No Priors: Artificial Intelligence | Technology | Startups - AI & Defense Technology with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
Episode Date: June 1, 2023Today on No Priors, we discuss defense technology, AI, drones, and autonomous vehicles (think giant submarine drones!) with Brian Schimpf, the co-founder and CEO of Anduril, a next-generation defense ...technology company. From his early days of coding at age 12 to working on self-driving cars, and finally founding Anduril, Brian's incredible journey led him to create innovative solutions for pressing defense problems. This episode covers the impact of AI, intelligent software, and other technologies to defense. We discuss the challenges of deploying and selling technology in the government spaceBrian shared his perspective on building general-purpose defense technology, the importance of a software-first approach, and how Anduril is working to solve urgent defense problems with speed and efficiency. As we wrapped up our conversation, we touched on the recent shift in the low cost of space launch, which has changed the way the US thinks about defense. We examined the proliferation of satellites, drones, and hypersonic missiles, and how these technologies can be applied, scaled, and built in a way that can fundamentally shift America's approach to defense. Don't miss this fascinating episode with Brian Schimpf as we uncover the cutting edge of defense technology and its implications for the future. No Priors is now on YouTube! Subscribe to the channel on YouTube and like this episode. Show Links: May 16, 2023: AI in Military Operations and How We Can Prevent It From Outsized Effects May 9, 2023: CNBC Disruptor 50 - Anduril Industries Anduril Website Anduril Newsroom Sign up for new podcasts every week. Email feedback to show@no-priors.com Follow us on Twitter: @NoPriorsPod | @Saranormous | @EladGil | @SchimpfBrian Show Notes: [0:00:01] - Exploring AI in Defense Tech [0:05:15] - Lower Cost Defense With Intelligent Software [0:15:10] - Building General Purpose Defense Technology [0:20:41] - Autonomy in Defense Challenges [0:25:05] - Machine Learning in Defense & Intelligence [0:29:06] - Scaling a Defense Tech Company [0:37:08] - The Future of Defense Technology [0:46:53] - Allied Forces and Washington Engagement [0:51:47] - Discussion on Leadership Popularity
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Welcome to NoPriars.
Today, we're speaking with Brian Schimp, the co-founder and CEO of Anderil, a next-generation
defense technology company.
Anderol made early use of AI in its creation of low-cost drones, sensor networks, machine vision,
and other systems.
We're excited to explore what AI means for the future of defense.
Brian, it's great to have you on the show.
Hey, thank you very much for having me on.
Well, I would love to start with your personal story and background.
How you got interested in technology, how you got interested in defense tech.
I know you worked on a variety of robotics and other things.
It would be great to hear about your, you know, what led you to start this great company?
Absolutely.
So I've been, someone has been coding since I was 12, you know, love doing it forever.
You know, if I could just have spare time, I'd actually just be coding.
I love it.
It's great.
In college, I ended up working on self-driving cars when that was just getting started.
So I worked on DARPA Grand Challenge, Urban Challenge.
We had kind of a small but mighty team at Cornell that was mostly undergrad, just a handful of us.
And it was a pretty amazing time to see how fast robotics technology could progress.
It went from literally nothing working in like, you know, what was it, 2004, to multiple teams being able to drive through cities in 2007.
So just the pace that this technology can move was really impressive to see.
After that, I went out to Silicon Valley at Joint Palantir.
I started out as like a four-deployed engineer, so I was working with customer.
all the time. And that's where I ended up working a lot with the government and national security
space. And the thing that was really amazing to me was the degree to which people in that space
really cared about the mission, what they were doing, and the sense of purpose that they had around
the problems they were trying to solve and how important they were. And that's just an incredibly
motivating aspect of working in this area. Combined with it being some of the most technically
challenging and hard problems that you can get your hands on, it's a really,
interesting and unique space to work on.
At Palantir, I ended up running product
and engineering towards the end,
built some really cool products,
particularly in the data space around how do you do analytics,
how do you make the stuff work at scale,
and how do you build modern software in an intelligent way
while also doing this in the government space.
We've got a lot of experience there.
And then ended up founding Andrel with some really good friends,
inclusive of Trace Stevens, Matt Graham.
We had met up with Palmer Lucky, who started Oculus,
totally interesting guy, like an incredible character, like an incredible human.
And he was incredibly passionate about the defense space as well.
And so, you know, when he was getting out of Facebook or, you know, as he would insist, I say,
when he was fired from Facebook, we decided it was time to do this.
So we got together and started Andrew all around 2017.
And you met your co-founders besides Palmer at Palantir.
Is that right? Did you all work together before?
That's right. So, you know, Matt and I actually knew each other in college.
and then Trey we met at Palantir,
and we were all really good friends.
And having folks with the background in the defense space
is incredibly important.
How you sell what that looks like,
the types of problems they want to work on,
how that whole mechanism works is so different
than any other sort of enterprise sales
and certainly different than any consumer space.
So having people who really understand that mechanism
of what does that look like,
what does that sales motion,
how does this really work?
That's kind of probably the most,
important part of doing defense is understanding how you actually get your technology scale,
deployed, and sold, which is like nothing else. It is a very unique and challenging problem.
Yeah, I would love to talk more about that later. I think when I first met you, one of the things
that really stood out was that, because I think I met you all when you were just starting the
company. And I was really excited about defense tech at the time because Google had just shut
down Maven, which was there working with the DoD, which I thought was really odd, you know,
given that traditionally the technology industry
had spent a lot of time working with the defense industry.
And so it felt like there was a real opportunity
to do a lot in terms of new technologies
for the defense world.
But the only company in defense I ever ended up
actually investing in is Anderrol.
You know, there's other companies that are doing things
that impact the defense industry like scale
for data labeling or applied intuition
or companies like that.
But you're the only pure play one that I thought
had a shot at actually building something really big.
And I think you've had some of the fastest
velocity in terms of government adoption. How did you choose what to build initially and how did you
think about that go-to-market cycle or what the government actually needed relative to these big
technology disruptions that were happening at the time of drones and AI? Yeah. So, you know, when we
started out, we kind of recognized that the traditional players were incredibly good at making,
you know, aircraft carriers and like, you know, exquisite fighter jets. So if you have, you know,
sort of fairly unlimited time and unlimited budget, they can make you something very gold-plated.
And they're actually, like, that's really hard stuff.
Like, they deserve some credit on that.
But when it came to, you fast forward 20, 30 years in terms of like, what is the sort of obvious tech that's going to be critical for defense?
Our thesis at the time was this is going to be higher quantities of lower cost systems.
And to make that work, you have to drive it with more intelligent software.
Like the software component of this is the most critical dimension of it.
And the best people in software were, like you said, they're in Silicon Valley.
and they were choosing not to,
and explicitly and loudly choosing not to work on these problems with defense.
The other part we recognized was to be really successful in moving the technology forward,
you had to control the hardware and the software to really be able to move the needle.
The way defense buys at the end of the day is they want to buy a capability.
They want to buy something that's like,
I have to find ships that requires me to have drones or satellites with all the
software, with all the networking, with everything together, that actually solves my problem.
So, you know, first off, we understood that we kind of had to solve the holistic problem.
Second, we know we needed to really bring kind of this modern software approach into the
defense space to be able to solve it. So, you know, we built up the software technology we call
lattice from day one. It's really about, you know, a very defense-specific problem, which is how do
I just track and understand everything that's going on in the environment? How do I make sense of the
huge volume of sensor information that's being, you know, pulled in to find, you know,
tanks, ships, airplanes, all these things that are very hard to locate. And then we've been
able to apply this to a number of different kind of hardware platforms from there.
Started out doing more force protection and base protection and border security. So how do I find
people that are on the ground or cars or animals and just classify what it is, what's going on
over very wide areas, and do this in a really efficient way?
We migrated into autonomous platforms of all kinds.
So, you know, we started out with more drones, particularly looking at smaller drones.
So things that you can fit into like, you know, kind of briefcase-sized helicopters that we've been able to deploy in a number of different scenarios and bring a lot of smart autonomy to that problem.
And then we've been extending this to larger and larger systems as we've gone along.
The largest thing we're working on right now is an autonomous underwater submarine that's about the size of a school bus.
It's about, you know, going to be 60 feet long.
10 feet diameter. It's a very big boat and it'll be able to go huge distances for like weeks
at a time. So really kind of complex problem where you have a real physics limit with things
underwater. It turns out you can't communicate with them very well. So you really have to make
the autonomy work to make these things go. So we've been able to apply a lot of technologies around
how do we just automate a lot of the more mechanical pieces of what people in the defense world do
and make it so that they can scale out these sort of lower cost systems.
And we believe that's kind of the critical dimension of what needs to be solved to enable
this next generation of technologies to work.
How do I make this more scalable and more autonomous to enable me to have the volume of systems
that I need?
Everyone would like this to be lower cost and still have the same capability.
It's just until you solve that problem, you're constrained by manpower.
How many humans can I actually deploy to be able to do this?
And we have to change that curve to be successful as a country in defense and for Anderl to succeed.
Ryan, it's not totally intuitive to somebody who comes from outside of defense.
Why higher volume of systems is suddenly a need?
Or is it more the idea that you're placing something that would have been people before?
So can you sort of explain that as a thesis?
Yeah.
So when you look at how the U.S. has operated, we have very expensive, very exquisite,
systems that are largely manned. So, you know, you can think aircraft carriers, fighter jets,
bombers, these are outrageously expensive platforms that cost, you know, just huge amounts of
money to build, to maintain, to train pilots on. On top of that, we have a pilot shortage,
right? We don't have enough pilots to be able to fly all these things. We have recruiting shortfalls
consistently. And even more so, we have an industrial capacity issue. Our ability to make, you know,
nuclear submarines is going down.
We are producing less nuclear submarines per year, year over year, than we have in the past.
So we're like 1.7 per year we can produce these submarines.
It's not getting better.
And the workforce to make these is retiring.
It's a very artisanal process.
It's hard to train up people.
We have very few suppliers in the industrial base into it.
So we're not going to outbuild China.
That's not an option on these large, you know, very expensive platforms.
It's just, it's not going to work.
It's a bad strategy.
the other part of this is you look at what happened in Ukraine where a lot of how we thought
warfare would progress is kind of playing out. It's almost like surprising the degree to which
you don't see even the Russians deploying fighter jets or any of these kind of exquisite platforms.
Like where is the air campaign? Where is the air war that is kind of in the hallmark of how the
U.S. has fought? The reality is that the risk from surface to air missiles, air defenses, is so great
at this point, that you can't deploy these very expensive systems, like the rate of attrition
is too high.
And so what you see is you want to shift all of the ability to collect intelligence to be
able to operate much more autonomously to these lower echelons, right, to these lower units.
So, you know, the other piece of this is what we've seen and we've predicted is that the ability
to know what is going on in the battlefield has gotten very good, right?
So the ability for, you know, the Russians or, you know, the Ukrainians with Western assistance to understand where, you know, large bases are, where the airfields are, where they're, you know, kind of setting up and staging to, you know, prepare in advance has gotten incredibly good, right?
So you cannot hide into a certain extent. So what has happened? You've moved these troops to like much more disaggregated small units that essentially become totally uneconomical to do any sort of like, you know,
targeted attack and see the, you know, a huge, like, battle-changing result out of that.
And again, that pushes you down to, I need more systems operating at a lower level with
units that are operating more autonomously.
So this becomes an incredibly hard thing to stop, right?
And you've seen this in Ukraine, where it's just the fighting and the way it's played out
is much smaller units operating at a much lower level, combined with when the U.S.
has deployed, you know, kind of the long-range strike capabilities, that has pushed the Russians
back that removed any advantage they had from any of these traditional military strategies because they
can't form up and, you know, kind of close to the front line. It doesn't work anymore. And what was
struck the first day was all the Ukrainian airfields. Those were all taken out. All the fixed
infrastructure was taken out. So this is sort of the inevitable result of the, you know,
huge amount of intelligence and information that is now available, not just to militaries, but
commercially. All the commercial satellite providers can give you all of this information. So you're
kind of entering into this world where it's hard to hide. It's hard to kind of mass troops. And so what
you have to do is, you know, break up into smaller units and have, you know, speed, mobility,
and the ability to kind of hide in the noise as your huge advantage. And these very expensive
platforms get lost very quickly. You cannot sustain them. You can't operate that way. It doesn't
work anymore. So we've seen this massive shift in terms of how you have to operate. And I think
the U.S. is starting to take those lessons away and looking at it for, you know, what's going to happen in the Pacific, where to withstand, you know, an invading force to withstand, you know, someone who is, you know, trying to take over your territory, it actually really favors the defender now if you can operate in this new way. It would be immensely hard for any sort of successful invasion of, you know, Taiwan to actually play out because of, you know, what we've learned and what we've seen and how the U.S. has responded and how allies have responded in terms of the
types of technology you need.
If a layman thinks about sort of the premise of using sensor data to understand the
environment in high volume, low-cost systems, that sounds like a very general capability, right?
And so did you guys start with a sort of rank-ordered list of where you wanted to apply that,
you know, defending bases to submarines and sort of how do you begin to attack something as large
a market as like, you know, American defense?
Yeah, absolutely.
So the interesting thing is like, you know, there's still physics limits to all of this.
and you only have like five types of sensors,
you're really only going to be talking about.
It turns out, you know,
you're going to take a picture of something.
It's either going to be thermal or it's going to be,
you know, visible range.
You're going to be able to sense radio emissions.
You're going to be able to use radar in a couple of different ways.
And that's kind of the list.
That's really it.
And so the like, you know,
the ways you actually process this information is actually quite general, right?
Like you can plot,
you can build up a set of technologies and techniques,
machine learning techniques around how do you detect and recognize different target types?
in, you know, forest environments, desert environments, all these things.
So in a lot of ways, this is a fairly general purpose problem that technology is very good at solving, right?
So we've kind of built up a toolkit of saying, hey, given, you know, this type of target we're looking at,
we can tailor the specific sensors for like the ranges and types of, you know, things you need to detect,
but the algorithms, the software, and how you process this turned out to be an incredibly general problem set.
And I think this is, you know, kind of the lesson of modern software is you can build,
these general purpose platforms, which are incredibly powerful and I think wildly more expensive
and hard to build than people anticipate in terms of the amount of infrastructure, tooling,
support you need to be able to bring to bear on this. But this is the modern way you build
software, you know, very general purpose technologies that you can apply to a lot of different
problem sets. And we've been able to kind of like weave in, you know, all the different
aspects of machine learning and how you actually apply those techniques. It's kind of a tool,
right? Not really an end in and of itself. We don't do AI research. We're not interested in
any of that, we're looking at how can we kind of best take what is working in the state of
the art and apply it rapidly into these defense problem sets. Then from there, the way we think
about it is we need to build specific tailored kind of hardware capabilities that then solve
specific problem sets. In terms of how we actually work through the defense space, you know,
the model we've had that's worked well is I think the thing that probably not obvious is
defense in a lot of ways is quite analyzable.
You can really model out and simulate how different capabilities would play out in a
battlefield, given your understanding of your adversary's capabilities, the other
capabilities that you have to bring to bear.
And you can really anticipate like, hey, if I had a system that can work at this range
against targets of this type, you know, would have to have this sort of resilience on
communication, then this would be effective in this way, right?
So you can really start to analyze out where are these gaps, what would the system
need to do and predict how well your systems will perform. The other part of it is really understanding
like what are those urgent problems that need to be solved. So one of the areas we've worked on
and had a lot of success in is counter drone systems. So this was a problem that sort of very rapidly
emerged as, you know, you can kind of think of it as historically the U.S. has been one of the few
countries that has been able to make like cruise missiles. But with the low cost of drones,
Now, effectively, Iran and nearly every country has the equivalent of low-cost cruise missiles for, you know, like $100,000 or less per drone compared to, you know, like a tomahawk missile like over a million dollars.
They're less capable, they're less good, but they still cause a lot of problems.
And so essentially this air defense problem moved from you're defending against state actors that are sort of like, you know, throwing very high-end threats at you to this is a problem that you're going to have everywhere in every conflict.
And so the pervasiveness of the problem created a lot of urgency.
And the pace at which the, you know,
kind of people bringing these drones to the fight could innovate was through the roof.
This was not like 10-year development programs.
They're able to turn new drone technologies in months.
And so that requires an entirely different way of building and deploying technology.
And one that I think lends itself very well to kind of the software first approach,
where we can deploy a set of hardware out, you know, radars, cameras, things like that.
and then very rapidly iterate on the algorithms and models that you use to detect and classify these threats
and rapidly pull in new ways to defeat these drones, be it jamming, be at shooting them down, be it missiles.
We can pull all those things together into kind of a combined package that just solve the problem, right?
The customers just want to solve the problem.
So we've had a lot of success where there's these areas of just sort of urgent need,
particularly where speed is the determinative factor, how fast you can respond and adapt to changes
and your adversary is where I think we've done the best so far.
So that's kind of how we've guided, you know,
where we've invested and where we've put our efforts is, you know,
areas where, you know, nobody's building the right tech.
It requires this really, you know, software-first approach
of how do you make these systems cheap and smart and that scale?
And how do you find these problems within there?
There's urgency they need to solve it and the speed really matters.
And that formula's worked incredibly well for us.
And I think everyone's realizing you, you know, you look at SpaceX,
you look at all these companies,
what seem to be only doable
on a 20-year multi-billion dollar investment
is now doable in years.
And so the space of problems
you can start to attack
with this modern approach
is really wide open.
So we've seen just in a huge amount
of sort of headroom to grow into
the types of problems
we can now go after
using this very facetive approach.
How do you think about
the degree of autonomy
that you build into some of the systems?
So, for example,
you mentioned sort of the bus size
autonomous submarines that you folks are building or things like that, how truly autonomous are
they? And what do you need to develop from a machine learning or technology basis perspective
to be able to drive these systems for the periods of time where there is no operator actively
engaged with them? So the autonomy in the defense space, so it's probably best to talk a little
bit about the principles of what's actually going to work here. The U.S. is not going to adopt
systems that have autonomous robots going out and making sort of lethal decisions about,
you know, what to attack or not. That's not really how the U.S. works. We assign accountability
to the person that employed a weapon system. That's how it works, right? We have a real
accountable system around employment and use of force. That is a good thing. I like that.
I want that to be the case. So when we think about autonomy for these things, it's very much,
how do we have a very predictable system that the operators can trust and they know what the effect is
going to be when they deploy it. And so in a lot of ways, we've advocated for kind of a
crawlwalk run strategy for this, because the challenge with it is the adoption, because the
issue is that the operators have to trust it. They have to know what it's going to do when they
hit a button. And so a lot of these areas that are more nondeterministic, so, you know,
things like reinforcement learning or, you know, potential applications of LLMs into the space,
they are inherently non-deterministic, and that is a risk. And so kind of quantifying that,
knowing how to bound it, knowing that it is kind of, even if non-deterministic, very predictable
within a certain bound, that is very, very key to getting the adoption that you want.
So what we thought about for this is, you know, how do we have systems that, you know,
one, you kind of know what they're going to do within a reasonable degree, like they meet your
intent. They can be a little bit unpredictable in how they do it, but within a certain bound.
And they really are about increasing human agency and control over the problems.
presenting the right information, not too much information, not too little,
synthesizing the information of the right ways to aid human decision-making and sort of cognizance
over the problem space. And that's sort of the principles we have kind of guiding how we think
about applications of autonomy into this space. In terms of, you know, then, you know, take
something like an underwater submarine, it's going out for weeks, you know, that's like a little
bit different, right, in terms of where you're going to have human agency in this. And in that
case, you need to be able to go out and give it kind of like a mission intent.
Right? So a lot of the challenge we have is how do you take what is inherently, you know, kind of a human concept of, I want to go out, look for minds that are, you know, potentially in this harbor. When you identify the mine, get an image of it, and then be able to, you know, continue on your search and cover this area and find the most likely places for mine. So I was like, that's the type of mission you might want to do. That's like kind of a human description. How do you translate that into a machine language that enables it to actually go out and carry out that mission?
And that's a lot of the challenges that we're sort of wrestling with.
It's this really interesting problem of combining, you know, kind of a user interface
and a way to specify it with a way to encode that with a way to then execute on it and
capture all the contingencies and what ifs and what could happen and all the types of
behaviors you would want to do to enable this to go and then have it work reliably 100%
of the time for weeks on end with no hiccups and no issues.
And getting that reliability where you need it to be is also a huge challenge for anyone who's worked in this space of, you know, when we looked at self-driving cars, when we looked at any of these things, it's a question of how many, you know, sort of nines of reliability are you getting to.
And that is where the time, the effort, the investment comes in, in terms of making this go from sort of a research project to it's deployable, it's trustworthy, and something that we could stand by in terms of, you know, an operational capability.
Yeah, that makes a lot of sense.
I mean, you know, you're taking a very sort of thoughtful and structured approach to this to make sure that the primary focus, which is to augment and help and protect people in the field, is really sort of mad.
And I guess when you look at things like LLMs, which is sort of, as you know, sort of the current exciting thing in certain parts of AI, where do you view as the biggest applications for it from a defense perspective?
I guess there's all the work that you folks are doing in terms of drones and machine vision and sensor networks and lattice and sort of understanding situations.
situational awareness in the field, and then separate from that,
there are things that are perhaps a little bit less related directly to Andro, like,
certain forms of cyber defense.
And it seems like there may be applications there, for example, directly for LLMs or maybe
not.
So I'm just sort of curious, like, how you think about where these technologies fit.
Yeah.
So when I'm kind of looking at LMs, I see kind of two dimensions of where they're, you know,
kind of quite useful.
So one is kind of a synthesis dimension.
So how do I take large amounts of information, kind of, you know, capture it into this network
and be able to then interrogate it to ask questions about,
that huge volume of information.
You know, that is a hugely beneficial area, right?
Like there's a ton of, let's even just say like current sort of the art, just text, right?
Like there's a huge amount of text information that the U.S. has access to in terms of
intelligence reports, collection of information, all of those things.
And so being able to, you know, rapidly synthesize that, be able to ask, you know,
kind of questions of, you know, that knowledge base is hugely valuable.
Right. Now, I think to make that, again, really operationally deployed, you can't sort of hallucinate about anything. That would be very bad if our, you know, we're hallucinating intelligence about, you know, something that happened in China. That would not be a good situation, right? So kind of proving through all those problems is really key. There's a lot of applications where, you know, kind of synthesis of open source reporting and what's happening on this chat forum, right? You know, those types of things are incredibly valuable. So the other dimension of this is more creative, right? So the generative part of this, where, you know,
you are creating content given patterns you've seen in the past.
And that's where I think there's a lot of application.
The reality in DoD is there isn't like, you know, in a lot of ways,
it's a very operationally oriented community.
They are kind of doing things in a very predictable way.
You train people to operate a predictable way.
You train people to do things, you know, in a way that you give an input,
you know what the output's probably going to be.
And so in a lot of ways that creative aspect of it isn't really necessarily part of the
Areas like you've called out like cyber are definitely an area where it is.
We're both on an offensive and defensive case, there's a lot of potential for how do you automate, you know, kind of attack patterns or in the reverse direction.
How do you defend against, you know, potential attack patterns classify different things, you know, that are coming in.
I think there's a lot of really interesting applicability there.
I think there's a lot of applicability into, you know, the autonomy space as well.
So what I just described of, I have a human intent of the type of mission I want to create.
how do I then translate that
into kind of activating the machine
to do it? There's a lot of very cool research
I've seen on how do you start integrating
these LLMs with APIs and
train them to kind of call and invoke these APIs
and external systems is
I think a really interesting space of how
do you start to get these to interact with the
real world in an interesting way.
And again, our philosophy
in this is going to be put a human
in the loop at the right spot. So you could
use the LLM to do a lot of the
legwork of crafting this mission plan.
structuring it for you and giving you a 95% good baseline to then edit and modify from,
but saving you a huge amount of time, training, and need to kind of have that creativity exist
in the hands of the warfighters, you can really amplify their ability to interact with
these systems. So we're really interested in areas like that. Again, it's going to come down
to a question of like, can you get this to a level of reliability and precision that meets what
we would expect and what, you know, everyone's going to hold the Department of Defense to in terms of
it works at a high enough percentage that we trust it, right? Or how do I put the right human
controls in place to get that reliability up where I need it to be? So I think there's a huge amount
of exploration on it. And, you know, like everyone's seeing in the space, you've got kind of
these foundational models and the infrastructure intact. But actually then the applications,
there's just so much, you know, and I think we're going to see a massive tidal wave of new applications.
coming over the next 18, 24 months, it's going to really open up people to like, what is possible
with these? How good can it be? How can you really think about expansively what these technologies
can do? We've started doing kind of a little bit of exploration on that, but it's something
we're really excited to drill into more.
Ryan, I want to go to talking about Andrell as a business. Can you just give our listeners
of a sort of sense of, you know, you're about six years in, sort of how many people are you?
you say about who you serve and deployment scale? Yeah. So we are, yep, we're about six years
in. We're about 1,600 people. We are based in Orange County in Southern California, but we have
locations kind of throughout the U.S. and a little bit internationally. In particular, we're doing
a lot of work in Australia where, you know, they've been a phenomenal partner and we're really
scaling up quickly. And they feel a lot of urgency because, you know, the threats that we're
seeing around the world are largely in their backyard. It's a real problem. So, you know, we've been
able to kind of scale up both in the U.S. internationally. We're working with every military
service, you know, special operations, Army, Marine Corps, Air Force, Navy. We're working kind of
holistically across the whole defense spectrum and working on a wide array of problems.
The areas that we've seen, you know, kind of the most mature deployment are, you know,
sort of obviously the areas we've started first, but areas around, you know, border security
base protection. We have a pretty extensive footprint there. We have an extensive
extensive footprint and counter drone systems,
and that's continuing to expand and get more broadly deployed.
And then some of the areas that we've invested in more recently,
so some of these underwater vehicles,
some more of the autonomous drone technologies are kind of just now
getting to a point of scale and getting fielded and deployed.
The reality with working with a defense customer is,
you have very few buyers, right?
There's not that many customers you're working with.
And so you're kind of subject to their
timing and desire for what they're going to fund at what time. So it's this very kind of
episodic, you know, where you hit scale points. So you might go from I've sold 10th thing a year to
all of a sudden I've sold 5,000. And it's this sort of very large jump that you hit,
you know, kind of in a not easy, clean way, which makes it very hard to scale the company, right?
Because you're like, well, you've got to be prepared to manufacture and build these things
at scale and support it at scale. But I don't know which one's going to hit when. And so
you're constantly doing this balancing act of being prepared to hit the scale button,
but not overdoing it early, which is a really tricky thing to thread.
I think we've had a huge advantage and are very appreciative of the amount of funding
we've been able to attract because I think we've shown success.
We've been able to show we can solve these problems and get it deployed with customers.
We can get adoption, but also a recognition of like, you know,
it turns out it's expensive to build and scale these types of hardware technologies.
And so we've had a lot of success in, you know, attracting funding and getting phenomenal investors who really back the vision of what we're trying to do.
And I think that's enabled us to grow and scale with customers where we're able to kind of jump this value of death of, well, you're a small company with interesting technology, but can you actually produce this at a scale that is meaningful to move the needle for the department on any sort of real conflict?
You know, one of the reasons so many people were excited to back you and you have great funders like Founders Fund and Andreessen Horver's General Catalysis.
list, et cetera, is because I believe you were the fastest company since the Korean War
to land what's known as a program of record, which often when you look at defense tech
companies, to your point, they're doing these small sort of pilots, which in some cases small
may be in the millions of dollars, and it looks like real revenue, but then it never really
scales or grows.
And a program of record is where you become a line item in the DOD budget effectively, and
often those are on the scale of hundreds of millions or billions of dollars, and many of
these contracts end up being public, right? Or in the public record, are there any contracts that
you can talk about or just so people get a sense of the scale at which, you know, some of the contracts
that you've closed or programs or records that you've won have been? Yeah, so that that's,
I think that's kind of like how we view success is this sort of, can we get to scale a little
programs? And we sort of measure our success by, are we getting things to field in volume
in a way that this is actually getting out? And so the, you know, the first one we had was with
customers in border protection, doing border security, I think was it like two and a half years
into the company. We had, I think it was like a $250 million kind of contract to start to deploy
that. And then I think maybe about a year or two later, we had landed a counter drone contract
with SOCOM for a billion dollars to, you know, kind of scale out and get these technologies deployed.
So, you know, these are pretty meaty contracts. You know, the sort of nature of the defense
businesses, you have these sort of very concentrated, large captures you're going after, which
is a bit high stress at times, but it's sort of the nature of what it is. But that's what
you have to do to succeed. Now, to actually be able to do those, to convince the government,
you are a good partner and trustworthy to do this, we've established a lobbying group day one
of the company, right? We were on the hill talking about what we do, why it's beneficial to
national security and why it's beneficial to the taxpayer, why this is a more efficient model of how
to build and deploy technology into defense. You know, we've had folks who are kind of prior government
service will come in and be able to, you know, know how to thread those conversations, know what
this very Byzantine budgeting process actually looks like, how to get these things through
the knot hole, right? You know, like the budget was being written, but the budget for 2026 is what's
being written today, right? So it's like that is the crazy reality of the U.S. Defense Department
is they do not operate on Silicon Valley time schedules for how to think about budgeting and
scaling these things. So you have to kind of really understand how the system works and understand
how do, you know, kind of convince the government that you are a trustworthy partner. And then a
big part of that is, you know, I think a lot of people in the tech world think that building the
tech is enough, right? Like that if I have a compelling product, that is,
what matters. But again, what the Department of Defense buys is a capability, and a capability
to them is not just the hardware and the software that does the thing. It's the support. It's the
training. It's the logistics. It's the manufacturing. It's all the integrations you got to do with
everything else. It's the security, the infrastructure. And so you end up needing to build this
pretty complex organization that has probably like 50 skill sets to be able to address the
holistic set of problems that you need to solve.
for this very unique customer base.
And that is a real challenge.
These people are hard to find.
It's hard to even know what to ask for.
It's hard to know, like, you know,
who's going to be successful or not
and get through all those wickets of,
you know, kind of compliance, security, all these things.
You know, it just takes years.
That's just kind of how it goes.
And, you know, having that knowledge in advance
really enabled us to hit the go button very quickly
around being able to solve these problems in a way they can buy it, right?
Like, you have to make this easy for them to say yes.
and make it so that they're going to be successful if they take a bet on you.
So we're very fortunate to have customers who are willing take a bet on an unknown company,
but we also kind of knew what was necessary to be able to scale,
and we're very aggressive in getting on top of that early.
What do you think is the next sort of big area of technology shift or technology adoption
in the defense world that's going to be a big C change?
Because I felt like when you came out, there was a very clear why now statement
between the rise of drones and the rise of machine vision and ML and
AI. And that created, I think, a really big opening for a great company, right? And do you think that
there are any similar openings today? Or do you think that was really the big shift and, you know,
everything going forward is sort of predicated on that change? So I think that shift is very consequential
and we're continuing to play that out, right? In terms of the, you know, how do I have more
autonomous systems kind of writ large, be able to operate more intelligently? I think, you know,
there's probably two other major shifts that I think are pretty interesting.
On the space front, I don't think the U.S. government has fully appreciated the monumental
shift that has happened with low cost of launch, how cheap it is to get satellites,
like very large constellations of satellites into low Earth orbit, and operate them efficiently
at scale.
There's a lot of technology overlap with the types of, you know, sort of command control and
communications technologies that we've worked on, but just, you know, the,
dollars to launch, you know, any given amount of satellite with Starship is going to be so
cheap. It changes things so fundamentally that I don't think people have fully realized how
monumental a shift that is going to be in terms of the ability to have these mega constellations
for the cost of what it was to get like four satellites up before. So that is a monumental
shift that I think is maybe 5% of the way through playing out. The second piece of this
is kind of, you know, sort of it's a little unclear if there's sort of a fundamental technology shift or just a kind of maturing of the, you know, sort of the startup community where things like hypersonics have a lot of actual really meaningful impact to defense.
Like it's, you know, got to tailor the applications correctly, but there are multiple companies doing very credible things on, you know, hypersonic air vehicles, hypersonic rockets and missiles that will be wildly cheaper than the state of the art defense.
And it's something that, you know, historically you would have said, that's actually like a really good Lockheed problem.
They're really good at this high end, very expensive stuff.
But there's companies now that are doing this for a fraction of the cost at five times the pace that will be able to fundamentally shift how the U.S. thinks about how those technologies can be applied, scaled, and built in a way now where it's like maybe we can make one or two bets on hypersonic missiles and that's kind of it's all we can afford.
But that's going to change dramatically.
And the intersection of all these things is actually very wild, right, where you start to say proliferated satellites and drones, you know, an ability to consume mass amounts of information, make sense of the whole battle space, and the ability to engage with targets at outrageously long ranges on a very quick timeline, that fundamentally alters the characteristic of how the U.S. fights and operates, where instead of having to get really close, put a carrier group into position, and put that huge asset in the thousands of lives.
at risk, you start to be able to do this stuff at outrageous distances. Now, it's also very hard
to counter, where how do you actually then say, well, our adversaries will be able to do the
same thing. So what does this actually even look like? In a lot of ways, you know, what we kind of
think about with how the future of, you know, sort of warfare plays out from sort of a policy
perspective is you are trying to create a deterrent effect where you are in a lot of ways
preserving the status quo. You are saying, like, an invasion of Taiwan will not work. It's just
not going to happen. Like it will not be successful. So you make it so that it's so clear that the
outcome of these conflicts is sort of unwinnable. And you do that through both, you know,
kind of a U.S. threat of force, but probably more so an allied threat of force. So giving them the
ability to withstand and, you know, kind of have the ability to prevent these, you know,
sort of invasions and ingress on their, their sovereignty. That becomes really key. And so we think
all those technologies kind of together really enable you to do this in an incredibly resilient way.
It's hard to counter is the scary part.
And then it pushes countering to a very different, you know, kind of strategy, which is, which is quite complicated.
Yeah. So I guess tech is traditionally had a really strong relationship with the DOD.
So Hewlett Packard, I think was started initially on some defense-related projects, or at least they came very early in the life of the company.
Cisco, Microsoft, Amazon, all these companies really deeply engaged with the government, with the defense department.
The internet actually started as a DARPA project, right?
And so there's a long history of these things being intertwined.
And more recently, a number of new companies in AI, like applied intuition, scale, obviously
Anderil, are strongly engaged in defense work.
And again, I think that's in sharp contrast to even five, six years ago, where it was a quite controversial or at least unpopular thing to do.
How do you think this renaissance came about?
Like, what changed or what shifted?
Well, I think Vladimir Putin has a way of changing people's minds about the necessity of defense.
And I think the invasion of Ukraine was a pretty large sea change in people's view of this,
where prior to that, I think there was a belief that state-on-state conflict wasn't real.
This wasn't going to happen.
Nobody was crazy enough to do it.
But I think we've seen that if a dictator thinks that force can be successful as a means of getting to their political lines, that is on the table.
They will try to use it.
And so I think the recognition that we need to provide the best technology to the U.S. and to U.S. allies, that we need to be able to, you know, kind of solve these problems in a more ethical way, be able to, you know, kind of deter this sort of aggression. That has been a massive shift from what we've seen, where this has become a very clear-cut issue. I think the other side of it is, you know, you kind of look at U.S. policy and views towards China. And I think we're still in the middle of the shift.
but, you know, G has kind of made clear in a lot of ways his intentions, like just listen to
what he says, right? It is a very aggressive posture. He does not view the U.S. as like we're
going to have some, you know, highly friendly relationship. Like, you know, it is a very tricky
situation. And he has said repeatedly that use of force is on the table in Taiwan. And so I think,
you know, you just, you just do need to listen to what he says, you know, kind of domestically,
especially, where they kind of give a different message outward. And so I do think that has been a
pretty significant shift in terms of people's view of, we're not at this sort of end of history
moment where, you know, sort of conflict is done. You know, people say this, all the, you know,
they said this before World War I, before World War II, right? You know, sort of like economic ties
will make this so that force is no longer interesting to anybody. It's like, it's just, it's not true.
There are people who will use force to accomplish their political ends if that works. And so we
have to make it not work. And so I think the, I think that realization has really shifted people
in terms of their belief of why this space is important. I think the other part of this is
starting to see, you know, more willingness and engagement from the Defense Department to work
with these new companies. So, you know, if you tried to do this 10, 15 years ago, you're going
crazy. Like, you would have to work. The department was not ready to accept that new ways of
operating were necessary. They didn't have the urgency. They didn't feel the pressure to reform.
They didn't feel like they were falling behind. And I think that has changed largely because of
the pace at which China has been able to modernize and build new technologies and sort of like
their pretty decisive advantage in countering the way that U.S. fights, the longer range of their
missiles, like all of these things are pretty substantial. So there was a degree of like realization that
the U.S. was in fact behind, and so the department has responded and does adapt to these things.
To give the Department of Defense credit, they have been operating for, you know, over a century,
and they have substantially changed the way they operate and organize multiple times over.
There are very few commercial companies that can say that is true.
Like, that is just not actually common.
So they do have an ability to change.
It is a monster bureaucracy, is millions of people, but they do pivot.
It is actually incredible that they can retool their organization against these.
kind of big shifts. It's not Silicon Valley pace. We wish it was faster, but they do move.
And so, you know, we're kind of in the middle of that right now. And so I think there's also this
sort of degree to which you can move the needle now. We're 10, 15 years ago. You could not.
So I think the combination of those things is a pretty monumental sea change in terms of how
the U.S. starts to think about defense. But I really do think that pivotal moment was
the invasion of Ukraine and a realization that taking a passive stance,
is not, it's not, you know, it's not effective anymore.
It's not going to work.
Brian, one last question for you.
If we're, you know, thinking now about the 2026 budget, like, where do we still need more urgency?
Like, where are we underinvested as a nation from a defense perspective or what adversary
capabilities do we need to react to that are coming online?
I think the biggest areas that I get nervous about are, it turns out the person.
Pacific is incredibly large. If you overlay the size of the U.S. onto the South China Sea,
the U.S. looks quite small. It's an amazingly huge amount of area and the ability to know what
is going on, to sense what's happening over that wide of an area, and to be able to act and
respond is a very challenging problem. So that sort of ability to kind of conduct the military
operations we need to do at those ranges while keeping sort of troops safe and presenting that
credible deterrent, you know, instead of forcing the administration to make a choice of
do you put troops in harm's way, instead saying you have options that the, you know, China would
take seriously and not have to guess whether it's politically expedient for you to put troops
in harm's way, that changes the deterrence calculus tremendously. So making that clear apparent
and knowing that we have that ability to reach out and act is huge. And then the second area
that I think is undervalued is the degree to which we need to provide
capabilities for our allies, and that those capabilities are not the same as what the U.S.
needs to conduct warfare at very long range. You know, you don't want necessarily to give Taiwan
the ability to strike deep into mainland China. That Ukrainians would 100% be doing that if we gave
them tools to do that into Russia. And I'm not clear that's good, but you want to give them the
capabilities to be able to withstand an invasion, to deter it, to make it incredibly hard to
make that successful to protect their coastal areas, protect the fiber optic cables, the shipping
lanes, all of those things. So you need them to have those abilities, and that often is a little
bit at odds with the ranges and capabilities that the U.S. wants to have. So figuring out kind of a
sophisticated strategy of how do we enable those allied forces, give them capabilities they need
invest in those capabilities while simultaneously having the U.S. have a credible deterrent that
you know, is sort of more politically believable is really, really key to, I think, presenting that
credible deterrence that, you know, the U.S. will respond, either through allies or directly,
in a way that is not going to be so politically tenuous that they are sort of forced out of, you know,
acting. Where else can the tech industry engage or support the DoD or other branches of the
government further? You know, I think a big part of this is things you started to see with Amazon
on Microsoft Google and being able to provide, you know,
kind of infrastructure, cloud capability, all of those things,
into kind of classified spaces and working in the ways the DOD needs to work.
I think there's a lot of areas on talking with like FlexPort about how do you start to help
the Defense Department on logistics and be able to do this more efficiently.
There's a lot of areas where I think Silicon Valley has figured out efficient ways to
operate in a lot of these conventional industries and modernize a lot of these
you know, kind of traditional ways of doing business
that have direct application into the DoD.
It's not easy.
It's not straightforward.
You've got to really figure out how to adapt your products to what they need.
But I think that is a huge part of it.
The other component is, I really believe Silicon Valley does itself a disservice
by not engaging in Washington.
There's sort of a belief that we should, you know, leave us alone,
we're going to figure out the tech, don't regulate us,
you know, let the tech mature, and then we'll figure out the consequences later.
I think we're seeing blowback on that, right?
We've seen blowback on crypto.
We're seeing blowback potentially on AI, on social media.
These things, Washington does have a vote, and rightfully so, right, in terms of how
this technology is used, how it impacts people's lives, and engaging, telling the
story, and helping Washington think through thoughtful regulation, thoughtful ways to
actually manage this and how it impacts the country.
is incredibly critical. So I think that's the other dimension that people need to take seriously
is spend time in Washington, actually engage with the legislators, educate them, help them
understand. They want the engagement. And there's a huge amount of benefit people can derive
from that in both sides. You know, when I first invested in Andriel, which was at the Seed Round,
it was the first time that I'd ever in my life gotten like hate texts. So it was initially
very controversial. And I can't even imagine what you folks dealt with as part of starting a defense
company right as Trump was coming in. And so I was just curious, like, what kept you going during
that period? How did you deal with the criticism and unpopularity? And to your point, the second Ukraine
happened, the same people started sending me texts about how amazing of a company Anderil is,
which was, you know, incredibly disconcerting for me to see how people just flipped, you know,
like you should have conviction in what you do, I think. What kept you going? So I've, for better
for worse, only worked in places that are incredibly controversial. I've worked on, you know, working
at Anderol, you're working on, you know, border security, working on defense. You need to have
clear conviction about why you are doing what you are doing. And the thing I've learned with this
is leadership and conviction matters. We've been clear. We work on weapons. We believe that's
important. We believe you can do it ethically. We believe it's necessary. And we're not shy
about that. And in fact, the most controversial articles have been some of the best ones where
they sort of say like, Anderl is, you know, doing all this advanced tech to solve these problems.
And, you know, this is scary stuff. And we're like, this is scary stuff.
You need to take it seriously.
And that is why we are here.
And that is why you want the best people working on this.
You just have conviction in what you're doing and why.
And if you do it in a responsible, ethical way,
that's all you can really ask for.
Yeah, I think that's a great point.
I think people really confuse popularity with leadership.
So, you know, that point really resonates.
Thanks so much for coming on, Brian.
This was really awesome.
And thank you for your work with Anderrell.
Thank you.
I really appreciate it.
Thank you.