OverDrive - Willson on the Bills' impressive season, Allen's notable run and the Monday Night Football matchups
Episode Date: December 16, 2024TSN NFL Analyst Luke Willson joined OverDrive to discuss the latest headlines around the NFL, the Bills' notable victory against the Lions, Josh Allen's MVP season, Patrick Mahomes' injury status, the... Chiefs and Lions' run as the top seed, the selections for the games and more.
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if you smell what the win wilson is cooking Hour 2 Overdrive continues.
Brought to you by FanDuel.
Bringing you everything from the opening line to the final score.
Brian Hayes, Frankie Corrado.
Al's brother coming up here momentarily.
And look who's in here, Luke Wilson.
Pro-athlete salute.
Pro-athlete salute.
How we doing?
I'm feeling pretty good.
I'm feeling pretty good.
You feeling alright?
Feeling pretty good.
Did you know, I don't know if you're aware of this.
I mentioned it last hour that Al's brother, there was a coup on Friday.
What?
Well, because Al's brother was hosting, right?
Yeah, I remember.
So I sent him a text early in the day, which I always do,
just try to get the ball rolling on how we're feeling about our picks.
We were on the Bills-Lions, and he flushed me all day.
No, he didn't.
Never responded.
What?
Gave me the I'm the captain now routine. No, he didn't. Finally,. What? Gave me the I'm the captain now routine.
Finally, he
reached out to me right before 6 o'clock, right before
the picks. I'm like, I can't do anything
now. Where are we going with
this? Where are we at? Now, we're both on the same page.
He said bills. I was going to go with bills,
but it was coin flip, and I wanted to talk through
it, but it was a coup on Friday.
Al's brother is now
DiStefano and bro. That's what he's
pushing for. He's feeling good about himself.
I can see that.
Based on the conversation, even him
hosting, I'm like, who am I talking to right now?
He was a man on a mission on Friday.
He kind of pretended he was you for a bit.
I do have
a bone to pick
and this is all I'm asking for.
I'm asking for a little more respect, and I shouldn't be
because I know you guys are scumbags.
Rick, very layups.
But when we come and we have a good weekend picking, and as did you.
So did we.
Let's clarify.
But last weekend, it was a big tweet, and I've got to jam Doogie up on this.
But Doogie gave you the easiest game of the year.
Just be honest.
How come when we win, Al's brother is nowhere to be found, and Doogie doesn you the easiest game of the year. Just be honest. How come when we win, Bengals-Titans was the easiest game of the year?
Al's brother is nowhere to be found,
and Doogie doesn't tweet updates.
Yeah, there is a pokeru element to Al's brother
when you guys are being successful.
The Doogie thing is valid, though, and it's alarming.
Was he sleeping?
No, because I just, I don't know if you heard it,
but I just walked in on Doogie at the urinal texting,
so his phone is constantly on him.
So there is no excuse for Doogie at the urinal texting, so his phone is constantly on him. So there's no excuse
for Doogie not tweeting out.
Yeah, exactly.
This is what happens, Frank. The games we lost,
which has been a while. It's been a while, I might
say that. Doogie, it's before
the game ends, I'm sitting on the
desk with Jay, and the phone is blowing up
because Doogie has sent the tweet out.
Somehow yesterday, I'm like, where's the Overdrive
update? Where'd it go?
I was a bit surprised by that.
It's a psyop around here.
That's what it is.
Well, either way, we got two games tonight.
We got a lot of games going.
We're still plus two because we just keep chugging.
You guys are picking winners.
Well, you were plus six.
Noodles gave a speech.
Now you're plus two.
You're going to make the wrong pick tonight.
I don't think so tonight.
I didn't see that speech.
Noodles gave.
He came down on me, and I deserved it.
He was like, listen, you are a pro athlete.
This cannot be happening.
It was an accountability speech.
It was unfortunate.
Since then, 9-1.
Very inspiring.
Well, let me ask you before we get to the games.
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Asking, in the vein of this show,
who's a more fraudulent number one seed in the NFL?
The Chiefs in the AFC or the Lions in the NFC?
Now, right now, by far the Lions.
And I don't think they're going to have the one seed.
And that is because of injury.
Before Lions fans get mad at me, it is because, I mean, Montgomery's now allegedly done?
Done for the year.
No, he had surgery.
He's out.
Done?
So now you've got, and Carlton Davis' broken jaw, and I believe McNeil is considered done.
Is it confirmed he's done for the year?
I haven't seen any definitive news on that. I just saw Schefter tweet out, like, Montgomery, I believe,Neil is considered done. Is it confirmed he's done for a year? I haven't seen any definitive news on that.
I just saw Schefter tweet out, like, Montgomery, I believe, had the surgery,
and I'm going to confirm that, that he didn't get duped on a fake account.
I thought he went for more tests.
I thought McNeil was done with an ACL.
No, Schefter, now confirmed David Montgomery will undergo season-ending surgery.
So he's done.
So by far, it's life.
Yeah, I agree with you.
And my reaction to the onside kick last night when they were downtown,
buffoonery, buffoonery.
But let me lay this out, and you tell me how you feel about this.
I think, in a way, idiot savant move by Campbell.
Don't think it was intentional, but what he did by going for that onside kick
and it blowing up in his face
took all the heat
off his team and off his defense because
then it became Dan Campbell's an idiot
chatter as opposed to
why would he go for that?
The reason he went for it is because
Allen couldn't be stopped and his defense is
in shambles right now.
They can't stop anything.
So as a result, everyone's saying Dan Campbell, idiot, idiot, buffoon,
as opposed to, wait a minute, move Dan out of the way.
This Lions team is in serious trouble.
Again, I don't think it was intentional,
but I actually think it worked out brilliantly for him.
That's a great, I'll take that.
It's a great point.
It's amazing what you can do when Al's brother's on the line.
When he's not right on my shoulder.
Well, Kate, we were talking about that last hour. let me ask you this like when push comes to shove there's
going to be a moment this year where dan campbell is faced with a situation where it's like are you
going to be the gambler we're going to do the more conservative you know type thing whatever
that approach is yeah like when that moment comes what's dan campbell going to do so this is where
i get a bit concerned and i'm gonna
you mentioned the word gambler you know i happened in in a past life to be a guy who liked going to
the casino past life right you know that was a table game guy and there's kind of runs you get
on the casino sometimes where you feel invincible you're like man it don't matter if i'm playing
roulette if i'm rolling dice blackjack it don't matter i'm'm playing roulette, if I'm rolling dice, blackjack. It don't matter. I'm winning tonight.
And then you start being an idiot, and you're like, okay, somehow I'm no longer up.
And I sit here and I look at last night, and I know that it's like this is a gamble.
And it's like, okay, you basically just went all in on snake eyes.
There's no 7.3% chance.
There's no surprise element with the new rules.
So how is it that that's considered a gamble?
At that point, it's just ignorance.
And the next thing I'll say, Frankie, about him and the gamble and that decision,
is at least, let's go back to the Packers game,
the fourth down where they won fourth at the end of the game.
I didn't love it.
I would have kicked the field goal.
I'm a little more concerned with my thinking.
But at least at that point, you give the ball to David Montgomery, who is your bell cow
out of the two of them, and you run behind
Panay Sewell. And you're like, okay,
you can rationalize. You live and
die with your best players.
When you kick an onside kick,
you're hoping the other team messes up.
As a guy who had to catch onside
kicks, block for onside kicks, and was
also, not to bring this up, a part of
a game, a very infamous onside kick that the Green Bay Packers lost in an NFC Championship game.
Your best hope is somebody else dropping the ball.
It's not, we got a sweet play designed here.
So, to make that decision where it's like, hey, how desperate are we?
Are we at the point where it's like, do I think he'll still do the, you know, run on
fourth and four, or go for it? like, do I think he'll still do the run on fourth and four
or go for it? Yes, I do. And I think
it could burn him. But at least then you could
say we live and die with our best guys.
But where I get nervous is if
we start playing the let's be aggressive
and hoping the other team messes
up. To me, that is a complete
different version of aggression.
It was the first time we've really seen that from Dan
Campbell. And I think the guy's in a blender.
I think he's an absolute blender. Well, I think that's what's concerning
too if you're a Lion fan, is that now he's
going to try to compensate for
the deficiencies they have.
So, in other words, like a hyena
is scary, a wounded hyena is
terrifying. Because now he's wounded.
Now he looks at his defense, and you can't look
at that tape and say anything other than,
we're in big trouble in Detroit.
Big trouble.
Big trouble, and what is he going to possibly do to try to get them out of it?
Now the other team that is the one seed is the Chiefs.
This is the most fascinating 13-1 team.
Yeah, we've got to talk about this.
I just cannot believe they're in the position they're in.
I know, but I've got a bone to pick with this narrative.
I really do.
I sit here and I say, okay, the offense has looked discombobulated. They have the rhythm, the fluidity has disappeared. And I understand do. I sit here and I say, okay, the offense has looked discombobulated.
They have the rhythm, the fluidity has disappeared.
And I understand that.
And it is concerning.
I'm not trying to downplay that.
But in the same breath, the defense has not.
Yeah.
The defense has been their top five in almost every statistical category that matters.
You know, yards per game, I think they're at five.
Points per game, heading into yesterday, they're at
19.5, giving up. They gave up seven
yesterday. They would have gotten better yesterday. Correct. One of the
glaring issues they had coming
into yesterday's game was the lack of turnovers.
Only ten total.
Jameis went Jameis. Jameis went Jameis.
So that's part of it, too.
But I sit here and say, and I'm the guiltiest
party where it's like, when I watch a football game,
I want to see Buffalo versus Detroit.
I want to see 48 versus 42.
It's more enjoyable to talk about.
It's more enjoyable to watch.
But we keep forgetting about Kansas City's defense.
It's an elite unit.
Yes, it is.
They're good against the run, great against the run.
They've been above average against the pass,
and they bring a ton of different looks, variations, pressures,
and they have a great D coordinator. So I sit here and say, like, man, I look at the AFC and they bring a ton of different looks, variations, pressures, and they have a great D coordinator.
So I sit here and say, like, man,
I look at the AFC and people are like, oh, who do you
think the favorite is? And I go,
oh, the Chiefs. You know, the Chiefs are 13-1.
They have one loss to the Buffalo Bills
in even that game. They're like,
oh, I believe it was a 10 point. It was
three points on a fourth and two
that Josh Allen might have had
the play of the year on.
And that's how it got to 10.
So I sit here and say, is it inconceivable to think that somehow Patrick Mahomes will start clicking?
No.
Everyone would say no.
And the defense has been there playing well week after week after week.
Valid.
I mean, their defense is the reason they're 13-1.
By far.
Like, Mahomes is still doing Mahomes things,
but that offensive line is trouble.
In trouble.
They have some – that's got to be terrifying, Andy Reid,
to the point where, like, Mahomes is taking some big hits, man.
And he's running for his life.
And this time last year, like, Rasheed Rice started coming alive.
And Travis Kelsey, by the playoffs, he reverted back into prime Kelsey.
Totally.
Are you going to be able to bank on that again?
I don't know.
Because even when you look at the way they got to the Super Bowl,
they beat the Ravens 17-10, I think it was.
Which is how they're going to have to play in the playoffs.
That's what I'm saying.
It's like they're not going to – like when they first came on the scene,
what they're kind of doing in a weird way,
it's like Brady-B Belichick in reverse.
Where Brady and Belichick, those first three
was 17-10, 17-13.
And then it became
like shootout Brady
and shootout Pats. Which was crazy too
because towards the end, it wasn't like they were
signing massive
agents, wide receivers. They didn't have
all these crazy weapons. That's the most impressive thing about Tom.
What I'm saying is the Chiefs, when they came on the scene,
remember that game against Houston where they were down 21-0 or something
and they won 41-20 or whatever it was?
Yes.
That was their thing was Mahomes with Hill and Kelsey and whoever else.
They are going to torch you for 40-plus in the playoffs and you can't stop them.
They're not going to do that again.
I just don't see it.
It's almost like this is the more mature way, if you're thinking about it.
You settle down.
They're the opposite of Dan Campbell right now.
I look at Dan in the Lions and all year it was like,
not are we going to win, how much can we win by?
Where the Chiefs have been playing, we're trying to win by one.
They've been tailoring their game.
Even Patrick Mahomes in his
post game yesterday was like I could have played but I was like yo we we can win with Carson Wentz
and it might be only a 14 point win if I'm in there maybe it's 17 21 so I'm not going in you
think he's the type of guy that says I'm not missing any time like he's playing I think
especially right now watching the Bills,
you know, they've obviously got a great lead,
but the last three games against that the Chiefs have,
they're running the gauntlet.
They got three playoff teams.
Yeah, Houston, Pittsburgh, Denver.
Correct.
To finish.
I think they need one more win to secure the seed.
Yes, well, and then you look at Buffalo.
You look at Buffalo.
They go New England, New York Jets, New England.
Yeah, they're 3-0 likely.
3-0, so really, I think they need to win two of these.
You think they've got to get two?
Yeah, I guess so.
Because Buffalo's got the head-to-head.
Yeah, that Rams loss is crushing for the Rams.
Crushing them.
Yeah.
I think Mahomes is the kind of guy that looks at it and says,
even the schedule aside, he just wants to be in there
so badly where he's like,
unless I physically can or you're telling me I'm not
going to play, I'm in there.
Is that the right play, though? If you're Andy
Reid and you have the choice, and I don't know if you
would, would you play him Saturday and
then Wednesday? Mahomes.
So this
would be my thought. I would probably
see, obviously, how healthy is he.
And then I would reevaluate after Saturday.
But I would probably, if they win Saturday, I'm probably resting him Wednesday.
And then I'm saying, okay, we need you to beat Denver to clinch the one seed
on the last week of the season.
If you're playing that game, again, it all depends on his healthiness,
that sort of thing.
The next thing I'll say is, and it's a big ordeal in this league,
and it's very underrated, but having Carson Wentz off the bench
is a lot better than a lot of these teams have.
Look at the Seahawks yesterday.
They bring Sam Howell in.
Oh, my God.
He was trying to make some plays that just were simply not there.
Correct, and the offensive line was in shambles.
And Geno wasn't great before
that. Correct. But I'll sit here and say,
you know, do I think Carson Wentz is
a Pro Bowl guy right now? No. But this is a guy
who's been there. This is a guy who's had a lot of success
in this league. And I would guess that if
he comes in, especially with Andy
Reid, a great quarterback-friendly
coach who's coached all different levels of
quarterbacks, Carson Wentz will
look good and the offense will be okay.
Will it be Patrick Mahomes?
No.
I'm not saying that.
That's another decision Andy Reid's got to factor in is, hey, do I think Carson Wentz
can come out here and get it done?
And then the last thing I'll say is it's certainly nice for Andy to make this decision saying,
hey, our defense is probably going to give up 19 points.
Can Carson Wentz get to 20?
Yeah, that's huge.
Having your defense play the way they're playing right now
against a Houston team that is vulnerable offensively,
a Pittsburgh team that very smacked yesterday.
Yes, offensively.
And then even Denver, to their credit, but it's a rookie quarterback.
That sets up well for them.
The next thing I'll also say with the Steelers,
and I don't have Al's brother's tremendous information,
but Mike Tomlin on a short week has not been good.
It's like one of those things where he's a big game prep guy.
They're going to come out here and steal their way,
and obviously it works.
He's arguably the best coach of this generation,
but he's not as successful on the shorter weeks.
Do you think that the MVP chat is over now?
Yes.
Josh Allen has it.
It's done.
The only, I think that there's a legitimate chance that if Josh Allen did not play another
snap, he would still have it in there.
Really?
The only thing that could be the wildest wild card, and again, I want to be very clear,
I think Josh has got it, but Lamar sneakily had six touchdowns yesterday.
Five, I think he threw four.
Did he run for one, two?
Five. He accounted for at least five. And it's like, so there's the, I think he threw four. Did he run for one, too?
He accounted for at least five.
There's the odd. I didn't see that yet.
He's now number two.
Again, I love Allen at negative 900.
I think so does everybody else.
Massive odds.
But now all of a sudden, it's like if the Steelers trip up,
because I believe it's Steelers-Ravens this week.
Yeah, because the four of them are then playing on the short week.
Yeah, so it's like if the Ravens come out here and blast the Steelers
and Lamar has another five and then they end up winning the division,
is there an argument there?
Sure, but I still would think it would have to be three really,
really pedestrian weeks from Josh Allen
and then three, five touchdown weeks from Lamar to even shrink that.
I don't even know if that's.
I'm not sure it would.
Well, how much of Lamar already having one, like, would creep into that already, right?
Like, Allen doesn't have one.
He's doing this unbelievable stuff every single week.
Like, if you're not going to give it to him now.
Yes.
I don't know when you're going to give him one.
Again, I think it's pretty much locked up.
And to be honest, I thought that the...
I mean, obviously yesterday was a tremendous game,
but I think the loss against the Rams was also a great case.
His numbers were phenomenal for him.
He boosted his numbers in a loss.
It's interesting, but if you're a Bills fan right now,
I think that if you're watching your defense,
you're going to need Josh Allen to potentially do that
three times in a row in the playoffs.
Maybe four if you want to win the Super Bowl.
He's going to have to put them on his back and drag them there.
Yeah.
I don't think their defense is as bad as the Lions,
but I don't think they're very good.
They're not going to try and win a game 17-10.
They don't have game-changing playmakers on defense.
They've got to score 30 a game.
Yeah.
Back-to-back weeks, they've got a shell.
They can. They can.
But again, if you're going into Arrowhead
and that defense is waiting for you, is
Allen going to be able to score 30
on that team?
If he does, to me,
if he does that and they
win the Super Bowl, because whoever comes
out of the NFC, and I think there's a few really, really
good teams, like Josh
Allen's got, at this point,
again, this is hypothetical, but if he
runs the table and does that, you've got to put up
one of the greatest season
finishes ever in the history of the game.
And this is his opportunity, right?
This is it, because of what we're saying about the Chiefs. Yes, their
defense is phenomenal, but now you've got a
high ankle sprain with Mahomes. Their offense is
not clicking. Pittsburgh, I
think, is very beatable right now.
The Ravens have proven that, especially the way they defend.
Whether you're the first seed or not, this is your opportunity if you're Buffalo.
And even with the NFC, the Lions are vulnerable.
Philly, if they get there, they're a good team, a tough team.
Their defense is playing really well.
Packers are good.
Minnie's good.
But Minnie doesn't get talked about.
Minnie doesn't.
They should.
Matchup-wise in the playoffs, I fear more Buffalo versus Baltimore
than I do anybody else.
I just don't think the way Baltimore plays the game is a great matchup
for the Ravens.
Which side of the ball do you mean that by?
Both.
Like Lamar will crush them?
I think Lamar will
in the way... Ed Oliver looked great,
but the Bills' run defense has not been
good this year, especially yards per carry.
So now all of a sudden, it's Henry, it's Henry,
it's Henry, we're moving the ball. Lamar
decides, okay, now it's my time.
We're up big, and I think that
now they really can make Josh Allen
one-dimensional, because I think they still have
their number one in defense
in yards per carry given up.
So if we can eliminate Cook early, it's now, hey, Josh versus Lamar,
except Lamar has a run game.
Let's see who wins.
What do you make before we get to Stefano and bro?
Josh Allen, the amount of massive hits he's taking. bro. Josh. Not even sour.
Josh Allen,
the amount of like massive hits he's taking right now.
Again,
I like,
he's such a beast, but like he got hit so hard yesterday.
And I don't know.
That's the way he plays a game.
And this is where,
and I know Bill's fans are always upset about me,
but it's like,
we just talked about myomes going down, right,
and Carson Wentz coming in.
And I said what?
I think we all agree.
Hey, can the Chiefs still win these games with Carson Wentz?
I think there's an opportunity.
Let me be very, very clear.
If Josh Allen goes down, this season is over.
There is no hope.
They turn into the Buffalo Sabres.
That's right.
You're the Sabres.
There's nothing going.
Like, this man is carrying this entire franchise right now.
Right.
He's carrying the whole city right now.
Yes.
It's not even close.
Yeah, he is saving Buffalo.
He's saving Buffalo.
Yeah.
They should build a statue not outside the stadium,
downtown on Chippewa.
A Josh Allen statue on Chippewa.
You know what they should do?
Build a Josh Allen statue outside of the Sabres rink.
Yes.
Because he is saving Sabres fans from having to actually watch their product.
Yeah.
You don't have to watch them.
Yeah.
You can just watch Josh Allen do what he's doing.
Look at Doogie giggling there.
Look at him.
There he is.
What happened?
Oh, wow.
He's got no magic bullet?
It's the Stefan Owen, bro.
Al's brother.
I heard you did a phenomenal job on Friday.
I love hearing that.
I hope you enjoyed yourself hosting.
He's not putting it up.
He's not putting it up.
Oh, wow.
Easy peasy.
I've got to wait for him.
It's the Philadelphia Eagles.
He's the leader.
Exactly. Fox and Clocker. I got to wait for him. It's the Philadelphia Eagles. He's the leader. Exactly.
Foxic locker room.
I'm Nick Sirianni.
Who's the defensive coordinator that stepped in on you?
Clint Hurt.
Clint Hurt.
Defensive line coach.
That was wild, man.
So what's funny, too, is Clint was in Seattle for a few of my years there.
That's not the guy.
The guy he's yelling at, he is not the guy that you have words with.
He is a massive human being.
He is a massive human being, and as you saw, he will not back down.
Okay.
Kind of a wild play.
All right.
Alice Brother, great job on Friday, though.
You took us home, picking the bills, taking the points.
We're on fire.
These guys are so happy because they're betting XFL games.
We're not on fire?
Well, they're finally picking a couple winners.
It's been a while since they've made this competitive. It's been a while? That's right. Well, they're finally picking a couple winners. It's been a while since they've made this competitive.
It's been a while?
That's right.
Well, we're four in a row.
We've won at least four in a row.
Bots or no bots, and hopefully this keeps rolling.
You look at the records on the bottom of the screen right now,
I'm embarrassed for mine, but as far as picking spreads go,
generally speaking, these Muppets that are talking smack are around 50%.
The boys are humming.
Oh, absolutely.
On both sides of the ledger here, we can meet in the middle, right?
I love when people are like, you guys are minus three.
I'm like, dude, picking spread is supposed to be 50-50.
It's very difficult to do.
It's very difficult.
I got some words to that.
I almost swore a doogie, but I didn't.
Doogie's on it.
Well, considering the way we started, we were rope-a-doping out of the gate.
I was probably deep in the hole.
Now we're well above.
I'm also convinced that there's a third option here.
After the PSYOP Doogie's going, I don't think TG is a real thing anymore.
I meant to tell you this, Frankie.
Uh-oh.
I think somebody's in the backgrounds pulling the strings of these puppets.
Really?
I think someone's making these charlots.
They're the deep state.
It's not true.
They're puppets for the deep state.
Al's brother. Who it is, I'm not sure. We don't know. There's no way Al They're the deep state. It's not true. They're puppets for the deep state. Al's brother.
Who it is, I'm not sure.
We don't know.
There's no way Al's brother makes picks correctly.
Please answer this, Al's brother.
Oh, my.
Come on.
Come on.
Luke, you've got to know by now, everything that I'm telling you always comes true.
The TG is for real.
It's a process, and we stuck to it.
It's literally never worked.
Not once.
What do you mean?
Last year, it worked this weekend. It worked last weekend. Two years ago. It's literally never worked. Not once. What do you mean? Last year, it worked this weekend.
It worked last weekend.
It's been working all week.
I came into this league two years ago when we were teammates.
Remember those days?
I recall those.
Yeah, very clearly.
And they brought me in because it was the three of us versus Hayes.
I haven't forgot that.
And the first thing before I even met you was O-Dog being like,
Al's brother can't pick a winner to save his life.
You kicked me off the team after we got a lead.
I joined Hayes.
We then smoked you.
Last year, you guys stunk from wire to wire.
It wasn't great until the playoffs.
In the playoffs, we were prepared.
No, in the playoffs, we messed up.
You guys still stunk.
So you were Dan Campbell in the playoffs?
I was.
I was.
Last year, I got to own that.
We're the Buffalo Bills.
We're built for the playoffs.
That's right.
Right, Al's brother?
Yet, we decided we're going to snap out of it and have a great performance during the regular season so it's not rod smith
that's right no it's not it's all us pg right for life go ahead put a nice statue of hazenborough
right next to josh allen down in orchard park you're right we've inspired that team this year
on multiple occasions um okay so so we're on the first game here. Vikings laying seven
at home against the Bears. On Fando,
we've got it. Vikings minus
seven, just confirming that.
I can't rely on Doogie for that kind of information.
He would sewer us. Vikings
laying seven. Al's brother, where's
your tremendous information on this game?
I mean, I personally
think that the Vikings are going to absolutely
dummy the Bears tonight.
Chicago, they stink.
They've absolutely quit on the season.
They haven't traveled well at all this season.
They're 0-6 on the road, 1-4-1 against the spread.
Their home road splits are actually quite staggering, guys.
They score five less points per game and are giving up five more points per game on the road.
Their red zone defense is awful, dropping from 36% to 56% success rate for the opposition.
And when you look at when these two teams played just a few weeks ago,
that was the difference of why Chicago was able to hold it close.
They kept many to just three for seven in the red zone at home.
Now you leave Soldier Field, I don't see Kevin O'Connell
and this Vikings defense leaving that many points on
the board tonight, especially after what we saw last night.
Our Buffalo Bills, Hazy B, laying a beatdown on the Detroit Lions, opening up a crack for
them to come through and win this division once again.
And let's be honest, Sam Darnold, this guy went from seeing ghosts to now 20-20 vision,
fellas.
He hasn't thrown a pick since November 10th.
November 10th, he's got 11 touchdowns, no picks in that span,
and the team's averaging over 30 points.
This defense can get after it.
I think they'll put Caleb in a little bit of a blender,
a little bit of a mental pretzel, possibly a pick six or two.
Tonight, I think this is a double-digit ball game.
I think we should hammer the Vikings here and lay the points, AZP.
That's a very compelling case.
How do you feel about that?
I like where he's coming from.
Listen, I can't.
It's a big spread for a divisional game.
Second time playing, blah, blah, blah.
But the Bears have quit.
They fired their coach.
They're not going to improve on that.
They looked worse since they fired Ibraflus,
which is a theme this year considering what's happened with other coaches
who have been fired for the most part.
Caleb Williams, he has talent, but he is young.
They're basically throwing him to the wolves every single week.
That line is not holding up.
He's getting crushed.
I think Flores sends the house at him tonight,
and I think he struggles greatly.
I'm cool with that pick.
I think it's – I'd lean Vikings 70-30 on this,
which is pretty heavy considering we've had a lot of picks recently
that have been 50-50 ballgames.
I think we lay the points.
It's a big number, but I think what you just said there.
Big number.
Big number, but what you just said there as well,
a little bit of extra inspiration that the Lions have opened the door here
and the Vikings, you've got to win this ballgame.
Now, covering doesn't necessarily apply there,
but it might in terms of an attitude of absolutely laying down the hammer
on this team early and often.
And I just don't see how the Bears are going to put up points.
In their defense, they have talent.
They've been good at times this year, but they're fading.
They see the light.
They see its darkness.
Lay the points.
Lock it in.
The Stefano and Bro, we're on the Vikings minus seven.
Give me a skull, Hazy B.
Give me a skull.
I'm never going to do that.
You bring to the table.
I'm a Packer fan. I'm never doing that for them.
Any other team I might think of it.
That's fair.
You want to respond to that? Because you know it's the right pick.
I would say it's the right pick.
I'm surprised you guys took it.
It's a big number. Seven's the right pick. I would say it's the right pick. Okay. I'm surprised you guys took it. I thought TG would have been caught.
Seven's a big number.
Some sort of idiotic ramble about going the other way.
I do hope that the Bears, and it's weird because they got, obviously,
the doors blown off of them the other night against the Niners last week.
But this is also a team that, when was American Thanksgiving?
Two weeks ago?
A few weeks ago, yeah.
They played well against Detroit.
Played well against Detroit.
I'm hoping that they can somehow find a miracle.
You're right.
Caleb Williams is going to have to run around like crazy tonight.
They can find a miracle and just keep this one close
or maybe get a greasy backdoor cover.
Seven's a big number.
It's a big number.
Could this be like a 12-point game,
and all of a sudden the Vikings are kind of messing around,
and all of a sudden Caleb has a two-minute drive?
Possible.
And that sparks us.
That's possible.
That's my best hope.
Go ahead, Al.
Well, that's what happened last time.
That's what happened last time.
The Vikings were up, I think it was 24-10,
like at the start of the third quarter,
or at the start of the fourth quarter,
and they took their foot off the gas.
I don't think they do that tonight.
They keep the foot down,
and they know that they've got a job to finish
by the end of the season, and a big win tonight will secure it.
Okay, I like that.
All right, now this number is starting to move towards the Raiders.
Raiders, Falcons, Raiders at home.
Now it's Falcons laying five and a half.
This was Falcons laying six all day, but it's moved on FanDuel.
Owen Wilson on the clock.
Falcons, five and a half point favor.
I feel kind of, no, time out, dude.
Am I wrong? Hit the Niners, Bears
out. The Bears lost the Lions by
three, Vikings by three in OT,
and Packers by one.
We're hitting this for sure, dude. There's no way
that's an eternity ago. These guys,
those are the last three games after the Niners.
I can't believe you took that pick.
Looking at it today, but again, the Rams and Niners recently, and ever since Ibraflux, it's been a mess.
Unbelievable.
Thanks for that win.
But it wasn't their offense that showed up.
It was their defense that got the points.
We're covering this tonight.
That's the end of the story.
Okay, well, how about you guys try to pick a winner tonight?
Who do you think I'm going with?
You're going to take the Falcons.
The Kirko Bangs-cousin Falcons.
And I love the fact that you think, what did I say to you two weeks ago?
You want me to take Desmond Ritter or Aiden O'Connell?
I would take the points all day.
You're insane.
Atlanta stinks.
They're done.
They're playing the Las Vegas Raiders.
What did the Raiders do to the Chiefs two weeks ago?
The Chiefs tried to win by win.
They try to win every game by one.
Kirk Cousins would sign off on a one-point win right now.
He doesn't want to play ball.
He's a mess.
He's a mess.
You guys, I tried reverse psychology against you guys with the Rams game.
I went in here and I sold my soul trying to get them to take the night.
And you got a good friend of mine.
Good friend of mine flipped his pick.
Really?
Yes.
Kyle was coaching our daughter's team.
We're on the ice.
It's 7.05 a.m.
Kyle, don't do that again, my friend.
7.08 a.m. skate on Saturday.
He comes over.
He goes, man, I love the Rams, but Luke was so adamant about the Niners.
I flipped to the Niners.
I'm like, don't ever listen to that idiot.
But we're on the lower.
But we're making a pick.
Do not take anything this guy says seriously.
Yeah, Kyle, Kyle.
My picks, I mean, but I kind of know where they're leaning,
or at least I have an idea.
Like, tonight I actually thought you'd take the Bears.
Never.
I love to play the reverse psychology game, and I was full-court press.
And Al's brother was almost on the verge of tears back there.
I almost had him.
I know.
It was an awkward moment.
A little tear came out of his eyes.
I do got to know why you feel so strongly about a team that's lost four in a row,
and Kirk Cousins doesn't know how to hit a receiver right now.
This guy's got a TD to interception ratio.
Eight to zero.
Eight to zero his last four weeks.
That's eight interceptions, zero
touchdowns in the last four weeks.
You think this guy's going to go out and win a game by six?
Are you crazy?
What are you talking about, Luke?
Tremendous information.
He doesn't have a touchdown since November 3rd.
Imagine a guy who's coming off a week of throwing for 344
yards in an NFL game
and saying he doesn't know how to hit a receiver to save his life.
But he's chasing games.
344 yards.
Garbage yards.
With the Nutribullet, he's saying it.
What kind of numbers did Sam Howell have last night?
344 yards.
Irrelevant.
That's what he did last week.
But he can't hit a receiver.
Yeah, he can't hit one.
Dude, he stinks.
So first and foremost, as long as we clean the turnovers up, we're fine.
Secondly, the Raiders, their own coach
said they're the worst team in the NFL.
Their own coach said that. As an
inspiration, he tried to get them to cover
against the Chiefs. They covered.
They covered that game.
I sit here and say to them, which you guys lost
by the way, I remember that. That was a start.
That was bad. We picked the Chiefs. But I sit here and say
I understand that there are concerns with the Kirk Cousins in the That was a start. That was bad. We picked the Chiefs. But I sit here and say I understand that there are
concerns with Kirk Cousins in the
interceptions and the lack of touchdowns.
But can Kirk Cousins be better than...
Is it Aiden O'Connell? Is it Desmond Ritter?
I don't even know who's flinging the pill
on the other side. They're a terrible
team. So the line's 5.5?
You said it was moving the other way. It's 5.5.
It's moving towards the Raiders. It was 6.
Falcons were minus 6 all day and now money's coming in a half. It's moving towards the Raiders. It was six. Falcons were minus six
all day and now money's coming in on Vegas.
Also, the Falcons are not eliminated from the
playoffs. It doesn't look great. They're not
catching Tampa. Do you know who the
Falcons play? It doesn't matter.
What do you mean? Kirk Cousins
could play on a Friday
night high school team here in Toronto
and I would still probably bet against him.
He's in a dome tonight though. He's comfortable in a dome.
He's in Vegas. Raiders,
Giants, Commanders,
Panthers are their last
four games. They beat the Bucs twice
so they have to head-to-head. The Commanders are the
worst nine-win team in the history of football.
They're not going to beat the Commanders, though, and I'm not convinced they beat
the Panthers the way they're playing right now.
I'm not saying it's a gimme, but the idea that these guys
aren't fighting for their division seal is absurd.
They need the Bucs to mess up once.
Here's who the Bucs have.
The Bucs have...
Do you see what they did
to LA yesterday? I did.
Baker Mayfield is balling right now.
I agree. I like Baker. At Dallas, at home to
Carolina, at home to New Orleans. Who are they
losing to? Listen, Baker
Mayfield, I love the guy. He's the biggest wild
card of all time. One week,
he's the best player in the NFL. The next
week, he throws from 150 to two picks.
They're going at least to one. We're talking about Kirk Cousins.
I know. Kirk Cousins.
You're talking about Kirk Cousins.
He's in a little bit of a slump.
He's going to cover five and a half tonight.
I'll be honest. He consistently throws two picks
a game. That's what he's consistently doing. You know he's throwing a pick six tonight. There's no way he's throwing a cover five and a half tonight. And boys, I'll be honest. Yeah, he consistently throws two picks a game. That's what he's consistently doing.
You know he's throwing a pick six tonight.
There's no way he's throwing a pick six tonight.
Dude, I'll bet you.
Perko Bang's cousin.
I'll bet you you're going to pay.
So let me ask you this.
You're going to pay juice on that problem.
You're telling me right now.
You're telling me.
Be honest.
Be honest.
Who's your guy, Kyle?
Yeah, Kyle.
Kyle right now is sitting and he's got.
His mind is in a blender.
He's got.
Because I just jammed him.
Well, and he's a Bears fan.
So he's like, I don't know what I'm supposed
to be thinking. So he's a man of integrity.
Kyle's a man of integrity. He took the Bears.
His second car tonight, he's sitting here, he's listening
to the show right now. Yes. And you're going to
tell Kyle to take the Las
Vegas Raiders.
Not even a full touchdown. Let me rephrase that.
Tell him to take a money line. I'm going to tell him to bet
against the Falcons. It's all
about the way you phrase it.
It's irrelevant who they play.
That's what you don't understand.
It's irrelevant. Who you're betting
on is not, it doesn't matter.
It's who you're betting against that matters.
On your way to practice
Sunday morning, bring him a coffee.
And you're paying
for it. I'm going to tell Luke to
Venmo me some coffee. I'm sorry. I fed you terrible information. Here's a coffee. And you're paying for it. I'm going to tell Luke to Venmo me some coffee. I'm sorry.
I fed you terrible information.
Here's a coffee.
That was a reverse psychology play.
I'll see him Saturday bright and early.
But he did.
Al's brother, admit that I almost had you.
Admit that I almost had you.
Not even close.
Get out of here.
Not even close.
And by the way, Kirk Cousins.
Kirk Cousins, minus 120 to throw a pick tonight.
Vegas is banking on it. You said pick six. Are we talking pick or pick six? A pick. A pick 120 to throw a pick tonight. Vegas is banking on it.
You said pick six.
Are we talking pick or pick six?
A pick.
A pick.
You got to pay juice on this guy throwing a pick against the Raiders.
That's how bad it is.
I cannot take the Raiders.
I cannot take the Raiders unless they have 14 points.
I can't take the Falcons.
I can't take the Falcons.
And that's why we're going to be even at the end of the night.
Alex Brother, great seeing you as always.
The swing night. Go get them, bro. Yeah. I love it. It's't take the problem. And that's why we're going to be even at the end of the night. Al's brother, great seeing you as always. The swing night. Go get them, bro.
I love it. It's a big one tonight.
Hazen, bro, plus two. This guy's going to
kick you off the team if you miss this pick. He might. There was a coup on
Friday. He's my captain. You stop that
nonsense. Thank you, Al's brother. AZP is my
captain. You were phenomenal on Friday, running
the show. Nobody I want in this seat
more than you. I love it. Alright, boys.
We'll catch you on the group chat tonight. Cheers.
Luke Wilson and I.
Where's my Parsi?
I need that guy.
A-wall.
A-wall.
Honestly, nobody on earth knows where he is.
I've sent a couple texts.
I haven't heard.
He's our LeBron James.
Like, LeBron returned last night, but if someone asked us, where is he?
We'd be like, I don't know where he is.
I sent like a couple funny memes.
Yeah.
He's A-wall.
I'm 9-1 right now, and I'm like, Parsi, they're winning.
I'm winning. we're two away
the season's ending, where are we at here?
little support
feathers
sounds like someone else might be ready to jump
with a guy that sharted his drawers
and I sent it over to him
that was good
that was a good one
alright boys, we'll catch you guys in the group chat tonight
here's Al's brother Luke Wilson