My First Million - #223 - Sam & Shaan Bet $500, Ozy Media Scam, Why Google is Dying, and More
Episode Date: October 1, 2021In this episode Sam (@theSamParr) and Shaan (@ShaanVP) discuss the latest news on the unfolding Ozy Media story, discuss why Google might not be a dominant tech giant in ten years, and place a bet on ...whether Shaan can make $10k in a day with a mall Santa scheme. --------- Show notes: * (1:00) How to explain My First Million * (2:53) Why furniture-less design is the new style * (9:46) Shady sh*t of the week: Ozy Media * (19:44) The research power of Newspapers.com * (30:37) Blue-collar side hustle: Mall Santas * (38:46) Sam and Shaan make a $500 bet * (40:40) Royalty-free music and its AI-generated future * (43:04) Why NerdWallet persisted * (53:13) Why big companies shut down products worth $10s of millions * (58:48) Why Google and Facebook employees are soft
Transcript
Discussion (0)
I'm going to do this.
I'm going to hire a Santa.
I'm going to find a foot traffic area and I'm going to make like 10 grand in a day.
No way.
There's no way you're going to be able to pull this off.
I bet you $500.
I feel like I can rule the world.
I know I could be what I want to.
I put my all in it like no days off.
On a road, let's travel, never looking back.
I think should we be doing a like, right now we just roll into the conversation.
Should we be doing a thing where it's like, this is the My First Family podcast.
where we do XYZ.
Because if you're a new person coming on,
the podcast starts with you being like,
we good?
Okay.
So I'm going to tell you a story.
I bought a car and car has a transmission.
You know what a transmission is?
So check this out.
And then you go into the thing.
So should we be educating people on what this is?
Or you think that's true, try hard and just fucking.
No, I think we should.
We did the intros at the end for a while where we recorded them and put them in front.
But how do you, I don't even know how to describe this podcast.
When I meet someone and they ask me what I do for a living, I say, oh, I do this thing.
I also host this podcast called My First Million.
And I'm always embarrassed to say the name.
But then what do you explain the podcast is?
Yeah, I would say like, you know, for people who are, they're kind of like business nerds or their idea junkies.
So they're always, you know, scheming or wondering, you know, what's the business behind this?
How much money does this make?
How much money does this person have?
those types of questions that you're not allowed to say out loud,
this is the place where we talk about those things out loud.
That's kind of my off top of my head description.
And so we brainstorm.
If you want to sit here while we brainstorm business ideas
and break down the economics behind businesses that you've heard of or never heard of,
this is the podcast for you.
Great.
Well, there's our intro.
Another way I'd put it is every other podcast you can listen to if you go into iTunes
is going to be about the past or about the few.
And we tell you something about the present right now.
So past is all interviews about shit you've done.
The future is, you know, guessing about, you know, what the world's going to look like in 20 years.
And what we do is we talk about business opportunities that exist today that you should be
looking, either building, investing in or just knowing about it.
But it's not just business.
For example, I got messages.
Sometimes we talk about health related stuff or we just talk about like things we're doing
with our life.
And I got messages saying people love.
it. For example, right now, I'm staying at my friend's house in Hawaii and I posted a video
on my Twitter. Did you see that video?
Looked sick. I saw it. Okay. It looks sick. But there's something interesting about this
house and what my friend does that I think is amazing. So, he only has one, it's a really
big living room. He's got a huge living room. He's got a very small couch. The rest, he's got
pads, like pillows on the floor. And it's people, it's floor sitting. Like, it's like a
floor sitting scheme.
or like a layout.
And I love it.
Have you ever sat, like,
been to a house where people, like, sit on the floor?
So my sister did this unintentionally.
So my sister, I think I've mentioned,
I should probably talk about her businesses because they're pretty cool.
Yeah.
But she basically does something called in-home, like in-home daycare or preschool.
So she does both.
And so, like, she took over my apartment.
So my parents were like, hey, my parents had a house.
And attached to the house was a two-bedroom condo.
And I was living in that right when I moved to San Francisco.
I lived in that place, like for like a year.
And then I got notice.
I was getting evicted by my parents.
I was like, what?
What's going on?
It's like, oh, yeah, your sister needs the space.
She's starting a business in here.
So like, you know, you got to get the fuck out.
And like, she's going to take over this space.
So where we had the living room, she basically ran a preschool out of that space.
And by the way, you told me the numbers.
It was a really good business.
Oh, it's still a.
great business. So she has three of these now. They're all different. So she's got an outdoor. So
even better, right? So the first genius move was instead of going and renting a commercial space,
she's like, oh, I'll just use like an in-home. I'll do in-home. And okay, why is that good? Well,
you're already paying the mortgage. And what happens is from, you know, 8 a.m. to 4 p.m. during the
day, a part of your home will be used for your preschool, your daycare. And now if you're a
student, so you would think, okay, yeah, that seems pretty small. Like you got, what, 10 kids in
there, no big deal. Well, every kid pays $3,000. So that's $30,000 a month of income coming in.
Now, you have teachers, so you got maybe three teachers there. It ends up being about 40,
40%, I want to say, profit. I might be wrong off top of my head, but it's about 40% profit.
There's another hidden benefit, which is you can write off pretty much everything about your
house and your in-home life because your business runs out of your home. So you basically
pay no taxes. All your life expenses are also being.
business expenses in a way because that couch that you got or that mat, that play mat you bought,
that's all for the school, right? All the toys you bought that your kids also get to play with.
They're for the school. And she also sent her kids to the school. So her own, what she would
normally be paying for daycare, now she was getting, you know, for free because she had her own
school. And so, and then she started, she created an even better one, which was an outdoor only
program. So what's better than using your in-home for, for your space? No space at all.
use the public parks.
And this was great because a whole bunch of parents didn't want their kids indoors all day
and like sitting, you know, kind of like sitting inside.
Well, you're going to do that at home anyways.
Why don't you get out there like a good kid and go play?
Go play with nature.
And so she created nature kids, which is a program in San Francisco.
And it's actually awesome.
It has like the highest reviews.
And there's, I went to the class and basically all the other parents were there.
And I was just kind of talking to the parents.
It's like, oh, yeah, this guy, he started Kiva.
This guy is ex PayPal.
how this guy is, it's like all these like billionaires of San Francisco,
basically sending their kids to this outdoor program.
Wait, so you have three of them now?
So she has, yeah, she has three total programs.
So this could be like a like a seven figure a year business.
Yeah, it is.
Yeah.
So it is, it is that.
And so she has like teachers who, you know, run the day to day.
She's on walkie talkie with them like doing like throughout the day.
And she has like nest cameras in the place.
So she can be like, like, hey,
you know, like, you know, what if she can keep an eye on it, but she's not day to day involved
anymore, which is great. At the beginning, it was her and my mom was like making the food for
the kids, like making tacos and shit. And like now it's all like, you know, all done, done much
better. And they're home. They're floor sitters. So, okay, yeah, so back to the floor sitting
thing. Sorry. So because of that, whenever I would go to my sister's place, her living room,
there was no furniture. There was no TV. There was no nothing like a normal living room.
would have she had done like what you did with your home gym she had just turned the whole floor
into play mats and even better than just the floor sitting because it's just play mats and then
like all the walls had like kind of like kids games and decals and stuff like that but then she had
these like little swings for kids like you know like a rope swing like tarzan just like hanging
from the middle of the room so like things that would occupy the kids but then when I would go hang out there
I'm floor sitting I'm just like stretching while we're hanging out which I would have that's exactly
what I'm doing so so I was getting so fucking.
limber just like hanging out with my sister because why wouldn't I just be stretching and rolling
and just getting done on my body a little bit. And then there's a swing there. So now I'm kind of
like practicing rope climbs like a fireman and shit. And I was like dude, this is like, I don't know what.
Like it's like an ergonomic lifestyle. It's like, you know, there's this whole my lifestyle just
changed into this like mobile Tarzan, you know, one with nature and one with my body.
That's exactly what I'm saying. Every time I'm here. So he's got this like hammock swing coming
down from the ceiling and so you have to like sit in a particular way where you're
stretching and then he's got like these cushions that are only like eight inches above
the ground yeah and you just sit there and it takes a minute to get used to it it is so
much better than sitting on a couch it's so much better it's the best I watched this YouTube
video recently and this guy had this whole like theory it's kind of like a TED talk this guy's got
this video and it's all about how like sitting is like crushing us and basically his whole
thing is basically that you should stand
most of the time and you should stand in a very particular way where you like squeeze your butt.
And so it's like your hips are directly underneath you.
And he's got this whole talk and he like looks at these people who don't sit in normal 90 degree
chairs.
And he shows like what their butt looks like.
And it's like the whatever.
It's like the whole point is he like has all these visuals.
Anyway, I've been floor sitting and it is awesome.
I'm 100% going to stick with this or at least I'm going to try to.
Yeah, it's a total hack.
I should do that.
Like I do love me some couch time.
but I definitely want to have a room that's just pure mats.
And then when I hang out there, work there, just roll around there.
It's just like a different vibe.
And with kids, it's perfect because that's what they naturally want anyways.
And so I'm just going to do that with my giant playroom.
Do you want to talk about Ozzy?
This is amazing.
I got a bunch of topics.
I'm going to save half of them for next time, but we'll do half today.
This is an amazing, amazing story.
The story came out about Aussie media.
And if you missed it, I'm going to give you the rundown.
And then I want, Sam, I want you to react to it.
Yeah, I know all about it.
Okay, so here's what I know and you fill in the gaps.
Okay, so I heard about this because the story breaks in the New York Times.
And they basically say, and they talk about Aussie Media, a company that I never really heard of.
Most people have no idea what it is.
Red flag number one.
So they go, they were, it's a company that's raised $150 million.
And they were on this call with Goldman Sachs.
And Goldman Sachs is ready to invest $40 million of the company.
And they're just sort of doing their final kind of like diligence slash get to know you calls.
And they're one of the selling points that Ozzy was telling Goldman Sachs about like how it's
defensible and how we're like this next gen media company was they were like,
our YouTube videos, which you see, you know, some of our YouTube videos get millions of views,
which is good for news and media company.
It's, you know, YouTube loves us.
The data shows that, you know, YouTube sees that, you know, Gen Z or millennials like love our
content.
So they're big fans of our content.
we're going to be doing much more with YouTube.
So, you know, your investment now, you're investing in this like next gen video company as well.
And so they get on a call.
They're like, why don't we do a call with us, the founders of Ozzie, Goldman, and the executive over at YouTube who runs YouTube originals.
And so they get on the call and they're on a conference call and they're waiting for the YouTube guy emails and says, hey, I'm running a few minutes late, sorry.
And so they're on this video call.
And then the YouTube guy says, hey, guys, I'm sorry.
I'm still stuck in traffic.
do video, can we just switch to a phone call, conference call, sorry for the inconvenience.
And everyone's like, no problem. We switch over to the phone call. And he calls in and he says,
hey, I'm so in such. Let's call him Jeff. I don't know what his name is. I'm Jeff from YouTube.
Yeah, Ozzy is amazing. Our data shows that it just crushes other media companies. They're really
innovative. We plan to feature them and do a whole lot more. It's so great. And the Goldman guys,
they're like, wow, that sounds good.
But, you know, they sort of noticed, like, his voice sounded a little funny,
almost like it was like a voice changer.
And they're like, ah, it's probably nothing.
But, you know, like, just a case.
Let's go ahead and this like double check in our diligence here.
Let's just email the guy from YouTube and just make sure, you know, it's all good.
And they were like, oh, you know, he had emailed us from a Gmail, which is kind of weird,
you know, like the official jeff at gmail.com.
Like, let's just email, let's just go to YouTube themselves and just email him directly.
And so they email and that guy, of course, is like, what the hell?
I've never heard of Aussie media.
No, I was not on a phone call.
What are you talking about?
And so Goldman's like, what the fuck is going on?
And so this basically was, and then they go back to the company and the company's like,
oh my God, yes, we're so sorry.
A lapse in judgment we had, that was my co-founder on the call.
You know, like we're embarrassed.
Sorry, that was just a bad, bad decision.
I don't even know how they could with a straight face back out of that.
they back out of it. And Goldman says, okay, look, we're not going to invest because obviously
shady as fuck. But, you know, we're not going to make a big deal out of it. So, you know,
whatever. So they back out. And this company, if you look into Ozzy, they had made some
pretty big claims. So some other big claims. So 50 million monthly Uniques. They said their email
newsletter had 20 million monthly subscribers, which is like, you know as somebody who had like,
the biggest thing ever. Yeah. 20 million. It'd be unheard of. I think the public number is
Morning Brewis said they had 3 million.
I think you guys are right around that same number.
So to do, you know, 10 times more than that would be like, wow, that's pretty substantial.
Like, that's interesting.
And, oh, you have 50 million Uniques, like on your website.
When I go there, it looks like you have less than a million, according to this data.
50 million monthly Uniques is also like a top 100 or top 200 website.
I mean, it's huge.
So people start looking into it.
And they start looking into all their claims.
So they claim they're like,
we are Amazon Prime's first talk show.
And then you go look into it.
And it's like they used,
it wasn't like Amazon Prime commissioned and paid them for a talk show.
They used something called like direct upload,
which just lets anybody upload their thing into the library.
And then they claimed that they were the first.
And then they were using Amazon's name and all their like kind of like billboards
and ads saying it was Amazon's first.
And Amazon sent them a cease and desist.
And it was like, take our name off your shit.
And he's like,
I stand by our car.
claims, but, you know, of course, we'll take your name off this. And then they claim that they
are the fastest growing talk show on YouTube. And the journalist was like, so how do you know that?
Because, you know, we talked to Social Blade. They measure this kind of thing. They said you're
pretty like average. He's like, well, you know, we're the fastest growing premium talk show that's
YouTube centric, like their own category they made up. And we looked and we couldn't find a faster
growing one. And it's like, oh, so you looked and you couldn't find one. And so you said you
are the best one. And then they look at, if you look at their YouTube videos, they'll have like a million
views, but like less than a hundred comments. So, you know, a little fishy, a little fishy,
you know, what's going on here. And so, and by the way, they had like pretty legit investors.
So Axel Springer, Mark Lazarie, who owns the Milwaukee Bucks, like Steve Jobs's wife, David Drummond,
who's just like, you know, longtime Google exec. They had some pretty legit investors, still have
pretty legit investors. And the funny thing is, after Goldman Sachs walked away and all the
happened? They still raised money.
Still raised another round. And so what did I miss and what's your reaction?
Yeah. So the takeaway here is twofold. The first is we actually talked about this a few weeks,
a week or two ago. We said that you can raise a fair amount of money and pretty much lie.
And most people will not check in on you. Right? Yeah. We said the following.
I'm surprised more people ain't lying because it would be so easy and quite lucrative to do so
when it comes to the thing.
And we said, most people, us included, don't do a ton of diligence.
And even if you do, it's very easy to get away with the basic diligence.
And we're nobody's, right?
We're nobody's.
And then you take these larger funds, larger names.
And they still don't do it.
They all got duped too.
You know what I mean?
So it's like, so there is a systemic problem in a way.
It's a feature and a problem.
The feature is this industry runs on trust.
And the reason you and I can do.
deals on a handshake is because we trust each other. And there's a lot of founders out there who are,
the majority of people are not, are not duplicitous or lying or committing fraud. And so that's
why Silicon Valley can move at a fast pace because we don't have to take three to six months to
diligence every single deal we do. That's why we can move at a fast pace. But the flip side of
that is it does create an opportunity for fraudsters to lie. Which doesn't happen often.
So basically, I believe the founder's name is Carlos Watson.
And Carlos Watson is a very charismatic guy.
I think he was a host or had a TV show or something like that on both PBS and CNN, if I remember correctly.
They started about a year or two before us.
And I remember I recruited people from there.
And I had one woman who worked there who worked for us.
And I would ask them about her, about them.
And basically, they caught my eye because I would use similar web.
And I would notice that they had very little traffic.
And if you go on their website now, the hustle probably actually gets more traffic than they do.
And we don't even...
I compare.
You guys have about 10% more traffic according to that than them.
Yeah, we don't even try to get traffic.
Like, we don't like...
Our business is not web traffic, but their business is web traffic, Ozzy.
Additionally, their website is horrible.
Like, it's one of these sites that looks pretty, but you go to it and you're like,
how the hell do you work this thing?
And like, it's like impossible to figure out what they're, like, as a marketer and an entrepreneur,
I can go to a website.
today and I can look at it. I'm like, oh, the goal is to drive me to this thing. When I see
their thing, I'm like, what are they trying to get me to do? And so I've always had a red flag
about this company because they claimed these huge valuations. They claimed this huge reach.
And I don't know anyone who consumed it. When I was in New York, I used to see buses with their
logos on it. And they're buying all these ads. And media companies don't buy ads. Media companies
sell ads. And you're not buying a bus ad of all ads. And so I used to see.
this and I knew that something weird was happening because it didn't make sense how they made money.
And they constantly had to raise money. And so this was always full of shit to me. I'm a little surprised
Axel Springer invested in it because they're pretty legit. But I'm not surprised that Steve Jobs' wife
invested into it because she invests in a lot of non-profit making stuff. So I'm like, well, she just
gives money to anyone. But yeah, this company, I think, is nonsense. They also claim that they have these
huge festivals. And I've never heard of anyone that went to one of their festivals.
So I have always thought that this company was full of it.
And now there's some proof.
Yeah, yeah.
Funny.
I mean, it's crazy how this stuff goes down.
And then you see people who are.
So there's one, I think Mark Glashry is on the board.
And I think he was, I think they released a statement like, oh, you know, we, you know, a lapse in judgment.
We, we stand by this kind of temporary or momentary kind of like lapse in judgment.
You know, they are making the right steps to correct this.
I don't even think the co-founder was like got fired.
And I think he, I think he's still there.
if I am correct.
Dude,
it's a weird house company.
And they also claim that they're,
you know where they say they're based out of is Palo Alto.
And like you and I have lived here for 10, 15.
Never heard of them,
never met a single employee.
Yeah.
Never met anybody who reads them or shared an article from them.
Also,
not where you would start a media company is Palo Alto.
So,
you know,
just strange all around.
Yeah.
So that's weird.
Can I tell you about a,
can I do one real quick?
Okay.
So have I ever told you?
about newspapers.com.
You told me about this.
And I remember going to it and be like,
oh,
I've never been to it.
Like,
that sounds like a very common word.
And I remember going to it.
You said it was something cool,
but say it again for me because I don't remember in another.
So I believe it was owned by Ancestry.com.
And so Ancestry.com,
it's a website where you can do two things.
You can enter in your DNA or you can enter in your last name.
Like you give them your DNA.
and you do 23 of me shit and they tell you who you're related to.
Or you just do, you enter your name and you could track like, you know,
if you came in through Ellis Island and like who your great grandparents were
based off of Civil War records and all this weird stuff.
And they own, they bought this archive called newspapers.com and it scans every newspaper
they could possibly get a hold of and you could search it.
And I use it for research all the time.
And if you scroll down on our doc, Sean, I actually gave you an example.
So, Dan Gilbert started this company called Quick and Loans.
He owns the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Is that what he owns?
Yeah.
And he's like a big shot in Detroit, whatever.
And he seems like a nice guy.
And I was curious about his background.
And so I used Newspapers.com to learn about his company.
So Quicken Loans originally was called Rock Financial.
And I sent you three examples of why Newspapers.com is incredibly fascinating.
The first, you can read profiles about people.
So Quicken Loans went public, I think, in 1997.
I found an article from 1996, I think.
And you could read that article, and it's a profile on Dan.
And he'll explain, they'll say, Dan Gilbert's office is really funny.
He's got toys everywhere.
And he'll say, well, my, you know, what I'm trying to do is build this fun workplace, you know, whatever.
And so you see like firsthand knowledge as they are building about how their philosophy on business.
And that's incredibly fascinating.
And he'll also say like, yeah, you know, we started the business with $5,000.
of savings and then we scaled this much revenue.
And so you could actually see in real time
how they're describing the business
and where they came from.
The second thing that you can do,
and I do this all the time,
is I find their ads in classified newspapers
where they list jobs.
So I actually listed to one of their job ads.
So how would you do this?
So let's say you're wanting to find this.
Can you search like everywhere Rock Financial's mentioned
or you had to literally go just,
let me check this Sunday and check the job section
and see if they're there.
No.
So what I did was,
I typed in Rock Financial.
I typed in, show me all the newspapers within a radius of Detroit, because I knew
that's where they're based out of.
And then I said, make it between 1995 and 1996.
And then-
And you pay for newspapers.
com?
This is a paid service?
$10 a month.
And then I can see, it says, when you're searching, it says which newspaper it's
from and which section of the newspaper and who the author is.
So I can very quickly see it, but this is a profile.
if this is like just Dan Gilbert giving a quote on the economy or if this is a job ad.
And I read the job ads.
Job ads are actually amazing.
So if you ever want to see what a company is launching, even today, you go to their website
and you click jobs.
And if you see like, oh, wow, YouTube is hiring or I don't know, I'm making this up.
Apple is hiring people who have experience in cars.
Amazing.
They're clearly like going into like.
So that's like a no-brainer.
But it's cool to see.
And also on a lot of job boards or websites, they'll say, you know,
We're Aussie media.
We reach 20 million people a month.
We cover this stuff.
And so you see, like, it'll actually tell you a lot of stats about the company.
They have to, they have to sell themselves, right?
If you're recruiting people.
And by the way, super sneaky move.
Go interview at a competitor's company to find out their data.
Because during the interview process, you'll find out a lot about the company's strategy,
about their numbers, things like that.
And that's one way to get competitive intel.
that I've heard some people do.
Or you can recruit the people who work there knowing that you're not going to hire them.
That's another one.
Well, that one is a little bit harder because you recruit somebody and you put them in a position.
Some people get really, some people are like, oh, yeah, like happy to share.
Nothing that was confidential, but just, you know, here's my point of view on what I think
they care about and what they're roughly the size of this part of their business.
But then some people are like, I can't believe you're asking me to divulge information
about my previous.
Sure.
Yeah, you have to be respectful.
You got to go about in a certain way.
So anyway, newspapers.com, I used it to look at job ads.
And I can see how they described their company back then and like what they were recruiting
for.
Sometimes you could see salary.
And so it actually adds a lot of context around it.
And then finally, I look at ads that they use to get customers.
And so you can see like how they describe themselves, how they got customers, things like
that.
You can see, if you look at job ads, you can see how they're structuring their business.
It's actually an amazing tool.
And so the difference is is that when you read biographies, they'll tell you like a third
person point of view on like analyzing it. When I do it this, when I do it this way, I'm like,
well, here's exactly how they describe themselves. Yeah, it's different because it's moment in time
versus hindsight, right? Biography is always hindsight. Now that we've seen it all play out,
we can connect the dots in this way. But when you just go back to the source material at
that time, when it went to print, this is how it was seen in the moment, which is really useful
because I've done this with tech companies.
You can go read when Twitter launched on TechCrunch.
It's a small blurb.
It's like, oh, this goofy thing called Twitter launch.
It's kind of buzzy at this party, but it kind of has no point.
I'm keeping an eye on it.
It's like, oh, pretty inconspicuous launch for something like that became as influential as Twitter.
You can go see this for, you can go see their original landing pages and their original launch
press and how they position themselves.
You can go read original like launch announcements on Hacker News for Dropbox and other things.
You can go see the five-minute video that Drew Houston put up.
demoing Dropbox and the comments of people being like, dude, no one needs this.
And here we are, you know, $20 billion.
And there's two.
And for the modern stuff, like a Dropbox and Twitter, there's two ways you do that.
The first is when you search on Google, there's right underneath the text bar, you go all the way to the right and you click search tools and you could change the date.
So you change the date.
And so you make it.
So let's say Twitter launched in 2009, you type in Twitter and you take out the E because that's how you remember they spelled it.
and you do like year 2005 to 2010, I forget when they first launch, and you actually see it.
Or you go to webarchive.com or waybackmachine.com, I forget.
Just Google one of those.
And then you can actually see the early landing pages.
So anyway, that's a cool hack that I wanted to show you about.
It's pretty amazing.
By the way, this print ad, I just want to read.
I just put it in my swipe file, but like this ad for them, they go, it says, everybody's
talking mortgage first.
And then there's a quote from a customer says, we found out that the bank's pre-approval
it's just a piece of paper.
With mortgage first, we got a firm commitment and locked in a low rate.
There's no easier way to shop for home.
That's like the print ad headline.
And it's just cool to see the copywriting of these types of products.
It's not the sexiest type of product to sell as a mortgage.
And that's exactly my point.
So here's the point.
When you're starting something, you say to yourself, I want to be like quick in loans.
Or I want to be like, let's say you have a clothing company.
I want to be like Louis Vuitton.
I want to be like Gucci.
And you have to, I want to be like Steve Jobs and Apple.
And you have to remember that it's always on nine out of ten times.
It's not glamorous early on.
And so you can go and look at early Apple products and you're like, oh, wow, they're,
they were shit just like I am.
Like, they were still trying to figure out.
They weren't that great.
And what they said then, like, I can't connect.
Like, it's hard to imagine that this thing became this end thing, right?
That this early ad or this early profile, like, I never would have guessed that.
If you go to RocketMortgage.com now, and it's like, you know, this diverse crew of like white, black, Asian people sitting on beautiful couches.
And it says, Rocket Mortgage is the home loan experience designed for you.
You're one of a kind.
Your mortgage should be too.
Start an application to see what's possible, right?
Like a very different type of ad.
And so if you wanted to be the next them, don't copy what they say now, now that they have a kind of brand equity and that they have a sales force and all these other things.
go copy what they did at the beginning when they had zero brand awareness and they had to
explain what they do quickly to people in a more literal sense rather than these like kind of
like fancy marketing brochures.
Exactly.
That's exactly my point.
And so I think this is incredibly helpful tool, both intellectually because you can get ideas,
but also emotionally.
And you could see that like, oh, wow, they weren't always like kick ass.
They sucked like me.
Or, you know, they were only okay.
Or I never would have predicted that they ended where they start based off with
they started. Right. Okay, I got one for you. Can we switch? Yeah, which one are you going to do?
You got a lot of really good ones. I'm going to give you my blue collar side hustle.
Okay. Great. So this is this is the blue collar side hustle segment for this week, which is basically
a way you can make money, not a ton, but like thousands or tens of thousands of dollars, maybe
$100,000 with just a little bit of sweat and creativity. That's the blue collar side hustle.
Okay, so what is it? So it's, we're about to start October.
And this last quarter of the year is holiday season.
It's the biggest shopping season of the year.
People are ready to spend.
And coming into the holidays, there's one little side hustle that I always thought was interesting.
And I started looking into it.
And it's this business of mall Santas.
So have you ever done this?
You don't have like a little kid.
So you may not have ever done this.
But like last two years since my daughter was born, you know, come Christmas season,
Sony always wants to like go to the, go to the, go to the,
see the Santa and have us take a family photo with the Santa for like the memories with
our like baby sits in Santa's lap take a photo.
Dude, what does, what do you think about it?
Fucking weird.
That is, it's so weird.
Like, why does like this young couple who like, like, if you're an immigrant or you're like,
in your case, you're idiot, like just believe that you got to get this picture with this fat,
old white dude.
Who by the way, barely looks like Santa, right?
So the one I'm going to.
And also, kid cries 100% of the time, right?
Because you put them in a stranger's, a stranger who looks like a monster's lap.
Surrounded by dwarves.
Surrounded by dwarves and other strangers looking at you.
And then you're like, give me a smile.
And they're like, no, I'm crying here.
So, okay, so this little business, so what is this?
So let me just tell you how the current system works and then what you can do.
So a mall Santa will make between $10 and $25,000 in about a $5,000.
in about a five-week sprint here.
And all they do is they go, they buy the outfit for about $300.
And then they get hired by these, like, photo companies.
There's like this one company called Iconic that does this.
Iconic, what they do is they pay, they hire all these malls and they have 300 malls in America that they're partnered with.
And then like, a hundred like babies are us.
No way.
Hey, I need a Santa in Charleston.
You're going to make, you know, you're going to make $20,000 over the next five, six weeks.
They're like a model agency for,
fat white guys. Exactly. So then they send you, they dispatch you. You just go sit there on a chair
for like six hours straight and a kid gets in your lap. You say, oh, ho ho, what do you want for
Christmas? Take a picture. See you later. And you just do that. It takes zero skill. What do they use
them for the rest of the years? Like a diabetes commercial? Like what are you going to do with these guys?
So let me tell you. So, okay, so that's the first part. So then, so they have about 6,000
Santas that they hire just themselves.
They showed that they get into the malls and get prime real estate because they showed the
malls that having a Santa there will drive about a million in incremental revenue because
you get increased foot traffic into the mall because families like us come to the mall
to get the photo done with the Santa.
And you're paying like 50 bucks per photo.
And you're doing a photo, you know, every, I don't know, minute.
And so like you can just add up the cost per hour that are the sort of the revenue per hour
or that iconic or the person hosting this is doing.
So I thought this was kind of cool.
Then I was like, where do these people come from?
And basically there's then a spin-off cottage industry of Santa training and Santa out
costume like businesses.
Oh my God.
So there's like Santa costume businesses, a little e-commerce pop-ups like, you know,
Halloween pop-ups or just selling a certain part of the year.
And it's the boots and the glasses and the beards and the hats and the robes and all that
good stuff.
So you'll end up spending hundreds of dollars just to have one of these outfits.
I own one of these outfits
because we wanted our at-home photos
to also have me in the Santa outfit.
So, you know, Brown Santa sitting next to the tree.
I have a bunch of photos like that from last year.
Dude, your wife is amazing.
This is all her idea.
She's like an Instagram mom, basically,
without the followers.
So all of the work of being an Instagram mom
without any of the influence or money
that we should be getting out of it.
So she does, she really cares about photos.
And so like she wants her memories
and she wants cute photos.
So I have to do all this bullshit.
So, okay, so then what happens?
So there's these schools that will charge you up to $1,000 for Santa training.
And what does that mean?
It's like tells you what to say, tells you how to groom your beard and your hair to look like Nick,
and then helps you get a job as a Santa somewhere.
So that's like a whole little cottage industry.
Now, what do I think you could do with this?
So I think this can be done in a whole bunch of different ways.
So I think you could kind of independently do this in your neighbor.
So we've talked about like, how do you do door to door in neighborhoods?
So I think you could go door to door in any neighborhood and say, hey, tomorrow, Santa's
going to be here.
If you want a Christmas photo, just come to the front of the neighborhood, buy that tree.
You're like, I'm saying up a throne.
This is like a pedophile's dream.
Like Santa meets ice cream, man.
This is weird.
It's not just the kid that goes.
The parents go with you to the thing.
It's incredibly safe.
Safer than a lemonade stand, my friend.
So this is the lemonade stand we do in the winter.
which is you do a pop-up Santa photo thing.
And if you were going door-to-door,
you could go door-to-do dressed as the elves saying that Santa's coming.
All right.
So that's one way of doing this.
The other is you can partner with really any place that has foot traffic.
So whether it's a mall or it's kind of like an outdoor eating area,
it's a farmer's market, it's, you know,
you just need to find foot traffic.
And if you pop yourself down, my estimate is that you're going to be able to make $50 per minute
doing this thing. That might be a little high. Let's just say $30 per minute because people don't
always opt for the big photo pack. So $30 a minute at an hourly rate, bro. Okay, so hourly, that's $1,800 an
hour. And you're going to be there for, let's say, six hours. That's $10,000 a day. You can print
doing this thing. And all your costs are, you know, Pat Santa for, you know, hopefully that's
somebody that's you or somebody you know that you can get to do it. You buy the out for $400.
another $1,000 of props and decorations and the chair and all that stuff,
the photographer might cost you, let's call it $1,000 for the day.
And so that's sort of your cost structure going into this.
I think the rest of it is pretty much free because who's going to really kick out Santa?
Who's iconic?
Iconic is the company that does like photo experiences and stuff like that.
Are they big?
I think they're big because this isn't their main business.
So I think this is like, you know, part of their business.
If someone, okay, so I agree with you that someone could pull this off.
I would be.
I'm just saying, you want to make 20 grand for the holiday season?
That's nice.
A lot of people want 20 grand.
I would be amazed if someone is willing.
You got to have so much courage in order to pull something like that off.
That scares me.
This scares me.
Why?
What scares you about this?
So it's kind of like whenever I think of business ideas, I'm like, anything that involves
eating something, I'm like, ugh, that's a, that's a,
You got like, it's like a big burden, right?
It's like a big burden if you're like, if your product is going to be eaten.
Oh, you mean selling something other people are going to eat?
Yeah, I'm like, well, you can't bullshit that, right?
You got to like, you got to nail that right away.
And then like a tear down, I'm like, well, anything involving children, I'm like, oh my God, like you got to nail that too.
You can't have anything weird going on.
There's no risk here.
It's literally a Santa with the parents standing right there next to you.
and you sit on their knee for one second and take a photo.
It's so low risk.
It's not like a daycare or something like that.
Daycare is up there too.
I mean, this is, I would be very curious if anyone's going to pull this off.
This isn't like you're just going to the street and like break dancing.
Like you're going into the street and like having a kid sit on your knee.
I just think that a...
Dude, I'm going to do this for the...
You know, we were talking about for our YouTube channel doing some little business stunts.
I'm going to do this as one of them with this holiday season.
I'm going to do this.
I'm going to hire a Santa.
I'm going to find a foot traffic area
and I'm going to make like 10 grand in a day.
No way.
There's no way you're going to be able to pull this off.
I bet you $500.
There, $500.
Okay, what part are you down?
Okay, maybe the $10 grand a day is the ambitious part.
No, maybe it's five.
Okay, I'll be very curious to see if you can pull this off.
This would be amazing.
What do you think is going to happen?
What do you think is all the risk is?
There's no risk.
I don't think there's that much risk.
I just think there's a huge amount of fear that I have about doing this.
Anything involving kids?
The risk is Sean gets lazy and decides not to do it.
That's the only risk.
That's the only thing preventing me from successfully doing this.
Well, let's see.
If I was you, if I was white, I would even, I would be saving myself the $1,000
I'm going to have to pay some Santa here to do this because nobody wants me to be the Santa.
So, you know, I'm already working from a disadvantage.
Dude, are there ever black Santas?
That is kind of interesting.
We got, we got, like, are there ever?
I've never seen a non-white Santa at a mall.
I'm sure there is, but yeah, maybe that's the underserved market that I need to go for.
I think people want the classics.
I think with holidays, people throw all the equality out the window and they want the classics.
Wait, do you celebrate?
What religion are you?
Are you anything?
I'm not religious, but I do celebrate fun days like Christmas.
Yeah, I didn't.
But I know you're not religious in terms of like a God, but like a culture.
Like, you know, I'm Catholic.
I was raised Catholic.
But do you do anything?
I celebrate all the fun holidays.
Oh, Die de los Mertos sounds great.
I'm, you know, I'm Hispanic for the day.
Well, let's do that.
Like, I'm any, any culture has a fun holiday.
I'll play.
Why not?
That's awesome.
I'm looking for more days to celebrate.
Yeah, we got a, yeah, once I started, like, meeting my Jewish friends, I started
celebrating Shabbat.
So, uh, we could pick some more holidays.
Yeah, that's great, dude.
I love Shabb.
Give me some more Shabb.
Yeah, it's really good.
Do you want to do this royalty-free music one?
I think this is amazing.
Yeah, okay, so here's the idea.
So I saw this on Product Hunt.
I kind of forgot the name, but there was basically a product that launched yesterday or today,
and it's a AI-generated royalty-free music.
Okay, so for anybody who's ever had to make a commercial or, like, create a video,
or you're an agency or a freelancer,
the music makes your video like 10 times better, but it sucks to have all the
music you know is copyright protected. So you'll put it up on YouTube. It'll get muted or taken down or
DMCA notice. And if you want to use it to sell products or promote your company, you really can't do it.
It's illegal if you use copyright music because you don't have the permissions. And so there's this whole
genre of royalty-free music out there. And there's all these big websites like Pond 5 that exist
that will give you royalty-free, you know, either stock footage, stock photos or stock music.
And this whole like stock industry is pretty big.
And so what I thought was cool here is take a business like Pond 5.
So I don't know if you've ever used Pond 5.
No, no, no, no, no.
I don't know.
So many times in my life.
It's great.
It's like the best place to go if you want like stock music for a thing.
Is it free?
How does it work?
No, you pay, you end up buying the, the music you like.
Like while you're listening to the sample, it'll be like the really good music.
And it'll be like, Pond 5 in the background.
Like just like as a watermark, like every two seconds so that you can't steal the thing.
you have to buy. So here's how I know this company crushes. They raised one round of funding
in 2014. It was a $60 million round, which means they already had a bunch of traction before
then. Since 2014, they haven't reported any other raising of money and I know they're still going
super strong. So that's like, you can sniff that and be like, what's the opposite of Ozzie
media? It's this. It's a company that raises one mega round. It doesn't raise again for the next
seven years. Probably means it's super profitable, just spitting off cash. And they probably
sold, who they'd raise $61 million from, they probably, it was probably they just sold a bunch
of their shares. Yeah, it's probably to get some liquidity because I think they started in 2005 or 2008
or something like that. So it was like many years into the business that they did around.
Nerd wallet, same thing, right? They started, they ended up raising $100 million, never touched
the $100 million dollars. Like their bank account's never been less than $100 million since then.
It's like, these are companies that are lean, mean, and just super profitable.
We should talk about nerd wallet. Do you have Intel and NerdWallet?
You probably have more
your buddies with the guy
I don't have much
We should have them on
I was talking to his
partner and he was saying
he was saying oh yeah
you should have him on and I thought that's a good idea
I heard they were considering going public
or something like that and so he couldn't talk too much
but I don't know if that's the case anymore or not
but when you're about to go public you can't say too much
and so it's hard to get they're not good interviews
well I can tell one
anecdote I
heard, which is just on how they kind of got chartered, how they made it work. So early on with
nerd wallet, what nerd wallet does is it's a blog for like kind of like personal finance. So it just
kind of gives you information you need to know about managing your own finances. And their moneymaker
is that they rank really high for credit card suggestion. So if you say, what credit card should
I get? Nerd wallet's like at the top of the list. And then they'll break down in a pretty objective
way. Here's, you know, the best credit cards, depending on your goals, depending on who you are.
Pick this one.
It's basically nerdwallet.com slash best dash credit dash card.
That page, I think that page likely makes like 80% of the revenue and the entire company exists
to make sure that page shows up number one on Google when you search best credit card.
Right, exactly.
And I think when we say 80% of the revenue, I don't know the revenue.
If I was guessing, I would guess that the revenue is $100 million or more, plus or minus 50%.
Yeah.
Definitely not minus 50%.
Okay, so maybe plus 50%.
So that's pretty impressive, right?
Because when somebody clicks that link to go buy it,
they get an affiliate kickback.
And so they'll get, I don't know what it is,
like $2,000.
It's very lucrative to refer a credit card,
$2,500 or something like that for a credit card referral.
So they make a lot per customer that hits that page.
So early on, because that incentive is so big,
every website in the early web days was just,
like, who's going to give me the highest kickback?
Fantastic. You are my recommended card.
And so it was kind of like, it wasn't objective, right?
They were just, they were in the pocket of the credit card companies and they were just
printing, you know, shitty content to try to get you to click that link to go through
with it.
So credit cards.
Which is how Red Ventures started.
Red Ventures is a company that makes north of a billion dollars a year.
They basically started doing that with both credit cards and DISH TV.
Right, right.
satellite TV. And so, so with these high, high margin, high subscription products, you know,
they'll pay a lot for affiliate. So what Nerdwalt was doing was they were just two dudes
sitting in their room and they would just write blogs, like high quality blogs. They're like,
we're going to write higher quality stuff because these other ones are just kind of content
farms trying to generate clicks. And year after year, they were just like writing these things
and it really wasn't going very far. And it was like, not that impressive. Now, you tell me if I'm
wrong on any of this. It wasn't really, it wasn't taking off. It took basically in the first two
years, there was, I don't think there was a month where they got more than a thousand people visiting
their website. And if you Google NerdWa Hustle Khan, you'll see a talk where he shows their traffic.
Like it was like, you know, it was a shitty, it was horrible. Multiple years of staying the course,
even when the evidence all said, this doesn't work because they trusted their gut and their belief
system that if we put the highest content out, highest quality content out there, eventually
we will get the traffic.
And if we build it, they will come.
And it actually worked.
Right.
So like, you know, there is a counterpoint to every piece of advice.
I would, if there was, if they were a startup doing this right now, I'd be like, guys,
well, two years, no traffic, less than 10 grand a month you're making.
How long have you been in this apartment?
When's the last time you left this building?
Guys, like, look at this company.
They're just shilling out shitty content.
and getting way more traffic and paying for it and just trying to arbitrage,
like, do that.
That's going to work.
That's working.
So, like, do that.
So my advice would have been horrible here because this was a tortoise in the hair
startup story that actually worked.
And so finally, there's a Google update.
Google updates a search engine and it punishes the low quality blogs that went out there
and nerd wallet jumps in the rankings.
And so all of a sudden they go from making, you know, $0 a day to like $7,000 a day
of revenue.
and that's from the traffic that's coming here.
And then a few months later, there's another update,
and it goes to like $70,000 a day.
And they sort of never look back.
They've always been kind of like near the top or at the top
for this kind of thing since then.
So that I thought was pretty remarkable.
And, you know, I could have had that same idea.
I would have never stuck to it the way that those guys did.
And they deserve every dollar they make off this.
Yeah, it's a pretty monster company.
But what about Pond Five?
Okay, so back to Pond Five.
So Pond Five, my research tells you this is quite a big company.
At one point, they reported 60 million a year in revenue.
That was like 10 years ago.
Wait, really?
Yeah, so I'm pretty sure that they're doing $100 million or north of $100 million off
this.
Most stock websites will do $100 million plus, but they get consolidated.
So like, you know, I stock photo and all those things.
They all get owned by the same company.
So anyways, what's the idea here?
Well, Pond 5, they have their value because they have a big library so that when you're
searching for upbeat, energetic music for my commercial, that's 60 seconds long, that doesn't
sound cheesy, I got to find that thing on your website.
And so how do they get this library?
Well, they don't make it themselves.
They let any creator, just like a stock photo site, you upload your content.
And then if someone buys your thing, you get a rev share.
You get 50% rev share.
Well, here's the cool thing about what's happening.
There's been a change where AI has gotten a lot better.
and you can auto-generate music now.
And so what this product was doing was you put your video in and it knows, okay, your video is
one minute and 23 seconds long.
So that's how much music you need.
And it can even look at, in the future, it can even look at, you can mark maybe key markers
on your video.
You say, this is where the climax happens or where my product reveal happens.
Like, I need a beat to like, I need an uptick here, right?
And then it will auto-generate an infinite number of music, amount of music.
music for that that's custom fitted to your video track. And you can just say, I want it to be playful.
I want it to be energetic. I want it to be serious. I want it to be foreboding. I want it to be
mysterious. And then you just say, generate. It'll give you one. You say, next, next, next,
just like Tinder you can swipe through. And they're going to keep 100% of the revenue.
So whatever, whoever does this, I think they're going to have the biggest library pretty much
from day 10 because their neural net will have generated such a vast amount of stock footage or
stock music or stock photos.
So I think they're going to crush the existing stock sites because they're going to
have a hundred times more content.
And then they're going to crush it in terms of economics because they're not going to have
to share any of it with any content creator.
And they're going to keep 100% of it.
So I would love to invest in one of these companies that's doing this, that's got the right
marketing mojo to get this out there because the fundamentals tell me that however big
I stock photo and those guys are, the AI version of it is going to be.
you know, maybe four or five times bigger.
And those today are like multibillion-dollar companies.
I'd imagine, though, the key to this business is not the AI-generated music part.
I would imagine the difficult part here is getting customers because the stock photos
and stock video and stock music in terms of search traffic, it's impossibly challenging.
Like, it's like, I bet you it's almost as hard as credit cards, like best credit card.
So that would be the hard part is how to get customers.
You know, a business is basically like three things.
It's like convincing people to work, or I guess it's four things,
convincing people to work there, convincing someone to give you money
or figuring out how to get capital to do it, making the product and then getting the sale.
This one falls into that fourth bucket where that's the hard part, I would imagine,
is getting people to go to your website consistently for at least cheap enough.
I would simplify it.
I think business is get customers, charge them enough where you get to
keep some profit and keep customers, right?
You've got to do those three things.
And get customers is usually the hardest one.
And it's the hardest one in this case.
So that's why I said the founders that have the right marketing mojo,
that was the key part of what I said,
because you have to have a way that you're going to like get traffic for this.
And over time, I think they will outcompete their old school alternatives
because they're outdated now.
So here's my other half is.
That 50% that goes to creators,
you could maybe spend on acquiring customers.
Exactly.
And you can give away a lot of the content for free initially because of that.
So here's my hack for this.
This is also a hustle.
This is maybe my big co-side hustle.
This is you're a PM at Google or you're a product manager at DuckDuckGo and you're a search engine.
Well, the search engines have one way that they cheat, which is when you search for something,
they can just give you their result as the top result always, right?
That's like Google with their one box thing.
If you just say, hey, what's the best holiday?
They surface the best results in a box, so you don't even need to click and go to a website.
Or if you go to Google Images and you search for icon of this or stock photo or royalty free, whatever,
they could just serve you the Google results for this.
And they have all the AI talent in the world to do this.
And this can become a product line that generates nine figures a year for these companies.
So if you want to, you know, if you're inside one of these big companies,
that's another pitch you can make to your boss.
says, hey, boss, how does this sound? We use our AI talent on something that we're already
getting millions of searches for a year and it will generate, you know, $100 million plus
in revenue within three years. Can I work on that project? And then the answer will be,
yes, and why haven't I promoted you already? Dude, I went, so I've got two stories. I went to a
conference and I met this woman who was, she was part of the crew that managed this. So basically
Google makes 95% of the revenue from one thing, but they're constantly trying to launch all this
other stuff. So they've probably done stuff that you don't even know exists. And they'll
buy stuff and try to run it and make it bigger. Like, one example is Zagat. You remember Zagat?
Yeah, the restaurant reviews, is it right? Yeah, Google owned it. A lot of people don't even know that,
but Google owned it. And I talked to this woman whose job it was to help manage the CEOs of the
projects and decide what's interesting and what's not. And she told me that they,
have some products that would scale to $100 million in revenue and only a couple of years
and they would kill it.
And I was like, why'd you kill it?
And they go, well, two reasons.
One, the people who we get to run them, they're oftentimes paid so much money that they
don't give a shit.
Like, if you're just like running your own startup, you're like, this has to work because
this is where 95% of my net worth is, like, I would be screwed.
Whereas the people who work at Google, they're like, dude, I make so much money each year.
I don't really want this to succeed that much.
I have to work more and still get paid some money.
And so she told me that.
And second, they're like, Google is so big that even though a product makes 100 million plus in
revenue over the course of a few years, which could be worth a couple billion dollars,
it's just not worth it to us.
We just have so much better ways to spend our time.
And I was flabbergasted.
And I knew this other woman who ran this one thing that was doing over 100 million in revenue
and they killed it because they're like, this just isn't big or interesting enough.
And it's just, it's pretty wild to think about that.
Yeah, it's insane.
Actually, I did this when we got acquired by Twitch.
I had in one of the meetings I had with Emmett, I was, who's the CEO, I was talking about like,
oh, yeah, if we, like, this could actually make this much. And I noticed he didn't, like,
react it anyway. Like, when I say something that I think you're going to get excited about,
you don't get excited, I'm like, hey, I thought you would, I thought that would, like,
register for you. It looks like it didn't. Tell me why that didn't. And he was just like,
he was basically like, look, we make this much revenue over here. So to move the needle,
on revenue, you have to be like, the size of the price has to be X.
And like trying to make revenue brings in all this like legal complexity,
business ops, complexity, and like potentially stands in the way of user growth.
And so like we either want something that hits this threshold on revenue or make it free
and just optimize for user growth.
And I was like, oh, okay, so like not interested in like, you know, this kind of like eight
figures plus, you know, of revenue a year.
It's like, no.
And I was like, good enough.
And I didn't take it as about.
I was like, thank you for teaching me that because, yeah, that makes sense.
My startup brain was wired where that's a big number.
But now that I'm about a big company, I need to rewire it as a small number.
Dude, when we sold to HubSpot, we went, we sold in, I forget, like mid to late January.
And so we went into the year 2021 with many, many millions of dollars of advertising revenue booked
and contracts signed and everything.
And this year, we, you know, we would have made many eight figures in.
revenue. And when they sold, when we sold, they go, look, we make this much money. I think
what's not to make a year? Like 1.2 billion a year in revenue and it's growing quick. They're like,
you're a little $20 million. It doesn't really matter to us. We rather you'd not focus on that.
So we gave all the money back. Like we had to call them and we had to be like, hey, this company,
I know that you booked like $500,000 in advertising. Sorry, we can't do it anymore. And we gave it
back and I was heartbroken.
I was like, oh, you're killing me.
And they're right.
I mean, it's smart, but it was crazy to think about that.
Dude, okay, I want you to just don't type.
Hands up, hands in the air.
Guess Google's revenue last quarter?
I would imagine that they do, I don't know, $30, $40 billion a year.
Okay, $34 billion a year.
so let's divide by four and let's just say round number,
$10 billion a quarter.
Good guess.
That's actually what I would have guessed.
They did $61 billion last quarter.
So four times that is what?
240?
We don't do public math.
Yes.
Dude, what?
Unless I'm looking at something that's wrong,
but I'm looking on specific right now.
It came up in the first Google search,
and I was like, no, that can be right.
That's manual, not quarterly.
and then I looked at another place and says it's second quarter revenue of 2021 was $61 billion.
Okay, now, how long have you felt like Google's a juggerna?
Like an absolute juggernaut that's already like peaked.
It's already like at the peak of its powers.
Since the beginning of the internet.
Yeah.
How many years ago did you feel that way?
Like let's just say like at what point in time if I was like, hey, Google's revenue was
already like, you know, just absolutely monstrous, not too much upside left.
Like five years ago, would you have said that?
Yeah, so like in 2015, which was six years ago now, if you told me just to like invest all my money into Google, I'd be like, why would you, why would you, why would you ever want something that's already so big? It's not going to grow that much.
Yeah. So since that day, that same quarter in 2015, this quarter was three and a half times revenue, times more revenue. So it went from 17 billion to 61 billion in that five years spent.
When I think of that, so there's like, I used to be all about Facebook.
I actually think that if you told me, this could be like crazy wrong.
In 10 years, if Facebook and Google are not like, I think they'll exist, but if they're not like the big shots, I actually, I'll be surprised if there's still the big shots.
Would you agree?
So that can mean many things.
Is it like there's the big shot, like Microsoft is still a big shot, but and it was always a big shot.
but like Facebook and Google kind of like took all their shine for like a decade plus.
You know, Microsoft was either flat or kind of declining, but it was still big, but it didn't
have the talent.
It wasn't growing as fast.
Stock's not appreciating as fast.
So is it that where it kind of stagnates or you're like, it's actually going to go down?
I think it's going to go down.
And here's why.
Have you ever met anyone that worked at Google or Facebook?
Yes.
Like they currently work there?
Yes.
I think that Google.
So Google is a.
interesting. Point one is that it kind of succeeds in spite of itself. They basically
invented this one thing that hasn't changed that significantly and it's always been amazing.
Okay? So they kind of have that going, which is good. But the second thing that they have is that
people, I don't think particularly like working there. Like, it's not cool. I think to say you work
at Google is like five years ago saying you worked at Goldman. It's not really that particularly
interesting. And I also think that the people who work there, unlike Goldman, whereas Goldman will
explicitly say we're going to work your fucking we're going to work you down to the bone you're
going to grind and most of you aren't going to work here in five years.
Google's the opposite. They say, we care about you. We do this. We do that.
Can I fold your laundry? Would you like a foot massage while you program, you know, this code right now?
And because they do that, they create entitled babies who protest and get angry when anything
bad happens. For example, I think last year there was this big event and I don't actually know what
happened. I don't know the reason. It could have been justified. Who knows? But they had a walkout.
out. So a lot of the employees just like walked out for the day. And when I saw that, I was like,
oh, this is like the beginning of the end. Because if you think about Google, do they do things
that maybe you could describe as evil or you don't agree with? Definitely yes. But as an employee,
are they overwhelmingly like a soft place to work that you get paid significant amounts of money,
barely have to show up and they pretty much are like, oh, yes, honey, like, do you need anything?
Of course they are. And if people are willing to protest that and walk out, then they're
soft and they're going, they're going to die soon.
That's why I think that.
They're going to die soon.
Rant's gone wrong.
There's like a phrase.
What's it?
It's a hard time, hard times.
No, difficult times make strong men.
Strong men make easy times.
Easy times make soft men.
And that's like what's going on right now at Google.
So that's why I wouldn't be surprised they don't exist.
I had a friend who worked at Facebook and they would send me.
there's an internal Facebook group for employees.
And it's basically just a bitch session where they just vent and bitch about everything
that's happening inside the company.
And he would send me screenshots of what the topic would be.
And it'd be like the most petty, trivial, like, hey, I noticed that the orange juice has moved in the cafeteria.
Like, you know, I like to eat salads.
And when it was by the salad bar, it just really complimented my healthy lifestyle.
And now that it's over by the meat, I feel like I've been.
been vegan for two years.
And now that it's by the meat, it's like a microaggression against my vegan.
It's like, dude, these people were complaining about the dumbest stuff.
And they would have hundreds and hundreds of comments, which means just hours wasted
fighting in the Facebook comments amongst Facebook employees.
And it was everything from the parking garage layout to the milk choices, to the wording
and the email that was sent out.
Dude, listen to the softness of the soft.
So for the longest time, and I think he still does it, but when my wife worked there, he was definitely doing it.
Zuck and Cheryl Sandberg, but I think for sure Zuck, or definitely for sure to suck, it was either every Friday or one Friday a month.
I forget.
Zuck would do in all hands and you could show up in person and you could ask them a question.
And it was mostly empty.
Like, you know, Facebook at the time had 15,000 employees and like 100 people would be there.
And to me, that's crazy, right?
That's like, imagine like going back years and years and like you get to ask Andrew Carnegie or John Rockefeller like any question or Henry Ford like any question.
Like that's, it's like pretty amazing.
I'd be there every Friday.
And I used to tell my wife, I'm like, man, if you keep asking interesting questions, he's going to get to know you.
And he'd be like, you know, Sarah, that's a great idea.
Come and talk to me.
I was like, you got to just be there every time.
And one time I heard this story about this person.
He raised his hand and they're like, yeah, what's your question?
And he goes, look, we have a huge problem at Facebook.
we don't have tampons in the men's restroom.
And it's like, discriminatory.
And Zuck was like, he said, like, is this really what you want to spend your time discussing?
Or can we discuss this at there?
And they're like, like, we have to talk about it.
And he's like, all right, head of HR or how to please come up here and address this.
And I swear, I heard the story that someone asked that during their time with Zuck.
Is that crazy?
I feel like we should end on this.
Just like, Matt, it's like, is that really what you're like, five minutes of silence for like where everything's at in the world.
Just like, is that really what you want to spend your time having a conversation about.
X Google is a better look than current Google.
Totally.
Isn't that amazing?
It's such a stronger signal that you're ex-Google than current Google.
I completely agree.
Do you agree with me?
Do you think that they're going to go down?
No, I think they're kind of juggernauts.
But I do think like every, they become.
become less and less relevant over time.
I think Facebook particularly has done an amazing job fighting off irrelevancy, like tooth
and nail.
I think Zuck knows and therefore, like, he goes to war for it.
But they just have all the, there's the natural like father time is undefeated or whatever.
Like basically over time, there's a natural decline.
And then there's a talent drop off for people that are going to go work there versus go
work at new, exciting, high upside things.
And then there's the like, you know, like.
anti-big tech company backlash where now if there's a new social network that takes off like
Instagram did or like WhatsApp was doing, Facebook can't buy it anymore. So the next one that takes
off, Facebook can't buy. And that will, because of antitrust. And so they're just going to lose
their stranglehold because that was their previous way of like extending their lifespan was to
acquire the next best social thing and bring it into, bring it in house. So that's gone for all
the tech companies. They can't do that anymore. I typically hate discussing big company shit like
Google and Facebook. I find it to be incredibly boring and I'm like, who the fuck cares? Like,
this doesn't actually impact me at all. And I think that takes place or that exists for a lot of
our listeners. So I'll be very curious to hear if they even remotely cared about this discussion.
So let's see what they have to say. Yeah, tweet at us. All right, I'm out of here. We're done.
