Move The Line - Expert NFL Week 16 Player Prop Bets! | Top Picks, Predictions & Odds

Episode Date: December 20, 2024

Get ready for Week 16 with our top prop bet picks! Join us as we break down the best NFL prop bets for opening week, analyzing player performances, key matchups, and hidden opportunities to maximize y...our winnings. Whether you're betting on touchdowns, yardage, or game-changing plays, we've got the insights you need to make the smartest bets. Subscribe now and start the season with a winning edge! Earn $50 in Pick6 Credits and a month of NFL+ Premium when you play $5+ on your first ever entry on Pick6 👉🏼https://shorturl.at/xY53r Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package 👉🏼  https://www.4for4.com/plans Sign-up on FanDuel Today 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/go/fanduel Follow 4for4 on Twitter 👉🏼    / 4for4football  Follow 4for4 Bets on Twitter 👉🏼    / 4for4bets  Follow Move the Line on Twitter 👉🏼    / movethelinenfl   Follow Connor on Twitter 👉🏼    / connorallennfl  Follow Ryan on Twitter 👉🏼    / rynoonan  Follow John on Twitter 👉🏼    / sloprules   Visit our Website 👉🏼  https://www.4for4.com/Join our Discord 👉🏼    / discord  Subscribe to our YouTube Channel 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3OupraJ 4for4 Betting Strategy Hub 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3hm39cw4for4 Betting Picks 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3LUp0Ea NFL Betting Odds & Predictions 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3nsW9QU 

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 Hello and welcome to Move the Line Prop Drop Show presented by DraftKings Sportsbook. I'm Ryan Noonan, joined by my friends Connor Allen and John Hyslop. We are back to talk about the best way, the most profitable way, bet on NFL football. And that is through player props. Week 16. I can't believe we are this far along. It feels like we're just early in the season we're so hyped to get back together and it's almost over um live here 3 p.m eastern every
Starting point is 00:00:30 friday four for four bets on the youtube channel giving out our favorite player props we are taking your questions too so if you're hanging out now on youtube jump in the chat let us know what your favorite prop look is for week 16 obviously you can find Move the Line wherever you listen to podcasts. Joining us is the best chance to get the price and the number. These things move fast. This audience is thirsty. We appreciate that. Connor, what's going on, buddy?
Starting point is 00:00:55 Nothing. Just locked in and demon mode right now. Canceling my Christmas vacation just so I can bet more. For anyone who doesn't know what I'm referring to, just go see my tweet and the quote tweet that I had there. But no, excited for today. We got college football playoffs. We got more Kevin Jennings. My SMU team in the mail.
Starting point is 00:01:16 I am hyped. So I'm rocking that tomorrow, and I'm jacked up for Kevin Jennings. Kevin Jennings season slop. What's going on, buddy? I know. I'm very excited for Kevin Jennings. Kevin Jennings season slop. What's going on, buddy? I know. I'm very excited for Kevin tomorrow. All the college football. I know it's the NFL show, but all the college football is legit.
Starting point is 00:01:40 I didn't know how awesome the playoff was going to be until, like, now. Now I'm really realizing, like, this is incredible. Because we still have nfl tomorrow too so think about that for a second like this is gonna be probably one of the greatest weekends of our lives maybe better they're really really pushing the limits of anyone in the relationship oh shit um oh is that kevin yeah they're calling me dude they're calling me, dude. They're calling me. People want to know why it's green. On my other stream, the Odds Jam stream, I've been dominating, like dominating with the green background. It took me a while to realize it, but it was the green background.
Starting point is 00:02:20 So I'm figuring now I bring that to this show. Now we start dominating or keep dominating, however you want to phrase it. But we're going to do that i'm excited about it i'm cooking right now unfortunately i haven't been cooking the show i'm i am 18 and 3 on the last two weeks on official place absolutely just destroying it i think i've given out all three of those losers on the show so yeah no i do the same thing right Ryan. Got to start cooking the show. Ryan, I had the best weekend of my life, I feel like, last Sunday was just incredible. And you know what I lost?
Starting point is 00:02:55 Tyreek Hill, which gave out here, and Jameson Williams, which I gave out here. Jameson Williams played in a game where the guy literally almost set a record. And passing yard, yeah, he didn't get 60. I mean, what are we going to do? So that's what I'm saying. You bring the green light and let's go. Love it. Love it.
Starting point is 00:03:12 I feel real good about it. I was going to say, they're testing our relationship status this coming week. It is. This weekend's, you know, whatever. It's fine. But then next week, they start getting real aggressive with us. We got the Wednesday, literally Christmas day. They just told the nba to go pound sand like yeah yeah it's not your day anymore we're gonna snatch that up then obviously normal thursday night game we got
Starting point is 00:03:35 obviously college football playoffs on friday saturday three nfl island games they spaced out basically like thanksgiving full sunday slate monday night football when we get into more bowl games it is i you know i don't know about you guys i've just been priming my wife just letting her know like maybe it's a busy time of year for football like just you know start to find out find areas where you can contribute to the family before to know that you have that football time it's it's uh it's It's going to be a lot of football. Just got to be a scheduled guy, Ryan. You got to know what's coming.
Starting point is 00:04:09 That's all you got to do. Just know what's coming. You'll get through it. Your whole family will get through it. They know. You know what I mean? They know what's going on. It's not a secret. So they'll be fine.
Starting point is 00:04:18 It took me years. I mean, we're probably in the same boat. So, Connor, if this ever happens to you, just head down right through it. I know you canceled a vacation, so you're already getting there. You're already preparing, so that's good. But, yeah, head down straight through it. Can't be stopped. Well, Connor's married, but no kids.
Starting point is 00:04:38 It's a little bit easier to juggle. Yeah, it doesn't count. My wife is permanently primed, to be honest. She kind of is. See what I'm saying? So, you're good. So, now you just got to get it. Whenever you get the kids, just get them. Like, it doesn't count. My wife is permanently primed, to be honest. You kind of is. See what I'm saying? So you're good. So now you just got to get it. Whenever you get the kids, just get them.
Starting point is 00:04:48 Like, it's good. It's a big snowball, and it just keeps getting bigger. But it always goes down. Like, we met each other when we were, like, 20. So, like, I was like, if you don't like me watching football, you can just fuck right off. You know, like, I'm like, this is not – this is my world, you know, like all that stuff.
Starting point is 00:05:03 And so now, obviously, we're married, so it's only a little bit more give and take. But survived that, and now we're in the point where I can world you know like and you know like all that stuff and so now obviously we're married so it's only you know a little bit more give and take but um survived that now we're in the point where i can you know again football sundays for football and other days are also now for football that's great dating advice for anyone in the chat who's not currently either in a serious relationship or not currently married i'm being honest like this stuff this matters for sure if it really if it really really really does matter to you, you got to lay that out there straight up. It's fair to the girl too or your guy or whoever, your significant other, right?
Starting point is 00:05:32 Lay it out there. Don't tip-tap around it. Just put it out there because if you start to peel back later, it only gets harder. So put it out front. Just lead with your best and then you know that all the cards are on the table just honest transparency big big honesty guy honesty is the best policy it's what they say a lot of people say it's not true but that is true just
Starting point is 00:05:55 tell them like that's way better than happy wife happy life exactly you deserve to be happy too okay and if any females that are watching the show and your boyfriend wants to push back you deserve it too right hang out watch your football do your thing but you know you got to be able to you know experience and enjoy life yourself too you deserve it 100 if they don't like you they're just gonna leave you're gonna dodge a bullet so if everyone you win dude everyone wins exactly everybody wins here yeah i mean look at this five minutes in good relationship advice i mean happy holidays, Merry Christmas, Happy Hanukkah, whatever you celebrate. These are lifelong gifts.
Starting point is 00:06:29 It's a gift you keep giving. What's up, Andrew? I see you. Love it. Yeah, if they leave, you can watch more football. Patrick understands it. All right. As I said last week we are greatly, greatly appreciate the support that the show gets.
Starting point is 00:06:49 There are, you know, a few thousand of you will watch or listen, but less than half of you subscribe to the channel or the podcast. So change that. I hit a thumbs up along the way as well. Again, move the line where we listen to podcasts for four bets in the YouTube
Starting point is 00:07:01 channel. Tune in on Wednesdays. That is our size totals, futures awards, all that stuff as well. Connor and I went game by game this past week, kind of kicking it old school. Talked about every game on the slate. So if you want to know what our leans are for the week or any bets that we're making sides and totals wise,
Starting point is 00:07:16 you can check out the Wednesday episode as well. This is going away. We've been talking about our friends over rebet. Great deal for you to get on all the action that we have is through them right now. It's a sweepstakes app with a sports book. They have Prop Builder as well. So if you're looking for more outs, Rebet is a terrific option.
Starting point is 00:07:34 This is going away with the new year. So this calendar changes. You got to get it in. Don't wait until 31st. The ball is dropping. You're like, wait a second. I need to take advantage of the Rebet deal. Just do it today. $10 on re-bet. Promo code HIGHSLOP when you sign up.
Starting point is 00:07:49 Free month of 4-4's betting subscription and a free month of HIGHSLOP's dub club. Again, insane deal. It's going away. Football is going away too. So this is your best time to take advantage of it. Check it out. Any questions, let us know. Again, just download re-bet.
Starting point is 00:08:02 Promo code HIGHSLOP. Deposit $10 and you're good to go. You get an email about 48 hours later, and you'll get access to all that stuff. All right, let's get it. Live lines, no stale bread, all available for you to bet right now. Connor, floor is yours. Kick us off week 16.
Starting point is 00:08:18 What's your first play? I was on mute. One I don't even know if we talked about here before the show, but DK Metcalf over, I think it's 61 and a half. This one's moving on me a bunch. I mean, he's had a slow last four games,
Starting point is 00:08:34 but this is a great spot to bounce back. Vikings allowing the second most targets to wideouts overall, most yards per game to outside wide receivers in the NFL right now. Also rich rebar. Great note here. Metcalf seeing career. I 30% of his targets on throws 20 yards or further. Also, Rich Rebar, great note here. Metcalf seeing career high 30% of his targets on throws 20 yards or further downfield, which I mean, has led to some volatility
Starting point is 00:08:49 to be honest, you know, and especially in the last couple of weeks, we've seen it. Minnesota allowing a 42.6% catch rate on those targets, which is 28th right now. So on top of some good, like, you know, schematics there, the offensive coordinator, Ryan Grubb went out of his way last week to say, like, I was up at night thinking about how we did not get the ball to DK Metcalf. He said, for the first time ever, it pissed me off that I couldn't give him the ball more. A guy like that, you just got to find ways to give him the football. So, like, I know there's a little bit longer on that. I mean, the dog is in the house, by the way, here in Slop.
Starting point is 00:09:18 This is electric. Look at that. Look at that pup. I mean, this is. It's a good boy right there. Yeah. So, this is a good boy right there. Yeah. So this is, I can't imagine a further confirmation of a DK back half bet than slop on a green screen with the pup.
Starting point is 00:09:31 So yeah, all in on DK this week. I think it's a great bounce back week and we're getting the discounts like 60 yards. Like if he had played a good couple of games, he'd be in like this mid seventies. I think right now. I'm going to join you on that one.
Starting point is 00:09:42 I think it is a absolute banger of a play. So I'm going to officially hug that one. I think it's a absolute banger of a play so i'm going to officially um hug that one i think it's that's a great look i i knew i was gonna mention last night we saw that uh coach speak come out and uh i think it's yeah it's fantastic slop over for connor on this first one yeah no i like that i got dk over four and a half receptions earlier today it was like minus 120 so we talked about the two-leg parlay theory that I have. It's probably not my theory. It's probably someone else's.
Starting point is 00:10:09 But whatever. I'm in now. So it's mine. But yeah, no, I think he goes off. So, I mean, dude, it's going to be a great week. Yeah, Patrick's wife thinks about DK all the time in bed too. So, you know what I mean? Everybody's on DK tonight tonight or sunday yeah those
Starting point is 00:10:29 only fans he stood up back in the day right then he have a there's a meetup that went wrong and she put him on blast that happens he's got a type i don't know if you saw the girl but yeah he's got a good for dk he's got a type yeah i like it's a banger of a play it's dk's a big dude man i'm gonna let that walk away from that one uh give give the floor to you slot first play green screen winners i could feel it what do we got all right so i'll preface this by saying i got plus 150 but but, but, but, but, you can get Cooper Rush two plus touchdowns, plus 126 at FanDuel. That's as free as the air we're all breathing right now. I mean, that's, that's crazy.
Starting point is 00:11:12 A lot of people don't realize it's about Cooper Rush. Did you watch the 2014 Popeyes Bahamas Bowl, Ryan? Twice. Okay, yeah, it was Christmas Eve. You were just a young kid Connor you might have seen it though it's Christmas Eve 2014 chip boys are getting their asses kicked 49 14 going in the fourth quarter against Western Kentucky Cooper Rush brought them all the way back they lost that game 49 48 because they decided to go for two didn't get it whatever got through seven
Starting point is 00:11:45 touchdowns that day now fast forward one short decade later he's two plus touchdowns and we're looking at plus 126 since the Bucs who've given up literally 23 touchdown passes this season like these guys give it up they just give it up I was gonna say something about someone's wife but I'm not gonna do that but um anyways two plus touchdowns plus 126 if you want to go three you can it's out there i personally am not going to do that i'm just going to stack cash this week okay i like it i like the callback on uh a bowl game 10 years ago too that's fantastic well it matters yeah no it matters really you got plus 150 what's the number now that was was plus 150 at Valleybet earlier. So everybody knows Valleybet.
Starting point is 00:12:27 It's not even a serious sports book, but they were given that. Now they've come back down. So now it's 126 at FanDuel. It's the best price you can get. We like FanDuel on this show. We do. Yep. Shout out to our DraftKings sponsor.
Starting point is 00:12:40 No way that guy doesn't throw two touchdowns. No chance. No. We're talking Cooper Rush here. Connor, any thoughts? I like some passing game elements there, for sure. What are your thoughts here? No, I like it. I totally agree. I think it slops onto something here. I think the 2014 bowl reference was applicable. Of course. I mean, my brain
Starting point is 00:13:04 right now is only in college football playoff mode right now but yeah the the callbacks to college football uh you know bowl games in 2014 um you know those always at home i was i was at least sentient for those for those games so like barely how old were you in 2014 i just graduated high school nice work i was hammered putting together a jumparoo for my kids literally christmas eve and watching them just like i had west kentucky minus three and a half and my buddy kept texting me it's like they scored again i'm like dude shut up stew you we already won they're killing Dude, we didn't cover. They were winning 49-14 going into the fourth quarter.
Starting point is 00:13:48 We didn't cover. We almost had to cancel Christmas. Like almost had to. I almost quit gambling. Thank God. No, I was like, guys, you know what? It happens. I'm thinking like, no, it doesn't.
Starting point is 00:13:59 That doesn't happen. That never happens to anybody. But it did happen. And I'm still here today. So anybody wants to holler about a bad beat or cry about it, let's talk 2014, all right, Bahamas Bowl. Hey, you're still here. He's still out here chucking tutties around.
Starting point is 00:14:15 Everyone's still doing their thing. I think Stu quit gambling, though. It happened. Okay. But that was many years later. Didn't go into demon mode quick enough. Like Connor suggested. Dial in.
Starting point is 00:14:29 Could have grabbed the weekend by the balls and went demon mode and he'd have been locked in. He probably took a lunch break. Probably took his foot off the gas because it's late December. It's the holiday season. Wasn't thinking about his competition. Have you ever seen that guy before? I looked, clicked on him. It's Alex Finn on X. Wasn't thinking about this competition. Have you ever seen that guy before?
Starting point is 00:14:46 So I clicked on it. It's Alex Finn on X. In his bio, he says, Steve Jobs mixed with Steve Austin. I like it. It's hard to beat that. That's a great combo. Think about it. So what is he, pound Miller Highlives or Champagne and Beers? I don't know, man.
Starting point is 00:15:03 I like the Miller Highlives. Yeah, it's the champagne of beers you ever see the key with down syndrome do the uh austin but with the uh bottles and his family got all like they're in a pool and he was all fired up and they're like no when he does it right in the pool it's like oh man every time i think glass shatter everywhere oh yeah glass bro i get it definitely broke it was like that was a dude dude don't do it this guy was like yeah you know he was fired up man he had no idea like why they were so mad all right uh slob you'll appreciate this one i know you've been a big tight end guy since at
Starting point is 00:15:38 least maybe 89 in that range um look, the calendar says December, but still for October season. We're buying the dip on Brock Bowers. Over 64.5 receiving yards. This is available on Caesars, minus 113.
Starting point is 00:16:02 It's all in this range, no matter where you're at. Connor's in on this with me, too. This is a joint release with Connor and myself, which is just fantastic. When you get Connor in on these overs, too, you feel really good about it. We had two games where Aiden O'Connell has played from start to finish. In those games, we have 24 Brock Bowers targets. He's caught 19 of them for 211 yards. They are beat up in the backfield. They're going to chuck the ball here time and time again. This game matters, I think, for
Starting point is 00:16:33 who's going to get the top pick there in the draft. I think it matters a ton, but hey, pretty soft path forward when you're targeting Jags in the passing game. Actually, tight ends in particular, especially just of late, when you look at who they played recently, any tight end with a pulse that they've played has been right around. This number has gone over it. Dalton Schultz, 61. Hawkinson, 72.
Starting point is 00:16:54 Tucker Kraft, 78. Hunter Henry, 92 yards. How many times are you going to throw the ball to Hunter Henry for him to get 92 yards? It's a lot. Cole Komet, 70. We only need 64. half for Brock Bowers. Literally the best tight end prospect to enter the league in probably most of
Starting point is 00:17:11 our lifetime. Maybe Connor's lifetime because he's so young. So all slatters, all the stuff here. I think receptions just popped just before we went live, but I think yardage is the way to go here on Brock. So yeah, Caesar's the best number here. Connor, anything that I missed or anything you want to add? I don't think so.
Starting point is 00:17:28 I think you, you basically nailed it. I mean, it's just, it's a great spot. Like again, another guy we're buying low on, like it's,
Starting point is 00:17:34 you know, I, I think at this time of year, people, you know, like kind of buy into these like pockets of like maybe a bad game or two from a player that we know is pretty dominant and that has like massive upside. And now we're getting just like a great pairing for matchup from quarterback play from
Starting point is 00:17:49 you know likely game script backfield you mentioned it all so it's like there's like multiple factors working in our favor here that i think bowers can get there and even if one or two don't pan out like i mean it's again they still got the other ones to lean on here so a lot of different outs yeah looks like it's moving on caesars to make sense i think 65 and a half and other places to draft kings fan duel i'd play 66 and a half still on on caesars but uh shop it around for sure i mean comfortably playing to 70 probably mid 70s to be honest like connor said i feel like we're buying the dip here because the the you know riddler experience was so poor you know we were it's It's just suppressing a number that should be way higher. So, Slop, Ragnarok's thoughts?
Starting point is 00:18:29 I like it. That's the perfect bullshit game for nonsense. You know what I mean? So, that's where you want to look for ladders in games like that, and you found one. Yeah. Patrick's dialed in today. He's in the chat throwing out some stuff we talked
Starting point is 00:18:46 about pre-game as well absolutely i'd love to see uh the subs dialed in here all right connor back to you next play for week 16 all right next play for me is i mean back to our regularly scheduled programming tim patrick under two and a half receptions um sounds gross i like tim patrick but he's had four and six receptions the last two games on 100 pass attempts from garrett golf um 100 pass attempts in two games not really a sustainable thing here um they're against the bears this week touchdown road favorites um also i think so i think golf's probably gonna be like the mid 30sies attempts range. Wouldn't surprise me though, to see him go even lower.
Starting point is 00:19:27 I mean, we're looking at the lions here outdoors. I mean, it's a little chilly. It's not going to be super cold, but we're talking like high twenties with the windchill, maybe mid to low twenties. And we've seen golf struggle in similar weather, even though it's not like bad, bad weather for most people. Jared golf has hands the size of, you know, my nephew who's not like bad, bad weather for most people. Jared Goff has hands the size of, you know, my nephew who's like 13 years old. I mean, just little baby, baby hands,
Starting point is 00:19:51 can't really grip a ball that well, can't grip it and rip it in the cold. So I think they could go run heavy even without David Montgomery. Like, I think that it's one of those things where, I mean, they have some other guys behind him that I think are more than capable. And I think we see a big, big dose of Gibbs. So I don't know, i see way less volume uh and i mean he's like the fourth or fifth option like you know this is like a guy that shouldn't be two and a half receptions he's just been crushing lately against again on like insane passing volume in games that are super high scoring pretty hot uh what do you think here slap i know you probably wouldn't play the over maybe is that your endorsement um no all right so it depends on what price we got because i i saw him earlier at
Starting point is 00:20:30 like plus 120 the under i almost went swimming in those waters just because i agree with everything connor said dude wow golf well a lot of people don't know this but golf's an indoor cat like that's why his year has been what it is. I'm not saying he sucks or anything like that. I'm just saying he's an indoor cat playing a lot of games inside this year. People forget Goff is not an outdoor cat. When he goes outside, it's like he's been declawed or something. The other cats, they kill him out there.
Starting point is 00:20:58 That's why they've got to keep him inside. So there's no way that he's going to be throwing the ball a lot. They know he's an indoor cat. They're going to keep him like really on a real short leash. I don't think cats are on leashes, but if they were, he'd be a short cat leash, all right? They're going to run the ball, run the ball. You don't have to do too much to beat the Bears.
Starting point is 00:21:16 They're going to have these eight-minute drives that suck all the time and the fun out of the game. And it's going to be a game you wish you didn't watch. I got his under, I think it's 23-and-a-half completion. Dude, Connor, this is like an over on how bad he is outside. Slob, are you talking my language? I'm so excited. I don't even know what's going on.
Starting point is 00:21:34 The first thing I thought was like how do they – do they think this game is going to triple overtime? Those guys don't even count anyways. So, like how is he going to complete 23-and-a-half passes when it's outside, it's golf. That ain't going to happen. And Tim Patrick is going to complete 23 and a half passes when it's outside? It's golf. That ain't going to happen. And Tim Patrick's going to pay for it.
Starting point is 00:21:48 Watch. It's sad, man. It's sad. I wanted to take J-Mo again, but I couldn't do it. Yeah. This is a great reference from Z-Man in the chat. Golf has hands like Gilly from Saturday Night Live. If you're not familiar, it's an old Kristen Wiig character.
Starting point is 00:22:12 Fantastic. Google Gilly from saturday night live uh if you're not familiar it's old kristen wigg character fantastic uh google gilly from saturday night live it is uh the whole bit is that she is strangely really small hands so yeah it's great actually connor because of this game week 16 in chicago wouldn't let me bet golf mvp in the preseason because it was like hey look whatever's gonna happen that's going to fall to house of cards because week 16 he's going to have to go into the elements for the first time all year and we know how that works it's you know you remember there were like great rams teams and he was crushing back in the day came to chicago in december and they like scored like three points i think just absolute dud so, and he hasn't been outside all year domesticated house cat, I think is a great way to slop.
Starting point is 00:22:46 I like it. It is. I mean, if you remember, I think I remember that game was a good bit colder, but it was like, you know, it was like,
Starting point is 00:22:54 well, not a good bit cold. I mean, it was like 10 degrees, 15 degrees. So, I mean, it's like,
Starting point is 00:22:58 obviously it's colder, but it's not like, I don't know. It's still cold and golf splits. Like when it's like freezing, like 32 is not even that cold. Like, you know, you can still play football in 32 degree weather. Yeah. Like obviously what, what the, the chiefs and dolphins played in and the playoffs was like different, like swirling winds, snow, negative degree temperatures. That's, that's a different
Starting point is 00:23:19 story. It's like, I mean, golf, like might not even be like able to warm up in that weather. So like, um, it's, it's actually good for his health that it's not that weather because I'd be worried about him. You know what I mean? He's going to see that there's no roof on that stadium and be like, wait a minute, I don't even want to do this. I mean, he's going to have his hand – if you watch him play in the cold,
Starting point is 00:23:39 he has his hands in his pockets the entire time. He's literally just taking his hands out to snap the ball and hand it off. Basically every play. It's true. Yep. I like it. Slop talking about under six seasons. I know what's going to happen next season.
Starting point is 00:23:54 I didn't know what to do, man. Like when I saw the, I first saw the number, I was like, Jay, damn. Like I went with,
Starting point is 00:23:59 I could never take that over to like, how do I not take that under? I mean, that's like, it's free money. I mean, it's Christmas, but I mean like, you don't expect, how do I not take that under? I mean, that's like, it's free money. I mean, it's Christmas, but I mean like,
Starting point is 00:24:07 you don't expect to be given free money like that. Yeah. You can imagine next season slops is out here is paying an unders all year. Be wild, wild times. That's going to suck. See, look at this.
Starting point is 00:24:18 It's the green is like getting to him. You know, he's, he likes winning. He likes the ladders. He likes the alts. He likes the plus money. So that doesn't really work for the under yeah they don't give you that and if yeah and like that like the anything's possible with an over ladder you gotta limit the under like it has to you know i'm saying like you can't it's it's tough man
Starting point is 00:24:39 i know the you know the under team will tell you the bet's winning until it's not. The over crowd will tell you that that bet's not done until the game is over. You always have a chance, too, with the over. Yeah. All right, Slop, what do you got, buddy? All right, so this one I don't really have a lot of real analysis, nothing like the Cooper Rush angle. But who's that kid for the Jaguars?
Starting point is 00:25:05 Brian Thomas, Jr. 90-plus yards right now. It's 168 plus 168 at FanDuel. Let me check to see. I think that's the best price. I'm almost positive that is. That kid's going over 100, so if you want to do 100, it's plus 240. But we talked about him last week he he is
Starting point is 00:25:28 by far the best they have to offer at that position I think they're gonna have to throw we already talked about this is like a total like bullshit game like this game shouldn't even be played to be honest with you I mean I'm not gonna don't play a guy but like what are we doing like it's it's it's a nonsense game well I bet we see a lot of nonsense yeah Ballybets got 180 but I don't know anywhere I can bet more than two bucks over there so we'll call it 168 at FanDuel you can get a real real bet down if you want to go 240 at FanDuel you can but like I said 90 plus is definite like it's not like he's been doing this all season but Mac Mac Jones just walked in on him last week, like walked in. It was almost like there was no one else other than that tight end, but whatever that is.
Starting point is 00:26:11 But, yeah, no, Brian Jones or Brian. Hang on. Thomas Jr. Him too. I like it. I like it. Connor, any thoughts i mean brian thomas is like i i think he's just like an awesome player he's probably my favorite players honestly in the league right now the guy
Starting point is 00:26:32 is just he's just so good like we we talked about uh what was it a couple weeks ago brian thomas versus parker washington and uh i mean it's just like i'm so glad we went brian thomas i mean the parlay didn't win, but like, it just talked me into like, all right, Brian Thomas, basically every week, even with Mac Jones. I think it could be Brenton strange week again, too, with Mac Jones, this matchup kind of interesting, but that's basically it.
Starting point is 00:26:56 Yeah. Yeah. I mean, he's like, he's like random tight edges, kind of nowhere, catch like 11 balls. And then just, I mean, maybe they'll have like four or five this week, but we might not remember him by this time next year. Here's what's done. Like, this is kind of a JMO play for me though.
Starting point is 00:27:12 Just so you know, like, it's like, I just, I like JMO. Like, well, I like Brian Thomas too. Like a lot. Like he's, that dude is good. That dude's really good. And I don't think a lot of people know it. And I don't know that we have that long of like being able to bet like 100 plus plus 240 on that guy like he is like very good
Starting point is 00:27:31 yeah yeah i mean no one's left yeah i mean i was about to say hoops in the chat mentioning too but they're moving in the slot now too so we're getting like slot btj like everyone's dead kirk's dead gabe davis died ingram's dead it's just like there's not a lot of dudes it's parker washington uh and in btj so yeah he's he's you know they're cooking so you know mac jones look it's not a guy that has uh don't say it inflated self-worth i would say mac jones is a fan of himself right like like he thinks he should be a starting nfl quarterback uh and he has a little runway to try to cook and prove that that's the case right so he's gonna try to do that and uh you know your best bet is probably to
Starting point is 00:28:16 fire the ball to the dude that can catch the slant and take it to the house as many times as possible all roads lead to brian thomas jr if you want to keep your job as a starting quarterback in the nfl or look good on film you know what i mean that's it if you're mac jones i thought you were gonna say he's not that bad and i was like brian i know man like no we had it man i've seen enough games yeah he's not that good he's not that he's not that good that sucks definitely had convinced myself at least for a little bit that he was yeah there was a chance. Right? Game manager plus, right?
Starting point is 00:28:46 Like he was, you know, that – Brady was a game manager. Yeah, I've heard it all. You know what I mean? It's like we tried, but there was no – it won't work. Now we got Drake May, so we're ready to go. Rip that Band-Aid right off. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:29:00 Yeah. All right. I'm going to piggyback in a little bit with, uh, slops Cooper rush play. Cause, uh, I love,
Starting point is 00:29:12 I love the spot for CD lamb. I'm in on CD lamb over 70, 71 and a half receiving yards. This is fan duel builder, DraftKings, MGM. If you have fanatics or rivers and can get sizable enough down for yourself, it's actually 70.5, so even better on Fanatics or Rivers. But some good nuggets here from Jacob Gibbs,
Starting point is 00:29:32 who puts out a great Twitter account, I think he's for CBS. With 2014 bowl game MVP Cooper Rush at quarterback, CeeDee Lamb has by far the highest target rate in the league against the Blitz, and his yards per route run are the highest in the league also, 5.2, which is bananas. And Cooper Rush, for all of his flaws, outside of throwing a ton of touchdown passes, doesn't take a lot of sacks,
Starting point is 00:30:01 partially because he does not wait to get anyone near him. He gets the ball out right away. It doesn't take a lot of sacks, partially because he does not wait to get anyone near him. He gets the ball out right away. His time to throw when blitz, 2.01 seconds. It is by far the highest in the league. I mean, if you're even at like 2.4, 2.5, that's fast. Barely at 2 for Kuba Rush. And now we said 44% of those targets are going to CeeDee Lamb.
Starting point is 00:30:22 So get the ball out quick and get it to CD Lam. Todd Bowles, head coach, defensive coordinator, basically for the Bucs, they are ramping up their blitz rate, as is league-wide, season-long, fifth highest blitz rate in the league. Over the past month and a half, 50% blitz rate. So they are turning up the dial on blitz. And look, it's not really working. They're bottom third in yak yak allowed yak over expectation average target separation all the things that you
Starting point is 00:30:50 would want to look for explosive things here so coming off of like i don't know 13 targets to get dozen or more in the last few games so uh cd lamp 71 and a half feels just way too light slop what are your thoughts I like it a lot. I mean, a lot of people say they compare Cooper Rush to Dan Marino in the quick-release category. He was another quick-release guy, but I think Cooper's quicker. Dude, there's going to be a lot of passing in that game. That's all there's going to be from the Cowboys side.
Starting point is 00:31:21 They're going to try to run. It's not going to work and everything. It's all going to come up. Cooper, CeeDee Lamb, Brandon Cooks. I mean, it's going to be filthy. Jake might get involved. Like, it's going to get wild. I can't wait for that game.
Starting point is 00:31:35 I don't even like to do Sunday night games before the Sunday slate. I'm dead serious. I like to really attack Sunday first so I get ahead of myself. And then I realize, like, I'm like, oh, shit. Do I not have anything really during the day now? Because I focus all my energy on the night game. I've done that a million times. But I had to do it this week.
Starting point is 00:31:55 Maybe sometimes reluctant to give out, like, if I have a Monday play. Because I know you don't like Monday. You probably haven't looked at it yet sometimes. Yeah. Let's get through Sunday first. Yeah. Then we'll get to Monday. I thought I was pushing it with the Sunday nighter,
Starting point is 00:32:06 but I wanted to put it out there. Wasn't sure it happened. It has to be out on the streets now, though. It has to be. Yeah. That's going to be a fun game. A fun betting game. You know what I mean?
Starting point is 00:32:14 For over guys. Connor, you're going to hate it. It's going to suck. Everybody's going over. Yeah, I got a couple overs this week. I got like two. I got two other plays in that game, I'm thinking. I think maybe at least one, maybe a second.
Starting point is 00:32:27 I think Brandon Cooks catches at least three balls. That's a good little parlay piece. I think he catches three balls, like no doubt. I tried to sell Connor on the Brandon Cooks thing a couple weeks ago. It did not go very well. No, he's just too little. I get what Connor thinks. Connor's probably like he's too short.
Starting point is 00:32:41 Connor, what are you, six feet tall? Yeah, no, I mean, he just sucks. Yeah, but let's go on further like we can we can talk about this i bet we get to the fact that you don't like short people that's what happens like sometimes guys when they get to be six feet tall i can confirm this start to hate on the shorter guys and i think it's unfair that's because he has to stand on his school to brush his teeth doesn't mean he can't catch three balls in a football game you know what i mean we're talking brandon cooks here so in with the quick release stuff i know he's not easy to see over the line but they know he's over there three balls that's it connor that's it we're not asking
Starting point is 00:33:14 for any more than that just three i will say i mean i've i've been i've been called out for being ableist against you know the vertically challenged uh people and so you know the the vertically challenged people. And so, you know, the short kings are just not always my people. I know. I knew it. I could tell right away when you're like, I'm like, yeah, you don't like because he's short. Tommy does the same thing. Tommy G, every time we talk about Kyler Murray,
Starting point is 00:33:35 every single time, it's like, bro, you got to let it go, man. You know, like it's not a thing, dude. Like it's just some guys aren't six feet tall. It's fine. They still produce. I'm 6'2". That's why Connor and I are friends. I'm 6'2". Some people say 6'3", but
Starting point is 00:33:51 we talked about this, right? The Nikes with the gigantic, the gigantic, whatever they're called, on the bottom. It gives me a whole inch. I don't deserve that inch. One of my favorite things in the industry is meeting people in real life because obviously you can't tell just like box here, how many people are like giants and how many people are like basically
Starting point is 00:34:16 children's size, like fun size. And so there are some, I'm not going to name any names. There are some babies in the, like, you know, they're looking like five'5 or less. You immediately start thinking, have I made any jokes about shorter guys? Because I'm just kidding. I swear to God, it's a joke.
Starting point is 00:34:36 I'm not. You know what I mean? It's just a joke. But yeah, it happens. It happens. Andy's catching strays, it looks like. I would say Andy's taller than some of the other people I'm referring to. Yeah, you meet some of the guys and you're like, wow, dude, you are just a little guy.
Starting point is 00:34:55 I knew Andy was short, though. Did you? Okay. Yeah. It was fine. All right, good talk. This is a little height. get you know dating advice at the top i still think he's gonna catch three balls and jake jake's getting a few too like he laid an egg
Starting point is 00:35:15 but they didn't even need him last week look i play yard slop so i don't i just i could take one catch for 72 yards and we're good you can get all the receptions you need elsewhere i need you guys think cd lamb can catch four touchdowns by the end of the season? Two a game, one a game, and then two at some point. Or he just gets three one game and then one another game. I mean, I would say you're probably – The math is there. I would say you're probably –
Starting point is 00:35:42 I think we just covered all the math angles. There's a lot of ways I just round Robin at all on my head I like where your head's at He could catch none this week And then either 2-2 Or 1-3 Are you chasing a season long guy?
Starting point is 00:36:01 I got him He needs 10 Firemuth needs 5 I think he's got that Are you chasing a season-long guy? Yeah, so I got him. He needs 10. Fryermuth needs five. I think he's got that. Garrett Wilson needs 10, which he's got six. So it's going to be a sprint to the finish. If one of those dudes or both of them can get three this week,
Starting point is 00:36:22 I think it'll be a great, great ending of the year. But I don't know if I'm going to get there. It's like $100 to get $7,000, though. It's not like... I took a shot. It was fun, but I didn't think Dak was going to get hurt. I didn't think CD was going to be the guy that was going to really let me down. I thought it was going to be one of these other dudes. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:36:37 Well, they were a disaster offensively for a little bit there. Yeah, well, now they got Cooper. Yeah. Came out of the there. Yeah, well, now they got Cooper. Yeah. Dude, came out of the womb throwing touchdown passes. Yeah. I'm kind of surprised you haven't bet any of these other ugly quarterback overs that are kind of hot this week.
Starting point is 00:36:54 I mean, no AOC overs? Dude, he got hurt last time. I mean, I don't like to get mad at guys for getting hurt, but how are you going to get hurt? We needed you. Needed you. And you got a little boo-boo on your knee and couldn't couldn't play desmond ritter they they had to try desmond ritter out there because of him that's an embarrassment that set the game back at least five years oh that was a terrible game i guess someone was on it opened 239 it was 239
Starting point is 00:37:23 this morning up to 246 in most spots i mean i just don't think i think they saw enough from ridder to know that like they can't really even bench aoc like he would have to throw like five picks i think for them to bench him because like it was just at least mitchie was like kind of you know fine like this is i mean he's so bad oh man look at this we got we to infiltrate here. Stop betting. Who? All right, I don't know. This guy's getting blocked.
Starting point is 00:37:50 Yeah, that guy. Fan user deleted comments. Can't pronounce his name. But, yeah, banned. You just got yourself banned, buddy. Thank you for tuning in. That might be the first ban in history. Yeah, no, you can't say, like, mean stuff like that. Yeah, I mean. You know what i mean where do you
Starting point is 00:38:07 think you are buddy like just get out of here back in the day we had a producer we he'd occasionally you know people but you know that's hey i have one guy blocked on twitter that's it like i i never i'm a i don't think it matters anymore. Right. Isn't blocking gone. No ban, no block. Yep. Just, just why, you know what I mean?
Starting point is 00:38:28 But when you say what he just said, that was hate, that's hate speech. So that's different. You know what I mean? Like that has to get addressed. Yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:38:37 To answer your question, O'Connor, the AOC at two 41, I think like, that's what's at Fandle right now. That ain't cool. That's inflation. That should be 215 and we could go 225 to get a little plus money.
Starting point is 00:38:55 They're trying to bait us. I'm not going to fall for it. Even though he's probably going 300 plus, we should just get paid more for having to back AOC at that price. That's a big commitment and one that price like that's really that's a big commitment and one that i'm not not really a big commitment guy especially when it comes to aoc either one of them no 100 we got real quick we can build a parlay after this jason giving us the run on what to tell our relatives when they ask us why we are betting so much it's not betting it's an investment it's an alternative investment. It's like an ETF. I always go with advanced alternative investment, AAI.
Starting point is 00:39:28 Exactly. And we are not sports bettors. We are investors. You know, this is four for four, invest a center, you know? Look, dude, you can tell people all day that you're a day trader. You know, you're sitting all, you watch your screens. That is a, why is that? It's the same thing.
Starting point is 00:39:46 Same thing. We're not just betting like random stuff. No. Actually, I have a problem. I'm trying to open my mind. I don't have what slop has. Slop, we get down on everything every night. I don't.
Starting point is 00:39:59 Sometimes I wish my mind was open more and I can get down on some more stuff. NBA. There's opportunities out there. I stay in my bubble too much. If you stay in pro sports, you're good. It'll cover you all year long. I learned that, I think, probably third grade, fourth grade-ish. You could go and have something every day except for July.
Starting point is 00:40:19 It's the all-star break for MLB. Usually the day before, day after, nothing. But that's it. So go on vacation those, but that's it. Go on vacation those days and then call it. You want to hear my hot take on trading is that technical
Starting point is 00:40:33 analysis in trading, the people who do the charts and stuff, that's just chart bros and trend bros except for traders. It's just a fancy... How could that possibly mean anything? Trick or candle upward, down. This means this is going to come in like how could that possibly make sense the downward log this has to fill in i'm just like i don't even know what that means like what do you mean fill in and it doesn't fill in they're like oh it didn't fill in like i don't even know
Starting point is 00:40:56 like don't know you that's even a thing it's just a line on it like yeah no 100 con i'm with it it's the dumbest thing i've ever seen in my life i think that the um big whoever investment gave that to like e-trade or like any retail shops all over the place so that way morons can think that they you know say no you know they're like oh dude i got these charts though check this out it's got a field this is a candle you're like no that's not that's the line on a graph. You ask, you're like, you're about to lose your,
Starting point is 00:41:28 your whole family's like net day. Like, yeah, no, I'm, I got thoughts on that, man. I love this.
Starting point is 00:41:35 No, this is good. And how far you zoom out. It looks differently. So like people, different people analyze it in different timeframes because it looks differently then and get different results. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:41:43 It's just like people that would be like, like hey i look at a four game sample of data yeah or a season long or i look at three seasons of data it goes in and out and all they're really doing is they just wait until like the retail the little guys have enough money in so that some investment firm just shorts the shit out of it they solve it up they sell their shares the thing goes down even more and they buy it back and now they just they basically took your money it's like dude i get what you guys are doing you know i'm saying it's like you ever play poker with and like but you got like two chips and then the guy next to you like just has like a mound you're dead dude you're not gonna last long at all man but they still do it anyways it's it's it's But yeah, no, great with the charts.
Starting point is 00:42:26 Big chart guy. You know who fills in the lines? DK Medcalf. Yeah, every day he does. Big line filler. Big, big line filler. So, all right. Let's build Parlay. Do we have any...
Starting point is 00:42:42 I didn't make any notes for any uncorrelated this week but I don't know any notes for any uncorrelated this week, but I don't know. I feel like some of our props are ready to go in terms of perfectly aligned with building out this parlay. I didn't play any longest this week for us, like Bowers and CeeDee Lamb. Boom, those guys can go right into the parlay.
Starting point is 00:43:03 We got some fire this week, Connor. Where are we building we building fanduel caesars what are we doing let's do fanduel because it lets us throw kevin jennings in there so we'll get ahead 8 a.m baby i love that kid i mean that's you know great it was last like two saturdays ago we just already had one checked off the list i was like this is i mean we're already good to go. We're halfway home. Yeah. People need to know tomorrow, Saturday morning. Dude, it's like at noon. Yeah, we got in earlier. 11 Central time, yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:43:31 11 Central, SMU quarterback, Kevin Jennings. I don't know what the number is now. 225. Yeah. Or who is that? Yeah. Yeah, C-Mac. Do we have a Kevin line?
Starting point is 00:43:44 You don't even call him Jennings, dude. He's like, yes, dude. Yeah, C-Mac. Do we have a Kevin line? You don't even call him Jennings, dude. He's like, yes, dude. Yeah, it's Kevin. It's Kevin. Yeah, Kevin Jennings, quarterback, SMU, just absolutely destroying his passing yards prop all season long. And then you get a spot like this where competitive game, underdog, where he doesn't have to tuck and run a bunch.
Starting point is 00:44:06 He's going to have to throw it. Ceiling is the roof, I believe a wise man once said. So Kevin Jennings, first leg of the parlay for sure. Love it. Yeah, amazing. Patrick and I are aligned this week. Patrick, I can't mention some of the things you're talking about in the chat right now because we're going to sit on some of that.
Starting point is 00:44:23 But I don't know about any time touchdown, but I'm in on the yards for sure when it pops but yeah yeah i think patrick in on one like one of patrick's legs should be able to get in yeah it feels right it's only cooking yeah he's cooking today you want ray davis in there patrick i mean four to one kind of fits in our profile if we want a touchdown i mean i don't know if we've ever put a touchdown in but there's some that would say we've never won one of these either but we didn't have a touchdown you know what i mean so there's that i mean that's right in our face it's a hell of a point uh yeah i mean it would be nice to win one i want yards but i'm you know i'm the whole premise is
Starting point is 00:45:05 still fine well patrick decided it's his okay now see i like z man davis two touchdowns we're seeing plus 380 on fando anytime um two touchdowns for ray davis is 41 to 1 i feel like that might be something we bet solo it might be a solo one um all right so i've just been filling it out here kind of while we were chatting with our plays kevin jennings 300 plus plus 390 dk 100 plus plus 340 bowers 100 plus plus 325 lamb 100 plus plus 255 ray davis anytime touchdown shout out patrick slop what do we want to do with we already have lamb we could do rush instead of lamb if you want to do that i kind of keep lamb uh rush it's gonna be tough to put in there if we have lamb in there even though it's a touchdown they still ding you
Starting point is 00:45:58 even though those two things really are not correlated because yeah well one yard touchdown to land you know what i mean that does't i can see if it was yards then obviously but they still kind of ding you on that and i at the same time we're only getting 120 anyways so why not thomas yeah brian thomas yep here's the thing does do they ding us for bowers being in there because that kind of does in my opinion that's correlated because it is it's the old run it back from DFS. You know what I mean? Like, one has been torn off. What about the other one?
Starting point is 00:46:30 They're not really – like, it's still fine. It's like they're giving us plus 997 for Bowers and Brian Thomas 100 plus for both of them. So, the math's probably a little bit off, but it's not, like, bad enough to, like – it's not like if we put Cooper Rush 300 and – Yes, exactly. And it's, like, less than, like we put Cooper rush 300. Yes, exactly. And it's like less than like,
Starting point is 00:46:46 okay. Definitely want to do that. That's fair. Um, I have a couple other interesting ones. I think Jawan Jennings alts are pretty interesting. I think you mentioned that. I mean,
Starting point is 00:47:00 I got the yards. Yep. I like it. I had him 58 and a half this morning. I think that is, I think that they should have to close or put like that. That's crazy. That's crazy. Yeah. I mean, it's like, he's been the alpha. I mean, they just played in a massive snow game where no one could do anything
Starting point is 00:47:19 offensively. And then they played in a, like probably the worst game of Brock birdies career, I would say like, and of course I was a Brock Purdy bag holder that day too. But, I mean, he played legitimately terrible even without the rain. So I don't think that's going to happen this week. But he's been like target chairs, everything. He's been like a true Brandon Ayuk level target chair stuff. Maybe even more, actually.
Starting point is 00:47:39 They're saying the haters are saying Jalen Ramsey. But Jennings runs routes out of the slot and Ramsey don't go in the slot. So, I mean, it's not like he – I don't know. I don't think that you can get shut down by Ramsey if you're Jennings just because of that. And his last name is Jennings. Yeah, I mean, they allowed 100 to Devontae Adams, 114 to Gary Wilson.
Starting point is 00:48:02 Same game. 111 to Marvin Harrison, all in the last couple weeks. Yeah, I'm not worried about them. I saw that and I'm like, that's low. And I looked into what Slop's talking about and I saw it open. I'm like, oh my gosh, how did I miss that at open? That's an egregious, egregious open number.
Starting point is 00:48:20 So I did play receptions over four and a half. Drive that number down with a little bit yeah i'm in on him somehow we want to get down books want five and a half receptions for him now don't they okay i mean so i feel good about my four and a half then yeah it was minus 130 out of the bills money line minus 110 guys what's up any interest in isaiah likely with the entire ravens receiving core injured. I thought it was going to be one of your place today. It almost did,
Starting point is 00:48:49 but Rashad Bateman, probably out Nelson Aguilar out Deontay Johnson may not matter, but out like they're starting like Tez Walker. And I don't even know. There's some other bum that they're starting out there. So it's just flowers, Andrews and likely whenever that's happened, usually they just put likely in the slot and he just like operates as like,
Starting point is 00:49:06 I don't know, just like not really a tight end, just like a receiver. Basically he's a receiver. Yeah. Yeah. And his line's 24. So like,
Starting point is 00:49:11 we'd only need 50 yards. Let's go 50 on him then. Yeah. I thought two and a half receptions at plus money. I thought about four or five receptions, but, but, but here's the thing though.
Starting point is 00:49:21 What's three receptions? Three, three receptions? They can, they can catch him. It was plus money. Yeah. Plus one Oh What's three receptions? Three receptions? They can catch him. It was plus money. Yeah, plus 106 on three receptions. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:49:34 They can catch him, though, longer down the field in a situation like that. Maybe not, though, because, like, all right, so remember the Chiefs game at the beginning of the year? One of those, like, he caught a ball and the guy kind of fell down. He tiptoed down the sideline of the score. Remember that? So, I mean, yeah, sure, he got yardage there. But, I mean, like, 30 or 40 of those yards were, like, tacked on to it.
Starting point is 00:49:51 Like, you know what I'm saying? Yeah. So, I mean, maybe receptions might be. Just depends on how long you think Pittsburgh can hold on. I bet you they stopped the run, Pittsburgh. So, you're going to have to put the ball in the air if you're Lamar Jackson. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:50:04 I think that makes a lot of sense, likely. So we got, likely, three receptions plus 106. I think that's too short. Four receptions is plus 260. That's not bad at all. I think four is good. Yeah, I think that's solid.
Starting point is 00:50:20 If we want to go yards, yards are 40 plus is plus 230. So it's basically four receptions versus 40 yards as a tradeoff. 50 yards is plus 390, which I think both are fine. We're getting pretty close to a million anyway. Kind of like 40 yards in this scenario. Pretty close, though.
Starting point is 00:50:43 Do you think Rashad White can catch three balls. Probably. Yeah. Seems low. I mean, he's at, that's at plus one 30 at fanatics, but wait, usually they follow.
Starting point is 00:50:54 Nah, my bad. Usually they kind of follow with a fan duel from what I've noticed, but not in this case. Sorry. It was plus one away to fan. That's not enough. And I don't want to take them for,
Starting point is 00:51:04 I'm not doing running backs for catches. That's yeah yeah especially in the game they're probably gonna be winning I think yeah that's I think too I think two or three is the ceiling you know what I mean like that's all you really want to be on the hook for we're at uh 10 to win 600k right now on eight legs so that's pretty good I mean yeah we could we can do one more if you guys got anything else those were all the ones that i had written down um noon and i think you got some cooking yeah you got a tackle hanging out there right maybe some guy getting a sack yeah fandle doesn't the fatal's great they actually do full-on live tackles but like pre-game they don't do anything it's really weird but oh really a lot of fun betting live tackles on on fan duel um because i'm not um a fraud i don't count it
Starting point is 00:51:52 against my win-loss record um i just uh bet them live for myself but uh just shot unnecessary shots but uh yeah sorry i just don't understand why people account that for their win-loss record. But anyway, uphill battle. I really wanted to bet Tee Higgins stuff this week. I was a little worried about the injury, but he seems good to go. I don't know if you guys have any trepidation with Tee not being 100% early in the week. The man zone splits with Tee are pretty substantial over the last couple of years. And now we have some pretty sizable injuries in the secondary for the Browns.
Starting point is 00:52:35 Like Newsom might not play. It's basically like just Denzel Ward has left because he already had some other guys already on IR. So T Higgins, I don't know. He's already lined them right in 70. So T Higgins, a hundred plus or T Higgins. I don't know what you'd want to do, or if you guys would just want to poo poo that, but yeah,
Starting point is 00:52:53 Higgins is interesting to me. I still got to figure out what I want to do with it. No, I'm looking at it. There's no alt receiving yards for him on FanDuel. His regular line is posted, but no alts, which is so strange.
Starting point is 00:53:02 Here's the only thing I don't like that. All right. So it's DTR for the Brown't like that all right so it's dtr for the browns yeah i get it that's fair what if the bangles defense actually does stop somebody and it's them you know because if they were gonna stop anybody probably dtr that's what scared me away from any actually did early this year right straight to that game and then i realized i was like oh yeah they're so jamis like so i mean i think we should boycott that game period just for there's no jamis you know what i mean like just really like because what why would you start dti like i know whatever jamis didn't do
Starting point is 00:53:37 for what like you know i'm saying like what are you saving your season what are you like what what message you send in here i want to see what send in here fun yeah does that make sense yeah i'm kind of mad at the browns and i don't know in turn i don't want to have anything to do with that game just because of that so it's mean the first time they played it was when um watson got hurt and uh dcr came in and just absolutely stubbed his toe like we're talking about. A couple of picks, 82 yards, basically a full game amount of attempts. So, yeah, I mean, the floor is pretty low there for sure. Yeah, I mean, that's fair. I mean, if we need a ceiling T. Higgins game,
Starting point is 00:54:17 it might not be the place for them to push it. Well, now you know he's going to go for 250 and three touchdowns, but I'm just saying. Maybe just go longest. Well, now you know he's going to go for 250 and three touchdowns. But I'm just saying. Maybe just go longest. Yeah. Longest. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:54:36 We were going through what happened, and it was like, obviously, Watson got hurt second quarter. He comes in, throws 24 attempts, two interceptions, and is so bad he actually gets benched. Like mid-game against Cincinnati, he gets benched like mid game against cincinnati he gets benched for james winston on the last drive after like a terrible interception and now we're getting a full game of him they lined him at 211 initially um they're on the bullshit quarterback thing connor they're on to it like we can't just take the over anymore on just anybody like you know they know what we're doing that's what i'm trying to say. They're 240 for AOC?
Starting point is 00:55:06 What are you, a crack? In this economy? Yeah. What are we doing? It's Christmas. I don't know how you line Brock Bowers. Brock Bowers gets lined at 64.5 and you hit AOC at 240.
Starting point is 00:55:22 Math is not math. It's not happening. Trey Turner out here running wind't matter. It's not happening. Trey Turner out here running wind sprints. He's not doing anything. We could just do eight legs for 600K. A safe parlay.
Starting point is 00:55:35 Or you just put... Wow, it won't even let me bet this. What happened? That's sad. I don't know max wager zero dollars oh my god that's so disappointing oh man where is that too much other kevin jennings shit that's probably it honestly it's you overexposed on kevin jennings i did put a bunch of like round robins with kevin well i mean we can we can do this for the let's hear it for yeah without kevin yeah let's be better without kevin kevin's my problem um
Starting point is 00:56:15 it's too long kevin if you're watching yeah it's all right well we can do one for the show you guys can bet it with kevin and i'll um i can't bet with kevin i'm in a prison state okay all right well then let's leave kevin out that's fine well i mean we got we need one more then it's not you kevin it's us yeah it's definitely not you kevin i just got a little uh rashad white over two and a half receptions and isaiah likely over two and a half receptions that little two leg parlay plus 383 at Fanatics right now. That's crazy. That's pretty nice.
Starting point is 00:56:49 I mean, come on. 383 for that? Mike Evans' price also are going up like 12 yards, so nothing we can do there. Jeez. Yeah, I kind of like Mike Evans this week. I need him for that parlay too. I need 10 out of him, but I think he's kind of like Mike Evans this week I need him for that parlay too I need 10 out of him but I think he's kind of there
Starting point is 00:57:07 yeah yeah so you want Rashad White why do you like Rashad White I don't know I'm not a big Rashad White guy I think he catches 2 to 3 balls so I don't think that he's good in this parlay this is kind of a moonshot deal
Starting point is 00:57:23 you know what I mean like we should be having a plus 130 hanging around like what's he doing here you know um what about uh what about gary wilson it was davante adams last week the rams have been so bad against outside receivers i forgot the rams um game could get hot rogers is slinging it like both of them yeah like garrett he's only at sliding at 60 so we can get like 80 for plus 200 and that puts us back at 360k i mean that's a good spot too um i like it okay all right cool well then we're not going to get to a million but we can do uh 15 to win 552k or just 10 bucks to win 368 i think i'll be fine with 368k so i'll just get 10 bucks to win that 10 bucks 368 i feel like that's good just in time for christmas um gives us enough
Starting point is 00:58:14 time if we need to do any last minute christmas shopping we'll have the money yeah you should pay off pretty quick on these um you know what's crazy too is that we have five guys going for 100 yards i mean it's going to be this is easy if 100 yards is nothing you know yeah oh yeah that's like 350 back in the day totally yeah i mean i'm gonna round robin by sixes and fives just for a little bit extra fun here. You know, why not? Yeah, why not? Probably sprinkle in a Trey Hendrickson sack or maybe something else in here. There could be some other stuff.
Starting point is 00:58:55 Fandle allows us to do that. Beautiful. Before we go, let's see here. We had Drake London, props a bit depressed. I just think we have no idea what Penex is going to be. Or if they throw very much. That's my issue. Throw volume, props a bit depressed. I just think we have no idea what 10 X is going to be or if they throw very much. That's my issues. Throw volume. The volume.
Starting point is 00:59:09 Yeah. I think we could say some shots downfield too. Like I was flirting with, you know, London longest Mooney longest. Cause I think, you know, vertical is a strength. And we saw these limited attempts, like four attempts in Denver. And like two of them, when he had time were like shots down the field so yeah yeah totally um giants beat up in the secondary too yep yeah and then last one story behind d thomas jersey framed um was a live in denver as a kid
Starting point is 00:59:42 and was big broncos fan and used to wear this around like as a real person in college and now don't really want to and you know rest in peace dt was my favorite player so that's the 10 second story there that's all i got anything else for you guys laundry bros i was a fan i'm just dead inside now i mean it's not easy money is all that matters to me yeah i used to be a real big like raiders fan i do not care anymore that's not surprising me at all you you strike me as like a were you would you wear like the spikes like you need to show up no but i wanted to but i just but i was in florida it was tough like It was tough because we had to watch that Buffalo Wild Wings, and you couldn't just walk in there wearing spikes.
Starting point is 01:00:30 You know what I'm saying? You'd get in a fight. But I wanted to. They had Raiders bars down there in Orlando. One was called Pretzels. It's on Red Bug Road, and it was an awesome place. It might still be one, but there was no one wearing spikes in there either. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:00:47 I mean, my fandom has definitely waned over the years for sure, but I went a step further than Jersey, Jersey on the Wall. I named my first child Brady. Nice. It's a commitment. But he appreciates it now. It was a 50 touchdown season, man. 0-7. He appreciates it now. It was a 50 touchdown season, man.
Starting point is 01:01:07 0-7. I owed it to him. I owed it to him. He did so much for me. At least I can do. Give my kid the name. All right. Yeah, Connor, jumping in the lake this week. Jeff's in the chat.
Starting point is 01:01:21 Jeff in the chat just absolutely being the worst person alive so thanks i'm not going to put that on the screen um i'll put the other one i do have a side bet with jeff if the lions beat the bears this week by more than 35 points i will be jumping in lake michigan um obviously i'm not going to get hypothermia so i will make sure that but as close as we can get to that without that happening i'll make sure that i you know i'll jump in the lake i have no problem doing that. There's people in Chicago who do that every Friday. It's called Friday Swim Club. They literally go out to Lake Michigan.
Starting point is 01:01:50 6 a.m., they jump in the lake. They go punch people. They hang around. Then they just drink and party on Fridays. Love to see it. That's wild. It's fun. Good time.
Starting point is 01:02:05 I've put in four two-leg parlays since we've been on this show. I'm addicted, bro. Like, all the lines are coming out, man. You know what I mean? And I'm just kind of picking them off. Last gem I'll give here, I played some of this Notre Dame backup running back, Price, his rushing overs, speculatively based off of some stuff.
Starting point is 01:02:30 That's all I'll say. I bet a good bit on over 36.5 on Jadarian, Price, and some alts. You want to know, I've been sitting on something. The Texas kid, the running back, he's going 100-plus. Clemson's run defense is hard. It's not Clinton anymore. They are not going to stop the run. That kid has been – they gave him the keys.
Starting point is 01:02:56 He's fine. He went for like 50 or 60 against Georgia. Not his fault. That's Georgia. But if he runs the ball 25 times, which he should, dude, he's getting 100-plus. I don't even understand how this is a thing. It's Wisner, I think is the kid's name. I was about to say which one.
Starting point is 01:03:11 They have like three. That's what I'm saying, but they gave him one now. They had like a bunch of backs all season, and all of a sudden this kid's getting like 20-something carries. And I think he got 19 last week against Georgia, but that wasn't this type of game script. I think that they're just going to just plow them down the field. Watch. And if that happens, 100 yards is like nothing.
Starting point is 01:03:34 And it's like plus something. Like it's not like 300 or anything like that, but it's still a good little bet. I like it. I like it. Slopp is in the weeds in the football stuff. I like it. I like it. Slop is in the weeds in the football stuff. I can't stop thinking about it, dude.
Starting point is 01:03:53 All right. No matter what you celebrate this time of year, we appreciate it. Hope you enjoy it. Enjoy your time with your family. If you decide that you want to celebrate and not grind and go demon mode, then enjoy it with your friends and family family uh otherwise we'll be back next week we won't have connor because connor actually does have a mexico vacation next week the funny twist
Starting point is 01:04:15 slop and i will be here uh i think you got a feeling gonna work on that but yeah i'll say jeff you want to come on i'm just kidding kidding. John, you can't be on my camera. I don't think Jeff should be allowed on air anywhere. I don't think Jeff should be allowed to be on the internet. I don't want to lose. I'm going to log that up again. I can't risk the yelling. I don't want the YouTube to kind of get shut down. But yeah, again, take advantage of the Rebett deal.
Starting point is 01:04:38 More information in the show notes. Hi, Slop, when you download the Rebett app. Free month through his dub club. Free month at 444. For Connor and Slop, I'm Ryan. Webet app. Free month through his dub club. Free month at 4 for 4. For Connor and Slop, I'm Ryan. We'll see you all next time. Thanks, everyone.

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