little too late. On the fourth quarter, fourth down discourse is, uh,
Starting point is 00:04:07 you know, keep you warm by the fire late at night to everyone, uh, you know, I mean, a tizzy about their opinions on what to do with the four down or how it was a bad decision. Hey,
Starting point is 00:04:16 it worked. I always go with it worked. I don't know where you guys stand on that. If it worked and it was good, if it didn't, then it wasn't. I always default to what if, what does the other sideline want you to do okay no that's good that's good and i there's some quotes too about that's actually campbell's origin of some of the stuff
Starting point is 00:04:36 is when he was playing uh in new orleans with sean payton sean payton was at the time definitely one of the more aggressive fourth down coaches and And he said the reaction on the other side, you could always tell when they were very uneasy, when they would go for a fourth down. He remembered that as a coach. And he's like, I need to, I want to be aggressive like that. I don't want to be someone who sits back. And so, hey, it seemed like a game,
Starting point is 00:04:57 especially as Packers kind of figured out and found their footing and could throw the ball around that whoever had the ball last might have a shot. So you're going to give Jordan Love 35, 40 seconds or so, the ball in the short field just to get into field goal range, why not take that out of his hands? So obviously, you got the best offensive line in the league. Push him around. The floor would have ran it.
Starting point is 00:05:19 No, I'm just kidding. I like that. That's like the Michael Jordan approach. Remember, didn't he say that about betting? He's like, how much you want to bet? He's like, whatever makes you uncomfortable. And he's like, whoa. That's terrifying.
Starting point is 00:05:31 He's such a psychopath. I love that about him. Yeah, that is a ridiculous answer to a question like that. Like, damn, I don't want to gamble with you anymore. I think one thing is for sure that Dan Campbell does not give a rat's ass about any of our opinions or anyone on the lines opinions. The nerds are crying about it. The football guys are crying about it both ways. It's like, just no one really knows what to do with it because it wasn't really like,
Starting point is 00:05:54 it was like the wrong decision by the numbers, but going for it is almost always the right decision when you're asking that question by the analytics. So like everyone just like was all freaking out. And I was just enjoying watching the world burn because people were getting really upset about it uh that's the crazy that's not to you guys thing and not you guys i mean fancy the fancy community they get so fired up dude like it's the point where you're like buddy like you want to call the people like hey you're okay right like it's cool man it was just a football game on television dude like it's like it gets nuts dude was it the fantasy guys it's kind of like a blend like an overlap so like okay fantasy and like i don't know i'm not gonna call
Starting point is 00:06:38 nerd community but like analytics you know i would say i know what you're talking about yeah like there's some overlap there um and so that community was was pretty upset it seemed like okay um well they were upset by saying like this is the wrong decision by the numbers and then other people would be like well you know it worked so you know yeah i always say he got it right so like that's the best whenever it goes wrong by them but he got it right but it actually worked so then now that argument just will go in circles forever because you know what i mean it's like this is great i can't lose nerd alert we're in the chat we got sam time sam hoppin chime in i would say sam is part of this community i don't think he was that mad though so see sam does not count nice sam's our favorite nerd so yeah exactly that i think nerd is a term of endearment so if i call
Starting point is 00:07:28 you a nerd that means i mean i mean you're smart we talk about stats all day like you know we're nerds too you know it's just yeah i mean twofold here like dan campbell that decision there's like zero analytics in that decision that is a lineup man v man we need to get a yard my guys are going to get that yard i don't you know i don't think he's looking at any analytics there that's not like a you really can't no it's that was not what his decision was it's just we're going for it our will you're not getting the ball back and that's what we're doing here too i everyone can use their social media account however they they deem necessary yeah i find it very interesting yeah right i find it very interesting and peculiar that after the fact kind of in the middle of the fact you decide that
Starting point is 00:08:14 you want to log into your app and fire off that that was a bad decision um as if like you get some sort of credit for like being being correct even though it what worked on the field actually went down and happened and was correct but you're like you know what everyone in the world right now needs to know that i think that that was a bad choice yeah yeah that and that's what i'm talking about ryan like that part of it just just bro just log off and call your friends about it just like whatever text your group chats you know like you know. Yeah. I also want to get it out there. I do not have the stones to do that. I would have kicked the field goal.
Starting point is 00:08:50 100%. Like I do not have the stones to do that. Like I would have kicked it. Watching it happen live. So I wanted the Packers to get the ball back so I can get some Jordan Loveyards with a cash guaranteed parlay. But that didn't happen. So I wanted them to kick the field goal.
Starting point is 00:09:03 And I'm watching. I'm like, man, this guy has just balls of steel. I couldn't even believe it. I saw him walk out because we can't hear it. You know what I mean? There's music on. It's only on the TV in front of you. So I was like, they're not going to.
Starting point is 00:09:15 And I looked at him. I was like, fuck, they are going. It just hit me that that's Dan Campbell. They're definitely going to do this. I'm like, oh, my God. Yeah, he gets it. It's a right here, right now moment. You know what I mean?
Starting point is 00:09:24 You can't do analytics. Do I it it's a right here right now moment you know what i mean like you can't do analytics like do i think it's gonna work right now and that's the only that's the only analytics you can possibly have like there's the intangible stuff of how that guy has his locker room wrapped around his finger and you saw the offensive lines immediate reaction to getting that and that's you know those are like the things that galvanize a team down the stretch and you know hard to uh for the quants to put that in and improperly account for it in the models but uh hey made for a good discourse I guess uh on a Thursday night post post game so anyway let's fire off some bets um I'm excited about this I'm gonna keep it short we'll jump right into it you want to get access to all the things that we're doing. You need the betting subscription to 444.
Starting point is 00:10:07 Cheap way to do it. Download Rebet. Switch to this app. Use promo code HIGHSLOP. You're going to get a month of HIGHSLOP's dub club, and you're going to get access to everything that we do at 444, get into Discord, all that stuff. So download the Rebet app.
Starting point is 00:10:21 Use the $10 to bet. Throw it on Kevin Jennings. It's going to throw you a plus on Saturday night. You're cooking with gas and all of a sudden you're going to get the rest of the things we're doing at 444 and everything slops to a dub club. Reach out if you have any questions. Let's jump into it. Live lines.
Starting point is 00:10:38 No stale bread, Connor. Things that people can bet on right now. Floor is yours, my friend. First look. Week 14. First one. I'll give people a second here. Firstor is yours, my friend. First look. Week 14. Yep. First one. I'll give people a second here. First one is at FanDuel. It is in the... My mic
Starting point is 00:10:55 bugged mid-first half. We can hear you, but you sound like you're in a fish tank all of a sudden. It's got technical issues. It does come on the podcast, too, so I just want to make sure the podcast people know what's going on. This is a pretty good bet. Chargers-Tevas game.
Starting point is 00:11:15 Fan duel, best line, but still playable everywhere else. We're going to go with Justin Herbert over 32 pass attempts, 32.5 pass attempts. It's fine at 33 and a half. I obviously like 32 and a half better. I think this is pretty interesting because when they played against each other the first time, like he only ended up with 27 pass attempts,
Starting point is 00:11:35 but that was in their weeks one through four before their bye where they were just like running the piss out of the ball. They had J.K. Dobbins. They're running into brick wall. It didn't matter. Since then, six highest pass rate over expectation. Herbert skewed pretty much massively pass heavy.
Starting point is 00:11:47 The Chiefs also massive pass funnel. Their run defense is awesome. Their pass defense gotten shredded by Noonan's boy, David Moore, Bryce Young, and Aiden O'Connell last week. And so I think we're just going to see way more passing volume here. Also, the Chiefs have been passing more too. And I think could lay a number on this charters defense that has not looked quite as good to be honest.
Starting point is 00:12:09 So obviously I think McConkie is turning the right direction. That helps I think for yards and like efficiency and probably keeping plays alive. But that's why I kind of took attempts because like, if he's not a hundred percent, like we're probably just getting a lot of past attempts and a lot of volume here. I mean,
Starting point is 00:12:24 the combination of the charge of Evan Baxter was like a disaster between like Gus Edwards and Hassan Haskins and come on even doll. And I'm the biggest Gus Edwards truth of there is out there. And he looks like absolute trash. So, um, I mean, I don't know. I just see Herbert slinging in here. I think 35 plus times, honestly, in this spot is, is a pretty reasonable expectation. i don't know my list i thought it was pretty interesting i was a little you know some trepidation earlier in the week because i was worried about the mcconkey stuff and how that could play out but uh i like it i like the thought process around slop uh boy save some overs for us what are your thoughts here on
Starting point is 00:12:58 uh on this one yeah i mean you have me at over we're gonna need mcconkey to play though man because um those guys can't catch. Someone in the chat just said, like, that Johnson kid. Like, I know his drop rates, whatever. He can't catch. Come on, dude. We've all seen him. So as long as McConkie's out there,
Starting point is 00:13:14 and maybe if they use Disley this week, that would be nice. But, yeah, that's not that many passes, especially since you can't really run on – they got the Chiefs, right? Yeah, so you can't run on them. I considered. I didn't even bet on it. I considered betting on Quentin Johnson's longest reception a couple weeks ago. Connor will not let me live it down.
Starting point is 00:13:35 I didn't even actually make the bet. I simply tossed it out to our chat to have a discussion around it. And Connor makes him my boy now. I didn't even bet on him yeah you're a guy for sure and now you brought up another guy too i'm assuming i don't know if you're betting on that guy so i don't want to drop his name uh but um i might i'm not on the show all right well i'm not gonna say it um but there's another guy who i think also probably stinks but has a good role and should be good and like all the all the metrics look like it should happen and they just stink at football.
Starting point is 00:14:07 So that's like, yeah, I just, I, I hate playing overs on those guys. And that's why I think slop loves those stinky overs on like, you know, the,
Starting point is 00:14:15 the trash quarterbacks. Uh, and hopefully I can talk to you now at some of the receiver overs. Great segue into my next play. That's you just don't, I i mean you don't get segues like that dude like this is let's hear it this is a professional operation yeah this is even though we come into the show knowing zero about what other people are betting on no yeah exactly it's it's called chemistry right there boys yeah we're gonna go aoc 250 plus passing yards that's a plus 150 at DraftKings right now I got I think I got
Starting point is 00:14:51 plus 150 or 158 at Fandle earlier but that's gone down to 122 so obviously we're not gonna take that whenever you can get plus 150 yeah at DraftKings but um let me tell you something dude this is about the Bucs and AOC kind of like this little mix all right the Bucs just gave up almost 300 yards to Bryce Young I got a rule if Bryce Young even gets close to 300 yards your pass defense is horrible and you know you should be bet against and that's what's going to happen this week here's the thing though AOC was not that bad against the Chiefs he wasn't good like no no he's not going to the hall of fame or anything he's probably gonna start next year but he's not that bad I mean he went 340 he got aided by that Tucker catch that went 58 yards
Starting point is 00:15:43 and that probably shouldn't have happened but 250 yards in a game where you're probably going to get dragged, because, I mean, the Bucs are scoring on the Raiders. So you got a great game script for it. You got the perfect defense, and you got a super low number at a really good price. Say no more. I don't hate it. I don't hate it.
Starting point is 00:16:02 I mean, your Bryce one clicked up real nice last week too it's a nice path to some uh your teams are screwing pretty pass heavy against the bucks they got to you know i don't say cluster injuries but they got a handful of injuries in the secondary so they got guys kind of out of position a little bit here too so yeah don't hate it at all connor any thoughts on uh aoc i big big a. Yeah, I've been thinking about AOC and this matchup because the Bucs, I think, on a play-to-play basis, are probably going to make his life pretty horrible
Starting point is 00:16:31 because they're just going to blitz and get home a couple times. But when they don't get home, it's going to be a field day for him. And I think Bowers is a great matchup. Patrick mentioned in the chat, Bucs get off tight ends, Bowers is going to eat. Yeah, I mean, Bowers is just going to run. He runs these little drag routes a bunch now.
Starting point is 00:16:48 I mean, he's just going to make their life a problem. He might catch like 12 balls in this game. Yeah, it's barely like a route. Yeah, but then he's just so good. He breaks like three tackles or is just faster than them. I mean, Brock Bowers is the truth. In hindsight, it was one of those things that I loved about Brock Bowers coming out of college, and somewhere along the way,
Starting point is 00:17:07 I just forgot how good he was. I should have just kept betting him every single week because he's awesome. It was terrifying last week to have Bryce Young. Don't get me wrong. It was terrifying. And then I watched the first drive and went, dude, this is gold. This defense couldn't cover me. Now they're
Starting point is 00:17:25 giving david moore 90 of the snaps like of course he's cooking david moore uh legit um highly underrated household name david you know what i did uh on that during that game it was a 4 p.m game and i realized i didn't really have a lot of action uh outside of bryce young so that's again terrifying so what you well you're you're gonna waste your whole four o'clock hour connor you know what i mean like it's that's over now if you don't like going with that so i took uh three panthers receivers 25 plus receiving yards it was like feeling uh the brown guy and uh xavier x-man they all cashed it was fun it was a great day but the brown guy and Xavier, X-Man, they all cashed. It was fun.
Starting point is 00:18:06 It was a great day. But the Brown guy was kind of making me sweat a little bit more than I needed to. You didn't even bet more and more went for 81. Yeah. Well, it was in the first half. I kind of wanted to cash by the first half. They all cashed in the first half. It was 25 yards, guys.
Starting point is 00:18:21 Like, what are we doing? How are they not going to get that? Yes, this is a callback to early days of Moodle Line back in 2018 when I found a way to work David Moore basically into every episode of the show. Thought he was going to be like the wide receiver three in Seattle with DK Metcalf. It was probably even preceded DK Metcalf, actually. It was Tyler Lockett days. It was Baldwin. It was Baldwin, actually. It was, you know, Tyler Lockett days. It was Baldwin.
Starting point is 00:18:45 It was Baldwin, actually. It was Baldwin and Lockett and David Moore. So still going. Lost a lot of coin on Doug Baldwin. Yeah, Slav, you got to watch your language here. The brown guy can be perceived the wrong way. I'll tell you guys a funny story about that, not on not even really what you think but it was more just like one of those moments where you're like dude you can't say that but it's totally not what you're saying yeah yeah i mean
Starting point is 00:19:15 oh yeah audio i mean it's a common last name one of the most common it's a great last name last name of a king uh yeah i like the aoc play and yeah i mean the looking back the brock bowers discourse even draft season two was just so wild that like you know we had all these like team needs situations these teams just don't need him and it's like the guy leads the nfl in receptions not tight ends not rookies the entire league in receptions and he's just the stud he's legit that dude and uh yeah shame on folks for letting him basically you know slip out of the top 10 and uh yeah the time it's it easy to look back on now but it just is it's wild so yeah he's absolutely a baller um all right i'm gonna i'm gonna go a little bit off brand this isn't
Starting point is 00:20:13 it's not something that i typically do it's not typically a bet that i like to make um a little weird but stick with me here uh georgeens, longest reception, over 20 and a half yards. I'm just kidding. I bet this every week. I don't know. I joked earlier with Connor. I'm like, hey, I'm going to the ATM if anyone needs anything because they're just giving away free money.
Starting point is 00:20:35 And for some reason, this is still not 30-something yards. And so we have to bet it. Browns allowing the highest rate of explosive pass plays in the league um that's like five percent higher over the last five weeks so they're giving up massive chunk plays uh 22 of the time pickens has at least 131 yard reception in every russell wilson start and this is again 20 and a half you can get down on mgm, 27 and a half is still available for you, but this is regularly, it's available everywhere else at 28. So Pickens also dominates against the style of defense that Cleveland runs to. He's got a 26% target per route run in the season.
Starting point is 00:21:16 It's 36% against single high man looks. And that's basically all Cleveland really does. He's averaging nearly a full yard more per route run against these looks and his first read target share courtesy of our friends over at fantasy points their data suite um that's up 11 and a half percent against single high man as well 45 first read targets in these scenarios he's got a hamstring he's questionable he's fine he's not playing he's already talking back and forth with greg newsom and other browns cornerbacks like in these scenarios. He's got a hamstring. He's questionable. He's fine. He's not playing. He's already talking shit back and forth with Greg Newsome and other Browns cornerbacks. Like, he doesn't care.
Starting point is 00:21:50 They need this game. They're still going to hold on for the division. It's not like they can, like, take it easy with Pickens. He's going to cook 28 and a half over for the longest, just an automatic play. Slop, any thoughts? That's fantastic. I'll tell you why in a minute oh okay i think you got a sense connor any thoughts on uh the atm no i mean just keep backing up the dump truck and
Starting point is 00:22:15 you know loading up it's i think we're gonna need a bigger truck yeah i mean it's it's crazy because i mean just matches up perfectly with what he can do. I mean, every week is like 22, 23, 24, 25. And he just keeps hitting like long plays. So I don't know. I don't doubt it. Like,
Starting point is 00:22:30 I think it's just going to happen every week. Did you, you had a longest, did you do a longest round Robin last week or longest parlay? I think you hit five out of six, right? I don't want to talk about it, but I did.
Starting point is 00:22:41 Yeah. You didn't round Robin. It did you? I didn't round Robin, but I bought them all separate. Okay. I'm going to round Robin at this week. I'm going to play all your longest. Cause I don't want to talk about it, but I did. Yeah. You didn't round Robin it. Did you? I didn't round Robin, but I bought them all separate. Um, okay. I'm going to round Robin it this week.
Starting point is 00:22:48 I'm going to play all your longest. Cause I don't really, I don't really play them that often, but like, uh, I feel like you guys just like always win. So I'm going to, I'm going to round Robin.
Starting point is 00:22:56 Yeah. I feel good. The first bet of the week was Calvin Ridley. Longest, uh, 23 and a half. I think we got it. I think it's 25,
Starting point is 00:23:02 26 now. That one makes a ton of sense. But yeah, I mean, I think you can look at explosive play rates. I think you can look at long-term and short-term samples, guys average at the target, quarterback check down rates or deep ball rates. I think there's just some things that kind of line up where you can find some spots that are opportunistic. So yeah, he popped up, like I said, he just got the bleacher
Starting point is 00:23:26 nation alert uh the you know hamstring injury but yeah they even say in the note like there's no probable nowadays like you if you there's anything they have to put you as questionable he's fine he's not missing this game so patrick smart guy already bet it shout out to patrick he gets it so absolutely love it uh all right Connor back to you buddy what do you got um yeah so we're gonna go with kind of another fun one here one of my first overs and alts of the week I'm gonna go with George Kittle over 54 and 80 plus at plus 250 um Kittle is 57 yards and 7 out of 10 games this season the three games he fell short basically Brandon Ayuk was still in or there was like massively run heavy games they They ran the ball like 30 something times. They're up by a lot. I mean, no CMC, no Jordan Mason. I think that the Niners will probably
Starting point is 00:24:12 run it still a good amount, but like, I don't think that they're going to be probably running at 30 plus times in this spot, even in a good matchup against the Bears. Also otherwise matchup notes are great. 23% target share without CMC on the field. Bears allowed eight yards per target to tight ends. And Chicago's played cover three 44% of the time. Third-highest rate in the league and against cover three. Kittle, 3.1 yards per outrun against cover three. So, I mean, there's a lot of different avenues to get there.
Starting point is 00:24:39 Again, you can get there on volume. You can get there on just matchup, like one play. I think there's just a lot of different avenues for this one. So I think the upside's massive. The matchup's great. And I think that we could see, again, I mean, slightly more passing than normal from the 49ers in this spot. And as I mentioned, again,
Starting point is 00:24:55 I don't think that Chicago's gonna be able to like grind clock here and do it. So I think it could be like a higher volume game on both sides in general for like play volume here. Yeah, I like it. Bears also just secondary injury issues. Brisker has been out for two months. Elijah Hicks has been filling in.
Starting point is 00:25:10 He's injured. So they're on Simone Biles, husband, Jonathan Owens, nice, nice run stuffer, but not a great coverage guy. That's what he's known for.
Starting point is 00:25:20 Every, every time he like does anything, they're like Simone Biles, husband, Jonathan Owens. Like anytime he's like near the ball, like it doesn't matter like uh does anything they're like simone biles husband jonathan owens like anytime he's like near the ball like it doesn't matter if he does anything uh they just like can't stop mentioning on the broadcast and yeah like you said i don't think he's very good but um mary doing olympian i mean one of the best gymnasts of all time go she's she's nuts so yeah uh yeah i'm slop you're a big tight end guy since at least 92.
Starting point is 00:25:47 Any thoughts on Kill? He's kind of dead to me because of what he did Sunday night. He ruined the guaranteed parlay. Yeah, it was bad. We needed 25 yards on the guy. That was it. I didn't ask him to do anything, basically. That was like literally just put your pads on.
Starting point is 00:26:05 It was a blizzard, though. I will say the weather bros did not have that one right. That was an impactful weather. Neither team did. Yeah, no, they said they were like, yeah, there's not going to be any weather. But that's why I went with the big dogs. Like Dawson Knox, ever heard of him? Yeah, he went 50-plus, no big deal.
Starting point is 00:26:21 He was fine. How come this guy couldn't? That's why I knew knew you don't want to go with those little receivers in the snow like this i was like just in case let's go with the with the mutters you know what i mean the big dogs you ever been uh to the dog track yeah watching the dogs run when it's raining ever been when it's raining get the big dogs all right that was kind of the same thought process here. Go with the big dogs. And guess what? George Kittle, not a big dog. I cut my teeth betting back in the day.
Starting point is 00:26:51 Middle school, really. Shout out to New Hampshire, Rochester Fair. Every year, every September. Pony track. Most of the time, it was just the dogs. You're not supposed to be betting, but the dogs are out there running. So, yeah. Can't let them get out there and run for nothing you know what i mean they had 50 cent bush light night back in the day and man it was good it was good the uh the crowd was
Starting point is 00:27:14 extremely questionable but uh all good people just wanted to gamble that's all yeah yeah you want to find that dog that's just real calm going into the blocks like you get that dog that's like all hyped up just before yeah they don't know but you got to watch that dog that's just real calm going into the blocks. You get that dog that's all hyped up just before. Yeah, they don't know. But you got to watch them when they're stuffing them in there. That dog is just kind of real calm and ready to go. That's your guy. Is dog racing legal in America?
Starting point is 00:27:35 Is that a legal thing? Greyhound racing is definitely legal. It's okie sneaky. You ever see it? They put the little rabbit. Yep, here comes Swifty. And they just move it around the track and the dogs chase after it. They run fast, dude.
Starting point is 00:27:50 I can't say that I've seen that. You've never seen this? You've never been to dog racing before? I've never been to a dog race, guys. I don't know. You used to have the matinees on Wednesdays. You hit the dog track twice in one day. It was great, man.
Starting point is 00:28:02 Noon. It was unbelievable. It was an unbelievable time. 50 cent bush lights at noon too so you could really just go all day if you had to yeah wow there used to be more than 50 tracks across 19 states and now apparently i think there's there's about nothing yeah i think peter got involved and uh they they ruin all the fun like they weren't fighting these dogs they were just running they're dogs. They were just running. They were just running. They were chasing stuff just as dogs do.
Starting point is 00:28:31 But yeah. I mean, I missed the horse track too. It was the worst thing that's happened in the last five years or so. It was Arlington Park closing here in the greater Chicagoland area. Man, the horse track is a lot of fun too. It's great. Great way to spend a Saturday. Telecast dude um it just watch all the rage we tried to bet them all
Starting point is 00:28:50 yes that's a lot of fun so i have a real degenerate friend uh connor knows my my buddy uh timmy and the problem was we like go to arlington and you get in there and like where you place the bats and there there's just TVs all around. You've got the California races late in the day and some of the Florida stuff. And then there's actual races going on if we walk outside that door. Nope. But we're just betting on whatever's on the TV.
Starting point is 00:29:15 What's about to go to post in the next five minutes? All of a sudden, I'm betting on shit all over the country, and there's actual people outside, hundreds of thousands of people outside. We can actually go watch races right here we're sitting with the actual real dj's betting on you know santa anita and i just like it it's called uh it's called jumping on the jet noonan yeah on the jet and going to that track jump on the jet and go to that track yeah oh man i might jump on the jet right after i get out this show so i got some breaking news for you fellas over here dog racing is illegal in 43 states there is one state in the entire country
Starting point is 00:29:55 where they're where it is legal and there are active dog racing tracks oh florida no but similar what give it i'll give you another guess. One more other guess. Arizona. No, I mean, we're close. We're talking about like a wild state like that. Like we're pretty close. I don't know. So it's illegal in Florida now?
Starting point is 00:30:15 It is illegal. Yeah. So, well, yeah. Yep. Recent dog racing states now illegal Florida. Yep. So yeah, illegal. I don't even know what i would have done um and it's so it's actually still legal in bama arkansas iowa kansas texas wisconsin there's just
Starting point is 00:30:33 no active tracks the only state where there's an active dog racing track west virginia not west virginia yeah yeah mountaineer state probably they do we used to watch the horse race the mountaineer they came on at seven get get through all the east coast ones and then the california ones to start running so you start jumping on the jet and go down dude good times good times yeah i found like i found a site that did like some analytics um you really really start to learn how to read the book. For real. You've got the mutters. You're like, this matters.
Starting point is 00:31:11 They're running on turf. This is his first turf. They're running a mile and a quarter. No, this guy only runs a mile. We don't know what he's going to do. You start to get the stakers, the finish, the closers. I miss it. I miss it a lot. Deborah Johnsonah johnson shout out that deborah johnson kennels she was uh she was like the goat kennel
Starting point is 00:31:30 all those dogs they got treated like gold because they were i mean she had a good dog so if you saw deborah johnson dog you're like all right let's go going in it's good times this is true degenerate stuff so all right so i think i led you somewhere with my george pickens uh play uh back to you with your second football bat of the day yeah this is kind of another one it's a little bit terrifying but i think we're good it's um russell wilson 250 plus is plus 150 at DraftKings, it looks like. Trying to find – hang on. I pulled up someone else, so I kind of messed up. But, yeah, whatever it is, it's plus 150 somewhere.
Starting point is 00:32:15 All right, look. I don't know what happened to him, but he might not be that bad anymore. I mean, he's got Pickens now, throws to that tight end, Friermuth. I mean, he's getting 250. Go back and that uh that tight end Friermuth I mean he's getting 250 go go back and look at his game logs they're like 250 is like his floor and in this game I think that the Browns can throw the ball push you know the Steelers to throw the ball themselves and not sit on it 250 not a huge day out of him I mean I don't know that he's not going four plus again I mean that was crazy but dude that he's not going four plus again. I mean, that was crazy. But, dude, 250
Starting point is 00:32:46 at plus 150 against the Browns, who, like you said, they are big play central. I mean, that... Is Calvin Austin playing? Nothing's wrong with him, right? I don't think so. Yeah, I think he's fine. He's another... He got hit a couple... He got hit hard a couple times last week. Yeah, no,
Starting point is 00:33:01 I thought he was going to have to quit. But I didn't see the injury report though after that game. But I thought there, I thought he was going to have to quit. But I didn't see the injury report, though, after that game. But I thought there was no way he was going to play. But, yeah, anyway, so if he's there, that's just another rando way to get, you know, giant chunk plays. It's, come on now, 250. That's it? It's plus 150?
Starting point is 00:33:22 Plus 160 on MGM is your best. Yeah, I never look at them, though. I don't count them as a book. No offense. 144. You guys know why. Not you guys, but BetMGM. You guys know what you did.
Starting point is 00:33:36 Not cool, man. 144 on FanDuel. Looks to be the best on their price. And they're a viable shop. Yeah, so 150 is where I can do it at Caesars. I can do that at somewhere else. No, Caesars is the only place. So 135 at DraftKings, 140 at ESPN Bet, and 144 at FanDuel, 150 at Caesars.
Starting point is 00:33:59 I mean, it's all deadly. You got options. Yeah. He's probably going to throw in another 300 game, though, because I think Jameis is going to be fine. I think he's going to still throw picks. Don't get me wrong, but I bet you he moves that offense still. That Browns offense looks completely different than it did
Starting point is 00:34:14 at the beginning of the year. Sean Watson was horrible, awful. So much so that Jameis Winston steps in, and it looks like a legitimate viable offense, just with a lot of turnovers somehow. Well, he has the Lord to deliver him from pick sixes. So yeah,
Starting point is 00:34:31 he does. Yeah. If you got God on your side, man, that's a plus. You know what I mean? We all use God on our side. Yeah. Put that in your model,
Starting point is 00:34:40 Connor. Yeah. I mean, James is a national treasure. I love him. I just like me too. Anytime I can bet on him that I think it's somewhat viable. Even I consider it. And just even for fun, I mean, Jameis is a national treasure. I love him. I just like every time I can bet on him that I think it's somewhat viable even. I consider it.
Starting point is 00:34:47 And just even for fun, you know, worst case, I bet on him. Just an absolute hero. Yeah, I mean, we've seen now two years in a row, Deshaun Watson goes out, Joe Flacco comes in, crushes. Jameis Winston comes in, crushes. Even DTR, I think, had one or two good games. It wasn't that bad. But, like, we have guys who can
Starting point is 00:35:06 actually throw the ball they're crushing in this offense so uh they throw the ball a ton Nick Chubb has been honestly kind of ass so that's been pretty disappointing but they still like to feed him the ball and he's still like good I think at moving the chain so um you know he just doesn't have that kind of like he doesn't have that juice that he used to you know like that breakaway juice and yeah that's kind of what's been missing Nick have that juice that he used to, like that breakaway juice. That's kind of what's been missing. Nick Chubb Long is actually used to be – that was probably the OG longest for you. You bet like six weeks in a row, and I think you've hit like almost every week. It was so nice for a while.
Starting point is 00:35:34 But, yeah, that's – honestly, the ship has sailed, but you're probably off the board for 2024 to be – Dude, I thought we were going to get so rich By front running him Probably a month ago This is going to be the game Where he gets his 20 carries And he goes for like a fuck 30 That's over
Starting point is 00:35:54 It's a shame man It's a shame It was going to be a good thing I was going to spend that money I was probably going to gamble it We need to get ProfitX handle some uh alt stuff for us connor you throw on uh you know plus 250 and see if they can do that um they did add same game parlay is actually recently they added like look at them that's i don't know how to be entirely
Starting point is 00:36:21 transparent because they're like an exchange but they i got the notification so i'm gonna dig into that more if any of you guys are on profit x it's a cool sweepstakes app available in 42 states um yeah they're supposed to have like i think they called they like labeled them like fun props or something like that which is great i think people like fun so i'm pretty excited about that good i'll be honest with you i was was not out on ProfitX. I was waiting to be in. I'm now in. Just because on all those ones, you got to do your due diligence. You have to.
Starting point is 00:36:54 It's difficult. I'm in on them. They saw the FanDuel financial reports. They're like, we'll put some same game parlays in here. Immediately. We're going to probably have to get on board.
Starting point is 00:37:10 Yeah. Come back on Wednesday. Connor and I are going to sit down with one of the founders there and talk to him about how we got here, what's the future for them, but we're excited about that. Oh, really? Yeah. Okay, cool. No, I'll watch that too.
Starting point is 00:37:25 Yep. Come back on Wednesday. So, all right. I'll see. Last one for me, and then we'll start to build some, I don't know, milli parlays. It feels like it's a good week to maybe be 100,000 air or maybe better. I don't know. Depends on what the guys want to do.
Starting point is 00:37:40 We'll see. But I thought Slop would be on this because, again, big, big tight end guy. But I'm going with Juwan Jennings. Tight end for the Saints. Over 32.5 receiving yards. I think it's 32.5 everywhere now. It's been bet on a little bit here early. But pretty good spike in usage for Juwan Johnson.
Starting point is 00:38:03 I don't know if I said Juwan Jennings. Juwan Johnson. I wouldn't worry about it said juwan jennings um juwan johnson yeah we knew who you're talking about tight ends saints juwan jj um yeah anyway he's he's gonna have a nice little day he's benefiting from uh no taste in hill last week seven targets uh brought him in for 36 yards but again they took a couple deep shots with him too soon they didn't get home with him i like seeing the usage he was out there for uh 79 of the saints drop backs you know we can get him 65 75 that's pretty elite usage for a tight end these days and uh again just all those free targets to be had without tasem who was just absolutely dominating everything they had from a target share point and absolutely crushing. But now he's out. So Jawan Johnson, over 32 and a half, minus 110 on DraftKings, readily available elsewhere. I think three and a half receptions
Starting point is 00:38:55 plus money is also a pretty good look. But I like the yardage because I think he can get there on a few shots. And if the Giants are beat we might have you know no neighbors here the defense you know dexter lawrence i know bobby okarike like there are they're in bad bad shape so you have the really the giants just absolutely sell this one uh we don't need to worry about you know volume for for johnson so joan johnson over 32 and a half yards here slop any thoughts i think those? I think those Giants are going to quit. Like, they quit in terms of, you know what I'm saying? Like, not quit. You know what I'm saying?
Starting point is 00:39:32 They're not just going to, you know, just lay down. But you know what I'm saying? Like, it ain't. I don't know how you get up for any games in the NFL when you're 2-10 and having the season they are. Yeah. I honestly think Malik Nabors might have just quit. Like, I mean, this is like his fourth. Malik Nabors might have just quit.
Starting point is 00:39:46 I mean, this is like his fourth. I mean, he might have just had a full week of practice again with Drew Lockman, like, fuck this. I'm out. Dude, he's got hospital balls, dude. Yeah, that would not surprise me at all. His postgame pressures dating back to the moment that he got drafted, I tweeted out a thread, and I just kept periodically added to it every time Malik Nabors said something.
Starting point is 00:40:03 He has said nothing good about the Giants, ever since he's been drafted there it's always been like literally last week it was what do you want me to do they didn't throw me the ball until we were down 30-0 like what do you want me to do he's a top today like which is hilarious but I mean like he just hates he hates everyone he hates he's so mad he's pissed that he doesn't have a quarterback I mean would you be one I would do, yeah. These guys show up. You know what I'm saying? You only got so long, and you show up, and it's Danny Dimes. That's your quarterback. He's gone.
Starting point is 00:40:30 They're like, yeah, don't worry about it, man. We'll take care of it. It's Tommy DeVito, and then it's Drew Law. It's like, why did you pick me? You don't even have a guy to throw me the ball. Yeah, and he's honestly pretty good. He's pretty sick. Oh, he's awesome. Yeah, he's honestly pretty good he's he's pretty sick oh he's awesome yes yeah yeah like like crazy um but quiet quiet quitting isn't that a thing a handful of years
Starting point is 00:40:52 yeah that's a new thing though that's what the with the kids that's what they do they quiet quit i kind of like it i respect the kids for that like once i read about what that was i was like wow man that's that's the next level there. They just don't answer the emails. Yeah, I have some friends quiet quitting. That makes sense. Yeah, it's pretty cool. But no, but back to Jawan. Did you think about longest reception for him? Because they're kind of getting them like that.
Starting point is 00:41:16 Because before it was he would turn around and they would have Rattler just kind of whip it at him, like literally four yards away from him. So you'd go the reception routes with him but then now it's like david or derrick carr has um like way out like they tried a probably like a 30 yard down the sideline pass uh actually i think he they didn't call a pass interference but quentin leg totally mugged him last week so they almost hit on a nice uh a big one um so i thought about it it was like 15 and a half i think it's very viable while we're in the game i bet it there's a rogue uh 13 and a half on longest reception for alvin kamara oh ryan ryan ryan 20 plus dude
Starting point is 00:41:58 fan duel they gotta have that right i don't think they do i don't want to do that i think caesar does that hang on anyway they might kamara i think kamara. I don't think they do that. I think Caesars does that. Hang on. I'm going to find it. They might have it. I think Kamara's going to get so much volume at 13.5, just catching 7-8 balls, scamper out of bounds one time. Not even a long pass. Just kind of a first down.
Starting point is 00:42:18 Just a first down, Alvin Kamara. It's like 15.5 everywhere, but Fandle at a 13.5. Plus 135 for 20 plus. Yeah. I kind of want, I don't know. I was expecting more. I wouldn't do that for 20 plus.
Starting point is 00:42:33 I told Connor that you were going to try to jam five receptions down our throat for the parlay. This has got slop all over him. Like, you know what? I got to reach out to slop. Yeah. The only thing I hate about it is they might kick the crap out of the giants so those receptions at the end that's why you gotta go yards you can't go receptions because man you would be sick if he had a three for 58
Starting point is 00:43:00 line in like the beginning of the third quarter and just never saw anything again because you know whatever so you were 100 right and you're not going to get paid for it so you got to go yards for that yeah yeah like connor any thoughts no i mean it makes sense we've been jamming tasem movers uh for kind of a similar you know reason which by the way i don't know if you remember last week we talked about under rushing over receiving and that hit what by a lot even prior to his injury um and i didn't play either i don't know why i just you didn't play this you're the one that pushed the yards again i played it when you told me about it um i was waiting for i'm like i'm gonna play it you got cold feet on it
Starting point is 00:43:41 i played it at least i think it was 24 and a half yards again. It's crazy. I don't know what, I don't know what I was doing. I have no idea. No, you had a good week either way. So yeah,
Starting point is 00:43:54 let's, uh, let's, let's build a, a nice little six, seven figure little parlay here. Let's rock. Let's get started.
Starting point is 00:44:03 Um, where do we want to start? Where do we want to, we're to start where do we want to we're going to build fan duel or we're going to build caesars so my suggestion is we've been building caesars haven't been winning my suggestion because we have kevin jennings alts on fan duel as we go back to fan cool um just language so i put in some stuff that we've talked about um we can obviously veto some if we want to take them out joan johnson 60 yards is plus 350 seems like a lot don't think it's that much um russell wilson 275 plus 270 um we can do we can go higher with these it just feels like these are kind of already a lot we're betting on shitty players rock bauer 100 plus it's plus 300 only um i mean yeah i i actually have bowers pulled that's funny you
Starting point is 00:44:46 said that i literally have him pulled up i mean do you go 125 is it i mean i don't think is it that crazy to go 125 i mean it could be i'm just asking you can sell me as high as you want on brock bowers i would go all the way up and i believe. I don't know that I could do 150. Let's try and hit this. I think we've been getting enamored about the price and all that stuff. I think we can hit one of these, like a solid rip. Like in baseball, it'd be like double off the wall. You know what I mean? For like 300 grand.
Starting point is 00:45:18 Instead of trying to hit it over the fence. You know what I'm saying? Yeah, yeah, yeah. Let's try and hit somebody with it. Hard. You know what I'm saying? Yeah, yeah, yeah. It's a round-a-double. I was trying to hit somebody with it. It's hard. I think Bauer's 100-plus isn't that crazy, but 10 more yards. It's plus 420. It's just 420, which that feels – dude, there is nobody else.
Starting point is 00:45:39 I mean, Jacoby Myers possibly. I mean, I don't know what happened there, but somehow he's catching everything and they're targeting him. They're literally pretending like he's a really good receiver. If you watch their play call and it's nuts. It's literally like, oh yeah, it's going back to Jacoby. Really?
Starting point is 00:45:56 So there's that, but Bowers is where it's at. Tampa Bay giving up the fourth most passing yards to tight ends as well. Oh, they're a tight end team and they're being I go we go a little bigger on that then plus 420 um oh feels right 110 plus um I added Kittle 90 plus a plus 340 uh and then Kevin Jennings 300 plus so we're already at 156 to 1 combining some of our picks if I missed missed anything, let me know. For the audience, Kevin Jennings, SMU quarterback, Saturday night.
Starting point is 00:46:27 Legend. Yeah, and quick backstory. Let's hear 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. He hit his passing prop seven weeks in a row consecutively, which opened seven weeks ago at like 207, and now is up to 250, but still had more than 250 in every single game except for last week where he was benched in the fourth quarter because they were winning by so much and it was senior night and they got in some like it was like you know
Starting point is 00:46:53 not a full like make a wish thing but pretty much with like the senior night like a make a wish that's like yeah don't say that and he caught i mean it wasn't though that's what i'm saying it wasn mean, it wasn't, though. That's what I'm saying. It wasn't a big deal. No, it was not. You're correct. It was not. It was not.
Starting point is 00:47:08 And so the backup got in. And so my point is now he's playing Clemson. Clemson's a very good game. Correct. Clemson's pass events, too, is not very good. They're, like, very mid. And they should – SMU's only favorite by like two and a half, so they should push them a little bit.
Starting point is 00:47:27 That's the issue. SMU's won all of those games by like 20 points basically. They roll people. Yeah. I think we can put my guy in there, the Penn State kid. He's going 275, Connor. I actually kind of like that. I don't know shit about that.
Starting point is 00:47:44 I think we can take't know 250 and guarantee it like it's guaranteed it's just a ground rule double you know like just get the guaranteed 250 because they have to throw the ball like I mean dude this is how college football works
Starting point is 00:47:59 they can all stop the run like these good these great defense stop the run do you start throwing on them do you can go all night. It's just they don't. They're going to have to this time, though, because Oregon's going to score on Penn State, I'm telling you. So they have no choice. They have no choice but to throw for 250.
Starting point is 00:48:15 His hands are tied. Yep. I like it. Yeah, all right. Well, I added it. We're up to $ dollars to win 57k um so we're at a good start here i would say okay yeah um how do we feel about mike evans 100 plus 100 plus did you see last week it looked like uh baker didn't have another guy
Starting point is 00:48:43 you know what I mean? He just – every ball that he threw to him, there was like at least one guy around. You know what I mean? Like he didn't care. It wasn't like he was open. It was like those balls going to him. So there is that. That's kind of how I analyze like how much.
Starting point is 00:48:57 You know what I mean? Like are they just going to force feed this dude? And they were force feeding him. So I was looking too, just some like different splits. Look over the past five weeks. and they were force-feeding. So I was looking, too, just some different splits. Look over the past five weeks. The Raiders' opponents have a 10% pass rate over expectation. That is 5.5% higher than the next closest team.
Starting point is 00:49:18 Teams are skewing massively pass-heavy against the Raiders right now. Bucs love to pass it anyway. 12 targets for Evans last week. Again, another guy that's on the injury report that I don't really care about. He's fine. He's the only dude, right? He's the only guy. I think he fills it out.
Starting point is 00:49:34 They let him say what it is. You know what I mean? Tell him what it is. Is it your ankle or something? You know what I mean? We'll see you Sunday. Bring your pet. I have bad news.
Starting point is 00:49:45 There is nothing, no Bucs props at all on FanDuel. Outside of no receiving Bucs props. And, yeah. They get it. They know, dude. They're watching. Yeah, you're right. It's just those three Raiders guys.
Starting point is 00:50:00 We got Birdie in the chat saying, this is a great interaction, by the way. Sincere McCormick over 58 rushing yards. I where he said no clue uh great uh and he brought a good point coach is praising him this week they finally found a running back system i've not looked just want to bring your attention yeah uh not available yet anywhere that i've seen great look totally agree um you got me excited, and there's nothing up. Touchdown bets only. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:50:29 Ooh, two touchdowns? Yeah, two touchdowns, 32-1 on FanDuel. 32 on FanDuel, 14 on DraftKings. Yeah, I did a video with Dub Club yesterday about line shopping. Dude, if you're going to bet touchdowns, you better – like what are you doing if you're not shot? Like you can just – imagine sitting next to somebody. Like you're your buddy and you got two touchdowns for this guy, 32-1,
Starting point is 00:50:58 and he's got 14. It's the same exact bet. Like if you had the 14, like he'd be over like celebrating like he just won $3,200 because he did, and you're only getting $1,400 like a poor because you're not smart enough. Just go make the same bet somewhere else. You know what I mean? Come on, guys. Even the anytime touchdown bet is 3-1 plus 3-10 on FanDuel plus $175 on DraftKings.
Starting point is 00:51:20 That doesn't even make sense. That should be illegal. Shop around. If I was in charge, you wouldn't be able to do that. Yeah. We need one more, I think, to get us over 100K, by the way. That's a nice rip right there.
Starting point is 00:51:33 Yeah, that's a nice seven-leg clean hit rip. I got a couple thoughts. I have one taking temperature. I feel like just from a pure schematic thing, Connor's going to be out on this one.
Starting point is 00:51:48 But just hold on a little bit. It's really hard to run the football against the Minnesota Vikings. They've been really good at running the ball. Their quarterback, did you see that first time in, like, next-gen history that, like, he did not top 36 miles per hour on a throw? He just doesn't have any juice left um you got to throw the ball and why not just throw it to your running back who's pretty damn good who's gonna have a really hard time running the football um saquon receptions plus money like four and a half that's like plus one 125 for four and a half um if you take saquon i don't know
Starting point is 00:52:26 six plus which he's done saquon or i'm sorry bijan i'm sorry bijan yeah hold on a second hold on that was your face that was your face that makes sense i think i've been looking at the wrong schedule bijan targets receptions uh i don't know i think he can be pretty heavily involved in the passing game uh because i think he going to struggle to run the ball, and Kirk's got no juice. So putting that out there, I think Bijan is pretty interesting. We got six receptions. It's plus 225.
Starting point is 00:52:57 They're going to have to throw the ball. I'm on Ray-Ray McLeod for that same reason, the 40-plus receiving yards. But I was very, very torn on receptions or receiving yards. But the receptions number is kind of trash. So because I – he's like the one – I think he's like a six-yard ADOT. So it's not like he's very – you know what I'm saying? It's kind of a safety blanket type thing.
Starting point is 00:53:22 But I'd go B. John any day. B. John literally caught six balls last week. Yeah, any day. He's got seven multiple times this year. I think you're right. You have to throw on those guys. You have to have some part of that pass game. It's just what part do you want given what Kirk is right now?
Starting point is 00:53:42 Yeah. All right. Well, I think that's beautiful because that puts us at $11 to win 206,000. Um, that escalated things pretty quickly. Um, can obviously scale that down if you want. Uh,
Starting point is 00:53:55 just to re quick recap, we got Kittle 90, Kevin Jennings, 300 Al art or whatever it is. Two 50, the Penn state quarterback, John Johnson, 60 plus Russell Wilson,
Starting point is 00:54:05 two 75 plus Bowers, one 10 plus, and stop it quarterback. Juwan Johnson, 60-plus. Russell Wilson, 275-plus. Bowers, 110-plus. And to top it off, Bijan Robinson, 6-plus receptions. The good news is that we will know by 325 on Sunday if we won or not because of George Kittle. And we'll actually have our first two legs home with Kevin Jennings and Drew Allard tomorrow night. That is so fun. I want to apologize to Ryan in the chat.
Starting point is 00:54:27 I'm not a good talker. So Ryan, but Juwan Jennings receiving yards, say go on receptions. Cause yeah, I did say both those things. So I'd like to, like to apologize.
Starting point is 00:54:38 Professional podcast host. Can't get anyone's name right. It's fine. I don't think he actually did. This is a really good message though. You know what you meant. Hopefully. Yeah. That's name right. It's fine. I don't think he actually did. This is a really good message, though. You know what you meant. Hopefully. Yeah, it's pretty funny.
Starting point is 00:54:49 Juwan Johnson. Bijan Robinson. Just thinking about alpha backs. Yeah. We got a guy in the chat here asking about a touchdown lay. That's not really my territory. Slob, you got any touchdown looks you like here real quick? I suck at touchdowns.
Starting point is 00:55:11 They never score dude the guy like it always sets up perfect you know what i mean it's never the guy never scored except for yesterday i have no idea how i came i was actually yours i used that from our group chat when you're like all those guys are missing their d the d line from the oh yeah i was like yeah j, yeah. I'm going over it. Their second-best offensive lineman got injured mid-game. They're literally starting like Dan Campbell's cousin was in the center of the defensive line. Who was that white guy? I don't know. Some random dude.
Starting point is 00:55:35 The guy who kept pounding his fist. Pat O'Connor? Yes. Who is that guy? He's been around for a little bit. He used to play for the Bucs. Did he play or like yeah he's 31 i want to see some video i mean dude he looks like he could be dan campbell's like you know relative he's kind of like he looks like he could dress probably still play yeah yeah he'll get out there hit a couple guys guys. Bites and kneecaps?
Starting point is 00:56:05 Yeah. I feel like this parlay is hitting. I feel like we did it right by setting up the first two nights, like the first two the day before. Now the real party starts on Sunday. We're done before dinner. We know. Is it going to be ketchup packets again, or are we going to get some steaks?
Starting point is 00:56:24 Yeah, ramen or Vegasgas it's one of the two i like there's no in between i wouldn't have it any other way yeah i like it i feel good about it you know just measured right just again take that two hundred thousand dollars and then feel real easy about what we do next week for the milli parlay right just yep gotta build building blocks you know that was we could we could bet a hundred on something to get a milli because like we're just flush with cash and we gotta get rid of it somehow can't just be walking off all that cash on you yeah a laundry list of potential sack bets this week if we can get some books to get on board post some stuff literally no tackles on the board
Starting point is 00:57:01 one like a couple tackles on the board not much so hopefully we get some more defensive stuff here uh coming out but uh let me see give people we give people a little taste uh sack wise we're gonna go back to the wall and chop robertson this week aaron rogers does not seem like a guy that wants to mess around play much football these days i think uh that's another team that seems to be mailing it in a little bit with no haul, no sauce. Go back to the well and chop. But probably
Starting point is 00:57:33 double dip, a little sack parlay on Monday Night Football with Michael Parsons, Trey Hendrickson. Both those guys probably get home there, so probably have a little Monday Night Football sack parlay action. uh yeah get in the discord look for more of those jeff what's up man uh jeff i kicked your kicked your ass in the dfs contest because we didn't see you in there i kept scrolling couldn't find you um
Starting point is 00:57:58 i thought i got to the bottom i don't know i didn't see your name in there but uh congrats on winning a tournament that I wasn't in. But I think I cleaned the floor with you the next week. So happy for you, buddy. I love Jeff. He's one of my favorite guys. No matter what, that guy will always talk shit.
Starting point is 00:58:17 No matter what, he will never stop talking shit. Never. You need friends like that, right? Oh yeah. Like it's, it it's crazy you just never stop talking shit never it's my favorite part about him so all right fellas good stuff came in under the hour mark this week um don't forget take advantage of the rebet deal download the rebet app sportsbook
Starting point is 00:58:42 betting app sweepstakes app but you can bet on sports on it. Use promo code HIGHSLOP, deposit $10. Use that to bet on all sorts of stuff that we gave you this week. And then you'll also get access to 444 and all of our stuff and HIGHSLOP's dub club, which you can't beat that as well. And then you want to find more HIGHSLOP stuff, go on to youtube.com, use that search bar on the top type in high slop you'll find lots of great stuff in there as well you can come back that way you can get uh access to next week's show and again we're going to talk to the guys over at profit x on wednesdays uh you know game by game preview as well so for connor and slop i'm ryan we'll see y'all next time thanks everybody

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