Move The Line - Expert NFL Week 7 Player Prop Bets! | Top Picks, Predictions & Odds

Episode Date: October 18, 2024

Get ready for Week 7 with our top prop bet picks! Join us as we break down the best NFL prop bets for opening week, analyzing player performances, key matchups, and hidden opportunities to maximize your winnings. Whether you're betting on touchdowns, yardage, or game-changing plays, we've got the insights you need to make the smartest bets. Subscribe now and start the season with a winning edge! Earn $50 in Pick6 Credits and a month of NFL+ Premium when you play $5+ on your first ever entry on Pick6 👉🏼https://shorturl.at/xY53r Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package 👉🏼  https://www.4for4.com/plans Sign-up on FanDuel Today 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/go/fanduel Follow 4for4 on Twitter 👉🏼    / 4for4football  Follow 4for4 Bets on Twitter 👉🏼    / 4for4bets  Follow Move the Line on Twitter 👉🏼    / movethelinenfl   Follow Connor on Twitter 👉🏼    / connorallennfl  Follow Ryan on Twitter 👉🏼    / rynoonan  Follow John on Twitter 👉🏼    / sloprules   Visit our Website 👉🏼  https://www.4for4.com/Join our Discord 👉🏼    / discord  Subscribe to our YouTube Channel 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3OupraJ 4for4 Betting Strategy Hub 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3hm39cw4for4 Betting Picks 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3LUp0Ea NFL Betting Odds & Predictions 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3nsW9QU   #NFL #nflbetting #BettingGuide #BestBets #SportsBetting #Football

Hello and welcome to Move the Line Prop Drop Show presented by DraftKings Sportsbook. I'm Ryan Noonan back to talk about the best way, the most profitable way to bet on NFL football. That is through player props here with my friends, Connor Allen, John Hyslop coming off of a fun man. We got real close last week on the Millie Parlay. Connor, we had someone that did like a you know watered down version of it turned a dollar into what like 400 500 bucks we're getting

close guys yeah we not only we got close on the milli parlay also we talked about i think noon and you and i talked about jameson williams uh negatively correlated and that smashed i mean that was awesome um sunday was like a pretty even day for me on props overall. And then, you know, cause my wife came in and was like, how'd you do today? I'm like, I was fine. You know, I didn't win anything. So she goes to bed Sunday night games going and, you know, or whatever it was like later that afternoon and JMO is just cooking the entire time. And I'm like, okay, well I, we just won a lot Under three and a half, 60 plus, 70 plus. It was awesome.

It was a bonanza. And so hopefully we can run it back this week and talk about something else good. Oh man, it was lovely. Made for, you know, save the weekend personally, which is fantastic as well. Love to see other people on that too. Long time friends. My boy, Jeff Sterkin won on that too.

Parlayed some other stuff in there with it too and made himself a nice big, you know, there's a comma in there. Anytime there's a comma in the winds, love to see that stuff too. So, you know, just a friend for like 25 years at this point. Still rides with me. Hangs out, checks out the show. Love to see good things happen to good people. So shout out to Sterkin.

Slop, what's going on, baby? I'm sliving the dream, man man just waiting for another weekend of nfl it's here it is here i mean well kind of we still got two days it's tough on friday because i mean you know you're saying like i'm ready like right now like if they started games right now i'd start watching but we gotta wait a couple. We'll be all right though. More time to put in Millie parlays. Excited to that. Yeah. Get that at the end of the show.

Get close. Like I said, we're going to shut down one of these books eventually, but, uh, one of my folks live here, 3. PM.

Eastern every Friday. You can watch it on the four for four bets, YouTube channel. Uh, it's also live on the, uh, four for four bets, Twitter account as well,

or you can find move the Line wherever you listen to podcasts. The live version is your best bet. If you want to get the best price, the best of the number, waiting for the podcast is a little bit harder, but to each their own. I understand not good for everyone to watch live, but just a reminder, 3 p.m. Eastern every Friday. Wherever you're taking it in, subscribe, rate, review. All those things go a long way in helping us out. If you're hanging out with us, jump in the chat, let us know what your favorite look

for the week is. We'll try to get to as many questions as possible too. Obviously we got a little bit off the rails last week. We got into some appliance recommendations, anything life related wise too. I don't want to rule it out. Put it in the chat. Hopefully we can figure it out for you. If you're a Dyson guy know maybe we could talk you through some of that get you some of the uh the new stuff that's going on out there we're here to help uh that's our role we need you props and winners too but uh we're here to help uh if you want access to the stuff that we do you want our place uh you want the betting subscription at four for four you want to get in the discord that's where all the official plays,

even the things that Connor and I are going to push out today, specifically, we'll go into our discord for our subscribers. First, give them the best shot to get the best price and the best number. We have lots of different ways for you to get the betting subscription. Again, if that gives you access to everything that we do at four for four.

So any article tool, rankings, projections, all that stuff you're playing DFS, that's where you want to be. Great way to partner with us is through our new friends over at Rebep. And because we want to do good things for our people here as well, and Slop is one of those people, we have a new deal for you that lets you get the best of both worlds. Slop has a subscription service through Dub Club. And if you want to get access to Slop's Dub Club for free, all you need to do

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So definitely want to take advantage of that. Again, download Rebet, promo code HIGHSLOP. And after you do that, sometimes it takes a little bit, 24, 48 hours for you to get the notification on how to access both. It'll come your way. It's a great deal. Again, I don't even know what the value is it's unlimited over 100 bucks i mean that's what actually monetary value is but actually real life value of it it's a million yeah it's in the millions you want to put a price on it like we kind of can but you almost can't so uh check out rebet again. Better for Apple, but they're working on some of the Android stuff.

Throw that challenge out to you there. The folks at Rebet get some of that stuff going. But again, I know most of you, as we discussed last week as well, people are already, you know, slopping high of the last,

you know, remaining soldiers here in the, the Android streets. Everyone else has already made the jump to Apple stuff. So again, download that. If you have any questions, reach out or you have any challenges, reach out to us directly. We you get through that but again take advantage of that deal high slops uh dub club and then

everything going on at four four all right gentlemen right week seven live lines no stale bread things we can bet on right now connor, the floor is yours. First play of the week. Yeah, I've been, we talked about this before the show, but one of my favorite looks of the week here is going to be Khalil Shakir over 27 and a half receiving yards. This dropped to 26 and a half, maybe a couple hours ago on FanDuel. I didn't think that this would make it to DraftKings everywhere else. It got posted at 28 and a half.

It looks like other people bet it up to like 30. Now we've got some 27, some 30, some 32s at Fandle. I really liked this over for a couple of reasons. So I know Amari Cooper just got traded to the bills. This whole week has been really weird because when they got him, they're like, I don't know if he's going to play. It's going to take him a while to get up to speed. Sean McDermott said this today. He comes out and says, I still don't know if he's going to play. I got to talk with the coaches and see what's going on. So it seems like he's, I think Amari Cooper is probably going to play a little bit, but probably not the entire game. And when he does play, he was running like 75 to 80% of his routes on the outside. Khalil Shakir plays slot. Like he was run 75% plus on the inside. People were worried about him being injured. He's full in practice

Monday or Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday this week. And B reporters are speculating that he's going to be basically full in this game here. And then on top of this, the magic is the Titans overall is generally tough, but in the slot, the Titans have allowed 58% of wide receiver receptions in the slots, the highest rate of the league. Like Josh Downs went for 66 yards. Jaden Reed had 50 yards, even with Lake Willis. You know,

fat Keenan got over 20, 29 and a half year. I mean, it's everyone's been eating out of the slot against them. So I like the Shakira over here. I think maybe some Cooper unders could be interesting too, if those hit like 40, but I didn't want to play any unders at 35. i went with the slop way play the over on the guy

instead of the under it'll be a good sweat he'll get there on like one or two catches this is you know the ability to have to do the contents to sit on the play for a couple hours risk moving a little bit and it did but i still like it there too connor i think it's still a solid play and i like how you did that too because that's actually how your brain typically goes the other way it is you know it's an opportunity to take an over because there's a the you know situation changes in playing time we're not like you want to find the unders to bang and it's like broken your brain so it's good for you there's yeah well there's a couple other situations i mean even like last night like um i know some people were on Jaleel McLaughlin unders,

people were on Javante unders because we expected Estime to play a little bit more. But the situation was like, hey, they're going to be able to run all over this Saints defense. So they could all get there, and they all did. They all went 15, 20 yards over their props. And there's another similar situation this week with Nick Chubb and the Browns and Deonta Foreman.

I don't know how much Nick Chubb is going to play, but I'm not backing an under on him against one of the worst run defenses in the league. Um, if he gets seven to 10 carries, he could still go over his problem of like 35, 40 yards. Um, and that's like a limited, that's a limited workload for Nick Chubb. I mean, I don't know. Well, we can talk about it more later, but I just think it's like trying to figure out not just betting the unders in those uncertain situations, but figuring out the best way to play it has been an evolution that I've been going for. Yeah, looking at ceiling outcomes for Estime made sense there too.

So similar here. Slop, what are your thoughts on the Bills passing game? Shakir, any thoughts on Connor taking an over for us? Brave Slop. I'm glad to see Connor growing as a person, as a human being. That's awesome. So I'm all for growth and overs, obviously. But, yeah, no, he was right last night about that situation.

Like you just knew the Broncos were going to be able to run on him. So it's very tough to be like, all right, well, let's take this back up. It's like, well, what happens when the other guy goes nuts? Why not just – you could take the over on the back up, but don't you dare go under on the starter because, I mean, again, he could get it on one or two carries, so it doesn't make sense. I like this over, though, for Shakir, but I wanted to get his thoughts on what about the people that don't want to be like a minus 115 person?

What about 40 plus at plus 12 want to be like a minus 115 person? What about 40 plus at plus 126 at Vandal right now? Would you do that? Yes. 40 plus. I played a little 50. Caesars 50 plus is like plus 250. Right now?

Yeah, right now. I mean, this is like. Going there right now. In my opinion. I mean, if you look at his other game this season when he was healthy i mean he had what was it uh like 62 72 54 and then 42 receiving yards in his four other games that he was not limited um i mean he's like a moving guy i don't know do you worry at all about the um the titans not being able to move the ball whatsoever on the village because absolutely that levitt's kid it's horrible

he he just popped up on the injury report too as we went live questionable i mean okay yeah i i bet you here you know what i think i bet there's nothing wrong with that kid right like they just want to they want an excuse to play rudolph right because yeah didn't rudolph just come in and like play well uh the last time we saw him like immediately and then they yeah yeah i mean he wasn't bad he wasn't levis bad i mean levis is bad i mean it looked like uh i'd say him and spencer rattler are right in the same like they're the same guy like they're not good both have moxie which you need a little bit of moxie in this world but they they got more Moxie than quarterback to kill. That's the problem.

It looks like Caesars has Shakir plus 115 for 40-plus. For 50-plus, he's plus 200. Wow. At DraftKings, 50-plus plus 200. So people are on to you, Connor. That's good. I'm going to probably take the 40 plus yeah I like that too I mean to be honest like if I feel like there's a lot of variables that I feel

like we have a good read on that are not necessarily factored in one of which is the Mark Cooper situation the other is the injury situation and then the third thing is like a matchup that seems difficult but might not be difficult for him. And so like if I were to set this line, it'd probably be like 35-ish, 36. And so again, I just think like, you know, like 40 plus getting plus money there is pretty solid look. Yeah, I like it. Slot back to you. First one for you to start us off here, week seven.

All right, so I'm kind of scrambling a little bit because my greatest play of all time for the weekend this weekend was gonna be David and Joku five plus receptions I got that this morning at plus 112 at Vandal which to me is absurd just given what I think is gonna happen in game. But that line has since moved to like minus 115. So since there's no stale bread here, but I still want to play in Joku, I'm going to do something I don't want to do, but I'd say the yardage is still good, 50-plus. I think you can get that at FanDuel right now at plus 124.

I think that's fine. That's going to require him to do something with the ball, which I don't love, just because Watson, I think, is awful, too. He's one step above Levis and Rattler, so he's not great. But I think he can propel Njoku to five receptions. In this matchup with the Bengals, who think are going to beat them uh kind of bad so they're trailing they got to throw and joku and i mean theory should be a little closer than cooper ever was to uh watson which maybe that maybe that means something for his accuracy because down the field it's not very accurate but close up maybe he gets the five i bet you in joku gets the double-digit targets, dude.

I'm telling you. I would really – I think they're going to lean on him just because they don't really have anyone else, and they're going to be down, and they're going to be throwing. Five catches, again, is good. Fifty-plus yards, that's in play. But, yeah, Njoku, Njoku, Njoku. Connor, I know you've got thoughts on this one.

Njoku, don't you? No. So I told them, I was like, hey, this Njoku play is really good. I mean, the Bengals are allowing over 80 yards per target to tight ends. Without Cooper, Njoku's target share is massive. And even last week, on running just 66% of the routes, he had a 30% target share, which is stupid. Started writing it up, and I got physically ill. I literally had this pit in my stomach and I'm like,

what am I doing? I just can't do it. So I deleted half my write-up and I didn't go to the bathroom and vomit, but I felt like I should have. So I just messaged them and knew it instead and was like, hey guys, I backed out of this, just letting you know. So I thought about it. I think it's the right play. I just had this weird vision in my head of like Deonta Foreman and Nick Chubb running the ball 30 times and Deshaun Watson throwing the ball into the ground. And like, I just like every time I think of Deshaun Watson and like betting an over tied to him, like I just, I remember when we bet Amari Cooper's over overs, which hit, which actually hit. But the amount of just PTSD I got from balls that were thrown 10 yards too far or the wrong way, I just couldn't do it.

All right. Two things. You're talking to a guy who just had an illegal amount of Foster Moreau overs last night. So I'm all for that. I'm okay there. And then and then also too i went the other way once we catch that uh amari cooper a couple times i was like it didn't feel good but it did kind of feel good you know it's like pleasure with pain that kind of thing i'm ready to go back i'm

ready to be hurt again as long as i win is that your thing are you into like me i don't know maybe i am i'm hey we're all growing on this show like maybe we are you into like man I don't know maybe I am I'm hey we're all growing on this show like maybe we're learning about ourselves like I don't know but I it somehow it felt kind of good to be like having Omari Cooper with like Watson and like that was I mean because that was terrible when that game started like man this this sucks like when you're watching like this is bad like this is never gonna hit and then it does and you're like kind of want to do that again kind of kind of yeah i might be back in and i am again i'll get um i'll give you that this is not great but that's why i like the five receptions for njoku that's why i went there before the yards because, man, one of these –

nice work, Jeff. What's up, dude? But, like, he's going to catch a couple, like, bubble screens or some – you know what I'm saying? The stupid receptions that aren't really receptions, but, you know, they are and they count. And that's what's going to get them over, I think. Because I do think they're going to get behind. That's going to throw out the foreman and chubb i think that's

going to ruin them as like bets because i think they get behind yeah yeah i mean i could see i was dying when connor started you know messaging and i could see him like having to write it up and then just trying to spell deshaun watson on his computer and just like his arms short circuiting a little bit and he's just like i can't do this i can't sell this bet through the lens of deshaun watson having to do anything positive uh but i do like it i like it too because again like yeah i actually said i thought deshaun watson under longest receptions like 31 and a half which he's done barely once all season, is a pretty interesting look. Because I'm trying to think,

it's going to take a yak thing to someone like Njoku. And Njoku, Jason's got him here, is a possibly negatively correlated, you know, five plus under 40 receiving yards type of situation, which I could be sold on here too. So yeah, I like it. I think it's a good process overall. All right.

I typically hate these bets. I did a hit last week on the Brees Hall receptions over and thought it was a good look and kind of stumbled into a couple other looks here this week that I think make some sense, even though just on paper, I don't love running back reception plays. But give me Chuba Hubbard over three and a half receptions. This is minus 115 on DraftKings, prop builder.

If you happen to have bet rivers and you can bet a couple of quarters together, they got minus 105. It's pretty much out there everywhere. He's caught at least four balls in five straight. The only time he didn't catch four balls, which is all we need here, was week one. We know that game against the Saints got wonky. In that game, actually, looking back,

Bryce Young, not a big check down guy. Does not like to throw to his running backs because even in that one Miles Sanders barely Saw one target so this is the only time All year that Chuba has not caught at least Four balls his route participation Is going up each week he's actually Taking some Miles Sanders work

Last week Chuba ran Around on 70% of the dropbacks Miles Sanders is just 20% so like They've been like a little bit more Sanders They've been 50 50 last week. Pretty good split with Chuba getting more six targets last week. Five receptions there. Also found out this after it already decided to make the play and write it up. Andy Dalton leads all quarterbacks in check down rate 18.8 percent check down rate rate for Andy Dalton. So now we have a situation where, what, they're like nine-point dogs on the road. Deontay Johnson is banged up.

I don't think he's playing here. I don't know if we've got word on that yet. Ankle injury, rib injury. He's had 43 targets in the four Andy Dalton starts. Now we basically have 10 targets in a trailing game script that need to be distributed elsewhere. I just, I think we just need Chuba to do what he's been doing anyway. And if he gets a little bit more, maybe we take some alts. Maybe we look at five plus that some slot might be interested in. So yeah, I love, I love Chuba here. Again, not typically loving the variants that can come

with running back receptions or receiving yards. But again, I will always lean receptions. So I think it's more predictive of volume, targets, things like that, you know, variance in yards. So give me Chuba over three and a half receptions here. Connor, any thoughts? No, I mean, I like it. It makes sense. I think Deontay is going to stick it out and play probably, but it probably won't be 100%.

I mean, that guy's just like injured no matter what. And he would have been in consideration for an over if he was perfect health wise, but you know, it's like, he's never healthy. So I'm not going to be laying that. Yeah.

Chuba, especially to Jonathan Brooks out. I think you could play rushing overs. I think receiving overs makes sense. I mean, he's just, he's the guy right now. He's crushing.

That's how I like stumbled into this because i'm like how can i play chuba i think chuba longest i think there's some ways to play it and i'm like man he keeps getting a ton of passing game work so here we are slop what are your thoughts i had on last week um over three and a half i've got four plus in uh in a parlay that definitely lost because of someone else though not because of him so I am big on to him I think um I think Johnson plays I bet he's fine they always seem to do that with I don't even know what it is but like every week it's he's got something and then he you know eight for 75 and a touchdown you're just like all right well I would love to see what would happen if this guy was healthy

because this guy's killing it so against Washington yeah this makes a ton of sense I bet Washington scores all over them and the only way back is throwing I got Dalton over 222 and a half at uh underdog this week like I've been doing those on Tuesdays as soon as the lines come out because like the yardage is like 20 yards different later in the week but Dalton was the one of the ones that I was like, dude, this is good. So Hubbard is who I think he attacks with and Deontay Johnson. And the Leggett kid, am I saying his name right? Xavier Leggett? That kid too.

I mean, he actually looks good. So we'll see. But I think his yards came out a little too high. They threw Johnson on the back of a cart yesterday to watch practice. Bro wouldn't even walk out to watch practice. They threw him on the back of a cart yesterday to watch practice. Bro wouldn't even walk out to watch practice. They threw him on the cart, and he sat there and practiced apparently. I'm a big Jalen Coker guy. What do you think?

I mean, I feel like Jalen Coker might be better than Xavier Leguette. If they play him, I mean, they played him in garbage time and he did okay i mean he produced but it's just it was garbage time a couple weeks ago whatever game that was but i mean if we get numbers on him i'm not afraid to take any of these receivers like any of them for real yeah because i mean dionte is like i would say 50 50 to get injured mid-game like he's really missing a series like it's it's just whether or not he finishes the game to be honest so um yeah that's a good look yeah four for 68 and three for 30 for coker that's gonna be a problem like i said johnson if he doesn't play i mean if we get numbers i

would like to see the numbers on coker or um that sanders was going to be something I was looking at, but Tommy Trimble's back. So you can't do that. But that pass game is live. Dalton's not that bad. So he could support any of it. Like any of these names you're looking at, like who the hell is that guy? He could do it. I mean, Dalton is not that bad. He's just not good. I need uncorrelated Coker more than life. I mean, that would be incredible. Is he one of those guys? No, probably.

Well, I mean, based on his recent game log, no, but he could be. You know, it depends. Like if he plays like a little bit more of a starting role and they don't get blown out, then yes. If they get blown out, then no. I mean, he's going to see like four or five targets and then they're toast. So I don't know. Connor's a big Coke head everyone knows this loves the cokers the shirts this is

a great question would you consider on kool-aid parlay kamala electoral college trump popular vote yeah i'm probably the other way i'd go the other way i think i'd go the other way. I think I'd go the other way. Yeah. Yeah. But yeah, a million to one. Yeah, I know. It's like all the recent betting markets have been like big on Trump. And there's like one guy like laying like millions. I don't know if you've seen that. One guy is six different ways. You think that's legit or no?

So a lot of my friends who know that I'm big into betting ask me about this. And they're like, well, what do you think? And I think that this market is extremely inefficient because you think about like relative to like sides and totals markets, like the goal of those markets is like for them, basically they take sharp action from people who have models and things that are better than what the sports book has. They, then they move the number to that. And then they take as much action on that number because they know it's the most efficient number as possible they only move it if again another sharp person with like inside information or someone they trust will do that election bets it's all just action-based like it's like they there's no no way to gauge if

someone has inside information which doesn't even exist essentially in this stage of like election so like it's all just action-based Whoever has the most money is moving it one way or another. Do we really think that someone has like better polling models than I guess like what they're using? I don't know. It's just, to me, it seems incredibly inefficient. Hillary was minus 700 to win the election on election night against Trump. So again, not to get political either way i just think that this is like wildly inefficient um one way or the other but i think the way that you can make money some of the smartest people that i know basically just bet both sides like throughout the night and just like that take like massive plus money on whatever side like the election comes in on first just take

the other side and like you have a pretty decent chance so anyways last time around all right so when trump was running against hillary i got him 250 plus 250 that morning so they're all right i'll bet this you know what i mean so i took that so i was like i don't know i don't think he's like he shouldn't be plus 250 this looks a lot closer that was his first time around though so we really i don't know what i don't know what you guys expected i was like there's no way this guy's gonna win but that's up to 50 i'm like well i mean i'll take it for 250 it's like the hussein bolt one that we always use you know what i mean yeah so i did that and then last time around i watched the whole night and you realize you could have gotten paid no matter who won yep because late in the night i don't know if you remember, but Trump, like before I went to bed,

Trump was like, wait, like minus 9,000, something like ridiculous. Just you didn't, you would never even bet that. So if you took Biden, then you were going to wake up to a,

a nice surprise. But earlier in the night, you could have had Trump like that, like with a giant number, you know what I mean? So like. Exactly. So yeah,

that's what I'm saying. Like wait for the early boats to come in and bat the other way number you know i mean so like exactly so yeah that's what i'm saying like wait for the early boats come in and bet the other way you know and then see what happens because you might get be able to catch like a wild live number um yeah monotone saying probably shouldn't say that out loud the gen activities no this is what we're here for we're talking about betting i mean again our opinions do not matter this is an election with tons of people like we are like our opinions don't matter you know whatever our votes hardly matter to be transparent but you know go out and vote i'll say that regardless your vote does not matter don't forget to vote no honestly not a great endorsement um depending on where you live your vote legitimately probably doesn't matter but

it's like i like it's if it's not blue then it don't matter so it is what it is but no i don't know i don't know what you guys do to watch the election but i always like to bet on it and i mean that's just i'm used to that that's how i watch tv i wish i could bet on reality shows and stuff like i would i'd probably watch more so but yeah no i if all right time out if you haven't bet the election before all right bet it this time and then come back and tell me that that wasn't awesome yeah like mad as shit at some point come on guys become an odds jam bro for like one night and just arb the fuck out of the election like literally just hammer both sides like get as much much action as you can um and you'll be

you'll be printing so So thank us later. Come back to this. Remember this segment when you guys are all rich after, I don't know who, who wins. So we'll see. Probably my approach this year to cope with either side, you know, the outcome of whatever happens.

Just see if we can make some money off of it and feel pretty good about it. So next week we're going to jump in actually our thoughts on policy, our thoughts on the election. Can we bet on policy? And then we're going to talk about who we're voting for. That's going to be, you know,

we'll turn off the chat. There's a little, there's a little leave studio button here. That's what I'm clicking. First time we get into that. All right. You can't leave now. Back to you.

Your second bet for us today forgot that we were talking about i saw bets released in michigan we'll parlay that with trump in wisconsin and kamala in california can i get over uh december 20th on knowing who actually won the election on december 20th on knowing who actually won the election. I'll take the old guys on December 20th. Oh my gosh. All right. So my next one, Michael Pittman,

I'm going to go under 47 at receiving yards. There are some guys, sharp guys in the chat talking about this. I was waiting for an Alec Pierce or Mo Alley Cox under, but Alec Pierce kind of popped up in the injury report. I wasn't sure if they'll get a number until like super late in the week. I didn't want to miss his Michael Pittman one. He's cleared 36 yards just once this season dealing with the back injury. There's supposed to be a multi-week absence.

He decided, you know what? I'm just going to tough it out and play. You play like a normal snap rate, but only saw, he saw a season low 11% target chair. That was with Joe Flacco. That was with like a better passing game. Now he's Anthony Richardson,

17 and a half percent of his targets have been inaccurate. Um, and this game I think projects to be a little bit ugly, 43 point total. So like he could have a decent game again, like four or five catches, 40 yards, 42 yards, which is like a bounce back for him and still go under this total with Anthony Richardson. Um, yeah, I mean, I would just, I guess I would be surprised if he's fully healthy. If he is fully healthy, I would be surprised if Anthony Richards is able to strengthen like enough consistency together with Josh Downs, I think being just like kind of coming into his own here as also a very good player.

So I like the under here at 47 and a half for Pittman and it's a 45 and a half and other spots. I think that's probably the lowest I'd take. I like it too. And I don't love unders necessarily. And I love Michael Pittman and Anthony Richardson. So it gives you a sense of what I think of that one. Slop, what do you think?

I stopped listening when I heard under. But, yeah, I'm with it. If Connor said it, it's probably going to hit. Love that, Slop. He's my under guy. Like if he says under and I have the over, I immediately am like, damn. Like I just lost. And, like, damn. Like, I just lost. And, like, the game hasn't even started yet.

The other night, I looked on Twitter, and he was like, I want to fade the hell out of Conklin. I'm like, I have Conklin. And now I don't even want to watch the game anymore. You love the tight ends, though, I mean, to be fair. Big tight end guy. Big tight end guy. Yeah.

Yeah, we're also not – I feel like we're not opposite that much, which is good. And I'm not surprising, but like with the amount of unders that I bet and the amount of like fun overs that you like, I feel like it should probably be more, but it's probably good that we're not opposite very often. Yeah, but that's why I'm like, damn, dude, like what did I miss? Like why would he want this under?

You know what I mean? It's like because I like this over. And then immediately you're like, yeah, I think I just lost. lost like i don't want to watch this game anymore i immediately started looking for like what was going on in baseball that night is there like a hitch front derby hi i can bet sam adding when connor's is under we shout how low that's funny gotta find the bottom that's hilarious yeah no there's there is another one that's uh hasn't been released yet that i told noonan and company that uh like i don't know how when it's going to be posted i'll just mention it the bucks running back situation with um rashad white i mean they

could post it at 25 and i would still consider an under honestly um against the ravens i don't know i mean like it might still be talking about hot hand three head back committee situation that oh that's you can play yourself out of the mix with a bad drive like those are the worst terms hot hand three-headed monster it's like oh god i'd stop i'm out immediately i want none of these guys yeah i was thinking slop would find alts find one guy at 50 plus you know for you know two to one just hope he's the dude he knows i could be rashad white you cross him off the list so you're down to two guys that possibly could be to get the hot hands you know yeah i mean like even if he gets like six carry seven carries against the ravens like no one gets more than like 40 yards against the ravens with like 15 to 20 so like and i think we're gonna get like probably in the 30s like a little 30s i think that's what

we'll get so uh that'll probably be a play for me but who knows we'll see yeah oh wait that sgp hit last night it oh it got caught i didn't hit okay oh that sucks slop right started reading the thing and was like oh it is and then got called back i'm back why it's rebet coins and i don't have any like i only got like 10 of them i'm still trying to like deposit with um android they're getting there though i was told they're getting there so that's good but yeah um that was a good parlay i mean hats off to me i mean that was like no matter what happened that was sweet part like that was so good but yeah is it my turn yet yeah all right um i i i mean this is a weekly thing you know'm doing this, but I will give you something else as well just because, like, this shouldn't even count as, like, my pick. But Jamison Williams, 50-plus receiving yards, plus 105 draft kings.

I got yesterday. I'm pretty sure that's still there. I'm looking at the screen right now, and I'm – hang on. I can't really see all that well if i could see better i'd already be saying what it is so not my fault um yeah 50 plus plus 105 dude that's hitting uh the other one i will say too is if you don't want to take jmo because of all the things that connor's about to say when i give this analysis the vikings are – you can't really run them, I don't think. I think you're going to have to throw the ball.

They're going to put pressure on Detroit to throw the ball with their offense. So we should get like kind of a shootout going. It depends on if we can get some big plays. Otherwise, I bet you both these teams could eat the clock a little bit, which would suck. But, I mean, even with all the blitz, and I think J-Mo can catch one short and take it you know 60 yards and I don't think he has to get his bomb like you're

saying his 50-yard reception on a bomb like it could be literally a drag route that's just where did he go you know he's just he's gone you know so there is that I think he's gonna catch multiple balls I think they have to throw it I don't't think it's going to be like last week where, you know, they just got out to that lead and then it was just like they played like whatever ball. Like they were running, they were just doing whatever they wanted, and, you know, he got lost in the mix. I would think he catches multiple passes.

So I don't know about an anti-correlation play on him. But just because, like I said, like I would hate if he caught the fourth ball and it's like, well, we all knew he was probably going to catch four balls. That might be his ceiling, but it's still four balls. So he's getting 50-plus. But bonus sides, if you don't want to go with him or if you already had him because you knew we were going to say him, you could make a real case for Tim Patrick

plus or over 21 and a half receiving yards. I mean, if you wanted to, I'm looking right now. They don't have a reception number for him. It's not on the field that much, really. But 25 plus is plus 114. I feel like that's kind of a joke. I don't know why he got cut out of Denver. I didn't think he was that bad.

I'm not saying he's Jerry Rice or anything, but he like a serviceable guy like he was not a bad receiver and since he's kind of broken in with Detroit I mean it's been I think two games well three I mean actually my bad he's been for four weeks I didn't know that on the 30th against Seattle two for 52 three for 68 against Dallas I mean it was kind of like it's weird how he gets into the game. It's not like he's always out there. But my point is they look for him down the field. I mean, he could catch a 25-yard pass and get you a plus 114. But I think he's more involved.

They spread it out to everybody now. That's what stinks. Like you almost can't even play Amon Ra, even though this is a good matchup for him just because his numbers are so high. And they have so many different people they throw to. You better be able to play i'm on raw i plays my first play of the week was i'm on raw over 72 and a half receiving yards who's it's tough though right though it's not as like he's not just like a shoe in like he was before so you start looking like oh what about laporta what about james jamo what about those running backs what about tim patrick now

like why is he even there you know what i mean like you don't like how many guys do you need well last year i mean there was just you know those were khalif raymond reps and uh you know he's still there too isn't it gosh reynolds reps yeah yeah like why just shorten that target tree a little bit help us out yeah i still love you a really fun team if they had a shorter target tree yeah i think i don't know i think they see oh like i think there's gonna be a lot of like passing volume in this game so i probably won't be playing jmo all negatively correlated noon and i think you are though it seems like based on the chat are you interested this i mean every maybe i don't know like i already play yeah every week uh i gotta like it is almost an auto bet i did no i did this week was it hasn't been

four and a half yet no it's not been four okay yeah so three and a half i mean you're you are right there where it's like you know is he gonna catch that fourth ball like i don't know i played three and a half 60 plus plus 10 74 that's good yeah so yeah i mean I think you make a great Case four receptions is Definitely how it dies you know That's yeah yeah yeah I think he gets The yards like I think that game Is going to be just wild Same yeah

Slop there's this new website I don't know if you've Heard of this it's called I mean we don't even have A promo here it's called Gambly It's launched by it was started By Jonathan Bales and Cal Spears Like former I don't know just like even have a promo here it's called gambly uh it's launched by it was started by jonathan bales and cal spears um like former i don't know just like founders in the space it allows you to compare alt receiving lines across different books so you just like type it in and be like hey can you show me this it's like a little chat gbt bot but for betting and it's free and so like i just pulled

it up so like jameson's alt which is wow because there's like massive discrepancies on alt jameson's alt for 100 plus is plus 560 at fanduel it's plus 700 at draft kings 110 plus is 11 to 1 at draft kings 8 to 1 only at fanduel so it it was um week one remember that like where we kept trying to do 90 plus on them and it was like you couldn't even play them at fanduel just because of what was available across the street yeah you know like literally 1100 or something like that for 90 plus and then fanduel was like 880 and it's like damn man like that is wild skipping me yeah yeah it's a great resource it's pretty pretty cool so uh yeah i think that's a good uh negatively correlated one in that game i have a couple other uh another one in that game. I have a couple other. Another one in that game, and it's a great play.

Our guy, Monotone, put out the longest reception for Jordan Addison, which I think is a great look. I think Jordan Addison is another great uncorrelated look. Addison under three and a half, 60 plus, is 23 to one. And his average at the target is 23 to one. Uh, and it's, I think his average of the targets like almost 20. So as long as he doesn't go crazy on volume,

uh, that's a really nice price. I like that one quite a bit. Same thing. Worthy. You got to play the worthy one. Same thing. Three and a half 60 plus is like 14 to one.

The other one I was waiting on because they, uh, last time I checked, they didn't have receptions yet, but I think Terry McLaurin under five and a half, 70 plus in the spot against Carolina, where I don't think they're going to have to really push on the gas in the second half from a passing standpoint,

but he can definitely get there with a big play and some, you know, some yardage. I think McCorin's another interesting look. So yeah, those are probably, you say that because I was trying to figure out like, you know, I'm always game script. So I'm like, all right. So what game script is this negatively correlated stuff?

Like that's like the next thing to think about. You know what I mean? It's like, which one are you looking for? And I was thinking about last week and I was thinking maybe we look for the like beat down game. You know what I mean? Like where you think one team's gonna beat down the other one and sure enough the jamo game came in a beat down even though it was jamo so it doesn't really count because he's just correlated anyways but um but yeah that's funny you say that because that might be that that was exactly what i was thinking like like if we find beat downs i bet you that's where your negatively correlated stuff really comes from. Take the favorite, you know what I'm saying, whatever their number one is, whoever it is, you know what I'm saying, in there. Because second half, they're probably not going to get the ball thrown to them.

Yes. Big play guys, too, I think is a good way to go about it. Tutu Atwell could be an option this week if you get like Cooper Cut back in there. Like Tutu could catch one ball for 30 yards. That's probably enough to free the catch up. Yep. Washington pass catchers i think are interesting too um i don't think that they're gonna have a ton of like volume uh overall thanks for joining the show connor we were talking about terry mcclory okay sorry i'm so i'm breaking news here i'm breaking news okay he's breaking news ryan oh

my bad my bad connor i'm sorry i this. I was putting my Michael Pittman bet, and my mind just like immediately went out of election land, out of, you know, everywhere. So FanDuel just launched your way in Illinois. Have you seen that? No, I heard about it, and people are posting stuff, and I don't have that. So you can customize a same-game par yeah at any number for receptions yards or

anything for every single player oh my god dude yeah see if you're not signing the pricing i'm always negative negatively correlated parlay jameson under five receptions and 100 plus yards is like 30 to 1. I mean, I'm going to be – I'm going to go broke. Babe! I'm going to be rich. That'll be a long night. Yeah. I ain't coming to bed. Back up the –

I can't believe you guys have that. Like how do you think they're rolling that out? Like what's the strategy? Because I want it. It wasn't in Illinois as of like this morning or like last night. So unless I missed it, but I mean, I, you know, I'm on the app pretty frequently, I would say. So it's, I don't know, but I'm sure you'll get it soon.

They're just like rolling it out state by state. It was in, I think, New Jersey first, maybe. I mean, this is. I saw screenshots of it and I was like, that looks like an absolute game changer. Where exactly is it on the, so once you go into the game on that top toolbar, do you know what I'm saying, where it says popular, same game parlay, TD score, props, quick bets, drive SGP, quarter props, passing props.

Do you know what I'm saying? Where is it located? So it's like right next to same game parlay. So it's like popular, same game parlay, then it will say your way. Okay. So I'm just going to look there. Every time I open that. It will be like right next to same game parlay. So it's like popular same way. Probably then it'll say your way. I'm just going to look every time I open it right there. So every time I open it from now on, I'm just going to look and be like, dude,

please be there. Please be there. Yeah. I, I don't know, man. I guess I got to refresh the app. Oh,

maybe if I update the app, they'll give it to me. Who knows? And you got to click into a game it's not just going to pop up you have to click into yeah yeah no i'm the only thing that's what i deduced from when i saw the screenshots my guard so i'm in the game and i'm looking i'm like there's it's not here obviously but i'm still looking anyways because like just in case like what if it was but it was not and that sucked sucked, man. It also, I guess there's no,

there's the only thing is there's no, it's like a temp still, which means you can't do quarterbacks like passing times or rushing at times, which means you can't do running backs. Cause I know there were some fun ones we want to do there, but I think you could do, I mean, you could do like passing yards and receiving yards negatively correlated.

I mean, you can, or just regularly correlated. I mean, it's your way, dude. It's your way, dude. It's your way. That's pretty sick. We'll see.

Probably post some stuff on our Discord about that. Who knows? We'll do a little fun look through there. Did you guys talk about Xavier Worthy? I'm sorry. My brain went to mush when I saw that. I did. Thank you for listening. I appreciate it. He's all over him. Those are the only two ones that I had.

We can move on. I don't blame you. This is... Yeah, you weren't just being a jerk. Your way, I'm going to be frozen. Like, wait, what? He was doing us a favor. He was reporting breaking news, giving us a new look.

It's not your fault, dude. Not your fault. My way. Actually, it's my way now. All right. Last one for me before we can start building out our parlay. Staying in the same vein, going back to the well. Bet this gentleman last week in a different way,

and I think he's in a great spot again. I want Tony Pollard over three and a half receptions. This is minus 108 on FanDuel, available everywhere, probably without Tajay Spears here dealing with a hammy. Should probably have 85, 90% snap share for Pollard against the Bills. We went at the Bills with a Grease Hall reception line last week because the Bills have seen more targets, given up the most catches and most

receiving yards to running backs all season long and now you take spears out and pollard basically it was chestnut or whatever is uh coming in like that is not a guy that i'm really worried about taking a ton of pollard work or even past game works i think that's definitely pollard spot so um yeah i mean he's had, at least three in every game, except the blowout in Miami, which basically just need him to do what he does in most weeks. Again, the Titans have also targeted the running back position on 23% of their passing attempts. That's the second highest rate in the league. So something they like to do, throw to the running backs. They got one less guy to do it. It's just going to be Pollard and the good spot against the

Bills and the good price. So give me Pollard here over three and a half receptions um connor my donkey for targeting running back receptions this week um i mean i i did flinch when i saw that you were going to play two running back receptions but i mean i can't disagree with either of them so it's like you know i'm not going to say that they're like under worthy play so i think that's a win right um some of the other shit i'm putting out there that i feel pretty good about isn't winning I'm not going to say that they're like under worthy play. So I think that's a win, right? Some of the other shit I'm putting out there that I feel pretty good about isn't winning. So let's go back to, you know,

let's go to some, some stuff that I think I feel pretty good about. So last night, right? I mean, that's feel like that's sacks. Sacks have been good. Yeah.

Zach Allen got home for us last night. So I'll slap any thoughts on Pollard. You're definitely ahead of the market i mean vandal at minus 108 if you look at bed mgm it's minus 135 caesar's minus 137 caesar's a very sharp book by the way minus 155 at espn bet see so i mean like all those books are like way off of what you're on so hopefully that's a good thing. But, yeah, no, I think Pollard, he has to be the guy, right, because Spears is probably not going to play.

I had his over carries last week, Spears, and that was nice to find out that he pulled a hammy in the game. All right. That sucks. But, underdog, shout out to you guys because you, whatever, they rescued, I think they called it rescued the uh slip so i got my money back because of that so that was that was nice of them but uh yeah no pollard is pollard's pollard man he's a good running back they're gonna need to throw the ball uh if levis plays

obviously you don't want that guy being too far away from levis so i feel like the running back would be close enough to him that he could probably get it to him so yeah and then the bills that's where you attack them i think every box you know i'm saying gets checked off so yeah or it's usually my limit so that's good especially very close to even money yeah i like it quite a bit so not something i want to dive into all the time and again i like receptions more than yards because i see a lot of variations in what can happen with the yards. Just got to catch the ball, fall down, Tony. We just need four of them. Again, in both these situations,

these running backs are both like over a touchdown underdog with real no competition to take those targets. So a couple other sacks I'll give you, but then we can start to build into our millionaire parlay real quick. I really like, what do we got here? So I want to find out what's going on with Brian Burns.

I think Brian Burns is going to get home against the, against the Eagles here. Jordan Malala, not in the lineup for the Eagles. It's a big one. Fred Johnson is stepping in. Sounds like a normal guy, right?

Fred Johnson. Yeah. Mr. Johnson. When you, when you look at the offensive linemen this year that have allowed the most pressures, it's a bunch of guys that have played like 200 to 300 snaps.

Then it's Mr. Johnson. Johnson has allowed the fourth most quarterback pressures in the league, 18, on just 76 pass-blocking snaps. And Burns has been cooking. He's second in the league in quick pressures. I think he's got like four or five sacks the last couple games. If he's okay, he gets home here. I like that one quite a bit.

Then Gregory Russo, same game that we just talked about, Buffalo Bills. Will Levis loves to take sacks. They've demoted Nicolas Petit-Friere, who has been absolutely awful this season, but they brought in a guy who couldn't beat him out. So Leroy Watson, welcome. Undrafted free agent out of UT San Antonio. You now get Greg Russo, who's playing really good football. He gets home against Will Levis or Mason Rudolph or whoever's there too.

Those have not been popped up yet, but those are a couple of looks that we like in the sack department. So let's build a million dollar parlay. Love it. All right. Let's see if we can do this in under 10 minutes. What do you think? No, our dumb ideas, 10 minutes.

I think we can do this. We did a 10 minutes on betting or on voting or election betting. And that cost us today. Yeah. The election cost us. I think that's very good information though. Like I said, if you've ever watched an election without money on it, that's fine. We're trying to be respectful of you.

You're the one that has all the stuff to do. I could stay here for another hour and we'd be fine. We only have so many more elections, too. It's every four years. You don't want to mess this up, dude. Some people say this could be the last one depending on who wins. Yeah, no,

seriously. This could be the last election. That's what, that's what I heard on television. So that'd be disappointing just because we couldn't bet on another one. I feel like that's not, not because of what would happen. You just dude,

dude, watching something that you don't have money on. So it's all, just remember that. So bet on it. Anyways, let's go. All right.

Patriots, Jags, Drake, May passing bet on it. Anyways, let's go. All right. Patriots-Jags. Drake May passing and rushing alt. I like Demario Douglas somehow. All right. Douglas it is. That's fine with that too. I don't care. Either one is okay with me.

Watching them play last week, he doesn't look horrible. So that's the best thing I can say about him. But the Douglas guy, he's good. Like, he's good. Every time he's throwing the ball, he seemed to be by himself somehow. And it's like, well, I feel like if they're going to move the ball through the air, I think you can just start crossing off other receivers. You know what I mean?

And that kind of takes May out of the conversation. Does that make sense? Yeah, I love May. I love May me stuff too i like i like it but i like all of it i'm good with all of it this is a uh we were talking about something uh in a different bet but there's some weather concerns and now there's this field situation where there's been concerns about the wembley turf in the past and now they're rolling out a new turf uh but we could see that lead to overs like we saw in that week one game in brazil

uh jason the chat is mentioning here you know, DB is falling down long plays. What do we see? Like 60, 70 points in that game against, you know, better offenses than New England and Jacksonville. But still, there's a possibility to explore that angle. But I'm in on Drake May stuff. I think Bob Douglas is probably the best bet for New England pass catchers, too. So I'm happy with it.

Sweet. All right. happy with it. Sweet. All right. Lions, Vikings. Do we want to go with Jameson? Everything. Amon Ra, both? Just put everything over. Seriously.

I mean, Justin Jefferson is hard because he's already at like 95. I took his over 100. I'm dead serious. I never go that high. I never go that high. But I really think this is a game where you're going to be like, why the hell did I have Jefferson? You know what I mean?

When he's got like a buck 60 in the third quarter. I think he's got a 150 plus like five times against Dan Campbell or something crazy like that. There was one game where it was like a quiet game. Otherwise, there's a 200 yarder in there. It's a couple of 180s in there. I don't think they can handle him. No. So 120 plus for Jefferson, 90-plus for Jamison,

and then anything on Amon Ra too? I love Amon Ra, to be honest. Me too. I like his receptions though. Okay. Well, let's do receptions then. They might do that weird thing where they keep him near the line of scrimmage type thing.

Nine receptions? Plus 220 for nine? I mean – I'll take nine. Yeah, do eight because we already have J-Mo's yard, so I bet you they give us a little credit there. You're right. You're right.

You know what I'm saying? Cool. We got three from that game alone. Texans, Packers, you guys like anything? Kind of like Tank Dell. I like Tank Dell. I think yardage, though. Like I have his receptions as well, 6-plus at plus 120.

I think that's plus 130 now. So I'm kind of embarrassed to say that because that means that they were like, we don't care about your slop. You know what I mean? We'll raise the price after you got down. My Amon Ra, I bet, is the same as after I played it. So it's another humbling one. It is what it is.

I beat the closing line on a lot of things last night, that loss. So whatever, closing line guys. LCLV, yeah. I like that. Hank Dale Yardage, I would think he does well. Well, Ryan, you know defense, so Jair Alexander will probably go with Diggs, right? Not a big shadow guy, typically.

Okay, well, then it doesn't matter. So what do we think? 90 is plus 275, 100 is plus 390, 80 is plus 190. shadow guy typically okay well then then it doesn't matter yeah so what do you think 90s plus 275 hundreds plus 390 80s plus 190 i think 80 80 is good yeah okay i love jordan love longest uh but i don't know how you know who's longest jordan love oh that's actually good you can do all longest on this um thing so that would actually be a good one. They're missing a starting corner and a starting safety. Jimmy Ward's out. Kamari Lassiter is out.

I think you're going to see some fireworks with Jordan Love deep. It's just a matter of who is that player. That's why it's safer to take Love. So if you can take an alt on it. There's no alts on it. They have it for receivers, but not for quarterbacks, I guess. Which, I mean, I don't know is there like an old christian watson longest i think that's still put it in though what is the regular line

even if it's just a regular one just as long as you know i'm saying like we decide that yeah i mean it's another just another leg 37 and a half why not yeah 37 and a half a little bit all right player alt i don't know why i just lost it all right alt longest completion there 37.5, a little bit. All right. Player alt. I don't know why I just lost it. All right. Alt, longest completion there. Perfect. Oh, nope.

It's not letting me add it. It doesn't have the SGP thing by it. All right. Oh, yeah. That's how you know it's legit. Whenever they won't let you SGP it, you want to stay in that bracket. Yep. Yep.

Well, that's that. All right. Eagles, Giants. Are we believing in a Saquon bounce back game? I got a gross one. You can, you can talk to me off of it. I just want to put it out there, but I think Connor might already know it for,

for some reason we've had 11 rushing attempts. The last two games, each, each game from Daniel Jones, he's had nine design runs in each of the past two games. So Danny Jones, 50 plus Danny Jones jones i mean i think his prop is just like 28 and a half or something like that i'm gonna play it um rushing yards so kind of gross but um you know this is the old points bat play right uh good points bad daniel jones like

these quarterbacks that can run that have a ceiling uh can take the top off and go alts. I get it. It's Daniel Jones. It's not fun, but I think he can run. 50 plus is plus 380. 40 plus is plus 185. He has 38 and 56 rushing hours the last two weeks. That's almost his prop.

Minus 119. I think that's just like his regular prop. His regular prop is 28 and a half so we want like 40 yeah all right all right so 40 plus and then um that's it's pretty nasty um if this was the sunday night or monday night game i would say no we shouldn't do it um but don't put it in I want conviction no I want conviction I want it I'm saying

we don't have to watch it like we don't have to watch it yeah so that's you just look at the box do it sweet yeah you did you didn't have to watch it play out yeah CMC has this I thought about this too Jones rushing when neighbors doesn't play I mean it's two games it's not like he hasn't rushed in a bunch of other games Yeah, CMC has this – I thought about this too. Jones is rushing when the neighbors doesn't play.

I mean, it's two games. It's not like he hasn't rushed in a bunch of other games. He's had – in another game earlier this season where I think he had like 45 rushing yards. Typically he does run a little bit. I also think he just scrambles more without Andrew Thomas in the lineup. So maybe the design runs come back down to earth a little bit, but he's forced out of the pocket because the Eagles pass rush does that to him. So, yeah, that's it. Darren's coming in hot because the Eagles pass trust does that to him. So yeah.

Darren's coming in hot in the chat. You see that? He hates Saquon apparently. Aaron dude. I mean, Saquon's going to run for like a buck 20 and if he doesn't, then maybe Daniel Jones is alive. Yeah. All right. So anything um i mean anything on the eagle side

like aj brown saquon anything like that saquon numbers are so high yeah i don't like anything i will look at that man i'm glad this is not a standalone game that'd be forced to play something that I don't want to play. Seahawks Falcons could do Kenneth overs. We can do Bijan overs. It's only 62. Could do Algier alts. DK Metcalf alts.

Anything interesting to you guys? Not really. I like the over in the game. I just don't know who it's going to be. Right. Like it's, I think Kenneth, but in the receiving game.

Okay. Three and a half, though. Now they caught up. Three and a half is like minus 138 at FanDuel. That stinks. Three and a half is minus 170 at ESPN. What are they doing over there? It shouldn't even be legal.

Minus 170? Yeah, move it to 70. Yeah, because Lockett's probably not hurt right they said he sat out of practice there's nothing wrong with him yeah they said he's in like mid-tel alright so I thought

DK Metcalf receiving yards might be in play cause he is their alpha and then they kinda like like i don't know kenneth only catches balls whenever everyone's covered he's kind of dumped off if you saw last week it was like this is so dumb like these are i wish i had them over in those receptions but i didn't know that was going to happen it wasn't designed for him it was they were they were behind and they were trying to catch up and then like you know i saying? Everybody go out and then no one's there.

Here, here, take this reception. It's like, damn. I'm pretty sure Metcalf had like a 70-yard touchdown call back for him last week. Yeah. So, I mean, he's hit 100-plus like multiple times already this season. I think this is a pretty good matchup to do it. I like Jason's look here too. I mean, Atlanta's second worst pressure rate in the league.

They're not going to get a lot of pressure. I would say – Just get the Geno 300. Yeah, Geno 300, get rid of DK. Okay, cool. Got it in there. Nice work, Coop. Yeah, love that.

Shout out Jason. Bengals, Browns, you guys like anything there? And Joku. We don't have to play him since we already got him straight. No, this is the spot to do it. If we're going to do it, I mean. Well, we can't do his yards. And then, like I said, his receptions kind of got nuked.

What are you? I don't think you can really go because, like, the receptions now, like I would never do his yards in one of these because i don't think it is totally gonna be a shot i think 50 is about where you know he'll end up but the receptions now if you went to fan duel here i'll get him up it's like five is minus 116 or 118 six is plus 162 and now i think you're getting kind of ridiculous though if you know what i mean like i don't think it's going to be some you know he's out here setting records so you know what i mean it's one of those where you just kind of smack it straight get your little five plus win and then move on with your life you know what i mean yeah yeah seven plus is plus 275 that's

the only one that i think would be viable for the the payout but i mean he needs like 10 targets probably maybe more yeah he's 12 yeah yeah so that seems kind of ridiculous i just feel like that's not what we're trying to do here like we're looking for like ceiling outcomes where it's like that's probably like a mean slash ceiling outcome like that yeah i like chase brown longest but that's not another Millie leg. Yeah. Yeah, it's – I like everything Chase Brown. What's up? Everything Chase Brown, but even he's gotten kind of new.

Like four receptions for him is plus 205 now, which that would have been like 500 a couple weeks ago. Yeah, we need 70 plus for plus 195 on rushing yards, which I think is a little much. I'm not even sure that he plays 60% of the snaps. I think he's probably still just the 1A. That's why I like the longest slip, because I think he can get there in a splash play.

Yeah, and then the game script just doesn't match up for the Bengals receivers at all. They get ahead, and now you get to watch Chase Brown and Zach Moss just three yards, yards three you don't like that those are the worst um all right we'll just skip this game then bills shakir 50 plus i think i put that in there um yeah that should be good all right and then wait who were they playing titans titans yeah pollard Go Pollard receiving yards maybe. Yeah, you played receptions, right, Noonan?

I played receptions. Yeah. I mean, here, let me get it. Combo yards? Receiving yards. I mean, he's going to run a bunch. I mean, the only worry about running is like if they fall behind, but they've been running so much anyways, it might not matter. Yeah.

I think he's receiving yards is good for him because I bet he catches a couple balls early on and then once the game script gets away from him, that could happen. All right. It's 100 plus. My bad. 300 plus total yards. Last week kind of sucks.

What did you say? Where are these receptions coming from? Are these little screens behind the line of scrimmage? Yeah. Yeah, there's the checkdowns. Dude, look at Chuba Hubbard. Chuba hubbard is our uncorrelated king he's catching four for negative two four for 17 yeah i just need to catch four i don't care what he does with it yeah i would say the receptions is the only way i would touch pollard so strike from the record the receiving yards i did not say that. Okay. Record.

No one shall be. Yep. Perfect. Six receptions is plus two 85 plus one 25. It's a lot of catches. It's a lot of catches. Keep it moving. All right.

Okay. Then Colts Tyreek Alts. We had our guy Rami in the discord talking about it. I actually don't think it's a bad look. Secondary sucks. We're looking at he had one called back, an 80-yard bomb, barely missed. He's close, and the prop's only

54, so 80 plus is really... 80 plus is plus 210. 90 plus is plus 320 for a guy that could literally house a screen anytime or end up with like 25 yards. But, um, the matchup is so good.

He's playing against, I mean, like Noonan's kid is like playing corner for the Colts this week. I mean, this is like, you know, brutal. Who is this?

We're looking at Tyreek. Yeah. What if, I think his base prop is like a, a bad bet. Like I think he's like think he's 54 and a half at minus 120 is a bad bet but like he told me he had like 90 yards this week on like four or five catches i wouldn't be surprised yeah i'll be honest with you i mean you guys probably get mad at me but dude tyler huntley 200 plus i mean that that could I'm not opposed. I don't think it's that bad.

I don't hate it. That whole team sucks, man. Dude, he can drop one off to A-chain. He can drop one off to Waddle. It kind of covers all the bases with his three guys. New England. Yeah. I mean, not that they're great, but you know what I mean?

Like, he's getting right there, and that was – he threw the ball 31 times. The game before that was Tennessee where he started – like, dude, he hadn't played, you know, since like ever. You know what I mean? So third game, horrible defense inside. Pace. Yeah.

Yeah, pace. Indy's pace. Yep. I mean, that's not that ridiculous. So maybe we – I mean, I don't know. What is it, Connor? What's up? Hundley's only plus 121 to get 200 yards, but plus 225, he's a little bit more.

He's like plus, you know, 255 for 225 plus passing yards. I don't know, 275 to 880. I mean, might as well just be a man. How about we go 250 plus at plus 500 and we'll put Tyreek in there because he's throwing 250 plus. It's not just going to be like Tyreek has to be involved. Like there's like, yeah. All right.

I kind of went out a little bit and go to 25 plus 250. I mean, this is Tyler Huntley. Let's, I mean, I know we're getting excited to be a man. I know. At some point we got to be a smart man. You want to win. Can you say that anymore? Can you say be a man? I don't think so.

It depends on who wins the election. That's actually very true. You have to say it. Oh my God. Where are we at, Con? That's so funny. All right, we're close we're close um we got we need like one more basically one or two more to get to like a reasonable payout so um do we want to touch on panthers commanders do we want chuba do we want like uh how about Kyron? He's 9-20.

What do you think about Kittle? Kyron? I like Kittle. Juwan Jennings is going to be out. And Pearsall just got shot. I mean, this guy's recovering from literal. That's tough, yeah. It didn't happen yesterday. And Debo's injured.

Jordan Mason is still non-contact like i don't know who else is gonna like touch the ball so what do we want kiddo like 80 plus i mean i think you go off i mean i think we could get away with adding these legs later in the parlay i mean we've got a lot of legs right now so if you did 60 plus plus 126 like it starts to like get down to like you know i'm saying like whenever you put in like 10 bucks like oh shit that's almost a million you know what i mean like it we're at a million with 10 bucks right now where are we at we're at we're at over a million on 10 bucks right now yeah dude 60 60 plus yards he's you know he's getting it. Beautiful. All right.

How many legs do we have? 11. We need 12. Can't do 11. Yeah. We need one more. I mean, Kyron's going to run all over the Raiders. We know what the Rams do when they're in a positive game script.

No one else gets on the field. It's just going to be Kyron. I I think his binary props like 92 and a half. So one 20, one 25. That's plus two 60. Um, you want to do that? I love it.

I just have the, his normal number. I don't have any alts for him. Like it's not even listing the odds. Cause they're just like so high at this point um it's like two two dollars and fifty cents to win a milli so i think we're in a good spot all right quick recap jameson 90 justin jefferson 120 almond raw eight receptions tyreek 90 huntley 225 shakir 60 dan Daniel Jones 40 rushing, Kittle 60 receiving,

Tank Dell 80 receiving, Pop Douglas 80 plus, Gino 300 plus, Kyron 120 plus. I've seen crazier things when I'm hitting some bit. It's going to be crazy being a millionaire, man. It keeps saying, now it's giving me an error here, so I don't know what's going on. Where'd you make it? I got it. We're good. Hey, can you send me the link? Yep. I'm at our buddy Caesar's house

for this. Okay. They know. Yeah. Sorry, the dogs are starting to get a little bit loose. The juice is loose. They're getting excited about the election. They just got up from their nap

and they like to let everyone know that they are awake. They're doing a good job of that. Connor, fantasy trade question we're going to take from Mikhail because he was generous. Trading Brian Thomas Jr. and Josh Jacobs for JT? I'm not.

No. Okay. No. Definitely not. Thanks, Meek. Appreciate you hanging out with us. Yeah. No, it's – I mean, Brian Thomas Jr. is an alpha.

I'm not even sure you trade Jacobs for JT. Yeah. And Jacobs is like crushing right now. I know he's losing a little bit of work, but yeah.'t do it don't do it all right i love it you can find you want to get the parlay you want to look at it and see it's uh you got to follow at four for four bets on twitter connor usually tweets that out from the accounts so you guys can see that there again download rebet sweepstakes betting prop builder You want more outs, you're limited. Rebet's available in 46 states.

So probably for you. Promo code HIGHSLOP. Download it. Use the promo code HIGHSLOP. You're going to get a free month of 4 for 4. You're going to get a free month of HIGHSLOP's Dub Club. I mean, again, we already determined the beginning of the show. There isn't a theoretical

price on even what that would be worth. Yeah. So it's only $10. And I mean, come on, let's go. Let's jump in. And again, think about it. You're going to be a millionaire on Sunday night. So what's $10 today? Literally nothing. So we didn't even hit the night game.

Did we? No, we didn't even hit the night game, did we? Didn't even eat it. We're literally eating dinner as a millionaire. There's going to be no more eating ketchup for dinner, having a couple of ice cubes. You're going to be eating real food. I'm literally going to a steakhouse tonight because I already know that I'm going to Millie. Dude, I just quit my job.

I just texted my boss. I'm going to Maria's tomorrow. I'm done, buddy. I know I'm going to Maria's tomorrow. Done, buddy. Because I know I'm going to have a million in my pocket on Sunday. Love it. Tough. All right, appreciate everyone hanging out with us again. Make sure you subscribe before you take off.

Again, move the line wherever you listen to podcasts. 444-BETS on the YouTube channel. Promo code HIGHSLOP. Download Rebat. $10. Come hang out with us. For Connor and Slop, I'm Ryan. We'll see you all next week.

Thanks. Bye. Bye.