On with Kara Swisher - Trump’s J6 Pardons, the Militia Movement, and the Border
Episode Date: January 30, 2025President Trump’s executive action granting clemency to all of the January 6th insurrectionists – violent and non-violent alike – has been met with concern by legal experts and people who have b...een studying and reporting on militia groups like the Oath Keepers and the Proud Boys for years. Kara speaks with Dr. Amy Cooter, director of research at the Center on Terrorism, Extremism, and Counterterrorism at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies and author of Nostalgia, Nationalism and the US Militia Movement; investigative reporter Tess Owen who has covered violent extremist groups, including the J6 protesters extensively; and Paul Rosenzweig, former Deputy Assistant Secretary for Policy at the Department of Homeland Security under George W. Bush, who specializes in issues relating to domestic and homeland security about the message the pardons send to violent militias, the impact of social media (and Elon Musk) on far-right extremism, and whether Trump has the authority to deputize these groups, especially on the border. Questions? Comments? Email us at on@voxmedia.com or find us on Instagram and TikTok @onwithkaraswisher Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
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Hi everyone from New York Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast Network.
This is On with Kara Swisher and I'm Kara Swisher.
We're less than two weeks into the new administration and things are already feeling very, very
different.
In fact, it feels menacing and has a lot of momentum with Trump using executive orders
as cudgels to all kinds of groups from LGBTQ plus people to immigrants to just about anyone
who stands in his way.
From the very first day, President Trump has been quick to fall through on some of his
campaign promises as I expected him to, including granting clemency to all of the January 6th insurrectionists, the nonviolent and the violent, including the ones who attacked
the Capitol Police and commuted the sentences of 14 individuals charged with being seditious
conspiracists.
That includes the leaders of two militia groups, the Oath Keepers and the Proud Boys.
Trump also directed the Justice Department to dismiss another 300
cases that were still pending in court. There is obviously so much to talk about here. The
militias currently operating all over the country, their ideologies that separate or
unite them, and any potential role they might have in the new administration. My guests
today are three people who've been studying and tracking the movements of these militia
groups and their place in the current environment. Dr. Amy Coutter is the
Director of Research at Middlebury's Center on Terrorism, Extremism, and
Counterterrorism. She studies domestic militias and groups of armed individuals
who see it as their civic duty to uphold the Constitution the way they believe it
should be interpreted. Tess Owen is an investigative reporter who has covered
extremism in politics and events
surrounding January 6 extensively.
And Paul Rosensweig is a cybersecurity lawyer who served as Deputy Assistant Secretary for
Policy at the Department of Homeland Security under George W. Bush and now specializes in
issues relating to domestic and homeland security.
Our expert question comes from David Rode, National Security Editor at NBC
News and the author of Where Tyranny Begins. Stick around. Support for the show comes from NerdWallet.
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Amy, Tess, Paul, welcome.
Thanks for being on On.
Thank you for having us.
We're speaking on January 28th, just a week after President Trump took office, launching
many executive orders, including issuing pardons and commutations to all of the nearly 1,600
January 6 protesters, as people have been following January 6th insurrectionist militia
groups and Trump for years, give me one or two words that sums up your reaction.
Paul, you start, then Amy, then Tess.
Shameful.
Shameful.
Shameful.
OK.
Amy?
Unfortunately unsurprising.
OK.
Tess?
Surprised, but shouldn't have been.
Shouldn't have been.
OK.
Let's start with that, Tess.
Talk about these people, these nearly 1,600 people
who are pardoned, and put them in groups,
because I think differentiating them is important for people
to understand. I think it's them is important for people to understand.
I think it's important to know that the Oath Keepers and the Proud Boys, the two main extremist
groups who are among the January Sixers, those rightfully get a lot of attention because
of what they tell us about society and political violence, but the vast majority of the violent
offenders in that group were not affiliated with the
extremist group.
And I think that that's kind of something important to remember as we talk about this,
that these are people who were radicalized into committing violence on behalf of Trump
on January 6.
We know that 169, I think, is the right number of those people assaulted or pleaded guilty
to assaulting police.
Six hundred were convicted of either assaulting police or resisting arrest.
There were groups, you know, leaders of the Proud Boys and the Oath Keepers who were convicted
of seditious conspiracy.
Okay.
So, Amy, you've written about militia groups actually tend to grow when they perceive themselves
to be targeted.
The reason I'm asking
is, do you think the Biden DOJ made a mistake of going after writers who weren't directly tied to
these militia groups or by prosecuting people who weren't? They're like Proud Boys leader Enrique
Tario or people who didn't commit extremely violent stuff, which were obvious from some of the videos.
You know, I'm not the legal expert on this panel, but I think it was
nonetheless important for the Biden administration to send a message. And I don't know that every
single person was appropriately charged given the underlying action, but let's assume that they were.
And if we can assume that, I think it's really important to send a message that at its core says
insurrection is bad. We need to support democracy and democratic principles. Militias had an interesting response to January
6th. We know that there were certainly some militia members involved in the insurrection,
but many of them that I have followed for a long time were looking at that and thought
it was terrible. Thought it was terrible for the country, thought it was terrible for the
militia movement. And so they didn't necessarily complain when some of the perpetrators were held accountable.
Because?
Because they thought they deserved it.
They thought they were acting in a way that was not supported by the law, was not supported
by patriotism as they understood it either.
Okay, Paul, from a legal standpoint, Trump's argument has been that their sentence are
ridiculous and excessive.
He's called them hostages.
Talk about these sentences, whether they're too heavy-handed, too broad, or just the right
thing.
Well, I think the only way to answer that is really on a case-by-case basis.
The reality is that the overwhelming majority of what you and I would consider the minor
offenders, the people who pled guilty to misdemeanor trespass things, did no jail time at all. Yeah, there are a few exceptions,
but by and large, the people who went to prison were the people who, as Tess described it,
were convicted of some form of violence, some form of resisting arrest, some form of assault
against police. And the people who got the most significant sentences, the ones that were
in the eight, 10, 12 year range were some of the organizers of this, the proud boys
and, and the oath keepers who were convicted of seditious conspiracy.
That is a plotting to, you know, to disrupt the operations of Congress. And so by and large, I would say that the
president's characterization is inaccurate. The sorting function is by no means perfect.
No one would ever say it is. But by and large, the judges of the District of Columbia
but by and large, the judges of the District of Columbia District Court did a very good job of assessing individuals on the merit and kind of grading their sentencing based upon comparative
guilt next to others. There are any number of instances, for example, of judges who issued sentences that were
below that which the prosecutors recommended precisely because they perceived that the
defendants who to some had accepted responsibility and expressed remorse, some had
admitted only to nonviolent offenses, they racked and stacked them pretty reasonably.
Again, I wouldn't validate each and every sentence, but for my money, and this is me speaking
personally, by and large, the judges were more lenient than I would have wanted them to be.
LW So how did Trump's argument get such purchase? Now, I'm not talking about calling them tourists,
which was insane, but the idea,
why does it have such resonance,
this accusation that Trump is making,
from your perspective, from a legal standpoint?
Well, I don't think it is a legal argument.
I mean, honestly, because in law,
it never got any purchase at all.
I mean, none of the judges,
not even the ones who were Trump appointees
in the District of Columbia ever accepted the,
we're just tourists and they're being unjustly prosecuted.
It gained purchase only, only amongst Trump's-
Trump's supporters.
Sycophantic supporters.
And as to their mentality, why it gained purchase there,
you know, I'm going to turn it back and say I'm not the sociologist or the expert in militias and
Trumpism on this panel. So I'll have to turn it back to them.
Yeah, Tess first and then Amy. What do you imagine? Because there is, as it goes on, his accusations and arguments get some sort of purchase.
It does.
I actually, I spoke to some ex-DOJ officials about this idea of overreach and whether there
was any merit to these arguments.
And kind of what they said was sort of what Paul's saying is that overreach is a matter
of perception.
Sure.
And I think that what it was really about was about narrative. And kind of midway through 2021,
we saw this narrative of the idea that these January Sixers, especially those being held in
the DC jail, that they were being treated disproportionately poorly compared to others,
that they were victims of political persecution, that they
were languishing in these cells and being treated horribly, and that they were the victims
actually of a kind of corrupt Biden administration that's hell-bent on jailing its political
enemies.
And this narrative is really what helped rehabilitate the January 6th, but rehabilitate also the
entire MAGA movement, which was kind of floundering at that point.
And we saw Trump hitch his own issues, his own legal woes to the same narrative.
Right, this idea of being persecuted and everything else. Tess, you wrote, you did write the article
this fall for New York Magazine, what was happening inside the Patriot wing in your
story and why it was titled, The Proud Boys Are Plotting a Comeback and They Want Revenge. I'd just like to add to that and then, Amy,
I'd like you to weigh in after that is,
what are you hearing from these groups
and what revenge would look like from their perspective
if they have this narrative in their favor?
It's a very good question.
Because, I mean, as far as the Proud Boys are concerned,
you know, we've definitely seen their MO
or their activities shift since January 6th.
We've seen them pivot pretty
hard into local activism, really until Inauguration Day. We haven't really seen them rally in
a large place in so many numbers. We've seen them kind of targeting school board meetings
and drag shows and taking on this culture war stuff. So it's unclear. There's also
been kind of a splintering within the group where
some have kind of sought legitimacy by allying themselves with kind of political groups,
whereas others have aligned with more hardcore factions like neo-Nazis. And so when Tarrio
and others talk about revenge, it's kind of unclear whether they see revenge as political
violence or whether they see revenge as, okay, we hope that Trump and Trump's DOJ is going
to go after our enemies and go after the FBI agents and go after the prosecutors as, okay, we hope that Trump and Trump's DOJ is going to go after our enemies
and go after the FBI agents and go after the prosecutors who, quote, did this to us.
I think that's currently not clear.
But what Taro did make clear in the interview he gave to Infowars after he walked out of
prison was that he still very much sees the Proud Boys as a kind of defense force for Trump supporters.
So, Amy, talk about the narrative and this idea of they feel they were unjustly,
you know, there's sort of this story of the IRA,
this has happened all over the world in this idea of freedom fighters versus terrorists essentially.
Right. And I think Tess is exactly right about what happened sort of following the event itself,
but I think that the narrative thread started before that, that it's fundamentally the
same narrative that pushed people to believe the election would be stolen, that it was
being stolen, that it was in fact in the past stolen.
And so even though some of the movement lost momentum during Biden's administration in
some ways, that narrative was still in the backdrop.
There was a belief among a lot of folks that Biden's administration was completely illegitimate,
that Trump was going to come back and be victorious and swoop in and save them
regardless of whatever injustices happened that day.
And so I think that there were things that happened in the justice system
and around the narrative of unjust persecution, not just prosecution, that followed and amplified that.
But I think that a lot of people just maintained that thread all along.
All right.
Every week we had a question from outside.
Let's have a listen to this one.
Hi, I'm David Rode, the National Security Editor at NBC News and a former guest on the
show.
My big question is, will these prisoners be
further radicalized now that they've been released from prison and further emboldened?
Or do you think their time in prison might cause them to think twice about engaging in
violence again?
So, Paul, let's start with you. Do judges and prosecutors have a reason to be afraid?
And what about this emboldenment when you get off like this?
The entire theory of criminal punishment is one of deterrence, both general deterrence,
that is the idea that the judicial system generally deters most crimes, and specific
deterrence, that is that I can convince you personally to refrain from bad conduct by imposing upon
you personally adverse consequences. The pardons in this case do not serve the traditional purposes
of pardons, namely correcting an injustice of some sort. Rather, they seem to me to be explicitly about eroding that deterrence function
by making it clear that at least for so long as Donald Trump is president, people who engage in
violence on his behalf, he will have their back and issue parties. Now, again, each case is different.
I am 100% certain that there are some guys and maybe even gals, though it was mostly men,
but some people who went into prison who had such a miserable experience that they're like,
I'm not doing that ever again. I don't care what Trump says, but there are lots of others,
like we just heard about Tario and the proud boys
and the oath keepers who are inevitably going to think
that I can do what I want.
And especially if what I want somehow manages
to cement Trump or Trumpism in the next administration
in four or eight years. So I think that much of what Trump has done is going to create a remarkably
dangerous moment of violence in the next year or two in which some of his
supporters think that no amount of violence in his behalf is beyond the pale.
So Tess, you had written about this in this Patriot wing where they became more emboldened.
These were already some violent people.
Talk a little bit about this question that David had, is will they be further radicalized
from your perspective?
Were they already there, essentially?
So those who don't know about it, the Patriot Wing
was the name that was adopted for this part of the DC jail
where January 6th was pre-trial, were kind of sequestered
from the general population.
The decision to put them all there,
I couldn't quite get a sense of
who made that decision, but what became clear through the reporting I did was that it was
functioning as a sort of incubator for this very same beliefs that brought them all to
the Capitol in the first place. And that there was a culture inside that wing where people
were put through purity tests when they first arrived.
And if they showed any sign that they might be a quote fed or they exhibited views that
were contrary to the others in the wing, they were shunned.
It kind of operated a bit like a gang.
And it's not just the people who were in the wing, but there's also this massive support
system outside of January 6 activists that's putting money into their commissary
funds and helping their legal defense funds, which are also shoring up these same belief
systems.
And so I think that was troubling.
They were already cooking in that direction.
Yes.
Amy, talk about this because if they were already radicalized, they got possibly got
more radicalized in prison.
Some of them regretted it, certainly.
But a lot of the reaction when they got out was, I'm buying motherfucking guns, that kind
of stuff.
Well, I think Paul is exactly right, that there's going to be a bit of a split reaction.
In some past instances of militia violence, where militia members have really believed
they were doing what they needed to do for the good of the country. They've been arrested, they've served time in prison.
One case in particular with the Hattari militia in Michigan in 2009, most of those folks were
actually eventually acquitted, but they had been incarcerated while awaiting trial.
Sure.
And most of them, once they were released, went back home and said, I want nothing to
do with this ever again.
It went further than I thought, and maybe I didn't really get punished for this,
but it was awful. It disrupted my life. On the other hand, especially with figures like
Tarrio and Stuart Rhodes, people who already had a, frankly, a degree of clout in the movement
before this ever happened, they're really in a position where Trump could, if not officially, effectively
deputize them. And what I'm worried about most is the impact that that kind of perceived
legitimacy from the highest office will have on border militias specifically. And thinking
about just generally, as Tuss was saying, there could be a range of violence that is legitimized,
that is seen as not only necessary in their worldview, but something that is being signed
off on by the president. We'll be back in a minute. Support for this show comes from NerdWallet.
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Biden preemptively pardoned former chief medical advisor
Anthony Fauci, former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff,
Mark Milley and members of the bipartisan select committee
that investigated January 6, including Liz
Cheney. Trump, on the other hand, revoked security protections and issued orders
announcing investigations into the Justice Department. This episode is coming
out on Thursday, January 30th, the day that Cash Patel's Senate confirmation
hearing to become FBI director is scheduled. Paul, you said that if Patel
becomes FBI director, he would be the poster child of vindictiveness. I think that's pretty clear. He would be not just
a deputized person, he would be the official that would allow this to happen. Do you think
the preemptive pardons actually protect any of those people?
Well, he wouldn't just be the officer allowing it to happen. He would be as director of the FBI
empowered to order it to happen. The FBI's investigative authority is limited mostly by
internal guidelines called the Domestic Investigatory Oversight Guidelines or investigatory oversight guidelines or diodes, which have been around ever since the Nixon
abuses of the 1970s, which are intended to cabin the ability of the FBI to initiate investigations
for pretextual reasons, for punitive reasons, for political reasons. Well, they are just guidelines,
and each and every one of them is
subject to waiver or change by the director of the FBI and the attorney general. We can't tell for
sure, but given what Trump has done in the last week, which has been the most expansive assertion
of executive authority we've ever seen in this country in so many ways that we could spend eons
talking about, It seems to me
highly likely that one of the other ways that he would implement that authority would be to give
Patel free reign to conduct investigations of anybody he wants. The pardons that President
Biden issued to people squarely in Patel's crosshairs like General Meili and Liz Cheney
and Anthony Fauci will serve as some protective benefit to them. It will mean that they can't be
prosecuted in court. It's an open legal question whether it means they still have to suffer the
costs and distraction of an investigation even if that investigation can
lead nowhere that's actually never really been decisively litigated. I would hope that it would
prevent that as well. But those pardons have to be cold comfort. It's shocking that we've come to this.
They could investigate and harass them,
in other words, is what you're saying. Well, certainly they can investigate and harass
people associated with them, and they might be able to make investigative demands directly
to the pardoned people under the guise of investigating somebody else. I mean, if I'm
investigating you and you've got a pardon, I can harass Tess and Amy all I want.
As your friends who have information, air quotes about you. And so it will be, I
will be unsurprised at the depths to which the Trump vengeance tour goes.
Okay. So Cash Patel clearly lined himself with the January 6 rioters. The FBI is responsible
for tracking, quote, domestic terrorism. Patel has vowed to turn the FBI into a museum of
the deep state and basically dismantle it. Amy, in your book, you write about how Trump
has aligned themselves with militant accelerationists. Explain who they are and how the deconstruction
of government that we're already seeing aligns with that mentality. And I will add that I
have talked about this in Silicon Valley forever. They don't want to rebuild, they want to destroy.
They're more focused on businesses, but it's often those terms of destruction and disruption
in a way that's destruction really. Sure. So accelerationism at its core is this idea
that the decline of society is inevitable and probably catastrophic.
There are some people who think it's their personal
responsibility to hasten us toward that inevitable point
through the use of violence.
So we call them militant accelerationist.
Not all militias are militant accelerationist in nature
because accelerationism is what we call ideologically
agnostic, it can draw people from a variety of political perspectives.
But anyone who has this standpoint that our system,
whether it's political, social, economic, or all the above,
are somehow fundamentally corrupt, not serving the interests of the people,
that there's absolutely no way through the legitimate political process
that we can fix this, kind of serve the interest of those accelerationists.
Even if they themselves don't quite evince that hard line, many people can interpret
them as saying that there's no solution here short of violence, short of what we might
think of as coming just a little bit shy of revolution.
Most of the time, these folks don't really have an idea of the exact future that they
want.
And what we've seen among Trump supporters writ large is this idea that they don't like
the system, but somehow they still trust Trump as part of the system to fix things.
He has successfully marketed himself as a bit of an
outsider to many of them in a way that they don't necessarily challenge him so much as what they
perceive to be broader problems with the government or the country as a whole.
One of the ways this goes around is through social media. Now, I just noticed some recent
polls that show voter sentiment is very low to what Trump has done here.
Tess, talk a little bit about this because people don't seem to like these moves, right? And at the same time,
these groups have returned to Facebook, they're reorganizing on there,
and Metta has given them free reign, even if the average citizen thinks letting these people out was wrong.
And most of these voter sentiment polls are showing this at this point.
Other things are more supportive of immigration reform, etc.
I mean, I think that the idea, even if they don't agree with the pardons,
the kind of anti-government sentiment that we've seen kind of boil up and over
in the mainstream in the last few years, I think that and kind of the hostilities towards
perceptions of the FBI, perceptions of the DOJ is corrupt. I think those have become incredibly mainstreamed in the last few years and
you know, those views are shared widely and freely on places like Facebook and
you don't need to be a part of militia to have those views, but we have seen also a militia
And you don't need to be a part of militia to have those views, but we have seen also a militia resurgence on Facebook
in the last few years, or in the last year especially.
And that causes them to be able to organize there, correct?
That's how reorganize there where they organized previously.
Yes, and it also creates a kind of a fertile environment
to pull people into those.
I've reported a little bit about on these groups return
to Facebook
and oftentimes what we've seen is that they use these sort of larger public facing groups
that are kind of called something somewhat innocuous, but kind of centered around an
anti-government ideology.
And from there, people are kind of siphoned off into smaller groups that are more targeted
around kind of training and actually enlisting in a specific organized group.
Yeah, so like a Patrick Henry group or something like that.
Yeah, a bigger one like that.
So the big reason these accounts were deplatformed in the first place is because Metta was afraid
people were inciting violence, organizing violent protests on their platforms.
Paul, from a legal perspective, do the platforms need to worry about this anymore?
They've certainly taken all the guardrails off, especially Mark Zuckerberg at Metta. Well, that is an interesting question. It
depends, I think, upon what you think is going to happen to the tech industry in
the next two years in the administration. Certainly, as a retrospective matter, the
settled law is that section 230 of the Communications
Decency Act protects against liability for what social media places post online.
There's been a significant movement in Congress on a bipartisan basis to modify section 230.
There has. Section 230. Most of that argument has revolved around keeping children safe online, child
pornography, horrible sexual abuse materials that proliferate. But the legal principle would be the
same and liability for posting would extend if the law were changed to media companies that posted exhortations to
violence that became real and that failed to exercise their newly enacted obligations to
monitor the content of what is on their website. I am not a smart enough political analyst to
predict how a fight between the people who want to
reign in social media, kind of the Bannonites of MAGA and the tech bros of the Elon Musk
variety actually plays out in Trump's head or in Trump's administration.
But there's at least a possibility that two years from now will change.
Right now they are legally protected.
Right now they didn't have to pull people off.
They didn't have to deplatform anybody, correct?
At this moment they're protected.
So Amy, you write in the book about social media,
especially Facebook played a huge role
in giving the militia movement momentum
and then deplatforming them disrupted their growth.
I have warned about this for two decades now
about how they organize,
and they're also in the WhatsApp. They're all over the place in various stuff that you can't
hack into necessarily or see. So how important do you see them now as organizing principals,
Meta and X? And what role do you think someone like Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg play
and the new moderation rules impacting the group's ability
to proliferate.
You know, it's interesting because there are some groups
that have gone back to meta.
There are some that never really left.
They were just a little bit more clever about how
to stay on those spaces.
But so many of them fractured and went to other places
and frankly returned kind of to the practice of the 90s of really focusing
on more direct communication with people who were already in their communities and using Zello,
which is kind of like a radio almost that you can use on your phone. And it's just a way to stay
more private, but also kind of again refocusing on that community initiative as opposed to what
was becoming a more national movement before January 6th happened and before Facebook deplatformed them.
So it's not entirely clear to me that we're going to see some of the more dangerous elements
really coming back to those spaces because I feel like they've talked amongst themselves
about how to stay more off the grid so they can get away with more things quite frankly in some
of those more private places.
Or do they consult with ISIS on how to do this?
I mean, I think that they've frankly sat back and reconsidered some of their OPSEC after
Facebook deeply platformed them in particular because despite the fact that militias say
they're prepared for everything, the vast majority of them did not have a fallback plan for social media, should that disappear overnight.
I do think that we are seeing some very loud voices
on social media right now, particularly on X,
who we've started kind of calling influencers,
because often they keep their hands clean,
but they certainly inspire other people into violence
and other nasty actions.
And there seems to be very little appetite to limit that or control their possible influence
right this moment.
And I think that among the folks that I'm following, most of them are seeing Zuckerberg
and Elon as proponents of free speech and like what they're doing
to the platforms.
They believe, even if they're very not racist themselves or at least try to be, they believe
that the marketplace of ideas will naturally shut those things down.
Yeah, that's their argument.
But speaking of which, speaking of people who are doing that, before the pardons, we
saw Elon Musk do what was a fascist salute on stage during Inauguration Day event, which
engendered controversy, but then followed it with a bunch of explicitly Nazi jokes on
X. Talk a little bit more about these moments, Tess, in terms of his role, because that's
exactly what he's doing. And it's not even dog whistle, that's even too subtle what's
happening here. It's very explicit, and he's allowing others to do the same thing
on a platform. Mark is being a little more implicit in terms of letting people do whatever
they want. But talk about that and Paul, I'd love your insight into what that, there's
obviously no liability, but what does that do? Test first.
I think Elon Musk is molded truly by 410 troll culture. We've seen this with the far right or with the alt right
where you can say one thing and you know it's a dog whistle
but then you can also say, oh, it was just a joke
or where things have layers of meaning,
whether he's trying to create these layers of meaning
or he just simply doesn't care,
I think it's more likely the latter.
But I think that's a kind of a key rhetorical tool
that we've seen among this 4chan troll
types online.
And that's definitely kind of the culture that I think has shaped him.
And what impact do you think he has?
Well, I mean, the far right love him.
The guardrails are completely off on X.
It is a swamp of neo-Nazi content and far-right content. You don't have to be on
there very long to kind of run into full-on holocaust nihilism.
Yeah, I call it a Nazi porn bar. I'm sure it'll be suing me at some point in that. But
does it create a situation of these influencers that Amy was talking about?
Where these influencers or where these kind of
fringe voices are getting clout.
Yes, definitely.
I mean, also they have blue ticks by their name.
You know, they've been able to kind of buy their way
to some form of legitimacy through the kind of
different mechanisms that he's introduced
or taken away from X.
Right, and Paul, does it have any legal
or can they just do this without any impunity? With impunity, excuse me.
It's really quite interesting. In the United States, it's almost certainly action with impunity.
What is developing, which is going to be quite interesting, is that Europe has much different
sensibilities about free speech issues, especially with regard to hate speech and
especially with regard to pseudo Nazi or Nazism speech, especially in Germany. There is a
burgeoning sense that Europe may try and deplatform X or regulate X or fine X. I think the problem with any of that is really that
Musk is too rich to care. I mean, he'll spend any amount of money, he'll pay any fine.
It's not just that he's a troll, it's that he's the uber troll who has absolutely no obligation
of truth and veracity of any sort to anybody anymore. And he's mutated over the last five years.
I'm not enough of a psychologist to understand why, but five, 10 years ago, Tesla was a cool idea
and he was building really neat stuff and everybody liked him. Now he's giving
Nazi salutes on TV.
Absolutely. Again, with impunity. But Europe might push back. That would be the place you
could see it happen.
It's the only possibility against the most Nazi aspects of his speech. It may very well
happen there. And maybe at some point here in the United States,
people won't push back legally, but there'll be revulsion at what he does. Anybody who defends him,
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Visit flyporter.com and actually enjoy economy. Amy, as some of these groups support law enforcement, others see themselves as vigilantes to push
back against officers who stand in their way, how do you make sense of these contradictions,
Amy?
What's the through line of attacking law enforcement and then at the same time supporting them?
Right.
I think that there is nuance in this movement,
but the thing that helps most cleanly explain this
is that from the movement as a whole,
they kind of draw a line between what they perceive
as good law enforcement versus bad law enforcement.
And that's very subjective to them, of course.
But they see good law enforcement as those
they believe are upholding and following
their understanding of the Constitution, their understanding of the nation.
And those are the ones that they support and are willing to, in their view, protect at
protest or some other kinds of events.
Law enforcement officers or agencies, especially at the federal level that they see as defying
that mission are the bad guys and must be opposed
with equal fervor.
So in that regard, let's talk specifically about immigration tests.
You've written about some of the paramilitary groups who've been patrolling the borders
for decades in some cases.
Some seem like they want to work for the Trump administration, some don't.
Talk about the border militias who's patrolling there and what potential issues you expect
to see there.
And then Paul, I'm going to ask you a question about the legal issues around them in a second,
but go ahead, Teth.
Sure.
I mean, those groups were certainly very, very excited after Trump won, and they see
a place for themselves in Trump's enforcement actions.
I spoke with the leader of the biggest group, Arizona, Recon, who claimed at least that
he'd been in touch with the Trump administration and that they were actually in discussions
about working together.
That could be bluster, that could be, I think these guys love to claim that they have ends
with people in power to give themselves legitimacy, but certainly that is their belief.
We also saw this even with the Proud Boys recently. Since the pardons where they're very excited
and ramped up and talking about real life activity,
they're also seeing if there's some way
that they could help out or contribute to ICE enforcement.
And I also think to kind of go back to your point
about the police and Tata Kudu,
you were absolutely spot on with that.
We had, for example, Cash Patel on inauguration evening
giving lip service to law enforcement saying,
we support you.
We have your back.
And within hours later, Trump was
signing pardons for hundreds of people
who had attacked law enforcement.
And so how the GOP and Trump administration
is going to have to square that as a party who has historically backed law enforcement with Trump's actions, which should be really
interesting.
Right.
Well, I think he likes the blue he likes.
So Paul, you were Deputy Assistant Secretary of Policy in the Department of Homeland Security
during the Bush administration.
Talk about the legal issues around these militia groups.
The Insurrection Act allows the president to enlist able-bodied men of a certain age,
but can they be deputized
to work on behalf of the government at the border? I mean, who's calling the shots if they were
doing it themselves before? Well, assuming that the law applies and that Trump abides by legal
restrictions, there is no mechanism by which he can deputize non-employees of the federal government
by which he can deputize non-employees of the federal government as having law enforcement authority. That is to lawfully carry guns, exercise the force that police officers or
sometimes authorized exercise in support of their mission to conduct arrests. That does
not mean that the militia can't find a ready way of supporting the Trump mission
through surveillance, through intimidation, through coordination of activity, all of which
would be well beyond what has gone before, some of which would almost certainly be lawful
since there's no law against citizen patrols of
the desert in Arizona. You and I can go there today and walk around and if we see people
we think are illegal, we can call ICE and say, hey, we think we see something and they
can respond or not. What will really make the difference is two things. First, the degree to which ICE and other federal
law enforcement take that assistance to heart and really implement it. And secondarily,
the degree to which state and local law enforcement who traditionally are on the
sidelines of immigration issues are willing and able to assist. We've already seen a divergence in that,
for example, between the response in Texas where the governor is going to put out the National
Guard to help and the response in Illinois where the governor, Governor Pritzker essentially
yesterday said, we'll do what the law requires us to do, but we're not going to do a Whitmore.
A thing more.
Yeah, not a thing more.
Okay.
In 2017, President Trump defended the white nationalist protesters at the Unite the Right
rally, and Charlottesville saying there were some very fine people on both sides.
Final question for all of you.
Let's start with you, Paul.
We've seen what happens when some of these groups act with impunity.
Where do you see this going and what can people do to protect themselves this time around?
Well, I see a diminution of legal limitations,
especially at the federal level
and in states that are Republican states,
not necessarily in red states like New York
or Illinois or California.
Blue states. I mean, blue states, sorry. or Illinois or California. Blue states.
I mean, blue states, sorry. Yeah, sorry, red, blue. Yeah,
blue states. That to me, the tokens increased violence of some sort, which to my mind,
means two things. First, there should be, I hope, vigorous legal pushback by as many people as possible like me
trying to prevent these things from happening and maintaining the guardrails of the rule of law.
And the second thing is really, it's very sad to say, but people who are in at-risk communities,
whether it's immigrants or LGBTQ or African Americans, need to think about how they
will collectively protect themselves. And I'm not talking necessarily about violence and harming
themselves, but about watching each other's backs. And it's incumbent upon people like me
who are not at risk to step up and do what I can to have their backs on a
personal level as well. Okay, Amy and then Tess. I think that the best we can all do is try to
support folks in our local community to try to send resources where we can to make sure that folks
feel as supported as possible.
I think that the average person's ability to challenge some of the legal precedents
that are happening are very limited, but hopefully we can still try to hold our local officials accountable,
especially, for example, local sheriffs in border states who have already engaged some with militias
in efforts to at least drum up support for anti-immigration activities.
And so just being vocal and helping people know that they're not alone is one step, but
it's a very minimal first step.
I'm sure that we have those resources is the next most important thing, I think.
Where are you in the level of studying this in terms of nervousness, I guess, or looking
at what's happening?
Because lots of things have come to a head in the United States and then they tend to
peter out, but they haven't always, right?
Right.
I mean, I always say that social scientists aren't known for their optimism.
And I think that folks doing what I do have to be careful in this moment, but I also think
that some of us have to be willing to take some risks. Otherwise, nobody's speaking out about this.
Nobody's collecting good data and trying to do work that hopefully will outlive
this administration. What are some of the most dangerous signs you see
and what are some of the more promising ones? I hate to have to equalize it, but I
shall do that anyway. I think some of the most dangerous signs I see are just the rapid
action, which we expected in the first week of this administration, but seeing how much is at
the whim of executive order, seeing how much of history seems to be being rewritten in the context
of that, especially perhaps right now around January 6th. I think the sign of optimism for me is how many people are actually talking about this
and trying to say, hey, this is what really happened and we need to keep this in mind.
We need to push back against these things.
We need to make people aware of how these executive orders or these rollbacks are going
to impact them and hopefully get some momentum against some of what we think will be other
negative changes going forward.
All right, Tess, why don't you finish up?
Sure.
I mean, I think that, you know, this is exhausting.
This is all exhausting.
And I think that there's a real risk of people becoming numb to what's happening and also
things getting normalized.
I think we've already seen it to a degree since the first term of administration.
Things that shocked us in 2017 don't shock us anymore.
I remember when Trump would say, oh, fake news, all caps, and people would talk about
the erosion of democratic norms, and now we don't even blink when we hear that sort of
thing.
So I think that there is a real risk of things becoming normalized and making sure you don't
play into that. And as well, you know, we know that the strategy of this administration
or the past or, you know, the last time Trump was in power was, you know, Steve Bannon's
flooding the zone with shit. And this is a strategy to kind of exhaust people and overwhelm
people where, you know, reporters and researchers are kind of left chasing their tails in circles. So I think, yeah, kind of keeping tabs on what is and isn't normal
and not letting the kind of window shift.
And when you look at that, what do you see?
What is the most dangerous thing you've seen?
And in that idea of not letting it shift,
what's the most hopeful thing you've seen?
Well, I guess the most dangerous thing that I see is, I guess, the idea of like a feedback
loop.
When you have the fringes, the far-right fringes and the mainstream, both basically singing
the same song, the people in power are, you know, and they're both playing off each other,
that to me is the scariest thing because, you know, everyone in the middle gets kind
of caught up in it.
And then something you've seen that is shifted, because most of your stories, these people
are not redeemed, you know, that's the Hollywood kind of thing.
Have you seen even a sign of that yet?
I mean, sure there are people, for example, among the January 6th defendants who do seem
genuinely remorseful and don't want to get involved again.
There are examples of people who, since 2017, have genuinely left the movement
and have gone through, you know, de-radicalization training. And, you know, there are stories
like that. But I think that for me, what's alarming is the normalization and the mainstreaming
of extremist ideologies.
And is there one person you think is the most dangerous to be paying attention to?
I'd say probably the most dangerous is Elon Musk.
Because?
Because of the scale of his ambitions and the amount of power, the mouthpiece he has,
how he can control the algorithms to sway public opinion.
The scale of his ambitions as far as it concerns other countries beyond the US. I think that's what
makes him particularly dangerous.
I don't disagree with Tess. I do think that his intersection with Trump makes it even
more dangerous because clearly they feed off of each other in strange ways. Trump wants
to draw off of Elon's fame and sort of this tech bro status. Elon's looking for a daddy
figure sometimes in Trump
and it just makes the whole environment even more toxic and the potential for and the scope
frankly of the damage is really scary.
All right. I think we'll end on that. Great. He hates Kara Swisher. That's great to know.
Good to know. Anyway, thank you so much. I really appreciate it.
Thank you so much. Thank you.
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