PBD Podcast - ICE Chaos ERUPTS, Iran ON THE BRINK, Khamenei In Hiding + Trump's 100% Tariff THREAT | PBD Podcast | Ep. 726
Episode Date: January 26, 2026Patrick Bet-David, Tom Ellsworth, Vincent Oshana, and Humberto Boellert break down the deadly Minneapolis shooting of Alex Pretti by ICE agents, Iran’s threat to the USS Lincoln, reports of Khamenei... in hiding, and Trump’s 100% tariff threat on Canada.------🇺🇸 USA 250 COLLECTION: https://bit.ly/4sVvQzL🎙️ FOLLOW THE PODCAST ON SPOTIFY: https://bit.ly/4g57zR2Ⓜ️ CONNECT ON MINNECT: https://bit.ly/4kSVkso Ⓜ️ PBD PODCAST CIRCLES: https://bit.ly/4mAWQAP👔 BET-DAVID CONSULTING: https://bit.ly/4lzQph2 🥃 BOARDROOM CIGAR LOUNGE: https://bit.ly/4pzLEXj💬 TEXT US: Text “PODCAST” to 310-340-1132 to get the latest updates in real-time!ABOUT US:Patrick Bet-David is the founder and CEO of Valuetainment Media. He is the author of the #1 Wall Street Journal Bestseller “Your Next Five Moves” (Simon & Schuster) and a father of 2 boys and 2 girls. He currently resides in Ft. Lauderdale, Florida.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Did you ever think you would make it?
I feel I'm supposed to taste sweet bit of the week.
I know this life man for me.
Adam, what's your point?
The future looks bright.
My handshake is better than anything I ever signs.
Right here.
You are a one of one?
My son's right.
I don't think I ever said this before.
All right, we got a special guest in the house.
Humberto Bellert is in the house.
Humberto, great to have you on.
Thank you for having me.
For some of you guys that know Humberto, he's kind of a big deal here in this building.
But, of course, this is a tough weekend with all the events that took place.
There's a lot of opinions.
There's a lot of thoughts.
I tweeted about this when it happened, and I said this 100% on Tim Walts.
This could have been prevented if you could, you lost complete control of your people.
And I got a lot of people that were not happy by my comment.
But I will tell you exactly why I am not changing my position.
and the comments I made,
Alex Pretty should be here today
if it wasn't for leadership.
He should be here today.
It's devastating when he watched that video.
Whether you agree with his politics or not,
this is a guy that loved America.
This is a guy that loved his family.
His family came out and put out a note.
He did not seem like a bad guy,
but there are laws that we have to follow.
And unfortunately, this happened,
and there's a lot of things that happen over the weekend.
You know, reports of people's names being found in telegram groups that are going out there,
protesting, doing all of this stuff.
The whole playbook of rules for radicals needs to be looked at, which we will today.
I'll go through the 13 rules for radicals just to remind everybody what that book that a lot of these guys,
the playbook that they use, they go through.
And again, heartbreaking.
We've seen all the clips, all the angles.
We'll show any clips that we're capable of showing.
Rob, you'll decide which one's YouTube's going to.
to be okay for us to show or not.
But that's that.
So a ton of stories there.
We'll spend a first hour probably on that topic.
But aside from that, a few other things that we need to get into.
There's this anti-influencer declares guerrilla war against ICE.
That's kind of a part of that video, but we'll show it to you anyways.
Iran's Supreme Leader retreats underground warrant of likelihood of U.S. airstrikes
that was brought to him.
Trump announced he's skipping Super Bowl in California, criticized this.
performers, Bad Bunny and Green Day, and apparently Bad Bunny was supposed to wear a dress thing
last minute. They couldn't fit the dress. No, he changes mine. He's not wearing the dress,
and Trump's going to be skipping the Super Bowl, which should be interesting that he's skipping it.
You know, there's a, he doesn't miss any of these events. I was at the college game with,
what do he call it, Indiana and Miami, and he was there, okay? You go to UFC, he's there. You go to
the big fights, he's there for whatever reason. He's skipping this one. And by the way,
going to be Seattle against New England.
Yep.
Which Rams could have won last night.
They could have won it.
A couple plays could have happened,
but this is why football is football.
And it's going to be Seattle against,
what do you call it, Patriots.
You think he's skipping it, Pat,
because it's in L.A.
And it's Seattle?
I don't think he cares about it.
I think he'll go anywhere, flight anywhere.
It's probably like a schedule.
I think there is something behind closed doors
that happened that he's probably not happy with
that he's saying he's going to skip it.
Again, we'll get into it because Tom's got thoughts on it.
Again, more stories on what happened.
There are major airlines cancel flights to Middle East with possible U.S. strike on Iran up in the air.
Iran will retreat any attack as an all-out war, says senior Iran official.
Again, more of these stories.
That's January 24th story that's coming down.
Shut down risk grows as Democrats revolt after Minneapolis shooting.
Senate cancels Monday vote as shutdown deadline looms.
Momdani announces free childcare for illegal aliens.
Free child care, folks.
If you're illegal, go to New York.
They're offering free child care for you.
It's a great advertisement to attract more illegal aliens.
If somebody is watching this wondering, what is a good city to move to?
If you're illegal, I would suggest go straight to New York City.
They're giving you a commercial to tell you we want illegals in our city,
very noble of their mayor that wants more illegal aliens in their city.
You have to respect the fact that Mamdani,
wants more illegal aliens in a city.
You know, Vinny, the part of it is kind of noble,
because you decide, right, as a company,
you can say what types of people we hire.
Of course.
You say, we want people with, you know, MBAs.
We want people with bachelor's degrees.
We want you with a degree in, you know, finance or whatever maybe.
He's saying he wants illegal aliens to a city, which is great.
Send more to New York City.
If you're part of a city that you don't want illegal aliens,
encourage them, maybe give them like a grayout ticket to a city.
to, it's a strategy to use because they have better benefits in New York City for illegal aliens.
Bill Maher says anti-COVID lockdown advocates were right.
Wuhan Lab leak wasn't a conspiracy theory.
He continues, by the way.
Bill Maher is trying to make new friends today.
Bill Maher calls Mamdani a straight-up communist warns Dems will lose more elections if they deny it.
And then Scott Jennings has to explain to CNN, why immigration enforcement run smoothly
in states other than Minnesota, and he breaks it down for them.
CBS evening news rakes in high rating despite liberals moaning.
CBS is coming up.
Is that because of Barry Weiss?
What's going on there?
I mean, if they're increasing, maybe Barry's doing something, right?
You've got to give her some credit.
CNN's Harry Anton says, even Democrats hate their own party.
Can you imagine that?
How bad is that to say even your own party hates your own party?
Harry's a little bit, that's offensive.
You know, Trump threatens 100% tariffs on Canada.
If it makes a deal with China, again, going back at it.
Carney pushes back on Trump's 100% tariff threat over China trade deal with Canada.
Mottonik calls ice raids inhumane pledges to fight them in New York City.
Top Trump lieutenants join in blasting Dems Tim Walts and Jacob Fry for inciting protesters.
Tim Walts compares Trump's ice crackdown in Minnesota to Nazi occupation told by
and Frank. And by the way, don't you think comments like that insight, encourage people to come out
and do dumb things? Don't you think comments like that enrages people? On a brighter note,
this guy decides to climb a building in what country was this? Taiwan. Taiwan. It was amazing.
Taipei, Taiwan. Tallest building. Tallest building, comparable to the world trade center
building we have here in New York he climbs it with no pre have you seen this video what do you mean
see like a much anxiety i've had called free climbing and then you know what was the most anxiety the guy gets
all the way to the top and he just stands and he's going like this i'm like buddy there's wind up there
like hold it together how do you get down you'd be like this that's the first thing i search how did
the guy get down don't tell me i don't know how you got like a wimp he went in and took like an
elevator no no no i have no i have no idea how he got down but if you if you don't like heights
I would encourage you to skip that part at the end when we get into it.
Now, having said that...
So you wouldn't want to do the interview with him right up on top?
I could see you doing a TV podcast.
No way.
Okay, let me ask you a question.
How much money? Real talk.
Tommy, great.
Maybe a helicopter with a rope and a chair?
I'm being dead serious.
At the top of that little thing, just you and him,
$10 million I give you.
Would you do the podcast?
I'm telling you right now, on air.
You give me a billion dollars.
I'm not doing that interview.
A billion dollars.
I have no interest to sit up there and ask you.
What was it like?
I believe you.
I have no interest to do that.
He can go up there and enjoy himself and we celebrate it,
but it's not something I'm interested in.
Oh, man.
Okay, having said that, you want some good news?
Here's a good news.
America's turning 250 this year.
And by the way, we're doing something special on the 250th, 4th of July.
Stay tuned.
I'll announce it to you when it's ready to announce.
It's going to be wild.
But we're going to do a handful of special pieces of merch,
limited edition numbered, okay?
This one's going to be out of 250
with the number 250.
So it's numbered out of 250
for the 250 year celebration of U.S.
It will not last long, Rob, play this clip.
Future looks bright.
We're excited about this year
with all the chaos that's happened
and when we break down to you,
what is really going out or make sense to you.
But having said that, Rob, go ahead and play this clip.
We don't just make products.
We carry a legacy.
Built on American craftsmanship, intention and pride.
250 years of history, refined for today.
Every detail tells a story.
Every piece stands for who we are.
This is tradition.
Reimagined.
This is our 250 years limited edition collection.
The future looks bright at 250.
Guys, this is all I'll tell you.
Good luck if you sat on this one.
By the way, for some of you guys that unfortunately
will watch this this afternoon
because you wait for the clips,
you can find the items that people buy on eBay.
That'll be the only place you'll be able to get it.
The hat will not last a long time.
Again, it's limited merch.
So it's numbered out of 250.
If you go to eBay afterwards, you may find it
because these things are not going to last,
but 30 minutes.
They'll be gone in no time.
Every time we do limited merch, the hat comes on a box that says Future Looks Bright and the logo, VT right on there.
So go to VTmerch.com, place your order.
Go to VTmerch.com, Rob, if you could just go to the website.
If you go to VTmerch.com on the cover, you'll see the 250, get the sweater because it's cold.
Get the shirt and get the hat.
And if not for you, buy it for somebody else as well.
Having said that-
That shield is just amazing.
It is amazing.
It is amazing.
It's sick.
Okay.
Having said that, let's get right into it with what happened this weekend.
Rob, tragic event in Minneapolis.
Alex Pready was at the protest, and while the events are taking place,
Rob, which clips can we show?
Because at this point, people have seen many of the clips.
Let's show this until it gets to the part of the shooting.
Rob, go for it.
So this is the protest that's going on.
ISIS coming down
or the audio a little bit, Rob, that whistling is
in the street, obstructing.
And I think the majority of these officers were border patrol agents, correct?
They're border patrol agents, majority of them.
So that's Alex.
There's the bear spray or the...
Oh, fighting back, dragging the girl.
Okay, you can pause it right there.
You can pause it right there.
This leads to shooting and eventually Alex dies after this event that takes place.
And it's been talked about all over the place.
The left is blaming Trump calling him Gestapo using phrases that is just, again, the types of phrases that cause people to jump to conclusion saying this was intentional.
Why did they do this?
CNN done a bunch of different interviews.
I can read a bunch of the stories here,
but let's kind of read one of them.
Alex Predy-37 identified man as fatally shot
by Border Patrol agent in Minneapolis.
Rob, if you have a clip on that one,
I'll go to this first.
And then we got, is that Christine Nome?
Yes, sir.
Go ahead and play this clip.
An individual approached U.S. Border Patrol officers
with a 9-millimeter semi-automatic handgun.
The officers attempted to disarm this individual,
but the armed suspect reacted violently.
Fearing for his life and for the lives of his fellow officers around him,
and agent fired defensive shots.
Medics were on the scene immediately and attempted to deliver medical aid.
Okay, so that's that.
I'll come to you first, Tom.
What happened?
What is your impression of what happened?
And then, of course, we'll go into the rest of the issues.
Well, I don't need to break down the video
because I think everybody has seen it from 10 angles,
along with people putting spin on it.
What I want to know is how does an emergency room nurse
get involved with a highly organized group?
He was out there with his camera up
and he was directing traffic.
There was no dispute that he stepped out into the street
and they were trying to direct cars to come up and stop.
People in cars were, some of them were people that were also organized.
So this guy puts himself out in harm's way.
It didn't have to happen.
There was a report from Minnesota news that his parents apparently told news that they said,
don't go get involved with this.
Why are you getting involved with this?
So there was some concern on the part of the family.
So he goes down where officers have actions going, and he was part of an organized group.
He goes down there armed.
He had his phone.
And so I look at it and I'm like saying, Alex, you didn't have to die.
What were you doing there?
And more importantly, how did you get involved with these people and get into part of the organization to come down and disrupt traffic during a law enforcement action that was being carried out by the Border Patrol?
That was my first response.
And then we all saw what happened.
It got crazy.
And by the way, the police and law enforcement of every division in every department, whether it's Border Patrol that we saw here.
By the way, Minnesota Police, local police, where the hell were you when this is going on?
And ice, this, they don't get to break it down frame by frame in slow motion.
This thing is happening at speed.
And you heard the first discharge.
All he had to do was stand up and say, wait, wait, wait, wait, and put his arms straight out.
They're either going to leave you on the ground or they're going to stand you up to the sidewalk,
put you against a car or against a wall.
That's all he had to do is to yell, wait, wait, wait, wait, wait, and put his arms straight up to show with palms open.
but instead he chose to struggle
and he chose to be there in the first place
and I think it's a tragedy
but I want to know who organized this
and who pulled this guy into it
where he thought that it was okay to go down there
and by the way his parents are telling
media we said why are you getting
involved in this you shouldn't be down here
Vinny where are you at with this? Well first and foremost
you guys know what I do
I carry a 9mm Springfield Hellcat
you know I have it on me I have it on me all the time
you know what I don't do Pat
I don't go to organize protest, okay?
Because there was a fact that he was actively tracking and targeting ICE on that
Secret Minnesota signal chat, okay?
I don't go to protest with other agents who have guns and interfere with official federal
business, okay?
You know why?
Because I'm not stupid, Patrick.
And I know, I know that there's a possibility if I get into a fight, something crazy
might happen, okay?
And there's a little, I did some research.
I wanted to find out about this gun because from what I saw,
They took the gun, but he was still reaching for something because he had two extra clips.
I remember I was looking for a gun last year?
Because I already have a Sig Sauer Tommy.
Right now I have a hell.
I have a bunch of guns.
But the gun that he had was a Sigsawr P320.
And the reason I didn't get it, do you know why?
It's been known for a history of misfiring by itself.
Law enforcement, there's lawsuits, Rob.
Look at the Papp.
Pig, the Sigsauer P320, subject to over 100 lawsuits alleging that it can.
fire without a trigger pull.
Rob, we don't have to go to it.
There's a bunch of videos.
There's one of cops in a hospital.
They're arresting some individual.
They grab the guy's legs and the cop's gun goes and shoots and all the cops are tripping out.
So add this to the recipe of disaster.
Are you ready for this?
He's there.
He's interfering.
They're in the skirmish.
One agent grabs the gun.
He's walking away.
That gun misfires.
This is my opinion.
misfires, it spooks everybody there, and mind you, simultaneously, he's grabbing for the gun that
he thinks is still there, okay? But let's go back. Why is he there? He's there because he's told
from his governor, and he's getting probably, I don't know if he was getting paid or not,
but I don't know why anybody else would be there if you're not going to be getting money for it,
unless you're that brainwash, but they were told, go there, get in their faces. It's a call to
action. I tweeted earlier today, Rob, can you please just show? This is the,
the epitome of what is happening right now in Minnesota. This picture right here, it's Tim
Walls, behind the gate in his mansion with security, telling his useful idiots to go and die,
to distract from what, guys, the billions and billions of dollars of fraud in his state,
and to keep protecting illegals, aka Democratic voters. At the end of the day, take all your
emotion out and take a step back. Why? Why Minnesota? Why is it happening? And I think that's
the key issue because, Pat, if you don't mind, Rob, did you hear one thing of Ivory Smith?
Can you show these photos?
You'll never hear this or you'll never see this.
I sent Rob three photos on Slack.
Could you go to the young black girl?
This is Ivory Smith, okay?
Does anybody know about her?
Killed by a drunk driver, her mother critically injured seven years old.
Go to Jocelyn Nungare.
Pat, this 12-year-old was raped.
Her throat was slit by two illegals from Venezuela, 12 years old.
And then the last, you want to talk about nurses.
Lake and Riley was 22 years old jogging.
I saw a video of her parents showing up to the scene.
Pat, I don't want to send it to, and I'm not going to because it'll ground you.
They're on the floor crying.
She was jogging.
The guy was trying to sexually assault her.
For 18 minutes, she fought him.
She fought him, and then he crushed her head with a rock.
Nobody cares.
No media, no leftist.
It's all bullshit.
Sorry for my language.
It's all fake.
Okay?
So when you start caring about people like that,
I'll start caring about some stupid nurse that shouldn't have been there in the first place.
And people can talk about, oh, he was disarmed and things like that.
He may have been disarmed, but he wasn't giving up.
And he's still in a struggle that was going at speed with federal officers.
And then a gun fires, his gun that he brought to the event.
So come on.
I mean, it's a tragedy that he's dead, but it was his decision that he was there.
Humberto.
I think in this case context really matters.
Like, if you look, I mean, I'm all for the Second Amendment.
but if you look at every federal building,
all right, guns are not allowed, all right?
And this is a federal interaction with a federal officer.
Like, we made the rules
so people that are going to have an interaction with the federal government
don't have guns on them, you know what I mean?
And the second thing is the context of a riot.
Like, I don't know if any of you guys been inside of a riot.
Like, things, and what Tom said,
like, time moves faster than it actually moves in real life.
Like, these are split-second decisions.
one gun going off
like the whole like a riot
I don't have you guys seen when there's like big
stamp piece of people and people get trampled
like one thing that goes wrong
it will trigger the whole crowd and people
are going to go crazy it's a big tragedy
every time an American life is lost
doesn't matter which side it is for sure
I'm going to take that to the grave
you know like it's a big strategy
but in a context of a riot
in the context of an interaction
with a federal officer I think
it's terrible
He also didn't have his permit
He didn't have his ID
Which is it's illegal
He didn't have all that
And I don't know
Is Minnesota have a law
For bringing a firearm
To a political protest
I don't know
I don't know the laws in Minnesota
But I don't see that that'd be something that you do
Why would you bring a gun
Why would you bring a gun
And get into everybody's face
Unless you were asking for it
Well I want to get back into
The story you talk about
Of who they're not talking about
But before we do
Can you do me favor, Rob?
And play the J-I?
Jacob Frye clip of him criticize an ice?
Here's Jacob Fry, the mayor.
Here's what he had to say.
Go ahead, Rob.
This is not a partisan issue.
This is an American issue.
This administration and everyone involved in this operation
should be reflecting.
They should be reflecting right now and asking themselves,
what exactly are you accomplishing?
If the goal was to achieve peace,
peace and safety, this is doing exactly the opposite.
If the goal was to achieve calm and prosperity, this is doing exactly the opposite.
Are you standing up for American families right now, or are we tearing them apart?
The invasion of these heavily...
You can pause that.
You can pause that right there.
You know, one sits there, there's different people.
And by the way, I called this two years ago when they said they're going to deport everybody.
I said chaos is going to be nasty.
I said this in 24 when they said this.
And I'm talking in June is when I said this of 24.
I said, look how nasty the clips are going to be and how it's going to, Rob, if we can't even go back and try to find that clip from 24 when I talked about this,
we have to search technology to be able to do that.
You know which one I'm talking about on the site that we can do that?
Let's see if you can pull it up.
Rob is a magician.
So go through all the communities of people that are seeing this.
Let's go to the average person in America who doesn't follow politics closely.
They're just an average father, mother.
I got a job.
I pay the bills.
I take care of my kids.
I take him to soccer.
I'm a soccer mom.
I go to church.
I don't go to church.
I watch football.
The average person.
To the average person in America, what does this look like?
To the average person in America, what does it look like?
What's happening?
To the average person in America.
It's Gestapo.
They're killing America.
These guys are walking around, grabbing American civilians, and just shooting them point blank.
And you know what I'm talking about?
You know how they say what service every year at the church is very busy?
What service is it?
Christmas.
Easter?
Easter or what?
Christmas.
It's normally those two, right?
Yes.
Okay.
What percentage of people watched in news 24-7?
Not a lot.
Okay.
But imagine those who watch the news.
every time something happens.
Yes.
So, oh my God, did somebody get shot in Minneapolis?
Yes. Let me go to CNN.
Yes.
Let me go to NBC.
Let me go to ABC.
And they look at this and say,
they killed an innocent man.
Are you flipping kidding me?
That's what they consume.
By the way, Rob, the link I sent you on Lake and Riley,
the tragic, I don't even know what words to use,
happened with Lake and Riley,
do you want to know why the American people,
those who follow this story,
are kind of sitting there saying,
you've been praying for something like this.
The enemy has been.
Go a little bit lower when you look at the story.
The five days, go a little bit lower, Rob, go lower, lower to,
I want to say go up three paragraphs.
Go up three paragraphs.
Go up, up three paragraphs.
Okay, right there.
Curtis Haukes study showed that ABC, CBS, and NBC gave 20 minutes and 33 seconds
to Lakin Riley's trial over five days.
Only 20 minutes and 33 seconds.
between ABC, CBS, NBC.
This is before Barry Weiss, okay,
which was about one-fourth of the coverage
they devoted to the Garbage Gate story
against Donald Trump
in the final days of the presidential campaign.
Tony Hinchcliffe's joke about Puerto Rico
got 77 minutes.
So what does this mean?
Be good. We need that story.
Yes, that's a good story.
Alex Pretty.
We need that story.
Why? This is good.
we have to make ice look good.
And by the way, while we're talking this morning with Humberto,
just so you guys know,
these are not perfect candidates for them.
They would prefer somebody that was colored or black
or they need a little bit more,
but they'll still use it for their own benefit.
They'll still use it.
How much coverage did they get to Lake and Riley?
It doesn't meet their narrative.
It makes illegal immigrants not undocumented, you know,
undocumented, you know, immigrants.
You realize the crime
that is taking place in America, but that's not what they want the American people to see.
They want to be able to shake things up because the reality of it is when I said, go to the Tim Walt's
tweet, Rob, when I said, you know, this whole thing falls 100% on Tim Walts. Why does it fall 100% on
Tim Walts? This is 100% on you. You're the leader of the state who lost complete control.
Go a little bit lower and look at the commentary of people rebuttling to it. Okay, go to the top one.
This signals the vast fraud conducted, skip down one.
also government representatives.
History doesn't care about excuses.
Wealthy Republicans must provide.
So if the government puts federal thugs in your town,
look at the verbiage,
are you saying the state has the right to fight back?
I'm going to answer that question for you.
We can see the victim was trying to protect two women
who were being violent shoved by ICE agents.
He didn't have to be a part of it.
Go a little bit lower, Rob.
Go a little bit lower.
Does it make you feel better to blame a Democrat
where you're literally watching
watching mask-un-trade government officials
murdering people in the streets?
Perfect. Okay. All of these things are things that people are talking about back and forth. And again, this is a very sensitive topic. Ask yourself the question. Why did the U.S. government had to send ICE agents into those areas? Why? Why? Could this have been prevented? 100%. Well, what do you mean? This is the Gestapo. This is ICE. This is what they want to do. They don't want to do that. But they have to do that. Why?
because the local and state officials are not cooperating with the federal government to give them the reports.
If the local and the state officials were cooperating and sending reports to the federal government of the crimes,
the illegal immigrants are committing in that local city or that state,
we don't need to send ICE because then now we're cooperating.
Well, how come this didn't happen under Obama?
Ready for this one? Let's go through it.
It's blue cities.
All Obama's going to do is, hey, guys, give us the list.
Oh, no problem, Mr. Obama.
Oh, no problem, Jesus.
Oh, no problem, President Obama.
Here's the list.
What else do you need?
What else do you need?
We'll cooperate with you.
We'll give it to you.
Of course they're going to cooperate with you because it's blue.
Here, you think blue's going to cooperate with Trump to make him look good?
No.
You know what the blue hates, though?
Which Humberto said this morning.
What's down 20 percent?
Crime is down 20 percent.
Murder.
Why is it down 20 percent?
Because of blue policies?
Hell no.
Why is it down 20%?
Pull up the report, Rob, that even CBS had to put up
that so many people were furious got 50 million views on X.
Crime is down.
Murder is down 20%.
But the American people are not going to see this
because CBS, NBC, ABC, CNN when you watch it,
they're not going to be giving you this report.
The report's going to be a very different report.
Murder is down 20%.
Why?
Border Patrol of people crossing the border today.
You know what it's down to?
Nothing.
Ask the question.
Why?
So why didn't Minnesota?
So now let's ask a different question, Rob.
Can you pull up right there?
Look at that chart.
Can you show that, please?
U.S. murder rate in 2026.
What happened?
What happened?
Why did it drop the way it has?
Why?
Answer this question.
Of course you have to use Alex Pretty
and drive the hell out of it
because you're trying to divide
because you want to blame everything on Trump.
Of course you have to do that.
That's the playbook.
But why don't you cooperate?
And by the way, Tim Walts or all these other places,
what would have happened if Tim Walts would have cooperated?
Jacob Fry, when you're blaming ICE,
what if you would have cooperated?
What if you would have sent a report back to the White House?
What if you would have told them,
here's how many illegals we have?
Let's arrest them.
They're breaking the law.
They're stealing money from our taxpayers.
No, no, no.
I need their votes.
Because if I cooperate, I may not get reelected.
I'll go dance like them.
I'll go eat whatever the banana and all the stuff that they're talking about.
I'll go do all that stuff.
No, I can't do that.
Go back to that stat rob that you just had.
Okay, what happened to stats?
Okay.
You know, all the numbers that's going out right now all over the place, we're seeing this.
So if you cooperate it, this would have never, ever happened.
Alex would have been here.
Tim Walts, it's on you.
Fry, it's on you.
All you have to do is work hand in hand with the U.S. government.
Do you remember the one mayor, I believe, that was in D.C. saying, yeah, we're working with the White House because we want the streets to get cleaner.
And guess what? The president has cleaned up the city. And she is not a Republican.
But she was cooperating. Why? Because she wanted to make sure her people were safer. You are playing politics.
The blood of Alex Pretty is in the hands of Tim Walts and in the hands of Jacob Fry. This could have been prevented.
It could have been prevented if you cooperate it.
the states that ICE has been sent to? What cities? What states? It's not every state. It's not every
city. I think it's California, L.A. I think Maine is another one. I think Illinois, Chicago is another
one. And I think Minnesota's another one. If it's really Trump's trying to target everybody,
why is he not doing it in all 50 states? Why not? Maybe those mayors, maybe those local officials,
maybe those local PDs are giving that report back to them. Maybe they are. So they don't have to.
Maybe they're working as something called a team to make America safer, a team.
And then, by the way, so let's do this, let's roleplay this.
So let's just say the folks in Minneapolis that want to be safe, that are sick and tired of the fraud,
but they're not allowed people.
The families in Chicago who are going around saying, enough with these crimes,
I want my kid to play outside without being worried about or be afraid of it, right?
So now let's talk to those families who actually want the president to come and intervene.
What if the president doesn't?
So go to the other situation.
Let's not send ice.
Do you know what happens?
If you don't send it, it's your fault.
If you do send it, it's your fault.
Do you get the formula?
It doesn't matter what happens.
It's called the rules for radicals.
Rob, can you go online and just type up chat, GBT,
what are the 13 rules for radicals?
Let's just read it.
Open hand.
This is their playbook, folks.
What are the 13 rules for radicals?
One by one by one, this is their playbook that they use, okay?
That's exactly the one by Saul and Ski.
Power is not only what you have, but what the enemy thinks you have.
Perception of power is often as important as real power.
Number two, never go outside the experience of your people.
If people don't understand it, they won't support it.
Three, whenever possible, go outside the experience of the enemy.
Confuse, exhaust, and destabilize them.
It's exactly what they're doing.
Number four, make the enemy live up to their own book of rules.
Use their standards against them.
They'll often fail to meet them.
The reporter from CNN, I believe it's Dana, asking the guy, not the director, but one of the guys that was up there, he's like, so are you saying that Alex didn't have the right for Second Amendment?
This is kind of surprising for somebody that's a second.
This is what they do.
Say that again?
That's in the playbook right there.
Ridiculous is man's most part.
potent weapon. It's hard to counter
and infuriates opponents. Keep
ridiculing them. You're a fascist. That's right.
A good tactic is one your people
enjoy. If it's fun,
people will keep doing it. A tactic that
drags on too long because it becomes
a drag. Keep pressure, fresh
and dynamic. Keep the pressure on.
Never let up. Relentless action is how
you win. The threat is usually more
terrifying than the thing itself.
Anticipation often creates more
fear than action. If you push a negative
hard enough, it will break through enough.
into its counterside.
Overreach, forces, reaction, and concessions.
The price of successful attack is constructive alternative.
You must have a solution ready, which, by the way, we're going to get into their solution as well,
Humberto.
I'm going to come to you with that with their solution.
What they're planning on doing next probably with their NGOs, the DA, everything that they have control over.
Pick the target, freeze it, personalize it, and polarize it.
Don't fight systems, fight symbols, and people target, target, target, isolate, simplify,
and focus attacks until the opponent cracked.
That's what they're doing.
And by the way, they've done this so many times.
And you know who it works on, whoever's the youngest generation,
and the old and emotional that just want their Social Security, okay?
The people that can think for themselves, you have to see through what's going on here.
They needed this crisis.
They needed Alex Pretty.
They need this more than you know.
Because in every possible way, did you see the approval rating for Trump that came up, Rob?
Did you guys see the approval rating that just came up for Trump, 49%?
More.
And 70% are extremely positive.
Yeah. So this was a report that we just talked about a couple of days ago on X.
It was on our group text that we sent to each other, Rob, which I'll send it to you at a minute for us to show up.
So to me, this could have been prevented. All you had to do was cooperate.
You refused to cooperate. Because of that, this took place. Vinnie.
Well, I mean, you basically laid out exactly what the hell is going on.
But let's take just a really step back because I want people.
Right there real quick.
Yeah, show that, Rob.
Rasmussen report.
Trump's overnight presidential job approval is in.
Single overnight approval for last night,
49.58% is a highest in over a month.
His approval is up today in a five-day rolling.
By the way, can you do me a favor?
And maybe I'll play this clip and I'll come to you.
Meanwhile, here's what a guy who's allegedly part of Antifa,
what he's saying in his video.
He's literally telling people to grab arms.
Let's go.
Watch this clip.
Don't show the whole thing, but let's show the first 10, 20 seconds.
My name is Kyle.
I'm Antifa, and there's so much rage in me that I've had to record this like 15 times trying to get the message out.
They fucked up, okay?
Go watch my other videos.
It doesn't matter if you're not here and you're not caught up.
You miss the fucking fight.
But if you are, it's time to suit up.
Boots on the ground.
Nicolet and fucking 26th.
My house is four blocks away.
Anywhere between Franklin and Nicolet and 26th and Nicholet.
Cause are right there.
They want this.
They want this to go to 100.
they need the temperature to go to the roof.
They need that.
This is rules for radicals, folks.
It's working.
They want that momentum because it was going too much on the other side.
Davos, everybody's listening to Trump.
Everything's going good.
Negotiations are taking place.
No, no, we need this.
We can't have somebody go out there and be able to win as much as he is.
There's no way we can have that.
They need to divide, Vinnie.
And by the, I don't know if it's true or not, Rob, but allegedly this guy, when he's talking about boots on the ground,
I think it might be stiletto boots because he's wearing dresses.
if I'm not mistaken, Rob.
That guy is, what would you, would you call him allegedly, Rob?
Is that the guy?
This guy right here?
If that's him.
Is it the same guy?
I mean, look at the tattoos.
I don't know.
Look at the tattoo on the neck.
Yeah, take a look at the face tattoo.
Is that him?
Yeah, it's the same guy.
So listen, he has a lot going on in his life, so I'm pretty sure he's really confused.
But could we just take a step back?
Why?
Besides the billions and the distraction, why?
I've been trying to wrestle with this.
Why are Democrats, Tom, so.
So pro- illegals.
They don't care about all the young girls that are getting raped and murdered.
And I thought about it, deportations threaten Democratic power.
Because think about it, for four years, when we were on this podcast, screaming and going,
dude, the border is wide up.
Why?
And Alejandro Mayorkans would sit in Congress.
Importing voters.
Importing 15 to 20 million people.
And every time we talked, they told us to shut up because we were racist.
Okay?
So now all these people are in, four years of military age men that are doing whatever they want in this country.
And by the way, they don't care, guys, they don't care about the 300,000 missing children that went missing at the border.
Okay, sex slave, sex trafficking, cheap labor.
Trump has found 600, I'm sorry, 60,000 of them and actually recovered them.
But if you think about it, these are their voters.
The more voters, they're dying to give them amnesty.
That's why they don't want these people to have to show.
show ID to vote. Remember that whole, oh, it's racist if you show them, if you ask them for IDs.
This is the game plan because when you're the Democratic Party and you have nothing, you have
no policy, you have no leaders, you have nothing. What is the Democratic Party running on right now?
This is what they have. It's chaos, Tom. It's illegals. We love illegals because they are
voters. Okay, once those are gone, Trump is deporting voters. They're going crazy because
they're losing their base. You understand? Who's the number one front.
runner, Gavin Newsom, and what's his policy? I'm proud
that I give illegals, free this, and free that, and come to California.
That's it. That's all this is about. They're hemorrhaging
voters. Donald Trump is single-handedly taking every single one of their votes
and plucking them, and they have to fight to keep it.
So there's a layer of things happening and people got to stay with the story,
and it's not complicated. Number one, you know, Nick Shirley
and others are exposing what's going on. We're also exposing
the illegal immigration and we're deporting their voters and we're finding out how in the
Somali community, this is just a case study of what's happening everywhere that the Democrats
are using, they have a playbook to create these NGOs and to get money in and then that money
goes into the campaign. So when you start deporting people and you start shining the light on
the daycare and everything in Minnesota, you start dismantling the fraud machine that they've been
using to stay in power. There's also a shift in electoral votes going
south. Believe it or not,
they know it. In 32,
not 28, but 32,
Minnesota can go red. When you
look at where the electoral votes are going to be
in the districts, Minneapolis is
everything from Minnesota in terms of presidential
election. So when you look and see what's
happening, deport people, take away the voters,
expose the fraud, expose the money, suddenly
the spotlight in a week and a half
was on who? Tim Walls
and Jacob Fry and Ilhan O'W. Exactly.
And suddenly there are, you know, shock troops and their own military coming to help them.
I have been looking at things all weekend.
There is a special forces warrant officer that described the U.S. military handbook of dismantling insurgency.
He said, you're seeing it step by step.
And he was talking step here, step there, what we're seeing.
He said, this is phase one of something we've spent decades trying to keep down internationally.
that now is in our own soil.
The Revolutionary Machine, this is an amazing account.
It's 11 pages long, comes from Insurrection Barbie,
talking about the playbook.
They're publishing the playbook that these folks are using
and indicating where and how it's being funded
by people like Code Pink and Singham, who you pointed out,
the billionaire or near billionaire that's overseas,
that's floating it in.
You have people like Jonathan Turley that pointed out, he says, look, go take a look at what Chris Mays, Attorney General is saying, it said, don't see them as real law enforcement.
And there is a possibility of citizens, you know, encountering them and shooting them under state law.
You've got Attorney General saying that.
Tim Walts is leading it and saying the public should not treat Border Patrol or ICE officers, real law enforcement.
These are responses because the whole system is being dismantled by Trump.
Trump. Deportation, exposure of voter fraud, exposure of the fraud happening in daycare centers.
It's just the beginning. And the reaction you're having here, they are protecting the mechanism that they have been building for 10 years.
We had an amazing dinner two weeks ago, and we talked about likability, right? Nobody likes the ally, all right?
They don't like the lady that got shot last time. They don't like this guy that got shot this week.
They don't like the Antifa guy because he's not part of the crowd.
He's an ally.
Like, likeability in this situation is very important.
What happens with the video of the ally that he's talking about?
Like, imagine Vinnie, if you did the same video a year ago before Trump was president,
and you're like, oh, we're going to go to the border and we're going to round up all this pesky Chileans
and throw them outside the border.
You will be arrested immediately, all right?
So even though that guy's a radical, he has institutional power behind him, right?
He has DAs, he has elected officials, he has people that will bail him out, he has NGO money, all right?
That's the scary thing about this.
Like this looks a guy that will dress like a woman and has all the tattoos and everything.
He knows he's protected.
He's protected.
Yeah.
All right.
Just think about the two black girls that went into the church, which, by the way, there's some details of the court filings that came out.
I'll have Rob show you, Pat.
Did you hear what they were doing?
What they were actually doing in the church?
Women broke their arms, and these people were running up to children, grabbing.
kids in the hallway that were blocking the daycare, and they were yelling, well, where does it say?
Terrorizing children.
Kids were weeping.
One of them grabbed the kid.
I think it's on the next page, Robbie, grabbed the kid and said, do you know that your father,
your parents are Nazis?
Look in the bottom.
Your parents are Nazis.
And then on the next page, you have screaming Nazi.
And then they looked at one of the kids and said, you know your father is going to burn
in hell.
Those two people were arrested.
And in two days, the judge, Biden appointed judge, releases them from jail.
So it's not even, it's not even, what are we even doing now?
It's like, not only here, it's international.
They spend millions of dollars on having people that will bail them out.
Now, the big question here is why?
What are they trying to achieve on the long run?
Because we're going to have more murder, we're going to have more insurrections,
we're going to have more things burned down until we don't discover what's the objective.
Like, do they want a constitutional amendment?
Do we want to change, you know, government?
What do they want to do?
They just want to burn it down.
Bertho, these are the Joker.
Like the movie Joker, Milwaukee, Phoenix, the first one.
They just want to burn it down the same as the other joker.
Those are the ground soldiers.
And they have to break the American family and then break the American Constitution.
What is the opposite argument?
Give me this.
What is the opposition saying?
What is their argument against everything that's going on right now?
Logical argument.
Give me the logical argument the opposition is given.
Trump is a dictator and he's being authoritative and he's being like Hitler.
I mean, that's the easy go-to is Trump is being Hitler.
He's sending out these-
But that's not logical.
To me, that's emotional.
Give me the logical player.
What is the logical player saying?
You may not agree with it, but being anti-trans is anti-personal rights.
That person has the right to be like that.
You're taking away their right to be.
And if kids don't know where they are, you're preventing children from experiencing who they are.
They have the right.
A lot of the things that they're talking about in globalism, Pat, is you have to create rights for others
and create groups where you can tell them that their rights are being impugned.
It goes right back to what we're going to what we're going to.
was a good cause that happened in American civil rights movement where we said all people should
have rights regardless of who they are and all created equal, all men are created equal.
What the Dems and what the logical side of globalists and the far left Dems is to create a right
in a person that sounds logical. So you're defending them and you create a victim in them.
and what you're really doing is intentionally breaking the moral code
and the structure of the society as it is.
I'll give you another one.
This is America, okay?
We should have the open, bring them in, let them come here
because they're escaping their country and their country's bad.
They need to come here because the Statue of Liberty says,
come here, bring your weak, bring everything.
This is America.
We're supposed to accept everybody.
They're refugees.
They're political prison.
Like, listen, but they're illegal.
They have a record.
They're fleeing their country, Patrick.
They're fleeing their country.
And yet, if they come here and they have a baby here,
that baby has to be taking care of and protected.
That's it. That's it.
Anybody should come here.
And mind you, the people that are the loudest
are the ones protected.
They're in gated communities.
They have security.
They're not dealing with any of this.
That's what drives me crazy.
They're not dealing.
Tim Walz is never going to get the phone call.
Hey, Tim, yeah, your daughter?
Yeah, I'm sorry to tell you.
She was murdered by an illegal.
He's not going to get that.
She has security.
She's protected.
They're never going to get that phone call,
so it's never going to affect them, and he's never going to care.
None of them.
You think Barack Obama, Barack Obama's out there putting out a letter,
basically telling people, guys, keep going.
Keep going.
This is the guy that's still in the lead, still in the lead for deportations.
2025, Trump was behind it by almost 200,000.
By the way, this is, you heard his attitude in 2013 about the border?
Yeah, you saw this guy.
Yes, I'm not an emperor.
This is a good clip to watch.
You know, I'm the president of the United States.
I'm not the emperor of the United States.
States. My job is to execute laws that are passed. And Congress right now has not changed what
I consider to be a broken immigration system. And what that means is that we have certain
obligations to enforce the laws that are in place, even if we think that in many cases the results
may be tragic. There are going to be some stories that break our hearts. And more importantly, we're
going to continue to have an economy that is stifled by a really inefficient system where not only
are we deporting folks, but we also have a legal immigration system that is so bottlenecked that it
forces sometimes people into the illegal system. You know, I'm the president of the United States.
Isn't that weird? Isn't that weird? Isn't that weird?
You can look at the logical argument, but remember from Sol Olenski, the stuff you just showed, Pat,
to the playbooks we're seeing, their first point.
of trigger is emotion.
Toma, that's not it, though.
You're right, but what I'm trying to tell you is,
my friend would always tell me, he says, you know what?
I don't know why, Pat, but every time a Democrat's in,
the protestants goes away, I just want to be peaceful.
I said, that's part of the playbook guy.
That's what they're supposed to sell.
They just won.
They got a guy that does $100 million a year in revenue
to make that comment.
How many of your employees are not going to believe that?
They're going to say, well, if he's doing 100 millionaires,
he must know what he's talking about.
He says when Democrats are there, there's no protesting.
Yes, because Republicans have jobs.
Republicans don't go higher agitators to say come out there,
and that's the playbook of the opposing side.
Now, by the way, you have to realize they have their own set of mistakes
and issues that they're dealing with.
We're not sitting here saying it's perfection there as well.
But when it comes down to this, well, why were they so good to Obama?
because it's the left cooperating with the left.
Why would they not cooperate with the left?
It's don't cooperate with the right.
And this will continue of them not cooperating with the right
because the right is the enemy.
This is a playbook that keeps happening over and over and over and over again.
Rob, can you go back to my Twitter account?
I put this one thing there.
Again, this was go back to the previous one, if you could.
Go up a little bit right there.
That one right there.
The left's formula for creating chaos.
Label opponents as Hitler, Gestapo, or extremists, use that language that inflamed, stoke emotion, hate, fear, animosity,
deploy NGOs to fund-paid protesters and agitators, raise tensions until violence erupts,
exploit the crisis and blame Trump, amplify chaos, gaslight the American people, win elections,
implement bad policies that weaken America empowers enemies, which, by the way, the border, the crimes.
The public eventually recognized the manipulation.
You lose the next election.
Reset, repeat the same play.
voters forget the previous administration
and assume you've changed,
long-term goal destabilize and destroy America.
It's a very simple playbook.
And it's happening right before our eyes
over and over again.
So now this is the question for us to be thinking about.
Do you think this is it
or do you think the temperatures are going to go here,
here, or do you think this is the highest we hit?
It's going to go more, especially when,
are you ready for this,
when an ice agent gets severely injured
because they're biting off their fingers,
and the guy yesterday in front of the hotel that was protecting them,
wait until now the law enforcement, something happens on that side,
it's going to go even worse because there is nothing worse than a on edge already scared.
But like you said, guys, that real-time stuff, all the people that are talking about guns,
they've never held a gun, they've never been in that type of situation.
Once an ice agent gets killed because that's the goal, that's the rhetoric that they want,
once that happens, now you're not going to have both people, both sides,
ready to go. It's going to get worse.
Guarantee it's going to get worse, especially in the next couple
months, midterms. I disagree a little bit.
Go ahead. There's a point where
we call this a low-intensity civil
war, right? It's right on the verge.
It never breaks out because once
it gets too hot, it's not
longer useful, all right? Because if
the fights get too hot, if there's too many
weapons on the street, they can't make
institutional changes. They can't get a guy
elected afterwards. They can't get money for
their NGOs. So they keep it like,
If it's out of 10, they will keep it at a 5, at a 5, at a 5, at a 5.
They will let it go.
You need to know that the media, like Pat Cover,
that they gave Lake and Riley 22 minutes, all right?
So, I mean, they're in control of the mass population still.
Like, things are changing, you know, where the new media and everything.
But they're still in control of the narrative.
They put it together, all right?
So whatever matters, they will hide.
Whatever they want to show, they will show.
And if it gets too hot, it's not longer useful.
And I think the president, I could see that point.
And I love the fact that.
Because then Trump has other tools.
You know what I mean?
If it gets too hard, he has to.
And I'd love that you brought that up because people, I was at fault too.
Last week I was like, Insurrection Act, Instretched Act.
That's exactly what they want.
The moment he calls for that, they're going to say, you see, he's Hitler.
He's a Nazi.
He put Gestapo.
It's part of the playbook.
He's playing perfect, though.
He's not doing it on purpose.
The action is a reaction.
Yeah, for course.
But he's playing it perfect, I think.
So I'm going to go a little inverse here.
I believe the future looks bright because I trust the Constitution.
I trust the next generation, and I trust that there's 50% of people right now think the president's doing a good job.
I trust voices that are pointing out, look, these people have systems, and they're circulating it, and they're making themselves be aware.
I believe the future looks bright, but I think we have stage one cancer, and the chemotherapy and the treatment pat is going to be rough.
And I think it's going to get a little bit hotter and a little bit heavier, but I think that that flame and that heat is going to pure.
and strengthen the ultimate response that I see below the surface and I see coming.
But I think it's going to get a little bit hotter now.
They don't have their person of color with children getting run over in the street by a federal
vehicle.
They don't have that yet.
They want that.
They do not have the really big martyr they want and they're going to keep pushing for it.
So it's going to get tough and it's going to get rough for a little while.
But I believe the future looks bright because I'm seeing things.
such as that President Poll and these people bringing things out, Pat.
I see it, and I believe that below the surface,
there's an America, and there's a spine and a backbone, and a bright tomorrow.
Oh, Tom, just so you know, I'm 100% there,
but you have to also realize.
You, I'm not trying to convince.
No, no, no, no.
When we first started our insurance company, seven people are in the room, okay?
It's 3.30 in a morning.
I'm looking at everybody.
I'm looking at left.
I said, we're starting an insurance company.
And one guy runs out to get his first application in.
He wants to be the first guy to be there, no problem.
But I said, let me just tell you guys something here.
As excited as you guys are, two of you will turn against us and become enemies.
Oh, that will never happen.
I said 100%.
But I said at the night we started a company.
So September 24th morning, so it's 23rd evening going into 24th.
I said two of you were turned.
Within 90 days, two of them turn against the company.
Weird.
And we moved on.
You have to realize it's expected.
There's nobody that goes to this next level,
not expecting games and manipulation and any of that stuff.
I'm just wondering, for those guys, by the way,
that Brian Cranstonstein thing that you showed this morning,
which I was surprised, I had no idea.
Can you pull this up, Rob?
Tom, what did you find about him?
So Cam Higbee and others were able to find a list of the people
that were in the signal chat.
and they created a screen capture.
And then many people created the screen capture
because the signal chat was broken and broke open and exposed.
So you have not one person with AI, multiple people showing it.
Okay, so let's put that first platform pat.
You know what I mean?
Yep.
And then Brian Crasentine, not Ed, but it showed that Brian Cresden.
Now, Ed may have been in there too, but this particular one was Brian.
Brian Cranthine's in there, and people are saying,
what the hell is Brian Crasentine doing in the signal chat for many apps?
to foment, you know, discord and to, you know, interfere with federal officers doing their job from multiple agencies.
And so people started doing that.
And all of a sudden, Brian comes out almost like he has to say something.
I can't read his mind.
But he comes out, yes, it's true.
I'm in the signal group chat.
Cry some more, MAGA.
It's like he's daring people to come after it.
But other people now are also pointing up.
They're going, wait a minute, dude.
If you're in the signal chat, you could be accessory to inciting these riots and interfering with federal officers.
And so Crancetine got busted.
So a long time people have there been allegations out there and you can find them.
And these are allegations that the Crancantin brothers have been taking money from liberal NGOs and that's been funding them.
Allegations are everywhere.
You know, who knows what's right.
But it's interesting that there's so many people and that these guys go to such extent.
to deny it. But that's what we're seeing today. So you have a liberal pundit, Pat, who's out there,
who is in the signal chat along with the lieutenant governor was the admin. Oh, by the way,
and he, him and his brother, they're the ones that are out there like showing people's names.
He's like, he's like, make this person famous. Where's his address? Where's this? These guys are
dangerous. They're doxing. And mind you, like, you guys nailed it. He's untouchable. How can he
get away with it? And what do he respond to the bottom brought? What's his response to the person
to? Or eight there? What's he saying?
The ignorance is genuinely baffling.
Like, it's, they walk around, Tom, when you know that you're not going to get arrested and not getting trouble.
And look who they're flagging.
By the way, I want you to show because you know who retweeted this?
You know who retweeted?
Oh, Elon saw this.
Rob, can you pull up what I just text you?
Elon retweeted the list of names in that group.
Okay.
So those guys are going to play their games.
That's kind of where I was going with this.
There's going to be agitators.
like this. Look at this. Ilan retweeted it. Zoom in a little bit. Thank you. Minneapolis signal
infiltrated. I have infiltrated organizational signal groups all around Minneapolis with the sole
intention of tracking down federal agents and impeding, assaulting and obstructing them.
Buckle up. We will be, all will be revealed. Each area of the city has a signal or several
signals. Let's start with a screen recording of the members of the south side of the, so look,
everyone's name is in there. And you can kind of go and look.
who's in there.
But, you know, this is going to continue.
The enemy's not going to stop.
They're not going to stop playing games.
The interesting part here, which is kind of annoying to them,
is the guy they're going up against.
I'm willing to say if the president doesn't lose the 2020 election,
whatever you want to call 2020 election,
if he's not in there in 2020,
he doesn't do as good of a job he's doing right now as a president
as he would have had.
You know why? Let me explain to you why.
So you come in four years your president.
You choose the wrong team.
Yes.
You choose Pence.
Backstabs you.
Yeah.
You choose how many names can we say that they flipped on them, right?
The Pompeo, the freaking.
Everybody.
All of them.
And everybody would probably do things like, he's just a business.
Guy has no clue what's going on.
This guy's a lightweight.
We will run this.
We'll run this.
We'll run this.
And then he starts fired, fired, fired, fired, fired, fired.
Now he's by himself, almost by himself at the end of the term.
if you think about it.
Of course.
His own VP turns against him.
Of course.
Okay?
So then for four years,
all you're watching is how terrible of a human being you are.
For four years behind closed doors,
he's strategizing and studying the playbook,
talking to everybody and anybody.
You don't think information's coming back to him?
Everything's coming back to him.
Then he comes back for the third term, okay,
which is now the third term.
You know how well-trained he is for this job,
knowing all the playbooks?
he knows all of them.
Anything and everything they tried to do
has been filtered out
and he reads through 90% of the BS.
The 10% still gets through,
but 90% of BS.
That's an enemy.
You don't want a guy like that to go through.
That's who they're dealing with.
We're going to see what happens next,
the decisions he makes next with this.
I don't see this thing slowing down.
And by the way, if you want to go through
a couple different things here,
Rob, pull up what AOC said.
Here's AOC,
urging U.S. Senate to block ICE funding
after armed protester
fatally shot in Minneapolis. Go ahead, Rob.
Foregone conclusion.
But again, Democrats do have the ability.
There are 10 Republicans do need 10 Democratic votes
in the United States Senate to pass
continued unsettled ICE voting with no guardrails
as it stands.
And I think that regardless of where you are
in the Democratic Party, this moment and this incident
proves that the status quo cannot stand.
And I would implore my Democratic colleagues in the Senate
to vote no against maintaining this DHS funding as it stands.
This is their new defund the police.
This is it.
Take the money away.
Take the money away and get them less trained and less thing.
Instead of her saying, hey, guys, let's just get the illegals out.
70% of them are bad.
Let's just clean house.
It's unbelievable.
You're right.
This is working.
And it's scary because they're working.
They're close to it because you have, remember, you've got these Republicans that always tend to go on social issues.
They jump over.
Lisa McCrowski, Alaska, I believe, both senators in Maine and one in Pennsylvania.
That's four of the six we need.
You only need two bleeding hearts to go along with this and they can get what they want to do here, parliamentary style.
Humberto.
this could pass.
You know, like, that does a thing.
Like, you see, you have all the noise on the street,
and she is taking whatever is happening on the street into the Senate.
You know what I mean?
And this is a dangerous thing.
This is when real changes happen.
And they're all working together.
You have the media working together.
You have the guys in the street working together.
And this is taking the action on the street to something tangible
that could pass with the midterms coming around.
You know who comes up for the midterms.
The most radical from both sides.
The most radical Republicans.
against the most radical Democrats.
This will open up,
this will open up new votes,
and it's scary,
and we should be paying attention to this, actually.
Rob, what is this?
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Yeah, there's a Calci on if the government's going to shut down.
I believe the deadline is midnight, Friday night,
which means the shutdown will start Saturday morning.
This Friday night.
This Friday night.
And look how much money's in there.
79%, $8 million already, Rob?
Yes, sir.
Are you, like, come on, like, that's what they want.
and they're going to get it.
80%.
What's the date when it spikes?
Can you go to the date of the spike?
Keep going, keep going, keep going, keep going.
Boom, right?
They're 24th.
So it went from what to what, Rob?
Went from 11.5% chance on Saturday up to 75% chance.
Oh, my God.
That's when Alex, that's when the nurse was shot.
Yes.
Oh, weird.
Weird.
Overnight.
It goes up.
You got to be 64.
percent overnight. Government shut down. And by the way, so you know you can't let a crisis go to
ways. Here's what Newsom is talking about. Gavin Newsom launches vicious attack on president over death
of armed anti-ice protesters. Trump made a shooting happen. Rob, do you have that clip of what he said.
Yesterday, hundreds of thousands of thousands filled the streets of Minnesota, marching a sub-zero
temperatures and a peaceful protest, not the excuse to invoke the Insurrection Act the president
wanted. So today, Trump made a shooting happen. The president.
must end this violent occupation of Minnesota now.
Rob, do you have the clips of them protesting in the streets?
I'll grab on.
Tens of thousands of people.
Vinny, what do you see?
What do you think about when you're seeing Newsom saying what he's saying?
Well, he of all people, I think I mentioned it a little bit earlier.
He's the frontrunner.
He's the guy.
Calci has him on that polling.
He's the number one guy.
There's only one reason he was the only governor to get flown to Davos to go there
and do his presidential, you know, run,
even though they didn't give him the real talk,
but he had the interview about this guy.
California is the exact example of what they want
and how they want it to keep going, okay?
Open the border, keep giving them all the free stuff,
and they're going to keep coming in.
He's the epitome.
He's the epitome of what's happening,
and for all the stuff that's happening in his state,
all the crime, I don't want to keep saying the R word,
all the theft, all the homelessness, all the everything,
he's their guy.
And if we're going to keep going on Bertola,
you're talking about on emotion and everything
and all the white liberal women
who are the ones that are going to be voting
that actually change the vote.
Don't forget angry.
Yeah, very angry.
This is the protesting.
This is it?
I'm looking to verify the date on this,
but it seems to be January 23rd.
Yeah, January 23rd.
So before.
So go to the chat to see if Grock verified it already.
It did right here.
It did?
Okay.
Can we see it, Rob?
Can you just play it to see what it looks like?
At least get somebody that knows how to rock.
Rime lyrics.
Oh, he's horrible.
Here's my question for you.
Besides the midterms, I think the midterms, the Democrats are going to take the midterms.
Do you think this, this event, this moment in time is going to last until 2028 of this momentum
that's going to hurt a Rubio or a J.D. Vance because they're going to be the frontrunners.
That's the real question to me because I believe I'm 1,000 percent.
I don't say the future looks bright just because it's a cool.
No, I truly believe it besides me being a Christian because I know that's people like,
and people like, you know, those stronger Republicans that are stepping up and speaking out.
Do you think this is, what is going to be their thing?
They can't ride this way for another three years.
Renee Good, Alex Freddie.
No, but remember the 13 rules for radicals, Rob, if you go back to it,
they specifically say you have to move on if it gets stale.
Got you.
So remember, one of the rules, I thought it was number six.
Rob, go up a little bit, zoom in?
It's hard to encounter.
Number seven.
Right there.
Which one is it?
A tactic that drags on too long becomes a drag.
So they will move on quick to the next thing.
They can't.
This is their mid-term thing and the Cal Street thing just showed us.
This is their mid-term thing.
Vinnie, this didn't start, this is like face forward.
Like, remember L.A. two months ago?
Like the riots and everything.
Yeah, but we forget about it.
Then it died down a little bit and now is Minnesota.
Yeah.
And then they just need to change the city, change the victim.
and then move on and do it again and do it again and do it again.
Yeah.
So, by the way, last clip here, and I want to go to Jennings.
Can you play the clip by Zoran Mamdani Rob on saying what happened in here is inhumane
and pledges to fight them in New York City?
Go ahead.
You have been horrified, as many people have, by what's been happening with ICE in Minneapolis.
Do you worry that Donald Trump would try to do something similar here in New York City?
And if he does, what do you do about it?
I think just to first take a moment about Minneapolis, it is horrific what we have seen there.
And I think that there are too many Americans who are being asked to not believe their own eyes,
not believe their own ears, not believe their own realities.
And people want to hear the truth.
They want to see the truth.
And that's why I described that as a murder, because there's no other way to watch that video
and come to a different conclusion.
And we know that the fear that so many are living with,
in Minneapolis. It's a fear that New Yorkers are also living with, a fear of being terrorized.
And I will do everything in my power to ensure that we do not see that take place in New York City.
And I've also said clearly to the president that these ice raids, they are cruel, they are inhumane.
They do nothing to serve the interests of public safety.
You can pause it right there. By the way, this was made a few days before the shooting.
So this is not post. This is before. And one of the announcements that Mamdani made,
Rob, if you want to pull this up,
Mom Dani made an announcement
that New York City
will be offering free child care
to illegal immigrants.
So Mom Dani made this clip, and this went viral,
this probably three, four days ago when it went viral
if you want to play this clip. Go forward, Rob.
These are programs for every single New Yorker.
These are not programs that are going to ask
the immigration status of any one of the children.
All of those children are New Yorkers.
They should all be enrolled.
in pre-k and 3K, no matter where they were born or where they come from.
And we are also proud to be a free child care for illegal immigrant families.
Can I ask you?
They are New Yorkers.
From a New Yorker.
I hope if even one New Yorker listen to this, do you understand what he's saying?
He's saying, bring your illegal kid because who's attached to the illegal kid?
The illegal father, the illegal mother.
get here, we will not only protect you
and let you hopefully vote and do everything,
the New York taxpayer is going to pay for it all.
So as a New Yorker, what the hell are you doing?
Pat, it boggles my mind.
I can't, when you see that video as a New Yorker,
what are you doing?
The real deal New Yorkers that are busting their butts
every day going to work in the snow,
with the drama, with the crime,
and you're fine with that?
I don't understand.
all the young boomer or whatever, whoever the hell's voting.
You're stupid.
You're uneducated.
You're uninformed.
That is a freaking dog.
That's saying, hey, just trust me.
I don't give a damn about Trump.
I don't care about the federal government.
You come here.
We're going to pay for you.
We're going to pay for your kid.
Tom, am I losing my mind?
No, you're not.
And so all the things that he campaigned on,
you have to look at what's needed right now.
What's needed right now is emotional triggers.
And when he came out and people found out,
behind the curtain that, oh, buses were going to be free or, you know, cut in half on price,
not the subway.
And people are saying, why in the subway free?
Why aren't we doing this?
Oh, he had to explain his way around that, right?
And he doesn't have budget to keep the subway going unless they keep collecting fares.
And the new subway turnstiles where we're being failed if you just hung a hoodie on one
thing and then the thing popped open and all your friends walk through, grab your hoodie and go.
So he doesn't have an emotional thing.
Children.
Child care.
Now it's an emotional issue where he is a benevolent dictator
bringing emotion to the fore to be giving something for free
because give it to them for free win their vote.
That's the playbook.
This is on brand and on time giving the backdrop of what's happening elsewhere.
We need to pass a law.
The word free doesn't exist.
It's taxpayer funded, all right?
That nothing is free.
Like not the buses, not the childcare, no nothing.
I think we should pass a law in Congress and Senate
to like every government official that uses the word free
it needs to be changed to taxpayer
because it's very different because I don't know
like here in the Miami area you have the STD testing ones
have you seen them around the street
and it says free testing and it's actually us paying for the testing
you know it's us paying for the childcare
it's us paying for the buses free condoms
no nothing is free doesn't exist from the government
imagine like of all the things to upset you
free STD testing is what's upsetting, Inberto.
Like, honestly, pay it yourself.
I wouldn't get into it, but there's moral reasons why you'd upset me.
No, no, I get that because you don't get the pleasure, so why are you paying for somebody else's pleasure?
I get it.
So they should all die of syphilis in jail like Al Capone.
Humberto is very, very interesting angle.
Free, free is not, it's never free.
You're right.
It's such, it's one of, it's a curse word, right?
It's a manipulative word.
It's the worst four-letter.
word we have, right? If you think about it, it is the easiest way to manipulate people.
And so Bill Maher is not too happy with Mom Dani. Here's what Bill Maher had to say about
Mom Dani. So Bill is minding his own business, doing his own show, and then all of a sudden,
boom. Here's Bill Maher on Mom Dany. Go for it, Rob.
It matters that the mayor stands by, and I, so I assume, stands with someone who says
things like, if you don't believe in the government's sacred right to seize private property,
it's over. Seize private property. Home ownership is racist. Elect more communists. Private property,
especially home ownership, is a weapon of white supremacy. Really? Even among the 20 million
black Americans who own their own home? I mean, these are the kind of utterances, I might forgive,
as something a dumb white girl said while she was at brin-war. Because it's the kind of
of privilege hating you can only learn for $95,000 a year.
But these are statements made as an adult.
Yes, for co-eds from elite private colleges,
you're only a lesbian until graduation,
but the communism lasts a lifetime.
Democrats seem to be having this debate,
whether or not Mayor Mahmaldani is a socialist
or a democratic socialist.
Let me settle it.
He's a straight-up communist.
How do I know this?
Look at the clapping.
Not that much.
No.
Posit, pause it, right there?
By the way, great point.
They pull up the clapping sign and 80% is like, no, I'm not doing it.
I'm not doing it for this.
Tough crowd.
It's not a tough crowd.
No, it's a white liberal crowd in L.A.
What I'm trying to say is credit to him for saying this in front of a crowd that doesn't support him.
Heck yeah.
How many people clap?
Go back, Rob, 40%.
No, I think it's less.
15.
10, 15%.
Go back and play it.
Play it, Rob.
Let's hear the clapping.
How many, how many clap?
Well, what hand is that?
Go back, go back, go back.
Can you do me a favor?
And is this HBO, Rob?
Yes, sir.
Okay, so let's find this out.
When Bill Maher does his HBO show,
how many people are usually in the audience?
100 to 150.
I want to know what the number.
It's about 100 to 150, right?
That's the number.
Have you been to it?
You've been in front of Bill Ma'am?
It's about 100 to 150?
Okay.
So it says about 100.
Okay.
Of the 100, how many clapped?
In that room?
Yeah. 10 max.
Go back again, Rob. I really want to go back 10 seconds. Go back 10 seconds. Keep going.
Go ahead. Right there. That's good.
Straight up communist. How do I know this?
It's not a hundredth.
So his own audience is not happy with them. Go ahead. Keep playing it.
In the lines when one of his major advisors says, elect more communists, which is fine.
It's fine. It's a belief system. He's allowed to believe it and people are allowed to vote.
vote for it. But if liberals deny it, like he's just going through a goth phase, they're
going to lose more elections. This is not a communist country. And this is the pendulum never
lands in the middle problem I'm always bitching about. Really, the choices we get here are
either the worst version of crony capitalism or communism, either a side deal for the Trump family
every time he does business overseas, or the lady who says,
impoverished the white middle class.
Oh, yeah, there's a great campaign slogan for you.
Honestly, as New York mayoral races go,
I was less creeped out by Anthony Wiener's dick.
I'd be clapping.
What do you think about what he just said?
Pat, I'm spitting like this guy.
As a guy from, by the way, take 30 seconds.
Tell the audience your background so they know where you're from.
I'm sitting on the right all the time.
That's why I'm spit.
Where are you from?
Go back, LeVette.
Who's from Bertho?
Who's me?
Well, I was born in Chile, grew up in Dubai under a monarchy, best system, then came to school here.
I like democracy better, though.
You're a shot.
But I came here, went to school here, you know, and then I went back to Chile, ran out of eyeballs,
and then I sent an email to...
to validate him.
I was like, hey, there's not enough Chileans.
Like, I need more eyeballs.
You apply to us from Chile?
Yeah.
Stop it.
Yeah, I wouldn't have been hired.
Wow.
Wait to find out who was behind the line.
All right, well, welcome here.
So now go back and tell your story of what you think about what Bill Maher said about.
This guy I love and hate at the same time.
No, I'm telling you, scripted Bill Maher.
He's the best.
Like, I think he's funny.
He's scripted.
He is scripted.
But when he's on Club Random, I'm like, who is this guy?
You know what I mean?
Like, I don't miss HBO show, but I'm,
can't watch his podcast.
Like, I don't know if I'm alone here.
But he has some funny jokes there.
You know, you make a great point.
You know why?
Because he has over 10 to, I want to say, 15 writers writing that monologue.
And at least they're adjusting.
Yeah, he's very talented.
He's very talented.
Because he, dude, you think they're done.
They're not watching the trends of mainstream media.
You got to play both sides.
That's why he's tolerable and why the show keeps going.
If he was just all anti-Trump, he went and sat with Trump.
You think he really wanted to do that?
Absolutely not
It's a great show Vinnie
No, but like
If you think I sit there and watch that show
I just watch the clips
Like in moments like this
But at the end of the day
You heard what he said
It's either crony
Capitalism or that guy
Oh really?
Or what?
Joe Biden?
He doesn't mention Joe Biden
He doesn't mention Joe Biden
He doesn't mention Obama
He doesn't mention
George Bush Jr.,
the freaking
The war guy
Like come on man
It's like you're never
gonna get something perfect
Who do they want?
They want a perfect candidate
Well maybe let's
Let's show some data
because maybe Democrats are happy with Democrats.
Here's a poll from Arienton.
Rob, if you want to pull up,
and, I mean, maybe this is going to prove us so wrong.
It's going to be, we'll risk it.
We'll play the clip and we'll risk it.
I mean, this may be a bad situation here, but go ahead, Rob.
I'm sure they're not themselves.
What does this poll?
What do Democrats poll say about Democrats?
Go ahead, Rob.
Take a look at how Democrats who disapprove of congressional Democratic leaders.
Hello.
We're talking about 57% in January of June.
26, the second highest disapproval rate for Democratic leaders from their own party on record.
It's only beat by what we saw earlier on in this Congress when it was 61%.
There's basically been no improvement.
Democrats hate their own congressional leaders.
These numbers are awful, awful, awful.
Man, I thought it was going to be the other way around.
That's why I said I'll risk it.
That's three off.
Why do you think that is, Tom?
Why do you think that is?
Because guess what?
the core, you know, you look at the fringes and what Bill Maher was talking about, the fringe,
the fringe that got elected in New York City, and we're talking about the fringes.
And the core, the core has sensibility.
Like we saw Bill Maher at his core speaking about what a lot of Americans feel, oh, impoverous
of white middle class.
There's a campaign slogan.
He's right.
And now what you have here is the core of the Democrat Party does not like what they see.
the core of the Democrats that are in Iowa, and there's a lot of Democrats in Iowa,
I'd love to see what do Iowa Democrats think about AOC.
You know what you're going to see? That's exactly what you're going to see.
You want to go to outside suburban Chicago, people that have been Mayor Daly,
legacy Democrats for many, many years grew up in blue, but we're not part of, you know,
protest or things.
Asked them what they think of AOC, ask them what they think of Bernie.
You know what you get?
That's exactly what it is.
There's a core that looks at it and goes, man, I don't like this.
Just like there's a core on the moderate Republicans right now that don't like what they see in what they regard as, oh, this is military on the street, just picking people up because they don't appreciate the difficulty of executing immigration reform and deporting people.
Vinnie.
So, Humberth, you were going to say something.
We saw this happening, like, to the richest man in the world.
We saw Elon Musk, who was like dead center Democrat.
and then over time because of this radicals because of this,
now he's far right.
You know, like they're shifting.
They're shifting, like exactly what Tom said.
Like normal establishment guys that, you know,
they want more fair treatment of the middle class
and they want to give in a little bit more.
Those guys have been alienated by all these crazy communists.
Ruperto, is your wife also Chilean?
No.
She's what?
From a country that just got liberated.
Oh, really?
Yeah.
Venezuela.
Yeah.
Okay.
She had a crazy story.
It's a crazy story.
crazy story, but I just hope this translates to those voters.
Because at the end of the day, what is it?
We need those people, and I'm just being honest, to have the heart, like the Elon's and all
these people, to shift.
Because the Democrat, you know what the Democratic Party is basically like, guys?
Like, this is the analogy in my head.
They have a losing football team franchise.
They just, they're losing.
They're the Jets.
The Democrats are the Jets.
I'm ready for this?
They're losing.
J-E-T-S.
Lose, lose, lose.
It's just over and over, and now they just found out, you ready for this?
Their head coach is involved in cheating, and their quarterback is doing drugs, and there's a bunch of craziness.
But as a jet stand...
Meanwhile, the freaking Patriots rebuilt, and there they go again.
Yeah, but you ready for this?
But as a Jets fan, this is the problem, they're not going to leave.
Remember that video of that kid that they stopped them?
He goes, I just hate that being a Jet fan.
What am I going to do?
My parents' fault.
My parents' fault.
It's their fault.
He's nice little kid.
He's got a jet jersey.
He's going there, his parents got him a ticket.
He's destroyed.
He's destroyed.
Well, you're ready for this?
You can't jump ship because you know how embarrassing it is?
Everybody's going to make fun of you.
Everybody's going to come after you so they're stuck.
But I think the goal is to just common sense.
Since I came to valutainment, you said this one of the first things.
Common sense.
If you can't see what's happening, take your budget.
I'm very emotional.
I'm the angry patriot.
But I can have the common sense to take the emotion out of it, take a step back and go,
why do they care so much about the illegals?
Why do they care so much about LGBTQ?
Why do they care about problems that no 80% of America doesn't agree with?
But they go off emotion and it's switching the party.
We need those people.
We need the Elon's.
Donald Trump used to vote Democrat.
We got Donald Trump.
We got Elon Musk.
All these guys are leaving billions, trillions of dollars are leaving California because they're waking up.
I love this stat because Tommy made a great point.
It's the voters.
It's the people that are actually, it's the money that care about the country.
That's a great freaking stand.
I hope it keeps going higher.
Well, we'll see.
We'll see if it's going to continue or not because, you know,
this is good with CNN showing this,
but how will this translate in November?
Exactly.
That's what's going to matter.
How will it translate in November?
There's something going on right now that it's problematic.
This is two years in a row back to back.
China's leaders are being accused of leaking secrets.
Did you see this one story, Tom?
Okay, so check this out.
China's top general.
The general?
Yeah, accused of giving nuclear secrets to the,
U.S. Rob, do you have the clip on that?
Yes.
Go forward.
China's most senior general is under investigation.
Its defense ministry said on Saturday in what is Beijing's highest profile perch of the top brass to date.
Zhang Yosea is being probed over suspect a serious violation of discipline and law.
The ministry said he has not been seen in public since November when he held talks with Russia's defense minister in Moscow.
The veteran modernizer was widely seen as President Xi Jinping's closest military ally.
The 75-year-old was Xi's second in command as vice-chairman of the Central Military Commission.
Foreign diplomats and security analysts are watching developments closely, given Zhang's closeness to Xi.
His removal may also impact the Commission's work in terms of command, as well as the
People Liberation Army's ongoing military modernization and posture.
The military was one of the main targets of a broad corruption crackdown ordered by Xi in 2012.
Eight top generals were expelled from the ruling Communist Party on graft charges in 2025.
The ministry on Saturday said Liu Zhen Li, chief of staff of the commission's joint staff
department, was also under investigation.
Okay, you can pause it right there.
He's gone.
They haven't seen him since November.
He's gone.
He's not giving secrets to us.
Why is this a pattern, though?
This happened two years in a row now, Tom.
Where are you at with this?
Well, I'll tell you, spying works both ways, number one.
And then number two, people have said for a long time that the,
is that military leaders in China are not like,
the military leaders in Germany. What was the thing? You know, we were just following orders when they were
when they were put on trial. Remember? I was just following orders. And they're looking at it and there are
military leaders in China that have been said that are disgusted with how people are really being
treated. And every now and then, you know, we've got spies over there. You know, we've got things that we do
over there. I mean, you know, they're sending, you know, honey pots over here for Eric Swalwell. I
I'm sure the CIA knows how to send an only fan's girl or two over to China.
It's the same thing.
I'm not making a joke.
No, no, you're right.
You know, it's men's weakness.
And so the combination of they actually are disgusted by what they see is treatment of their people, number one.
And number two, they're susceptible to spying into techniques as everybody else.
And then they sit there and think, well, we're never really going to have a nuclear or we're not going to launch these at each other.
And I'll get a little bit of money or I'll get a little bit of this.
and I'll just go ahead and do it.
Well, what happens is now, why does China announce it is the bigger one?
Why didn't China just keep this under wraps?
That's a good question.
You see?
It's because what they're about to do to this guy,
they want everybody else in the military to know it went down.
That's what they want.
Otherwise, they would hide this.
China never shows weakness.
They lie about economic stats so that they don't show weakness.
The only way they do this with this woman's voice and everything,
to let everybody else in the military know what's about to go down.
Now, what are you at?
Not everybody speaks Chinese.
There's different layers.
Like, they can make an example out of someone and keep it inside of China.
I think this can be a little bit of noise.
We caught three spies in the last year, like three Chinese.
Agriculture, generous, being inspired.
Oh, the two in Minnesota with the poisons and the fungus for the crops.
That's how, you know, that's how it works.
It's a terrible year for Timberwolves.
I mean it's like terrible years
but what I was going to get at
is that they're in big trouble
you know we've been covering like their aging population
that was the biggest strength of China
like they gave the world this
this idea of like unlimited population growth
that they're going to take over by making babies
then the second thing you have a debt divin
they only have one
or less than one then you have
an economy that is collapsing
you know like if you if you see
their housing market
and the debt they have taken
in the last few years
and how is it exploding their face?
It's unbelievable.
Ghost cities and actually tearing down
giant apartment buildings.
They call them tofu buildings.
And then you have a very rigid
that Xi Jinping is his doing.
He has centralized all the power
into one guy.
You know what I mean?
So you have a very rigid structure
and a very rigid
like house commanded.
So I don't know.
This is not looking good.
I think they're trying to like
divert attention
from something else's
going on there. What this is leading to is over the weekend, Trump threatens 100% tariff on Canada
if it makes a deal with China and Carney pushes back. But let me read the first one. First,
if Governor Carney, of the 51st state Canada thinks he is going to make Canada drop off port
for China to send goods and products into the U.S., he is sorely mistaken. China will eat Canada
alive completely devour it, including the destruction of their businesses, social fabric, and general
way of life. If Canada makes a deal with China, it will immediately be hit with 100% tariff against
all Canadian goods and products coming into the U.S. Thank you for your attention to this matter.
President DJT. Rob, can you pull up the clip of Carney responding to this? Because obviously,
if you remember, it looked like him and Carney were getting along because he chose Carney over
Pierre Poliev when Pierre lacked diplomacy.
Everybody saw that when he would only eat the apple and not go meet with people.
And here's Carney responding to the president.
How are you responding to Trump's threats of 100% terrorists?
Well, the first thing is that, you know, Canada respects our engagements, our commitments.
Yeah, there's engagement.
The, no, the CM, there's, we have commitments under Kuzma that not to pursue free
trade agreements with non-market economies without prior notification.
We have no intention of doing that with China or any other non-market economy.
What we've done with China is to rectify some issues that developed in the last couple of
years.
In many respects, we're going to use the expression back to the future with respect to
EVs, with respect to agriculture, with respect to fish products and other food products,
but with additional protections.
So, for example, back in 2023, we didn't have a cap on the number of EVs.
We didn't have a requirement for a large proportion of those EVs to be affordable, highly affordable EVs for Canadians.
So it's entirely consistent with Kuzma, with our obligations, which we very much respect.
Tom, what's going on here?
So let me translate that for you.
China got Canada to agree to take BYD, which is the largest EVM.
in the world by number of units and to send over their $30,000 EVs, which is not going to be good
for Tesla. But what Mark Carney is doing there is dancing around a simple truth. He went back
and renegotiated with China, which he feels is a trade deal that's good for Canada, and that's how
he's spinning it. Meanwhile, President Trump is pointing out that the 2.3 trillion economy,
of Canada, which is less than half of California, that, by the way, Rob, I don't know if you can find
this in a flash. I didn't tell you. I believe, Pat, 21% of their GDP is what they import from
us, and 17% of their GDP is what they export to us. So I think it's 35, 36% of Canada's 2.3 trillion
GDP depends on trade with the United States. So there it is. Imports from the U.S.
constitute 19% of Canada's GDP. So it's like you're making a deal with China that Trump is
trying to work with right now in Corner. And yet one third of your GDP depends on back
and forth trade with the United States. Are you high? Do you not think that Trump's going to go,
wait, what's he doing? Sir, he made some sort of conciliation deal.
with China and he's going to take the low-cost EVs over into what about General Motors
EVs what about Tesla EVs well it's going to hurt them because they're bringing over the
China car and he says what the hell is on his mind hang on where's my phone it's like and
then there comes Trump Governor Carney does it again that's what's going on he cut a deal
with China when Trump's trying to corner China
Umberto this trade Alberta for Minnesota all right that that's what we that's
trade that we need straight up straight up we grab alberta they keep minnesota and we're even uh i i sent rob
a chart uh and i got this from from from tom like to show like can you please strike to find
can't find canada on this map let me look all right i can't actually find canada rob where is it has to
be really small there it is up at the top at 12 o'clock right there all right 12 o'clock right 12
And by way, United States last year, above USA and I see it.
That has grown.
Canada's 2.3 in the United States is 31.
So what are we talking about, right?
Like, Trump said it.
Like, Canada depends on the U.S.
There's nothing without us.
And they're trying to play a ball and get Chinese cars to their borders.
Like, I don't know.
Like, I think they look a lot bigger than they actually are.
They shouldn't be even sitting at the table.
I'm probably banned from Canada already.
But it's not a good look at all.
look at it from the position of China
right I was about to say Taiwan
Taiwan if you look at the position of it and it's exactly where I was going
if you look at the position from China
China's probably sitting there saying wait a minute
who's Canada to us Taiwan
why are you building relationships with them
the US is like because we can't
he said well I'm going to do business with Canada
and US is like no you can't
and China says why can't I
and US says because
Taiwan is
a very different
relationship,
you're just trying to get to Canada
to disrupt our relationship.
And in this sense,
if Carney decides to play ball with China,
which it looks like he's falling forward,
U.S. offers security, protection,
U.S. offers so many different things.
You know, Canada is safe by association.
You know, it's like going to a nightclub
with the toughest guy in the street
thinking you're tough.
You're not tough. You're safe because you went to the club with the toughest guy on the street. Go to that same club in the hood
Without that tough guy you walk in in a very different way. Make sense? That tough guy is America
Yeah, when you walk is like hey, what's up? Yeah, so what are you gonna do?
It's like well, what are you? You know? You know what are you gonna say something? Yeah, and then all of a sudden America leaves
Hi, how are you? How is everything? Families good? How's your daughter doing? You didn't care about my daughter last year now you
do? Yeah, I really do. I always did. No, you did. We saw your buddy leave. He didn't go to the bathroom.
He left. Yes. So I get what Trump is doing here. Man, my only thing is, let me tell you what my only
concern. My only thing is, does he have enough time left to negotiate this aggressively?
Does he have enough time left to continue negotiating this aggressively? I don't know.
It's either he's got 10 months or he's got what? What's the other one? Thirty-four months.
That's what he's got left. Ten months or 34 months? Who knows?
what happens afterwards. Can you really get everything he wants to get done in the next 10 months or
34 months? Do you think he can? In the next 10 months or 34 months? I believe in him.
You believe they can get everything done in the next 10 months or 34 months? Tom, what do you think?
No, I think we've now entered into the window of certain international parties are going to stall
because now they're saying hang tight, hang tight. All you have to do is get through the American summer
because then this guy's going to have trouble in the midterms
and then he's going to have to do different things on trade.
I think that the China and others may be about to play that.
I think he can get 40% of it, 50% of it done, Pat.
But there's a couple big things I think are going to be really tough to get done
before the midterms.
And after the midterms, if they're too nasty, it makes it more difficult.
I agree.
By the way, Rob, you run a very good poll if you can pull it up.
You got 2,000 votes already.
I think it's a good sample to look.
at Rob ran a poll saying who needs who more. Canada needs the U.S. needs Canada. They both need
each other. Neither needs the other. Ready? 77% said Canada needs the U.S. 3% says the U.S.
need Canada. 15% said they need each other. And 5% said neither needs each other. Okay. It's pretty
wild when you look at that. Because if you take out the last two options, they both need or neither
needs and you just take the top two, it would end up being around 96.5 to 4, 3.5%
96.5. Canada needs U.S. 3.5% U.S. needs Canada. It's, it's,
Carney better kind of sit down and figure out how to negotiate with this guy in the U.S.
Or else, you know, this is just going to keep getting. By the way, look at what happened to it.
It just went to 783. This is not looking pretty for Canada. When it comes to the moves that we've
seen Trump doing on defense.
We're talking about the Golden Dome, right?
That's Canada one of the outside the Golden Dome.
I have a shot of protecting your family, your country.
Your country for free.
For free.
We're talking about Greenland.
Trump is not messing around the Arctic.
And he's going to do everything that is in his power.
This national defense.
And Canada needs great leadership.
That's what Canada needs.
You're talking about a country that has a GDP that is bigger than Russia.
And you're talking about something that by comparison is small.
But we have this robust trading partner.
They need better leadership.
There is a reason after those truckers were stopped there that when you're talking about trading Alberta,
Albertans were saying trade us.
Albertans were saying, hey, you know what?
We'll be ultra-north Texas.
Let's make a swap.
And they weren't aware of what's going in Minnesota.
But Minnesota can go into the I've lost my mind, Quebec Quad Division and do.
it. But you have to remember, there's a country up there that's got a lot of conservative people
that are in Alberta in particular. And they have built a GDP bigger than Canada. But right now,
they've got terrible leadership. And the last election, you think we were in pain about our
choices. They were in pain going, can you imagine the people that were moderate and conservative
going, is Polivir actually going to blow this? I can't believe this. He did. It's one of the worst ever
in the history of mankind, at least in our lifetime with what he did.
And honestly, I don't want to go and give him a hard time about it.
But he's probably one to...
We would never do that.
No, not right now.
I don't want to do that.
But, you know, a guy menacks me from Canada.
And he doesn't want to leave Canada.
He loves Canada.
But he says, Pat, you have to realize in Canada, this is the fear of people have in Canada.
You can't say anything pro about Canada.
God forbid you say anything pro about Canada.
You won't even believe what happens to it.
You say anything pro about Trump in Canada?
Well, you know, Trump's got a good point.
Trump's got this, Trump's got that.
Until they get over that fear of the values and principles being comfortable talking about,
maybe Trump is right about a couple things.
Until they do that, they're going to continue living on this socialistic, whatever regime
you want to talk about in Canada.
By the way, some of the best people in the world, if you want to go have convert, they're funny,
they're loud, they're cool to be around, they're tough in their own way.
And by the way, just so you know, good luck walking around anywhere here without running into Canadians.
I'll get my next room, guys will say, Pat, I just moved from Toronto to Fort Lauderdale.
How do I make friends here?
I'm trying to find some.
I got a family.
I got kids.
I'm a businessman.
I'm this.
I said, Meneck me.
I'll introduce you to the boardroom.
We'll become a member.
You'll make friends.
And it happens all the flipping time here.
All right.
Let's continue.
Let me get to the next door here.
Next story I want to get to is Scott Jennings.
And I know I'm going back to one of the stories,
but I have to show you this because there's two clips I want to show.
This is the fear porn that you have to be thinking about.
Scott Jennings has to explain to CNN why immigration enforcement officers
run smoothly in other states, but not in Minnesota.
Watch this exchange here, folks.
This is Scott does a clinic.
Go forward.
On this new reporting that we just heard from our Kristen Holmes at the White House,
that President Trump is frustrated with.
the messaging around his immigration efforts and wants to change the narrative. How do you see it?
Well, I'd be frustrated too if I were faced with this wall of propaganda every single day.
And if I were faced with these recalcitrant Democrats in Minnesota who simply won't cooperate
with the federal government all over this country, states and cities all over the country,
you have cooperation going on between the locals and the federal government. You don't see
any chaos. You see very orally transitions of illegal aliens into federal custody. They go into
deportation. It works just fine. The only
difference in Minnesota is you have walls and Fry and Flanagan and the rest of these local
Democrats who don't want to cooperate. They think that Minnesota somehow should exist and I guess
some state of secession where federal laws don't apply to people inside the state of Minnesota.
It is causing chaos. And if I were the president, I would be frustrated about that too because
narratives aside, he's the chief law enforcement officer of the United States and he has to enforce
the law in all 50 states. Bingo. Bingo. Very simple. Go ahead. Cooperative.
Great. Simplify. Let's work as a team. But watch this. Jake Tampa has a guest on that's selling fear porn at the highest level folks. Just letting you know, even Jake had to stop this guy. I don't know if he fully does or not. Rob, you know which clip I'm talking about?
Yep. Even Jake was stunned. Say that again? Yeah, Jake Tapper stunned as Minnesota business owners suggest ice agents could start putting people in ovens.
This is, you're joking. This is not.
No, you have, Rob, is this the clip?
Yes, sir, hang on one second.
And is this from, what do you call it?
From the last 48 hours?
This is the rumble.
It's on rumble.
It's on rumble.
I'm trying to get it up, but I have two ads that I have to play.
But yes, I believe this was from this weekend.
Let me see.
If I can't, if it's going to be a long time, Rob, we'll skip to a different story because if it's not on a different place.
I'll go to a different story until this one freshen's up and we'll come back to it.
So next story I want to get to is this, okay?
Trump skips Super Bowl in California,
criticizes performers Bad Bunny and Green Day.
Now, if you watch this closely with Bad Bunny and Green Day,
apparently Bad Bunny is supposed to be performing in a dress,
which I think he changes mind that he's now not wearing a dress, okay?
Allegedly, we don't know that.
He can still come up and surprise and wear a dress.
You probably will dress to impress at Super Bowl, but won't wear a dress.
Nobody knows.
He could be playing games.
President Trump's on Saturday.
He's going to be skipping next month's Super Bowl, slamming the halftime performers and griping that the California game is gone too far.
Trump, who attended last year's game between Philadelphia Eagles and the Chiefs in New Orleans, told the Post, it's just too far away.
I would.
I've gotten great hands at the Super Bowl.
They like me.
This year's Super Bowl will be held.
Levi Stadium in Santa Clara, California.
He added, I would go if you know, if it was a little bit shorter,
the president slammed the NFL for choosing Bad Bunny in Green Day.
President had also openly critical of headline performer Bad Bunny
since he was chosen for last year's performance during the halftime show.
I don't know who he is, Trump told Newsmax, I don't know why they're doing it.
It's crazy.
And then they blame it on some promoter they hired to pick up entertainment.
I think it's absolutely ridiculous.
Rock band Green Day was also selected in the last.
week to play before the kickoff.
Bad Bunny and Green Day frontman, Billy Joe Armstrong,
are both liberal performers who have been vocal about their dislike of Trump.
So, Tom, why do you think they're doing this?
Why is it such a big deal?
Or is it?
Maybe it's not.
Well, let's look at the NFL.
The NFL hired somebody, and I think, can you help me out, Vinny?
I thought it was Jay-Z, that they did hire a music industry producer
to bring them the halftime show,
and they want to reach new and younger audiences.
That's why Brut Spring scene's not doing it.
Billy Joel's not doing it.
You know, what's left of, yeah, it was Jay-Z.
Jay-Z and Rock Nation, partner with the NFL to produce a halftime show.
So the NFL says, hey, bring us more different consumers, bring us the younger audience.
To me, Pat, that is a rational move by the NFL.
But now the NFL is hiding behind the contrary.
because, you know, performers being performers, musicians being musicians, liberals being liberals,
are now saying things about it.
And just a couple weeks ago at the college football championship game between University of
Miami and Indiana, when Trump showed up, the place came down.
They cheered for Trump.
They loved him there.
And so Trump's saying, yeah, I don't think I want to go here.
If you're going to have people that are like this and doing this and it's a long way out
there. But the real issue is the NFL wanted to get more viewers, Pat, Pat, you run businesses.
And if you told marketing, hey, we need to open up a little bit to make sure that all of our
products get to people that are going to buy them. And they came back and they were way on
the edges and they were advertising in communist China. You would have been like, excuse me, you
did what? Well, you said get more consumers. Yeah, but this is completely controversial.
And this is not what we want. That's what the NFL.
is right now. They're on this island having to blame the promoter, and that's what they're doing
in a very gentle way. Well, we turned it over to a promoter. We asked them to bring us new and
younger audiences for the NFL. And gosh, we find ourselves in the middle of this, but you know what?
You know, we really trusted the promoter to put together a halftime show. And our past several
years have been, you know, award winning, very recognized, great shows, and now we've got this
little controversy. That's what they're doing. Vinnie.
I think good choice on the president.
If he doesn't want to go, he doesn't want to go.
He went to the national football game.
Why?
Where was the game played?
Here at the Hard Rock Stadium.
Here in Florida.
He went to Navy.
He went to Navy.
He went to, by the way, people that come and support us because they believe in the vision,
they believe in you.
They believe in what the mission is at value attainment.
They support us.
Why would you go support the NFL for anything?
This is the same NFL that had end racism in the end zones,
the biggest, you know, woke freaking thing that they had.
They have kneeling with Talon Kaepernick,
who to me was stoking and promoting all this freaking...
All kinds of teams.
Neal, defund the police.
Defund the police and the racism.
Then you have Green Day, who is just the most anti...
They go on concerts and they go up there and they make it political.
And it's like, bro, you're 50 years old and you're coloring your hair green.
And then you have a cross-dressing Latino who during a Yankees game
sat purposely.
for God bless America.
So why would the president want to go and support that?
And when he says he doesn't know who Bad Bunny is, good for him.
I mean, I've heard Bad Bunny songs.
I don't follow him.
I don't care.
I think it's a good move to send the message and say,
listen, if you guys want to be anti-America
and all this pushing division, I'm not going to go and support it.
Decisions have got a crazy question for you guys.
And here's what the question is.
You ready?
Since 1967, which presidents?
Don't look it up.
Rob, you can on your own.
since 1967.
No, don't do it while there because I'll look at it.
Since 1967, which U.S. presidents
are the only ones that were a sitting president
that went to the Super Bowl game?
That did?
That went.
Which presidents are the only ones
that were sitting president since 67?
We're talking 50, 69 years,
which are the only U.S. presidents
to have ever gone to a Super Bowl
that were sitting president.
There's more than one.
Was it Trump?
I think it's a very small number.
They used to make a phone call to the winning coach.
Who do you think it is?
Trump for sure.
Who are the only ones?
Okay, who else?
George Bush.
Bush.
I don't think Bill's slick Willie went.
Who else?
Who else?
Tom?
You're a sports guy.
I'm going to go with W and first term Trump.
The only president that has ever gone to the Super Bowl that was a sitting president since
1967 is Donald J. Trump.
Weird.
Only.
Only one.
No other president have ever.
Rob, what is the other kid?
Did you fact check this to see whoever else it is?
Sitting.
Sitting president.
Were they sitting?
Bush was one of them?
It says in 2006 he attended.
So yeah, he was in office at that time.
So you got only two of them.
So you got two of them.
So Bush and Trump are the only ones that ever attended.
And where did Donald Trump attend?
Rob, can you ask that question from Chad GBT as well?
See what Chad GBT tells you?
Ask the same question from Grock and Chad GBT.
Isn't it a while that him not going the market?
it is a little bit surprise because he goes to everything.
It's not surprising.
It's a great statement.
Like, this is my first season that I watched a full season of football.
Tremendous.
The thing to do on Sunday.
I love it.
And having this guy...
See, Rob, Chad, GBT, says not to Bush.
Yep.
And so does Grock.
Grock also says, not a sitting president.
But Google says...
Trump is the only sitting.
Sitting.
He's the only sitting president.
Ronald Reagan did the coin toss by satellite.
But it was a remote point toss.
Yeah. It was on Zoom back in the 80s.
All right.
There was no Zoom, but.
Yeah.
Okay. So it was Trump.
Go ahead, Humberty. We're going to say something.
No, I was going to say, first of all, this is a great statement.
I think Bad Bunny.
I give Grinde a little bit of a pass because at least they're, oh, they're Canadian or they're American.
Are they Canadian?
Oh, don't make it worse for me.
They're little more.
Bashing the country?
To the point is Bad Bunny when he got started.
Oh, from California, Rodeo.
Rodale.
I give them a little bit of a pass for being critical.
But Bonnie doesn't speak the language.
He's just trying to be political.
And this relates to the first story that we covered, all right?
Rob's putting his pants on.
Bob, what are you doing?
This relates to the first story that we covered with Minnesota.
If you think that the left is playing chess, you're wrong.
All right?
They're playing go.
Have you guys ever played go?
No.
It's about goat or go?
Go.
The Chinese game.
It's a religious game.
Well, go ahead.
You're saying...
Yeah, the Chinese game
is about using spaces on the board.
Yeah.
All right?
Spaces could be a protest in Minnesota
or it could be having bad bunny
dress as a woman on the halftime show.
In my personal opinion, we need Creed.
That's all we need.
Creed and Metallica.
That's it.
I have her, her.
Everyone would love that show.
You know what I do think,
I think he's going to rip something off
and have a dress on, bad bunny.
But I'm telling you right now,
if Green Day
says a political or wears a shirt that's like anti-Trump or whatever,
I'm never going to watch the NFL again.
Because I didn't watch any football.
I barely watch any of it.
If they do something stupid like that, I'm not watching.
Do you watch a jet still?
I don't want.
I'm a Giants fan.
I've won my Super Bowl.
That's actually not quite NFL anymore.
You do have a point.
Well, I'm a giant.
So let me tell you yesterday, but I don't want to get sidetracked.
All of a sudden, I got Cod watching the, the,
story of this Benson, what's his name, Benson something, the singer, what's his last name?
Benson Boone? What a freaking voice. This kid who's an 18-year-old kid, learns to sing,
he goes to American Idol, performs the song, drops out, comes out, puts the song out that goes viral.
What's the big song that he has, Rob, beautiful something? What is it called?
Beautiful things. Oh my God. Do you know this guy or no? I've heard of him, but I'm not an incredible
performer. He does the backflips.
Anyways, yesterday we're wanting
to, you know, me, Sena, Tico, Dylan are sitting
watching this guy perform. His song
is actually, the lyrics are a powerful,
powerful song the way he,
I think you would actually like the song. I'll text it to you afterwards.
Okay. All right, let's not get distracted. Let's stay
focused, everybody. Stay focused on what's going on.
Next story I want to get to is
Iran.
Iran's
Supreme Leader retreats underground
warned of likelihood of U.S. airstrikes.
Rob, if you want to go to this, page 9,
folks, if you're watching this, you want our stories.
Just go to the Menect Circle to get all the stories
you can follow with us.
You'll get all the notes every single week
if you want to follow the notes that we're looking at.
So, Supreme...
Okay, Ayatollah Alecameh has gone underground
reportedly hiding out in a bunker out of fear of being wiped out
by the U.S. air strikes as the USS Abraham Lincoln steams
towards Persian Gulf.
The 86-year-old Supreme Leader has more.
moved to a fortified shelter into Iran connected to a series of elaborate underground tunnels
after senior military officials warned of the increasing likelihood of an imminent U.S.
attack in Iran international reported.
Chaminet has left his youngest son Masoud Chaminet 53 in charge of running the day-to-day management
of the Islamic Republic, Massoud Chameh, emergency duties include being the primary communication
channel with the regime's executive branch.
Iran has deemed the likelihood of the U.S. airstrikes to be high after President Trump announced that warships were headed that way.
So that's one story.
All of a sudden, major airlines cancel flights to the Middle East with possible of U.S. airstrikes.
Then Iran, the senior Iran official says Iran will treat any attack as an all-out war is what he announces.
Rob, do you have that clip as well?
Senior Iranian official stated that Iran will treat any attack as an all-out war against us on Friday.
ahead of the Iranian, ahead of the arrival, the U.S. military aircraft, strike group and other
assets in the Middle East region, which is expected to be in the coming days. This military buildup,
we hope it is not intended for real confrontation, but our military is ready for the worst case
scenario. This is why everything is on high alert than Iran said the senior Iran and officials
speaking on condition of anonymity. This time we will retreat, we will treat any attack,
limited, unlimited, surgical, kinetic, whatever they call it as an all-out war against us,
and we will respond in the hardest way possible to settle this.
U.S. President Trump stated that his administration who was watching Iran very closely.
Humberto, what do you think is going to happen here?
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I think this is not a defining moment right now.
And I think it's very, because, you know, I think it's very,
it's good for the regime that they have an excuse to go on hiding.
My guess, and I'm thinking this from the perspective,
Everyone's talking about the regime and they're talking about the U.S. influence,
but this revolution is about the economy, right?
We saw over the last year the reports of 42% inflation, low energy production, running out of water.
And those reasons by themselves, Pat, like just economical reasons, they're enough to topple a government.
You know what I mean?
We've seen that President Trump has been very careful, you know, with his actions, very tactical.
who is to say actions in Iran.
I'm not calling him bluff.
I think he will act when time is ready.
But them pushing the narrative that the tech is imminent,
it gives them safe passage to finally get out.
Because if Trump doesn't get them,
eventually the people of Iran will get them.
And I'm not advocating for any regime change
or anything of that nature.
But if you get your savings wiped out with a 48% inflation,
you get half of whatever you had,
you get it cut in half, you're going to revolt.
That's basically my opinion on it.
Yeah.
So, you know, this Saturday we had the podcast with the two Iranians, Amir and Dr. Kangarlu,
and the doctor who's a nuclear physicist, he said something very interesting.
He said, this is the first time in the history of the world.
Rob, can you look this up?
I don't think we did this.
If you want to search, when is the last time in history that a religious revolution
and an economical revolution was taking place at the same time?
time in the same country. It happened two separate times. He was saying that Iran is the first
country ever in the history to have two different types of revolutions taking place at the same time.
One is economic, one is religious, meaning one economy, it's horrible, they're not making money,
they can't take care of their families. Two, they are sick and tired of the Islamic
Revolutionary Guard of what it's doing to it. Okay, and so if you watch this, the most recent one
that was close to both, they're saying 79, Khomeini, but the other way around,
religious and Islamic, and the one that's happening right now,
this isn't pretty what's going on in Iran today.
It's not.
And at any point, anything can happen.
It's so unpredictable for us that when you look at this, Tom, you know,
from the standpoint, I'm curious to know what you'll say about this.
If you had to have a, you know, if you yourself, you have your Tom Kalshi,
without looking at Kalshi, Tom's Kalshi, what's the split on whether U.S. will attack
cost some mayhem in Iran versus two, nothing happens during Trump's term.
So I think we've hit 50-50.
That's something could happen?
That there will be some sort of strike against military, radar, you know,
or what they call distant defense proxies.
I think we're going there.
It really spooked me over the weekend because the Department of Defense around the world
can use simple air traffic control messages.
And so even the airlines don't know what's up, but they cancel their flights because they're told there are no longer landing clearances where you're going.
Like you're going from Greece to Tel Aviv.
You're going from Rome to Cairo or whatever those are, those routes.
And all of a sudden you're saying, hey, we have an ATC hold because federal governments have the ability to get in there and put those.
So you saw, remember over the weekend?
All of a sudden we saw all these flights are canceled.
Well, the airlines are like, why are they canceling them?
They're canceling them because they are not permitted to leave or fly.
And the airlines may not know the reason.
There could be heavy weather and ice in Boston and they get ATC.
It says, hey, we can't release you to Boston.
And then they look it up, oh, man, they're getting ice.
It must be the ice up there.
I can't fly.
This happened to us.
So I felt like, wow, somebody has pushed the get out of the way button.
And that made me nervous.
So that's like, okay, are we going to fly over and hit something?
some installations. So I thought we were like 75% likely that something was going to happen over the
weekend, Pat, not in the city center, not to the palace, but hit a bunch of military installations
and fly home and then call back and say, do I have your attention? You know, that's kind of what I
thought. So my Kalshi is, I'm 50-50 on we execute a strike before the end of the year. And I'm
more than 50-50 that like September to Christmas, there's an actual leadership change.
Because I don't think they can keep a lid on this with the people what they're going through.
I believe the Iranian people know that there is just one shot here.
And this is the first shot in 47 years.
And it may be that they have to pull back a little bit to go forward.
But this is their only shot.
I think it's more, I think it's way more than 50%.
I think with all the signs are showing that they need, they need the help.
And Trump wants to help.
I think he's biting his time.
Every time we think he's going to do something, he waits.
And then a week later, we're like, oh, my God, now this is the time.
Because at the end of the day, Oberto, I think my personal opinion is once everything was ready to go,
once they met with Rezal Palavine everything.
And he realized, remember when he, what did Trump say?
Yeah, he's not the guy for the job or something.
But he's a nice guy.
No, yeah, he's a nice guy. Pat call him a sweet guy, which he is.
But when you don't listen to me, if you're going to go and help, Umberto,
and you're going to go really, really try to help these people, you know what I mean?
Because they're freaking dying by the thousands.
If they don't have somebody that's going to lead them, what's going to happen?
What do you do?
That's the thing.
The Trump administration, the guys they have there, they're incredibly smart.
Like, for example, when they took out Maduro and they kept half of the regime in Venezuela,
it was for a reason, you know, it was so.
they know how health care works, how to get pensions out, how the oil industry works.
You know what I mean? He's very measured. And there's some tremendous guys in there.
And they're trying to find a solution. This is not a straight solution.
You're going to have to keep some of the regime in there.
You know what I mean?
So you can't just, like, bomb it flat.
I don't think they're going to bomb it flat.
And I don't think they can take any more pressure.
Like, it breaks my heart to hear all the beautiful Iranian people protesting that they're getting killed.
So, like, I think we need to pull down the pressure.
They need to find a solution and strike whatever it is.
It's military, if it's sanctions.
But I think they're going to put a plan in place.
Well, here's my question, though, Tom.
Haven't we kind of done?
I agree with you to a point, Humberto, but haven't we done sanctions?
I mean, unpack what you're saying.
We've been sanctioning them quite a bit.
Right now, was it, Russia and Iran can't get oil into Europe, basically.
Less than 2% of the oil coming into Europe is Russia or Iran contraband being smuggled in.
So we've had these big sanctions.
What now?
They're slowly working, Tom.
Like, for the economy to go in the gutter,
like sanctions were a big part of it.
Like, it's not as fast as striking with missiles,
but they do work in the long run.
You know what I mean?
Well, how long are these, how many more,
let's say it's at 20, I'm going to go low-ish,
20,000 civilians are dead in the street
because they, on their own, said enough is enough.
How long are we going to leave?
Because this happened the last time.
They're up, they're up, they're fighting.
and the voice and then it just dies out
and then everybody forgets about Iran and then
goes on to something else. Now they're
really going for it. They're really like
hey, we're out here, we need some
support and nothing.
You don't have a freaking leader. You don't have
anybody that's going to stand up.
Guys, one person that's
going to say, I'm going to do it. Yes, everybody's
here in Washington. I'm going to go there.
I'm going to sacrifice because
they need somebody, bro.
Mr. President, Mr. President,
Trump, Trump, Trump,
three weeks ago, you said,
said you had her back.
Exactly.
Yeah, exactly.
We went for it.
Not where are you guys at?
That's like he was talking about really.
You go in there, you start to fight like, yeah, we're good.
And you turn around and your backup isn't there.
It's like both.
And they're not backing down.
Those people are still getting killed.
And what, those 12 to 15,000 that are captured?
What do you think the IRGC is doing to them in the jails if they're still alive?
You think they're all dead.
Torturing.
They're all dead.
God rest their souls.
They need the help.
I think Trump is strategic.
It's going to happen.
But me personally, I know.
whatever I was going to say, oh, we're war, they need help.
It has to be some kind of help.
We don't know what kind of help.
You know what it means?
It needs to be something, bro.
How many more people are going to die?
There needs to be something.
What do you think, Pat?
You know, I'm going back to thinking about what the difference is between Khomeini coming back in and Rezaapalavi, is if I'm U.S., what am I thinking about?
What is the DNA of Venezuela versus Iran?
So imagine you're the president, okay?
You didn't study Iran history.
You didn't study Venezuela in history.
You studied the streets of New York,
negotiation, tough games, manipulation, all that stuff.
Roy Cohen, the university of Roy Cohen, right?
Never give up, never surrender, never this, never that,
always blame, always take every victory, whatever happens, yes.
Okay, so here's a question.
I'm getting briefing.
Now I'm sitting there with my seven guys that are in front of me
and gals, whoever the people are.
And I ask, what's the difference between the people?
people in Venezuela and the people in Iran.
So if we topple the regime in Venezuela versus Iran, what is the difference?
Is the military in Venezuela 100% Maduro?
Is a military in Iran 100% IRGC?
What is the difference?
Whose support does Edmundo Gonzalez have?
Whose support does Maria Corina Machado have?
What's the point?
The point is, if we know a portion of the Venezuelan military is going to cite,
with a new leader, we have something to work on.
Right?
We have something that we can help.
If we look at Iran, when Khomeini first came in,
there was some military guys under the shot
that flipped and went towards him on the Air Force.
There were some that supported him.
If Reza Pallavi has some of the guys on a military
that are flipping and wanting to support,
that needs to be public.
Because me as the president,
let's just say all of a sudden,
30,000 military soldiers came out in the street saying,
I was a former this, I am not pro-Rezapalavi.
You think Trump would have an easier decision to make?
Yes, that's the question.
If you don't have the military, what happens?
You go in, what's going to happen?
Day one, they're going to listen to you?
For what?
No.
In a democracy, you're going to go in
and a regime that's been telling people what to do,
you better listen to me or else, you know, you're going to get killed.
Is Reza-Palavi going to go out there?
You know how many people, Khomeini, he killed right afterwards when he went in?
Thousands.
And I'm talking military personnel he killed.
If you're not on my side, take him out, take him out, take him out, take him out, take him out, take him out.
Then all the other military service members are like, whoa, we better get in line or else they're going to kill us.
Does he have that?
How do you do it?
And these are more the extremists.
So how do you flip an extremist regime versus the old one?
Umberto.
What, what, that's the or else, that's the difference.
And there is no or else today.
There is nowhere else.
And the other thing is, and when we had Curtis, Y, Y, Y, and when we had Curtis, Y,
harvest come in.
He said something that really stroke a nerve with me.
He was like, does the regime believe on itself?
All right?
If you look at the Venezuela regime, they haven't done anything revolutionary in the past
25 years.
They're just keeping their status cool, trying to deal with the economy.
Like, they're not expanding the communist revolution in South America, as they claimed.
Now, if you see the Iranian regime, they're about the life pad.
You know, they're sending troops to Venezuela.
they're sending money to all these terrorist organizations.
Like, there's some true believers inside of the IRGC.
There wasn't that many true believers on believers' plan in Venezuela.
And once the regime stops believing themselves,
I think you have a real chance of fighting.
Because even if you beat them militarily,
you're going to get an insurrection movement.
They're going to go on hiding.
They're going to go somewhere else.
And then you're going to get a terrorist element inside of Iran.
of Iran, which is much better than them ruling the country, but it's a reality we have to live with, you know?
We've seen this, the case study, and the case study was the Philippines.
Marcos Fernand Marcos and his crazy wife, literally insane, categorically insane wife, Imelda,
you know, finally are getting on the edge of being forced out by the people, and the tensions are high,
and the revolution is forming.
And Benito Aquino said, I need to go home, and I need to be the man for the,
Philippine people. American Chuck Colson, who worked with Nixon, begged him not to do it. He said,
I don't think it's wise. They're not fully ready to upset you, and you need the military. When the plane
landed, Marcos's henchman, dressed as airline employees, came to the door of the plane
and blew his head off as he was stepping off the plane into the Philippines. It would trigger the
revolution, and his wife, Corazon Aquino and the Leban movement was formed.
but this is exactly what regime change you're talking about.
You have to have the military under you.
You have to know who is breaking ranks as they will to have you there.
So we've seen it.
We saw it in the Philippines.
Ultimately, the death of Benino triggered the whole revolution,
and the Marcos has fled to Hawaii with the help of the American CIA.
True story.
And suddenly, the Philippines were led under Laban.
But this is exactly what we see here.
Before somebody can step forward, you're right, Pat.
You've got to know what support do you have and what do you not have before you walk into that.
If you're part of Reza Palavis camp, the first thing you have to do is find a way to get to the military folks and see if you can flip them one by one by one.
If you get more, there's volume and they're saying they have to keep a private.
They can't make it public.
There's already plenty of people.
There may be.
There may be quite a few people that have signed up.
But they need to show that to the guy.
who you need.
If you don't need the White House,
if you don't need the U.S.,
go do it on your own.
But you need America to do it.
You need somebody else to do it.
If you didn't need anybody else,
you would have already done it.
You would have already done in the last 48 years.
So his team is probably going to want to see
what type of Poland
control and influence do you have in Iran?
And then what the plan is afterwards.
It's not going to be as pretty as everybody thinks it is.
Anyways, let's go to the last story
and then we can wrap up.
So this weekend, this video kept circulating.
I want to finish on a lighter note.
This video kept circulating that this guy climbed this,
the biggest building in Taiwan, Taipei.
This is a building the size of the World Trade Center today in New York.
Just watch this clip, folks, and tell me if you would do this.
By the way, nothing, there's nothing that he's hanging on to.
He falls, he's dead.
Just everybody knows.
And I'm going to reveal to how much the rumor is that Netflix paid to live stream this.
Netflix paid him.
to live stream this.
And you tell me if you would have taken the amount
that allegedly was offered to him from Netflix
to live stream this so the audience can see it.
Go ahead and play this clip rob.
Do you see him yet?
You will in a second.
Focus.
Oh, down the bottom with the red shirt?
That's him.
Oh.
That's him climbing.
Like an aunt.
Look at that.
He's climbing up and employees are looking at him.
You see people coming to the windows?
Dude.
They're looking at him.
They're watching him and another guy's climbing there.
You see the guy on the right?
Yeah.
That guy has it easy.
He has it easy.
The camera man.
The camera guy is just chilling on the right.
By the way, there is nothing, nothing that's holding him.
And can you imagine like you go to a window and they're rooting for you?
You got it.
You're like, be quiet.
Yeah, leave me alone.
You got this.
Yeah.
So then he makes it to the other level.
Now watch.
Boom.
He keeps climbing.
Keeps climbing.
Oh, my God.
Keeps climbing.
And here he, he's.
He's playing games here.
Did you guys see what he was doing?
He was hanging backwards with his feet?
Look at this.
Rob, can you show another clip close up of what he was doing?
Because there's people from the window that are recording cam, okay?
People from the window that are recording cam.
So do you know allegedly how much he got paid for this?
It better be $5 million or more.
Rob, is this all the way at the top?
Watch this.
Put the audio as well.
See the wind?
And he puts his hands up.
Watch this.
Oh, my God, that bothers me.
Just looking at this from this angle.
An hour and 31 minutes.
Look it is.
Alex Honnold has made history again.
You slip a little bit.
Look at it.
He's putting his hands up.
Penny, would you do this?
I got anxiety just thinking about waiting.
Okay.
Oh, my gosh.
He's an American, bro.
Alex Honnold, let's go.
This is great television, Pat.
I watched it live because they had two postsposed.
You watch a live?
Yeah, I did watch it.
Okay, tell me.
I wasn't going to miss the biggest stream.
How sick was it?
It was the sickest thing.
Because, like, the top part of that.
First of all, he looked like a spider.
Like, all these videos are sped up.
He did the whole building in an hour and a half, all right?
I don't believe it.
Like, Vinny, Vinny, he started.
Shaking his hand.
He started and he was halfway across the building in less than half an hour.
I never seen anyone climb like this guy.
I wonder what his fingers were.
Look at that.
Look at out right there, Rennie.
Oh, my God.
No ropes.
Oh, my God.
So they had the building on one side,
to see where he was going.
They had the timer.
And then he did a bunch of things
that everyone was sweating.
Like he was hanging from his legs for a minute.
It was unbelievable.
Great television.
Great for Netflix.
This is something new.
It could have gone very wrong.
But this is something new.
It's positive.
It's sports.
It's travel.
My question is this.
If he fell, were they going to record that?
It was live, Vinny.
Well, I'm saying,
were they going to follow him all the way down?
Because, listen, if I'm paying Netflix subscription.
Okay.
By the way, let me tell you what's the most interesting thing,
what he says. He's being asked
in this interview by Graham
Ben Singer, which he does a good job
interviewing. Rob, if you can play
this clip, I just sent you. He's being asked, what is
the big deal about having
the rope versus not having the rope? Look at the way
he answers the question. Okay?
The psychological parts of it, it's
incredible. Go ahead, Rob.
Pretty much the same physically,
you've said. Yeah. But mentally
explain why free soloing
so much more challenging.
Well, it's kind of obvious, right?
If you fall off, you're going to die.
So it's like, obviously, there's a lot more, like, fear involved, and, like, there's a lot more,
there's more second-guessing, or there's just more going on in your head.
Why is it important to avoid getting your adrenaline going?
Well, I mean, it's important to avoid any kind of major fear response type thing just because,
I mean, you have, like, physiological changes.
You know, your vision narrows, your breathing accelerates.
Like, you get, you over-grip.
Like, I mean, it happens a lot of the time when you're climbing with a rope.
You'll be, like, super, super scared, and you, like, can't see anything.
you're holding on super tight and you're like oh my god and then you get a piece of gear in and you
you like clip your rope and all of a sudden you're safe and then you're like oh and you're
like oh there's this other huge hold right here that I should have grabbed but didn't see and then
you're like oh and there's a foothold and suddenly you're like way more relaxed and so I mean you
want to stay in that relaxed date the whole time you know climbing with or without a rope
crazy right Rob can you pull up what number they said they paid him allegedly
Allegedly Netflix paid him a half a million dollars for that's it allegedly oh he got paid half a million
million dollars. Now let me tell you what I would do, okay? Allegedly, I saw $500,000.
He can look it up in a couple different places.
We're an hour and a half to see what other numbers, but I have a suggestion for him if he's
watching him. If I was his agent, I would call the Spider-Man brand, okay, put him in the movie,
I think that would be sick to be in the movie, give him a part, and make a couple million dollars
from that. And he deserves. I believe he deserves.
to be in the next Spider-Man.
He is the Spider-Man.
I think it would be such a brilliant move by the franchise.
No? What do you think?
It's a cameo. Like, Spider-Man climbing, takes off the map.
Give him a couple million dollars. And, you know, it's a way of saying, hey, Netflix.
All you paid him is a half a million dollars. Come on, man.
You know, and this guy goes out there and just something else.
He's like a villain called Climer, and he's only in black.
And he can't be seen.
How much you paid him or no?
No, he says it was an embarrassing amount.
I'm not going to say it's an embarrassing amount.
Honnold told the New York Times.
Meaning not that much.
Yeah.
That's what I'm saying.
It might be less than $500,000.
Dude, $500,000 to do this.
No, imagine how much publicity.
Would you not pay half a million dollars your Netflix?
By the way, just dollar-wise,
how much eyeballs did Netflix get just for this,
for paying a half a million?
How much dollars did they get at dollars?
The Roy on this is high.
That's what I'm saying.
How much?
How much you think.
Any podcast he ever goes to,
if people want to see the whole thing,
it's going back to another.
He's been on Rogan.
He was on Rogan, I think, six, seven years ago.
Oh, wow.
So this is a guy that's made the rounds of the big podcast.
And, but respect to him.
The timing is perfect.
Hockey has barely got going.
You know.
There you go, $500,000.
NBA is just kind of cruising.
Number of football games on the weekends is down.
We're into playoffs.
There's an incredible window for Netflix,
not to be in anybody else's way.
Yeah.
Well, listen, respect to him.
We're glad you made it.
And one slip, man.
If you looked at it, he kept putting powder on his hand because he had to stay dry.
Because you know, your hand's sweating.
You slip, you're gone.
You know, they delayed it one day because of the weather.
He was going to go the day before.
And an earthquake.
Oh, great.
Earthquake and the wind.
There was earthquakes a whole week.
But just think about it.
You're halfway up.
You're hanging on your brain.
You're like, what if an earthquake is?
What if an earthquake is?
What if an earthquake is?
What if an earthquake hits?
What if an earthquake hits?
You have to stay so bulletproof focused on the job to do this.
But here's the thing, though, if he fell because they had a mic on him, right?
They're recording it.
He's like, Netflix is cheap.
And then he's just gone, boom.
They would have to record it.
Like, you know, that would be wild.
The cameraman has to stay on him.
And you know, the last sound would be, boom.
Oh, done, Netflix.
The Netflix sound.
Dumb.
They have to have had a hold harmless if he were to fall and die.
Netflix.
Can you, Rob, can you pull up?
Did Netflix in a contract hold on a have a hold harmless that if he were to die,
they were protected or did they buy an insurance policy on him?
I was looking at the wife's face because she was down there.
I think they did.
She was looking very chill.
Oh, she was happy?
No, she wasn't happy.
She was like, you have a one hand thing.
She was sitting in the van.
She was very calm.
So they probably had a policy in there.
She said, baby, do that trick that you do with the one hand.
What kind of a wife marries a guy like this?
I actually want to know what his wife does for a living because a wife has to have a low temperament.
Because can you imagine you marry a wife that's drama?
Oh my God.
What if you die?
What if you do this?
Why are you doing this?
Don't do it.
His wife has to be just as crazy to be able to handle some like this.
She's a bottom of the binoculars.
She's a life and a transition coach who focus on helping people create intentional lifestyles.
I don't know what that means, but you know, whatever it means.
As long as I'm making kids go from male to female.
Great.
Listen, you shake this guy's hand.
Oh, they're, because they have, like, have you ever shaking a rock climber's fingers?
They're almost extended.
Pat, it's very weird.
It's almost like a web hands because they have to be able to hang.
So this stretches out.
I've shaken a rock climber, professional rock climbers' hands, and it was like wrapped around
and they're strong as hell.
Look, you saw his body.
He's not jacked.
He's just ripped.
Yeah.
He's ripped and shredded.
There you go.
Okay.
Gang, if you liked what Homberto did today, give him some love.
Put his menacked up, Rob.
He's on Menect as well.
Do we have his handle up, Rob, or no?
We do not, but I'll put it in the chat.
Put it in the chat.
Form policy or national affairs, politics.
Humberto right there.
There he is.
He stormed the White House.
And if you want to tell me about how Humberto did, you can Meneck me as well
and tell me how bad he did.
I'll definitely respond back.
Or how good he did.
That picture was Young Bertow, by the other.
Young, Gemberto, yeah.
No, no, go back to that picture.
He was Bert.
Tell the truth.
That picture, go back.
That's from last week.
I mean, that's a week ago.
Okay, gang, Huberto, you did good, good for you.
Thank you for having a bit.
You know, what I like to do is on situations like this because it's very important
when you're putting someone on the pot, especially he's internal with the team.
He's been with us for a few years now.
We've been preparing for him to be on today for two months.
And I told them, be ready two months.
How much preparation time did I give you?
I actually need to give a shout out to my team.
because they were ready to go.
Yeah.
So super prepared to be on here.
Guys, we will do the business podcast on Wednesday.
Between now and then, God bless everybody.
Take care.
Bye bye, bye, bye, bye.
