Move The Line - Prop Drop: Week 10 Player Prop Bets

Episode Date: November 13, 2021

Move the Line Presents: Prop Drop ... The newest sports betting show from 4for4's Ryan Noonan and Connor Allen, plus third co-host Alex Selesnick. In this week's episode, Connor, Ryan, and Alex discuss their top Week 10 NFL player prop bets.  Move The Line Prop Drop is sponsored by WynnBET. New users who sign up for a WynnBET account will get a Risk-Free first bet (up to $1,000). 👉🏼 4for4.com/WynnBET  Get 4for4's Betting Package for our Picks & Tools 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/plans  Follow 4for4 on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/4for4football  Follow Move the Line on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/MoveTheLineNFL  Follow Connor on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/ConnorAllenNFL  Follow Ryan on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/RyNoonan  Follow Alex on Twitter 👉🏼 https://twitter.com/PropStarz  Visit our Website 👉🏼 https://www.4for4.com/  Join our Discord 👉🏼 http://discord.gg/4for4  Subscribe to our YouTube Channel 👉🏼 https://www.youtube.com/4for4football  4for4 Betting Strategy Hub 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3hm39cw  4for4 Betting Picks 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3hJTtqX  4for4 Player Prop Tool 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3A2UKBx  4for4 Prop Stat Explorer 👉🏼 https://4for4.co/3Ab3c1u  ________________________________________________________________________________________ 0:00 Week 10 Prop Drop Intro 3:01 Connor Prop No. 1 5:01 Ryan Prop No. 1 6:43 Alex Prop No. 1 9:17 Connor Prop No. 2 10:29 Ryan Prop No. 2 11:57 Alex Prop No. 2 15:26 Connor Prop No. 3 17:17 Ryan Prop No. 3 19:04 Alex Prop No. 3 22:25 Connor Prop No. 4 24:05 Ryan Prop No. 4 27:04 Alex Prop No. 4 29:21 Viewer Props Q + A 58:07 Prop Tool Bet of the Week 1:00:57 Week 10 Prop Drop Outro

and welcome to move the line a prop job show prop job is sponsored by win bet download the win bet app today and a promo code four for four receive a risk-free thousand dollar bets i'm ryan and joined by two of my favorite fellow prop d gens as always coming off an exceptional week is conor allen what's going on connor not much man i'm uh yeah it was a good week all around but i think we you can introduce our next guest that's uh this guy is so good he makes money in his sleep it is our boy pop stars alex what's going on man what is up guys you know i look forward to this all week long i even strategize this week by getting a nap in before the show. Make sure I shook all the cobwebs off.

I'm ready to roll. I am rested. I love the intro, by the way. Shout out, Sal. Great job at the top there, buddy. Appreciate that. Folks, we appreciate you joining us wherever you're listening or watching. We appreciate it subscribe so you don't miss a show we have

two shows a week here move the line this of course is our friday prop drop show uh we also do a wednesday game by game breakdown connor and i are joined by someone from around the industry to break things down from more of a size and total perspective. Here we're going to get into the weeds in the prop market. We're going to share four of our favorite props each and then after is where you jump in. It's the listener questions. So please jump in the chat. If you are watching, let us know a bet that you're considering. Give us any pushback on something that we're mentioning earlier in the show. I want to get your feedback and get interactive as much as possible. So also jump in the show notes.

You can see access to our betting subscription over at 444. It's been sliced, obviously, with half the year gone. 444.com slash plans. 444 betting sum is going to get you access to everything on our site. So if you are still playing DFS season long, anything like that, we're going to have NBA stuff sooner than later. We've got some golf in the works as well there to end the year. So take a look at that.

It's definitely worth your time. Our Discord, I think, is worth the price alone. So check that out. So excited about this one, fellas. Excited that Alex is rested and ready to go. And we got some good ones. We would not be a prop drop show if Connor didn't start us out with our first bets. Very on brand.

Connor, kick us off, buddy. Week 10, double digits. What's your first bet of the week? Yeah, I couldn't help myself here. I mean, this one dropped like 15 yards ahead of what I thought it would. Mike White under 238 net passing yards, minus 115 to DraftKings. We were on this last week, you know, in a similar spot here with Trevor Lawrence is under. Now we can update the column here and see how the Bills have performed against opposing quarterbacks.

Week 1, 188 to Ben Roethlisberger. Week 2, 169 to Jacoby Brissett. Week 3, 212 to Taylor Heineke. Week 4, only 87 to Davis Mills. Week 5, 272 to Patrick Mahomes. Week 6, 216 to Ryan Cannell. Week 7, 205

to Tua. Week 9, 118 to Trevor Lawrence. Every quarterback not named Patrick Mahomes has gone under 237 passing yards. Bill's number one pass to DBOA, number one explosive play rate allowed, seventh in pass rush win rate. I mean, if they haven't watched enough Mike White film to understand that all he does is dump the ball off, and he goes over this number

by just dumping the ball off like he did against the Bengals, I don't know what to tell you. I mean, I'll take the L, but I really like this play. I think that they're able to key in on those tendencies. I tailed it too. Alex is shaking his head, I think, because he's agreeing, not because he's nodding off. So that's good. It's encouraging. Yeah, the moment I saw this line, I actually thought of you, Connor. I liked it as well. I tailed it as well. I think it's going to require like 150 dump offs to Michael Carter in order for this over to hit. Yeah, I think this Bill's defense

is going to be motivated. They're going to be angry. I'm expecting a Bill's team to come down and just basically clamp Mike White. And I think, yeah, this will be possibly the end of the Mike White experiment after this week as well. Yeah, even though they lost last week, they still – the defense was terrific, to Connor's point, like the Lawrence stuff hit. So, yeah, great spots for an under here as well. And, yeah, it feels significantly too high, maybe 15, 20 yards. So good call, Connor.

Way to stay on brand. I'll do the same thing with my first pick. Mike Evans receiving yards over 76 and a half. This is available minus 115 on DraftKings. There's some questions with Godwin's availability here. I don't really think that that matters, to be honest. I think that you can make the case that either way, like if Godwin's out, Evans sees a higher target share, which helps him here. Or if Godwin's in the lineup, obviously it's harder to double Evans and he eats regardless. So it's more about the matchup in the spots where the Buccaneers are just a heavy pass rate over expectation team.

Washington football defense is probably one of the bigger disappointments of the season. They are pretty terrible. They are either 30th or 31st in dvoa epa per play yards per drive allowed they are 31st um or actually they're dead last in um in yards per game to wide receiver ones it's just an incredible fall for from grace for this defense it's rough kendall fuller's played decent coverage at times of season, but he's given up like six to seven inches on Evans here. And then the other corner is Benjamin St. Joost. He ranks 107th out of 116 cover corners in PFF grade this year. No matchup for this Bucs pass defense. Evans eats here in a

big, big way with or without Godwin. So give me that at 76.5. If you're in a prize picks area, you don't have props, and you get prize picks. Prize picks has us at like 66.5 or something like that, which is nuts. So jam it in anywhere you can get it. Alex, what do you got, buddy? Nice one. We got a return of quarterback here, and feels a little high given the game state. Yeah, absolutely.

And that is Russell Wilson under 33 and a half passing attempts. I am so happy to see Russell back. I was really surprised to see this number this high. I've been fading him earlier in the season. He had yet to eclipse 32 attempts in a single game this season. The Seahawks averaged 27 and a half passing attempts per game, 27.3 in four full games with Russell Wilson. That ranks 31st in the NFL. Seattle ranks just 25th in overall pass rate. Seattle's pass rate on first down is the sixth lowest in the league, the sixth lowest when it's in a tight game, the third lowest when trailing. I mentioned Russell had yet to eclipse 32 attempts in a game in five starts this season. On the other side, Green Bay, meanwhile, likes to play very slow. They like to

dominate clock. They rank eighth in time of possession while Seattle ranks dead last. I believe whether A-Rod's under center or it's Jordan Love, we're going to see a very similar game plan from Green Bay. Similar offensive approach where the Packers are going to grind clock, lean heavily on Aaron Jones, A.J. Dillon, use their ground game to keep Seattle's offense off of the field. Even when the Hawks were fully healthy, they had a really hard time sustaining drives running the ball this season. The run game is somewhat non-existent without Chris Carson, who's already been ruled out for week 10. Yeah, this offense to me is just kind of very feast and famine. They either get a

lot of big plays or they turn the ball over on downs. I thought this number came in overly inflated, way too high. I was expecting to see it around 31.5 or 32.5. So, yeah, I absolutely love this spot. Russell Wilson under 33.5 passing attempts. Connor, I think you have this one in the books too, right? Yeah, actually, I hit this in our Discord, and it's in my article. I think that, I mean, you did a great job summarizing it.

And I also think, like, I mean, he's only – Russell Wilson's only a few weeks removed from finger surgery. Like, do you really think that they're going to go out there and, like, really make it a point to pass the ball? I don't think so. So unless they face, like, serious negative game script, I just don't think that that's really in the cards for them. And with how slow the Packers are playing, I mean,

that game against the Cardinals just, you know, sticks in my mind of just how slow they played and like how much they bled the clock that, you know, maybe lose some other bets. But, you know, it's still, it's just, they play so slow. I can see this game being the quickest game of the slate just because the clock is always running. Yeah. Good call. I like your next bet, Connor. I can see this game being the quickest game of the slate just because the clock is always running. Yeah. Good call.

I like your next bet, Connor. I hadn't seen this. I've kind of been offline for the last couple hours, so I'm imagining this pop very recently. But I like this. I'm going to probably hug it. What's your number two bet of the week? Yeah, so my second one is Ricky Seals Jones over three and a half receptions here. And you can find this at Plus Money right now over at DraftKings

and a few other spots. I think actually Plus 132 in New Jersey. But I don't really understand this one or why it's Plus Money because three or four games since Logan Thomas went down, he's played like 98% or more of the snaps in every single game. He has nine, seven, six, and four targets in those games as well. He has more than three and a half receptions in three of the four games. And then now he faces off against the Bucs,

who have a lot of the second most receptions to opposing tight ends. And the football team is double-digit underdogs against a pass funnel defense, so they're going to have to be throwing the ball. And with no one really healthy for the Washington football team, including Antonio Gibson, it's unlikely that they go run heavy. So I think that in a pass-away situation in a good matchup where he's already been hitting this number, I like the over here. And is it plus money?

So I would play it to even money, to be honest. I think that over three and a half is a move here and that if you can still find a plus money, I think it's stealing. I'm going to get that before all our listeners steam away the plus money option here. I typically like to wait until after the show, but we'll fire this one. Although I guess it is my turn. So I suppose I'm up here.

Next, Mike Williams, over 60 and a half receiving yards on DraftKings. Big Mike dominated the first few weeks and then has been the victim of elite shadow coverage the past month. He's caught two balls on five targets in three straight games. Yardage totals in those games, 27, 19, and 58. The Vikings, though, don't have Marlon Humphrey, J.C. Jackson, or Darius Slay. And that's, I think, a big, big note here. He's got about three inches and 30 pounds on all

these dudes cameron dantzler is like crack skinny uh brashad breeland might not even play pat pete still out in this one so vikings have been decent actually pretty good surprisingly against the past this season but they've allowed a pretty high rate of explosive plays here. So it's just a nice spot for him to get back on the wagon. This number's dipped quite a bit compared to how he was early in the season after he was going off week after week. So a couple of deep balls here in a game that has a nice implied team total up in the mid-50s. So Mike Williams over 60.5 is a really nice number.

I think he should be up into the 70s here so like that one quite a bit uh over on draft kings i think i've seen it moving a little bit uh at some other spots but 60 and a half up until like the low 60s i'm absolutely fine with so uh alex this next one i was about to put in the sheets and you beat me and i think it's a terrific bet so uh floor is yours i appreciate that ryan yeah this might be the first time that i've beaten you to a play this year together at the same time today so we do like to be i like when we have overlap whether it's you know you and me connor those are good things i made sure to get it in early too uh this week so yeah i was uh very uh

also very bullish on this seeing that you liked it as well, Ryan. It's Pat Fryermuth over three and a half receptions. Last I checked, this was plus 100 on DraftKings, which I think is a fantastic value. We are witnessing a Fryermuth breakout. Over the last three games, he's handled 20 targets, which he's turned into 16 receptions, with at least four catches in all three games and 43 receiving yards as well. Chase Claypool has also been ruled out. He should really condense the target tree even further in Pittsburgh. We know Juju is also out as well. Really the only viable receiver is Deontay Johnson. Now Fryermuth and Najee Harris are the only options I feel like Ben is going to be really comfortable with. We know Najee should also continue having monster workloads in the running game.

Eric Ebron is returning this week. I'm not very worried about that. He's yet to eclipse three targets in a game. Fryermuth has clearly earned the job, in my opinion. I think even if Ebron plays, there should be plenty of work left for Fryermuth. The Lions also rank 29th in passing DVOA. Firemuth led all Steelers with an 85.1 PFF grade in Week 9. He has an overall grade of 80.6 on the season,

which is the sixth highest mark for any tight end. I don't think that the fantasy community or the prop betting community is alone in thinking that the Sky has come out and won this job. I think it is plain to see for everyone. The Heath Miller comparisons are real. Ben looks at Friermuth in big moments. I think this line should have come out at four and a half, even with the return of Ebron, who really shouldn't factor in or have a significant role in the offense. Yeah, the Friermuth is a first down machine machine ben looks to him when it counts i love this spot especially at plus money yeah man i i agree there was actually a uh a twitter question earlier too about uh any concerns on ebron bob no uh not really i mean so the last time they both played uh fryer booth out snapped him uh 52 to 41 ebron was targeted on 11 of his routes and fryer muth

was targeted on 32 of his routes so like he had already taken over as the tight end one in this offense i think there's a chance though like you know alex said without claypool that you maybe see a little bit more too light too tight end personnel. So Frymuth is going to be on the field and is the preferred option. He's not the one that's in his early 30s coming off a hammy injury. He's like 22 years old and fresh bodied. Also, the Lions are 29th in DVOA against the position. And yeah, he's just absolutely been eating. He's gone seven targets, seven catches, four catches on seven targets, and five catches on six targets the past three outings. So absolutely great spot for him.

Love that one by Alex in a big, big way. We're halfway home. Don't forget, if you are watching on YouTube, throw some questions in the chat. We will get there shortly. As we hit the turn here, the back nine, Connor, kick us off. us off yeah i mean just i'll break the show up a little bit here uh we got a nice question here from gs sports trading alex to stay awake for the whole duration of the show yes plus 100 no minus 125 um i'll i'll bet the yes if you're willing to take action but uh i think it's a sharp line so pretty good line. I think the pre-game nap helps.

It's not bad juice. It's very generous. We just never know whether Alex has been hitting the garden prior to the show. That could influence the lines one way or another. Some inside info there if you've got a little camera in the garden.

The garden's got it sticky in the garden. Oh, man. So good. All right. My next one. Elijah Mitchell, over know. The garden's got sticky in the garden. Sticky. Oh, man. So good. All right, my next one, Elijah Mitchell, over 14.5 carries. He's gone over this number in four of six games this season. He's been steering nearly all the backfield work in most recent games, you know, getting close to like 90% of the carries. Whispers of, you know, Jeff Wilson eating to his workload,

I think are a little bit overblown. Played zero snaps prior to their bye. He also had a scare today at practice a couple hours ago where – I mean, a scare is not good, and he was limited in practice. So I think that they're probably not going to just throw him in there and give him a bunch of carries. Also, I mean, I think that really depends – this one depends on how close they keep the game.

As long as it's close for like a half or even like a quarter i think it's okay i mean last week or when the last time i played against cardinals it was 17 to 0 at the start of second quarter so you know barring that happening i think that mitchell is very much in play uh to you know hit over this and i think approach 20 carries as long as the game is relatively close yeah that's a good one. Yeah, the Wilson stuff only helps. So I'm interested to see what happens to that in the next couple of hours, especially with our active listening audience. So good catch there. Way to jump on it early.

Next for me, Adam Thielen, under 64.5 receiving yards. I know you don't hear that word from me very often, but I got two in a row here. There's some unders on the board. I just expect this to be a extremely run-heavy game for the Vikings against the Chargers. The Chargers just refused to put more than six to seven guys in the box, and I think Mike Zimmer and Kubiak Jr. take them up on the offer,

and they run 30-plus times here. I already bet Dalvin Cook's over rushing yards. That number is way gone now. I think it's probably still bettable, to be honest. I think he just gets a ton of work here. Legal issues probably don't bite him this week, so we'll save that hot takes for another show. But he's playing this week, and he's going to run early and often.

So Chargers rank second in yards per game allowed to wide receiver twos in the season our proprietary schedule adjusted fantasy points per game metric at four for four has the chargers as the second toughest matchup for wide receivers trayvon campbell has been balling out asante samuel jr., Chris Harris. It's a nice trio of corners for the Chargers. Just a tough spot. Our projections have Thielen just a little bit in like the little shy of 60. So they are also on the side here. I think it's a run-heavy spot, and Thielen is not really the yards after the catch guy

that's going to burn you in a spot like this. So Thielen under 64.5 I think is a really nice look. I absolutely love that spot ryan i actually gave out dalvin cook over 85 and a half rushing yards to my slack and then earlier uh today on the other uh stream that i appear on i gave out kirk cousins under passing yards so yeah that really lines up nicely couldn't agree more with everything you said. Love the play. That brings me to my next play, which is A.J. Dillon. Over 54 and a half combined rushing and receiving yards. I want to reiterate that is rushing and receiving yards combo prop.

Listen, football fans outside of Green Bay might not realize this, but A.J. Green has been outproducing, outperforming Aaron Jones while simultaneously inching closer and closer to a 50-50 backfield split. This season, I have been super impressed and encouraged by Dylan as a running back. He is very explosive. He routinely fights for extra yards. He's getting more involved in the passing game. He possesses all the tools of an elite three-down back. I'm curious to get get your guys take on the situation after I continue on a little bit. The Packers are also in desperate need of playmakers having very little

offensive talent outside of Devante Adams and Aaron Jones, especially at their skill positions over the last six games. Dylan has eclipsed this total in five of six games while averaging 10.1 rushing attempts, 68 and a half combined rushing and receiving yards per game and a very robust 5.9 yards per touch he gets to face a Seahawks defense that is allowing 105 yards per game on the ground and 70.1 receiving yards per game to the running back position that is 175.1 combined rushing and receiving yards to the position that is the second most yards allowed

on a per game basis to the position. I love everything that I've seen out of Dylan. He is forcing the Packers hand to increase his workload. He continues to excel in this Green Bay offense. To me, he's somewhat matchup proof, even at this low of a number. Luckily for us, he's facing a just putrid Seattle defense that has been absolutely shredded by opposing running backs, both on the ground and through the air. It would not surprise me at all. This is one of the last weeks we are treated to a number this low on him. So I'm going to enjoy it while it lasts.

Yeah, you know, just kind of looking into this a little bit here. The last couple of weeks, A.J. Dillon's routes run per game has gone from 19 to 20 to 32 which is really nice um the long down and distance stuff is starting to eat into a little bit of that aaron jones workload as well which i think is interesting to see um and last week too i mean you saw 13 target share for aj dylan just six percent for aaron jones i know it's one game we're still talking about pretty small margins here, but he is definitely eating into that a little bit. So I like that call.

It's a pretty good shout-out here. Yeah, our projections have him at 55 rushing yards alone. Yeah, we're always, to be honest, we're always a little high on A.J. Dillon. Yeah, because we got Paulson doing the projections, and he's a big Packers guy. Yeah, he wears two cheese heads while he does the projections. The only thing that I don't fully

stock it to is some of the Packers projections. Except the Devontae Adams projections. They're always fine. It's an 80 for 110 every week with Rodgers. He's going to get it this week too. So, all right, we're almost done.

Get those – you guys are also been firing off since I mentioned it. Keep it going. We each have one more to go, and then we will address your questions. Continue to drag me in the chat. I appreciate it, Connor. Connor, you are up with your fourth bet. Yeah, my last bet – I think this is the one I did. Zach Pascal, under 40 and a half receiving yards.

I think that, you know, we were on the spot actually a couple weeks ago with T.Y. Hilton coming back, but he got injured mid-game. He only played like 44% of the snaps. Prior to that, Pascal wasn't doing anything. Now we have Hilton coming back, cleared, going to play, and the line is higher. It's at 40 yards. And so I think that now he's going to be behind Pittman and Hilton. And so I figure that in this spot here against, you know,

where they're going to be big, they're big favorites. They might be a skew a little bit run heavy. Like he has to be super efficient or catch a long ball off to hit the over i think on this one so our projections have him at 25 receiving yards i like this down to like 35 to be honest i think 40 is a little bit aggressive man connor's gonna go 4-0 this week i mean these are all four of these are are that's that's the goal all four of these are good plays um i like them a lot yeah the pascal a couple weeks ago we lost by a half yard in the one you're referencing with ty coming back and uh that was that was brutal and then the spot where you think they're 10 and a half point favorites at

home against jacksonville like there should be a very heavy jonathan taylor second half we should not be getting beat by garbage time zach Pascal here. So I'm with you there. This answers a, my next one is answering a question here in the chat as well. I figured it's not my forte. And I thought, why did my toes in the water on quarterback unders? Let's just jump right in to the deep end here. I got Pamela Holmes under 288.5 passing yards. This is minus 111 on MGM.

Yeah, I mean, we know the offensive struggles for the Chiefs. They are well-documented at this point. I just don't think that Travis Kelsey is suddenly washed per se, but he's certainly on the wrong side of it, and there's really no one outside of Tyreek to support this offense each week they're becoming a little bit more predictable and teams have adjusted their 28th and explosive pass rate allowed on the season and Mahomes has gone under this number in six of his last seven games the Raiders have played them tough historically

especially the last couple years they won in Arrowhead last year. And their defense has been a pretty big surprise. They lead the league in pressure rate on first and second down by like a significant margin too. And that's despite being the lowest blitz rate team on early downs. Some stuff from Warren Sharp there. And Gokwe's playing out of his mind. Max Krause is playing awesome. I think they're going to be

able to get some pressure. And the Raiders are also allowing the fifth lowest rate of explosive pass plays on the season. So I think the Chiefs probably turn it around at some point in the season. I just don't think it's this week. 288 is really high. We have him, I think, in the mid 260s here. And yeah, I mean, obviously an under on the homes is not a comfortable watch but again six out of the last seven he has been under this number we would say the same thing if we bet uh against the chiefs on the side and they've covered in four of their last 20 games which is just wild like i mean we we know how sharp these lines are if you just were to stretch this out and distribute it over a course of bets like you're going to figure what 55 45 occasionally it's going to be pretty close to 50

like a 20 game sample of them winning four bats is crazy so uh yeah i think this is a nice underplay on my homes i like it yeah it's it's a little scary but i think that it's for sure he can it's my homes dude he can to 80 at the half. Yeah. I, I like betting unders on shitty guys. You know, that's kind of my, my thing.

And, but to each their own, you know, if this becomes your niche, I'm all for it. Cause I think that there's probably actually more valuable value in betting these guys under. But yeah,

I don't always have the stomach for it. So yeah. We'll see. You know, it was, I thought it was just a bad number and you know, I would joke like we have a stomach for it. So, yeah, good luck. We'll see. You know, it was I thought it was just a bad number. And, you know, we joke like we have a thing here. But like, yeah, I love betting overs.

I love betting good receivers in that 60 range mark to go over. At the same time, I feel like a number there's value on an under. We're going to take the under. We just take the best number where I think there's value. I default to looking for some of those overs. But this number just kind of jumped out because I think this matchup is a little bit dicey for the chiefs and in the division, again, the league's kind of figured them out. Obviously a team in the division is going to be as comfortable as anyone

with them right now. So it's just, we've been waiting and waiting and waiting for them to turn the switch. And I just don't think there's a switch this year. So Alex, I almost bet this one but because i went uh over on dalvin under on feeling over on big mike i didn't want to be overexposed to this game but this one is a great great bet um take us home yeah i know this is a

bit of a noon and special as you cashed this bet last week i figured you were looking at this and this does somewhat uh contradict my cousin's uh fade but i do think uh he can support this guy at this number and it's tyler conklin over 34 and a half receiving yards i saw this at minus 115 on draft kings uh yeah look conklin has recently emerged as the third option in minnesota's passing attack the fourth year veteran has gone over this line in three straight games while averaging four catches and 58 yards. In the process, his role in the offense is growing. He's running more and more passing routes every week. He gets a very tasty matchup against a Chargers defense that has been very generous to enemy tight ends. The Chargers are surrendering 70.5 yards per game to the position that is good for the second highest total in the NFL. Los Angeles could also be without starting free safety this year.

Adderley, who has yet to practice this week, he has been a plus in coverage for the Chargers as well. Yeah, we're also starting to see the Vikings offense air the ball out more than we have in previous seasons, especially with Mike Zimmer as their coach. They rank ninth in passing attempts. Kirk Cousins is certainly not afraid to check the ball down to his tight end if that's what the defense is giving him. Yeah, I've been impressed by Conklin.

He passes the eye test. I felt like he was going to take advantage of an opportunity as soon as it presented itself to him. That is exactly what we're witnessing. He's quickly becoming a security blanket over the middle of a field for a quarterback who is often reluctant to take shots down the field. Yeah, I expected this number to take shots down the field. Yeah, I expected this number to be somewhere in the low 40s. So yeah, I absolutely love it at over 34 and a half yards. Chargers 31st in DVOA against the tight end position, giving up 68.3 yards per game

to tight ends. Absolutely great spot for Conklin. And I think you're right. I think you could be on the under on cousins and we're dealing with a 32 yard threshold here. Very much. Both of those things can happen. So we're not talking about the, you know, a Justin Jefferson over and a cousin's under. So I think that makes a ton of sense. So, all right, everyone, we answered some of the quick Twitter questions that we had. So then we can start to roll through some of the stuff that you have there. Continue to put them in here, and we can get to it.

You guys are awesome. People's props section. Here we go. Yeah, we were late because of Connor. It's always Connor's fault. Just kidding. Connor was on time today. Oh, I'm sorry.

I became poop stars. That's what it is. Thoughts on George Kittle receiving. George Kittle is a good receiver. I think I think obviously probably neutral to negative game scripts against the Rams.

I don't have the number off the top of my head. We haven't projected for 70 and a half yards. No, if anyone had the number, let me pull it up here. I'm looking. Yeah. I mean, obviously nice game last week, coming back in limited fashion and falling out a little bit

looking at like 57 and a half I mean seems low yeah it's a pretty good margin there let me see yeah 50 it was a 51 and a half on FanDuel really 57 on Caesars and DraftKings 51 51 on fanduel we have 70 projected so so 51 on fanduel is actually a really nice number yeah i think that's actually a pretty good bet um yeah i don't mind that at all actually 51 and a half is a little low it should probably be like 60 yeah he looked healthy last week too i think it was reported he was going to be on a pitch count heading into the game he ended up playing i think close to a full complement of snaps as well he looked very spry very healthy obviously finished with a really impressive stat line i think he had over 100

yards and a touchdown versus the cardinals so yeah i haven't heard any reports that he suffered any setbacks in practice as far as his health is concerned. So, yeah, I would definitely like that at 50.5. Yeah, that's pretty nice here. Rams to beat the Niners. Sure. Numbers four. Three and a half, my favorites, right? Yeah, three, four.

Yeah, okay. I would think so maybe, but that's the Wednesday show. Join us on Wednesdays. We get a little bit more granular there. Although this week we didn't do that. So follow me on Twitter. We'll have a win bet video breaking that one down. I haven't got into the weeds on the Niners and Rams yet.

Under 22 and a half completions, minus 128. That's a very vague question. I assume you probably put that in there, Gabriel, when we were talking about someone. So if you're still watching, we'll circle back, and you can let us know who you're talking about. Alex, we did this. Heineken, under 22.5 completions.

Over, yeah. Over, I'm sorry, 22.5. That makes sense. I mean, negative game script we're talking about. We see what our projections there is. 22.8. That's tough. not a bettable edge per se see what do our what's the prop explorer tool like how often is he hitting something like that um we're looking at yeah i mean he's like uh 50 basically so. Not enough of an edge.

I would leave that one alone, unless you see something that we don't hear. I know the Sharp group played it, but for me, I think it's Olds and Coast. Patrick wants to know about Tim Patrick. Over 36.5 receiving yards in this matchup against the Eagles. I get it. I think it's probably a better day for Judy and Patrick, since you probably see Darius Slay, who's been balling out this year, on Cortland Sutton.

Alex, do you have a lean on that? I don't. That's actually the first time I'm seeing the number. It is interesting, though, watching Patrick. I think, obviously, he's somewhat miscast when he's asked to be the first or second pass-c in the with the broncos when we see him more as an ancillary role though he seems to be really taking advantage um of those situations yeah i've been impressed by him recently especially since judy has returned i think he's

led the broncos two games in a row and receiving yards if if I'm not mistaken. Is that correct? But, yeah, that seems like an attainable number versus a secondary that does defend the deep ball well, though. So, yeah, I do think it's somewhat of a difficult matchup for him. Don't have a strong take on it one way or the other, though. Our projection is at 45.5, so we're a lean over. Again, that's coming on 2.8 receptions. So we're talking about a good amount of variance with the way that Patrick's used down the field.

So I'll take that with a grain of salt. Javon, let's ride, baby. Mahomes under 290.5. Love it. Let's get it. Ryan wants to know about CPAT over 42.5 receiving yards. We should have just bet CPAT at like $100 and rolled over your money every single week, and you'd be like a millionaire by now, I think.

For real, dude. He's been unbelievable. Yeah, and this spot against with his usage, he's almost like a 95% player at this point, too, because you see he's running. He's basically hard to classify as a running back versus a receiver i was trying to do some stuff we were talking about in our discord this week like the cowboys have been decent against pass catching running backs but like how do you classify c-pad especially without uh you know calvin ridley in the lineup so uh you can always sell me on on c-pad i know producer sal has been on that every single week.

Let's see. The real question is, will we hear or see Alex's cat plus 100? Yes. Minus 125? No. I haven't heard it yet. Yeah. Live odds are probably close to even at this point. We'll see. We'll see. A lot of show left.

Matt Ryan, over 24 and a half completions. I mean, I was shocked at what they did last week against the Saints. They also had a 0% success rate on the grounds, which is impressive to go on the road in the division and win with a 0% success rate. I think it's hard to think that he's going to be that efficient again. But again, they are eight, nine-point dogs on the road. I think there's a lot of recency bias there,

thinking about what happened with the last thing we saw from the Cowboys and the last thing we saw from the Falcons. Either of you have a lean on Ryan over? I like his yard somewhat. I do think it's interesting. I know we're not talking large sample sizes here, but with the absence of Calvin Ridley, somewhat. I do think it's interesting. I know we're not talking large sample sizes here, but with the absence of Calvin Ridley, and I think this often happens with a lot of star players, Ryan just seems more comfortable in the flow of the offense, not having to force feed

a particular player, just taking what's available to him. Again, this is not a large sample size, and it's based on limited data. But yeah, without Ridley in the lineup, I feel like this offense kind of just breathes and functions a little more efficiently. He's able to spread the ball around, not have to worry about someone getting, you know, eight to 12 targets per game. So yeah, I think Brian's playing really well. I like his yards this week. Yeah, the completions, I think, is somewhat efficient, somewhat of a high line. But, yeah, I've been bullish and encouraged by Ryan's performances recently, with Ridley out of the lineup in particular.

That was a great spot for Kyle Pitts. I wanted the number to be lower. Dallas is dead last in DVOA against the tight end position. He dropped like a 60-yard in the first couple of minutes of that game last week. He catches that, you know, we're not even talking,

his number is probably in the seventies. Cause he goes for a hundred plus there. So I wish his number wasn't like the mid sixties, but yeah, I think that this is a pretty decent matchup for them. And obviously he can help carry Ryan over some of these thresholds as well. Javon wants to know Najeeee under 93.5 rushing yards.

Good matchup, obviously, at home against the Lions. Our projections are under. We have him at 89. It's really 3.5 yards per carry over and over again with Najee in this offensive line. It is a good matchup, and he could get volume, which could be a problem, but do either of you have a lean on nage at 93 and a half rushing yards i'd be worried about him getting 22 to 24 carries um in a matchup especially without uh juju no chase clay pool uh there's really just

not a lot of viable options for pittsburgh We talked about that when we went over Friar Moose play. I'm expecting a very, very heavy workload. Yeah, I know that the line hasn't been great, but yeah, I just would be concerned about him getting there on an inefficient line. Yeah, just receiving a ton of volume. So I personally wouldn't have the stomach for it. I mean, the last time that we saw this Lions team, they were getting trounced at home by a bad Eagles team

who literally just ran the ball the entire game. And so I think we're probably going to see a lot of the same here. It's not apples to apples in terms of the offensive line, but I mean, the Steelers are a much better team. Yeah. I didn't talk about this

because I don't even know if it's out there. I haven't checked it. But for some reason, points bet left a DeAndre Swift total yards prop on the board. I went to get it on DraftKings as soon as I heard Jamal Williams was out. It was 95.5. I tried to bet it, and it got blocked. It got pulled right away. I went on a points bet. It was 10 yards lighter. It was 85.5 yards a points bet it was 10 yards lighter it was 85 and a half yards of points about with better juice uh it stayed up there for about another half an hour

they moved it a little bit but it had still been up there like 90 and change i don't know if they're still leaving it up there but like we had we had swift projected for like 98 yards before the williams news and we had williams projected for 43 98 yards before the Williams news. And we had Williams projected for 43 total yards. So like speaking of that game, if that Swift number is still up there on points, but if you're listening, uh,

take that, I would take it anywhere. I take the over anywhere over a hundred yards. Um, if the number's under a hundred, like that's a really nice number. Rumor has it. There are some sharp people in the industry that think the lions are going to win this game i don't want to out those people but um yeah i think that's a strong

play considering again last thing we saw uh was them losing by 38 at home to the eagles but again maybe they had a terrific bye week and uh there's some magic juju going on there i'm off i'm off sorry i'm gonna cut you off i'm often finding that points bet has a lot of inefficient lines. And, yeah, I noticed earlier that Adrian Peterson was 37.5 rushing yards on points bet, and he was 33.5 on every single other book. So, yeah, that seems to be a reoccurring theme. You can find some really plus EV spots and really good value on points bet. They just do their own thing, and then they don't move yardage totals a lot.

They, like, juice them, which is very strange, until they just, like, don't know what to do with it. So it'll be, like, you know, whatever the line was, like, an hour ago, but, like, minus 200 if it gets steamed one way, which is very odd. That's what the Peterson line was. It was, like, minus 143 one side and then minus 115 the other. It just didn't move javon this is the right way to go after the pittsburgh game dionte over 72 and a half

i gave dionte the week off from the show um he's been a regular uh contributor here yeah dude i mean he's gonna see 40 of the targets against a terrible Lions secondary with no Chase Claypool, like Deontay, for sure. He can get this in the first half and absolutely, absolutely crush. Patrick, Tyler Higbee, under 39.5 receiving yards. Obviously, again, I have not dug into that game yet. Let me get a number here, what we have. Our Higbee number is,

wait for it, 40 on the dot. So not a lot of value there for me on Higbee. I'm guessing you guys feel the same. Yeah. Yeah. I do know San Francisco fairly certain covers tight ends very well. It will be interesting to see the target distribution with OBJ.

I don't expect him to obviously have a large role or target share in the offense, especially his first week. But, yeah, I think that's an interesting spot that could potentially be okay. Yeah, ninth in DVOA against the position for the Niners, giving up 36 yards per game of the position. Dak under 25.5 completions. We have him a tad over, but I get why you can get here. They have been leaning run heavy in the games prior to Dak going down

with an injury in a spot where we think they could bounce back here against the Falcons, could lean run heavy even more in the second half. Do either of you have a lean? The matchup is good. That's the only issue, though. It's like if they were anyone competent, like a lean under. But for me, it's probably stay away. Yeah, if Atlanta keeps up in the game or can keep the game competitive,

yeah, I feel like there's multiple ranges of outcomes as far as the game script is concerned, different ways that it can go that could impact that line. So to me, I can see Dallas possibly trouncing the Falcons. I could also see the Falcons being competitive. So this is kind of a game I've stayed away from a little bit, just not really having a strong read on what Dallas team we're going to see. They've kind of been a little bit Jekyll and Hyde this season. But, yeah, don't have a strong take on it.

Matthias, would you play Thielen under 62.5? Yeah, and it's probably in the range still. I'm not going to go much lower than that. I don't know where that number has moved to. But yeah, I mean, we're getting a little close. Our projection, I think, is like a tick over 59. So 62 and a half, yeah, but we're getting close to the threshold. I played that, by the way, as well.

I'm also playing that. I'm seconding it. I like your analysis on it. Let's go. I played us under five and a half catches, actually, prior to coming on here. GF Sports Trading wants to know, what will happen first in the show? Alex's cap plus 120

or Ryan mentioning lookahead lines at minus 140. Oh, man. Putting you on blast. That's our boy Grant from UK who also changed his name to Sleep Stars. Yeah, he changed his name to Sleep Stars in our Discord. After the last week's incident.

It was so good. His Abby is perfect too his avi is you dead asleep on the show which is fantastic I went to tag him in our discord

and I typed in like Grant Grant like UK something like that and then I'm like oh it's sleep stars and I had to like

add sleep stars and then tag him so good you know what Grant in this space you know you get sometimes you gotta find little niches

to you know brand yourself and you know differentiate and not a lot of folks out there grinding look aheads and Sometimes you got to find little niches to brand yourself and differentiate. And not a lot of folks out there, grinding lookaheads. And I'm grinding lookaheads. Dude, it's buttered because no one likes his lookaheads except for him. That's actually not true.

People love your lookaheads. People love them. Rahul, sorry. Rahul is the only one who likes it. Rahul does. And check the traffic numbers on that article. That article does it very, very, very well. So that's all I'm going to say.

Imagine not wanting the best of the number. I mean, I don't even know where this conversation ends. You guys caping up for the worst of the number. Knock yourself out. Everyone just bet size and totals on Sunday morning. DM me what game do I like. And then don't DM me after you lose because your number is three points bad. So, man, you guys.

Zach, you're the man. Great show. We appreciate it. Thanks for hanging out with us. Ryan wants to know about A.J. Dillon at 53.5 on DK. Awesome. A.J. Dillon's at 53 and a half rushing and receiving yep combined i'm guessing let's see here yep 53 and a half i just thought

awesome it's even better alex is so damn good he doesn't even need the best of the number okay uh cat asthma yeah no cat asthma feature on the show yet but uh again we got about 10 15 minutes left so uh don't cross it out jerry judy over four and a half receptions minus 158 i like judy in the spot minus 158 is rich um connor any thoughts on that and then alex yeah just in general like i don't like to bet juiced up overs um just because a lot can go wrong i I mean, just a lot. There's so many outsides to the under, so betting that much of juice on an over. I think an under I'm more inclined to do if you really think the number's off. A guy is like barely playing or something like that.

But, yeah, for me, if you can find, you know, if you really like it that much, you can probably find like a 5.5, a plus 20 somewhere that is worth the sprinkle rather than the 4.5 at minus 150. Yeah, I think Connor summed it up up well i love the spot as well i was actually waiting uh refreshing frequently today hoping that line would open at four and a half and yeah just come in uh not all steamed up but yeah it opened uh minus 150 to begin with so that was uh disappointing but uh yeah i love the spot for Judy. But yeah, similar sentiments towards Connor that juiced up as it is.

There's so many things that could potentially go wrong that yeah, I'd rather play that five and a half plus money. Yeah, that answers this question too. Cole Beasley over four and a half and minus 145. Same premise. I mean, yeah, you can like the spot for Beasley. He was basically an extension of the running game last week. I just got peppered with three yard targets over and over again. So yeah,

I mean, this is a little bit better, but I still don't love it if you don't have to. For what it's worth, we have Beasley at 5.9 receptions and we only have Judy at 5.3. So if you're going to do one of them easily. Easily. Also the thoughts on Delvin over 18 and a half carries. Yeah, we have him at 23.

I think he can get into the mid twenties in this one. I'm not sure what the price is at 18 and a half, but I think that that's probably a pretty good number. Alex, you agree? Yeah, I absolutely love this spot for Delvin. We know Mike Zimmer will happily run the ball uh as much as the defense will give him we've seen this chargers team inviting teams to run just get absolutely gashed by running backs dalvin still one of the most explosive dynamic running

backs in football i expect him to have a massive workload and be the engine for minnesota's offense on sunday so yeah I love that as well. I had it projected, I think, in the low 20s as well, so I think that's a significant edge. You're our engine, Alex. Let's see. He likes Grant, like the Conklin play. Shout out there.

Let's see. Manny Sanders. Manny Sanders is our non-Packers inflated projection guy every week. We love Manny Sanders consistently. Number here, 49.5 minus 114. We have Manny Sanders projected for 60.5 yards. So we feel good about that. Again, 3.4 receptions. The way they're using Mny is in a very deep

down the field kind of way so you're looking at him landing these splash plays again great matchup against a really bad jet secondary uh alex and lean on manny over 49 and a half yeah i'm i'm actually with digs this week um i would lean over on Manny. But yeah, I do think we're going to see potentially Diggs receive double-digit targets in the game. I've been encouraged by his usage. I know the production obviously hasn't been quite what it was last year. He led the league in receiving yards, had a historically great season this year. There's been a decrease in production, but yeah, he's still on pace to have a good season. There's been a slight decrease in his overall target share as well. But yeah, I do

think that when it matters most, Josh Allen still looking his way. He's still the first read in a very high volume passing offense. The Bills are still throwing the ball a ton. And then there's just an excellent matchup versus a jets defense that ranks bottom three and pretty much every single uh defensive passing metric as well so yeah i'm looking at digs i think digs was actually a really good value at 73 and a half yards all right next one we have cory davis under 44 and a half yards um i don't even know his status here we have him for 49 yards if he plays under 44 and a half makes a lot of sense contingent with our mike white under connor any thoughts on that one yeah i looked at this long and hard and uh i think i might play it i mean just do you

think that he draws tradavious white like i do yeah i gave this out actually under 49 and a half uh it moved down. But, yeah, just backing a lot of the stuff that you were saying, Connor, regarding just this Bills secondary, their elite. Mike White is just getting rid of the ball very quickly. Corey Davis is running. He has the deepest A dot of any receiver on the Jets. It requires time for those routes to develop for him to get open. Mike White is getting rid of the ball

very quickly. I think this is a great spot to fade. Corey Davis is likely to be shadowed by Tredavious White as well. Yeah, I might play that. I mean, 45, we lost the rest of the number, but I think it's still probably worth a stab. Yeah, it's probably worth a stab i agree um patterson under 10 and a half carries uh let me see what we have patterson we have 11 so um we have gibson at 12 not a great lean i will say that i guess i don't know what we're at if this is core daryl patter. I think it's Cordero.

I do too. Oh, I thought you were talking about Jarrett. I think under on the Jarrett, Patterson carries a 10 and a half. Mike Davis had a crucial fumble last week in addition to being highly ineffective for the Falcons. I know obviously you can only give Cordero so big of a workload, but yeah, I think we're going to continue to see a shift even in the early down role. I just think Mike Davis has been ineffective. I expect him to be just kind of spelling Cordero at this point.

So yeah, I lean over on that personally. We have Jarrett projected for three and a half. So that's a Jarrett number. Please let us know so we can end this show and I can go bet an irresponsible amount of money. Why is Jarrett's line so high? I don't know. I was looking at the Gibson one like a little bit ago.

I mean, maybe that's just the mindset I was getting into. Are you hanging out in Alex's gardens? I wish, I wish. Jared Patterson. Yeah, under 10.5 carries on Jared Patterson. Stafford under 25.5 completions or under 37.5 attempts. Only one QB over on either of those lines versus San Francisco this year. They lean so pass heavy.

Again, all these Niners Rams questions for us today. Anyone have an initial lean off the top on that one? I'm going to look for projections. Not really. I think you mostly said it. He's gone over 37 and a half 44% of the time. He's gone over 37.5

44% of the time. He's gone under most of the time. We have projected for 36.5. We're right on these numbers. Probably under. We have 25 completions and 36.5 attempts. Not a ton of value

there projection-wise in those numbers. Are we still talking Jarrett Patterson? This is the only show out there. I guarantee you no other prop show is talking about Jarrett Patterson this week. Yeah. And how under 10 and a half carries is an absolute lock.

Five star gold plated play. Connor Allen gave it to you. Jarrett Patterson under 10 and a half. You heard it here first. You heard it here first. You heard it here first. Put him on the board. Take out a second reverse mortgage on your home. Oh, man.

Get a lean on your car and all. Yeah, whatever. Darren Waller, over 5.5 receptions. A good spot against Kansas City defense that has struggled mightily against the tight end position this year they are giving up six and a half receptions per game 65 yards obviously narrow target tree there with the raiders although they you know added to sean jackson uh over the last couple of weeks but uh you can sell me on that. It's a little too high, but anyone have a lean on that? Alex, you like that one a little bit?

Yeah, I would agree with you. I actually hadn't seen it yet, Ryan, but yeah, I think that's obviously a great spot versus a Kansas City defense that has been very generous to the tight end position. Yeah, I think just coming off that first week, seeing that just monster huge target share for Waller, kind of somewhat inflated his numbers, you know, at least for like the following three to four weeks after.

But I do think they've come down, become more efficient recently. But, yeah, I do like that spot at over five and a half reception. I think I'd also look at his yards. I'm curious what that is set up. All right. spot at over five and a half reception i think i'd also look at his yards i'm curious what that is set up all right we have uh dearest johnson over 73 and a half rushing yards i have not seen this yet um that is a good line yeah we've been projected for like 100 over 100 we have over 100 um i think it's the second highest rate on the week projection wise we have them for like 20 and a half carries and like 106 yards or

something like that i think just just dropped on dk there's dk has released a few props during our show here um yeah there's a 73 and a half on caesars and there's a 73 and a half on draft kings fanduel has it at 78 and a half so uh yes that's a huge edge endorsed uh dearns johnson with chubb officially ruled out there. Hunter Renfro over 5.5 receptions. I bet that's kind of where our projection is there. Let me take a look here real quick. Anyone have a lean on that one off the top?

Not really. 5.7. 5.7, yeah. Again, we're kind of right on the number there. Olimidi Zacchius under 24 and a half receiving yards uh yeah i mean gosh you're dealing with such a variance with these secondary receiving options for atlanta uh in the way that zacchius is used sometimes too it could be splash plays i cannot find him he's way down we have him for 33 and a half receiving yards also i would say no but again we're dealing with a sub three reception game here uh alex any leans

on that one no i i agree uh yeah just the way that brian's kind of spreading it out not really having a uh go-to target outside of pits and cordl uh yeah i think it's somewhat of a volatile uh play so don't have a strong lean on it but uh i yeah i think i'd probably actually uh look under or lean under if i had to choose the waller receiving yards number is 68 and a half according to meg here it feels a bit high um you were at 70 so pretty much right on the projection on how to play. Also, last one for Meg, the Sun God, Amon Ross, St. Brown, over 3.5 receiving yards, plus 125. Decent game script.

I don't know who else they're throwing to here. Anyone have a lean on the Sun God? I'm interested to see how josh reynolds fits into uh the offense wouldn't surprise me whatsoever if he ends up leading uh the lions receivers in targets obviously we know that hawk and swift are going to uh have healthy target shares outside of them it could be you any one of Amon or Reynolds, Raymond. So, yeah, I just kind of want to see how Reynolds integrates into that offense. Don't have a strong take on it, though.

Yeah, we have him at 3.7, so I know that's, again, a bettable number per se. There are better numbers on the board. All right, you guys are awesome. Appreciate it. You take us right to the top of the hour here. We have enough time for our man, Sal, who continues to print winners with our prop tool, Bet of the Week.

Again, you can find this prop tool as part of our betting sub, 444.com slash plans. This runs off of our projections, giving you the ability to shop different books. It's really user-friendly. You can customize lines, too, if you have it offshore or something like that. If you want to get value on it, looking at, like, you know, prize picks or something like that, this prop tool is fantastic.

So, Sal, bring us home, buddy. Give us the prop tool bet of the week. All right, Deontay Harris receiving yards over 36.5. Our projection is at 51.8. He's been peppered a little bit more of late. Again, obviously a different game script here now that Kamara is out. They are underdogs here on the road trevor simeon under center alex any interest in uh deontay harris over 36 and a half receiving yeah the

more i think about this i think this actually might have some sneaky value uh yeah kamara's status um unlikely to play uh simeon throwing the ball you know more than obviously jamis was and like you said harris has uh received more volume um recently so yeah i do think and obviously it's obviously a very plus matchup versus a titans team i think that's given up more production to opposing wide receivers than any defense in the nfl so yeah i think this does have some sneaky value i like it what do you think connor yeah i mean i think you guys summed up well. I mean, it didn't really cross my mind, but I think

that it's interesting. As these always are. These are always ones that I'm very off the wall, but Sal would be probably have a better record than I would this year on props, I would say almost certainly according to the prop tools. A lot of Cordero Patterson overs.

Sal rejoining us on the show. One better week from Sal, but, you know, you're just cashing winners at like an 80% clip. Then you just go all in, push all your chips on the table on the one play, and then, you know, double down the next week. He's printing money. Yeah, Sal needs to quit producing, quit his day job, and just take the player prop tool and just put like,

you know, empathy to life savings each week onto it. I mean, he'll be rich in like, you know, four or five weeks. If you're listening to this podcast wise, check it out on YouTube.

You can get a look at the player prop tool. Again, you can customize by state by book, pick the prop that you want to see. Stat wise, you can filter by team. And again, on the far right,

you're allowed to adjust the prop entering in any type of odds or anything that you want to see stat-wise. You can filter by team. And again, on the far right, you're allowed to adjust the prop, entering in any type of odds or anything that you want to see. So great tool. Highly recommend it. Pays for itself in one weekend. Again, 444.com slash plans to check that out. So we appreciate you guys, as always, hanging with us. Again, this is, I know, I'll speak for the two of them.

This is one of our favorite times of the week. So we appreciate you guys hanging out with us, talking shop. Again, don't forget to find PropStars on Twitter at PropStars. You already do. I can find Connor there as well, ConnorAllenNFL. Got some prop articles coming out over at 444.com. Lots of great stuff going on. So Connor and I will be back on Wednesday night to go game by game,

to break down the week 11 slate. And then same time, same bat channel right here next Friday night to do the prop show all over again for week 11. So for Alex and Connor, I'm Ryan. We will see you next week. Yeah. Outro Music