P1 with Matt and Tommy - Our 2025 Bahrain GP predictions

Episode Date: April 9, 2025

We're back! We're due a banger, so let's see who we think might cause a few surprises in Bahrain. Plus, the Family Championship takes an even more bizarre turn...Listen to an extended version of every Race Review podcast on our Patreon! Sign up to also get every P1 episode ad-free, early access to live tickets and merch, and access to our Discord server where you can chat with us and other F1 fans! Click here to sign up now!Matt's running the London Marathon for the Great Ormond Street Hospital Charity. Click here if you'd like to donate - thanks so much!Follow us on socials! You can find us on Twitter, Instagram, Twitch, YouTube and TikTok. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Hello everybody and welcome back to the P1 podcast with Mad and Tommy. Predictions time. Oh yeah. We're back. It's Bahrain, Tommy. And I'm kind of scared for my expectations for this one because we've had a couple of stinkers. And I'm ready for a banger. And, you know, Bahrain begins with B and an A.

And banger also begins with that. So I am ready. You sound like one of those people where they're like, Michael Schumacher raced car number five. and Fernando Alonso raised car number five. So Alonso is going to win the world championship. And it's like, where do you buy bread from? That's right.

Waitrose. And where does where? It's just like a big old link. So it's currently 9-6 to me, which I know that you are still steam coming out of your ears for the fact that I went for a Ferrari 1-3 and still managed to somehow extend my point lead. But yeah, 9-6 to me. Let's see how crazy I've gone. This time.

A good surprise. My good surprise for the Barring Grand Prix is Yuki Sonoda. Yeah, yeah, my guy's going to cook. He's going to do well. I feel it. I feel it in my bones. People who maybe are misinformed think that Yuki Sanoda perhaps doesn't know how to drive that Red Bull. Wow, he finished 12th, qualified 15th.

That's rubbish. Red Bull got the problem with the second driver again. No, I think Yuki's going to score a solid handful of points. not that that is the terms and conditions for a good surprise. We'll just wait and see if we're surprisingly happy with what he puts down and see how he comparatively performs against Max Verstappen. But Yuki Sanoda is my good surprise. My good surprise is Yuki Sanoda, genuinely,

with basically the same logic that I think the foundation has been kind of set and shown that despite the kind of headline that Yuki Sanoda got out qualified by Liam Lawson, obviously that didn't look great on paper, that the kind of move is justified. We're going to Bahrain, a track that he's done. Lots and lots of testing out,

obviously, of course, not in the Red Bull, but he's had good performances there in the past. And let's be honest, him getting like a points finish is a very strong kind of result now. in that second Red Bull. I saw something actually that the second Red Bull driver has been outscored by Salba in the last 11 races. That's how bad it's been for them. So, yeah. Okay, so Tommy, I don't think we've ever had a good surprise or a big flop that remained the same.

So I'm going to put an offer on the table for you. Oh, okay. Okay, because we can't be having the same predictions and I'm willing to throw this offer out to you. You change that good surprise and you get double points if it comes in. So you'll get two points for your good surprise, whereas we can't be having the same one. That's the reason why we're alternating these days. Okay. So who is your big surprise? Okay, okay, okay. I'm going to take the double. Yeah, the double points. Right, here we go. I've gone for thinking about this on the fly, George Russell. I'm going to go for George Russell. I think the Mercedes looked good in Bahrain testing. Maybe a bit, bit disappointing results.

P5 based on the amazing start of the season he had. I think he's going to do an even better job. So I'll go for George Russell. Okay, so you've already highlighted the slightly disappointing result from last time out and that you're already sort of laying the foundations. That's how we do things, right? That's the fourth. Then it's a good surprise.

All right. Okay. Let's go to a big flop. I have gone for Alex Alburn. And it hurts to go for the biggest flop for the nicest guy in Formula One. Not biggest, just a big flop. Sorry, a big flop, of course, yes. It's not biggest anymore, everybody.

You're all confused about that. It's just a big flop. A big flop. And yeah, Alex has had a great start to the season. But you're kind of the stat earlier of going, oh, because Bahrain starts with B and it's a banger. I'm going with the fact that album's finished fifth, seventh, ninth, so that means he'll finish 11th in Bahrain.

There we go. It's 11th a big flop. That's the question. I don't think that is. Well, it would be his first non-points finish of the year. Okay, you're already getting your arguments ready. I like to see it. Okay.

My big flop. So it's not been going very well recently, has it? You've got, I've gone for, who did I go for in Australia? Matt's big flop, aka who is winning the Bahrain Grand Prix? So wait, in Australia, who did I go for? Do you remember? I honestly cannot remember. Okay, you do that, and I'll recap the rest.

So in China, I obviously went for Lewis Hamilton. and now I know a lot of you actually thought I deserved a point and at least half a point because he got disqualified in the main race but Tommy said no because Tommy is the overlord head teacher on this podcast but he did win the sprint so fair enough and then I went for biggest flop or big flop sorry

Max for Stappen in Japan and of course Max won the race I actually just realised something your big flop was Kimi Antonelli who basically had a 10 out of 10 drive ratings performance and one of the best rookie debuts we've seen I'm knocked out in Q1 and finished fifth, didn't you? Yeah. Fourth.

Fourth. You got fourth in the end, yeah. Okay. All right. So who's having a bang. So my big flop has been horrendous. So I need to score points. My big flop is Charlotte Cliff.

I knew that was going to happen. I would have, I would have bet my house on that. The last two Grand Prix, they have won. I am not missing out on this opportunity. If I score a point, for this, I will be devastated. I purely want this as a universe just going along with my big flop

being just terrible this year. That is literally the only reason I'm going for a flop Charlotte. I don't think he's going to flop. I don't think he will flop. But if this helps him go faster, I'm in. So there you go.

There's my Charlotte Clarke. Big flop. Pole position. I am locking in. Lando Norris. We're back to, we're back to... I'm sorry, this point where Brooding.

Yeah, well, I said boo boring and yours was wrong. And it wasn't in the right team that got in Japan. So I think that McLaren are going to be phenomenal around Bahrain. I really do. I think it will be a front row lockout for McLaren and Lando is going to get pole. Poposition I have gone for Oscar Piastri. And yes, I feel like every time I don't go for Lando, he gets pole. congratulations Lando on pole position.

Thank you for the point for me. Thanks for the points. But I do think it would be between the McLaren's for pole position, but it has been close, and both of them have made mistakes in qualifying when it matters. But I do think they are going to get pole position still. Okay. To our top three we go.

In third position, Tommy. P3. Lando Norris. which is crazy to think a P3 for Lando creates a reaction like I've just said that he's just not finished the race but yeah of course his form has been so good a P1, a P2 and a P2

P3 would be his worst performance of the year so far in a Grand Prix of course but yeah I've gone for Lando P3 this time okay my third position is George Russell I really struggled to figure out who I would go for in this third position. I really should have probably put Max for Stappen there now in sort of any. I just, my brain in these predictions,

and I know some people take it very seriously and think I don't know wheel when I put like Hadjar up in top five. I just want to have a bit of fun, all right? I could easily go Lando Oscar Max every top three for the rest of the season, but I'm not going to. I know that George Russell isn't the craziest shout either, but it's hard to tell. And also things happen in Formula One.

People are so quick to jump on the predictions, even the top five when we've seen qualifying. But, you know, how many things have happened? I mean, imagine the first race, based on what happened in qualifying, if you'd put like Antonelli 4th, for example, that you'd be like, what are you smoking, basically? Formula One, this happens.

It's sort of part of fun. It's unpredictable, and I'd love to see anybody who is out there predicting every result with even like 80% accuracy with how F1 is currently. Second position, I have gone for Oscar Piastri. Yeah, we're locking in some points this week. I'm sick and tired of only scoring one.

I want the top three locked in like I did in China, I think it was. So yes, Oscar Piastri, P2, because McLaren are going to be a rocket ship. P2, I have gone for Oscar Piastri as well oh yeah so McLaren 2 3 again

oh Tommy you feeling bro I know yeah gone for the McLaren 2 3 I do think they're going to be very quick of course they've not maximised everything this season

still an amazing kind of performance that they've had and leading the Constructors Championship very comfortably and you wouldn't bet against them for doing it. But they have left things on the table as well. So yeah, I'm going for a two, three for McLaren. Okay, dokey.

Who is your first position, Tom? My P1 is George Russell. I've gone for a George Russell victory. Holy Lord. Have you gone for that before you went for him a good surprise? Yes, I heard, actually, yeah. Wow. So you were spreading your eggs and now you're like, here we go.

So I'm really backing George I maybe it's a bit delusion but we've had four different winners from the first four races if you include the sprint it would be I know it would be a pretty minor miracle

for it to happen to have another different winner but if it's going to be anyone I think it would be George Russell he's had a great start to the season and maybe you know Bahrain

Mercedes looked good in testing when he can't take too much way from testing. But I think George's got it in him to have a good performance. And I was, this is the tricky thing this year is that, sorry, Ferrari, this isn't meant to be for Icelander. But when you're picking a top three, I am, because obviously I've left Max out, who is obviously just won the last race. But it's very close.

You kind of feel like McLaren are always going to be in it. And then that only leaves one of the position. but I am going for the victory for George Russell. Goodness, gracious me. Tommy's three behind and now he's gone for a George win. I think we could have a walkover in this prediction. I thought I'd done such a good prediction last time and so now I'm going to maybe I'm not going to do a McLaren anymore

and I'm going to be bold. Okay, I'm not going to play it safe. We see if we get the halfway of the season and we start giving double points for a non-McLorran win. Let's go now to our top three for our families. It's currently 2-1 to the Bellingham's. I have drafted in my mother. So, let's see if she picks up.

She was briefed about 15 minutes ago to expect a call. Come on then. What's my mother locked in? Hello? Why do you sound so concerned? Mum, are you okay? Hi. I mean, I've just in a field.

Any reason you're in the field? Yeah, walk in the dog Ah, good old Rosie You are live on the P1 podcast Hi everybody I see that you've learned to say hello to everybody this time I like it So can you give me your top three

Starting with third position for the Bahrain Grand Prix please Pastery Okay well straight up with the Pastery not the Oscar Oscar Pastery P3 locked in Okay P2 Max Rastatin Okay all right

I see you I see you and first place. Lando Norris. Mom, you've gone for a strong line up this time. Strong. That is strong. Can you give me a reason why he's going to the top three? Tommy said he's worried with that prediction. I think it might even be a better prediction than what I've done.

So. Well, probably, yeah, I think Max, obviously he could win, but I guess I'm hoping he doesn't. So that's why I put him second. Okay, wow. All right. So, uh, obviously. And Lando is very much on, well, he's been.

very much on form last year anyway, so that's why I'm going for Lando. It's a much better reasoning than Georgina, my sister, who said that because Lando is the underdog and he's attractive, and that's the reason why he's not the underdog. So I'm glad you gave a little bit more insight than what Georgina thought. And to be honest, Pastery is probably a guess. It's a very strong guess, Mum. So thank you for coming on the pod, and we'll see you soon. You're welcome. Love you, bye.

Bye. I didn't say love you crazy Alright good My mum doesn't love me Who are you Who do you have on your pod? I'm gonna give my dad a call On your pod

On your team Your father My father Oh we can get some insight Why are you called Freddy We'll see if he calls me at first He's going to He's definitely

Yeah he will Hi dad Hello Fred Hey how's again I'm so glad you called me Fred We were just debating Whether you would or not And I said

you definitely would. And hi Matt, if you're there as well. Yeah, Matt's laughing his head off of that. Oh, can you hear the bees? We're swarmed with a swarm of bees at the moment. Anyway. So my mom's in a field. There with bees.

I've got a swarm of bees and they're buzzing around thousands of them. This is everything I hope for from the family, from the family top three that, yeah, Matt's mum was in a field picking up dog poo and now you're kind of covered in bees. So inundated with swarming bees. Okay. Millions of them everywhere. Amazing. Right.

We need your top three starting from P3. Okay. Well, I'm disappointed, Matt, but I'm not going to put Ferrari in the top three, I'm afraid. That's one or a lot. And I think it's only third that's a difficult decision really because you're 50-50 on the others. So anyway, I'll put, I'd like to say Antonelli, but I'm going to say Russell third. Okay. P2. Well, that's a 50-50 toss-up, isn't it really?

I'll more with my, yeah, Norris second. Yes, it's different to mine. Thank God for them. Okay, thanks, Dad. Yeah, Matt went for Russell Norris Piestri. No. No, sorry, sorry, the other two McLaren the other way around. So you've not gone for the same prediction, but that's good.

Russell Piestri and Norris he went for them. Okay, so yeah, fingers crossed, we're still leading the Bellingham's 2-1. So thanks very much and we'll see how you do. Bye. Wow. Love that. That was, I mean, as you say, exactly what we hoped from this. Just chaos, just pure chaos.

It really is. So, well, let's see. It's 2-1. So we're not doing particularly well because we're in round four. But let's see. Can anybody get the. clean sweep this time around. We need to,

as the Gallagas, we need to pick it up. I don't like the fact we're losing. I'm very competitive. Okay, let's go to our one crazy prediction. My one crazy prediction

is Carlos Sines best of the rest. Ooh. Okay. Mm-hmm. It is crazy because he doesn't beat an album this year.

And I think it's not actually out of the realms of possibility around a track that he's tested the car at. I think if there's going to be a Carlos Sines resurgence,

it's going to be at Bahrain and that is why I'm locking that in. Okay, interesting. So my crazy prediction I have gone for Alpine score a point or get in the points. Madness, though, they're the only team

that haven't yet, of course. And yeah, so I'm going to go for that one and hope it comes in. Okay, all right, interesting stuff. Tommy, why don't you tell us your Patreon prediction. Now, if you're wondering what they are, if you're part of our P1 Patreon, as part of that, you get access to our amazing Discord with an awesome community there, and you can submit your prediction. And we select one of them, which is part of our predictions

points. So tell me, what have you gone for? Indeed. So mine is from TVR driver on the Discord, and they have gone for, and what I'm hoping to score points with, pole position doesn't win the race, which has not happened so far this season, of course. Oh, I love you step-checked that. I did actually. All three races and the sprint. Yes, and the sprint as well, of course. So, yep, I think Fred Vassard, and he said that we might be on for a qualifying championship this year,

which really hope he's not true on that one. And maybe Bahrain, because we are very much hoping and praying, it's not the case, you know, that we actually get, it's not going to happen again, because Bahrain you think in theory should get a nice battle and be able to overtake this time. So fingers crossed, that one comes in.

I love how we said last year, I'd be amazing if qualifying had its own championship. We said own championship universe, not only championship. We don't want it to just be a qualifying championship. Thank you. My Patreon prediction is from J-KM-92, and it is Alonzo finishes in the points.

Yeah. Nice. Yeah, I see. So I think, I think you've, for the good of the Grand Prix will be hoping mine comes in and me just because I need Alonso to basically just outscore

stroll so I can put that narrative to bed it's funny because you want him to score points but you now need him to score more than 10 but your overall season predictions are 50 points any more than 50 points so you are in a very you're in a very small window aren't you right now

I am that Australian Grand Prix that Australian Grand Prix really shafted me with one Lutstrol bagging all those points and two my new Colcombugnberg's finishing last and he's up in 11th because of his seventh place ridiculous right that is it thank you so much for tuning in to this predictions series this time for the barring grand prix will be live on youtube and twitch for our watchalongs for qualifying in the race as always although Tommy is disappearing and not going to be there for the quality watch along sad times but he will be back for the main race and podcast and all that sort of stuff but we have

special guest Alex jakes joining us for Saturday's podcast so P1 of Matt and Alex, which would be very interesting. And look forward to that. We'll see very soon. Lots to love. Take care. Bye. Sure.

Hmm. Hmm. What do you think, Tommy? What's coming to mind right now? What do you need to do around the house right now? What is a chore that is something you've been putting off? To basically, like, sort through the post and reply to things that I actually need to do, like adulting, basically.

Oh, a postal admin day. All right. That's what we're going to. thrilling, thrilling stuff. Open those envelopes. I'm terrible. I just, I'm like, please just send an email or something. I don't need these letters.

Send an email, please. It could have been in an email, just like the Japanese Grand Prix. Bye. Bye. P1 is a Stack production and part of the A-Cast's creator network.