Move The Line - NFL Super Bowl LX Player Prop Bets! | Top Picks, Predictions & Odds
Episode Date: February 5, 2026Get ready for Super Bowl LX with our top prop bet picks! Join us as we break down the best NFL prop bets for opening week, analyzing player performances, key matchups, and hidden opportunities to maxi...mize your winnings. Whether you're betting on touchdowns, yardage, or game-changing plays, we've got the insights you need to make the smartest bets. Subscribe now and start the season with a winning edge!Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/plansSign-up on FanDuel Today 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/go/fanduel Follow 4for4 on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/4for4footballFollow 4for4 Bets on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/4for4betsFollow Move the Line on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/MoveTheLineNFL Follow Connor on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/ConnorAllenNFLFollow Ryan on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/RyNoonanFollow John on X 👉🏼 https://x.com/SlopRules Visit our Website 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/Join our Discord 👉🏼 http://discord.gg/4for4Subscribe to our YouTube Channel 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3OupraJ4for4 Betting Strategy Hub 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3hm39cw4for4 Betting Picks 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3LUp0EaNFL Betting Odds & Predictions 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3nsW9QU Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Hello and welcome to move the line prop drop show presented by Sharpstack.
I'm Ryan Noonan.
Join here as always by my friends, Connor Allen, John Highslop.
Don't be sad.
It's over.
Be happy that it happened.
Last show of the year for us.
Connor, what's going on?
Yeah, not much.
It is crazy.
Last show of the year, it feels like a piece of me is going to be missing.
Love doing this show every week.
Even taking last week off, it felt a little weird, to be honest.
So the offseason is going to hit hard.
Obviously, you and I will keep doing some drag.
staff shows, maybe bring Slop back into the full, but I know Slop turns into a, you know,
home run guru and NBA triples, a doubles guy pretty quick here, if he isn't already.
It's all deadly, boys.
Yeah.
Slop, what's going on with you, buddy?
I love the Carolina gear today.
Ready.
It's a big night.
Big night at the high slop household.
Big night for the Carolina people.
I meet Drake May.
It's got a big game Sunday.
I don't know if you guys heard.
I'm kind of sad.
It's over, man.
Friday, usually super hungover from bowling.
I'm just hanging on.
I just got one more show to do.
And you guys always pull me through it.
So I don't know what I'm going to do tomorrow.
We can still do it.
I mean, no one's going to pay us for it.
And I don't know what we're going to talk about.
That's true.
We want to get together every Friday, three Eastern.
Drop some bombs.
Yeah.
Why not?
We're starting to get grilled a little bit for the fact that, you know,
we do spend so much time talking nonsense.
I mean, I don't know that the people require bets from us at this point.
We've trained them to just come and hang out, jump in the chat.
Let's have a talk.
Epstein files.
For sure.
Savannah Guthrie's mom.
Like, we just like whatever's going on.
Just give our takes.
People love politics.
We didn't even have the show last week.
So we didn't get to talk about it.
I had my celebrity death draft last weekend.
Who got killed?
Well, I mean, no one said, yeah, but we redrafted.
We redraft every year.
Last year, Steve won, who was always saying.
out in the chat here. He had Vince McMahon and
Steve McMahon, Steve McMahon, Steve McMahon.
And then he had two other people who died. I don't remember where it was.
Hulk Hogan? Hulk Hogan maybe, I think he had.
Oh, he made nice. Yeah, that's good for the guy who drafted him.
Yeah, so Steve won last year.
We could be like a true crime show and the offseason where we just talk about
crime that's happening. True crime podcast. That's probably
probably works.
I feel like we could do that.
Yeah.
Who did you take in the death draft?
Yeah, who's the first round pick?
Michael J. Fox was a tough one.
I also got sniped on my girl Lizzo.
I draft Lizzo every year.
Someone took Lizzo?
Dude, yeah.
I don't think she's going to die, dude.
Yeah, but it's Lizzo.
Yeah, Colin is actually just rooting for her.
I know.
I think at this point you're kind of rooting for people to die.
Like, I like it as an exercise in trying to test your accuracy and predicting deaths.
Once we cross over to just drafted them hoping they die.
I don't know.
Yeah, I mean, I don't really feel bad if they're like not a good person and she's not a good person.
So I don't really care.
I did draft Antonio Brown also not a good person and also mega CTE.
Drafted Nikki Minaj like hours before her Twitter rampage the other night, which was awesome.
You know, I think she would die.
I mean, I probably not.
But if she does, I win, basically.
So just the CLV on her 80s.
I would throw a lot of aged people out there first just to get some points.
And then and then you take your long shots.
You know what I mean?
It is 100 minus their age.
So you have less points for the aged.
Like mostly people don't die.
That's the thing.
Like, I mean, you're focused on the points.
We need actual deaths.
Yeah, that's true.
I am 04 in like three years.
I have not had a single one.
but the CLV felt good
you know like the CLV don't pay the bills
if they don't if it doesn't win
you know CLV's nice until it loses
but yeah I don't know
Michael J. Fox yeah I can see that
but there's got to be all is Clint Eastwood
still alive?
Yes he is
I mean at what point does that happen
you know like there's got to just
is there a way to search is there like a site that you use
yes did 444 have tools
does not have death draft tools yet
It's in Sharpstack.
Yeah, Sharpstack.com has tools.
You just search most likely to die.
No, there are actually websites.
There's like death draft, whatever, like,
celeb pool stuff.
I think maybe that's a content niche that is kind of underserved at the moment.
Maybe you could be at the forefront of that,
have like a death blog,
maybe give updates on people's health weekly and stuff like that.
He's not wrong.
Maybe an old guy went skydiving.
People need to know about that.
Like, that's a risky.
behavior.
People are like daily fantasy sports.
That's weird.
Yeah.
It's been out to be pretty big.
You know?
Where's weekly, yearly death coverage?
Should we start a hosting site and just take it all there?
That's what we can do during the off season.
I think we just figured it out.
Can use AI to build a site in no time.
I promise you that.
Yeah.
Mm-hmm.
I'm just, I think Slops right, though.
I think you got to work backwards.
I think in this case, I know part of it is having to advocate for
someone actually qualifying as a celebrity to the field.
If the draft room is not aware of who that person is,
your strength starts to get into like,
okay,
let's work from the 95 to 90 year olds and then really start to advocate for,
here's their case as a celebrity.
Get some wins on the board.
If you knock home to 90 year olds,
that's 20 points.
And then if you get a third that dies in their 40s or something,
like you're printing.
You need like,
you need like 30 to 50 points to win generally.
So that's why I don't draft the old people
because like 10 points isn't enough.
You get two of them.
That's 40 points, 280 year olds.
Two 75 year olds in your home.
I mean, Catherine O'Hara, rest of peace.
That sucks.
71.
And have you seen that her show that she's on with Seth Rogen lately?
You knew that was coming.
She didn't look great.
Yeah, not great.
That she looked nothing.
I was like, who is that?
I know who that is.
And it took me forever.
I'm pretty good at that game.
I can figure it out pretty of me.
I was like,
oh, yeah,
that's the chick from friends.
Or that's it,
you know,
dude,
that was the mom from,
like,
home alone.
And I,
yep,
I had to look it up.
And I was like,
oh, shit,
that is her.
That's like her,
like,
but like,
oh.
Conner's got a GPP mentality
in this game.
It feels like in a 12-man league,
you need to have more of a cash game,
right?
Just get yourself over the line,
get yourself in the mix.
It's top-heavy payouts.
I'm going big swings only forever.
But you got to be,
you still got to get on the board.
You don't know, you don't like being on the board doesn't help like you got to it's all or nothing you get first or your last.
I guess I don't know.
I feel like you're yeah, I feel like you're just last all the time if no one dies.
Yeah, that's I am.
That's true.
I'm last.
Drop some of these people.
You get some wins out there.
I mean, like I said, if you hit two 70 year olds, you are, you're cooking.
Last year I had that mentality.
I did a bunch of mix olds and then a mix of youngs.
And it didn't work.
So I just said, screw it.
I'm going to draft people that I don't like that are young and or youngish.
And why you're going to hope and they die?
I don't know.
I mean, if they're shitty people, then fuck them.
I mean, whatever.
Who cares?
Look, man, who am I to judge who's shitty?
You know what I'm saying?
I'm the last guy that needs to be calling people shit.
You know what I mean?
Yeah.
I mean, I'm not going to say that I have a dialed in moral compass.
But when I can like confidently say that there's,
scumbag, I feel pretty good about it.
I'm not going to go off the full list, but there were some more that I think you guys would
all agree with also are not qualified, are consistently of less moral values than we do.
I'll say that.
It's hard to get under mind, but yeah.
I set the part kind of low, pretty much up for anything.
I'm not going to tell anybody.
I'm not killing people.
Yeah.
Good.
Yeah.
I mean, it seems like there is something to be, there is a niche to be explored.
And I was worried about playing in a league like this with Connor
considering all of his depth of experience.
But I think he's running a pretty suboptimal strategy here.
So maybe it's not afraid to jump in with Connor.
He's just, you know, trying to once every 25 years is going to hit, you know,
a 30-year-old that he wishes passes away.
But the whole part, donating.
The field is soft.
Some chick drafted a guy who is 100 with her first round pick because she didn't know the rules.
And so, you know, the field is soft.
You know, the field is soft.
She had the right idea, but she was, she's a little bit off.
So, yeah.
All right, the Super Bowl.
Last show, last game.
Seahawks Patriots.
I don't have any opinion.
Rooting interest in the game personally.
Just kidding.
Go, Pat.
Let's go.
All the problems will be there.
We're going to, you know, it's a full board.
It's a weird board because it's a Super Bowl.
Some of these are really hard to find.
They're worded differently in different spots.
Some of them are like Stingle Book, boost.
We're going to try to just throw a,
bunch of stuff at you. We'll have some
official type plays. We'll kind of
be all over the map with stuff today.
See if we can build a parlay. See if we can agree on
some of those things. But yeah,
excited to be with you guys.
Jump in the chat. Is there anything you found? Do you want us to talk
about anything you like, your best play
or the big game?
We'd love to hear it's jump in the chat. Again,
move the line where we listen to the podcast
4-4 live here on the YouTube channel.
If you want to check out Sharpstack, you should do so.
Free month, I'm sorry, free week. And then
promo code NFL playoffs gets you a month for just 10 bucks typically 130 bucks you could join slop in
the MLB streets in the NBA streets through sharpsack all sorts of different stuff going on in there
so check that out all right Connor I don't know what you have in terms of like widely available
I know you've pushed a bunch of stuff but do whatever you want with it when they start
with you floor is yours take us wherever you want yeah I think I have one play that is minus
115 so and I have like three others that are long shots we're starting off hot here
I'm going to go with Drake May, most rushing yards in the game, plus 650.
I've already released to play on Kenneth Walker's under rushing yards at 73 and a half.
I've already released out of Ramander Stevenson, longest rush under 12.5.
I think that both running backs and running games honestly struggle here.
Now we have Drake May coming into the game, 60 plus rushing yards and two playoff games
against two other teams that, you know, allowed to scrambling yards and force them out of the pocket and pressured them a little bit.
Seattle plays a ton of zone and May leads the league in scrimble.
scramble rate versus zone. He also is fifth highest scramble rate when pressured.
You mentioned behind only Jaden Daniels, Malik Willis, Tyrod and Huntley.
You know, one of those things is not like the other traditionally. And so I think that May
is going to be using his legs a ton. Seattle has a lot of the highest scramble rate in the season
and has allowed big games on the ground to multiple QBs already this year. So like could you get
50, 60 yards? Like that puts him in contention again. And at 7 to 1. I think that's real
interesting here. I also don't mind just betting 60 plus at like 5 to 1 or whatever.
and just locked up there in case Ramandre or Kenneth breaks a big one.
So I think that the Drake-Maymost rushing yards angle is pretty interesting here.
I'm in there.
I'm in with you there.
I love that.
I talked about this with Mayo this morning,
which is actually pretty interesting.
We'll love to get your thoughts.
It's only on draft kings.
This is again another example.
Not that it's only on draft kings.
I only seen it on draft kings.
It might be in other places.
There are a couple different ways that you can do it.
The first one is race.
80 rushing yards.
No player is plus 128 on draft case.
So, you know, we're comfortably,
so no one gets to 80 rushing yards plus money.
We're comfortably under on the kind of the locker thing.
I don't think New England has a huge amount of success
for running the football, getting plus money on no one getting to 80 rushing
yards, I think it's pretty hot.
You want to get a little bit spicy?
No one gets to 60.
It's plus 520 on draft kings.
Whoa.
So even if May pops off, gets to 50 or so, Kenneth Walker stumbles,
we're getting 5 to 1 on No one to get to 60 rushing yards.
So again, I like the no one to 80 at plus 128.
And currently founded on Draft Kings,
wording is tough.
Slop if you put this in some of like the, you know,
pot finders and stuff like that.
So shop around.
I know Draft Kings isn't going to let us like, you know,
break the bank with something like that.
But I think it's a pretty good look if, you know,
liquidity is not a problem for you on that book.
So slop, any thoughts on,
Drake May rushing or anything that I spewed out after.
I like Drake May rushing just because I have a Carolina shirt on right now.
So there's that.
And then, yeah, I don't see the running back.
I got nothing more receiving props.
Just because I think it's going to be that kind of game where it's like weird.
Like, you know what?
We're not even going to try this shit.
Like we know it ain't going to work.
Like they'll, you know what I mean?
Like, I'm not saying they're never going to run the ball, but you don't know what I mean?
Like where it's pretty, yeah, pretty quick that they're out.
Yeah.
Kind of agree.
I don't think you see much rushing success on either side.
That's why I feel pretty good about no one getting to 80 at plus 128.
Hopefully that pops us some other spots.
I have to do a little bit more, a little bit more digging.
So I like you, Connor.
We got in early on the Drake May.
I don't know, even when you're 30 and a half or whatever it was.
And now we've climbed up to almost 40.
It's just kind of wild.
All right.
Slav, where do you have?
What do you got?
All right.
I'll start with a Patriot, just because that,
feels right. We could go,
Trevion Henderson,
25 plus receiving yards.
It's plus 800. If you don't
want to be soft about it, you could do 30 plus
at plus 1,200.
Wow. I mean, dude, he's
done this guy. Like, he's done
this, like three times this season.
He's on 30 plus receiving yards. This is not new.
This guy's a rookie, too.
I don't think they can run the ball.
I do think they like Ramandre in the
receiving game, but Trayvon Henderson,
like I said, he's done this before.
It's not like new to him.
You can catch a football.
He can run with it.
Seattle gave up more receptions to the running backs than any other team in the NFL this season.
Granted, they played Christian McCaffrey a couple of times and the Rams like to throw
to their running backs, both of which got to 20 plus last week.
So just saying, against the Seahawks, I think that we're going to see something like
that again.
Here's the thing.
There's a Super Bowl.
They're pulling out all the stops.
All right?
This is not some bullshit game.
It's going to be maybe.
you get a screen. Maybe you get something that gets them loose. But if they play the game from behind,
we got a chance. And it's plus 1,200. This isn't minus 110. You know what I mean? Like this is, I'll take
anything at that as long as I have a path to victory or I've seen the guy at least do it once.
This guy's done it three times. So feels right. I mean, here's the thing, though, too. If you want,
you could water it down a little bit. Fifteen is plus three 70. I mean, it's the last game of the season.
I'm not going out like that.
I'm not soft, but like you can be,
no one's going to make fun of you.
You know what I'm saying?
Like when you show a lot of people a plus 370 ticket,
they're kind of like, whoa, look at this guy.
You know what I mean?
So that's going to be fine,
but I don't know.
I like to show them a plus 1,200 ticket.
I think this is the right way to play running back receiving yards,
just in general.
It's because they're so volatile
and there's opportunities for big plays.
Like, maybe I was not running a lot of routes these days, Connor,
but like it doesn't mean you can't take
one in the house it and that's all sloppy means.
I think it's a big debate.
I've seen some people be like, oh, the Patriots just don't trust Travion anymore.
Like, it's Ramaj's backfield for sure.
I've heard that, you know, plenty of times.
I just don't, I don't agree with it.
Like, I don't know.
I don't think that that makes sense.
I mean, the last two weeks prior, it was essentially like a 60-40 split.
I think we're probably going to see closer to like 65, you know, something like that.
Stevenson, maybe 70%.
But I think the Travion sees a reasonable amount of work.
I would not be surprised if they have him designed at some kind of screen or something like that in this game here.
And all he's got to do is pop one.
He's super explosive.
So, um, and so yeah, I think I think it's kind of an interesting look.
It's especially at the plus money odds here.
If he is more involved, I mean, if catches two passes, could easily, you know, break one here.
Brian, what is 50 plus?
I mean, now you're talking Slops language.
Yeah.
I got you, Brian.
Sandals doesn't even go that high for me, but I love you.
Um, we could go 40 at plus 20.
$2,200. I wouldn't look anywhere else, though, because you could get 50 at Draft Kings at, like, plus
1940. You know what I'm saying? Like, the only place you could do this is Fandle at plus
$2,200 for $40. I mean, if you want, I mean, I don't know, but 30's nice, 25's pretty nice,
15 to 20s. I mean, it's all deadly. And like I said, it's going to, it's either he's going to do it or he's not.
You know what I mean?
Like he's going to catch a ball or he's not.
Like that's just what's going to happen.
Like he might leave the game with nothing.
But I'm telling you, if he catches one, catch him in the flat, man, that guy is, he's fat.
He's electric.
You know what I'm saying?
So being the Super Bowl, again, you got, it can't be, oh, what did they do last game?
What did they do?
Like, that ain't how it works.
You know what I mean?
It's taken two weeks to diagnose this defense and you can throw to the running backs.
Well, let's see.
Yeah.
I like it.
I think explosive stuff for Trayvion, like,
most rushing yards for Trayvion is like I don't know we had like 50s earlier he still can find
to the 30s and I don't even think he needs to do it and carries like a lot of volume it's just a
spot where like everyone else struggles to run travion just happened to turn one of his
three to four touches into a you know 60 yard run like he's like eight to one to have the
longest rush in the game I like this reception look I think like loto type sealing outcomes for
you know big plays for Trayvion is I think the best.
best way to go. Brian, dude, we should hang out. That's a great look with a bunch of lotto
tickets to my pocket because one of them, you're good. I'm not trying to diagnose what he's
coaches. It's just so much changes. Last year, remember on this show, Jahan Dotson didn't have to
wait long for that. Saying, just saying it, and remember the girl like, I know he sucks,
but he's not one of the other guys and that's what happens in the Super Bowl. And sure enough,
right, you almost caught the first touchdown.
He actually did if you watched that.
Yeah.
Yeah, I had to keep up for my, you know,
free draft John Dotson takes that he was not bad at football.
And then he helped me out early in that game.
Went back to sucking at football.
Well, let's not forget for a moment.
But that's the thing.
You can take shitty guys in this game.
That's the beauty of the Super Bowl.
People forget that.
Wait until you hear my next guy.
San Donald?
We're just late.
Oh, that's funny.
soon as a Sam Darnel prop.
All right.
Like, you guys are getting fun.
I got fun later.
This is the most missionary, like, vanilla prop that you could possibly find.
This is like, you know, regular markets, basic, just widely, widely available.
I know, I'm sorry.
But we're responsible for fun, but we're also responsible for winners.
Okay.
So if you're going to want to.
make up for this one because we're going to give the normal binary prop we're going to take it
and ladder it up i'm going to play drake may over 220 and a half passing yards okay i'm going to
play drake may 250 plus pass yeah right plus 177 okay here's i'm so sick and tired of the patriots
strength of schedule bullshit that we've been fed for three months and like aggressively fed for two weeks
Seattle's good.
You know who they're not?
They're not the 85 bears.
They're not the 2,000 Ravens.
No one talks about the fact that, yeah, those giants,
Belichick-led Giants defense.
L-T, baby.
Listen to the string of juggernauts
that this Seattle defense fattened up on.
Okay?
Real, real Gibronies here.
Max Brosner,
Kurt Cousins,
who?
Philip Rivers.
Cam Ward, those are all in like a month back to back to back.
I don't know.
CJ Stroud's a bum.
Patriots played him that doesn't count because CJ Stroud sucks.
Well, CJ Stroud threw for 230 against the Seattle defense.
Aaron Rogers, Spencer Rattler, Kyler, Kyler, Tyler Murray.
They have played nobody, okay?
If you look at the league leaders in EPA and CPOE composite,
probably the best singular metric to look at how good a quarterback plays.
Seattle has faced one quarterback who's ranked inside the top 12, Matthew Stafford.
He's fifth.
You know his first by margin?
Drake May.
So while the Patriots haven't played anybody real,
Seattle is about to face the best quarterback that they've faced all season long.
Bill Barnwell at ESPN did a great deep dive here.
And no one is better or attempts more.
deep throws outside the numbers than Drake May. It's fantastic at it. In his matchups against Seattle this
year, Matthew Stafford did it a ton. 15 of 24 for 521 yards, 35 yards per completion deep and outside
the numbers against this vaunted Seattle defense that no one could do it. The Patriots are going to
get shut out. Andy Muller wants to tell me that he's betting on the paths shut out.
Come on. These are people that get paid to cover football. People listen to the show and they're
Again, that makes a lot of sense.
Andy catching strays out of here.
Let your head out of your ass.
We're going to have Drake May deep on the boundaries in one-on-one situations.
If they're trailing, no one has a higher pass rate over expectation than New England at 5.6%.
They're not going to be trailing for long.
They're going to find opportunities deep and outside the numbers.
And Drake May is good at it.
And they're going to struggle.
So 220 and a half is a joke.
Let's take the 250 plus 175 or whatever, widely available.
Drake Mae Cook's
printed.
Connor, what do you got?
I mean, I already took past attempts over,
and one of my plays that I'm not going to officially release
but talk about was 36,
38 and 40 plus attempts.
It's plus 740 for Drake May.
I mean, I think you think they're going to be ahead to some extent,
but they're still pretty heavy and passive over expectation.
I think it'll be close,
but I think the attempts are good in case,
I don't know, maybe the Seattle defense does give them a little.
bit of trouble from time to time.
So, like, I think that both options are interesting, but I like, I personally prefer the
attempts, but don't mind the yards either.
I do think that there's, they are a little bit low relative to what we can see.
I mean, guys, I mean, I think Cam Ward had like 250 against them, right?
I mean, it's not like, I mean, most of it, I think was in garbage time at the end.
It's actually a fairly close game.
That was not a complete blowout.
Yeah, 256 on.
Yeah, I think it was really close for a while.
And then like Seattle scored like two or three late ones.
And then it was like, yeah, but he was doing pretty well before.
that. It was a good JSN game. JSM popped off for like insane. Yeah, insane game. So yeah,
look, they just, they didn't play anyone. That's great. And the people that we all think are bozos
actually did okay. Like, I mean, Lawrence went for 258. Like I said, Stroud went over this number
comfortably. Baker cooked him for 379 without Mike Evans. So, I mean, I don't know. I think Seattle's
awesome. So part of that's tongue and cheek. But I also think like at no point are we having any
contextual discussions about how Seattle has got to where they are statistically on the back
of their strength of schedule.
And it's only New England.
New England is the first team in the history of football to have a really weak strength of
schedule and somehow go 15 and 3 and make it to the Super Bowl.
This is the NFL.
A lot of teams play weak schedules and don't go to the Super Bowl.
Drake May is an MVP can.
And he should win the award tonight, award night.
So I don't know.
I'm tired of this BS slop.
At 213 and a half on rivers.
There's some soft numbers out there.
275 is plus 310, if you like to party.
You know what I mean?
And don't even get me started on 300.
That's plus 550.
Those are both in play.
You can't run on this team on Seattle.
So what if they just come out and say, look, Drake's our guy.
I mean, they said something about a shoulder being hurt.
There's nothing wrong with that kid.
He's fine.
He'll be fine.
Yeah.
So I don't know.
I mean, again, I like the 250.
look, I just wish you would have came up to 275.
You know what I mean?
Maybe grab one of those before you go to the Super Bowl party Sunday.
All the way up.
Yeah.
Just get liquored up beforehand and see what happens.
I don't hate the attempt stuff.
I don't hate the completion stuff.
My thought is that the efficiency might be challenged, right?
I think they're going to be, they're really good at like limiting the short intermediate stuff.
Knowing this path has to be explosives.
So it has to be, you know, not necessarily short drives, but like, you know, May hitting some 30, 40 plus yard deep vertical shots here, which limits the completions and attempts stuff.
So I personally would rather play yards.
But I understand if you think that it's a trailing game state, they go super pass heavy.
They probably both get home.
I actually in tandem to this, which, I mean, it's kind of, we're like boxing ourselves in with how many props to bit on this.
But it's fun anyways, because it's a super bowl.
So why not?
So you played over passing yards.
I played underpasser rating in 93.5.
I played over attempts.
And another bet that just popped up pre-show like 20 minutes before that is like
way off market relative to like underdog under things is Drake May completion rate
popped at 67.5.
That's way too high.
I mean, that is 63 and a half everywhere else.
He's been like, it's like a little bit lower than his average like or median on the season.
Like, it's like, you know, and during the playoffs, I think he's like 58, 60, 62.
Like, I mean, that seems like it probably all right.
62, 63.
He can have a good game, a decent game and still go well under 68% completion rate.
So I like that a lot.
I played that personally.
I'm not going to release it because we have 75 bets on Drake May.
If Drake May were to go out and just like, you know, not going to go out here, get injured by some chance.
we would be in trouble.
Or a good spot, you know, I guess, I don't know,
depending on what we took at that point.
Yeah.
All my, you know, fun exotics and things I like,
like Pat's Money Line, May 250,
May over one and a half touchdown passes,
which is like 8 to 1.
Yeah, they involve, they involve Drake May.
So Josh Dobbs would impact that negatively.
Would not be good.
I have one on the other side of the ball, though.
for, I'm jumping on to your side of the ball actually here.
Let's go.
Wait, what?
Yep.
It's not, I mean.
Are you allowed to do that?
I'll allow it.
I checked in with my lawyers and they talked to Noonan's lawyers and they said it was okay.
So this is on Fandul.
I'm going to tell you how to find it first because it's buried.
You got to click on the NFL, then click the Super Bowl props banner.
Do not click on the game.
Then click Super Bowl game specials.
And then it loads up the separate menu on Fandul.
So you have to do that specifically.
you're not going to find it.
I'm going to go with Seattle Seahawks, five plus sacks at plus 330 and six plus sacks at
plus six 80.
May took five plus sacks against the best pass rush teams.
He played.
So like Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Chargers, Houston, Denver, Atlanta, five sacks against
all those.
Some of those games, even, too, like really limited dropbacks.
Didn't drop back that much.
Noonan you mentioned on one of our earlier shows, his pressure to sack rate in the regular
season was about league average and then is more than doubled in the playoffs.
It's like 40-ish percent at this point.
Seahawks do a great.
job rushing the passer without blitzing.
I think a pretty tough match of this Patriots all line that,
you know,
Will Campbell has been the talk of a lot of struggles from time of time.
They were basically using,
I think Romandre to basically just like chip,
chip the edge with Will Campbell,
virtually every play.
But they have a rookie, I believe,
tackle another side as well.
So,
I mean,
I think that this is very much in play here if they have to drop back enough.
Like, I mean,
if it only drops back 30,
32 times, 35 times,
it's probably not going to work.
But if you get like a big dropback game
from May.
I think five plus sacks is very much enrager.
He takes five or six sacks.
They lose.
Just that simple.
But this is a better version than going at Seattle Money Line or Seattle minus four and a
half in my opinion.
So I don't, I don't hate it.
I think it's a good look at it.
I think it was 20.6% pressure to sacrate in the regular season,
45 and a half percent in the playoffs.
Now again, elite pass rushing groups for the Chargers,
Houston and Denver, but Seattle has one too.
So I think it's a good look.
Yeah, I played with Pat this morning.
I played Darnold over two and a half sacks taken, which you could find that's how
it's worded on underdog.
You probably find New England over two and a half sacks as well.
There actually is a really good individual matchup in the interior.
Their right guard is 145th out of 147 offensive linemen and have played at least 50%
of snaps in past block win rate on PFF.
So Anthony Bradford.
So that's Christian Barmore.
That's Milton Williams.
I think the Pats go after that too.
So I think we see a decent amount of sacks in this game for sure.
So it's a good, that's a good angle.
What is the, there's like a total game sack option too, right?
Yeah, I haven't seen it everywhere.
You think that they don't.
They do pressure Darnold or like try to.
Thousand percent.
Yeah, five and a half on Fandle total game sacks.
I think is minus 113.
Because like, right, yeah, that's a really good luck, I think.
because we're seeing three and a half plus money on the over just for the Seahawks
and then two and a half, I think, juiced up for the paths.
So yeah, I think five and a half is a pretty good one.
Yeah, I like that.
Yeah, it's good.
It's good.
All right, stop, but else you got?
All right, so I'm either going to be down two units or I'm going to be Bezos
because we're going Jake Bobo.
All right.
there's a lot of ways you can do this all right but the way i'm choosing to do it would be 20 plus
yards plus 520 you could go 25 plus 640 you could go all the way up to i would say 40 plus plus
1,200 look guys randos all the time like i said i was i was on the show last year and we were
talking and i was like hey dots and we're like he sucked we're like yeah that don't matter
I'm not going to say Jake Bobo sucks
because I might run into his family
because they live in like North Andover.
Like that's close.
My kid just played that school in a basketball like the other day.
So they're right around the corner.
But I will say this, he only caught two passes this whole season.
All right.
Here's the thing, though.
If you watch the playoffs,
he caught a pass in each of the last two playoff games.
Both of them.
16-yarder, 17-yarder.
He was actually targeted twice.
last time. They target them in the red zone, which is crazy twice. So two times. So if you want to go
touchdown, be my guest, whatever, I think this dude's going to catch like a seam run, something like
that. He might catch two balls in this game, but they're going to be down the field. So all we need
is just, just give me a 20 yard of Jake. That's it. You know what I'm saying? You can go back,
sip Gatorade, hang out, do your thing for the rest of the game, but just catch a 20-yard reception at
least maybe 30 for some of the guys watching but this is not that crazy json they've heard of him
in new england they know who he is you know what i mean like he's going to get attention like
every super bowl comes down to can you use the other guys like like they don't have to dominate
but you they have to do something jake is the definition of other guys you know what he's one of
so i like him i like i think he gets home this takes some some stones some
serious don't slop and I love it.
It is a party stopper.
You walk in with a Jake Bobo ticket?
Like, who the fuck is that?
Well, you got a Jake Bobo winner.
People are stopping their party to message you for sure.
Exactly. And then we're watching the game together and some dude Jake Bobo catches a 25
yard seam route and they're just like looking at you like, who in the fuck is this guy?
I'm telling you.
It's happening.
It's hot.
So what do you want me to add to our?
parlay for Jake Bobo.
I mean, you can go all the way to top for Jake, bro.
Jake's nasty.
I'm telling you, Jake, I remember him from UCLA.
It was a Duke guy first.
So we don't talk about those years, but the UCLA years were kind of nice form.
He's a very Drew Bennett-esque.
You remember Drew Bennett?
No.
You don't remember Drew Bennett?
No.
All right, guys, I got to go.
The great Drew Bennett?
You know what I'm talking about.
I mean, it's a white receiver, so there is that.
But, like, he has that.
But, I mean, like, they still, they're the same, dude.
I know, I know, I'm kind of.
I mean.
Like, you from the Titans.
Yeah, yeah.
I mean, when he had, like, a 200 and, like, a 90-yard game one day, dude.
It was unstoppable out there.
I started playing fantasy football, I think, in 2008.
And that is when you retired.
It was after Drew.
Yeah, maybe 2007, actually, I think, is when I was.
started playing.
I drafted Drew Bree's first overall
because I didn't know what I was doing.
That works.
Yeah, so this was really close to my overlap,
but I was not there for the Drew Bennett era.
Slop, what am I like, you know,
Connor's significantly younger than me moments
early on in us doing shows and stuff together
was the pre-draft process when Michael Pittman was coming out,
Michael Pittman Jr.
Okay.
I had the discussion about Michael Pittman's senior.
A real life.
Superman.
Yeah.
No idea that he played in the league.
That's hilarious.
He's just younger than us.
It's like not that he doesn't know.
He just wasn't alive.
Yeah, fancy football is the greatest age teller there is whenever you talk about
like guys to take when you first started.
You're like, oh, I mean, obviously because you know what years they were.
But whenever guys don't even know like a guy existed, then that's how you know.
You're like, God, damn, I'm very old.
I'm way older than you.
Yeah, because since then, I could probably, I know almost every skill player,
or at least have, like, heard of every skill player since then.
You know what I mean?
That's done anything.
And why would you even know?
Because, like, you didn't play.
Yeah, it makes all it makes total sense.
Yeah.
He, uh, Michael Pittman, senior had the real black Superman tattooed on his arm.
And he was, dude.
That guy was, big.
Yeah.
That's pretty sick.
He was, he was a big dude.
I'm looking up.
Not a tall fellow, but like the big, I would never.
Dude.
Biceps.
He's got to be on roids or something.
There's no way this is natural.
These things are huge.
Yeah.
Well,
he didn't play around.
Every day was curl day from Michael.
Mm-hmm.
Curls all the time.
I'm pretty sure.
I was in my first or second year.
I think rookie Fred Taylor and my,
I was stacking before.
It was cool.
I had Aaron Brooks and Joe Horn.
Okay.
Aaron Brooks was fun.
Aaron Brooks is fun.
Fred Taylor was good.
Fred Taylor went to a high school near
mind he went for he went for 350 on us five touchdowns he was healthy fred taylor on a different level
like it was when you realize like oh yeah that's what d1 looks like you know what i mean like we had a
couple d1 guys you're like that ain't that's NFL right there yeah those hammies though if you could
just keep those hammies on point yeah fragile fred remember that was his nickname in the beginning
later on it wasn't though he had a couple of years where he like kind of made good
but yeah, he never was like he should have been a,
not an LT type in terms of like what he was on the field,
but point production,
I feel like he should have been like a Sean Alexander,
one of those like were like just a monster point season
and he never really had one.
Still home run,
just the guy that could hit.
You know,
if we were vet in the longest rush and Fred Taylor's day,
we would have been, you know,
would have been a print fest for sure.
Right.
So be rich.
Yeah, so Jake Bobo.
Okay.
Telling you, when he catches one,
I want to text from both of you.
you.
They're going to be like, God damn did Jake Hobo?
Just grab a 21-yard reception?
What the fuck?
That's awesome.
It is crazy because like, so he doesn't play that much.
He ran seven routes last week, but it feels impactful when he does play.
Like when he's out there like, oh, shit, like.
Nobody's going to see him coming.
Yeah.
And he looks good.
Like, he looks like he plays the part, but I don't think he is good.
So we'll see.
I mean, it's a fun bet.
It's going to be fun too because you're going to be watching it.
with somebody who has Cooper Cup and they're going to be going nuts and you're like, dude,
that ain't Cooper Cup.
Yeah.
Another white guy, dude.
That's my guy.
Like I'm telling you, that happened last week, man.
Oh, man.
Is that a touchdown?
He's that cup?
Like, nope.
Got the wrong white.
That's tough.
Yep.
Hey, it's a tough break.
But yeah, so watch out.
If you got Cooper Cup, watch out.
Just check the numbers.
That's all I'm saying.
Because they're both in the teens, too.
So it's tough to, like, if you see that one at first, you're like, oh,
shit there he is like that ain't him different guy i'm uh next for me i'm not even sure
what the best way to play it is let you guys tell me uh what you think the best way to go about it is
it really is just me pausing my drake may handicap to then pick it back up um nice
do you another bet on drake may hey john booty longest reception 17 and a half
30 and a half receiving yards both
I don't want to say half unit on both because they're both going to win
so why not win two units when we can just why would we just win one
he's basically not getting 30 and a half if he's not
catching an 18 yard pass his A dot on the season
his 17 and a half yards
there were 25 pass catchers in the league this season
who posted a deep target rate which is 20 plus yard 20% or higher
this is 25 guys 20%
or higher.
Booty was fourth at 28.3%.
His catch rate on these 69.2%.
Next close is 47.5%.
He caught 22% more of these deep passes more than anyone else.
You know why?
Because Drake May is really good to go and deep balls on the boundary.
So Booty's not going to mess around with coming to the inside.
They got to hit a couple of these.
Booty is the best bet to do it.
He's on the field the most, too.
You're going to see, like, I think lower radar zone stuff for Steph Diggs,
who might catch volume and might have a bunch of yards.
But I don't think Drake may, or like, I don't think Steph's getting explosive.
I think it's going to be Booty who's out there significantly more than Pop Douglas or Mac Hollins.
He's probably going to run, I don't know, 80 to 85% of the routes.
So he's going to get little Josh Job a bunch of times.
Hopefully they, you know, try to isolate him and get those man routes.
And they're going to give him a couple shots.
He just needs to kind of get home with one of them.
I mean, he did this against Derek Stingley, Jr., who was considered a top three corner for a beautiful 32-yard touchdown in that game against the Texans.
So we just need an 18-yarder here.
I kind of lean over on the longest, but I think he, I think he pops off for 50 plus, to be honest.
What was the longest number?
17 and a half.
Nice.
I mean, he's over that in like 10 of, whatever, like 16 or 10, yeah, like, a vast majority of games.
Yeah.
once has averaged up the target 17 yards 17 and a half just catch one catch a ball so he's getting that
yeah he's plus money for two and a half receptions i like that as well see the problem the problem is
i guess like i think you could convince me and you that like hunter henry is a great matchup this week
especially with nickham and worry maybe a little bit dinged up and that stephan digs maybe
you know shows out and is like kind of their number one you know option in this game and that kashom booty
you could get deep on them maybe.
You know, it's like, because I think that all of these are possible.
I just like, I don't know which one to play it.
So that's why I've stuck with May, but like, I don't know.
You know what I mean?
I think we saw a little bit of this with Hunter Henry as someone who was on Hunter Henry against Denver.
They used him a chip a little bit too.
So you saw him kind of, you know, not necessarily running quite as many routes
or at least being delayed to get in to the situation.
So, yeah, I just think that their home run threat, which I think is absolutely massive
in this game they have to hit a few of them i think it's booty um more than matt collins or pop douglas
or anything like that so i like 30 and a half i like 50 plus the latter them up but i think uh longest
you know 20 plus you can take you know some books have alts on the longest get plus money on a 20 plus
i know that's definitely more in slops wheelhouse there but i like a big day for booties big booty day
um-hmm some bobo some booties yeah killer bees
I like it.
All right.
Let's get weird.
So some stuff that's maybe not widely available,
maybe some one-off stuff,
maybe some walkie,
walkie stuff.
I want to,
I'll start with this.
I've shared this.
It's in my tackle article.
Talked about it earlier today.
This is a great,
great play.
Speculative play.
Right now I think it's just on about 365.
So I apologize.
It's not widely available.
If you have a bet 365,
it's worth just kind of,
dabbling. They have
most tackles in the game market.
Right now,
Robert Spillane seems very, very,
very, very questionable to even
maybe borderline doubtful.
Re-agravated ankle injury that cost
him a month in the Denver game
has not practiced.
I just think that he's at best
very, very limited and probably
a liability. So
I think there's a good chance we don't
see Robert Spillane in this game.
If he is out of the game,
Jack Gibbons is the green dot signal caller for the Patriots defense.
He will then play probably 90% of the snaps.
He is 33 to 1 to lead the game in tackles.
And I would comfortably have him first or borderline second,
depending on snap rates in this game to lead the game in tackles.
33 to 1.
Use your 45 cents.
If that's all you can get down, take advantage of whatever it is on Bet365 that you can.
Sorry, Mr. Sam.
it's you know maybe it becomes widely available elsewhere
or at least in some other spots
I would be 20 to 1 10 to 1
again if
spilling plays
it's probably dead because then Gibbons is playing 20 to 30% of snaps
but otherwise he's very very very live here at 33 to 1
so if you got 365 take advantage
and keep your out in the swivel look to see if that pops anywhere else
what other weird stuff you got Connor
I'm looking.
Yeah, I got two fun ones.
Actually, I got a bunch of stuff, but I don't want, like, I don't know,
to rattle it off here.
I got one more half unit official play that just popped.
I'm going to go with Stefan Diggs under nine and a half yards first reception.
So he's over this on 51% of his total catches in the regular season.
But when he started playing good defenses, his receptions have gone for 10 plus yards on just
two of 11 catches.
His ADOT spends six, nine point two and two point three.
So it's like, you know, he's not necessarily a big yak guy at this point in his career.
either more of like a sit in his own fog down guy.
I kind of think that they get him involved in the first drive
and just like throw him a quick and easy one to get it out there.
I think that's going to go to him or booty to be honest.
So I think he has like a short catch there.
Just a half unit is available at Draft Kings builder and MGM.
So I mean, I would say kind of enough liquidity for some people.
So like with a half unit there.
But I don't know.
Any interest in that one?
I got one that's a lot of after this.
No, I like that a lot.
I think it's a good look.
Yeah.
Well, like a bullshit bubble screen just to get May going type of thing.
I hadn't thrown one yet.
Let's just get this.
I like it.
Love it.
All right.
Well, I got another one that's, I guess I'm blasting out anyways because it's out there and available, but it's only for 0.05 units.
Rashid Shehid, most yards after catch on a single catch.
It's 25 to 1.
Okay.
He's, I mean, he's going to see a deep shot.
He's going to be utilizing some gadget plays.
All he's got to do is catch one.
Like he's like the perfect archetype of a guy that could break one.
You got Trevron Henderson is like lower than him.
You know, we like, we like Henderson.
But, you know, yeah.
And like obviously JSN's the favorite in this market.
But like, I mean, this is 25 to 1.
This is like a long shot on a guy who like only does big plays.
Like he doesn't do anything else except for big plays.
So yeah, could you get screwed if he runs 40 yards and then catches the ball that only runs 20 yards?
Sure.
But like I think there's plenty of depth for him to catch the ball 30 yards on field
then run another 30, 40 yards and kind of hold the title here.
Or do one of those little pitch passes where they like runs in front of them and runs like around the end and like runs for 25 yards, 30 yards.
So yeah, 27 to one on Fandler right now.
Love it.
Yeah.
So I mean, again, I'm putting 0.05 units on this to be clear.
I'm not even like it's to win whatever a unit would be.
But I think it's kind of a fun long shot.
Another party stopper there whenever she touches the ball.
True.
It's fun.
I got, I mean.
Let's go.
Fire.
You guys want more Jake Bobo stuff.
Yes.
There.
For a touchdown, one touchdown.
We just saw him do it last week.
Just one.
Just one.
That's it.
Plus 1,500.
I'm sorry, 1595 at Novig.
Just one touchdown.
Two touchdowns plus 14,000 at Draft Kings.
Two touchdowns.
This guy's only catching balls in the end zone, guys.
He's way, like somebody mentioned him in the chat.
They said that you need an hourglass to measure his 40.
Yeah, the time it's 40.
Yeah, I mean, he ran like a, I don't even know if he ran the fours, put that way.
But he's what we call game fast.
And like I said, they went to him twice in the red zone last week.
What better way to do it this week?
You get down there, you slip one in.
That's how it's how it happens, guys.
We've all done it.
And wait, I know what you're thinking, Connor.
I'm not going there.
But yeah, I don't see why not, dude.
One touchdown.
Like, how about this?
He catches a 21-yard touchdown.
You are Bezos at the park.
Bezos.
Like, it is unbelievable your football brain.
I think it's fun.
Yeah.
This is a Super Bowl.
You got to have.
You guys, whenever this happens, I remember last year,
this is this year's Jahan Dodson.
And that's a compliment.
By the way.
Like Debrough mentioned, Austin Newburgh, any time touchdown.
Austin Newburgh is definitely scoring a touchdown now.
Like, you know, it's like one of those, like, random guys who just is going to, like, run out there and, you know, leak out for a touchdown.
It's like, it's exactly what happens in the Super Bowl.
Let's go back 11 years to a Patriots Seahawks matchup in the Super Bowl.
One of the best games played.
I mean, fantastic game.
It was just a great game.
It was awesome.
Chris Matthews, undrafted free agent for Seattle out of nowhere, drops like a buck 10.
in like five catches.
Ricardo Lockett was a beast in that game.
Like these are not.
I like where your head's at, Ryan.
And you're teeing me up.
Bobo MVP is plus 20,000 right now.
I mean, Ryan, you sold me, Ryan.
You sold me.
You're right.
True.
The problem, though, is you know,
who led that game in receptions was Shane Vareen.
Not.
It's a valid point.
He's a lot like Trevionn Henderson.
A lot of people are saying that.
Shitty guy.
Trevion's not West Coast, right?
He should be, though.
He should be probably as relatives out there.
So there's that.
But, yeah, no, I mean, dude, I'm all about Bobo.
I mean, get as much Bobo as they'll give us.
Just have a great night because that's where it's at.
I don't know that he's going to get the MVP.
I think that if he's, if he is in play for it,
They're probably going to give it to Donald, but whatever.
I mean, it would take a win.
Like, a lot would have to happen.
It's true.
Don't sleep on Bobo.
Bobo can catch a touchdown.
You can do a touchdown, 20 yards receiving.
Dude, that's a party.
A lot of, the MVP is a bridge, a little bit too far.
I like the 21-yard touchdown catch.
Where do we go next?
Yeah, I like the 21-yard touchdown catch.
John, do you have anything other than Jake Bobo stuff?
And the answer is no, boys.
No.
Besides Travion Henderson, that's, I mean, what did I say?
20 yards for Travionn or?
I think he said 30.
It could be 40.
I'd say 25, but 20 is good too.
Depends on how weak you are.
I think it's what you're going to?
Yeah, how much fun you want to have.
You know what I mean?
Like, that's all.
Yeah.
So good.
A couple other that correlate with my overall game thoughts.
Seattle opening drive to reach the 50, no is plus 164.
Why are we so sure that like, you know, plus 164 to reach to 50?
I mean, problem is like 15 yards.
Maybe.
Here's your, here's how it gets a little cheaper.
Seattle plays on the opening drive under five and a half plus 110.
Yeah, they run it three times with Walker, get negative yards, pun it.
Print.
Easy.
Plus 110.
So.
Feels right.
That feels fun to me.
You can just take again the easy Sam Donald to throw an interception minus 128 on Fandul.
It feels like a bad.
I thought you were on the first drive.
You could do that too.
It's a little spin for me.
Yeah.
I'm going to give him the full game to throw two.
And that's three to one.
Throw that with two bobo touchdown.
Yeah, we don't.
Negative correlation there.
Yeah.
No one got more passes batted down at the line of scrimmage than Sam Donald this season.
Those can get intercepted.
It doesn't all have to be deep balls by, you know, cornerbacks.
And it's turnover worthy play rate.
It's Connor and I highlighted on our preview show.
Sixth highest in the league, 5.2%.
That tells you basically for the way the game plays out, that's roughly three turnover
worthy plays.
Pat just need to capitalize on those and pick those off.
So we're getting three to one on that.
I like that.
It is a sprinkle.
Milt Williams in particular, plus 194 on Fanduel to get a sack.
Important.
Fanduel is a to get a sack over a quarter of a sack.
So a half a sack is a win.
You'll see a lot of books like Builder, Seizers are pricing over a half a sack.
Stay away from that.
If you can, there are outs that you can do this differently.
Because then you lose, you push on a half a sack.
Scorekeeper wants to share it.
And then all of a sudden, you're like, yeah, Mill Williams got a sack.
And then they gave Clavehontian Chase on the other side of it.
And now you're waiting on both those guys to get one more.
So don't do that.
That sacks on Fandual, Draft Kings.
Those are better places to do it.
So, yeah.
Oh, this one's great.
Connor, we talked about this early.
I found, again, another 365.
I think someone told me it's on Fandul as well.
So I haven't found it.
I got to price it.
Total plays in the game.
Under 126 and a half.
which I think is a great look.
I think it's 365.
I have not found it on Fandals.
I think I was told it was on Fandall as well.
So I'm at 121.5 and a half on total plays.
I think that's probably really close to the right number.
Under 126.
1.26 and a half is too many plays.
I don't see it on Fandle.
I just searched it.
But I know it was in other places.
It was at Cesar's earlier,
but it was like 120.
or 119 something like that yeah 126 and a half is that's really nice yeah so i mean i priced that one out
it was like both teams averaged 60-ish and then like letting up like 58ish something like that so like
it was right within range yeah another one this is not slop's wheelhouse um it's a couple
different prices but it's out there most receptions in the game jsn feels like you should be i feel
like that should be laying minus 200 for that and no one's making me lay minus 200 for that.
So I've seen between 140 and 170 on JSN to lead the game in receptions.
So I think he almost has to get hurt for that to lose.
I mean, who's this competition on this team?
Jake Bobo.
Again, I don't think, I think Steph Diggs could have a decent day.
I don't think Diggs is getting six or seven.
I don't know.
Like it feels like a lot.
So I like the JSN number there between minus 14175 to lead the game in receptions.
That's a fun one.
Yep.
You want to hear the craziest thing that I bet on this week that I couldn't really find data on even.
Like they don't even have data is I bet Mac Hollins under 19 and a half fastest catch.
So you can bet on his miles per hour of how fast he's running.
And so I tried to dig through each game log.
They don't have it.
Next-June stats.
They have it, but they don't like publicly reveal it unless you're,
part of a team. So I DMed a next gen stats guy and he didn't get back to me. He's like an old
friend. I haven't talked to him maybe two, three years at this point. Yeah, basically I was like,
hey, can you send me the Mac Collins like per catch route running data? And I did actually
see the one that he caught against Denver where he was like full speed running straight and
caught the ball was like 18.6 and it was 19 and a half. I was like this motherfucker is not running 20 miles
an hour. Yeah. It was like minus 180. I think it's still minus 200 on Cesar if you want.
want to lay the juice it's 19 and a half it's minus it's 18 and a half minus 140 under now in fandle
i kind of think 19 and a half two minus 200 is under like he would have to be literally just
running straight untouched as fast as he possibly could and catch the ball in stride for him to hit
that like i yeah he ran he ran a fast 40 like 10 years ago 11 years ago like i'm surprised he didn't
uh DM you back like the uh the 800 number well i didn't tell him well no actually did
I don't know what that's for.
There's no chance.
Like, I'm just wondering how fast Matt Collins has fun on every catch to see.
You know what I mean?
Like, there's no way that he's 100% knowing where your head's at.
I think they're so cognizant of being attached to anyone that's in a lead circle or
they're just really aware of all that now, especially.
So after, you know, Rozier and company and whatnot.
So I think they're easily easy to leave you on red for.
a few days. It's sad because I have no novelty props like no Gatorade, no no halftime stuff.
I started asking around. You got some you got some Gatorade guy. He's saying blue. Yeah.
Matter who wins. I was like, wow. How well. Cails too for the coin toss.
Yeah, it's a coin guy. Yeah, it's a coin guy. Yeah. It's weighted.
Blue. Yeah, that's interesting. I mean.
I was saying the streets are saying blue.
Dude,
I watched some reel that was talking about how they decided the Gatorade color now
because of all the gambling stuff.
And apparently they have someone from Gatorade pick
and then like,
I don't know,
like ship out six different colors.
And then like they like don't know which one they're getting
until like they like open or something like that.
It's something ridiculous.
So the edge might be gone.
But I don't know.
It was maybe it was just like propaganda.
It did not let us bet on it.
but I want to meet the Gatorade guy.
That's my whole goal before I'm done is just meet the guy at Gatorade.
Don't worry.
Don't mess with these team guys because they're going to lie to you.
You know what I'm saying?
Don't just talk to go straight to the source.
Give me a Gatorade guy and we'll just print.
Because purple, yeah, purple looks good too, Derek.
That's what people are saying.
I've heard blue.
It's usually orange, I think, has been the most common over the years.
Belichick was often water.
Big water guy.
He's a big water guy.
That was vodka.
Yeah.
Yes.
What are you guys for the Super Bowl?
You guys go to parties?
I'm hosting.
I'm hosting.
I always host.
So I'll have a big decent-sized crowd, as always.
How many people you think?
I probably a 2020 plus or so, 2025.
All right.
So here's what you do.
You go to a Draft King's kiosk, right?
You get, let's do $10 increments.
Just get a 25 Jake Bobo one plus yard reception, you know, ticket.
10 bucks it did.
You pass them out to everyone when they come over.
It's a great time.
It's a great time.
It's a great time.
that's that's so funny
I wish I would have taken advantage of this
I did put out a
full on mass hole prop
um
Pats to win
with parlayed with Michael Thor Bjornson
to win the waste management
uh local new England kid
uh went to Stanford but uh
you know was born in I think he's born
in Ohio but it's a real young kid
moved to uh
to you know greater Boston area
he's T3 500
at
waste management opening today.
So that was 190 to 1
for Briornson and Pat's to win.
So getting real, real
Boston Common here for us.
Scotty's sucking, right?
Scotty's sucking, right?
Fucking Scott.
Yeah, I'm headed out to the waste management slop.
I'm going out there tomorrow morning.
Oh, really?
Yeah.
That's the fun one, right?
Yeah.
I think so.
Yeah.
Going to visit Dalton
and some of his buddies out there
so it should be a good time.
Oh, and Katie?
Yeah, yeah.
Tell my stuff, what's up?
We'll do, yeah.
It should be a blast.
It's going to just rip some bets,
go to the waste management, I think, on Saturday
and Sunday, go to some concerts
and then watch the Super Bowl
either at the sportsbook
or one of his buddy's houses, I think.
So it's, uh,
you can do the same thing with Bobo.
Just go to a different kiosk.
Yeah, Arizona's got everything.
Everyone will be showing up with, like,
finger foods and, like, you know,
snacks, and I'll roll up with 20 Jake Bobo tickets.
I'll be honest with you,
I'm dead serious, man.
That's a way to get out of bringing.
You never know what to bring.
Like everyone always brought everything already.
Because everybody that's signed up early, they know how to get on these lists.
You got an ice guy already.
You got like beers.
They probably make you bring your own.
You got cookies and chips, sandwiches already handled out.
What am I supposed to bring?
A ticket.
I don't even know if I'm going to do with Bobo, but I do love this idea.
I feel like.
I'd show up with like $20, you know, $10,
Bobo tickets or whoever the fuck
tickets, you know what I mean?
And everybody at the party
is room for the same stuff.
When Bobo catches one,
the roof is going to come off the place.
It's going to be electric, dude.
It's going to be awesome.
And then when he doesn't, hey,
we all just throw away our tickets
and move on with our lives.
Didn't cost anyone money, except for you.
A little bonfire, you know?
Yeah, set the place on fire.
I don't do that.
I'm just kidding.
I'm hosting, though.
So I'm not the one that has to also provide you.
I don't have to provide you with food and winning tickets.
It's just a party gift.
You know what I mean?
For the people,
hey, thanks for coming over.
You know what I mean?
Like,
are you making people bring stuff or are you providing?
We always provide.
Okay, yeah, so that's going to be tough.
Like, now, I mean, now you're passing out tickets.
You got to get a ticket guy.
Yeah, I don't take a guy.
Show up.
Or just, I don't know, just take all the money you're going to win off the mask kid in the waste management golf tournament
and just throw that on to the Jake.
take bobo tickets and just make it rain when you get it. Hey, thanks for coming.
Open the door and hand a ticket to everybody. Even the kids, like everybody's in on this.
It's fine. There's no ages here. We got Carson Swessinger, defensive rookie of the year,
hopefully coming home tonight, awards night, 60 to 1.
There you go. You can afford to be a little more hospitable.
They might be making lobster rolls for people slop. I mean.
Oh, Jesus Christ.
You doing that just to be a dick and it's the Patriots?
Absolutely.
I like it. That's awesome.
And who, I mean, who's a Seahawks fan?
Like, I mean, does anyone even know, I don't even know a Seahawks fan?
You know a Seahawks fan?
I know a Seahawks fan.
Todd, Todd Silvera, and met him in Florida probably 20 years ago.
The guy's an absolute psychopath.
And he was from Alaska.
And then somehow he was in Florida.
He was a little older than I was, but he still is.
And he was a hilarious, hilarious gentleman.
I think he's still alive.
and he's still roots for the Seahawks.
Real quick, one day I walked up to the bar we hung out at.
I was attached to my apartment complex,
so it's super easy to get there,
and you just walk up.
And Todd was walking out of the bar at the time,
so I could see him in the distance,
and as I get close, so I walk over, he's in the car,
and you could faintly hear, like, screaming, right?
So I keep walking off the car,
and as I walk up you don't hear it anymore
he gets out of the car
and just walks back into the bar
at the same time I'm walking in
and turns out they just thrown a pick six
and he was pissed so he just go to his car
and scream and then come back in like nothing
just happened and I was like man
you are one crazy crazy bastard
but I'll never forget him for that
so the life of a Seahawks fan right there
yeah that's the Seahawks man
that's how they rolled
it's got to get yourself regulated
whatever you're going to do.
Oh, dude.
Yeah, I was like, wow, man, that was, that was crazy, dude.
Like, what are you doing, man?
Like, he was all alone, too.
It wasn't like he was, like, showing out for anybody.
And he was just going to the car to yell.
Well, I love the idea, though, Slop.
But if anyone wants to, you know, crash my party,
bring me a Jake Bobo ticket or two or, you know.
Just like 10 bucks.
Yeah.
I don't want everyone.
I want to, like, print the, you know, pro,
be a pro- Drake May crowd for me.
So I want the casual.
The $2501, dude.
Yeah.
$250, MVP, something like that.
Everybody has it and they go crazy.
And then at the end, when it wins,
you collect the tickets from everybody.
And say, thanks, guys.
See you later.
Later.
Do me a favor.
Get out of here.
The game's over.
All right.
You guys are awesome.
We appreciate everyone hanging out with us all season long.
Again, the three of us enjoy doing this.
And I think we would have fun talking to ourselves alone.
but the fact that you guys hang out and make this a fun part of our week every week.
We do not want to take that for granted.
So thank you so much for riding with us again this season.
Make sure you subscribe.
That way you don't miss it when we come back.
Next season, again, Connor and I will be back.
We sooner than later talking about draft props and whatnot.
Maybe we have to do a summer show or two with Slop.
Start talking about whatever's going on in Slop's worlds.
Find him on Twitter, obviously, at Slop Rules.
High Slop on the YouTube channel.
Slop, anything we got going on to Phil or anything else you want to put out this week before we're not just um just all Jake Bobo say your prayers
fun are you're going to think for the people before we wrap no let's let's get rich I mean the thing we've talked about at least I mean we had to talk about what 20 bets on this show total maybe 15 something like different variations.
We didn't even make a parlay I'm just going to tweet something out and say that slops at it like I do every time and then we'll go from there because the people love it so love it shop around
keep you know explore they do a good job of hiding different things so click into different menus
in the game and super bowl and specials and you know uh i think we've seizures is better than used to be
remember they just used to have like bet 58 they were completely out of order and you had no
idea what they were you had to open up what it was and like it's just yeah so look around you can
find some some hidden gems here for sure uh for subscribers hit us up in discord do you want our thoughts
send any of that too or obviously on Twitter as well.
So appreciate you all as always for Connor.
Slop. I'm Ryan. We'll see you all next time.
Thanks, everybody.
