OverDrive - Griffin on the Blue Jays striking out on Guerrero Jr., his elevated value and the management under the spotlight
Episode Date: February 20, 2025GriffsThePitch.com and Former Toronto Star Columnist Richard Griffin joined OverDrive to discuss the headlines around the Blue Jays, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. failing to reach an extension, his value in t...he league, Mark Shapiro and Ross Atkins'' comments on the outlook of the deal, the management perspective of Mark Shapiro and Ross Atkins, the impact for Bo Bichette's deal and more.
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Here he is from griffsthepitch.com. Our good friend Richard Griffin. Are you feeling optimistic
about everything working out here for Vladie and the Blue Jays over the next 8 to 12 months?
What's up, boys? I just want to know from Hayes what did five was in the dominican when you were down there with regard to black how a
lot of laws they'll have a lot of down there
they're saying i've got a
got a big for me to make sure that he gets paid
hundred percent supporting him down there
to me
most corporations most sports
teams announce their bad news on a Friday at five
o'clock so nobody pays attention. The only thing on the table this
week was Four Nations face-off and this is like streaking a croquet match. I mean
nobody has got anywhere else to look except this disaster that's happening
within the Blue Jays organization and one of the major sports in the city and the country.
Yeah, it's such a good point.
I guess, Vlad, he was the one that established this as the deadline, yet it's day one, all
three parties come out, Vlad starts.
It's a miserable way to start.
It's just a horrible way to start.
Vlad starts, then Ross comes out, then Mark comes out.
Vlad said, hey, they weren't close. Ross doesn't want to get into the word close
mark doesn't believe in the word close so there's you know a little bit of that
going on but you're right in terms of a day one kind of vibe I'm not have you
seen anything like this like it's not the same as Bautista with the stocks and
his price and his value because Jose was at a different place in his career and the
team was in a different place like how would you compare contrast this Vlad
scenario to anything else you've seen with the club in the past well the
bottom line is that they're not going to be able to sign Vlad Guerrero jr. unless
he becomes the third highest total value contract in baseball everyone's saying he's not the third best player,
but circumstances, you guys know that,
circumstances dictate what the market will bear
at a certain point in time.
So I think what needs to happen for the Blue Jays
and for Vlad is that they both save face
and that the Blue Jays use take liberal use of deferrals so that
Vlad can boast about his total value in current dollars and the Jays can say
well we didn't give in because we've got him behind Otani and Soto and we've got
him ahead of Trout and Mookie Betts. And so both sides are winners.
Otherwise, I don't see anything happening.
And to me, that would not constitute when Vlad says,
I'm not gonna negotiate past the first day,
but if the Jays go, okay, we'll give you
what you're asking for, but a bunch of it has to be deferred.
And we're hearing that deferrals are not
in Vlad's vocabulary at this time but if both sides want to win that's the only
way to go about it. So Griff in the day and age where a lot of superstar players
with their own organization that drafted developed get paid why did the Blue Jays
and regardless of what the money is why did the Blue Jays, and regardless of what the money is,
why did the Blue Jays decide not to pay Vlad this money?
And that's a perfect point, O'Doug.
I mean, like, they have 10 years behind them.
It was July 2nd, 2015 when Vlad signed,
so no other organization has that 10 years
plus the next 15, so 25 years of lad, you can average that
down. You can logically say to yourself, well, we're only paying them 23 to 25 million over
the 20 year. We're rewarding them for what he's done for us. There's no other organization
that can say that. No other organization can say we're paying him for what he's done in the past, we're
rewarding him.
They're paying him for the future.
And those are when you get in trouble with big dollar contracts like Anthony Rendon with
the Angels and guys like that.
But I think that the stumbling block here has been Mark Shapiro.
I don't think Shapiro is that high. He said at the end
of the season on November the 4th and we weren't tweaked at that point maybe it
was the 6th of November that he's not a generational player. What chief executive
of the sports team says that about their own best player unless there should be
some antenna going up and go uh-oh this is not a good sign for signing him long term.
And I believe that what needs to happen is for Ed Rogers and ownership to step up
and go, okay, Mark, you've had your fun.
We need this guy.
You, you forced us to build a big stadium a pleasure palace for 300 million
dollars and now you're telling us that our best player isn't going to be there
for the next 10 years like get over it this guy is our best player one of the
best players in the game we signed and developed him let's go get him give him
what he wants let's negotiate somehow and both sides will be winners and we'll be able to put people
in that ballpark.
Otherwise, you'll be able to fire a cannon through it by August.
So Griff, what about the PR about all of this?
I mean, just the way it was handled, the way the comments of define close, this happening
on day one.
Is this not been a little bit of a recipe for disaster
just based on how this is all unfolded
and even the messaging?
Absolutely, there's a ripple effect at three levels
with the fans in the clubhouse and with ownership.
And they held that press conference with those three guys
right outside the doors of the clubhouse in Dunedin at
The player development complex so don't think that it didn't immediately go back and resonate throughout that clubhouse
But guys like Anthony Santander who believed and I believe that's a great addition for this team
but
For him to believe that he was going to be playing his five years and
beyond with Vlad and then Bo thinking, if Vlad can't sign, what hope is there for
me? I'm gone. Just the ripple effect through that clubhouse in terms of the
question of PR, I think it was brutal. I think it was horrible and they need to
Rectify that before opening day because if Vlad has a great year he's gone
Because there will be bitters out there if he has a bad year
Then the Jays are gonna go well
maybe our offer was a little too much because that's three out of four bad years for Vlad and
you know, that's the risk he's taking. But in terms of Ross Atkins saying,
define close, just tells me that I don't want to be
playing horseshoes or hand grenades with Ross.
Yeah, exactly.
Griff, what do you think's more likely to happen?
Vlad, he goes in place somewhere else,
and people look back
and say, and he's fantastic and he's one of the best players in the game and people
are going to look back at the Jays front office and say, what a bunch of dummies, or is he
going to go somewhere else and kind of stumble a little bit and everyone's going to say,
thank God they didn't give him that money. Out of those two scenarios, what would you
say would be more likely? Well, I think despite the fact that, you know, he looks like everyone's uncle in terms of
body, I think he plays every day. He plays 150 to 160 games. He's going to play every
day for somebody. I think he's figuring it out. I mean, when you look at the fact that he's the
second youngest player on the 26-man Jay's roster projected heading into opening day,
and all that he's accomplished at age 25, and then everybody's going gaga over David Schneider and
Alejandro Kirk and those guys that are older than Vlad. I think that it's a big mistake.
My personal belief, and you guys know that I'm
like Pollyanna at times,
I think that they will find a way at some point
and it won't be, if he makes it through the season
and goes into the off season, he's gone.
But if something happens,
and when he said I'm not shutting the door,
I think that was a key for them to not jump on,
but to to be optimistic about if they can be creative
in terms of putting together a contract that makes both sides happy.
Do you truly believe that he wants to be a blue jay for life?
I spent four years with the
JSPR department. I spent
and that includes his rookie year in 2019
when he first came down the hall wearing his dad's jersey
on the first day that he was in the major leagues.
And I have seen him
yes, I think he wants to be here
he's comfortable here, he's got a huge comfort level which
if they can be creative and sort of appeal to his, like I'm not a loser, we're not a
loser side, I think they can get it done.
But I do believe in answering the question that he does want to be here. Griff you talked about shooting a cannon through the Rogers Center and you know
the fans being pissed and nobody's showing up like what is it gonna be like
for that management team like if they come back from Dunedin like they are
going to be so mad with them how like you just mentioned you were in the PR
like how what's it gonna be like for them coming back into that building and everyone hating their guts?
Yeah, I think they'll be very defensive. I think we'll have, I mean there's fewer
availabilities for the GM and president than any front office I've seen. I think that
already Ross looked disheveled and unhappy
when he gave his press briefing.
It's gonna get nothing but worse.
And I wouldn't be surprised, especially,
here's a bold take that if Ed Rogers steps in
like Steve Cohen and takes control and says,
we gotta sign this guy
I think that both the president and GM
Might be gone by the start of the 2026 season
yeah, well with Richard Griffin that would that's what I'm wondering here because
Ever rot like Cohen has changed the game in many ways. And you look at the Soto negotiation,
it was just pay him whatever, you have to pay him to win.
And the Pete Alonso stuff,
no one was asking what the GM thinks.
Nobody.
Like, no one was wondering how the GM feels.
It was go ask Steve Cohen,
and he'll tell you what's happening
and what's going to happen.
When I was with the Expos, when I was with the expos,
when I was with the expose and Charles Bronfman was the individual owner,
he had a little bit of a Steve Cohen vibe to him and that he was the owner.
He made some key decisions. He left a lot of stuff up to his front office,
but the reason that Charles Bronfman in 1989 left the game is because ownership
was going
too corporate.
So all his friends in the business, all his other owner friends were no longer there and
he left.
And Steve Cohen might be swinging it back in that direction.
But you know, right now he's a lone ranger in that regard, really.
And the Jays need to have someone step up from their front office
and say this is enough you made us build a brand new stadium within a stadium and now
you don't want to have a you don't want to allow us to fill it because of your ego on
this.
That's what it feels like and listen like you said maybe there's hope that they can
rectify all this and you know you find a way to get
pen to paper and body sticks around and he's a jay for life and
but they're there there just can't be any loser in this negotiation
and that's the only way i'll get done it
if he becomes the third highest paid player total value
in major league history
and the blue jays are able to manipulate the
deferrals so that it sort of they can boast that it's down in the low fours you
know I mean that's the only way I see it getting done. All right Griff we'll leave
it there what a way to start spring training we'll see what happens the rest of the way.
Thank you for doing this. I love hearing your guys views on this every day so keep it up boys.
I appreciate it. Thank you
There is Richard Griffin our good friend from grips the pitch comm
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