On with Kara Swisher - Dissecting Elon Musk’s Hostile Takeover with Anne Applebaum, Eoin Higgins & Ryan Mac

Episode Date: February 6, 2025

Elon Musk and a band of young DOGE engineers are taking control of key government infrastructure. The scale and speed with which they’re hijacking control of the federal government is shocking, and ...even President Donald Trump appears not to know all that Musk is doing.  In order to analyze what’s actually happening and understand how and why other tech billionaires are also cozying up to Trump, we’re joined by Anne Applebaum, Eoin Higgins & Ryan Mac. Applebaum is a staff writer for The Atlantic, a Pulitzer Prize-winning historian, and author of the recently released Autocracy, Inc.: The Dictators Who Want to Run The World. Higgins is a reporter for the IT Brew and author of Owned: How Tech Billionaires on the Right Bought the Loudest Voices on the Left. And Mac covers corporate accountability across the global technology industry for the New York Times, and he is the co-author of Character Limit: How Elon Musk Destroyed Twitter. This episode was recorded on Monday February 3rd.  Questions? Comments? Email us at on@voxmedia.com or find us on Instagram and TikTok @onwithkaraswisher Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 Hi everyone from New York Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast Network. This is On with Kara Swisher and I'm Kara Swisher. We're currently in the middle of a hostile takeover of the federal government orchestrated by Elon Musk. He's bringing his Twitter destruction playbook to the US government and unfortunately, much of the mainstream media is covering it with a big shrug as if it's just another Tuesday. It is not and it's really important that the media step up and really understand what's happening at each of these federal agencies, which are being run rough shot over by Elon Musk and his team
Starting point is 00:00:46 at Doge. So, I've gathered three of the sharpest journalists I know to begin unpacking this unprecedented government takeover, which is still unfolding, as I said. Ann Applebaum is a staff writer at The Atlantic and a Pulitzer Prize-winning historian. Her latest book is Autocracy, Inc. The Dictators Who Want to Run the World. Owen Higgins is a reporter with IT Brew who covers cybersecurity, IT jobs, and government tech. He's just published
Starting point is 00:01:11 a book called Owned, how tech billionaires on the right bought the loudest voices on the left. And Ryan Mack is a New York Times reporter who covers corporate accountability across the global technology industry. His book is character limit how Elon Musk destroyed Twitter and it's required reading if you want to understand what Musk is doing to the federal government right now. So stick around. Get groceries delivered across the GTA from real Canadian superstore with PC Express. Shop online for super prices and super savings. Try it today and get up to $75 in PC optimum points. Visit superstore.ca to get started.
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Starting point is 00:02:52 Your bank account will thank you later. And Owen, Ryan, thanks for coming on on. Thanks for having us. Thank you. Thanks, Kara. Okay. So it's obviously a lot of news happening. This weekend was kind of crazy.
Starting point is 00:03:10 So let's get to it. On Friday, after Elon Musk began to lock career staff out of the Office of Personal Management out of the system, I posted, this is a hostile takeover of the federal government by a private citizen of unlimited means with no restrictions and no transparency. Welcome to the deep state. I think I was underselling it. Since then, his band of young engineers and acolytes have done the same to the General Services Administration or GSA, taking control of payment systems at the Treasury Department
Starting point is 00:03:37 or threatening death to the US Agency for International Development or USAID. Just the beginning, I assume. I'd love your top line assessment so far and what's next. Ryan, then Anne, then Owen. I'm gonna talk my book up a little bit here, literally and figuratively. But yeah, I mean, we've seen this playbook before.
Starting point is 00:03:57 This is what he did with the Twitter takeover and he is implementing that playbook now with the federal government. He's coming in with kind of a low knowledge background of how these things work, but high confidence in that he can be the expert or is the expert in a lot of these things. He's the expert cutter. He's someone who prioritizes engineering above everything and he's deploying those tactics now across OPM or GSA or any three-letter agency so yeah that's kind of my top
Starting point is 00:04:31 one. All right, Ann? I would describe it as a hostile ideological takeover of the US government. He has a different view of the world, he's not an American patriot, he doesn't believe in the rule of law. He doesn't believe in the Constitution. He's attempting to impose another very different ideology on how the government works. I hate to say it with my – I won't tout my books, but my – in Soviet history, the first thing I thought of was the way that Stalin took over the Soviet Communist Party was by controlling personnel, famously. Personnel management, management of the cadres. This is a famous way by which you take over and transform a political institution or party
Starting point is 00:05:16 to make it do what you want and to change what it was doing before. That's what this looks like to me. Owen? Yeah. I mean, I think that the lack of accountability here is also a large part of the problem. That's probably my main takeaway. I've spoken with a couple of people in different departments of the federal government and they're all kind of describing a situation where there's been so many people cut or people, or either their jobs been cut or they're cut out
Starting point is 00:05:45 of the decision-making process, that now we're in a situation where nobody really knows like what's going on and how that is all going to play out. I think my two biggest fears here are one that they're going to be, I've heard from a couple of people in different agencies that there are AI recording software that's being used for just every meeting that they're having. That's one. And then two, I mean, I'm afraid not only with that, but just in
Starting point is 00:06:18 general with a lot of this private personal information, whether it's individuals or sensitive information within any of these agencies that Musk is going to do something maybe like the Twitter files and hand it over to a friendly journalist or hand over some kind of curated amount of this information and push out some public information that should be public, sure, but then I'm more afraid that there'll be information that he will kind of curate and put out there to attack his political enemies Yeah, that works so well with the Twitter files, right? Right wasn't it was a little bit of an egg on his face
Starting point is 00:06:51 So let's start with the OPM and Ryan let's you address this which sent an email to all federal employees offering them the generous Possibly a legal exit package if they resigned at all the hallmarks of Elon's as you said Twitter tactics right down to the subject line Which read fork in the road. I think he purposely did that to say it was me. On top of that, government tech workers have been called into meetings and forced to explain their coding to very young Doge people with Gmail addresses who won't even identify themselves. They've done the same with GSA, staffing it with Musk loyalists like Steve Davis and his wife Nicole Hollander,
Starting point is 00:07:26 who don't seem to have any expertise in this, as you said. Ryan, you wrote the book about Elon's Twitter takeover. Explain the parallels. Yeah. So we'll start with that email. Fork in the Road was an email he sent during the Twitter takeover. He offered these sort of buyout packages to employees. Basically you take this, you can leave with a couple months pay, no questions asked.
Starting point is 00:07:52 But if you don't take this package, you are opting in to become a quote unquote, extremely hardcore employee. You are working for me around the clock. We're going to build some great things and we're going to transform this company. And it was kind of a very pivotal moment in the Twitter takeover, you know, a couple of weeks after he had finalized his deal to buy the company, where he was kind of, you know, drawing a line in the sand and saying, you know, we're going to separate the people that want to be here from the people that are just hanging on.
Starting point is 00:08:22 And so, you know, he, he sent that same email to federal employees last week. The subject line is, is the same, although there was one key characteristic in that, um, with Twitter, he made people opt in to staying, which caused a lot of problems. You know, you have to directly say, you know, you want to stay here and work with me. In this case with federal employees, you have to opt in to resigning, essentially. And there's a lot of questions over whether that's legal, whether he has the authority to do that, whether there is even funding to provide people
Starting point is 00:08:55 with these kinds of, I guess, delayed resignations. But the hallmarks are all there, and we can see the parallels. So obviously the government's a different creature, and their argument is that they're trying to make the government more like the private sector essentially. That's their biggest argument or that brings Silicon Valley management style to it.
Starting point is 00:09:14 But what it feels a little bit like Ann is Eastern European feel to it. DOGE is getting access to incredibly sensitive information including the Treasury Department's payment system that includes information on government contractors that are competing with Elon's companies as well as sensitive data about people's finances. It caused the department's top career official to resign. Talk about the obvious conflicts of interest here, Anne.
Starting point is 00:09:38 Does it compare to some of the kleptocracies and governments you saw in Eastern Europe after the fall of the Iron Curtain? What does this portend in that regard? Yeah, so to be clear, there is no precedent in American history for a private businessman having this kind of influence over the very intimate elements of the US government. Of course, rich people have always been influential before, sometimes very influential. They've shaped legislation, they've influenced presidents and so on. But to have a private businessman who has no government position, who has not been confirmed
Starting point is 00:10:12 by Congress, the people who are working for him are not government employees or it's unclear with their statuses, they don't have any right to this information, they don't have security clearances, This breaks so many lines of illegality that, as I said, it looks much more like a hostile takeover by an outside power. I mean, so this is, these are people trying to substitute their version of reality or their version of how the world should work on top of government officials whose jobs, whose salaries, whose programs have all been approved by elected U.S. government officials. Right.
Starting point is 00:10:52 Right. In this case, he's saying that they have permission from the president. He noted that several times. Permission from the president is completely meaningless. Meaningless, exactly. But I'm noting that he's saying that. Congress has control over spending. Congress allocated the money for these programs.
Starting point is 00:11:06 This is illegal at a new level. And you're right, in that sense, it looks much more like, as I said, the Communist Party taking over the Polish state in 1944, 1945. It's imposing a different set of rules, literally a different ideology, you know, a belief that one person gets to decide everything, that this isn't a, you know, that voting doesn't matter, Congress doesn't matter, the Constitution doesn't matter,
Starting point is 00:11:34 and the legal system doesn't matter. Right. So Doge is already getting dogged by reports that it was set up to skirt around government transparency laws. For example, they're apparently using Signal to communicate. Owen, in your book, Owned, you wrote about the Twitter files, which was sold as an exercise in free speech and transparency. In reality, Elon controlled access to all the data, as you notice, and doled out what
Starting point is 00:11:53 might have been cherry-picked files to writers he chose. He obviously did. Talk about that process and what it says about Elon's supposed commitment to transparency, because he kind of just, he gave it to friendlies who then wrote what he wanted and twisted a lot of what was in there. Several times there were meetings where management was dealing with something
Starting point is 00:12:15 and they said, can you believe management dealt with this, which is what the job of management was in my opinion. But not that I particularly trust anybody in Silicon Valley, but it seemed a little cooked. Yeah, I mean, I particularly trust anybody in Silicon Valley, but it seemed a little cooked. Yeah. I mean, I think that with the Twitter files, I mean, here you had Musk coming in. He took a company that was relatively successful and he instituted all of these changes. As Ryan was saying, cutting staff, slashing the workforce, there was some bad press around
Starting point is 00:12:41 that, but he also wanted to kind of get back ideologically at the, this kind of idea of the liberal, both the deep censorship state that he thought existed in the federal government and the elements of Twitter that he believed were kind of going along with this and making things too quote unquote woke. So he found Matt Taibbi. He was recommended Matt Taibbi by David Sachs, a fellow billionaire, reached out to him, said, hey, you can have access to some of these files. Taibbi went in. From what we understand, this was heavily curated. He didn't have access to everything. It only went up until Musk took over. What I think the problem is, and I think that this is what Boat is kind of ill here for how he's going to manage the so-called Department of Governmental Efficiency and whatever
Starting point is 00:13:33 he does with the federal government is that he makes a lot of noise about being committed to free speech and being committed to all of these lofty ideologies. But in reality, Musk really only cares about one thing, which is himself and his material profit. And so when it comes to something like the Twitter files, he's putting out all this information because it pushes forward- To benefit himself. To benefit himself and to push forward an ideological vision that he believes is going to then wrap around and benefit himself again. So with him having access to all of this information and all of this data, all of this-
Starting point is 00:14:08 Who knows what he'll pick. Who knows what he'll pick. Yeah. I always say every accusation these people make is a confession most of the time. So Ryan, senior officials from the US Agency for National Development were placed on leave after they tried to block members of DOJ from accessing USAID's security system and personnel files. Earlier this weekend, according to The Washington Post, a group of about eight DOJ officials
Starting point is 00:14:27 entered the USAID building Saturday and demanded access to every door and floor, despite only a few of them having security clearance, according to Senate Democratic staffer who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe the incident when USAID personnel attempted to block access to some areas DOJ officials threatened to call federal marshals, the aid said. The DOJ officials are eventually given access to quote secure spaces, including the security office. Elon responded to the showdown between Doge and USAID officials in a tweet storm against USAID and included the post on exit said USAID is a criminal organization, time for it to die. Another one accused of funding bio weapon researchapon research, including COVID-19, that killed millions
Starting point is 00:15:05 of people. Recording this on Monday, and Trump and Musk now say they're in the process of shutting down the agency. There's zero proof for anything he's tweeting, which is sort of just another Tuesday for Elon Musk. But explain what he does here and what's the tactic. The tactic here is, you know, he needs to create enemies. And he is someone who views himself as a hero, a hero of his own making, and a hero with millions of followers around the world. And he needs to constantly create opposition to that. And so when you see him tweet things like,
Starting point is 00:15:37 such and such is evil, or such and such is a criminal organization, which he's done. Or say someone's heart is seething with hate, that's me. But go ahead, keep going. Kara Swisher is evil, yeah. No, I'm not evil. Yoel Roth is evil.
Starting point is 00:15:51 So is USAID. My heart is seething with hate. It's hard to keep track. But he's done this with former Twitter executives when he denied their golden parachutes, when he fired them from the company for cause. You know, this language repeats itself over and over again. It's a us versus them kind of tactic.
Starting point is 00:16:10 He needs to be able to justify what he's doing and why he's doing it. And the simple kind of baseline answer to that all is everyone against Elon is evil. Is it a tactic or does he actually believe it from your perspective having interviewed a lot of people? You know, I think he believes it. I think he believes it as well And he kind of gets lost in his own sauce, you know, he he he tweets it into existence in a way You know, we talk about these Reality distortion fields with these, you know, suppose a great man that run these tech companies people like, you know
Starting point is 00:16:42 Steve Jobs, for example was talked about having a reality distortion field. In some ways, you know, this is Elon's reality distortion field. He tweets something into existence and he believes it. And he gets millions of people around the world to believe it as well. We'll be back in a minute. Support for On with Kara Swisher comes from Quince. Who doesn't love a little luxury every now and then, but luxury usually comes with a hefty price tag.
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Starting point is 00:19:13 this year and head over to their 2025 Best of Awards at nerdwallet.com slash awards to find the best financial products today. Health and Human Services Secretary nominee Robert Floride Kennedy Jr. went before the Senate today in fiery confirmation hearings. Did you say Lyme disease is a highly likely militarily engineered bio weapon?
Starting point is 00:19:39 I probably did say that. Kennedy makes two big arguments about our health and the first is deeply divisive. He is skeptical of vaccines. Science disagrees. The second argument is something that a lot of Americans, regardless of their politics, have concluded. He says our food system is serving us garbage and that garbage is making us sick.
Starting point is 00:20:06 Coming up on Today Explained, a confidant of Kennedy's, in fact, the man who helped facilitate his introduction to Donald Trump on what the Make America Healthy Again movement wants. Today Explained, weekdays wherever you get your podcasts. So Anne, you spent your career reporting on Eastern Europe in the fall of communism. Talk about the significance of USAID in that region where it's seen as a lifeline for many former Soviet states, because we did our own thing going in there and helping. What's the interest of malevolent foreign players like Russia and China in this situation?
Starting point is 00:20:41 Because we've spent enough time trying to burnish our reputation through USAID, which was started by John Kennedy for people who don't know. Yeah, let me actually take a step back and say that it looks to me like what he's doing isn't just about himself and his power, although of course it is in addition about that. But there is a pattern to what he attacks and particularly what he's doing in the last few days. He's attacked USAID, he's attacked the National Endowment for Democracy. This goes along with his support for the German far right,
Starting point is 00:21:12 for the British far right. He's attacking organizations and institutions that talk about and promote democracy and talk about, and maybe democracy is even the wrong word here. They promote the rule of law, They promote checks and balances. They promote rights, the idea of rights. They promote the idea of justice. These are really fundamental elements of what the United States has been, at least since 1945, probably you could make the argument for the last hundred years. These are the elements of our foreign policy, of our national definition. This is who we are. If you go to Moldova, if you go to Indonesia,
Starting point is 00:21:53 if you go anywhere in the world, you'll find people who've been trained by the USAID or trained by other US programs. They've been taught what is an independent judiciary, how is the legal system supposed to work. This has been a package of ideas we've been taught what is an independent judiciary, you know, how is the legal system supposed to work. This has been a package of ideas we've been promoting for many decades. And Musk's attack on these institutions and these organizations, I would say, again, this has an ideological edge. You know, these are the institutions that Musk and the tech billionaires and others around him need to eliminate and get rid of if they are to enjoy absolute power and if they're to help create a different kind of
Starting point is 00:22:32 political system. I don't know that they're going to succeed in creating a different kind of political system, but if that's what they were trying to do, this is what they would do. They would attack those institutions. Oh, and you've written that tech leaders often try to deceive the public by presenting their beliefs as general libertarianism but in fact their political project is best described I think as techno authoritarianism. Talk about what you mean by techno authoritarianism and how that plays
Starting point is 00:22:55 out following what Anne was saying. Yeah I mean I think that the libertarianism comes from this desire I think on their, to see themselves as the result of a meritocracy and to see the development of their businesses and the increase in their wealth as the result of their work and how well they've done in Silicon Valley and how they are driving the world economy. you know, they're like they are driving the world economy. But that leaves out an important aspect to this, which is that their fame and their fortunes and their businesses have really been propelled by government spending, government investment and government subsidization. And at some point down the line, they decided that that was good for them, but not good for anyone else. They didn't want their money going to
Starting point is 00:23:45 other people, whether it's foreign or domestic. But the net result of this has been a feeling, I think, on the part of these tech leaders that there's somewhat of an unfairness in how they're being treated, particularly by elements of the government, particularly by Democrats. Sure, sure. They are the world's greatest victims, that's for sure. Right, yeah, but they see themselves as that, and I think that then you see them
Starting point is 00:24:18 kind of taking this, throwing the spaghetti against the wall approach to further grievances for how they feel like, you know, this is the fault of government investment in woke or this is the fault of government investment in USAID as Anne was saying, or any number of government spending programs that don't directly benefit. The tech companies then become evil and bad and, you know, something to attack and they become the victims of this as you're saying. And that's, again, still somewhat par for the course for any industry.
Starting point is 00:24:51 The problem is that once you start to control the discourse through social media and through their work on subverting media as I write about in the book, then it starts to become a problem for more of us than just the industry and the regulators. And then you get to the point, I think, where you have this kind of techno-authoritarianism ideology that kind of builds out of that and then starts to, it's like a perpetual motion machine. It just adds to itself and radicalizes.
Starting point is 00:25:22 Yeah, yeah, yeah. So as I'm going to branch out from Elon, he's not alone among tech types, he's just the most irritating and embracing Trump. Larry Ellison, Mark Andreessen, the OG Peter Thiel are in that group. There's also a group of tech-sios that didn't necessarily endorse Trump nor like him, but has made a show of bending the knee to Trump after he won. That includes people like Jeff Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg, who apparently now do like him when they didn't before. Bill Gates though donated $50 million to former Vice President Harris's campaigns and he recently
Starting point is 00:25:53 said of Silicon Valley, the fact that now there is a significant right of center group is a surprise to me. It's not a surprise to me because since I never thought they had any opinions on anything except themselves, which sort of dovetails into the current Republican Party, but is Texas race of Trump surprising, Ryan, then Ann, then Owen? I don't think so. I mean, these guys, their best interests are their business. It doesn't matter what political parties empower, they're going to do what's best for their
Starting point is 00:26:21 business. That's always been the guiding light for Elon. If you look back at his relationship with Barack Obama, for example, there were very favorable policies to SpaceX and Tesla under Obama. So he had this great relationship with the Obama White House. And you see that start to shift with Biden
Starting point is 00:26:41 when he doesn't get invited to the EV Summit. That was obviously bad for his business and he turns. These guys are all similar, you know, it's, it's, I don't think it's a surprise to me. And I was actually surprised by that Bill Gates quote, you know, it's, these guys aren't exactly hiding it by any means. He asked me that and I'm like, what are you talking about? Like, they're like this all that there's such a bunch of fucking babies. Anne? They would like this all that there's such a bunch of fucking babies. Anne? I think I am surprised and given that all of these people one way or the other have
Starting point is 00:27:10 been the beneficiaries, as you've just said, of US government subsidies, in some cases of excellent American education, their workers, the people who have money, the people who work for them are educated in the United States. They're beneficiaries of the political culture and the economic freedom that we have in the United States. Loans, money, capital markets, investment. I mean, all those things. It's not an accident that those companies were created in the US at a particular moment in a time and place. What surprises me is the revelation of their lack of patriotism, that they don't value the systems that created them, that they are turning on their own political system, that they've become entranced by, I mean, I'm not sure what we're calling it yet, techno-authoritarianism is good enough, neo, you know, maybe that's a good system too. I mean,
Starting point is 00:28:07 I feel like we're just at the beginning of understanding this. Maybe we don't have the right words yet. But they are turning away from the political system that created them, that nurtured them, that helped them, and that gave them the possibilities in order to create something else. I really can't stress enough. I see this as, you know, I'm not saying they will succeed, but it's pretty clear to me that they're trying to break and change the political system that we have and lead us to something else. And yes, I'm surprised by it. Okay.
Starting point is 00:28:38 Owen? I mean, I think it depends on who you're talking about. I probably tend more toward Ryan's interpretation here that these guys are mostly just interested in their bottom line and that's the thing that kind of motivates them. But I do think that it's worth noting that while people in business may tilt right or left for whichever reason, and that may be somewhat fluid when it comes to someone like Zuckerberg. Certainly, Elon was very happy to flip kind of back and forth politically from the right to the left. Someone like Peter Thiel has had a far right political project for decades. He has not made a secret of it. And Trump in many ways may be a more vulgar expression of what Thiel believes in, but
Starting point is 00:29:30 he like the far right ideology that is behind Trump is not something that is, I think, alien to Thiel. And Mark Andreessen for over 10 years has been headed in this direction pretty consistently. So I do think that- 20, I'll tell you 20 years, if you ever have breakfast with him. Yeah. I guess what I'm saying is that if you're looking at tech people, especially like Musk and Zuckerberg, you're going to see people who have the kind of flexible and fluid ideology depending on who's in power because that's who can help them
Starting point is 00:30:10 immediately. That's who can keep funneling the government dollars toward them while someone like Till or Andreessen is more- Hardcore. Hardcore. And I would also say that Bezos making the decision to not have the Washington Post endorse in the presidential election, a week or two before voting, I think that's an interesting point because I think Bezos is also ideologically flexible in the same way that these guys are. But he made a very clear calculation that if he did this, he wasn't going to face any consequences from the Democrats. But that if he didn't do this and Trump did win, he might face consequences. Yeah, absolutely.
Starting point is 00:30:57 And when there are billions and billions of dollars in public contracts for Amazon Web Services, that's the kind of thing that you want to make sure that all your bigs are coming. Yeah, he didn't mind going against them before though. I think it's a life change he's going through. And honestly, he was one of the more conservative ones. He's from Wall Street. And people forget that Jeff was an adult from Wall Street when he started. So he had much more conservative personality.
Starting point is 00:31:21 So one of the first group that you're talking about, Andreessen, and also Elon and Peter Thiel to an extent have complained about DEI wokeness, what they see as censorship. They also, as you said, financial reasons for backing a candidate who promises tax cuts and thinks they can get a more hands-off approach to regulation on everything from AI and crypto to antitrust. Just briefly, I'd like you to talk about the culture war issues versus deregulation and the different roles that play to motivating them to get behind MAGA. And why don't you start, what do you think their biggest issue is? Personally, I think it's self-interest always to their core.
Starting point is 00:32:00 And typically a very problematic childhood, I don't know what else to say, or just a personality development that is broken in some fashion. Yeah, I mean, you know these guys better than me, so I'll go with what you think. Well, I do call Mark Andreessen baby Huey, and I've thought that for 20 years, but go ahead. It's always seemed to me that there is a real issue around what we're calling woke and some of the arguments inside the Democratic Party that weren't useful or some forms of identity politics that weren't useful. But it seemed to me that these guys were willing to use
Starting point is 00:32:37 propaganda to create and blow up and enlarge that culture war for their own purposes. You know, they looked for issues that bothered Americans or that they could exaggerate or play up in order to divide Americans in a way that was advantageous for Trump and for them. And they used it in that sense. What they actually believe, I really have no idea. Yeah. Oh, and you write about this in the book, this attention to the media. They've been very interested in the media forever, like very, and manipulating it.
Starting point is 00:33:09 Mark was one of the most egregious manipulators of media over the years, such an enormous gossip for people who don't know and drops dimes on everybody right and left for his own business interests. But they do understand the power of that. So let's get to the group of tech, second tech leaders. They didn't donate to the campaign. They've been openly trying to curry favor with them ever since Tim Cook is probably the only CEO in the bunch who already had a relationship with Trump. Ryan, many of these titans of industry personally donated to his inauguration appeared
Starting point is 00:33:37 on the dais as props, I think, visited him at Mar-a-Lago, Fondo, Vermin, social media. Mark Zuckerberg just settled a spurious lawsuit, $25 million to get inside the tent. What is the role here of these larger billionaires? What do you sense has shifted here? I think we, you know, I've been comparing it a lot to what happened in 2016, 2017. You know, we get that famous Trump Tower meeting where you have all those leaders making those faces in those photos, sitting around the table
Starting point is 00:34:12 with Trump and Peter Thiel and just looking miserable. And I don't think they got anything out of that. They were the face of the resistance for a couple months and then they kind of faded and, you know, they went back to business as usual. And I think that tactic didn't work well for them in the past. Well, they weren't that resistant. They were there and they got their tax breaks and they got their repatriated money.
Starting point is 00:34:37 And I happen to break that story. So they were embarrassed to say they were there to me. You also had Sergey Brin at the at SFO protesting the Muslim ban protest and you had you had Sundar Sundar Pichai holding a very kind of energetic all hands at Google, you know, saying we're not going to support these immigration policies. We stand with you, our fellow employees. And you fast forward eight years later and Sundar is standing right behind Trump, you know, next to Bezos and Elon Musk. You have Sergey a little bit further in the
Starting point is 00:35:11 back, in one of the back rows next to Vivek Ramaswamy. This is a guy who said, you know- You notice who was in the back rows though. They were trying to be in the back rows. Sure. You know, he- One of them called me the single greatest engineering feat of all time to be in the back row. I was like, courage, you're so courageous. Anyways, so I don't know, it's as simple as carrying a favor. It's as simple as, you know, if you, if I show up here at this inauguration, maybe the Trump administration won't pursue me and my companies.
Starting point is 00:35:39 And I don't think it's any more complicated than that. All right. And as you said, the CEOs are doing their job, look after shareholders. Even if being obsequious to Trump is good for business in the short term, in the long run, it's not going to be good for businesses because this is a kleptocracy that is being built.
Starting point is 00:35:57 People are throwing on the word oligarch quite a lot. What happens here in these instances when people are sort of doing closing lawsuits that they never would have done, vying for proximity, which was one thing, looking like props like they did at the inauguration? So you are absolutely right. This historically and in other countries that you can look at around the world, this doesn't end well.
Starting point is 00:36:25 When you no longer have a political system where there's separation between business and politics, at least formally, where you create the idea that people who are close to the leader prosper and people who are not close to the leader do not, then sooner or later you will also get a system where the leader begins to pick winners. What happened when Putin took over in Russia? He got rid of the first group of oligarchs who were there at the time and he replaced them with his own oligarchs.
Starting point is 00:36:57 What happened in Viktor Orban's Hungary? He's gotten rid of almost every independent businessman at a high level that exists and he's replaced them with, I mean, in some cases, literally, you know, his family and people who are close to him. So the temptation for an autocratic leader to use that power to decide who prospers and who doesn't is going to be very, very strong. And so it is a pretty profound mistake that they are making by demonstrating this kind of strange
Starting point is 00:37:27 fealty. It's not going to be advantageous to them in the long term and not going to be advantageous to the American economy. I mean, the Hungarian economy is now, depending on how you count, is the second or third poorest in Europe. Russia has been led down this path to destruction and disaster and more. You know, these are not political systems that end well for business. We'll be back in a minute. Hey, this is Peter Kafka. I'm the host of Channels, a podcast about technology and media. And maybe you've noticed that a lot of people are investing a lot of money trying to encourage
Starting point is 00:38:18 you to bet on sports. Right now. Right from your phone. That is a huge change. and it's happened so fast that most of us haven't spent much time thinking about what it means and if it's a good thing. But Michael Lewis, that's the guy who wrote Moneyball and the Big Shore and Liar's Poker,
Starting point is 00:38:36 has been thinking a lot about it. And he tells me that he's pretty worried. I mean, there was never a delivery mechanism for cigarettes as efficient as the phone is for delivering the gambling apps. It's like the world has created less and less friction for the behavior when what it needs is more and more. You can hear my chat with Michael Lewis right now on channels, wherever you get your podcasts.
Starting point is 00:39:00 This week on ProfG Markets, we speak with Robert Armstrong, US financial commentator for the Financial Times. We discuss Trump's comments on interest rates and who might emerge as the biggest winners from the deep seek trade. In the world we lived in last Friday, having a great AI model behind your applications, either involved building your own or going to ask open AI, can I run my application on top of your brilliantly good AI model?
Starting point is 00:39:29 Now maybe this is great for Google, right? Maybe this is great for Microsoft who were shoveling money on the assumption that they had to build it themselves at great expense. You can find that conversation and many others exclusively on the Prof G Markets podcast. So, Owen, after January 6, all the major platforms kicked Trump off. Apple, Google, Amazon basically killed Parler after the CEO said on my New York Times podcast way, I don't feel responsible for any of this and neither should the platform. That was not a good interview for him.
Starting point is 00:40:01 But Parler is back under new ownership and Trump is obviously back on all the platforms. What happens if it seems like Trump incites violence again? Can you imagine any of these CEOs doing anything about it? No. I think we're so far beyond any kind of normal consequences at this point for Trump, especially from the private sector, that it is hard for me to see what it would take for them to take action.
Starting point is 00:40:35 I do think that if it became politically unpalatable and impossible and they were seeing a major threat to their bottom line. They might do something to take them off the platforms for inciting violence or any kind of, I mean, basically my mind just went to a bunch of even worse things that I won't put out there, but anything that he could possibly do, it's very hard to see them taking that action. Also, I think it's important to remember that when they took that action, it was after the election was certified that was going to mean that he wasn't going to be the president in two weeks. Right, right, correct.
Starting point is 00:41:17 He was a two-week lame duck. I mean, this wasn't some act of great courage against someone in a lot of power. You know, them to do something like this now, why would they do that? The consequences could be quite effective. I just want to go back to something that Anne was just saying about how these picking winners and losers, every administration is going to be favorable to the people that supported them and a little disfavorable to the people that don't. That's kind of the ebb and flow of politics. But what we're talking about here is something much more intense. So I think that it's important to contextualize whether or not they would take some sort of
Starting point is 00:41:58 action against Trump within that context. Yeah, I think the answer is they would not. And they weren't that brave before. You're absolutely right. So Trump, speaking of which, Ryan, obviously there's lots of gimmies and things like that for all these people. One is ignoring a bipartisan,
Starting point is 00:42:15 Trump is ignoring the bipartisan bill banning TikTok. He's working on a potentially illegal deal that could be creation of a joint venture between ByteDance and American investors like Oracle and Microsoft. To be clear, both of those are involved in the last time Trump wanted to ban before he didn't want to ban it and now whatever. Anyway, he was for it until he was against it.
Starting point is 00:42:34 What are the downstream consequences to companies in Silicon Valley, Microsoft, Oracle, or Elon Musk owning TikTok? It's like sort of a grab bag of oligarchs here. And what happens if there's no deal and everybody goes to Red Note? Give me an example here, use this TikTok thing as an example. It's kind of a mad lib scenario, you know,
Starting point is 00:42:54 anything could happen. And I think that is, that is just kind of what we're gonna see in these next couple of years where, you know, could Elon Musk buy it? Sure, like, who am I to say? You know, and that's just the reality of it. And that, you know, I'm sure Mark Zuckerberg doesn't love it, you know, that TikTok is still in the picture. But how is he going to speak up? You know, he's already kind of made his bed. He's donated to the inauguration. He is becoming buddy buddy with the Trump
Starting point is 00:43:22 administration. So like, he's just going to take it. And I think that is what we're going to see over the next four years where you could get, you know, a lot of benefiting of, of Trump's allies and, you know, Zuckerberg is going to want to be there for when something else comes into play. You know, maybe it's not tick tock. Um, I think they've just learned it. There's, there's no benefit in becoming the resistance, um, or, uh, kind of a barrier to Trump and so they're just going to wait in line and see.
Starting point is 00:43:51 So, Anne, what are the calculations are foreign leaders making right now with regard to what's happening? Your latest piece in the Atlantic makes the point that social media exists outside the legal system. That's true in the U S because the immunity granted by section two 30, um, in any country that doesn't have its own laws specifically regulating social media until recently most didn't. Talk about what they do elsewhere because there are other places, the EU, which are
Starting point is 00:44:14 capable of reining in platform excesses and the excesses of these tech oligarchs or billionaires. I'm not sure if I should call them oligarchs yet also. I'd love to know what you think. So what are the calculations that other countries are making? The non-autocrats, I guess. The autocrats are thrilled, but go ahead. Yes. No, no. First of all, I'm fine with the word oligarch. I think it applies really well. An oligarch is somebody who has both political and economic power, and that's clearly what certainly Musk now has. So This is a really interesting question. There are a lot of other democracies on the planet and they have their own rules about
Starting point is 00:44:50 elections, about funding, about – they have rules about limits on funding, limits on advertising, political advertising. All of those rules can now be got around on the tech platforms. A great example of this was a recent election in Romania where a kind of wacky conspiracy theorist candidate won the first round of the election after someone spent more than a million dollars advertising him on TikTok, even though he had declared that he had spent no money on the campaign. He broke the system election laws.
Starting point is 00:45:22 The court wound up nullifying the election, but of course that's a catastrophe for Romanian democracy as well. So it's suddenly brought to light the threat to European but also any other democracy that wants to set its own rules about elections, about conversations and so on. And this has created that plus Musk's advocacy for the German far right party,, the AfD, which has created a kind of crisis in Germany because he has so much greater reach on X than any normal German media. It's created this moment where the European Union is now looking seriously at what it can do to regulate. They're particularly interested not in tech broadly, but in the social media platform,
Starting point is 00:46:01 obviously. Right. Right. They have a make, he has Make Europe Great Again, Mega, which they have turned into Make Elon Go Away, which is funny. They did protest. They did, the Germans did have a hundred thousand people show, right? Correct. Huge amounts of people showing up to protest his support, his support particularly. Yes. It's a huge issue, especially in Germany, but not only in Germany. I think pretty every country in Europe and other democracies as well are also looking at this. Let me just say briefly, Europe can do this. They have something called the Digital Services Act.
Starting point is 00:46:34 The primary thing that it could do would be to force social media platforms to create greater transparency. This is not about restricting speech or censorship or anything like any of the language, the fake language that Musk and others use. This is about giving people who use the platform greater access to information, making more obvious how the algorithms work, giving outside researchers and others access to the algorithms. Obviously, the companies are resisting this really, really hard. And it may even be a part of the reason why they have supported Trump. I mean, for example, why Zuckerberg supported Trump, because he wants Trump- He needs help in the EU.
Starting point is 00:47:12 In fighting the EU. And again, it's not an accident that the groups and people, a lot of them that Musk is supporting are people who are explicitly anti-EU and anti-European. So this may also be part of their propaganda campaign to break up Europe or weaken Europe so that it's unable to regulate these companies. I think this is a really important moment. It's a kind of make or break moment. Is it possible for other democracies to have their own rules, to have sovereign elections and to regulate media that is essentially coming from the United States?
Starting point is 00:47:43 Or getting infected. It sounds like Canada is all united against Elon Musk, it sounds like, and the rest of them. It's interesting. People that didn't agree in Canada. We'll see if it has an effect to strengthen things like those parties in Germany, the right-wing parties, or to hurt them, which will be interesting. Owen, in your book, Owned, it is an attempt to show how two of the most popular journalists
Starting point is 00:48:04 are left basically are corrupted by platforms run by tech billionaires. And how they shifted Glenn Greenwald and Matt and the others was really something to see. Do you worry that this playbook is going to work for other journalists, say on the left, it might be ultimately corrupted by the platform? And can a journalist on the left reach an audience of the scale today using a tech platform? What are the outlook since they own these platforms now and run them? They have enormous power over them. Yeah, I mean, I think that journalism is in a pretty precarious position right now in
Starting point is 00:48:41 general. And I think for, I mean, in the book, I detail like my journey through this, right? Like I took money from Colin, from David Sachs. I was approached by Rockfin, which is like another like, you know, kind of like a right-wing alternative to Twitch kind of that offered me, you know, money, but it was in cryptocurrencies. So no, but, um, and you know, I think that the, the temptation is there. Um, feeling like you can do your work independently, uh, with financial backing that doesn't really ask
Starting point is 00:49:15 you for much is a really appealing thing. The D and so I think that that's okay. Um, and I think that that's good. And I think that alternative media and independent media are good. And I think, you know, that's how I came up. And I think that that's okay. Um, and I think that that's good. And I think that alternative media and independent media are good. And I think, you know, that's how I came up. And I think that that's, you know, like those are positives. Where it starts to make me feel a little uncomfortable is once you kind of get into these right wing networks that have a lot of financial backing and are
Starting point is 00:49:38 willing to give you money and the way that that can, you know, kind of. Manifest itself is, um, you know, I is, I talk about Glenn in the book. Mm-hmm. He leaves the intercept, he goes to Subsec, he doesn't get paid to go to Subsec, but he starts making a lot of money there. Then Peter Thiel and JD Vance invest in Rumble, and then a couple months later, Rumble gives a paid deal to Glenn, um, where he kind of moves everything over, consolidates it over there. They, they, they pay him a lot of money and he's now, you know,
Starting point is 00:50:12 uh, working, uh, for, for Rumble, which again is invested in by, by Teal. But it's not only that, right. And it's also, um, he, you know, he's speaking at, at conferences, like the network state conference. You know, this is, these are Conference. These are allies of Teal and Entrees and all of these right-wing guys. Once you're in this world, then you have the opportunity to continue to make money.
Starting point is 00:50:35 The implicit trade-off, certainly from the outside, appears to be that then you talk about the things that they want to talk about, or maybe more importantly, you don't talk about the things that they don't want you to talk about. And I think that that is a very appealing thing to independent journalists, certainly. And while at any publication, there are going to be interests that determine what you cover and what you don't. I'm not being conspiratorial here. That's just like you have to make coverage decisions.
Starting point is 00:51:14 Having those decisions be unduly influenced by a small cohort of extremely wealthy men who have an ideological project and an economic project. I think that is the kind of thing, that's the part of it that unsettles me. And I think that often maybe people don't really even see what's happening as it's happening. Oh, we see it. Ryan, you wrote a piece about how Elon used X to woo these right-wing leaders around the world and in this country and then push them to embrace policies
Starting point is 00:51:46 that benefit him and his companies. Do you think he'll be able to maintain the relationship over the next four years with Trump? And if he can't, what are the consequences for Tesla, SpaceX, X, the rest of his companies? I think that's the million dollar question, right? I think a lot of- Billion.
Starting point is 00:52:02 Billion dollar, trillion dollar question. A lot of folks were wondering, these are two big egos, when are they going to fall out? It's a question I ask pretty regularly. And, you know, I get the sense that they actually get along pretty well right now. You know, whether that'll last for four years is, is again, the question. But for now, they they have a mutual kind of dependence on one another. Trump gets a lot of value out of having Elon around. He's his junkyard dog. He takes a lot of heat off of him, for example.
Starting point is 00:52:33 We're writing about how Musk is taking over government entities right now, justifiably, but we're not talking about Trump. We're talking about Elon. And I think the only thing standing in the way of that are their egos, you know, if, if one of them gets annoyed that, that, uh, the other is getting too much credit or vice versa, you know, it's that, that seems to be the only impediment here, but for now they seem to be enjoying each other's
Starting point is 00:53:01 companies, um, you know, what they, and companies, and they benefit each other. Who is the stronger character here? I don't know if I could answer that. Musk. Why is that? Because I think they're using Trump as a vehicle. And I think ultimately Elon has the power because he has the money,
Starting point is 00:53:23 he has the influence, the relationships, and Trump is older and at the end of it, they need him for so long. So in that way, I think Elon's much more powerful. But I don't know, he is the president, but I don't know if that's as good a job as it used to be. I watched a clip last week that was very interesting. Um, and it was, it was Trump being interviewed in the white house. And it was during these reports that there were being changes being made to government websites and if they weren't being made, they would get taken down.
Starting point is 00:53:56 And he's being asked about it. And he, like you said, doesn't know he has, he says, Hey, that sounds like a good idea. I'm, you know, I idea. I support that happening. But that clearly wasn't his call, or at least he wasn't read in on it. And I thought that was mind blowing. And maybe it's a tactic. I don't know. Maybe there's some 3D chess I don't know about going on here.
Starting point is 00:54:17 Yes, that's what's happening there. All right. So on a scale of one to 10, each of you, how scared are you of these billionaires? And I don't mean fearful or maybe fearful of the impact they're having right now. Anne, you go first. So I'm not personally fearful, but my autocracy detection radar is very, very high. And I would say I'm up to nine or 10. Nine or 10. And the possibility of pushing them back, where is that?
Starting point is 00:54:50 We'll see what happens in the next few days and weeks. We do still have a legitimate political opposition in the United States. We have courts. There are tools available, and I think there will be a pushback, but whether it can succeed given the nature of the current administration, I just don't know yet. Ryan? 4.20.
Starting point is 00:55:11 Why? No, I'm kidding. I was a 420 joke. Oh, ha ha. You know, 420-69. Got it. Okay. I don't like thinking about things and being in terms of fearful. I just think of things in terms of accountability and there's no accountability.
Starting point is 00:55:32 He is completely unfettered. He has no opposition. All of them, Elon in particular. And I'll keep writing about it and we'll keep reporting on it at the New York Times, but I don't know. There's just no accountability here. And that's, I think, what the biggest takeaway is for me.
Starting point is 00:55:54 There's just nothing in the way. Owen? Yeah, I mean, I fluctuate. The tactic that they're using right now of just going full speed ahead, and this is, Trump is doing this as well. So it's kind of hard to like see how it can be stopped. But it does fluctuate because I'm pretty, at my core, I'm pretty optimistic and I just don't think that this can continue like this in this country specifically with the national character of this country. Um, in the, like it can take people a long time to motivate and to take
Starting point is 00:56:33 action and to like push back, but it does happen eventually. And I guess, I guess that my hope is that it happens, you know, sooner, sooner than later, um, how fast is the train going to go before it goes off the rails and how many things is it going to destroy on the way? So that's kind of a mixed metaphor, but I think you guys know what I'm saying there. Like it's disturbing. And I think probably what I'm most scared of is like what's going to happen I think probably what I'm most scared of is like, what's going to happen before it stops. On with Kara Swisher is produced by Christian Castro Roussel, Kateri Yocum, Jolie Myers, Megan Burney and Kalen Lynch.
Starting point is 00:57:18 Nishat Kurwa is Vox Media's executive producer of audio. Our engineers are Rick Kwan and Fernando Arruta and our theme music is by trackademics If you're already following the show you get to be the team of white hat hackers that will undo all the mess that Elan's Minions are making if not you get to join his team and have a really silly nickname like big balls Go wherever you listen to podcast search for On with Kara Swisher and hit follow. Thanks for listening to On with Kara Swisher from New York Magazine, the Vox Media Podcast Network and us. We'll be back on Monday with more.

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