P1 with Matt and Tommy - Our BOLD F1 predictions for the rest of 2026

Episode Date: August 12, 2026

We're at the summer break with twelve races to go, which seems like the perfect time to unveil our bold predictions for the remainder of the 2026 F1 season. Plus, we react to plenty of your prediction...s!We will not be going on tour next year! So if you want to come and see our brand new live show 'Super Podding' this autumn, get your tickets here: http:/tix.to/p1liveSign up to our Patreon for just $5 a month! You'll get access to every P1 episode ad-free, extended versions of every 2026 race review, early access to tickets & merch, and access to our Discord server where you can chat with us and other F1 fans! Click here to sign up now: http://patreon.com/mattp1tommyFollow us on socials! You can find us on Twitter, Instagram, Twitch, YouTube and TikTokP1 with Matt and Tommy is the world's biggest F1 podcast. Subscribe for new podcasts around every single race throughout the 2026 Formula 1 season! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:05 Hello everybody and welcome back to the P1 podcast with Matt and Tommy. We're getting closer and closer and closer to Formula One returning at the wonderful Zandvoort circuit, the circuit that has the most overtakes in Formula One history. For the last time. May you all not forget, for the last time. But we're not talking about that today. We're talking about that and the rest of the season because we have made some bold predictions. You have also made some bold predictions.
Starting point is 00:00:35 So we're going to react to them. I'm going to react to yours, Tommy. I don't know what you've gone for. You don't know what I've gone for. And so, yeah, I'm excited. The summer break is almost over. So this kind of period of time where we have to do other things other than react to the racing
Starting point is 00:00:51 is almost over for everybody, and they'll be so pleased to hear it. Good times. Yeah, a lot of races still to go. Still a lot of the season, whether we're halfway through or not is yet to be decided. But yeah, it's been a, spicy one I think this is going to be because we've had five different winners from the last five
Starting point is 00:01:09 races so I think there's a lot of probably differing opinions of people with which way it's going to go basically. Okay. All right. Everybody get ready. It's time for some bold predictions. And I am going to go first. We're going to kick things off. You might not call this bold. You might call this absolute insanity. But I am going to go for Fernando Alonzo scores a podium by the end of the year.
Starting point is 00:01:43 Insanity is the word I was thinking of, yeah. Well, you asked me for a bold prediction. I know, it's very bold. Look, first and foremost, I just want to say, I believe in... Choo-choo-choo. I believe. The thing is, right,
Starting point is 00:01:57 I was thinking of what could be like a really bold prediction that if this came in, I would be milking it for at least four years. So you're going for the... Yeah. Because there is, I'd say a... Right, so the scenario I have in my head for this is, one,
Starting point is 00:02:14 Aston Martin take another leap forward with their engine upgrade, where there's been murmurs about it being on target and this sort of stuff and seemingly what they've wanted to get from this upgrade they're going to get. I am not saying for a second that Aston Martin are going to be in the top four. No. I'm talking crazy race. Madrid, no grip, four drivers out of the top four teams, chaos everywhere, Fernando Alonzo in what might well be the fifth fastest car, just backs a podium. Not Strull just spawns into third at the end. My prediction is last the whole race. No, no, no, no, we're not, not doing any of that. I know Lance did beat Fernando in the last race in Hungary. He did. However, I think Fernando will level up. He will go super saan the second that car becomes good.
Starting point is 00:03:06 Now, so interestingly, I nearly went for an Asa Martin prediction. I'm just going to tell you it just so you can see if I disagree or agree with you or not. And just so you're aware, when we come to reflecting on this, it doesn't count. Like you get one. No, no. Yeah. But I know you'll be like, yeah, but I did say this. Yeah, but it's not a point because this is a fun prediction. This is a fun prediction.
Starting point is 00:03:30 What are you going to say? Mine was going to be that Ashton Martin don't get a point for the rest of the season. So basically scored less than they did at the start. I don't believe the hype at all. I think they're so far off still that I think even in that last race, I think a lot of it was the fact that we were at Hungary where power doesn't matter. They're improving the power. That's why I've gone for...
Starting point is 00:03:52 Will they though? You know, we'll find out. I personally don't believe it's going to be as good as they think it will. If they finish up, upgrade package. I get it. I wouldn't have said this. But I'm going for the, they've cooked, Honda have done something amazing, their engines right up there and all of a sudden are reasonably competitive. That's where I've gone. And I've gone the opposite, which I think, I don't think that's going to happen. But we'll see. I think it's going to be very intriguing
Starting point is 00:04:18 to see what happens because I think that for a midfield team, I think a lot of eyes are going to be on Asson Martin and Honda basically, basically straight away, if they do indeed, which is rumoured for them to bring it to Zandvort. Exactly. So, podium maybe straight out the blocks in Zandvort. Imagine it just comes in straight away. I would bask in the glory of that if that came in. And I'd be like, Tommy, do you want to play that clip where you said they wouldn't even score
Starting point is 00:04:44 a point for the rest of the year? But I'm not going to get ahead of myself because it's not happening yet. Right, Tommy. Over to you. Mine is, neither Ferrari driver. No, just to pause. Why is it always about Ferrari with you? You're such a beta.
Starting point is 00:04:58 No. Such a master beta. Wow. PG show. It is. That's two words. True. Separate space part in between them.
Starting point is 00:05:11 This is genuinely my prediction, which is... I just lashed out. Neither Ferrari driver finished top three in the championship. So I... My thinking here is that... I think Ferrari, unlike Asson Martin, where obviously the prediction is that they've recently kind of gone all their tokens near the end of the season
Starting point is 00:05:32 and they're really pushing for it. Obviously the running joke was that Ferrari were kind of using a lot of tokens at the start of the season and I think with the increased pace of a certain Lando Norris and McLaren the improvement there, the fact
Starting point is 00:05:48 that Mercedes is still very strong Max has been on a decent run now got some good results that I could see them maybe not having not hitting the height that they did at the start of the season and potentially kind of falling down
Starting point is 00:06:04 the order of the championship. Wow, okay, well let's talk about the complexion of the championship right now, then, shall we? So Lewis Hamilton is second right now. He is 60 points clear of Max Verstappen. He is 41 points clear of Lando Norris. You're telling me that Max Verstappen will beat Lewis Hamilton come the end of the year.
Starting point is 00:06:21 I know because it's top three. Oh, yes, of course, yeah, and George Rosson. Sorry, yeah, but I, but yeah, there's a chance. It's a chance. I don't think Max will get there, but I think he could potentially move up the championship order as well. We'll finish in the top three. In the top three with, I guess, I guess if I had to predict, would be two Max and Landau in some order. I love it. That is, that's such a recency bias takes away if I've ever seen it. Lando wins hungry and it's like, that's it. He's now back when the whole flavor of the season has been, we don't know whether we go to Zandvoort.
Starting point is 00:06:58 McLaren could be rubbish. Exactly. And that's the beauty of it, right? And but it depends on what you believe in and clearly. I think it's a fair bet, right? It's a fair bet to think Lando, who's having a great season, one of his best, if not his best. And if the car is there, then you've got to think that they'll be able to take a full advantage of that. Do you want me to go with a stat that kind of contradicts my own evidence a little bit?
Starting point is 00:07:23 Love that. But it's funny because I saw this today and it's absolutely crazy, right? So in the last four races, if you basically, the championship started four races ago and we just started then. Charlotte Clays won at all. The championship order is in sixth, Louis Hamilton on 54 points. Fifth, George Russell on 54 points. Max Verstappen, fourth on 54 points. Lando Norris, third on 55 points.
Starting point is 00:07:52 Antonelli second on 63 points. And Charlotte Clare leading the championship on countback. same as Antonelli with 63 points. You're telling me we're so bad. You've just written Ferrari off. How dare you? Well, I gave you some positivity as well. But isn't that crazy in the last four races,
Starting point is 00:08:19 the top six separated by nine points, all of them? Yeah, that's wild. Please continue. Why can we not have started four races ago? Oh, my God. that would have been so good. Okay. But then obviously, you know, you've given me good news,
Starting point is 00:08:31 but then you've said bad news and the fact, well, your bad prediction is the fact that Ferrari will not finish in the top three. My bad belief, not bold, bad. Bad, yeah, bad for me. Bold for me. Yeah, yeah, great. Okay, let's get into some of your wonderfully bold predictions
Starting point is 00:08:44 and start with THFC 16FS. There will be more non-Messaders than actual Mercedes winners for the rest of the year. Now, that would be a banger. That would be a bang a second half of the season if we do see that. Or it means that Mercedes have had terrible reliability, which we have seen so far this year as well with both of their drivers. Do I see this happening?
Starting point is 00:09:09 I don't think genuinely I don't know if it's that bold, just purely. I mean it is bold, right? Mercedes is the fastest car. But I don't see this as too bold that it couldn't come true. Because we have seen different winners now this year as you've just read out that crazy stat with the top six, if it was four races ago. I mean, five in the last five is two Mercedes wins and three on Mercedes wins, so. Exactly.
Starting point is 00:09:35 So what you're telling me is actually this is not bold and the slightest. I would disagree with this one and say that as much as I love that statistic about the fact that everyone's really close and we're going to have the greatest championship of all time between six drivers. I think Mercedes and Antonelli's season has maybe been. overblown a little bit because the fact that Hungary, you know, we saw a race where he started lower down the order, a track that Mercedes shouldn't have been suited to, still got on the podium. Belgium won the race comfortably despite Charlotte-C getting a nicely timed BSC, it was, wasn't it? And Silverstone, Kimi Antonelli again, kind of got screwed by a safety car and was about to
Starting point is 00:10:27 get back and probably into the lead of that race. So they're still looking very, very strong. I think you'd be a fool to bet against Mercedes still. You'll be a fool, says Tom Bellingham. That's a fair point. Mercedes are definitely still the favourites. It's just whether they can get to a lot of races to the check of flag at the end. So Let's go to another one. P1Petry member Piper MZ Mimic X. Max Verstappen wins a race. I put this in just because it's funny
Starting point is 00:10:58 because it's now bold. Is that bold now? I was bold saying he wouldn't win a race at the start of the season and got absolutely like ridiculed for that. And saying, oh my God, it seemed absolutely crazy prediction, but the season has gone the way
Starting point is 00:11:13 I thought it would in terms of like Red Bull just aren't there at the moment. He's been on a good run of four. you know, second in the last race, third time before that. Silverstone, he was on for a podium before, you know, going into the gravel. Austria finished second and was chasing down
Starting point is 00:11:33 George Russell to win the race. So I think there is a chance for him to get a win still. He's definitely, it's definitely looking more likely in the kind of last run of races than it was maybe at that middle part of the season where you're going, oh my God, Red Bull are just shockingly bad, you know, when they were finishing like eighth and stuff.
Starting point is 00:11:56 And, you know, there's still an argument for the fact that, again, it's hard to tell when the teammates are quite far apart, but that they're not the, you know, probably the fourth best car of the top lot on any given day. But then it kind of changes, doesn't it, with this season? And depending on which track we go to and what characteristics, are suited to each one. And we're going to Zandvot next, which is always really good at.
Starting point is 00:12:24 Exactly. Although Max is usually good around the majority of circuits, and I'm not sure we can really... Yeah, fair. And then he... Madrid. He's never driven that. True. I would say for this one, and I think it's coming in.
Starting point is 00:12:37 I think Max will win a race at some point in the second half of the year. As you've mentioned, Tommy, he has come close a few times. There's not that consistency with Red Bulls. to know that they would turn up every single race, but in the recent last few, they've been pretty good. So where it will come, probably Zanvort,
Starting point is 00:12:57 that would be amazing, right? I would love to see that. One, because your prediction would be wrong. Two, because he wins the final Zambort race. And three, everyone will then start asking, will Maxwell stop and win the World Championship from here? And we have it again where it's like, oh, could he possibly do it?
Starting point is 00:13:13 I think I genuinely do believe that Max will win a race and that's not just purely so that you don't get to bask in the glory of getting that. I will not be basking the glory. I'll be far more happy when I get my prediction wrong. It's like when you were saying you were watching the World Cup and with England, but you'd bet against them so that it would be like a win-win situation. I bet on England basically just bottling it against Argentina because you could just see it happening. Manitry gain or England win.
Starting point is 00:13:37 So, yeah. Anyway. It's like insurance for disappointment. Quite literally. Let's get a P-1-Patry member R&B Sheep's Bowl prediction, which is, George Russell comes back to win the World Drivers Championship. Okay, so he is 59 points behind Kimmy Antonelli as of right now.
Starting point is 00:13:58 It is bold. This, as much as people might go, he was a favourite, he's in the fastest car. From what we know, from the data set we have in front of us, this is a bold prediction. Because there's been no sign of Kimmy Antonelli failing, any real sign of him lacking pace anywhere we've gone. So George, whatever he's doing over the summer break, quite clearly not on Toto Wolf's yacht,
Starting point is 00:14:25 because that's what Max Westappen does these days. So they haven't really, maybe having too many conversations, but... And Kimmy. Just Max and Kimmy. Yeah, yeah, just Max and Kimmy. Just those two. For this, I... I was so categorically convinced
Starting point is 00:14:42 when we saw that early run of poor form for George that he would come back in the European season. We have not seen that yet. We've not seen the bounce back that I firmly believe that would come. I don't want to write him off, though. You only have to look to last year to know that you cannot write anyone off this early in a season when George has shown pace.
Starting point is 00:15:06 He has won a couple of races. It's not been every single weekend, and he has been off Kimmy Antonelli's pace, but that's not to say he won't turn it around. but this is definitely bold and I don't see him winning the if it stays as it is he's not going to win the driver's championship
Starting point is 00:15:23 there's no hope in hell for him but he could turn it around yeah weirdly can't shake the feeling that he could do it and maybe it's just echoes of last year and what happened with Lando and Oscar and how people
Starting point is 00:15:40 I do think George has obviously been less far impressive than what Lando was having a much worse kind of season. But we go back to that championship table in those last four races and think. George has only scored nine less points than Kimi Antonelli when he's having an absolutely abysmal run. So there's reliability definitely a factor as well in this championship and could, and that's George with the DNF himself, of course.
Starting point is 00:16:09 But you look at a race like Silverstone where George was really poor and Antonelli was so much quicker and more comfortable, yet Kimi Antonoli scored nothing, and George somehow got a second place, and it's those races that can sway this championship, and I think George should be a lot further behind than he is already, you know, with how he's been driving
Starting point is 00:16:35 and how the car's been for him. He's obviously not happy. It always seems to be something wrong, his side of the garage with his car and how uncomfortable he's been since that kind of start of the season. I think it really is going to be a sign of when we get back to the summer break. He needs to start having those races like Austria and Canada again where he can at least compete with Kimmy.
Starting point is 00:17:00 And even if he's maybe not outright quicker like we saw last year, like maybe like Australia at the start of the season, he just needs to be challenging because at the moment, he's he's he's it's not only the fact that he's not challenging Kimmy it's the problem is as he's kind of dropped off in his form and being half a second behind Kimmy that now puts kind of in that gap between him and his teammate Lewis Hamilton Lando Norris charlerc Maksa Stappen all these people say um he could definitely still win the championship I think it'd be crazy to count it out but I wonder how much of that is actual logic and just more just thinking well we saw it last year
Starting point is 00:17:41 Because at the moment, yeah, he's certainly not on very good form. At the moment, no, I think it's fair to, you know, throw into the mix that he has been having reliability issues with the car as well as Kimmy. He's also had not DNFing, but very much convinced that the car's not performing the way it should, that the power unit's not delivering the right amount of grunt for him and things like that. So firstly, for Mercedes, you know, they need to get on top of this, thing to make sure that after the summer break, there isn't this issue that George will be facing. And then it's no excuses.
Starting point is 00:18:17 Right now we don't know just how much he's been hampered over the last few races because he's been talking about it a lot. And it's been, you know, that Mercedes and Tottenwolf have said to a degree that there have been issues with his car. So it's hard, right? This is a season that I find really frustrating because of the fact that there are always drivers having issues and things outside of their control happen. So after the summer break, hopefully Mercedes understand more what's been going on with his car,
Starting point is 00:18:42 that we can have a level playing field from a performance level for both the Mercedes cars. And then, yeah, he has to come out of the blocks firing in Zandvort. There's no doubt about that for George. Let's go to Joe Call 27's bold prediction, which is Liam Lawson podium. Can't see it personally. No offence to Liam Lawson. and that is just from the fact that the cars are a lot more reliable than the start of the season. Essentially the only podium we've had from outside those top guys, the top teams, is Pierre Gazley in a race that was totally bonkers and he almost didn't even get it then.
Starting point is 00:19:27 That relied on so much chaos. You know, you think that we've had this conversation about Isaac Hadjar, for example, and how his season looks really good on paper, but a lot of the time you're finishing last of those top runners. And the last of those top, top runners is like sixth, seventh, eighth, all the time, sometimes even, maybe a little bit higher like a, or whatever. But, you know, for any of the midfielders to get a podium, you basically need six of the top eight runners to have a reliability issue or a race so bad they can't fly through the field.
Starting point is 00:20:06 And boy, do they fly through the field every week. we've seen it with George Russell in Hungary, Belgium. We saw it with Hadjar. So they can get back through. This is no offence to Liam Lawson. It's just the fact that I can't see a race. And it'd have to be absolutely bonkers again, where six of the top eight runners,
Starting point is 00:20:27 just the car just breaks down or something. That's how much we need. Weather, let's not forget. That's not something we've really seen this year, but changeable conditions can always... Late safety car and they're all on the wrong times. Something like that. I would be silly to say that this is a ridiculous prediction
Starting point is 00:20:45 because I went for Fernando Alonzo scoring a podium by the end of the year. And obviously Joe Calls one is 100% more possible because as of right now, V-Carb, have the fifth fastest car, maybe Audi are very much on their tail at the moment in terms of performance. But if there is going to be a midfield runner, if you had to pick anyone, as of right now, as of the form they've shown this year, be Liam Lawson.
Starting point is 00:21:09 Pierre Gazley at Monaco was a very strange occurrence that only Dean Bellingham saw coming. Whereas if you were to bet on any of the midfield runners, it would be Liam Lawson, at least for me. So not out of the wildest, out of our wildest imaginations for sure. But it would require, as you say, a pretty chaotic one, changeable conditions, a lot of DNFs, crashes, the works, basically. then Liam Lawson might be able to to take advantage. P1PATRI member, That Fox, Cadillac scores points.
Starting point is 00:21:49 I'm going to just straight up say no with this one. I'm straight up. Perez at Monaco, that was it. That was their chance, I think, for this year. You've got Aston Martin, who have now leapt forward with their upgrade in Hungary. I expect them, as you know, with my prediction, to leap even further forward when they get their engine upgrade. They're obviously going to take big steps forward if they are bringing something
Starting point is 00:22:09 that they think is going to improve their power more than they've had so far this season. Which means Cadillac go further back. Will they be the slowest team now? Will it be Williams? We don't know. Exactly. It's reasonably close, depending on how Cadillac end up upgrading between now and the end of the season. They've had quite a lot of reliability issues at the moment.
Starting point is 00:22:33 So that paired with the fact they're not actually that quick, I cannot see this happening categorically. no I can't either. Very similar to the last question, it would need to be another Monaco. And you do wonder when we get to the end of the season if we're going to sadly look back if you're a Sergio Perez fan or a Cadillac fan of that race at Monaco when he was, of course, in the points and the penalty dropped him out of it. Because Cadillac needs something like that. You look at Nico Holkenberg, for example. He scored one points finish all year. He's called two points, one ninth place. And he's driving a car that's probably been sixth best, almost all the races this season.
Starting point is 00:23:16 It shows how hard it is to break into the points. Not hard for his car to break there, is it? We. But we're not seeing since that first kind of rounds. There's still a lot of unreliability, if you compare it to last year, for example, where we were kind of used to every single runner finishing. but but now you know Cadillac need more than three cars
Starting point is 00:23:43 in a weekend if they're going to even remotely score a point so it's a really tough ask I mean Botas is 13th came in a race of attrition in China what a driver what a drive and yeah the best after that is a couple of 14th from from Perez but as the cars get more reliable
Starting point is 00:24:05 and someone like Astor Martin take a leap up. You know, that's another car they've got to try and beat if they don't break down. Two cars. Give Lance Strall some credit. A team, sorry. Yeah. Let's go to another one from Lesser Fan 78. Lando wins more races and will challenge both Ferrari drivers in the championship. Yes.
Starting point is 00:24:30 Wait, hold on. What happened to Mercedes? What happened to Mercedes in this? Or do they mean? They mean, Ferrari's gone. Yeah, they're gone. Because the way that's been written, I like the sound of it, where Ferrari are in the shower winning the driver's championship. Maybe.
Starting point is 00:24:44 I took this question as the fact that, yeah, Mercedes are out of sight, maybe. And it's a case of Canando challenge the Ferrari drivers. The fight for third. A bit like my prediction, I guess, from myself. I do, I do, you know, I'm not going to discredit your, what you said. in terms of like there's a lot of of recency bias with my prediction as well and this one.
Starting point is 00:25:09 What I would say, though, is that Lando was exceptionally strong in SPAR as well. And I'd love to have seen a scenario where he didn't have a terrible, like was on the worst strategy and started at the back.
Starting point is 00:25:22 And that's two very different circuits that he's been very strong. I know that the seventh place on paper looks very rubbish. But he was, he had incredible pace. Obviously, his pace in Hungary was amazing. and yeah that's going to be
Starting point is 00:25:36 that's going to be the toughest thing for Ferrari is just how quick that McLaren is particularly in the hands of Lando who's driving really, really strongly if they take this step up like it looks like they have but we could go to Netherlands and it shift again because we've had this before
Starting point is 00:25:51 with McLaren where I think after Japan and Miami it was like well Ferrari in the bin now McLaren are definitely going to be the ones to finish second in the constructors and be ahead of Ferrari but then we ended up seeing Lewis Hamilton win and Charlotte Clare win. Oh, thank you, May.
Starting point is 00:26:08 Thanks for bringing up Charlotte Clare winning. And then Frank doing a little cheeky bark before you muted. Let's go to another prediction. This one from Daniel Humble 10. Hadjar wins a race and Max doesn't. Daniel Humble 10, yeah, otherwise known as my account. Oh, no, come on. Let's relax here.
Starting point is 00:26:33 As much as Hajar has been, I would say, okay. We looked at the driver ratings. If you haven't gone, seen that video, go and check it out. Both of us had Hadjar with our average ratings. We didn't put him there down in the second half of the table. Let's put it that way. And he's not being close to Max on a consistent basis. Yes, he's had the occasional moment in qualifying where he has been impressive.
Starting point is 00:26:57 But in race trim, he's not anywhere near Max. So what you would need is Rebel to be the fastest car, Max to break down and Hadjar to somehow take the win. I just don't see it. Like Hadjar's not beaten Verstappen at all this year on the road, has he? No. In terms of in a race. No, exactly. And this is the thing that Hadjar, that's been the kind of great debate of Hadjar's season.
Starting point is 00:27:22 And I think a lot of people will have seen our average ratings and said we're absolutely ridiculous to have him that low. I think, you know, picking, even if we'd picked him, I wouldn't have him in my top 10 this season. I saw a lot of people have him in the top five when we asked for their top five, which to me is absolutely insane. Like you look at Hedger's season and yes, on paper, fifth, fourth, six, six, fifth, six, looks really good. But then you look at the people he's beaten in those races and it's maybe, he's pretty much normally last of those top runners. If not, maybe he's beaten maybe one of them, sometimes.
Starting point is 00:27:59 too. You know, we've still yet to see a really, really strong race from Hajar where he beats Max or he looks really, really impressive. And he's still doing a solid enough job because, you know, I think the reason people are
Starting point is 00:28:16 rating him highly is because that bar is so low from what is expected of a second Red Bull driver. But it would have to be exactly a scenario, as you say, because even if Red Bull were suddenly quick, it would probably take a max DNF because based on the form that we've seen this year,
Starting point is 00:28:39 Hadja hasn't been ahead of him, so a tough one for that to happen. He's not got a podium yet, of course, which is the only top runner of those top eight teams that hasn't got one because, of course, he had to give the trophy back to Gazley after the pit incident in Monaco. No trophy this year for Hadjar.
Starting point is 00:28:58 and finally Sombor Shuffle, 81 Kimmy doesn't win the World Championship. Okay. Well, is a...
Starting point is 00:29:11 Yeah, I guess it is bold based on... Which is a mad place to be if you'd said at the start the season that we'd said a bold prediction is Kim Antonelli
Starting point is 00:29:22 not winning the world championship. Wow, how times can change. He is very clear of it. obviously, in the points and in performance. And you could have, you look at a race like Barcelona who's going to finish second, Silverstone, who's at the very least second, probably going to win. He's going to win. Even I'll say it. Yeah, okay, even you can say that. Okay, perfect.
Starting point is 00:29:44 So if that's the case, his results are second, first, first, first, first, second, third, first, third. So he doesn't have a bad rate. It's very similar to kind of Max, isn't it, back in the day, that kind of performance. And it's going to be tough for anyone to beat him because he's driving incredibly well. It does feel like only reliability can stop him. There's a kind of, there's always that thing in the back of my mind, a bit like the George Russell question of like, it's, we've seen this before with Piastri and thinking there's nothing that can stop him. Maybe it feels a little bit different. I don't think it would. I still think it's like an absolutely insane thing to happen.
Starting point is 00:30:32 I've seen some horrifically bad takes. I saw one in particular that was doing the rounds online. I don't know if you saw it. That was like Kimmy Antonelli's season won't go down as very good because the regulations are terrible, his teammates not performing, and it's not going to go down as this impressive championship. It's like he's 19 years old. Ragebeck used to be believable, mate.
Starting point is 00:30:54 It really did. And it's like he's, he's, 19 years old in his second season of Formula One and he's looking pretty untouchable. Like it's still going to be, even if he walks in and wins with like four or five races to go, it would not take away from anything of just like how incredible Kimmy Antonelli is doing this season. So yeah, it's not over. We're only 11 rounds in of a possibly 23 race season. there's a long way to go, but it's hard to see where it comes from because at the moment,
Starting point is 00:31:32 yeah, like Antonelli is just driving superbly. It's crazy to think that that is even a take that is circulating, and to say that, because obviously the whole argument would be he's in a rocket ship. Yeah, that's the kind of idea of it. But you then have to look at his teammate, George, who is struggling. Yes, we've said about his problems. Also, he's had races where we hope he hasn't had issues in the car and he could perform. Let's just say, for example, Kimi Antoné didn't turn up to any of the races.
Starting point is 00:32:02 George Russell would have one more win. So it's not like George is finishing second on the road. Second every race. That was only in China that he finished second to Antonelli. So that's my kind of argument is, yeah, this would be a sensational season if Antonelli wins at 19 years old. to go on the streak of wins that he did from China to Monaco could have easily, yeah, I mean, he would have have podiums in every single race this year,
Starting point is 00:32:32 which George Russell's not been able to do in that other Mercedes. So yeah, it's, I just don't believe that. I think that's pure engagement bait that's got to be because it's just a ridiculous take and one that we would love to shut down and have done. So yeah, if I was to say right now, Kimi Antenadi has to win the world championship something crazy has happened in the universe if he doesn't win it from here
Starting point is 00:32:58 but then also we thought that with Oscar Piastri last year sorry Australian fans I'm really really sorry particularly after Sanvoort when Yeah when Lando just conked out Of course Kimmy has a slightly bigger advantage coming into Zanvort With that 50 point lead I'd love to go down the romantic route of Hamilton getting his eighth But I can't see it with Ferrari
Starting point is 00:33:17 Lando I think is too far back when you consider how fast Kimmy and Mercedes have been. So for me, I think Kimmy wins this one. And Max is obviously 110 behind. If it was 100 maybe, based on last year. He has shown. Yeah, there's a chance, but 110 is just too much. Yeah, poor, poor guy, poor Tommy.
Starting point is 00:33:37 What a shame. You have to fight Charlotte for P4 in the championship instead. The fight for fourth, here we go. It's going to be great. 29 points between us, Tommy. So at least I'm winning something. We'll be there in the watchalongs with like banners being like, let's go P4.
Starting point is 00:33:51 Oh my gosh, Charles gonna win it. Fourth, he's gonna win fourth. He's gonna win it. Do you remember in the years of like Mercedes dominance where they would do that all the time and they get this like ridiculous graphic that was like you'd go into Abidabi and there'd be a giant Sergio Perez
Starting point is 00:34:07 and a giant Carlos Science is like the fight for eighth in the world championship because it's like the only thing left on the line. I like, God, come on guys. If Characler-Clau versus Max and Shal wins then I'll take the big graphics to be honest with you. I'll take those small victories. Just so that you are.
Starting point is 00:34:23 That'd be a good watch along, wouldn't it? That'd be a great one. Can't wait for it. That would be our, I was going to say, R Abidavit 2021. God, no, hopefully not. Hopefully not. We never see that ever again.
Starting point is 00:34:34 Okay, on that wonderful note, we will leave it there. Thank you everybody for tuning in, as always. Remember to go and get your P1 live show tickets if you haven't already. Remember, we're not touring next year, so it might be the last time to see us for a while. The link will be in the description. Tommy, final thoughts, please.
Starting point is 00:34:49 Final thoughts Just can't wait for racing to come back and this has been a fun podcast to just think about how much excitement is there for the rest of the season all the unknowns the fact there's so many different opinions can I wait for it
Starting point is 00:35:05 Alonzo podium end of the year you heard it here first I take it you can have the point I'm taking 10 I'm taking straight to the main predictions championship if that comes in all right
Starting point is 00:35:15 bye everybody lots love bye goodbye P1 is a Stack production and part of the ACAST creator network.

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