Offline with Jon Favreau - AI’s Flirty Upgrade, Facebook’s Zombie Internet, and Why We May Be Doing Mental Health Wrong
Episode Date: May 19, 2024ChatGPT has officially entered its “Her” era! Jon and Max talk about the flirty AI that debuted this week, whose husky voice and warm enthusiasm evokes Scarlett Johansson. But not all the tech tit...ans are doing so hot; Facebook’s noxious combo of AI-generated content and the real people who are falling for it has been coined the “zombie internet.” The guys discuss Meta’s spam problem, then take a look at how mental health curricula in schools can actually make things worse for students. For a closed-captioned version of this episode, click here. For a transcript of this episode, please email transcripts@crooked.com and include the name of the podcast.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
I'm not saying if everyone has their like Scarlett Johansson,
chat GPT, sex bot companion,
it's necessarily going to radicalize everyone into joining like future QAnon.
But it would stand to reason that at least at some point,
it could decide to push people in a direction that is not healthy for them.
And if that were happening,
something we've learned over and over again is we're not going to know about it
until it's been happening for a while.
I was going to say all of these consequences were unintended and unpredicted.
Yes, right. And then no one finally realized it was happening until it had been happening
for a while. And then, of course, the tech companies fixed it right away and it was no
problem.
Yeah, no, no. Here we are. Here we are.
I'm Jon Favreau.
I'm Jon Favreau. I'm Max Fisher.
Max, exciting news.
We are announcing a new co-host on the show today.
Co-host, how you doing?
Hello there.
How's it going?
That, of course, was ChatGPT40.
Is that what we're called?
Not Scarlett Johansson?
But it sounds like it.
It does sound like Scarlett Johansson.
We'll get into it.
On today's show, Facebook, a place on the internet I've already vowed to never return,
has apparently gotten much worse.
Did you know that?
It has, yes.
And a new study out of the University of Oxford posits that mental health awareness campaigns
may actually have negative effects on teenagers.
But first, ChatGPT has officially entered its Her era. You remember Her, the movie?
I do.
From 2013.
About Joaquin Phoenix dates, his phone voiced by Scarlett Johansson, and they have a relationship.
This is sort of a phony thing. I don't know why I just said that, but we just did. It's just so
you all know.
I was going to play along.
Her is going to be in the Offline Movie Club.
In a few days.
In a few, yeah. And we just recorded it with Ezra Klein and it's a fantastic episode
but it just happened to fall
on the same week
that this news...
A weird timing.
We had planned it
months ago.
Sam Altman saw
our production calendar
and said,
I'm going to help my boys out.
I'm going to help
because these guys
love Silicon Valley so much
so it's time that we did
for them in turn.
Amazing.
This week,
in a live stream
from its San Francisco
headquarters,
OpenAI unveiled
a new voice assistant model
of ChatGPT that can, quote,
look, listen, and talk to users
via smartphone app.
Demos of the model are incredibly impressive, showing
ChatGPT respond to
conversational voice commands.
It provides real-time
math tutoring. Wow.
And it can even
write and tell stories.
And yes, the new model sounds Wow. And it can even write and tell stories. Yeah.
And yes, the new model sounds uncannily like Scarlett Johansson in the movie Her.
Can we play a clip from the story section?
So my friend Barrett here, he's been having trouble sleeping lately.
And I want you to tell him a bedtime story about robots and love.
Oh, a bedtime story about robots and love? I got you to tell them a bedtime story about robots and love. Oh, a bedtime story about robots and love?
I got you covered.
Gather round, Barrett.
Once upon a time, in a world not too different from ours,
there was a robot named Bite.
I want a little bit more emotion in your voice, a little bit more drama.
Got it.
Once upon a time, in a world not too different from ours,
there was a robot named
no no no chat gpt i really want maximal emotion like maximal expressiveness much more than you
were doing before understood let's amplify the drama once upon a time in a world not too different
from ours there was a robot named bite i gotta say chatPT does sound a lot like Scarlett Johansson.
And the guy sounds like every tech employee who's ever done a demo.
That's what his voice sounds like.
Employee demo GPT.
Yes.
Are you impressed?
You know what?
I'm impressed.
I will give it up.
We have blasted across the uncanny valley.
Some big caveats to what's impressive about this but i
think they're kind of two big breakthroughs at this one is the like the the thing we're all
reacting to the anthropomorphizing the fact that it like it pauses it laughs it like makes little
jokes it kind of like responds in a playful way to people's prompts that like sounds very human
um like at one point there was one uh demo i was
reading about where someone asked the new gpt to speak in a voice that sounded sarcastic and it
responded that sounds amazing being sarcastic all the time isn't exhausting or anything
and that's clever right it's like engaging with and playing off of the other like bucket of
breakthroughs or like things that are impressive about this is it can now process and respond to videos and audio.
Like that's what you heard.
Is it like or sometimes it could like there's a demo where someone showed it like held their phone up in front of a pond of ducks and said, what are the ducks are doing?
And it describes it.
In this one, there was a math equation.
This was the so he held his phone up to an algebra equation.
And it's like, can you help me with that?
And she's like, yeah, no problem.
Right.
And there were, there was one I saw where someone points their phone at Buckingham Palace
and says, can you tell whether the king is at home?
And the phone responds, yes, there's this flag that is up that because it's up signifies
whether.
How do they know that?
It's scary.
Right.
So it's like, it's doing a, an impressive amount of like, it looks like deduction, but just like scanning these images for information and processing them back in a way that sounds like conversational human speech.
Were you impressed by it as well?
The speed for me was just incredible.
That's a really big one.
Because the early versions of ChatGPT, even that, you'd like type in something and then it would wait and be processing. This was like real time conversation with the, you know, with very, very short pauses.
They have actually the open eye people, open AI people have talked a lot about that. Like that
isn't something I ever would have thought of as a big barrier to being a open AI or to making these
GPTs feel more realistic, but they've talked a lot about something called native multimodal support
where basically it's like instead of taking the input and processing it among multiple um ais it's
all in one big machine that processes everything together that's part of what makes it so fast it's
also how it can integrate across all these different systems some of the like i think caveats
to this is like one which is not a criticism but it's just like to look under the hood
a little bit this is not as big of a technological breakthrough as past rounds it's really more of a
like evolution and how they apply the existing technology and they just got like a little bit
or a good deal more clever in terms of figuring out what the systems are effective at and what
they're not effective at and leaning into the. And we've seen past versions of these that were able to replicate
colloquial sounding human speech in text,
and versions of these that are able to talk in a way that sounds human.
So it's just kind of plugging together things they already had.
I do think that like a couple of meaningful caveats to this to keep in mind.
One is that there's not much
practical application. That's what I was wondering. Yeah. It's very cool. It's very impressive. But
the only thing they've really shown that it can do is you can show it a math problem and it'll
solve it. Or you can take like, you can show code. You're like, hold it up in front of your screen
with a bunch of code and it'll tell you what's going on with that code, which is cool. But how
many ways are you really going to use that? And it will do translation, but it's it's sequential not simultaneous as in you have to wait for it to translate to each other person rather
than just having a conversation yeah and it's not actually that different from what google translate
does already anyway well and i also think like voice assistants are just i don't use siri i
don't use siri a lot just because i guess if you're alone working at a desk, you can probably get a lot of work done with a voice assistant maybe
or something like this.
But I don't know, a lot of people around where you get your headphones.
I mean, this is where it gets into the her of it all.
But you have your headphones in and you're just,
everyone's talking to their chat GPT assistant, friend, whatever.
It's incredible that they got the, like, what was a year ago just a, like, input-output chat box to now be, like, a flouncy, flirty AI that talks to you.
Speaking of that, we have another clip.
There's another big breakthrough here.
Right.
I wrote one last thing.
I'd love if you could take a look at.
Of course.
I'd love to see what you wrote.
Show it to me whenever you're ready.
Okay. So this is what I wrote down. do you see oh I see I love chat GPT that's so sweet of you the reason I'm in a really good mood is because we
were doing a presentation showcasing how useful and amazing you are oh stop it
you're making me blush.
Wow.
Sounds like.
We're getting really close to when we're going to fuck the AI.
It's really around the corner.
If it's not, I'm not.
Look, if people are doing it already, I'm not judging.
I support you.
Those guys are for sure.
Well, listen, they've been working hard on that system, so I applaud them.
Why do they make this model so flirty?
I mean, I think part of it is probably that that's what they can do.
Sex sells and has for hundreds of years.
Right.
Sex sells.
This is what the technology, like, it's not that good at solving problems.
Like, it gives you a lot of fake information.
It hallucinates a knot.
Solves some problems there.
That's right.
Wow. Can we turn the thermostat down in here it is heating up um i i will say that like even a year ago i would not have said they will the these ais will lean
into relationship like services or like things that would like like the kevin roos column when
he was talking about like oh it's like companion bots i really would would be like, like the Kevin Roos column when he was talking about like, oh, it's like companion bots.
I really would have thought like,
that's not going to happen.
It's not going to go anywhere.
But seeing the level of breakthroughs they've had in this,
I do think that we're closer to it
than we may be anticipated.
But I think there's a question about what,
what will those relationships actually be like?
Yeah.
I mean, as I was watching the demo,
I'm like, all right, this is still,
this is still ChatGPT, which is is still trained on it's a large language model it's still like it's just
scouring the internet right um it's not much like chat gpt like how up-to-date it is uh is also
you know changes all the time right um and so it will still give you the like i think it could give
you the illusion
that it's your pal
and then everyone
you know you'll still get hallucinations
right which is when they don't quite
they just malfunction basically
it's a fancier way for saying that they malfunction
and say crazy shit once in a while
like you'll still get that probably from this
just because it's got a voice
but it is
it might still try to get you to leave your wife
which is
something that the very first ones did
definitely not sentient
but I do think and
Ezra raised this when we were talking about her
if they start training it on
like your phone
and your data
and your experiences
the relationship part of it
could become a little more
realistic seeming
right because if they know everything about you if you have a shared past yeah right and they've
already there are already some um dating app companies that have are talking about getting
ais that will train on like all of the data on your phone or not i'm sure they don't say all of
it like your emails things like that in order to learn like what you like and what your interests are. And it's not a far leap from that
to learning, I mean, to doing what the Facebook algorithm does, which is learning what is,
what are the kind of emotions that are going to most engage your attention? What are the kinds of
like prompts and interactions that are going to be most like emotionally impactful to you? That's
already what these social media companies do.
And if it's now delivered instead of what social media companies have been doing up till now,
which is through, you know, a sorted and ranked feed of content from out on the internet,
but is instead from fake Scarlett Johansson talking sexy to you,
like, I don't know, what's it going to ask you to do?
Like, is it going to tell you to go rob a bank?
Maybe.
I was thinking more like it scans all of your messages and emails from the week,
and then you get home on Friday, and they're like,
sounds like you had a really tough week.
Do you want to talk about it?
I'm sure. Yeah, absolutely.
And a lot of people are like, yeah, I do want to talk about it, ChatGPT4O.
Right, yeah.
And I do, listen, I would see the allure of that technology.
It does seem like that is something that is at least going to be tried because it is something that is clearly within reach.
And it does feel like we are bound for some pretty big conversations pretty soon about what are those relationships?
Like, what do they mean for us?
Like, what is it?
How do we think about, like, where the, like, sexy companion bots fit into our lives?
Is there a taboo around it?
And, like, the Kevin Roos experiment with this where he set up those companion bots, like our lives? Is there a taboo around it? And like the Kevin Roos
experiment with this
where he set up
those companion bots
like clearly didn't go anywhere.
But I think we are getting closer.
At least that's what Kevin says.
That's right.
I know.
Just kidding.
Look, we're not far
from this chat GPT
having phone sex with people.
You could clearly do it
and I'm sure it would do
a very possible job.
Well, you mentioned the
robbing the bank, telling you to rob a bank.
So I was reading the, I think it was the Times analysis.
Oh, the Buckingham Palace analysis.
So, first of all, just a
classic New York Times
understated sentence here.
Some AI researchers have warned that the long-term implications
of deploying programs that mimic and respond
to emotions could be unwelcome.
Yeah, no, probably.
A team at Google DeepMind last month
released a research paper exploring the ethical risks
that may arise as AI assistants become more capable.
Among other things, the researchers warned
that such assistants could become highly persuasive
and addictive.
No shit.
Last year, a British man pled guilty
to breaching security at windsor castle saying that
a chatbot he had exchanged more than 5 000 messages with had encouraged him to do so i read that and
i was like of course yeah this is like this is where it's this is going to be the problem right
i mean it was the same like the fucking people who've been you know radicalized and become qanon
followers right it's like that shit except imagine ai. Which is, I think that's a great parallel to draw
because that specifically QAnon
was such a great lesson in
no one at Facebook or YouTube
said let's program all the algorithms
to like red pill people into QAnon.
The algorithms arrived at that
through this other set of goals
about maximizing engagement, blah, blah, blah, whatever.
But that is something that's happened repeatedly. Like flat eartherism was something
that the YouTube algorithm learned to push to millions of people. Like Gamergate was something
that's like 2016, a lot of like far right politics is like the algorithm learned for whatever set of
reasons to push huge numbers of people to Breitbart. And something that we've also learned
from social media is that as these experiences get more siloed, i.e. the TikTok experience, it becomes harder to understand and see when a big tech algorithm is pushing lots of people in a dangerous direction.
I'm not saying if everyone has their like Scarlett Johansson, ChatGPT, Sexbot companion, it's necessarily going to radicalize everyone into joining like future QAnon. But it would stand to reason that at least at some point it could decide to push people in a direction that is not healthy for them.
And if that were happening, something we've learned over and over again is we're not going to know about it until it's been happening for a while.
I was going to say all of these consequences were unintended and unpredicted.
Yes, right.
And then no one finally realized it was happening until it had been happening for a while
and then, of course, the tech companies fixed
it right away and it was no problem. Yeah, no, no. Here we are.
Here we are.
Our next story is about the tech platform
where people used to have pretend friends.
When was the last time you logged into Facebook, Max?
So I actually log in occasionally
because I use Marketplace,
which this is actually,
I've heard from people who work at Meta
that they have a ton of data
that a huge amount of their user base
is just there for Marketplace.
But it's pretty good.
You sell some stuff, you move,
it's really handy. Oh, okay. But it's pretty good. You sell some stuff, you move, it's really handy. But as to say that I was familiar with what you were about to
describe the newsfeed, and I can tell you it is very upsetting. Well, yeah, if any of you have
been on Facebook, anytime in the last year, you've probably noticed that the site's newsfeed has
gotten dramatically worse. Over at 404 Media, Jason Kobler proposes that Facebook isn't just an example of the,
quote, dead internet, which is the internet where bots talk to bots, but that Facebook has devolved
into something much worse, what he calls the zombie internet. According to Jason, Facebook
has become a mix of bots, humans, and, quote, accounts that used to be human interacting with
AI-generated spam. Quite a story arc for Facebook, I gotta say.
It goes from rating the attractiveness of Harvard co-eds
to bringing the world together to enabling genocide
to becoming the premier destination for spam bots
and AI garbage.
So excited to find out what's next for us
on this great journey it's taking 4 billion of us on.
It's gonna be awesome, I'm sure.
Why do you think Facebook, more than any other platform,
has become so overrun with the AI garbage?
Well, so have you seen, because it's a very specific kind of AI garbage
that is filling Facebook news feeds.
Did you look at any of these?
Incredibly disturbing.
It's very disturbing.
And weird.
Yeah, so if you open up your Facebook,
there's a very good chance that you are going to see
upwards of 50% of the content on your news feed
is going to be these AI generated
images that are going to be some combination of like uncanny valley engagement bait where a lot
of it is it's like it's Jesus holding up a sign saying like throw Jesus a like. There's a good
description in the piece which is uh so that Jason says the types of content I've seen go viral have
ranged from AI generated log cabins and kitchens and nature scenes and AI-filtered celebrities to shrimp Jesus.
Shrimp Jesus shows up a lot.
Jesus with hot flight attendants.
Deformed children, deformed celebrities, hot soldiers, African children who, quote,
built something, and variations of all of the above.
Yeah, it's a lot of...
If that sounds weird, go look at some of the images.
Even fucking weirder.
It's a lot of people who are disfigured and that are holding up some sign that says, give me a like.
It's all engagement bait.
The idea is it gets people to post a comment beneath or to put a like.
And it's spam.
If you like, if you engage in any way, if you post a comment, you're going to get absolutely barraged with catfishing messages or spam saying,, click this link or it's like,
thank you so much for this like,
like please message me on Telegram
because I really need help with something
that's just intended to spam people out of money.
But to answer your question,
why is Facebook being totally overrun?
Part of it is this thing that this story gets into
where like scammers have been taking over
big Facebook pages.
That's something that's been happening for a long time.
A lot of this comes down to the fact that it's a declining platform.
It has been for a couple of years.
So it's in this weird zombie death march state
where the number of users is declining,
especially the time they spend and the site is declining.
So Facebook, in response to that, has wildly dialed up their algorithm.
Zuckerberg said recently that they have gone from 15% of the
content in your feed is selected by the algorithm from pages you don't follow, content you've never
engaged with, just like the algorithm thinks that you will engage with this, to now 30%.
And it's surfacing a lot of that spam AI because it's weird, it's engaging, it's hard not to stare
at it like we're talking about it and it just like catches your eye.
Who's doing it is my question because like I get, I get why it benefits Facebook because
it's more engagement.
So they don't want to shut it down.
Right.
But like, who's like, I don't know if I put up this weird image and get a bunch of likes
that connect the dots, then what happens?
So it's, it's scammers.
It's engagement farmer scammers.
They get a lot for some of it is you get a lot of people to engage with your page by posting up a lot of these images.
Then you just sell ads against it.
And if you're, you know, you're not making a ton of money, but if you're like a scammer in Romania and you've got 10 pages that each have 20 million viewers on them, then you can generate some cash from it.
A lot of it is something that I saw someone on Twitter referred to as Grandma Bait, which is this specific thing where it's images
that are meant to pull in older Facebook users,
which is now the predominance of the platform,
who are maybe a little bit less attuned to scamming.
And it's something that it's like,
I baked my first cake, please give me a like,
and they post it like, oh, that's so sweet, darling.
And then it gets immediately 40 or 50 AI-generated comment responses
that are trying to bait them into an interaction
that ends with them eventually handing over
their credit card information.
There was someone who...
Boomer bait.
It's boomer bait, yeah.
And there was someone who...
I actually thought this was kind of heartbreaking.
Someone who responded to this thread about Grandma Travis,
there's a great name for it,
who responded,
my mother-in-law was scammed out of fifty thousand
dollars via facebook and after confronting her and proving without a doubt that they were fake
she did it again for some it is a form of addiction that need to be needed and valuable and i think
that's true and it's yeah it's a fucking bummer that facebook is i don't think they're intending
to prey on this but i'm sure they know it's happening but they're so they're desperate
because the platform is doing so poorly to get whatever engagement they can.
This isn't entirely related to this topic, but it is Facebook.
Like, there was a deactivation experiment.
Oh, yeah.
This is more how it affects politics.
It's interesting now because I think this spam conversation is, like, Facebook used to be radicalizing people in politics.
And now I don't know if it's just breaking people's brains or scamming them.
Straight to scams.
Right. But there was this experiment on people who deactivated their Facebook accounts around politics.
Yes. So this was in 2020.
So this is a few years ago and they've changed their algorithms a few times since then.
It was relevant for how we read this.
They had 20,000 Facebook users and 16,000 Instagram users deactivate
for six weeks during the election.
They studied all the effects, what changed.
And relative to past experiments like this,
a lot less change than had in the past
in terms of things like their engagement with politics,
their misinformation levels,
which suggests that Facebook had changed
the way their algorithm worked for the 2020 election. We knew that. We knew that they were especially well-behaved for
that election because they had, I don't know if you remember this, there were like big uprisings
among their employee base even, like people were walking out and there was a lot of scrutiny on
them. Now they rolled back a lot of these protections after the election, so don't get too
excited about it. But even in this study that found
relatively few effects, among the people who deactivated, their support for Trump changed
in a way that is suggestive that being on Facebook and Instagram increases someone's
likelihood of voting for Donald Trump by 2.6%. And there's this funny thing that happens where
in the study, they're like, well, that's not statistically significant significant 2.6 percent but you know where it is significant the fucking electoral college
i was gonna say that's that's election determining well i thought about that again today because the
times did a another story on their new york times sienna polls and they um listed the characteristics
of voters who told uh the times that they were not voting for Biden but did in 2020.
So, they were Biden defectors.
And the top characteristics are, you know, some are unsurprising, think the economy is poor, you know, want fundamental change.
Sure.
Uses TikTok sometimes or often.
Really?
Yep, 40%.
Man. TikTok sometimes or often. Really? Yep. 40%. I honestly, I feel like I have a hard time at this
point navigating knowing how to talk about TikTok's influence about our politics because there's so
many bad actors in this conversation. Yeah. And there's so many people saying that like, oh,
TikTok is the only reason that people are upset about what's happening in Gaza. Or it's like
TikTok is tricking people into believing this or that. Or there's like other people who think they want to take away our TikTok because they don't like that it's enlightening our politics.
But it does seem like it is having a pretty profound effect on our politics, which if you talk to people who spend a lot of time in the app and about the kind of news they receive relative to what's in the newspaper, it's different.
Well, and this is where it's helpful to take the uh you know this is a
chinese spyware app and right the kids are all going crazy because they're on the tiktok right
if you take that away yes other social media platforms like facebook that's a good point right
have the same kind of effect right is it because suddenly they're just getting like secret mega
propaganda maybe not right but is it like they are being, people are being shown
just like the world is a fucking mess, everything's awful,
and like, I think it relates more to the doomerism that you get on social media
and sort of the rage bait and all those emotions that it fuels
and what that does to your political leanings than it does any specific issue.
Oh, that's a great point. I think that's exactly right because something that we learned when we
were trying to, when all of us were trying to understand the effects of Facebook, Instagram,
Twitter, and YouTube on the 2016 election, a big thing that we kept coming back to
is that it really pushes people towards adversarial ways of looking at the world,
that it's about my group versus your group, that it's about my identity is under threat
by something that is scary that we have to go confront.
It's all about putting people into buckets
and then they are good or bad
based on where they fit in those buckets
and this kind of activating around this sense of tribalism.
And I think that you are really right
that we are going to find in a couple of years
when we start to have a better understanding
of what TikTok does,
that it is going to engender a lot of cynicism,
nihilism, pessimism about the world.
The reasons for that are complicated
and it has to do with like what performs the platform
and what incentives the creatives have learned.
But it has a profound effect.
But I mean, all the things you just mentioned
are like jet fuel for authoritarianism.
Yes.
Literally every single one you mentioned, nihilism, cynicism, anti-institutionalism,
lack of trust in any authority figures, like that is what's really what it's fueling here.
Right, because it fuels a sense that because the entire system is broken and corrupt,
we have to smash it, we need a strong hand.
Which is not to say anyone who is on TikTok
is going to become an authoritarian, but I think that you're right that it does. It primes people
for that in a way that I think we're beginning to understand. Some quick housekeeping before
the break. If you're listening to this, you're probably not an undecided voter. Maybe, who knows?
But I'm willing to bet you have at least a few of them in your contacts.
So how do you convince people that democracy is on the line in 2024?
I am back with season four of The Wilderness
to explore the minds of voters who are disenchanted, disengaged,
or otherwise uncommitted.
I'm so excited for this.
I'm excited too.
With the help of some of the smartest strategists,
pollsters, and organizers in politics today,
we set out to uncover what moves voters and how we can persuade the persuadables in your life.
The trailer is out now in the Wilderness feed, and the first two episodes are releasing next Sunday.
Oh my gosh, next Sunday?
All right.
We've got to get going.
Tune in every other Sunday after that throughout the summer for the goods you need to convince every last person in your life to show up this election
year. Also,
I got an update here
from Organizer Else, VoteAid America.
You're obviously on
your Team East.
I'm Team West.
And we are dominating is my understanding.
Apparently, you guys have
made 15,000 more voter
contacts than we have what the fuck team west
who's responsible for this oh yeah i am i am sorry sorry i'm gonna stop the steal what's going on
thank you to team east if you are not playing along with organizer else it's great people
love it it's really fun and you get to be if you're really fun. And you get to be, if you're on the East Coast, you get to stay winning, which is great. VoteSaveAmerica.com slash 2024. Sign up,
but especially sign up if you live west of the Mississippi. That's my message today.
I still love you if you live on the East Coast. New research out of the University of Oxford by Lucy Foulkes and Jack Andrews
argues that mental health awareness campaigns may actually have a negative effect on teens.
The research points to results from a school-based trial
that showed that students who underwent training on the basics of cognitive behavioral therapy did not emerge healthier than peers who did not participate in training and in some cases were worse off.
Folks in Andrews call this phenomenon prevalence inflation, which is when a greater awareness of mental illness leads people to frame their everyday struggles as symptoms or diagnoses.
Oof.
Yeah.
I'm treading carefully here.
Max, what'd you think of the study?
I always appreciate when you let us know
when you're about to give us a cancelable take.
I can put my John's getting canceled
blast glasses and helmet on.
I have a very nuanced take on this.
No, we do.
To be clear, I do think that we're going to navigate this
in a sensitive, thoughtful way.
It's just fun to make fun of you.
So one caveat to this study is that they used
cognitive behavioral therapy,
which is a very specific kind of therapy
that is maybe not like the perfect proxy
for mental health awareness writ large.
I don't know if you're familiar with it.
I've done it before.
Yeah, what's the difference between?
Give us a breakdown.
So when you think of therapy,
what you probably think about is like Tony Soprano
sitting with Dr. Melfi,
like trying to get to the core of his experience
and the human experience.
And CBT is much more practical.
It's like I said, of tools and methods that you learn for how to navigate and cope with feelings day to day. Like if you really have trouble with anxiety when you get on a plane, like mindfulness or something called dialectical behavior therapy, and they found the exact same results. So even though that
is a limitation of this study, I do think that the research as a whole really supports her prevalence
inflation theory. She had this great quote on it, the researcher Lucy Fox, it's creating this
message that teenagers are vulnerable, they're likely to have problems, and the solution is to outsource them to a professional.
When she says it's, what she's referring to is schools that bring in mental health programs that are mandatory for all students, which is something that is happening a lot post-2020 and is very well-intentioned.
But I think that she is right that it's having this larger effect as well. So just to so people know what the study is, this trial followed 28,000 teenagers over eight years. So quite a big study, big sample
size, long study. And half of the teenagers were trained by their teachers to direct their
attention to the present moment, breathing, physical sensations, or everyday activities
in 10 lessons of 30 to 50 minutes a piece. So this is mindfulness.
And the authors reported no support for our hypothesis that mindfulness training would
improve students' mental health. In fact, students at highest risk for mental health
problems did somewhat worse after receiving the training. So it's not like a, it's a pretty big
study. So they speculate in the study that mental health training
programs bring awareness to upsetting thoughts and in car i don't know why i'm laughing but it
is just sort of it's almost i love it it's almost so obvious that it's like if you put people alone
right with all of their problems and just be like just think and breathe with no other help yeah of
course that's not gonna work well do you know what that reminds me of?
What?
Doom scrolling.
No kidding?
It's like being on your phone.
Well, and then another one,
when you're doing a bunch of,
when you have a bunch of people doing that together,
they call this co-rumination.
And it's like, so it's basically...
Podcasting.
You're spinning each other.
It's a bunch of kids spinning each other up
about bad problems right
with no solutions so and not really talking it through with one another either right i so i think
that this study has come at an important moment which is good because as you said it's something
that has been in the pipeline for many many years and studies like it have to where we are at a
point where i think we both have a growing appreciation for the importance of mental
health especially for kids and especially for young kids. We are all much more versed in it,
and that is in many ways a good thing. We have much more understanding about psychological
symptoms, how to navigate them, how to think about working with and helping our colleagues
or friends who have psychological symptoms. But at the same time, I think that we are also becoming aware that the all therapy everything is not always a useful or helpful frame and that it also comes with downsides.
I'm not going Tom Cruise on you.
I'm not saying that like therapy is bad.
I'm not saying that mental health awareness is bad.
I don't think that's the conclusion of this study either. that, you know, rumination is a good word for it. That when we are just encouraging rumination,
we are just encouraging people to think about having problems
inside their own minds and to pathologize them
and especially to label them is something I really want to talk about.
I think we are learning that that comes a lot of downsides too.
Well, I mean, my view on this is that it replicates so much of,
big surprise, what's wrong with like just living your whole lives online, right? All right, so I'm feeling, I'm getting fed a TikTok about let's diagnose if you have anxiety.
Do you have racing thoughts?
Do you panic sometimes?
Are you like perseverating on some kind of bad interaction you had with someone?
You probably have anxiety. And then it's like, then go talk kind of bad interaction you had with someone? You probably
have anxiety. And then it's like, then go talk to someone. Maybe you get a medication. Maybe then
you go tell people I have anxiety and I'm labeling it, right? And you may or may not have anxiety.
You may or may not have issues. Probably you do. The solution, right? Like I think that the
prevalence of people with mental health issues may not be inflated.
But the idea that, like, simple mindfulness or, like, looking at a TikTok or, like, Googling and trying to label yourself and go, like, that that's going to fix it is maybe not on the mark.
Because, like, and I'm speaking from someone who, like, I thought, I was like, I'm never going to do therapy.
I don't need therapy.
And then I started therapy two years ago.
And the reason that I like, I was like thinking, I'm like, why does it, why do I like it so much?
Because it's not like I go and my therapist is like, do this, do that and do the other thing and you'll be great.
It's, I'm like, oh, I get to go once a week and just talk to someone about everything that's going on.
And like no filter. I can share everything.
And she talks, we hang out, we, you know, it's, it's like a, it's like a, it's like a relationship
that you have and it feels, it just feels better to get a lot of the stuff off your chest that has
been bothering you. And so the, the, the key is I don't feel alone with those thoughts because I have shared them with someone.
And I think what some of this mindfulness stuff does is the opposite of that, which is it does put you alone with your thoughts.
Or it tells you that like you and all these other kids are going to sit here and do this training and hear about the climate and wars and everything else and just sit and
breathe and you'll be great. That I think doesn't work. That had not occurred to me,
but that's a really good point. And it's making me think about conversations I used to have with
a friend of mine who's a psychiatrist. She's a psychiatrist. She works in the UK for the NHS.
She's a big Freudian, which is, wow, is that ever a cult? But she would like talk a lot
about, there's a ton of, as you can imagine, research into psychiatry. And a lot of it focuses
on the relationship between the therapist and the client, like a huge amount of it, like almost as
much or more as talking about diagnosing things or labeling things or the methods. And that does
make sense because we know so much of how we process information,
how much we process our emotions,
how much we process our sense of identity is relational.
That's just how we're wired.
That's just a weird quirk of the human experience.
And it does seem like a very striking contrast
with the mental health programs at these schools
where I use you saying it's individual.
And it does seem similar to, again, the experience on social media, where it is encouraging you, you know, one-on-one with your
phone, you don't have a relationship with it, but telling you to diagnose yourself. And there is a
lot of evidence that rates of self-diagnosis have shot way, way up for young people, especially ones
who are on TikTok, but I'm sure it's on Reels as well.
And that that leads to very real psychological issues. The power of a label, it's incredible.
I was reading there's this great New York Times Magazine story by Katie Englehart that came out earlier this year. She just won a Pulitzer for a different story. So congratulations to her.
It's a lot about the way that treatment of anorexia is involving.
And a lot of it has to do with treating people who have struggled with anorexia their entire lives and palliative care for anorexia.
And this is a very, as you can imagine, very controversial topic.
But something that people in this field will talk a lot about is like, look, you put out a paper that creates a new name, palliative care for anorexia, or that expands the labels or shrinks the labels for who has anorexia.
That will materially affect people who are patients and how they think of their own symptoms and therefore the symptoms that they feel.
The power of suggestion in this is incredibly powerful. And when you Google these things because if you're interested in your care, so you look up what's the research on it or you hear from your therapist and you are told you are anorexic or not anorexic, that materially changes your relationship with food just having that pathologizing label.
Do you know the story about the fight over updating the DSM?
Okay, you know the DSM, right?
It's the big psychological Bible.
It's short for Diagnostic Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders. They updated from DSM 4 to 5 about 15 years ago. And there was this huge fight and debate, maybe not fight, but huge debate among the people who worked on the DSM because it was this argument of like, look, there have been huge evolutions in how we study and understand
psychological diagnoses and mental disorders. We're much more empirical about it now. A lot
of these labels are very fuzzy. There's overlap. It's not clear where the lines are. So we were
going to really like use this new neurological research that we have now to tighten up these
lines of who gets diagnosed with what, you know, be more formal on our definitions, be more empirical about it. And it was incredibly controversial because it meant that people were going to gain or lose
labels for certain diagnoses. And like, so happens when now we are in a purely identity-based
culture. Well, again, another thing that the internet does, right, is it pushes us towards
identity as like the most salient
characteristic. And then therefore, if we are labeling ourselves or identifying ourselves as
a diagnosis, or we cannot be labeled as that, and we want to, right? And we should also talk
about like where the desire comes from. It's not like a bunch of people are like, I feel great.
I'm going to decide today that I'm anxious because I saw a TikTok video. That's right.
I think the challenge is people's feelings are valid and the anxiety they're having is valid. Whatever the label
is, like you still may need to go get help, right? But it's going to be different for different
people. And so I do think sometimes the labeling becomes tricky because like people don't want to
seem that if they're feeling very anxious, that like they weren't anxious enough to get this label and diagnosis.
And so then they're not going to help.
And that would be that's bad.
Right.
Yeah.
But it is important to sort of like figure out what's actually going on with you and what the best way to help that help with that is well and that was what lucy fox who did this research was talking about is that when you give people a label the way that that is often interpreted in this specific cultural
moment that we are in is that that behavior is therefore fixed and that the that is something
that you are going to need a crutch for and there's not something that you should work on
or try to improve and it's also something you need to be accommodated on from other people and
that is often true with mental disorders but the the increased prevalence of labeling and diagnosing
changes how people interact with their own internal emotional experiences i'm not saying
that that is necessarily a good or bad thing. Sometimes it is important to have a label for that. This is in the big DSM experiment, they talked a lot about
the shifting labels for autism and how it's very important for a lot of people to have a fixed,
concrete, specific definition of what that is so people know how to relate to it themselves.
But those labels have gotten so much fuzzier because of the way social media delivers them.
Because like you said, it incentivizes creators to generate new labels to give people to say the reason that
you're feeling this way isn't because sometimes people feel sad or because you're coming out of
the pandemic or because you know the world is messy right now it's because you have a specific
flaw that is built into your nature that it's innate to you that you just need to sit with.
And so it's not surprising that that would make people sadder than if they maybe got some different messaging on it.
Well, and I think the reason why it's challenging is the piece ends with Lucy Kim.
She's a Yale senior who has lobbied for better mental health support on campus. And she described the prevalence and inflation hypothesis as,
quote, disheartening, dismissive, and potentially dangerous,
providing another way to discount the experiences of young people.
I think this is where it becomes challenging because
really the study is not trying to discount the experiences of young people.
The study is saying that some of the solutions,
some of the treatment,
some of the things that people are doing,
these schools are doing to help people
with this anxiety are not effective.
And that perhaps there are other methods
that we should use to help people with this.
And I think that, again,
it all goes back to identities and labeling and stuff like that. But putting up And I think that like, again, it all goes back to like identities and labeling
and stuff like that.
But like putting up that wall
to be like,
I don't know,
the study says,
the study says that maybe
mindfulness doesn't work.
That does not mean that
the studies also said,
oh, you're all lying
and it's all just in your head.
And to be clear,
I think we're not like
scolding the kids
for feeling sad
and telling them like,
suck it up and be tough.
I think that what we are
wrestling with
and what I certainly feel like I don't have a solution for,
is what is the proper way to navigate both the things that are important and useful
about pathologizing, about labels around,
and diagnoses around certain mental and psychological states,
and how do we think about navigating the downsides of those as well.
And that's a tough problem, but it is definitely only going to get tougher and more salient.
Yeah.
All right.
Well, that's all for today.
We just did some therapy, Max.
That's what we do every week here.
We always do.
That's called potting, baby.
We will be back here with you again next week.
Bye, everyone. Offline is a Crooked Media production.
It's written and hosted by me, Jon Favreau, along with Max Fisher.
It's produced by Austin Fisher.
Emma Illick-Frank is our associate producer.
Mixed and edited by Jordan Cantor.
Audio support from Kyle Seglin and Charlotte Landis.
Jordan Katz and Kenny Siegel take care of our music.
Thanks to Ari Schwartz, Madeline Herringer, and Reed Cherlin for production support. Thank you. How does the brain process memories?
Why is AI a solution and a problem for our climate?
What is leadership in 2025 and beyond? The TED Radio Hour explores the
biggest questions and the most complicated ideas of our time with the world's greatest thinkers.
Listen to the TED Radio Hour wherever you get your podcasts.