My First Million - #217 - Why Direct-to-Consumer Companies Are Awesome to Own

Episode Date: September 8, 2021

In this episode Shaan (@ShaanVP) and Sam (@theSamParr) debate the merits of owning and operating a direct-to-consumer e-commerce business. Shaan breaks down some of the basic ins-and-outs you should l...ook for with ad spends and purchase multipliers. They also discuss the state of economy and whether or not we are in a bubble (or rather, many bubbles), a new NFT project called Loot, the recent raises of Whoop and Allbirds, and Sam's friends Bitcoin gamble. --------- * Want to be featured in a future episode? Drop your question/comment/criticism/love here: https://www.mfmpod.com/p/hotline/ * Support the pod by spreading the word, become a referrer here: https://refer.fm/million * Have you joined our private Facebook group yet? Go to https://www.facebook.com/groups/ourfirstmillion and join thousands of other entrepreneurs and founders scheming up ideas. * The Everything Bubble: https://blog.ftx.com/blog/the-everything-bubble/ --------- Show notes: * (2:06) Back to school * (2:39) A psychedelic story * (10:23) The story that lead to a breathwork app * (17:40) An event better than SoulCycle * (19:32) The ranch retreat for deeper connections * (26:32) The 2018 Bitcoin gamble * (32:06) The Everything Bubble * (40:35) Loot - 10 words of gibberish * (42:40) Thoughts on Whoop's recent round & Allbirds S-1 * (47:58) Why DTC companies are awesome * (56:31) Shaan's award show

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 If you got into Ethereum early on in the crowd sale and you bet on that thing at 30 cents because you're a developer and you really believed in this new programmable blockchain, you deserve your tens of millions of dollars. You deserve your hundred million dollars. If you're rich because you bought like a picture of a rock, you know, three months ago or, you know, a computer generated squiggle that's now worth a quarter million dollars, fuck you. I feel like I can rule the world.
Starting point is 00:00:31 I know I could be what I. I want to. I put my all in it like no days off. On the road, let's travel, never looking back. I'm looking at my phone. I just got a text message because my three nieces went back to the, went to, you know, first day of school today. And I was talking to one of them this morning.
Starting point is 00:00:49 And I go, Ellie, how are you feeling? First day ever going to a school. And she goes, I go, how are you feeling in one word? She goes, my heart is going fast. I was like, oh, I melted. I'm melted. Your uncle is a puddle on the ground now. He cannot function anymore. So that's awesome. Shout out to Ellie for her first day school. Hopefully it's going well. That's awesome. That's a great one.
Starting point is 00:01:14 Can I start by telling you a quick story that I don't think I've ever told you, but I think you'll get a kick out of. So about this is the Bitcoin one. We'll tell that one soon. But about three years ago, I, so I talk about this all the time. so I don't want to like rub it or like continue talking about this shit because it gets boring. But basically I don't do any drugs. I don't drink. I'm pretty straight lace. I've been straight lace for eight years. I don't do anything.
Starting point is 00:01:40 I'm fearful of anything. But I was getting really curious about psychedelics. So like mushrooms, MDMA therapy, ketamine therapy. I did what a lot of people did. I read the book How to Change Your Mind by Michael Pollan. And I was like, oh, this is great. I'm really interested in this. And so I found a.
Starting point is 00:02:00 person who was going to lead an MDMA therapy like session. And so I went to dinner at her house with my wife came with me and it was like three other couples. And we went to this thing and I was weird. And she wanted to do like a session to get to know people in order to determine if this was a good fit. Because basically what you do is you take a dose of MDMA and then like she talks to you. Is MDMA Molly?
Starting point is 00:02:26 I think so. Yeah. I believe so. It's all. similar at least. I'm not, I really, frankly, don't know, but I think it's like the same thing. And we, uh, smoke it, you eat it, you drink it. You sniff it. What do you do? It's like a pill, it's like a pill. It's a pill. You swallow it. Okay. And we go to this group and I'm in just like the idea of psychedelics for therapy like to like, you know, for veterans, but also people who just want breakthroughs or who have
Starting point is 00:02:54 depression. I'm on board with. I've got friends to do it. I love it. I don't really do, I don't do drugs because I just don't feel comfortable doing it. But I, uh, to like, uh, to like, you know, really wanted to explore it and get and get to know these people and try this out. And I went to this group and they were crazy hippie-dippy, like super hippie-dippy. But mind you, this is in San Francisco and she had a really nice place. And so like we start talking and all of a sudden it gets so hippie-dippy and woo-woo that she's like, you know, like this medicine needs to be free for everyone. And capitalism is just ruining everything. And like, you know, we need to live in a society where we're we can just barter and trade and like this way we can give medicine.
Starting point is 00:03:34 Let me just guess. Sam, triggered. Starts a debate. Triggered so hard. And then we start talking. I'm like in my back of my head, I'm like, well then why am I paying you like $4,000 for this? But you're like, yeah, refund me, right?
Starting point is 00:03:49 Yeah. So we give me my money back. And we start talking and like, this is just sitting in my head. And I'm like, oh, man, I made it. Four grand? This thing was four grand to do. Or $2,500. It was like multiple.
Starting point is 00:04:00 thousands of dollars. I think it was closer to three or four thousand than it was two thousand. I forget the exact amount. You can take a family of four to Disneyland. Get the fast pass. Get the turkey leg. Go get the Mickey Mouse ears and still coming under four grand. That's a real psychedelic experience if you want. Yeah, I look, I agree. It was crazy expensive. But like, I'm trying to be open minded. I wanted to explore this. I just read the book. I was all enthused. But in my head, I'm just sitting there at this dinner with this in the back of my head. And I'm thinking about this. I'm like, oh my God. Like, I can't believe. Like, these people are so bullshit. And then I ask her and I go, what did you use to do for a living?
Starting point is 00:04:35 She used to work at Lehman Brothers. At Lehman Brothers. And now has a venture capital firm on the side. And this whole, and I like, when I heard this, I was like, I started giggling and I was like, well, you do realize that this is like, just ridiculous what you said earlier, right? And I said this at the dinner. I'm like, you know, that's just like crazy. And they are also talking about how this medicine needs to be available for everyone. And they need to help the masses.
Starting point is 00:05:05 And they're like, where are you from? I'm like, I'm from Missouri. And they said, oh, flyover country. And I'm just like, oh, my God. This is the most smug thing ever. So eventually I get into an argument with her at the dinner table. And she was just like, you know, I don't think this is a good fit. And I was like, I agree.
Starting point is 00:05:20 This is not a good fit. I can't do drugs with you. Not a good fit. And so. I can't even do dinner with you. Yeah, I can't even do dinner with you, let alone like get high and talk about my feelings with you. Like, not going to work. This is a horrible fit. And so I just, I had to leave. I got kicked out. Like, I basically got asked to leave. And they're like, Sarah, you're cool.
Starting point is 00:05:39 Yeah. I just wasn't in a good place. And so I got kicked out of the group. I wasn't able to do drugs with them. And that was my experience with psychedelic, that was my only experience with like the psychedelic therapy. But I think that these style, these retreat styles for psychedelic stuff, starting in like 2015, I had friends that would go and do ayahuasca. You know what ayahuasca is? Oh, so I've heard ayahuasca many times. So I know of it. I know kind of what the, why people do it.
Starting point is 00:06:08 You should explain it anyways. But if you said, hey, this is like my Dolly Parton thing. I couldn't pick Dolly Parton out of a lineup. If you said, hey, draw ayahuasca, I'd be like, I draw off some feathers in a, in a bowl of liquid. I don't know what the hell is actually Iowa. I don't think you're far off. Again, I'm total noob here as well, but my friends do it. I believe it's like a powder and you mix it with water and you put it in a bowl and you
Starting point is 00:06:33 like pass around like this thing and you take a drink out of it. And then you stay up all night like doing wild stuff. And like you, a lot of times it makes you throw up. And that's like part of the journey and experience. It's freaking weird. But like, whatever, I'm open to it. And I've been had, I've had friends like start doing this in 2015. Now on Instagram, I am seeing so many of my friends go to South America, go to Mexico,
Starting point is 00:06:55 all talking about like these journeys. I started listening to this health podcast guy. It's the new backpacking through Europe is... 100%. And I like to make fun of it because it's some basic bitch shit. But you want to know what? It's, I'm on board. I'm so on board with this.
Starting point is 00:07:11 I am totally on board with this. And I think that psychedelic retreats, like I've been, I read a Bloomberg article about them and this guy in Jamaica and they charge like, it ranges from $25,000 to $2,500 to $30,000. And they bring you to this like, nice place they get you they give you the the drugs like it's a variety of sometimes it's ayahuasca ketamine um uh what's is it silasylum what's mushrooms um yeah and they like do this therapy stuff i am so on board with this and unfortunately my one experience was horrible but i'm so on board
Starting point is 00:07:44 with this but it wasn't the drugs it was the people it was the people it was the hypocrites that they're trying to get me to take this drug yeah i'm like i like i like can't trust you like you're to tell me like you want to solve you want to like like solve the world's problems and you're going to make fun of me from being from Missouri like that it's like this like this is a bad fit uh you know just tell me I have so many yeah exactly it's like a meeting it's like hi I'm Sam and I'm full of shit all right so so I have a bunch of thoughts about this uh where we begin first shout out to the guy who came to our live podcast show in Austin who is apparently mushroom dealer don't remember his name I remember that showed me some show he loved the brunt let the bruntless
Starting point is 00:08:24 That guy loved to take out his phone and just show pictures of his. He opened up his camera roll, not a single friend or family there. Just different exotic mushrooms in his hand. And they all look the same. They all look the same. He kept showing me different words. I was like, yeah, cool, man. It's like a pile of dirt.
Starting point is 00:08:39 He's never, never done mushrooms. Couldn't, it was like showing me different bottles of wine and I'm sober. Like, yeah, okay, it looks great. It looks fantastic. That one's dark red. Cool. So that's one thing. I just remember that guy.
Starting point is 00:08:54 when you were telling this story. Second, I met this guy who's really interesting. Did I tell you about this guy, Robbie Bent? No. Okay. So this is cool. All right. So this guy, so Robbie Bent, what's his story?
Starting point is 00:09:08 So he's a founder of a, he's a startup founder. He has this idea for, by the way, when I tell stories, I'm pretty sure like at least 40% of them are just, the details are completely wrong. But I always get the essence of the story right. So I'll say that. So, Robbie, if I butcher your story, sorry about that. All right. So I think he had a startup that was like, this was back when cell phone roaming was a big problem.
Starting point is 00:09:30 Like, you would go travel somewhere. And if you, like, turned your phone on for one minute, you, like, spent $1,000. So basically, roaming was a problem. And so he was trying to build this, like, SIM card company for, like, international roaming, like an international SIM card. And it raises, I think, like, $25 million or something like that. And, you know, like pretty soon after that, like, roaming became, like, free or something. Something happened.
Starting point is 00:09:54 The company, like, was pointless at some point. And he's like, oh, shit, okay, what do I do now? Company kind of fails. He's kind of in a funk. He's in a depression. And so I think he was depressed. I think he was using drugs. I'm not sure exactly what he was.
Starting point is 00:10:09 But he's kind of in a low place in life. And his friend is like, you know what? You need to go backpacking through Europe. You need to go to South America and do some ayahuasca, or he decides he's going to do it. So he goes on this ayahuasca trip. And he's like, you know, same story as everybody who goes to Burning Man or South America for ayahuasca. They're like, oh, life-changing best experience. I think if you don't have a good experience, they must just kill you because I've never met anybody who didn't have a life-changing experience.
Starting point is 00:10:35 It's all positive. So he's got this all-positive experience and he meets this person there also doing the trip. And they're, you know, ayahuasca going out together. And this guy's like, hey, he's like, so what do you do? He's like, oh, you know, Robbie's like, I just went through this crazy thing. I'm broke. My company failed. I'm like in the dumps.
Starting point is 00:10:54 And this guy's like, oh, you know, I'm actually creating this crypto venture capital fund. This is five years ago, six years ago now. And he's like, you know, we're raising one of the first funds for crypto to invest in crypto. And, you know, like a lot of these people we invest in, they're like, you know, great engineers or they're, you know, just really into crypto. But they're not great at marketing. And so, like, maybe you could just help out some of my portfolio companies. Like, if you've got nothing else to do, just come hang out with me and let's do this. And by the way, you should check out this thing called Ethereum.
Starting point is 00:11:23 And so he's like, oh, Ethereum, what's that? They had just done its crowd sale. I think Ethereum was like at $6 at the time. So Ethereum today is like $3,500 as of this morning. And so he starts organizing all these like meetups. So he's like, I don't know anything about crypto, but this guy said, get in. This is a lot of energy here. And he followed his gut after the Iwaska trip and was like, you look, I got nothing to lose.
Starting point is 00:11:47 So let me do this. And he starts organizing like basically a hackathons. And then with the hackathons, he gets engineers. And then he tells the engineers, hey, you should go work at these, like, portfolio companies, potentially. So he's, like, kind of creating some value. He's just helping a bunch of people out. And he starts getting really interested in Ethereum because he's like, that's where the most energy is. So he starts organizing, like, all the Ethereum hackathons.
Starting point is 00:12:06 And people are loving it. The Ethereum Foundation reaches out as like, hey, you should come on and be like the first marketing person for Ethereum. So this guy joins the Ethereum project. And he's the first kind of like marketer guy, non-technic. person working on the thing. And he's basically building the community and the passion around it. He's hosting events and things like that. And so he went from like the dumps. He gets into Ethereum like under $10. dollars, Ethereum runs up. And by the way, I was like, I asked him, I was like, did you like, how big did you bet on this?
Starting point is 00:12:37 He's like, well, I had nothing. He's like, but I took every dollar I had. And I put it into Ethereum. He's like, I didn't have much. It's probably like 10 grand or something like that. He's like, I think I borrowed money from like my parents. And I just put it all into Ethereum. And it was like amazing for me.
Starting point is 00:12:52 And so anyways, he makes life changing money. And after a couple years in the crypto scene, he's like, you know what? Crypto's great. I made a bunch of money doing this now. but I'm ready for my next thing. And he's like, goes back to his roots. He's like, that psychedelic, ayahuasca trip was like so meaningful for me. So he in the meantime had been getting into all kinds of like different types of like kind
Starting point is 00:13:13 of therapies. So he was like cold therapy, heat therapy, breath work. All these like kind of like, you know, kind of like these hippie-dippy, like sort of alternative ways to like improve your body. And so when I called him, I met him for the first time. He's on the Zoom. and his background is like this oasis. I'm like, oh, cool background, like, cool background image.
Starting point is 00:13:35 He's like, no, this is like my garage. I built out. And he basically built this in Canada. He built this epic, like wood cabin looking thing. It's got this custom cold plunge he made. It's this 20 person sauna that he created because he hosts events there. It's got all this greenery. It's like a greenhouse.
Starting point is 00:13:52 He's got this musical stuff. And he created basically this experience where you could come. If you wanted to have one of these experiences, You could do hot, cold therapy, and he would take you through an intense cold plus heat. Like, you know, you go back and forth between that, like a like a Banya bath type situation. And then the second thing he did was these like kind of facilitated MDMA type, I don't know what drug it was, but facilitated like psychedelic experiences where they have a doctor on site. And then they do this like group experience together and you're guided through it. Exactly like what you're talking about.
Starting point is 00:14:22 Yeah. And I was like, dude, that's a great idea. I was like, because, you know, I'm a pussy. I don't, like, I kind of want to have a life changing experience. but with no risk, can you, like, give me that? And this is, like, the closest you're going to get, which is, like, doctor supervised in a group of people with people who've done this before. And, like, it's for beginners.
Starting point is 00:14:37 And it's not just go do drugs in this, like, sketchy place. It's like in a nice, beautiful environment with music and control. He's like, yeah, dude, I put this up. Like, I think he put it up on Airbnb as an experience or he put it up on a group on or some shit. I don't know where he put it. We put it somewhere. And he's just, like, booked out.
Starting point is 00:14:53 His little, like, garage is basically booked out like 24-7. And since then, he basically, he's like his next thing or the way he like evolved it. He's like still, he still does the live events. But to scale it up, he created this app called Inward. And so I invested in this thing. It's basically a breathwork app. So I started doing this every morning now. The app's not even like fully out yet.
Starting point is 00:15:16 You just have been doing it? Yeah, because I'm into, I'm into breathwork. I like kind of heard about Wim Hof and dabbled with that. And I went to this Buddhist thing once and like they do chant. which is like a form of like meditation. Yeah, I've done it before too. It's great. And so you should,
Starting point is 00:15:31 I'm going to send you the SoundCloud link. And I had him come in my course. When I taught the writing course, I was like, dude, this thing's amazing. I use this now for my morning routine to like wake me up basically.
Starting point is 00:15:40 So I was like, you know, teaching over Zoom could be the most fucking boring thing. And so I had him come in and do a five minute session for the students at the beginning. And everybody was like hyped out of their mind by the end of it. Also, some people were like, yeah,
Starting point is 00:15:53 I'm like lightheaded. I need to like go sit down. It's like, yeah, But he has this five-minute guiding thing where it's like dope music mixed with a guided breath work session. And in five minutes, he was like waking everyone up. Anyway, so I'm pretty excited about this. And I thought his story was pretty awesome of like his little journey to get here.
Starting point is 00:16:10 So I wanted to share that with you. So let's just keep going. So I went to when I would live in San Francisco, these guys, I met these young guys on, they went to Stanford. Grindr. Yeah. No. They, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they, they. out well. They weren't that young. These guys that went to Stanford, they basically, I found this
Starting point is 00:16:34 thing on Eventbrite where they were doing, like, it was very clear what was happening, which was it was two guys testing a startup idea. And they either got someone to donate them a really big room, or they rented it for a very little amount of money. But I think someone just donated them this room. And one of them was like an enthusiastic person or enthusiast of breathwork. And, and And he, they basically, we all went there and they put this event bright link up. We each paid $30 and 30 of us went there. So, uh, what's 30 times 30? And is that, 900.
Starting point is 00:17:07 Okay. Uh, well, yeah, we don't do public math. And so. Yeah. I take that back. Bleep that out. I don't do public math. Uh, so I went to his, I went to this guy and he, the, the lights were down and
Starting point is 00:17:19 they start playing this music. And like, I went with my coworker. He was like, hey, I found this thing on Eventbrite. Let's go check it out. And we went to his place. And 30. us did breath like a breath work session it was it was ever been to a soul cycle studio i was gonna say yeah it sounds like it's exactly like that and it was the best business ever and they were clearly
Starting point is 00:17:38 i talked to them afterwards he's like yeah we're just testing this out and we might turn it into a business and they didn't do it and they totally should have because it was way better than soul cycle why they had nothing it was just a room a room with lights sound and you're sitting there and they just hit play and the guy guides you a little bit he kind of talks to you And it was awesome. But it works. Like the effect at the end, you walk out with a high. So you've given people an experience.
Starting point is 00:18:04 So we talked about this a while ago with the Simone Biles thing. We made a prediction that next five years, mental fitness, not mental health, mental fitness, which is training your body and your brain to sort of like be able to master your mind a little bit better. And not just avoid disease and illness, but actually be fit mentally. This is going to become more in vogue. I think that this breathwork, I think breathwork is going to be the new meditation. I think that the same way that, you know, Soul Cycle and Barry's Boot Camp and Hot Yoga have become these alternative. You know, we had the gym, which is this kind of cold, sterile, isolated solo, one player experience.
Starting point is 00:18:45 And then you have SoulCycle come in. It's like, no, this is multiplayer. With a leader you just submit to. They just tell you, they just shout and tell you what to do. And they're like, they look heroic on the stage with their body and their voice. their microphone. And then we're going to program you with this music that you can't help feel like you just went to the club. We're going to heat you up so you sweat because that feels good. You're going to feel like you got a workout in. And we're going to guide you through a process.
Starting point is 00:19:08 And whether that process is cycling or it's boxing at Rumble or it's Barry's boot camp and you're running on a treadmill or it's hot yoga and you're trying to touch your toes, this is a model that works. It is an experience that you give somebody who is a feeling. It is a one hour guaranteed high that you get to get to get without the use of drugs. And so I'm pretty convinced that there's going to be a breathwork style version of Barry's boot camp or hot yoga that becomes just as popular as some of those other ones, perhaps even more popular. And I think that the app that he's building is going to be like a calm style app if they execute
Starting point is 00:19:45 well because I think there's a big market for this. These are sort of like ancient techniques. Completely agree. That can be modernized. Another thing that stood out during your story was I, I, I've actually read about this. There's this recurring theme of people I look up to. So Chris Saka, or is it Saka?
Starting point is 00:20:00 Chris Saka. There's this Israeli guy name V-V-V-V-V-V-V. Have you heard of V-V-V-V? V. So his full name is Aviv Nevo. So A-V-I-V-S-N-E-O. So this guy, he's an Israeli guy. He's probably in his 60 now.
Starting point is 00:20:19 60s now. He kind of looks like sting. He's like this like good-looking, like, suave-looking dude who's like in shape. he's probably in his 60s. He came from Israel. His parents were wealthy. They died when he was young, gave him $10 million in inheritance. He used that $10 million to invest in some stuff, ends up becoming the largest shareholder of Time Warner. And now is this like big shot guy who hangs out with like Bono and like he's like a Jay Z like they all looked like he's got like he's got like he's got. He's got like he's got. He's got like he's got. He's like he's got to. He's got to. He's got to look like he's Chris Sack. He's like he's like. He's like, Chris Sack. Another person who this story applies to is this guy named Cowboy Soroni. Cowboy Seroni, Donald Seroni, he's a famous UFC fighter. They all have locations outside of major cities.
Starting point is 00:21:05 So Cowboy Seroni has a place in Denver. This VV guy has a, yeah. Yeah, he's got, and this VV guy has a place right outside of L.A. And Chris Saka had a place in Tahoe, three hours outside of San Francisco. And their competitive advantage in getting into interesting deals is they have like interesting places that aren't necessarily expensive. VV's got his place is expensive. Donald Seroni's at first probably wasn't that expensive. Chris Sackas is not that expensive.
Starting point is 00:21:28 And he gets these founders to come out to his place. He's like, hey, look, I have this cabin out in the woods. You would have come chill and hang out. And he, like, shows them around and gives them this amazing experience. And that's how they, like, end up investing in different stuff. I actually think that strategy is amazing to have a place just to live. You can live a little bit on the outskirts. And, like, everyone comes to you.
Starting point is 00:21:45 They're on your terms. Because that's the best way to, like, get shit done. Is everyone at your house on your terms where you're the boss, they get to know you. I think that's a competitive advantage. I've thought about doing that in either Texas or New York, where I'm staying now, is getting a place that's like two hours outside of the main area. Dude, let's time share it. My first million ranch, I'll go in, I'll invest in it with you. We'll get five other cool people that we like.
Starting point is 00:22:07 And then whoever wants to retreat to the ranch at any given time can. It would totally work. Like, I think it's a really, like a huge competitive advantage, don't you? Well, I think it's cool. I think it's definitely cool. I don't know if it's a competitive advantage in that you can go deep. So there's this idea of like, do you go wide or do you go deep? I would say most people go wide, I go deep in terms of your strategy with people.
Starting point is 00:22:31 So what is wide? Wide means you have a lot of light connections, loose ties, you know, a lot of acquaintances, a lot of friends, but not a lot of friends that you could call when you need something or not a lot of friends who are going to think of you first when they see something awesome. And going deep is the exact opposite. It's having a group of, you know, 10 or less people. that you're like, okay, I don't go to war for you and you would go to war for me. And I think that both of us have more of this deep strategy than wide, where it's like,
Starting point is 00:23:02 we have a handful of people that we just trust implicitly. I could give them my bank account and sleep well at night. And because of that, we can share information. We can say, dude, so like, how do you do this? How much you make doing this? How do I set this up? Like, is this good for me, bad for me? What do you think?
Starting point is 00:23:20 or a deal happens and like this morning. I'm in a deal that's going really well. A startup deal is going really well. And a buddy texted me was just like, hey, like, get me into that. And I was like, okay, I will put as much credibility as I can into this to get you into that deal. And vice versa. If they had something, then then the same. And so I think that the ranch style escape is a great tool for going deep.
Starting point is 00:23:46 So Chris Oka talks about he would, he had the, the founder of Instagram early on. He was like, I think, working out of dog patch labs as his like co-working space. And he invited him up to his Tahoe Cabin to come like work out of there. And I think he like stayed there for like a few weeks, if I remember the story correctly, like living in the guest house or whatever. And then Travis Kalanick when he was starting Uber, the story is, yeah, he came to Tahoe. We spent four nights or three days together.
Starting point is 00:24:13 He was, we were in the hot tub just jamming on what could happen. It's like immersion. By the end of three days at somebody, like you really trust that. person, you like that person. It's so different than a meeting, than a Zoom call and trying to have eight back-to-back Zoom calls. We had, what's her name, Bree Kimmel on the show, and she showed us her calendar, and it was like 30-minute Zoom, then 30-minute Zoom, then 40-minute email follow-up, then 20-minute Zoom, then, and it's like, okay, that's one strategy. I want to basically say, clear the calendar, you know, let's go road-tripping together. Let's go, you know, let's spend a day. Let's go to this
Starting point is 00:24:44 MMA fight together. Let's have unique experiences that are longer, more in depth and that build more trust. And I'd rather do that with a few people than try to do it, try to know everybody. Same. We're the exact same. I find it to be exhausting. You want to do a few topics here? Yeah, let's do it. Which one do you want to do? You drive. Okay. I'll do, let's see. Let's do this. Let's do the, I don't know, you want to tell the story about the consultant. I think that's probably the most interesting one. All right. So I, I, I've not told you about this guy?
Starting point is 00:25:21 I don't think so. It's a pretty memorable story. All right. So I have this friend that I was, I was talking to recently. And I'm going to, I'm trying to be a fair bit vague, but I'm going to try and give as many details as I possibly can. And basically, this person, they had a normal job, a normal high paying job. Like a lot of people listening to this. They were a consultant at a large place, and they lived very frugally, and they were able to save a million dollars by the time that they were in their lower to mid-30s.
Starting point is 00:25:53 And when this happened, this was around four years ago. Bitcoin was priced around $2,500, $3,000 when this happened. And this person is eccentric. They're crazy. Even though, like, they have the normal job and you would talk to them and you think that they're normal, he likes to bet. He just loves gambling, like, in a sense of, like, betting it all. Like, it seems like he's, that's just like in his DNA. He's not afraid.
Starting point is 00:26:18 I think you're a little bit like that. Not as extreme, but definitely have a touch of that. And so, you know, he started talking. He goes, you know, I don't see any good place to invest this money right now. And I'm doing crazy amounts of research. I'm going to go all in on Bitcoin. And this was when it was $3,000, $2,500, we thought it was crazy. So he cashed out his 401k.
Starting point is 00:26:37 He borrowed a little bit of money and he used Cracken or something like Cracken to get massive. amounts of leverage, like five or ten times leverage. And he invested all of his money to the point where he had like $4,000 left of his $1 million, all of it into Bitcoin. And recently, when Bitcoin hit its high, by the way, this was Bitcoin after it had crashed from about $20,000 back down to $3,000. So it's not like it was just all on the up and up. No. And recently, when it got to $60,000, his sum, his one million, it was worth about like $95 million. You talked to him? You caught up with him?
Starting point is 00:27:18 I had a mutual friend was with him and he called me and he goes, man, this guy, like we were talking, you know, I was like, hey, whatever happened to this person? And he goes, well, you know, I caught up with him. He's worth almost about $100 million right now. And it totally worked. And I was like, wait, what? He goes, yeah, he's got $100 million at Bitcoin right now. and started with a million. So did you know him when he was making the bet?
Starting point is 00:27:41 Like, were you there? Yeah. What the hell are you doing? Yeah. And I went out to dinner with him in 2000. When did the, three years ago was what? When did that? So I think I think 2017 or 2018.
Starting point is 00:27:53 I can't remember which one, but there was a peaked at the 2017 December or something like that. And then it crashed back down. We went out to dinner and he was telling me about this. And I was like, you're crazy. You're a crazy person. This is a horrible idea. Just invest in the index fund.
Starting point is 00:28:07 you know, I'm really conservative. And I'm like just invest in index funds. You're nuts. This is a horrible idea. Do not do it. And he was enthused, so enthused, I couldn't talk him out of it. And he was thinking I was crazy. He was like, what are you crazy? This is like, it totally makes sense. And I'm like, it doesn't. This is a horrible idea. Do not do this. And he did it. And so recently, when about four months ago, whenever it was at like 50, 60 grand, it was worth close to a hundred million dollars and I was asking about their lifestyle like not a lot had changed um and it was just or leaving it let me run cashed out a little bit I think like 10 or 20 percent I believe but still letting it ride so now it's halved or I guess it's back up again but and and the point of the story is
Starting point is 00:28:51 basically I am so enthused the point of the story is a dude bet a million dollars and made a hundred million dollars there is a moral but that's the point of the story let's be clear the point is that like I love that part of the story. Crazy people exist. I'm not one of them and I'm happy that they exist. So we just did this episode with Rameet and I align with the Rameet. We're both fairly conservative, just like 10% a year, boring shit. I love that these nuts, these nutty people are real and exist because that's where
Starting point is 00:29:21 progress comes from and I'm happy that they're real. And so that, yeah, I just wanted to tell that quick story because I caught up with them recently. That's an amazing story. So I saw this tweet that was great. And basically what it said was, to be great at investing, just make bets that everybody agrees with. Dot, dot, dot, later. I thought that's so true, which is there's a lot like baked into that, which is that ultimately. Oh, was that by Shane Parrish?
Starting point is 00:29:53 He tweeted something like it and then somebody replied with a simpler version of it. Shane had the original one. I think Sahel, Bloom had the punchier one-liner version of it. And I thought there's so much baked into that, which is you have to remember that if you're going to invest, if everybody agrees it's a great investment, then the price is baked in. Right. So ultimately, if you want to have any kind of outsized return, you have to be betting on something that not everybody is agreeing with you is a good investment. And so I think that's important. I think it's important to know.
Starting point is 00:30:28 And so when you're doing something, that doesn't mean everybody just reviews me. That's going to be a great investment. It's almost the opposite issue. If everybody agrees with me on this, then this probably isn't going to be a great investment. It might be a good or solid investment. It's probably just not going to be – it's almost definitely not going to be a great, great investment. So that's how you kind of use that advice. Yeah, I saw that.
Starting point is 00:30:48 I thought that was good. All right. What do you want to do now? By the way, on this – because the world's crazy. And we're talking about, like, people just making $100 million on random. bets. There's this great blog post that I think everybody should go read. I don't know how they'll link to it because it's weird, maybe put in the show notes. It's called the everything bubble. And it's written by FTX, which is a cryptocurrency exchange. We talked about the guy,
Starting point is 00:31:13 he was our Billy of the Week once, this guy, Sam Bankman-Fried, and who had also made a pretty crazy trade to get the bankroll to be able to do this, to build this exchange. I think he's the youngest crypto billionaire, or he's the youngest, he's the wealthiest known crypto billionaire. I think he's got a net worth of $10 billion. I think something like that. Somehow, that's more than Vitalik. I don't know how that works. But I guess so.
Starting point is 00:31:38 So anyways, he, it's just packed with data. So it basically starts with like bubbles. People talk about bubbles. And it's like, what is a bubble, right? Bubble is when you get this like sort of enthusiasm, delusion, greed. and everybody sort of thinks that everything can only go up. And then, you know, then there's this pullback or a pop. And it talks about, like, the size of pops and how when they happen and how that's played
Starting point is 00:32:04 out through different bubble times and where we might be in this thing. Then it talks about, like, maybe this is a bubble that will never pop, right? Why would that be? And it's basically talks about it goes through all the data around stimulus, right? So it's like $32 trillion of stimulus has happened globally just since COVID, which is the largest stimulus, the world. has ever seen, even in terms of a percentage of global GDP. You know, global banks are printing $834 million per hour to buy bonds right now.
Starting point is 00:32:34 And 25% of those bonds are negative yielding. So it's just like he starts to talk about all these different macro indicators. And there's all these charts and graphs and numbers. And it's very simple. And it basically talks about where are we at, where are we at with stimulus? Where are we at with commodities like copper, aluminum? why are used cars up 45% year over a year. And then it talks about, you know, what's happening in the crypto market and equity market.
Starting point is 00:33:02 I think there's one great quote, which is basically it talks about like risk assets. So traditionally you'd have like a risk asset, which is, let's say, bonds. And bonds are like the safest thing. And so the quote here, I'll just read this out, which is because of the amount of printing, so the quantitative easing, because they call it QE infinity, which is basically, the central bank and the Fed just deciding to print an unstoppable amount of money with no end in sight. So it says because of this, your savings account turned into your checking account. The bond market turned into your savings account.
Starting point is 00:33:36 The equity market turned into the bond market. The venture market turned into the equity market and the crypto market became the new venture market. Basically, like, everything shifted over one unit. So things that were low risk became, everybody seeks higher risk and higher returns because the safe stuff was this sort of negative yielding. And so everything shifted over one notch. And I thought that was a good kind of observation.
Starting point is 00:33:58 So anyways, it's very, you find a blog post that's this high density of like signal to noise. I would go read this. It's called the everything bubble. And so what's your, what's your opinion of, I know that you're texting with me and a few guys earlier, you have some strong opinions. What's your opinion of what's going on with like the NFTs and all the rock, like the, I don't even know.
Starting point is 00:34:21 Yeah, I was joking around. I basically said like, look, okay, if you got into Bitcoin early because you understood the difference between fiat currency and sound money and you were a technologist, you understood cryptography, like props to you, you deserve your tens of millions, hundreds of millions of dollars. If you got into Ethereum early on in the crowd sale and you bet on that thing at 30 cents because you're a developer and you really believed in this new programmable blockchain, you deserve your tens of millions of dollars. You deserve. You deserve. of your $100 million. If you're rich because you bought like a picture of a rock, you know, three months ago or,
Starting point is 00:34:58 you know, a computer generated squiggle that's now worth a quarter million dollars, fuck you. That was my point of view. Like my level of respect and like the level of durability, I think, that comes with these different waves, I might regret this later. It might be that all these people, they just truly understood this intersection of technology, financial markets and art in a way that I don't get. And basically to get rich with Bitcoin early on,
Starting point is 00:35:26 you had to understand like the financial, you had a certain economic understanding of the world and a technical understanding of the world. And you had to be sort of a little, you know, a little libertarian. You had to have those three to bet on it super early on. And for Ethereum, the same thing. You had to have a certain mix of technical plus financial,
Starting point is 00:35:45 like, savabiness. For this, it's basically like art plus finance, plus technology if you're going to get rich during this. And I just feel like, I don't know if it's my Twitter feed or if it's everybody's Twitter feed, but I feel like half the people I know have lost their mind. And I know I sound like that sometimes crypto. So this is just one of them that I don't get. But I really don't see the sustainability of this NFT market.
Starting point is 00:36:11 I think it is like it is built on greater fool theory. This is people that are not buying things because they like the art. They're buying things because they think they're going to get rich. that the next person is going to come in and buy it. I think there's a whole lot of like either, you know, wash trading or painting the tape, which is basically when, when two friends sort of pass something amongst each other in order to drive up the price and then they sell it, you know, and then, you know, the next sucker comes in and buys it, you know, because they think that's the market price. And I think that it could be one person with multiple accounts. It could be,
Starting point is 00:36:41 you know, a handful of people that are manipulating these markets. I don't believe in the NFT craze in the same way that it seems like a lot of people in tech do. I think it's really cool technology. I think there's a lot of cool stuff that's going to happen. But I think people are just diving into every freaking project. And that to me seems misguided. And the crazy returns that they're getting, like I'm the hater, you know, sort of rooting for it to fail because I don't get it. I'm not participating in it. And it just doesn't seem like, it doesn't seem like a true value creation, it just seems like, you know, um, delusion. I completely agree.
Starting point is 00:37:18 I'm freaked out by it. We're on the exact same page. Like that, and by the way, I was going to say, when I, when I say that, like, I will still buy a few NFTs because I'm a, I'm a believer of like, when I have this strong of an emotion, it's a signal to me that that's where I need to go lean in and learn. Now, I don't go crazy with it. I will make small bets. I'll talk to people.
Starting point is 00:37:40 I will be open-minded because I've felt this way many. times before and been wrong. I felt it and I've been right, but I felt it and I've been wrong. And so all I know is that that means there's something really interesting going on. I will still play in that field. I will make small bets. I will meet a bunch of smart people. And if something changes my mind, I'll go make a big bold bet. But I would say like the thing that seems off to me is, you know, it just seems like every third week there's a new crypto project. Like just yesterday, there was this thing called loot. Did you see this? Well, what is that? I don't understand it. Explain to me.
Starting point is 00:38:12 So here's what I know about it. The founder, you know, this guy, Dom Hoffman, he created Vine, and then he created some other shit since Vine. I don't know if he was with H.U. Maybe he was H.U. Maybe he was. He's one of the Vine founders early on. So he just released a new project yesterday called Lute. And so instead of it being like a, you know, a crypto punk, which is like a little 8-bit character or, you know, an ape from Bordiope Yacht Club, which is like a, you know, monkey, a picture of a monkey.
Starting point is 00:38:45 This is a black square with like, I don't know, 10 words of white text that make no sense. It's just gibberish. It's just computer generated gibberish. And that's the whole NFT. And just yesterday you could just, all you had to do was pay the gas fee, which means just pay the processing fee to like mint one. So it came out, Ben saw the tweet. Ben minted one. And I think today it's worth 10 to Eath, which is about $30,000.
Starting point is 00:39:10 This is in one day. No way. He paid, he paid, you know, probably under $100 to mint one of these, just to, just the processing fee. He paid, you know, 50 bucks or whatever, eat the gas price. And then today, I think the floor is like six or six or ten, Heath, which is like, you know, $20,000. For this black square that will say, like, lions, mountain spiking, diagonal line, castle, you know, valorant. You know, it's like, doesn't mean anything, right? And then, and it's like open IP, you can go, like, you can build, like, games on top of it.
Starting point is 00:39:41 This is cool stuff you can do on top of it, but like, it's so hard to wrap my head around like this. And it just feels like every third day, there's like a new one. And this is where I'm like the old guy on the lawn shaking my fist. You know, like you kids don't understand the meaning of hard work. And usually I'm the one laughing at the old guys who are saying that and just saying you don't get it. In this case, I don't get it. Do we want to keep hating on stuff and go to whoop? Yeah, okay.
Starting point is 00:40:09 This is the play. What do you call it? the player hater's ball. This is the player hitters ball episode because I have another one that I can hate on. Let's do let's do whoop first. Yeah so um well you you go ahead go ahead. I'll frame it. Whoop raised $200 million a series F whoop which if you don't know is like a wristband uh like a kind of health tracker fitness tracker thing you wear I have one uh lost the charger so it's dead right now um but it's basically like a little Fitbit you wear and it tracks your sleep, it tracks your exercise.
Starting point is 00:40:43 And it's like, I think that the word on the street with whoop is basically amazing marketing. And product is, it's like, you know, not the most accurate, but who gives a shit? And basically they charge you, you know, some amount for the band. And then there's a monthly subscription, 20, 30 bucks a month or something like that. I think the band, right now the band is free and it's $30 a month. Yeah, if you subscribe for the year or something like that. You have to subscribe in order to use it. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:41:10 So that's whoop. And then same thing, eight sleep, which is a bed that tracks your sleep. And it can kind of, it's thermoregulating, so it can make you cold, hot. I had one. I returned it because I wasn't super impressed by it. They raised $86 million at a $500 million valuation. So what do you, what's, I think I know based on the way you started it. But my, the reason I put it on here, I wanted to know, are you a believer or are you like, you know, where do you bet that these end up?
Starting point is 00:41:38 How much do you believe in these? how much was the whoop valuation? I don't know. I think whoops over a billion dollars is my guess. I don't, I would have to think, I would have to see the numbers. Yep, whoop is $3.6 billion. Ooh.
Starting point is 00:41:53 And also the wonderful kiss of death, SoftBank and then Kevin Durant and other athletes are investing. You know that's called the Sucker Round. It's not called the Series F. It's called the Sucker Round. So the eight sleep thing, check this out. We'll look up right now.
Starting point is 00:42:08 What's Casper's Market Cap right now. So Casper... Between one and three billion dollars is my guess. Let's see. Oh my God. Way worse. Two hundred million dollars. Okay. So Casper has a market cap right now of $200 million. We had the founder of Casper speak at HustleCon. Awesome guy. Great story. Really great business when it was just getting started. It made a million dollars and I think it's first week. They raised prior to going public around $250 million, I think. As of this second, they have a market cap. public of $200 million. So they are worth less than the amount of money that they raised.
Starting point is 00:42:48 0.5x of revenue. 0.5x of revenue. I think that for 8th sleep, and I think that that is a good valuation for Casper. I'm on board with that because it's really hard to do. I think that that is what's going to happen to 8th sleep. Whop, I think is a little bit different because it has subscription revenue. You know, I'll buy. By the way, I think I think,
Starting point is 00:43:10 I think eight sleep is trying to do the same thing. So they don't just sell you the mattress. They sell you the subscription with the mattress. They're like, they want, they think, the bull case is it's Peloton. It's a piece of hardware.
Starting point is 00:43:22 Everybody sleeps. You sleep eight hours a night. You can optimize your sleep. It has some, such good health impacts for you, right? Like, all true.
Starting point is 00:43:29 And, you know, mattress industry is big. So what we're going to do is we're going to sell the best, you know, connected mattress and then we're going to charge you a multi-subscription on top of that. That's my guess. I think they might have,
Starting point is 00:43:39 no, man. I think that's, a really hard argument to make. But, yeah, that's expensive. That's an expensive. The Tesla of Beds says their ad. I, um, so when we first, when we were getting the hustle going, um, this company called
Starting point is 00:43:55 Quib advertised with us. And I used to write these advertorials. I'm not sure if I made this up or if I stole it from somewhere else. That's the toothbrush, right? Yeah. And I wrote that, and I, when we were getting started, I used to write these articles. And I wrote this one article for hint. And the headline was like,
Starting point is 00:44:10 I forget what the headline was, but it was great. And it got like 10 million views, 5 million views, and they spent so much money driving traffic to it. And so if you go to Outbrain and you scroll down and you see these little articles, you see these little articles on the bottom of CNN and it says like a headline, you would see the Hustles article. And I wrote that article. And it was called like, it was like, it was like, it was like, hint. Yeah, it was called like, it had the word sweetie.
Starting point is 00:44:34 Like, sweetie, this is never going to work, said this one Coke executive or something like that. What was it? I'm trying to find it right now. And so I wrote an article like that and it crushed. Then Quip saw it and they're like, that's great. Write one for us. So I wrote one for them and I called them the Tesla of toothbrushes. And that crushed.
Starting point is 00:44:53 And they spent a ton of money driving traffic to them. Now I'm not going to take credit for it. I actually think I did copy it from someone, but I don't remember. Now the Tesla of like bed, the Tesla of shit. It's it crushes it. Do you see the article? What was it called? Dude, why didn't you start a DDC brand?
Starting point is 00:45:09 I feel like every bone in your body was made to build a brand like this. I'll tell you why. So, Allbirds filed to go public today. I was reading through their S1. Here's why I didn't start a D2C. I think it's fun. I think a D2C brand is like the hardest thing that one of the hardest things that you could do in business. It is so challenging.
Starting point is 00:45:32 I looked at the Allbirds S1. Here's why commerce kind of sucks. The more revenue you make, the less money you have. It's such a pain in the ass. Am I wrong about this? Yeah, you're wrong about this. Let me show you something real quick. That's crazy, dude.
Starting point is 00:45:49 I think these D2C companies are such a pain in the ass to run. Can you see this number? Okay, Jay, hang on. There it is. What is that? That's the last 30 days. So your business has made sales in the last 30 days? That's right.
Starting point is 00:46:14 It's not that hard to build these businesses. It's, okay, it's a lot of schlep work. There is a lot of schlep work, right? Like I spent hours yesterday trying to find a for the warehouse, but the electrical and the building doesn't support the battery that we need. And I'm like, where do I get this forklift from? I'm calling forklift providers. Turns out, by the way, great business to be in,
Starting point is 00:46:34 just selling used heavy machinery like forklifts. And there's a lot of room for, like, building aggregator there. but, but yeah, dude, if you have the marketing chops you have, it's like, it's like, where do you plug in that if you're A plus at that skill, and I think you are. Like, your writing skills and your advertorial skills, your marketing skills are so strong. If you had plugged that in on a D to C brand, and by the way, this is we are one year and one month into this business. That's crazy.
Starting point is 00:47:05 And that's in a month doing it basically. So. Okay. Okay. How much cash do you have in the business bank account? A good amount. Yeah, a lot. Why? Because are you buying a shit ton of stuff for November? In December. Yeah, we have a bunch of inventory. Yeah, we do spend a lot on inventory.
Starting point is 00:47:26 But there's, yes, it took cash. So I put in, when I started the business, I put in a good amount of money. So do you have, wow. You don't, wait, and you don't have to say, these numbers, but do you have, do you, or you can, but do you have more money in the business bank account than you started? No. We, so we have a line of credit, basically, that we use. So since then, we basically pulled that out, use the line of credit. But what I'm, I guess the point, yes, but yes, we, you do have to wait some time to be able to pull profits out because while you're scaling, great, this month is profitable. You're going to reinvest that into either
Starting point is 00:48:08 marketing or inventory for the next month. So yes, you are. cash poor for a while. But you do turn the corner. Like this month is a turn the corner type of month where, oh, good. Like, there's actually leftovers after you reinvest everything in growth and all that. And so I think that if you have a good product, if you have a really, truly great product, do you think that you have a great product? We do. We have a great product. Like a truly great product. And so, and so when I think when you have that, you're not just like, is you're not just an arbitrage. You're not just a drop shipper. Just taking some shit. from a, you know, random shit off of Alia Express and sending it to customers and trying to capture
Starting point is 00:48:46 your margin. Like, we spent a lot of time on product development, things like that, to get it right. And we also use the product ourselves. So it's not like, so we have to live with any issues with the product. So I would say you can turn the corner. And also, there's a bunch of different companies that have popped up that lets you float money. So like, let's let's just take a normal D to C business. Here's how it can work.
Starting point is 00:49:09 you can, let's say you rank Facebook ads, you put the Facebook ads on a credit card. Cool. Your Facebook ads should be returning more than 1X, you know, within seven days. How much do you have 30 days? 30, you know, it depends on your product and your brand and all that stuff. But let's say you're returning 1.4X or you might be returning 2.5x, whatever. Different brands do a different amount. You know, if you're doing 3X, you're amazing, you're laughing.
Starting point is 00:49:35 If you're doing 1.5x, you know, you're all right. You're doing okay. So let's say you do that. You're paying back your ad spend in seven days, but you don't pay your credit card for, let's say, 30 days. So all of your marketing spend, you should be paying, it should be paying itself off. You don't need an external investment to do that. Okay, so now you have to deal with inventory. Well, for inventory, you have terms with your supplier, so you don't have to pay for it all up front.
Starting point is 00:50:00 As we get bigger, we get better and better terms with our suppliers. In addition to that, there's all these companies that have popped up like Clearbank or Settle or or whatever, Wave Flyer, different companies that will basically say, cool, for 1% interest, we will front your inventory financing for you. We'll pay all your kind of accounts payable for you. And so 1% is, 1% per month is not cheap, but that basically replaces the need for external investment. And so then by the time you have to pay your bill for your inventory, you've already received it and sold it. And so if you do those two things, you can manage cash flow well. Your ads pay themselves back before your credit card bill is due, and your inventory
Starting point is 00:50:45 pays itself off before your inventory bill is due, and you just pay a small Vig on insurance. So there's a lot out there now to help you scale. And I think these businesses, I think, sell for about 1x revenue, which is, you know, maybe four or five X times even up. And do you think that, what do you think is going to happen with it? Do you think you'll sell it or is this something that you want to run for and own, is this like a family business that you want to own forever? Yeah, I like running it.
Starting point is 00:51:13 So, and I definitely think we can grow it more. So, you know, if we could do this in one year, you know, let's give it four more and let's see where we can take it. I do think that there's like some amazing thing about these companies, which is you probably, if I had a guess, have, I don't know how you quantify it because you have so many projects, but you probably have a skeleton crew, right? Yeah. this doesn't require, there's no office. There's some employees. The biggest thing we have now is we brought the way, you know, we do our own warehouse. But you could also not do that. You
Starting point is 00:51:42 could use a 3PL, you know, pay somebody else basically to do your fulfillment for you. And then you don't have any crew there. So you don't have that headache. So you could do this with a pretty small team of people. There are people doing this with like, like I think, you know, we had, we did an episode with the founder of native deodorant. I think he, I think he, He was the only employee for like the first, I don't remember what it was, maybe $5, $10 million in revenue. Yeah. And then, you know, and then he hired a customer service person, which is basically, you know, you can hire somebody for $6 an hour overseas to answer your customer service emails.
Starting point is 00:52:19 And that's your first hire. And then you might hire another one of those people. Then you might hire somebody for operations to deal with like supply chain. You know, so it depends on kind of like how complicated your business is. But yeah, like you don't need this is, I would say. I think it's probably whatever you had with the hustle, this is probably one-fourth the manpower you need for that. It is cool. Look, I think there's a lot of, I was down on it, but there are a lot of cons. I think there's a lot of pros as well. The cons. It depends what month you catch somebody. You catch them in a month where the Facebook algorithm is not treating people well, and they're crying. The business doesn't work anymore. It's like it went from great. It was a money printer, and now it's a money suck. And there's nothing you could do about it. Facebook just change something.
Starting point is 00:53:01 or there's a pandemic and you can't you can't order anything or shipping containers went from 3,000 a container to $20,000 a container. Okay, now, you know, how does that mess up your margins? And that doesn't mess you up? I mean, all of these things have happened, right? Like all of these, we've had theft. We've had Facebook ad changes. We've had container costs go up.
Starting point is 00:53:22 We've had our stuff sitting on a boat at the port for three weeks and it's just floating there. You know, we've had to go get line of credit. We've had to do a lot of things in this amount of time. But so I would say, that's what I said. There's a lot of schlep work. It's not clean and easy like doing a podcast and just having a bunch of people listen to it and making money. Like, this is a lot easier, a lot more fun.
Starting point is 00:53:43 But those can get bigger. And I guess I don't even remember how I started this. But basically I was just saying, dude, I can't believe you haven't built one of these. It's insane to me, given your skill set. So maybe I will one day. And we'll wrap up in a second. But let me ask you one more question because this is interesting to me. Because, so you've done a social app that is like the most poppy, cute thing ever and had
Starting point is 00:54:05 some, had some mild success. You've also have family that are mega successful in real estate. We have interviewed all types of people. You now have an e-com thing that's like, appears to be potentially a home run. What would you go back now to 10 years prior? You know what you know now. What do you think you would like to do? Hmm. That's a hard question. That's a really, really hard question. Okay, I'll rank, I'll give them, it's like the Oscars. I'll give them some awards. Okay. So, um, most likely to succeed goes to real estate. Congratulations. Come up and get your prize. If I had just said, cool. I'd like to be worth, you know, a few million bucks. By the time I end my 20s, I want to be worth a few million dollars. Maybe, you know, liquid, maybe a couple. couple million on paper. I could have, you know, 10 to 20 million dollar net worth. I could have done that in real estate with pretty much like no luck required, right? Most likely to succeed is real estate because there's no luck required. It's just hard work, blocking and tackling, doing the
Starting point is 00:55:18 things. So that's real estate. But I wouldn't go do it myself. Like if I could go back now, I wouldn't switch paths to that, but I would have told myself, hey, look, here's one option. And the award for absolute worst idea goes to trying to create the next social media app. You know, this required maximum difficulty, highest luck factor, trying to catch lightning in a bottle. And honestly, the prize, okay, it would have been fucking sweet if we had invented Twitter or YouTube. I got to admit. That would be amazing. But I can be just as happy not having done it.
Starting point is 00:55:57 And yeah, I can name all five guys who have done that. So like, you know, that's not the path. Okay. Then if I say, all right, you know, sort of like medium return, this is the mediocre playbook, you know, the sort of mild success playbook, pretty good chance of a pretty good outcome, but kind of a lot of work. And, you know, would I do that? E-commerce is the answer for that one, which is like, e-commerce is one that I think you
Starting point is 00:56:29 can definitely make work if you just keep trying. It's kind of a pain in the ass. And it's never going to be the most fun or the most successful. Right. However, however, e-com of maybe all three of those, I think is the most exciting. The most exciting? No way. Most exciting path would have been running ads and seeing cash. Like that is so exciting. Okay, that that that loop is fun. That I give you that. The feedback loop is instantaneous. and it is monetary. It's not like so reviews. Real estate's not that very like real estate can be kind of fun.
Starting point is 00:57:05 Slow. But I wouldn't call it. It's not like an adrenaline, like a dopamine rush. Right. So, okay. So if I was going to go back and convince myself of anything, it would have just been to say this. Look, you could win in all these different ways. Every flavor works.
Starting point is 00:57:20 Choose the one with the most fun journey. Clorney, yeah, I know this is cliche. But choose the one that's going to be fun before the success comes. basically in that case you win win you have fun while you're doing it because you have fun you keep doing it because you keep doing it you get good at it because you get good at it you eventually win and look all these things as long as they leverage you know either either like physical real estate or the internet the scale is big enough you you don't have enough money you don't need to worry about money ever again and so I would have advised myself to say look there's some
Starting point is 00:57:53 pretty interesting shit going on in these like new waves like genomics you know biotechnology cryptocurrency, just go dive in, become, there's no experts because the things like a year old, go become an expert, meet all the cool people doing it, take a bunch of invest in shit and build in that space, you know, create a podcast talking about that stuff. Like, just do all the things in that space. You know information. So you know podcasting, so media, you know information like courses. And you know crypto, you know investing.
Starting point is 00:58:24 So, I mean, you have a pretty eclectic experience. So I think the, of all of them, I've had the most. most fun doing the podcast, the media thing. And really, it's more of just like, do the thing that doesn't feel like work to you. Do the thing that feels like play to you. All right. So like imagine you already had the money, but you still were going to work on some projects. What would you work on? My answer was, I would want to basically like, I would want to make content based on stuff I'm learning, stuff I think is cool. I think it'd be really fun to have an audience. I find it like energizing. I don't feel, I don't feel like it's work when I have to do the podcast, prepare for the podcast.
Starting point is 00:58:56 and yeah, it keeps me kind of like on my toes because I got to come up with new stuff to talk about, so I got to keep learning. So that's like, that was the most fun path for me. So I would have done that or I would have similarly done this in a domain. Like this is a general podcast. I would have done the same thing, but like in crypto. Like there's these guys that do this podcast called Bankless. Have you seen them? No.
Starting point is 00:59:17 Is it awesome? It's like, yeah, it's cool. I mean, I don't listen regularly, but like, okay, defy is this new thing. It's this new wave. Cryptos is new wave. There's so much to learn about, so much to talk about. So these guys, they went in, they created a podcast called Bankless. And Bankless is basically about.
Starting point is 00:59:33 Great name. Great name. And they just talk every week, they're just like, oh, here's the new shit going on in the world of defy. Here's the new thing to talk about. Here's the ups, the downs of the prices. Because of that, they're building a good community around them. They can make money off sponsorships.
Starting point is 00:59:44 They're seeing a bunch of stuff. If they're smart, they're investing a bunch and getting equity in all those businesses. And eventually they should launch their own branded business in there. Maybe it's an exchange or an ET. or something else with that following. And so that's kind of the playbook I would do given my strengths in what I've seen. But like, yeah, I've tried a bunch of these different things. And that's what I think.
Starting point is 01:00:06 This is good. I think this is, I think maybe we should end here. I think this is a sick episode. I was thoroughly, like, I was enjoying hearing the stories. Hopefully people will enjoy it. What do you think? We got to title this one. This is the play of haters ball.
Starting point is 01:00:21 We will try next time to hate on less stuff. and we will talk about stuff we like more, but that's all right. This is the episode that we hated on everything. Well, I'll pat ourselves on the back here. We don't default to hate most of the time. Like, right? We hate on everything except for ourselves. We compliment ourselves.
Starting point is 01:00:36 We typically are not haters. I think I default to optimism. So do you on most everything. We want it all to work. But, yeah, I feel you. And I completely, I agree with just about everything you said. All right, dope. Okay, I'm going to go eat a steak and a salad and enjoy myself.
Starting point is 01:00:52 All right, that's the pod.

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