OverDrive - OverDrive - January 31, 2025 - Hour 2
Episode Date: January 31, 2025Join Bryan Hayes, Jamie McLennan and Dave Feschuk for Hour 2 on OverDrive! TSN Hockey Analyst Mike Johnson joins to discuss Mitch Marner's contract outlook, the Maple Leafs' deals and salary cap incre...ase in the league. The guys also discuss Brandon Saad signing with the Golden Knights, the Raptors' search to continue their winning run and the direction of the team in Toronto.
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Hour two overdrive continues powered by FanDuel bringing you everything from the opening line
of the final score.
Brian Hayes, Jamie Noonels, McClennan, Dave Fest, Chuck of the Toronto Star, Leeson Edmonton
playing the Oilers tomorrow night.
Last night Ottawa with a big win.
Montreal loses.
Boston pumped again.
They got pumped again last night.
And I saw Kevin Weeks is on with Gino today doing a that's hockey hit about Brad Marchand
and whether or not the Bruins should move off him.
And he's a UFA I believe after this year.
Yeah.
Yeah, they got to sort their they're in a down cycle right now they got a sort
their stuff out
you know it's it's
we did it last night
there's ten teams are separated by six points
and with the leafs losing their right in there now that's the uh...
they got to get their act together as far as winning games and stuff and and
separate themselves they had a nice little buffer and we're feeling good now
you
the florida wins are sorry temple one yesterday like you got it and stuff and separate themselves. They had a nice little buffer and were feeling good. Now Florida wins, or sorry, Tampa won yesterday.
Like you gotta, if Florida plays Chicago tomorrow at home,
like they've gotta worry about themselves.
That's a big game in Edmonton for them tomorrow.
I said that yesterday and Struddy came over the top
and was like, why are you being a hater?
Why are you being so negative?
Which I found fascinating.
He was actually supporting the Leafs.
And always- Well, you're was actually supporting the Leafs and always
you're allowed to support the Leafs like absolutely. Right. But the point I was making is the one
you're making is like they've they had an opportunity to run away with this division
and you could apply that to other teams as well. I understand that. But they have squandered
that over the last nine games. They've lost six of their last nine in regulation and they've
they've pissed away a bunch of points
against teams that they should beat or should compete with.
And doesn't mean they're gonna miss the playoffs,
but it could be a scenario where perfect world,
you take care of business, you score goals,
you've got all this elite talent,
you got a five, six point buffer on Florida in your division.
And they've thrown that away.
Big time. And they've thrown that away. Big time.
And they've thrown it away in a weird way
because in those six losses you're talking about Hayes,
seven combined goals.
Like they're just like-
They're not scoring right now.
It's pretty wild to see.
Yeah.
And this was a team like prior to Craig Barube arriving,
they literally never got shut out.
Literally never got shut out.
And now they've been shut out a number of times this year and like you
said they're just not scoring they're not capitalizing on any opportunities
and they don't look overly dangerous no but Tavares coming back is is
significant nice coming back is significant sure sure but that's the
your top six right like you're missing players and then teams are missing
players all through the league but it does test your depth because if a team is game planning and going, okay,
we only have a couple guys to worry about tonight, then it looks different. And the
bottom of the Leafs roster has not been producing. They haven't been difference makers. Here
and night, here and there, Lorenz gets a goal or Robertson and stuff like that, but it hasn't
been consistent where they've been dangerous.
You look at the teams at the top of the roster.
I mean, Ottawa had that game in hand last night, it was up 4-2, and Washington goes,
we're not going away, and they get a point out of it.
No kidding.
Like, it just, these top teams have depth that continue to push and they wear you down.
And Winnipeg goes and wins again.
Like they're just, that's the one thing I look at.
The teams that are at the top of the standings, the one consistent thing, yeah, I mean the
goaltending star players, all of that, but they have depth and they're getting depth
scoring.
Well, Winnipeg's now won five in a row.
They have a goal differential of plus 63,
which is far and away the best in the league.
Second is Washington, and no one's surprised at plus 54.
But again, the Leafs are only plus eight goal differential.
Like they've scored 15 less goals than Florida this year.
Like it is something they've gotta rectify.
Like they've gotta find a way to break loose.
You look at these last nine games,
like Matthew says seven goals, so he's pulling his weight.
Nylander's got six.
Nobody else on the club has more than two.
You know, and there's like only Robertson, McMahon and Nyes have two, and then everybody
else has one or less.
There's just no depth scoring at all.
Well, and that's like Mitch Marner has run into a rut here offensively.
That's what's happened with M than the last like two or three weeks
is he's had a great year but his offensive numbers he is
blended into games
it's an if it proves his importance and he's the one that needs to be a guy he
needs to push play needs to put up numbers
but uh...
you know bill on career-high pace in a contract here
yes or does it. But the rising cap?
He's going to be fine.
He'll be okay.
I'm sure in the end he'll be okay.
I mean, I was on the show yesterday, but watching that Minnesota game, like, I don't know, I
was, I was joking.
Like it looked like Minnesota had seven guys on the ice.
Like everywhere the Leafs turned, they ran into a Minnesota player.
Like I thought Minnesota really checked the hell out of them.
Which, you know...
Early in that game they did, for sure, yeah.
Yeah, they did.
Like, there just was no space out there.
And I thought that Wild did a really good job that way, limiting time and space for
a lot of guys.
You know, Ebbetson plays a tighter defensive game, too than you think.
That's playoff sockie, isn't it?
I mean, that's what we talk about.
Craig Barube is supposed to be here
to push the right buttons,
to get them to break through that, right?
Like everything's about playoff hockey
and preparing for the playoffs.
And I'm curious what they bring tomorrow night,
because it's gonna be a fun night.
It's electric, it's Saturday night, it's in Edmonton.
You're playing McDavid, the Oilers are playing great.
You're getting Tavares back, you're getting Nyes back.
I don't think Stoller is gonna start tomorrow,
but it's possible. It like he's going to be activated
and play again
certainly be in the lineup so that that's a big boost for them and
they gotta get going here
because you have a lease of lost six of nine and you got four games before two
week break
uh... joining so the maple total hotline is rts and hockey analyst mike johnson
uh... johnny where where you at with the lease right now and how important this
four game roadie is for them over the next week, week and a half?
It feels like it's pretty significant for a couple of reasons. I mean, one, you mentioned
you have a two-week break, so you don't want to be sitting there chewing on whatever, nine
losses in 13 games or something heading into a break. That's not going to feel very good
and what probably should feel like a generally positive first two thirds of the seasons.
They'd been in first place in the division for most of it. Um, you know,
their top guys have done well, their new system has done well,
but if you go in sort of this cold and slumping, you don't feel great about it.
And then there's a practical aspect of it.
Like I don't watch four points behind Toronto, four points.
And so this idea that Toronto was sort of home and cooled in a top two spot, it was just a battle for first with Florida
and everything else is not even part of the conversation. They've played
themselves into a situation where that's not true right now. And so they got to
play themselves back into a situation where it is good challenge against good
teams. I'm going to be out there next week for a couple of games.
And yeah, I mean, I think it's pretty impressive.
Pretty important.
They're going to have tomorrow's back.
They're going to have nice back.
They'll be whatever relatively close to full self.
Stoller is on his way.
Even Yarnbrook is going to play pretty soon, I think.
And then I guess there'll be no more excuses
to not create offense, to not win these games uh... candidate cat
certainly none of the sort of bigger cover questions i gotta be asked
so five p m mountain time
tomorrow night is part drop in edmonton it's a one of my favorite annual
traditions rolling through the fifth through alberta and and
bc and
uh... here's khan mcdavid speaking on that earlier today. What's coming with the Leaf game tomorrow night?
Guys are excited
You know we get the five o'clock start time it's always nice they come in our building and we got to change our schedule around but
You know it is what it is
So I guarantee the first 18 years of his life he loved that right he
had no problem when he was up in Newmarket watching 7 p.m. local. I just wouldn't want to piss that guy off.
True, but hey, of all days the response would have been do you like the salary cap of a
hundred and fifteen million two years? You play whatever the least watch is like. Exactly.
You want seventeen million dollars? That's right. Don't tell me you can play it two in the afternoon local if you want 10 a.m. in Toronto and you can take a
twelve million dollar max contract so pick your poison do you want the news
do you want the growth do you want the exposure or do you want the
inconvenience of two hours your call yeah you tell me what I think he knows
and I think we all know the answer I know no no I'm not picking on him it's
tongue-in-cheek I get it I'm not taking on him. It's tongue in cheek. I get it. I'm not taking it seriously,
but there's no doubt, especially in Vancouver,
the fans in Vancouver get quite
disgusted. bent out of shape
about the fact that they have to change
to accommodate the Toronto TV market.
Not so much the Leafs.
It's really accommodating the television market,
but I do find it comical when those sort of complaints
are lodged around Canada Canada really like, you know
Sometimes Winnipeg is not happy that they're not on
CB they can go hockey night Canada. They might be on a different channel. I'm like
You know the the teams that are on the big channel are five times bigger than you. They're their population
It's just a numbers game. It's not a personal preference
I always spend that a little bit a little bit silly to get bent out of shape about those
things.
Well, what do you remember about the amount of Leaf fans that show up for this game? Because
we had a little bit of a disagreement in the last hour. Noodle thinks the Oilers are the
only...
No, no.
Go ahead. You explain what you think.
Let me explain. Out of the seven teams in Canada, the least representative will be in
Edmonton. Calgary, there's more Leaf fans.
As far as people in the building, not saying, the least represented will be in Edmonton.
That's the way I viewed it.
Being in the building, seeing it, I played in Calgary, I've been in Ottawa for games,
all of that.
I didn't say that they won't be there.
I just said to least represented
will be an ad is that mitten is that how you recall it
and jr one
so i didn't plan with a pay gap or a bit of a big but you know that one hundred
percent
correct okay i'm following amazing night night i never really thought about it
when i was playing for a week you know you know you there's lots of fans
everywhere
seeming that now i think back it feels feels like there was way more in Calgary than Edmonton. I don't
know why. I have no idea why these things happen this way. But certainly, Los in Vancouver,
Montreal, Ottawa, yeah, Noodle, you are correct. It doesn't seem like, on the other ranks,
it might be like 30% Leaf fans. in Edmonton it might be 10.
I said 20, but Hayes and Pestchuk wanted to come through the camera at me and joke me
out.
No, that's not true.
No, I'm joking.
I'm saying, I just said, they travel, Leaf fans travel well.
I've experienced it.
I played for the Flames.
I'm in other ranks in that i see it
that we need to have been sent they travel they get there but it's just not
as big a quite as that's okay i think that's our percent of the graduate
that was a little bit more
leaf and in arizona
then there would be an ad that
there would be more leaf and in florida
then there would be a Edmonton. There
would be more Leaf fans in Buffalo obviously, but even some of those far destinations playing
for Leaf, there's more Leaf fans down there than I guess can get their hands on tickets
at Edmonton.
So Johnny, we got these new cap projection numbers today and obviously the captain over
here is now the GM of the Maple Leafs and he's on a hard line johnny he's saying
there is no freaking way that mitch marter is making a dime more
then austin matthews thirteen point two five million dollar cap it
i'd put out the math to him that
with his ninety five point five million dollar projected cap
that even a modest raise of
marter's percentage of the the captain assigned for his previous contract
would immediately put him very close to end
probably above
thirteen point two five into thirteen and a half million even if he gets
fourteen percent of the cap
this the last time he said he gets thirteen point four percent of the cap
man that he's getting fifty percent cap that's a lot of math to say
the ages will be making the case that he should make more than matthews cuz the
cap is rise how do you see it?
I'm with the agents, 100%.
Like I get it.
I get why Colorado says I don't want Ranton and make it more than McKinnon in actual dollars.
And I get why Ranton and would say I'm not making more, I'm making lesser by percentage
of the cap.
Don't worry about the actual dollars.
It's percentage of cap that matters.
I get both sides of the argument. And depending on what side you want on, if you're a player, percentage of the cap, don't worry about the actual dollars. It's percentage of cap that matters. I get both sides of the argument,
and depending on what side you want on,
if you're a player, you want the percentage,
if you're a team, you want the actual dollars,
they both make sense.
There is something, the fact that Austin's contract
is so new, and the fact of the matter is
Austin's better than Mitch Marner.
Mitch has had an incredible year,
he's an incredible player, but Austin's better than him.
That would be an easier line to toe on a contract that's
only like a year old or a year and a half old. But if I'm Mitch Marner, I'm like, hey, this is how it
goes. This is the advantage of being up when the cap's going up this way. I remember Lewald
Dang getting $180 million contract off of an eight-point season with the Lakers. This is how it goes
when you time it right.
So this is, this is the way it works. But one of my other thoughts about this though, guys, like the player who
was going to maximize their earnings more than any other player in the
history of this cap world is Austin Matthews.
He's going to be up when the cap's $120 million and then you can sign
his long-term deal and he can get whatever.
Like it's amazing how he has signed it really well.
But my first thought about those things,
of course, Hayes, your thought goes to Marner
and to Rassan and what's that mean for Tavares
and all this extra money in the system.
A few different thoughts.
One, the players will all be asking for more,
as they should.
There also will be way more competition
amongst good teams for players.
It used to be just the teams are at the bottom of the league
had the cap space, right?
And do you wanna go play for San Jose?
Do you wanna play for Chicago?
They're no good.
You dump in an extra $10 million per year per team,
all of a sudden, good teams are gonna have
lots of space to sign players.
That's gonna be very different.
But the other part is, how can the league be this confident about
where revenues are going to go and that is why the cap will go up. It tells me immediately
first thought there's going to be expansion in the next couple of years. Like, like, like
is such a moneymaker like the new new franchise they're always sorry, cap on the players.
I think that's not going to happen. And you know the new television deal in Canada is also something that's going to be there and the new CBA I think they've all kind of got a the league's got a pretty good eye on all those ideas and how they're going to work out and where the caps going to go. asking or negotiating for whatever they want. That's not, it's not an anti-player stance.
It's that my point is if you're the team,
you're the manager, you're responsible for team building
and applying a philosophy.
And my thought goes to the Leafs will probably end up
just capitulating and saying whatever it's gonna take.
That's been their history.
That's what they've always done.
Willie, what do you want?
Okay, Mitch, what do you want? Austin, what do you want? I wouldn't be surprised at all.
I'm bracing for them just doing that and whatever Marner is demanding is what they'll probably end
up giving him. I wouldn't be surprised at all. But if I'm running things, at some point you have to
have a backbone and you have to have a team philosophy. And I would argue the last time they
gave Marner those percentages, it was a massive overpayment.
Massive overpayment and it's time to rectify that.
And furthermore, forget your own internal cap.
If you're saying this guy is gonna get a percentage
that's gonna put him at, let's say 14 million.
You know who's making 14 million start next year?
Leon Drysettles.
You know how embarrassing that would be
for the Maple Leafs to have to describe,
like to explain that they're giving the exact same deal
That dry settle just got for Mitch. There's no explaining that I'm sorry. They're just there isn't you cannot run your operation
Giving a money like that. You can't there's no explanation for it. You know, it'd be more embarrassing for Leon
I mean I said saying that respectfully,
like you know, you're a much better player about to start on a contract with a guy making the same
as you, then you didn't do a great job getting as much as you need or want or care to get.
I don't know, I mean, Chess' point is well made. I mean if Marner, when his contract started at
13.4, you give him that now, that's like $13 million. You're gonna have to give him more
than presented to the captain, Nylander got.
You're gonna have to.
Why do you have to do that?
He's better than William Nylander.
How much better is he than Willie?
Is he really that much better than Willie?
He's higher on the TSN mid-season player rankings.
He wasn't on the projection, the top 50.
Willie was ahead of him three months ago.
Willie's gonna score 45 goals. I I mean how much better is he than William
Nylander I don't think he's degree he's better okay in your case so better
numbers is he playoffs does he well not the play out yeah okay well he had
better points per game is he a better playoff player than William Nylander
well how do you judge William Nylander's player performance? Points and goals. And impact on the team. So how
does Willie impact the team? Points and goals. Not with great defensive plays, not
killing penalties. So if it's points, Marner's got more points than William Nylander.
In the playoffs, obviously way more in the regular season, goals, Willie
obviously has way more in the playoffs. In the regular season goals we obviously has way more in the playoffs in the regular season the goals are actually much closer than you might anticipate so
I'm conceiving it's close but I'm a Marner with the defeat better whatever
it's even closer than the regular season but it's you if you are trying to
make it like a super strong argument that Marner doesn't deserve a little bit
more than William Nylander. And that puts him very close to Matthews with the new cap.
And keep in mind, Johnny, we're all talking, this is speculation.
Mitch Marner controls his future.
Like, he decides that he wants to play this out, you're going to use that cap space to
go and try and replace Mitch Marner.
And Miko Ranthinen might be available.
Sam Bennett's going to be, you know, there's guys that, you know, you're going to, you might be able to pick your poison and reshape
your team. All of this is, I think you kick the can down the road, but everyone's pointing
to Miko Ranton and gets traded and Colorado gets a return and they get some stuff like,
it's different with Mitch Marner, but you might be able to use that currency to
You know to reshape your team if you don't like the way that it ended this season
We're talking about you know if they don't have to point out like if right regardless
It's not just a Mitch thing clearly right Mitch will be the one that's up if if they crap out again
And it's nine years with one playoff win
Someone you would think they're gonna say,
okay, well, we've gotta change something.
Again, I'm not holding my breath
because I've been saying that for three or four years.
They may not, they may not,
based on the way that they've operated for years,
but if it goes awry again,
and they're just gonna continue to do it
and do it and do it, I mean,
it becomes more and more difficult to explain.
Now, maybe it goes the opposite way,. They go on a great run, win a
bunch of rounds, maybe win a cup and then it could be a completely different
situation. Obviously. But yeah, if I'm the Leafs, I'm not doing anything until I see
how the playoffs play out. Yeah, yeah. Listen, they're all fair points and you
know there's some risk involved in that because you could have a great run and I think the risk in taking it longer though
haste that I do think if I don't imagine the price is gonna go up significantly
higher unless they go win a cup or something like Mitch Smarter is gonna ask
what he thinks he deserves and he makes a pretty good case that he deserves it
and whether they win one round or two that's probably not gonna go up or down
but it does offer you more information
than if you wanted to go a different direction.
But it's, it would be, you could take $12 million
and it's not going to be easy to replace Mitch Marner
in any capacity, we know that.
Like there's not that many good players out there
that would be available.
But this is gonna be fascinating.
The whole dynamic of players and contracts, it's just going to shift now because squeezing
every cent and trying to make trades and salaries, all of it is going to be a little bit easier
to navigate with the cap going up.
And that's just three years.
I'm assuming years four, five and six, it's going to continue to go up by eight or $10
million a year or whatever.
So like you're talking $125, 30 million dollars in five years. The most valuable thing in the league right now
is if you're sort of like a quasi star player who's just starting a long-term contract.
If you're Nick Suzuki making seven and a half, four years from now that's gonna be
an absolute bargain. Any team who's got a player like that, all of a sudden he becomes more valuable as the
term becomes more valuable than less as the cap starts to go up this much.
That's all I could think about, Johnny, is the deal.
Ottawa hasn't done anything.
They haven't made it to the playoffs, but they've got a lot of those guys.
Jake Sanderson's gonna make 8 million in the
next seven years. That's a pretty value contract if they get through to the playoffs, if they
turn the corner as an organization. Guys on long-term deals. I keep thinking like
Zach Iven makes $5.5 million. R&H, 5.1.
These deals that were signed, and I know commitments and all of that type of stuff, and who knows,
as age there's going to be drop off, but guys making $5 million, that could be a fourth
liner if you don't go crazy at the top of your roster.
Yeah.
A lot of flexibility, man.
A lot of flexibility.
You will not get upset when your third liner is making four and a half or five.
It'll be like, not an afterthought, but it won't be like the contract that has jammed
up the whole club.
It's just going to be so different.
And it's exciting.
It's good for business.
And one other thought from the Toronto market, for the last 20 years, the big markets have
not, I mean, yes, they can spend more on player
development and scouting and facilities and travel, but they haven't been able to spend
much more on players. And I think as it gets to 110, 115, 120, like you're going to start getting
to a point where some teams will be hard pressed or will not want to go to the very cap, you know,
unless they absolutely have to try to contend. And that might be a-pressed or will not want to go to the very cap, you know, unless they
absolutely have to try to contend.
And that might be a chance for Toronto or the Rangers or the Flyers or the Red Wings
or the Blackhawks or the Habs or whoever, the big market teams to have a little bit more
financial ease to get all the way to the cap if they want to.
That's going to be one other sort of change over the last 20 years where it hasn't been
the case
Yeah, I mean again it it's by guns or by guns it's done now But you just a part of me also looks back on the way they negotiated the first deals with Matthews and Marner and Nylander
If they all had eight-year deals you'd have them for another three years at their original price
Like Willie be making six point nine for the next for this year and next
if they held strong on eight years. If they got Austin for 80, be making 11.6 for this in the next
two. But had there been no COVID, they would have been also really set because the cap already would
be at 100. More than likely that would have been the case. Right, so they were particularly hit
because they had got all their guys through relative long-term contracts and then the caps stood still and
they and they they they lost that sort of up up taking the cap
advantage. So yes, by God be by God. I know but you're you're
not wrong, but they also were some things that were completely
out of their control like covid that hurt them more than maybe
other teams. So to clarify, would you be comfortable with
Mitch Marner making more than Austin Matthews? to clarify would you be comfortable within mitch marner making more than austin matthews now if you're the g
out thank you okay so what are we doing well i want to get started on that
baby says for fifteen minutes about it like you guys are you with me like i'm a
dummy and then you agree with me and i have to continue i'm going to be close
any and the other than you wish you was now i'm fine listen
i want to clarify this
mitch marner is a a a superstar phenomenal player i think
they're all they all equally should be taking the heat
for what has happened in the past come playoff time if anything the packing
order should be austin at the top
then mitch then willie
i see mitch and willie in a very similar spot terms of impact on the game we can all look at it differently i have fluctuated on that
over the years
but i think willie deserves a lot of credit especially look what he's doing
right now
this guy's plan with like
pot is home bird
and jacob will have to read yeah it's like it in martyrs up you know and again
march martin seven a phenomenal year but he gets austin
thumb knives gets heard okay move mcmahon up
willies doing it by
himself but that's neither here nor there but I totally agree of course he's gonna ask
for what he deserves, he's gonna try to get whatever he can but if I'm the Leafs you have
to, for team building, for a team that hasn't won anything, at some point you've got to
step up and say we have to have standards here and that's the end unfortunately Mitch's if he wants more than that if I'm Brad tree
living in Brennan Chan and I'm saying that we just can't accept that and I
don't know it's not personal it's business and Johnny I mean you know it's
not just Hayes ranting and raving here we've got in this past week we just saw
a Stanley Cup winning front office make exactly
the same argument in trading Miko Ratnick.
Yeah.
Yeah, that's right.
This is not news.
No, the Leafs are sort of uniquely... And what makes the Leafs interesting is that it
seems like they've had this sort of conversation every summer they have it, as opposed to these
other teams that pops up every three or four years.
But what makes it hard, and Hayes, you're not wrong, but just imagine it's you.
Hayes, you're Mitch, and I'm management.
And I'm like, listen, Mitch, you're incredible, but we've got to draw the line.
So we're going to give you 13 flat, and I know percentage-wise you'd make a case for
13.5, but we just have to draw the line. What are you gonna say? Why would you have
to start drawing the line with me? I'm not gonna be the guinea pig, I'm
not gonna be the first guy who takes one for the team when nobody else has.
That's a tough pitch to make to a player when you've seen them
maybe not do that for other guys. All of guys also you're gonna start doing with me that hardly seems enticing and
that's and listen I get it and if I'm Marner I guess there's two things I
might say I would probably continue with the conversation if I'm in the if I'm
playing the role the Leafs I'd say no one went above Matthew's the last time
either like he's 11.6 that was the height so technically they applied the same
philosophy to Mitch
six years ago and said, do not get more than him.
But what they did was they offered him less years.
And I could see that being the case here.
The Leafs have proven they want these guys to be happy.
They love these guys, they love them as Maple Leafs.
I think they envision this dream scenario
which I would love to see play out.
Don't get me wrong, I'd love to see the dream fulfilled here
where they all stick together and they all win
and they all retire as Leafs.
That'd be amazing.
That'd be an incredible story.
I could see a scenario though,
where it is presented to Marner
and this is up to him to figure out if he wants to do it.
We're gonna draw the line on the money,
but do you want the four year deal like Austin?
You can have a four year deal and come back up again in
four years I don't think I don't know if that's great business for the least but
I could see them doing that and how is that a bad deal if you're if you're Mitch
Marner and it's a they offer you a four-year deal of 13 million you're
telling me that's that's disrespectful that's an unbelievable offer I mean
you could never say that you can't how could you do that to me I'm like wait a
second right we've got showing
incredible respect to it to the blood
uh... by the you're right but also think of
a four-year deal puts him in a weird spot
age-wise
right like what would he be that's his problem for that said noodles i'd say
that if you want to eat at thirteen and that's we do that so you tell me on four
years you want you on bright right anything between four and eight like Austin or like Willie you tell us
What do you want man? And if you really want to be a leaf and again, I feel like it's deja vu
We've been talking about this for years
But at some point you got to say you got to prove you really want to be a leaf
Are you in it's up to you?
You want to do without the other guys?
So Martin says why the why I why do I have to be the guy approval on a daily if
when you give all these other guys exactly what they want
again
but i really didn't want to you want and we're gonna let you pick the term that's
how much we like you make you get everyone you walk yourself to free of
these two years
or you know the for light in eight
you let us know and how much we love you we you can dictate how long you stay
back with that's the outside we love you. You can dictate how long you stay. That's the upside.
And if you want to bet on yourself and bet on the cap
and bet on future opportunities,
then take a three year deal.
If you want to be a lease for life
and lock in another $120 million,
time at it, we'd love to have you.
Like that's a pretty compelling case.
And listen, Dave, that very well could be his view
and he's entitled to that
and he wouldn't be necessarily wrong.
And maybe he wants to test out something else and maybe someone's given him 15 million out there.
Maybe that happens.
Wow.
But in this cap environment you have to think somebody would.
They very well could.
And then that would be up to Mitch to determine if he wants to do that.
I mean, at some point you got to draw a line.
That's all I'm saying. mean i think they were chicago
yeah carlos got to want to get better
and and and and they don't have that many contract about the book but they'll
be
i could be a going after a rand in the week we totally
or marter like chicago without kind of move for them and i think you know i'm
being a team that would go to learn to jump there and really pull it out of the water.
Yeah, they got to surround that kid with some, you know, and he's got to take another step
too.
You know, he's still like he's still fine.
That's the question.
Let's say it's rant.
Take Mitch out of it.
So it's not emotional and local.
Let's say it's ranted in right.
You can either play team X, which is a great team,
team you love, blah, blah, blah, winning team,
and you're gonna make 13, or you can go to Team Y,
which is Chicago, the worst team in the league,
and make 14.
I don't know, some guys might take,
I'm sure guys look at it differently.
Some guys would say, I'm not taking that extra million
to go through that.
I don't wanna do that, I wanna be here.
Other guys will say I'll take it that extra million to go through that I don't want to do that I want to be here here's a crazy guys will say I'll take it it's a
million dollars you're right I don't know if you feel this way MJ but here's
a crazy one San Jose I think is is is moving in the right right direction like
I like their framework they've gone and gotten a goalie young goalie you know
they've got celebrini who I think is gonna be a superstar.
I think Celebrini, I look at San Jose
a couple years from now, maybe that's where they go,
we can get in on a rant and we can get in on,
and have, maybe the first year or two is leaner,
but when we're good, because they're gonna be good
in a couple years.
It's not gonna be four years from now. They're gonna be good in a couple years. It's not gonna be four years from now
They're gonna be good in a couple years and maybe I'm wrong Johnny. I've seen them live a few times
I don't know how you feel but like I I that's where you take a flyer and go, okay
Here's 14 for your rant in it or Mitch, you know
Here's play with celebrini get him to the next level because we are on the right path. We've got a goalie
We got young D
We got you know, we've got and we've got a goalie we got young d we got you know we've got and we've got caps face we got all that that's the only way i
could see the overpay would pay off is you see the future of that where that
organization's heading
i might i might be a lot maybe that you know i'm celebrating a medical leave
anaheim great place to live
yeah they got a lot of like forty five or
there's the million dollar in cap space next summer
fifty yeah i mean you know you can go live in orange county and you know that the 45 or 50 million dollars in cap space next summer.
I mean, you know, you can go live in orange County and you know, they have some decent pieces there to start to kind of start working around.
Like the, the, the,
it just becomes fascinating stuff that you didn't have to kind of previously
consider. And we're talking about just next summer,
not to mention the 10 million for the summer after that and the 9 million in the
summer. Like it's every year it's going to happen way it's it's it's awesome if you're if
you're Kyle Connor I want in Winnipeg and you make seven million dollars and
you're sitting there on 30 goals right now and you're like oh hello Suzy like
hey he he's gonna get is he does he deserve more than William Nylander
probably yeah I mean he's in that he's in that boat.
He's in that conversation, right? Absolutely.
He's like 12 million with the new percentages.
Yeah, it's a big jump for a guy like him. The whole thing is really fascinating.
Big opportunity for GMs, right? To mold your team and to weaponize cap space.
And a lot of guys have been complaining for a long time that they don't have it.
There's nothing they can do. Well, now you have it, let's see what you got.
Yeah, it's going to be an interesting few years coming up.
Alright, Johnny, we'll leave it there buddy, have a great weekend, we'll do it again next
week.
Alright, hey, once again, you establish yourself as anti-slayer in pro management every single
time.
Always, I'm a suit, I'm a suit, I'm a lower bowl guy.
Hate the athlete, just decide with the billionaire, hate the millionaire. Just typical.
Always man, always. Thank you Johnny.
In the end he agreed with you though. That's the crazy part. You guys argued for 10 minutes
and he's like, yeah, don't go above Austin.
Well, and listen, in a way I'm arguing with myself as well, because as an individual player,
I understand why you are pushing
for whatever you believe you're worth.
That's the whole point, it is a business.
I'm not naive to that.
And Mitch Marner is salivating,
and he should be, because he's gonna make a fortune.
And that's another thing you gotta keep
into consideration here.
Whether it's 13 or 13-7,
the guy's got generational wealth for the rest of his life. Yes.
Right.
It's not like you're asking this guy to play for league minimum.
But that hasn't been the point, Brian.
The point is about ego and pride and fairness in that dressing room.
And if all the other guys have walked up to the trough and gotten this percentage of the
cap and this money, Mitch has every right to think that he should walk up next in line
and say, I want exactly what they got, tailored tailored to my numbers and here's what I deserve.
Yeah and that's I'm sure what he'll present to them if he hasn't already
presented to him. Like I'm sure that that will be the case and then again it gets
back to where I stand in terms of the Leafs you have to make a decision on
whether or not that makes sense for you. Right. And again in terms of the playoff
history which again gets lost in the shuffle,
if this philosophy doesn't work, something's gotta give.
And unfortunately for Mitch, it may have to be him.
Right.
If they lose again in the playoffs,
I just, I can't stress it enough.
I think it would be asinine, even with the cap going up,
just continuously doing the same thing.
Go out there and spend and find different players and find a different philosophy because it just after nine
years seven years as a core four one playoff run if that's what happens and i don't know what's
going to happen come playoff time but if that's what happens you i don't i don't know i don't know
how you run your business that way yeah i don't know how you could i don't know if you could
justify that day with it though how's that that worked out? Have you agreed with it?
Well, the guy that runs it is still in charge
He's gonna celebrate the 11th anniversary as team president. So it's working 11th year
Long time all right, Mike Johnson joined us on the maple Toyota hotline count on my maple Toyota for the right winter tire package
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All right, Steve Phillips coming up.
Forget 13 million, forget 13.5, whatever it is, man.
Max Scherzer's here for 15.5 million on a one-year deal.
We'll catch up with Steve on that.
Overdrive continues.
TSN 1050 and on the TSN app.
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this has not been a mail itin Friday man we're yelling and screaming I love it I love it yeah we're
listen the caps going up deals are happening in the league we had the
Calgary Philly deal last night we had the ranting in deal a week ago you know
there's a lot going on guys are on waivers Brandon saw it signed in Vegas
today I thought that was I mean Vegas of course Vegas gets them for one year at You know, there's a lot going on. Guys are on waivers. Brandon Saw it signed in Vegas today.
I thought that was, I mean.
Vegas, of course Vegas gets them for one year at 1.15 million.
Good for Vegas.
They deserve it.
Yeah.
They need it.
They need the help.
Yeah.
You think he's got something left, Noodles?
I do.
I mean, 32.
Expectations are a lot different, right?
Like you're, even Doug Armstrong, I watched his presser,
I think it was yesterday, and he was talking, he goes, listen, he hasn't produced for us,
SAD's got seven goals, he goes, you make it four and a half million. A lot of it is, you
get looked at different when you make a bigger number. We talk about it all the time, that
guy's not doing anything for that number. So sod is seven goals at four and a half million
You can have seven goals when you make 1.5 or 1.15, right? Because it's like oh, that's that's good production
Hey, geez, you know Adam got dead in in Ottawa's got 15 goals
He's making 780 or whatever it is
like you know you that's what you want from the bottom of your roster like
Anywhere take it through the league so sod can slide in there in there doesn't have to be the guy you can kill penalties got
good speed
i think it's not a reclamation project it's just a
hey the grass could be greener on this side of the fence and farther down in
the lineup in it on a very good team
yes got to get it said listen if you're if you're back if you're sawed you're
stepping into a really good team really good situation
and if i'm vegas I feel pretty good about it
because he is actually sacrificing something, right?
He's actually leaving money on the table
to find a new situation with a better team,
and maybe to your point, Noodles,
maybe just a better slot for himself
where the expectations are proper for him
at this stage in his career.
And I mean, you've got to believe he's going to be motivated to really do well there.
Well, with the cap going up, right, if he has a great stretch run and playoff run,
then he'll probably make back everything he gave up in St. Louis.
Well, he left $5 million on the table.
O said $8, I was digging into it, it's $5, with the rest of this year and into next year,
but it's with a buyout or whatever
It's five million money money man, but you get a million back of that and pro rated for the rest of this season
So really if you sign anywhere next year for four or a little bit less
It's just the difference of is that much right?
So it's a couple million if he signs for less if he has a great rest of the season
He might be able to get a three or four million dollar contract next year with a new team or with with I don't know
I feel like Vegas will bring him in and then go now. We really loved you, but we're gonna move away from
Yeah, but somebody else will give him three years at four or three at three and really the difference would be about a million bucks
And you gave yourself an opportunity to go win. Yeah, it it is it it's a it's a good fun for vegas will see what's on sky i
mean
it doesn't work in the very
right then he's a little player whatever the wave on or whatever they're
going to do but
uh... yeah a lot activity even even vancouver right we're still waiting to
see if they're gonna end up doing anything
and they end up moving off any of those guys it sounds more more likely that it
could be peterson the gets moved and moved and you know there's a guy he's got
a big contract he's uber talented I don't know I don't know how that's going to play
out but I am still fascinated to see you know where Vancouver takes this because Calgary
won last night but it's them and Calgary effectively yeah you know it's a two-horse race basically for that second wild card in the West and Calgary I think got won last night, but it's them and Calgary effectively. You know, it's a two horse race basically
for that second wild card in the West.
And Calgary, I think got better last night.
Yeah, I agree with Frost and Farabee.
For sure they did.
And those are 24 year old and 25 year old.
I mean, Frost can slide in as your number two center man
if you move Kadri up, Backlands there.
I mean, you're gonna move guys around,
but ultimately bigger picture. I believe Morgan Frost is 25 and Farabees 24 or
vice versa so you're gonna fit right in with the what they're trying to do a
retool on the fly like it's a nice move for them yeah yeah it's a crafty move
for for Craig Conroy and Leafs are in there on on Tuesday next week so we got
Leafs Oilers tomorrow night we've, I guess this could be the first weekend
without any football in a long time.
Yeah.
That's depressing, man.
I was thinking about it last night.
Like I would have paid big money
for a Browns-Titans game last night.
Like just give me any Thursday night football.
We always complain about it, right?
Oh, brutal game, Jags versus the Titans.
Who wants to watch this?
Al Michaels is asleep.
I'll take it.
Last night, I would have happily taken that
because you just don't know what you have until it's gone.
And the NFL, we got one game left.
And this time next year, we'll be making our next week.
We'll be making picks.
And Al's brother, myself, we got to we got to make a significant comeback here.
We're down three points.
You I mean, Dave, do you feel is it just my homes and that's it's a
lock or what like you just can't bet against them there's I wouldn't bet like
a fraction of a cent against Patrick Mahomes I mean I just I mean it's just
it is silly now crazy and I mean we have melt multiple I was looking it up I mean
they've this is you know they've won the three Super Bowls I believe they were underdogs in two of them right like Mahomes has been the underdog
in two of his three wins they're not the underdogs here they're slight favorites right still Hayes?
Yeah it's still one and a half. Yep it's still one and a half so which I'm surprised that line
hasn't moved really at all. Yeah it's just like everyone's like yeah that feels appropriate
basically a pick them. Although you read I've been reading a ton of projections from
different handicappers and a lot of people make the argument that Philadelphia is the
better team. Yeah. They've got better numbers. They've got a more potent attack. Yeah. You
know, and, but I feel like you can get fooled because the strength of the Chiefs has never
been in their numbers. It's always been in their clutch play, their character, their clutch,
all of that type coaching.
Well, that's a big thing.
Noodles is two weeks of preparation for Andy Reed and Steve Speck.
No, like that's dangerous, man.
That's a dangerous game, but yeah, Philly stacked like they are stacked.
They have a ton of talent.
Their front seven is loaded.
Yeah, they're going to get after Mahomes.
That'll be the question.
Can they hit him?
Cause the Bills didn't touch him.
Like the Bills just never hit him.
Like there was never any pressure on him.
And it's easier said than done, but that's,
that's what got Brady.
Whenever Brady lost, he was on the ground a ton.
But remember the last time they played the, the, the
Super Bowl, two Super Bowls ago, Eagles, Chiefs,
Mahomes was injured.
Remember that he had the high ankles brain. He was hobbling around.
They were hitting him. They were getting to him and he still won.
Still didn't matter. Not so good he is.
Um, alright Raptors, Chicago tonight. The Raptors are a favorite.
Four point favorite tonight. What's going on? What is going on? They've won five in a row.
They've won five in a row. We'll come back and touch on that. Steve Phillips still to come as well.
Overdrive continues.
TSN 1050N on TSN 4.
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we said it's in tomorrow night
that games in the nl tonight the rafters are in action emmanuel quickly will
play
is on a minute's restriction tonight okay with the bulls in town with last
time i checked on finn to them
rappers are four point favorite
it one five in a row and
they're a favorite tonight. Suddenly a defensive juggernaut. Yeah that's the big
thing right like and credit to Scotty Barnes because he is leading the charge
on that. He's elevated his defensive play a lot recently and
that's the glass half full I guess is like you've committed to Scott. He's a
young guy you want him to grow you want them to
You need to create a culture that's positive
But it's almost February and you've gone this far you have to finish the job of being a bottom five team
Wow, yes, like unfortunately now they're not no
I know that Brooklyn's past them and Brooklyn is sinking like a stone. They lose every single night. They're doing it, right?
Yeah, well exactly. I mean it sucks like I understand. It's it kind of goes against
the
Winning nature of pro sports and the integrity of sports
But that's kind of the way things have to go like look at Washington last night the Lakers beat them by what 30
It's just embarrassing like that. Washington is horrendous now. What was
Were they chanting MVP for Bronnie? For Bronnie, oh my.
Getting to a point, man, where.
It's embarrassing.
Why, yeah, it's embarrassing.
Like he's bringing the ball up the court
and they're chanting MVP.
Yeah.
I mean, what else are you gonna do?
You're in Washington.
I know, but.
It is embarrassing.
You gotta have some fun.
The look on LeBron's face is like, I mean. Yeah, he's like, this is awkward, man. Good stuff there, but. It is a bit like, I mean, the look on LeBron's face is like, I mean.
Yeah, he's like, this is awkward, man.
Good stuff there, kid.
It's awkward, man.
It's awkward that his son's in their plan.
I think it's also, listen, that's not a great look for Washington.
That's them also mocking their own team.
Oh yeah.
Like the Wizards suck so much that we're going to, we're going to joke around about the Lakers
being in town.
That's the thing. That's how bad we are and guess what like there's like
when you're that bad and then you finish dead last you only get a 14% chance
right at Cooper flag no guarantees there's no guarantees you have that
means like you know a pretty damn good chance you're not getting the best
player in the draft yeah it's it's it's a dangerous dangerous thing to be in but you need a lottery ticket right the raptors need
another player
the multiple more players they want to get to where they want to get to and
i guess right now nine percent chance of the number one pick of the finish where
they finish today
uh... which i guess is that they've won they won they won the berniotti lottery
they had an eight percent chance that's right what a What a win that was. What a win that was.
That was a big win.
All right, final hour for the week coming up.
Overdrive continues.
TSN 1050 and on the TSN app.