Pablo Torre Finds Out - The Sporting Class: Decoding the NBA’s Billion-Dollar Legal Fight with Warner Bros. Discovery
Episode Date: August 2, 2024Welcome to The Sporting Class! Meadowlark Media CEO John Skipper and Nothing Personal's David Samson are back with another episode with host of Pablo Torre Finds Out ... Pablo Torre! The NBA media rig...hts deal saga is not over just yet. Warner Bros. Discovery is not going away quietly as they have now sued the NBA. What exactly does David Zaslav want from this? NBA games? Money? Both? What’s the deal with Charles Barkley? Is he going to stay with TNT? He said he was going to retire after the 2025 season, but now it doesn’t look likely. Let’s take a look at the judge in this case of WBD v. NBA. The judge hearing the case was a part of the Spirits of St. Louis and its lawsuit against the NBA. Should this knowledge from the judge matter? Comcast is one of the largest distributors in the country. What is TNT worth to Comcast if it loses the NBA? Let’s explain what these carriage fees are and the leverage Comcast has over the new fees. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Welcome to Pablo Torre finds out.
I am Pablo Torre, and today we're going to find out what this sound is.
I've been called dwarfy and never humpy.
Right after this ad.
You're listening to Draft King's Network.
David has announced that he is hangary, John.
I'm just grumpy. I'm not hangary.
I'm downright grumpy.
Humpty.
I'm sneezy.
You are sick.
It's just been one of those days.
Have you ever had one of those days?
We have too much to get to for me to get into it,
but I'm not having a great day.
Because you didn't get to eat your...
My timing was all off today
because of technical issues with the show I did.
And when I agreed to do a show,
I agree at a certain time to do the show.
It's live.
You're supposed to do it then.
When technical issues move it,
that throws off my entire plan,
and I did not get to eat.
What time do we agree to do the show today?
The same time we always do.
Right now.
Right now is the end of Grumpy.
We'll be happy because we're getting ready to have fun
discussing the business of sports.
That's right. The sporting class. A place where we talk about other people feeling grumpy. But we ourselves are thrilled to talk about how grumpy everybody else is.
Our group chat has been, I think, something that our listeners would love to be inside of. I want to recreate just the flurry of updates that we've been sending each other. The theories, the conspiracies, perhaps, that have been circulating.
All because now we have an update to the story we have covered more thoroughly and more rigorously, I believe.
with more personal insight from John Skipper, former president of ESPN,
men who negotiated the last NBA rights deal,
and David Samson, the hangary-slash-humpy,
former president of the Marlins,
who was as plugged into this story and sports business generally
in ways that I don't think people realize.
Humpy, that's a whole different...
I try to keep it very quiet.
That's a whole different seven dwarves than Grumpy.
I've been called dwarvy and never Humpy.
That's a Cinex version of that fairy tale.
But speaking of prestige cable,
television. What is happening with WBD in this lawsuit is why we are gathering and starting with all of
this grumpiness? And I want to give you the quote, John and David, TNT has sued the MBA,
WBD, their parent company, and they say this, quote, given the MBA's unjustified rejection of our
matching of a third party offer, we have taken legal action to enforce our rights. We strongly believe
this is not just our contractual right, but also in the best interest of fans.
want to keep watching our industry-leading NBA content
with the choice and flexibility we offer them
through our widely distributed WBD video-first distribution platforms,
including TNT and Max, end quote,
and you guys are kind of smiling thinly
at the very premise of what I just read.
Strongly, I always love that in the statement.
I assume that's from a PR firm.
Do we think they paid a lot?
What do you think they paid?
Crisis PR, 20 grand a month.
They can do it, you can do that.
They are at a very prestigious firm, Edelman,
which gets to charge prestigious prices.
So yes, they charge at least $20,000 a month.
Which is great that they strongly believe.
That's always very important to me to put inside a PR statement
because we don't want the audience to think
that we only partially believe or we weakly believe.
So anytime you write we strongly believe,
it's as though we're convincing ourselves of our position.
And WBD, to me, has no position.
And then you bring in the fans.
And I'm not exactly pro-fan, and I acknowledge that fact.
Great.
Aggregate that clip, please.
But to say that this, that the first,
fans are deleteriously impacted because they have to go to Amazon instead of TNT,
that's really going to hold a lot of water with the judge.
Or NBC.
I mean, it's not.
That's a tough one to find.
Exactly identical to the ones they have now.
I find it the first part of the statement to be what you'd expect.
We strongly believe that we have this right.
We're asserting it.
Of course they do.
They're going to go to court.
The second one amuses me that they believe they want to bring in the power of
fans, which we've established on this show, what the fans want very seldom affects what
teams, leagues, networks end up doing.
They may please their fans by broadcasting the games in a pleasant and efficient way and
thorough way, but I don't think you might spend a lot of time when selling rights or
buying rights, thinking that it has to do with what the fans won't.
It's become a mess.
Can we give the state of play, David?
So for people who were hibernating over the last month, the NBA has officially, well,
I guess pending litigation now, legal updates.
No, it's pretty official.
Amazon has the whole thing up already.
You can go on Amazon right now and see they're promoting NBA 2025, the whole package.
So it's very clear that Adam Silver, as Commissioner of the NBA, had a plan.
and his plan was to get a triple of his media rights deals,
and his plan was to not do a deal with TNT and Warner Brothers Discovery.
Rumors are that he's upset with David Zazloff because he said,
we don't need the NBA in an earnings call.
Adam Silver may be that spiteful,
but I don't think that that's good business to be spiteful in general.
I actually disagree with the first thing you said,
which is he started with the premise that he did not want to do a deal with TNT.
I believe he started with the premise that he would
renew his two deals and he would add a third player and probably thought maybe a digital service
would be a good third player. The emergence of NBC probably changed all that calculus,
but I do believe that he did make an offer to WBD, yes, you can renew what you have now or
most of what you have now for the following number. And it's been reported that that number was
around 2.3 billion.
So I think he pivoted
when they said no.
And again, it's been reported they
thought that 2.1 billion
was the most they would pay.
So for the want of a nail, the horse
was, you know, lost.
And here for the want of $200 million,
the NBA was lost.
As a country lawyer.
I just, I hear audience just disappearing.
Have you ever heard that for the won't of a...
I'm a New York Jew.
There's something about no-
I have not heard that.
And cutting off things despite other things.
I would say that there was an exclusive period who I love.
There was an exclusive negotiating period.
And I would like to just inform you that the NBA was not exclusively negotiating with TNT.
They're going to tell you they were because that is what they have to do under their agreements.
But any time there's the right of first refusal or an exclusive period, there's so much going on on the side, quietly in the hallways where people aren't paying attention.
So I don't believe that Adam Silver went through that exclusive negotiating window with TNT,
with the view that there was going to be a deal with TNT and had nothing ready to go.
Because the pivot that you're describing, those don't happen like in 10 seconds.
So I believe that there was plenty of groundwork laid and that Adam knew exactly where this was going.
And that has manifested itself in Adam's statements, his lack of real worry over this lawsuit,
his ability to go in front of the world in a microphone and say we've got, it's complicated,
but we've got three partners and we're announcing it with press releases and quotes.
Well, I don't think that contradicts what I said.
I believe that the NBA put in front of WBD.
So how do you answer the question of it?
If WBD had said yes, they would have a deal.
For 2.3.
For 2.3.
So I would tell you that he put in front, have you ever made an offer to someone
that you know they can't accept or they won't accept?
Sometimes it's a low ball.
Sometimes it's that you're making them do something you know they can't do.
And that's the whole case we're in right now.
Well, of course, there is no way we can know that.
It is my belief based not upon first-hand knowledge,
but about knowing the parties involved a bit and how these things work.
I do believe they made a good faith offer that WBD could have accepted.
and if they had, they would have the ENBA rights.
I don't think it was a trick.
And by the way, again, I don't have...
There's a lot of between a trick and a good faith offer.
I like that, David is positing, the opposite of a Godfather offer.
It is an offer you must refuse.
It's an offer that you can't not refuse.
Exactly.
And I love what you're saying because you use the words good faith, and that's part of the lawsuit.
Good faith is, we know, that's a legal term.
It's not just between friends at a dinner.
It is a legal term, but as you know,
a very difficult term to adjudicate on.
Which is why I don't think WBD can prevail here,
but I understand why you have to say
that the NBA did all this in good faith,
because that is one of the basic tenets of the lawsuit.
However, to not give NBA credit,
and I think it's insulting to the NBA,
to say that they did not have an alternate plan.
Well, no, no, they always had,
and I've said this repeatedly, they always had,
all you have to have is one more bitter
than you have packages.
They knew they had more than three-bitters at some point.
I don't think that led them to go, well, we want to cut T&T out.
I genuinely believe that at the start of the negotiation, they would have been quite happy if T&T and ESPN had renewed.
They took some content from both parties, took some content that was formerly regional.
That's why Mr. Dolan has protested and made a third package.
and they would have been happy if that third package was Amazon,
because they did want a digital partner.
They would have also had listened, however, to NBC.
And if ESPN, as reported, paid 26, and NBC paid 25,
they would have been happy with a 26, 25, 23.
That would have given them more money.
I think they would have settled for NBC, WBD, and ESPN.
they were in the proverbial catbird seat.
That wasn't the third package, the two, three.
No, I'm suggesting that...
It would have been more assets.
I'm suggesting that they could have,
if WBD had said, yes, we'll do two three,
ESPN said, yes, we'll do two six.
You still have a very hungry NBC,
which could have paid two point something,
and they could have actually ended up with even more money
with those three parties, had that happen.
Now I'm not suggesting that was ever the contemplated endgame here.
They might have decided that being on a streaming service
was worth taking a little bit less money
in order to be on the kind of service
that in the future will be almost exclusively the parties that are carrying sports.
So I want to give an update here.
Andrew Marshand at The Athletic provides a, quote, interesting nugget.
That's his own phrasing here.
Amazon joined the exclusive negotiating period
after the NBA secured permission from TNT and ESPN to bring them in.
On this note, I am told, TNT Sports initiated the idea of bringing Amazon in.
TNT declined comment, end quote.
So that's when you partner up with someone who has something to bring to the table that you don't have,
where the NBA wanted the reach of an Amazon and of their streaming platform,
and TNT couldn't match it with Max because not as many subs,
and it's just it doesn't have the reach or the power.
So when you don't think that you can answer an RFP, whether it's a request for proposal,
whether it's to build a building or whether it's to do a TV deal, you often do a joint venture.
You partner it.
That's what mergers are, basically.
So is there a world where TNT and Amazon would have made a joint bid in theory for an MBA package?
It would not have been the C package.
It would have been a joint bid for an A slash B package.
I think the answer is mostly yes.
we're clearly in very speculative territories.
I have no knowledge that this could have happened.
But WBD could have been thinking,
gee, maybe the NBA will be satisfied
with our 2-1 instead of 2-3
if Amazon comes up with a billion and a half,
a billion eight, two billion,
and they'll be fine.
That's kind of not the way it works.
You don't...
It would have satisfied them,
had NBC not clearly...
been, the NBC was very public.
I would disagree that there were negotiations with NBC.
The reason NBC was very public with it was to make sure Adam understood
if for some reason WBD doesn't step up to what you want,
we're here.
Come see us as soon as you have gotten through your exclusive negotiating period.
I got it, John.
People have lunches.
Your theory is that they did it through the media?
And NBC let Adam Silver know.
God, I hope he buys the post today.
I got to say I did a lot of negotiations with leagues, including baseball,
and I never tried to negotiate for somebody else's content
before they got through their exclusive to negotiating period.
I often told people, get through your period, and we'll talk about it.
What's that?
Well, that's not negotiating.
That is simply letting them know you're there as a partner.
You don't think that impacts how we would act during an exclusive negotiating period if you know that there's someone waiting for you on the other side with an open wallet and a big hug that it makes you play hardballed during that exclusive period?
Of course.
But I also was on the other side of that, meaning I often had the exclusive negotiating period.
And I believe my job was never to get out of that so that they could go talk to them.
And I do believe in my negotiations with MLB and with NFL and NHL and NHL and.
And in the NHL, I could never get them out of the exclusive negotiating period with other people in most cases.
They ended up doing the deal before I got a chance to put an offer on the table.
So I do think the leagues are very careful not to do anything that gives anyone the right to dispute that their exclusive negotiating period was violated.
John?
The exclusion negotiating period doesn't mean that you can't talk to somebody and say, I'll be here for it.
you. But if you think I ever, that I'm kidding, about ever sitting in a room with a league and going,
here's what I'll do for you if they don't pay you. I never did that. So let me, let me make sure.
David for the YouTube and Drafting's audience is almost seizuring. No, I'm just, you're saying
something that is, it struck a chord and I want to make sure I'm, I heard it right. The NHL,
let's talk about the past of the NHL and their fees and their rights deals. Do we agree that they
were not getting a lot of money for their TV?
Are you willing to at least acknowledge that?
Would have been what you mean by a lot of money.
They were not getting as much money as the other leagues because they had a very hard time getting a TV deal.
No, they didn't have a hard time getting a TV deal.
They always, they had an easy time getting a TV deal.
They had a hard time getting the amount of money they wanted to get from the TV deal.
Thank you.
I'm very sorry.
And so when you say that they did not take advantage of your willingness to do a deal
because you never got them out of their exclusive negotiating period.
Did you say that exactly?
Yeah, I can't have the exact recollection
because I tried to get an NHL package at least two cycles
and did not succeed.
I do not believe they ever came out,
and at least one of those,
I do not believe they ever came out of their negotiating with.
I don't think I ever got to negotiate
when they were out of their exclusive order.
Fair, but when you saw the deal that was done,
did you say to your people,
at ESPN, wow, we would have done twice that.
No, never twice that, but would I have beat?
Would I have paid more money?
Probably the answer.
The answer is probably yes.
And so there was no way for you to get that information to anyone.
No, because the rules of engagement are they can't call me legally.
They cannot call me and say, oh, by the way, John, I'm going to get $200 million.
Would you pay $225?
Bob, I've been in some bad rooms, I think, because I understand you're saying legally and you're right,
but what blows me away is that if ESPN or anybody, it's like when you're selling a house,
it's when you're doing anything.
If you know that the market is there to get more for your asset, you're going to do whatever
you have to do to maximize the value of your asset.
And the NHO was desperate to get better TV deals.
I want to move for a second, though, from the deposition that David has been conducting,
of John Skipper, to the legal question at the heart of TNT's objection here,
which is that we matched.
We had a right to match.
Amazon provided X.
We're also ready to provide X.
And the NBA, now this is their quote from their spokesman, Mike Bass.
Shout out to Mike Bass, devoted listener.
Paul Burtory finds out.
Quote.
Because he has to.
Better and for worse.
This is his quote to the Washington Post.
He may be listening.
just to make sure you don't say anything that will make them unhappy.
Mike and I...
Mike is a fan.
Mike is a good guy.
Mike and I go way back.
Quote,
Warner Brothers' discoveries claims are without merit
and our lawyers will address them.
It's such an FU statement when I saw it.
It's outstanding.
So the correlation, WBD statement,
what Edelman put together,
it took up like a whole page.
And NVA's response was one,
barely a sentence with all the right parts of speech.
It was just...
Did it say strongly in it?
Without merit would be the phrase that...
Wait, could we read that...
Go ahead, read it one more time.
It's so short.
Oh, sure, sure.
Warner Brothers' discoveries claims are without merit,
and our lawyers will address them, period, end quote.
It's so great.
It's so good, and they save $20,000.
I like how this is also the show
where we become aroused by press releases.
It's not ideal.
Only fans for press releases?
It's right.
But do you see the difference?
I want to point out to the audience.
It's incredible.
It indicates a confidence, and I believe that it's also to WBD.
It reeks of an arrogance.
But I wonder how justified truly, like, my understanding is, and I want you guys to corroborate
this or refute it, is that the clause in the contract, the matching clause, was not so specific,
given that it was written at the time that John and TNT at the time negotiated it.
It was not so narrowly defined about streaming or anything else,
but there is this implication that Amazon is a company that cannot be matched by its very nature by TNT and WBD.
It's a very interesting legal question because the matching provisions are always very hazy.
Because as we said on a previous episode here,
it's not that you write down 10 points and that one company agrees to them
and then the other company just has to agree to those 10 points.
and then it's a full match.
It's a very complicated deal that you negotiate.
Right.
Remember, that would have been done back in 2013 or 2014.
So you couldn't have known how many subscribers Amazon was going to have.
You couldn't have known how many countries they were going to be in
or how many people watched them.
So you couldn't write in there.
Oh, gee, if Amazon had a 200 million subscribers around the world,
you have to match that.
So probably I have the feeling,
and I think you'll agree, David, that the NBA here has the stronger legal case.
I don't think for a moment that they would release that statement unless they had
every, they had talked to their lawyers, they had very good lawyers internally and externally,
and they've told them, you have nothing to worry about should this come to a quick resolution
in a court of law.
Now you get to a more interesting question, which is it doesn't mean even though the NBA may be
right about that, that WBD cannot create consternation spilcus for the NBA.
You agree with that, David?
I do, but I think I'd like you to go then back to my original statement, which is the NBA
got its confidence, and it got the ability to release a one phrase statement because they
had lawyered this deal with Amazon so thoroughly with the matching provision in mind.
Remember, the lawyers for the NBA know the matching provision.
They were there.
And Adam Silver's no dummy.
You know that.
And he doesn't suffer fools gladly.
When he's doing Amazon, he's telling Amazon, we're not using you as a stalking horse.
Trust me, Warner Brothers cannot match this.
You keep going with us.
You are going to be our partner.
I believe that that's how it went down.
He followed it step by step.
He said there's five days.
You have five days to show you can match.
WBD did on the fifth day.
and I believe the next day or the day after.
I can't remember.
Monday to a Tuesday.
The next day, they released a statement that said,
this match is not a match.
Yeah.
And then they announced,
so what Adam Silver did even more as an up,
FU to WBD,
they did a press release,
a far bigger one than that one sentence
when they announced their deal with Amazon,
with NBC, and with ESPN,
with full quotes from all the principles
of those companies,
including the NBA.
So while Adam can call a press conference and say, listen, it's complicated.
I don't want to get too far into it.
The fact is he's all in that he is going to win this case.
Well, I just think Amazon is not going to do the negotiation unless, as you pointed out,
they're convinced that there is no way to match.
They're not going to put their names on a press release, which was probably done before the fifth day was over.
They did take a look at what WBD sent them.
They're like, oh, just as we thought, they cannot match.
but so Amazon has satisfied themselves
are in a good legal position
NBC has satisfied themselves
that they're in a good legal position
because remember theoretically
WBD didn't they suggest
they could match either one
so the case is actually
would like an injunction
what they're actually asking for us to get rid of all three
they're asking the court to say
that we're going to stop the NBA
from doing a deal with anybody
while we figure this out
that's what WBD wants but they're not
going to get that injunction, but that's what they've asked for.
So what is the endgame here?
Right? So now I just want to recap what WBD
has been doing. They hire this press release, this fancy
press firm to release all of these things into the world.
They're working journalists, talking heads,
people behind the scenes.
Charles Barkley is talking about how, again,
we started with a two-part statement from TNT,
the first part about the legal case.
The second part about the fans.
And Charles Barkley, the most famous,
broadcaster, the greatest broadcaster in the history of NBA broadcasting, you might argue,
has said the same thing.
He's echoed this.
So they're working the PR side, the public relations side, the civic unrest side.
So what is the end game here?
So they have these two tracks.
They're suing for either specific performance, which means they want the judge to say,
all right, you matched it, you get to do NBA games.
Or in the alternative, if you're not going to grant me the right to broadcast NBA games,
then pay me.
Those are the two things they want.
I want to get to that here, John, because we're in agreement that it's unlikely that this judge will rule in favor of WBD and say, actually, yeah, they matched.
Sorry, Amazon.
So what is happening here in terms of what WBD is going for?
Well, the judge won't have that right.
It'll be a jury trial.
It'll be an actual court case where the judge will oversee it.
What I think we're saying is that the judge is unlikely to grant an injunction.
And that I agree with you because there's a year left on the deal
and there's no way that Warner Brothers is walking into court
and saying we are so damaged by what's happening
that if you don't, that's what injunction is,
if you don't stop it right this second,
every minute is like multiple damages.
That's hard to convince the court
when it comes to this deal with the NBA.
But if the injunction is not granted,
which I don't think it will be,
and there's no settlement,
then you proceed toward a trial, a case.
It seems hard to me that WB, I don't know this, but it seems hard to me that WBD thinks they're going to prevail in a court case.
Either get an injunction or actually go to trial and see a verdict that says, well, actually you're right and you're going to get the NBA.
So that means they must think they're going to get something else.
And the only thing I can think of is they think they're going to create enough consternation that they're going to
put lawyers in a room and say, what would you settle for? And my guess is what they would settle for
is money. At one point, it occurred to me that what they might like is actually to be relieved
of their obligation to pay one point something, $1.2, $1.3 billion in the upcoming season and let
Amazon or NBC start early. And that way, Mr. Zazov could say to his board, not only did I not overpay,
for 11 years of the NBA,
but I'm going to get out of,
I'm going to save a billion,
a billion and a half dollars.
Now, that creates all sorts of problems.
I don't think NBC busy with the Olympics
suddenly wants to turn around
and do another season of the NBA right away,
or start in the NBA right away.
Amazon doesn't have the production capabilities to do that.
They can take turns to people.
Well, exactly.
And then maybe turn to turn to me.
could save even more money by charging Amazon to do the production.
Take Barclay.
Yeah.
Take Barclay off their hands and pay for that.
So I can only think that they're expecting somehow to save some money out of this.
That's an interesting theory.
Because what you're saying is that the end game for WBD would be forget the fact that we want the extra deal.
We don't even want this current deal.
It was an overpay what we're doing now.
Yeah, not the way they put it, of course, right?
They'd put it that you're causing us by refusing to...
our matching right, you're damaging us, we're going to continue with our suit, but if you would
like to make us a financial office offer, we will go away, we'll save some money, my board maybe
will be happy, and you start with your new partners. I don't know that. Did you budget nuisance fees
with the SPN? We used to budget them. Okay, so. Newsomency is when someone sues you,
and you just don't feel like dealing with it, so you pay them, whether it's a foul ball,
whether someone is that a legal term nuisance fee that's just what i would call it it's like don't bother me
it's like a nat like i'm not going to it's not worth it to have my lawyer spend one hour talking to you
every big company settles suits that they believe are more of a nuisance than the money involved
is worth doing right it's sort of funny because people always assume well if you settle you must be
guilty it's not true always it may be true sometimes but sometimes it's just a
oh, it's going to cost me $10,000 to make this person go away.
It's going to cost me $100,000 to adjudicate it.
And in time.
I'll just pay the 10 because we can afford to.
It's not an admission of guilt.
So the NBA, they could have in their mind a number.
And that's how settlements happen, where the NBA would say, you know what,
this just is not worth it to me anymore.
We will pay you, David Zasloff, to disappear.
Now, the Barkley part of this, right?
So part of the deliciousness of getting to watch,
the last season of Inside the NBA and TNT Broadcasting Basketball is that it is a lame duckier
in which you get all of these outspoken people who have now been riled up by a PR firm,
let alone their own personal feelings. They've been empowered by their bosses on some level
to make a mess, to object and protest on behalf of fans. That part of this,
how would that fit into the cost benefit of avoiding that nuisance? If I'm Tien, if you're running
the network, you say to your talent, listen, this is our year. We're doing the games. People don't
want to hear you complain about David Zasloff, complain about TNT, not matching an offer,
complain about the fact that you're losing the rights. On the last day, we'll say a tearful goodbye,
we'll do a clips package showing all the great moments from inside the NBA, and we'll leave it
at that. That would be my opinion. And that's what they would do. There are also non-disparagement
clauses. They're not going to get away with going on the air and complaining. The NBA also has
recourse, right? They give them.
them the schedule. And there are some things that are required in the schedule, but there's a lot
of leeway. They could give them a lot of games between teams that would not draw to good ratings.
There's no good business for anybody. And the public doesn't want to see anybody particularly
misbehave. It's not good for your brand. It's not good for your company.
Well, I mean, on your side of the desk, maybe you don't want to see that. On this side,
I'm like, wait a man, Charles Barkley has never met a non-disparagement clause that he didn't want to
some way to defy.
Like, whether it's, I guess my question is, okay, we're taking off the table the idea that
he's going to start a broadcast by saying, fuck you, National Basketball Association.
He's not going to do that.
But the ability to generate some sort of, again, PR headache, you're saying that that is actually
corralled by a non-disparagement clause.
That is enforceable and would happen in a way that would be-
They're hard to enforce.
It's resolved by non-disparagement clause and the fact that nobody.
getting into a public fight is not good for your business.
It's not going to do anybody any good ultimately.
I don't believe.
I do think if this quickly got resolved,
let's say the judge issues a,
what would we call it, summary judgment?
No, there's no case here.
I'm throwing this out.
You have no case.
Then T&T will behave graciously on the air.
They might be mad.
They might say things at a dinner party.
They're not going to have a public fight with the NBA.
Fans are not going to like it, and they're making way too much of inside the NBA.
It is by far the best NBA studio show ever, perhaps the best among the best studio shows ever.
Also, yes.
Fans move on in a hurry and don't care.
They'd like to see that show, but when the games move over, the audiences are not going to go down.
Audiences on Sunday night on NBC are going to be higher than T&T.
Whatever their studio show is.
The handoff from football.
Please don't sully, Jane Kennedy, Phyllis George, Irv Cross, and Jimmy the Greek, and Brent Mossberger.
I just, I will not stand for that.
I just want to ride.
That was a great booth.
It was fantastic.
And people loved it, but they tuned in to see the game.
And this is part of it, right?
So it's a depressing, this is a depressing reality that you keep on reiterating, which is that you could have, you could knock whatever studio programming content out of the park.
and yet when it comes to using that as a lever upon the actual reality of your business,
it means virtually nothing, even as Charles Barkley is now saying,
and this is unshocking to any of us.
I believe we talked about this even in France.
I don't know if we actually made it onto our episode saying it,
but Charles Barkley is now not retiring.
He'll talk to other suitors.
He's on, he revealed this a 10-year, 210 million-dollar deal.
He said he's an out if WBD, TNT loses the NBA,
but reportedly also contrary to that, he doesn't.
That's also out there in the world.
And Zazlov, according to John Moran of Puck, is saying that, yeah, he would like to keep
Barkley around.
I would just also point out that Barkley also said, and I was fuming on behalf of WBD.
And I may have misheard it, so you'll correct me, that he's already listened to Disney and Amazon and NBC.
He's under contract with WBD getting paid 20.
million a year. You're not allowed to do that. I assume he's gotten on competes. I assume that he is under
exclusive contract. I would be looking at his termination for cause provisions if I were on the board
of WBD trying to get rid of him because not only is he a nuisance, but $21 million, which of course
cuts against our theory that pregame shows don't matter, since they're paying the people on that
desk collectively more than any of the announcers by a factor of 10. So it's an interesting thing that
Why would you pay so much to something that doesn't matter?
Well, I think there are many things you could do with Charles Barkley
that would financially benefit your company.
And while I said it doesn't matter in terms of the ratings,
they're running ads in that pregame show which pay for those salaries.
So it's not like they're throwing money out the door.
If I would keep Charles Barkley, I'd put him in a situation comedy.
I would put him, I would do what NBC is doing with Snoop Dogg on the Olympics,
which has worked.
Charles Barkley is the most entertaining commentator.
If I was NBC, I would absolutely love to have him on my Sunday night NBA,
and I would take him to the next Olympics, where he would be a smash.
You know, the entertainment world is littered with people who view themselves
as the ability to be diversified across entertainment platforms.
People try to do talk shows when they are sports people.
Yeah, Barclay did a CNN show with Dale King,
which did not...
not last.
That's not what I would do with him.
A very different content strategy.
You said sitcom.
You said have him do all these things.
His appeal is the NBA.
And if he's doing no NBA,
you're trying to create him as this personality
for $21 million a year.
That's a big chance.
I would let him go to Amazon or NBC or Disney.
I'd keep him.
I think there's something you could do with him.
Again, if Snoop Dog becomes the star, which he has.
He's been terrific.
and has made a difference, I think, in the ratings on the Olympics.
And if Charles Barkley would just smoke a little more marijuana,
he would probably be just as well.
That's what I really found out today, is that Charles Barkley needs to smoke weed.
A lot of weed.
More weed.
More weed, presumably.
God, you don't run a network anymore.
Oh, wait a minute.
So I want to get to another thing that John had some perspective on,
which is that the judge assigned to the case has a background with the NBA.
He was representing the Spirits of St. Louis,
a now-defunct ABA team in litigation against the NBA,
a fact that the judge who was assigned to this case,
Joel M. Cohen, had to disclose because this is what you do
when you're now presiding over a case involving someone
that you were in litigation against.
And so, John, can you explain the spirits of St. Louis case with the NBA
because this is one of the great sports business stories of all time, it sounds like?
This is one of the most...
profitable settlements, negotiations, any sports entity has ever done.
So when the NBA and the ABA merged, they made an agreement that the NBA would accept four new teams.
I believe that was Pacers, Spurs, Nets, Nuggets.
And, but everybody, all the teams in the ABA got paid something.
There was some fee paid that the team split, four of the teams kept participating.
Every team in the ABA agreed with that other than the spirits of St. Louis,
who said, we refused to accept this.
So it was decided that everybody else would move on.
The spirits of St. Louis would then get a cut of the NBA media rights deals into perpetuity.
They refused to go away and they got a share of what was then, not what it is now.
And I believe, though I can't be certain if these numbers are right, that in the next couple of deals, they did participate and aggregated about $300 million.
And then we're paid about $500 million in 2014, 2014 to basically go away.
We're going to get ready to do new deals.
We're tired of dealing with this.
And we're going to pay you a big old lump sum of money to go away.
Before the new deal
before the new deal got done.
That was baked into the settlement.
This people with the spirits knew that the deals were going up.
It was more like a pay now.
You know, when you buy something, you can pay now
and it's a little bit cheaper.
Like with a lottery ticket,
if you take a current payment today,
you get less, but you get it all now,
like a bulk payment versus a stream.
What this deal was was they had a stream,
but the people who did the deal,
everyone's getting older, people are dying,
there's a state planning to think about.
For the NBA,
I don't agree that it was such a big deal.
When they make distributions,
instead of 30 teams, there's 31 teams.
So it was not a clerical like, oh my God, this is impossible.
Oh, no, I didn't think that.
It was just annoying to owners who were giving it up.
They're going to get expansion,
so they're trying to get to 32.
They're trying to expand to get to 32 teams.
So that'll be a further split in their TV rights.
And when this deal was approved by the NBA owners,
the current one and the last one,
what owners do is they do the math.
Like, all right, how much am I getting of this?
Right.
And they just wanted that out.
I just want to, one, admire that the spirits of St. Louis managed to get $800 million for folding their team.
Yes.
Nobody in sports.
It's a very profitable enterprise to get paid for not having a team.
I assume the margins were very close to 100%.
It's, there's, yes, some clerical.
bills, I'm sure. But we say the same thing when someone, wow, I can't believe you were smart enough
to buy a Picasso right when he was alive. Like who would have, and not sell it and now it's worth
$80 million. So, or buy a house in a bad neighborhood and all of a sudden, wow, this became a good
neighborhood. So there are examples, but certainly this is from a sports business standpoint.
It was very smart of them to keep the tail because you just didn't know what was going to happen
with media. And clearly, thanks to you, mostly, it's blown up in a way that that that
became worth a lot of money.
Right.
Eviction.
For their eviction, they got $800 million
drinking from the fountain
that, yeah, John helped.
But remember, teams right now
that operate are worth $4 billion or $6 billion.
Right.
So we say that what a great deal for them,
they would much rather have been included
and been in the NBA.
As opposed to being paid to go away,
even though they got, again, almost a billion.
They were smarter than others,
but in reality,
the nets and nuggets and pacer's and spurs are worth a hell of a lot more than the TV money that
the guys were getting.
It's absolutely true.
Now, the judge, to go back to just what this means for this pending litigation, is there any concern
from either party here that the judge was the guy who represented the spirits of St. Louis
in that deal we just described?
He was in a law firm called Davis-Polk.
It's a big law firm, and so he was one of the lawyers on the case.
And this is standard that judges do this
because many judges were lawyers in their last life
and they know they have a list of all the cases they worked on
whether they remember them or not,
whether they worked on them or not actually.
And you just send a little note to both parties saying,
by the way, this may interest you, let me know.
But in real life, no one cares.
Because the two parties, they could say,
hey, you know, we're not that comfortable.
And then there'd be a hearing about this.
But the hearing would be in front of the judge.
himself who would decide whether he wants to recuse himself,
I don't think either party will object or even will respond to that letter.
I agree.
I mean, the fact that he did disclose, I think is a sign that this is a reputable lawyer
and probably now a very reputable judge,
and there's no very little reason for anybody to create a problem here.
I would like to create a problem, hypothetically, for WBD, looking ahead now.
Right?
So I'm trying to get a sense of the way.
weapons left on the table, the moves, the punishing nature of what it means to be in negotiations
against not just a media company, but in Comcast, something that is doing deals with media
companies like WBD, right? The difference between being, give me the term of arch on, between being
a media company like TNT versus a cable company. Now more than that in Comcast.
Well, what's interesting, of course, is it's already been speculated that NBC may have included in their calculations for doing an NBA deal the fact that they would be taking it from a company that's going to be asking them for distribution fees.
Was reported this week, I believe, by John Arand, that the deal, that last deal that Turner did, not WBD, but T.
B&T, TBS, True TV, perhaps among other channels,
ends deliciously December 31st, 2025,
which will be about two months into the new NBA deal that NBC holds.
Yes.
Their larger company Comcast will have the opportunity
to renegotiate the fees that they pay
True TV, TBS, T&T at that point.
It has been reported that TBS, T&T, I'm sorry, gets $3.
TBS probably gets something not too far from that.
True TV gets something very far from that.
Out of the monthly cable bill.
Out of the monthly, well, it's not a monthly,
it's out of the monthly cable bill, not directly.
The distributor pays for the content.
They then put it in a bundle of content.
They market up an appropriate amount or an inappropriate, depending on what you think, amount,
and that's what they charge the consumer.
The consumer has no idea what they're paying for, TBS, TNT, and True TV.
But this deal will come up, interestingly enough, at the end of 25.
Let's say that they're getting approximately somewhere between $5 and $7.
That means if they don't renew the deal, and let's say they have 12 million subscribers at the time,
that's somewhere between $60 and $84 million a month.
They did just buy at one of the networks, TNT or TBS, two college football games,
one of which may be on the first day they'd be off the air.
That holds some power.
I don't think it has enough power to prevent Comcast from saying,
we're not going to pay you $9 next year, nor eight, nor seven.
We'd like to pay you less.
and just as Comcast just took Diamond off for what, about three months?
Regional Sports Network, yeah.
They'll take these channels off the air, and they can take that money, theoretically,
off of the price they paid for the NBA.
Oh, we paid $2.5, yeah, but we'll save about $75 million every month they're not on the air.
I do not believe all that matters then is whether some of their 12 million or so subscribers
at the time decide, oh, I want to see that college game bad enough that I'm going to switch
to somebody else, YouTube TV, or the new, deliciously the new cable bundle that will feature
all the sports channels, which includes true TV, TBS, and so there'll be a big fight here.
And I do believe that this will cost WBD some money because they're either going to get lower
distribution fees or they're going off the air for some period of time in January 2026.
I just wanted to simplify two things that were said there.
I'm trying to follow, and I did, but I just want to say, make sure I have this right.
When you can do a deal where you make yourself stronger, but you also make your opponent
weaker, that increases the breadth of the victory that you have by doing a deal.
Is there a world where Comcast and NBC got together and said,
if we get the NBA and TNT doesn't,
not only do we have the NBA and TNT doesn't,
but also we have as part of our world a cable company called Comcast,
where people pay us every month to get cable channels.
One of the cable channels we get that we give our customers is TNT,
but now who wants TNT?
It's a bunch of SVU and law and order.
There's going to be no basketball, maybe a football game once in a while.
If TBS is going to have some college football games,
they'll have the French Open, they've got stuff.
But without the NBA, people are really not going to want TNT the way they did.
Therefore, we're not going to pay TNT for its content the way we did.
Therefore, we're going to save money.
And therefore, we can take some of that savings and apply it to what we spent to ruin them by getting the NBA.
Boy, that is McAvellian.
And it's not impossible that that's part of the calculation, but that really is something else.
And you're either going to be right or wrong.
because if there's a carriage dispute at the end of 25 that does save Comcast, $60, $70 million a month, that's significant.
It is significant.
And look, if another party, if T&T had actually kept the NBA or it doesn't matter.
They would have the cable dispute.
And I don't think it was McAvellian.
That's smart.
You're going to look at everything.
You're going to look at the promotional power of the NBA to drive your other sports, right?
during Olympic year, they can take the NBA and all those ratings and drive Olympics ratings
up. They will save money. Comcast will save money from fees they don't have to pay T&T.
Sure, they figured all that out. I don't believe, it's funny that we disagree on the sort of
negotiating during a exclusive negotiating window, but I don't see anything wrong with NBC
having done all that. They're not violating anything to look at all the benefits they'll receive,
from paying for a new NBA deal.
It might help them launch broadcast shows on NBC.
I mean, all those things were calculated.
In a situation comedy.
But I am marveling at, again,
just the basic terms that we keep on learning here,
like a distributor, a cable distributor,
is a buyer and a seller.
WBD is trying to sell.
I mean, it's just funny that as much as we are looking ahead
to Amazon and the tech future that has been now the NBA's goal in that C-tier, third-tier package.
We're also watching the backroom knifing that goes on.
That's why our Justice Department is so busy.
With cable television networks and distributors.
I don't see what they have to deal with here.
These companies compete.
They are competing fairly.
Not in this case.
I've seen with the mergers that happen.
To quote Shakespeare at the end of our.
a show here now. Exit
Pursued by a Bear.
Wait to see. Wait to see.
John, David, thank you.
This has been Pablo Torre finds out
a Metal Arc Media production.
And I'll talk to you next time.
