Open Book with Anthony Scaramucci - How America Lost Its Edge And China Took Over - Dan Wang

Episode Date: January 22, 2026

Dan Wang is a research fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover History Lab. Previously, he was a fellow at the Yale Law School’s Paul Tsai China Center. His writing has appeared in the New York Tim...es, Foreign Affairs, the Financial Times, New York Magazine, Bloomberg Opinion, and The Atlantic. This is one of the most important books you'll read: Breakneck: China's Quest to Engineer the Future Anthony Scaramucci is the founder and managing partner of SkyBridge, a global alternative investment firm, and founder and chairman of SALT, a global thought leadership forum and venture studio. He is the host of the podcast Open Book with Anthony Scaramucci. A graduate of Tufts University and Harvard Law School, he lives in Manhasset, Long Island. 📚 Get a copy of my books: Solana Rising: Investing in the Fast Lane of Crypto ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://amzn.to/43F5Nld⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ From Wall Street to the White House and Back ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://amzn.to/47fJDbv⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ The Little Book of Bitcoin ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://amzn.to/47pWRmh⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ The Little Book of Hedge Funds ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://amzn.to/43LbM83⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Hopping over the Rabbit Hole ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://amzn.to/3LaykJb⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Goodbye Gordon Gekko ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://amzn.to/47xrLYs⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ 🎥 𝗕𝗼𝗼𝗸 𝗮 𝗖𝗮𝗺𝗲𝗼 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗔𝗻𝘁𝗵𝗼𝗻𝘆! ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.cameo.com/themooch⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ 🎙️ Check out my other podcasts: The Rest is Politics US - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.youtube.com/@RestPoliticsUS⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Lost Boys - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLYFf6KS9ro1p18Z0ajmXz5qNPGy9qmE8j&feature=shared⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ SALT - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.youtube.com/c/SALTTube/featured⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ 📱 Follow Anthony on Social Media Instagram - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.instagram.com/scaramucci/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ X - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://x.com/Scaramucci⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ LinkedIn - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/anscaramucci/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ TikTok - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.tiktok.com/@ascaramucci?lang=en⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ YouTube - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.youtube.com/@therealanthonyscaramucci Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:37 freely, they innovate, they go on and create Facebook or they make Apple computer. If we inhibit their free speech, then these countries have a tendency to need to steal intellectual property. Why the insecurity about the openness? It's a vibrant dynamic economy. We've learned that more innovation comes from liberalism. What am I getting wrong? If I want to defend some of the aspect of illiberalism, Maybe I would say that maybe the Silicon Valley model of innovation is wrong. You know, the Silicon Valley approach is that maybe the way to get innovation is that we take Steve Jobs, we throw him into a garage, we send some LSD after him, and somehow an Apple computer comes out of the garage. But, you know, someone actually had to make that Apple computer. And that Apple computer, that iPhone, isn't being made in the U.S. anymore.
Starting point is 00:02:21 All of it is being made in China. And so they are kind of able to wait for American entrepreneurs to dream up really big ideas, something like Elon Musk or, or, or. or whatever. They kind of learn these big ideas. They sort of guess that American companies are no longer very good at building these ideas because over the last 25, 30 years, the American manufacturing base has mostly rusted. It's been a lot of failures in aviation, as well as the semiconductors, as well as manufacturing broadly. And then they just wait for the geniuses to kind of hand over these great ideas into the public. And then they count on Chinese manufacturing progress to climb all of these ladders that the Americans are laying out for them.
Starting point is 00:02:57 Welcome to Open Book. I am your host, Anthony Scaramucci. Joining us today is Dan Wang. The title of the book is Breakneck, China's Quest to Engineer the Future. And I was saying to Professor Wang here that I got this book from Neil Ferguson, Dan. I guess he's at the Hoover Institute with you, maybe. He said, listen, you got to read this book. I read the book, loved it. Thank you for joining the show.
Starting point is 00:03:24 But before we get into the book, let's talk about, Tell us a little bit about your background. We know that you're a research fellow at Stanford University's Hoover History Lab, and you're now a best-selling author, but tell us how you got there. Yeah, well, I'm having a great time at Hoover, especially when I can be surrounded by generous colleagues like Professor Ferguson and giving you my book. So this book sort of came together from after I spent about six years living in China between 2017. to 2023 when I was a technology analyst at an investment research firm thinking about China's rise in semiconductors and clean technology and manufacturing broadly. And so this was a time of Donald Trump's first trade war, which he was launching tariffs on China. This was a time when Chinese technology
Starting point is 00:04:17 firms were getting more competent. This is a time when Xi Jinping was darkening in its repression of all sorts of political practices. And I really thought that, you know, we need to move beyond these 19th century political science terms like capitalist or socialist or neoliberal to describe these stupid countries. After being in China, I moved to be a fellow at the Yale Law School's Pulitzer China Center. And after thinking about, you know, China as a country that is pretty autocratic and also very much ruled by engineers, I moved back to the U.S., which is not so much more ruled by lawyers. And so that sort of set up a lot of the motivations for writing this book. It's an interesting.
Starting point is 00:05:01 I mean, I feel like I'm one of these uneducated Americans. I've spent some time in China, didn't fully understand it. I think the Americans looked at China as a manufacturing oasis, but didn't realize that this serpentine government would come in and take the engineering prowess and take the technology from companies like Apple and others that started manufacturing in China. And so tell us a little bit about the speed of growth in China and the success that they've had in terms of what they would call a technology transfer, but then also the strain. You know, what what made you realize that this was historically unprecedented about China?
Starting point is 00:05:47 Yeah, well, the economic growth of pulling 1.4 billion people. out of extreme poverty, a few hundred million people into the middle class and a few million people into the global elites. I mean, that is, I think, one of two central facts about China's rise over the last few decades. The other central fact is that it is a pretty authoritarian power that is very authoritarian into the 21st century, which means it has access to all of these technologies in which, and intrusions in which to really impede on people's liberties and privacies.
Starting point is 00:06:24 And so both facts are really important. And I think it is totally central to China's rise that it has mastered manufacturing, that it has mastered a lot of aspects of technological production. They're now in the global lead of things like automotives and clean technology and 100 other fields. And that is impinging on a lot of traditional American competences. Dan, I feel like we got this so wrong. I feel like 30 years ago, our elites in this country thought they won the Cold War,
Starting point is 00:06:59 and they thought that by letting China into the World Trade Organization, China would move our way in terms of Western liberalism and in terms of Western freedoms. They actually went in a different direction. They took the technology to do exactly what you said as more of a form of repression and social control. So how did we get it so, first of all, is that statement correct? And if it is, how did we get it so wrong in your opinion? Yeah, well, I think that statement is correct.
Starting point is 00:07:30 I think that there was this expectation that China would have liberal democracy after it has liberal markets. And that turned out to have been the wrong call. Now, I wasn't making these calls. Anthony, were you in the room making some of these calls? No, I wasn't making the calls, but let me tell you how bad I am at this. Yeah, tell me. I thought those were the right calls.
Starting point is 00:07:51 If you had said to me the 29, 30-year-old version of me when these calls were being made, the 35-year-old version of me when China entered the World Trade Organization in 1999, and you said to me as a pundit or as a Wall Street observer, was this the right call? I would have said yes. So I would have, even though I wasn't in the room, Dan, I would have gotten it wrong. And so I'm just trying to understand why we got it so wrong, myself included, by the way. Yeah, well, I think if I were in the room, 10-year-old me, I also would have gotten it wrong. But I think that, you know, maybe a lot of this was more motivated.
Starting point is 00:08:27 You didn't have to rub that in, Wang. You didn't have to rub in hell much younger you are than me. I'm sorry, man, you got more hair, so it's all good. Keep going. All right, it was good comeback, good recovery. I think that, you know, I think that this was more of a strategy. This is more of a hope than a strategy that, you know, people were reasoning from these economic fundamentals that as China grew richer, the population would necessarily want more democracy.
Starting point is 00:08:54 The internet was going to break down, you know, all of China's walls, that everything really looked like it was on America's side, that this was also a moment of hubris because America did more or less vanquish the Soviet Union, or maybe it's more accurate to say that the Soviet Union mostly self- imploded. But, you know, all of these things sort of turned into a moment when everybody believed that, you know, something like, someone like Bill Clinton would lead the world into the ultimate nirvana of total globalization. That turned out to have been wrong. That was more of a hope than a strategy.
Starting point is 00:09:29 And I think that main question now is how do we course correct, given that China is now very much powerful and very much not liberal. I want to go to the triumphant part of this story. I want you to be a Chinese politician, the Chinese bureaucrat. You're a member of the Communist Party, the People's Liberation Army. The last 25 years have been successful, yes, or no? Mostly, yes, although there are greater restraints. Because over the last couple of years, there's much more political uncertainty.
Starting point is 00:10:06 There is slower economic growth, and there are more social problems. But mostly a giant success. And so a result of which, though, does this make you, because this is what happens to people, we make some good decisions, we get those decisions right, and then we get overconfident. And I'll give a Western example. We make 40-year decisions about containment. The wall comes down. We get very, very smug. And then we make a series of very arrogant decisions. I think that, you know, I think this goes to my fundamental view about the U.S. and China over the longer term. I think that the competition between the U.S. and China will go on for a very long time, that there is no way that we can really understand this competition through these structural factors like, let's say, demography or geography, these are insufficient because I think that competition is dynamic.
Starting point is 00:11:01 I think that the country that is going to be ahead is going to make mistakes out of overconfidence, and the country that's behind is really going to feel of the need to catch up. And so you gave me an example of American overconfidence. Let me reply with an example of Chinese overconfidence. I was living in China in 2021. I was living in Beijing when Xi Jinping decided that, you know, he had the COVID pandemic under control, that, you know, the transition from Trump to Biden looked really chaotic after January 6th.
Starting point is 00:11:34 And this was a moment for him to do big things. And so what did Xi Jinping decide to do? well, he kind of crushed the property sector. And then he also smacked around a lot of tech entrepreneurs like Jack Ma. And China's economy today is really weak precisely because of these two actions that he undertook about four or five years ago. And so, you know, I think that these are the sort of things where they're really trying to catch up now.
Starting point is 00:11:58 But, you know, but once they do, they're also going to make mistakes of overconfidence again. So that's why the competition will last a really long time. Okay. So explaining me the vision, though, because I want to understand. understand this. I've got one point, I want to be Chinese and I want to be a communist. I have 1.4 billion people that am in the country. I want to be in total control of them and I want to censor the media and I want to suppress their free speech. And then I also want to use technology
Starting point is 00:12:29 to get them to conform to whatever the social standards are that I would like them to conform to. And if they don't do that, I'll find ways to penalize them, either using a, you know, a stable coin that's in Rennb or something like that and take it from them. And what is the theory behind that? Why is that, in my mind, ultimately going to be successful? I think that you've identified about half of the program, which is this, you know, agenda of political control and coercion, really to keep the people in check. But I think that the Communist Party also has another half to its agenda, which is to deliver to people what they think that, what they believe that the people ought to want. And so, if you're living in a Chinese city or the Chinese countryside, you're getting a lot of new subway stations. You're getting a lot of new parks.
Starting point is 00:13:29 You're getting cleaner air. You're getting high-speed rail. You're getting new bridges and new sorts of infrastructure to connect you to the rest of the country and potentially. the rest of the world. And a lot of that is being built by the engineers who run Beijing because they think that having these really big monumentalist projects like a giant dam or a giant bridge is going to really impress the people. I think sometimes that's true. I think that, you know, the U.S. used to impress the population with something like the Brooklyn Bridge or the Golden Gate Bridge or the Hoover Dam, whatever it is. But, you know, when you combine this element of coercion with
Starting point is 00:14:06 an agenda that very plausibly is improving people's lives. And then you have the propaganda authorities pointing out to various problems in the West, whether that's crime in Europe or whether that is political violence in the U.S. or whatever else, they can kind of plausibly claim to the people that the Communist Party is the best possible ruler for China, and ultimately that's what they want to stay in power. And they can't stay in power unless they're actually delivering some of the goods. Okay, so let me flip the script then, okay, because one could argue that you could, you could get more economic innovation from free speech. You know, we've learned psychologically, if we teach our children to speak freely, they innovate. They go on and create Facebook or they
Starting point is 00:14:57 make Apple computer. If we inhibit their free speech, then these countries have a tendency to need to steal intellectual property. Why the insecurity about the openness? It's a vibrant dynamic economy. We've learned that more innovation comes from liberalism. What am I getting wrong? Be Chinese for a second. Be a Chinese nationalist for a second. And tell me what I'm getting wrong. Yeah. Well, I think that, I mean, first of all, I want to agree with you that they do feel awfully insecure. And it's really strange. I mean, you take a look at some of their statements, the way that they bully, like, a small country like Lithuania, which they did a couple of years ago, or they bully a H&M, the fashion retailer, because they make the wrong statement. You know, it does look awfully insecure in all sorts of ways. They really punish a lot of comedians if they use the wrong joke. And so, first of all, it is an insecure place. But if I want to defend some of the aspect of, you know, ill, you know, ill. It's a lot of liberalism, maybe I would say that, you know, maybe the Silicon Valley model of innovation is wrong. And I speak to you as a person who spends a lot of time in Silicon Valley because
Starting point is 00:16:10 I'm a part of Stanford. And, you know, the Silicon Valley approach, since you bring up Apple computers, is that, you know, maybe the way to get innovation is that we take Steve Jobs, we throw him into a garage, we send some LSD after him and somehow an Apple computer comes out at the garage. But, you know, someone actually had to make that Apple computer. And that Apple computer, that iPhone, isn't being made in the U.S. anymore. All of it is being made in China. And so they are kind of able to wait for American entrepreneurs, really, you know, to dream up really big ideas, someone from something like Elon Musk or whatever. And, you know, they kind of learn these big ideas. They sort of guess that American companies are no longer very good at building these
Starting point is 00:16:55 ideas because over the last 25, 30 years, the American manufacturing base has mostly rusted. It's been a lot of failures in aviation, as well as the semiconductors, as well as manufacturing broadly. And then they just wait for the geniuses to kind of hand over these great ideas into the public, and then they count on Chinese manufacturing prowess to climb all of these ladders that the Americans are laying out for them. Does that make sense? It does make sense. I think you also bring this up in the book. I want you to elaborate it on here, if you don't mind, that that's stuff that the U.S. can learn from China, but there's also things that China could learn from the U.S. And so, you know, tell me about that reconciliation. Yeah, well, I think that the U.S. used to be
Starting point is 00:17:43 much better at building monumentalist projects. I mentioned before the Golden Gate Bridge, the Hoover Dam, New York City subway stations. Most of these projects were built up. about 100 years ago. And for basically, essentially since the 1970s, the United States has not built very many projects at all. You know, Penn Station in New York is a gaping pit. The subways are pretty broken. There is like their bridges are collapsing. It just doesn't look very good. And I think that this is something that the Americans really ought to learn more from China, that, you know, people want a better level of public works. California especially is really bad at providing a lot of functional infrastructure.
Starting point is 00:18:30 And I think that more Americans ought to have better infrastructure. So that's something that the Americans can learn from China. And I really hope that the Chinese, the Communist Party, can learn some degree of free speech from the U.S. I wish that there could be better protection of speech rights, better protection of property rights, that there could be more respect for individual people because I think that Chinese can be really wonderfully creative, really wonderful jokers, great comics, and yet a lot of that is being strangled by the Communist Party
Starting point is 00:19:02 because it just really doesn't understand what young people actually want. So, I mean, I think this is the thing, right? So we, you know, if you were, you know, since you brought up my age, Dan Wang, let me tell you about my age. No, you did it yourself, man. Let's talk about your age.
Starting point is 00:19:21 Let me read my age. So the CIA said, and I quote, at 1979, there's a period of long-term stability for the Shah of Iran. Three months later, the whole thing exploded in a revolution. The CIA said in 1985, and I quote, while the Soviet economy can't produce at the level that our economy is producing at, it is sustainable. There will be a 25-year continued consolidation. of power in the Soviet economy. And of course, seven short years later, the thing was blowing up. Okay. And so the question is, because we look at things in life and we see this linear progression, Dan, and we think, okay, well, that's going to continue to happen. But is there some things going on
Starting point is 00:20:08 under the surface in China that, you know, five years from now, 10 years from that we may be surprised about politically? Is there a Balkanization of the provinces? Is the young people, you're talking about that are using these VPNs and getting information outside of the control of the Communist Party, are there things under the surface that maybe an analyst isn't picking up when they say, well, there's a period, they're going to make it to their 100th year 2048 or 49 anniversary or is there something else afoot? Yeah. Well, you've convinced me, old man. The CIA kind of blows. So, you know, I think that they're... They're probably good at other things, but not really good at predicting.
Starting point is 00:20:53 That's sure. Yeah. Well, let's see what their predictions are so that we know what's not going to happen. So, you know, I think that I agree that these kinds of big surprises, these black swans could always happen. But black swans are unpredictable by definition. And, you know, what I would reason from is that, you know, from my years of living there, that the regime has been highly capable, that they don't seem terribly weak,
Starting point is 00:21:21 that they have been actually pretty good at responding to crises. I was living in China at the start of the COVID pandemic. Now, of course, they majorly messed up at the very start when they punished whistleblowers and they didn't control the pandemic effectively in the very early days. But after Beijing got on the case, they managed to have a zero COVID policy that for two years, mostly kept the country, kept transmissions minimal and kept the economy going for about two good years before they all messed up again. And so, you know, I think that the regime looks pretty strong to me, that there is still plenty of economic growth available to it. You know, their per capita income is about one-sixth level of American income.
Starting point is 00:22:09 And so there's plenty of. convergence that ought to be possible, and that the Communist Party has been pretty good at delivering the goods. Now, one could imagine that a lot of these sort of things collapse. I think collapse is always an option. But then I think, you know, what they would be doing is to say, oh, well, you know, let's do this exercise for the rest of the world. Does the United States look terribly strong? Well, Donald Trump is messing up a lot of different things. He's very disruptive. Does Europe look very strong? Well, you know, populist-raking parties are about to overrun the continent in a couple of years, plus they have no growth. And so, you know, if we wanted to do this sort of,
Starting point is 00:22:46 you know, what could collapse, I would take it much more seriously to say, to take a look at the entire world. And, you know, based on that, I'm not sure that the Chinese look like the weakest of the bunch. So it's 2049. We are in the midst of celebrating the 100th anniversary of Mao's revolution, or is there something very different happening in China? Well, maybe you'll be celebrating, Anthony, but I won't be. I think that if they are... Do you think there will be a celebrating? I mean, again, I'm not, like, I'm certainly, me personally, I'm certainly not celebrating that. You know, and remember, I'm old enough to remember George Marshall going over there and trying to see if he could negotiate a peace before the fall on revolution started. Yeah, well, I mean, you must have been alive when, you know, Herbert Hoover was trying to deal with a great depression.
Starting point is 00:23:39 But, you know, I think that there will be a celebration in China. The Chinese Communist Party will still be running China 20 years from today. I am expecting that to be the case. And I'll bet you a cup of coffee that they're still going to be running the country. You're smarter than me. I'm assuming that will also be the case. But looking ahead, though, Dan, when you think about technology and infrastructure and state power, Where do you see the greatest risk of conflict potentially between the U.S. and China over the next decade?
Starting point is 00:24:16 The island nation of Taiwan could be an obvious powder keg, as well as these islands around the South China Sea. Because the Chinese are very clear in saying that Taiwan belongs to Beijing. They really want to seize the island. And they also claim some degree of sovereignty. as well as possession over all sorts of these smaller islands across the South Pacific, which are also contested by other countries, including the United States. And so if Xi Jinping ever decides to seize Taiwan, then the American president has to make a choice, whether they defend this island, which is a democracy that is hanging off
Starting point is 00:25:06 essentially pretty close off the coast of China, whether the United States really needs to send a lot of forces to defend this, a democracy that is a pretty pro-American. Maybe so, maybe not, but if the troops do actually sail over there, then that is a pretty obvious potential for conflict between the two. Otherwise, I don't think that, you know, the American troops really want to occupy China. They're not going to seize Shandong province. And the Chinese don't want to seize Oregon state. You know, what would they do with Oregon? But, you know, when it comes to these minor, you know, islands in the Pacific as well as Taiwan, that's the more obvious trigger.
Starting point is 00:25:47 And so the American president, so the likelihood in the next decade that there will be a military move, obviously they're, they're trying to, I mean, they would like the same thing to happen to Taiwan that happened to Hong Kong or happened in. Macau, right? They would just want a natural absorption. But barring that, do you think that they would move militarily in the next decade? I think that they are going to have to think about what the American president is going to do. And so maybe that's more a question for you, Anthony. You've spoken to him more than I have. What do you think he would do in that sort of situation? Right now, I think his military advisors are telling him that it's a toss-up and that therefore he has to stay the course in terms of this strategic ambiguity because in a toss-up and recognizing what happened with Ukraine in terms of the crippling sanctions on Russia, et cetera, that the Chinese would, you know,
Starting point is 00:26:45 they're long-term thinkers. There'd be no reason for them to move while there's a toss-up. If there was a flip, if we became less supportive of the Pacific region, if we moved the fleet example, things like that, or we retracted from the region, which I don't predict, we're going to do at least in the last three years of the Trump term, then I think it becomes a little bit harder to defend the island. So to me, as long as the party thinks that there's a toss-up, I don't think they're going to move on that island. Now, maybe I'm long on that, but remember, you had 20 miles ago from England into France, and that's 80 years ago. It's a very hard amphibious trek to make that assault. It's an 80 miles straight. So it's four times the size.
Starting point is 00:27:37 And yes, we have better technology today, but that's also a very rocky, difficult terrain, Taiwan. It's not a flat surface. There's a lot of complication there. And those, of course, are very, very smart people. And they've been preparing for this for, you know, almost a century now in terms of defending that island. And what we've learned from the Ukrainians, that people will, they'll big in, they'll defend their land to the death. So it's not clear to me that the Chinese are going to move on it, given everything that I know from a military perspective. But if you think I'm wrong, push back. I don't make sense to me. I don't think Trump, if you, I don't think he gives two shits about that island. Okay. Other than the fact that there's semiconductor chips being
Starting point is 00:28:22 produced there. And the Chinese don't have the compromise on Trump that the Russians do. So he's not as a afraid of she as he is Putin. But the flip side is, is that as long as he doesn't need to do anything, he won't. It'll be up to the American military to stay fortified in that region. You know, again, remember, you know, you're talking to an internationalist. You're talking to somebody that sees the world from a balance of power perspective. I'm not a tripolar, maga, Trump supporter. You know, I'm somebody that believes that we need, we need to embolden the West to protect its interests because there's only, we're in the minority, my friend. Okay, we have 5.9 billion people living under some type of totalitarian regime.
Starting point is 00:29:10 So we'll have to see. All right, well, we're down to the lab. So if you've listed this podcast before, we come up with five words. I'm going to say the word from your book. I want you to give me a sentence or two. Okay, you're ready? Yeah, sounds good. All right.
Starting point is 00:29:24 So, Dan, I say the future. I say future. You say what? I say that Americans and Chinese both believe in the future, whereas as Europeans and Japanese seem to have a sense of optimism only about the past. It's interesting, and I agree with that. Okay, it's a very, it's very astute observation. Engineering, I say the word engineering, you say what?
Starting point is 00:29:47 I think that the Chinese want to engineer the physical environment. They want to engineer the economy. They are also engineers of the human soul. I say the word breakneck, the title of your book. You Say What? I think that the Chinese are really moving forward at breakneck speed. They are able to move fast and break things. They're also able to move fast and break people. It's a very powerful book you've written, my friend. Okay, I say the word America. You say what? I think that it is pluralistic, dysfunctional, and needs to get a lot better than today. You need a more rational policy, less of this bipartisan policy, less of this polarity, I think, is what I would say.
Starting point is 00:30:36 Okay, I'm going to give you the last word, and this is the last word. I say China. You say what? I think that it is a fabulously interesting place that is also growing politically darker year by year. Okay, listen, I think it's an incredible book. I'm very grateful to Professor Ferguson for giving me. you this book. The title of the book is Breakneck. It's China's quest to engineer the future. It is a brilliant exposition of what is going on. And it's a real examination of the facts.
Starting point is 00:31:09 Dan, I think you've written a great book. I hope people go out and buy it. And I appreciate you joining us today on Open Book. Thank you very much, Anthony. When a country's productivity cycle is broken, people feel it in their paychecks, their communities, their futures. What does this mean for individuals, communities, and businesses across the country? Join business leaders, policymakers, and influencers for CGs' national series on the Canadian Standard of Living, productivity, and innovation. Learn what's driving Canada's productivity decline and discover actionable solutions to reverse it.

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