P1 with Matt and Tommy - Our 2024 Canadian GP predictions

Episode Date: June 6, 2024

The circus is off to Canada this weekend, so we need to curse some more drivers! Hear how we think the runners and riders will fare this weekend. You can sign up to our Patreon here! You'll get access to exclusive episodes you won't hear anywhere else, every P1 episode ad-free, full driver interview videos, early access to merch, tickets & more!Follow us on socials! You can find us on Twitter, Instagram, Twitch, YouTube and TikTok. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

everybody and welcome back to the P1 podcast with Matt and Tommy. Yes, it's Canada. It's championship back on week. It's all kinds of good vibes. And we are here, Thomas Bellingham, to give some measured, well-thought-out, non-delusional predictions this week, maybe. Absolutely. Well, you say that. You, You've just told me that it might rain all weekend, so delusion will be strong. Yeah, I'm going to out you immediately that I've told you that, giving you some inside knowledge of the weather forecast, and you've changed a prediction.

So you need to tell everyone what you've changed. Okay, I will. It was only the top three because actually, I'd argue it might have even aged even better in the rain, but we'll go with it. Also, I am now a HASS fan, just so everybody knows. If you're listening on audio, I am in Hass attire. So they are going to have a terrible weekend.

Although it couldn't get much worse than Monaco, could it really? So let's see how that one goes. Right, before we get into the predictions, we have a five-star review. We haven't shared one for a while. And if you'd like yours to be read out in the future, then please do leave us a lovely review and let us know why you love this podcast. It helps us out massively. This one is from Emma Tendo Count in the USA.

As a new F1 fan who loves talking about F1 has no fellow enthusiast to debrief with in person, this podcast has brought me so much joy. I have found Matt and Tommy after the Lewis to Ferrari Newsbroke and haven't looked back since. Come on, a new P-Woner. The show is so great that I get a bit sad when we get to Tommy's final thoughts because the episode is almost over.

But there's always something new around the corner, smiley face. Thank you to you. Thank you to you both and to everyone who contributes to the show. Live show in the US soon, question mark. Watch this space. Announcements soon come, but if you watch us live on Twitch, you'll know all of the venues and when it's happening.

But that's fine. We will do an official announcement soon. Middle of October, that's what it's kind of looking like, lots of love. Okay, let's get into Biggest Good Surprise then and start with me. What have I cooked up this week for Biggest Good Surprise? Charlotte. Wow, okay.

Sharlecler. It's going to do even better than Monaco. No, no. This is not how it works, Tommy. I've slammed my fist onto my chair. No, but it is Charlecler. I'm ready. I actually, again, genuinely believe in my heart of heart.

The Ferrari are going to be very good around Canada. We've seen murmurs. We've heard little rumours that Red Bull maybe aren't going to be that good around Canada. There are curbs. Kirby Canada is what it's not called, but we've now kind of titled it that, or at least I have. So I believe I'm chavoured it back on week. That's what I told you. You better not cash in a laid more points.

You didn't actually mention at the start of the show that it's now 25, 21 thanks to your Sherlock I better not cash in more points. You mean I better not, no wheel. Yeah, exactly. Okay, my biggest good surprise, and I can hear everyone now going, Tommy, do you want to catch up in these prediction standings? Because I've gone for Lance Stroll.

Why not? You're not getting three times points if this comes in, by the way. There's not like a three times Lance stroll multiplier on this. Oh, okay. That's a shame. I don't think I've ever predicted Lance Stroll to be the biggest good surprise. Maybe I don't think anyone ever has. But Aston Martin have had a bit of a stinker, but Lance has outqualified Fernando recently.

And then he's kind of messed up in the races and not really delivered it. So maybe that's the time to change. And then also when you said it was raining, I was like, oh, Lance Stroll might channel his wants every. seven wet races where he's actually this myth that he's really good in the wet but sometimes is. Yeah, he's had like a few back in sort of 2018. Yeah. We've had many rainy races since then and he's not turned up hardly at all. But I like it.

Okay. Wow. God, what did you have in your cereal this morning, Tommy? Because that is absolutely wild. You'll be wearing a Lance Stoll t-shirt next time on the podcast potentially. Let's get a biggest flop you're going to like here. this one, Tommy. Now, of course, the streak has been broken, but I'm not counting it because it's Oscar Piastri Lecler that finished second place. We all know that. So the streak is still alive.

Oscar Piastri did not take part in the Monaco Grand Prix. My biggest flop is Yuki Sonoda. Now, I've got some, I've got some, a little bit of a, you know. So, Sergio Perez has been announced at Red Bull for the next two years. Yuki Sonoda is going to drive like a man possessed, but in a bad way this weekend. I feel like it's going to be a case of I should have had that seat. I'm going to win the Canadian Rompree. Overdrives. I don't actually think that, but it's just like a silly thought that I've had that maybe that's why Yuki won't do well. But hey, it's all based on vibes and apologies in advance to Yuki Sanoda. Sure is vibes. Not to me, did you say? And to you. Oh, these are not to me. That's savage. Okay, biggest flop I've gone for, Sergio Perras.

I feel like it's going to go one of two ways. I don't think he's going to have a normal weekend. He's either going to be good and it would be like, yeah, he's justified his seat or he has an absolute nightmare and there'll be so much pressure because the announcement has, I think unsurprisingly, have been maybe unfairly criticized, but I think it's a surprise for a lot of people because it's not like he's on a good run of form, is it?

Sorry, just to interject, I think we will do a little five-minute shout on P-1 Extra about this. So you better go subscribe to that YouTube channel, just so we can just discuss. You know, because it's not like a full 20-minute juicy P-1 thing, but go and subscribe to P-1 Extra. We'll chuck a little, why Sergio Pair has been signed for two years. Yeah, how about that one plug? But yeah, I think it's going to go one of two ways. and my initial thought, especially back to up even more when I heard that it was raining,

was I can see Sergio having an absolute nightmare, and then we all know how that will be perceived if he's been signed another two years and then is out in Q1 again or something, or has a bit of a spin in the rain and nowhere near Max. I do feel as though his flop territory has decreased slightly, over the last few races, isn't it? Like, I feel as though he's,

he had a reasonable start, and now we've got into the same, like the, almost the same time as last year, where it all just started to go wrong. But let's see. Maybe Sergio Perez will put out a wet master class. Technically, it is a street circuit. So maybe he'll become that street king again,

similar to Lance Stroll and his wet masterclasses. They haven't happened in a while, but let's wait. Poll position. Charlotte Claire. Of course. Of course. Charlotte Clair's getting pulpit but I do, I do think it's going to be,

especially if it's rainy, obviously it's going to be all over the place. Max Verstappen, even if Red Bull are behind, not particularly quick over one lap, Max Verstappen will thrust that car right to the front. I also feel as though Alando Norris shout is absolutely well and truly on. And I think, I think you're going to say that, if I'm being completely honest with you, I feel like I'm predicting your predictions right now. But yeah, maybe Charlotte will get the better of it. time, but it promises to be an absolutely banger if it is a lovely changeable condition qualifying

session. God, we are teasing ourselves. Championship back on, changeable weather conditions. Who said Formula One's finished? I am rejuvenated. Is it because I'm off the back of a Monaco, Charlotte Glow win? Maybe. Maybe. Paul position, Max Lestappen. He is going to derail that Ferrari hype train. You didn't even like pause. There was no like, there was no like dramatic. No, basically it's going to rain and he'll just go, no, I'm Max Ostaappen and will be on pole by like half a second. Okay, I will, you are five points behind, no, four points behind right now. If you get the exact time difference to second place. You can say lap time to the thousand, or lines of a million points if that's the case.

I'll give you five points, just say exactly how much he'll be on. pole by, go. He'll be on poll by, as in to the nearest 10th. Absolutely. Nearest 100th. Yeah, yeah, nearest 100th. I'll give me five points here, 100th. I can't do 100th. He's going to be on pole by four and a half tenths. There you go. There you literally just did. Okay. Anyway, all right, perfect. We're just throwing little spicy curveballs in. I love it. But I don't love the fact you've predicted Max Rastap and that's disgraceful. It's almost like you're a Max fan. Let's go to our top three then. In third position, I am locking in Oscar Piastri.

Yes, I'm not quite as delusional as Tommy. Or Oscar Piastri. Very true. Yeah, I'm not going to divulge with that one. But yeah, I think it was Claren. I do genuinely think it'll be a very close fight. I'm not in a complete Monaco delusion that whoever's on pole is going to win the race. It's not going to be like that.

Canada, from at least my recent memory, deserves a banger, but we haven't, I can't remember the last bang we've had at Canada, even though I love the track. Oh, it's been ages. And I was literally thinking this the other day because F1 shared a clip from, I think 2008 and 2007. And I was just looking at going, my God, that was the era where Canada was absolutely amazing every year.

And it was like the race you always looked forward to because you're like, this is going to be really, really good. and it always was, but I don't think it's not delivered. I can't, I can't really recall. Yeah, exactly. It is another sad circuit, obviously not as extreme as Monaco, but another circuit that they've sort of outgrown a little bit, and straits aren't long enough,

not really overtaking spots anymore and things like that. So hopefully, a bit of rain, maybe. Come on, rain. Come on rain, but not a four-hour race. Oscar Piestri is my third. third place. What's yours, Tommy? P3. I've gone for Charlotte Clair. In P3. And

how... You disgust me. I know, what a change of optimism that now P3 you're like, oh God, you're a Shal hater for picking him third. He's going to win by 40 minutes. Mouth. Yeah, P3,

Charlotte, Claire. I do think he's going to continue that run. Obviously not been outside the top four. Oh. All year. And I think you'll continue that. A few podcasts ago. I know.

Charles is going to break his streak. Now you're on the hype train, huh? Okay. Okay. So yeah, gone for Charles. All right. In second place, I am locking in Lando Norris. I believe it will be a charge, an almighty charge from McLaren this week.

And Lando will finish P2. He's very good in the rain. and we've got rain. He sure is and I've gone for Landon in RSP2 as well. Oh, exciting. Yeah, I was, when you said rain, I do think if it does rain,

I could see Lando definitely challenging for pole position, another win. He is extremely good in the rain. We saw it in China and just generally throughout his whole career. Even when the McLaren was like a midfield car, he'd always be up there, wouldn't he? in the rain, he is very good there.

So, yeah, P2Lande. And in first position, this might come as a surprise. I am wearing their team merch. It's Nico. No, it's not. It's not. It's not. P1.

Charlotte Clair. Can we just talk about, can we just talk about how the one imagine, though, you're now on. this like Charlotte Claire's the go he's going to win imagine

I'm not no I know but imagine the one year that you don't like just blindly back him to win the world championship at the start of the year

he actually goes and does it can you imagine I mean look I will take it oh you would I will happily be like oh no I was wrong

in my predictions but yes I have put Max Verstappan out of my top three I am fully yeah maybe maybe fourth

just sitting fourth Charles LeCler gets to within 18 points. I then completely become insufferable and P1 with Matt and Charles. Charles Lecler with Matt and Tommy because it's P1. Yes, P1, Charlec, thank you very much. I've gone for P1, Max for Stappen, in the rain, if it does rain.

If not, I still think he'll win in the dry. I think he'll return. And hey, look, I've missed this kind of, of Charles versus Max vibe. It feels like it's been too long since we've seen it. And I'm here for it. It's the other way around. None of this Charlotton Pollen every week getting overtaken by Max in the race.

But I do. This season has been pleasantly surprising. I know Monaco is absolute snooze fest. But yeah, it has brought some optimism into the season. But I still, I just feel like Max will return with a, with avenger. Oh yeah. 97% of my brain says exactly the same thing. But 3% is what's actually making me talk right now. And look, I will happily let the Charlotte-Clau pole position go. Starts P2, Lando's on pole, Shal then wins the race. Then my crazy prediction for the whole year is on for Shal-Laclare getting more wins than pole positions.

So there's a lot of things going on here, a lot of strategy going on. But yes, it's going to be fascinating. I'm so ready for it. One crazy prediction. I'm going for a red flag at some point during the weekend. The weekend? Yeah, Saturday or Sunday, not Friday. I was going to say, you can't have a Friday red flag. They do that if someone drops a penny on the floor. Yeah, I know.

I was hoping you weren't going to jump on that, and I was just very subtly just slide through with that prediction. Actually, I said, red flag! At some point during the weekend. And then you'll be like, I saw someone at turn three waving a Ferrari flag. That's a point. Oh God, you've now thought of my backup as well.

Okay, fine. Yeah, Saturday or Sunday. Okay, nice. My one crazy prediction is points for Hasse, which I now regret because you're wearing the top. Hello. Always jinxes them. We're wearing their, yes.

Yeah. Maybe. I thought this from the start. Whether or not that is Kevin Magnuson straight lining term one and wiping out half the field to Holt gets points, I can neither confirm nor deny. But however they do it, I'm going for house points. Oh, baby.

Okay, so we are going to have one of the craziest Canadian Grand Prix of all time then if the KMAG is deployed and then sent home to the KMAG is deployed. Okay, let's go to our three crazy predictions from you, wonderful lot. First and foremost, C-Flash Racing. Hamilton wins. Okay. He's very good in Canada. I mean, he is.

But the car's a dustbin. Yeah. If you've actually seen, he was slandering that Mercedes in the hot ones episode. He was. The question was like, oh, when have you ever felt at most sort of like fighting and whatever it was, wresting the car? He's like, now, right now. He doesn't care anymore, doesn't he? He didn't even hesitate.

He's like slander. You see that video as well of him signing the Ferrari caps as two days, he was walking by. He was flying. Oh, you're on the scooters and he was like, yeah. Yeah, it's just so office fives at that point, isn't it? But, okay, Hamilton wins. That would be amazing. I'd love to see him win before he goes to Ferrari,

but I can't see it happening. But hey, watch Mercedes top FP1, and then we'll start talking about it. James Reese 83 says Vestappen in the Wall of Champions. Wow. Tommy isn't like that one? I don't. I saw F1 post a, like an Instagram post about the Wall of Champions,

and it does seem like, and watch me jinx this now and clip this because no one ever goes in there anymore. No, it is such a rare. The only person that's crashed in like the last 10 years I think they showed was KMAG. That should have been your one crazy prediction. Nobody goes in the Wall of Champions. I know, but could it could. It's not really, it was going to be. And then I was like, I can't even like that one because it's such a like.

Because of that's that. Yeah. It's not. It's, it almost feels like, oh, yeah. Canada. there'll be someone in the world of champions and it just there hasn't been for years and years and years. It's definitely happening

this weekend now after Tommy's saying that so I look forward to seeing who that is. Landstrol probably because I'm pretty soon as good surprise. But it does mean he'll be world champion one day so that's a W for him. And finally, 880-Lewa 5 different teams in the top 5

on Sunday. Take that. That'd be cool. Yeah, wow. Don't see that happening, but I'm ready for it. It means it will be a juicy little rainstorm if that is the case. Okay, cool. Brilliant. Well, our predictions are locked in.

Very delusional, but very fun. And hey, everyone was... Oh, Matt, going for Charlotte, Monaco. Can't wait to see this one get clipped up and... How did it work out? Huh? How did it work out? Oh, that's right.

Charlotte Clow won the Monaco Grand Prix. Thank you very much. A broken clock is right twice a day. and it will be right once again after the Canadian Grand Prix. You watch this. You watch this space. Monday, again, I said it, didn't I?

I feel like I'm already in the race podcast on Monday, or Sunday even. Monday, but Sunday on audio. I'm ready. I can't believe you... Final thoughts. Final thoughts, I can't believe you didn't see straight through my lunch,

stroll, biggest good surprise in the hope that it brings Fernandale onto some great luck. Oh, yeah. Come on, Fernando. This is your weekend, surely. If there's ever going to be one. Did you, yeah, I know. They're not doing well, are they?

I've heard there's been, like, reports that, like, Lawrence is not happy and called, like, a big meeting and stuff and basically, like, fix this car. Which they try to do, but upgrades make it worse. They just run the start of the year spec. Just take things off. Just let Fernando Alonzo in a pedal car and it will do better than a good car. seems that's how Fernando Alonzo works, it seems.

Yeah, to be fair, Fernando Alonzo drives better with worse cars. So maybe the Astor Martin's actually the best car on the grid, but Fernando Alonso can't drive it, and you've got Lance Stroll as your other driver. So there you go then. Good. A lot of stroll slander in this one. So sorry, Lance Stroll fans. And we will see you live on Twitch on Saturday and Sunday, as always.

Of course, we'll have our Friday rundown podcast. And everything else you're used to seeing from the P1 Fameram. Goodbye. You've got double-jointed thumbs. I thought that's what you're about to show the... Oh, no, I'm not going to do that. I was like, that's crazy. Don't do that one.

No, God, why would you do that? Stop. God, it's going to be demonetised. P1 is a stack production and part of the ACAST's creator network.