Move The Line - Expert NFL Week 5 Player Prop Bets! | Top Picks, Predictions & Odds

Episode Date: October 4, 2024

Get ready for Week 5 with our top prop bet picks! Join us as we break down the best NFL prop bets for opening week, analyzing player performances, key matchups, and hidden opportunities to maximize your winnings. Whether you're betting on touchdowns, yardage, or game-changing plays, we've got the insights you need to make the smartest bets. Subscribe now and start the season with a winning edge! Earn $50 in Pick6 Credits and a month of NFL+ Premium when you play $5+ on your first ever entry on Pick6 👉🏼https://shorturl.at/xY53r Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package 👉🏼  https://www.4for4.com/plans Sign-up on FanDuel Today 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/go/fanduel Follow 4for4 on Twitter 👉🏼    / 4for4football  Follow 4for4 Bets on Twitter 👉🏼    / 4for4bets  Follow Move the Line on Twitter 👉🏼    / movethelinenfl   Follow Connor on Twitter 👉🏼    / connorallennfl  Follow Ryan on Twitter 👉🏼    / rynoonan  Follow John on Twitter 👉🏼    / sloprules   Visit our Website 👉🏼  https://www.4for4.com/Join our Discord 👉🏼    / discord  Subscribe to our YouTube Channel 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3OupraJ 4for4 Betting Strategy Hub 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3hm39cw4for4 Betting Picks 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3LUp0Ea NFL Betting Odds & Predictions 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3nsW9QU 

hello and welcome to move the line prop drop show presented by DraftKings Sportsbook Brian Newton back Connor Allen John Hyslop to talk about the best way the most profitable way to bet on NFL football and that is through player props we are live here 3 p.m eastern every Friday on the 444 bets youtube channel you can also find it on Twitter you can find move the line in your podcast feeds later in the evening but YouTube is where you want to be we're live here on Twitter your best shot to get the best price same number all those things um so you're hanging out now on YouTube jump in the chat let us know your favorite prop look is for week five you want our thoughts on any place as well try to save some time get to as much as possible at the end of the show connor what's

going on yeah not a lot i have six unders so far this week and zero overs it's the anti-slop special i'm hyped i think it's gonna be a great week a lot of guys in great under spots not a lot of like last week if i there was a lot of like alphas in good spots, you know, and that's normally not my vibe. This week, it's not the case. Like it's a lot of like I think middle tier guys in interesting spots that I'm sure we'll touch on throughout the show. Back to chaos.

Slav, I encourage Connor to get those unders out before the show. He can try to give us some stuff that we can tolerate and talk about a little bit. What's going on buddy i um i didn't even hear him say that before i quote tweeted the show and said we're live hurry up and listen to connor's unders because i knew by looking at the board like when i was looking for stuff i kind of know it's like yeah this is connor has to be – this has to be like Christmas for him. Whenever I look at the board and don't really find a lot, you just know he's over there like the Grinch, dude.

Oh, yeah. Yeah, just like look at me, dude. I'm fat and happy. Unders everywhere. There is a lot of unders this week. I like to take Connor's temperature occasionally. I'll find something and I'm like, oh, that's so gross, but I kind of get it and just kind of see if Connor loves it

or anything like that. You just leave him to text you. Yeah. I found the threshold on one this week, which I felt good about. I'm like, all right. It felt gross. Box scores kind of line up. Even Connor was like, I can't get there.

So I'm like, all right. Well, he's at least sane. So I feel good about that. There's some checks and balances there.'s stumbled into in sponsor the show connor draft keys you sponsored you stumbled into a new market here today and you are like loving life i don't want to have you you know i did i want to give a quick shot here draft kings in illinois and a couple other states not all states it's apparently not in arizona uh dalton looked and it's not there they're offering fantasy points over unders on some players so yeah um so I'm gonna I'm not

going to talk about that on the show I'm going to drive over to DraftKings kiosk and bet a bunch of them and then I will post all of them in our Discord so if you're a Discord sub you will get access to them but um I just don't want to blow up our spot because there's like eight to ten that i think are like really really really strong uh that are like you know three to four plus points off so i know i see slop checking his phone here i don't know if they're in the ass either but i'm looking i'm i'm looking i might not be able to do the show if they're not they're kind of hidden they're like if you go over it they're in like player specials and then you got to scroll over again, and it's like QB fantasy point over under running back.

Hold on. Trending specials. Combined player yards. Is it like – no. I don't doubt it. Massachusetts. Aren't they a Massachusetts company? They're in Boston. Yeah, their headquarters is in Boston. I don't doubt it. Massachusetts. Aren't they a Massachusetts company? They're in Boston.

Yeah, their headquarters is in Boston. I think it should be illegal to not give us everything since I'm in the same state. You know what I mean? Where's the regulators for this? You know what I mean? Yeah. This is a Chicago company. It's a Boston company.

So Massachusetts should get all the bells and whistles. I want to bet fantasy. I'll be honest with you. I think that is literally the way. I'm going to call. Bob, is that ringtone from like 1960? Yeah, I mean, it makes you feel like it again, dude. There's like a phone and it's hooked to a wall.

Is it a razor? A Motorola razor? You got a Motorola razor in your hand? Yeah. Is it a Razor? A Motorola Razor? You got a Motorola Razor in your hand? Yeah. I did have one of those for a long time, like way after you should have had one. You know what I mean? I still had one.

Connor doesn't even know what that is. Can you bet? No, that was my first phone was a Motorola Razor. Okay. Can you bet on one of those things? Like, can you bet on a Motorola Razor? I think that's all that matters. You should. Oh, yeah.

Well, I used to bet all the time with a Razor. You would have to call a bookie, yeah right yeah that's that was my joke how we do it now but yeah i gambled all the time on that thing that i mean to be honest that was most of the calls i made was like to one person yeah no no internet feature there too but uh no fantasy points you think you think that's going to be a thing? I'm sorry to interrupt. I'm kind of stuck on the fantasy points thing. I think it's just state dependent.

So like, I don't know. They apparently are not posting tackle props right now. Newton said they have one game posted, but they have like, I don't know, maybe 60, 70 fantasy points things posted right now. Bastards. I mean, there's some bad ones i'm gonna keep looking you dude you can there's no way you're gonna get banned because there's no chance that you can't beat those like those are the ones like do you all right when they make you go yards

or receptions or you know if they're individual categories that's when you know us guys kind of you know they can get us a little bit but i don't think i can't i don't i cannot be beaten with fancy score because again you got touchdowns you got receptions you got yard you know i'm saying you got so many different ways out yeah there's a full point pbr what's up yeah full pbr right it's like hits run to rbis in baseball you know what i mean like that's a market that they won't let you put in the same game parlay they won't let you know what i'm saying they know because like you can you get too many outs and the same way with the points like it's

oh dude it's i can't believe that that's great dude yes i just congratulations on the cash bro wow um i'm gonna go round robin all them too because again i have like eight to ten that i like so if we if we hit eight of eight um i mean we're getting rich you know we're buying a yacht um so i know imagine but imagine being able to alt these dude that's that's what i was saying like dude oh my god we're all gonna be they're gonna let you at some point i'd imagine i imagine they come i would think so i bet your fan door comes out the same type of thing those two have to go together you know what i mean like there's no i don't know yeah all right so that's awesome connor i lost my whole train of thought now. I'm broken. It's good to know, too, because it determines whether or not those become things we can make official plays or not to,

depending on how many states or how many people end up having that as an option. So it kind of sucks that it's not just across the board with all these different regulators and different rules and states. So no Arizona, no mass so far. I mean, try to filter it out. If you can, I don't know, like the mental gymnastics needed. But if you could, if you could bet on player props, then you should be able to bet fancy points. I mean, it's because there is DFS in all these states. So what are we doing?

You know what I mean? I can do it at underdog. I mean, if I have to make a three-leg parlay, then I will. Fine. I'll do that. Michigan's the only wonky one with that, right? Michigan has betting, but they don't have any of the pickup sites, I believe. Yeah, I think there's a couple states like that, bro,

where you can bet, but you can't use underdog in whatever price range. It's stupid. Just let us gamble. What do we ever do? This is incredible. Jeff, when I buy a yacht, he said, my name will be something corny like Unders the Sea.

If I win enough money to buy a yacht betting on sports, I will absolutely name my undersea. Jesus, Jeff. You'll be getting the invite on the first day that we can go out, which in Chicago only lasts like four months. But it'll be glorious. Yeah, it will be. I'll make you think that Chicago's great again.

So it'll be good. Coming up with that, I guarantee you Jeff has not been to bed from last night. I can tell you right now with that comment, there's no chance he went to bed. He's still up. I see you like that. People are kind of telling on their states in the chat. Yeah, I know. I mean, you got to out them, dude.

You got to out them. I'm not really a fan of rats, but in this case, they deserve it, dude. Hey, take it to the ballot box in November, okay? Exactly. Whatever candidate allows fantasy points, that's who I'm backing. I'm endorsing them. Whoever that is and whatever office that is, call me. I'll help you.

You want some retweets? What do you need? Boots on the ground, signs. I can do whatever, man. I'm flexible. You know what I'm saying? I got it. Nice. Slap in the front yard flipping sign yeah let us bet fantasy points uh let's jump into some of our week stuff uh week five stuff i want to remind folks

two episodes of move the line each week this is prop drop as you know uh if you're looking for more like sides and totals, some more thoughts on games, Connor, myself, and guests from around the industry, live 3.30 p.m. Eastern on Wednesdays. Check that out. We had Adam Chernoff on this week. It was a great conversation about topics around

the league, futures markets, and then a handful of games, sides and total-wise. Check that out wherever you listen to podcasts or also on the four four bets youtube channel connor referenced it so these you know fantasy points bets are going to go live into our subscriber discord that's where you want to be if you want to get all the plays all the things we're going to push out even today are going to go into the subscriber discord first uh so again these things move quickly we appreciate you guys being ready to go and

jumping on stuff quickly so you even just heard the ping there connor pushed out his first play that's going to get to you guys by the time i'm done talking so our subscribers get to it first if you want anything that we do football speculation wise the betting sub is the best way to get it dfs rankings projections articles tools everything that we do at four for four is a part of the betting sub. Our partners over at Rebet, download the Rebet app. It is a new sweepstakes, pick'em DFS type platform that also has

elements of sports betting. They also have an element of prop builder. If you need another book to get outs, it's pretty cool. Download Rebet. Use promo code 444BET. $10 deposit on Rebet and you'll get a free subscription to 444 for the rest of the year

that's it no loopholes $10 Rebet you get an email in about you know 48 hours or so and then you're with us for the rest of the year pretty great deal to try us out for just 10 bucks I mean if you just go to 444.com slash plans right now it's like 200 bucks so pretty great deal no loopholes have questions feel free to reach out I mean, if you just go to 444.com slash plans right now, it's like $200.

So pretty great deal. No loopholes. Have questions, feel free to reach out. There's more information here in the show notes. All right. Live lines. No stale bread. Connor, floor is yours.

Week five. What do you got? Yeah, we're starting off with an over because I played way too many unders. I think the Discord is honestly getting sick of me. We're going to go with an over and alt overs here. We're going with Amari Cooper over 52 and a half receiving yards. I'm hyped for this one. I mean, we're getting a massive discount.

So last week on Cooper, he had, he ended up with like 35 yards, but they had an 80 yard touchdown. He had an 80 yard touchdown called back on a random holding call. He had a 20 yard pass. He's even holding bounce off his chest. Literally. I mean, he could He had a 20-yard pass. He wasn't even holding. Bounce off his chest. Literally, I mean, he could have had a buck 50 last week,

and that's like would not have been a surprising outcome. And so he's only averaged 37 receiving yards per game, so now we're getting him at 52. I think this is, I mean, an incredible matchup. Plays against the Commanders. They allowed 127 to Bleak Neighbors, 118 to Chase, 83 to Godwin, 61 to Evans, 52 to Andre Yoshivas, my guy, but again, probably not very good. Poo?

Yeah, exactly. It's poo, yeah. I mean, literally, they're 31st in dropback success rate, dead last in EPA, and Cooper has 45% of the team's air yards. I know Njoku's coming back, and I think that Noonan brought that up in our chat beforehand. Maybe that could even lower his line. I'm going to play Amari Cooper to have the most receiving yards of the week. Whenever that opens, I'm playing over 70, over 90.

Like this is one of those spots. We saw Cooper go for like 220 last year in a game. I don't know. I think it's all possible. And so I'm all in on the over here for Amari Cooper week. Look at this. Anything is possible. I mean, what a ghost phantom holding call, too.

It was brutal. Not holding. I watched it. I watched it again. I used my professional opinion. No holding. Yeah. Connor and I would probably want our FFPC matchup last week if we could have got that touchdown on the board. So painful. Good week to go back. A little flop lag.

Again, a couple drops that were prominent and impactful in the game too. Definitely just negative sentiment around the Browns. Slop, what are your thoughts on Amari? I want credit for this one as well because I have 60 and a half written down on my paper. I can show it to everybody. It was plus 135 at ESPN bet, and I think that is the gift of the weekend really because I mean it's at one o'clock it really opens up for uh the four o'clock and eight o'clock slate after you cash on a mark I

mean there's so many options after that because you can go 60 like Connor said 70 80 he is going to go absolutely nuts I think that all right so back to what we were talking about before, if they don't play anymore in the preseason, well, dude, I'm telling you, man, Watson, he hasn't been good. And he hasn't even looked good, like, recently. But he's looked better, and that's all we need. And the same with Cooper. I mean, the last couple weeks, he hasn't been that bad, dude. And I think this game script is going to go in a way that they're going to have

to throw the ball. Like, they're not going to be able to sit on it. Like I think it's going to be a better version of the Giants against them. It would be kind of the way I kind of – I see it, you know, like with the Commanders. I almost said that. My bad. So, but yeah, like they're going to score points on them. The Browns are going to be able to kind of come back a little bit, and we should be feasting.

I'll be shocked if we're still watching this after half. I like it. It was 49 and a half earlier, and now, I mean, I haven't seen it in a while, but people are saying in the chat that it's like 51. Yeah, it was 49 and a half, but it was like minus 125. Yeah, I didn't see that either. I was like, I'm not laying minus 130 on a yardage prop. I'll take the extra three yards. He won't need it because he's going to triple this number. I'm going, I'm not laying minus 130 on a yardage prop. I'll take the extra three yards.

He won't need it because he's going to triple this number. I'm going to watch the whole thing. He's 53 and a half at circa, 53 and a half at Caesars. I mean, across the market. He was 49 and a half earlier today. So, I mean, that's four yards. If that doesn't tell you this guy's going for 250, I don't know what does. I think that, I mean, again, like I don't know what the number is at.

I would guess it will probably be 30 to 1, 40 to one ish for most receiving yards of the week definitely worth a pop um we haven't had some success with that in the past usually i'll play like i don't know one or two every couple weeks something like that if i feel really good this is just a week without again without too many alphas i think there could be some value in the rushing game too who knows um so excited to see that. One of the few spots on the slate too, where like, just from a pay standpoint, that could be elevated, uh, pass rates a little bit higher. We haven't really seen the commanders pushed, uh, at this point.

Like they've just been kind of had some close gaming as the giants, I guess, at home and stuff like that. But again, there's a decent amount of plays in that game. Anytime it's happened, uh, we've seen, we've seen just a little bit more back and forth. So yeah, lots of ways for that to get home. I like it quite a bit. So all right, Slop, what do you got, buddy? All right, so you got to forgive me because I won pretty handily last night.

So that gives me a false sense of confidence. And I start to get a little bit too confident. But admittedly, it's the first step step so i got that on my side yep but um tyler conklin right now i'm gonna make sure is uh four plus receptions it's plus 175 at caesars that is an absolute joke like i i thought that was for the first half i actually, but they put me on hold, tried to get off. But, like, dude, four? He got targeted eight times last week, all right?

He got targeted six times the week before. The week before, it's New England. When they won handily, five for 93. Last week, it gets Denver. They just couldn't throw the ball. They were off. Who knows what happened, whatever happened. But he still got got four he still got four passes for like that's not it is what it is like they're gonna get blitzed obviously from Minnesota and he's gonna be there

for one like just bs dump off yeah you're getting a free one just from the blitz like just from that alone and then you're gonna get the stuff they actually schemed them up like if you watch that game like the the ball was supposed to go to him. It wasn't even like he couldn't find Wilson or whoever he was looking for. No, it was supposed to go to Conklin. So if you want, you could throw in the whole he's played for the Vikings. I'm not going to, but if you want to, you can. That's fine.

Revenge Natives. Four plus, dude, plus 175. I'll be honest i was thinking about going five plus and i still might do it because there's i dude it's five receptions guys it's not this isn't crazy and i think the vikings might even play with the lead now what you know yeah rogers uh third in like quick throw rate so getting the ball out under two and a half seconds, like that bodes well for Conklin here too. Yeah, I mean, we'll get to the sack props later in the show, but definitely some pass here for a lot of pressure for Aaron Rodgers

and his face. And that could benefit a guy like Conklin for sure. Dude, five plus is 400, guys. What are we doing? That's nice. I mean, that's crazy. To do something he's already done and he would have done last week. I mean, he should have, but it was Rodgers' fault.

Rodgers, there was two balls he threw at his feet. How do you do that? I mean, the guy's like he's a giant, and you can't even get to him. You know what I mean? It was just an off day. You said it's on rough time. What's up? You said it's on rough right? What's up? You said it's on Caesars, right?

Yeah. Caesars right now is, is the only place that I know of. So I looked at FanDuel earlier and I don't know, this was like two hours ago, but then there was nothing at FanDuel. So I went to Caesars and it was up. So Caesars is now my new best friend. Dude, my, my Caesars app updated and I don't know what Caesars is now my new best friend. Dude, my Caesars app updated and I don't know what Caesars is doing, but they have updated

their app like five times and they don't have any alts on anything for me except alt longest reception for any team because I was looking at other ones too and I couldn't find it. So I don't know if it's going to go on my computer. Maybe dial up the Motorola Razr like slop and just call somebody. Phone a friend. Yeah, you got to go on my computer, maybe dial up the Motorola Razr slop. Yeah, just call somebody.

Probably. Phone a friend. Yeah, you've got to call JB Smooth, I think. Six plus 850. I'm just saying, dude. That's not plus 850 crazy. I'll tell you that. That's not at all.

He got targeted eight times last week. Yeah, you get typically really good. I mean, I know the thing. Yeah, you get typically like really good. I mean, and I know tight end has been an absolute wasteland, but like you get a tight end on 70, 75% of the routes. That is elite typically for most tight ends. I saw something. We haven't gone under 85 all season for Conklin. 90, 85, 95, 90.

So like he is running routes on all these guys. We're talking about tight ends not being – but I think I saw something on Twitter. Maybe – I don't know. Just the other day it had target rates for the past four years. I know you guys saw it. Did you? It was by somebody in the fantasy community.

It was actually saying – I'm pretty sure I was scrolling quick, so maybe it did say – I was pretty sure it was saying the tight i'm pretty sure i was scrolling quick so maybe maybe it did i was pretty sure it was saying the titans are kind of still involved i just think maybe it's being distributed more i'm saying between like multi-title stuff so we all think like oh yeah well my titan that i drafted didn't do anything well no it's just he got two of his targets siphoned off you know every week or whatever you know i'm saying and now he's kind of splitting production whereas before maybe they weren't like i don't know but yeah look for it it was it was actually it was very intriguing you're a big tight end guy so i always yeah since college

yeah no hate on tight ends also too like um in this matchup particularly they like the vikings blitz a lot and they play a ton of zone and mike williams target share of her zone is like six percent so i took his under um i think gary wilson could have an interesting day but like teams have done a really good job of like i don't know bracketing slash making sure he's not there so i would not be surprised if the vikings who have done a great job do the same so who does that leave alan lazard and tyler conklin essentially like your next two guys so dude this could be the greatest day of our lives a guy named you ever heard of a guy named tucker craft yeah he caught i heard of him once or twice yeah yeah he caught six balls last week against

the vikings no big deal that's plus 850 i mean and we're talking jake conklin here we're not talking tyler craft like we've You know what I'm saying? It's like if Walmart made a tight end, you know what I mean? That would be Tyler. We're talking high end Jake Conklin. There's a Tyler Kraft section later in the show maybe. We might have some conversations there. We'll see.

We'll see. I don't know. I'll tip my hand. All right. This next one surprised me. Not a spot that I thought I would go, but the more I looked at it, the more I thought it was an absolute banger, and I think maybe I can get slop in. This is not a Connor type of bet, but definitely something I can get slop in.

Slop, did you know that the 49ers are dead last in yards after the catch? Last in yak. In the NFL yards after the catch. Oh, last in yak and the NFL and the NFL. They are always the league leader with Kyle Shanahan and yak. They are dead last in yak for some reason. Still Brock Purdy is going out and cooking Brock Purdy over 252 passing yards is the play for me to get this on prop builder. MGM has it. Most offshores are right around there too.

DraftKings, 256.5. Caesars, 255.5. I can't believe that they are performing this poorly in Yak. They're as healthy as they've been all season now too. We got Kittle back. Ayuk, Debo, they're ready to go. And there's just a lot of details. I got a lot of actual stats in it for our subscribers

in the write-up that I have on the site. It's just a lot of next-gen stat stuff in terms of things that the Cardinals do. You know the Cardinals' pass defense is terrible. It's bad. There's a lot of data to back that up here. This is a great spot for Purdy, who even last week against New England, who was not forced to push the ball often or throw a lot, 288 yards. He's reached at least 288 in each of the past three starts.

And we got him at 252 here in the division against an offense that I think can push back a little bit because the Niners are a little dinged up. I still like the Niners to win this game, but I think that the Cardinals have at least a little bit of a chance to push this a little bit. So 252 feels way too low for a guy who really outside of the Jets game has cruised over this. So love it, 300-plus. On DraftKings, it's plus 275, like that as well. But, yeah, I love this number. I think it's way too low.

What do you think, Slav? What I look for in those is just is he going to get pushed, but to be honest with you, he really doesn't even need to get pushed. I mean, yeah, no. The yards after contact, though, here's one problem with that is I don't think these guys are getting touched. Like the Jennings dude, like a couple weeks ago, like he'd catch one and he was just gone.

No, yards after the catch, not contact. Oh, okay. I thought you were saying yards after contact. Okay, I have no idea. I've seen some guys that have taken off at that. I don't know. Maybe. Who knows?

There's too many yaks. Too many different yaks. Too many yaks. I thought you talked about the contact. I was like, well, I can explain that one. Yeah. No one touches it. That's like Yakko or whatever.

They put the little tiny little O on it after. But yeah. No, just yards after the catch. Something they are. They're always tops in that. Always. Like one. Yes. Not two, not three. Like the best the best yeah and they're not like towards the bottom they're 32nd so they are yes well that changes at all then yeah cooking

with gas yeah yeah it doesn't even have to like you want the cardinals to push them and maybe they do you know what i mean like it's not like the 49ers have been this shutdown shutdown defense so you know like they're they're always good but i mean they're not i don't know they're not a team You know what I mean? It's not like the 49ers have been this shut down, shut down defense. They're always good, but they're not a team you just don't target at all. Do you know what I'm saying? That's the thing. We've seen an average of over a full yard more against zone than any other quarterback in the league from Purdy this year. He's cooking against zone, pushing the ball down the field even more aggressively,

which is why he's still posting. Last week, 17 completions against the Pats, 288. aggressively which is why he's still posting like last week 17 completions against the pats 288 um so yeah he just he's he's cooking so um it's a great it's i get why you're a tight end guy the dog got up the dog got up i was like man i know that dog is about to do something and sure enough there was a rapper in the bed from earlier oh i should have thrown it away i didn't i was i was i was you know it's in the zone getting beds in and there's just some um you know those gushers oh yeah you know those there's fruit there's a different kind now i don't even know what they're called but like it's it's like welch's one so shout out welch's they're pretty good and i've been eating them

like candy it is awesome i think i mean technically i mean in my defense it is candy no but it's but it's welch's is made with real fruit so it's healthy yeah it fruits the first ingredient says it right on the box so yeah not red 40 no i mean that's the second. Yeah. Yellow five. All the stuff from our childhood, you know? Yeah. That could kill you. Yeah, you order it at the restaurant. Can I get a side of red 40 for this, please?

Just dump it on top. All right, Connor, back to you, buddy. What do you got? Well, real quick, before we leave Purdy, we got a – my only concern is volume, but you can play that on draft games under 29.5 attempts, over 285.5 passing yards, plus 650. He literally just did that last week against a better New England defense. So just saying.

Kind of hot. Yeah. Yeah. Kind of nice, right? Kind of nice. It's fun to root for too. It is. I'm sure many of you saw, but last Monday night,

I'll go into my next play here as one of these with the uncorrelated parlays. But this is just a regular play. I'm going to go with Jackson Smith and Jigba under 48.5 receiving yards. So last week, again, I played the uncorrelated parlay of J-Mo under receptions over yards. Hit that. Yeah uh then i took jsn over receptions on over six receptions under 50 and a half yards he ended up with 51 yards on his last catch he had three yards um it could have been a spotting error honestly and they could have given me the 50 yards. I had him 50-plus, though, Connor. I needed it.

I needed that bad. Also, in his defense, he did catch one, and Tyler Lockett was, like, blocking on the route. Like, you're supposed to be running the route. You know, like, he's played football for quite a while now. Like, you just can't do that. So that would have been eight yards just got stolen from him. Yeah.

Yeah, I mean mean to be fair it was very lucky they were in that spot in the first place but i i think that this is a match to go under with slop hear me out so the only matches he's gone over he has had 12 and 16 targets that's how many it's taken him to get over this number he's a receptionist guy yeah i never bet his yards again ever yeah you shouldn't yeah no i should never have had that to begin with and i was watching it being like dude you are stupid like what this was an obvious receptions play and just didn't have it i had yards instead and that's what happens you know you have to sweat it out to the end and i hate those so you're right he's he's 100 an

under yards guy over receptions though and then then this week, like everyone talks out of the bad, the giants are, and I think they are bad, but I saw like a note in rich rebars column that they're only allowing 2.8 yards per target out of the slot. And so then I hit up my local defensive guru, Ryan Newton. And I was like, Hey, why is this the case? Like, I'm like, is there someone good there? Looking on PFF rookie, Andrew Phillips, ninth of not or fourth of 97 qualifiers so far in cornerback grade,

he's allowed 28 yards on nine targets while playing like exclusively in the slot. JSN plays exclusively in the slot. And this was like, he faced CD lamb. He faced Justin Jefferson. I mean, he faced some of the best receivers in the league and like they did well,

but they, that was mostly on the outside, not against our guy, Andrew. So, you know, I I'm like, like man this looks like a really good look between you know they probably are still going to pass a lot but maybe not as much as we've seen like you know maybe not 55 to 60 times maybe like 40 times something like that and in this spot tougher matchup i think the under here on 48 and a half on ca is pretty interesting. He goes by drew Phillips. You know,

he dropped the AN he's this DRU. He's just drew Phillips. True. I refer to him as his full name until he proves otherwise. So if he locks down a JSN, then he is Andrew in my book. Well, if he locks him down,

then he should definitely be drew. You should honor his request to be honored by drew. Yeah, that's fair. Yeah, no, I, I,

I don't hate it. I think the logic is good. You kind of get the slop approval based off of him telling you that he's a reception guy yeah yeah i won't bet him like i won't bet that i would never take that over so that means that's an underplay that's how you know that's how i would i'll never again watch if i ever come in here again and say anything about jsn it's not gonna be the yards there's no way no i've learned my lesson that was so dumb that was like the dumbest bet in the world the only way it got over is because

the game script literally uh slop some good questions in the chat about uh what your uh afternoon activities have been like pre-game you know have you been uh any going down a local dispensary or anything today? People seem to think you're – No, not at all. I had a long night bowling last night. It was obviously the bowling league. I got beat. The great Tim White went 7-0-4 last night against our team.

So you never want that. You can never catch Tim White. Good night. He's good, man. Yeah, to go 700, only one man has ever done that in that league. And that was me. And I'd done it twice. And now he's done it once.

It was against me, our team, to beat us. So that meant we hung around a little longer afterwards, kind of licked our wounds a little bit, maybe had a couple pops. And that's it. So the day got started late. know you know it goes a little hazy still it happened but i feel better about the whole thing and i'm ready to go up back there thursday night again you woke up you're grinding some tewksbury hoops film you know from local uh opponents coming up because it's gonna get ready for the season so yeah you're ready for the season you gotta find out who's coaching these fifth graders. He's got to figure out what's going on.

You know what I mean? There's a lot happening. They ask if you use rails or no rails. Slop is like an elite bowler. Yeah, no rails. No rails. The rails actually hurt me. Like, I don't know how people do that because, like, I don't know.

Sometimes I like to hang the ball in the gutter and then bring it back out. You know what I mean? Just for the kids. You know what I mean? Just for the kids. You know what I mean? Just show off little tricks. But you can't do that with the rails because they actually come onto the lane kind of. It's sad, man. I don't know.

I don't think they should even have those. If I was in charge, like, once – I'll get my ticket together. But so far, it's fantasy points. You got to be able to bet those. And no rails at the ball and alley. Like, what are we teaching these kids? Slob's just giving out the, the fuck them kids,

you know, right off the bat here, you know, no, I'm not trying to help them. No way. I'm going to help them. What about those things that you can like push the ball down?

Like, you know, those like, yeah, those are gone. There was a never, there's no place in bowling. You can't do that.

Come on, man. Yeah. Prepare the kid for the path. Don't prepare the path for the kid. I mean, like, what are we doing? Raising adults, Connor, not kids, okay? Yeah, exactly.

Like at some point, they're going to throw a ball, and they're like, hey, where's the bumpers? Come on, bro. No bumpers in life, okay? No. There you go. We will sell that T-shirt at the ball alley. There's no bumpers in life.

No bumpers in life. All right, so back to you, buddy. What do you got? What's next? The rails are white comment is gold. That's pretty good. How about my guy Trey Tucker for the Las Vegas Raiders? I think he catches four balls.

You can get that at Caesars, over three and a half, plus 102. I got that fan deal actually earlier at plus 102. They've now moved to 108. So they're out. They're dead to me. Same with ESPN bet. They're at minus 145 for the same bet. They know.

I'm telling you, Trey Tucker, right. He's going to slide in. All right. There's a big void left with Adams. The last two weeks, he has kind of looked like the number one. They do the nonsense with him. He'll go deep for him, but he'll also hang around the line of scrimmage. They're not going to be able to do anything against PS2.

So I doubt he covers Tucker. I bet you he would be with Myers Myers which to be honest with you I don't even think he shadows just because like why would you shadow Jacoby Myers but I mean that would be the um the obvious candidate but anyways anytime he's not on him Tucker that ball is going to go there I think the Broncos might be able to score on the Raiders too like not a lot you know not an illegal amount but just enough to to keep the game going, keep it interesting. But again, four catches, that's what, one a quarter, according to math?

Feels pretty easy. Feels pretty easy. Yeah. I mean, I do like the Broncos quite a bit in that game. It's one of my favorite actual sides of the week too. I think they're going to be able to disrupt Minshew, and maybe that works out for Tucker too. Just get the ball out quick. Hey, you don't need yards. You just need to catch the ball.

Connor, any thoughts on the Raiders or the Raiders passing? He not very exciting, but yeah. Yeah. Receptions. Receptions are fine. Uh, if you played yards,

I would have been not upset, but, uh, concerned, you know, I think a little bit for yards. Um, but no,

I, I think that receptions are fine. I'm interested to see what Patrick Sertan does either way. It'll be Bowers slash Myers. I can't imagine that Trey Tucker will draw much, if any, coverage from him. But their other corners have played pretty well. I don't know. I'm going to go out on a limb here.

I think Gardner Minshew gets benched in the third quarter of this game. Okay. Can we bet that? We should be able to bet that. If Bowers we bet that? We should be able to bet that. If I was in charge, we'd be able to bet that. So, Slob, here you go. This is the way to play it. Under 160 and a half yards at, like, plus 200-something.

It's basically just him getting benched. Okay. Yeah, no, you got me onto those years ago with they're only going to play the first half. Remember Price Picks? There was the Vikings, I think, didn't have – they had full games listed. those years ago with um they're only gonna play the first half at premier prize picks there was the vikings i think didn't have they had full games listed and you took everything under and i was like guy that's okay it's basically an over on how bad he's gonna be is what you're saying

in this case exactly okay yep you could also probably maybe like parlay with like the thrown interception or something like that or like you yeah, usually the benching comes right off. You know what I'm saying? Like right after that, cause they're waiting to bench him anyway. Just like, dude, this guy's going to pull pick.

It's fine. Bam. Yank him smart. Right after the strip sack or something like that. Yeah. Under, under what? Once they,

like, I think he might go under that. He replaced the full game. The different defense is kind of legit. So, so much to the point where i didn't really even want to play this until i was kind of looking i was like tucker is the kind of receiver that could get like like it's not going to be your alpha guy

it'll be a tucker type guy who the raiders actually like like it's obvious just by uh snap share and by his target rate. So they like him. So I don't know. I just think it's kind of almost Bush League, I would call it. You know what I mean? It's a weird bet. But five catches last week, seven the week before. He's getting four, dude.

He's out there. Yeah. Yeah. Nine targets a couple weeks ago, six last week against Cleveland. I'd say Cleveland is kind of like the Broncos in sense of like just grossness and like the, that game where you wouldn't want to target the offense on the other side. Yeah.

They're mucking it up. I can't believe how good this Denver defense has been. And against decent opponents, like they have beat up against, I mean, look what the Buccaneers did again last night, like just chucking the ball around the field and uh they that was so fun in tampa yeah i mean connor hated it huh what's thursday all these points turn it off make him stop there was like uh there was like something tweeted out from draft kings that was like all the bets that were in like on all the overs or whatever and so of courseraftKings that was like all the bets that were in, like all the overs or whatever.

And so, of course, on pick six, I took like all the unders. Like I sent it to a couple people. I'm like, this sucker's paying out 250X on a win because everyone's betting the overs. I think it was dead within like two minutes. Like literally I knew it was like second drive. I'm like, well, this is all dead. You know, this is over. Yeah.

Like the first drive goes down. I don't even see the first drive. I get to the bowl now. And I'm like, all right, it's 7-7. And it's like, does that say like seven minutes left in the first? Like what's happening? And sure enough, the first drive I saw was like, yeah, this is going to be a weird one.

Yeah. Cousins looked good, man. He did. He's back. Yeah, he didn't look that bad. I mean, that was prime time for Cousins too, which is huge. It's true. Yeah, he didn't look that bad. I mean, that was primetime scuttlejams too, which is huge. It's true. Because I remember the narrative.

Passed his bedtime, he said. So he's still got it done. All right, next one for me. Another one I think I'm going to get Slops approval on maybe. Quarterback overs I think are okay. We're going to come back. This is coming back. Joe Burrow, over 35.5 passing attempts.

This is widely available, minus 114 on FanDuel. DraftKings has it. Caesars, PropBuilder, pretty much everywhere. This is how teams play against the Bengals. The Rundies have been still really good. They are facing the highest pass rate over expectation in the league. Every Joe Burrow team has been one of the highest in pass rate, pass rate over expectation offensively. It's kind of a perfect way, path of least resistance.

Bengals doing a good job protecting Burrow too, which is surprising. They are allowing the lowest pressure rate in the league. Baltimore kind of regressed their defensively in terms of pressure. Like they were unbelievable last year and they were really a middle of the pack. They're like 15th, 17th, something like that in overall pressure rates after leading the league last year. And I think they're just going to have a hard time on the other side of the ball, stopping Derrick Henry,

stopping Lamar Jackson around the football. The only way that the Bengals can keep up here is to throw the football. You got everyone back. You got Yoshi Voss still in there. Tee Higgins is ready to go. You saw some explosiveness from Jamar Chase last you know you got the dual tight end action going on uh 49 and a half 50 point total this is a path for the bangles to pass the ball a ton uh he left

early last time they played yeah he got that the wrist injury in that game last few times they played the ravens played the full game and cruised over this number. So 35 and a half is a real nice spot here. Connor, what do you think? Yeah, I played under on Zach Moss. So I mean, essentially just kind of another derivative. So yeah, I mean, I'm in, I think that they should pass a bunch and they're going to probably fall behind in some aspect. Like I would be pretty surprised to see this Bengals defense slow down the Ravens in any capacity. We talked about a little bit on the Wednesday show, like how they stop the run and if they can't at all. And if they do try and stop their run, it's going to take like everyone in the box,

the entire like game. And then Lamar's just going to throw and it's going to be rough. So I'm interested to see what Lou Anarumo does there. But I think that on the other side, no matter what Joe Burrow has a chance of this, like barring some fluke, like special like you know random stuff like that um i think otherwise it's a good look yeah it dies i was thinking about i'm like how does this die it dies on like a 12 play raven drive hold it up by like a one place six yeah not even a pick sick just like

a another like interception or a fumble and they have like another six seven play drive and like all of a sudden like burrows been standing on the sideline for like nine to ten minutes of game time that's that's pretty much it um yeah i think he can otherwise it's just natural back and forth i think we're getting to the 40s here for sure slop what do you think i'm all over chase i had to mute the microphone we had a little dog fight going on the construction dog fight going on. The construction is still going on at the house. We still probably got another month of this, guys.

Big dig number two, I heard, right? Is that what they call it? The big dig number two? Yep. It's the big dig, and it's slow going, but it is going. So just know that. But, yeah, sometimes it's stuck up here in a room that I'm not used to being in. Anyways, Jamar Chase is probably the player.

I think he's going to have a big night, and for every reason you said, I just went that way. So I think the Ravens are just going to run through those guys. I mean, who did we take? We took somebody. Was it Brian Robinson Jr.? Yes, against the Bengals. Yeah, against the Bengals, thinking, are you going to run through them?

They stepped up. They cannot do that against the Ravens. That's the problem with the Ravens. It's like you can't just all of a sudden get up for that. I don't see that happening. So, yeah, there's going to be points put on the Bengals, and they're going to have to figure out a way to get them back, and it's not going to be from the run game.

I'll tell you that right now. Derek Henry is averaging the highest yards before contact of his career it's just terrifying right like yes imagine a dude that size the first guy to touch him smaller than him yeah and he's like already two yards past the line he's already yeah and he's already um got some speed yeah i looked at chase longest uh looked at higgins longest i think those are great too. Ravens are giving up the highest rate of explosive passes too. So there's lots of big play potential here as well.

And you can just go with, you know, burrow longest. Those are plays that I like to make, but I know not for everyone, but yeah, those are, I think,

you know, just bangles passing stuff is, is, is interesting. Kind of a buy another buy low again, kind of this number feels lower because of, I think quarterback performance across the league so all right should we get wonky yeah it's all let's uh let's get it connor what you got well i'm looking i'm looking on fan duel and they got they're giving us some trouble right now they have no amari cooper

alts like is did all just get banned in in illinois or something while we were on air or what's going on they've been doing that all day i just dude i've been just waiting all day literally all day and i've been going on the all these nonsense books have them i would say caesar's not a nonsense book but the other ones are nonsense like fanatics so we want to take our talents to somewhere else here we might have to go to caesars you got caesars i do have caesars yeah yeah we can get live with uh our boy conklin what well see i don't see i don't even see the whole receptions on caesars that's what i'm saying like i'm like my caesars is busted bro let me let me try and pull it on my computer and see maybe it's maybe it's just like a mobile thing i mean caesars would never take both away from you my caesars app every single time like i have the

login with fingerprint and ask oh save credentials yeah it makes me log in every time it doesn't remember any of my stuff safety first ryan drives me nuts drives me absolutely nuts. Yeah, I hate it. I hate two-factor anything. Oh, yeah. I'm a one-factor guy. It's on my computer. All right. Let me – Go Conklin six plus, 850. I mean, that's a lead-off hit right there.

Yeah, that's a – Lead-off home run. Yeah, it's a solo Yabo right there for sure. Top one. I mean, six – Like, what are we doing, Caesars? The real – Julius Caesar would be rolling over his grave right now

if he saw that line. All right. Got it. Six plus, plus 850. Newton, you got anywhere to take us next? I mean, I laid out a couple uncorrelateds. I mean, we can go back to – The issue is on uncorrelateds, they don't work on caesars this

is the problem the problem they don't work at all so we're gonna we might have to we might have to bet those separately on fan duel again yeah that's fine i gotta i gotta handful of those i'll save them for sure i'll save all right all right what do we want to do we got to do something with the packers wide receivers right a little bit of a clearing with Watson out. Yeah, I think obviously Wicks is exciting. Jaden Reed worked last week for sure. What do we want to do against a Rams defense and what's not going to be a Packers home game?

All right, the one question I have about that game is, do we care that the Packers could probably run for 250 yards? If they wanted to, they could just run all day. I mean, I think you see that reflected in the love line. He's like 256 or something like that. It feels a little light, to be honest. Yeah. But I get it.

That's what got me stopping looking at that game. So I was like, all right, well, what's this? You know what I mean? Because what happens when they can just run and the Rams can't do anything. Yeah. That's what I, my only concern is volume,

but efficiency should be wild. So like, yeah, I think you can make up for lack of volume with efficiency. And then the other issue with the Packers is like, I like all three of Jaden Reed, Dante Havenwicks and Romeo Dobbs in the spot. So it's like one of them is probably going to have like 80 to 100 yards.

Which one? You know, I don't know. I mean, I think Reed or Wicks make the most sense based on, you know, how they're used typically. So whatever we think is the best. I will say though, Dontavion Wicks went from wide receiver four to the team's wide receiver one in a day because that's what everyone's talking him up as. I know he's good, whatever, but spare me. He is, but he isn't. It's Jaden Reed. Yeah, it's Jaden Reed.

He double catches everything. It's a little terrifying with Wicks. Nothing's clean. It's all like he's got to hit it twice, like the, you know, he's got to hit it twice and then he catches it. Like he's going to stop it with his hands. Then he's going to catch it the second time. Yeah, Dobbs is, that's another thing too.

Dobbs, I didn't hear, see what happened today. But in terms of yesterday, I think he was, it's a personal matter and he was out. So I don't think it's an injury, but he's, that was definitely something we were talking about yesterday, Connor. I thought that they said that he was going to come back. No, he said,

wasn't accounted for again. Mr. Yesterday's practice due to personal matter again today. I mean, a hundred plus. Yeah. Maybe we just take Wicks or Jaden Reed then I'm fine with that. Which,

whichever one. Prefer read a hundred plus is plus two 80. At, um, Caesars above 10. I mean, it's plus 400. What's 10 more yards. It's 10 yards when you're spitting you ever stand on the football field and look at 10 yards it's not yeah it feels like it's a lot more than 10 yeah yeah we got a two for two um he is a buck

10 it's plus 800 so we So that's yours, Connor. Yep. That's what I was going to say is that they have the Mario Alts on Caesars right now. So we want to do that. A buck 10? All right. Why not? I mean, he's going to go for a buck 50. So we can play whatever number we want.

Just these three legs is $100 to get 42 grand. I mean, we're going to be in a good spot. All three are going to definitely definitely hit like no chance they lose and i love what we did too like we didn't mean to do this but we we hit each time bracket so if you find a um you find a sunday night move and a monday night move we could probably get to a million and just have one bet from each one, which would be electric. Wow. That would be.

So what do we got in the Sunday night game then? That's what I'm saying. We just find something Sunday night. What do we got Sunday night? Cowboys. Ooh, great. That's a nostalgia game. Yeah. Well, Connor probably doesn't remember, but you remember, Ryan.

Yeah. When we were kids, that would have been like a really good game. Everyone was a Cowboys or Steelers fan because their father was growing up. Remember the metal board that would vibrate and the little players would be on it? Like all those games, it was Cowboys and Steelers. That's what you have to get. Multiple Super Bowls. Yep.

Yep. I mean, Pickens cooked last week. Pickens' longest hit for me a couple times. I don't know if that counts. You know, I only got paid once, but I did hit a couple times in the game. So, I mean, I'm not really fearful of anything going on with this Cowboys defense right now. I'm not going to be able to get pressure.

Yeah. All right. So, the issue that I found with this one is Justin Fields could run for 100 yards, and that would ruin Pickens, that receiving game. You know what I mean? It would ruin. Because who's going to, like, there's no Parsons, right? And Lawrence?

Lawrence is on the IR. Yeah, they're both out. Marshawn Neyland and Chauncey Golsan. He's supposed to have won either side, dude. There's going to be no resistance. I mean, it's going to be an NFL player, but it's not going to be Micah Parsons. Here's what we do. We already played.

Me and Stu at Monotone already played over on Ferguson, 4.5 receptions. Okay. He's out there all the time. Maybe we do 6 do you do six plus on ferguson again no brandon cooks uh we go eight plus is plus 550 i mean i mean you know what i mean seven plus is plus 300 what's one more you know this is um i like seven plus the problem is i don't love the i don't love him getting pushed to have to do this but i mean maybe if field just kind of going off then because

the the steelers have they seen a um favorite like a fast game script though last week a little bit uh against the cold yeah so basically you want to find out what did what did they look like in that you know what i mean environment we uh see my take on justin fields is an avid justin fields watcher is that he is passing the ball significantly more frequently than he was running like than he has been running the ball like he's instead of leaving the pocket he's like trying to force it in which is not good for him and as a football player but it is good for taking receiving overs my only concern is that they're able to run the ball too well like they might're able to run the ball too well. Like they might be able to run the ball too well. Yeah.

What if nausea can run? Let's just go pickings dude. A hundred is plus five 50 buck tens plus 800. Yeah. I think pickings is the move. I mean, all right, let's do pickings.

I don't, I, the thing is, I don't love that one any more than I don't like, uh, Ferguson. You know what I'm saying? I like both of those.

They're fine. I think if one hits the other, might have a better shot at hitting too. That's the other part of that. Do you know i like both of those like they're fine i think if one hits the other might have a better shot at hitting too that's the other part of that do you say if you really think pickens is going then that means the cowboy is going to need to step on a little bit if that makes any sense we got connor's dying to throw zeke under in there there's no under the only thing i would say about pickens is we just get a better number uh for um what we're trying to do here yeah and like pickens like i mean you could have 40 yards in the first half then just like do nothing so i'm gonna have to catch like a random bomb and we still somehow win you know like we can backdoor the shit out of that whereas like

ferguson like you can't backdoor receptions i feel like unless you're like a random two minute drive or like the end of the luckiest way yeah yeah yeah i just don't see a scenario where like the cowboys are up comfortably and the steals are my problem right so that's why like finding something on the cowboy side makes more sense because to your point slop like you just unless big unless biggins hits it early yeah Yeah, unless he's the one that – He has to be the guy to get them the points. Right. And it can't be a field scramble for like 70. And it can't be a Najee, he gets free.

You know what I mean? Yeah. That could easily happen because that team sucks, the Cowboys. I mean, I'm sorry, but that run defense is not good. But actually, now that I say that, it just hit me that I based that all on the Ravens just running over them, but the Ravens can pretty much run over everybody. No, they're bad. Yeah.

So maybe we wouldn't even consider Fields running just for that. Maybe that was just the Ravens at the same time. I go back and forth on it. I don't know. I'm going to toss up with that game. I mean, I feel like – should we leave it up to the chat and just say what Pickens versus who? What do we want to pick?

Rock, paper, scissors. Yeah, Ferguson or Pickens. And we'll just let – we'll let the Lord decide. I'll say most comments in the next two minutes. Before we're talking about next game wins. We'll talk about the Monday night game. We'll come back to it. Pickens,

just so we know, $1.10 plus $800. It's pretty hot. I got one for the Monday night game too that I think you guys might find interesting. Tomorrow? Noah Gray, four plus receptions is four plus 400. Come on. What?

You're a Noah Gray guy? I'm just saying, but we get all the way here to Monday night. We have battled the 930 game. We stayed around and we went through the one. We ran through the four. We got to the eight. And we're like, holy shit shit we had the longest sunday what do we got tomorrow fucking noah gray noah gray uh it's like oh dude like that would make me sick okay what about kamara receptions then or kamara receiving yards or something like that the running game matchup is dog shit so i

don't want that yeah i don't want – that's why I like the pass game because the run game might be a little bit – like, I don't know. I don't love it. Can't throw Chris Jones' sack in there? Yeah, I'm in it all on a Chris Jones sack. Let me – They don't even have Kamara receptions up. They have – which blows uh they

have receiving yards i think he might be the undercover like guy somehow because alave and um kamara are like they're elite players that you have that you have to think the Chiefs are, you know what I'm saying, the key on them. I'm sure the key on everybody, but you know what I mean? Like, you're not going to be up to them, but Shahid is definitely involved, like more so than I thought he was. I was just watching the game last week, so I'm basing it on one game, so there is that.

But, hey, full disclosure, I've watched him once but it looks like yeah this is so this is this is it a little bit too justin watson connor oh my god we can't die we can't rather go with no gray i hate justin watson at this point i love him last year i I just – I can't do it. Kareem Hunt. I'm just joking. I think the Clarks had some legs. I think that makes some sense to be honest. It'd be the one thing you'd want to root for. To Slav's point, you do have to think about the logic of having this as the one thing hanging out all day. You got 24 hours to stew over what you're cheering on Monday night.

Yeah. You don't want to be thinking about Noah Gray necessarily. Future you is going to be like what was i thinking yeah all right i'll tell you right now that um shaheed seven plus reception 650 and before we just totally say no he caught eight balls last week targeted 11 times i mean in the other games he's played the season was four and three but so there's that or i mean because we can't go with yards because the toothpaste is out of the tube kind of on him like they they've got him in a place where i would never play any

of this 60 plus it's plus 145 i mean the saints are not going to throw deep like straight up they're not going to be able to throw throw. Like, straight up, they're not going to be able to throw the ball deep. Yeah, with something short. Oh, that helps us. Those little bullshit bubble screens. And maybe they're trying to get them loose. Yeah, it has to be receptions or something, like, small. I just don't love seven receptions from – seven receptions from Shahid is kind of malpractice on our part.

That's a lot. Yeah, that's a lot. That game is tough. That's a ceiling outcome. And, I mean, are the Chiefs really going to be able to do that much? Like who do they got playing for them? Justin Watson, unfortunately. That's the problem. You guys want him? Justin Watson, unfortunately.

That's the problem. You guys want to take Justin Watson? No. But he's going to be on the field. That's the thing. Dude, four plus receptions from Watson plus 360. All right. All right. What about this?

What about this? Xavier Worthy, alt longest reception, 40 plus yards plus 500. Oh, my God. Is that crazy? I mean, he's. It is, but it's not like. He's going to catch three balls. One of them is going to be dialed up for a 40, 50 yard look.

He's done it once. I think twice. Or was it? No, it was a 30 yarder on the first game where he was wide open. Yeah, did it last week. Maybe not. We'll follow that one away. Yeah, did it last week. Maybe not. We'll follow that one away. Maybe – I don't know.

This is – I like the Kamara stuff. It would probably be the easiest game script-wise to cheer for. You think you probably have the most – I'll be honest with you, man. For the next five minutes, I'll entertain Noah Gray. I don't think it's that crazy four reception 400 four receptions that's all we're talking here that would 100 bucks to get to 1.8 million just five things that's all we need which one did you do with noah gray With Noah Gray. What do you mean?

I'm all in. I'm in. I think it's terrible. I think it's ridiculous, but they don't want you to know that. You ran 11 routes last week. Yeah, I'm out. I'm back to being out. We need him to be a 40% target guy.

What about Justin Watson? Justin Watson, four pluses, plus 360. Somebody's going to have to catch a pass. I know. That's the thing. We've got to go yards. We've got to go yards with Watson. I mean, he's going to see.

Watson uncorrelated. I have a double uncorrelated, Worthy and Watson. It's 185 to one. That's pretty nice. You just go... 50-plus yards plus 300. Yeah, you do Watson. Watson under 2.5. 40-plus

is 11-1 on FanDuel. Worthy as standard as everyone should have if you're watching the show. Worthy under 3.5. 60-plus plus 1260 on FanDuel. You just parlay those two together. 185-1. That's it.

I'd be ready to jump out of a window if we get here and we got Justin Watson at 50 yards. Yeah. Yeah. We got to be good. We got to need, like, a real player. That's what I'm saying, Kamara. Kamara? Alavi?

Kelsey not reception. What about Alavi? Alavi's back. Alavi is good. He's very good. Alavi? Kelsey not a receptionist. What about Alavi? Alavi's back. Alavi is good. He's very good. Alavi's hot. I don't even know. Do we have to go total like lotto for that last leg?

What do we need? We want to get to a million, right? So let's see here. We're at – we're kind of far off honestly still eight plus receptions from kelsey yeah like that would be something that's good i think plus 300 and then like 50 bucks i get to a milli no 70 bucks probably yeah it's it's 80 bucks to get to a milli at least what i would i have we need like another leg we need like one more leg after this so and i got so i got recap here conklin six

receptions jayden reed 110 plus marie cooper 110 plus i put pickens 100 plus in there looks good but that's what the chat voted on over Ferguson. I got 110 plus for him. Okay. I'll put that in. And then I put Kelsey a plus in there and we're like close. We need like one more leg and then it'll be like a reasonable amount. Philly United said throwing pretty 300. I mean,

I think that's solid. Jane Daniels rushing alts. I think are pretty fun. Noonan. I like that a lot. I don't know if they'll let you do the same game. I think that's solid. Jayden Daniels' rushing alts I think are pretty fun. Noonan, I like that a lot. I don't know if they'll let you do the same game. I think it might, but... Slop, you got any other strong conviction plays?

It was Cooper and Conklin for me, and then Tucker, but I don't want Tucker against... I don't want anybody against the Broncos in this thing. No, no. Hang on. Giant Seahawks. Do we got Juan Dale?

Six and a half receptions is an insane line for Juan Dale. Wow. Yeah, that's wild. Yeah, I'm out on one down. That's crazy. What about we could do Brian Thomas Jr.? We could do – yeah, I think Brian Thomas Jr., Jaden Daniels rushing or DK Metcalf or Kenneth Walker,

any of those I think all make sense. Yeah, I'm in on Purdy and Daniels. Those are bets that I've personally made, so I definitely have a stamp on those. I love the ceiling outcomes for Daniels rushing here against Cleveland, getting a ton of pressure. Oh, man. I mean, we can go 90-plus for plus 550.

What was his rushing stats that you broke down in your play against? He had 88, 16 for 88 in week one against Tampa Bay. Yeah. But, I mean, he scrambles at an insane rate. His rate of scrambles per dropback is higher than anyone in the next-gen stats era that they've tracked, like three times the league average. And, actually, the Browns are giving up the highest yards per attempt,

11 and a half per scramble to any quarterback in the league so far. So it's just a kind of a perfect marriage of what he wants to do and what they do poorly. I'm sold. This is only six legs, 12 fifth, $12 to win a milli. Yeah.

I mean, that feels right. That seems much more doable. Any last second issues? I feel like, all right, so recap. Amari Cooper, 110. Jaden Daniels, 90-plus rushing. Conklin, six receptions.

Reed, 110. Cooper, 110. Kelsey, eight-plus. Pickens, 110-plus. What do we got Daniels for um 90 90 yeah I feel like all that's gonna happen yep all right I locked it in 12 dollars 20 million bucks um and I'm gonna try and figure out a round robin on this too I don't know what that looks like, but I'm definitely not going to have all this in the slip and then miss by, you know,

one leg here. A thousand percent. That's it. FOMO kicks in. You got to have it. Yeah, exactly. A hundred percent.

All right. Well, that was, that took a little bit extra this week's a little bit messed up, but I think that was, that was worth it. It was a good, good look,

you know? Yeah. I mean, we're all going to be millionaires now, so there's that. He's just going to roll over in his grave, like you said. You won't be mad this show ran five minutes long because you have a million dollars in your account. He's going to be like, who the hell took that bet?

Yeah, starting to cook him. All right, guys. No tackles are up. You missed the sacks. We've gone too long today. We appreciate everyone hanging out with us very much. Uh, subscribe, thumbs up all those things before you take off again. We greatly appreciate it. Take advantage of the rebet deal guys. Download rebet. Uh, it's again, pick them sweepstake app, use promo code four for four

bets, four for four B E T $10 on rebet. You can ride with us the rest of the year. It's a fantastic deal. Take advantage of it. And again with us the rest of the year. It's a fantastic deal. Take advantage of it. Again, they have PropBuilder on there. It's another out for you as well. Great way to look at it. Good stuff in the chat. Sorry I didn't get to any questions, but I think there's some good looks you guys are mentioning in there too that we're waiting for to drop.

No revenge game love for Stefan Diggs. Yeah, Stefan Diggs. DJ Moore revenge. No revenge game there., no revenge game. There it is for us here. Tyler, Tyler Conklin, Conklin.

Yeah. Conklin revenge game. Big revenge spot for him. Big revenge spot. So I appreciate you guys as always find slop at slop rules on Twitter, Google slop, basically type his name into the, uh,

you know, YouTube top and you'll find all of his stuff on YouTube as well as you want to hang out there too so for connor and slop i'm ryan we'll see y'all next time thanks everybody