Move The Line - Expert NFL Week 8 Player Prop Bets! | Top Picks, Predictions & Odds

Episode Date: October 25, 2024

Get ready for Week 8 with our top prop bet picks! Join us as we break down the best NFL prop bets for opening week, analyzing player performances, key matchups, and hidden opportunities to maximize yo...ur winnings. Whether you're betting on touchdowns, yardage, or game-changing plays, we've got the insights you need to make the smartest bets. Subscribe now and start the season with a winning edge! Earn $50 in Pick6 Credits and a month of NFL+ Premium when you play $5+ on your first ever entry on Pick6 👉🏼https://shorturl.at/xY53r Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package 👉🏼  https://www.4for4.com/plans Sign-up on FanDuel Today 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/go/fanduel Follow 4for4 on Twitter 👉🏼    / 4for4football  Follow 4for4 Bets on Twitter 👉🏼    / 4for4bets  Follow Move the Line on Twitter 👉🏼    / movethelinenfl   Follow Connor on Twitter 👉🏼    / connorallennfl  Follow Ryan on Twitter 👉🏼    / rynoonan  Follow John on Twitter 👉🏼    / sloprules   Visit our Website 👉🏼  https://www.4for4.com/Join our Discord 👉🏼    / discord  Subscribe to our YouTube Channel 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3OupraJ 4for4 Betting Strategy Hub 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3hm39cw4for4 Betting Picks 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3LUp0Ea NFL Betting Odds & Predictions 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3nsW9QU 

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 hello and welcome move line prop drop show presented by DraftKings Sportsbook I'm Ryan Noonan back with my friends Connor Allen and John Hyslop to talk about the best way the most profitable way bet on NFL football and that is through player props we're going to be here live throughout the season 3 p.m eastern every friday on the 444 bets youtube channel here to take your questions here to build million dollar parlays uh and talk about player props if you're hanging out with us now on youtube jump in the chat let us know your favorite look is for week eight at this point uh connor what's going on yeah not a whole lot thankfully out of wedding season for the most part so uh that's nice. But it's Halloween weekend.
Starting point is 00:00:45 So we got a bunch of fun stuff to do this weekend. I got a great costume courtesy of Rahul. You know the Dunkings commercial from the Super Bowl last year? He hooked me up with one of those track suits with the whole thing and the bucket hat. So pretty hyped about that. Should be a good weekend. Slop, you're in the New England area.
Starting point is 00:01:03 You probably get your hands on a Dunkin' costume. They give them away at every Dunkin' Donuts. They just hand them out. Yeah, you buy 20 munchkins and get yourself a coffee culotta. You get two for that. Yeah. What's going on, buddy? Just living the dream, man.
Starting point is 00:01:22 I'm getting ready for Halloween too, but is this Halloween halloween weekend i was gonna say that i was gonna be like you and i were you know parents we're just thinking about halloween next week we're not thinking about being like in our 20s and like getting in costumes and partying that's true keeps us young so yeah yeah okay yeah i think both things i'm in the kid game. So we're thinking about next Thursday. As parents, we have an entire weekend of non-Halloween stuff to do this weekend, and then we get to Halloween. So inevitably there's going to be costume changes last second that we somehow got to figure out.
Starting point is 00:02:00 Somebody's going to put on something for the first time at 5 o'clock on Halloween and it's not going to fit. Like those are all things that happen next week though. Real things. Yeah. Yeah. I heard there's a, I don't know if you could dispel these rumors. Apparently there's going to be a slop coin.
Starting point is 00:02:21 I'm hoping I'm yeah. I need to raise some capital. And I recently I saw on Twitter that some other cappers were raising capital like that they made pretty good money I think you can really make some money a slop coin might be in order to maybe
Starting point is 00:02:38 I could raise some capital but we'll see Connor any thoughts on this subject that has been brewing in the gambling twitter slash sports twitter cycle here for people that may not know what's going on yeah let's say for those who aren't aware um taylor mathis the queen of well actually not the queen of walking bets but she took that from someone else technically um but that's lucy's that's lucy's shout out lucy's which which actually i i know you guys are friends but i thought it was hilarious
Starting point is 00:03:09 that she's now dunking on taylor mathis for this whole thing which is she's like saying like oh i knew she was a bad person just for doing the same betting thing as her that to me give me a fucking break i mean that is ridiculous if you know her you know she is just trolling the shit out of every like it's that's how she's doing a great job yeah i i saw it and i was like this is hilarious i was like this is good you know this is this is rich i'll be honest with you i don't think she even i don't think she even thinks about the other one too much at all like i tried to get them on the thunderdome both together yeah uh just because i thought that would be funny or whatever but i mean like she was up for i mean they both really kind of were but like i don't know it it's more of a troll from her end if you had them on the thunderdome that's my take on it would they have both like
Starting point is 00:03:55 had to be walking at the same like while doing the show is that like we were gonna get to that i was more trying to get them in the door first and then you know i'm I'm saying? Like, so I hadn't really thought too much about it. Maybe I was going to be walking. I mean, who knows? You know what I mean? Oh, man. Yeah. I don't feel as much when I walk, so.
Starting point is 00:04:13 Yeah. The indoor standstill walking ones were a little much for me, but, you know, it's, you know, I've got a bit and I respect her leaning into her a bit. I want her going to the other way, I think. I was thinking, you know what? Just go back to walking. Just walk. It's fine.
Starting point is 00:04:27 But whatever. It's cold in Boston. It's going to talk about. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, for – Because gambling can get boring whenever you get too far into the weeds of like the nuts and bolts and the stats. You know what I mean?
Starting point is 00:04:40 Sure. You got to have some of this going on too. Yeah. Yeah. And I love – I mean, well, don't love, but so the, for those of you aren't aware that the TLDR on the, the Taylor meme coin thing is some crypto people reached out. They're like, we're starting a meme coin, uh, of you. And it blew up.
Starting point is 00:04:58 It had like a $6 million market cap somehow. Don't really know how it's possible, but whatever. So then she's like, okay, well, I'll get involved. If you guys give me 2% of the coin, They gave her 2% of the coin. She's like, oh yeah, I'm going to support this. Realized that the group promoting it was like, I don't know. I mean, it was just, it wasn't for her. I don't think she fully understood what it was. I don't think she fully understood like what was going on. So she had already posted her wallet address. And then one night it was just like, all right, I'm done. She sold it without telling anyone
Starting point is 00:05:24 thinking that no one would notice. They already knew which wallet was. So they saw that she sold it, the coin that it was. And so then people got really mad, obviously dumped the coin and were like freaking out. And we're like, oh, the price plummeted. She made like 27 grand off this. And so where it looks bad is that she re-bought the coin this morning or yesterday morning for pennies on the dollar. I don't think it was to make more money. I think it was legitimately because she was like, oh, man, I shouldn't have done that. She felt bad probably. She felt bad about it.
Starting point is 00:05:55 But now she's bragged about doing that, which looks like fraud or securities. Basically, that's illegal. That's like a pump and dump. You can't really do that. So I mean, I don't know if she's going to go to jail or whatever like i'm sure some people they really want to come after maybe they could you know cause some issues but how she got herself into this she lost her deal with draft king she took that out of the bio i'm assuming she's fired um talk about just like letting the crypto bros like completely ruin your your career i mean that's
Starting point is 00:06:25 just what a disaster yeah tweets are all blocked right she's kind of you know everything's private there yeah probably for you know safety reasons she hasn't tweeted anything a follower like there's no tweets or nothing it's just from yesterday i thought the fun tweets were like i like sports it's just like i'll just tweet something and then like, it'll just whatever. But no, I don't think, I don't think you can go to prison for that. Cause I don't think this is like too regular. I think there's something, I don't know. Like, I just don't think you can go.
Starting point is 00:06:54 I think it's just bad. Like, I don't know. Just a bad look more than anything, which is probably even worse. Like, you know what I mean? Cause it's not like you can like, cause I don't know. Like, you know, you can kind of juggle an online bad look for 27k without repercussions it's like plenty of people are willing to do a lot less for free and have bad looks she at least got 27k out of it yeah wow it's just i don't know i don't think she knew what she was doing
Starting point is 00:07:21 like i'd be honest with everyone's like oh dude you got us blah blah i i am 99 sure she had no idea what she was doing some of my friends went to like high school with her and her family down in central illinois and they are just thinking this is like the biggest riot ever like they are dying laughing because they're like this girl has no idea what's going on like you know nice she nice girl just has clue. Straight up no clue what's going on. That is awesome. What are you going to do? Had to touch on it. Caught up in a crypto fraud scheme. Who hasn't? We've all been there, man.
Starting point is 00:07:54 Who are we to throw stones? It's funny to watch. As long as it's not like you. You know what I mean? Shout out DraftKings. Nice work. Yeah. Joe. Nice work. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:08:08 Yeah. A little bit more budget to work with. Uh, they free up some funds. So you will have some more graphics and stuff coming on the show here soon. Things are changing. Uh, yeah,
Starting point is 00:08:17 just wild, wild times, wild times as always. So, uh, appreciate you guys hanging out with us again, jumping the chat. Let's know what your favorite week eight look is. You want to find the podcast form move the line wherever you listen
Starting point is 00:08:28 to podcasts uh you can check that out again you want to be on youtube though it's the best chance to get price and number uh a lot of these things move pretty quickly uh oftentimes that's because connor and i are putting these into our discord for subscribers at four for four first uh we want to reward our folks for taking care of us you want to get in to the discord lots of great ways to do it the best way right now is through our friends over at rebat rebat is a sweepstakes site uh sportsbook they have a another prop builder type element where you can uh you know you need another sportsbook you need more outs you can take advantage of it use promo code high It's the best way for you to get advantage right now. Download Rebet,
Starting point is 00:09:10 sign up with promo code HIGHSLOP, buy $10 of Rebet cash, which is just $10. It's what they use in the sweepstakes world there. And you're going to get an email of how to access 444 for a month. Get everything that we do there. Literally everything for an entire year. NBA is off to a fantastic start. So you want to grind NBA props with this as well. You'll get that along with a month of High Slops Dub Club. So that's it for 10 bucks. So download Rebet, promo code High Slop. Take advantage of that deal. It is an insane, insane value. I know some of you have already. I'm sure you've been reaping the rewards.
Starting point is 00:09:47 I know slop gets into the NBA streets as well. So definitely take advantage. Just not a better deal out there right now. Right now we have another promo code tip off for half off. That's $62. That's a sick deal too. It's six times more than the HIGHSLOP deal. Take advantage.
Starting point is 00:10:05 Rebet, promo code H code high slop. Great stuff. I can't even believe we're doing that. It's insane. Ten bucks. I was thinking about it. It's insane. You don't even pay. You put it in your account and you don't pay anything. Yeah, it's $10 to use.
Starting point is 00:10:20 You can actually make money. Everybody wins. I don't get it but i like it reach out if you have any specific questions you should be taking advantage of this deal a lot of you listen to the show not enough for you to take advantage of the deal yeah you're gonna get some freebies here too we're all betting a lot more stuff um you know tackles are going in there slops betting a lot more all those different ladders and same game parlays all connor connor bangs out like a dozen unders they don't
Starting point is 00:10:45 typically come here in the show those go out a little bit you know different times killing it with those two along with all the other all the other team at four for a lot of people so again 10 bucks great deal all right guys i'll jump into it week eight live lines no stale bread things you can bet on right now connor floors yours first eight. Sweet. I'm going back to a play that I had last week that lost, but I think it's still good. Michael Pittman under 49 and a half receiving yards. You know, this is, they played in week one. He had 31 receiving yards,
Starting point is 00:11:14 despite Anthony Richardson throwing for 212 passing yards in that game. And Josh Downs not playing. Colts probably have Jonathan Taylor returning, which means even potentially less passing volume than we've seen. And to be honest, like Pippen got there last week, but there were like three plays where he was just like wide open because it was zone. And he just kind of sat in there and ran. I mean, he looks like Jason Witten running out there. He is like,
Starting point is 00:11:35 he's two weeks removed from like a back problem. He looks like legit bad. And so I think all these things, these factors here, like 50 yards for me is just way too high. He's going to see probably four or five targets. Two of them are going to sail over his head. You know, the other two, we just got to hope he doesn't connect on. So I know that you're probably not here for the Anthony Richardson slander, but I think this should be closer to like 40 yards instead of 49.
Starting point is 00:11:58 It's tough. It's tough. Again, I want to remind folks, got about eight and a half, nine starts here from Anthony Richardson. Collectively with the college starts, we're looking at about 15 starts. Okay. It's not over yet. I'm holding out hope.
Starting point is 00:12:13 Played Anthony Richardson rushing this week. I love that play, 39 and a half yards. But yeah, the passing game stuff is not great. It's just double dip because I'm an Anthonyony richson and a michael pitman guy and uh connor's staining facts to disparage both uh slop i don't know if you heard anything you did say under in there i don't know if you uh caught that or if you just kind of dozed off yeah i didn't hear the rest i heard under and i was like all right that's my cue i'm out um um i'll be honest with you i i would never take that over. So there's that.
Starting point is 00:12:45 You know what I'm saying? That's my best. That is a slop seal of approval. Yeah, you just cross that right off. Like there's no chance I'm taking any Colt receiver or quarterback or anything like that. So I'm kind of in. That's an endorsement, though. What do you got, buddy?
Starting point is 00:13:03 What's your first one here? All right. All right. So it's kind of gotten nuked that sucks but but i would still do it anyways um we could go up to 60 on this hang on i'm gonna get you the best price best possible price 60 plus receiving yards for my guy cedric tillman plus 255 oh yeah i feel like that's right i mean dude he's he's kind of good all right i've been following this kid since tennessee all right so i know him you know what i mean like i know him all right he finally has a job now because marie cooper no longer has a job in Cleveland. But what people are forgetting is this isn't even about Cooper or any of that.
Starting point is 00:13:50 This is about Jameis. Like this guy actually has a quarterback throwing a passes now. And Jameis will throw anybody. He'll throw me a deep route. Like he just will. That's how he rolls. So this is his uh receiver outside now that's him cedric tillman so he's gonna get multiple multiple looks downfield that team's
Starting point is 00:14:13 probably gonna get beat you know not bad but like they should be trailing the whole time just the ravens the ravens give it up to the outside receivers like it's their job i mean they they stop the run so ch Chubb's out. Now you just got to throw it. There's not a better guy in the NFL than I want, than Jameis Winston, just throwing balls. Because even if they start playing from ahead, he'll throw a couple picks to get Baltimore back in it. You know what I mean?
Starting point is 00:14:37 It's never going to be a time where the Browns just sit on the ball. And 60 yards, that is nothing. I that's that's nothing we're at 255 come on guys connor i know you have thoughts here um played some some jamis i tailed you in some jamis stuff here it was one of your first plays of the week here anything to add to slop's uh tillman thoughts here no i mean i i that was my first play of the week to over 220 passing yards from jamis was it uh i set alerts on gambly uh you know i was literally like jamis wins the props when they drop ravens missing marlon humphrey slotted a great job breaking down the rest here i also played uh with uh dalton so every week dalton and i play some like random alts and like
Starting point is 00:15:20 derivatives uh we played like cedric Tillman, 170 yards, Jameis 300 yards, and then Joku 100 yards. That was 150 to one. I don't know how, but that's, we went to drafting. I tried typing it on Caesars
Starting point is 00:15:34 and it was like 20 to one. I don't know what it's at now, but any combination of those three guys, I think overs and alts are very much in play this week against the Ravens team. I could see Jameis starting slow, I could see James starting slow. I could see them probably trying to run the ball,
Starting point is 00:15:48 just being stubborn. And then they fall down like 14 points. And then James in the second half throws like two 50. Um, just because they're throwing the entire time. I mean, the Ravens have allowed what four quarterbacks to throw for 300, something 350 plus passing yards.
Starting point is 00:16:01 And they're like shitty quarterbacks, like not good, not good quarterback. So, um, I'm excited for that game. It'll be a massive letdown if jamis doesn't do anything i'm not gonna lie not make or break my week but uh maybe my my spirit my soul you know like i'd be really sad to see him do well do poorly here um yeah i was in one bonus bet because it's cedric tillman five plus receptions got that at plus 280 and seizures it's Cedric Tillman, five plus receptions, got that at plus 280. At Cedric, it's plus 250 now. That feels like it's going to happen. He does run deep routes, so that's kind
Starting point is 00:16:33 of why you want to go yards. But at the same time, he was running all of them, dude. He was running the short routes too. So I think if you want to do Elijah Moore, four-plus receptions, you know, that underneath stuff, I think he can probably get there. Jerry Judy, I mean, I would not ever play him, but if you wanted to, you could. And Joku, literally all those guys are in play for receptions. So because their receptions totals are so suppressed, it's not even funny. Like you can get like three of them uh all all for plus money for four plus receptions like dude two of those guys are catching four balls yeah yeah i love it i mean i was and we
Starting point is 00:17:13 talked about it i wanted it uh and i was driving for a chunk of time when like the conversations internally were going back and forth about it and i was super happy that it was still available i can get into some jamis uh when i was you know safe driver i was able to park the car and see them like it's still still there it's just it's hot all right funny story yesterday i'm sitting on this because fandle doesn't have their alts and i wouldn't allow myself to bet any alts until i saw what they were going to come out with for three and a half because they had two and a half for Tillman at minus 150. Everybody else was at three and a half, like plus 120. So I was like, dude, we're going to get like plus 150 for four receptions. And then I was in the
Starting point is 00:17:54 group chat on Twitter and somebody brings up, tell him like, dude, one of you fantasy guys are going to tweet this shit out. And I was was like please just let the line come out first and then we can hit it and then then you guys go nuts but i was figuring you guys were definitely at least at least aware of like the pricing here is not great oh yeah um also too i want to give a quick shout out to monotone who did play this tillman prop uh and he had a good stat good stat here that it was like um his first read target share was 31 percent uh last week i believe without cooper um good i think that's pretty good from what i've heard um and he was running more of the route tree too he put like one of those little like route charts with all the little lines um i don't know i thought
Starting point is 00:18:41 it was a great write-up so we're all in in. I wrote an article and it just got published probably 17 minutes ago, it says. And in that article is monotone, is that tweet where I guess he asked somebody for the route tree and the guy gave it to him. And this route tree literally has every route you could possibly run on it like everyone like he runs all of them so it's like this is i don't know it's an actual tree yes it literally is a tree like it it's yeah it's it's ridiculous so yeah i i can't stress enough how much i like this bet if you want to get soft you go three and or four plus receptions pretty much anywhere for plus money and i mean i i would be shocked if tillman does not catch four balls like that that would be shocking uh i need to add more cedric tillman i just don't know i don't have enough
Starting point is 00:19:37 um yeah i don't have enough tillman either i just got down on uh i just got down on the Jameis stuff too. So, yeah, it's a good look. I mean, 221 in an open I thought was a pretty hot look. All right, first one. Connor's in this with me. Talked about it a little bit earlier. This one's gone down like two yards since we first talked about it too,
Starting point is 00:20:01 which I'm really struggling to try to understand that. I think I actually have an understanding of why. People think the game is going to bottom out because Bryce Young is the quarterback on the other side for the Panthers. But Troy Franklin, over 27 and a half receiving yards. This is, it's out there all over the place. 28 and a half on FanDuel, 29 Caesars, but MGM, DraftKings, Builder, Rivers, 365 all have 28 and a half on fan duel 29 caesars but mgm draft kings builder rivers 365 all have 27 and a half uh we're gonna ladder this bad boy up as well i'm gonna play draft
Starting point is 00:20:32 kings has the best price for these 40 plus plus 190 50 plus plus 330 he had 50 last week um ran around on 68 of the drawbacks it's about what he did the week before too it was a big step forward the last two weeks and now we have unfortunate but his teammate was shot and is on ir and luckily i think he's gonna be okay so like you know i mean to make light of it but opportunity to be had for troy franklin to continue to maybe see upwards of 70 75 of the snaps here against a really bad carolina team um shower narrative you shout out to levitan um bo nicks and troy franklin teammates at oregon you know they've been in the shower together yes bond you can't break that right like um it's a strong strong situation so yeah i mean this was like 29 and a half and i
Starting point is 00:21:27 thought it was a banger we dropped down to 27 and again i think it's because people think what ceiling is there with you know anything detroit passing related having to push this game but franklin's a big play dude i mean he can literally hit this with one catch for us and we're clicking with gas on a big play so uh absolutely love this and uh want to ladder it up to at least 50 anything you want to add connor no i mean i'm gonna i'm probably gonna play more i mean honestly like they're looking at right now um 70 plus is plus 900 i mean on drafting that is i mean 70 yards i mean seems like a lot but like i don't know i don't think it's that crazy for a guy that 100% route win rate last week.
Starting point is 00:22:07 I mean, what an absolute dog. You know what I mean? That's like. A hundred percent slop. Did you see that? PFF grades. You got open on every route you ran. Basically all of them.
Starting point is 00:22:17 That's, that's crazy to me. So yeah, that's awesome. If we get any, I mean, we're not going to get any pushback. I don't even know why I'm talking about that. It doesn't matter if he gets there in the first like 30 attempts, they've been passing the ball a bunch regardless, right? Like that's the thing is their, their passion of expectations. High Corlin Sutton is like very clearly just a misfit in this offense.
Starting point is 00:22:34 So I think legit like Franklin, Franklin and Devon Bailey would not surprise me to be kind of like the number one and two targets here going forward. And then Sutton sprinkles in. But again, like we only need a couple, three, four targets here. And I think we can get over this number and then four to five targets or a big one. And we're cooking with gas. Yeah. Caught all five of his targets last week.
Starting point is 00:22:54 So yeah, I think it's 27 and a half is, is just too short. Yeah. Sorry. I mean, I am a good person, I promise. But yeah, opportunities present themselves, Sam. Someone got shot. Luckily, it seems like his life is not on the line here somehow. But yeah, opportunity opens up immediately on the IR.
Starting point is 00:23:17 Dude is playing ahead of him. Someone behind him is going to take a step forward, and that seems to be Troy Franklin. So, hey, it we're here, right? All in. If Josh Reynolds, you know, he and his family want to get in on this too.
Starting point is 00:23:32 They should probably get in on it. You know, you can start a GoFundMe or you can just ladder Troy Franklin. Pay for the medical bills. I mean, he's practiced with the guy. He knows him. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:23:41 It's almost the shower narrative, but you know, but better. Yeah. Those i yeah those are good calls connor that's nine to one seventy i mean that's crazy um i i want to be clear i mean cedric tillman and troy franklin alt parlay is just for uh generational wealth this weekend i mean just get it in that sounds like a couple of legs for the Millie Parley. Oh, yeah. Oh, they're in.
Starting point is 00:24:10 Good start. They have to be. All right, Connor, what else you got? Yeah, next one for me is a fun one. I think Slop will actually like this one. I'm going to go with Kenneth Walker, over 63.5 rushing yards and alts. The Bills have been not great on the ground this year allowing over five yards per carry allowed 199 to derrick henry 113 to breeze hall 96 to hn
Starting point is 00:24:30 68 to travis etn on only 11 carries um success rate metrics are pretty good but if you kind of look at those they're they're allowing the third highest rate of explosive runs which is like lines up perfectly with kenneth walker who probably going to run into the line four or five times and then rip like a, you know, 60 yarder, um, out of nowhere, because that's just who Kenneth Walker is as a runner too. They're allowing their 29th and yards allowed before contact line, two yards before contract contact. Um, and then Terrell Bernard, who, you know, again, I'm trying to be more of a defensive guy this year. Um, who apparently obviously was a good was good. Like, I don't know, from my understanding, like a pass defending linebacker, but also was good against the running game.
Starting point is 00:25:11 They're allowing only three yards per carry when he was in the game on running plays. He's out. The two games that he missed this season, they let up. It was the Henry game and the Etienne game where, again, like they were Travis Etienne and the Jags were behind the entire game, basically. And he still ran for 68 yards and 11 carries. So, uh, on top of this Seahawks without DK Metcalf probably. So I think that they might run potentially a little bit more, uh, noon. And I know you were interested in carries potentially, which I think is also a good look. I just love the upside here for, for Kenneth Walker in this matchup. And as long
Starting point is 00:25:41 as the Seahawks can keep it close, I think it's a really good spot. Yeah, I found your thresholds of – I like the rushing receiving combo yards too. That number started with a nine in front of it, which is past your ability for your brain to process overs when the number starts at the nine. You're out on that quickly. But, yeah, I mean, longest – the coaches keep talking about how much they love him
Starting point is 00:26:04 in the passing game too, and we've seen kind of consistent usage there too, as scary as that can be sometimes. But, yeah, I mean, home run hitting ability. Charbonnet has been kind of left to the side of the road here too. And, yeah, Baylin Spector, not nearly the linebacker that Terrell Bernard is in there in the middle. So, yeah, not great.
Starting point is 00:26:21 Slop, any KW3 takes uh over over over yeah so whatever market over love it yeah i made a uh a pick-em slip this week because i think it's a good alpha running back over week and uh kenneth walker is uh is in that mix so uh you know probably a better way than to you know know, shoot your shot on a bunch of binary high number props, you know, and see if you can just kind of hit the drum on like a 20 to one, you know, pick them slip. So that's what we're doing there. But I do have one alpha running back over. We'll get to it a little bit later, but good stuff. Good stuff there. Slop, what do you like? What's next? All right. So I'm thinking Hunter Henryry i knew you were gonna have a hunter henry i was
Starting point is 00:27:07 gonna talk to you about it yep hunter henry is your big big tight end guy since like huge tight end guy around like 95 96 i'd say probably since middle school yeah but i mean it could have been before who really knows you know it's been a while. But 40-plus yards is fine. But also, I think you really got to start thinking – at some point, you got to start thinking receptions on this guy because right now, there are real, actual sports books that will let you bet four plus receptions, and it will give you plus 135.
Starting point is 00:27:50 I'm trying to find the book that says that. 125 at DraftKings. Yeah, I'm looking at the screen here. It's all nonsense books. So 125, 130, plus 130 at BetMGM. Basically anywhere, yeah. I don't really call that a real book, but plus 130 for four receptions. I mean, that's – come on.
Starting point is 00:28:14 I mean, to be honest with you, I wouldn't even take that just because it's a little bit – like it's a little too easy. You could just do – You're bad about it. This is like sport for all – you know what I mean? Like you don't want to kick over the tomato kids you could go five plus plus 210 at espn bet that ain't that's not losing like he's gonna catch five balls this week um drake may not that bad all right not bad like he's good it's gonna be good and i I think he figured out that Hunter Henry will catch the ball
Starting point is 00:28:46 if you throw it to him. So that's big. Caught eight balls last week for 92 yards. That was against the Jags. Jags give up everything. I do get that. That is opponent-based. But guess what?
Starting point is 00:28:57 The Jets, he ain't getting balls to receivers. I mean, for one, he don't even have receivers, so there's that. And then two, they're not going to get open on those Jets corners in that secondary. So it's Hunter Henry, definitely. Five catches, again, plus two and change. That's nonsense. That doesn't even make any sense at all.
Starting point is 00:29:18 Eight balls last week, again, eight balls. So I don't know. I think we have to stay there. Pat Fryer moved only caught two last week that's like that kind of makes me mad but then at the same time he had russell wilson throwing balls out that's russ yeah and i mean it was a weird game you all saw what happened i think the jets jumped these guys uh in this game i i their season's over if they lose. So they come out and they jump them. Hunter Henry shows he's not soft, and we all get paid in the plus 200 variety of bets.
Starting point is 00:29:52 Love it. I couldn't believe it, to be honest. I'm like, dude, that's what I meant before we started the show. I'm like, I got to ask Slop to see if he's got Hunter Henry because it just jumps off the page. Three and a half plus 125, 130, it's bonkers. Or four. Yeah, just to get to four 4, that's one catch a quarter
Starting point is 00:30:09 That's it I mean, that's just basic math right there, guys I think he had 2 in the first 4 plays against the Jags the other day First looks I thought it was the first half line I thought it was the first half line too I played it I just put it out there too
Starting point is 00:30:23 Because it was one of my plays today It was over 3., plus 125, plus 130. I can bet more on MGM than I can on DraftKings, which sucks. It's probably unique. Yeah, I'm the exact opposite. Like $3 at MGM, and then DraftKings will be like 45. Yeah. You know what I mean?
Starting point is 00:30:42 So it's like, all right. I tried to bet this on DraftKings. I can get $14.99 down, which is awesome. So I'm pretty excited about that. But it's plus $125, so it's like $18. Yeah, I'm looking at Seedrush right now. Five plus, plus $230. Six plus, plus $500.
Starting point is 00:31:01 So these are bros. They're like broing off the field. So again, I'm going to get more like, I don't know, not specifically shower narrative, but these guys are playing Mario Kart. They play shower together? Yeah, they're like, they're just hanging out, right? So like.
Starting point is 00:31:15 That's not weird. Hunter Henry was talking about how their off the field chemistry is starting to bleed onto the field. I mean, guys, what are we doing? These guys are like, they're just, they're, they're probably like drive to the game together, drive home, get ice cream after right now,
Starting point is 00:31:30 dude. Totally. They're watching the show. Let's see. These guys literally. Yeah. Yeah. I mean,
Starting point is 00:31:35 yeah, it's, it's a light line. So I think that, I mean, give it up to the tight end too. Like I don't have really middle of the pack. The middle of the pack or so.
Starting point is 00:31:45 I feel like they do. Yeah, they should. They should start. This is great. Jonathan asks, nothing better than guys in showers. Really didn't tight end since high school. This week has told us a lot about these guys. Slop, yeah.
Starting point is 00:32:00 Slop, were you a tight end in high school? I feel like you give off tight end energy. No. In a good way. I went to a school called Fort Pierce Central, and I tried out when I was a freshman for the football team. It was like a 5A school in Florida. And they were like, yeah, you're going to be a receiver.
Starting point is 00:32:16 And I was like, all right, I can catch. And then, like, dude, one of the first practices, I'm like, yeah, fuck this, dude. They just got the, like, D1 guys. They're like, go over the middle. I'm like, yeah, I'm not. Like They just got the, like, D1 guys. They, like, go over the middle. I'm like, yeah, I'm not. Like, you've got to be kidding me, dude. Linebackers, I'm just kidding. Like, I'm like a buck 30 soaking wet.
Starting point is 00:32:32 Like, yeah, I'm not playing football. So, yeah, my football days ended very early, very early on. So, I guess you could say I was a wide receiver. I mean, for, like, a practice when I was a freshman. Amazing. You pick up the basketball real quick, Connor. And I was like, all right, when's basketball season start? I'll try and play that.
Starting point is 00:32:54 Oh, you're a hooper too, huh? Yeah, I could just hang out in the corner and shoot threes. Yeah, I mean, you'll get tackled like hard at all. But also that was also a school where if I took a shot i'd get yelled at by the coaches and by the other players so they were like nah you're you're passing i was all right slop lacking grit uh did not expect that but yeah i do yeah you dude you go out there you get hit by something like yeah i'm not getting hit by these guys i mean i did you know that was where the end of my uh my uh football time ended you know when you're younger you know middle school not a lot of forward passing so i was an option quarterback um until until i took a helmet to
Starting point is 00:33:39 the sternum uh from a really good friend and uh just couldn't breathe for like a solid two minutes, just laying on the sideline going. So, yeah, that was my last football season. But, you know, that's feisty. I wasn't ready. I'm not afraid to keep it. I wasn't afraid to keep it until that happened. You know, like I'll fake you.
Starting point is 00:33:59 Like you think I'm pitching it. I'm going to tuck and run, you know. Yeah, I wasn't ready because like like, to your point, dude, in middle school, like, and, like, when you're little, like, they're all kind of small. But, like, we played – when I was a junior or a sophomore, we played Fred Taylor's high school, Belle Glade. Fred Taylor played Fred – like, and it was – this guy was 220.
Starting point is 00:34:18 And you're just like, who's tackling him? You know what I mean? Like, no one did. He went for, like, 350 and five touchdowns on us, dude. Like Riddell Anthony was a quarterback for that team. I was like, this is stupid. But like you don't realize though, like when you show up and you're like, all right, cool, I'm going to go play.
Starting point is 00:34:34 And then you look, you're like, holy shit, dude. Like these dudes are gigantic and I'm going to get killed. So, yeah, it was tough, man. But it's a tough day for me. Yeah. That's the thing. You play high-level basketball. You go out and play.
Starting point is 00:34:50 All of a sudden that guy, you're like, oh, wait, that guy's on the other side? But he's not going to hurt you. He might embarrass you, but he's not going to physically hurt you. Yeah, that's why. Exactly. Grab a basketball, bro. Grab a basketball. You're probably not going to get hurt that bad.
Starting point is 00:35:02 Your pride is going to get stolen from you immediately because you're not good at all and like that is very noticeable like right away but um yeah at least you don't get like killed not gonna get killed yeah it's a big deal so that helped well that was that was my my well i have one more then we can get funky i guess unless connor do you have another thing you wanted to share anything else no i'm i'm i'm done i'm i'm well i will have some more unders but not not for the show so okay join the discord shameless blog I guess. Let's Connor, do you have another thing you wanted to share? Anything else? No, I'm, I'm, I'm done. I'm, I'm, well, I, I will have some more unders, but not, not for the show.
Starting point is 00:35:27 So, okay. Join the discord, shameless plug. Um, but I got, I got a couple other unders pop in here. You know what I love real quick?
Starting point is 00:35:35 Uh, Jake's NBA unders. I think he's played like 15 plays and like 12 of them have been unders. Uh, and it just makes, it warms my heart. So, uh,
Starting point is 00:35:44 and they're winning. I think we're like 11 and four right now. So it's great. Great. Another shameless plug. Yeah. Unders. For unders too.
Starting point is 00:35:54 Like two shameless plugs in there. Yeah. It was, it was pretty shameless. Yeah. What are we doing here? Okay. This is a, this is a good line. I'm going to get this out here to our
Starting point is 00:36:05 subscribers this is you know we started to build same game parlays we could start to find some uh some opportunities here to to add some layers and levels to our uh to our look starting to build out our uh our parlay but uh i love this look you build the same game parlay in here we just touched on it a little bit but i'm gonna go again alpha running back forgive me it's not quite at connor's threshold i found out again the threat the number 79 uh where connor starts to really get weak in the knees um slob i i told this to noon and i said i won't take i know i said in the history of 4-4 i don't think i've been in over of over 79 like uh i don't think i've played an over that's like 80.
Starting point is 00:36:46 You just can't do it, huh? I just – I think I played like a Nico Collins over, like 72, 73, just because he's an absolute dog. He's nasty, yeah. But in the 80s, I just balk. Like, I don't know. I just – I won't lie to you, man.
Starting point is 00:36:58 I like the – I get it. 40s, 50s. But, yeah, I mean, I'll go up there sometimes, you know. Sometimes you got to go up there and just show them that you're not soft. Yeah. I mean, and you actually want to target a soft team. We'll do that here with the Patriots who cannot stop the run. And we're going to go with Brees Hall over 73 and a half rushing yards.
Starting point is 00:37:23 Fandul has that. There's some 74s basically everywhere else. 74, 75, 74.5 readily available. But if you have FanDuel, you could snatch that quick 73.5. It's the best number there. It's the one good thing that Todd Downing has done since he took over as the play caller here is he went back to Brees Hall as the absolute alpha dog in his backfield. Since he took over, Hall has the
Starting point is 00:37:46 highest rate of carries in the league. He's played the second most snaps. So there's no more Braylon Allen mixing in for like 40, 45% of the share here. There was a game or a second half drive against Jacksonville. And I think this is probably the impetus of Mayo's soft comments. One drive, Jacksonville ran the ball on 16 consecutive plays on New England. Just pounded down the field and scored. At a certain point, you got to be like, all right, we know what's coming. Can we stop it?
Starting point is 00:38:17 It just is a matter of like will at that point. And just, they're not getting it done. And really since week two, they got off to a decent start. But then when they lost Jawan Bentley in the middle, week three, Patsy Kvin up the second most rushing yards per game in the league, 156.5. Teams were skewing run heavy against them.
Starting point is 00:38:34 Seven-point dogs. I think they're going to see a bunch of Brees Hall here. I mean, his carry number is like 18.5. So you're basically telling me he's barely going to reach four yards of carry? He's explosive. So longest rush is interesting to me i play this up to 78 and a half um we can still get in connor's uh good side here too yeah i love bruce all here i think he absolutely smashes ceiling outcome no i i think it's a good look i i think i do i do agree i think it's a good look um i i I, I have no arguments against it.
Starting point is 00:39:05 I mean, like the usage we played Braylon Allen under last week because of exactly what we're talking about. And I was kind of hoping the usage stuck. The pushback that I got from other people was like, what if that uses doesn't stink or doesn't stick, then you're totally toast. And it did,
Starting point is 00:39:17 it stuck. Um, I mean, I think Braylon Allen had like two or three carries. He's probably gonna see, maybe might see more work this time because they might be up by a lot, but like, I mean, that's with breeze hall getting like 25 carries so like i mean yeah he'll have all the opportunity in the world to get over 80 yards which does happen as
Starting point is 00:39:33 you pointed out to me earlier so yeah which is why connor's answer is he takes ladders which is fine i think hall to go 100 plus um let me see what the best number is for that. Let's see. Brees Hall. I love this. Shout out to Gambly. This is a nice little ability to look quickly without having to open up all the books to check this out. So it looks like ESPN has 69.5 for Brees Hall. It's minus 140. I don't even think you need to do it, but, yeah, it's weird. Brees Hall, 100 plus, plus 275 on ESPN, plus 250 on FanDuel, 125 plus, 6-1 on FanDuel.
Starting point is 00:40:13 Sexy. You want to get him to go for $1.50? 13-1 on FanDuel. It's pretty hot. So, it gets a lot of rushing yards. But again, you get an explosive or two in there and you're cooking. Slap any thoughts on Brees Hall. I took Derrick Henry at like 90-plus last week,
Starting point is 00:40:35 and it started out kind of not great. It was the Bucs game, and then he just had like an 80-something yard run. I'll be honest with you, it was electric. It was the greatest moment of my life. So I might be into alpha rushing overs now after that. That was fun because you knew it could happen. You know what I mean? It was not like one of these bombs that you're praying for it to happen.
Starting point is 00:40:59 That really could happen. Like Brees Hall could take off for 70 yards. That just is definitely in the mix. So you got that plus you can get there on volume alone so either way you're in for a good day yeah we think through the game scripts too and you think situations like this where you know you'd be really surprised if the pats aren't in um trailing game scripts on the second half right so like even if you start slow you're not dead um there's still lots of different outs here and it correlates well with how we think the game plays out in the the hunter henry leg too right like we think new england's forced to pass and uh bruce hall is
Starting point is 00:41:33 cooking on the other side so all right let's get let's get weird let's get wonky um i i made the i mean first of all you know we we can't use jamis anymore which sucks you know jamison or we use jamis we can't use jamison williams anymore jamo is uh dead to us um so our new friend just has to be xavier worthy until we get yep until we get jamo back so under three and a half i don't think he did it for the record i'm i stand with jamison even if he said he did i don't think he did it yeah innocent until proven guilty i don't know what what did he get caught with like what uh he was just fast they just thought they saw him run they're like dude you gotta pee in a cup and then he came back and obviously he probably has more testosterone in his urine than most
Starting point is 00:42:20 normal human beings because he can run 70 miles an hour like that takes testosterone you know i mean of course so i think that's what it was just a misunderstanding in his urine than most normal human beings because he can run 70 miles an hour. That takes testosterone. Of course. I think that's why. It was just a misunderstanding. It's a simple mix-up. It happens to everyone. Just like the Taylor Mathis thing. Who doesn't get caught up in a crypto scam? Who doesn't get caught up? She's on Twitter right now
Starting point is 00:42:39 saying that she did not do it. I believe you. I believe you have no idea what you did. I totally believe that. i totally believe that i totally believe that oh crying that's so good um all right so i started with the millie parlay here um i got and i went for most like the 200s ish kind of what we're looking at before um so breeze hall 100 hunter henry five plus receptions which is down to plus 200 somehow now you sickos in the chat have just been betting it multiple times i got it it's at 230 right now at seizures if anyone has that that's what i'm building it on i think it just got bet down while
Starting point is 00:43:17 we're like literally i had it in the slip and it was 230 and then it's just like this got a little down arrow thing um dude five oh fuck oh, fuck. Yeah, dude. My bad. Sorry about that. Good call. Carry on. It's all right. Cedric Tillman, 70-plus.
Starting point is 00:43:32 And then Franklin, 50-plus is plus 270. So we're at like – I don't know. I think let's see here. 130 to one right now. So we definitely need a couple more legs. But it's definitely a good start I'd say Alright so we Take out Henry
Starting point is 00:43:49 5 plus go 6 plus Plus 500 Because that didn't move That could happen dude You caught 8 last week That is not That's not plus 500 Maybe he doesn't do it but that's not plus 500 That's all i'm saying i don't like maybe he doesn't do it but that's not
Starting point is 00:44:05 plus 500 that's crazy it moved to plus 425 i don't know what's going on here this is like oh dude what the like what's happening well that brings us to show one i'm fine now i just refresh caesars maybe like it doesn't just like update like i don't know without me touching it it doesn't update sometimes on caesars without you touching it. You put in the slip and then you slip. All right, maybe we want to go yardage, 80 plus, plus 750, like men? No. I like the receptions.
Starting point is 00:44:36 I'm not a man. I like the receptions. It's like, no. I like the receptions. I do not want to do that. 100 plus, 100 plus is less legs. 100 plus is, oh, I'm sorry, 90 plus, plus 1,000. I'm going to leave that to you.
Starting point is 00:45:01 I like our six reception. More legs when we get home, guys. Yeah. I kind of agree that we should go bigger money, fewer legs this week. I like our six reception at home guys. Yeah. That's I, I, I kind of agree that we should go bigger money, less less fewer legs this week. I'm fine with that. But,
Starting point is 00:45:11 uh, cause we tried the 12 leggers. Yeah. Those are tough. One guy gets hurt. You're done. Yeah. It's not like six guys can't get hurt,
Starting point is 00:45:18 but you know, I think, you know, they're like easier thresholds to hit, but like, all right. So I'll, I'll ratchet them all up one tier more just
Starting point is 00:45:25 to get like the 400 plus 400 plus 500 range and then we probably need like two more legs and then we're already there like that's we'll have like a 67 legged jesus quit that's that's easy easy yeah that's pretty much nothing okay so yeah what about james touchdown passes oh yeah yeah i well we can get there well here's touchdown passes for some reason and they keep doing it the las vegas raiders took a puppet kermit the frog shoved its hand their hand up its ass to mock the voice of patrick mahomes and said i a bitch. And they keep doing it. They keep talking about it. I think it's funny.
Starting point is 00:46:08 But Patrick Mahomes is going to take it. He's like, I don't think he thinks it's funny. I don't, I think it's funny. He sounds like, I think it's, he sounds like Kermit the Frog. He's going to throw for three tutties here. I think on FanDuel, the best number, like plus 360. I don't know what the Caesars number is, but dude, it's going to throw for someties here. I think on FanDuel, the best number, like plus 360. I don't know what the Caesars number is, but dude is going to throw for some scores here.
Starting point is 00:46:29 So give me, you know, three to one for Mahomes to throw three scores against the Raiders team that is telling him that he's a bitch via Kermit the Frog. I think that he's going to cook. Let's see what it's at. Yeah, plus 310 on Caesars. I mean. Hear me out. Hear me out.
Starting point is 00:46:45 Hear me out. Mahomes, everyone's saying he's been playing like shit. And I don't know. Like, he doesn't have the numbers. So, it's kind of tough to really defend that. But, like, he's only thrown six touchdown passes all season. But he did have a decent day against the Baltimore Ravens. Like he went 291 on them, right?
Starting point is 00:47:10 The second highest yardage for the season. The same Ravens that our friend Jameis is playing, and his three touchdowns is plus 700. I don't think they're running in, dude. I'm telling you, I think Jameis throws three touchdowns this week. It's plus 700. That'd be the first time the Browns topped 20 points all season. So we're also asking them to do something that they haven't done, too.
Starting point is 00:47:38 Well, the Browns, though, he hasn't played. He's only had one drive. And you know what that drive ended in? A touchdown pass. A classy touchdown. So what I'm saying is if he gets eight drives, he'll probably get eight touchdowns. That's just math.
Starting point is 00:47:53 It's math. I mean, we're saying extrapolate the data out to eight drives. That would be eight touchdowns. We only need three. That's the good news. Connor, what's eight touchdowns pay? I was like, you made me do like i'm like looking i'm like eight and i'm like wait a second three and it's saying plus 700 i'm on board
Starting point is 00:48:14 now one of the new assholes in the chat yeah it's plus 675 now but now we're up to like we're at 10 to win 141 grand so we're like i mean we're already already there we're at six legs so yeah all right and then d hop 100 plus that's not crazy dude that's not crazy like you hear me out hear me out he's been beaten down you know i'm saying that kind of guy like all that stuff juju right the ghost of juju Schuster just showed up and went for like 12 catches and 1,000 yards, right? You didn't even give him Smith Schuster. That's so disrespectful.
Starting point is 00:48:53 Yeah, that guy. He shows up and does that. D-Hop, what if Levis is that bad? Because he is. Do you know what I'm saying? And then also, too, there was Ridley there. There was a play call and stuff these dudes will probably just scheme up shit for d hop you know what i mean like why not why not welcome him to kansas city with a 250 yard you know day we only need 100
Starting point is 00:49:17 sloth just like you start drinking early today or what's going on? No, you don't do it. Watch, bro. Watch. They'll just do it. Explain juju. You know what I'm saying? He had been in the system before. If we're going to slander Hopkins for being, like, a little dusty, a little bit old, explain juju. Like, there's no explanation for that. And they called Patrick Mahomes a bitch.
Starting point is 00:49:42 I don't disagree with the logic. I'm just worried that he's not going to play a full amount in his first week. All right, so here's the good news then. We can only go up 90-plus anyways, plus 900. So here, just in case he doesn't get that full workload. I was told last night by a lot of people on Twitter that Pukunukuwa might not play a full workload, and he went out there and looked like a Hall of Famer.
Starting point is 00:50:08 So these guys do that shit all the time. Like, yeah, he might not play, blah, blah, blah. And the guys out there running routes just look like Jerry Rice. Like, yeah, you knew. You guys knew. I mean, we could do 70 or 80. We could do 90. 900.
Starting point is 00:50:23 We could do that. I'm just saying, I don't think it's that ridiculous I really don't think He's got Patrick Mahomes And they called him a bitch And it's his first game There's a lot to unpack there There's a lot to unpack
Starting point is 00:50:38 There's a lot to unpack I mean I like You know I still want to play the bitch angle I think that's an important one We have that captured I think think, what, 310? Yeah, plus 310.
Starting point is 00:50:49 Yeah, what's 10 receptions? 10 receptions? I like 10 receptions. Brian has the chat. We don't have receptions. They won't even give us all receptions on Hopkins. I wonder why. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:51:09 Cause you figure if he's going to catch two, two 50, he's probably catching 10 balls easily, easily. Right. I mean, let's go a hundred. We can only go 90.
Starting point is 00:51:17 What, what about, what about Brock Bowers? Are we, I mean, I'll, I, we can put Hopkins in there. 90 feels like extremely rich,
Starting point is 00:51:24 but I mean, why not? I mean, you know what, since we're building a million dollar parlay, what, I mean, we can put Hopkins in there. 90 feels like extremely rich, but I mean, why not? I mean, you know what? Since we're building a million-dollar parlay. I mean, Brock Bauer is a great matchup. He's been crushing. I would say maybe not yards. We have to go yards on him. My bad.
Starting point is 00:51:38 The receptions. Brock Bauer is now a 7-plus, plus 106 guy. Holy shit. He's only 59 yards. is now a 7-plus, plus 106 guy. Holy shit. That is – He's only 59 yards. Yeah, Chiefs have been giving up to tight ends too. Yeah, that's the thing. So that's the angle.
Starting point is 00:51:53 So then Brock Bowers, Hopkins going off. So walk with me here. He's going off. This guy is looking like prime D-hop. Raiders got to throw to get back in. Bowers probably gets you 90 in a situation like that plus 310 he's done it two of the last three games you're right i like where your head's at go 100 for plus 700 or 110 for plus 700 or 100 for plus 460 but it's all deadly yeah Yeah, I think we're there, by the way, if we keep the Hopkins leg in here.
Starting point is 00:52:27 I mean, we're at 10 to win one point. Watch, man. Watch what happens, dude. He was an ex-alpha receiver, and he's been treated like he's literally like a walk-on at like a junior college. He's been treated like that for a couple years. You know what I mean? Like he is – now he hasrick mahomes throwing him footballs they don't even have a receiver
Starting point is 00:52:50 and the other team called patrick mahomes a bitch there is no chance that this guy leaves there with less than a buck 70 probably that's if he gets hurt in the first half that's true it might be a second half line the whole game. Watch out, Flipper Anderson, or whoever has the record for receiving yards in a day. I mean, I think – didn't T.O. catch like 22 balls or 20 balls or something in the game once? Brandon Marshall did too. Yeah, he had like 21.
Starting point is 00:53:20 I was playing against him in fantasy that day. And I was trying to veto a trade that involved him saying that Marshall wasn't that good to give up that much for. And not only did that happen, but he also caught 20 balls against me literally the next week. That was fun. Good times. I'm sure your friends have let you forget about that. Oh, yeah. I don't even take their calls anymore.
Starting point is 00:53:45 It's like we can't talk anymore. Stop bringing it up, you know. We all know what happened. There are a couple other tight ends that I thought were interesting that maybe have ceiling outcomes. And I, again, know you're a big tight end guy, Slop. Did you look at Cade Otten at all? Yeah, everyone's going to see him coming.
Starting point is 00:53:59 I had him last week, and that was fun because you know on Twitter how everyone's really nice and all like if your guy doesn't have like if he doesn't hit in the first drive then like the play sucked and dude so everybody's killing me and i'm just like dude we didn't play him because we thought he was going to go off we played him because we thought the bucks were going to play from behind and they were gonna have to throw to get back into it so it's just setting up perfect right just perfect and then like guys are getting hurt which i mean i didn't want that to happen but if that happens you know whatever what are you gonna do and then um yeah sure enough dude he caught like 15 balls
Starting point is 00:54:33 in the fourth quarter on the last drive like this is just amazing it was awesome but the one thing i will say we had going for us was that he had godwin he had like other people so like what are they gonna do like i would i would almost say you don't fade him. You just don't really play his alts and then see what Trey Palmer comes out at. I bet you he gets bumped. We were trying to ride the Jalen McMillan train last week for 25-plus dudes out there running wind sprints for us. Eight targets, and they turned into 15 yards i'm pretty confident that noonan's child that is three years old could do better than that
Starting point is 00:55:11 yeah that's that is it's it's just the problem is not having guys to throw to i think hurts otten and then like also the that number he put up last was like eight for a hundred right like he had like two for like nothing for like for most of the game you know what i mean and all of a sudden he has that so it was definitely indicative of a team that was just selling out and throwing the ball but um what's his number i mean i'm not out of it but i don't i don't have his number in front one half receptions is like like minus 105 or something like that i'm out i heard minus. It's four and a half.
Starting point is 00:55:47 I'm just saying it's the regular prop. I didn't look at the – To me, he's a four plus 110. I'll bet my house, like responsibly. Okay. The other one would be, again, we'll go back to banging on the Jags. I can't wrap my brain around what keeps happening with Croft and how he just has this ability to break big plays.
Starting point is 00:56:10 Like he's a wide receiver one, like he's running a 4-2-5 or something. But this guy's like a yak machine. So I don't know, 50-plus yards against the Jags here for Croft. I don't know. I think that could be interesting. I think he's like three and a half is, is binary reception prop, but like five plus or,
Starting point is 00:56:36 or some yards against a pretty bad Jags D I think is, it's pretty interesting. I wish they didn't have like a lot of people to throw to. That's my only problem with that – I want to play him. Like, I try to talk myself into him. And it's just like every time I turn around, it's like the Wicks kid's going to play. The Dobbs guy's playing. Jaden Reed.
Starting point is 00:56:58 Watson's out there running around. You know what I mean? It's like, what the – like, dude, just – like, two of those guys sit, and we'll take Kropp to get eight catches. You know what I mean? And, dude, I think Love throws for, like, just – like two of those guys sit, and we'll take Kropp to get eight catches. You know what I mean? And, dude, I think Love throws for like 300 yards too. So, like, he could support a multitude of receivers. But I don't know.
Starting point is 00:57:18 Yeah, that's the thing with them is there's so many outs, right? Yeah. Yeah, those are the ones where you go to yards. But look at Love's yards. It's like you get almost nothing for 300 now. He's like 260, 270, somewhere in there. So, yeah, that kind of made me mad when I was looking. That was a game that I had circled.
Starting point is 00:57:34 I was like, let's just take everybody, and then all the numbers came out. This doesn't add up. Yeah, it's like the Dolphins stuff. I'm like, this is like they just set it back to normal. There was no discount for the guy dying nearly on the field. now he's just back and nope everyone's fine no worries like i'm sure he'll just play exactly like he did in his best season you know tyreek props 83 yards like just zero value it's terrible no it's just yeah gone i don't know deandre hopkins says he hasn't played meaningful football in a couple years. That's a headline out there right now.
Starting point is 00:58:09 He might play against the Raiders Sunday. They're doing all that shit, dude. They're setting us up, dude. I'm telling you. All right, so just recap right here. Right now we're currently at $7.50 to win $1.05 million. We're at Cedric Tillman, 80-plus. Jameis, 3-plus.
Starting point is 00:58:24 Touchdowns. Hunter Henry, 6-plus receptions. Brees Hall, 120-plus rushingman 80 plus james three plus touchdowns hunter henry six plus receptions breese hall 120 plus rushing yards mahomes three passing touchdowns brock bowers 100 hopkins is 80 so i mean we're kind of you want 90 no i'm just kidding i put 80 i think we're good i think we're okay like we don't need to you know if he ended up with like 84 yards that was our last leg and we needed 90 i I would probably cry a little bit. All I'm saying is he's wearing number eight inspired by Kobe Bryant. Just saying we're talking here now. Oh my gosh.
Starting point is 00:58:54 I mean, I need to bet more of this. I think we're talking. I think the last, Oh, that was it. That was, that was all the legs.
Starting point is 00:59:02 I think they're going to pretend like he doesn't know the playbook. They're going to do that next. That's the's the next thing ah he hasn't learned and then you watch that um amari cooper clip where the guy literally has to tell him where to go when he runs he catches touchdown and you're like yeah yeah come on dude just throw him the damn ball oh man gosh um so good all right well i ripped that that was that's great seven bucks to win a million um i mean this is the week fellas this is the week that we come back buy some some yachts you know yeah jet ski and a monkey and i'll see what i have left over after that uh sacks got home last week gave two sacks out I gave three sacks out in the week, and we hit all of them.
Starting point is 00:59:45 It's too easy. It's just too easy. We'll do it again real quick. Trey Hendrickson gets home against the Eagles, transition at defensive end for the Bengals. Minus 125 for over a quarter of a sack. Doesn't even need a full sack. You can share a sack with a buddy.
Starting point is 01:00:05 It still cashes for you. We don't have an Alex Highsmith line for Monday Night Football yet. Steelers defensive end against Daniel Jones and the backup offensive tackles that they're running out. They might be on tackles four and five. It could be pretty ugly. You can get TJ Watt, but you're going to have to pay through the nose for it. Highsmith, 80% TJ Watt is really, really good. You'll get a nice number on him when that pops.
Starting point is 01:00:31 And then the last one, probably a little juicy, but with what we have going on still in New Orleans with Spencer Rattler, we're going to lay a little bit of juice with Khalil Mack over a quarter of a sack. That's on DraftKings. I'd pay a full half sack price for Khalil Mack. Probably a better number than the minus 130 on DK there. So those are three sacks. Those guys are all getting home. That's it. Love it. Chiefs receiver Sunday, Xavier Worthy, Justin Watson, Mecole Hardman, your boy Connor, and DeAndre. I hate Mecole Hardman. That's the receivers.
Starting point is 01:01:11 That's it. I legitimately have a vendetta against him, but I don't really – I know you hate that guy. It started because of the AFC Championship game, and he had four deep targets. We had all the alts, and he didn't catch four deep targets we had like all the alts and he didn't catch a single one um and then he wins the super bowl so like i mean the audacity you know like i mean yeah yeah he should have given back his ring doesn't respect coin at all i mean and
Starting point is 01:01:35 then but then we won it all back week one as brian mentioned hardman unders uh did not run a single route just played special teams as we talked about so that that was epic. So I won it all back and some, but still, fuck that guy. He sucks. He does suck. Yeah. I did play Xavier Worthy unders too. So I might play Worthy unders, Hopkins overs. I don't know how you've bought me into this, but I'm all in now too.
Starting point is 01:02:00 So here we are. Number eight, dude. Kobe. Yeah. Colorado Kobe too. No. Yeah. so here we are um number eight dude kobe yeah this colorado kobe too no yeah which one was first yeah i know eight was first eight was colorado like he's yeah blood he's yeah he had a little bit of uh you know a little extra in him just saying who do i dislike more miko hardman or justin fields um definitely miko hardman i don't dislike just feels i hate the people who love justin fields that's that's what i would say is that's
Starting point is 01:02:30 who i dislike is the fields fans it's the most annoying group of people that look up to him you like justin fields dude i think he's a good dude did you see the the quote about how he like should they play better when he got benched, that's just – he's a kid. He's a good guy. Yeah. Yeah. I heard nothing bad about him in Chicago either. Like when he was out and about, I heard nothing bad.
Starting point is 01:02:52 I heard he was a nice guy. And when we came up to him, he was like nice, you know? Yeah. So. I don't know. He hates good people. It's weird. Come on.
Starting point is 01:03:01 Nick, no Tim Patrick with Jameson out. Khalif Raymond's in the mix there too. I just don't know if – I don't know what the volume is going to be like. That's the issue. Yeah, that's what scares me about that too. Like, yeah. Also, I saw this, Brian. Tyree questionable with foot injury DNP today.
Starting point is 01:03:25 I saw that. He's questionable now. I don't know. I meanree questionable with foot injury DNP today. I saw that. He's questionable now. I don't know. I mean, Waddle is good to go. I mean, he'll probably be fine. But what are Jalen Waddle props? Like 40s or 60s? First of the game, it's a 90-yard run.
Starting point is 01:03:38 You just say, all right, well, so much for that bad foot. Yeah, I mean, they kill me with the injury report. I'm so jaded with the injury. They're, like, playing each other with that. Like, nothing wrong with the guy at all. Yeah, he probably showed up. He didn't want to practice. And, like, yeah, we'll put you on.
Starting point is 01:03:56 What's bothering you, your knee? All right, yeah, your knee's hurt? Okay, cool, your knee. You know what I mean? Like, I'm telling you, there's no – I don't think there's any truth to the injury report. I truly believe that. It's all lies, dude.
Starting point is 01:04:08 110 plus, 950 on DraftKings for Waddle. That's a better price than the 125 on FanDuel. Yes. Interesting. Yeah. Sweet. Yeah. Just a thought. You hate to see a friday dnp after practicing all week um but yeah what's his numbers like he's mid 50s or so 51 yeah yeah yeah not not
Starting point is 01:04:39 super interesting i mean sean murphy bunting out for uh for the Cardinals as well. It's a pretty rough defense already, and he's one of their better corners. So, I have to track that news. So, I might not have room for it. I'll have to maybe bump down Hopkins to, you know, I don't know, 70 yards, you know, seven catches. I don't know. I'm just saying, you know, we needed to. We could do that.
Starting point is 01:05:04 I'm waiting for the hundred to drop. I'm not even betting the 90 cause they're going to give us a hundred at like 1300 watch. I mean, we're locked in. We don't even need it. I'm going to rip a bunch of other random parlays anyway. So we're good to go.
Starting point is 01:05:16 You know, now I'm going to just play them and everything and just, we'll figure it out from there. We're going to get, we're going to get rich this weekend. I'm telling you, it's, it's going to happen,
Starting point is 01:05:23 bro. Awesome. All right. That wraps us up a little bit longer. You guys are awesome. Appreciate you hanging out with us. Even though you moved lines on us, it is move the line. That's what you're supposed to do.
Starting point is 01:05:36 Come here, watch move the line, and move the line, even though we're trying to push out the midley parlay. But that's okay. Hey, that's why we're here. So, again, take advantage of the Rebat deal. Reach out to us if you have questions download rebet use promo code high slop you're gonna get a free month of high slops dub club and a free month at four for four by just buying ten dollars rebet cash which you can then use to play the plays that we give you on four for four in the dub club so i mean it is like dude it's free
Starting point is 01:06:06 it's just bonkers man come on take advantage of that deal uh it's just it's nuts if you want to lock in the rest of your year at four for four promo code tip off we'll get you 50 off of that as well but just try us both out for a month get the slop deal get in the uh the dub club join us in discord again everything that we do at four four is covered in this too right so you're going to get nba bets you're going to get you know fantasy content still for your fantasy leagues you know we'll cover lots of stuff down the stretch you're playing dfs all that is covered so check it out again reach out if you have any questions subscribe before you take off uh we appreciate everyone hanging out shout out chris
Starting point is 01:06:44 allen in the chat uh chris is the man i appreciate all of you appreciate everyone hanging out. Shout out Chris Allen in the chat. Chris is the man. I appreciate all of you rolling and hanging out with us today. For Slop and Connor, I'm Ryan. We'll see you all next time. Thanks, everybody.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.