Pablo Torre Finds Out - The Future of College Football Looks Like an NFL Front Office
Episode Date: October 15, 2024In the midst of tectonic disruption for the NCAA, even college coaches — the all-seeing, all-knowing, overworked faces of America's second biggest sport — are addicted to the way things were. Jake... Rosenberg, who recently left as a top exec with the Philadelphia Eagles to consult a couple of SEC powerhouses at The Athlete Group, says even the best programs are due for "a rude awakening" if they can't keep up with the strategic evolution of NFL franchises. But he also offers a cure for extinction: Build a front office already! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Welcome to Pablo Torre finds out. I am Pablo Torre, and today we're going to find out what this sound is.
All the things that I believed in for all these years, 50 years of coaching, no longer exist in college athletics.
Right after this ad.
You're listening to Giraff Kings Network.
Jake Rosenberg, you're here in studio. Thank you for being here in studio with me.
Happy to be here.
I brought you in here because I believe you have a unique.
perspective on the future of college football. But I should discuss with you first, your past.
Your title was with the Philadelphia Eagles, Vice President of Football Administration.
What does that mean? Football administration is the area that oversees contracts, salary cap
management, CBA compliance, all the areas that administrate a football team. There it is. Yeah, and worked for the Eagles.
for almost 13 years.
But broadly helped with team building,
roster building, hiring,
whatever really needed to be done,
worked really closely with their general manager.
I mean, it was primarily just everything having to do
with money and the players.
So when Jake Rosenberg got in charge
of everything having to do with money and the players
for the Philadelphia Eagles,
there were a lot of Jake Rosenbergs in the NFL.
Jake had worked as a finance guy.
a trader for almost 15 years before Eagle's general manager, Howie Roseman, hired him in 2012.
And the job was to sniff out these big edges and market inefficiencies
that were still sitting across the NFL.
At that point, quants, you know, data-driven, probability-obsessed financial experts,
were largely outsiders still to front offices,
and the NFL was still trying to suppress its own moneyball revolution.
The Eagles, as one CBS sports headline posited,
were consequently considered magicians at manipulating the salary cap.
And a significant part of Philly's magic, it turns out, was Jake.
But those days, those same edges are long gone.
I would say now the caliber of people who are migrating into sports,
these are defined like career tracks that at Ivy League schools,
people are getting PhDs and going to work for teams.
Yes.
This has turned into a game of micro edges.
When I first started trading, I was on a trading floor.
And there were days where the edges, the inefficiencies were insane.
And so I think that all of a sudden, then technology, capital, all those things rush in.
and tighten it up.
That's the nature of markets.
So I'd say the same thing about professional sports.
You're getting a much higher caliber of influx of, you know, academic pedigree,
resources for sure, technology, systems, you know, the use of data is tightening all these things up.
But there is a parallel market, the subject of today's episode,
that remains loose as hell.
And this market just happens to be the second biggest sport.
in the United States.
Even though the most famous figures in college football,
the head coaches don't quite grasp what's about to happen.
I would say that college football is in for a rude awakening.
What has been the case in college football has been a lot of the same for a very long time.
And I think that there hasn't been nearly as much.
much strategic problem solving. There hasn't been nearly as much need to evolve. And what is in the
process of going on right now is the antithesis of that. These edges, to a large degree, have closed in the
NFL, have closed in markets. But right now, in the midst of huge disruption, edges galore. Yes,
for college sports, they need a model, not that looks like the NFL, but a model for everything,
decision-making that makes sense with what things look like in 2024, 2025 going forward,
not what they look like in 2020, 2015, 2010.
Those are not, there are no similarities to that anymore.
So why are we doing things the same way?
So I want to acknowledge that for a couple years now, maybe fans, listeners, have become accustomed to,
name image and likeness payments, of course, which can very often just be schools, paying players
under the guise of marketing. We've covered that on the show extensively. But I want to look ahead to
24, 25, and beyond because of the house settlement, which of course is winding its way through
the court system still, going towards another step of authorization. But the point is that this
is the official beginning of the salary cap era in college football.
In an historic first, the NCAA and nation's Power 5 conferences have reached a deal to pay their athletes.
The ACC, Big 10, Big 12, SEC, and PACT 12 accepted the general terms of a settlement that will see the NCAA pay nearly $2.8 billion in damages over 10 years
to nearly 14,000 athletes dating from 2016 to now.
It also creates a new system that allows schools to use up to $21 million a year to pay student athletes in any school.
sport starting in 2025.
And it's not just any salary cap, Jake.
This is a hard-ass cap.
How do you explain for people who are not fluent in your world what is happening here
and what that means?
Well, I think what it means is that college athletic programs are now going to have a certain
amount of money for those schools that participate in the Revshaer model.
They are all going to have the same amount of money that they will be distributing
to sports. And so it'll vary depending on the school or, you know, how they see football. But
effectively, it is a salary cap and is athletic department-wide salary cap. You know, when you talk
about efficiency and competitive advantages and things like that, do you salivate at this?
Do I salivate? No, I mean, I think it's fun and interesting to think about problem solving and the
idea that there might be a school who will be the Tampa Bay raise of the Ed C of
CLA, you know, in the sense that they're going to say, you know what?
We're not going to be nostalgic about the way that we have operated.
We're going to be entirely forward thinking and look and try to just find whatever
advantages we can to build teams.
And I think that that's exciting and fun.
I would love to be part of that.
And so, just a few months ago, Jake Rose's,
He Lisenberg left the Philadelphia Eagles,
and he launched his own consulting firm, called the Athlete Group.
And his clients now include these big-time football programs,
like the University of Florida and the University of Oklahoma.
And Oklahoma, for instance,
hired Jake to take everything he learned about NFL money and NFL players
and designed for them a modern-day college football front office.
But some of the biggest things that Jake made,
made his bones navigating in the NFL, like the league's 439-page collective bargaining agreement,
and also, you know, the basic concept of team signing players to employment contracts,
still had no real equivalent in the college game.
Coaches, administrators, you know, athletic directors, they're all, if they're not already,
going to have to be rethinking their strategy, rethinking every aspect of how,
they are building a team or how they're managing a budget. And until I actually started talking to
schools, working with some schools and understanding better what was kind of under, you know,
behind the curtain, I did have a little bit of, you know, that fear of being an imposter and like,
okay, so cool, I did this. I worked in the NFL. But what if I really can't help them? And it's,
you know, I don't want to, I'm not trying to take anything for nothing.
but I think that that has certainly dissipated.
I understand now how much my experience translates.
Yes, I mean, one fundamental difference between the college sports,
a college football landscape of your versus the one now,
is that a cap guy didn't really seem all that interesting
to the people running these programs, Jake?
No, I think that's true.
A cap guy didn't seem all that interesting,
and the concept of paying players generally.
Exactly.
Well, officially was not allowed.
I think there's been less of a transition, perhaps, for some schools in that sense.
I actually, in the beginning, I think a lot of the conversations I had were specifically schools who thought that the way that I could help them was by delivering some black box model to them that would inform them how much or how to pay a plus.
player. Like a like a like a model you know like okay this is this is how much you pay a quarterback
and this is how much you pay a running back. What the problem is in college sports is not that we
don't know how to pay players it's we don't even understand how to find and evaluate and
you know like if player if the whole universe of players is at the top and just the players you
want to add to your team is at the bottom that entire process is the problem right now.
because, you know, things like the transfer portal, you know, which is akin to kind of college-free agency in a sense never existed.
So when you talked about what the scouting needs were in college, it was high school players.
And now the universe includes conceivably every player in college football that you need to have some idea about.
So the needs to scout players have expanded exponentially and how you whittle.
those down, how you compare, you know, replacement options, whether you're going to keep your
own player who may be thinking about jumping in the portal or, you know, whether you go to the portal
or replace, whether you recruit players in high school, there's optionality here that never existed
before. Yes. And, you know, the extra complication in college that is not the case. In the NFL,
if you think it's a competitive advantage to have a coaching staff of 35 people and a front office of 100 people,
if you thought having twice as many people on staff was an advantage, you could do it.
And it would not impact your ability to pay players.
You'd have the exact same players theoretically.
In college, this is now we're entering where the athletic department dollars need to be allocated between staff, coaches,
and players, it's one pool, basically.
So if you have a bunch of extra staff, extra coaches,
they're taking money away from paying players.
And so that dynamic is even more intense, really,
if you think about it, because now there's like
this efficiency dynamic about how you operate.
It's almost as if you're describing a salary cap.
well right i'm describing a salary cap of sorts even more restrictive than the NFL which which to me if
we're talking about strategy and we're talking about opportunity and inefficiencies even more room
for those things you know for teams you know what's exciting and interesting to me are that there
are going to be teams hopefully ones that i work with who allocate resources in a
smarter, more deliberate, more efficient way, and then get a better roster, get better on-field
results.
And so this is where I just got to jump in here and turn for a second to Nick Sabin,
the guy who won six national titles more than any coach of the modern era, and also
took the University of Alabama to the college football playoff eight times in 10 years.
Because something Sabin did in 2007, upon arrival in Tuscaloosa, remains an under-relius.
remains an underrated aspect of his entire legend.
Remember, Sabin had just washed out of Miami at this point,
having coached the Dolphins.
It went terribly.
But what he did, upon getting to Alabama,
was implement an important lesson
from that otherwise miserable NFL experience
that helped him change college football.
And that lesson was specialization.
Historically, college football coaches had always done,
everything. That was their legend. They scouted and recruited high school prospects and made in-game
decisions and ran practices and all of it and more. But what Nick Saban did, specifically, was hire
a director of player personnel, just like in the NFL, who specialized in building Alabama's
roster, which is an enormous reason why Alabama left everybody in the dust. I think he was very, very
early with the way he set up program there. A lot of aspects that he had at Alabama that didn't
necessarily catch on elsewhere, you know, the way he ran that program and his credentials and,
you know, intellect, all that stuff. It's not a model that everybody could necessarily pull off.
But I think what you see there is you see an understanding of specialization and how that could
benefit a program. Yes. And that sort of brings us to this current environment where we still,
like if we're just, we're looking backwards into how schools have been doing this,
very little specialization. So you may have, a lot of schools, in fact, do have titles like
director, player personnel. They have, you know, a lot of them now, over the last couple of years,
have hired general managers. Yep. But what you would find,
find is that the general manager is not in any way, shape, form performing the duties, having
this skill set experience of what your professional general manager has. Like what most people in
their minds think of a general manager's role or what their experience was like leading into
this job, not much parallel. So we have a sense of what a general manager does from the NFL
context. The biggest difference in the before times, before all of the chaos has befallen,
college football, who became a GM? What was that job, as you would describe it? Well, I would
describe a general manager profile in college football mostly as a recruiter or someone on a personnel
side of things. But I think that that title has a certain level of cachet and currency.
NFL general manager starting salaries are,
there are seven figures, multiple seven figures,
and college staff salaries are not anywhere in that ballpark.
So I think that the title has been used as a way to offset,
we're not going to pay you, you know those general managers over there?
Yeah, we're not paying you anything close to that.
But we're going to give you this really cool title.
Yeah, on LinkedIn, and this is going to look great.
And this is going to, this, it's a way to keep somebody,
who you see as an up-and-comer, who you see is important.
I'm not diminishing their importance, experience, in some cases, or anything like that,
but it's not consistent with what people think.
And so the net effect of all of this is you have effectively like a three-ring circus.
There's so much going on.
There's so many more moving parts.
But you haven't necessarily adapted the organization to meet those needs.
And so where is all that extra stuff going?
For the most part, it's going to the head coach.
You know, like coaches in college football have done a lot of different things for a lot of different times.
You know, they've been like pretty much the primary evaluators, primary recruiters, and they coach on the side.
And they also fundraise and different conferences.
And the question is right.
The question is like, look, in the NFL, we have personnel staffs.
And you have pro evaluators.
you have college evaluators, you have over the top evaluators, and do they do other things?
Sure, they go, they eat meals occasionally.
But mostly they're sitting there grinding tape, writing up players, and that's the way they spend all of their time, all of their focus.
They're building up this mental database of players they've seen, you know, and they know what a player looks like.
They know how they develop.
That's not a perfect science.
It's an art.
But when you have people who are doing that part-time, it's hard.
hard to imagine that they're doing it as well.
Well, and this is why Nick Savin, for all of his cutting-edgeness, is like, I'm out of here.
Oh, yeah, it's a brutal job.
Brutal job.
That's my major concern, the combination of pay-for-play, free agency, and how that impacts
development.
And I can attest that I've had two NFL coaches tell me, and this is a football deal, because
they're concerned about the football part, that the players,
come to them less developed with more entitlements and less resiliency to overcome adversity.
And these are concerns that they have even in their football development.
Well, if that's true in their football development, is that true in other parts of their
development, whether it's academics or personal development?
And each time you transfer, you minimize your chances of graduating by probably about 20%.
Now we have guys transferring two or three times.
That clip of Sabin, by the way, is from his testimony on Capitol Hill back in March.
The same month, Jake Rosenberg happened to retire from the Philadelphia Eagles,
and also not that long after Sabin retired himself as the greatest coach in college football history.
He made that decision in January.
And sitting right next to Sabin on the hill was Texas Senator Ted Cruz, who then asked him this.
How much did the current chaos and state of the law contribute to your decision to retire now?
Well, all the things that I believed in for all these years, 50 years of coaching, no longer exist in college athletics.
On PTFO this year, you may have noticed, we have been doing an ongoing series on the metamorphosis of college sports.
We started it with the antitrust lawyer who beat the NCAA at the Supreme Court,
before then diving into Olympic sports in the wake of the House v. NCAA settlement.
And then we dissected the arms race between NIL collectives,
which has led us now to Jake Rosenberg and his front office futurism,
as well as the nostalgia that you just heard.
And whether you find Nick Saban's frustrations moving
or just kind of like an old guy complaining about having to finally pay all these kids,
just know that if Nick Saban was flailing to adapt to what the job of head coach actually
practically requires now, you can imagine what so many other coaches might be feeling to.
They were not hired to be a cat manager, right? You're not hiring head coach and vice president
of football administration. You're hiring someone who you think, whatever it is, whatever the
blend is, X's and O's, culture, you know, managing a staff. Like, those are the things that you're
typically hiring a head coach for. Let's talk about the blend, though, because there are different
archetypes with, they're different, you know, in the taxonomy of head coaches in college football,
there's the X's and O's guy, there's the recruiter who's a retail politician, master of a living
room. There are, of course, the guys who are special who can do both. Is that as binary as you see it,
or other other variations on this before I move on in this textbook? Well, I think that if we're going to
say that the two main components have historically more typically been like X's and O's and
recruiting, I think what we're seeing is the introduction of a couple other, at least one,
you know, maybe a couple other skill sets that are highly demanded and valuable that a current
coach may or may not have. I think that there's an administrative component to this now that
hasn't mattered because in my view, you know, just totally speaking, yeah, for just the way I see
things, I think that the time where people in college staffs could really sort of split their
time and weave across the highway between what they do. To me, there's just too much to do.
There's too many players to evaluate. I think specialization is a way where you achieve efficiency.
And so if we're talking about we need to be efficient because we need to preserve as much of the money for the players as we can, then I think we get to efficiency.
Now, if you're going to go from a pretty unstructured to a highly structured, who other than the person who is empowered to run the whole place needs to take responsibility for that.
So that's a skill set.
Now, the question I have for that, of course, is that in this first phase of rolling out this reimagined, let's call it, college football front office, it would make sense for the guy, the incumbent, the head coach, to be also somebody who has some administrative talent.
But the question becomes whether, in fact, true efficiency means that it does resemble the NFL model.
Right.
And it's not the same guy who's doing that.
In fact, there is somebody, AGM, who now on the York chart, has oversight over everyone,
including the head coach.
I think that could be at some point.
I don't think we're anywhere just based on my conversations and just understanding where we're rooted on certain things.
I think that's far away in my personal view.
But I think having someone who is sort of balancing the head coach,
and who is genuinely empowered to do a lot of these things and take them off the head coach,
whether the reporting structure is a little bit different and maybe looks closer to an NFL team
in the sense that, you know, if the parallel to an NFL team's ownership is the athletic
director or administration, perhaps they report to the administration and the general manager
is not reporting to the head coach, I think those things could, you might find those in certain
models. But I also think you're going to find head coaches who have been head coaches for a long time
who are highly paid, successful, who are every bit the leader and manager that you think. And they say to
themselves, I know where my limitations are. I am going to empower people. And I also think, like,
even if you can do it, even if you're a head coach who is super financially oriented, number oriented,
and you can sit there and create a model
and you know how you want this allocated,
I think you can make an argument
that a head coach who's negotiating contracts
with their players,
that's probably not healthy.
Right.
So I think like the relationship a coach needs to have with players,
no matter, you know, how hardline the coach is or otherwise,
like that's a huge part of the team
and the way he runs a team and the culture.
I think it would be hard to argue that
it's healthy or it helps the relationship when the coach is also the one who's saying yes or no to
amounts. So that may be a decision for a completely different reason as well. But I certainly can see
this going in a number of different ways. And I could see, you know, somebody being hired to be sort of
a cat manager, be the quantitative person who understands valuations and all that. Yeah. I mean,
look, I'm just thinking of Nick Saban being like,
don't want to do this. Or coaches like him saying, what I am great at doesn't matter as much,
which signals so much about what actually somebody who is perfect for this new job would resemble.
Correct. And I think that that's the part that may lead to change in some spots or may lead
some coaches to change and see that coming because a lot of these traits may be slightly de-emphasized.
like we said, recruiting might be a little less important.
That's what I wanted to ask about specifically,
which is among those three types,
and the first two, recruiting X's and O's,
it does feel like the guy who is awesome in your living room,
that isn't going to be as much of the pie chart of his responsibilities.
Recruiting still matters because, like I would say in the NFL,
recruiting matters in the NFL.
I think the question is, you know, how does it matter differently?
How do we line up resources with how much it matters?
And that's just part of what I'm trying to do with schools or talk to them about
is whatever your recruiting budget was in terms of time, money, people,
five years ago or 10 years ago, if that's still the exact same, maybe it's right,
but you don't know if it's right because you haven't purposefully looked at it and said,
how should we be spending? How does recruiting matter? And those are places where you could potentially
pick up efficiencies. You could potentially spend less on recruiting than you have. And that's all money
that falls to the bottom line. It's like, ask the list of your 100 top recruits or something.
Would you rather spend, you know, 4x on how much do we spend to try to convince you to
come here, or would you rather spend 2x and then give you the difference in cash?
You know, do you want to have 10 people at your recruiting dinner, or do you want to have
four and keep the difference?
And so I think like oversimplification, but, you know, it's a really, you just need to
open it all up and say, like, is this still the right way?
As a cap expert, as that being the thing I'm going to keep on hammering to your frustration
because it's clear that, of course,
football administration entails a lot more
than simply the cap.
What do people not understand?
I've said, personally,
that the most value you could possibly provide
is if there was an owner or a new owner
who trusted you and understood that you had this experience,
you could save them probably five years of their life
and hundreds of millions of dollars in mistakes
because it seems like just about every owner
makes the same mistakes.
Wait, wait, wait, what's the brief summary on, okay, they all do this and this and this.
Is there a category that you think of?
Yeah, I think there are mistakes that they wouldn't make with their primary business.
That's one thing.
Yeah.
Okay, what does that mean?
People who are in the position that they are to own an NFL team, have financial resources beyond most people's wildest streams,
and typically have made those through a level of discipline,
forward thinking, planning, you know, structure, and then don't necessarily carry over that
same process with a team. I'm detecting some emotion, some gut, some not quite data-driven
decision-making is what you're frustrated by. I think that that's the case. I mean, I'm not going to
say I'm frustrated by it at this point. I think part of the reason I'm not in the NFL may have to do with
that to a certain extent, because I think I got to a certain point where I'm just like,
the hiring to some extent doesn't really make sense, not just for me.
I mean, just looking around, I know there's a lot of talented people in the NFL who are not
necessarily kind of on the conveyor belt towards, you know, running a team.
And it's just like, all right, maybe the conveyor belt's busted.
Have you considered getting a dad who worked in the NFL?
I mean, I think what people will not understand or is that, you know,
you can't have the best of everything.
There need to be choices.
You need to prioritize.
From a team building standpoint, from a staff, coaching, all those types of things, you need to make hard choices.
Well, to be clear, up until, I guess, this new and scary future, a lot of teams are accustomed to having the best of everything.
Correct. Correct.
That's the whole point of college football and the eternal glory of someone like Nick Sabin.
Right. And I think this is not officially the marketing slogan for my,
endeavor here. But I think, you know, Nick Saban said on Game Day at some point,
I just want to say you guys keep talking about a $20 million roster. If you don't pay the right
guys, you'll be out of luck.
Congratulations.
You just broke the internet.
It's about paying the right players. You know, it's not about paying players, about paying the
right players. And I think there are examples right now, even less than halfway through the
season where allegedly teams have spent, you know, or collectives have spent inordinate amounts
of money and are not getting any kind of return on that investment. Those are examples of there
is a strategy to spending money. And while this is the Wild West and we don't have transparency
on all the things that you do in the NFL and there are a lot of other considerations here to
building a team, recruiting matters, you know, all these things we've talked about,
I still think that you need strategy.
You need to be purposeful.
You need to make choices.
And if you just sort of let it happen on its own,
it's not going to be a good situation.
And so if I were to ask you that same question about
what the teams that you're learning about meeting,
what they are still not quite getting.
If the fan perspective is,
you can't have the best of everything.
Sure.
What do the teams, the schools, I should say,
what are they needing to come to grips with?
I think they need to come to grips with the idea that you can be nostalgic
and you can love college football or what it's always been.
But the more you hold on to that,
and that becomes a barrier for moving forward and making changes
and adapting to what it is now.
being nostalgic is not bringing it back.
You know, effectively.
You're saying nostalgia isn't a strategy?
I'm saying nostalgia is, and I like to say hope is not a strategy.
In this case, nostalgia is a terrible strategy because it's going to hold you back.
That's the hardest thing, is that there are going to be big changes.
You know, I think what we've seen here is that, you know, a coach's ability to maintain a certain culture when players,
are now evaluating whether to leave in the portal for an offer.
And thousands of players are in the portal every year now.
And not only that, but what also complicates the situation is because they are not employees
or there's no association, there's no collective bargaining agreement, as we said, you know,
there is in the NFL, is what's an agent, right?
In the NFL, an agent needs to be certified, right?
Say what you will about the NFLPA.
You know, there is a certain standard and process that makes someone an NFL agent
and able to interact with teams on behalf of players.
What you have right now is agents, and I would do air quotes on some of these,
agents are players friends, players, coaches, people who live down the street from them.
It could be anybody.
Like it's literally like you could just one day wake up and you say, yeah, I'm an agent.
And so what goes on here is that, first of all, a lot of these people don't have the experience to provide credible advice.
you know, they don't have situational awareness,
they don't have a network to really get to people who matter,
and they also don't have a real, like, vested stake
in what happens in the bigger picture.
In this situation, when you have someone who's representing a player
who may be doing something completely different next week,
if it comes down to lying to a team about some offer that they've gotten,
like, they don't care.
And so teams are sitting there and they're saying, yeah, I want to keep this player.
Yeah, I want to pay the player something fair.
But I've got this guy who's telling me he got this offer from some other school.
I have no way to know if that's a real offer.
It's just so crazy.
Well, even the basics of like a publicly available salary database, you don't actually know what anybody is making on the record.
It sounds like you have a bunch of.
of a whisper network of sorts? How does it work now? Yeah, well, I think that's something that I'm
working on with the schools that I've been fortunate enough to be retained by is understanding,
look, where things are right now, you're not going to have the level of transparency and data
and things that we have in the NFL. I do not make NFL comparisons, you know, and say,
oh, we're moving to this like NFL model and everything is going to look like the NFL
No, I don't think it's going to.
I don't believe that, at least not for a long time.
I think that the head coaches are still going to have a lot more influence over who's on their team
and have final say and things like that for quite a while.
But I think a lot of the considerations that NFL teams or professional teams deal with are now coming into play.
They need to basically have the same level of disciplines, understand how they want to build a team,
and sort of work this top-down approach in terms of
we may not know what players at other schools are making at a certain position,
but we know what we have to spend theoretically.
And from there, we're going to figure out what we prioritize.
We're going to be able to, through, you know, walking through at least some level of an exercise
and over time, come up with some disciplines, lanes, walk away points to an extent.
So when you actually look at your roster,
it's not just like all situational.
Like, hey, these were the first, you know,
20 players who took our offer.
And we've disproportionately spent on this position.
And oh, my God, look at where how bad we are at this other position.
Like, I think that there's, it's not perfect.
You know, it's a human business.
So much about football is situational and scheme and coaches.
And so all that.
may not work. But I think as someone who used to play blackjack before I worked in the NFL and other stuff,
why am I not surprised? This is just about, you know, maximizing your chances. The better odds for every
bet we make and we just keep making good bets, making good decisions in those stack and over time,
we're going to wind up with better results. But if you look at the arc of this, why wouldn't
college football look almost indistinguishable from the NFL org chart in the way that you are familiar
with in the way that you just described. I think it's a possibility. There's so many different ways
that this can go. You know, there's there are, you know, private equity, you know, enterprises
floating around there. We don't know if players are going to be employees. We don't know if
there'll be a CBA. Like all of these things will have a real impact on, you know,
the future.
And I think, you know, looking two years, five years, ten years, anything could happen.
You know, there's been conversations about, you know, this turning into, like, professional teams.
Yeah, like a minor league de facto.
Yeah, or, yeah, or, I mean, these brands are so strong in college football.
And there's, you know, these players are students, right?
They are students.
Allegedly.
Right.
So the question is, is that something that is,
has to be part of the equation
because we talk about
a lot of people from another generation
maybe before they had free agency
and everything talk about how players spent their whole life
and now it's like you just root for the laundry
and effectively in college sports
you have these brands and jerseys
and a lot of people go to games
they don't know hardly any players
they're just rooting for their alma mater
so could you have a professional
league professional players
but wearing a college logo
brand colors. I have no idea. You could sit here and come up with a million different things.
But I think one of those paths, perhaps, you start to think about, yeah, as coaches maybe have less
on their plate or become more specialized, and there is so much to do, do you have a general manager
who is the roster builder? And then you have a coach who's overseeing and you have a lot of
the same balance as you do in the NFL.
That's not a model I'm selling to any schools
because I think I'm going to be shown the door
and laughed out and I don't think I'll have a single coach
who will want to deal with me.
I'll be toxic.
I haven't necessarily said that aloud yet,
but it has occurred to me that you're trying to partner with schools
to advise them in the present tense
and the people who are signing up on those deals
or the people who may, in fact,
have a very different job and job security
in 10 years versus right now.
I think that's true, but I think,
and that's fine,
because I know that there's going to be coaches
or schools who are resistant to change.
And also you, just for the record here,
you Jake Rosenberg are not responsible
for the direction this market is flowing.
Oh, yeah.
It's a matter of like, hey, do you want to get on board now
or like be late to it?
No, and I don't have, like, and that's the thing.
Hopefully people would say this about me,
that know me that have dealt with me.
I'm not preachy.
I don't have like a model that I'm trying to sell them
and say this is the right way to do it
and either it's my way to the highway.
Like that's nothing like what I'm doing.
What I'm doing though is I have a certain experience set,
you know, football and then and otherwise.
And I've seen how it's done at a high level in the NFL
at our club certainly and every coach and every,
you do it a lot of different ways.
I want the Eagles guy.
I mean, this is just me now as...
That's nice. Thank you.
But for real, I want the magician.
I want the person who has sought out every data-driven edge
that I am not at all interested in deciphering
based on the 400-plus pages of the CBA.
I want whoever that psychopath is.
Well, so you just called me a psychopath?
I mean, I think that when it...
You know, just coming back to the original question,
people's job security and everything,
I think job security is about production, and this is a production-based business.
Your job is only going to be so cool and cush as long as you're winning.
And I believe to my heart that what I am selling or, you know, the value that I am bringing
will more closely help.
You know, it will lead to them winning.
I do believe that.
And so not for everybody.
I'm good.
It's always been that way.
I'm good like that.
All right, so near the end here, what I want to do is be very clear about what it is that I personally have found out today,
which is that the old school idea of the head coach in college football, this all-powerful boss in charge of everything, is doomed, destined for the endangered species list.
And Jake has been noticeably reluctant to make so grandiose a declaration, given his aforementioned client relations considerations.
but I just need to point out for you that in the NFL,
the number of head coaches who also serve as general manager is zero.
And that extinction happened in January of this year.
Breaking news into sports that are busy news cycles for septuagenarian coaching grades.
72-year-old Nick Saban retired yesterday, 72-year-old Pete Carroll out in Seattle.
And just now, the news that Bill Belich.
who turned 72 in April, is parting ways with the Patriots after 24 seasons in Foxborough,
the sixth Super Bowl titles in all that.
Let's bring in Adam Schefter.
Yes, Bill Belichick, the man Jake's Eagles, defeated in that 2018 Super Bowl,
retired the day after his good friend Nick Sabin did the same.
The goat, reportedly, had been offered zero opportunities anywhere to be both a head coach and the GM.
But there is one more obstacle, one more idea, slowing the evolution and the rise of the college sports general manager that is worth highlighting here before we say goodbye to Jake.
And it happens to be the very idea that Jake really did master as the Eagles VP of football administration.
Of course, we have to get to the idea of contracts.
The idea that, oh, right, like, we're still in this.
purgatory interstitial scene where players are students but also getting paid and they're
professionals but also they don't have contracts and so at the risk of daring you to be preachy
do you believe that college ball players should in fact be treated as employees and sign contracts
wow i i i will say this i think that for everyone's benefit the way that things are are right now
because I think that there is an unenforceability of sorts on both sides.
Yes.
Can you explain that, by the way?
What it's like, again, how messy is it right now, Jake?
It's what I want to know.
So it is super messy for both sides, honestly.
It's messy for players.
It's messy for schools in the sense that the timing and the way that this all goes
and through the collectives, players are able to receive money,
but there really is no enforceable.
from the school side that they're getting value for that.
So, you know, if a player makes a business decision at some point during the season, you know,
and says I'm done because I'm going to get ready for the draft, there's no CBA that governs
like how that money is going to get clawed back or anything like that.
And then I'd say to the other side, there's stories of players having, you know, agreements
to come to a school for a certain price and it's not met.
And what's their recourse?
There's no, like, you know, grievance process through the CBA to file.
There's no standardized contract.
From the world of college football, this might be the biggest story.
If you haven't heard it, I'm going to explain it to you because I think it could be the beginning of an entirely new normal for all of us who follow sports.
UNLV quarterback Matthew Sluka has decided to sit out the rest of this season because of a dispute over a $100,000 NIL payment that his agent says was promised by an assistant.
and coach over the phone in January, but never paid.
The NIL collective that works with UNLV athletes said there was no signed agreement between
them and Sluca.
Breaking news here in college football.
Georgia quarterback Jaden Rashada has sued Florida head coach Billy Napier, a top Gators
booster, and a former football staffer over a failed NIL deal.
In a lawsuit filed today, Rashada claims they defrauded him out of a promised $13.85
million dollars in NIL and now the saga continues at Roshada currently is a member of the
Georgia Bulldogs and this story has no way of going away anytime soon so with this breaking
news you want to know what you're getting what you paid for and you also want to know you're
getting what you negotiated for I think that that is obviously things need to move in a direction
where both sides have comfort with that sure you know I am just not going to at this point
weighed into these
litigious waters here
with where I stand.
I suppose.
But it feels to me,
again,
I just need to say this
because it is almost gaslighting
somebody who's like,
wait a minute.
So everything about this
is professionalizing
except for the part where
contracts can protect both sides
of a transaction.
It just feels
by virtue of logic.
sure inevitable
I think by nature of logic
it seems inevitable
if that's what you want to find out
that's put that out a slogan
I would agree with that
it seems inevitable
because this is not sustainable
there's too much money
there's too much at stake
so they got to fill that hole somehow
Jake Rosenberg
truly a person who is living a dream job
that I didn't think was a job at all
thank you for
joining me
thanks for having me
This has been Pablo Torre finds out a Metal Arc Media production.
And I'll talk to you next time.
Perfect.
Jake.
Awesome, man.
Oh, man.
I know.
If I ever, oh my God, if I ever think about going to podcasting, I realize it's exhausting.
