NFL Daily with Gregg Rosenthal - Top 20 NFL Running Backs

Episode Date: June 23, 2025

Gregg Rosenthal is joined by Nick Shook to draft the top-20 running backs in the NFL. Find out who comes in at number one (03:20), and where players like Bijan Robinson (06:10), Derrick Henry (08:20),... Ashton Jeanty (12:50), Kyren Williams (16:00), Alvin Kamara (22:29), Joe Mixon (28:05), David Montgomery (33:55), and more land on the list.  Note: time codes approximate. NFL Daily YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/nflpodcastsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 This is an I-Heart podcast. Hey, everybody. Daniel Jeremiah here. And I'm Bucky Brooks. On Move the 6th, we take you inside the game from breaking down college prospects and NFL rookies to evaluating team building philosophies, coaching trends, and how front offices construct winning rosters. We study the tape, talk to decision makers, and give you a perspective you won't find anywhere else.
Starting point is 00:00:25 It's everything you need to understand the why behind what happens on Sunday. Don't miss it. Listen to the Move the Sticks podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Marcus Grant. And I'm Michael Florio, and together we host the NFL Fantasy Football Podcast. Ready to dominate your fantasy league this season? Then you need the NFL Fantasy Football Podcast, your ultimate source for player news, draft tips, and winning strategies. Whether you're a rookie manager or a fantasy vet. We've got the insight to help you crush your opponents.
Starting point is 00:01:01 Listen to the NFL Fantasy Football podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Toyota, the official automotive partner of the NFL. Visit Toyota.com slash NFL now to learn more. Welcome to NFL Daily, where running backs have always mattered to us. I'm Greg Rosenthal, and I'm here with Nick Shook, where you are taping this show, Nick. June 23rd, it is officially the dead zone of the NFL season. Spoiler alert. Football's not back for the next couple weeks. And yet we're going to be cranking out some fun NFL daily content.
Starting point is 00:01:41 No one I'd rather do it with than you, Nick. You know, judging by your tone in the way that you made that claim about running backs, I don't know if I believe you, but I definitely believe you that we're in the dead zone. Surprisingly, we are operating in a world now in which the NFL dominates, I'd say about 50 weeks out of the year. So to have two off, not bad. Good job. People will still want to come up with it. It is a weird thing.
Starting point is 00:02:03 Yeah, for people who aren't as familiar, this is the one time of year. Not only a lot of media goes away, and we'll get into our schedule coming up in the next few weeks. But the teams are just literally out of the building until at least after July 4th. So even though we're getting closer to training camp, when NFL Daily is truly back to daily again, it is the one time a year, even though we're close, that the teams are off. And yet, Nick, running backs have always mattered to me. I don't know why you're coming at me. I mean, it's like the coolest, the most fun position to watch.
Starting point is 00:02:36 And so we're going to talk about them today. We're going to draft the best 20 running backs in the league back and forth who we would want to be our running back in our backfield this year, kind of a snapshot of where the position is at. And it's better than it's been in a long time. You know, since we last taped a show that was kind of, taped that day. It was Patrick and Omar. Great job by them. They did the Jaya Alexander News. Not a lot of news has popped up since some updates. Injury-wise, Anthony Richardson,
Starting point is 00:03:07 fully expected to be back for training camp. I personally thought it was interesting that the chiefs confirmed their first round pick, Josh Simmons, fully ready for training camp, including contact. That's interesting. And then CJ Mosley, the longtime Jets and Ravens linebacker retired. So happy trails to CJ Mosley, a really good player who just couldn't get medically cleared to play another year. But a hall of very good guy, five second team all pros, like a very steady captain type. And that's about it. That's all you need for the news for the last like three or four days. Yeah, if you think about Mosley's career, I prefer you think about his career with the Ravens instead of the Jets because he went to the Jets as a high price
Starting point is 00:03:45 free agent. They obviously had their struggles. He did make a Pro Bowl and a second team all pro in 2022. But again, yeah, he had some health issues in his last season and just felt like he never quite lived up to the contract. And yet he was a very good football player over the course of his career, especially if you think about his Ravens years where he was at his best. You know what? I think he gave the Jets leadership that year he had where he got the second team all pro. He was outstanding. One of the guys that everyone said that played around him second in defensive rookie of the year back in 2014. Interestingly, it was one of the few people that completely opted out of the COVID season.
Starting point is 00:04:23 If you remember, he didn't play at all that season, but was a really good player for the Ravens. And yes, had some nice years for the Jets. So happy trails to him. Let's get to the draft. I will give you the first overall pick. Again, the parameters, who we want playing running back this year. It is not a lifetime achievement award.
Starting point is 00:04:43 It is not even just who was the best last year. Who is our type of guy? It's not fantasy numbers because we're taking everything into account, receiving, blocking, whatever you want. Who are the very best right now looking forward? You have the first pick. It's going to be chalk. And really what I found in this exercise was that I like rooms more than running backs individually. Like I'm a big fan of certain rooms in the league.
Starting point is 00:05:09 And we're not drafting rooms. So I'm going to go with the guy who's on the cover of Madden 26. I'm going with St. Juan Barclay. It's as simple as that. there's no argument. I think there could be an argument. It would be just that he's coming off this incredible season. And maybe we'd knock him for that, that the history of running backs or can you do it like two years in a row in that this year is some of the other top five guys,
Starting point is 00:05:36 is like a slightly more consistent player on a snap-to-snap basis. You could have said that, Nick, in Sakewan's career before this last one. The thing that changed in Philadelphia was, for instance, his success rate in New York was always a little hit or miss was kind of low. Big plays, but a lot of negative plays. And that was partly because of the offensive line. But this last season, he was hitting the six, the seven, the eight yard gains, in addition to the 80 yard gains. Yeah. And he was a player that was three down back and was a home run hitter and a closer, which we hadn't seen from him, except for early in his career before, you know, he encountered those injury struggles that he ran into in his final years with the Jets.
Starting point is 00:06:14 I think more than anything, yes, we like to see a guy rush for 2,000 yards. It's fun to watch that. It's cool to be like, I remember where I was when Saquan broke 2,000 yards. I remember that season. But what really I thought was most special to me beyond the Super Bowl victory was the fact that he was able to overcome all the doubt, all the naysayers, all the, well, Sequin might never be what we thought he was going to be because of all these injuries. No, he just went out and rushed for 2,000 yards and was an awesome running back.
Starting point is 00:06:39 Do I think he's going to do it again? I don't know. It's really hard. It's basically almost impossible to do it. two years in a row. So I'm going to say no. But also, if he's the player he was last year, which I think he is, and I'm picking him just for this year, he's at the top of my board. Absolutely. He had 496 yards over expected, according to next gen stats, in the second half of last season. That number, Nick, would have been more than any running back in an entire full
Starting point is 00:07:07 season since 19 or since 2018 when they started keeping track. So just in the second half, he was getting more extra yards than any runner in a full season since 2018, except for one guy who did it over the course of last season. We'll get to him in a minute. But yeah, he's the man. He would have been my number one pick. It gets interesting here. I think the next three backs in my mind could go in any order. But I'm taking Bajon Robinson. It's my team. It's who I want. Last year, it kind of snuck up on me that he had 1887 yards from scrimmage and 15 touchdowns. And one thing that I love about him is he gets more than what's blocked. Since he entered the league, he has 15 more missed tackles forced than anyone else.
Starting point is 00:07:50 So that's over a three-year span. Derek Henry is actually second in that. So that shows that that's been a skill set since day one. But what gets me about him is just how complete he is. Obviously, he's good as a pass catcher. But I mentioned success rate hasn't been as consistent for Sequin, as great as Saquan was. And I'm sure we'll get to Derek Henry sooner than later. The league leader in success rate last year, and that you can measure it in different.
Starting point is 00:08:14 ways, different companies measure it differently, but essentially it's getting a certain amount of yardage or a first down on plays, like over four yards on first down. The leader in success rate was Bison Robinson last year. So he was extremely consistent in addition to giving you all the eye-popping plays that you expect from him. Yeah, you know, when I think about the Falcons, I think about the players that are actually quite talented that maybe don't get the exposure league-wide that they should. And he's one of them because people don't necessarily pay attention to the Falcons all the time. They did early in the season last year because they got off the hot start, but then they fell apart down the end. And it feels like they're in the shadows there.
Starting point is 00:08:50 Players like Bejohn are always in the shadows there. Kyle Pitts was the subject of that before. And now he's going into a pivotal year, of course. So I just want them to succeed as a team so that then he is elevated Bejan Robinson to a larger stage that the rest of the football world can appreciate him properly because those numbers that you just listed absolutely do not lie. Right. He has improved steadily in each one of his seasons. I think we expect running backs to come into the league and just blow the doors off. And rookies are eligible by the way, Nick. I don't know if I mentioned that too. They're eligible. They're eligible. Okay. Okay. They're eligible. He has gotten just a little bit better. He came in already, I think better than people realize
Starting point is 00:09:29 like a top 10 type of back and he's gotten just a little savier, a little better in each one of his seasons. All right. Give me who you have number three overall. My number three is going to be Derek Henry. And this was a pick that I may not have made even a year ago because I thought, look, this guy, a lot of the tread has been worn off those tires. He's gotten a high volume of carries over the course of his career. He's been the rushing leader multiple times. He is the model of being a superhuman running back who will throw defenders through the air if you try to encounter him and take him on with an arm tackle. But what he did last year within Baltimore's offense told me that he still had plenty of gas left in that tank. Do I think that he's necessarily
Starting point is 00:10:08 going to flirt with a career year this year? No, because they spread the ball around so much, but that's what makes him so effective. So I know we're talking about just running backs on their team and not necessarily taking into account all the circumstances around him, but you can't evaluate him without considering the fact that he plays with Lamar Jackson, that he plays behind an offensive line that got a lot better than most people would expect last year and an offense that's balanced enough to throw to Rashad Bateman and Zayflower so that they can't just load the box against Derek Henry, which helps him succeed as much as he did last year. I believe in him for at least one more year as a guy who's going to hit home runs,
Starting point is 00:10:37 who's going to run guys over. He's going to go over a thousand yards and it's going to be a bell cow back for this team. So that's why I take him with my second pick. It's crazy. If you look at the numbers, they were almost identical to his best season. You know, when everyone remembers he ran for
Starting point is 00:10:53 2100 yards from scrimmage, ran for over 2000 in that COVID season where he was offensive player of the year. And that's what you think of as his peak. And yet last season was actually right there. In a lot of ways, he was better because he took 50 less carries to get there. So he led success rate, I mean, in terms of, he led an EPA per play or total EPA. He actually ended up
Starting point is 00:11:18 having more rushing yards over expected than Sequin Barclay last season by almost any measure. It was one of the best rushing seasons of all time. I saw another interesting stat, you know, NextGen does a lot of work for us that, you know, out of the pistol. When they ran the pistol, he had the best like running back season out of the pistol of any running back ever, 49 for 492 years. Like he was 10 yards per carry out of the pistol. So he somehow is getting better as he gets older. I think that's a strong pick for number three.
Starting point is 00:11:46 But I would have disagreed. I actually would have had him fourth. I would have taken Jemir Gibbs fourth or third. And so I'll take him fourth now. And again, I'm just thinking I am projecting a little bit forward. And I'm thinking about what I would want on my team. And to me, he's just so versatile. He led the NFL in terms of yards per carry between the tackles.
Starting point is 00:12:08 And that's the thing I think people don't really understand with Gibbs. Obviously, you have the home run ability that Saquan and Derek Henry have. You know, Gibbs had the highest explosive rate, explosive play rate in the league in terms of plus 10 plays. But he's very physical. Like, he can run inside. He can run over people. And to me, he's just hitting his prime. So I'm going to Mir Gibbs next.
Starting point is 00:12:29 Yeah, he was up there on my list, too. and I actually went back and forth with my choice here because this is where I think it gets a little interesting because it skews toward preference. And I like a guy who I can trust to make defenders miss, to break tackles, to be very hard to bring down and to also make a difference out of the backfield
Starting point is 00:12:46 as a pass catcher. I like Bell Cowes. I like Josh Jacobs. That's where I'm taking him here. And this might be a little high from what most people would expect. But you look at like success rate. You want to talk about different running backs
Starting point is 00:12:58 with higher success rate. His actually was lower than it was outside of the top 10. really out of the top 15 when it comes to next-gen stats. And yet when I think about a purr-down back, if circumstances are right, the play is schemed up properly, he's going to make a play. He's going to get those extra yards. He's going to be a guy that I can look down my roster
Starting point is 00:13:15 and say, I would give him the ball 25 times a game and feel perfectly fine about it because I know he's a workhorse. So that's why I would take him. Yeah, bigger workload, certainly, than Gibbs. Although, for instance, Gibbs 250 carries, so less, but 50 catches. So it gives you that receiving game.
Starting point is 00:13:30 Jay Jacobs does that too. He's made people miss in terms of mistackles since the day he entered the league. No, he would have been either next or two away on my list. He does have a little bit of an every other year thing. He does. But he's kind of earned that spot. Almost reminds me of a little of a mod green back in the day for the Packers. In terms of a guy who's like never the best.
Starting point is 00:13:56 But man, it's really awesome to have a guy that you can give the ball to, 300 times and you'll know is like a top seven or eight back and you don't have to worry about him. I think that's the part of Josh Jacobs's career that he's in now. I am going to take a rookie now. I'm going to Ash and Gentie. I love a lot of other running backs in the league and I know you might think this is high. This is sixth overall, but I just thought like, would I rather have Ash and Gentie or let's say Christian McAfrey who's going to come up at some point or whoever else is coming up next? I am confident enough in Gentie.
Starting point is 00:14:31 I'm going sixth overall. It's not a position where, you know, players have to ease their way into the league. Often they peak rather early. Like even great all-time backs are great right away, like an Adrian Peterson, like the Lidini and Tomlinson. So the contact balance, the consistency I think he's going to bring. I'm believing in Gentie.
Starting point is 00:14:51 I don't need to see anything. No, and you know what? This is a rare case in which I would agree with a high evaluation of a coming into the league. Usually I'm very anti, like, don't put, especially when it comes to fantasy, don't put a lot of stock on a guy who hasn't played a down in the NFL yet, because you're just, you're playing blind, essentially. But if somebody was buying stock in teams this year, you are buying all the stock in the Raiders, so I'm not at all surprised that you're taking Ashton Gent to here. And what you just said makes a whole lot of sense, because
Starting point is 00:15:18 what you see on tape translates to the pro game. It's just a matter of how fast can he hit the ground running? Can they scheme it up well for him? Because you don't want to put him behind an offensive line that's not good and he has to try to be a superhero just to gain a few yards. But if it's in a vacuum, yes, I totally agree with you. Well, part of the reason I did it, Nick, and I'm curious if you would, how you would answer with your next pick? I thought, like, what would NFL team, who would rent NFL teams rather have for 2025? Even if it's somehow in a weird universe where they could only take them for one year, would they rather have Ashton Genti or would they rather have the guy they already
Starting point is 00:15:51 have who's coming up on our list? I bet almost all of them would take Ashton Genty. I really do, but maybe I'm wrong. And maybe we're all wrong about our. evaluations. Who do you got? No, actually, I agree with you on that too. My next pick is this is where I get a little uncertain, a little nervous, because I have a hard time putting stock in running backs who can't stay on the field, but I'm going with it anyway, and I'm going with Christian McCaffrey, who never got rolling last year because of injury, and his season ended prematurely, and it was basically just a wash or a waste of a season for him. But I believe in the talent, and I believe that he would still have one healthy season in him if we're only playing for one season. And there are
Starting point is 00:16:25 few players who are as dynamic and as explosive as he is when he's fully healthy. So at this point, I'm getting him with this value, Christian McCaffrey. I'm taking it. Yeah. At first, I had him high on this list. And as I kept doing, I kept moving him down and down. And I realized he's only been healthy, Nick, three out of the last seven years. So maybe this before. Yeah, that's not enough to me. It's just not enough. He did the two straight in San Francisco, but then when you have a completely missed season essentially last year, then it reminds you of all the other ones that happened before that with Carolina. And to me, that's part of the position, unlike any other, where availability is really
Starting point is 00:17:09 a trait. It's really a skill. It's why I feel fine taking a guy like Kyron Williams 8th, because I want to have some love for the consistent player. Fifth in success rate in his two seasons, he's 1,350. yards from scrimmage, 1,490 yards from scrimmage. He played the most snaps last season. This shocked me of any running back in the league. Isn't that surprise you? You think of them like bringing in some other backs, but he's there blocking. He's there as a terrific receiver. He's there to pick up five
Starting point is 00:17:42 when you block three. He's just consistent. And to me, he is a guy. I am just trusting to be out on the field. So it's a rare position where I'm not just going for ceiling. I actually would rather have him than McCaffrey because I'd rather just have a guy that I know is going to be there, even though I know at their peaks, obviously McCaffrey is a better player. Yeah, that and, you know, Kyron Williams' value to the Rams is even more noticeable. It's obvious, painfully so, when he's not on the field, because they are so much worse as a running team without him than they are with him on the field. He is a special type of player and a guy that a lot of people didn't see coming and kind of forget about until he's back in the field and makes a big play. And then they're just constantly reminded of how good he is and
Starting point is 00:18:19 they have to accept that he's, you know, an excellent running back. So I agree with you on that. I'm not surprised by the total snap count because it's visible. Basically, if he's available and he's playing a lot, the Rams are going to win games. And if they win games, they'll make the playoffs. And that's basically how last season went. So that all tracks. I'm going to go, I'm overdrafting here.
Starting point is 00:18:35 And this is because I believe that the bills are treating this man wrong. And it's James Cook. It's James Cook because, again, work horseback and a guy who if you actually get him in the right scheme and run it with him with intent, You're not in the Ken Dorsey offense. You're more in the Joe Brady offense and you're handing it to him, you know, many times a game and you're letting him get going. He can be a big time difference maker.
Starting point is 00:19:01 And we spent all this time paying attention to Josh Allen and everybody else and rightfully so. But he's a big part of that offense that I think isn't getting the love he deserves from that organization as he goes into a contract year. And frankly, I would pay him and keep him and put him in the right situation and ride him as a bell cow. So that's why I take him this high. Yeah, I love it.
Starting point is 00:19:20 I had him a few spots lower, but I don't think it's, It's crazy to go James Cook that high. You look at the last couple of years, very similar in terms of yards from Scourge, 15, 60, two years ago, then 12, 16 last year, but out of the 18 touchdowns. And he's my type of back that he's just an excellent receiver, a versatile receiver. You want him on the field, even though they have a great third, third down back, so they don't need to, like, lean into it. Cook can do absolutely everything. So I'm fine with that. I'm struggling with my next pick.
Starting point is 00:19:54 If it was actually my team, this next group is all very close. I'd cook a little lower, but I'm just going to give James Conner some love here to wrap out of the top 10. Oh, yes. His first 2,000-yard rushing seasons were the last two, but he did get over 1,500 yards from scrimpage last year,
Starting point is 00:20:12 and he's really improved as a receiver. He's very high in terms of forcing missed tackles, and he would rank really high in a stat. that doesn't exist that Adrian Peterson, I think, would be the all-time leader in, at least of players that I've watched, which is running hard per snap. Joe Mixen is going to be high in this one. I'm sure he'll come up later. He just, the effort on every single run is outstanding.
Starting point is 00:20:36 He's getting better as he gets older. And so there's a couple of flashier options out there, but I'm going James Cook. I mean, James Connor number 10. I like that pick because much like Kyron Williams at the Rams, when you could basically predict the Cardinals' outcomes last year, whether he had a good game or not. Like, if he was near 100 yards in the ground, they probably won the game.
Starting point is 00:20:57 If he was bottled up, they probably lost. And he was so important to them in that regard. And it's such a hard runner. I totally agree. I'm a big fan of his, and every time he had a big game, I enjoyed it very much. I am going to take a guy who statistically resonates
Starting point is 00:21:11 with those who like to scroll down spreadsheets, but those who like availability, little on the sideline here, because that's where he spent a lot of his time over the last few years. And it's Jonathan Taylor, from the Colts. He finished last year with 1,131 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns. And yet here he is going 11th in our draft. It was quiet because of the Colts and their
Starting point is 00:21:33 dysfunction at quarterback and his checkered injury pass that, you know, he hasn't been a reliable player. But when he's there and he's healthy and sometimes it's more in spurts than consistent, it still looks really amazing. So to get him here at 11th, I'm going to take that all day. I love it. It's exactly where I had him. But there's a reason. and if James Cook is kind of my type, I think Jonathan Taylor is not. Not that big plays aren't incredibly valuable, but it's why I'm not going to knock Kyron Williams too much.
Starting point is 00:22:04 If your 25 to 30-yard run would have been 60 if it was Jonathan Taylor for a touchdown, like that is a big edge for Taylor. But the consistency on always looking for home runs, grinding out the four, five, six-yard runs, and then more importantly, the receiving this he has an old school like box score uh only 136 yards as a receiver just kind of a zero in that department um not that he like can't catch the ball though he has some pretty high profile
Starting point is 00:22:35 drops but they also just don't trust them as a blocker and to really understand the full thing so i think that's that's why he is a great runner that's but that's also why he he went 11th um all right I'm going to go Aaron Jones number 12, just a guy I love. And I had this feeling that he kind of faded at the end of last year. And then by the end, he actually had over 1,500 yards from scrimmage. He was not great in the red zone. He's not a true, just give the ball to him. And he's like your main guy.
Starting point is 00:23:07 Like, but how many guys, we already have gone through. How many of those are there really? Not that many. He actually hasn't lost his speed at all. he is the sixth fastest player according to next gen stats on a like per snap basis in terms of just the miles per hour that he is running so uh the speed is still there and uh i'm going aaron jones number 12 we're going to take a quick break and we'll be back and wrap up the rest of the running back draft they're back
Starting point is 00:23:35 Hey, this is Matt Jones. And I'm Drew Franklin. And this is NFL cover zero. We're just here to try to give you an NFL perspective a little bit different. Did you see the Colts pretzel? That was my other big takeaway from that game. What was that? Oh, my.
Starting point is 00:24:00 We think NFL coverage should be informative and entertaining. And twice a week, that is exactly. what you're going to get. Listen NFL Cover Zero with Matt Jones and Drew Franklin on the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Toyota, the official automotive partner of the NFL. Visit Toyota.com slash NFL now to learn more. What's up, everybody? Daniel Jeremiah here.
Starting point is 00:24:25 And I'm Bucky Brooks. On Move the Sticks, we take you inside the game from Scouting Reports and player development to team-building philosophies, coaching trends, and how front offices construct. winning rosters. Every week we study the tape, talk to decision makers, and share the insights you won't find anywhere else. It's the kind of conversation that connects the dots from college football prospects to the NFL stars of tomorrow. We break down the draft, analyze matchups, and evaluate how teams put it all together on game day. Plus, we dig in the coaching strategies, roster construction, and the trends that shape the league year after year. Whether you're a die-hard
Starting point is 00:25:02 fan or just love understanding the game on a deeper level, we give you the full picture. If you want insight that goes beyond the box score, this podcast is for you. Don't miss it. Listen to the Move the Six podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Starting point is 00:25:22 I'm Marcus Grant. And I'm Michael Fulrio, and together we host the NFL fantasy football podcast. Ready to dominate your fantasy league this season? Then you need the NFL fantasy football podcast, your ultimate. source for player news, draft tips, and winning strategies. Whether you're a rookie manager or a fantasy vet, we've got the insight to help you crush your
Starting point is 00:25:43 opponents. Listen to the NFL Fantasy Football podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Toyota, the official automotive partner of the NFL, visit Toyota.com slash NFL now to learn more. Back on NFL almost daily. Yeah, you probably notice this time of year. We're taking a little bit of a step back. But this week, we have regular shows throughout the week.
Starting point is 00:26:13 We've got our crew with Jordan Rodriguez and Colleen Wolf for our next show. We'll have a Friday show as well. And then we've been working on a really exciting project that's going to start going up next week. And so everyone, be on the lookout for that. Also, thank you to everyone who's listened to me lately and been writing reviews on iTunes and Spotify, giving us five. star reviews. It really helps us out. Subscribe on YouTube. We appreciate you all. All right. Number 13 overall in the running back draft, Nick, this is your most important pick. Oh, this is my most important pick? Wow, because it came back after the break and got to keep the listener engaged. Okay, cool.
Starting point is 00:26:51 Well, listener, pull up a chair because we're going to pick a guy that I think Greg overlooked. A guy that's been one of Greg's favorites over the course of this man's career. It's Alvin Camara from the New Orleans Saints, a running back who fits exactly what Greg looks for on a three down basis. Let's just look at his numbers from last year. Yes, he finished with 950 rushing yards and six touchdowns. He played in 14 games, but he added another 543 through the air with a couple of touchdown catches. Greg, I think back to a couple of years ago when the Saints offense was just dreadful, which we could say for most of the last three years. And it was a game in Seattle in which their defense won. I think the final score might have been 10 to 6.
Starting point is 00:27:27 And it felt like the entire Saints offense with James Winston at quarterback was just drop back, let Alvin Camero run a choice route and just throw it wherever he decides to go. And that's how we're going to move the ball in that game. And that's the type of running back he can be. I don't know if he's the home run hitter. In fact, I don't think he's the home run hitter that he used to be. But he's still an every down guy that presents a threat that when he's healthy is still one of your top weapons on the field. So to let him come down to 13, I'm just going to scoop him up here and right off into the sunset all happy. Well, you're just doing this to annoy me. I told you during the break that I forgot someone. And we should make this a sponsored segment.
Starting point is 00:28:02 And every single one of these drafts, there is someone I was like, oh, wait, I meant to take him way earlier. And I said that during the break. I didn't say who it was, and you guessed it. It was Camara. Yeah, yeah. Well, that's the benefit of knowing you for a decade. I want to apologize to that man. So this is why you've got to listen to the pod and not just look at the rankings that we're going to put out on social.
Starting point is 00:28:21 We should still do it because I had Camerra ranked eighth. And it's not that I forgot him. Like, I got my sheet. I printed it out like an old man. we've got a printer here and for some reason I spaced looking past I had him 8th I had him ahead of
Starting point is 00:28:37 McCaffrey and Connor and even Taylor it kind of snuck up that he proved what I had believed for the last handful of years which is that if they could just block for him he really hadn't declined as much as the numbers
Starting point is 00:28:50 showed that I thought he still had juice that I thought he's very intelligent reminds me a lot of Frank Gore in terms of his intelligence in the passing game and then yeah you mentioned it last year I mean he went for 1,493 yards from scrimmage, he had the highest target rate by far of running backs in the league, actually had one of the highest target rates of any player. I think it was top five, including wide receivers. So if he's on the field, what that means is they're throwing him the
Starting point is 00:29:16 ball, like 68 catches for 540 yards. And you're like, okay, he's just catching a bunch of dump offs. No, he's running a lot of different routes. And yes, he doesn't have the long speed. He just doesn't. You're absolutely right. Top five, Nick. according to next-gen stats in speed crossing the line of scrimmage. So that's that initial burst. And when you watch him, I see that too. And yeah, he's those long plays that maybe he hit earlier in his career. Like, that's not quite as there.
Starting point is 00:29:46 But he can crease you if you can block. And so I think he's going to have a good year. I really regret that. I let him. If I could trade, I would trade him up higher, but I'm not allowed to. Well, the only trade I'm accepting is Ashton Genti for Alvin Cameras. So I don't think that's an offer. That's too rich.
Starting point is 00:30:03 I would give you Kyron at the eighth pick. I don't even know what that means since we're not actually playing fantasy here. I will go, my next pick again, that broke my heart. I'm just such a space cadet. Maybe we can put a little note with the top 20 rankings that we put out that Greg just forgot and I apologize. Bucky Irving. Oh, yeah. I love this pick.
Starting point is 00:30:26 The highest rate of force miss tackles in the entire league. Over five yards per carry on inside runs and outside runs, there were some numbers, and this is, you know, in large part due to the great Bucks offensive line. But when teams played single high safety and Bucky Irving was on the field, like he averaged a preposterously high yards per carry. Just like you literally could not play single high against Bucky Irving. You took that extra guy from not in the box. Like he is going to have some space. He is going to make you miss. And the numbers, like the advanced numbers and the raw numbers would actually tell you he was already like a top eight to 10 back.
Starting point is 00:31:09 I'm not ready to go there, but I'm happy to put him this high. Yeah, ninth and success rate right behind Sequin Barclay by just a 0.1% difference. A player who finished with 186 rushing yards over expected and a guy who I think is just scratching the surface. One of my favorite guys out of the combine in his class went to Tampa. they needed a running back. He took Rashad White's job, rightfully. So he's on the path to success. I love that pick.
Starting point is 00:31:35 Now, you've kind of wiped out a little bit of what was remaining of my board. But we're going to go to a guy that I think, look, yeah, he had a couple of ankle injuries last year. Yes, one was caused, if not both, by hip drop tackles. But we're going with Joe Mixon in Houston because I think Joe Mixen was kind of not treated poorly, but undervalued a little bit by Cincinnati. They let go of him for a seventh round pick. They were going to cut him.
Starting point is 00:32:02 He ends up going to Houston. He has a really good start, gets hurt, misses some time, comes back, has a nice little period of games before he gets hurt again. If he was healthy over the course of the season, he'd be an unquestioned weapon in that offense more than he is. And the idea of him with the Texans, with C.J. Straub, and then adding in whatever is left of Nick Chubb, I feel good about him going to the season.
Starting point is 00:32:25 Now, it might be one of his last productive seasons of his career, considering how long he's been in the NFL. But he's just a guy that I like. He runs hard. He can hit the home run. He can make plays. He's just one of my favorite running backs to watch. So that's what I'm going to take him here.
Starting point is 00:32:38 Yeah, the only question is really if he can keep not just on the field, but when he comes out at the beginning of the season and he's fully healthy, he looks one way. Or sometimes if he has a week or two off and then it's coming back, like he looks one way. And then you see it fade just. a little bit if he loses some of the bursts, some of the physicality. But he's averaged over 1,350 yards from scrimmage over the last four years. So extremely consistent. This is,
Starting point is 00:33:04 this is right where I had him in the draft as well. I'm going back to another rookie here for 16 because when it comes down to it, I am confident enough in Amari and Hampton. He is one of my favorite, like running back evaluations over the last handful of years. I think he is complete, like a great blocker. I think he's going to matter. the passing game, he can be a big playmaker. I think he, in a perfect world, he's a he's a little bit bigger and a little more complete of a Jonathan Taylor type of player, probably not going to make you miss as much as a lot of the running backs ahead of him. But, but that's okay when you have the juice and I think that the third down availability that he's going to have. So I would take him
Starting point is 00:33:48 over the rest of the veterans on the list. I feel good about the UNC back at 16. Yeah, I like that picked too. And this kind of goes back to what I was saying about rooms is I really love the Chargers room. The balance between Najee Harris and Omari and Hampton is really exciting for me, especially with their identity as a team that wants to be physical, that wants to win on the ground. They have two different backs that can do a lot of different things. They can balance them well together and make quite a tandem. I think it's going to be very beneficial for them going into 2025. Next up on my list, we're going to go Devon A-chan. And I'm going there because of the big play capability, because he is a guy you always have to account for on the field
Starting point is 00:34:24 because of that home run speed that he has. I don't see him as an every downback, but I do see him as the best option that they have in that backfield who could grow into something more if the rest of their offense could get back on track because they certainly weren't last year. I like his raw potential, the untapped potential that we've yet to see and what we've already seen from him with the big plays. I mean, a ridiculously efficient like rookie season last year, was kind of the opposite, where it felt like he left yards on the field, not great blocking, certainly, but he was hunting big plays. He's a guy who won't look good in terms of yards over, expected.
Starting point is 00:34:59 I think he was under because he was trying to make things happen. I'm not going to say it's a reach, but I had him more like around 25, but I think it's more of styles. It depends what you're looking for. The runners at this spot, it's kind of like pick your favorite. I do think one back has been underrated in our draft more than any other. And, you know, I've taken other guys over him, so that's on me too. And that's Tony Pollard.
Starting point is 00:35:26 Like, what does Tony Pollard need to do to get a little more respect? He's actually been consistent in terms of production despite, you know, you think of him at the end of Dallas getting hurt, but that was at the end of a season. Over 1,300 yards from scrimmage in three straight. He was sixth last season in terms of yards after contact. So he's a guy who actually makes play. on his own. I thought last season was about as good as he's ever run, but really no one noticed because it was in Tennessee. And so he was someone, if you were still sticking
Starting point is 00:35:57 around with your game pass condensed or whatever, deep into week 13, 14. It was like, man, Pollard is the guy. I think that they wanted him to be when they brought him to Tennessee. The guy that Dallas almost never let him be, like a real 1A type of guy, completely. complete guy. Really nothing I could say was wrong with Pollard. Maybe not like the number one guy you would pick to like get two yards when it's fourth in gold and like run through tackles, but not not a zero in that respect either. And so I really like him here at ATM. I'm glad he got on a list at least. Yeah, yeah, I agree with that too. And I think that he unfortunately is a representation of the mismanagement of the running back position on the part of the Dallas Cowboys over the last two to
Starting point is 00:36:41 three years because they had a chance to make him their guy and stick with him and they let him walk and he walked to Tennessee where he obviously didn't have he wasn't in a good scenario because their quarterback situation was in flux and you know they're still a rebuilding team but the talent is undeniable there and everything that you just said i totally agree with and that if he's in the right situation if they get better as an offense you know with cam ward being there and they they've shorted up the offensive line again i think we can see great things for him because he's got the juice for sure he's making seven million dollars a year too nick like i know he's cheap like it doesn't why did you not keep him dallas what are you doing there is a level of
Starting point is 00:37:16 veteran running back that becomes available in free agency that the second contracts are very much worth it because then you the Titans don't have to worry about that position and that that is not a lot to pay. No. Your last pick, Shook, this is it. Make sure you get whoever you want on this list needs to be on it. Throw back. Well, we're throwing it back. I'm going to take the other half of the Lions tandem. I'm going David Montgomery. That's a guy who I watched in multiple instances last year just win the war of attrition, the ground and pound. I'm bigger and stronger. I'm going to run harder than you. And I'm going to close this game right now by running between the tackles and doing what my coaches want. I want a guy like that on my team. I don't care if he
Starting point is 00:37:54 doesn't bring everything to the table in every area that you get from other running backs. That's a guy that I want in my death chart and the capability like you just said to get fourth and two, two yards. I'm giving it to David Montgomery. I can trust him. He's a gritty type of old school running back. I love him. He's on my, he's my last pick. He was first in the NFL last year in success rate on under center runs. So it's exactly what you say. How did the NFL, you used to be played like under center. Exactly. He's going to get you four to five yards. He was absolutely my next pick, too.
Starting point is 00:38:24 We've reached 20, and now it's like, who do I want to make sure is on this list? Because a lot of them aren't my types, some options. I'm just going to throw it to give people some love. We didn't pick Trayvion Henderson, and I'm not going to, but just wanted to send him some love. Pacheco's coming off a bad season, so he's not going to get drafted. Chuba Harvard really improved, but I think doesn't, quite have the juice to make this list. I like what I saw out of Tyrone Tracy. I think Chase Brown is an ascending player. But ultimately, this last spot comes down to three players for me,
Starting point is 00:38:56 either Breece Hall, Ken Walker, or Ramandre Stevenson. Now, those are the next three on my list. Okay. Now, in my heart, Ramandre is more my type of guy. He's coming off a season where he fumbled. He was not good. He's not coming off of a good season. Neither, neither is. Breeze Hall. And yet, like, Remandre is, to me, the most complete of these guys and, like, the guy that would be my style, but I'm so, you know, anxiety-ridden about being called just a Patriots Homer. I will take Ken Walker, who I had written down next, who, it is fun to have a runner who
Starting point is 00:39:38 can run one way, look like he's going to get tackled for five-yard loss, and run for 40 the other way. And he was hit behind the line of skirmage so often. and was playing in such a bad situation. I know Ramandre was too, but ultimately, man, that guy, it would be great to see him behind a good offensive line and I think can be a really dynamic playmaker.
Starting point is 00:39:57 It has the highest ceiling. I'm torn. If it was actually my team, maybe I would take Remandre. I think he's got a bounceback season coming up and is a really good NFL player. But I will go Kenneth Walker for just the highlight real place. Yeah, I don't hate this pick at all for everything that you just stated.
Starting point is 00:40:14 I'm on board with that. I am curious, though, because it was such a forgettable season for Brees Hall, where does he, because we don't know what the Jets are going to be. They have a new identity, new quarterback, new everything else. But like, do you see a bounce back year for him that reminds us of the guy he was? Because you want to talk about home run hitters. He was a home run hitter a couple of years ago. And maybe that's more my style.
Starting point is 00:40:34 I don't know. I'm kind of bouncing between the two. But do you think that that is within him going into 2025 and maybe even 2026, even though we're not considering that year in this draft? Absolutely. this is a confirming my prior situation. There is something about running backs of, you know it when you see it,
Starting point is 00:40:52 and I like instincts, I like the feel of making people miss in a small area in a hole, like the vision. Like I think Remandre is very good at that, even though he's not going to be a big playmaker. He's more unlike the Frank Gore type of mold. Breece Hall,
Starting point is 00:41:08 I've never, like, wrap my arms around too, because to me he doesn't feel as talented as he is. he doesn't feel as instinctive as a back as some of these other guys, just like a truly great natural, just runner. But he's an athlete and he could make this ranking look very disrespectful with a big season. It could actually happen. Yeah, he could. And you know what?
Starting point is 00:41:29 We can eat that crow. That's fine. That's how this thing works. Yeah. And I don't know if the jets are like totally in on him that he was like dangled a little bit. So I think they'll spread it around. But it is a position where opportunity makes all the difference in the world. So who knows?
Starting point is 00:41:43 Like maybe an R.J. Harvey or Quinchin Junkins. I'm trying to think of some other players that didn't come up. The Caleb, John, and Travis E.T. And maybe he'll bounce back. Like any of those players could bounce on this list for next year. We will put it out and we will see who we get made fun of the most. Shook. It's going to be a minute until we have you back on NFL daily.
Starting point is 00:42:03 So enjoy the time off. And, you know, I don't know what you're doing this offseason. Well, I mean, that's all good. because yesterday I narrowly avoided getting a sunburn on the top of my head. So maybe by the time I come back, I'll be looking like a tomato. You don't know. Could be possible. And don't celebrate the Cavs suddenly being like the favorites in the Eastern Conference next year
Starting point is 00:42:25 just because Hallibur and Tatum are injured going into next year. Well, you know, nobody celebrates injuries. But the Cavs had their own injuries in the Eastern Conference semifinals that they had to deal with too. So, you know, we'll see. We'll see how it goes. It's a long way away. We got a lot of football before that. I watched that Game 7 on a flight back to L.A.
Starting point is 00:42:45 And it broke my heart. You know, I'm not a Pacer's fan. We will be back in your feed on Wednesday morning. Yes, Colleen Wolf, myself, and Jordan Rodry. And, yeah, I can't lie. This is the part of the season. Football is not back, but we're going to make you want to listen anyways. Hey, everybody.
Starting point is 00:43:09 Daniel Jeremiah here. on move the six we take you inside the game from breaking down college prospects and NFL rookies to evaluating team building philosophies coaching trends and how front offices construct winning rosters we study the tape talk to decision makers and give you a perspective you won't find anywhere else it's everything you need to understand the why behind what happens on sundance don't miss it listen to the move the sticks podcast on the i heart radio app apple podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Marcus Grant.
Starting point is 00:43:45 And I'm Michael Fulrio, and together we host the NFL fantasy football podcast. Ready to dominate your fantasy league this season? Then you need the NFL fantasy football podcast, your ultimate source for player news, draft tips, and winning strategies. Whether you're a rookie manager or a fantasy vet. We've got the insight to help you crush your opponents. Listen to the NFL fantasy football podcast on the IHeart radio app. Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts.
Starting point is 00:44:14 Toyota, the official automotive partner of the NFL. Visit Toyota.com slash NFL now to learn more. This is an IHeart podcast.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.