Move The Line - Expert NFL Week 3 Player Prop Bets! | Top Picks, Predictions & Odds

Episode Date: September 20, 2024

Get ready for Week 3 with our top prop bet picks! 🏈 Join us as we break down the best NFL prop bets for opening week, analyzing player performances, key matchups, and hidden opportunities to maximize your winnings. Whether you're betting on touchdowns, yardage, or game-changing plays, we've got the insights you need to make the smartest bets. Subscribe now and start the season with a winning edge! Earn $50 in Pick6 Credits and a month of NFL+ Premium when you play $5+ on your first ever entry on Pick6 👉🏼https://shorturl.at/xY53r Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package 👉🏼  https://www.4for4.com/plans Sign-up on FanDuel Today 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/go/fanduel Follow 4for4 on Twitter 👉🏼  https://twitter.com/4for4footballFollow 4for4 Bets on Twitter 👉🏼  https://twitter.com/4for4betsFollow Move the Line on Twitter 👉🏼  https://twitter.com/MoveTheLineNFL Follow Connor on Twitter 👉🏼  https://twitter.com/ConnorAllenNFLFollow Ryan on Twitter 👉🏼  https://twitter.com/RyNoonanFollow John on Twitter 👉🏼  https://twitter.com/SlopRules Visit our Website 👉🏼  https://www.4for4.com/Join our Discord 👉🏼  http://discord.gg/4for4Subscribe to our YouTube Channel 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3OupraJ 4for4 Betting Strategy Hub 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3hm39cw4for4 Betting Picks 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3LUp0Ea NFL Betting Odds & Predictions 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3nsW9QU 

hello and welcome to move the line prop drop show presented by draft king sportsbook ryan newton back with my friends conrad allen john hyslop to talk about the best way and the most profitable way to bet on nfl football and that is through player props we are here live on our four for four bets youtube channel you can find move the line wherever you listen to podcasts. If you are hanging out with us now, we appreciate it. Jump in the chat. Let us know what your favorite prop look is for week three

as we continue to move on. I'll take as many questions as possible at the end of the show. We'll save some time at the end for ladders, alts, same game parlays, uncorrelated parlays, all the madness that we love to do at the very end of the show. Before you take off, make sure you subscribe wherever you're listening. YouTube, podcasts, all those things help us out a ton. I want to make sure you do not miss the show.

Joining me here as always, Polo on today, fresh off the golf course, calling around. What's going on, buddy? Yeah, not much. As I was mentioning to you earlier, had a really strong start to my golf day. Not so strong of an end. But, you know, I was like considering buying lottery tickets after the front part of my golf game because, you know, I was hitting the bunker and it was popping right out. Like it didn't matter what was going on. You know, getting the members bounce off trees was awesome. And then it turned out it was not so awesome after that. But it was fun while it lasted. I think you refer to it as the front eight,

which is something I never heard. Yeah, I craft the splits to how I like it. You know, that's like after hole nine on was a disaster. So it's the front eight and the back 10, not the front nine. Okay. Slop, what's going on, baby? Just living the dream just living the dream living the dream just getting ready for another weekend of um betting ladders i i can't get enough dude i can't uh do you golf slop no not well um

i will every now and then i don't have time though with the kids dude it's it's impossible like because you want to go on a weekend like morning or whatever and there's no dude i'm not dude i can't pull the hey i'm going to play golf at like 7 a.m on a saturday it's like yeah right then it can happen so maybe when i get older i will it feels like a fun game to have like to play you know what i'm saying but again i need time yeah it's a blast it's new to connor but uh you know it's improving you know since uh you know what i'm saying but again i need time yeah it's a blast it's new to connor but uh you know it's improving you know since uh you know i got started which is you know pretty good i mean connor's naturally i'll give him a shout out he's naturally athletic so i'm not surprised that he's taken to it uh pretty quickly so uh it's good it's getting any more golf partners so what's that

i said thanks man i appreciate that i mean you, you play like the sport that doesn't really even count as a sport, but you're athletic at doing it, unless it's a big soccer guy, Connor. So we got golf is for losers, bowling is superior. I think that's – Slav, is this one of your bowling – I don't even know, Joey, but I agree with him. I'm just saying. I mean, it takes – anybody can go out there and swing a golf club, but it takes a real man to take a bowling ball and knock down all 10 pins over and over and over.

I mean, that's just that's a fact. I mean, look it up. People people are saying in the chat. But yeah, no, I mean, I could see golf being awesome. Don't get me wrong. Like I my thing is like guys like, hey, let's just sneak out for the front nine. It's like I want all 18. Like I want to go on to play, dude. I'm not trying trying to sneak out like i want to be out like doing my thing so

yeah yeah i'll let you know though when i take to it i'll probably be about i'm probably looking about seven or eight years okay i'll be able to do that but we'll see maybe less i don't know hopefully we'll still be doing the show. Oh, we will. We're going to be so rich, too. It's going to be awesome. We'll own the course, baby. Yeah, it'll be our course that I'll play. We'll be building our own. I mean, yeah, both games, I guess bowling and golf,

you can play for the majority of your life. So good games, good hobbies to have. And with a heater hanging out of your mouth, like Patrick said. Absolutely. Yeah. That's legit. legit yeah you could do both six inside during bowling is that a thing no not anymore but back in the day the day my buddy when i was a kid we used to pull i was like the little kid league my buddy's grandma would be in there just ripping butts dude like right there like while we're like bowling she like would drive them and then have to drive them home so she'd just Stay and just literally she'd probably

Smoke a pack right there she would have Gave us one too if we would ask for it but no I Had like the ball to ask for it Like 12 dude like you know what I mean Yeah but These are the real games These are the real games but we'll talk about football today Again want to remind folks two episodes

Of move the Line each week. This is Prop Drop Friday. Props, as you know. Game previews, kind of look at some of our best bets in terms of size of totals and bring on a guest. It's Connor and myself and different folks out there in the content space that is live on Wednesday afternoons. Good guests lined up for the next couple weeks. Excited about that.

Definitely check that out. A little bit more size and total stuff here as well. If you want all the official plays, like we're going to put out some plays today. Everything that I'm giving out, Connor's giving out. That's going into our Discord at 4 for 4 for our subscribers first. These lines move pretty quickly. Pretty passionate audience here, which we appreciate greatly.

We also appreciate the people that support us at 4 for 4 as well. So the betting subscription is what you want to get. It gets you access to everything that we do on the site, articles, tools, rankings, projections. You're playing DFS, anything like that. All those things are covered in the betting subscription. You can use promo code TROPHY. Get your first month for just $10.

Lots of different cheap ways to get access to it. You can hit us up directly if you have any questions. Again, you want to get the betting sub, get in the Discord. That's where all the official plays. Great community. People love talking about all the time, different bets. And, yeah, absolutely love that. And we're going to fire those off first.

So no steel bread. Live lines available for everyone to bet right now here, Connor. Floor is yours. Kick us off week three with your first bet. Yeah, I went to know my overs and alts last week. Um, but you know what? I'm not going to let that linger here. I'm starting today off with an under, and we're playing this under because, uh, the situation is a little murky only available at Caesars builder, MGM bet three, six, five, or some reason drafting

spandals and have it, but big play to number when I repost I'm going with Quentin Johnson under 35 and a half receiving yards. Um, first off Quentin Johnson was left for dead heading into the season has played two good games against the Panthers and the Raiders. Um, and now draws Joey Porter jr. And the Steelers in a game that should like her, Justin Herbert may not even play. It's quote yet to be decided. If he doesn't play, this number is going to drop 10 yards. Uh, if he does play, he's going to be super banged up. I can't imagine they throw much. And we know that the Steelers love to run the ball as well. Like they're going to be running the ton charges and be running a ton. It's going to be a slow, gross game. Like sure. Could Quinn Johnson catch two, three, maybe four balls. Yeah. But

they might only go for five, six yards of pop. So I think that there's a lot of leeway here and I'm not really fully buying into the QJ being viable section here. I don't know, again, frustrating that it is not a drafting the fan duel, but you know, you can get down more at Caesars builder MGM anyway. So maybe not. No way slop like this. No way slop. You hate that guy, huh? He sucks, dude. It's like, first off, shout out, cardio King last night, KJ Osborne.

Zero targets. Played like every snap. Under 23 and a half. Or under 20 and a half, never in doubt. He's on the Patriots though, right? Yes, he is on the Patriots. I didn't even know where he was playing, but I figured he was. Because I'll be honest with you, every pass catcher they had though,

I don't know that was an Osborne thing as much as that was just like a Patriots offense thing because they all sucked. Like I watched that. They were horrible. That was probably as bad as I've ever seen them look. And I remember before they were good. Same. Yeah.

So they were horrific. So all I'm saying is let's ease up on KJ. Yeah. We wouldn't have caught anything. You know, like they're terrible yeah it's not his fault but i will say demario douglas went over his prop and i think jalen pulled maybe yeah i'll be honest with you i'm just sore that hunter henry didn't all right oh were you on henry last night yeah i had so i needed two more catches and i would have been on day five of my ladder yeah i cracked the code the ten dollar to 10k dude if you just start with a hundred bucks you're on day five after you win the first time yeah let's go literally take the ladder just chop it in half

and then like you know start like start with the leg up you know what are we doing here yeah these guys they don't i mean you know i'm old i guess i don't know that's genius slop man i'm impressed i had no idea until i looked at i was like you know what we could do this little fast big mess big math guy checking in here that's fantastic yeah i mean so i guess i it's not a play that i would make either i get why connor likes it um so i'm you know probably in the middle like i you know i'm not quite all the way anti like slop is but it's definitely not something i'm like connor's brain is looking for those things right yeah no i was just gonna say that's just connor i mean it's not really anything more than that like if you say there's a connor allen play you know exactly what you're getting like exactly yeah you don't even have to imagine at all what

it's going to be an under it's going to be a gross one too that you would never want to do and he's under he couldn't wait till skylar thompson under got posted this week he fired on that right away i bet bad quarterback under 200 yards for sure. Glorious. I almost played Justin Herbert under actually too, but I was like, man, if I actually expect the, the chargers like might be behind for the first time all season. So like they might actually have to throw 30 times,

probably not like a ton, but like 30 times and Herbert's pretty good. So like, I don't know. I was kind of like, you know, wavering on it a little bit. Instead I'm like,

you know what? They can throw 40 times. If QJ is catching some JPJ, like I'm in, he still could go under like 20 yards. Youing on it a little bit instead i'm like you know what they can throw 40 times if qj is catching some jpj like i'm in he still could go under like 20 yards you know it's like this guy sucks that's part of it too just both teams want to run the football so you know that's part of it where i can get behind the handicap thinking that just fewer snaps in the game fewer pass attempts in the game both teams want run. Just, it makes a ton of sense. And Joey Porter Jr. is a dog. And if QJ has actually earned a little bit of like shadow coverage in the last couple of days, in the last couple of games, I guess,

relative to the rest of the guys on the team. And if he gets JBJs, he's kind of dusty. So, all right, Slop, first banger for you, buddy. If you've ever watched this show before, you know exactly what i'm about to do it's uh jameson williams um maybe you've heard of him 60 plus receiving yards i got it at plus 112 but apparently there's some jamokes out there that don't like it because it's all the way up plus 130 right now at fanduel that's a joke i mean yeah this guy's been targeted 20 times in the last two weeks it's and he's just

all over the field he's always on the field this isn't Jameson Williams that's just coming on the field running you know 90 yards you know towards the end zone and then coming off the field like he's literally on there all the time he's getting targets he's part of the game sam laporta is not even on the team anymore because of him like you don't even know that guy plays for them so the idea that you're gonna say he's only getting 60 plus in a game where i think the cardinals are kind of getting disrespected because they their offense is not bad like i don't know if you watched them last week but that was the rams i know you're down on the rams noonan but i mean that's what you do to bad teams though right like you score like so you know to to knock them for that i mean i think the bills defense is

pretty good and you saw what they did to them in week one so this could get going i mean we could get like a little baby shootout the lions are all about that they got the offense for it i'm in yeah uh i mean you deserve credit for beating the crap out of a bad team for sure. They're cooking. Yeah, but I mean, to not be on the side of Jammo, who's got a 50-yard reception in each of the games, like didn't play and not playing officially. It's been a bad, like 21 and a half is his longest, I think, on FanDuel.

That's great. He's got a 50 bomb in each game. So I think 22 and a half in some other spots. It's across the board. It's out there. So Jammo longest is a play. I mean, it took him three seasons. I mean, he was too busy gambling.

I get it. I respect the game. He was too busy gambling to learn how to be a real receiver. And now he's learned how to be a real receiver. And the drag routes, the out routes, the, you know, everything is just beautiful.

Like he was an absolute beast at Bama. Like he was so good. Uh, I mean, it was just house and slants left and right. Um, so I'm excited to see that they're using it more. And they even said this week,

they're like, Hey, like not every guy's able to get six day targets every week. You know, like that just is what it is. So, you know, I'm kind of,

I kind of think that we're going to see probably still a decent amount of Jameson. And then maybe a little more Laporta, a little squeaky wheel narrative this week too. Yeah. I get another thought in that game later that I'm going to come out with too. Maybe,

you know, add that to our a million dollar parlay. See what we can get this week. So if you don't want to get close, I was just a little spicy. I, I, I got a lot of like alphas. i was telling you guys before the show just

a lot of like elite guys doing elite things this week is my thought um i was trying to hold this out and i tried to no offense to our discord at four four trying to ignore the fact that this was brought up so i wanted to hold it out for the show uh because they're a great group they're a thirsty group and all of a sudden they can move this line before I have the shot to throw it out here. Tank Dell, over four and a half rushing yards. Oh, bro. Dude, it's so good. I submitted an article a little while ago with over five and a half at DraftKings.

It's even money. Yeah, it's even money at DraftKings. Dude, like, they can't get him the ball. So they just hand it to him. I was like, that's genius. You hear all the coaches all the time, we got to find a way to get this guy the ball. And it's like, dude, I bet if you really thought about it,

I bet you could figure out a way. Like, maybe just, like, hand it to him and let him run with it. Well, they've done that two weeks in a row. And I think, I think that's a thing though, noon. And if you watched how those plays happen, those are just like plays. Like that wasn't a, a fluky thing. Like that was just, they're going to do that. Like that's in their repertoire.

You know what I mean? Totally agree. Yeah. I mean, five carries, right. Schemed up these little end arounds. You have a depleted running back room right mixins out uh damian pierce is out they're gonna have to find some different ways to get creative and then you have a very aggressive blitzing defense right like you need to buy a little bit of time

they'll probably run some like jet motion sweeps with him like to fake it before they'll get it set up a few different ways uh he's got like at least a 17 yard run in both games so far this season so uh 20 plus on caesars is five to one i you know like you can get over 10 and a half on draft kings at plus two and a quarter over 15 and a half is four to one now you're talking preach yeah i mean just he's been right here anyway he's been right there and i think you know you're gonna see another two to three shots here so four and a half low bar this is uh on draft kings mgm and caesars again i think this is definitely a play because the threshold's so low connor that alts are definitely where to go to yeah we got steve in

the chat too uh saying i already hammered dellet over three and a half yards i know that um another guy on twitter dk dfs played like over one and a half like early in the week i mean that's just like such a great look i feel like you guys are just i mean he's gonna see two to three carries at least maybe more maybe i mean they do the same with debo whenever they're in running backs are injured and he sees a bunch of carries like do they really want cam acres seeing like 15 carries here probably not i mean no shot he did look pretty good, but like, I just don't, I think we're going to see probably a couple of end arounds to Dell. I think that makes a lot of sense here.

So I, I played some alts 20 and a half. I played a little bit of four and a half here as well. Yeah. 19 and a half is plus 500 at Caesars and 29 and a half. It's plus 900 right now. I would say 20 plus is in play. 20 plus is, yeah. I went to 20 plus.

Probably as high. You know what I'm saying? 30 plus would be wild. Yes, 30 is wild. 30, he broke one. Do you know what I mean? You're going to need he broke one. But, dude, even money, six yards, I'm telling you, he's getting it.

Yeah, like I said, it's 17 yarder in week one, 18 last week, I think, or I have those mixed up. But, yeah, I mean, again, and I think the defense thing matters too. I think with the way that Minnesota plays, I think that that's – you have to do – this is kind of what the Saints are doing really well is this like pre-snap motion and play action stuff. It's kind of hiding the offensive line. Like you see the average getoff for the opposing defensive line

is way behind league average. Like they're having to at least pause coming off the line, and I think that's going to be part of the game plan here to kind of mitigate the pass rush for Minnesota. So Tank Dell, over four and a half, a little bit different. So Connor, back to you. What else you got, bud? Yeah, this is actually probably one of my favorite plays of the season.

So I'm willing to go on a limb here, and i think that this is just like a bad like a bad number in general and we're going to be in hindsight be like this is like the craziest number ever all right so i'm ripping uh derrick carr over 232 and a half passing yards it's fan duel and i'm playing over 265 is plus 200 draft kings 295 is plus 475 at DraftKings. Derek Carr has 42 total dropbacks in two games so far. We're talking about 20 dropbacks, not even attempts, 21 dropbacks per game in two games. And he has like 247 and 200 passing yards against what we consider to be a pretty good Dallas defense in week two and the Panthers, whatever.

But again, the point is he's had no volume. Now he's completing 76% of his passes, 11.4 yards per attempt. They're introducing a ton of motion. Like what Newton mentioned, they're max protecting when they need to like Shahid has been going wild. A lot of he's been going wild or could go wild in this spot. I mean, now they get down to the Eagles, 26 and EPA per drop back middle of the road and success rate, not getting pressure at a super high rate. They allowed 260 to Jordan Love and 241 to Kirk Cousins. Once Kirk Cousins settled in, he easily marched down the field for an 80-yard drive in the last couple of minutes there. So I think that we're going to see, if there's any pushback from the Eagles, their car is thrown for like 350 um if there's not then we're

probably looking at like again like 240 250 um so i just feel like this number here i thought we're going to see 255 260 i mean they're only like two point favorites like this is everyone is projecting this to be a game and the eagles defense has shown nothing to say that they're not who they were last year despite adding a lot of talent. So I'm very much in. Again, I just think that this is going to be like one of the lowest numbers we see all season for Derek Carr. Or I'll be totally wrong and he sucks and he's Derek Carr. But I still – I feel very good about this based on what we've seen so far.

I've never seen you this passionate about an over. Or about Carr. I'm here at Carr. Yeah, what can go wrong? What can go wrong? I mean, like an over and then Carr. It's like, I don't know, man. Something happened to him on that golf course.

Delusional. It must have been a good man. That front eight, you know? Yeah, he's back. He came back a new man. Front eight really got to cook it. I mean, I have no problems with it. I think the explosive stuff for both Olave and Shahid

should be involved in our million-dollar stuff today. Yes. I have so many plays that I like today, so I didn't make the cut, but they're on my list. They might actually make the cut in some form later. I don't know how to play them yet because I didn't drill down, but I'm in on all of it. Mixing this into 232 is a pretty low threshold so uh you make a good case eagles d 29th in yards per play

uh yards per drive and points per drive so far this season so they're not getting it done saints could cook him here so or at least you know make this a back fourth which i think is is kind of what you're hoping for right so slop So, Slop, what do you think? I like it a lot because it ties into my next bet a lot. What do we got? Let's hear it. I went with – I'm trying to get an updated line because I almost gave out some stale bread a minute ago. But I'm making sure – 122.

Hang on. I'm almost there. I'm almost there, boys. Yep, we're good. Chris Alave, 70-plus receiving yards, plus 122. Hang on. I'm almost there. I'm almost there, boys. Yep. We're good. Chris Alabe, 70 plus receiving yards, plus 122. He only caught four balls last week, went 81 yards. They didn't even need him in week one. That was the Panthers. So this number should not exist, at plus money at least. I think it should be one tier up, like 80, probably in this range would feel smarter if I was the book, but man, 70 is not enough because they haven't been challenged.

And I gotta be honest with you. Like after what they just did to the Cowboys, they're probably on notice now they put everybody on notice. So I bet the Eagles do show up. I bet the Eagle score points on them. I don't know that he was going to win, but I'm saying I, they can kind of keep them going in the second half instead of sitting guys down or just running the ball for the rest of the time. The Saints are a problem. They're good. And Chris Alave, his separation's good. All those advanced

metrics lead to him going to like 100 plus a few times. You know what I mean? He's not just a 70 plus guy. He's 100 plus. So 70 plus at plus money to me is crazy in an environment that he should be in, especially if Slay follows him around because Slay's been horrible. Yeah. Like awful. So, I mean, I don't know. This is great.

I mean, I love seeing 70 at plus money. That's crazy to me. I love it. Guys, talking to Connor early in the week and i thought i would have uh a lave on the show as a play for sure so and look it's been such a narrow target tree and just offensively what they're doing if you like the car play you have to be in on some of the shaheen and a lave stuff too because it's a very condensed unit and it all correlates. So we like the uncorrelated stuff too, but just same game parlay, boom. Like a target branch.

You know what I mean? It's not even like a tree. It's just like two guys, three guys, maybe that's it. Yeah. I love it. So I'm going to get down on some of that and we can figure out a way to. Yeah. We'll build this million dollar parlay. Definitely an eight day car or lobby in there. Also before you,

you drop, well, I'll let you go first. So we'll talk about it later. No, no, no, no,

no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, I love this one too. I'm not going to make the conviction that Connor had as his favorite play of the year because this is a little bit harder. You got the Alphas being really good. I think we're getting a discount here on CeeDee Lamb because of the ankle stuff. I'm going to play CeeDee Lamb over 81.5 receiving yards. If you have Bet Rivers, this is 79 and a half.

This has moved actually recently on Caesars. It was 79 and a half as well. Readily available across the market, 80 and a half, 83 and a half everywhere. Absolutely fine. Part of it here too is again, like I, yes, I know that he's been on the injury report. Again, they cannot run the football. Cowboys are second fewest yards over expectation on the ground so far this season. Zeke Elliott does not have a run over 10 yards.

He's not broken a tackle this season. Rico Dowell is not any better so far. And they're splitting carries with the both, and it's bad. And the Ravens, they're kind of struggling defensively, but the one thing they are doing is they are leading the league in success rate against the run so far this season. So Dallas has one path to moving the football, and it is CeeDee Lamb. And again, he's going to cook them.

The Ravens D has allowed a 68.5% success rate to opposing slot receivers this season. Lamb has run the fourth highest rate of slot routes in the league uh they've also given up the second highest rate of explosive plays uh behind the commanders so far this season two uh in in passing games so and like double the explosive rate that they were giving up last year so we can ladder this up to 100 plus uh on caesars at plus 180 plus one or 150 plus which he did three weeks in a row last year by the way like i think five times last year he topped 150 that's nine to one um so i'm gonna play the over uh as is 79 and a half 81 and a half whatever i'm gonna play uh partial units at 100 plus and then just a little sprinkle at uh 150 here i think cd lamb absolutely goes off in this game against the Ravens.

I'll read it. Connor, any thoughts? No, I like it. It was, I like, I feel like we haven't just seen a ceiling game out of it. It was really weird. What did he have like 60 yards in the first drive last week or like first half, maybe it was maybe 80 yards and then just didn't do anything. It's so strange. So I mean, yeah, I like it. I think selling this Ravens defense and finding ways to do that is pretty sharp. I mean, yeah, I like it. I think selling this Ravens defense and finding ways to do that is pretty sharp. I mean, last year, Lamb's number was routinely like high 80s in like not good matchups, just like neutral ones.

And I think, you know, you had some good matchup notes here. So I think that's pretty interesting. Yeah. I think you cooked some slop. What do you think? I love it. I love anything CD Lamb. Yeah. I mean, it's going to get to that point where, you know,

the rubber kind of hits the road for them, and they just sell out and find him. That's kind of what happened last year. I can't remember what it was like last year about him. I don't know if it was A.J. Brown or him, but one of them started going nuts first, and then the other one started going nuts. You could tell they were almost like feeding into like,

we got to get him, you know, whatever. So, I don't know the cowboys are into that kind of thing they will do that it's like who they are 48 points whole in this game they can't run the ball it's not going to be jaylen tolbert or brandon cooks like it's going to be cd lamb like that's what they're going to do they'll probably be frustratingly running the football inefficiently in the first half and And then I think we just see CD cook. I agree with Patrick. Like lamb should be in the nineties pretty much every week.

I think part of the discount here is the ankle, right? The, the practice report stuff. So no doubt that he's a full go and yeah, he's going to, he's going to be awesome. I have another, another part of that game too. Maybe we'll, we'll save that here. Connor, what else you got? What else you want to do? Honestly, I don't have, those are the two big plays that I had here.

I'm toying with a couple other ones that I'm looking at, but nothing else official. But I did want to make a note on the alts before we dive in. So there's a guy who – so every week usually Dalton and I, Dalton Cates and I will play like these round robins, right? And then one guy, one of our subs and a guy in his Discord sent us a screenshot. He does the same thing on FanDuel, but round Robbins, like all of them and like puts like 15

on there and like just round Robbins, like all of them for like really low dollar amounts. And if you hit like, I mean, again, if you hit like five or six, like you're in like an insane spot. And so I'm going to play our million dollar parlaylay and then i might try and find a way to like round robin it as well so we hit like a couple legs you know then we can get there um but i thought that was kind of fun and like drafting doesn't let you do that all the time because it doesn't let you round robin stuff from the same game it only lets you one play per game fan duel lets you do multiple plays per game so we can do like car or lobby in one game and then like you know i don't know a little bit more correlation which i guess is somewhat priced in but i don't know still kind of fun

yeah a note i got for that is all right so i've been dabbling in uh how am i gonna win a million dollars on it so here's what it is i've narrowed it down to a bunch of same game parlays and you treat those as like they're dingers you know what what I mean? So this three-leg same-leg parlay is plus 550 or whatever, and now you're just going down the line. How many do you need? Probably six, and you should be in the range of like 20 bucks to get a million. And the thing what you do, like you said about the correlation, Connor, is I don't know that FanDuel – I think they give you like a little boost

if you take two guys on the same team like receiving or whatever. Take one guy's yards, one guy's receptions, and it doesn't dock you. If anything, I think you might get a little boost from it. So there is that. So there is that. We haven't crafted it yet or perfected it yet, I should say. But that's coming. That's definitely coming.

I think we're on the right track to win a million. In the first week, we were like plus 950 stuff for a single guy. Not sure that's the way. Maybe it is. I don't know. But I like what you're talking about. The little same gamers. That's the way.

Yeah. It's all about breaking the pricing algorithms. Not to get too nerdy. But who is it? Matthew Davidoff or someone like quote tweeted the anti-correlation parlays that have been going around a little bit more on Twitter. And it was like, this is the best way to break the pricing algorithm, which is like, they wrote a book recently called Interception, which is a great book for any sports better who's like interested, just talks about like how to beat the books

essentially of like, well, if this is what they believe, then like all of these numbers are going to probably be off you know stuff like that so good book would definitely recommend it um read that and thought it was really interesting it's led me to some some other ideas including round robinning and trying to find plays that could make sense reading books playing golf i like it i'm gonna change that i'm entering my 30s pretty soon so i gotta start you know like figuring life out i can't believe you're not in your 30s yet, dude. That's crazy. Sometimes I can't either. You're wisely on your years.

That's what it is. Oh, man. Appreciate that. Yeah. It's crazy. Here's Slop and I. I don't want to call us out, know we're comfortably in our 40s i believe like you know we're we're in we're yeah i'm not comfortable saying pushing 50 because that's a uh

that's a still a bridge too far uh it's fine i'm getting there hey word of advice you know if you want to stay young just shave the head that'll give you a little bit more time i'm telling you that's what's happening all my friends they're not shaving their heads and their the hair is giving them away bad yeah it's it's coming um i mean we're we're pretty close here so we'll see i don't know we'll see we uh we lost daigle there was only so many bald guys with beards that could go around at four for four yeah um i was not going to join him and paul in the same vein. But now without Daigle, maybe I'd consider it. Good company. I got 15 years on Connor, but my lettuce game is strong.

Okay, that's good. What I'm saying, though, Ryan, is all of a sudden, the lettuce game is not strong anymore. It just happens overnight, dude. That's what's happening. I'm telling you. It's like, whoa. You look like 10 years older now.

Just shave your head. That's your only's like, whoa. You look like 10 years older now. Just shave your head. That's your only way out, man. Yeah. I mean, my lettuce looks like it's been sitting out on the counter for about a couple of years at this point. So yeah. You're good. Yeah.

Yeah. But all right. So Ryan, yep. You're a prime example. What's going to happen when you go gray? I'm going to let it go gray. You know what I'm saying? Okay.

But dude, I'm telling telling you 10 years right there That's crazy bro like whenever So when my hair grows out like I mean it doesn't Grow out much like not on top at all But on the sides like you can see it's great it's like Oh my god dude I look like Like at least 10 years older right now What am I trying to do I like my wife

Is 10 years younger than me she's significantly More attractive than I am She really likes me And she's significantly more attractive than I am. I already have her. She really likes me. Yeah. And she's locked in because you're married. She's locked in. Yeah.

Yeah. So like, you know, yeah, I'm going to look older soon enough, but like, well, we'll be okay.

We'll let the grace come in. I don't know. Okay. Grace. I like it. Yeah. When my face too, when it starts growing,

like Jesus, John, like you are way way past your prime dude so advice of the day shave your head before it gets too gone um i appreciate that that's some good advice there that happened when i was like 23 though connor i started losing my hair way too young i was like oh dude what am i gonna do so i'll just shave it and it worked it worked it worked enough to get married and pop out some kids, right? Yeah, I made it.

Look at me now. You did it, everybody. Oh, man. Where do I want to go? I got a few different thoughts. So many different plays. I got everyone in the chat in our four for four looking for a tackle prop. So I'm going to give out the tackle prop here real quick to our folks here.

See, this has moved a little bit, which makes sense. This should not. This is like, again, I'm not going to promise anything is going to win, but this is a very bad line. And I'm finding fewer and fewer really bad lines uh on the tackle side like trying to sneak some stuff out injury wise and the books are they're they're on it these days so a little bit a little bit quicker but um i got a couple sacks that i like i'm gonna mention those first some i haven't posted yet i want trey hendrickson on monday night football uh

defensive end for the uh the bangles Jane Daniels and the Commanders. Jane Daniels, just still likes sacks, came into the league with one of the highest collegiate pressure sack rates in recent memory, and that's followed in the league, still basically right in line with what he did in college. Hendricks is like quick pressure rate. Pressure's under three seconds. Best in the league.

We have this like pass rush get off metric now, thanks to next gen stats, which is awesome. Second in the league behind Myles Garrett. He's probably going to be posted at like full sacks, like over 0.75 sacks. Fine with it. He's going to get home probably looking at multiple sacks. So if I could find multi sacks somehow, I'd want to get under that. But tackle prop for everyone right now,

Rams-Niners game. This is available on DraftKings. This is available on Caesars. We're going to play Troy Reeder, linebacker for the Rams, over six and a half tackles and assists. He is playing the every down linebacker role for the Rams, eight tackles in each of the first two starts. Rams are touchdown dogs at home against a Niners club that I think runs the football all over them here with Jordan Mason. We're going to be a lot of that here.

The season opposing linebacker rooms are averaging 19 and a half tackles and assists per game against the Niners, which is about 10 and a half percent more than league average. Reed is the only linebacker that's on the field for more than 75% of the snaps. So he's going to be getting plenty of opportunities. And we have one of the best home scorekeeper setups in the entire league, the Rams home scorekeeper, second league and assists rate last year, 52.3% of the tackle opportunities had an assist there are only two teams north of 50 percent and they've been above 47 percent for the last three straight years so feel pretty good

about like the consistency here with the scorekeeper that's about five percent uh above league average so i have reader like eight and a half a little over eight and a half so we're getting six and a half plus money uh where we were because that's probably cooked already so absolute banger on troy reader uh plus money for the ramps so get that one love it loaded it up mid-show whenever you say you got a like a good tackle prop ready for the show i'm already in you know i'm like it's a good i yeah i sat i'm like this is not going to stay at plus 120 because it Cause it was plus one 20 for like, like 10 minutes just before we started. And yeah, that's, and they just removed reader on DK. Yeah. I mean, that's, that's how tackle props go. They'll come back. But again,

like I haven't projected for eight and a half. So it's going to come back. If you can get seven and a half plus money, still play that. I'm very comfortable with, with that. The projections almost, I have like 8.6. uh it's gonna cook this is great i'm not getting roasted in the chat on youtube and i'm getting absolutely shredded in our discord right now for the whole hair thing and and being young um so this is good um it's all right i guess they view that as more of a safe space than roasting me in public i guess but either way yeah i mean look you've held off a little bit i thought you were by now you probably would have than roasting me in public, I guess. But either way, it's fine.

Yeah. I mean, look, you've held off a little bit. I thought by now you probably would have been there already. So it's held off. So good for you. Whatever's happened, whatever you've been doing has worked a little bit. You'll get there. Another guy, you're married.

You're all right. You're set up. Yeah, exactly. I thought about flying out to Turkey, get the little hair transplants. You seen ads for that yet? I mean, that shit looks like it works like magic. So, I mean, like, I don't know what they've been targeting me with, but I'm, like, ready to fucking fly the next flight over there.

Maybe if we win a Milli Parley, I'll go over there. It's not too expensive, but I'm not looking to drop too much on getting a hair transplant. That might not even work. So, and I know my wife will love me no matter what. Hopefully, if I'm divorced by next year, then, you know, I take that back.

Yeah. Anytime you can leave the country for a medical procedure, you got to do it. Right. I mean, yeah, that's just the rule. Correct.

Yeah. Plus Turkey. I mean, what can go wrong? Right. Jonathan, maybe we don't want to publicly rose the guy who hopes to make us money.

Thank you, Jonathan. You know, I appreciate that. You know, that's good guy. Good guy. Yeah.

Nice. That's not, that's not how the chat works. We've got a lot of time. We've got about 20 minutes or so left. I've got a bunch of plays, but I think we can add some stuff. Maybe I save some of it. I might have to push out one more because I'm going to end up adding it to

some of our old stuff. What do we want to build here? We want to build a melee parlay, talk about some ladders, talk about some alts. You can do this on Caesars, FanDuel. I'll start to build out some, some big stuff here.

I got one. Yeah. What do you got? What's our Greg Dorch? I know I took him last week. Wrong, wrong, wrong opponent.

That was my bad. Guess what? We got the right opponent this time. All right. So he caught two passes that game was over before he even caught one i mean i don't even know why he was still out there but whatever we're moving on he's catching at least four passes this week and there's a latter opportunity that i think you could go to the top because his number seven at the most, and that's plus 700 that,

well, I'm sorry at FanDuel. I'm not sure of the others, but I know. We'll build it at FanDuel for now. You know, I mean, just for that,

that way that people can get on it and then we'll, we'll, we'll rip it at DraftKings as well. Keep the show sponsor happy. You know, I mean, I think. Yeah.

Yeah. I love DraftKings too. Big, big DraftKings guy. Shout out you guys. Nice work. But, so do you want six for plus 400 or seven for plus 700? Or we have 50 plus yards at plus 300.

I don't love the yards. Okay. I think that he's – they're going to do like – who was it? Godwin last week just annihilated the slot. And then the week before, I think it was Cooper Cup. It was what we were talking about earlier. It was like, dude, the guy had like five catches for like 12 yards. You know what I mean?

Like literally that's just how they wanted to move the ball against the Lions. So I think it's kind of a copycat league in that sense. And at the same time, I think Kyler likes Dorch. Like they're like friends. So he only caught two balls last week, and that was because I think Marvin Harrison was – they were talking about him not getting the ball the week before. So I think you got that kind of thing going on.

So the matchup's perfect. We should get plenty of passing. They're probably going to have to keep up. And then at the same time, we got the little guy narrative. So we're good. Tyler's not very tall, and neither is Dort. They're strong

together. You know what I mean? It's short Kings only. It's short Kings season week three here against the Lions. Week in the slot, it could make sense. I could get there. A lot of man coverage from the lions too which you know doors can get open um so i don't know i mean i'm not opposed what do you want one and cover three i think is what i saw am i wrong or right detroit yeah they'll mix in they'll mix in a decent amount of man here and there as well

so uh sometimes that's a cover one look we're just you know uh with the man so it depends on what they want to do in the back end but they're not afraid to you know blitz and with man behind it too which is which is pretty nice so uh i don't know i have another play that's there and i don't know if it's like a competitor but i think it's in the same vein because i like Trey McBride over five and a half receptions. Dude, Ryan, let me stop you. This is what I'm talking about. Watch. So whenever, Connor, when you build a watch,

you're going to get a pretty good number when you put both of those together. So how many receptions do we want for McBride? Eight? Yeah, I'm playing over five and a half at plus 115. Well, just do six right now and just see what it is you know what i mean all right all right let me see here loading it up all right we got well i'm seeing minus 102 on fan duel yeah so the the midi same guy in parlay is plus 823 for six receptions for dorich and five and a half over five and a half for mcbride so

yeah yeah i mean pretty solid odds. That's good. I mean, 800, that's crazy. Yeah, so we just need them both to catch six balls, you know? I think that'll happen. Dorch did it week one against Buffalo. He caught six, but I don't know. I don't think McBride got his.

No, he had, I think, five week one and then six last week, and he barely played in the fourth. So, yeah. So, Dort six week one. McBride got targeted nine times, only caught five of them. So, if he catches one more of those, you're plus 800, just hit. And like I said, the environment's right for it. Totally.

But this was your pick, though, so I'll let you explain it, Ryan. Yeah. I mean, I considered Dort too because part of it was when I saw, it was like Lions slot versus the Lions. But then I looked and I was surprised. McBride's run 43% of his routes from the slot. They're not using him a ton in line.

They can use McBride in the same way that they can use Dorch to kind of cook the Lions in the slot. Just think about this game. I think it correlates well with Connor played under rushing yards for James Connor this week. And this is a really good run defense for the Lions. They're going to try to run with James Connor. I don't think they have a lot of success.

And this game's got like a 52-point total. Path for the ball to move on the Arizona side is a lot of Kyler dropbacks. And I think there's enough room for all these guys to cook a little bit. So 15 targets on the season. He's got, he's like top 10 in the league in target share, not even like tight ends, but just across the board pushing like 30% target share. So love McBride here. Love getting the plus money.

Fan duel was like off market with their like minus 102, whereas everyone else was a plus money, but still makes sense in our, our parlay here to build out. So, yeah, I think there's, there's a sense for all these guys and enough room for Harrison, Dorch and McBride all cook.

Do we just throw in James Connor to catch two balls? Yeah. I mean, why would he not catch two? David Montgomery scored a touchdown, like eight of nine games. Is David Montgomery not scoring a touchdown here? I hate touchdown bets.

Connor knows that. But some sort of something on the back end here. Jammo. Yeah, do we want a Jammo props? What did you say, Slop, the first one? I don't even remember. 100? 40-plus, 50-plus yards.

I mean, if we needed to get higher, then we could go probably 70 or 80 plus. We'll go 80 plus, plus 270. That's looking good. We're getting pretty close here. I added a bunch of other stuff we talked about as well. Just like threw it in there. Carr 300, Olave 100. Then we got our Dorch McBride Jameson Mini,

which is 32 to one. And then added CD 125 plus. Um, and then I want to go to touch on Monday night football, the commanders Bengals game. I think it's pretty interesting. There's two that I think I like there. I like Brian Robinson alts. If the game is close, uh, we watched, we just watched the Bengals let up, um, you know, 120 yards in week one, and then like 90 to Pacheco or whatever in week two, like as long as the commanders can keep it somewhat close for a little bit, not even the whole game, like half the game. We're looking at Brian Robinson, probably seeing 12 to 15 carries and probably ripping, you know, again,

70, 80 yards against his Bengals defensive front, which is so, so bad. So I think that one's interesting, 80-plus yards. And then Burrow, I mean, against the secondary, getting T. Higgins back probably with Jamar Chase, playing a little bit better, I think, and Andre Yoshivas just being there when they need him. And Gusecki's played really well too. So, I mean, this secondary is so bad.

So 325 for Burrow, Brian Robinson 80. I mean, we're already at i don't even know what this number is but we only need to to win a million um we only need to put down 50 bucks right now so we need like um we don't need that much more that's my point i got two more i like a lot i mean we can probably okay yeah go there but i mean we could probably go to the um eagle well we already have the eagle saints? What about Texans-Vikings? Yeah. Sure.

I mean, what do you got there? What do you got, Ryan? Well, I got another side of the CD land play. Oh, okay. Perfect. All right. This might actually boost it a little bit too. And considering just firing this one too.

Zay Flowers, over 54.5 receiving yards. Best number, I think, is on DraftKings. Dallas is playing zone at one of the highest rates in the league, about 81% with Zimmer there so far. If you look at splits career-wise, Zay Flowers averaging about one full yard more per route run against zone than man coverage for his career. This guy's got 10 targets in both games so far this season.

I don't think this is any different. So like 100-plus for Zay is 5-1, 7-plus receptions, like plus 210. I did a Zay 100-plus and CD 150-plus parlay, just those two legs, 55-1 on Caesars. Yeah, that's cooking. Yeah, that's not bad at all. I'm trying to figure out Isaiah likely, like how much do I like him in that one. But Zay Flowers is an obvious, like he's going to be involved.

Yeah, 10-plus targets both games, 7-for-91 last week, even when they were coming from ahead for a little bit. So I'm in the, a dot was up last week. The week before it was a bunch of just like behind the yard, you know, behind the line stuff last week, they pushed it downfield with him a little bit more.

Did you think that the Cowboys show up? I don't know what to make of that game, man. Let me be honest. Like I, no idea. I don't think any team can run the football very well. Yeah. But I mean, like, I don't know. Sometimes you see teams, like I have no idea. I don't think any team can run the football very well. Yeah.

But I mean, like, I don't know. Sometimes you see teams, like if they're good teams, at least early in the season, when they get smoked like that, they show up the next day so that you want that. You know what I mean? Because now, because it's not the Ravens aren't just going to show up. They just had a shit loss too. So, you know, like that's a good game for,

and I don't think either one is good defensively. Like, or as good as they have been or whatever. I think that they can be had, both of them. That's a good game for, and I don't think either one is good defensively like, or as good as they have been or whatever. I think that they are, they can be had both of them. So that could end up, you know, approaching that 47 and a half total, which is kind of high.

I didn't expect it to be that high. So yeah, I mean, I don't know. Legs from that game is not a bad idea. Yeah. I think those are the two. I mean,

if you could sell me, if someone has a case for one of the tight ends for Baltimore,imore for sure but man i think cd and zay flowers are are cooking i like flowers uh receptions yeah seven plus plus 210 i like a lot yeah like the way all right let's rip that instead here um i'll add that to the to the queue we're i mean we're coming along nicely here drew in the chats uh troy readers back up on draft kings i'm guessing that's still at six and a half minus 135 yeah or just let the chat carry it to seven and a half and then hammer seven and a half when it gets to like plus 115 or whatever like i don't know however you'd you like to lay juice but but I'm happy with,

with that reader. Still. Brian brought up a good angle here to Lamar Jackson, rushing yards, take the thing. He takes things into his own hands, needing this game to start. What is Dallas's man rate this year?

Super, super low, right? They're not playing defensive coordinators. So yeah, maybe it loses some appeal there. We've seen 53 and a half. Obviously you can cancel running against zone, but when you've guys playing man, turning their backs, defensive coordinator so um yeah maybe loses some appeal there we've seen 53 and a half obviously

you can cancel running against zone but when you guys play man turning their backs um we've always talked about that like anecdotally is making sense i think etr did a study in the offseason that that's actually true uh so like based on the stats you know the numbers um that actually matters so i mean i still like it i just don't know if maybe it's like 100 something yard brushing upside in this game yeah probably longest because you can see him breaking one um because i imagine michael parsons has a day and collapses that pocket on him one or two times pretty quickly and he has to kind of create because he has no other shot to do anything else so that would probably be the way i want to play lamar if you had to lean there would be longest

just one one shot it's never dead till it's over till the game's over so yeah that was always fun what about um Justice Hill from that game receptions let's see what's he been doing he's not at FanDuel they're only going to give us yards which I would do not take with running, but I don't mind whenever they throw a one and a half at you. You know, two catches, but I mean, I don't think it's going to be Henry. I think it correlates well with a

Dallas win, if you like Dallas, because like six targets in week one, just two targets last week. They played that from ahead, though. That's a misleading score. That game was definitely, they were about to run out the clock with Henry and then they fucking lost. Yeah.

That's my point. If you like Dallas Hill, man, like that justice Hill, if they throw a one and a half at you, it's a free parlay. Like, cause I mean,

come on. I don't know what's going on right now, but I've just been watching our SGP odds just like tick down. Like, like, like it went from like, like I haven't had anything or taken anything away, but it's like went from like 500,000, 450. Now we're down to like 411,000 on $10. I'm like, what's going on?

The chat is just going off right now. I guess apparently a blast in the numbers. So that's awesome. What do we do? The chat is just going off right now, I guess, apparently blasting the numbers. That's awesome. So do we want to have Justice Hill 25 plus yards as plus 270 or no? No. We want receptions. And we don't have – I didn't know we didn't have them until just now.

I think he can get 25. Don't get me wrong. But I think the play, if you're going to play him, to say he's going to catch two or three balls, I think that's the way. Yeah. Just because, I mean, I don't know.

Like, cause dude, those running backs, you've watched football, like dude, they get slammed on the ground on some screen and like minus five. And you're like, dude,

I'm dead. Like that. My, my 25 yards is now 30 and it's never going to happen. But then the, like Jamoke sit next year with two receptions, it's going nuts because he only needs one. And you just wish you were that guy. I think that's, what's going to happen but then the like jamoke sit next year with two receptions just going nuts because he only needs one and you just wish you were that guy i think that's what's going to happen looks like it's available on draft kings um okay so what about three plus is that there hill or

cmac yeah that's the question i don't think you can't do the minus 180 i didn't think it was going to be minus 180 that No, that's rich. But still, three plus doesn't feel like it's – again, they were never in a situation where they had to throw the ball to Justice Hill in that Raiders game. Like never, and he caught two. Yeah. So there is that. But do we know if the Cowboys are even –

is that what you would do against them? Like throw it to the running back? That's also another thing that I think is probably better first man but i don't know um um i'm looking now yeah so 14 targets in two games to the running backs 10 receptions um 110 yards given up there's only been two other teams have given up more yards to the – more yards in the receiving game to the running back than the Cowboys. 110 is quite a bit in two games. Yeah, that ain't good. Like, yeah.

Yeah. I don't know. Put me on the – I'll die on that hill. Get it. Love it. DraftKings doesn't do all the receptions for C Mac. Um, but yeah,

that makes, I, it makes sense for sure. We'll get some before. Yeah, we will for sure. So him and Jay, if you like the Cowboys,

that's the him and Jay flowers receptions are probably going to happen. Yeah. Yeah. Um, I have one more leg that we can, we can spice. Okay. You got two.

You got two. Well, I have two more like notes, like, um, okay you get two you got two well i have two more like notes like um okay slash potential legs and i think i know one of yours let's let's hear yours first i think we're on the same page all right i don't think this is this doesn't feel like a conor allen play uh is it is it dj more or no no i like dj more though go cook with dj more all right i i thought dj more 100 plus yards keenan looks like he's out again we're seeing this gus bradley i indianapolis colts defense play just a lot of zone a lot of cover three like DJ Moore. All right. I thought DJ Moore, a hundred plus yards. Keenan looks like he's out again. We're seeing this Gus Bradley,

I, Indianapolis Colts defense play just a lot of zone, a lot of cover three. Like, I think this is like a fantastic bounce bounce back spot here for Caleb and the bears offense here. Um, so he should see like,

I mean, 10 plus targets in a game against, you know, a bunch of bums for the cold secondary. I think Caleb Balter in play too, to be honest, if you want, but yeah, I like that a lot. A friend of the show for the cold secondary i think caleb alts are in play too to be honest if you want but

yeah i like that a lot a friend of the show played the under respect the friends just slightly disagree a little bit with the play i think it's a good spot for dj more so um yeah i i like that quite a bit so i was gonna go bijan uh i was looking at bijan longest but then the more i looked at i'm like oh no bijan just can grind down here against the uh against the chiefs here sunday night game uh so you can play bijan over 72 and a half rushing yards i think there's some 71 and a half out there too uh falcons are averaging 2.2 yards before uh before contact per per carry it's one of the best in the league it's up massively over last year saints i'm sorry the chiefs uh run d dead last and rushing success rate about 20 percent above league average like 60 percent rushing success rate against the chiefs so far this season uh they have not given up a ton

of explosives though and that's kind of how i figured this out and got there but the second lowest stuff right in the league so like guys have room to operate. And then you have Bijan breaking tackles like a machine. He's averaging 5.16 yards per carry. He's averaging 82 and a half rushing yards per game. So we need him to finish, I don't know, nine yards below his average and still hit four. So I think you can get it to 100 plus, but 72 and a half for Bijan I think is a great look and another leg that I like quite a bit see this is what I hate about building on building these parlays is that FanDuel has things that DraftKings doesn't DraftKings has things that FanDuel doesn't and then Caesars has things that neither of them

have but very few times do they have all of them and then DraftKings is the most but won't even let me get like five cents down and stuff yeah so it's like that whole combination sucks so like there's no Bijan alts for some reason right now. I don't, why? I don't know. 72 and a half rushing yards is out. First quarter rushing yards is out.

They don't have anything else. It's very strange. I like 72 and a half rushing yards. Um, but I will say, well, I mean, we're already at,

uh, let's hear we're already at like five bucks to win a million. So I don't think it's that bad. Um, five're already at, let's see here. We're already at like five bucks to win a million. So I don't think it's that bad. Five 93. I mean, we can add one more. I'm not opposed to it, but I feel like we're in a pretty good spot.

What about, I'm trying to think who told me about this. I think it was either Tommy G or dead Prez. On the Thunderdome. Did Tommy G kill the dead Prez on the Thunderdome. Did Tommy G kill the dead Prez or is that a, no, no, no. He,

they're both alive and well, uh, Tommy G is definitely alive. Yeah. He's about as alive as you can get. But, um, Adam Thielen,

what do you guys think about that? Yeah. I thought so. Yeah. It's four and a half plus money, right? For his receptions. Yeah. He likes him with, uh, Dalton would have it. Yeah, it's four and a half plus money, right, for his receptions? Yeah, he likes him with Dalton, like a lot. Yeah.

Like the hill he wants to die on. Yeah, it's a pretty small sample theater with just like one game that we're all kind of clutching on there. I don't know. I mean, is Deontay just as viable, right? Like, I don't know. Yeah. I mean, well, both both of them three and a half

in the like 160s at um fanduel but both of them five plus i mean those lines are not out yet so we can't do that yeah they're not even at fanduel damn it give me an outline but that's not that's a situation where how do you price that if you're a book like really like you haven't seen dalton play any meaningful football in a while uh you haven't seen theelin with deontay johnson and all you have seen is just them with bryce young throwing so none of this like and then it's the raiders on the other side like they're not like are they good are they bad like what like you you probably know they're bad, but how bad? So, yeah, how do you price that?

And I think Dalton will be decent, dare I say. Not good, not horrific. Let's just go with not horrific. I bet you he's not horrific. Can you book that, Connor? Can you add not horrific to the parlay? Yeah. Not horrific.

See, I was like in the boat of like, you know, I love taking bad quarterbacks unders and I was not ready to take Andy Dalton under. If anything, actually I, I saw he popped on pick them platforms at one 92 passing yards. And I was like,

this isn't over. Like I'm like, you know, he's, he can throw for 200 passing yards. Like he's capable. Um, yeah.

Now his actual line is like two 15 now, so we lost that number. But at 190, I was interested. Last thing I have in general in that game would be another side of that is I think, again, Alpha's cooking this week is Devontae. Carolina's the only team that's like well not the only team but like they are still playing single high safety uh more than almost anyone else in the league and historically Devante has absolutely destroyed single high safeties uh nice week last week I think it's a great spot for him too so uh yeah you can get 100 plus I think it's like plus 360 on Caesars

uh yeah I don't know what it is on FanDuel. It didn't look there. I don't even know if it's out on FanDuel. But, yeah, I think Devante eats for sure. Just randomly no alts this week. I don't know what's going on. Like half the games just don't have alts. We'll get some. I'm telling you, I think – I mean, maybe I'm right.

I think it's receptions because we're getting alt-receiving yards. We're not getting alt- receptions on certain people. And I'm a conspiracy theorist in that regard where it's like they kind of want to find out where everybody's at. You know what I mean? Like people at bed on Friday, they want to find out where they're at with these people's all receiving yards. Those have been suppressed so far this season. So they'll let you go in on them. And then here,

here's his alt receptions. You know what I mean? Yeah. Or maybe I'm dead wrong, but I like to think that that's what's happening. I get there though. I understand the thought process there, but they got to feel it out.

They want to see if they post a number and it gets hammered in the first hour. They probably feel like they did something wrong. Because the guys are are betting on Friday are not the same guys betting on Sunday. You know what I mean? It's just so those are not the guys you want to find out about. You know what I mean?

Or you don't want to find out from them that your reception props sucked. Correct. Or your reception numbers sucked. I'm sorry. Yeah, especially on Sunday if you've lifted a little bit of, uh, you lifted a little bit of the, uh, the money that we can get down there to your limits.

But, uh, yeah, the Friday guys, that's us, right? You'd be scared of us. They should be.

Yeah, they should be scared of us. Um, all right. So I'll run through it. I think we'll just stick with what we have. Unless you guys have any last legs here. We got Derek Carr,

300 plus crystal lave 100 plus greg dorch six receptions mcbride over five and a half jameson 80 plus cd lamb 125 plus zayce flower seven receptions brian robinson 80 plus rushing joe burrow 325 plus dj moore 100 plus receiving yards five dollars and.93 to win $1 million. Why not? That could happen. I mean, I'm forever an optimist, but that could happen. Yeah, I mean, I don't think I've made the Dorch play. I don't think I've made the car stuff yet,

and I did not make anything Joe Burrow, but it's like the worst secondary in the league. So, again, I can get there for sure. This is hot. This is good. I like it. I don't know. I just feel like it's way better than a scratch-off will ever be for me, at least, entertainment-wise.

You know what I mean? Go five bucks and get a milli. And then when you look at it, because everybody's seen these giant parlay tickets, right? That does not look the same as the one I've seen because most of the time you look at it and you're like, dude, how these giant parlay tickets right that does not look the same as the one i've seen because most of the time you look at it you're like dude how the hell did that guy hit that you know what i mean it's like dude what a what a lucky move and then that what i just heard connor doesn't seem like one of those tickets it just seems like i mean obviously

there's a lot to happen but it doesn't seem impossible like most of the ones you see on twitter yeah but your first touchdown props like yeah no like the two first baskets in there from nba then a couple first touchdowns you know what i mean some random like the punt return guy you know it's like dude how the hell did that hit this is not that that's all i'm saying yep i agree um and i going to round robbing all of them anyways. So I'm putting another 50 bucks in to win another 30 grand on the threes, fours, and fives. It's an extra, it's an extra 170 wagers total that are being made. And I put, I put 25 cents on some of the other ones.

So we'll see what happens. I mean, I just placed 166 bets at once. So that'll be fun i'm sure that i'm gonna get the little pop-up from fando yes same you've been here for this long and you've wagered 175 times or whatever like something like that but hey we're in it i'll see you guys next week when we're all rich so can't wait i can't wait we had a really good run as pours, dude. Yeah. As a pour, I think I did pretty well, but I'm happy to move into a different –

start going to some of these weddings that Connor's going to, like the Waldorf and golfing on a Friday afternoon instead of working. I'm ready to transition. Yeah. No, 100%. 100%. Like I said, I don't have a problem being a whore but i want to see what the other guys are doing they look like they're having fun too

what did that one guy say it was like uh i chose rich or something like that uh choose rich yeah choose rich that guy's hilarious dude it's so funny nfc dick i think yeah rich yeah i think portnoy and Barstool, I interviewed him a couple times after. Just what a goofball. That guy's a nut, man. I laugh every time I watch one of those videos, though. They're the most ridiculous things you'll ever see in your life.

100%. Now, also, C-Mac added Dortch now on the injury report. So he saw our parlay, and he's playing a little loosey-goosey out there, and it'll be fine. It'll be all right. No, they're playing the game. That's how you know he's playing a little loosey-goosey out there, and he'll be fine. He'll be all right. They're playing the game. That's how you know he's about to go off. I say we move him to seven. Point taken.

I got you, coach. So good. I appreciate everyone hanging out with us. Hopefully you all win millions of dollars with us this week we can uh how fun would it be to shut down a sports book you know because dude you you joke but i think about that like all the time like at least two times a day but how hilarious would it be for them just be like you know their pockets out you know what i mean on the cover of like people or time or something bro it's like we don't know what the hell just happened yeah it just doesn't exist anymore it's like yeah we're

we're done guys we have to testify in front of like a senate house committee or something like that or you know something like that to figure out people to kill you it's like dude we were just gambling man like sorry yeah playing around yeah sorry we gotta we gotta go to dc to get our cash find out what happened here where the uh bylaws can i'm just glad we have these videos so they'll know we had nothing no insights i'm like dude we're a bunch of idiots just making a millie parlay dude sorry guys you know what i mean like we're just hanging out on a friday one day you know that was what happened with our friends we appreciate all the friends hanging out as a Friday one day. That was what happened. With our friends. We appreciate all the friends hanging out as well. Again, before you take off, subscribe, thumbs up if you're watching on YouTube.

Subscribe to MoveLine on the podcast feed. All those things go a long way. We appreciate it very much. We didn't get to your question today. I apologize for pushing a little bit of time. But hopefully you understand. We're saving some time to try to help you win a million dollars, guys. So don't be so mad we didn't answer your question about the Browns running backs.

I apologize. So hopefully we'll get to it next week or subscribe to four, four, jump into discord. We'll handle all that for you. Anytime you tag us. So for Connor and slop, I'm Ryan.

We'll see y'all next time. Thanks everyone.