Move The Line - NFL Divisional Round Prop Bets | EXPERT Props, Predictions & Picks

Episode Date: January 20, 2023

NFL Divisional Round Prop Bets from Ryan Noonan, Connor Allen & Pat Mayo. The trio share their top Divisional Round player prop bets. Tail them as they hand out their top picks, highlight the best betting odds & share their expert predictions.Timestamps:0:00 Intro4:32 Divisional Round Props53:48 OutroShow Notes: Get 4for4's Betting Package for our Picks & Tools 👉🏼  https://www.4for4.com/plansFollow 4for4 on Twitter 👉🏼  https://twitter.com/4for4footballFollow 4for4 Betting on Twitter 👉🏼  https://twitter.com/4for4BetsFollow Move the Line on Twitter 👉🏼  https://twitter.com/MoveTheLineNFLFollow Connor on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/ConnorAllenNFLFollow Ryan on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/RyNoonanFollow Pat on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/ThePMEVisit our Website 👉🏼  https://www.4for4.com/Join our Discord 👉🏼 http://discord.gg/4for4Subscribe to our YouTube Channel 👉🏼  https://www.youtube.com/4for4football4for4 Betting Strategy Hub 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3hm39cw4for4 Prop Picks 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3TWC40v 4for4 Player Prop Tool 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3pQ2tQ1 4for4 Player Prop Finder 👉🏼  https://4for4.co/3wxTcQc 4for4 Player Prop Odds Comparison Tool 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3AQ5TbK 

Hello and welcome to Move the Line Prop Drop Show. I'm Ryan Noonan, back for the Divisional Round weekend to talk about the best way and the most profitable way to bet on NFL football. And that is through player props. Again, live 2 p.m. Eastern every Friday, all the way through the Super Bowl, giving you our favorite props and taking your questions. So if you're hanging out with us now on YouTube, subscribe so you don't miss a show. Smash the like button and jump in the chat.

Let us know what your favorite prop for the week is. Again, loaded card at this time in the chat. Let us know what your favorite prop for the week is. Again, loaded card at this time of the week. We have been pretty lucky the last couple of weeks to have a lot of stuff to talk about here, even though we only have four games. So we'll do our best to get to as many of the questions, assuming that they're good at the end of the show. Joining me here as always with his brand new bougie fancy mug, Connor Allen. How doing good yeah shout out to ember mugs keeping my coffee and tea warm there you know not not an advertiser of the show but if you want to be and you're listening you know uh reach out because we definitely uh would like to make some contact

there but it's exciting man we have tons of props on the board we don't have like a ton of the smaller guys but i we have a lot and so i have more than four plays for the show if we want to get into it but uh i think a ton to talk about here. Love it. We can get a promo code Mayo for 30% off of an Amber mug at some point, I'm guessing, right? Omaha Steaks works.

AG Greens works. Why not promo code Mayo? Any sponsor out there that would love to have a promo code Mayo attached to it, then I can make that happen. I know the guy who does that. Pretty good.

Man, obviously in charge of the Mayo Media Network and the Pat Mayo experience. It is Pat Mayo himself. How are we doing today? Doing well. I, unlike Connor, do not have an overflow of plays for the week. All the numbers that I got in on two days ago, even yesterday, have all changed in the opposite direction. So I guess that's good that I have a better number than is out there, but it sucks now that we're doing the show and here's Friday afternoon. And I guess during the

playoffs, we need to move the show to a Tuesday when it drops. I know it's an interesting thing. I had a bunch of tackle props this morning that we posted in the 4 for 4 Discord, and the subscribers have absolutely nuked them. So I really can't even give them out. I have a couple of one that I still can because it was a plus money bet, and it's, I think, still bettable. And then some other possible ones that we'll get to here at the end of the show. But this is why you need to be in the Discord, subscriber-only Discord at 444. Again, we are almost at the end of the season, but our betting subscription goes to the end of February.

It'll cover obviously everything that's on the site, all of our bets, $19 right now, 444.com slash plans. Again, still NBA picks, college hoops, MMA. If you are in any of the pick'em games, Vivid, prize picks, underdog, we have specific channels for all of those as well. Post plays. Um, and again, a very, very active subscriber base. Um, it was sharp people that are posting plays of their own now as well, that you can get in there. If you just want to, you know, degen with some of the folks that are

in the chat and watching games and sweat with the community, it's a great place to be 19 bucks, four for four.com slash plans again, only through the end of February's a great place to be. $19, 444.com slash plans. Again, only through the end of February. That's why it's only $19. But again, you'll get all the picks that Connor and I post right away. You get push notifications set up through the Discord. So we're still doing our Move the Line games, game previews, so some more sides and totals. That again is still going. So if you subscribe to the audio podcast, rate and review that as well. We really appreciate that. And then also here on the audio podcast, rate and review that as well. We really appreciate that. And then also here on the YouTube channel, you'll get that one as well.

Not quite sure when we're doing the conference championship one next week. I have some other stuff that I have going on. So not on the Wednesday spot, but either Tuesday or Thursday or Friday. I don't know. We'll have a show for you to talk about those two games whenever they pop up. All right. Connor, let's get started. You got a lot.

We'll do four, but when we get to the fourth one, you can kind of unload whatever else is on your card that you want to share that's still live or any other perspective looks here, though. So first play for the divisional round. For sure. I have an unusual amount of overs this week, but I'm going to start with one of my unders. I like Joe Mixon to go under 48 and a half rushing yards. And the big story has been, oh, well, how will the Bengals

offensive line hold up without Jonah Williams, without Alex Kappa, without Collins heading to Buffalo? You know, everyone's worried about Joe Burrow, but I'm really worried about Joe Mixon. The Bills third and run DDB away on top of this Bills five and a half point favorites. Mixon's gone like under this number in roughly half of his games, but given the matchup and offensive line injuries, I think it's going to be pretty tough for him. He's averaged just 3.4 yards per carry since his O-line started getting beat up against New England.

Now some of those games, multiple games, are against Baltimore. But still, if we look at his games against top 10 run defenses, he's averaged fewer than 3 yards per carry in 6 of those 9 games. And so given all those factors here, I really think that there's volume concerns if Buffalo gets up to a big lead. And then there's obviously massive efficiency because there's, even if, since he keeps it closer, decides to go run heavy, which I think both Noonan and I, you and I agree that that's probably not what's going to happen given the mismatch up front. I mean, they're starting their offensive line is probably worse than it

was last year in the playoffs. I mean, they're starting one of the backups, you know, and I don't think it's going to impact the passing game as much as uh most people are anticipating but i think it'll impact joe mixon in the running game quite a bit yeah we've seen a massive pass rate over expectation all season from the uh bangles we've seen it even higher since jamar chase has returned and uh yeah they're still buffaloes doesn't have the stout defense that they did earlier this season but still over like the last eight weeks or so, they're still top three in, in rush defense DVO way. So against this team with a bad offensive line, like you want to give it to Burrow,

let him make decisions. I don't think all of a sudden you tune into a massive one heavy team. So Pat, what do you got here? What are your thoughts on, on mixing? I'm there with mixing my, my first under is actually in the same game on the other side of the ball. And it was 44 and a half. Then it was 43 and a half. It is now down to 38 and a half. And I still have the projection coming under this number for Devin Singletary in terms of his rushing guard.

Because the way that you need to split it up is, yeah, you can get into a script if the game goes a little bit like we saw on the onset of the Monday night game between these two where the Bengals jump out to a lead the Bills just aren't going to run the ball whatsoever it's not going to happen yeah they hate running the ball as it is so them in a negative game script for rushing they're probably not going to run all that much so you also have the ability to split carries with James Cook we've been seeing James Cook get all of these carries out of the backfield very similar or sometimes even more to devin singletary so he's going to need to be hyper efficient on his carries to begin with and as connor's been pointing out for the past few weeks the beagles rush defense although it didn't really come to fruition last

week still very good especially against the lower tier of running backs the middle to lower tier where singletary really fits. And then the added concern is Josh Allen is just going to inherently steal rushing attempts away from these guys, whether or not all of Josh Allen's rushing attempts come at the expense of Singletary or Cook, but let's say four or five a game do. Well, then all of a sudden there's four or five fewer rushing attempts that actually go to these guys.

So tougher defense, lack of efficiency, triple headed monster, really in the rushing game for the bills just has me leaning way under on David Devin Singletary, even at 38 and a half. Yeah. Last few games to 43% of the carries 32, 42% of the carry.

So like, it feels like, and on the year is 46. So like he's been trending down and that's a lot of that is kind of like popped up from earlier this season where they weren't even really using James Cook in the rush game. the year is 46. So like he's been trending down and that's a lot of that is kind of like popped up from earlier this season where they weren't even really using James Cook in the rush game. So not a problem with that one at all, Connor. I gave that a long look yesterday too. Any initial reaction to Singletary? No, I really like it. I was trying to figure out the best way to

play it. Because on top of that too, James Cook is out carried him for now two straight weeks as well. So like, I think, like you said, the, the tides are shifting towards that. And this is one of the, it seems like one of those games where they might just like throw almost every play given they've allowed like half a yard less per carry when the Bengals have DJ reader since week 13, their third and run D EPA as well. So like, I mean, everything you said there just lines up. The matchup is tough. I was looking at attempts. I mean, there was a Devin Singletary 10 and a half attempts that popped this morning. I didn't get on it soon enough. I would have really liked that under.

But now it's like nine and a half. And then like, yeah, like, like Pat said, 38, 39 rushing yards. I still lean under. I just don't know. It's like, it feels hard to take something like that. That's already opened at like 44, 45. But I did play this under actually officially when in the original game between these two teams, but that obviously did not play out. So, yeah, I still like it.

I still think it's a solid book. Yeah, I like it, too. Just feels like it's trending down. And I think this is a game where both teams are chucking a ton. It's just kind of their M.O. And I think you just kind of lean on that in comfortable spots in the playoffs. And yeah, I like this bangles defense i think it is a tough matchup too so you can you know even have a spike to pat's point you can have

a spike in in singletary work and probably still fall under this number so all right so i'm gonna stay in the same game with my first one uh kind of in the same mode jamar chase over seven and a half receptions uh plus 110 on Caesars. Played this yesterday at plus 115. I still think we're still dealing with plus money here. I think it's a great look. I like the Bengals in the spot, really, regardless of game script. I think this is going to be a very heavy pass rate over expectation spot.

Like I mentioned earlier, on the season, they are tops, but they are massively above really anyone else. Since Chase got back in week 13, the Bengals pass rate over expectation is 11.4%. For context, the Bucs are third in that timeframe at 4%. So like it is a, they're just leaving it up to Joe Burrow and letting him diagnose. And because I think their offensive line is a problem here,

it might be counterintuitive, but I think they aren't going to want to run behind a really bad offensive line into a really stout defensive front. I think they're going to execute a pretty quick passing game. We've seen that a little bit lower ADOT from Burrow as of late too. So that's worked out really well for Jamar Chase. It's insane. 34% target share since he came back in week 13. On the season, it's still north of 25%. And it's really felt like more of a separation from T. Haynes of late, where it's kind of like the guy versus them being like 1A, 1B. 13 targets per game since he's been back.

He's topped this number in three straight for the past five. And I think that's going to be a problem with the Bills secondary. per game since he's been back. He's topped this number in three straight, four of the past five. And I think that's going to be a problem with the Bills secondary. We're talking a lot about the Bengals offensive line. And I don't think we were talking enough about the Bills defensive backs and the injuries that they have there. Now that DeMar Hamlin, thank God, is fine, we can talk about the football impact. He's a second stringer.

He's in there for Micah Hyde, who's still out. They are now playing Dean Marleau at like 90% of the snaps. Dean Marleau was so bad that the Lions cut him. He couldn't get on the field for Atlanta this year, and now he is playing almost every snap for Buffalo. Skylar Thompson couldn't take advantage of Dean Marleau. Joe Burrow was going to, and they move Chase around so much. They're going to find mismatches. I love Chase to get fed in this game, plus money over seven and a half. Connor, I know it's a big number. It's not somewhere that you typically go, but any thoughts on it? No, I like it. I mean, I don't know. I think that I agree with you now more and more on this game. After initially, I was really worried about the offense. I think that they'll

find a way, but yeah, I think the number is just a little too high for me. I don't know. Maybe, maybe I'm crazy. But I don't, I don't know if the yards is a better look either because like, I think that there's a chance that they're not very efficient, but they do pass a lot. So maybe like a Burroughs completion prop or a Burroughs attempt prop, I think could be interesting too. I haven't actually looked into that, but that's probably where my head would go initially. I like the same game parlay pad with, with burrow completions and chase. What are your thoughts on this matchup? Anyway,

it's been, we've talked about a lot in our discord. We have very different opinions. We'll have to get your thoughts on kind of this matchup and, and the chase prop. I, I have a hard time capping this game to be perfectly honest with you outside of like one or two pieces of it that I really like and how I can see that the game is going to go.

Like the Bengals passing game is just confounding to me. My poor guy, Trenton Irwin, didn't even get on the field last week. Now I'm looking at Hayden Hurst over three and a half reception props. Now that Hurst is back, we talk about the check down,

the lower A dot. He is a part of that. Remember, like he was gone for so long that now just having that safety blanket back on the field and you know with a deteriorated offensive line getting the ball out faster that makes a lot of logical sense that hayden hearst would be the one that is more targeted in this spot so i i would prefer that look even mixing mixing receptions what's mixing receptions at mixing three and a half so that's too many yeah so daigle was talking about samajay p ryan on our show um the other day which was uh interesting

too just that p ryan is is even though he didn't get a lot when you look at like routes run um last week p ryan ran a route on 50 of the dropbacks mixing was just at 24 which is a massive drop off from where he's been because he's been like right around 45% all season. So I don't know if that's a one game blimp. But that was interesting to see, even though Peter Ryan didn't do a lot with it, it looked like a shift in job security. My pushback on the Hayden Hurst thing is, first of all, Buffalo has been really good against tight ends. And my thought is if they do want to do some stuff to help protect the offensive line, don't you either leave a tight end in the block or at least chip pre-snap at times? And that might slow down Hayden Hurst and maybe make him more of a traditional tight end

versus a routes run tight end in the spot. That would be my only concern with Hayden Hurst. Well, what have been his routes run the end in the spot that would be my only concern with hayden hurst well what have been his routes run the past two weeks um he has been out there a good amount uh 74 and 79 percent the past two weeks so i would say that he was more needed last week against baltimore than he will be this week against buffalo yeah that's fair and that's 79 i mean that's again for the tight ends outside of the alphas 79 route participation is is elite so also i looked at a little bit that was my only thought was just thinking like what would they do different to protect it would probably be the tight end and it could be a chip doesn't mean

he's not going to get out there still yeah and von miller is not there either so i mean since since losing von miller the bills uh 16th and pressure rate uh as. So it's not like they've been getting a ton of pressure. And like you mentioned before, they're not a team that necessarily blitzes a ton. They generally try and get pressure up front and then kind of sit back, force mistakes. And so, yeah, I mean, it's just going to be a lot of pressure on Joe Burrow to make things happen here.

Yeah. This is props. We talked about this a little bit on the Wednesday show, but the Ravens defense is like the bugaboo a little bit for the Bengals. Mike McDonald does a lot of different things pre-snap. When you look at all the different iterations of like formations that they use, they use a bunch. They do a lot of different stuff in Burrow success rate against non-Ravens teams this year was north of 50%. In the three games against the Bengals, 33%. They have his number somehow. I went and looked at formations for the Bills.

They used one formation against the Dolphins. They have like two, three versions that they use all season. They are straightforward. This is what we do, and then beat us. And I think that that is a little bit of, it's just easier for Burrow in the spot. So I'm bullish on the Bengals. I think the Burrow is, doesn't mean that the Bills can't win. They're just going to have to light it up.

That means, I think, a lot of points. But I think you see some success from this passing game. So I like Chase. I like plus money. And Connor, back to you with your second pick. My second one is Dak Prescott, over 13.5 rushing yards. A subscriber at 4-4 actually pointed this out to me a day or so ago. You can find this still minus one 20 at MGM.

It's a little bit juice at other shops, but I think that I'd probably played up to 15 and a half where it's at at some other places as well. Dak is 16 or more rushing yards in five of the past six games, averaging five and a half rush times per game during that span coming off a game where he had 24 yards on seven carries against the Tampa Bay team that normally plays a ton of zone. As we've talked about,

we generally like to target running quarterbacks against man, but you know, Dak still was able to get there against his own heavy team. And on top of this Niners are able to get a ton of pressure, um, just allowed for 28 to Gino Smith, who I think is, I guess a somewhat reasonable comparison to Dak in terms of running. Like he's not going to have a ton of design runs or anything, just kind of has to scramble to get there. So getting flushed out of the pocket a little bit and not to mention Dak and the playoffs has run more than he normally has as well, multiple games over 20 yards. So it doesn't necessarily qualify for the study that we did at four for four that boosts QB rushing yards. But I think that kind of the theory here is the

same, especially a guy like Dak, who is fairly athletic, who can get out of the pocket, who can move. So I really like this over 13 and a half. I think he could easily end up with 20 plus and on MGM, you can kind of put some same game parlays together of like 20 plus 25 plus i think that the the ceiling here for him is really high on his rushing yards you mentioned there was one time he didn't hit it and i think that was the time that i gave it out as a play um of course but i like it i mean you know that i'm i'm on this um i will kind of piggyback that here in a moment what are your thoughts here pat i had this is my four place, and now I need to go find a new one. Sorry, Pat.

Thanks. No, I love it. I saw exactly what you saw, or what the 4-for-4 sub saw, at least. Yeah, Mayo stamp of approval. Like it. Yeah. Like you said, Connor's referencing, if you weren't around, we actually, TJ Hernandez, our DFS guru, did some work on this last year

after we talked about it more as like a concept, but did some work in looking at quarterbacks that average over 30 rushing yards per game. They average six and a half, I think, rushing yards more per game in the playoffs. So Dak falls under that. That'll be something that I'm not going to task with TJ. I'll do it myself here in the offseason and see. We'll lower the threshold to 15 yards and see if there's anything that's sticky there

in terms of quarterback rushing yards. I think almost just eliminating pure pocket passers is probably the way to go. I mean, Brady's not going to get outside the pocket and scramble, but even a guy like Rodgers, we saw down the stretch, if they were playing those must-win games, he was running a bunch. He's getting over that number, and number was like two and a half so

i don't know just worth looking at maybe for sure all right number two i'm gonna say lawrence actually falls into that as well for sure and he didn't have to do it last week but they were just in pure pass mode last week and yeah that's how it turned out it's still 15 and a half for him and the over is quite juiced up but But I am not going with a player prop. I'm going with a game prop for my second look here. I couldn't figure out exactly who I wanted to target. So I was like, hey, I might as well target the entire game. Giants and Philly over five and a half sacks total at even money.

So I think the Eagles could get there by themselves. So I really like this one. Do you have a book for that? Is that three, six, five Kings sports book? I wish, I wish books would post more team props like this.

I've been waiting for this one all week. It just popped up. Love it. Five and a half. And it's hard to find. Yeah. You can find these on, they don't do,

they do not game. They do team sacks on prize picks, which I like. Those numbers are typically pretty soft if anyone is playing there for those. But yeah, I like this five and a half. I haven't done any of the homework on it, but I like that they're available. I'll have to go check out that market. I like these. Well, it seems to be depressed because Minnesota couldn't get home at all last week.

Minnesota couldn't do anything at all last week. Minnesota couldn't do anything defensively last week. And it's really reflected in a lot of the Giants lines this week. Like if you just played blind unders on the Giants this week, I feel like you'd come out way ahead. Yeah. I looked at Hodgins. I looked at Richie James. I looked at Slayton.

I guess the issues that I kept running into with each of them was like, okay, Hodgins usage is like way up lately. And he did play in the slot a decent amount, which is like technically the Eagles week at weakness without, you know, Maddox. I mean, if you want to point to something and then Slayton, I mean, he's just the one we've talked about like every week, he's just one of those guys who just seems to somehow get there. You know, he's going to have that one or two deep balls. If he catches it, he's going over. If he doesn't, then he's going to have like 20 yards. And so I agree that you probably just bet all the unders and probably two of the three hit here in this spot I also like the Eagles though to just like clean up on the Giants so that's I mean I

don't know if that's a contrarian opinion or not but I think that's kind of where I'm at I see that game the same way that you do and I think that we saw exactly what we were talking about with Slayton last week there was like a broken play sometime in either the early fourth or late third quarter, Daniel Jones, just a bobbled the snap or someone didn't go the right way. He just kind of rolled out and instead of throwing it away or sliding or doing whatever,

what do you do? We just threw up like a 35 yard lob ball to Darius Slayton in the end zone. He probably should have caught it and he didn't, but like, it's like, oh yeah, here's a play.

Go to you, Darius. You're you're in the end zone. Like like they just when forced to do something under pressure he just kind of hucks it up to slayton so it's always terrifying with that i think you're right though connor if you kind of just across the board take shots at him you're probably going to hit two or three um same thing like daniel bellinger is a guy that I looked at long and hard. Daniel Bellinger sucks. Yeah, he sucks. There's nothing after the catch. Like, it's just his unders are intriguing to me as well.

Has he hit an over this season? Like once, I think, because his over-under was like 10 yards or something like that, and he caught like, you know, one pass. Well, he had the 48 yards in the Week 18 game against indy and that propped up whatever he had last week i think he was like 22 and a half last week and he ended up with 17 yards and he did end up catching a touchdown last week as well which is kind of crazy but like he doesn't really do anything he had a nice stretch at the beginning of the year i guess when he was averaging like 25 yards a game but every time that you look at his over-under,

it's like this team is about 10 to 15 yards too high for Daniel Bellinger. Also, Lawrence Kager played more than usual last week as well. He kind of started eating into some of Daniel Bellinger's stuff who ran less routes, I believe, ran fewer routes than he did previously. Yeah, we don't have his number. I mean, I have relevant to like how much he's gone over the current number, but I don't know about his over under hit rate per se, but yeah, I mean, let's look at that route participation. We're going to add a Dan Daniel Bellinger under live. Yeah. I mean, so that's the thing. Like last week he ran a route on 83% with a 6% target share.

Like he's two weeks ago, no three weeks ago, 94% route participation, six percent target share like he's two weeks ago no three weeks ago 94 route participation four percent target share uh that is very very hard to do so um yeah you you can sell me on bellinger under yards under receptions uh here in a big way even even with obviously anticipated negative game scripts it just is is not anything that they get excited about. Yeah. Yeah. I think that's an interesting look. I'll dive in more for sure.

That could be a play for sure. All right. Number two for me, I'm going to stay with the same drumbeat, the Conrad. I'm going to go Pat Mahomes over 23 and a half rushing yards. This is on a draft King. This is on Caesars.

Mahomes again, falls short of the threshold that we're looking forward here, but on the season, in his career, 19 yards per game on the grounds in the regular season. That is 29.4 yards, 10.4 yards more per game in the playoffs. Just will die on this hill. 39 yards in the matchup against Jacksonville earlier this season, if that means anything to you.

We've seen an improved pass rush for Jacksonville with Tav tayvon walker josh allen kind of you know collapsing pockets a little bit more so mahomes is a willing runner and this is one of those spots where again like you can get this on two carries you won't need the seven attempts that he had last time against jacksonville so 23 and a half isn't over gentlemen pat will go to you any thoughts on mahomes yeah he can get there he's not the quarterback i like the most in terms of these 23 and a half isn't over. Gentlemen, Pat will go to you. Any thoughts on the homes? Eh, you can get there. He's not the quarterback.

I like the most in terms of these. Dak was obviously my preference, but coming up, I do have another quarterback that I'm taking the over on in a rushing prop. So I just, I wouldn't touch this one. Yeah. The homes,

I think is kind of the impetus Connor. When we started doing this, it was like, Hey, my home runs in the playoffs all the time. And the mutton, the numbers just kind of bear that out. Yeah. It was a couple of years ago. I don't remember. Maybe it was against like the titans or something and he was just scrambling a bunch like he'll get like 30 yards just in the two-minute

drill before the first half alone um i guess uh my only concern is that they beat the jags so bad that uh he doesn't have to run but i think that he can easily get there before that happens i mean i i just really expect the chiefs to score like the, the more I break down this game, like 35 to 40 points here. And so how that happens, I'm not entirely sure, but probably through the air and maybe some running. They jumped out quick early the last time they met in Week 10, and Mahomes still got to 39. So, again, even in negative scripts, they still are a pass-heavy team.

So you're still, like, they're still dropping back in the second half, up 21, right? They also have in the back of their minds the bangles game last year too right where you can't really let your foot off the gas and i think you see mahomes do whatever he needs to here so do you think that the jags play more man defense this time they played like a ton of zone last time and just got absolutely torched um i mean there's also a chance to play more man but i don't even know if that matters because they're going to get like they don't match up well at all either way so i don't think they play a ton of man i was looking at that for a specific tackle uh play too because um there's something that would be impactful in terms of what they if they

did that there would be an underlook for sure on the board which i'll talk to talk about a little bit later but um i think they still are more zone heavy than than man just such a bad matchup to go man against my homes he just typically destroys man so all right pat back to you folks a reminder to uh if you're hanging up jump in the chat let us know what you like pat is it me or is it connor i'm sorry, Connor. Oh, yeah, it's me. All right, so my third one here is Miles Sanders over 66.5 rushing yards. I absolutely love this one. So already I think there's some context that's important here. He already gassed the Giants earlier this season, and we were on his over as well, 144 yards and 17 carries,

but came into their last meeting banged up. If we go through the past few weeks here, week 17 against New Orleans. He came in with a knee brace and was clearly not right. And then week 18 against the giants was on the injury report was limited in practice all week and then played, I would say better. He didn't play with the knee brace, but he still wasn't fully there.

You know, only 33 yards on 11 carries had a couple of good runs early on, but it clearly wore down on him. And that was also without Lane Johnson on the offensive line. So so they this like two weeks that they've gotten to get healthy i think is massive for this eagles team so they get lane johnson back on the offensive line miles sanders fully healthy not in the injury report at all the giants right now dead last run defense dboa 31st knee pay against the run 31st explosive run rate allowed um and not to mention on top of that bottom three defending the run on early downs, Eagles are, I think, one of the top three teams that are running on early downs. So

also wouldn't surprise me for them to even run more because of Jalen Hurts injury. I see joint sprain. I think that they still lay it on him no matter what, but I think there's always a chance later in the game that they run the ball a little bit more than they normally would. I like it. I tailed it. Pat, what are your thoughts on Sanders? I'd rather just bet Boston Scott anytime touchdown. Yeah, it is a very tilting backfield to have bets on for sure. So I get it. I think you capped it well, though.

It's, you know, you'll see that too. Like, oh, you got a Sanders play. I mean, he's just on the bench for the first, like, two possessions of the game. What are they doing they'll still end up getting like 15 carries and you know playing really well but they just i don't know they get fancy i don't even know what it is i think it's matchup specific yeah yeah i have no idea what they're doing but um yeah hopefully he still gets there i think he will match up i mean if he even gets like 10 to 12 carries i think he'll actually still get here

against his defense also if you do think he sees the majority of the work, you can bet on him to have the most rushing yards of the slate at plus 600, which I know is, you know, pretty big, but still it's like Saquon, who I'm not very high on. And then him. And then there's one more other favorite as well. McCaffrey. Yeah, McCaffrey.

So it's, I mean, for me, plus 600 of him versus McCaffrey, basically. Well, I mean, I, Barkley can get there that McCaffrey, basically. Well, I mean, Barkley can get there. You probably shouldn't overlook that part of him just being awesome. But Sanders is the lead running back of the highest ranked favorite on this slate. So Barkley is an underdog. I guess McCaffrey is there, but you don't really attribute all of the rushing yards to Christian McCaffrey. You know that, I mean, we tried to play Elijah Mitchell last last week he got the carries uh it didn't really work out for us when you had four carries for negative four yards to start the game that wasn't great although he

was getting all the touches like inside of the red zone so I guess that was encouraging I suppose if you were trying to project him out I would think that Etienne or Pacheco would be the two that I would look at. What are their odds in that market? I never even look at this market because I think it's a stupid market. But, you know, you've piqued my interest now. It's pretty ridiculous. Let me look it up.

I believe they were both around 10 to 1, if I remember correctly. Or maybe Etienne was like 8 and he was 10. That's such garbage. Yeah. Yeah, the hold is insane. It is. It's complete garbage. All right. We got plus is insane. It is. It's complete garbage. All right, we got plus 500 for Saquon, plus 500 for Miles Sanders now, plus 500 for Etienne, and plus 600 for McCaffrey.

You have plus 800 for the field, and then 10 to 1 on Pacheco. So I feel like McCaffrey is probably a solid play now. I mean, McCaffrey has to be the best play of that bunch, right? Yeah. Yeah, McCaffrey was the favorite one I checked this morning. So he was like plus 450 or plus 500. And then Sanders was like, you know, down the board a little bit. And so was Etienne.

But I don't know. It is a bad market. Yeah, those markets were fun last year. You can get in real early, find a couple of bad numbers. But they get absolutely just crushed so quickly. And then just collapse. So, all right. Now, this time this time pat number three my quarterback prop of the day now that the dak prescott one is out for me josh allen over eight

and a half rushing attempts even money this week he ran the ball four times against the dolphins last week one of the main leading causes of why they didn't jump, I mean, they jumped out to a big lead, but couldn't hold on to that big lead. You know, with Cincinnati dialing it up a little bit, must win situation. We're just going to see Allen running a bunch.

I truly believe that. So I like the over of his rushing yards as well, but I think that's up to 48 and a half now, up from 43 and a half. So I just think that he ends up running double digit times in this game. Anytime he sees pressure

based on what we've seen recently oh you know he's throwing the ball into traffic he's throwing the ball deep for no reason he's gonna take off and run for 20 yards shouldn't be a problem should have done it last week i love that play last week and uh shocked that they did not run against miami plays a bunch of man and plays um you know blitzes a ton it just is like the perfect matchup and they just didn't do it bunch of yolo balls uh it was a very bizarre josh allen game but uh connor i mean it's kind of within the narrative still right i mean i kind of like the carries over the yards yeah no i like it either way and i think they're gonna have a bunch of designed runs uh i think this bangles defense is a little bit overrated too um so i don't know i know i'm

talking trash about your bangles the more i talk about this game like i feel like i should just go bet the over and you know enjoy i like the bangles d i think they're feisty they're healthy getting some uh some good play out of their rookie class that uh started to emerge so yeah um it's gonna be a good it'll be a good football game uh All right. I got a tackle prop. It's still available for folks. We're going to go with one of our kings. We're going to go Rayshon Jenkins, Jacksonville Jaguars, over six and a half tackles and assists. This is available still at MGM at plus 100.

And Caesars at minus 106. We played it earlier today on DraftKings, and I think it's like minus 130. So prefer the other books if you have the opportunity to do so. I have Jenkins like right on this number from a projection standpoint. And then I dug into it a little bit because we only have four games, so we can get a little bit more in the weeds here. And I was looking, and there's part of that number, his snaps per

tackle and assist number is 9.7 which is really strong for a safety it's actually dragged down a little bit by some poor performances early in the season weeks one uh two tackles weeks two three tackles and i looked a little bit more into where he's playing and what's shifted at the time early in the season he was playing a lot of free safety snaps. Free safety is, in most instances, pre-snap and post-snap, the guy furthest away from the play. He's the guy, like the last line of defense. He was barely playing at all in the box, box meaning, like where the linebackers are at the line of scrimmage.

Obviously, probably makes sense for anyone. There are more tackle opportunities inside the box. His box safety um his box safety or his box snap rate has spiked massively he's barely playing free safety at all it's gone from like 63 percent last week it was 16 that's shifted and now instead of playing like 15 in the box he's played 46 34 46 42 he's in and around the line of scrimmage. That's coincided with tackle numbers of seven, seven, nine, 18 is the game that we played him over four and a half against the Cowboys. And he had 18 tackles and assists. So a pretty good game there. Again, he's right

on the number. It's actually a really good matchup in terms of what safeties have done all season against the Chiefs. When you think about it, they throw a lot over the middle of the field. They don't run a lot. So you get a lot of opportunities for safeties anyway. So Jenkins over six and a half still readily available again, prefer Caesars or MGM. If you got it again, if you have three, six, five, pretty good ladder opportunity to take some alts on, uh, on Jenkins here. So Connor, are you in? Yeah, I mean, I'm firing all the tackle props now. I mean, you're firing on all cylinders, you're hot. You know, I'm just gonna keep riding until, you know,

until the market dies basically. I know that you've gotten limited pretty hard here and you gotta get a little more creative to get down, but you know, that's what they do to the best. You know, they limit the best. They don't want your action anymore. So take it as a compliment from our friends at DraftKings and, you know, MGM that you're just too sharp for them. They can the best. They don't want your action anymore. So take it as a compliment from our friends at DraftKings and MGM that you're just too sharp for them.

They can't hang. Pat, we need your help at DraftKings. Your boy is very, very limited at DraftKings suddenly. You think that I have that kind of pull? Please. I do if anyone does. No, I don't. Trust me.

It's tough. I don't even have DraftKings Sportsbook eligible to be in my province. It's true. Yeah. It's tough. Maybe. I don't even have drafting i don't even have drafting sportsbook eligible to be in my province it's true yeah it's tough maybe i don't know trying to give them golf all right so that's happening they wouldn't take more than ten dollars five dollars on ben griffin plus 200 to one this week so uh not a good spot so they saved you five bucks they saved me five bucks but that's my point like if you're limiting me on a 200 to one outright, what are we even doing here? You can bet Eric Cole real time, 100 to one right now. He's in like third place. I know, he's in the mix.

My guy! Are you on Eric Cole? No. Oh, okay. But I do love Eric Cole. It's just nice to see. Might go bet him right now as we're talking about it. You haven't live bet anything on this show yet,

so I feel like you're due. I lost. I legit lost like $1,000 betting on live on the show last week i'm trying to tamp it down a little bit a lot of same game parlays last week yeah you know they all seem so appealing at the time the scrubs did not come through no tough show last week and the folks of indiana came out too oh yeah not happy i mean i wouldn't be happy if I lived there either. So there we are. Love it.

All right, Connor. I did hear about their greatest export, which is depression. I was wondering where you're going to go with that. Hey, listen, I'm from the biggest loser spot in Canada, so I'm not really one to throw stones, but I do enjoy throwing stones, so here we are. The most common rebuttal was that there are plenty other states

that do more cousin fucking than Indiana, so they were saying, we're not that bad. That was their retort. Yeah, we're not in Alabama, but you have to understand that as a Canadian, I have been to Indianapolis, so that's really my only experience with indiana and that was very nice but it just seems like one of those places and you encounter that a lot in canada too especially like where i'm from like my province has a population i think of like 1.2 million and i

think 700 000 live in the city i live in like you get 20 minutes outside the city you're in fucking deliverance yeah the people of indiana were saying that their uh cf over expectation is uh is national average whereas if you you know go down to alabama or kentucky uh it tends to be a little bit higher so do you go down to kentucky like i this is the one thing i've never understood about kentucky like it's like oh it's the deep south kentucky it doesn't seem that far south no but it's very south in terms of once you're there you feel like you're in the south yeah like neither is west virginia but that's true very south but it's like directly below indiana isn't it yeah i mean from someone who grew up from New Hampshire, where like the neighboring town, like on the seacoast, so like just a little north of

Massachusetts, but like neighboring town of Maine, you can go to like the seacoast of Maine. And it sounds very much like maybe where Pat lives, but you go anywhere else in Maine and there are strong Kentucky, strong Indiana, Westia vibes going on in the great state of maine it's beautiful but uh it's a very different part of the country so if i drive four hours i can take a ferry to me get myself to bangor i think yeah it's not bad banga you're gonna go a little further south and banga get down to like you know uh further seacoast even portland york you have a real good time yeah i'm looking at it now it was always really funny like because i lived in toronto for so long i was there for like 15 years and like i would i was always doing

business in minneapolis for a variety of reasons they'd be like oh it must be so cold in toronto it's like motherfucker like we're south of you what are you talking about uh reed phillips says hello from kentucky uh reed thanks for hanging out in the chat sorry again sorry dan and the folks from indiana from last week continue there but uh okay okay just looking at like the latitude right now like kentucky is about on like the same latitude as like washington dc yeah but again very very different social economic makeup of i i understand that part it's like when you say in uh like people and people in ohio it's like well we're in the midwest like you're in the east part of the country the east what are we talking about yeah do we like to find what these terms were before like when it was just

13 colonies is that what we're talking about? Like, does California not count? Is that not West? That's like a completely different place. Like realistically, like the Midwest would be like Wyoming or wouldn't it? Yeah. Yeah. Colorado.

That's just West. I don't get the American nomenclature because it has absolutely nothing to do with geography. No, it's almost like cultural based. Like Ohio is a Midwestern state because culturally, you know, they have a couple of cities and mostly it's just like cornfields and nothing. And then they just have that Midwest culture. And just like Wyoming is like, that's a Western state because they're just Western. I don't know.

It's like they have that kind of vibe. You know what I mean? Like there's plenty of other also like Midwestern states that I think are kind of West technically. And like, I just, anything West of like Iowa is just kind of like the West. And like, isn't Iowa almost like in the middle of the middle of the Eastern part of the country. Yeah.

Probably slightly more in the Eastern part of the country. Yes. Yeah. So I see, I find all. So it just seems like there's a very coastal elite New York bias when it comes to designating who everyone is. Absolutely true. Yeah. Cause we're in the Chicago, we're in the Midwest.

We're very much East of almost everything. Right. Well, think of it this way. Like what's the drive between Chicago and Toronto? Like eight hours, seven hours. Yeah. Like six, six. They're very close to each other in Canada. Toronto is known as the east coast which is not true but that's when people say in canada like oh you live out east you live in toronto yeah that makes sense there's really not a major city there's my city that's it yeah that's yeah right because even otherwise you're getting into you know ottawa and montreal but those are what north

northeast a little bit more so you. They're either north and east. Once you get past Montreal, Halifax is the biggest city. We're a two and a half hour flight from Toronto. I don't understand it either. We're very much in Illinois. We're in the Midwest, even though it doesn't make any sense.

Geography hour. Prop geography. Interested to see what we get on next week we only have two games to talk about so uh connor we're at your last one but i know you mentioned you got a lot so if you want to kind of just shoot us with uh you know unload the clip let us know what you like it's still available yeah we'll fire with start off with juju over 54 and a half receiving yards i know this is tough because he hasn't been performing as of late, but I think that given the matchup here, uh, Jags have been horrible against slot receivers. You pointed this out last week with the Keaton Allen play Juju leads the

team and snaps from the slot. The last time he played the Jags, he had like a only 38% snap rate because he was banged up only ran 14 routes still in those 14 routes off four targets had 33 yards. Um, and last time we, I guess the Jags, we saw Marquez Valdez-Scantling play a season-high 51% slot rate with Juju basically out, and he went for 60 yards. So I think a full complement here of snaps for Juju makes this a pretty good spot for him to go over in a game that I expect, as we talked about earlier,

Chiefs to put on the points, to pass a bunch against the Jags defense. It's still bottom three and past the DVOA. So a great spot for Juju to kind of get back on track here. And another one that I like, Saquon Barkley under on his carries. I'm playing with fire. I get it. It's 15 and a half in most spots, but if we kind of look at how this Giants team performs when they're losing, which has been a pretty rare occasion this year, he's played in six games where they've lost and he's gone under this number in five of them with his median being around 14 carries.

And I expect the Eagles to win big here. So beyond that too, they dialed up 11 designed runs for Daniel Jones. He had 17 runs last week, and the Eagles are bottom three at defending designed runs in EPA and success rate and are second worst in QB scramble rate defending that. So I think the Daniel Jones rushing over could be in play,

but for me it was just kind of the Saquon Barkley rushing under because he's, I mean, unless they're winning or tied, the only game that he went over basically that they lost was they were tied like midway through the fourth quarter and he got in the lineup with 20 carries. Other than that, he hasn't had more than 15. I have a question. I don't necessarily disagree with this but with you on this but being that

they're the same i'm looking at draft kings right now the 15 and a half why not just go with the etn under 15 and a half well i kind of like that too like i feel like that one has a like just even like we've seen games where they've won by a bunch and he doesn't get to this number and he's most definitely not getting there if they're losing yeah i think you messaged me and said that you wanted to hit one of the two of those unders was atn and saquon right yeah i'm gonna hit probably that one too to be honest i think it's a great look it's um i don't really remember what deterred me from it i think maybe it was daigle saying that because he etn plays literally the entire game but so does saquon and i mean if i expect the chief to score a ton i mean etn is not going to get a ton of work uh just in general i mean 15 and a half carries is a

ton um i don't know what the juice is right now it's kind of been like shifting back and forth initially it was like heavily juiced under and then it was heavily juiced over i don't know where we're at this point etn under 15 and a half is plus 105 at draft king sportsbook oh as we spoke in real time it is now plus 100 it just flashed on my screen they're listening to us they're watching yeah yeah and it's the same for barclay it's even money to the under yeah i'll probably take that too i mean one of them's at least one of them's gonna hit probably both all right i'm making etn my final one by the way etn under 15 and a half rushing attempts. I like that.

Do you have any other looks, things that you were considering that you wanted to share? Yes. Ingram over 40 and a half, 44 and a half receiving year. It just seems like a really low number for him in this game

where you would expect a lot of catch up or they get ahead by passing a whole bunch. Those are just very easy completions. Like we saw last, we can catch up mode against the Chargers. Just all Ingram all the time. Zay Jones to that point too. Only 52 52 and a half seems like a pretty low number iuk 53 and a half but these were all almost exactly in line with my projections the other ones are kind of completely off the board either way under or way over that's why i tended to lean with those hayden hearst as

i mentioned over three and a half receptions yeah that's really where i was i was thinking burrow over 11 and a half rushing yards i went look he hasn't been over that number in ages no he might need to put a little bit more on the line here but uh if he's gonna get if he's kind of like in the zone to get the ball out quick i don't know i mean because it's either gonna be get the ball quicker take a sack probably so um yeah i don't know i go back and forth because he he's another guy he's definitely capable of running i mean we've seen him like he's he is pretty like i mean reasonably athletic uh for a guy who's like mostly a pocket passer can you live can live bet tom kim be my uh my play yeah you live at tom kim i mean i bet him before the before the tournament but now he's down to

like five to one or something because he can't miss putting this is what tom kim does gets uh red hot that's why i'm on my uh taylor montgomery this week hoping that taylor montgomery continued to just put at a unsustainable rates and uh it's the place we call the birdie fest uh unsustainable putting contest right from john rahm last year so give me the best putter in the field over the last 12 calendar months and uh got off to a good start yesterday so what are we betting Tom Kim winner right now I don't even know what he's at anymore I saw he was the one right now he's what to one 18 to one on on another website that I mean that's that's not bad actually all right I'll throw throw some lunch money on it that's right yeah I'm seeing 16-1. Finau's still

at 40, but he's dropped to 40 because he's off to a bad start today, but who cares? That's my guy, Taylor Montgomery. Yeah, Taylor Montgomery's still 1-under today through 4. Yeah, he was 1-over. That's why I say that. Okay. Still in the mix. Yeah, Tom Kim's just 6-under through 8 holes. He's like, yeah, let's go. I banked all those

misputts from the last two weeks. I'll make them all today. Yeah, he's like yeah let's go let's make i i banked all those miscut misputts from the last two weeks i'll make them all today yeah he's been he's so hot and cold this is just rom's world though right now which is terrifying so he's two to one to win i worked out for speed last week live uh thursday night at five to one and then uh misses the cut so uh rom in a different world with the putter right now though so all right i am gonna give you um eric cole eric i got a bunch let me see so i have some tackles i'll share the tackles that i played and i don't think that they for the most part are available i played mike hinton or mike hilton the uh cinc Cincinnati cornerback. I went from three and a half to four and a half. Maybe you're playing prize picks or something like that, or vivid. Maybe you still find the three and a half on Hilton like that quite a bit. I played Teron Johnson, a cornerback

for the Bills over four and a half. That got juiced up now to like minus 160 i'm not chasing laying that juice but again could be a viable look on the pick'em sites if you like it again just kind of fits the narrative of uh a lot of passes there in that game uh same thing tradavious white he's actually probably the one that's closest to being still available over three and a half tackles uh the juice looks like it's not out of control in places. Again, correlates well with high pass rate from Cincinnati. He's not going to shadow Jamar Chase, but we've seen him, they'll meet up a lot on the outside when they put Chase on the perimeter. Strong tackler, you know, taught this a number of times in the last, since he's been active this season.

And again, I think he's going to get a ton of chances here. So three and a half, pretty low threshold. There's a couple other guys. One guy that we were talking about earlier in terms of what Jacksonville does defensively. I like the under on Devin Lloyd. Lloyd, first round rookie for Jacksonville at linebacker. Was got off to a great start. It was playing every, every down.

It was putting up some massive numbers. And that was basically started in the kansas city game actually and he is a massive problem in um in past defense and he started to lose snaps to uh chad muma and now i don't really know how to project his his snaps he's been anywhere from like 40 to like 70 i haven't even like 70 and he's like right on five and a half. So there's a good chance that he goes back down and plays like 50% of the snaps here. And then under five and a half is a really good look. Linebackers also have not been a great spot against Kansas City to season two, because again, they don't run traditionally. You don't get a lot of those around the line of

scrimmage tackles. So linebackers have to make some coverage tackles and that is not Devin Lloyd's MO. So Lloyd under five and a half, I think, is an interesting look. In that same game, I really want Trent McDuffie. They posted him last week. They did last week add some props late tackles on, like, right after inactive. So I think Trent McDuffie is going to be three and a half. There's been a role switch there with LeJarius Sneed,

which is why if you are a subscriber you see sneed popping in projections and why we're not playing is because sneed has now been uh moved to the outside versus being primarily a box and like slot guy and we've seen him go from like consistently six seven tackles every game he's been a play we've made a lot he's got three in each of the last two games so he might even be worth an under if that kind of continues. That's been one that I definitely want to see. Some of the other ones that I'm looking at, I think Leighton Van Der Esch is probably a pretty good look. I wish the number wasn't out to like minus 135

because I have him kind of right around this number. But I just think it's a pretty good spot for scorekeeper data for visitors in San Francisco. I think you'll see a lot of rushing attempts here in this game. I like the Niners and Vanderash has been playing a ton over the last couple of weeks before he got hurt and then came back and played a hundred percent of the snaps last week as well. So those are some of the tackle looks.

Again, some of them might be more relevant for pick them sites now than playing some of the juice that our subscribers got, but the lesson here, subscribe 19 bucks, four for four.com slash plants. So does code, does code Mayo work on that one too?

Code Mayo does not currently work on that one, but something that we were open for, for, for next year. Let's see here. Ray Sean Jenkins over six and a half tackles ETN under 15 and a half rushing attempts. Ingram over 43 and a half receivingles etn under 15 and a half rushing attempts ingram over 43 and a half

receiving yards six to one i like it yeah that's great subscribers want to know about uh nick bolton and foyer luacon so like in the tackle space these are our uh this is like talking about the they're literally number one number two in tackles on the season. And we play them a lot. It just isn't a good matchup for anyone. The other of them on paper, they're both nine and a half. It's big numbers. Again, like they're crushing this often. I will probably end up playing them, even though there's not a lot of like statistical

matchups, just because like the range of outcomes for these guys to get 15 is, I don't know. Oluokan has been doing that pretty consistently uh bolton's been just as you need a dozen tackles he's just doing it all the time they both fell short in the first matchup of the season which again kind of speaks to why it's not a great matchup but uh i don't know kind of i like having tackles one on each side so when the game's going on it doesn't matter i have a guy to root for for tackles regardless of what's going So when the game's going on, it doesn't matter. I have a guy to root for, for tackles, regardless of what's going on in the game. So those are the two, again, literally one and two in tackles on the season with a little con and Nick Bolton. I don't know when it happened, but I think at some point during, I don't know, maybe in the beginning of this year,

you were like sucked up by like an alien ship. And then your brain was rewired to only pay attention to tackles, defensive players, and, you know, tackles and assists because you've come back a changed man because we used to say the same thing with offensive players. That's what most people are like, oh, I want offensive players on both sides. That's how I like, but I guess you're looking at it like, oh, I want guys who are going to tackle on both sides of the ball. Well, it happened. You were over.

We were watching football, and it was the Kansas City and the Bengals game. It was jamar chase just came back we're like boom there he is and i'm like yeah nick bolton uh he tackled jamar chase on his first reception so i was excited about bolton getting the tackle you were excited about jamar chase coming back and uh getting a reception so yeah just hey it's a soft market until they take it away from us i think we can exploit it and i like having uh i've already tasked sam our uh tools and data guy with a couple other things for next year from like a formation standpoint and

quarterback heat maps we can get even more granular to make some of these decisions and add to the plethora of tools at four for four so all right gentlemen um i think that's it we we did geography hour we gave out about 25 plays. I think we're good. Pat, you want to tell everyone where they can find your stuff and where they can get their live golf bets? Yes. Well, Mayo Media Network is where you want to go. We have, I mean, for golf, we have a research show on, let's see,

a research show on Sunday, my bet show with Feinberg on Monday, Tambo and Kenny on the DGNs for First Look DraftKings picks. On Tuesday, me and Tambo for Final Bets DraftKings picks. Ownership, one and done. That's on Wednesday. Live showdown on Thursday night. Live showdown on Friday night. Then we

repeat the process. Plus, all the NFL you can handle. Pat and I have experience running seven days a week at the moment. I'm going on vacation soon. Once all this is over, Connor, where'd you go in Mexico? I was in Cancun and Playa del Carmen.

What are you 19 years old? Yeah. I mean, not that, not that young, but no, it's I don't know. My family's been going there for a while.

So it's been, we got a little, a little timeshare down there and it's a little quiet place. I'm not going to hit up the club. It's not going to coco bongo or anything uh but you know plenty of margaritas and tequila though now playa del carmen's quite nice i was there about four years ago we i just rented to airbnb when i was there which is really the way to go in a lot of these places like if you're going to like i just know so many people that go to resorts when they go to these places like well it depends on where you go, right?

Like for sure. Playa del Carmen is such sort of like a touristy place now, at least like the seven blocks that you can go to is that you don't need to be on a resort there. Like if you're going on a resort, you're at like Mayakoba. Like you're going to play golf the entire time. And, you know, usually when you go with your wife, that's not what you're doing. Yeah. And you're missing out on some awesome like food.

They have some great food in Playa, some awesome restaurants. It is definitely touristy. But if you're in a resort, you're pretty much just only eating the resort. So usually not that good of food. Yeah. So I just booked Cabo for April. I'm only there for four days. But we are going to a resort.

But from what I can tell, I haven't been to Cabo, is that it's pretty easy to get around and into the city at the same time like you don't have to stay on the resort which is nice oh that's great yeah i always like taking some some trips out you know then you get to try some you know mixing with the locals go to some see some fun stuff outside the resort because you're just staying in the resort then i don't know i just feel like it's not that fun yeah i agree yeah i'm not going on vacation with my wife, but I am going on a golf vacation. First of March excited did Hilton head last year. We're doing Myrtle beach. I'm excited to dust off the clubs. I got to get my body moving because I want to make sure that I am not sore for that, but I'm very, very excited to get out there and swing the golf clubs. Pat, what are

you doing for a content schedule this week? Because again, the farmers Wednesday through Saturday. Tambo brought this to my attention. I was not even aware of this. Yes. I tweeted out a reminder yesterday that, yeah, because I was looking at it and I'm like, I want to get a jumpstart. I remember they did this last year and yes, they're doing it again. Yeah. So I'll probably record my research show tomorrow.

Probably put it out early as possible on sunday video and audio do the show normal time with feinberg on monday morning and then i'll probably record with raza on tuesday afternoon for the drafting show his tambo is out because he has his prior commitments on a tuesday we always record on a wednesday and then you know i do like talking to ben so the more i can bring in ben the better that that's going to be fun then i i would kind of wish that golf was wednesday to saturday that would be really nice it would be nice i feel like by tuesday afternoon i'm good anyway so yeah one extra day is like just a drag so and it gives me like i then i can kill time on a way like the biggest benefit for all the fun that we talk about betting on golf draft kings golf whatever

it might be, is that it gives you something to pay attention to for like eight hours during your workday on a weekday. Yeah, I love that. Put it on the background and you can sweat occasionally and coverage is always awful, but especially this week. But it's always fun to have it on the background. The live feeds haven't been so bad this week.

I saw people complaining about them, but like, hey, they were like, well, it's just a locked off. We can't be complaining about that. That's the first thing we cannot be doing because all we wanted for ages was just, hell, tape an iPhone to a tree just so we can see what's going on.

And they've kind of done that for this course. They've just set up hard cams at a few of these holes and they're just like, yeah, we'll cut to this when there's players on it. Like some of the guys are like weirdly out of focus and stuff like that it's kind of funny but like i can see what's going on it's great and other people like wow the camera's not good enough for that it's like off like this is all we wanted yeah they're on three

courses we got to just take a little bit of uh outlaw tour style coverage and uh do whatever we got to do here to have cell phone coverage. So Lingmuth is rallying. Let's go Lingmuth. Lingmuth there. You want Lingmuth this week, Matt? I am on Lingmuth this week. He's in a lineup that I have that has Xander Burns and Davis Thompson.

So I really need to break the cut. Really need a Lingmuth. Okay. Yeah. Good stuff. All right. Didn't get to listen to questions. There weren't that many. Give me one. Give me one. I want. All right. Didn't get to listen to questions. There weren't that many.

Give me one. Give me one. I want to answer it. And that'll be the, I'll be like the judge. Talked about that. Talked about that. Here you go.

It doesn't matter what your question is, pal. Brian Sullivan. Thanks to my Hilton Dusty leave it alone alright good stuff as always gentlemen Connor you ready? we're leaving

we're outroing for Connor and that's it I'm Ryan we'll see you next week thanks everyone yeah Outro Music