Move The Line - Expert Nfl Wild Card Round Player Prop Bets Top Picks Predictions Odds

Episode Date: January 11, 2026

Get ready for Wild Card Weekend with our top prop bet picks! Join us as we break down the best NFL prop bets for opening week, analyzing player performances, key matchups, and hidden opportunities to ...maximize your winnings. Whether you're betting on touchdowns, yardage, or game-changing plays, we've got the insights you need to make the smartest bets. Subscribe now and start the season with a winning edge!Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/plansSign-up on FanDuel Today 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/go/fanduel Follow 4for4 on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/4for4footballFollow 4for4 Bets on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/4for4betsFollow Move the Line on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/MoveTheLineNFL Follow Connor on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/ConnorAllenNFLFollow Ryan on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/RyNoonanFollow John on X 👉🏼 https://x.com/SlopRules Visit our Website 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/Join our Discord 👉🏼 http://discord.gg/4for4Subscribe to our YouTube Channel 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3OupraJ4for4 Betting Strategy Hub 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3hm39cw4for4 Betting Picks 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3LUp0EaNFL Betting Odds & Predictions 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3nsW9QU Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:02 Hello and welcome to Move a Line Prop Drop Show presented by Sharpstack. Ryan Noonin joined here as always for playoffs. Playoffs. Connor Allen, John Hyslop, fellas, it is here. Real meaning. I mean, all football is meaningful. We only get 18 weeks of this, 17 games. But the playoffs, it is just a time in which, you know, separate the men from the boys.
Starting point is 00:00:27 Connor, what's going on with you, buddy? Yeah, not a whole lot. We released to play like legit 30. seconds before the show. So hopefully the subscribers get on that. But we'll, we'll, we'll touch on that one a little bit. But you know, got to got to make sure it cooks out a little bit longer, I think, because it's a, there's a good one we were waiting for forever. And I know Jake had his finger on the trigger there, right up ready to go, everything good when that got posted. Yeah, been grinding. It's kind of an interesting thing this week. We obviously
Starting point is 00:00:54 have a lot more that's out there than we typically have on a Friday. Again, we only have, We have fewer games, obviously, but there are some impactful injury situations that we're still kind of waiting to get clarity on, which is not uncommon on a Friday afternoon. You get those late last injury reports. Slops going out with you, babe. It's living the dream.
Starting point is 00:01:13 It just seems to get better. I think I got a play of the year, guys. I mean, hit us. That sounds great. Is it the 8 to 1 you were talking about when I jumped on the call? No. It's a different tight end. but yeah it's this is so it's gold like absolute gold okay wow i'm in the
Starting point is 00:01:37 i'm swimming the tight end waters a little bit today too so i i wonder if i wonder if maybe we're in the same spot let me go first about that you know what i mean that's just in case no i like it i like having the confirmation it's not we're not uncommon where uh you know we're on the same play you're sharing first and i shared a subscriber so that we can collectively get on it before, you know, Slot moves the line on us. So Patrick has a good point. It's January 9th. I mean, it's an early play of the year.
Starting point is 00:02:09 But still a play of the year nonetheless. I haven't seen anything better so far this year. I mean, well, there's been a couple. But yeah, so this is the new play of the year up to this point. Also, my wife's birthday today. So shout out, Chris, and happy birthday. Shout out, Miss. Oh, yeah.
Starting point is 00:02:26 Happy birthday. I don't think she's watching. She doesn't watch the show every week? I don't. She can hear it most weeks because she works upstairs from me. But yeah, this week she's not here because, you know, it's a birthday. That's true. Any plans?
Starting point is 00:02:43 I don't know. We went out last night. We went out last night. So we'll hang out again tonight and then probably tomorrow night. So the weekend, I mean, it's a good day to have a birthday. Friday. Friday is probably the best day to have a birthday, to be honest with you. Because it can just keep.
Starting point is 00:02:58 all one. You can go out Thursday night because that feels like a weekend. And then obviously your birthday night. And then you got Saturday and even all day Sunday. Yeah. No, it's birthday weekend. Yeah. So Friday, just an all-time birthday day. I don't think it gets better. I mean, can you think of a better birthday day than Friday? No, there's a better one. Maybe Saturday. I don't know. Saturday's good, but yeah, it feels like Thursday makes it a little too early to celebrate on. You know what I mean? It's like, oh, it's like by midnight tonight, you're saying? Like you don't really got that on Saturday.
Starting point is 00:03:32 It's kind of like you're just drinking the drink. That's true. That's true. Even though that's not a wrong with that. I'm not judging people. There's nothing wrong with that. That's how you roll and keep rolling, my friend. It's someone who is out on a Thursday yesterday, you know.
Starting point is 00:03:48 It doesn't have to be your birthday. It was not my birthday. And I was still, you know, out. So had some interesting conversations. I learned that, you know, injured. injury news doesn't matter in the NBA from a NBA capper. Yeah. Which is one of the hottest takes maybe I've ever heard in my life.
Starting point is 00:04:07 That's not a hot take, by the way. I don't know what you call that, but that's not a hot take as much. That is just down. I can't say the word what that is. But yeah, that's the biggest edge in sports is the injury news in the NBA. Literally, if you can get ahead of that, man, you're just cooking with grease, literally every day of the week. But it's hard to get ahead of it, though.
Starting point is 00:04:25 That is what I said as well, but I don't know. Maybe a couple too many, maybe I misunderstood, maybe I misheard, but I don't think so. Was it loud in the place? It was loud. There was a live, like, band playing or whatever. So maybe I missed it. You didn't go to sluggers, did you? We were at sluggers.
Starting point is 00:04:41 Yeah, we were sluggers. I knew it, dude. It's loud in there, man. I've had some great talks in there two times in my life. I've only been there twice and both times. I had some very deep handicapping conversations with someone in a very very, very loud place. Yep, exactly.
Starting point is 00:04:57 This is how business is done. This is how deals get made. Probably not between myself and that fellow, but it's probably a nice guy. He was a nice guy, actually. I just disagreed with basically everything he said for 45 minutes. Well, you were telling me this earlier, and I thought the context was that it was in a discord, that there was a conversation going on through.
Starting point is 00:05:20 So I didn't know that this was a face-to-face showdown of, of exchanging of thoughts here. Oh no, this is a real person. This is a real, real conversation in face to face. And I was, yeah,
Starting point is 00:05:33 it was different. It was certainly different. That's, that's tough. I mean, you know, when you're a real person in a discord, but like you can hide your facial reactions to,
Starting point is 00:05:44 to things like that. It's a little harder to do face to face over, after a couple of cocktails. I'm sure. This is also someone who runs a discord. Oh, yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:05:54 This is someone who like runs the discord and like has like is like a handicapper. And like, you know, this is how he like handicaps plays and things like that. And so I don't want to put him on too much blast, you know, maybe. But, uh, you know, with the name names. It's fine. Well, it was a nice guy. I actually don't even remember his name, to be honest. I tried figuring out all night.
Starting point is 00:06:11 I don't remember his name. Talk to him for maybe 45 minutes. No clue. Don't know his handle. Don't know if he follows me. Don't know if I follow him. Zero percent. Love slow years.
Starting point is 00:06:19 You know, you got, you got to break out that, like, it's a great trick for that. Did you have was your wife with you or her? No, no, no, it was like, uh, you had Steve with you.
Starting point is 00:06:30 Yeah, I mean Steve. Yeah. I don't think Steve remembers his name either. To be honest, he was the main culprit of why I was at Sluggers on Thursday night. That's true. Because you just got to introduce him to the buddy that you're with or your girl or
Starting point is 00:06:40 whatever it is and like, hey, this is, this is my wife, Maggie. Uh, boom. Yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:06:45 You know, . I'm in then boom. They have to say their name. Like, that way you get out of it. If you didn't know, know the name,
Starting point is 00:06:50 she's going to get it for you unintentionally. So, yeah. That's, that's smart. I'm really bad with names. I'm good with, like, knowing, remembering what someone does, like, remembering things about them. And usually, I kind of think it's a fun game now. If I don't remember their name, I just, like, try and figure it out while we're talking. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:07:05 So, yeah, that's always, there's a time limit on that, though, like, to where it's, like, so weird if, like, you don't know their name. And then after you've talked to them, like, X amount of times and you're, like, I can't even ask now because this is weird. Like, very odd that I don't know. name. The worst part is like you're talking with someone like a party or something like that you're talking like 30 minutes. You forgot their name. And then someone else comes over that you know and you're you're introducing them to each other. And so you're like, well, that's how you figure it out though. That's how you do it though. That's how you do it. Well, but then yeah, I'm always like, hey, this is my buddy so and so. And then I just don't say anything. I don't like introduce the other side.
Starting point is 00:07:40 Like I just like, you're not supposed to. That's on me. That's on the other. Do you guys know each other hey this is todd and then he'll bust out with hey i'm so-and-so and you're just like gotta remember this dude i'm not gonna get a better opportunity than this got to remember this and then i always mess it up right after that that's all yeah what's his name we got uh dontavian wicks out sorry to interrupt the conversation i just got an notification here i don't know about how much it really matters though doesn't doesn't matter i do think it just thins the tree right yeah you got the tree you had to prune that thing jaden reed at like 35 yards is pretty low it is pretty low i just don't know what to make of the weather obviously we'll get to all that but yeah i don't
Starting point is 00:08:22 know what to make of the weather and i don't know kailer gordon back i don't know what to make of that necessarily either so uh jeff in the chat doing his thing as always it's up buddy jeff goes out every night you said that's awesome like yeah that's true i'm getting fat shamed here uh maybe hang out more at the UFC gym across from Sluggers. Yeah, definitely, that's definitely true. You know, it's the post-day alcohol phase is like, you know, gain like 15 pounds in the face and then it goes right back to normal the next day. I'll be honest with you.
Starting point is 00:08:54 That's a real thing, dude, because I have to drink in two weeks. I had to get like blood tests. So doctor said you can't drink for two weeks. So I did it first thing this morning just in case, like, I want to hang out tonight. And I'll be honest with you, man. my head feels very clear, which is crazy. I operate on every brain cell I have, which probably not that many, but, you know, still some. And I feel slimmer.
Starting point is 00:09:21 It's been two weeks. That's it. It hasn't been like this all this long time. So I don't know. Post game alcohol post day. That's not, yeah, that's a real thing. I didn't know that. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:09:34 I mean, as the non-drinker of the group, for sure, I can test these things actually do happen. weight stays off a little bit. Mine stays a little bit more clear. One of my best friends, my best friend actually is a booze distributor. The Zoomers aren't drinking, guys. No, they're not, dude. Connor's like the last of the Mohicans here, like 30, still drinking voluminous, you know, multiple times a week.
Starting point is 00:09:58 Just they're down, down bad. Just year over year for solid continuous, like five, six years here. People aren't drinking. I don't want to get too deep into it. but I think that that's like, you know, there's a lot that happened during the COVID era and like lack of, and the screens and everything
Starting point is 00:10:15 and lack of socialization amongst the youth that some alcohol could go a long way. But I think also, you know, yeah, I mean, or you know, choose your picker. I'm just saying, I think I know now why the alcohol companies were lobbying against legalization. Like maybe they were on to something.
Starting point is 00:10:40 Like I think that it's not one thing. That's the thing. Like you're like, oh, it's this or it's that. No, no, no. It's a combination of all these things. Like the perfect storm. Like kids are smoking dope. They're not drinking.
Starting point is 00:10:51 They're playing on their phones or playing video games. I mean, I don't know. They're gambling, which I mean, I love it. I don't like that device. Come on, Andy. It's a way of life. Don't let anyone tell you that you're limited. You know, like you can do all three.
Starting point is 00:11:07 You can smoke drink and gamble. You know? Yeah. I still drink beers with the boys, but yeah, no, it's tough, man. It's a lost art, lost pastime. We're moving on. You know what I mean? Did you guys see Dave Ramsey talking shit about Fandall?
Starting point is 00:11:26 Yeah, I did. Fandle is a portal to hell. Yeah, that's a little bit strong. Like when Andy just said the vice thing, I'm like, whoa, like, we got to stop with gambling the vice. Like, I don't, I don't know. about that. Like,
Starting point is 00:11:38 maybe for like, button pressers, but like, what if you're not a button presser? Yeah. I mean, there's certainly
Starting point is 00:11:48 plenty of issues with gambling, and it can be a problem for some people, but I think the, you know, it's gone a little overboard with some of the
Starting point is 00:11:56 anti-gambling movement. Those guys were all over me, Connor. Last two days, just all, like, unbelievable. And they're, literally,
Starting point is 00:12:06 I'll be honest with you, you realize right away, oh, yeah, that's why you're bad, because you're horrible at math. That's why you hate gambling. So, like, you could just tell. They're like, you could have done this and the S&P, blah, blah. And I'm like, one, you're wrong because like their math was way off. You know what I mean? Like they thought I, because it said I had 200 grand of like volume, they thought that
Starting point is 00:12:29 that meant I put too. You know what I'm saying? They're like, oh, yeah. Oh, why is different in the stock market versus. You know what I mean? Like I don't, I'm, of the two people in this conversation, I'm the only one that knows what I'm talking about. So I don't know that we can get too far in this.
Starting point is 00:12:46 You know what I mean? Like I never had 200 grand at play. Like that's not how this works. Yeah. But they don't, they'll never get it. I mean, it's crazy. That's not really how I wanted to go with the show. But yeah, it just hit me whenever I saw the word vice.
Starting point is 00:12:59 I'm like, God damn. It's no offense to you, Andy. I still love you though, bro. And also, too, like I tweet out some. my Chicago politics thing like twice in the last two months. And I get the people on Twitter that are like gambling is a scourge on society. And I'm like, I'm not even convinced that they're real people.
Starting point is 00:13:16 Like I'm genuinely convinced that they're bots. And no, there are that stupid, dude. I would love to just meet like, like I met the, you know, the guy last night who told me like about NBA injury news not mattering.
Starting point is 00:13:27 Like I want to meet with these people in real life. Like I don't believe that you're a real person. Straight up. I think you're a fucking rotten bot or like, you know, you're like made by. the government or one side of the lobbying party, whoever doesn't want gambling is just,
Starting point is 00:13:39 you know, maybe the tribes, who knows, I don't know. Like, I'm not going to these are real people. Yeah, it's tough because like I said,
Starting point is 00:13:45 like the comments I was getting, I was like, yeah, you're right. I was thinking like, this is either not a real person or an absolute fool. Like, just absolute fool.
Starting point is 00:13:54 You're just like, dude, that's not how this works. But whatever. I'll always lean on one of my favorites, George Carlin isms. There are many. Oh, yeah. I know if you're, you know, not of slopping eyes age, George Carlin's probably not a name that jumps in front of your mind often. But there's a lot of good content out there. But my favorite Carlin line that Connor knows is think about how stupid the average person is. And remember that half of them are stupider than that. So you're, you know, if you kind of always have having new interactions with that in mind, it helps frame the conversation in a different way and allows you to kind of move in and out of that a little bit more.
Starting point is 00:14:35 fluidly without getting tied down to just how dumb is this person because the range of outcomes is pretty vast yeah i wouldn't want to bet on certain outcomes like yeah imagine ever being out on shrooms i mean jeff's backing them i mean i don't where'd you go bud welcome back nice work jeff jeff would probably be a good fun guy to do mushrooms i was talking to my buddy about drugs and like recreational drug use as you get older like what can we look forward to when we move down to like the villages in retirement you're not doing ecstasy anymore there's no cocaine there's no drug like hard drugs because your heart's going to stop
Starting point is 00:15:15 you're literally going to die right there yeah but maybe hallucinogens like maybe you know you could hit the golf course 6 a.m. mushrooms you know what I mean yeah like herpes yeah there you go I think that's STDs though I'm talking about like recreational drugs like yeah yeah but like something that you choose to do yeah but yeah i was thinking maybe mushrooms like i don't know like maybe that could be a thing i don't know you ever you think old people eat shrooms like 60 plus down in florida playing golf maybe right yeah last time i did shrooms i was in florida i was in florida i don't know what what's happening um in terms of shrooms at the you know 60 plus age demographic
Starting point is 00:16:00 but something we can research for sure. Yeah, I want to look into that. No, I mean, we should know, like, what's going on? Like, we know that the kids aren't drinking anymore. We should know. So the old people still doing shrooms. Like, what's going on with that? Because, like I said, we're all going to get there one day.
Starting point is 00:16:12 And we got to know. You know what I mean? Like, I'm dead serious. I think hard drugs are pretty much out, like, as you get old. Like, it's just not even a thing. So do you just golf or is there, like, mixers in there? You know what I mean? Or is it just booze?
Starting point is 00:16:26 Like, I don't know. Like, I'm open to pretty much anything. I can't even tell you. how badly I want to find out. I can't wait to be there. Yeah, that's pretty cool. I can't, I cannot wait.
Starting point is 00:16:36 You can tell me to just majority of my, the last of my days is just. It's true though. SCD's spike in those communities, especially, you know, you're single. Like, they just don't give a shit.
Starting point is 00:16:51 Like, he's like, I don't know, you're pretty much going to die. I mean, they're bothered dies. They're ready to do whatever they want. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:16:56 I mean, I guess if it's one that's not going to kill you, then like, what does it matter? you know what I mean it's not like you're reproducing like you're just going to take it with you in probably 10 years easier to get your hands on blue pills and such that can help at that age we got more time too time's probably a yeah you know what I mean like you got a lot time on your hands yeah chat is on one today this is a again we are 17 and a half minutes deep we're talking no football actually jane read there you did touch on jade all right All right. All right. Jump in.
Starting point is 00:17:33 Free seven-day trial of Sharpstack. Promocode NFL playoffs gets you a month for $10 after that. So you can basically get five weeks for $10. Again, it's typically $130 on Sharpstack. We have NBA results in. Sharpstack is printing. So again, Connor and I get to here all day and tell you all awesome Sharpstack is, but we're actually running the results and it's printing.
Starting point is 00:17:56 So check out Sharpstack again right now, $4.4. com slash plans seven day free trial promo NFL playoffs all caps additional month for just 10 bucks questions hit us up we'd love for you to check that out again that is an available package for us all year and that's going to get you all the betting stuff as well so as we start to get into like maybe some futures or NFL draft stuff you're going to have access to discord and get all those plays as well so all right I want to mix of the order and Connor has one play it's a joint play Connor and I have. So we'll start with Slop today.
Starting point is 00:18:33 You get us kicked off. I don't know if you want to start with the play of the year, buddy. If you want to save it. I think we've saved enough for the audience too. Again, appreciate everyone rolling with us. As always, thumbs up, subscribe, all those things as well. Slop, floor is yours. Wildcard weekend, first play.
Starting point is 00:18:46 Let's go play of the year first. How on earth does Dalton Kincaid not get 40 plus receiving yards? Connor, that's a question. How? I'm not quite sure you, Slop. I'm not sure. I'm going to let you take the floor and expand first. I just think it's like it feels like a trap,
Starting point is 00:19:12 even though there's no such thing. Because the bills are must win. It's playoffs. You know what I'm saying? So now it's balls to the wall as Bill. They got to win. He'll do anything, that Josh Allen. And you look at his receiving core, not great.
Starting point is 00:19:26 You know what I mean? Kincaid is back. He has no injury designation, none whatsoever. I remember when it was must-win time, all hands-on-deck against the Kansas City Chiefs back on November 2nd, I think it was. Connor, you remember that day? I remember that day. That was a big game.
Starting point is 00:19:46 It was the Chiefs and Bills. It was AOC title game. It was all that stuff. You know what I mean? They got hyped up, hyped up, ready to go. Don Quakeed Kade went off. We went 100 plus. We need 40 yards against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Starting point is 00:19:59 down in Jacksonville, Florida, just like we're just talking about, beautiful area, drugs, STDs, all that. So, Kincaid is a tight end. The Jacksonville Jaguars, good defense, kind of a pass funnel, not exactly a pass funnel, but kind of in like a weird way. They don't cover the tight end well. I think nine or ten teams gave up 1,000 yards to the tight end this season, receiving the Jaguars were one of them.
Starting point is 00:20:26 I'm thinking it's Dalton, Kincault. on the first drive, second drive, and every drive after that. 40 yards is an absolute gift. Like gift. Like Christmas, except it's January. Gift. What's the play of the year? Play of the year.
Starting point is 00:20:48 So far. Wow. I mean, we're nine days in and we already got the play of the year. That's huge. It's crazy because you can have other plays of the year, too. There's better than this. Well, this one's even better than my old play of the year. this is now the new play of the year.
Starting point is 00:21:01 Right now, I can't even fathom something better than this. It's that good. I mean, you talk to me tomorrow. Maybe something changes, but maybe not. I mean, this game's win Sunday, so we got a couple days now of just a play of the year sitting there. And all we got to do is, there it is. Play of the year.
Starting point is 00:21:18 So many windows this week, Slop. I know. I love the way. That's the other best part about playoff football. You're never out of it because they're going to start another game, like, right after this one. You don't know what I mean? And then like, right that one.
Starting point is 00:21:29 You're going to get another shot out of it. Like it's a lot of bites at the apple. Slop, this is one of my plays. It's all in Kincade over 37 and a half receiving yards. Oh, no shit. Yep. Even before the play of the year speech? Before the play of your speech.
Starting point is 00:21:43 I had my other play first ready to go. I was going to go Kincade second. So you kicked it to me. I deleted it so I could push this out to subscribers because I didn't want you to crush it. But I'm here. I'm on Kincade. Absolutely love it. It has to be him, dude.
Starting point is 00:21:58 Yeah. I mean, he's just good. Yeah. And I think you can play another way, too. Actually, he was looking at his longest reception. Mm-hmm. He hasn't caught a ball this year. He isn't playing the game where he's caught a ball and not gone over 18 and a half longest reception.
Starting point is 00:22:14 So if you just want to play a longest reception, like he's going to do that for sure. But I think you can go ceiling outcomes here. Why stop at 40? Yeah. 50. 90 plus is plus 660. Or what's...
Starting point is 00:22:28 Jacksonville's... They're really good against the slot. And again, obviously, Kincaid's going to run out of the slot a little bit, but he's not like the slot receiver. So, like, you have to match your slot corner against Kalil Shakir because he's their only other real past catching weapon, right?
Starting point is 00:22:42 So, like, you're going to get safeties. You're going to get linebackers on Kincaid. And he played not a ton, but he played in Week 18. And I looked at that as, like, just let's get him healthy. And the fact that he ran, he didn't run a ton of routes, but he went over this. he caught three balls for 48 yards in the meaningless game, but checks out that the knees good, off the injury report. I think we're all systems go on, Donald and Cucade.
Starting point is 00:23:07 You know, I thought maybe you'd be looking at like over three and a half receptions, too, but I like his big playability, so I like the yards too. So I think it's the right way. Yeah, no, the receptions, I don't mind a reception guy too, but when it's low like that, sometimes you just want to see one go through the hoop. We might even be able to do like a ladder challenge with this like you start with him like you'm saying because like you can just keep good there's so many uh possibilities well it's a play of the year Connor almost I mean is this the latter challenge where you only put plays of the year so like it can take you don't have to do one every day you just put plays of the year as they come by from now until December and you don't even have to cap it at like
Starting point is 00:23:45 10k you know you just go until going the end of the year because you're never going to lose it's going to it's going to cap it self though because the only problem with these are you got to start doing a little two-leg parlates because there's no chance draft king's going to let you bet $5,000 on anything. Well, not me. I always wondered about that. Like, whatever you get to the, like,
Starting point is 00:24:05 the top rungs. Exchange. So, no big. Shout out no big. Come up with coach flop. Also, too, you could do two-leggers. Fanduel will let you climb
Starting point is 00:24:16 with those. Draft Kings, I don't know. I don't know how much they'll let you do. But yeah, you got to figure it out, man like it's a ladder climb it's like climbing everest you know what I'm saying like you you got to figure it out I feel like by the end you're just bedding like bears money line or something like yeah you might yeah you might have to go main market on him I don't yeah who knows dude but like I said
Starting point is 00:24:39 you figure that out day 10 I can get down probably that much it just would it's gonna it takes a lot to be creative you know like you're just gonna have to I might have to call in some favors you know it just takes a lot to get down five grand on like a random player prop yeah especially some of the, you know, BS you see on some of these ladders now. It's like three alt lines, you know what I mean? Five, six. I like calling our shot, by the way. Austin, you're the man.
Starting point is 00:25:05 Like, he's a great guy. But, man, like, every time I see the five, like, I think he does it to troll now. But it's like five legs. And you're like, bro, like, that's a lot. It's a lot. It's a lot. But, I mean, but in his defense, when you do get that high, even though he's doing on day one and two, all that, like, it does it every day.
Starting point is 00:25:24 but if you got higher, I bet you that's one way around being able to get 5K down. But the problem is there's a reason why they'll let you do 5K on that. I love being aligned on Kincaid here. I think it's a good spot. Neutral to maybe trailing game scripts, right? So there's other scenarios here. Do we have weather for that game? I don't know.
Starting point is 00:25:48 It's Florida. I feel like it has a chance to rain at any point. Probably rain, yeah. Let's see. We got, did Kevin Roth change his weather report? I don't know. It looks kind of different now. No, maybe not.
Starting point is 00:25:59 No, it looks good. Yeah. Times around 70 degrees, winds at 10 miles per hour, full green light. That's Dalton-Kin-Ka-Wather. Yeah, I can go 100-plus. You can go 100-plus. Dahl's going to hit his ladders, and then they got pit stop in their retirement home and, you know, take some mushrooms and the villages.
Starting point is 00:26:19 Have a good time in the villages. It's a party, guys. sounds sounds wild i can't that's waiting room yeah beautiful i'm gonna be so good at being 65 i'm gonna shuffle board um i shuffle i love shuffle board yeah you kidding me what a game yeah so good all right uh man we we jumped the gun here because again connor laid the one uh i'm gonna i'm gonna take another connor just to yeah because you know i got a i got a couple here i think we have two joint plays right technically do we have two let's go back to back here. You can do the first one first. Okay. Yeah, let's let's do this one. So yeah, I'm going to,
Starting point is 00:26:59 you know, ad lib here while I get it fired up here. I really, really wanted to release this, just live here on the show and catch Connor and subscribers and listeners very much off guard. But, you know, I wanted to give Connor a heads up just in case. It would be a solid guy, just in case Connor really likes to play. Jake, too. They tend to be more guys that have been into these particular markets. Typically a tad that I go into very often, at least that side of the screen.
Starting point is 00:27:33 But I think this is kind of a little bit of a banger. But I want the market that I'm in. I didn't tell you Connor. I'm sorry, I forgot to. But Connor's in this release with me. But again, I want the chat to know that I was the origin of the play. Emmanuel Wilson under four and a half rushing attempts. I'm sorry, Slop.
Starting point is 00:27:53 Four and a half. Under four and a half attempts. First of all, you'd not be very good. So you can play under like 16 and a half yards. This guy has been like falling over for two and a half yards with volume for a couple of months now. Just literally no explosives at all.
Starting point is 00:28:07 Can't I get it done. But we got some really positive Josh Jacob stuff, right? His actual quote is, my body coming into this game is the best I've probably felt in the last six weeks. I've been dealing with thigh and knee injuries since like week 11. We've had less than 100% Jacobs a bunch of late, and we've still only had one time where Wilson the last five weeks has gone over
Starting point is 00:28:30 four and a half rushing attempts. That was actually against the Bears in week 16. The Packers dominated time of possession in that game. They ran 44 times. That's the most rushing attempts any team has in a game this season. That's what it took for Wilson to go over. And now we got Greenlight playoff time, Josh Jacobs. So like Wilson got enough rope to hang himself essentially.
Starting point is 00:28:52 And he did. You know, he's not earned the opportunity to kind of break into Jacobs' workload here, too, Connor. So I just don't think he's, I think maybe we see two to three carries here, but I think that's probably it. I'm all in. I love this play. It's also in that Bears game, too, Jacobs was got re-injured and benched. So like he like, he got injury, re-injured. He was dominating.
Starting point is 00:29:15 like he had like 14 carries or something in the first half to like j to like wilson's like two and then like he just what didn't play basically after he got you know i think he fumbled and so yeah i was uh telling you about this play so we were at drafting sports book last night and i was with uh with steve and he goes to put in this exact bet he's like you know basically saying the exact same stuff like you know jacobbs is going to dominate work which i totally agree with like it's going to be basically just all Jacobs. And draft Kings wouldn't let him get down $100 at the kiosk on this bet. They rejected him. And then he goes up to the counter and they're like, no, we're not going to take it. Like it's declined. And he's like, what do you mean? It's declined. Like, it's $100.
Starting point is 00:29:56 I'm not trying to get down. And he's like, this is not even that big. And then they wouldn't take it. So I assume that it was just never going to be posted at like the Fanduel Builders and stuff like that. And then this morning, you pinged me about it. And I was like, holy shit. It's meant to be. This is destiny. Manny Wilson's getting. two carries for eight yards. Yeah. Yeah, he'll get two to three. We're not getting five, right?
Starting point is 00:30:17 We're, you know, especially trying to handicap the game too. I think this is a spot where we could see a flip in terms of how that play volume went. Last time out, like, I think Chicago can have some success running the ball that maybe would limit the opportunities here. I don't want to say necessarily trailing games, script the package, your small favorites. Just kind of neutral. But I just, I believe you're going to lean on your guys. Like, we see this historically in the playoffs.
Starting point is 00:30:41 You got to dance with your stars here. Alphas tend to have some more ceiling type outcomes. They're not here because Emmanuel Wilson carried the water for Josh Jacobs really well while Jacobs was out. He didn't. He sucked. And I don't think they have any need to mix him in. So when he's on the field, you can even see him just kind of dabbling a little bit and more, I think, passing game work. So Boynton Good Read in there with you.
Starting point is 00:31:08 And Slop, I'm sorry. I have to push out an under. That's not bad. That's kind of like on the show, but that's an over on how bad it'll be. You know what I mean? There's also on Builder 2, I played over Josh Jacobs 18 and a half carries
Starting point is 00:31:26 and parlayed it with Amanda Wilson under four and a half carries. There's like plus 240 or something like that. I don't really know why they let me do that, to be honest. But here we are. You know, like this is like, I mean, I played it for a little bit, not like a full unit, but I added some more on that. Yeah. I like it quite a bit.
Starting point is 00:31:46 I know, you know, we were talking internally. I also think like his longest eight and a half, the under one, that's probably really good. I know Jake was, was flirting with that one too. Just I think it's, again, he's just had no explosives. I think like, I think his longest rush is like 12 yards. He's had a lot of carries this year. So, yeah, Manuel Wilson, under four and a half. I mean, I don't know that I'm chasing three and a half plus money, but I don't hate it necessarily.
Starting point is 00:32:14 So all right, Slop, Flore back to you, bud. I got another, Connor and I have a joint play to come. We'll give it back to you, Slop. There's a few things. I mean, you kind of need something for Saturday night. Like, you need a nice Saturday night move. You know what I mean? It should be a snow game.
Starting point is 00:32:36 It's an NFL playoff game on Saturday night. Colston Lublin right now, if you want to get on this, you got to do it now, but you got to do it at, looks like Profit X. They still have 41 and a half. Everywhere else has gone to like 46. I see a 49 in there. There's a 45 and a half in there. I think this dude has a day. I don't know if you guys have been watching him. I mean, I'm sure maybe Connor, you've seen him being in your in Chicago. maybe they talk about him, but he's kind of nasty. Like he's kind of like really nasty. He's caught at least three balls in literally every game he's played for the last like 10 plus weeks or whatever. I think they might get behind in this thing.
Starting point is 00:33:25 If they do, it's Loveland time in a snowstorm. I know you guys are huge weather guys and think there can't be like offense in snow. But I don't, what's up? I'm going to clear the record. We're not huge weather guys. But the haters are. The haters are. Slop, it's going to be snowing.
Starting point is 00:33:47 Well, for one, it might not even snow. Two, who gives a shit if it does anyways? I don't know if you guys remember a playoff game back in the early 2000s. There was the tuck rule. A lot of snow on the ground. I was going to bring it up, actually. Tom Brady threw for 300-plus yards in that game. He went for a 300-burder that night, all right?
Starting point is 00:34:08 in that game. There was a tight end in that game. Jermaine Wiggins got 10 balls. All right. So this shit happens all the time. All right. Well, when it snows.
Starting point is 00:34:17 Well, it did in 2002. So I don't know if that really correlates to now today. Just saying it happened before. But no, Loveland's firmly in play. I mean, if you can get them at 41. It looks like it's minus one.
Starting point is 00:34:30 Oh, it's gone. What the fuck? Are people putting this in? What are we doing? People do watch the show, Slop. All right. So people do watch this stuff. Yeah, so you look at 46 and a half or 45 and a half now plus 105 at NoVig is your best bet. Pinnacle still has 40 and a half. So there is that. But I don't really give a shit what Pinnacle has. They have like literal $250 limits right now on that. So yeah, it doesn't really matter. But no, Loveland, it's Loveland time.
Starting point is 00:35:03 I'm telling you, I'm huge on him, huge on Loveland. his route rate's gone way up the last couple of weeks. He's like true tight end one. He's Chicago tough. Like, you know, he's just, he's ready to get after it in the cold weather for the bears. Also, I think this game could be pretty fun.
Starting point is 00:35:20 There's just a lot of ways that both teams can produce offense in this game. Like, I think that the Packers will have some success running the ball. If the Bears try and get aggressive, the Packers already showed that they are going to absolutely murder the Bears' corners because Christian Watson is twice as, fast as anyone trying to cover him, basically in man coverage. And then the Bears, I think, should have a ton of success running the ball. I actually really like some Bears, Fandals, as opposed to these team total rushing yards
Starting point is 00:35:46 and passing and receiving props. So I like their team rushing over probably whenever that's released. I don't know what it is because I think one of Menongai or Swift, maybe both of them are going to have big games. They've run the ball 29 times in like both games. So I think they're going to run the ball a ton and just have like a ton of success there and then hit Colston Loveland, you know, when Packers get too sucked in. Because they don't have Devante Wyatt either.
Starting point is 00:36:10 No Wyatt, no Parsons. It's tough. Is there news coming out about Colston Loveland, like right now? What's going on? What are you seeing? I'm just saying on the screen, it's just getting pounded up, down, up, down everywhere. Price picks just went from 46 and a half to 44.5. No big still at what I went from 46 to are from 45 to 46 and a half like just like what is happening
Starting point is 00:36:39 I mean you're you you move markets bro and what do you don't underestimate your this is this is more than more than what we do I think maybe maybe it is I don't know but like it's crazy like it's it's and it's just him I mean I will it's a pretty popular show slop I mean we I guess oh shout out you guys I mean we've been doing this together three years. So I think we got to include you on that. But yeah, I know this is, I love this earlier in the week. When I saw like, I don't know, we saw 39 and a half 40s at open, 40 and a half. I know another service pumped it out, I think yesterday. But yeah, he's been really good. So yeah, I've, I have no problem with it. I thought this was going to be your play of the year.
Starting point is 00:37:28 Yeah, no, this might be the new play of the year, the Saturday play of the year. It could be that. Best Saturday play so far in 2026. That's, yep, 100% so far. I mean, it's still early, but I mean, I don't know if it gets better. Who knows? Who knows? Saturday play of the year.
Starting point is 00:37:48 I love it. Mm-hmm. I'm working on my Talton, Patrick. I'm actually pretty good at it. Like, all you got is to mimic what you see on Twitter, and you can be really good at this. You know, the Taunton? The Taughton?
Starting point is 00:38:02 Yeah. Yeah, just got to have a play of the year all the time. Switch to the century, play the millennium, same thing, but whatever. It's a different words. That counts. What the F is this line? Yeah, 300 hearts. Someone is getting fired for this.
Starting point is 00:38:17 On that note, I do have an absolute nuke. That has no chance of losing. I love it. An absolute lock. Locked. Actually, though, I'm going to put, well, I actually going to put it in the play. All right. So it's a joint play, me and Noonan, going to play Corum over 42 and a half rushing yards.
Starting point is 00:38:42 I thought it was a typo. Like, I had to email support to make sure they get that line. Is that the first half line? It seems just like, it's crazy. I don't know. It's like one of those things where they crushed them last time. 72, Caron had 72 yards and 13 carries. Corum had 81 on 7 carries.
Starting point is 00:38:59 It wasn't just all come on one. He had a 34-yard run. And then he still got to 81, even that, like the rest is. So he's consistently efficient. This isn't that weird game. Remember last time where like the Panthers, I think got three turnovers. Like they dominated time of possession. They didn't run the ball much.
Starting point is 00:39:14 Cor him in their five game sense is 11 plus carries in four of the five games. So I think pretty comfortably you can project him for, I don't know, 10 to 15 carries in this spot, honestly, at the high end if they absolutely build the Panthers out. And there's some insane schematic advantages too. Like Panthers are awful at runstop win rate, awful in stuff rate. awful in yards before contact and man concept runs have just absolutely annihilated the panthers is here that's what the rams do best so i think we're going to see just a heavy heavy dose of running game from here from the rams this is another team rushing over um bet that i think could
Starting point is 00:39:46 be great as well again don't have a number it'll get posted tomorrow like day of it's what they've been doing um so yeah i like this rushing over here specifically as well because and corum's just been awesome and there's a chance of rain and to win like i don't know it's shaping up to be like kind of a Loppy running game here for both sides, I think. And maybe some depressed volume overall, but still, like, I don't know, quorum's a good look for like 10 plus carries here, I think. Yeah, I was just going to say 10 plus carries feels legit. Right now, at Bandul, they got a boost.
Starting point is 00:40:16 You can only put $10 on it, but still. I mean, you boost that up from even money to plus 150, and then you can just hit the even money again after that for the rest of it, whatever else you want. But, dude, Corm. Corm's run the ball, Tim. plus times, guys. He has to.
Starting point is 00:40:34 His carries is only nine and a half, but I also think that he could just like, I mean, get this on like three carries, you know? Yeah. Yeah. Like, he doesn't even need 10. That's it. Yeah, I don't have anything to add other than it's just a banger. He's awesome.
Starting point is 00:40:50 He's small, right? Like, you're looking for him and a pile of guys to try to find the guy with the ball to tackle. You can't see him. he's just pretty damn good it's a great run blocking offensive line their weapons we've seen this actually historically with Sean McVeigh too like
Starting point is 00:41:09 it's not as severe as it used to be but you always think of I don't know Stafford's a really good quarterback you get these dynamic passing games when they get up they turn pretty pretty pass heavy so hey not a big guy 5-8
Starting point is 00:41:27 Sorry, is that my height shaming people? That is not that big. That's a significant shorter than I thought for some reason. Yeah, he's a little dude. Five eight's not very big. Yeah. I mean, I don't mind the attempts play. I think the yards is such a better play because you're...
Starting point is 00:41:45 Yeah. I'm in the yards too. Eight for 50. Earlier in the week, I think you still do it, but I do, Corum, it's one of those latter ones. Corum 25. plus rushing arts plus two receptions from Hubbard got you like one 10 but it was like I feel like that's probably going to happen like like has it not like the the ramps jump
Starting point is 00:42:12 out to a lead and then the Panthers want to throw the ball Hubbard gets a couple catches because he can't run. Dowell really can't catch so I mean you kind of kind of fits like a glove those too. Yeah. Yeah, I like it. love again I don't know best Saturday
Starting point is 00:42:32 3 p.m. play of the year of the year of the year we're bordering on yeah like some century plays here yeah well centuries different than millennium even though it's the same it's true we're covering a lot of the windows I don't think we're going to cover all the windows
Starting point is 00:42:51 but we're covering a lot of the windows yeah sometimes you got to cover them up you ever see that they put 10 points up on their windows. You know what I mean? It's true. We got a good question.
Starting point is 00:43:04 Your high scoring the week. Rams, Panthers, I kind of worry that both teams sit on the ball a little bit too much, but maybe not. I'm sure there are odds up for that, right? There are.
Starting point is 00:43:16 Yeah, I mean, Jags builds like massive chalk in that market. I looked at all like the most passing, most rushing. The problem is there's like really clear cut opportunities for guys to just like shred that and they're all chalk. So like,
Starting point is 00:43:27 Sequin in the most rushing, you know, like most passing, I think was Stafford or someone else. That one's a little bit less clear cut. And then the receiving one, there was like puka basically. And so I don't know,
Starting point is 00:43:41 I'm not really super interested in fading that. Yeah. Yeah, I get this, Tim, this thought around Bryce most passing. I mean chasing game script. I feel like that doesn't work as often as we would think it would in terms of,
Starting point is 00:43:55 you know, chasing. And, you know, I just feel like Bryce, it's a struggle bus ticket to 200 every week, just a struggle, unless you get, you know, Tett popping off for, you know, 40-yard receptions like you did last week. So I would just play it through Tatt, to be honest. That's a lean you had. And I think Tats' numbers too low to be, right? I mean, I make the case for that for the parlay.
Starting point is 00:44:19 This is interesting, too. Bryce Young rushing yards over 16 and a half. Obviously, have some of the playoff narrative. He's been running way more. like the last like month and a half basically. Like he had two carries last week with a 9, 4, 7, 5, 4, all before that. So like that's, I don't know, he's not super, not a guy that I'm like looking to back a ton, but that is interesting.
Starting point is 00:44:41 Yeah, you can make a quarterback rushing parlay. Sell me on that for sure. Blind betting, you know, the theory that we've tested out years ago. I've not updated that data, but just quarterbacks that are willing to run. And that's almost everybody at this point, right? back when we were doing that math around the spike in rushing quarterbacks running more in the postseason, they were definitely more pocket passers. I feel like everyone now is the least willing to run.
Starting point is 00:45:06 Like, I'd be surprised how frequently Brock Purdy, for instance, scrambles. Like, you know, it's on four or five times a game pretty consistently. So, yeah, Patrick even calling out in the chat. So, like, I do think we see that spike continue for pretty much every quarterback you can make the case for. So, all right. We're all in on variations of quorum, which I like to see. So just, yeah, absolutely love it. All right.
Starting point is 00:45:32 I'll take it next. Slop, are you done? I'm all set. I'm all tightened it out. Cool. All right, Connor, we did our two joint plays and the running backs. I was going to start to show with this. Oh, nice.
Starting point is 00:45:47 Maybe my favorite play of the week. Colored, I can lay this out a little bit. I think it might be my favorite play of the week. That's kind of weak, that's kind of weak, honestly. I mean, we got plays of the year coming and plays of the century. And all you guys play of the week. Yeah. You know, he's a conservative though.
Starting point is 00:46:02 He's a downgrade to happen at this point. That's the thing about touting. Like you got to know where you fit in. You see a bunch of super aggressive ones. You go conservative. You're the contrarian of the boy. You know what? Like, you got to.
Starting point is 00:46:15 Yeah, you're good. You're good, dude. Sometimes you got to hit singles and doubles, right? Yeah, I never saw it coming. So, Connor and I touched on this a little bit on Monday show. give me Steph Diggs over 52 and a half receiving yards widely available in this range do you things going on here.
Starting point is 00:46:36 Chargers, awesome, taking the deep ball away. They lead the league in past defense DVOA against deep passes by a pretty significant margin as well. It's been obviously a huge piece of what New England's done well, part of why they are where they are. I also got a ton of zone schemes here, which is kind of where we get, digs. He's going to probably play 50-50 slot now
Starting point is 00:46:59 ride, especially without Matt Collins in the lineup. But, you know, he'll be able to work and do his thing in the slot. I really don't care if it's Derwin James or the heaps still. They're both very good. You know who else is very good? Staff digs. Who's been like routinely doing numbers in a part-time role? He's like barely placed. And when he gets in there, he's got a thousand yards in the season. He's running like 60% of the routes. We're going to turn the dial up to 11 on Steph Diggs in the playoffs.
Starting point is 00:47:27 And Steph Diggs, I don't know if you guys know this, a little bit of a showman, a little bit of a performer, right? Married a wife, his wife's in the show business game. He's just, you know, the lights are a little bit brighter. This is when Steph Diggs comes to get it done. This is a trend. I actually went back, pulled some data to his ears in Buffalo.
Starting point is 00:47:46 He always had a better yards per reception average, yards per game average in the playoffs than he did in the regular season. sample smaller. But Steph Diggs just likes when everyone's watching and play ball. Okay. We had four instances this year where New England played in prime time. Week five at Buffalo revenge game. We know that. Caught 10 balls for a buck 46. Week 11 against the Jets. Does he even need to play in that game? Was the Jets? Yeah, he's going to go play nine balls for a buck five. Okay. Week 13 against the Giants, that game was 30 to seven of the half before we blinked. He only caught three for 26.
Starting point is 00:48:23 Flies in the face of an area. But like, you just didn't. play. They didn't need to. We had like defensive touchdowns in that game, whatever. Week 16, Baltimore, 60% of the routes, got to have a quiet day. Nope, nine balls for a buck 38. So we got Steph Diggs playing less than 70% of snaps, three out of the four times that they've played in prime time, and he went over a buck 05 in three of those four games. So now we're going to get 70, 80% Steph Diggs. He's going to absolutely nuke here. I love this one. It's another spot where you can play plus money you can ladder again sunday night p.m. play of the year slash play of the week here Connor any thoughts on step digs i like it yeah we got some questions here what's dig digs legal status
Starting point is 00:49:07 he won't choke makes others choke um donnie thank you for putting the nail on the head there um yeah i think he's fine he just you know he choked his his chef um but we've all been there Yeah. We don't know what that chef did to him. Yeah. For some allegedly. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:49:30 Also allegedly, the amount of times that we have to say allegedly for the chiefs, Browns and Patriots is quite alarming. I'm not going to lie. That's totally fair. Why specifically those three teams? I don't really know. The chiefs are the leaders, though. I want to give the chiefs their flowers here.
Starting point is 00:49:49 Yeah, I mean, the Patriots just have like minor cheating scandals. Like, you know, so there's allegedly there. the chiefs legitimately go out of their way to recruit bad people because they're good football players. I can run fast. Yeah. Is that a crime? No. Sometimes.
Starting point is 00:50:07 It can be, I guess. But yeah, I like this play. I think it's, I think Diggs is a good by-low. Like, I wonder if they're, so Matt Collins is out. Kishon Booty played way more than Diggs last week. I wonder if they're going to, or not last week. I don't know, whatever. I guess last week, right?
Starting point is 00:50:24 So I wonder what the playoffs are going to look like. So I don't know. If he plays full compliment of stats, we've said this and we bet on him before. Like, if he plays full, he's going to crush and he's going to go way over and he's going to be a dog. If sometimes it feels like he just like is out there and they're winning and it doesn't matter, but this is a playoff.
Starting point is 00:50:42 So yeah, maybe you're right. Maybe it's just diva digs, you know, firing it up, you know, ready to go for the playoffs. This is going to be a close game, too. They're only three-point favorites. So we'll see. Look, Slop.
Starting point is 00:50:53 some people don't like when the lights are bright stuff dakes lights when the lights are bright okay yeah not i mean he's this he's on the cutting edge i mean like he would he had pink cocaine over the summer and like i didn't even know they had that i thought i thought it was white but he's even he's just on the cutting edge like he has like all the new stuff and that alone to me makes this worth it you know yeah it's all about the tussie you know yeah i mean just that that that doesn't tell you about who he is as a human being,
Starting point is 00:51:26 then I don't know what to tell you. I mean, he's getting 60 plus, so he's going to go definitely over, what is it, 52? Yeah, 52 and a half, dude. He's getting 60 and he's getting 52. Yeah, it's almost impossible to do that. Yeah, I mean, almost.
Starting point is 00:51:40 Yeah, I'll run the numbers. He's one of those guys. I don't know. I still remember the day. Remember Marcus Latimore, I think it was, or somebody for the Saints just whipped on that pass when he was with the Vikings. caught he took it to the house vikings to whatever they went to that was digs man those digs
Starting point is 00:51:59 primetime game one more time dude just do it one more time just put the pink cocaine down stop choking the chef and go get 60 yards yeah he can do it or just keep the pink cocaine i don't get shit i'll poke in and dribble right that's what it's yeah yeah i just i think we just had we've such a history of him doing doing like i don't know again thousand yards and he was like running like 60% of the routes all season long i can't imagine he's running 60% of the routes here given their you know kind of the nature of the receiver room and the game like yeah i just think we definitely see 70% snaps at least or you know route participation and then yeah aces and places yeah yeah that's why like the playoffs if you start to kind of see through
Starting point is 00:52:47 you know what i mean you realize like yeah bullshit guys are not getting there so you know what i mean it's not time for like to bust out all the bullshit guys and that's just not going to happen yeah let's build a parley marcus williams that's who it was that's right jo's correct yeah that was tough like i remember watch that i've been like what are you doing like no there were you one thing you couldn't do was that that was it and he did it poor guy donnie we're definitely laying the three with the paths i mean that's not a show play but i mean you know you have to My buddy Delaney, but I bet she he's got like five burgers on that already.
Starting point is 00:53:30 Donnie, a fellow New Englander. Yeah, I should be got to take care of business here. So this is not a one and done, Pat's team. Okay. It's too fun. Juice is too high. MVP, quarterback, dude. Yeah, I don't know if he's going to win now.
Starting point is 00:53:45 I think he, I think he should, but I don't think he's going to. I think he's got it, dude. You think so? Yeah, like who else could get it? Matthew Stafford. How? You know Lifetime Achievement Award
Starting point is 00:53:57 Maybe Yeah I don't know The name's not Drake That's good already I agree Throwing picks left and right Costing everybody money
Starting point is 00:54:08 The last couple weeks Stafford I know I just feel like some of the old heads That are voting for the award Already They already sealed the envelope Long before You know
Starting point is 00:54:17 They put in Stafford They're gonna go Bullshit schedule With Drake May I'm telling you That's what's gonna happen I never heard schedule I'm gonna say
Starting point is 00:54:25 you know what I mean yeah you know I've never heard schedule like this before for MVP votes ever in my life they'll yeah they'll use it though they gotta use anything dude it's crazy I'll be honest with you I can't respect the argument you know what I mean because that just shows like
Starting point is 00:54:40 how committed they are to like their take that they'll just throw out anything at shit they don't give a shit dude yeah a lot of these teams in the middle of the season late season they whooped I like I go back to like the Broncos barely beating the Jets and Giants,
Starting point is 00:54:55 like literally needing like, you know, almost overtime. They, like, beat the Jets and Giants in back-to-back weeks by combined three points. And I don't know, what's Drake May doing against those teams? Just saying. Again, we already talked about it was 30 to seven and a half against the Giants. What do they do?
Starting point is 00:55:11 Like 40-something they hung on the Jets. I don't know. Barracing people. Trade May will be back. It's not his last chance. And that's why I think people are going to give Matthew Staff for the award. So, all right, Connor, we put together some,
Starting point is 00:55:22 some legs, I think, here for the parlay. Yeah, I got... You don't know what you guys like. So I got the Dalton Kincaid 60 yards, Blake Corum, 60 yards, Colston-level and 70 yards. Stefan Diggs, 80 yards.
Starting point is 00:55:38 All plus 210 to plus 250. So we're at 124 to 1, I think. Do you want to just go ahead and knock it out? you know what I mean like that that's we just we just win this one we just win that's it that's it you know what I mean just Sam let's take a nice little win stuff a few bucks in our pockets come right back all right let's do it I'm doing uh I don't know 25 bucks to win 3K it seems seems it seems about right 100 would get you 12K just saying I already put it in but um yeah I'm like I can't possibly re-bett it so uh you know it's I'm locked into this amount forever it's over
Starting point is 00:56:22 Yeah. And the cash out's $15 now. So that means we for sure made a good bet. Yeah, they know that this is good. Yeah. I'll almost give you all your money back. It wouldn't even give you a cash out if it was bad, you know. Yeah, 100%. They're like, no, no, no, we're keeping all of it. It's giving the whole 25. Oh, man. I think there are some other good, it's like some interesting ones. I think a sneaky. I think the more I dig into the Steelers, Texans game, I think that Rogers is going to get rid of the ball really quick and like a million times and like past attempts and past completions over might be okay um we've seen him just chucked the
Starting point is 00:56:57 ball for the last like month basically like super high attempts um also the texans defense has been like obviously they're basically they're elite you know the top three unit but they're like only susceptible it's like quick quick passes um they've you know been okay in those so defending those that's like been there basically only slight bugaboo is like if you don't let the their wagons up front get home um and just get the ball and just get the ball of out quick. They're not as good, which is, you know, again, not saying a whole lot, but I think that could be an interesting path. And you know that Rodgers loves to just get the ball out quick. So I don't know how to play it yet. I've still been looking at it. I don't really know if it's
Starting point is 00:57:34 worth playing like a pass attempts or completions line because I don't have much faith in like the Texans pushing them much. But yeah, I don't know. Gainwell stuff is already really high. Five and a half receptions is like his baseline. That's tough. I like taking anything because the guy gets his balls out quick you know what I mean it's just nice what about Darnell is he playing he's done done done done yeah he broke his arm yeah but like he probably heals quick no
Starting point is 00:58:03 that's probably true I didn't look he's a big dude he's got first of all I think he has two arms as well so like one's broken the other one dude great because he's got a big hand so he doesn't need both hands to catch the ball looks like a great fruit in his hand to be honest with you great chance all right so
Starting point is 00:58:19 fire mooth Giff Yeah, my concern with the Roger stuff is that they just refuse to snap the ball with more than two seconds left in the play cock. Yeah, I don't like that. You know, volume is always tough. They're dead last in place per game. So like his pass rate could be high. But like if Houston can play keep away at all, then you're, you know, you're in a spot where like 50, 52 plays is like real, real in the range of possibilities for. for Pittsburgh that makes it real tricky yeah if you take his attempts over it will be one of those where
Starting point is 00:58:57 you're yelling at your screen multiple times snap the ball already you don't I mean like I get mad it's like come on Sergio Garcia back in the day oh geez hit the fucking ball dude like what are we doing Ryan Harmon now it's you know any of the golf guys in the chat like yeah that's the guy the waggle yeah just geez like come on Sergio yeah hit the ball they did did a side by side. I'm going to give you 30 seconds of golf. I'm not going to go into a whole thing. They did like this golf games thing.
Starting point is 00:59:28 Like a couple weeks ago on the golf channel was awesome. They did relay. Literally a guy in the tea, a guy in the fairway, two guys in the green. And they, someone chopped up a side by side of these guys playing the entire hole next to Brian Harmon just waggling over his ball pre shot. And the guys finished the whole like basically the same time as Brian Harmon like took his swing. That's brutal. brutal watch.
Starting point is 00:59:52 Yeah, it's brutal to watch. It's like, bro, you got it. It happens at the bowling alley, too. I mean, any, I guess, single sport, like, where it's just one guy, where it's like, buddy, just throw the ball, dude. Like, yeah, I mean, you're staring at these pins. They're not going to fall down from you staring at him. They're not moving.
Starting point is 01:00:08 Yeah. Anything with golf, yeah. Yeah, Harmon's just, though, it's like him in contention on the Sunday is just the worst. Like, we're going to have to watch this all day. Just there's nothing worse. So, yeah. Yeah, I like some. I like Nico win that same game.
Starting point is 01:00:24 I don't know. I just feel like you can get deep on the Steelers past D. They're one of the worst past D DVA against the D ball. So I don't know if it's like Nico in particular. I flirt with like CJ Stroud longest completion. Like 34 and a half because then you don't have to pick which Texan guy goes to. I think they hit someone with a deep ball. Cates over.
Starting point is 01:00:46 Yeah, it could be someone right. Like I don't know. Who was it? Brevin Jordan? two years ago, something like an 80-yard catch or something that. I thought Brevin Jordan was going to be a guy. It never happened. B.J.
Starting point is 01:00:57 Yeah. I love a good B.J. Yeah. Big, yeah. Since at least 95. Maybe 94. Yeah, but probably sooner. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:01:08 You just didn't know it. Yeah. That's a great point. I think I knew it around 92 or 93. They always been one. I just didn't really know it until later on. That's true. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:01:19 I like the Tett stuff, too. like I said, I don't know if you're going to longest or some alt stuff. If you, I think if you want to make the case for Bryce, just give me the guy who's got to, he's got to throw too a lot and can win deep. Again, pro coke heads, but I worry about the volume there to. I know Connor played some under on the get. Just kind of capture all the windows here. Obviously, you can make a case for Christian Watson.
Starting point is 01:01:44 Connor. I know we talked about that a little on Monday as well. I don't know if the weather scares you at all there or if you're still in on some of the Christian Watson explosives or ladders or alts. I like the Watson stuff, but yeah, I'm reading more about the weather and it's, I don't know, it's interesting. It's like looking worse and worse, which just sucks because I'm going to this game and I'm excited to go.
Starting point is 01:02:07 You know, they're free tickets, so that's exciting. But I'm not excited about the weather. I mean, I don't know. We'll see, but it'll be crazy. I'm sure everyone's just going to be going to nuts the whole time. I went to a Cubs playoff game this year and everyone just stood the entire game and it was awesome. The atmosphere was great.
Starting point is 01:02:25 I would assume probably much of the same for the Bears game, but we'll see. Yeah. We're going to be awesome, dude. Those people were so happy about the Bears in the beginning of the season. Like last summer, it was just like, it was just like, wow, like you forget that they've been through hell for the last
Starting point is 01:02:41 I don't know how long, you know, so like getting to see the Bears good must be fun. People love the Bears. I think people love the Bears more than people of the Cubs, I think. I don't know. Really? Yes.
Starting point is 01:02:52 Yes, a thousand percent. No shit. We have, again. It might be people away from Chicago that like the Cubs more. You know what I'm trying to say? Like, because. WGN. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:03:04 We do have, again, I know it's not even close, but we do have two baseball teams in the city, right? Those are all Bears fans. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, don't tell the room. No one gives her shit about the White Sox. Nobody cared about them.
Starting point is 01:03:16 It was almost like, man, it's like, you almost felt bad. bad for me. Like, damn, man. It's still there. It's, yeah, it's still there. But again, those are all Bears fans. And these, this is a... South side. Is that a shitty neighborhood? Their guaranteed rate field is that bad neighborhood?
Starting point is 01:03:32 Yeah. Guaranteed rate is essentially like the gateway to the south side of Chicago. Oh, okay. So, like, you don't just go walking around down there. No. You can. I mean, yeah, it's not... There's some bars around, like, there's like, like, by guaranteed rate, there's like two bars or whatever that you can walk to, but, like...
Starting point is 01:03:49 You just shouldn't, I mean, any further south is a little tough. I mean, you're not unsafe going to the game, walking. Like, yeah, it's, it's fine. I don't think I want to go exploring, you know, around the area, but parking. Wrigleyville better. Significantly. It's a lot different, yeah. No, I had fun.
Starting point is 01:04:10 I just didn't, I didn't go. We didn't hit the south side very much. So, yeah. Yeah. Yeah, Wrigley's like the young 20s kind of area. Southside. So there's amazing some amazing south side neighborhoods.
Starting point is 01:04:21 But yeah, like where the guaranteed rate is is a little tough. Okay. A little tough. Yeah. All right. Yeah, I don't want to bury the lead.
Starting point is 01:04:29 I mean, obviously, long-suffering Patriots fans as well. It's been a tough little run here. Brutal. Nonny said a six-year-old hasn't seen a Super Bowl. I mean, that's tease and peace.
Starting point is 01:04:43 That's tough. Yeah, in the meantime, you only had to deal with the Celtics and Red Sox. and you know, Bruins all the Patriots are like
Starting point is 01:04:51 It's different Different Super Bowl hits different Yeah I will say Still in New England though Yeah It's different
Starting point is 01:05:02 But still socks and pads Still very much Very much moving needle So I don't think we did anything In the Niners Eagles game Just before we wrap
Starting point is 01:05:12 Just want to see if there's Anything in that window Alt's ladders Anything you guys were flirting with there. Again, if you're sitting on something, you don't want to give out, totally fine. But just any thoughts on how that game plays out?
Starting point is 01:05:26 I think Sake-1 runs for a million. I do, too. I was playing on sitting on the Don Kincaid money, and then basically just if it loses, which it obviously won't, because of the play of the century, but at the same time, you wait to see what happens,
Starting point is 01:05:45 and then you responsibly bet the house on whatever you find in that window for San Francisco, Philly. So like, let's say Kincaid loses, you got to get loose. You don't know what I mean? You're going to have to figure something out. You got a long rest of the day, all right? Because I believe that's the first game of the day. So anytime you do a play of the century, it's got to be the first game of the day.
Starting point is 01:06:07 So now you have two other chances to get your money back responsibly, which you never chase, never chase. But when you do chase this one, I don't know. I'm not sure what I'm going to look at, but I never looked past it, to be honest with you. I'd never look through the saw Kincaid. I said, you know what? I'm going heavy on that. And we're just going to see where the chips lay. You know what I mean?
Starting point is 01:06:26 Like, who knows? To see where the chips, you know, the chips fall. That's it. That too. Yeah. But yeah, I got nothing for that game. I don't even know what I would do. Thank God Kincaid's going to cash, because then I can just kind of do some little stuff.
Starting point is 01:06:44 You know what I mean? still pocketing cash from the day. But man, that's a tough one. Yeah. To be anything. I worry about the Niners rolling out, you know, like, just back end linebacker crew. Some lines beat up, like, I don't know.
Starting point is 01:07:06 Yeah, it's just a bunch of. I'm really worried about them. I think they might just like, we might just see exactly what you saw in Seattle at this, honestly. Like it's, I don't know if sub 10 points is going to be it, but it might be pretty close to me, honest. Like, if Trent Williams out, I don't know. Like, it's, I think it's just over.
Starting point is 01:07:23 Yeah. Like, I like some tackle stuff for the Eagles. It projects pretty well. But then I have to worry about play volume for the Niners, which you never really have to worry about typically. They've been fantastic there all season long. So, all right. I think we've captured. The Eagles suck, too.
Starting point is 01:07:38 I know. So now I'm betting on a team that I think sucks. So like, you know what I mean? Like, nothing about that's fun. Like, I'm going to watch it and bet it anyways. But like I said, it's not going to be fun. I don't want to do it. I have to.
Starting point is 01:07:53 Too deep in the game. Okay. Donnie, I like this. It's actually available like 10 yards lighter. It's your, you're about 10. It's like 16 and a half is available, which. Shop around, Don. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:08:06 No, maybe that's plus money. Yeah. That's definitely going to be. Probably. Maybe he's like, he's like, he's thinking, let's through ceiling outcome. I like it. I like Donnie. What else you got, Donnie?
Starting point is 01:08:18 Slop, got any splash stuff? Yeah. Yeah, I just found out today. There's like 800 people already in the contest. That's good. So nice work on that. Everybody that's doing that. I'm going to get into it's a pick-em.
Starting point is 01:08:31 Same thing as we normally do. Same thing. It's awesome. They also have a million-dollar playoff full two as well that I'm going to do. It's like a fuck 50 each. Somebody's walking with a milly. That could be fun. I don't know.
Starting point is 01:08:44 I mean, it depends on how much you like money. I like money. Yeah, I'm a big fan. Yeah, the playoff survivor $1 million. So right now it's $150 to get in, 7,400 people will be in it. Top prize is a million dollars guaranteed, whether it fills up or not.
Starting point is 01:09:03 There are already 4,600 people in this thing. So there's 4,600 people that want this thing. Do you know what I mean? Like, you should too. I mean, you're for sure going to chop this thing, right? There's no way that this is going to be a solo winner. Maybe. I mean, who knows, dude?
Starting point is 01:09:18 Right. I don't know. Maybe I'll get wild. This is a pretty wide open playoffs this year. And then if you scroll down on the homepage, you're going to see my face. And it says, somebody's getting rich. That's the one you should get in. It's only $10,000.
Starting point is 01:09:35 All right. For the weekly. I mean, probably going to split. I mean, there's not really that many games. But at the same time. What if you don't? What if you don't? Just win.
Starting point is 01:09:49 Slop high. Your pool is basically already almost full, man. I know. Yeah. You have to make you bigger. People are pushing, man. Yeah, I know, dude. I've been told I need to get bigger my whole life.
Starting point is 01:10:00 So it is what it is. But it's what we got. And we're working with what we got, Connor. Oh, I got. So good. Slop's bulls a grower, not a shower. I like that. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:10:10 I mean, we're just worked with what we got. Maybe it gets bigger. Who knows? who knows all right so you can win $3,000 with the parlay that's awesome yeah
Starting point is 01:10:23 good week yeah so all right we'll wrap it up appreciate everyone hanging out with us as always appreciate the chat you guys are great
Starting point is 01:10:30 uh make sure get that parlay kind of will treat it out if you missed it join slops full we'll over splashports to take care of that find slop
Starting point is 01:10:36 at slop rules on Twitter on the YouTube's all those different things let's have a week subscribers first of all you're not a subscriber we're going to miss out because we have, I think, volume tackle bats coming in.
Starting point is 01:10:49 Reture markets, draft kings, Caesars, pro builder, you know, the kind of the shitters. We have outs this week, which we've been struggling with for a little bit and some plus EV popping in projections. So it's going to be some tackles coming here probably this afternoon. So make sure you get in the Discord. Again, if you're not, take advantage through the Sharpstack deal. Again, free seven day trial.
Starting point is 01:11:12 Head over the site, 4.4.com slash plans, free seven day. trial promo code NFL playoffs for $10 first month get you in the discord get all of our betting stuff you guys rock let's have a great wild car weekend for connor slop or my we'll see you all next time thanks everybody

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