P1 with Matt and Tommy - Our 2024 US GP predictions

Episode Date: October 15, 2024

After a weird four-week break, F1 has finally returned! So let's see if the delusion has truly set in during a few weeks off as we look ahead to COTA this weekend! There are still some tickets available for P1 Live in Los Angeles and Austin this week - get them right here!Sign up to our Patreon here! You'll get access to more P1 After Dark bonus episodes, our classic race series, every P1 episode ad-free and access to our Discord server where you can chat with other F1 fans!Follow us on socials! You can find us on Twitter, Instagram, Twitch, YouTube and TikTok. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Hello everybody and welcome back to the P1 podcast on tour. That's right. We have not purchased green chairs. For audio listeners, Tommy just touched me sensually. God, that's gone strange, isn't it? But we are in Chicago right now. This is hence the backdrop and the slightly bodged job that we're doing right now because Tommy, we are in the middle of our North American tour. We've done two shows.

We've got Chicago tonight. We've got a few more ending in Austin. on Sunday, and we're going to get into predictions? Absolutely, yeah. It's still an insane thing to say. It feels like a rock star if we weren't just chilling in a Chicago, Airbnb, with some comfy cushions, which isn't quite the rock star life. But maybe I'll throw the TV out the window later.

Please don't. We would feel like rock stars if we had any talent whatsoever. So let's get into our predictions then, shall we? It's 45 apiece. Michael Masseying this beautifully. So let's dive into Biggest Good. surprise. I have gone for Alex Albon. Yeah. My guy

he's going to, he's seen all the slander online and he's gone and our shows. And our shows as well. Apparently Albon is now washed after literally a couple of races. Everyone's lost belief in him, but I haven't. Okay. He's going to step out the blocks in Austin and he's going to show us why he has been so highly rated for so long. I think that Colopinto, don't get me wrong, has done an incredible job and that's not to take away anything from him but alborn is still a very decent driver and i believe he will have a good weekend this weekend in austin interesting uh so biggest

good surprise i've gone for louis hamilton that'll be a p20 then won't it probably um yes uh lewis last year here i feel like he's good around austin that from memory of course got disqualified last year. But he did very well. Before that, he did work very well before he got to disqualified. That would be... That was the thing where Mercedes messed up their strategy, didn't they? We were properly losing it. Yeah, it was very close. Has run very well here in the past. And Hamilton always brings his A game to America, so looking forward to another disqualification and zero points for me. But no, I've gone for Lewis Hamilton. I think he's going to have a great race.

It's going to be interesting though, isn't it, with the fact that we had a sprint last year, didn't we as well and that was the reasoning behind or one of the reasons why a lot well I hear a lot two of the drivers himself and charles of claire got disqualified then there was talk of well what about the other teammates and every other driver that wasn't tested as well because of the fact there was a lack of practice so I wonder if there will be some teams that give a little bit more of a wide birth when it comes to to that sort of thing but let's see okay biggest flop I've gone for a team yeah I'm this confident right so off the back of not being last in Singapore.

I've gone for Salba. What? I feel as though, right, neither of them finish last, okay, in Singapore. They are going to be a Formula 2 car in Austin. So they are going to be so far off the back. Botas and Joe will be fighting amongst themselves, and they will be nowhere near the rest of the field. Okay, so.

Yeah, because you're going for, like, notoriously the worst team, so it has to be really bad. Yeah, but let's not, you know, let's not forget. In Singapore, they were fantastic, uh, finishing a whopping. if I can get the results P15 for show Guan Yu and P16 for Valtry Botas They finished ahead of an Alpine

and an RB and then two DNFs So yeah look Let's see what happens And we can discuss it once the results are in But I feel as though Salbridge is going to be terrible around here Okay Biggest flop I have gone for Nico Hulkenberg Another pure vibes

Q3 then Yeah Q3 probably the greatest lap of his life I went for KMAG last time as biggest good surprise and he failed me so I'm not going to back KMAG but it's almost like a backing of KMAG because if he even beats Holkenberg

I'm counting that as the biggest flop for in any session well that's exactly it's got like four competitive sessions sounds very open-ended no if it beats him in SQ1 I'm not having it I'm sorry Mr oh Salber

anything below 50 15 that I'm taking it. No, I'm saying there will be last. They'll be plumb last. Okay, and a long way back. I've just got the vibes that Holcombag's not going to have a good weekend. So that's what I'm going for. Okay.

I think a Hockenbebeg on the front row of the grid. It is. Let's go to Sprint Poll. It is a sprint weekend. We've got more predictions, more points up for grabs for both us and the drivers this weekend. Sprint poll, I've gone for Lando Norris. And your reasoning. Well, my reasoning is.

I do not believe Red Bull are going to roll out a car that is going to fix all of their problems. Yes, they've had some time off, but there's always limitations to how much you can test a car. They don't know what upgrades are going to work and what upgrades aren't going to work. And I feel as though McLaren will still be the strongest car. I feel as though Austin will be a great track for them. And Lando Norris has to win everything. So that's what I'm thinking right now. And he's got his whole, a little bit of a mental.

challenge with the whole pole and not keeping it, he's going to get pole and, well, we'll see if he keeps it in my predictions. Okay. Sprint pole I have gone for. Max for Stappen. Yeah, I knew it. I knew it.

Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. Normally you're the delusional one with your driver, but I'm on the Dululu train now. I feel like Sprint Weekends is where Max, normally when he doesn't need to dial in the car, and he can just come straight out of the blocks, one practice session, boom, done. That's why I'm going for Max.

And I feel like they will fix some of their problems. I don't necessarily think they're going to be like, you know, start of the season good. It's crazy to think it's almost a bold prediction to put Max in P1 these days based on the form. But I feel like he's going to bounce back and he always goes well in America as well. So that's what I'm going for. Interesting. Okay. winner

Lando Norris The reasonings are he's in a really fast car And should win No look I back it now You know

One because I really want a championship fight And he needs to do all of this And more But two Why would you bet against them They've been great All year long

And It's time for Lando To just hush the critic slightly You know Off the back of Singapore Where he still got

Criticised For yes Nearly binning it But didn't and he won the race by over 20 seconds. Let's see what he does in Austin. Indeed, I am also of agreement because I have gone for sprint winner, Lando Norris, as well.

Oh, so Max loses his pole. I think just the McLaren is absolutely mighty. Ever since we got back from the proper break, not this month break, but the official kind of shut down, they have been unbelievable. ball. I think, you know, they've, they could have easily won all of them. Lando could have easily won all of them. He's won two in very dominant fashion as well. So they're going to be

very good again. And when it comes to the race, I think he's going to get the sprint W. Oh, the W. Tommy using great terms. We'd love to see it. Okay, pole position. The main one, the proper one. Lando Norris. It's a clean sweep. which means I'm probably doing serious amounts of jinxing right now so I apologise McLaren fans in advance if none of these come in but just copy and paste what I said for sprint pole for pole position same for me because I've also got for Landline Norris

for poor position the reason I've mixed it up between the two pole positions I do think it would be close but I think once they're a bit more dialed in and they've had more running McLaren will unlock even more pace

than they normally have and deliver in the kind of proper qualifying session for the Grand Prix so that's why I've gone for Lando I mean

it's weird how the way we started the season was like nice stuff in P1 do I need to explain and now it's Lando Norris which is really weird to think that he's

not even leading the championship but the car is just so good now will the pecking order change though. Will Ferrari? I haven't even mentioned them. Will they come out the blocks and start winning again? Maybe. Let's see. Let's go to our top three then. In third position, I have gone for Oscar Piastri. That was a two I put for a... That literally was. I battled saying Charles LeCler just because, you know, I want to see it. But Philozoic Singapore didn't really give me as much as it's a completely different track to Austin.

I'm not off the back of any kind of delusion after Singapore. So Oscar Piastri, I think that, yeah, he'll be again very quick. He'll be around there. I just don't think he'll be as quick as the two that I've gone for in my top two. Okay, P3, I am going with my biggest good surprise, Lewis Hamilton. On the podium in Austin, I think he's going to have a very good race, as I kind of explained in Biggest Good Surprise. but not good enough to dethrone the top two.

Who's the top two? Well, in my second place, Max Verstappen. Oh, okay. Yeah, I think that, as much as I said that Red Bull won't come up the blocks and start being the fastest car again, Max Verstappen. I expect Red Bull to take a step forward. I just don't think they'll overthrow McLaren. And with Max, you know, especially last time out in Singapore,

finishing second, he clearly was, you know, getting the most out. of that car very easily and has done for pretty much the entire season. So I expect the same thing here this weekend. And yeah, Max P2. P2 I've gone for Lando Norris, mixing it up. Yeah, I think he's going to be very, very quick around here, but not good enough for the main victory. Oh.

Yeah, I do think it's going to be very close the season. I'm just so hyped to see a race again, to be honest, because the season's been so good, and it has changed so much. You look at the previous winners over the last six or seven races. And even though my head and every kind of prediction, I've kind of always thought, yeah, McLaren and McClara and McLean, they haven't done it. So that's why I've gone for Lando P2. Okay, well, my P1, finishing the clean sweep.

is Lando Norris. So I'm glad you haven't gone for the same. Otherwise, we would just be pretty much level going to the next Grand Prix weekend again. Massing all the way to the finish. Just do the same thing all the way to Abu Dhabi. I echo your thoughts. It's obviously amazing for Formula One to be back. And I think that this kind of result that I've predicted will do us wonders once again

to go into the next five Grand Prix with two more sprints after that to really have an amazing championship battle. So yeah, Lando should, has to and will win in my opinion. He won't because Maxer Stappen is going to win the US Grand Prix, which is almost a shock pick now. Why? Because he's not won in absolutely ages. Spain, Spain. Spain, Spain.

Spain, yeah. Austria sprint. Yeah, Austria Sprint. Feels like far too long since we've heard the Dutch National Anthem. And I think he's going to come back. He'll have fixed some of the problems. maybe not all of them. Him personally.

Him personally. He'll have been in the sim. He'll have been in the sim. On eye racing. On I racing. Plenty different car. But he loves it around Austin. And even last year,

he kind of struggled, didn't he, a little bit in qualifying and stuff and turned it around for the race. So that's what I'm going for again that we're going to get. Max just bring everything out of that car. You know, he's done it in a few of the other the races as well, even the last one. I was very concerned we were going to get about a seventh or eighth place, but he finished second, albeit 20 seconds off the lead. And I'm going to stop talking before

I convince myself that it's not going to win. Good. Perfect. Let's go to our one crazy prediction. And I've been in the kitchen for this one. I've been putting my ingredients together and I feel like, I'm backing my biggest good surprise here, Alex Albon. And I'm saying the colipinto does not beat Albon in either quali or race sessions. That's SQ3, Q3 and both races. Albon will beat him in every single one of them. People won't believe this because I kind of need to show you the sheet to prove that I've not just done a reactive thing. Because my one crazy prediction is Colopinto and the points in Albon not. Which I'm now regretting because your biggest good surprise is normally quite good. but I didn't know

Colapinto in the points maybe isn't big enough for like a bold crazy prediction so I've gone for the fact that he's in the points ahead of Albin and Albin doesn't get a point so yeah I feel like Colapinto is going to continue his good

good form around here and yeah it's going to be there's so many exciting things to look forward to for the rest of the season and you know we've got this title but there are so many other storylines as well and that is one of them that's actually in a weird way even though normally in Formula One the last few years when we've not had the title fight we've had to look for other things it's easy to forget there are so many other nice little storylines and that that is one that's going to be really interesting for the rest of the year to see how Colapinto

does because that was quite the talking point of our live shows as well it's even from from the audience It was. We do a segment now which is new for our live shows, which is controversial opinions, where I go into the crowd and we get some controversial opinions. And there was someone actually that said that Colopinto will score more points of the rest of this season than Carlos Sinesville, the entirety of next year. Safe to say that was controversial and no one agreed with him. Right. Three crazy predictions from you, wonderful lot. Firstly, P1 Patreon member Justin F194. both finish outside the points. That must be a collision.

Well, that's an insane one because firstly being outside the points and secondly finishing outside of the points. Oh yeah, true. That would be probably the craziest prediction we've ever had that would come in, like for sure, because how many times has Max actually finished outside the top 10 hardly at all in all of his Grand Prix? P1 Patreon LR, two or more Formula A DNFs.

Formula A being the top four teams. So let's see, two or more. Any DNF is a bold prediction nowadays, but Formula A, yeah, definitely. Any collision. And finally, Pete won patron member Longo 1996. Lawson finishes in the points. Of course, Liam Lawson. Of course, yes.

Yeah, I haven't even mentioned he's in the car, obviously, after replacing Daniel Ricardo. Finishing in the points would be quite the statement, wouldn't it? Straight out the blocks. It would be a big statement because it has to be said I'd be a fallen off big time. from the start of the season when Yuki was scoring you know ninth places and tenth places

in quite a lot of the races early on Danny Rick got that amazing P4 in Miami sprint as well so their car has fallen off a lot which is why I do think it's going to be difficult for Lawson to actually

get a lot of points but if he beats Sonoda it does seem like there's a chance for him so yes another debut ton well not debut turn a returning driver

so many driver switch driver switches can't keep up can you make too much F1 so much F1 so much going on too much F1 we've had no F1 but F1 is back finally we can talk about some Formula 1 racing again

none of this are the BS that we have to try and fill for four weeks god can we not have breaks ever again oh wait we have a triple header then another three week break than a triple header strange scheduling as I will continue to back because why don't we all just have little two weeks and then you know but anyway that's another conversation we've already had. Tomi what your final thoughts? Final thoughts are looking forward to our show tonight. I love you checked your watch just because just I'm like it's very soon and yes looking forward to that and the rest of the shows

that we're doing across America we do Canada as well and I must admit North America has lived up to the expectation of a crowd we've owned on two shows so far but oh my word the noise the the the whooping the cheering the waving yeah you guys have delivered big time so looking forward to the other shows absolutely so if you are in the likes of los angeles Seattle Austin what else those that's it then get some tickets okay we'll see you there all right sweet dreams take care keep pushing in the gym lots of love enjoy the penguins. Enjoy the penguins, of course.

Imagine you're the first time watching this, and they're like, what on earth are you talking about right now? Enjoy the penguins, although I am. Thank you for the pictures. If you have an obscure job that you have whilst listening to this podcast, we heard about some Harley Davidson riders, didn't we? Oh, yes. Listening to our podcast on there, strange.

But hey, keep them coming in. Let us know. We will share them on the pod. Lots of love. Bye. Goodbye. P1 is a Stack production. part of the ACAST's creator network.