My First Million - This Hedge Fund Manager Got Away With Insider Trading… Then Made Billions

Episode Date: October 19, 2023

Episode 509: Shaan Puri (https://twitter.com/ShaanVP) and Sam Parr (https://twitter.com/theSamParr) dive into the white collar crimes of Steve Cohen, the pros and cons of working 100 hours a week, and... how to play the right game as a founder, investor, or asset manager. Want to see more MFM? Subscribe to our YouTube channel here. Want MFM Merch? Check out our store here. Want to see the best clips from MFM? Subscribe to our clips channel here. — Check Out Sam's Stuff: • Hampton - https://www.joinhampton.com/ • Ideation Bootcamp - https://www.ideationbootcamp.co/ • Copy That - https://copythat.com/ Check Out Shaan's Stuff: • Try Shepherd Out - https://www.supportshepherd.com/ • Shaan's Personal Assistant System - http://shaanpuri.com/remoteassistant • Power Writing Course - https://maven.com/generalist/writing • Small Boy Newsletter - https://smallboy.co/ • Daily Newsletter - https://www.shaanpuri.com/ — Show Notes: (0:00) Intro (2:00) Steve Cohen's $19b insider trading empire (12:30) 996 Work Culture (20:00) Sam and Shaan's daily work schedules (24:00) Best Career Advice: Stuff the "Other" column (30:30) Law and Crime acquired for 9-figures (40:00) Tyler Hogge on sardines and tech valuations (44:00) Profit is a hypothesis. Cash is s fact (49:00) Know what game you're paying  (53:00) Inside the weird world of Bryan Johnson — Links: • Black Edge: https://tinyurl.com/j5646dbd • GLG Insights - https://glginsights.com/ • Sapiens - https://www.ynharari.com/book/sapiens-2/ • Abrams Media - https://dan-abrams.com/projects/ • Soap Hub - https://soaphub.com/ • Margin of Safety - https://tinyurl.com/5etkzb7t • Tyler Hogge article - https://tinyurl.com/4wmjnmfm • The Smartest Guys in the Room - https://tinyurl.com/2jec5z23 • Blueprint | Bryan Johnson - https://blueprint.bryanjohnson.co/ Past guests on My First Million include Rob Dyrdek, Hasan Minhaj, Balaji Srinivasan, Jake Paul, Dr. Andrew Huberman, Gary Vee, Lance Armstrong, Sophia Amoruso, Ariel Helwani, Ramit Sethi, Stanley Druckenmiller, Peter Diamandis, Dharmesh Shah, Brian Halligan, Marc Lore, Jason Calacanis, Andrew Wilkinson, Julian Shapiro, Kat Cole, Codie Sanchez, Nader Al-Naji, Steph Smith, Trung Phan, Nick Huber, Anthony Pompliano, Ben Askren, Ramon Van Meer, Brianne Kimmel, Andrew Gazdecki, Scott Belsky, Moiz Ali, Dan Held, Elaine Zelby, Michael Saylor, Ryan Begelman, Jack Butcher, Reed Duchscher, Tai Lopez, Harley Finkelstein, Alexa von Tobel, Noah Kagan, Nick Bare, Greg Isenberg, James Altucher, Randy Hetrick and more. — Other episodes you might enjoy: • #224 Rob Dyrdek - How Tracking Every Second of His Life Took Rob Drydek from 0 to $405M in Exits • #209 Gary Vaynerchuk - Why NFTS Are the Future • #178 Balaji Srinivasan - Balaji on How to Fix the Media, Cloud Cities & Crypto • #169 - How One Man Started 5, Billion Dollar Companies, Dan Gilbert's Empire, & Talking With Warren Buffett • ​​​​#218 - Why You Should Take a Think Week Like Bill Gates • Dave Portnoy vs The World, Extreme Body Monitoring, The Future of Apparel Retail, "How Much is Anthony Pompliano Worth?", and More • How Mr Beast Got 100M Views in Less Than 4 Days, The $25M Chrome Extension, and More

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Sam, what's up, man? I got some good news for you. Great. Click that link I just put in there. It's your lucky day, bro. Here's an article in the Financial Times called The Alpha of Ugliness. And it turns out that being ugly outperforms. They analyzed a bunch of investors and the investors who were conventionally ugly outperformed by 2% I think.
Starting point is 00:00:25 Yeah, I saw that. But here's the problem. I'm a five, I'm five, ten. I'm not ugly enough to be made fun of, but I'm definitely not hot enough to be six foot. To get any advantages. Yeah. So,
Starting point is 00:00:39 that's the issue. Should I get uglier or hotter? I guess uglier. I feel like I can rule the world. I know I could be what I want to. I put my all in it like no days off on. Yeah, when I was in second grade, I really liked this one girl.
Starting point is 00:00:56 And I was like, hey, I want to ask that girl to the, whatever, the dance or something. We had like some party in like third grade. And now that I think about it, that's kind of young to be asking girls, but that's what happened. So I went up to her, or no, my friend went up to her and he was like, hey, Sean likes you. And she goes, Sean's ugly. And then that was third grade. And then I'm still reeling.
Starting point is 00:01:17 I'm 35 now. I'm hoping at 36, I'm off that. But, you know, still recovering, I would say. So Anon, the founder of CB Insights, tweeted this out, I think a week ago. And he does really end-up tweets where he looks at data and stuff. And he had this one thing where he said, I found this data that talks about how good you look and your returns. And a lot of people think that the hotter you are or the taller you are, the better returns you're going to have. Which makes sense.
Starting point is 00:01:46 Taller people get better treatment. And he said, no, it's the opposite. There's a correlation between attractiveness or I guess an opposite. correlation. So between attractiveness and rate of returns for investment managers. Well, yeah, because the investment doesn't know how tall you are. The tall guy probably could raise more money, but not necessarily make more money. Well, and it's, I guess, is it the uglier you are, the harder you've had to work? Yeah, that's what I've been clinging to. That's the story I've been telling myself.
Starting point is 00:02:16 So speaking of hedge funds or investments, let me ask you a question. Okay. Do you know anything about hedge funds? not a lot. Okay. What you need to know is they work really hard, and it's a really intense lifestyle. So you understand that, I'm sure.
Starting point is 00:02:34 If I paid you $10 million a year, if you could earn $10 million a year, would you be a hedge fund? Would you work at a hedge fund as like a portfolio manager? Would you live that lifestyle for $10 million a year? I don't know the lifestyle, but probably not, because I really like my lifestyle, so I would not trade it for a worse lifestyle,
Starting point is 00:02:53 if that makes sense. But like, let's assume, let's assume 10 years ago, would I have made that trade? Yeah, I would have made that trade. And that's what I think they do. I think they make that trade earlier in their career. And then they get, that's what they do. So I'm reading this book about Steve Cohen. Do you know who Steve Cohen is?
Starting point is 00:03:07 He owns sports teams. And he's like one of the most successful hedge fund guys. And I think Billions is based off of him, right? Roughly. Yeah. So Bobby Oxerad is off him. But basically Steve Cohen, he started as a, he's basically a day trader. a glorified day trader.
Starting point is 00:03:25 That's how he made his first couple billion. He worked at like almost like a billion dollars day trading? Yeah. That's not the best explanation, but basically, it's day trading on steroids. So it's kind of like calling like a bodybuilder like, oh, you like to exercise. But it was basically his own money or he was at a fun? It started with his own. So, well, he started as a kid.
Starting point is 00:03:48 23 years old. He worked at like something that looked like the Wulfle Wall Street style setup where it was, like a dingy. In the beginning of Wolf Wall Street, he's selling petty stocks at like a garage, basically in a small, like 30-person operation. He kind of started at a thing like this. The story is, and they interviewed his boss in this book, they're like, dude, on this first day of work, he came and he goes, if I was you, I would do that and make that trade. And the boss was like, who do you think you are telling me what to do in your first day of work? And Steve was like, that's, I'm telling you, that's going to work. Within a few hours, it made $8,000
Starting point is 00:04:18 of profit. After two years, he was making $100,000 in profit a day for the firm. And it was like a day trading firm where they basically in the 80s, it wasn't quite popular to do day trading. It was more so hold something for a long period of time. Pick stocks based off the businesses. He's so good because he's a savant because he figures out some arbitrage and he's exploiting that. Why is he making $100,000 a day? So at first, he claimed it was intuition, which I believe. He claims that he's bad at math, which is uncommon for a lot of these folks.
Starting point is 00:04:50 But he claims he's bad at math and it was intuition. He said, I would just look at the ticker. It was at the time, it was a physical ticker that would be on the board and it would like change stock prices. And he was like, I would just find these weird arbitrages. And it was, he, he would short stocks based off of like, this just changed by $1. I think it should be 50 cents higher. I'm going to buy it and sell it within a few hours. It's incredibly challenging reading this book to figure out exactly how he did this.
Starting point is 00:05:14 That's so frustrating as an answer, by the way. It's like, you know, that's like my idiot friend from college who's looking at the roulette wheel. and it's like, guys, it's got to be red. It's been black four times in a row, and I'm like, that's not how this works. That's very frustrating. If that's the answer of how this guy became, you know, a billionaire is good old gut.
Starting point is 00:05:34 I just don't know. I don't believe that. That sounds crazy to me. It's very frustrating. Like he looked at the ticker like Rain Man and just figured out which direction things are going to go. Well, I tweeted out about it. And Martin Screlli, who worked in the hedge fund world,
Starting point is 00:05:46 has been replying to my tweets. And he's like, yeah, it does seem like intuition-based, more so intuition-based, like when you're playing blackjack or poker, you know roughly the odds as you're going really quickly. The problem with Steve Cohen is he's never done a wonderful job of explaining exactly how he did it. However, at the age of like 32, he started his own fund. He had $10 million of his own money. And that's way he started SAC. That's what his firm was called. And he hired a bunch of people and he gave him like crazy commissions where you could earn 30% of the profits you made the firm. And by the time he's
Starting point is 00:06:18 like 42, SAC, which is mostly his own money. accumulates like $10 billion. However, after the first like $600 million, then it's all, not all, but it's a lot of insider trading. And they would do crazy shit. Like they would fly to conferences, take the conference speaker out to dinner at a conference where they're like talking about like different drugs that might become legal based off of different trials that they're currently running. They basically bribe these guys to give them information like this trial's going really bad actually. So he got in trouble for this or, or no? Because he's, I'm looking at up. Steve Cohen net worth 19.8 billion and appears to be a free man.
Starting point is 00:06:54 So yeah. So here's the here's here's the rub. He does get in trouble for it. But after he's worth already probably five or ten billion dollars, he's, they do it very quietly. He's been very quiet for years, building, accumulating about a billion dollars. The old whoopsie do later, huh? Then he gets in trouble and you want to know something.
Starting point is 00:07:13 He completely gets away with it. He gets convicted and he gets in trouble. SAC has to shut down technically, although now it just becomes his family. office. A year later, he starts another firm called 0.72. The guy, he did not get in trouble at all. Clearly broke the law many, many, many, many times. However, as I'm reading this book, I'm reading about the lifestyle of what it's like. It is seven days a week, 12 hours a day, more than 12 hours a day. Before you do the lifestyle thing, I want to read Martin's reply to you. So you were like, this guy, Steve Cohen, fascinating. What I don't understand, you know, he's basically became
Starting point is 00:07:46 worth over $100 million as a day trader on steroids. It says he followed his intuition as bad at What does that mean? It's a great question. So here's what Martin says. I studied Cohen for a good part of my life, and I think these were the key components. As a trader, he has an unbelievably capacious memory for stocks. Capacious. Wow, that's a word.
Starting point is 00:08:04 I love that. I don't quite know what it means, but you'll see me sprinkling that around for the next three days. I guess it means good. We'll just say good. Good or spacious, one of the two. Yeah. So for any given stock, he literally knows what is the situation and controversy. This is a little bit like how it impresses some people that Kramer knows most of the stocks he's asked about.
Starting point is 00:08:24 They are similar animals. Number two, he is unwavering on discipline and portfolio slash firm structure. With leverage and a diversified group of portfolio managers, the net result for investors is incredible. Other firms like Millennium and Citadelville have figured this out too. Cohen is also a very smart business person, which most traders are not. He can attract impressive talent because he speaks the trader's language, whereas other similar firms don't have active traders managing the company. I think it's a competitive advantage. The style has been somewhat effectively replicated by his competitors, however, and the arbitrage has all but vanished in U.S. public equities.
Starting point is 00:08:57 Yeah. So that's still not the best answer, right? That's a very, that answer doesn't feel good. Like, it's not giving me exactly what I wanted. He said one more thing that I think is great. You were like, it's crazy that he was getting, you know, 30 to 50% annual fees. He goes, remember, Martin goes, remember, that's 50% net of fees. So his fees were 50%. So basically, he had 10 years, we made about 100% a year. It's arguably the strong. strongest stretch of high returns ever done similar to Renaissance Capital. It's amazing. And this guy, he's, he's sneaky. He's a sneaky guy. He's, he does a lot of bad things in this book. Okay, tell me. Some of them. For example, you know GLG, which we've talked about constantly. Expert that way. He was, yeah, so basically what GLG does, I'm a consultant technically, every once in a while on GLG. So a bank is going to take a company public. Let's say it's HubSpot, for example. They want to know all about email.
Starting point is 00:09:50 marketing, they find email marketers and ask them about which software they use and they want to learn about if it's a good company or not, whatever. Well, Steve Cohen was GLG's biggest customer. He spent millions of dollars a year. He would become friends with the quote consultants, get their information, take them out to dinner and be like, look, just tell me the truth and I'll put you on salary. Tell me, like, for example, if you're on this board, if you work for the government and you're getting ready to approve a drug, just tell me if it's going to get approved. Tell me how the trials are going. He's like, on this napkin, I've written the number three. And as you keep talking, I will start adding zeros. Go. Yeah. I mean, it was basic
Starting point is 00:10:28 like that, like that. And then they get the information from the guys and they just, they basically like, they honeypot these guys, but they become friends with them, ask about their families. And then they get the information and they bail. They never see them again. Sounds like your dating life back in the day. By the way, this GLS, you think is really funny. So when you do these calls, tell me if you're like me. So I've done a couple of these calls. Talk really slow. Yeah. First of all, it's like eighth grade and I'm trying to hit the word count.
Starting point is 00:10:56 Yeah. Yeah. So basically, GLG, they pay you by the hour. You can charge three grand an hour. I become very capacious. Yeah. I feel absolutely silly doing these. Like, I know in my head, like there's an intellectual part of me that's like, of course, $2,000 an hour.
Starting point is 00:11:12 Hell yeah. I should be making that. And you know what? This is going to be such. I'm giving them liquid gold. That's what in my head. I say that. However, during it, I become very insecure about what I'm saying.
Starting point is 00:11:22 And I'm like, none of this is special. This is all so basic what I'm saying. And I feel like I'm a high paid escort that doesn't know how to have sex. And I'm like, I hope they're happy with what they're getting here for this $2,000 hour because did he ask you if it was good for them afterwards? It's a weird thing. I don't actually do it anymore. But in this book, so one of the ways they made like a billion dollars was doing this for drugs.
Starting point is 00:11:47 And they found out through their investigation that 10% of U.S. doctors admitted to being one of these consultants on some of these networks. And that's the only people who admitted it. And so it was like a pretty widespread problem. My takeaway so far in the book is if you're a white-collar criminal, you can basically get away with it. You can get away with it. That's crazy. So he got convicted of insider trading. And what did he have to pay and did he go to jail?
Starting point is 00:12:14 He paid billions. He did not go to jail. Wow. Maybe he paid $2 billion, but he started a new firm the next year. Right. He paid $2 billion as he laughed uncontrollably. All right. So you were going to talk about like their work culture sounded like.
Starting point is 00:12:29 Yeah, so I got obsessed with this work culture, and I saw this quote by Keith Rabe. And so Keith Rabeau was at Pomp's conference, and he talks about 996. Do you know what 996 is? It means... The Chinese work schedule. It's the Chinese work schedule. It stands for 9 a.m. to 9 p.m. 6 days a week.
Starting point is 00:12:47 And he, Keith stance, it seems, is he loves 996. And he tells a story about one of his portfolio companies. They just hired the CFO and the woman who got the job. She was like, I was specifically looking for a 996 culture. And I googled. And I found out that on your job listing, you said that you guys were 996. And that seems crazy to me because that I don't think is a lifestyle that I want. And so I was curious about 996.
Starting point is 00:13:11 And so I got down this, I went down this rabbit hole of working. So do you know the history? Have you ever read the history of like the 40 hour work week? Do you know how it came to be? Roughly, here's what I know. You tell me where I'm missing something, which is just that when we went to like the factory industrial thing, that's when the 40 hour work week of going into the quote, quote, office, the plant, the factory became a thing. It wasn't that way before. So somewhat. Yeah. So basically in the book Sapiens, the author hypothesizes that hunter gatherers, you know, we're talking pre-civilization, worked something like 30 hours a week and spent a lot of time just being idle with family. Then the Industrial Revolution comes along and factories and machines come about. And in the late 1800s, early 1900s, there was a bunch of surveys done amongst the workers. And it was found on average, most of them were working 100 hours a week, six days a week.
Starting point is 00:14:09 So they were working constantly. And it was a grind. There was constant like protests. There was constantly people fighting over this. There was legislation that went into power in both England and America in like the 1920s where it was like government workers, you don't have to work that much. We're going to give you a normal work week. But basically factory workers didn't get shit. Then in the 1920s, Henry Ford was like, hey, look, the thing about our guys working so much and my company is so big, Ford Motor Company, I need people to buy cars.
Starting point is 00:14:42 because if they're working so much, they can't buy pants, they can't buy shirts, they can't go out to eat, and thus they can't buy cars. Therefore, I'm going to try this thing where we're going to create the weekend. We're going to give Saturday and Sunday off because if they don't buy shit, people aren't going to buy cars. So in the 1920s, Henry Ford says, the weekend's a thing, and that was the beginning of the 40-hour work week, at least in terms of it being systematic. Henry Ford created the weekend? And he made it like a thing. Yeah, yeah, he was the first big company to make it a thing. Yeah, and he made it a thing.
Starting point is 00:15:17 And what he found was he did something crazy at the time. He goes, hey, workers, guess what? I'm giving you Saturday and Sunday off. I'm not even going to touch your pay. Your pay is going to stay the same. And that was really revolutionary at the time. His workers ended up loving him more. He also did a bunch of crazy stuff.
Starting point is 00:15:31 So he built towns. So there's towns similar to what Facebook does now and Google. They actually give you a stipend if you live within five miles of the office. Because he was like, I want you to be close to the office. I want you to be available when you can, but I'm going to give you Saturdays and Sundays off. And that was kind of the beginning of the weekend. And then since then, that's kind of become standard. Even though he gave them the weekend, people were still working 12 hours a day.
Starting point is 00:15:54 So people were working 60 hours a week. But then he eventually lowered it a bit to 40 hours a week. And that became kind of what the 40 hour work week in America is for workers. And so he sort of invented that. What a legend. Yeah. Well, he's done a lot of bad stuff too. So I just Googled.
Starting point is 00:16:09 So Sundays were kind of casual. off, but it was like for church. But he's the one who made Saturday also off, basically, and then also the 40-hour work week versus 70-hour work week, which is crazy. Yeah, and he didn't change their pay. He goes, I'm going to, I'm going to give you what you want anyway. What's the bad stuff Henry Ford did? Like, how bad? How bad are we talking? Super anti-Semitic. So he, big fan of Hitler, wrote books called, like, he has a famous book. I forget exactly what it's called, but it's called like Our Problem. And it's like basically why Jews are bad. Oh, wow. So, yeah. So very, very imperfect.
Starting point is 00:16:41 person, but that's okay. We could talk about the 40-hour work week, which is interesting. And so that worked out. And that's how the 40-hour work week came to be. Now, over time, a lot of companies have tested four-day weeks and some claim that it's effective, but I think the verdict's still out. These things are really hard to measure. And then I went and read a bunch of studies on what's the optimal amount of work time. Have you ever studied what the optimal amount of work time is? No. A lot of research says that humans can only focus and concentrate really hard five hours a day. That's what some of this research says. There's also a ton of research that shows that there's like stupidly high. It's like 30% increase of heart attack, blood pressure,
Starting point is 00:17:22 things like that, of anything above 50 hours a week. And so there's like a huge issue at 996 in health. And I've read enough biographies. No, there's definitely a trend. Like, have you ever heard the story of like rich people having in the 1800s having to go to Florida for fresh air? like relax or they have like stomach ulcers. Have you ever like hurt? Like there's like, no, I don't read history books. There's a pretty like common story amongst tycoons. Because of air pollution or because of something else? Well, they were just like having nervous breakdowns. Like it was like, it's like a common thing amongst the biographies and the doctors would be like, you need fresh air. You have to go to Florida. You need fresh air. You're having
Starting point is 00:17:58 a nervous breakdown. It's a very common thing of these of these guys like Joseph Kennedy, John Rockefeller having to retire for basically or take a three months sabbatical because they're broken. You know, John Rockefeller. At the end of his life, do you know what Alpecia is? Yeah. He had alpisha. So at the age of 50, he lost all of his hair. That's a stress-induced disease, at least a lot of people think so.
Starting point is 00:18:17 So is your, first of all, a couple questions. Number one, is 9-96 still in effect? I thought I had heard something that China was like rolling that back, that they don't do that anymore. Technically, it's illegal. But still, maybe some people are doing it. But still, it's practice. So, for example, there's a lot of quotes that says, like JD.com, as well as Jack Ma from Alibaba, there's quotes.
Starting point is 00:18:39 where they're like, look, like, do you want to be successful? If you do, you have to do 996. And they like say this on record in their weed chat talking about it. So it's still common. I think though there is an interesting point here, which is I think Americans in particular don't want, you want to create a narrative about why China can potentially beat us. And you say to yourself, like, all they care about is work, work, work, work, work. And I just don't want that life. And so there could be this, the case of like, well, they don't actually work significantly harder than Americans, but that's just the excuse that we're going to give in our head, because in reality, I think a small percentage of Chinese companies are still doing
Starting point is 00:19:17 996. In general, a lot of the young Chinese are revolting against that. And that's one of the reasons why you see a lot of Chinese workers, I think, because they prefer the American style versus the Chinese style. So, okay, so that's what's going on in China. Keith Rabeau says that he runs his companies on 996? No. You guys at Barry's Boot Camp like twice a day. What was he talking about? So here's what he said. So there's a company called Tava, which ironically is a software for, or it's a service for warehouse workers to help factories find warehouse workers. He says, it's a 996 in the office every single person, every single day. It's very impressive and it's not surprising why that company has done so well. In fact, he says, this is why the Asian companies succeed because they do 996. So as an investor you love when your companies do 996, why not? Of course. Of course you love it. Okay, next thing. Do you feel that with Hampton, you're going to be the Henry Ford of our generation and take us down to the five-hour workday rather than the eight-hour workday? Is that the thing you're doing? Because I'm trying to
Starting point is 00:20:23 bring it, I'm trying to revolutionize the adult nap, right? Like, you know, the adult nap is is going to be my lasting legacy. When I die, people are going to be napping in the middle of the day. And they're going to, every day, they're going to thank Sean for bringing this new nap culture to to adults. By the way, naps, I've read thousands, or I've read hundreds of biographies, naps are very common amongst a lot of the people I've read about, by the way. So if it makes you feel good, naps are common. You read about legends, legends nap, I nap, therefore, Sean Lake equals legend.
Starting point is 00:20:52 Yeah, you're Indian. You're good at math. You get it. Do I think that, no, I think the 40-hour work, I don't think it's broken. That's what I think. I don't think it's broken. How many hours a day are you, like, actively trying to work? and then how many hours a day
Starting point is 00:21:07 do you think you're productive? Those two numbers. So, like, I don't plant nine to six. I don't, like, that's, I treat my, running my companies. Like, I remember my parents were like, oh, you work for yourself. You can come out to lunch with us. I'm like, no, nine to six, it's my job.
Starting point is 00:21:23 I'm available and I'm working. Right. So I say that I'm nine to six. I spend a lot of time thinking. Like, I literally just be sitting there thinking, writing notes. So if you consider that work, I think I work 40 hours a week.
Starting point is 00:21:34 If you consider work, like, typing and actually contributing to a product, way less, 10 hours a week. Yeah, I do the same thing where I'm like, it's awesome. I'm my own boss. Problem. I'm an asshole as a boss to myself. I work harder when I'm my own boss versus if somebody else was managing me.
Starting point is 00:21:51 But nowadays with kids, my schedule is very different. I basically do these sort of like three hour sprints three times a day, but at different times. So like this right now is my first sprint. It basically starts at usually 830 or 9. And I'll go till 11.30 or noon that I go play with my kids for a little bit, which is honestly only like 20, 30 minutes, but we'll do something fun. And then I'll come back. I'll do another 90 minutes in that next block. Then I'll go workout. And then after the workout, I got another 90 minutes. So that's kind of like the second block is those two 90 minutes to split with a workout. And then late at night after my kids sleep, I'll do another 90 minutes.
Starting point is 00:22:32 And so I don't know what that adds up to 90, 90, 90 plus the three hours in the morning. morning, but that's how much I work, which is probably like six, seven hours a day. And by the way, I think I kind of glossed over this, but at ByDance, they currently have employees work six days a week every 14 days. And then what's the big, what's the big, like, phone company over there? Is it called Hawaii? How do you, probably do you pronounce that? Huwe. They routinely ask staff for six day weeks every month. And they give, and they pay them extra for it. Right. So, like, it's still pretty common. But, At the end of a 40-hour work week, where it's been a hard week, I find myself fried.
Starting point is 00:23:11 I'll sit and either play a video game or watch TV. I can't do much. I don't know how a guy like Elon Musk or some of these folks have intellectual stimulation for that long. I find it to be very, very challenging, and I personally cannot do it. So what I take $10 million a year to be a hedge fund portfolio manager and live that life where you're on call 20 hours a day, maybe for $20 million a year. For $10 million, probably not.
Starting point is 00:23:39 I think it would be hard. I mean, there's a number, right? There's a number where you would do it for a couple years. I mean, not to put you on blast, but you're already going to be creating that much or more value without doing it. So why would you ever make that trade, right? Like, it's not, it doesn't make sense for me. I didn't say I would.
Starting point is 00:23:54 I said maybe. I said there's a number. Yeah. There is a number. That number has to be pretty high. 10 million, not a chance. Right. 20, probably not.
Starting point is 00:24:02 I don't know. Yeah, but that sounded like, that probably not there sounded like, give me three more seconds of silence and I'll change my mind. But have you ever read a book? Like, have you ever watched James Bond and you see the villain's lifestyle and you're like, that's exciting. I want to do bad stuff. That's what, that's what working at a hedge fund is? Yeah. Just do it, just do it hoodwred stuff with your friends. That's what it feels like. You're doing bad stuff with your homies. And that can, that does seem appealing. You know, the one sexy thing I like about hedge funds, so there was a guy when I was in
Starting point is 00:24:32 college, guy comes into the office. Our guy comes into our class. Slick back hair. And I forgot his name, but his dad is like a legend in the hedge fund game. Like he was like one of the OG hedge fund guys who made a billion dollars or whatever. This is the son. Son's got his own hedge fund. And he comes in and he just had, you know, when you like, you guys are talking before we started recording about like somehow the like more successful and rich people get, actually the more like at peace and like chill they are.
Starting point is 00:25:02 They're more generous with their time, ironically, and they're nicer and kinder. So this guy kind of had that energy where he was in no rush. And I just remember, I could literally feel that energy coming off. And this guy was in no rush, which was very different than every other person I had seen. Who was this person? We're always rushing from one class of the next or cramming for finals and shit like that. Like this high achiever stress. It's just like, who was this person?
Starting point is 00:25:26 I forgot his name. Regardless. Guy comes in and he's there to give a talk. And he says basically two interesting things that always stuck with me. First thing he said was he's talking about his hedge fund and blah, blah, blah. We're all kind of like eating out the palm of his hand. And he's like, you know, who here would find it fun to work at a fun like ours and do this? Like make big bets for a living.
Starting point is 00:25:47 And like, you know, 80% of the class hands up. And he goes, he goes, okay, so look around. Here's 80% of the people, 80% of the classes raise their hand. And imagine if you all applied, because somebody had asked him a question about risk. Like how much, you know, should I, should I work this career ladder or should I try this thing that's like a little bit of risk. And so he's explaining, he goes, look around. He goes, imagine all of you applied to this job. What was your resume look like? All of you would just give me a white piece of paper with black text. You'd put your little name at the top. And then you'd put Duke University and you put your
Starting point is 00:26:20 stupid GPA. And then you put your internships. You put four internships and you'd make it sound like you change the world in those internships. He goes, there is nothing that differentiates you. He goes, you have a degree. Great. That's table stakes. Like, you know, like, Oh, great. You went to a good school. Like, so what? So did everybody else that applies to this job. He goes, the only thing I can look at to even decide, do I want to meet this person is the bottom fifth of your resume, the very bottom 20% where it says other. And that's your chance to say other stuff you're into, your interest, your store, something you've done that's remarkable or notable. He goes, that's the only way I'm going to differentiate between all of you that are raising your hands right now. Because otherwise, you're all students. You all did an internship. You all got a three point whatever GPA. It doesn't matter. that you were on student council, like no one cares. And when he said, he goes, so I would take the next three years, four years of your life after college, and I would go stuff that other column. Because either you're going to make it big doing something cool, or even if all those fail,
Starting point is 00:27:20 when you go to apply to a job like mine, I'm going to have some reason to actually want to talk to you. And that was one of the most profound things, but like best pieces of career advice that I had ever heard and actually changed my, I went and started a goddamn super, sushi restaurant afterwards because I was like, that's part of my other. Either this works and I create the next Chipotle or it's a great story from my other section because he's right. Like, that ring, that was, the truth was told to me. And the commonality between a lot of these folks, which I think you have, um, they play poker and they got really comfortable, uh, gambling.
Starting point is 00:27:56 So, so that was the other thing that stood out. He's looking around and in class, everybody's got a laptop open. And he's looking around. I'm like, I could see. He's like, counting or something, is measuring something. And I asked him, I go, are you, I was like, what are you counting? What are you doing? He goes, oh, I'm looking at how many of you guys have Macs versus PCs? He goes, because my entire year right now is I'm going to make a long, short bet. I'm either going to go along Microsoft and short Apple or I'm going to go long Apple and short Microsoft. And he was like, I was like, what? I don't even know what, I didn't even understand what he was talking about, like a long short sort of spread trade. And he was like, yeah, so like, you know,
Starting point is 00:28:32 my entire, like, he's like, I'm going to make a $10 million bet or I'm going to make a whatever. He said some ridiculously big number. He goes, I just have to make one bet this year. And I'm going to bet $10 or $50 million on either Apple or Microsoft here. And so I'm just trying to understand, like, what are you guys using and why? Why do you pick this? And I thought that was the coolest shit in the world. That was like, you know, he could have lit up a blunt in front of me and I wouldn't have
Starting point is 00:28:57 thought he was cooler than what he just said, that his entire year was to figure out, Should he be long Apple or Microsoft? And he was just going to walk around the world trying to figure this out. He's going to make a $50 million bet on it. And I was like, that's so cool. That's incredible. And I'm sitting here playing like poker during class, you know, on the one, two tables, trying to make $200.
Starting point is 00:29:16 And this guy was like gambling at a whole other level on one concentrated bet. That shit was like very attractive to me. I wonder which one he picked. Hopefully, I think he had told us at the time. I had asked him. I was like, so which one he's like, I think Apple. because, and he had said some reasoning because of Apple. It wasn't just like Apple because it's cool.
Starting point is 00:29:36 It was something like he was looking in the education market to figure out like basically our age cohort, what were we buying? What were the schools like recommending? And then what was like the he had done. I forgot exactly what he was doing. But he was like looking at basically like he thought that it was important to know what high schoolers and college kids and like young professionals were being told to buy and buying voluntarily.
Starting point is 00:29:59 And if there was like some difference there, he had said something. this is like 15 years ago. I don't remember the exacts. But I remember it being Apple that he was leaning towards. So that's my whole summary of hedge funds of the 40-hour work week. This stuff interests me. Henry Ford, by the way, came up with a lot of good stuff. Invented Kingsford Charcoal. That was his doing.
Starting point is 00:30:18 Obviously, Ford, the assembly. Yeah, I got a cold side hustle. The assembly line. The guy is super fascinating. A very imperfect person. Did a lot of bad stuff too, but very interesting. What do you want to do? All right.
Starting point is 00:30:30 So I saw something come about. come by that I think you'll find pretty fascinating. Have you heard about this company called law and crime? I saw they were
Starting point is 00:30:39 acquired recently. They were required. And so this is a media company that does a combination of like true crime plus just coverage of trials. And media company
Starting point is 00:30:52 started by this guy, Dan Abrams. And they got acquired for a rumored nine figures. And I was like, wow, that's a pretty impressive exit for like
Starting point is 00:30:59 this kind of like, crime niche media thing. Do you know about this guy, Dan Abrams? He's got an interesting backstory. No, what's he do? So he's basically pretty prolific with these niche media sites. So 2009, he launches something called Gossip Cop. It's Celebrity Gossip Blog, and it gets to 8 million monthly uniques.
Starting point is 00:31:21 So he goes into Celebrity Gossip. That's number one. I go to TMZ.com every day. Home page? A homepage every single day. Every day. That's on my list of things that I check every morning. That's part of your eight hour work day. Well, you know, you got like the same news websites that you check. I just want to see what's going on.
Starting point is 00:31:40 I check no news websites. But anyways, this guy. So then he creates geekosystem, which is an internet site for meme culture. Launches that in 2010. He creates something called Mediate, which is basically power rankings for media personalities. That one gets to 14 million monthly unique still going today. He launched something called Styleite, which is kind of like the same thing, power rankings, but for designers, models, writers, like people in the style business. Holy shit. He launched Sports Grid,
Starting point is 00:32:06 which is a sports news business that was acquired in 2013. So he's creating a bunch of these all in this period of like 2009 to 2015, roughly he created all of those that I just mentioned. He created one more in 2012 called Brazer, which was basically personality, like chef personalities. And I'm like, this guy's like,
Starting point is 00:32:26 A, that's just interesting, like an interesting model. But B, like all of those are like the right niches. Like there's a, you know, missionary versus mercenary people. Like he strikes me as somebody who's mercenary where he's like, oh, these like these idiots care about like, you know, celebrity chefs. All right, here you go. I'm going to tell you every goddamn thing you need to know, news, information, you know, stories about these celebrity chefs. Oh, these people love, you know, whatever it is, style, you know, media personalities or style or celebrity gossip.
Starting point is 00:32:56 Great. I'm going to create. I'm going to show fulfilled demand. I got thirsty customers. I'll go open up lemonade stands right next to them. That's the style of entrepreneurship that I get out of this guy. And if you Google this guy and you click images, most people will recognize him.
Starting point is 00:33:09 Do you recognize him? He's on MSNBC. He's on TV all the time. Yeah, exactly. He's like really good looking. He's got a great voice. He's always commenting on like another guilty pleasure. I watch cops all the time.
Starting point is 00:33:20 I freaking love cops. That's my favorite show. And they have like a spinoff called Live PD. He's always on there saying like, oh, what she did, he's about to get charged with X, Y, and Z. Right. So this guy, he's basically a media entrepreneur. And he's on, yeah, like all the, all the things that you mentioned.
Starting point is 00:33:36 He, um, so Abrams media, I guess is the thing that's like launching all this stuff. One of the things he launches. So 2016, he launches law and crime. That's the one he just sold. It's basically, it starts, you know, legal news website. Then it's live streaming trials. And then they have a cable show. They have an OTT show.
Starting point is 00:33:55 They have a YouTube channel. They got five million subscribers on YouTube. They cover every trial because I'm like pretty knee deep in this SBF trial right now. Can't look away from the car wreck. You know, like rarely does news get me. But this one, I mean, I'm, I'm embraced in its arms. You're just lapping it up. Yeah, I'm just fully engulfed by this SBF trial.
Starting point is 00:34:16 And so definitely there's like this like part of our brains that's just wired to tune into the stuff. Like I watched the Dep versus Heard Netflix show. I don't know if you saw that one really, really well done. like the Netflix documentary on the Johnny Depp trial. And you can't, I mean, you watch these things. They just get fully engrossed in them. So he, you know, he sees that, creates this. And they raised five million bucks and reportedly have sold for nine figures, so over
Starting point is 00:34:42 $100 million. I don't know if that's exactly true. Three years ago, the reported revenue was like $13 million top line. And so, you know, who knows where it landed at. Maybe it's at $20, $25 million now. I'm not exactly sure. But amazing exit and kind of amazing entrepreneurial career. He also, by the way, launched, during the time he was launching the law and crime,
Starting point is 00:35:01 he launched a Christian TV streaming service called Ambo TV, which I bet is also like, that's, I love that niche, you know, the- Which is crazy. I mean, the guy's not Christian at all. So that's really, that's really. I said, do you know, Dan Abrams about five minutes ago? You didn't know the guy. You're like, he's not Christian. Well, Abrams is a Jewish last name, and I'm looking at his, I'm looking at his Wikipedia,
Starting point is 00:35:24 and he says he was raised in a Jewish family. and his father has a Wikipedia page. And he also says. You win. So I'm looking. Point, point, Sam.
Starting point is 00:35:34 All right. So this is Ambo TV. What's the Christian show? So go to AmboTV.com. And so they're just live streaming like, you know, I don't know, good old Christian entertainment. I don't know what they're at.
Starting point is 00:35:46 It's not something I normally watch, but like you can watch basically like live biblical literacy. You can watch like, you know, inside one of these churches, the Christ Evangelical, church live. You can view past sermons. You can watch interviews and shows. And this thing doesn't seem to have a ton of traffic on here. But let me look at the YouTube channel. I bet the YouTube channels.
Starting point is 00:36:06 That's pretty small too. So this Christian site thing, it looks like it hasn't quite taken off yet. But I do like this niche. I feel like this could be successful as well. And then he has another one called Whiskey Raiders, a site that uses a proprietary algorithm to rate whiskeys on a scale of 50 to 100. it. Yeah. I mean, this guy just goes into passion niches, right? So it's like passionate niche. Let me create it. Right. Like, this is what Ramon did with a soap opera blog. It's like, wow, you built and sold a soap opera blog for $9 million. That's like incredible. How'd you even have this idea? And he was like, well, I created Facebook pages around a bunch of niche topics, wrestling, politics, soap operas and others. And I saw that the fan page for the soap operas was like popping off. It was like the second or third most popular. one. And so then he created a blog. He'd never seen a soap opera in his life and created a blog where they would write spoilers and recaps and stories about these soap operas and built up so much traffic that he was able to sell it for almost $10 million without ever raising any money. It was incredible. By the way, what this guy is doing, Abrams, Dan Abrams, how he's longed. He's prolifically
Starting point is 00:37:14 launching new stuff. I think media is the best industry if your intention is to launch a lot of things. Someone kind of described it once where they told me that a media company is basically a collection of different projects all under one brand, whereas a software company typically is one product with added features and you're just scaling it. The interesting thing about media is when you understand what types of things grabs people's attention and how to look at certain numbers to understand where there's an underserved nerd, an underserved need. And nerd. and nerd, yeah. You can basically do that for any niche that, like, it's a formula.
Starting point is 00:38:00 A lot different than software. E-commerce is a lot like that, too. You notice that somebody who knocks it out of the park with one e-commerce thing, they know that they could do this five times over. It's just do they have the energy and the desire to create an organization that's going to launch multiple brands versus the one. But it's so applicable to do exactly what you did for one. But there's a problem with e-commerce, which is your cash is tied up in inventory. With media,
Starting point is 00:38:25 you typically have more operating cash flow, and so you have more money to deploy to some of these resources. How many, how much of your business? So you have a business in e-commerce business, how much of the money is in inventory? A significant amount without saying like particular numbers. Probably 30% in inventory. So not, not, not horrible. That's not horrible. A lot of times it's worse, so I would imagine. It can go wrong if you mess up. If you miss forecast or you get a bunch of dead stock, slow moving inventory, yeah, you can that can stockpile real quickly and become a big issue for you.
Starting point is 00:39:01 But also, it depends how you run it. So in the same way that there's 100 people now trying to create newsletter businesses, and those 100 are not going to have the same success that you did with the hustle or that I had with Milk Road. Why is that? Because it's how you operate. And the same thing with e-commerce, if you set up the right payment terms with your factory. For example, like for us, we sell inventory before we have to pay money for it.
Starting point is 00:39:26 Yeah, so that's great. Right. Negative cash conversion. So once you get set up like that, then you're, you know, you're, you're an idiot if you're losing money or you're tying up too much money in inventory, right? Because that's not necessary. Uh, if you run it well, it's when you make a mistake or the market turns that, you know, you can get in trouble. Tell me about this guy, Tyler and what his post said. I, I, I think I know who he is. is. Yeah, so I don't know a ton about this guy. This guy, Tyler Hodge. I've seen him on Twitter. He's around on Twitter, but he wrote a great blog post that I loved. I don't know if you saw this, but it was about sardines. Did you see this blog post about sardines? So, I didn't see it,
Starting point is 00:40:04 but I'm pulling it up now. By the way, the blog post, it's going to make a comeback, I think. Dude, I'm with you. I read this one post and I was like, I don't know who this Tyler guy is, but I like him. I was like, I like him and I respect him. One one blog post could do that for you. It's very hard for that to happen in like, you know, a single tweet or an Instagram story or a TikTok short, right? Like, it's like, it takes a little bit more. One blog post. You need more time. Yeah, exactly. I think podcasts work well with it, but. Podcasts, YouTube videos, if they're longer worked out. It's basically the amount of time that you've taken from someone. That's how investing it. He writes his post and he's like, he's like, I'm reading this book, margin of safety.
Starting point is 00:40:43 And in it, he writes about this famous bubble that happened that you probably haven't heard of, I guess not that famous, but there was a bubble that you probably are not aware of, which was the sardine bubble in Southern California. So I'm going to read it out for you here. He goes, there's an old story about the market craze in sardine trading where sardines disappeared from their waters in Monterey. And so the commodity traders started bidding up the price of a can of sardines, the price of one can of sardines soared.
Starting point is 00:41:10 And everybody's buying up these cans of sardines. They're making a bunch of money, flipping them. And one day, a buyer decides, you know what? I'm going to treat myself to, I'm going to take one of these expensive cans of sardines. I'm going to pop it open and I'm going to enjoy. He pops it open and immediately it just becomes sick. He's vomiting and he's like, oh, he tells the seller, he's like, hey, man, I bought these expensive sardines for you.
Starting point is 00:41:29 These are no good. And the seller is like, you don't understand. These are not eating sardines. These are trading sardines. And he's like, so then Tyler draws the point. He's like, it feels like this is what's happened in the last few years with like, tech company valuations. He's like, there was a, like, there was a game to be played.
Starting point is 00:41:45 You would invest in the seed round. And then the EA, and this company's trying to use that money to grow. It's not really profitable. But don't worry about that, right? We're losing money, but it's all good. We're growing and we got this narrative. And the narrative just needed to be sold to the next round investor. The B round, the C round.
Starting point is 00:41:59 The better analogy for this is crypto. Well, I don't think it's quite in crypto. There is some in crypto, right? But there's the NFT stuff in crypto. But the difference is to get to the point of what he's saying. So crypto is a different type of asset, right? Crypto is not a productive asset. It's not a cash-filling asset.
Starting point is 00:42:16 So what he's talking about, he's like, you would get these businesses that would go later and later stage. And each round is getting bigger and bigger because everybody is basically a greater fool theory, right? They're thinking, well, I don't care if this business actually generates a lot of free cash. I can just sell it to the next buyer. And they would do that. They would get to the point where it goes public. But now the music stopped. And these companies have to be, you know, they're opening up the cans of sardines and realizing that, oh, shit, these were not eating sardines.
Starting point is 00:42:44 These are trading sardines. And so you see a company like Hoppin go from $4 billion valuation or $2 billion valuation, whatever it was to I think it's sold for like $10 million or $20 million bucks the other day. Like, you know, it's down whatever, 100x from its peak valuation just two years ago. And there's another company called Better, which is like a mortgage company that's also like, you know, about to go bankrupt after a billion dollar valuation. And this is going to keep happening. You're going to see a bunch of, you know, this sort of dead unicorns.
Starting point is 00:43:14 And in crypto, there was a version of this, like NFTs, for example. Are you buying this because you love the art? Are you buying this because you think the price is going to go up? And for 95% of people, 99% of people, it was, I'm buying this because the price is going up. That works until the price stops going up. And then at that point, we all are sitting here holding these like, you know, these trading sardines that we don't want to eat.
Starting point is 00:43:35 The difference, of course, is that and the point that Tyler's making is that what's in vogue now is eating sardines. Companies where if you could have. it sell it to the next, but if you can't exit, if you can't IPO, if you can't go raise the next round, well, it doesn't matter. Just pop it open and eat it, right? It doesn't matter. The company has profits. It has cash flow. So we can, we don't need to flip this to the next person. It produces enough cash flow. And, you know, this sounds very basic to a lot of people like the whole idea of crypto is triggering to them or the idea of venture capital and these unprofitable tech
Starting point is 00:44:09 companies that raise money at these crazy valuations. That's just triggering to them. And so, you know, for the cash flow, kings out there, this is like, you know, today is your day. Now is your era. You are now kind of like king of the hill at the moment. And I wanted to bring this up with you because I feel like you have really never gotten into any of these trading games. I have never seen you get swept up in angel investing where you're like, yeah, this company today, it's worth 10 million, even though it's got no product and no revenue. But it doesn't matter because they'll raise an A at 50 million. I'll be marked up 5x.
Starting point is 00:44:44 And then it will raise a B in $120 million. I'll be marked up 10x or whatever. I've never seen you fall into that one or crypto, really any of these trading games. You seem to be a guy who always goes into eating Sardians games. Whereas I've dabbled in both and made money and lost money in sort of both. I'm curious what your reaction is to this. Yeah. So a bunch.
Starting point is 00:45:04 The first thing is the reason I've never got into that is I think people default to being too optimistic about particular businesses. You know, what's interesting is one of the very first signs or pieces of writing that humans have ever discovered. We're talking cavemen era. They wrote on the cave that said the generation after them is lazy. And they just don't care. And that's like a common theme. Every generation says the one after them is lazy.
Starting point is 00:45:32 They just don't care. And their music sucks. Yeah, and their music sucks. It's like the same thing over and over again. And you said something about we're caught up. in this at the moment. My philosophy is we have always been caught up in that. Human nature doesn't change. We have been the same for almost forever. And the way that we act today is the way we have always reacted. And so when I see new things, I think this isn't new. This has been here
Starting point is 00:45:56 many, many, many, many times. And my goal is to find out what has been here for hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of years and what, or thousands of years. And that is where I choose to place my time in. And for example, in this blog post, he quotes Sarah Gao, who says, who's like a famous investor. And apparently one of her portfolio company said, Sarah, tell all the founders their job is to generate cash flow because no one has ever told me that. And that's crazy, but that's a common thing. And I was, I'm taking this, do you know how to read a balance sheet or cash flow statement or prop P&L? Yes, but, you know, of course, there's levels to that game. So I don't really know how to read it.
Starting point is 00:46:35 And so I'm taking a, I intend to take a course at like, I want to do like one of these executive MBA classes, like one of these fancy ones. But before I even did this, I bought this course called the four-day MBA where this guy's teaching me how to read a balance sheet. And his whole course is summarized in a very simple way. And it's basically the point of cash is to generate or to buy, buy stuff that you can then sell to create profit, which that profit can turn into cash flow. And a lot of times, people focus.
Starting point is 00:47:05 focus on profit. But profit is a hypothesis. Cash is a fact. And it took me to take that course to realize and get back to basics of like, wait, everything is about creating cash flow. And he uses this wonderful example of Enron. He's like, check this out. Look at this balance sheet. They're generating lots of profit, lots of profit. Goldman, Morgan Stanley, they're all saying, buy this company, buy this company. Their stock's great. Look at the P&L. The P&L will show you the profit. No, that's the issue is profit isn't important. Operating cash flow is. On paper, they were making lots of profit. The problem is that it was all, they weren't like, they weren't actually making profit.
Starting point is 00:47:43 Or they were, rather, but they weren't creating operating cash flow. The vast majority of their cash came from financing activities, aka raising more money. And this is why there's a book called The Smartest Guys in the Room, because apparently everyone was like, oh, they'll be fine. They're the smartest guys in the room. And you see these trends today with crypto, with Web 3, now with AI, before that, with social media, where the smartest guys in the room say, it's okay that they're not making profit. It's okay that they're not making cash.
Starting point is 00:48:09 It's okay that this valuation is huge, but that's just a common problem that we see over and over and over again. And so I get suspicious of all of those things because I read a lot of history and you see patterns. And this is a very common thing. We have thought this way from the beginning.
Starting point is 00:48:22 Yeah, but the story of the tech industry, the story of all the startup industry, Silicon Valley, is that that actually was correct. Like, you're saying it like, what's social media, the story was these companies you know it's a bit most fail most fail
Starting point is 00:48:39 of course some work but that's what it what it is the real the real lesson is you have to know what game you're playing so for example correct i agree when you're playing the silicon valley game the silicon valley game is most of these companies are going to fail
Starting point is 00:48:53 or be sort of inconsequential to your returns the only thing that matters when you're doing venture capital or doing tech investing is every year there's like 20, maybe 30 companies that matter. Did you get into them? How many of those did you get into? Is it zero?
Starting point is 00:49:10 Is it one? Is it two? Is it two? Is it three? The issue, though, is that people put too large of a percentage of their net worth into these things. That's where it becomes a huge problem. And a lot of people do that.
Starting point is 00:49:20 I don't think that's true. I think most people are not even invested in startups. The average person is not invested in startups, right? Like zero. Get startups out of this example. You could say crypto. I mean, a lot of people have gone broke because of it. And at the underlying.
Starting point is 00:49:33 asset still does not have like a repeatable way to deliver cash flows. And that's the difference. You know, there are different types of assets. So, for example, you could buy a watch or you can buy art. They're never going to produce cash flow. You can buy gold bars. They're never going to produce cash flow. There's different types of assets.
Starting point is 00:49:52 Certain types of art, certain Rolexes have grown. They're nonproductive assets. But they are collectibles. But there is a history of 100 years, 50 years. of repeat of people wanting to purchase it. Of course, of course. Not as much with crypto. Yeah, and of course.
Starting point is 00:50:09 And of course, you don't get the same upside because it's sort of a, you know, that game is played out. It's more efficient market versus crypto collectibles came out. So here's a new new version of collectibles. And in this one, you could be Jack Butcher and you could make millions and millions of dollars because you understood that crypto collectibles are going to be a thing. Or you could have come in at the wrong time or put the wrong percentage. And of course, you could make money and lose money in any of these.
Starting point is 00:50:32 But the idea is, you have to know what game you're playing. If you're playing the game of crypto or investing in gold or investing in art or investing in watches, you're not playing the same game as somebody who's investing in cash flowing businesses. If you're investing in startups, you're not playing the same game as somebody's investing in cash flowed businesses. So I think the important thing is you have to know which game are you even playing. And then what are the rules and topology of that game? So for example, with venture investing, the mindset is actually, I'm going to lose money eight out of ten times here. And then if you go read Warren Buffett, you're like, oh, this guy's the greatest
Starting point is 00:51:04 investor of all time. Let me learn something about that that I can apply to angel investing. And Warren Buffett's first rule is don't lose money. His second rule, don't forget rule number one. If you use Warren Buffett's rule, you could never be Peter Thiel. If he's Peter Thiel's rules, you could never be Warren Buffett, right? Like, you know, they're different games and you have to know the rules of that game, uh, in order to play it. What I think is interesting is that at different times that at different times, each game might have a sort of like hot season. There is a, there are these like windows where certain games are more ripe or more, more attractive, more lucrative to play.
Starting point is 00:51:38 But my point is you ask why I don't do this type of stuff is I get nervous about many of those games because I believe that, for example, before startups in the early 1900s, there was car companies. Do you know how many car companies existed in the 1920s and 1930s? Tons. tons. Most all of them went bankrupt, except for like five. There was tons of car companies, and it was the exact same thing as tech companies today.
Starting point is 00:52:03 And so I'm wary of those types of games where I fall a little bit more into the Warren Buffett thing, where I'd rather have steady but smaller returns as opposed to big lumpy jumps. I do get big lumpy jumps, but I do those with things that I can control, which is starting and selling companies. I just prefer not to do it in things that I don't have control in. Yeah, and to be clear, you don't actually. the Warren Buffett game, you play the index investing. You know, basically, uh, I don't try to make my money on the investments. I try to be sort of safe and conservative with my investments because I'm
Starting point is 00:52:33 going to be aggressive and risky with entrepreneurship. Yeah, uh, which is not what Warren Buffett does. He doesn't, he doesn't start companies. He buys companies in, in, in, I met Warren Buffett in the sense of, um, try not to lose money. And I will do, I'll take a somewhat more conservative approach than many of my peers. Yes, yes, yes. The startup game is a, the startup investing game is a, chasing and waiting game, which is a very strange combo. You're trying to chase to find these breakouts
Starting point is 00:53:01 that are going to become one of the 20 companies that mattered this year, not the 2000 that didn't matter. And then you have to play a waiting game to let those seeds kind of bloom over the next seven to ten years. A month ago, you went to Brian Johnson's house. I want to ask you about that, or do you want to
Starting point is 00:53:17 save it for Friday? You can do it. Let's do it. Well, so Brian Johnson, the crazy guy who I love who claims he's trying not to die by decreasing his age. You went to his house, you interviewed him. That's going live soon. How was it? Was there any spectacular learnings from him? Yeah, going to his house is kind of remarkable.
Starting point is 00:53:39 Big house? Not huge, but like a nice, definitely a nice place. Walk in and actually meet his son first. So I see his son. His son who's on the same Instagram. He's on the same. protocol as his dad pretty much. Yeah, ripped, right? But he's like 20, whatever, he's like 20 years old or 19 years old or something
Starting point is 00:53:57 like that. And so he's like, I think he's in college or going to college, something like that. He's super ripped, super kind guy. And, you know, I was like, so like, like, what's it like to be, you know, eat lunch with your friends and you've got the green sludge and they're, you know, they're eating nachos or whatever. And he's like, yeah, it's cool tonight. I don't care. You know, I'm doing what I want to do. It's like, you know, the independent mindedness that it takes to live a lifestyle of Brian Johnson. You can see like, you know, from as, even as a parent how that like shapes your kids to be a little bit different. And you're like, oh, you're emotionally healthy. He was like, you know, I was like, what do you think would be great out of this interview
Starting point is 00:54:33 with him? And he was like, you know, I hope you clear up like some of the misconceptions. Like, there's a bunch of misconceptions as to why he's doing this. And if people understood why he's actually doing this, they would feel a lot differently about what he's doing. And, and so, you know, I just, I enjoyed that. Got a tour of his house, showed us, you know, where he works out, how he eats. He opened up his fridge and literally, I was like, let's see what's in here. He opens up his fridge and there's literally nothing in the fridge. There's like, there is absolutely nothing in the fridge. There's like one bottle of red wine on the side. And he's like, oh, yeah, he like opens up his freezer and there's like some medicine in there. I'm like, oh, what's that for?
Starting point is 00:55:15 He's like, oh, that's like this drug that they give to people with leukemia, but I just take it proactively. late. I was like, oh, cool. You know, you're trying to find rapport when you go to someone's house.
Starting point is 00:55:26 And I was like, so I wear this Fitbit. I'm cool. I'm into tracking too, right? Like, yeah, I work out sometimes.
Starting point is 00:55:34 Sometimes I eat chips. You know, like, you know, it's like, wow, it's literally like meeting a bit of an alien person
Starting point is 00:55:41 because his lifestyle and his discipline and his values and his priorities are just very, very different. than mine, but also very cool, very inspiring. He's very cool guy.
Starting point is 00:55:52 So he was like when you go to someone's house, you meet somebody in your off camera. Within three minutes, you get a vibe of like, what's this person's vibe? Some people will give you a hardcore fuck-off vibe. Some people are kind of like, let's get this done, you know, vibe. And he was totally different. He was very kind, very curious, you know, it felt like, you know, respectful, very, very respectful, very nice. What was he curious about you? Well, first he was just like thankful. He was like, oh yeah, the first episode we did was a lot of fun, the one that we had him on a long time ago.
Starting point is 00:56:30 And he's like, that really kind of like, you know, helped get the word out there, got a bunch of good messages from it. And that led to more good things. So I think first thing was like, kind of like, thanks for, you know, thanks for doing that. That was the first thing. The second thing was like, you know, how do you react to this? He's like, so I'm curious, like, what do you think of this? And is this something you would do? And how can I make this more approachable? And like, what do you find?
Starting point is 00:56:56 You know, he was like almost like doing a bit of research in a way to like, versus just being a know-it-no-it-all. Like, I already know the answer. I have the answer. You guys are all idiots for not following, you know, versus having an open mind on, you know, what's a no, you know, a person who's not in the protocol. What's their reaction to this? And did he have help,
Starting point is 00:57:16 running around his house, like doctors and shit. He's like kind of like number two person. She like helps do a bunch of things. Um, but not like, it's not like house help. That's like his like, you know, she's like, no, I meant like nurses. Oh, there was no doctors or nurses there when I was there. We went up to like his room where he's got like all the heavy machinery to like measure your skin and then measure your eyes and measure your ears and all that stuff.
Starting point is 00:57:40 And I was like, I was like, so you're really measuring like every organ separately. He's like, of course, you know, skin is the largest organ in your body. It needs to be healthy. And, like, you know, my eyes are important. That's how I see. And I'm like, well, do you say it like that? Yeah, sure. I was like, so what's the weak link?
Starting point is 00:57:54 And he's like, left ear. Or right or left ear, I can't remember. And I was like, he's like, I have the ear of like a 70 year old. And I go, why? He goes, from shooting. He's like, you know, I used to whatever. He's like, one ear is down, but the other ear is exposed. And so he's like, when I would shoot that loud gunshot that I used to do like, you know,
Starting point is 00:58:13 with some frequency, it messed up my ear. And it's very hard to rejuvenate or recover an ear. And he's like, so, you know, this goddamn thing is the weak link. Did you change anything in your life after seeing him? I tried his protocol for about 20 days. So I ate. Yeah. So I ate the, I told my chef, I was like, hey, this is the new thing.
Starting point is 00:58:35 I would like some sludge for lunch. And then I want some nutty pudding. And I tried to buy, I didn't do all of his supplements. That's the one thing I didn't do. because to do his supplements, you need like 65 things that I couldn't even source online. I was like,
Starting point is 00:58:47 how the hell do you do this? And did you feel good? I mean, definitely felt light, lighter, lighter weight. Like, you can literally feel your body
Starting point is 00:58:55 has like less baggage on it, you know, when you're doing it. However, I, um, I really detested that, like the main meal,
Starting point is 00:59:05 the, like kind of lentils and green stuff. And the one I had, the one I, when I followed the recipe, did not taste like the one he had his house. So I think he's got like, new,
Starting point is 00:59:13 versions of the recipe that are better tasting. That's so fascinating. I'm seeing a lot of people. There's a whole subreddit of people saying they're living his life. Well, there's a group of people in San Francisco that are doing this. So they hold what's called tea parties, which is a testosterone party.
Starting point is 00:59:29 So it's a bunch of guys that get together, they have a tea party where you get tested and you get your testosterone levels and you find out, do you need to be taking testosterone or what? And then that same guy has created a meal delivery service called the Blueprint Delivery Service, which is it takes Brian Johnson's a meal plan and makes it easy to do. Because again, that's honestly the hardest part of the whole thing.
Starting point is 00:59:48 It's like, it's not easy to just do it. And there's like, it's hard enough to stick to something. It's if you add a bunch of friction of making it hard to even do, that's, that's pretty tough. So I think it's great that somebody's doing that. I think that's honestly a good business idea because when I met with this guy, I was like, oh, between the first time we talked to and now, he is way more famous. And then between now and where he's going to be in like sort of three years, you could tell this guy is just going to become one of the most well-known people in this world.
Starting point is 01:00:14 Like I think that his story is going to be one of the most well-known people in this world because he is essentially donating his body to science while he's still alive, which is like just a crazy thought. And he said this during the interview. He goes, A bet against me is a bet against AI. And I probably wouldn't bet against AI. And I go, what do you mean?
Starting point is 01:00:36 He goes, well, I've basically handed over my body in the decisions I make for my health to whatever the technology tells me is optimal. And so if you think this is not going to work, you're basically saying that science and technology is not going to make better decisions than the average human. Like, no way. Of course it's going to make better decisions. And I'm just going to do what the data tells me what the algorithm will tell me to do. And he's like, long term, that's AI. And he goes, a bet against me, he's a bet against AI. And then he's the crazy thing, by the way, and this is in the interview, and I don't know how people are going to receive this, because it's like kind of intense.
Starting point is 01:01:12 The interview is a bit intense. He's like, um, he's basically like I'm competing with Jesus. And he doesn't say that, but he keeps comparing himself to Jesus. And I'm like, that's kind of blasphemous. So what, what do you mean? And he's like, well, here's the thing. He's like, uh, I was told, because he grew up pretty like a very religious like, upbringing.
Starting point is 01:01:34 He goes, I was told do X, XYZ. And then you'll die. and then after you die, to go to heaven. I have a different offer for you. Do X, Y, Z, and don't die. And he's like, that's my whole thing. Don't die.
Starting point is 01:01:51 If you're against me, you're on team death. If you're with me, it's team, don't die. And it's like, that's how simple he's boiled it down to. And I'm like, well, you're still going to die. Like, the current thing is you're aging slower, but you're still aging. And that's where he was like, correct. That's currently what's happened. Yeah, for now.
Starting point is 01:02:12 The better the tech gets, the better the AI gets. The more I'm able to experiment, the closer I get to just slowing down the speed of aging to the point where I'm not going to die. One of the takeaways I have is what he has done, it's significant. But you can do a version of this where you dedicate your life or just six months to something and like some crazy experiment and talking about it and you could build a career. Like another example of this, that's way more attainable is, you know, the carnivore diet is a thing right now. Only, you know, be one of these guys that only eats meat for six months. That's challenging, but it's not that challenging. And you could build a career out of that. And that is like really interesting. So he's, he's spent a lot of money.
Starting point is 01:02:57 I think he says he spends two million or a million dollars a year. That's out of, out of this world for just about everyone. But there are other experiments that you can do and it becomes your identity. And you can build a career around that. Tim Ferriss did that a little bit with the four-hour body, where he tried things that weren't crazy, but he did a really good job of explaining it and making that part of his identity, and he built a really great career around it.
Starting point is 01:03:18 And I think that's really fascinating. That's a takeaway I have, which is, can you dedicate six months to something and talk about it? And will that actually change your life for the purpose of actually talking about it? You know what I mean? Yeah, I think that's totally true. And one of the cynical ways to look at Brian Johnson is he just did one of the greatest pre-launch marketing campaigns of all time
Starting point is 01:03:39 because now he's rolling out his olive oil and he's launching his like, you know, blueprint like supplement pack or whatever ability for anybody to follow his protocol simply. I don't think that's simple. I don't think that's true at all. The guy's way too rich to like become an olive oil salesman. You know, like I doubt,
Starting point is 01:03:55 he's got $800 million or whatever. Like, you know, he sold his last company for $800 million. I don't think that he's doing this to launch a new supplement brand. I don't think that was his attention at all. I genuinely believe that he needed some purpose in his life
Starting point is 01:04:09 and he found purpose and meaning in doing this. And now he's trying to like just do it at level 12. So he's like, cool. For most people, they can find some purpose and feel good in exercise or taking care of themselves.
Starting point is 01:04:25 He just turned that dial up to level 12. And that's what I see at him. Well, that's awesome. And you don't want necessarily want to also be at level 12 because the wheels start to come off when you're at level 12 and it's pretty intense. But it's cool. It's very cool that there are people who live at level 12. I'm glad that Michael Phelps exists.
Starting point is 01:04:44 I am glad that Elon Musk exists. I am glad that Brian Johnson exists so that you can see what level 12 looks like. And then you dial that down to whatever makes sense for you. But you can take inspiration. You at least know what level 12 is. What I say about those people is I say I know two things are two things for sure. I love that they exist and I'm not them. Right.
Starting point is 01:05:02 That's what I know. Well, that's sick. I'm excited to see the episode, and I guess we'll end there. That's the pod. I feel like I can rule the world. I know I could be what I want to. I put my all in it like no days off.
Starting point is 01:05:18 On a road, let's travel, never looking back.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.